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California Inter-Regional Intermodal System (Ciris)

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California Inter-Regional Intermodal System (Ciris) THE TIOGA GROUP CCAALLIIFFOORRNNIIAA IINNTTEERR--RREEGGIIOONNAALL IINNTTEERRMMOODDAALL SSYYSSTTEEMM ((CCIIRRIISS)) Implementation Plan Final Report The Tioga Group, Inc. Railroad Industries, Inc. Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Prepared for: San Joaquin Council of Governments June 11, 2006 288 Rheem Blvd., Moraga, CA 94556 (925) 631-0742 fax (925) 631-7936 www.tiogagroup.com Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 I. INTRODUCTION 26 II. CIRIS MARKETS 31 III. CIRIS TERMINALS AND ROUTES 41 IV. CIRIS ECONOMICS 51 V. REGIONAL BENEFITS 61 VI. FUNDING SOURCES 68 VII. OVERALL IMPLEMENTATION PLAN 82 VIII. PILOT/DEMONSTRATION SERVICE 86 IX. PORT OF STOCKTON CONTAINER TRANSLOADING 90 X. CIRIS ORGANIZATION AND MANAGEMENT 103 XI. CLASS I RAILROAD IMPLEMENTATION OPTIONS 111 XII. SHORT-LINE AND CONTRACTOR IMPLEMENTATION OPTIONS 115 XIII. LONG-TERM MARKET EXTENSION 121 XIV. LONG-TERM EQUIPMENT INVESTMENT 127 XV. STATEWIDE COORDINATION POTENTIAL 141 APPENDICES 151 A. RAIL ROUTE OPTIONS 152 B. RAIL COSTING 165 C. ALTERNATIVE RAIL TECHNOLOGIES 174 D. BARGE/SHORT-SEA CONCEPTS 179 E. REPORT COMMENTS AND CLARIFICATIONS 184 THE TIOGA GROUP Page i Exhibits Exhibit 1: BNSF San Joaquin Valley Route ............................................................................................. 2 Exhibit 2: UP Altamont Pass Route .......................................................................................................... 3 Exhibit 3: Rail Shuttle System Roles and Potential Participants .......................................................... 7 Exhibit 4: CIRIS at Full Build-Out............................................................................................................ 12 Exhibit 5: Geographic CIRIS Markets ..................................................................................................... 14 Exhibit 6: CIRIS Container Volume Estimates (2003) ........................................................................... 14 Exhibit 7: Potential Transloading Market –Annual Container Loads ................................................. 15 Exhibit 8: CIRIS Per Container Cost Structure ...................................................................................... 15 Exhibit 9: Conceptual Contractor Costing: Oakland - Fresno ............................................................. 16 Exhibit 10: Class I Rail-Truck Cost Comparisons ................................................................................. 17 Exhibit 11: Conceptual Contractor Rail-Truck Cost Comparisons ..................................................... 17 Exhibit 12: Potential Subsidy Requirements ......................................................................................... 18 Exhibit 13: Congestion Relief Cost Comparison................................................................................... 19 Exhibit 14: Estimated Net VMT and Passenger Car Equivalent VMT Reductions ............................. 20 Exhibit 15: Federal CIRIS Grant Funding Summary............................................................................. 21 Exhibit 16: Federal CIRIS Loan Funding Summary.............................................................................. 21 Exhibit 17: Statewide System Potential.................................................................................................. 24 Exhibit 18: Potential Statewide North-South Marine Container Flows ............................................... 25 Exhibit 19: Port of Oakland Local Containerized Cargo Growth Forecast......................................... 27 Exhibit 20: Interstate 205 5-axle Truck Counts...................................................................................... 28 Exhibit 21: Growing Central Valley Fuel Use......................................................................................... 28 Exhibit 22: Geographic CIRIS Market Spread........................................................................................ 31 Exhibit 23: Estimated 2001 Annual Total Market Volumes, Containers.............................................. 32 Exhibit 24: CIRIS Market Penetration Estimates ................................................................................... 32 Exhibit 25: CIRIS Container Volume Estimates..................................................................................... 33 Exhibit 26: Large Candidate Industry Employers ................................................................................. 34 Exhibit 27: Candidate Industry Employment by County ...................................................................... 35 Exhibit 28: Candidate San Joaquin County Importers and Exporters ................................................ 36 Exhibit 29: San Joaquin County Importer and Exporter Locations .................................................... 37 Exhibit 30: Regional Industrial Parks Under Development.................................................................. 37 Exhibit 31: Stockton-Lathrop Industrial Park Access........................................................................... 38 Exhibit 32: Oakland Area Transloaders.................................................................................................. 39 Exhibit 33: Port of Oakland “Hinterland Loop”*.................................................................................... 40 Exhibit 34: Potential Transloading Market –Annual Container Loads ............................................... 40 Exhibit 35: Port of Oakland Rail Intermodal Terminals ........................................................................ 41 Exhibit 36: BNSF Stockton Intermodal Terminal (Mariposa) ............................................................... 42 THE TIOGA GROUP Page ii Exhibit 37: UP Lathrop Intermodal Terminal (French Camp)............................................................... 43 Exhibit 38: BNSF Fresno Intermodal Terminal ...................................................................................... 43 Exhibit 39: UP “Paper Ramp” in Fresno................................................................................................. 44 Exhibit 40: Possible CIRIS Rail Routes .................................................................................................. 45 Exhibit 41: East Bay Rail “Bottleneck”................................................................................................... 45 Exhibit 42: Stockton Area Rail Network ................................................................................................. 46 Exhibit 43: BNSF San Joaquin Valley Route ......................................................................................... 47 Exhibit 44: UP Altamont Pass Route ...................................................................................................... 48 Exhibit 45: Union Pacific Intermodal Service ........................................................................................ 49 Exhibit 46: Union Pacific Intermodal Transit Times.............................................................................. 49 Exhibit 47: Union Pacific Estimated Total Time .................................................................................... 49 Exhibit 48: CIRIS Route Mileage ............................................................................................................. 51 Exhibit 49: BNSF Per Container Rail Line Haul Costs.......................................................................... 52 Exhibit 50: UP Rail Line Haul Costs........................................................................................................ 52 Exhibit 51: CIRIS Per Container Cost Structure .................................................................................... 53 Exhibit 52: CIRIS Cost Shares................................................................................................................. 54 Exhibit 53: 30-Minute Driving Zone from BNSF Fresno........................................................................ 55 Exhibit 54: Conceptual Contractor Costing: Oakland - Fresno ........................................................... 56 Exhibit 55: Class I Rail-Truck Cost Comparisons ................................................................................. 58 Exhibit 56: Conceptual Contractor Rail-Truck Cost Comparisons ..................................................... 58 Exhibit 57: Potential Subsidy Requirements ......................................................................................... 59 Exhibit 58: Estimated Transload Volumes –Loaded Containers ........................................................ 61 Exhibit 59: Port Truck Traffic Volumes 2000 ......................................................................................... 63 Exhibit 60: Congestion Relief Cost Comparison................................................................................... 64 Exhibit 61: Farebox Recovery Comparisons ......................................................................................... 64 Exhibit 62: Divertible Round Trips.......................................................................................................... 65 Exhibit 63: Estimated Net VMT and Passenger Car Equivalent VMT Reductions ............................. 66 Exhibit 64: Highway Maintenance Cost Savings................................................................................... 67 Exhibit 65: Current Federal Funding Programs for Freight Rail Related
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