Singapore Market Focus

Singapore Monthly Strategy

Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report DBS Group Research . Equity 5 Sep 2018

Will the US$200bn T-Bomb drop?

• Tariffs in focus - failure of 3180 support level could send STI to 3050 STI : 3,210.51 low if US proposed tariffs are fully enacted in the next 1-2 months • Bank stocks UOB and OCBC vulnerable if trade war worsens Analyst Kee Yan YEO, CMT +65 6682 3706 • Watch rigbuilders Marine, SembCorp Industries and [email protected]

Keppel Corp with oil market yet to price in impact of Iran sanction Janice Chua +65 6682 3692 [email protected] • Thai Beverage, SIA, , First Resources and SIA Engineering are five bombed-out stocks to bargain hunt

Key Indices Tariffs in focus Possible intensification of the US-China trade war is likely Current % Chng to overshadow the month-end FOMC meeting where the FED is FS STI Index 3,210.51 0.1% expected to hike rates by 25bps to 2.25%. The Trump administration FS Small Cap Index 362.00 0.3% could push for a full and rapid enactment of the proposed 25% tariffs SGD Curncy 1.35 -2.1% on US$200bn of Chinese imports before the November mid-term Daily Volume (m) 1,350 election. If so, we do not rule out STI falling below 3180 to c.3050 at a Daily Turnover (S$m) 679 Daily Turnover (US$m) 504 low that coincides with 11.24x (-1.5SD) 12-month forward PE. Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Bank stocks vulnerable if trade war worsens This is because the pace of Market Key Data business loans will be negatively affected, and the FED may consider (%) EPS Gth Div Yield moderating the pace of interest rate hikes going forward if the US 2017 8.7 4.4 rapidly enforces the tariffs on China imports within the next 1-2 2018F 13.7 4.2 months. Bank stocks OCBC and UOB will be vulnerable to profit taking 2019F 6.2 4.3

should macro uncertainties worsen as the sector trades at a 5-year (x) PER EV/EBITDA average P/BV valuation and sector earnings growth is set to moderate 2017 15.7 16.0 next year. 2018F 13.8 14.7 2019F 13.0 13.8

Watch rigbuilders with oil market yet to price in impact of Iran sanction This is on the back of a supply-side constrain as OPEC may not have

enough spare capacity to fully offset the export losses from Iran. Our STOCKS O&G analyst has revised the average Brent crude oil forecasts for 2018 12-mth and 2019 to US$74pbl and US$76pbl respectively and thinks price Price Mkt Cap Target Performance (%) could rise above US$80pbl in the near term. is the S$ US$m S$ 3 mth 12 mth Rating

most sensitive to changes in oil prices as it has the highest revenue Sembcorp exposure to the O&G segment, followed by SembCorp Industries and Marine 1.69 2,565 2.50 (19.5) 6.3 BUY Keppel Corp. Sembcorp Industries 2.77 3,596 3.90 (7.4) (7.1) BUY Five bombed-out stocks to bargain hunt. Thai Beverage is trading at Keppel 16.7x FY18F PE and 14.1x FY19F PE, which is near/below the -2SD of its Corporation 6.54 8,613 9.00 (15.2) 3.7 BUY 5-year average forward PE of 16x. SIA trades at just 0.83x P/BV, which Thai Beverage coincides with -2SD of its 5-year average of 0.84x. Finally, Genting Public Company 0.65 11,857 0.94 (16.1) (30.1) BUY Singapore Singapore trades at 8.4x FY18F and 7.7x FY19F EV/EBITDA that is Airlines 9.82 8,446 12.40 (15.0) (4.8) BUY between the -1SD forward EV/EBITDA of 9.1x and -2SD forward Genting EV/EBITDA of 6.2x. First Resources trades at 12.6x FY18F PE that is not Singapore 1.11 9,715 1.55 (13.3) (6.3) BUY far from the -2SD (11.1x) of its 4-yr average. P/B of 1.8x is slightly below First Resources 1.58 1,825 2.00 (3.7) (15.3) BUY the -2SD (1.87x) of its 4-yr average. SIA Engineering trades at 18.8x SIA Engineering 3.00 2,440 3.92 (6.3) (14.8) BUY FY19F PE that is slightly below the -2SD of its 4-yr average fwd PE of 19.1x. Source: DBS Bank, Bloomberg Finance L.P. Closing price as of 4 Sep 2018

ed: TH / sa: YM, CW, CS Market Focus Singapore Monthly Strategy

September Market Outlook

Telco outperformed in seasonally weak August FTSE ST Indices' performance in August ▪ Our view for a weak August panned out as trade war worries resurfaced and 2Q results lacked lustre ▪ STI fell 3.2% m-o-m to 3213 ▪ Technology (Venture Corp), telecom () and S-REITs (CMT) outperformed while consumer goods (Thai Beverage) underperformed

