Early Warning System Monthly Report, March Early WarningMarch System MonthlyReport, is stable.Thesituationstill needsclosefollowup. pocket areasinSomaliRegion,theoverallfoodsecurity situation Gambella, SNNPandOromiyaregions.Withthe exceptionoffew identifying needypopulationinsomeofthevisited woredasin conducted theirreassessmentsintheidentified woredas thereby determine theworstaffected population. Accordingly, theteams insecurity duetodifferentfactors,checkcoping strategiesand The objectiveofthereassessmentwastoverifyreports oflivelihood the fourregions. led multiagencyteamsofexpertsvisitedatotal of 22woredasin and Somaliregionstoverifythereportedlivelihoodinsecurity. DPPA Reassessment hasbeenconductedinGambella,SNNP, Oromiya Reassessment ConductedinFourRegions occurrence inordertoleavetheareas. and Weibriversareadvisedtobecautiousofpossibleflood communities livingalongcoursesofWabe Shebelle,Dawa, Genale River hasalsosignificantlyrisenduetoheavyrains.Therefore, Birdher andKorkaralerivers. The waterlevelofWabe Shebelle settlement areasin Ayisha andShinilelocalitieswerefloodedby according toShinileworedareport.Besides,farmlandsand Woreda ofSomaliRegionflooderodedrangelandsandfarms, Council andsomeparts ofSomaliRegionrecently. InDambal There havebeenreportsoffloodoccurrenceinDireDawaCity Flood Occurrence hazard) takeappropriateandtimelyaction. in Somali, Amhara and Tigray regions(mostvulnerabletolocust towards interior. Apparently, wewouldliketoalertallconcerned small immatureswarmoveronehectare seennear Ayisha moving Denbel, Ayisha and Afdem ofShinileZone. The locusts areofa The FAO andWFP indicatedpresenceoftheinsects inparts of There areindicationsofbreedingdesertlocustinSomaliRegion. Alert onDesertLocustPresenceinSomaliRegion DPPA AREAS OFPRIORITYACTION 2007 MonthlyReport:March2007 Early Warning System Ethiopian HIGHLIGHTS planted inFebruary. and weedinginfewareasthat crops andlong-cycleMeher Meher 2007crops,plantingofBelg preparation forbothBelgand and Harariregionsreportedland SNNP,Gambela, Amhara, Oromiya Agricultural ActivitiesProgressing Page 4 10 yearrainfallestimate). mean (averageofatleastthepast as comparedtotheshortterm March 2007wasnotsatisfactory The rainfallperformanceduring Weather Performance Page 13 woredas ofzone3. Fentale, BuremudaituandGewane in ,Awash started rain Region. In ,theSugum Jijiga andShinilezones)ofSomali the northernparts(particularly Rainy situationwasreportedfrom Areas Weather PerformanceinPastoral Page 6 security information. warning andfood disseminate early (DPPA) tocoordinateand Preparedness Prevention and Department oftheDisaster is preparedbytheEarlyWarning Early WarningSystemMonthlyReport Agency Page 1 Early Warning System Monthly Report, March Early WarningMarch System MonthlyReport, OccurrenceofF OccurrenceofF OccurrenceofF OccurrenceofF OccurrenceofF goats. low landsofDerasheWoreda tocontrolCBPPoutbreakswith a differentdevelopment, masscampaignwasconductedinthe indication ofspreadingto adjacentSiraroandShalaworedas.In in Gedeb Asassa Woreda ofWest Arsi. But there wereno Epidemics ofsheeppoxandlumpyskindisease wereprevalent WaterLivestock, andPastureSituation shife measures werebeingtakentocontrolaskindisease (locallycalled treatment against AWD. InGubaKorichaandDaroLebuworedas Woreda ofKeffaZone1personreportedlydiedand 