National Tracking Poll

Project: 161011 N Size: 1395 Likely Voters Margin of Error:  3% Topline Report October 19-20, 2016 Question Response Frequency Percentage P1 Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right Direction 402 29% Wrong Track 993 7% P2NET Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? Approve 685 49% Disapprove 680 49% Don’t Know / No Opinion 30 2% P2 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? Strongly Approve 306 22% Somewhat Approve 378 27% Somewhat Disapprove 20 5% Strongly Disapprove 47 34% Don’t Know / No Opinion 30 2% P3 Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Economic Issues 467 33% Security Issues 323 23% Health Care Issues 90 4% Senior’s Issues 78 3% Women’s Issues 70 5% Education Issues 78 6% Energy Issues 48 3% Other 40 3% ID1_12NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. Total Favorable 50 37% Total Not Favorable 855 6% Heard Of, No Opinion 26 2% Never Heard Of 4 0%

Page | 1 Question Response Frequency Percentage ID1_12 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. Donald Trump Very Favorable 265 9% Somewhat Favorable 245 8% Somewhat Unfavorable 53 % Very Unfavorable 702 50% Heard Of, No Opinion 26 2% Never Heard Of 4 0% ID2_1NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. Total Favorable 595 43% Total Not Favorable 783 56% Heard Of, No Opinion 5 % Never Heard Of 2 0% ID2_1 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. Hillary Clinton Very Favorable 269 9% Somewhat Favorable 326 23% Somewhat Unfavorable 36 0% Very Unfavorable 647 46% Heard Of, No Opinion 5 % Never Heard Of 2 0%

Page | 2 Question Response Frequency Percentage ID2_7NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. Total Favorable 765 55% Total Not Favorable 52 37% Heard Of, No Opinion 02 7% Never Heard Of 7 0% ID2_7 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. Bernie Sanders Very Favorable 38 23% Somewhat Favorable 447 32% Somewhat Unfavorable 254 8% Very Unfavorable 267 9% Heard Of, No Opinion 02 7% Never Heard Of 7 0% ID3_2NET Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Mitch McConnell Total Favorable 20 4% Total Not Favorable 530 38% Heard Of, No Opinion 302 22% Never Heard Of 36 26%

Page | 3 Question Response Frequency Percentage ID3_2 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Mitch McConnell Very Favorable 36 3% Somewhat Favorable 64 2% Somewhat Unfavorable 266 9% Very Unfavorable 265 9% Heard Of, No Opinion 302 22% Never Heard Of 36 26% ID3_3NET Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Paul Ryan Total Favorable 465 33% Total Not Favorable 578 4% Heard Of, No Opinion 226 6% Never Heard Of 25 9% ID3_3 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Paul Ryan Very Favorable 9 7% Somewhat Favorable 374 27% Somewhat Unfavorable 332 24% Very Unfavorable 246 8% Heard Of, No Opinion 226 6% Never Heard Of 25 9%

Page | 4 Question Response Frequency Percentage ID3_4NET Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Bill Clinton Total Favorable 63 45% Total Not Favorable 70 5% Heard Of, No Opinion 47 3% Never Heard Of 6 0% ID3_4 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Bill Clinton Very Favorable 252 8% Somewhat Favorable 379 27% Somewhat Unfavorable 29 6% Very Unfavorable 49 35% Heard Of, No Opinion 47 3% Never Heard Of 6 0% ID3_6NET Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Nancy Pelosi Total Favorable 379 27% Total Not Favorable 656 47% Heard Of, No Opinion 26 6% Never Heard Of 44 0%

Page | 5 Question Response Frequency Percentage ID3_6 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Nancy Pelosi Very Favorable 98 7% Somewhat Favorable 28 20% Somewhat Unfavorable 90 4% Very Unfavorable 465 33% Heard Of, No Opinion 26 6% Never Heard Of 44 0% ID3_7NET Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Charles Schumer Total Favorable 236 7% Total Not Favorable 34 24% Heard Of, No Opinion 345 25% Never Heard Of 472 34% ID3_7 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Charles Schumer Very Favorable 54 4% Somewhat Favorable 82 3% Somewhat Unfavorable 73 2% Very Unfavorable 68 2% Heard Of, No Opinion 345 25% Never Heard Of 472 34%

Page | 6 Question Response Frequency Percentage indPresApp_9NET Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Total Favorable 296 2% Total Not Favorable 480 34% Heard Of, No Opinion 328 24% Never Heard Of 292 2% indPresApp_9 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Gary Johnson Very Favorable 57 4% Somewhat Favorable 239 7% Somewhat Unfavorable 277 20% Very Unfavorable 202 5% Heard Of, No Opinion 328 24% Never Heard Of 292 2% indPresApp_10NET Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Total Favorable 575 4% Total Not Favorable 498 36% Heard Of, No Opinion 208 5% Never Heard Of 4 8%

Page | 7 Question Response Frequency Percentage indPresApp_10 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Mike Pence Very Favorable 255 8% Somewhat Favorable 32 23% Somewhat Unfavorable 247 8% Very Unfavorable 25 8% Heard Of, No Opinion 208 5% Never Heard Of 4 8% indPresApp_11NET Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Total Favorable 442 32% Total Not Favorable 486 35% Heard Of, No Opinion 24 7% Never Heard Of 225 6% indPresApp_11 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Tim Kaine Very Favorable 27 9% Somewhat Favorable 35 23% Somewhat Unfavorable 95 4% Very Unfavorable 292 2% Heard Of, No Opinion 24 7% Never Heard Of 225 6%