Source: DBS Bank

Lacklustre 2Q results priced in Sector PE and EPS Earnings Growth ▪ Earnings cuts after 2Q18 results season are priced in – PE (x) (%) FY18F and FY19F earnings lowered by 1.4% and 3.7% respectively but STI has fallen to trade at close to 12x (-1SD) 18F 19F 18F 19F 12-month forward PE level of 3207 Banking 32.6 6.4 10.4 9.8

▪ Earnings cuts largely from consumer services (e.g. Jumbo, Consumer Goods 1.9 11.3 14.8 13.3 Breadtalk, SIA, Best World), S-REITs (e.g. Ascott Residence, Consumer Services 4.1 6.6 16.9 15.8 Starhill Global, Frasers Hospitality Trust, OUE Hospitality Financials 4.4 4.1 19.9 19.1 Trust), and technology (e.g. Venture Corp, UMS, Hi-P) sectors. Others were O&G (Sembcorp Marine) and Health Care 23.0 11.4 48.9 43.9 consumer goods (Thai Bev) Industrials 5.7 10.4 17.0 15.4 ▪ Three stocks with upward revisions to earnings for both Oil & Gas 35.3 40.7 17.3 12.3 FY18F and FY19F are UOB, Yangzijiang, and Genting Real Estate 12.2 -14.8 11.2 13.1 Singapore REITs 6.8 4.6 16.6 15.9 ▪ Plantation sector most consistent in delivering results above Technology 4.8 6.8 15.4 14.5 expectations (e.g. , First Resources, Bumitama Agri) Telecommunications -9.7 3.8 15.3 14.7 DBS Coverage 14.2 6.0 13.8 13.1 STI DBS forecast 16.0 4.9 12.7 12.1

Source: DBS Bank

FED expected to hike rates this month Event to watch in September ▪ FED is expected to hike FED funds rate by 25bps to 2.25% Date Event Comment at the 27 September FOMC meeting ▪ Powell reaffirmed gradual rate increases in recent Jackson 27 FOMC FED is expected to hike FED funds Hole speech Sept Meeting rate by 25bps to 2.25% as Powell ▪ DBS Research sees one hike per quarter till end-2019 that reaffirmed gradual rate increases in will lift FED funds rate to 2.5% by end-2018 and 3.5% by recent Jackson Hole speech

end-2019 Source: DBS Bank

Page 2

Market Focus Singapore Monthly Strategy

Is the US-China trade war set to intensify? (Daily) ▪ September/October are crucial months

– Enactment pace of the proposed 25% tariffs on US$200bn China imports and China’s retaliatory move will be closely watched this month – If the proposed 25% tariffs on US$200bn China imports are fully enforced within the next 1-2 months and USD/RMB rises beyond 6.94 that weighs down on Asian currencies, we do not rule out STI falling below 3180 to c.3050 that coincides with 11.24x (-1.5SD) 12-month forward PE – Fall to c.3050 would provide a buying opportunity as we expect the US-China trade war to ease post mid-term Source: DBS Bank election

Strategy

Bank stocks to lead the way down if trade war worsens FED could also moderate the pace of interest rate hikes going forward. Bank stocks OCBC and UOB will be vulnerable to profit We think bank stocks will be the main culprits dragging down taking should macro uncertainties worsen as the sector trades the benchmark STI should the US rapidly enforce the 25% at a 5-year average P/BV valuation and sector earnings growth is tariffs on US$200bn China imports within the next 1-2 months. set to moderate significantly from a strong 32% this year to Under this backdrop, business sentiment will be negatively 6.4% next year. affected and the pace of business loans may slow down. The

