The Presentation of a Potentially Unique Cognitive

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

The Presentation of a Potentially Unique Cognitive AUTOPRIMING: THE PRESENTATION OF A POTENTIALLY UNIQUE COGNITIVE TRANSFERENCE PHENOMENON A thesis presented to the Faculty of the College of Arts and Sciences of Ohio University In partial fulfillment of the requirements for degree Master of Science Ian P. Berger June 2004 This thesis entitled AUTOPRIMING: THE PRESENTATION OF A POTENTIALLY UNIQUE COGNITIVE TRANSFERENCE PHENOMENON BY IAN P. BERGER has been approved for the Department of Psychology and the College of Arts and Sciences by Mark D. Alicke Professor of Psychology Leslie A. Flemming Dean, College of Arts and Sciences BERGER, IAN P. M.S. June 2004. Psychology Autopriming: The Presentation of a Potentially Unique Cognitive Transference Phenomenon (68pp.) Director of Thesis: Mark D. Alicke There is little doubt that people evaluate others based on limited information. The information used when evaluating others oftentimes has little to offer in terms of accuracy of evaluations, but is used nonetheless. The thrust of the current research is an examination of the roles of priming, the self, and attitudes in social judgment, specifically addressing a form of cognitive transference referred to herein as autopriming. It is hypothesized that without regard to personal beliefs, people will use information they have generated when making social judgments, information that will have no effect (or less of an effect) on individuals who are exposed to this information but do not generate it. Three studies were conducted. Two of the three supported the autopriming hypothesis. Although the results of the three studies do not offer unequivocal support for the hypothesized autopriming phenomenon, there are some interesting findings worth examining. Approved: Mark D. Alicke Professor of Psychology Acknowledgments Apart from the obvious contributions made by committee members, the author would like to sincerely thank Andrew Geers, Ph.D., and Justin Buckingham, Ph.D. for their thoughtful and insightful comments regarding an earlier version of this paper. Table of Contents Abstract……………………………………………………………………………………3 Acknowledgments…………………………………………………………………………4 List of Tables……………………………………………………………………………... 6 List of Figures…………………………………………………………………………….. 6 Introduction……………………………………………………………………………….. 7 Relevant Theory and Implications………………………………………………………... 9 Pilot Studies……………………………………………………………………………... 29 Pilot Study 1……………………………………………………………………... 29 Pilot Study 2……………………………………………………………………... 36 Method…………………………………………………………………………………... 41 Results and Discussion…………………………………………………………………...43 General Discussion……………………………………………………………………… 54 References………………………………………………………………………………. 60 Appendix A……………………………………………………………………………… 66 Endnotes…………………………………………………………………………………. 68 List of Tables Table Page 1. Categories and Characteristics of Cognitive Transference……………………………...22 List of Figures Figure Page 1. Writer Participant Ratings of Neutral Targets Regarding Guilt, Pilot Study 1 33 2. Yoked Participant Ratings of Neutral Targets Regarding Guilt, Pilot Study 1. 34 3. Percentage of “Guilty” Neutral Target Opinion Attributions by Source of Statements and Attitude Expressed Within Statements, Pilot Study 1………….. 35 4. Ratings of Neutral Targets by Attitude and Statement Valence. Pilot Study 2………. 38 5. Pre- and Post-Experimental Pro-Prayer in Schools Writer Participant Attitudes by Valence of Prime…………………………………………………………………46 6. Pre- and Post-Experimental Anti-Prayer in Schools Writer Participant Attitudes by Valence of Prime…………………………………………………………………46 7. Writer Participant Pre- and Post-Experimental Consensus Ratings………………….. 50 8. Yoked Participant Pre- and Post-Experimental Consensus Ratings………………….. 50 9. Writer Ratings of Neutral Targets by Participant Attitude and Statement Valence….. 