15wereunder Woreda ofGedeoZoneandGiniboKeffa Zone.InGinibo treatment ofthediseasewereongoinginDila Zuria,Wonago Kachen woredasofBaleZone.Thenecessary followupand taking measures.ItwasalsoreportedfromDeloMenaandDawe and Abaya woredasof GujiZonewherehealthcarepersonnelwere Odoshakiso,Uraga Bore,DugdaDawa,andGirjna’ambela,Gelana increasing incidenceswerereportedinBuleHora,Buragabore, reportedly undercontrolin Arsi andWest Arsi zonestoo. Yet, prevalence of AWD casesinmostworedasofBale.Itwas Reports indicatesignificantimprovementsanddecreasein Human Health Gumuz RegionalState. by wildfirein Yaso Woreda ofKamashiZoneBeneshangul about 38.5quintalsofmaizeand45sorghumwerelost Gelan WoredainKelemofEastWollega. burned tothegroundbywildfireofunidentifiedcauseinHawa Harvested maizeandsorghumownedby150householdswere Damages byWildFire Zone heavyraindamagedmaizeand of damagewasnotclearlyidentified.InFentaleWoreda,EastShoa affecting 112 householdsinthefirstweekof April. Buttheextent Landslide incidentwasreportedfromBuderPA ofJimaBeseka affecting 2,864peopleinChicoand3,240Daraworedas. and Daraworedasexcessiveraincauseddamagetoplantedcrops InWest Arsi Zone Adaba Woreda 3peoplediedof flood causedbyheavyrainonMarch17,2007.InSNNPR,Chico in the area. on 31and14hectares respectively. Itaffected about560people

DPPA). ast Onse ast Onse ast Onse ast Onse ast Onse 2007 fruits andvegetables t Disast t Disast t Disast t Disast t Disast Inasimilarincident, er er er er er planted Occurence Disaster and West Arsi zonestoo. reportedly undercontrolin Arsi most woredasofBale.Itwas prevalence of AWD casesin improvements anddecreasein Reports indicatesignificant Page 2 Early Warning System Monthly Report, March Early WarningMarch System MonthlyReport, DPPAThe situationinmostpartsofSomaliRegionremains stable. of theworedasvisitedinGAmbella,SNNPand Oromiya regions. indicate acertainnumberofpopulationneedingassistance inmost their reassessmentsintheidentifiedworedas. Theirfindings zones ofthevisitedworedas. Accordingly, theteamsconducted determine theworstaffectedpopulationgroupinvariouslivelihood insecurity duetodifferentfactors,checkcopingstrategiesand The objectiveofthereassessmentwastoverifyreportslivelihood zones andmostpartsofSomaliRegion. one woredainEastWollegaandthreeworedasWestShewa zones inGambella,threeworedasWolaitaZonetheSNNPR, led multiagencyteamswerefiveworedsasinNuerand Anuak the newapproachofreliefintervention. Areas visitedbytheDPPA and Somaliregionstoverifythereportedfoodinsecurityinlinewith Reassessment hasbeenconductedinGambella,SNNP, Oromiya Reassessment ConductedinFourRegions indicated normaltonearinmostparts of thecountry general terms,however, thephysicalconditionoflivestockwas Region fromwhereshortageofpastureandwaterwasreported.In Hararghe, FentaleWoredaofEastShewazonesinOromiya Woreda ofWest Arsi, BabileandMeyuMulukeweredasofEast Hadiya zonesofSNNPR;lowlandareasWestHararghe,Shala normal tonearnormal.ExceptionswereSidama,Guragheand However, situationinmostparts ofcroppingareasingeneralwas woreda ofBenshangulGumuzandDawroSNNPR. Shewa ZoneofOromiyaRegionand Trypanosomiasis in Yaso black legandanthraxwerereportedinBerehWoredaofNorth Hararghe, Munesaand Tiyo weredasinWest Arsi zone.Inaddition, Cases ofPasteriolosiswerereportedinDobaWoredaWest 2007 . Occurence Disaster CBPP