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George 2020 GEORGE: at a GLANCE

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George 2020 GEORGE: at a GLANCE George 2020 GEORGE: AT A GLANCE Demographics………………………………………………………………………… 4 Education ………………………………………………………………………..……. 6 Health…………………………………………………………………………………… 8 Poverty………………………………………………………………………………….. 10 Basic Service Delivery………………………………………………………………… 12 Safety and Security…………………………………………………………………… 14 Economy and Labour Market Performance…………………………………...... 16 Public Infrastructure Spend………………………………………………………...... 18 SOURCES 20 2020 Socio-economic Profile: George Municipality 2 George: At a Glance Population Estimates, 2020; Actual households, 2019 218 381 56 474 2019 2018 Matric Pass Rate 82.0% Gini Coefficient 0.60 Learner retention rate 66.8% Human Development Index 0.76 Learner-Teacher Ratio 29.7 2019 12 66.0% 85.9 15.0% Actual number of reported cases in 2019/20 1 568 672 1 439 75 379 Percentage of households with access to basic services, 2019 95.9% 88.2% 90.4% 87.9% 82.7% 2019/20 2019 Unemployment Rate Job losses 33 (narrow definition) Safety and Security 14.3% 51 In-migration Contribution to GDP, 2018 Finance, insurance, real estate Wholesale & retail trade, catering Manufacturing and business services and accommodation 26.9% 18.5% 15.0% 2020 Socio-economic Profile: George Municipality 3 GEORGE DEMOGRAPHICS 52% 48% Population per km² 0 – 10 11 – 20 21 – 30 31 – 40 41 - 50 50+ Number of males per 100 females 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Kannaland 87.5 87.5 87.4 87.3 87.2 Hessequa 88.4 88.7 88.7 88.7 88.8 218 381 Mossel Bay 90.4 90.7 90.7 90.7 90.7 Current Population George 93.1 93.7 94.0 94.2 94.5 Oudtshoorn 88.0 88.5 88.6 88.8 88.9 Bitou 95.2 95.9 96.2 96.5 96.8 Knysna 93.0 93.5 93.7 93.9 94.0 Garden Route District 91.5 92.0 92.2 92.4 92.6 228 999 2024 Estimated Population Household size Population growth 2020 3.7 2021 3.7 2022 3.6 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 2023 3.6 2024 3.6 2021 2022 2023 2024 Age cohorts Population growth 2020 – 2024 Garden Route District +0.8% Bitou +3.1% Children: Working Age: Aged Dependency George +1.2% 0-14 Years 15-65 Years 65+ Years Ratio Knysna +0.9% 2020 58 263 144 742 15 376 50.9 Mossel Bay +0.7% 2023 59 276 151 177 15 907 49.7 Hessequa -0.3% 2026 60 971 155 995 16 921 49.9 Oudtshoorn -0.9% +0.8% +1.3% +1.6% 2020 Socio-economic Profile: George Municipality Kannaland -1.9% 4 Demographics Population The population of George is 218 318 people in 2020, making it the most populated municipal area in the Garden Route District (GRD). This total is expected to grow to 228 999 by 2024, equating to an average annual growth rate of 1.2 per cent. Sex Ratio The overall sex ratio (SR) depicts the number of males per 100 females in the population. The data indicates that there are slightly more females than males in the George municipal area with a ratio of 52 per cent (females) to 48 per cent (males). The SR for George increases slightly year on year towards 2024 which could be attributed to a wide range of factors such as an increase in mortality rates or birth rates in the municipal area. Age Cohorts Between 2020 and 2026, the largest population growth was recorded in the 65+ aged cohort which grew at an annual average rate of 1.6 per cent, compared to a growth of 0.8 per cent in children and 1.3 per cent in the working age population. These predicted growth rates lowers the dependency ratio towards 2026. Household sizes Household size refers to the number of people per household. The actual size of households is on a downward trend from 3.7 people per household in 2020 to 3.6 in 2024. Contributing factors to a reduction in household size could include, but are not limited to, lower fertility rates, ageing population, construction of smaller households, etc. Population density Amidst rapid urbanisation across the Western Cape, population density figures will aid public sector decision makers to mitigate environmental, individual health and service delivery risks. In 2020, the population density of the George municipal area was 42 persons per square kilometre. In order of lowest to highest, the various local municipal areas in the GRD compare as follows: • Kannaland 5 people/km2 • Hessequa 9 people/km2 • Oudtshoorn 26 people/km2 • George 42 people/km2 • Mossel Bay 47 people/km2 • Bitou 68 people/km2 • Knysna 68 people/km2 2020 Socio-economic Profile: George Municipality 5 Educational facilities EDUCATION 50 Number of schools 34 Learner enrolment Number of 120 000 no-fee 100 000 schools 80 000 60 000 40 000 20 000 0 Garden Bitou George Hessequa