53 10. Yoked Ratings of Neutral Targets by Participant Attitude and Statement Valence… 53 Autopriming 7 Autopriming: The Presentation of a Potentially Unique Cognitive Transference Phenomenon There is little doubt that people evaluate others based on limited information. The information used when evaluating others oftentimes has little to offer in terms of the accuracy of these evaluations, but is used nonetheless. Although there has been some contention regarding the automaticity of these evaluations (for a review and rebuttal see Langer, 1978), they seem to occur routinely and spontaneously (Winter & Uleman, 1984; Winter, Uleman & Cunniff, 1985; Gilbert & Krull, 1988; Gilbert, Pelham & Krull, 1988; Gilbert, Krull & Pelham, 1988; for reviews see Winter, Uleman & Cunniff, 1985 and Gilbert 1989). In spite of their apparent pervasiveness, social psychologists know relatively little about how people make these spontaneous interpersonal judgments. Social psychologists have put a great deal of effort into exposing the faulty processes people utilize in making social judgments, and the current research intends to add to this knowledge base by demonstrating a phenomenon involving generation of arguments and social judgment. Previous attempts to neatly describe the mechanisms involved in social judgment have often concerned themselves with the findings associated with either the priming/attitude accessibility1 or the egocentric comparison literature. Findings supporting the priming/attitude accessibility approach tend to indicate that expressed attitudes or opinions (i.e., those made salient or accessible) will influence judgments regarding third parties (for a review see Higgins, 1996). Proponents of the second approach (i.e., egocentric comparison) are more inclined to make the assertion that it is one’s own opinions or beliefs that influence these social judgments (Ross, Autopriming 8 Greene & House, 1977; Markus, Smith & Moreland, 1985; Alicke & Largo, 1995; Biernat, Manis, & Kobrynowicz, 1997). Although there are almost certainly situations in which each of the aforementioned explanations can explain some social judgments, neither seems able to explain the entire spectrum of social judgment phenomena. The thrust of the current research is a further examination of the respective roles of priming, the self, and attitudes in social judgment, all within the context of cognitive transference, defined as transferring a thought, motive, belief or attitude onto other targets (Alicke, LoSchiavo, & Buckingham, 2000). The current research concerns itself with the concept referred to as autopriming, which manifests itself in social judgment independent of simple priming effects or personal attitude. It is believed that without regard to personal beliefs, people will use information they have generated when making social judgments, information that will have no effect (or less of an effect) on individuals who are exposed to this information but do not generate it. For example, a pro-choice advocate constrained to generate anti-abortion rights statements (i.e., counter-attitudinal arguments) will be more likely to judge a neutral target as being anti-choice than will a pro-choice advocate who has simply been primed with anti-abortion rights statements. One important consideration in the present research is that as in other forms of cognitive projection, these auto-primed thoughts are not necessarily representative of a person's actual beliefs or opinions. Transferred items can be quite influential in social judgment, even when cognitive projection occurs independently of one's own views (Alicke et al., 2000). Another distinction is that the mental contents that are to be transferred are self-generated rather than presented by an outside source. Autopriming 9 Because no previous research specifically addressing auto-priming has been conducted, the structure and predictions of other areas of attitude and social judgment (i.e., egocentric comparison and priming/salience) will be discussed, with special emphasis placed on the concept of cognitive transference. Because the current research deals with self-generated attitudes, there will also be a discussion regarding the nature of the self in social psychology. The purpose of this summary is not to offer an exhaustive review of all the applicable areas, but to give an overview sufficient to explain how the hypothesis of the research reported later in this paper relates to or deviates from these previous findings. Relevant Theory and Implications The Self Attitudes can be loosely defined as summary evaluations of objects (Petty, Wegener, and Fabrigar, 1997). Because these evaluations are made by an individual, the self would seem to be involved in the formation and use of attitudes. The concept of “self” bears examination in the context of attitude transference, social judgment, and the focus of the present research: autopriming. One question that must be posed when considering attitudes and the self is whether or not personal attitudes bias judgment regarding the object of these attitudes. The