outbreakswithgoats. Derashe Woredatocontrol conducted inthelowlandsof Mass campaignwas Page 3 ac -0 March 11-20 March1-10 Early Warning System Monthly Report, March Early WarningMarch System MonthlyReport, 3 of SNNP, EastWollega ZoneofOromiyaregionsduringthe2 of DawroandGuraghezonesaswellDerasheSpecial Woreda the regionalweeklyreports.Therewasaheavyfallinsomeareas central andeastern Amhara regionsreceived normalrainfallasper Western, centralandnorthernpartsofOromiya,some During MarchGambelaRegionasawhole,mostpartsofSNNPR, Weather Performance Current RFEimageriesforthemonthofMarch 2007 how improvedrainsinmostpartsofBelggrowingareas. the country. Yet duringthesecondandthirddakadthereweresome to expectationparticularlyinthesouthwesternandcentralpartsof (RFE) belowthattherewerenorainsduringthefirstdekadcontrary ItisalsoclearlyshowninthesatelliteimageriesofRainfallEstimate of thecountry. seasonal agriculturalactivitiesinmostpartsofBelggrowingareas condition wasimproved,whichbelievedtobefavorablefor country. Butduringthesecondandthirddekadsrainfall and dryweatherconditionwasobservedovermostpartsofthe Bulletin ofNMAindicatedthatduringthefirstdekadMarch,sunny In complementwiththeregionalreports, the Agro-meteorological Oromiya regionshadlittleornorainsduringthemonth. northeastern parts. To thecontrary, Tigray andeasternparts of southwestern partsofthecountryandgraduallypropagatedto rd DPPA dekadsofthemonth. As usual,therainfallstartedearlyin 2007 nd and Conditions March 21-31 Weather Page 4 Early Warning System Monthly Report, March Early WarningMarch System MonthlyReport, the monthwithbelownormalrainfall. most parts of Amhara during 2 the countryaswhole.However, thereweresomeexceptionsin RFE DifferenceimageriesforthemonthofMarch2007 situations showedimprovementduringthe2 parts ofthecountrieshadbelownormalrainfall.Therainfall the firstdekadmostareasofsouthwestern,centralandnortheastern year rainfallestimate). As itisindicatedinthemaps below, during compared totheshorttermmean(averageofatleastpast10 The rainfallperformanceduringthemonthwasnotsatisfactoryas below normal rainfall. and western halfof Tigray and Amhara arelikelytohave normalto areas suchasGambela, westernOromiya,Benishangul-Gumuz, Somali andSNNPRwillget normaltoaboverains.However, eastern portionsof Tigray and Amahara, mostparts ofOromiya, anticipated tohaveaboutnormalrainfallingeneral.More specifically, month of April 2007. Therefore, mostparts ofthecountryare the seasonalrainbearingsystemswillhavebetter strengthinthe According totheNationalMeteorologicalServices Agency (NMA), Weather Outlookfor April2007 some earlyplantedBelgcropssuchasmaizeand sweetpotatoes. SNNPR whichmainlyaffectedperennialcrops likecoffee,and Analemo, WestandEastBadawachoworedasof Hadiyazonesof at theendofmonthfromShashegoWoreda ofSidama; March 11-20 accompanied withhailstormandthunderstormwere alsoreported storm inNorthShowaZoneofOromiya.Excessive rains hailstorm inalocalizedareaofGedeoZoneSNNP, andwind At thebeginningofmonthweatheradversitiesreportedwere Adverse weatherConditions March 1-10 DPPA Oromiya, southernpartsofSNNPregionsduringthe3