Kannaland Knysna Mossel Bay Oudtshoorn Route 2017 104 500 8041 35441 8706 4679 12326 16650 18657 2018 106 289 8376 36174 8682 4749 12513 16986 18809 2019 107 367 8508 36688 8618 4718 12668 17399 18768 Number of schools with libraries Learner-Teacher 28 Ratio Garden Route 29.2 | 30.1 | 30.1 Bitou 30.4 | 32.2 | 32.3 Education George 29.0 | 29.9 | 29.7 outcomes Hessequa 27.7 | 28.6 | 28.9 Kannaland 28.3 | 31.4 | 31.6 Knysna 31.2 | 30.0 | 30.3 80.1 82.2 87.3 Oudtshoorn Mossel Bay 28.4 | 30.2 | 29.7 83.5 83.1 84.7 Oudtshoorn 29.6 | 30.0 | 29.7 Mossel Bay 72.4% 77.1% 83.8% Knysna 89.2% 85.6% 85.9% Kannaland Learner retention 87.4% 84.7% 91.5% 67.6% Hessequa Garden Route 65.3% 62.9% 56.8% 55.5% 83.7% 79.9% 82.0% Bitou 52.4% George 68.8% 73.0% George 66.8% 78.0% 82.2% 89.6% 64.4% 69.0% Bitou Hessequa 62.0% Kannaland 59.8% 67.2% 57.1% 82.0% 81.3% 85.1% Garden Route Knysna 64.7% 59.2% 51.2% 5% 2017 2018 2019 Mossel Bay 63.5% 66.2% 73.7% Oudtshoorn 66.4% 85% 85% 67.5% 59.4% 2020 Socio-economic Profile: George Municipality 6 Education Learner enrolment, the learner-teacher ratio and learner retention rate Learner enrolment in George increased by 1.7 per cent annually from 35 441 in 2017 to 36 688 in 2019. This annual average increase is slightly higher than the District annual average growth rate of 1.4 per cent. The learner teacher ratio at 29.7 is amongst the lowest in 2019 but is on an upward trend from 29.0 in 2017. The learner retention rate in George is on a downward trend, declining from 73.0 in 2018 to 66.8 in 2019 and is the second highest in the District. Number of schools In 2019, George had a total of 50 public ordinary schools. The large number of schools contributed to the relatively low learner teacher ratio when compared to the other municipalities in the District. Number of no-fee schools The proportion of no-fee schools increased slightly from 67 per cent in 2018 to 68 per cent in 2019, indicating that, given the tough economic climate, schools have been reporting an increase in parents being unable to pay their school fees. In an effort to alleviate some of the funding challenges the Western Cape Department of Education (WCED) offered certain fee-paying schools an opportunity to become no-fee schools. As a result more than two thirds of the schools in the George municipal area are registered with the Western Cape Department of Education as no-fee schools. Schools with libraries and media centres Schools with libraries and media centres have gradually decreased from 33 in 2017 to 28 in 2019, access to libraries and media centres can have an impact on the overall quality of education. Education Outcomes (Matric Pass Rates) Education remains one of the key avenues through which the state is involved in the economy. In preparing individuals for future engagement in the labour market, policy choices and decisions in the sphere of education play a critical role in determining the extent to which future economic and poverty reduction plans can be realised. George’s matric outcomes have exceeded 80 per cent in 2017 and 2019 and dropped slightly to 79.9 per cent in 2018. 2020 Socio-economic Profile: George Municipality 7 HEALTH Tuberculosis 1 650 Healthcare facilities 1 600 1 624 1 550 Regional hospitals 1 1 1 500 1 532 1 517 District hospitals 6 1 1 450 PHC facilities (Fixed clinics, 2017 2018 2019 CHCs and CDCs) 40 12 Community Day Centres 7 2 Maternal health Community Health Centres 00 PHC Clinics (Satelite and Delivery mobile) 37 4 Termination Maternal rate to of Mortality women PHC Clinics (Fixed) 33 10 pregnancy Rate under rate 20 years Garden Route George 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 George 92.4 85.9 13.7 15.0 1.1 1.1 Garden Emergency medical Route 57.6 33.4 15.9 15.6 0.6 0.6 District services Health Indicator George Garden Route No of operational ambulances per 2 2 10 000 people Child health (per 100 000) Low birth weight 16.4 19.0 HIV/AIDS Neonatal mortality rate Registered patients Number of new (per 1 000 live births) 9.2 12.3 receiving ART ART patients Area 2018 2019 2018 2019 Acute malnutrition rate (under 5 per 100 0000 1.9 0.3 George 8 735 9 468 1 216 957 Immunisasation rate Garden (under 1) 67.7 66.0 23 317 25 738 3 009 2 576 Route 85% 85% Garden Route George 2020 Socio-economic Profile: George Municipality 8 Health Healthcare Facilities According to the 2019 Inequality Trend Report by Statistics South Africa, 75.1 per cent of households in South Africa usually use public healthcare facilities when a household member gets ill compared to 24.9 per cent who use some private healthcare facilities in 2017.
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