Singapore banks are trading near their 5-year average P/BV valuation 12-mth Price Target EPS Growth EPS Growth Div Yield P/BV 5-yr ave Company Target Rcmd P/BV 18 (x) 31 Aug Return 18 (%) 19 (%) 18 (%) (x) Price UOB 27.060 31.70 17% BUY 19.3 6.2 3.7 1.26 1.23 OCBC 11.300 12.40 10% HOLD 20.6 1.0 3.6 1.15 1.21

Source: DBS Bank

Positive near-term trend for oil price underpins O&G stocks and unplanned outages could be expected from the likes of Libya, Nigeria and Angola. Our O&G analyst has revised the average Brent crude oil forecasts for 2018 and 2019 to US$74pbl (from US$73pbl) Singapore rigbuilders have largely ignored the current oil price and US$76pbl (from US$70pbl) respectively and thinks price recovery as the latest 2Q results season disappointed. But could rise above US$80pbl in the near term on the back of sector interest could pick again should Brent crude continues supply-side constraints. We think the market may not have to edge up to test or exceed the US$80pbl level. SembCorp fully factored in the impact of the US sanctions on Iran as the Marine is the most sensitive to changes in oil prices as it has rest of the OPEC cartel may not have enough spare capacity the highest revenue exposure to the O&G segment, followed to ramp up sufficiently to fully offset the 2.5mmbbls export by SembCorp Industries and Keppel Corp. Sembcorp Marine's losses from Iran, as Venezuelan production continues to fall strong order pipeline could translate into S$3bn or more in new orders this year from the current S$730m.

Page 3

Market Focus Singapore Monthly Strategy

Singapore rigbuilders

12-mth EPS EPS Net Debt Price Target PER 18 PER 19 Div Yield P/BV 17 Company Target Rcmd Growth Growth / Equity 31 Aug Return (x) (x) 18 (%) (x) Price 18 (%) 19 (%) 18

SembCorp Marine 1.680 2.50 49% BUY 224.2 55.1 nm 306.9 0.6 1.1 1.4 SembCorp Industries 2.730 3.90 43% BUY 13.5 11.1 3.2 21.5 1.9 0.8 0.7 Keppel Corp 6.530 9.00 38% BUY 11.8 9.6 20.0 23.1 4.1 0.5 1.0

Source: DBS Bank

Five bombed-out stocks to bargain hunt 3. Genting Singapore – At $1.11, the stock trades at 8.4x FY18F and 7.7x FY19F EV/EBITDA that is between the - With the US-China trade tariffs threatening to take a turn for 1SD forward EV/EBITDA of 9.1x and -2SD forward the worse over the next 1-2 months, we believe that stocks EV/EBITDA of 6.2x. Going forward, our analyst thinks the that are currently trading near ‘bombed-out’ valuations should weak VIP win rate that affected its 2Q results should outperform as value investors look for bargain-hunt normalize and the company will continue to report a opportunities. sustained increase in profitability over the next 2-3 years.

Our three picks are: 4. First Resources – At $1.59, the stock trades at 12.6x FY18F PE that is not far from the -2SD (11.1x) of its 4-yr 1. Thai Beverage – At $0.64, the stock is trading at 16.7x average. P/B of 1.8x is slightly below the -2SD (1.87x) of FY18F PE and 14.1x FY19F PE, which is near/below the - its 4-yr average. Going forward, volume output will drive 2SD of its 5-year average forward PE of 16x. While overall earnings besides CPO price as First Resources enter its domestic consumption remains weak, we are hopeful for prime age production phase over the next 5 years a gradual turnaround on the back of improving agricultural prices and farm income. 5. SIA Engineering – At $2.95, the stock trades at 18.8x FY19F PE that is slightly below the -2SD of its 4-yr 2. SIA – At $9.79, it trades at just 0.83x P/BV, which average fwd PE of 19.1x. Downside is limited, the stock coincides with -2SD of its 5-year average of 0.84x. Going trading at attractive dividend yield of 4.4%. Positive forward, sequential earnings should improve as airlines earnings drivers include : i) an upswing in the engine globally try to push through higher fares and surcharges MRO cycle, with workload boosted further by visits from to offset rising fuel costs, and yields improve. Our analyst the problematic Trent 1000 engines ii) cabin retrofitting foresees 1-2% yield improvement per annum in FY19F work on SIA’s legacy A380s ; iii) the new GE engine and FY20F for SIA’s flagship passenger business collaboration which should be operational in 2019 or early 2020 ; and iv) expansion of the line maintenance segment in Japan.