2007 nd dekadandeastern Amhara, central nd and3 rd March 21-31 dekadsin rd dekadof Conditions April 2007. strength inthemonth of systems willhavebetter seasonal rainbearing Agency (NMA),the Meteorological Services According totheNational Weather Page 5 Early Warning System Monthly Report, March Early WarningMarch System MonthlyReport, AgriculturalActivities areas (knownas stages. MaizecropplantedinFebruaryWestWollega onmarshy of plantedcropswerefoundmainlyatgermination toearlygrowth seasonal cropsbyhailstorminlocalizedareaswere reported.Most due tomoisturestressanddamagesofsome perennialand preparation wereinterruptedandwiltingofgerminated Belgcrops However, thereweresomeexceptions insomeareaswhereland in mostpartsofthereportingregionsfollowingtheir normalpatterns. Most oftheaboveseasonalagriculturalactivities wereconducted and sorghum). the monthof April especiallyforthelong-cycleMehercrops (maize were planted.Theplantingactivitiesexpectedtocontinuein all wereplantedeverywherebutonlythoserelevanttothearea maize, sorghum,sweetpotatoesteff,barleyandwheatthoughnot Amhara regionalstates.Inmostcasesthecroptypesplantedwere North Wollo,SouthOromiyaandShowazonesof Gamogofa, Konso,Burji,lowlandofSheka,KeffazonesSNNP; Guraghe, Konso,DerasheSW, Dawuro(lowland), highlandof North ShowazonesofOromiya;Hadiya,Gamogofa,KT, Hadiya, Wollega, NorthShowa,midlandofGuji,West Hararghe,West Arsi, Planting ofcropswereaccomplishedinmostareas Arsi, West inadequate rains. areas ofGujiplantingBelgcropswasinterrupteddueto Amhara andHarariregionalstatesinawiderscale.TInlowland throughout themonthinmostpartsofOromiya,Gambela,SNNPR, Land preparationofbothBelgandMehercropswasunderway in Februaryandwerefoundatvegetativestages. and weedinginveryfewareaswheretheBelgcropswereplanted of Belgcropsandlong-cycleMeher(maizesorghum), were landpreparationforbothBelgandMeher2007crops,planting regions themajoragriculturalactivitiesundertakenduringMarch Gambela, SNNPR, Amhara, andHarariregionalstates. Inthese Regions thatpresentedreportsduringMarch2007wereOromiya, Belg growing areasof Amhara (southWollo, NorthWollo, Oromiya, were affected moisturestressduring the1 zones ofSNNPearlyplanted maizeandsweetpotatoesinparticular In somelocalitiesofKonso, Hadiya,Gamogofa,GuragheandKT Incidence ofCropDamages June. considered asBelgcroptodateisexpected beharvestedin DPPA Bone

) wasinagoodcondition.TheBonenot 2007 st and 2 nd dekads.In Agricultural Activities Amhara regionalstates. North Showazonesof South Wollo,Oromiyaand zones ofSNNP;NorthWollo, lowland ofSheka,Keffa Gamogofa, Konso,Burji, (lowland), highlandof Derashe SW, Dawuro Hadiya, Guraghe,Konso, Hadiya, Gamogofa,KT, Showa zonesofOromiya; Hararghe, West Arsi, North Showa, midlandofGuji,West North Wollega, West of Arsi, accomplished inmostareas Planting ofcropswere Page 6 Early Warning System Monthly Report, March Early WarningMarch System MonthlyReport, Somalia. Onthe23 added thattheswarmprobablycomesfromnorthwestcoastof near Ayisha on19March2007movingtowardsinterior. The report 342 assayingasmallimmatureswarmoveronehectarewasseen on itsparthighlightedtheissueinmonthlyDesertLocustBulletinno particularly inparts ofDenbel, Ayisha and Afdem ofShinileZone.FAO There areindicationsofbreedingdesertlocustinSomaliRegion, Desert LocustSpottedinSomaliRegion Oromiya zonesascomparedtotheareanormallyplanted. in Belggrowingzonesrangesform38%NorthShewato88% and plantingduringthefirsttwodekads. As aresult,landcovered some disruptionsinlandpreparation and NorthShowa)therewere DPPAvarious