Mesoscale Meteorology
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Open Space Plan • Bradford County Subdivision and Land Development Ordinance
Bradford County 2015 Hazard Mitigation Plan Certification of Annual Review Meetings DATE OF PUBLIC OUTREACH YEAR SIGNATURE MEETING ADDRESSED?* 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 *Confirm yes here annually and describe on record of change page. Page | 1 Bradford County 2015 Hazard Mitigation Plan Record of Changes DESCRIPTION OF CHANGE MADE, CHANGE MADE BY CHANGE MADE BY DATE MITIGATION ACTION COMPLETED, OR (PRINT NAME) (SIGNATURE) PUBLIC OUTREACH PERFORMED Updated profiles for all hazards from the previous mitigation plan and added extreme temperatures, invasive species and radon 09/02/2014 Michael T. Rearick exposure. Updated the mitigation action plan and worked with the municipalities to develop new project opportunities. Completed additional revisions required by 12/17/2014 FEMA. Updated hazard profiles. Added the Michael T. Rearick Levee Failure profile. REMINDER: Please attach all associated meeting agendas, sign-in sheets, handouts, and minutes. Page | 2 Bradford County 2015 Hazard Mitigation Plan Table of Contents Certification of Annual Review Meetings .................................................................................... 1 Record of Changes .................................................................................................................... 2 1. Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 6 1.1 Background ........................................................................................................................................ -
Storm Naming: the First Season of Naming by the South-West Group: Spain-Portugal-France
Storm naming: the First Season of Naming by the South-west Group: Spain-Portugal-France Paula Leitao (IPMA- Instituto Português do Mar e da Atmosfera), Bernard Roulet (Meteo France), Jaime Rey (AEMET) Introduction gust associated with the passage of a storm or low pressure (regional winds such as the Mistral are not Following the success of storm naming by MetEireann taken into account). and the Met Office in 2016-2017 (cf WGCEF Task Team • Area: Atlantic Ocean and western on Storm Naming in Europe ; Authors Cusack, Mediterranean Sea. Paterson, Lang, Csekits, WGCEF newsletter N°22), • The NMS who first issues an orange/red warn- three other countries in the south-western part of ing (or Vigilance) names the storm and informs the Europe - Spain, Portugal and France - decided to join three others. the process of storm naming, following recommenda- • A named Storm keeps the same name its whole tions of the Task Team. life. System specifications were discussed by partners The coordination with the North-west Group is crucial during the year 2017 via mail exchanges, then web- to ensure that the same storm gets a single name. If a conferences during Autumn 2017 allowed the Group storm is named by one group and moves to the other to finalise the process of storm naming for the south- group, it keeps the same name. In the rare cases west. The month of November was then used as a where a barotropic storm is a post-tropical storm, it blank test, before the system entered its operational keeps the name given by NHC Miami preceded by ‘Ex’. -
Ref. Accweather Weather History)
NOVEMBER WEATHER HISTORY FOR THE 1ST - 30TH AccuWeather Site Address- http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=7074 West Henrico Co. - Glen Allen VA. Site Address- (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- AccuWeather.com Forums _ Your Weather Stories / Historical Storms _ Today in Weather History Posted by: BriSr Nov 1 2008, 02:21 PM November 1 MN History 1991 Classes were canceled across the state due to the Halloween Blizzard. Three foot drifts across I-94 from the Twin Cities to St. Cloud. 2000 A brief tornado touched down 2 miles east and southeast of Prinsburg in Kandiyohi county. U.S. History # 1861 - A hurricane near Cape Hatteras, NC, battered a Union fleet of ships attacking Carolina ports, and produced high tides and high winds in New York State and New England. (David Ludlum) # 1966 - Santa Anna winds fanned fires, and brought record November heat to parts of coastal California. November records included 86 degrees at San Francisco, 97 degrees at San Diego, and 101 degrees at the International airport in Los Angeles. Fires claimed the lives of at least sixteen firefighters. (The Weather Channel) # 1968 - A tornado touched down west of Winslow, AZ, but did little damage in an uninhabited area. (The Weather Channel) # 1987 - Early morning thunderstorms in central Arizona produced hail an inch in diameter at Williams and Gila Bend, and drenched Payson with 1.86 inches of rain. Hannagan Meadows AZ, meanwhile, was blanketed with three inches of snow. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed across the Ohio Valley. Afternoon highs of 76 degrees at Beckley WV, 77 degrees at Bluefield WV, and 83 degrees at Lexington KY were records for the month of November. -
Coniglio Et Al. (2006)