Page | 8 Question Response Frequency Percentage indPresApp_12NET Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Evan McMullin Total Favorable 34 0% Total Not Favorable 96 4% Heard Of, No Opinion 302 22% Never Heard Of 763 55% indPresApp_12 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Evan McMullin Very Favorable 34 2% Somewhat Favorable 99 7% Somewhat Unfavorable 23 9% Very Unfavorable 73 5% Heard Of, No Opinion 302 22% Never Heard Of 763 55% v16g5 If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, for whom would you vote? Hillary Clinton 639 46% Donald Trump 553 40% Don’t Know / No Opinion 202 5% v16g17b If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate , for whom would you vote? Democrat Hillary Clinton 586 42% Republican Donald Trump 508 36% Libertarian Gary Johnson 22 9% Green Party’s Jill Stein 57 4% Don’t Know / No Opinion 22 9%

Page | 9 Question Response Frequency Percentage v16g17c As of today, do you lean more toward Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, or Green Party candidate Jill Stein? (N=122) Democrat Hillary Clinton 9 6% Republican Donald Trump 3 % Libertarian Gary Johnson 6 5% Green Party’s Jill Stein 2 2% Don’t Know / No Opinion 82 67% v16g18 If the election for for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Democratic candidate 593 42% Republican candidate 550 39% Don’t Know / No Opinion 253 8% v16g18_ln As of today, do you lean more toward the... (N=240) Democratic candidate 22 5% Republican candidate 7 49% v16GOPprim Which candidate did you support in the 2016 Republican primary for President? (N=554) 63 % Donald Trump 294 53% 47 8% 39 7% 40 7% 9 3% Someone Else 20 4% Don’t Know / No Opinion 3 6% Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu- lated for registered voters with demographic post-stratication weights applied.

Page | 10 National Tracking Poll #161011, October, 2016 Respondent Demographics Summary

Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage

xdemAll Registered Voters 395 00% xdemGender Gender: Male 656 47% Gender: Female 739 53% N 395 age5 Age: 18-29 220 6% Age: 30-44 36 23% Age: 45-54 270 9% Age: 55-64 274 20% Age: 65+ 34 23% N 395 xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) 50 36% PID: Ind (no lean) 450 32% PID: Rep (no lean) 443 32% N 395 xpidGender PID/Gender: Dem Men 23 5% PID/Gender: Dem Women 288 2% PID/Gender: Ind Men 229 6% PID/Gender: Ind Women 222 6% PID/Gender: Rep Men 24 5% PID/Gender: Rep Women 229 6% N 395 xdemTea Tea Party: Supporter 393 28% Tea Party: Not Supporter 996 7% N 390 xdemIdeo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 427 3% Ideo: Moderate (4) 334 24% Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 539 39% N 30 xeduc3 Educ: < College 886 64% Educ: Bachelors degree 330 24% Educ: Post-grad 78 3% N 395 xdemInc3 Income: Under 50k 749 54% Income: 50k-100k 467 33% Income: 100k+ 79 3% N 395 Continued on next page

Page | 11 Morning Consu;t Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdemWhite Ethnicity: White 57 83% xdemHispBin Ethnicity: Hispanic 22 9% demBlackBin Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 64 2% demRaceOther Ethnicity: Other 74 5% xrelNet Relig: Protestant 399 29% Relig: Roman Catholic 298 2% Relig: Ath./Agn./None 34 24% Relig: Something Else 225 6% N 264 xreligion1 Relig: Jewish 43 3% xreligion2 Relig: Evangelical 399 29% Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 428 3% N 827 xreligion3 Relig: All Christian 827 59% Relig: All Non-Christian 566 4% N 393 xdemUsr Community: Urban 355 25% Community: Suburban 659 47% Community: Rural 38 27% N 395 xdemEmploy Employ: Private Sector 434 3% Employ: Government 97 7% Employ: Self-Employed 06 8% Employ: Homemaker 09 8% Employ: Student 58 4% Employ: Retired 377 27% Employ: Unemployed 2 8% Employ: Other 0 7% N 395 xdemJobStatus Job Type: White-collar 520 37% Job Type: Blue-collar 67 44% Job Type: Don’t Know 257 8% N 395 xdemMilHH1 Military HH: Yes 270 9% Military HH: No 24 8% N 395 Continued on next page

Page | 12 National Tracking Poll #161011, October, 2016 Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage

xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction 402 29% RD/WT: Wrong Track 993 7% N 395 xnr2Bin Obama Job: Approve 685 49% Obama Job: Disapprove 680 49% N 365 xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy 467 33% #1 Issue: Security 323 23% #1 Issue: Health Care 90 4% #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 78 3% #1 Issue: Women’s Issues 70 5% #1 Issue: Education 78 6% #1 Issue: Energy 48 3% #1 Issue: Other 40 3% N 395 xsubVote14O 2014 Vote: Democrat 527 38% 2014 Vote: Republican 456 33% 2014 Vote: Other 42 3% 2014 Vote: Didn’t Vote 366 26% N 390 xsubVote12O 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 64 46% 2012 Vote: 465 33% 2012 Vote: Other 65 5% 2012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 224 6% N 394 xreg4 4-Region: Northeast 264 9% 4-Region: Midwest 322 23% 4-Region: South 5 37% 4-Region: West 298 2% N 395 xv16g5 2016 Vote: Clinton 639 46% 2016 Vote: Trump 553 40% 2016 Vote: Undecided 202 5% N 395 Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu- lated with demographic post-stratication weights applied.

Page | 13 Morning Consu;t

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