levels. and reportedbacktotheagriculturalruraldevelopment officesat , eastern Amhara and Tigray tofollow-upthesituationveryclosely all concernedbodiesinDireDawa,easternOromiya, partsofSomali which couldaggravatethesituation. Apparently, wewouldliketoalert risk oflocustinfestation asof April inareasofwarm andwetcondition the borderwithDjibouti.Currently, Ethiopiacouldfaceasignificant affect theRedSeacoastalplainsandareasinnorthernSomalialong of locustinthearea,itispartawiderregionaloutbreakthatcould are taken.Withrespecttobackgroundinformationtheemergence thereby threateningitsavailabilityunlessimmediatecontrolmeasures It isfearedthatpastureandbrowsecouldbeeatenupbytheinsects path oflocustmigration). highland of Amhara and Tigray. (Seethemapbelowfor expected Somalia. Ifconfirmedtheswarmscouldcontinuenorthinto between JijigaandDireDawafromneighboringareasinnorthern The reportaddedthatafewmoresmallswarmsarelikelytoappear and theborderwithSomalia. was anunconfirmedreportofamuchlargerswarmbetweenJijiga hectares wasreportedneartheSomaliborderatDegagoandthere rd March2007,animmatureswarmofabout50

2007 Agricultural Activities and Tigray. in tothehighlandof Amhara swarms couldcontinuenorth Somalia. Ifconfirmedthe neighboring areasinnorthern Jijiga andDireDawafrom are likelytoappearbetween A fewsmallswarmsoflocust Page 7 Early Warning System Monthly Report, March Early WarningMarch System MonthlyReport, DPPAsuccessive pages.) (For detailspleaserefertomapsandtablesinthefollowing and lowerin Amhara, OromiyaandSNNPR was relativelyhighinDireDawa,Harari,andBenshangulGumuz quintals ofmaizeonaverage. of tradefavorstheshoatownerswhere1canbuy1.3-1.6 stabilizing exceptfor Teff mixedwhichisincreasingslightly. The terms Prices forgrainstartedtodeclineslightlyinJanuary2007andis and Januaryaveragerespectively.2006 of ox,itshowedsignificantincrementby29%and88%fromJanuary Whencomparingtheprice 2006 andby67-76%fromtheaverage. On theotherhandshoatspriceincreasedby14-29%fromJanuary 28% and54%fromJanuary2006average. respectively. Moreover, wheatpriceincreaseshoweddifference of as comparedtoJanuary2006andaverageby38%170% that oflastyear. Priceofteff inJanuary2007increasedsignificantly year andtheaverageexceptformaizewhichhadsimilarpriceto Price ofcerealsshowedanincreasingtrendascomparedtolast Livestock andGrainPrice

2007 Price ofmajorgrainsinJanuary2007 . Market Situation Page 8

Shoats price in January 2007 as compared to Jan, 06 and the January average Region Zone Woreda Jan-07 Jan-06 Jan average Amhara Agew Dangela 275 225 194 East Amhara Gojjam Guzamn 240 210 142 North Amhara Gondar Gondar zuria 220 150 139 North Basona Amhara Shewa Werena 355 210 201 North Amhara Wollo Guba lafto 275 272 152 B/Gumuz Asosa Asosa 280 250 152 Dire Dawa 01 Dire dawa 300 200 136 Harari Harari Hundene 273 231 144 Oromia Arsi Tiyo 193 190 129 Oromia Borena Liben 264 305 143 East Oromia Shewa Adama 255 205 158 East Oromia Wellega Guto wayu 215 210 157 Oromia Illubabor Metu 265 238 166 North West Oromia Shewa Gerar jarso 135 145 93 W/Harargh Oromia e Chiro 200 210 115 West Oromia Shewa Ambo 185 140 131 West Oromia Wellega Gimbi 220 155 133 SNNPR Gedio Yirgachefe 320 230 181 Meskanena SNNPR Guraghe mareko 350 262.5 148 SNNPR Hadiya Limo 243 182.5 161 Kaffa SNNPR Shaka Decha 220 192.5 141 Kambat Alaba SNNPR Timbaro Alaba 283 182.5 138 Arba minch SNNPR North Omo zuria 210 145 129 Central Laelay Tigray Tigray maychew 177 157.5 129 East Tigray Tigray Ganta afeshum 245 182.5 153 South Tigray Tigray Enderta 290 175 155 West Tigray Tigray Medebay zana 225 144 130

