Newfoundland and Labrador Election 2015 Mount Pearl North

Newfoundland and Labrador Election 2015 Mount Pearl North David Coletto November 19, 2015 Methodology 500 eligible voters in the provincial electoral district of Mount Pearl North were surveyed using live telephone Survey Methodology interviewers and RDD sample. The margin of error for the survey is + 4.0%, 19 times out of 20. Field dates November 12 to 16, 2015 Data was weighted by age, gender, and Statistical Weighting education. 2 Vote Intention in Mount Pearl North If a provincial election was held today, which political party would you vote for in your local electoral district? Would you vote for ... Undecided/Not voting 22% PC - Steve Kent 29% NDP 7% Liberal - Randy Simms 42% Mount Pearl North Residents, n = 500 3 Committed Vote in Mount Pearl North If a provincial election was held today, which political party would you vote for in your local electoral district? Would you vote for ... NDP 9% PC - Steve Kent 37% Liberal - Randy Simms 54% Committed Voters Only Mount Pearl North Residents, n = 364 4 Direction of the Province Generally speaking, do you think things in Newfoundland and Labrador are headed in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track? 52% Newfoundland and Labrador 25% 23% 55% Mount Pearl North 29% 16% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Headed in the right direction Off on the wrong track Unsure Mount Pearl North Residents, n = 500 Accessible Voters Regardless of how you actually vote, would you consider or not consider voting for the following PROVINCIAL political parties? Province Wide (November 2) 73% 57% 53% 37% 32% 19% 11% 9% 10% Progressive Conservative Party Liberal Party NDP Mount Pearl North 73% 61% 44% 46% 30% 20% 10% 8% 9% Progressive Conservative Party Liberal Party NDP Mount Pearl North Residents, n = 500 6 Top Issues What do you think is the most important issue facing Newfoundland and Labrador? The economy or jobs 35% Health care 23% Don't know 8% Oil prices 5% Budget deficit/government debt 3% Muskrat Falls/Churchill Falls/Electricity Prices 3% Education 2% Mining/natural resources/oil and gas 2% The fisheries 2% Roads/transportation/transit 0% Other 19% Mount Pearl North Residents, n = 500 7 Leadership Favourability How do you feel about the following individuals? Do you have a very positive, mostly positive, neutral, mostly negative, or very negative impression of them? Province Wide (November 2) 50% 40% 32% 34% 33% 25% 26% 22% 12% 8% 10% 8% PC Leader Paul Davis Liberal Leader Dwight Ball NDP Leader Earle McCurdy Mount Pearl North 45% 42% 41% 35% 31% 29% 21% 17% 16% 8% 6% 8% PC Leader Paul Davis Liberal Leader Dwight Ball NDP Leader Earle McCurdy Mount Pearl North Residents, n = 500 8 Time for Change Which of these views comes closest to yours? Newfoundland and Labrador 56% 23% 6% 9% 6% Mount Pearl North 51% 28% 7% 11% 3% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% It’s definitely time for a change in government in Newfoundland and Labrador It would be good to have a change, but not really all that important to me It would be good to continue with the same party in power, but it's not all that important to me It’s definitely best to keep the PCs in office Unsure/DK Mount Pearl North Residents, n = 500 Who will win the next PROVINCIAL election? Which party do you think will win the provincial election in Newfoundland and Labrador? Is it the... Unsure PC Party 11% 9% Liberal Party 80% Mount Pearl North Residents, n = 500 10 Who will win in Mount Pearl North? Which party do you think will win the election in Mount Pearl North? Unsure 22% PC Party 32% NDP 2% Liberal Party 44% Mount Pearl North Residents, n = 500 11 Federal Vote Choice in Mount Pearl North What party did you vote for in the recent FEDERAL election held on October 19? Did you vote... Did not vote PC Party 12% 5% Other 1% NDP 25% Liberal Party 57% Mount Pearl North Residents, n = 500 12 CONTACT INFO David Coletto CEO [email protected] 613-232-2806 www.abacusdata.ca .

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