5 ‘bombed-out’ stocks to bargain hunt

12-mth Price Target PER 18 PER 19 EPS Growth EPS Growth Div Yield Net Debt / Company Target 31 Aug Return (x) (x) 18 (%) 19 (%) 18 (%) Equity 18 Price

First Res 1.59 2.00 26% 12.8 11.7 4.5 9.4 4.4 0.1 SIA Eng 2.950 3.92 33% 18.8 17.3 -3.2 4.8 4.7 cash SIA 9.800 12.40 27% 11.3 10.5 -3.1 7.6 4.1 0.2 Thai Bev 0.620 0.94 52% 16.0 13.5 -10.6 18.6 3.4 1.5 Genting Singapore 1.070 1.55 45% 16.4 15.7 27.0 4.9 3.7 cash

Source: DBS Bank

Page 4

Market Focus Singapore Monthly Strategy

Significant Reports Date Report Title Sub Title

Regional 16 Aug 2018 Regional Internet of Things: IoT The Pillar of Artificial Intelligence 31 Aug 2018 Regional Steel Positives building up Singapore 3 Aug 2018 Y Ventures Group Ltd Leading the charge 6 Aug 2018 Singapore Strategy Trade war worries resurface in seasonally weak August 24 Aug 2018 Singapore REITs Flight to Safe Havens 28 Aug 2018 Koufu Group Ltd Mouthful of fortune 30 Aug 2018 CapitaLand Limited & REITs Time to fly

Revisions to recommendations Stock Name Current Previous Change Date Singapore Post HOLD BUY 6 Aug 2018 Breadtalk Group HOLD BUY 6 Aug 2018 UOB BUY HOLD 6 Aug 2018 APAC Realty HOLD FULLY VALUED 8 Aug 2018 City Developments HOLD FULLY VALUED 10 Aug 2018 Koufu Group Ltd BUY Initiating Coverage 27 Aug 2018 UMS Holdings HOLD BUY 27 Aug 2018 Y Ventures Group HOLD BUY 27 Aug 2018 Source: DBS Bank

Page 5

Market Focus Singapore Monthly Strategy

DBS Bank recommendations are based an Absolute Total Return* Rating system, defined as follows: STRONG BUY (>20% total return over the next 3 months, with identifiable share price catalysts within this time frame) BUY (>15% total return over the next 12 months for small caps, >10% for large caps) HOLD (-10% to +15% total return over the next 12 months for small caps, -10% to +10% for large caps) FULLY VALUED (negative total return i.e. > -10% over the next 12 months) SELL (negative total return of > -20% over the next 3 months, with identifiable catalysts within this time frame) Share price appreciation + dividends

Completed Date: 5 Sep 2018 16:09:42 (SGT) Dissemination Date: 5 Sep 2018 18:49:14 (SGT)

Sources for all charts and tables are DBS Bank unless otherwise specified.

GENERAL DISCLOSURE/DISCLAIMER This report is prepared by DBS Bank Ltd. This report is solely intended for the clients of DBS Bank Ltd, its respective connected and associated corporations and affiliates only and no part of this document may be (i) copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form or by any means or (ii) redistributed without the prior written consent of DBS Bank Ltd.

The research set out in this report is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we (which collectively refers to DBS Bank Ltd, its respective connected and associated corporations, affiliates and their respective directors, officers, employees and agents (collectively, the “DBS Group”) have not conducted due diligence on any of the companies, verified any information or sources or taken into account any other factors which we may consider to be relevant or appropriate in preparing the research. Accordingly, we do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the research set out in this report. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This research is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendation contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is for the information of addressees only and is not to be taken in substitution for the exercise of judgement by addressees, who should obtain separate independent legal or financial advice. The DBS Group accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct, indirect and/or consequential loss (including any claims for loss of profit) arising from any use of and/or reliance upon this document and/or further communication given in relation to this document. This document is not to be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. The DBS Group, along with its affiliates and/or persons associated with any of them may from time to time have interests in the securities mentioned in this document. The DBS Group, may have positions in, and may effect transactions in securities mentioned herein and may also perform or seek to perform broking, investment banking and other banking services for these companies.

Any valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments herein constitutes a judgment as of the date of this report, and there can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with any such valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments. The information in this document is subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed, it may be incomplete or condensed, it may not contain all material information concerning the company (or companies) referred to in this report and the DBS Group is under no obligation to update the information in this report.