Early Warning System Monthly Report: March 2007 Page 11 Shoats price in January 2007 as compared to Jan, 06 and the January average Region Zone Woreda Jan-07 Jan-06 Jan average Amhara Agew Dangela 275 225 194 East Amhara Gojjam Guzamn 240 210 142 North Amhara Gondar Gondar zuria 220 150 139 North Basona Amhara Shewa Werena 355 210 201 North Amhara Wollo Guba lafto 275 272 152 B/Gumuz Asosa Asosa 280 250 152 Dire Dawa 01 Dire dawa 300 200 136 Harari Harari Hundene 273 231 144 Oromia Arsi Tiyo 193 190 129 Oromia Borena Liben 264 305 143 East Oromia Shewa Adama 255 205 158 East Oromia Wellega Guto wayu 215 210 157 Oromia Illubabor Metu 265 238 166 North West Oromia Shewa Gerar jarso 135 145 93 W/Harargh Oromia e Chiro 200 210 115 West Oromia Shewa Ambo 185 140 131 West Oromia Wellega Gimbi 220 155 133 SNNPR Gedio Yirgachefe 320 230 181 Meskanena SNNPR Guraghe mareko 350 262.5 148 SNNPR Hadiya Limo 243 182.5 161 Kaffa SNNPR Shaka Decha 220 192.5 141 Kambat Alaba SNNPR Timbaro Alaba 283 182.5 138 Arba minch SNNPR North Omo zuria 210 145 129 Central Laelay Tigray Tigray maychew 177 157.5 129 East Tigray Tigray Ganta afeshum 245 182.5 153 South Tigray Tigray Enderta 290 175 155 West Tigray Tigray Medebay zana 225 144 130

Early Warning System Monthly Report: March 2007 Page 12 Early Warning System Monthly Report, March Early WarningMarch System MonthlyReport,

Weather Condition Weather

zone 2and3 isnormal. long distancestheherd to travels.Thesituationinmostpartsof between waterpointsand pasturefieldsisincreasingimplying Region wherenorainwas received. As theresult,distance , Elidarandparts ofDubti weredasofzone1and4 Afar Region. Thepastureand browsesituationisdeterioratinginChifra, to thelevelofsustaininguntilGuseasoninmost partsofSomali DPPAThe overallpastureandbrowsesituationremained tobenormal has beenimprovingowingtherains. reported tobeclosed.InSouthOmopastureand watercondition shortage mobileschoolinBibushkebelesofMegalle weredawas areas mayrequirewatertinkering.Duetothe currentwater and , unlessthe Sugumrainstarts untilendof April, the of theregion.Inchronicallywaterinsecureareas ofMegalle Sugum rainisexpectedtoreplenishwatersourcesinmostparts Dallol, ,DalifageandSemurobiweredas.Thecurrent Water shortage wasreportedfromElidar, ,Ewa,Megalle, unless thecomingGUrainperformsbetter. liters ofwatercosts12birrandthepeoplemayneedtankering Especially, inGorobakaksaWoreda thesituationisworrying.10 Ferfer woredasinGodeZoneandGaladiworedaWarder Zone. kebeles ofFiltuworedainLibenZone,Gorobakaksa Afder Zone, until thecomingrainyseasonunlikeshortagesreportedfrom7 Available waterinmostpartsoftheregionissufficienttosustain Water, Pasture andBrowseCondition rainfall forfiveconsecutivedays. The distributionwasalsoevenly. weredas.InSouthOmoZonetherehadbeenadequate was uneven.NorainreceivedinChifra,Elidarandpartsof Awash Fentaleworedas.Intheotherweredas,distribution distribution oftherainwasnormaltonearinGewaneand Buremudaitu andGewaneworedasofzone3.Theamount In Afar Region,theSugumrainstarted in Amibara, , rain existed. The