extant literature strongly supports the contention that personal attitudes can moderate perception and ratings regarding attitude objects. Some of the classic research in this area has shown that perceptions of possible rule infractions during football plays were in large part mediated by participants’ team allegiance (Hastorf & Cantril, 1954), participant attitudes towards an experimental confederate mediated causal attributions of Autopriming 10 attitudinally inconsistent behavior by the confederate (Regan, Straus, & Fazio, 1974), and that attitudes regarding capital punishment affected assessments of empirical evidence regarding the deterrent effects of capital punishment (Lord, Ross,
Recommended publications
  • False Consensus in Romantically Involved Couples
    FALSE CONSENSUS IN ROMANTICALLY INVOLVED COUPLES A DISSERTATION SUBMITTED TO THE GRADUATE SCHOOL IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY BY AMANDA J. CLEVELAND DISSERTATION ADVISOR: DR. MICHAEL J. WHITE BALL STATE UNIVERSITY MUNCIE, INDIANA DECEMBER, 2012 FALSE CONSENSUS IN ROMANTICALLY INVOLVED COUPLES A DISSERTATION SUBMITTED TO THE GRADUATE SCHOOL IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY BY AMANDA J. CLEVELAND APPROVED BY: ______________________________________ __________________ Committee Chairperson Date _____________________________________ __________________ Committee Member Date ______________________________________ __________________ Committee Member Date ______________________________________ __________________ Committee Member Date ______________________________________ __________________ Dean of Graduate School Date Ball State University Muncie, Indiana December 2012 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS No words are adequate to thank my chair and mentor, Dr. Michael J. White. Your wisdom and your patience have been invaluable. Thank you for teaching by example and for reminding me that work life balance is not only possible but necessary. Thank you to my husband, Travis Robinson. You have supported me unconditionally throughout this long and often difficult process. I can’t image having done this without you. Thank you to Dr. Sharon Bowman, my department chair, clinical supervisor, voice of reason, and last minute committee member. Your continued support and encouragement has been vital to my completion of this process. Thank you to Dr. Sharon Paulson, my other last minute committee member, for making time in your busy schedule to be a present at my defense. Thank you to Dr. Holmes Finch, Dr. Kristin Perrone, and Dr. Paul Spengler for your service on my committee. Each of you provided me with unique and valuable feedback which contributed to writing of this dissertation.
    [Show full text]
  • Social Psychology Glossary
    Social Psychology Glossary This glossary defines many of the key terms used in class lectures and assigned readings. A Altruism—A motive to increase another's welfare without conscious regard for one's own self-interest. Availability Heuristic—A cognitive rule, or mental shortcut, in which we judge how likely something is by how easy it is to think of cases. Attractiveness—Having qualities that appeal to an audience. An appealing communicator (often someone similar to the audience) is most persuasive on matters of subjective preference. Attribution Theory—A theory about how people explain the causes of behavior—for example, by attributing it either to "internal" dispositions (e.g., enduring traits, motives, values, and attitudes) or to "external" situations. Automatic Processing—"Implicit" thinking that tends to be effortless, habitual, and done without awareness. B Behavioral Confirmation—A type of self-fulfilling prophecy in which people's social expectations lead them to behave in ways that cause others to confirm their expectations. Belief Perseverance—Persistence of a belief even when the original basis for it has been discredited. Bystander Effect—The tendency for people to be less likely to help someone in need when other people are present than when they are the only person there. Also known as bystander inhibition. C Catharsis—Emotional release. The catharsis theory of aggression is that people's aggressive drive is reduced when they "release" aggressive energy, either by acting aggressively or by fantasizing about aggression. Central Route to Persuasion—Occurs when people are convinced on the basis of facts, statistics, logic, and other types of evidence that support a particular position.