This publication has not been reviewed or authorized by any regulatory authority in Singapore, Hong Kong or elsewhere. There is no planned schedule or frequency for updating research publication relating to any issuer.

The valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments described in this report were based upon a number of estimates and assumptions and are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies. It can be expected that one or more of the estimates on which the valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments were based will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual results. Therefore, the inclusion of the valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments described herein IS NOT TO BE RELIED UPON as a representation and/or warranty by the DBS Group (and/or any persons associated with the aforesaid entities), that:

(a) such valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments or their underlying assumptions will be achieved, and (b) there is any assurance that future results or events will be consistent with any such valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments stated therein.

Please contact the primary analyst for valuation methodologies and assumptions associated with the covered companies or price targets.

Page 6

Market Focus Singapore Monthly Strategy

Any assumptions made in this report that refers to commodities, are for the purposes of making forecasts for the company (or companies) mentioned herein. They are not to be construed as recommendations to trade in the physical commodity or in the futures contract relating to the commodity referred to in this report.

DBSVUSA, a US-registered broker-dealer, does not have its own investment banking or research department, has not participated in any public offering of securities as a manager or co-manager or in any other investment banking transaction in the past twelve months and does not engage in market-making.

ANALYST CERTIFICATION The research analyst(s) primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views. The analyst(s) also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. The research analyst (s) primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that he or his associate1 does not serve as an officer of the issuer or the new listing applicant (which includes in the case of a real estate investment trust, an officer of the management company of the real estate investment trust; and in the case of any other entity, an officer or its equivalent counterparty of the entity who is responsible for the management of the issuer or the new listing applicant) and the research analyst(s) primarily responsible for the content of this research report or his associate does not have financial interests2 in relation to an issuer or a new listing applicant that the analyst reviews. DBS Group has procedures in place to eliminate, avoid and manage any potential conflicts of interests that may arise in connection with the production of research reports. The research analyst(s) responsible for this report operates as part of a separate and independent team to the investment banking function of the DBS Group and procedures are in place to ensure that confidential information held by either the research or investment banking function is handled appropriately. There is no direct link of DBS Group's compensation to any specific investment banking function of the DBS Group.

COMPANY-SPECIFIC / REGULATORY DISCLOSURES 1. DBS Bank Ltd, DBS HK, DBS Vickers Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd (''DBSVS'') or their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates have a proprietary position in UOB, OCBC, Sembcorp Marine, Sembcorp Industries, , Thai Beverage Public Company, Limited, Genting Singapore, Venture Corporation, SingTel, CapitaLand Mall Trust, Ascott Residence Trust, Starhill Global REIT, Frasers Hospitality Trust, OUE Hospitality Trust, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Wilmar International, Singapore Post, City Developments, recommended in this report as of 31 Jul 2018. 2. Neither DBS Bank Ltd nor DBS HK market makes in equity securities of the issuer(s) or company(ies) mentioned in this Research Report. 3. DBS Bank Ltd, DBS HK, DBSVS, their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates have a net long position exceeding 0.5% of the total issued share capital in Ascott Residence Trust, Starhill Global REIT, Frasers Hospitality Trust, OUE Hospitality Trust, recommended in this report as of 31 Jul 2018. 4. DBS Bank Ltd, DBS HK, DBSVS, DBSVUSA, their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates beneficially own a total of 1% of any class of common equity securities of Ascott Residence Trust, Starhill Global REIT, Frasers Hospitality Trust, OUE Hospitality Trust, as of 31 Jul 2018.

Compensation for investment banking services: 5. DBS Bank Ltd, DBS HK, DBSVS, their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates of DBSVUSA have received compensation, within the past 12 months for investment banking services from Sembcorp Industries, Singapore Airlines Limited, CapitaLand Mall Trust, APAC Realty Limited, Koufu Group Limited as of 31 Jul 2018. 6. DBS Bank Ltd, DBS HK, DBSVS, their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates of DBSVUSA have managed or co-managed a public offering of securities for Singapore Airlines Limited, CapitaLand Mall Trust, APAC Realty Limited, Koufu Group Limited, in the past 12 months, as of 31 Jul 2018. 7. DBSVUSA does not have its own investment banking or research department, nor has it participated in any public offering of securities as a manager or co-manager or in any other investment banking transaction in the past twelve months. Any US persons wishing to obtain further information, including any clarification on disclosures in this disclaimer, or to effect a transaction in any security discussed in this document should contact DBSVUSA exclusively.

