Human Activity and Climate Variability Project: Annual Report 2002
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E-Report on the Human Activity and Climate Variability Project: Annual Report 2002 By S Chambers, K Harle, S Sharmeen, W Zahorowski, D Cohen, H Heijnis and A Henderson-Sellers. Published by the Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation (ANSTO), November 2002. Commonwealth of Australia 2002 This work is copyright. It may be reproduced in whole or part subject to the inclusion of an acknowledgement of the source and no commercial usage or sale. Reproduction for purposes other than those indicated above require the written permission of the Commonwealth, available through the Copyright Manager, Department of Finance and Administration, GPO Box 1920, Canberra ACT 2601. Front Cover Dr Henk Heijnis and Ms Atun Zawadzki setting out for sediment sampling at Dove Lake, Cradle Mountain National Park, Tasmania. Photography Dr Katherine Harle, ANSTO ANSTO Report No. ANSTO/E-751 ISBN 0 642 59998 X ANSTO CONTACT DETAILS Street Address: Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation New Illawarra Road, Lucas Heights, NSW 2234 Postal Address: ANSTO, Private Mail Bag 1 Menai NSW 2234 Australia Telephone: + 61 2 9717 3111 Facsimile: + 61 2 9543 5097 E-mail: [email protected] Internet: ANSTO Home Page http://www.ansto.gov.au The Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation offers free guided tours of its site at Lucas Heights. For bookings and information, telephone 02 9717 3111. Table of contents Project OP – 0050: Human Activity and Climate Variability Project Leader: Dr Henk Heijnis ([email protected]) Website: http://home.ansto.gov.au/ansto/environment1/ Table of contents...................................................................................................................................... 1 P1: Project overview..................................................................................................................... 3 P1.1 Project scope ............................................................................................................................ 3 P1.2 Main project objectives ............................................................................................................. 3 P1.3 Significant project outputs......................................................................................................... 3 P1.4 Significant project outcomes..................................................................................................... 3 P1.5 Summary of progress (December 2001 - November 2002) ..................................................... 4 P1.6 The next two years of the project.............................................................................................. 4 P1.7 Project team (December 2001 - November 2002).................................................................... 6 T1: Past - Natural archives of human activity and climate variability ..................................... 7 T1.1 Research focus, objectives and scope ..................................................................................... 7 T1.1.1 Research focus ......................................................................................................................... 7 T1.1.2 Objectives ................................................................................................................................. 7 T1.1.3 Scope........................................................................................................................................ 7 T1.2 Progress.................................................................................................................................... 8 T1.2.1 Summary of progress................................................................................................................ 8 T1.2.2 The Great Lakes Region, NSW ................................................................................................ 9 T1.2.3 Blue Mountains, NSW............................................................................................................. 15 T1.2.4 Western Tasmania.................................................................................................................. 17 T1.3 Task 1 reports and papers (December 2001-November 2002).............................................. 22 T1.3.1 Book chapters......................................................................................................................... 22 T1.3.2 Journal articles........................................................................................................................ 22 T1.3.3 Journal articles on related topics ............................................................................................ 22 T1.3.4 Unrefereed articles.................................................................................................................. 22 T1.3.5 Internal reports........................................................................................................................ 22 T1.3.6 Conference abstracts.............................................................................................................. 22 T1.3.7 Theses .................................................................................................................................... 23 T1.3.8 International contributions - HITE ........................................................................................... 23 T1.4 Task 1 summary and future directions.................................................................................... 23 T2: Present - Characterisation of the global atmosphere using radon and fine particles............25 T2.1 Research objectives and outputs............................................................................................ 25 T2.1.1 Research objectives................................................................................................................ 25 T2.1.2 Summary of outputs................................................................................................................ 25 T2.2 Background............................................................................................................................. 26 T2.3 Ace-Asia Campaign................................................................................................................ 27 T2.4 Progress: ACE-Asia aerosol monitoring ................................................................................. 28 T2.4.1 Sampling and sites.................................................................................................................. 28 T2.4.2 Results and discussion ........................................................................................................... 29 T2.4.3 Summary................................................................................................................................. 34 T2.5 Progress: ACE-Asia radon monitoring.................................................................................... 35 T2.5.1 Data availability....................................................................................................................... 35 Human Activity and Climate Variability Project/Progress Report 2002 1 Table of contents T2.5.2 Regional meteorology .............................................................................................................37 T2.5.3 Hok Tsui radon data ................................................................................................................37 T2.5.4 Kosan radon data ....................................................................................................................40 T2.5.5 Sado Island radon data ...........................................................................................................42 T2.5.6 Mauna Loa radon data ............................................................................................................44 T2.5.7 Discussion ...............................................................................................................................48 T2.6 Longer term monitoring ...........................................................................................................51 T2.6.1 The oceanic radon flux............................................................................................................51 T2.6.2 Radon derived benchmarks ....................................................................................................54 T2.7 Task 2 reports and papers (December 2001 - November 2002) ............................................54 T2.8 External funding ......................................................................................................................55 T2.9 Summary and future directions ...............................................................................................56 T2.9.1 Summary of reported year.......................................................................................................56 T2.9.2 Anticipated highlights for next year .........................................................................................56 T3: Future - Climate modelling: evaluation and improvement................................................57 T3.1 Objectives, current research hypothesis and background ......................................................57 T3.1.1 Objectives................................................................................................................................57