    [Show full text]
  • Ilidigital Master Anton 2.Indd
    services are developed to be used by humans. Thus, understanding humans understanding Thus, humans. by used be to developed are services obvious than others but certainly not less complex. Most products bioengineering, and as shown in this magazine. Psychology mightbusiness world. beBe it more the comparison to relationships, game elements, or There are many non-business flieds which can betransfered to the COGNTIVE COGNTIVE is key to a succesfully develop a product orservice. is keytoasuccesfullydevelopproduct BIASES by ANTON KOGER The Power of Power The //PsychologistatILI.DIGITAL WE EDIT AND REINFORCE SOME WE DISCARD SPECIFICS TO WE REDUCE EVENTS AND LISTS WE STORE MEMORY DIFFERENTLY BASED WE NOTICE THINGS ALREADY PRIMED BIZARRE, FUNNY, OR VISUALLY WE NOTICE WHEN WE ARE DRAWN TO DETAILS THAT WE NOTICE FLAWS IN OTHERS WE FAVOR SIMPLE-LOOKING OPTIONS MEMORIES AFTER THE FACT FORM GENERALITIES TO THEIR KEY ELEMENTS ON HOW THEY WERE EXPERIENCED IN MEMORY OR REPEATED OFTEN STRIKING THINGS STICK OUT MORE SOMETHING HAS CHANGED CONFIRM OUR OWN EXISTING BELIEFS MORE EASILY THAN IN OURSELVES AND COMPLETE INFORMATION way we see situations but also the way we situationsbutalsotheway wesee way the biasesnotonlychange Furthermore, overload. cognitive avoid attention, ore situations, guide help todesign massively can This in. take people information of kind explainhowandwhat ofperception egory First,biasesinthecat andappraisal. ory, self,mem perception, into fourcategories: roughly bedivided Cognitive biasescan within thesesituations. forusers interaction andeasy in anatural situationswhichresults sible toimprove itpos and adaptingtothesebiasesmakes ingiven situations.Reacting ways certain act sively helpstounderstandwhypeople mas into consideration biases ing cognitive Tak humanbehavior. topredict likely less or andmore relevant illusionsare cognitive In each situation different every havior day.
    [Show full text]
  • Mind Perception Daniel R. Ames Malia F. Mason Columbia
    Mind Perception Daniel R. Ames Malia F. Mason Columbia University To appear in The Sage Handbook of Social Cognition, S. Fiske and N. Macrae (Eds.) Please do not cite or circulate without permission Contact: Daniel Ames Columbia Business School 707 Uris Hall 3022 Broadway New York, NY 10027 [email protected] 2 What will they think of next? The contemporary colloquial meaning of this phrase often stems from wonder over some new technological marvel, but we use it here in a wholly literal sense as our starting point. For millions of years, members of our evolving species have gazed at one another and wondered: what are they thinking right now … and what will they think of next? The interest people take in each other’s minds is more than idle curiosity. Two of the defining features of our species are our behavioral flexibility—an enormously wide repertoire of actions with an exquisitely complicated and sometimes non-obvious connection to immediate contexts— and our tendency to live together. As a result, people spend a terrific amount of time in close company with conspecifics doing potentially surprising and bewildering things. Most of us resist giving up on human society and embracing the life of a hermit. Instead, most perceivers proceed quite happily to explain and predict others’ actions by invoking invisible qualities such as beliefs, desires, intentions, and feelings and ascribing them without conclusive proof to others. People cannot read one another’s minds. And yet somehow, many times each day, most people encounter other individuals and “go mental,” as it were, adopting what is sometimes called an intentional stance, treating the individuals around them as if they were guided by unseen and unseeable mental states (Dennett, 1987).
    [Show full text]
  • Illusion and Well-Being: a Social Psychological Perspective on Mental Health
    Psyehologlcal Bulletin Copyright 1988 by the American Psychological Association, Inc. 1988, Vol. 103, No. 2, 193-210 0033-2909/88/$00.75 Illusion and Well-Being: A Social Psychological Perspective on Mental Health Shelley E. Taylor Jonathon D. Brown University of California, Los Angeles Southern Methodist University Many prominenttheorists have argued that accurate perceptions of the self, the world, and the future are essential for mental health. Yet considerable research evidence suggests that overly positive self- evaluations, exaggerated perceptions of control or mastery, and unrealistic optimism are characteris- tic of normal human thought. Moreover, these illusions appear to promote other criteria of mental health, including the ability to care about others, the ability to be happy or contented, and the ability to engage in productive and creative work. These strategies may succeed, in large part, because both the social world and cognitive-processingmechanisms impose filters on incoming information that distort it in a positive direction; negativeinformation may be isolated and represented in as unthreat- ening a manner as possible. These positive illusions may be especially useful when an individual receives negative feedback or is otherwise threatened and may be especially adaptive under these circumstances. Decades of psychological wisdom have established contact dox: How can positive misperceptions of one's self and the envi- with reality as a hallmark of mental health. In this view, the ronment be adaptive when accurate information processing wcU-adjusted person is thought to engage in accurate reality seems to be essential for learning and successful functioning in testing,whereas the individual whose vision is clouded by illu- the world? Our primary goal is to weave a theoretical context sion is regarded as vulnerable to, ifnot already a victim of, men- for thinking about mental health.