1 An associate is defined as (i) the spouse, or any minor child (natural or adopted) or minor step-child, of the analyst; (ii) the trustee of a trust of which the analyst, his spouse, minor child (natural or adopted) or minor step-child, is a beneficiary or discretionary object; or (iii) another person accustomed or obliged to act in accordance with the directions or instructions of the analyst.

2 Financial interest is defined as interests that are commonly known financial interest, such as investment in the securities in respect of an issuer or a new listing applicant, or financial accommodation arrangement between the issuer or the new listing applicant and the firm or analysis. This term does not include commercial lending conducted at arm's length, or investments in any collective investment scheme other than an issuer or new listing applicant notwithstanding the fact that the scheme has investments in securities in respect of an issuer or a new listing applicant.

Page 7

Market Focus Singapore Monthly Strategy

Directorship/trustee interests: 8. Danny Teoh Leong Kay, a member of DBS Group Holdings Board of Directors, is a Director of Keppel Corporation as of 30 Jun 2018. 9. Peter Seah Lim Huat, Chairman & Director of DBS Group Holdings, is a Director / Chairman of Singapore Airlines Limited as of 30 Jun 2018.

Disclosure of previous investment recommendation produced: 10. DBS Bank Ltd, DBS Vickers Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd (''DBSVS''), their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates may have published other investment recommendations in respect of the same securities / instruments recommended in this research report during the preceding 12 months. Please contact the primary analyst listed in the first page of this report to view previous investment recommendations published by DBS Bank Ltd, DBS Vickers Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd (''DBSVS''), their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates in the preceding 12 months.

Page 8

Market Focus Singapore Monthly Strategy

RESTRICTIONS ON DISTRIBUTION General This report is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation.

Australia This report is being distributed in Australia by DBS Bank Ltd. (“DBS”) or DBS Vickers Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd (“DBSVS”). DBS holds Australian Financial Services Licence no. 475946.

DBSVS is exempted from the requirement to hold an Australian Financial Services Licence under the Corporation Act 2001 (“CA”) in respect of financial services provided to the recipients. DBSVS is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore under the laws of Singapore, which differ from Australian laws.

Distribution of this report is intended only for “wholesale investors” within the meaning of the CA.

Hong Kong This report has been prepared by a person(s) who is not licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to carry on the regulated activity of advising on securities in Hong Kong pursuant to the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Chapter 571 of the Laws of Hong Kong). This report is being distributed in Hong Kong and is attributable to DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited, a registered institution registered with the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to carry on the regulated activity of advising on securities pursuant to the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Chapter 571 of the Laws of Hong Kong). For any query regarding the materials herein, please contact Carol Wu (Reg No. AH8283) at [email protected]

Indonesia This report is being distributed in Indonesia by PT DBS Vickers Sekuritas Indonesia.

Malaysia This report is distributed in Malaysia by AllianceDBS Research Sdn Bhd ("ADBSR"). Recipients of this report, received from ADBSR are to contact the undersigned at 603-2604 3333 in respect of any matters arising from or in connection with this report. In addition to the General Disclosure/Disclaimer found at the preceding page, recipients of this report are advised that ADBSR (the preparer of this report), its holding company Alliance Investment Bank Berhad, their respective connected and associated corporations, affiliates, their directors, officers, employees, agents and parties related or associated with any of them may have positions in, and may effect transactions in the securities mentioned herein and may also perform or seek to perform broking, investment banking/corporate advisory and other services for the subject companies. They may also have received compensation and/or seek to obtain compensation for broking, investment banking/corporate advisory and other services from the subject companies.

Wong Ming Tek, Executive Director, ADBSR

Singapore This report is distributed in Singapore by DBS Bank Ltd (Company Regn. No. 196800306E) or DBSVS (Company Regn No. 198600294G), both of which are Exempt Financial Advisers as defined in the Financial Advisers Act and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. DBS Bank Ltd and/or DBSVS, may distribute reports produced by its respective foreign entities, affiliates or other foreign research houses pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the report is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, DBS Bank Ltd accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact DBS Bank Ltd at 6327 2288 for matters arising from, or in connection with the report.