P1.30 FORECASTING THE SPEED AND LONGEVITY OF SEVERE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS Michael C. Coniglio∗1 and Stephen F. Corfidi2 1NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, OK 2NOAA/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK 1. INTRODUCTION b. MCS maintenance Forecasting the details of mesoscale convective Predicting MCS maintenance is fraught with systems (MCSs) (Zipser 1982) continues to be a difficult challenges such as understanding how deep convection problem. Recent advances in numerical weather is sustained through system/environment interactions prediction models and computing power have allowed (Weisman and Rotunno 2004, Coniglio et al. 2004b, for explicit real-time prediction of MCSs over the past Coniglio et al. 2005), how pre-existing mesoscale few years, some of which have supported field features influence the system (Fritsch and Forbes 2001, programs (Davis et al. 2004) and collaborative Trier and Davis 2005), and how the disturbances experiments between researchers and forecasters at generated by the system itself can alter the system the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) (Kain et al. 2005). structure and longevity (Parker and Johnson 2004c). While these numerical forecasts of MCSs are promising, the utility of these forecasts and how to best use the From an observational perspective, Evans and capabilities of the high-resolution models in support of Doswell (2001) suggest that the strength of the mean operations is unclear, especially from the perspective of wind (0-6 km) and its effects on cold pool development the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) (Kain et al. 2005). and MCS motion play a significant role in sustaining Therefore, refining our knowledge of the interactions of long-lived forward-propagating MCSs that produce MCSs with their environment remains central to damaging surface winds (derechos) through modifying advancing our near-term ability to forecast MCSs. -
ANNUAL SUMMARY Atlantic Hurricane Season of 2005
MARCH 2008 ANNUAL SUMMARY 1109 ANNUAL SUMMARY Atlantic Hurricane Season of 2005 JOHN L. BEVEN II, LIXION A. AVILA,ERIC S. BLAKE,DANIEL P. BROWN,JAMES L. FRANKLIN, RICHARD D. KNABB,RICHARD J. PASCH,JAMIE R. RHOME, AND STACY R. STEWART Tropical Prediction Center, NOAA/NWS/National Hurricane Center, Miami, Florida (Manuscript received 2 November 2006, in final form 30 April 2007) ABSTRACT The 2005 Atlantic hurricane season was the most active of record. Twenty-eight storms occurred, includ- ing 27 tropical storms and one subtropical storm. Fifteen of the storms became hurricanes, and seven of these became major hurricanes. Additionally, there were two tropical depressions and one subtropical depression. Numerous records for single-season activity were set, including most storms, most hurricanes, and highest accumulated cyclone energy index. Five hurricanes and two tropical storms made landfall in the United States, including four major hurricanes. Eight other cyclones made landfall elsewhere in the basin, and five systems that did not make landfall nonetheless impacted land areas. The 2005 storms directly caused nearly 1700 deaths. This includes approximately 1500 in the United States from Hurricane Katrina— the deadliest U.S. hurricane since 1928. The storms also caused well over $100 billion in damages in the United States alone, making 2005 the costliest hurricane season of record. 1. Introduction intervals for all tropical and subtropical cyclones with intensities of 34 kt or greater; Bell et al. 2000), the 2005 By almost all standards of measure, the 2005 Atlantic season had a record value of about 256% of the long- hurricane season was the most active of record. -
5.4.1 Severe Storms
SECTION 5.4.1: RISK ASSESSMENT – SEVERE STORM 5.4.1 SEVERE STORMS This section provides a profile and vulnerability assessment for the severe storm hazards. HAZARD PROFILE Hazard profile information is provided in this section, including information on description, extent, location, previous occurrences and losses and the probability of future occurrences within Delaware County. Description For the purpose of this HMP and as deemed appropriated by Delaware County, the severe storm hazard includes hailstorms, windstorms, lightning, thunderstorms, tornadoes, and tropical cyclones (e.g. hurricanes, tropical storms, and tropical depressions), which are defined below. Since most northeasters, (or Nor’Easters) a type of an extra-tropical cyclone, generally take place during the winter weather months, Nor’Easters have been grouped as a type of severe winter weather storm, further discussed in Section 5.4.2 (Severe Winter Storm). Hailstorm: According to the National Weather Service (NWS), hail is defined as a showery precipitation in the form of irregular pellets or balls of ice more than five millimeters in diameter, falling from a cumulonimbus cloud (NWS, 2009). Early in the developmental stages of a hailstorm, ice crystals form within a low-pressure front due to the rapid rising of warm air into the upper atmosphere and the subsequent cooling of the air mass. Frozen droplets gradually accumulate on the ice crystals until, having developed sufficient weight; they fall as precipitation, in the form of balls or irregularly shaped masses of ice. The size of hailstones is a direct function of the size and severity of the storm. High velocity updraft winds are required to keep hail in suspension in thunderclouds. -
1 Mesoscale Meteorology: Density Currents 11 April 2017 Introduction