    [Show full text]
  • Prior Belief Innuences on Reasoning and Judgment: a Multivariate Investigation of Individual Differences in Belief Bias
    Prior Belief Innuences on Reasoning and Judgment: A Multivariate Investigation of Individual Differences in Belief Bias Walter Cabral Sa A thesis submitted in conformity with the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy Graduate Department of Education University of Toronto O Copyright by Walter C.Si5 1999 National Library Bibliothèque nationaIe of Canada du Canada Acquisitions and Acquisitions et Bibliographic Services services bibliographiques 395 Wellington Street 395, rue WePington Ottawa ON K1A ON4 Ottawa ON KtA ON4 Canada Canada Your file Votre rëfërence Our fi& Notre réterence The author has granted a non- L'auteur a accordé une licence non exclusive Licence allowing the exclusive permettant à la National Libraq of Canada to Bibliothèque nationale du Canada de reproduce, loan, distribute or sell reproduire, prêter, distribuer ou copies of this thesis in microforni, vendre des copies de cette thèse sous paper or electronic formats. la forme de microfiche/film, de reproduction sur papier ou sur format électronique. The author retains ownership of the L'auteur conserve la propriété du copyright in this thesis. Neither the droit d'auteur qui protège cette thèse. thesis nor subçtantial extracts fi-om it Ni la thèse ni des extraits substantiels may be printed or otherwise de celle-ci ne doivent être imprimés reproduced without the author's ou autrement reproduits sans son permission. autorisation. Prior Belief Influences on Reasoning and Judgment: A Multivariate Investigation of Individual Differences in Belief Bias Doctor of Philosophy, 1999 Walter Cabral Sa Graduate Department of Education University of Toronto Belief bias occurs when reasoning or judgments are found to be overly infiuenced by prior belief at the expense of a normatively prescribed accommodation of dl the relevant data.
    [Show full text]
  • John Collins, President, Forensic Foundations Group
    On Bias in Forensic Science National Commission on Forensic Science – May 12, 2014 56-year-old Vatsala Thakkar was a doctor in India but took a job as a convenience store cashier to help pay family expenses. She was stabbed to death outside her store trying to thwart a theft in November 2008. Bloody Footwear Impression Bloody Tire Impression What was the threat? 1. We failed to ask ourselves if this was a footwear impression. 2. The appearance of the impression combined with the investigator’s interpretation created prejudice. The accuracy of our analysis became threatened by our prejudice. Types of Cognitive Bias Available at: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cognitive_biases | Accessed on April 14, 2014 Anchoring or focalism Hindsight bias Pseudocertainty effect Illusory superiority Levels-of-processing effect Attentional bias Hostile media effect Reactance Ingroup bias List-length effect Availability heuristic Hot-hand fallacy Reactive devaluation Just-world phenomenon Misinformation effect Availability cascade Hyperbolic discounting Recency illusion Moral luck Modality effect Backfire effect Identifiable victim effect Restraint bias Naive cynicism Mood-congruent memory bias Bandwagon effect Illusion of control Rhyme as reason effect Naïve realism Next-in-line effect Base rate fallacy or base rate neglect Illusion of validity Risk compensation / Peltzman effect Outgroup homogeneity bias Part-list cueing effect Belief bias Illusory correlation Selective perception Projection bias Peak-end rule Bias blind spot Impact bias Semmelweis