Thailand This report is being distributed in Thailand by DBS Vickers Securities (Thailand) Co Ltd.

United This report is produced by DBS Bank Ltd which is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. Kingdom This report is disseminated in the United Kingdom by DBS Vickers Securities (UK) Ltd, ("DBSVUK"). DBSVUK is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the United Kingdom.

In respect of the United Kingdom, this report is solely intended for the clients of DBSVUK, its respective connected and associated corporations and affiliates only and no part of this document may be (i) copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form or by any means or (ii) redistributed without the prior written consent of DBSVUK. This communication is directed at persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments. Any investment activity following from this communication will only be engaged in with such persons. Persons who do not have professional experience in matters relating to investments should not rely on this communication.

Dubai This research report is being distributed by DBS Bank Ltd., (DIFC Branch) having its office at PO Box 506538, 3rd Floor, International Building 3, East Wing, Gate Precinct, Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC), Dubai, United Arab Emirates. DBS Bank Financial Ltd., (DIFC Branch) is regulated by The Dubai Financial Services Authority. This research report is intended only for Centre professional clients (as defined in the DFSA rulebook) and no other person may act upon it.

Page 9

Market Focus Singapore Monthly Strategy

United Arab This report is provided by DBS Bank Ltd (Company Regn. No. 196800306E) which is an Exempt Financial Adviser as defined Emirates in the Financial Advisers Act and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. This report is for information purposes only and should not be relied upon or acted on by the recipient or considered as a solicitation or inducement to buy or sell any financial product. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of individual clients. You should contact your relationship manager or investment adviser if you need advice on the merits of buying, selling or holding a particular investment. You should note that the information in this report may be out of date and it is not represented or warranted to be accurate, timely or complete. This report or any portion thereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without our written consent.

United States This report was prepared by DBS Bank Ltd. DBSVUSA did not participate in its preparation. The research analyst(s) named on this report are not registered as research analysts with FINRA and are not associated persons of DBSVUSA. The research analyst(s) are not subject to FINRA Rule 2241 restrictions on analyst compensation, communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst. This report is being distributed in the United States by DBSVUSA, which accepts responsibility for its contents. This report may only be distributed to Major U.S. Institutional Investors (as defined in SEC Rule 15a-6) and to such other institutional investors and qualified persons as DBSVUSA may authorize. Any U.S. person receiving this report who wishes to effect transactions in any securities referred to herein should contact DBSVUSA directly and not its affiliate.

Other In any other jurisdictions, except if otherwise restricted by laws or regulations, this report is intended only for qualified, jurisdictions professional, institutional or sophisticated investors as defined in the laws and regulations of such jurisdictions.

DBS Regional Research Offices

HONG KONG MALAYSIA SINGAPORE DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Ltd AllianceDBS Research Sdn Bhd DBS Bank Ltd Contact: Carol Wu Contact: Wong Ming Tek (128540 U) Contact: Janice Chua 18th Floor Man Yee Building 19th Floor, Menara Multi-Purpose, 12 Marina Boulevard, 68 Des Voeux Road Central Capital Square, Marina Bay Financial Centre Tower 3 Central, Hong Kong 8 Jalan Munshi Abdullah 50100 Singapore 018982 Tel: 65 6878 8888 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. Tel: 65 6878 8888 Fax: 65 65353 418 Tel.: 603 2604 3333 Fax: 65 65353 418 e-mail: [email protected] Fax: 603 2604 3921 e-mail: [email protected] Participant of the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong e-mail: [email protected] Company Regn. No. 196800306E

INDONESIA THAILAND PT DBS Vickers Sekuritas (Indonesia) DBS Vickers Securities (Thailand) Co Ltd Contact: Maynard Priajaya Arif Contact: Chanpen Sirithanarattanakul DBS Bank Tower 989 Siam Piwat Tower Building, Ciputra World 1, 32/F 9th, 14th-15th Floor Jl. Prof. Dr. Satrio Kav. 3-5 Rama 1 Road, Pathumwan, Jakarta 12940, Indonesia Bangkok Thailand 10330 Tel: 62 21 3003 4900 Tel. 66 2 857 7831 Fax: 6221 3003 4943 Fax: 66 2 658 1269 e-mail: [email protected] e-mail: [email protected] Company Regn. No 0105539127012 Securities and Exchange Commission, Thailand

Page 10