restoftheregionremaineddryeventhoughindicationsGU showers whereasJijigaworedareceivedmoderateamountofrain. areas ofDambalandsomepocketsErerworedasreceived in someareasofJijigaandShinilezonesSomaliRegion.Most Rainy situationwasreportedfromthenorthernpartsspecifically 2007 Pastoral Areas Situation in GU rainperformsbetter. tankering unlessthecoming and thepeoplemayneed 10 litersofwatercosts12birr shortagge ofwaterisworrying. I n GorobakaksaWoreda Page 13 Early Warning System Monthly Report, March Early WarningMarch System MonthlyReport, Livestock Condition Aysaita andpocketsofDubti weredasinzone1. from spreading.Currently somecaseswerereportedfrom , threatening AWD/acute waterydiarrhea/inthe regionhasdeclined Region In Afar sharply duetotheinterventionbyMSF-Btreat affectedareas. are under5yearsofage.In Afder zone thecasesaredecreasing DPPAHudet weredaoutof116 cases4deathsreported ofwhich3infants Shilabo weredasfacedthehighestriskofdisease andevenin Shilabo andHudetweredas.CurrentlyKebridehar, Hudetand increment inDegahbur, Gode, Hargelle,Kebridehar, Danan, With thepoorqualityofwatercases AWD isshowing Human HealthCondition the pastoralists. and Asaita weredasofZoneone.Sothetermstradeisfavoring markets oftheregionduetorecentmaizeharvestin Afambo prices forcerealsshowedslightdeclineorwasunchangedinmost increment withtheEasterandMowlidholidays.Onotherhand, respect topricein Afar, livestockpricegenerallyshowed slight recommended vaccinationtobegivenlivestockinmille.With further analysisatcentrallaboratoryin Addis Ababa. The team and FAO expertsassessedthesituationandtooksamplesfor A teamcomposedofagricultureandruraldevelopmentbureau woreda ofZone1haskilledshoats. Regarding thehealthstatusanoutbreakofshoatdiseaseinMille and Habruworedasofneighboring Amhara Regionhadstarted. of pasture andwater. Therefore, migrationoflivestocktoGubalafto pasture scarcityandthelongdistancelivestocktravelinsearch In Afar Region,thephysicalconditionoflivestockwaspoordueto remained thesameandcerealpricewasdecreasing. region. Thetermsoftradefavorspastoralistssinceshoatprice price alsodeclined.Shoats’remainedunchangedinthe recent harvestinrecessionalagricultureareaslikeGode.Livestock a decliningtrendintheregion.Cerealpricesdeclineddueto goats. Priceofcerealsandlargeanimals/camelcattle/showed Unidentified cameldiseaseandPPRkilled276camels901 Region andnoabnormalmovementofthelivestockinregion. The physicalconditionoflivestockwasnormalthroughoutSomali , there wasnoepidemicoutbreak andthepreviously 2007 Pastoral Areas Situation in pasture andwater. livestock travelinsearchof and thelongdistance poor duetopasturescarcity condition oflivestockwas In Afar Region,thephysical Page 14 Early Warning System Monthly Report, March Early WarningMarch System MonthlyReport, DPPA strikes. flood occurrencesoastoleavetheareasbeforedisaster Shebelle, Dawa,GenaleandWeibriverstobecautiousofpossible is theneedtoalertcommunitieslivingalongcoursesofWabe highlands ofOromiyaRegion,duringthemonth. Apparently, there has alsosignificantlyrisenduetoheavyrainsintheadjacent Ayliso andShinilelocalities. The waterlevelofWabe ShebelleRiver and Korkaraleriversfloodedfarmlandssettlementareasin and farms,accordingtoShinileworedareport.Besides,Birdher Overflow ofBaylagorRiverinDambalWoredaerodedrangelands Flood Occurrence 2007 Pastoral Areas Situation in Page 15