    [Show full text]
  • A Psychological and Empirical Investigation of the Online Echo Chamber Phenomenon Dissertation Zur Erreichung Des Grades “Dr
    A Psychological and Empirical Investigation of the Online Echo Chamber Phenomenon Dissertation zur Erreichung des Grades “Dr. phil.” Vorgelegt an der Universität Passau Von Robert Luzsa Erstgutachterin: Prof. Dr. Susanne Mayr Zweitgutachter: Prof. Dr. Detlef Urhahne Bearbeiter: Robert Luzsa [email protected] und [email protected] Königstr. 13 94113 Tiefenbach Passau, den 04.06.2019 Preface This dissertation is made up of three research papers that have either been already published in scientific journals or whose submission is in preparation, accompanied by introductory and summary texts. The papers are: Chapter 2: Luzsa, R. & Mayr, S. (2019). Links between users' online social network homogeneity, ambiguity tolerance, and estimated public support for own opinions. Cyberpsychology, Behavior and Social Networking, 22(5), 235- 239. Chapter 3: Luzsa, R. & Mayr, S. (submission in preparation). False Consensus in the Echo Chamber: Experimental Exposure to Favorably Biased Social Media News Feeds Leads to Higher Perceived Public Support for Own Opinions. Chapter 4: Luzsa, R. (submission in preparation). Intergroup Bias in Online Echo Chambers: Evidence from Word Frequency Analysis of Attitudinally Homogeneous and Heterogeneous Reddit Groups. Due to copyright reasons, original texts of the initially submitted pre-review versions are used. Therefore, chapters 2 through 4 are not identical to the final published articles and are not suitable for citing (e.g. the title of the paper in chapter 2 was shortened during peer-review). Moreover, the papers have been or will be submitted to different journals with different manuscript guidelines. Therefore, inconsistencies in formatting, layout and bibliographical citation style occur. For the same reason, figures and tables are not numbered continuously across chapters.
    [Show full text]
  • 1 Embrace Your Cognitive Bias
    1 Embrace Your Cognitive Bias http://blog.beaufortes.com/2007/06/embrace-your-co.html Cognitive Biases are distortions in the way humans see things in comparison to the purely logical way that mathematics, economics, and yes even project management would have us look at things. The problem is not that we have them… most of them are wired deep into our brains following millions of years of evolution. The problem is that we don’t know about them, and consequently don’t take them into account when we have to make important decisions. (This area is so important that Daniel Kahneman won a Nobel Prize in 2002 for work tying non-rational decision making, and cognitive bias, to mainstream economics) People don’t behave rationally, they have emotions, they can be inspired, they have cognitive bias! Tying that into how we run projects (project leadership as a compliment to project management) can produce results you wouldn’t believe. You have to know about them to guard against them, or use them (but that’s another article)... So let’s get more specific. After the jump, let me show you a great list of cognitive biases. I’ll bet that there are at least a few that you haven’t heard of before! Decision making and behavioral biases Bandwagon effect — the tendency to do (or believe) things because many other people do (or believe) the same. Related to groupthink, herd behaviour, and manias. Bias blind spot — the tendency not to compensate for one’s own cognitive biases. Choice-supportive bias — the tendency to remember one’s choices as better than they actually were.