Mesoscale Meteorology: Density Currents 11 April 2017 Introduction A density current is defined as the intrusion of a denser fluid beneath a lighter fluid. Consider the hydrostatic equation: ∂p = −ρg ∂z Let us consider a density current of finite depth, such that isobaric surfaces are parallel to constant height surfaces above the density current. Evaluated between the ground (z = 0) and the top of the density current, the denser fluid will have a larger decrease in pressure over the depth of the density current than the lighter fluid. For fixed pressure at the top of the density current, this implies the presence of a mesohigh at the surface within the density fluid. (This is the same as a hypsometric argument, where a colder layer is associated with reduced thickness and thus higher pressure below the layer.) This establishes a horizontal pressure gradient force directed away from the mesohigh that is responsible for density current motion and displacing the lighter fluid above the denser fluid. While much of the pressure differential across a density current results from the above hydrostatic principles, there are substantial non-hydrostatic contributions along the leading edge of the density current and within the density current beneath the strongest downdraft. Further, a wake low, which forms due to compressional warming associated with unsaturated descent atop the density current, may be found rearward of the mesohigh. In such a case, the horizontal pressure gradient force in the rear of a density current may be elevated over that along the leading edge. Like sea breezes, which are a subclass of density current, density currents typically have a head on their leading edge, with depth that can be as much as twice as large as that behind its leading edge. -
Synoptic Meteorology
Lecture Notes on Synoptic Meteorology For Integrated Meteorological Training Course By Dr. Prakash Khare Scientist E India Meteorological Department Meteorological Training Institute Pashan,Pune-8 186 IMTC SYLLABUS OF SYNOPTIC METEOROLOGY (FOR DIRECT RECRUITED S.A’S OF IMD) Theory (25 Periods) ❖ Scales of weather systems; Network of Observatories; Surface, upper air; special observations (satellite, radar, aircraft etc.); analysis of fields of meteorological elements on synoptic charts; Vertical time / cross sections and their analysis. ❖ Wind and pressure analysis: Isobars on level surface and contours on constant pressure surface. Isotherms, thickness field; examples of geostrophic, gradient and thermal winds: slope of pressure system, streamline and Isotachs analysis. ❖ Western disturbance and its structure and associated weather, Waves in mid-latitude westerlies. ❖ Thunderstorm and severe local storm, synoptic conditions favourable for thunderstorm, concepts of triggering mechanism, conditional instability; Norwesters, dust storm, hail storm. Squall, tornado, microburst/cloudburst, landslide. ❖ Indian summer monsoon; S.W. Monsoon onset: semi permanent systems, Active and break monsoon, Monsoon depressions: MTC; Offshore troughs/vortices. Influence of extra tropical troughs and typhoons in northwest Pacific; withdrawal of S.W. Monsoon, Northeast monsoon, ❖ Tropical Cyclone: Life cycle, vertical and horizontal structure of TC, Its movement and intensification. Weather associated with TC. Easterly wave and its structure and associated weather. ❖ Jet Streams – WMO definition of Jet stream, different jet streams around the globe, Jet streams and weather ❖ Meso-scale meteorology, sea and land breezes, mountain/valley winds, mountain wave. ❖ Short range weather forecasting (Elementary ideas only); persistence, climatology and steering methods, movement and development of synoptic scale systems; Analogue techniques- prediction of individual weather elements, visibility, surface and upper level winds, convective phenomena. -
The European Forecaster September 2018 (Full Version Pdf)
The European Forecaster Newsletter of the WGCEF N° 23 September 2018 C ontents 3 Introduction Minutes of the 23rd Annual Meeting of the Working Group on Co-operation 4 Between European Forecasters (WGCEF) Sting Jets and other processes leading to high wind gusts: 10 wind-storms “Zeus” and “Joachim” compared 16 Forecasting Freezing Rain in the UK – March 1st and 2nd 2018 24 The Extreme Wildfire, 17-19 July 2017 in Split 30 Changing the Way we Warn for Weather Storm naming: the First Season of Naming by the South-west Group: 33 Spain-Portugal-France 38 Can we forecast the sudden dust storms impacting Israel's southernmost city? 45 The 31st Nordic Meteorological Meeting 46 Representatives of the WGCEF Cover: Ana was the first storm named by the Southwest Group (Spain, Portugal, France) during winter 2017-2018. It affected three countries with great impacts. Printed by Meteo France Editors Stephanie Jameson and Will Lang, Met Office Layout Kirsi Hindstrom- Basic Weather Services Published by Météo-France Crédit Météo-France COM/CGN/PPN - Trappes I ntroduction Dear Readers and Colleagues, It’s a great pleasure to introduce the 23rd edition of our newsletter ‘The European Forecaster’. The publica- tion is only possible due to the great work and generosity of Meteo-France, thus we want to express our warmest gratitude to Mr. Bernard Roulet and his colleagues. We kindly thank all the authors for submitting articles, particularly as they all work in operational forecasting roles and thus have only limited time for writing an article. Many thanks go to Mrs. -
Chapter 16 Extratropical Cyclones