    [Show full text]
  • False Consensus, Brokerage, and Ethical Decision Making in Organizations
    ௠ Academy of Management Journal 2010, Vol. 53, No. 5, 1074–1089. WHO’S WITH ME? FALSE CONSENSUS, BROKERAGE, AND ETHICAL DECISION MAKING IN ORGANIZATIONS FRANCIS J. FLYNN Stanford University SCOTT S. WILTERMUTH University of Southern California We propose that organization members overestimate the degree to which others share their views on ethical matters. Further, we argue that being a broker in an advice network exacerbates this false consensus bias. That is, a high level of “betweenness centrality” increases an individual’s estimates of agreement with others on ethical issues beyond what is warranted by any actual increase in agreement. We tested these ideas in three separate samples: graduate business students, executive students, and employees. Individuals with higher betweenness centrality overestimated the level of agreement between their ethical judgments and their colleagues’. For members of organizations, ethical standards 1982). We argue that this tendency to avoid moral can help guide individual decision making by clar- discourse and instead discuss superficial connec- ifying what the majority of others believe is appro- tions worsens the false consensus bias in ethical priate. But given that ethical standards often are decision making, providing an illusion of consen- tacitly held, rather than explicitly agreed upon sus where none exists. (Haidt, 2001; Turiel, 2002), individuals may strug- The notion that having an advantageous position gle to recognize the normative view—what most in a social network might exacerbate, rather than others believe is the “right” course of action. Peo- mitigate, false consensus bias in ethical decision ple’s tendencies to project their own opinions can making represents a novel insight for those inter- alter their judgments about what others think is ested in the link between social networks and in- ethical, perhaps giving them a sense of being in the dividual judgment.
    [Show full text]
  • Is Mediation Training De-Biasing?
    \\jciprod01\productn\H\HNR\21-1\HNR101.txt unknown Seq: 1 31-MAR-16 9:08 Improving Lawyers’ Judgment: Is Mediation Training De-Biasing? Douglas N. Frenkel* & James H. Stark** ABSTRACT When people are placed in a partisan role or otherwise have an objective they seek to accomplish, they are prone to pervasive cognitive and motivational biases. These judgmental distortions can affect what people believe and wish to find out, the predic- tions they make, the strategic decisions they employ, and what they think is fair. A classic example is confirmation bias, which can cause its victims to seek and interpret information in ways that are consistent with their pre-existing views or the goals they aim to achieve. Studies consistently show that experts as well as laypeople are prone to such biases, and that they are highly resis- tant to change, in large part because people are generally una- ware that they are operating. When they affect lawyers, egocentric, partisan and role bi- ases can hinder the ability to provide objective advice to clients, lead to overly optimistic forecasts about the probability of future events, and promote “we-they” thinking that can exacerbate and prolong conflicts, imposing substantial costs on both clients and society. There is reason to believe that by placing people in a media- tive stance—one in which people impartially try to help dispu- tants resolve a conflict—they can develop habits of objectivity crucial to much of what lawyers are called upon to do. That this is so is supported by social science research on two specific strate- gies for de-biasing judgment—considering alternative scenarios and taking another’s perspective—both core mediator mindsets.
    [Show full text]
  • The Effects of Expertise on the Hindsight Bias
    The Effects of Expertise on the Hindsight Bias A Dissertation Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Doctor of Philosophy in the Graduate School of The Ohio State University By Melissa A.Z. Marks Knoll, B.A., M.A. Graduate Program in Psychology * * * * * The Ohio State University 2009 Dissertation Committee: Dr. Hal R. Arkes, Advisor Dr. Thomas E. Nygren Dr. Michael C. Edwards ABSTRACT I present data from three experiments in which I explored the effects of expertise on the hindsight bias. In Experiment 1 participants read an essay about baseball or about owning a dog and then answered a 20-question true/false quiz about the baseball essay to the best of their ability (do-your-best group), as if they had not read the essay (discount group), or to the best of their ability even though they read about owning a dog (dogs group). Participants also completed a quiz about baseball rules (measure of expertise). Results demonstrated that as participants’ baseball expertise increased, their inability to act as if they had never read the essay also increased; expertise exacerbated hindsight bias. In Experiment 2, varsity baseball players and baseball non-experts answered a 20- question quiz about baseball current events. Foresight participants answered the questions, while hindsight participants were given the questions and the answers and had to give the probability that they would have known the answers had the answers not been provided. The baseball players displayed no hindsight bias, while non-experts demonstrated the bias. To test of the effects of subjective expertise on hindsight bias, participants in Experiment 3 ranked five topics in order of expertise and gave feeling-of- knowing (FOK) ratings for 100 questions from these topics.
    [Show full text]