CHAPTER 16 SCHULTZ ET AL. 16.1 Chapter 16 Extratropical Cyclones: A Century of Research on Meteorology’s Centerpiece a b c d DAVID M. SCHULTZ, LANCE F. BOSART, BRIAN A. COLLE, HUW C. DAVIES, e b f g CHRISTOPHER DEARDEN, DANIEL KEYSER, OLIVIA MARTIUS, PAUL J. ROEBBER, h i b W. JAMES STEENBURGH, HANS VOLKERT, AND ANDREW C. WINTERS a Centre for Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom b Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York c School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, State University of New York, Stony Brook, New York d Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland e Centre of Excellence for Modelling the Atmosphere and Climate, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom f Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland g Atmospheric Science Group, Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Wisconsin–Milwaukee, Milwaukee, Wisconsin h Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah i Deutsches Zentrum fur€ Luft- und Raumfahrt, Institut fur€ Physik der Atmosphare,€ Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany ABSTRACT The year 1919 was important in meteorology, not only because it was the year that the American Meteorological Society was founded, but also for two other reasons. One of the foundational papers in extratropical cyclone structure by Jakob Bjerknes was published in 1919, leading to what is now known as the Norwegian cyclone model. Also that year, a series of meetings was held that led to the formation of organizations that promoted the in- ternational collaboration and scientific exchange required for extratropical cyclone research, which by necessity involves spatial scales spanning national borders. -
Chapter 3 Mesoscale Processes and Severe Convective Weather
CHAPTER 3 JOHNSON AND MAPES Chapter 3 Mesoscale Processes and Severe Convective Weather RICHARD H. JOHNSON Department of Atmospheric Science. Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado BRIAN E. MAPES CIRESICDC, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado REVIEW PANEL: David B. Parsons (Chair), K. Emanuel, J. M. Fritsch, M. Weisman, D.-L. Zhang 3.1. Introduction tion, mesoscale phenomena occur on horizontal scales between ten and several hundred kilometers. This Severe convective weather events-tornadoes, hail range generally encompasses motions for which both storms, high winds, flash floods-are inherently mesoscale ageostrophic advections and Coriolis effects are im phenomena. While the large-scale flow establishes envi portant (Emanuel 1986). In general, we apply such a ronmental conditions favorable for severe weather, pro definition here; however, strict application is difficult cesses on the mesoscale initiate such storms, affect their since so many mesoscale phenomena are "multiscale." evolution, and influence their environment. A rich variety For example, a -100-km-Iong gust front can be less of mesocale processes are involved in severe weather, than -1 km across. The triggering of a storm by the ranging from environmental preconditioning to storm initi collision of gust fronts can actually occur on a ation to feedback of convection on the environment. In the -lOO-m scale (the microscale). Nevertheless, we will space available, it is not possible to treat all of these treat this overall process (and others similar to it) as processes in detail. Rather, we will introduce s~veral mesoscale since gust fronts are generally regarded as general classifications of mesoscale processes relatmg to mesoscale phenomena. -
A Comprehensive Heavy Precipitation Climatology for Middle Tennessee
A Comprehensive Heavy Precipitation Climatology for Middle Tennessee Timothy W. Troutman, NOAA/NWS, Southern Region Headquarters, Fort Worth, Texas Mark A. Rose, NOAA/NWS, Weather Forecast Office, Nashville, Tennessee L. Michael Trapasso, Department of Geography, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, Kentucky Stuart A. Foster, Department of Geography, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, Kentucky Date Submitted: January 25, 2001 Abstract Heavy precipitation and flash flooding in middle Tennessee represent an ongoing forecast problem for meteorologists. The need for better ways to recognize heavy precipitation potential led to the development of a heavy precipitation climatology. This research provides much needed statistical data involving monthly and yearly precipitation normals and identification of the spatial distribution of heavy precipitation across middle Tennessee. The main purpose of this research is to determine whether different types of meteorological processes generate significant variability in heavy precipitation amounts. Three inch amounts in a 24-hour period constitute a heavy precipitation event. Cooperative observer data for 43 stations across middle Tennessee were used to analyze daily precipitation data during the period 1961-1990. The heavy precipitation events that occurred were categorized as either synoptic, frontal, meso-high, or tropical. Daily Weather Maps were used to categorize these events by analysis of the surface and 500 millibar upper air patterns. There were 246 heavy precipitation events encompassing 322 days. Six null and alternate hypotheses were developed to test the spatial distribution of heavy precipitation. The heavy precipitation events were tested using an f-test and a two-sample t-test for independent samples. The t-tests helped determine the significance of the spatial distribution of heavy precipitation across middle Tennessee.