Selective Bibliography of Literature Relevant to Our Future Sustainability

Handout for From Progressive Paradise to Dystopian Persistence: How Are We Discussing the Goalposts of Sustainability with Our Students and Peers? Workshop of the 2019 Washington and Oregon Higher Education Sustainability Conference

Jennifer Atkinson1, Sonya Doucette2, Martha Groom1, and Robert Turner1

1 – School of Interdisciplinary Arts and Sciences, University of Washington Bothell 2 – Earth and Space Sciences Program, Bellevue College

Contents Page

Climate Change Projections and Other Existential Threats 1 Eco-grief 7 Future Scenarios Analyses 8 Hopeful Resources 9

Climate Change Projections and Other Existential Threats

Adelsmen, H and Ekram, J (2012). Preparing for a Changing Climate: Washington State’s Integrated Climate Response Strategy. WA State Dept. of Ecology. https://fortress.wa.gov/ecy/publications/documents/1201004.pdf

American Association for the Advancement of Science (2014). What We Know: The Realities, Risks and Response to Climate Change. http://whatweknow.aaas.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/whatweknow_website.pdf

American Meteorological Society (2018). Explaining Extreme Events of 2017 from a Climate Perspective. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society- bams/explaining-extreme-events-from-a-climate-perspective/

Anderson, D (2012). HABs in a Changing World: A Perspective on Harmful Algal Blooms, their Impacts, and Research and Management in a Dynamic Era of Climactic and Environmental Change. Harmful Algae, 2012: 3–17. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4667985/pdf/nihms691284.pdf

Barnett, J and Adger, WN (2007). Climate Change, Human Security and Violent Conflict. Political Geography. 26(6): 639-655. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S096262980700039X

Barnosky, et al., (2012). Approaching a State Shift in Earth’s Biosphere. Nature, 486: 52-58. http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v486/n7401/full/nature11018.html

Bendell, J (2018). Deep Adaptation: Navigating Climate Tragedy. Institute for Leadership and Sustainability Occasional Paper 2. http://www.lifeworth.com/deepadaptation.pdf

Bergman, A, Heindel, J, Jobling, S, Kidd, K and Zoeller, R (2013). State of the Science of Endocrine Disrupting Chemicals 2012. United Nations Environment Programme and the World Health Organization. https://www.who.int/ceh/risks/cehemerging2/en/

Butchart, S, et al., (2010). Global Biodiversity: Indicators of Recent Declines. Science, 328(5982): 1164- 1168. http://science.sciencemag.org/content/328/5982/1164

Carbon Brief (2018). The Impacts of Climate Change at 1.5C, 2C and Beyond. https://interactive.carbonbrief.org/impacts-climate-change-one-point-five-degrees-two-degrees/

Carrington, D (2019). The Guardian’s Environment Editor Article Archive. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/profile/damiancarrington

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (2009). The Fourth National Report on Human Exposure to Environmental Chemicals, 2009. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. https://www.cdc.gov/exposurereport/index.html

Congressional Research Service (2018). Freshwater Harmful Algal Blooms: Causes, Challenges, and Policy Considerations. Library of Congress. https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R44871.pdf

Connor, R, Talafre, J, Hasan, E and Abolina, E (2015). The United Nations World Water Development Report 2015: Water for a Sustainable World. World Water Assessment Programme, UNESCO. http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/0023/002318/231823E.pdf

Corcoran, E, Nellemann, C, Baker, E, Bos, R, Osborn, D, and Savelli, H (eds) (2010). Sick Water? The Central Role of Wastewater Management in Sustainable Development. A Rapid Response Assessment. United Nations Environment Programme, UN-HABITAT, GRID-Arendal. http://www.unep.org/pdf/SickWater_screen.pdf

Cuaron, A (2007). The Possibility of Hope. Bonus Feature Documentary on Children of Men DVD. Universal Studios. https://vimeo.com/5222051

Dasgupta, R (2018). The Demise of the Nation State. The Guardian, April 5. https://www.theguardian.com/news/2018/apr/05/demise-of-the-nation-state-rana-dasgupta

Dean, J and 12 co-authors (2018). Methane Feedbacks to the Global Climate System in a Warmer World. Review of Geophysics, 56:207-250. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/2017RG000559

Desforges, JP, Galbrath, M, Dangerfield, N and Ross, P (2014). Widespread Distribution of Microplastics in Subsurface Seawater in the NE Pacific Ocean. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 79(1-2):94-99. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0025326X13007741

Diamond, J (2005). Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed. Viking Penguin.

Drutman, L, Diamond, L and Goldman, J (2018). Follow the Leader: Exploring American Support for Democracy and Authoritarianism. The Democracy Fund Voter Study Group. https://www.voterstudygroup.org/publications/2017-voter-survey/follow-the-leader

Dudgeon, D, Arthington, A, Gessner, O, Kawabata, Z, Knowler, D, Leveque, C, Naiman, R, Prieur-Richard, A, Soto, D, Stiassny, M, and Sullivan, C (2006). Freshwater Biodiversity: Importance, Threats, Status and Conservation Challenges. Biol. Review, 81: 163-182. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16336747

Dzieza, J (2015). Climate Change Could Mean Massive Ocean Dead Zones. Gulf of Mexico Hypoxia, NOAA. http://www.gulfhypoxia.net/news/default.asp?XMLFilename=201502111127.xml

Ehrlich, P and Ehrlich, A (2013). Can a Collapse of Global Civilization be Avoided? Proceedings of the Royal Society B, 280(1754). https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/full/10.1098/rspb.2012.2845

FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP and WHO (2018). The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World: Building Climate Resilience for Food Security and Nutrition. UN Food and Agriculture Organization. http://www.fao.org/state-of-food-security-nutrition/en/

Foa, R and Mounk, Y (2017). The Signs of Deconsolidation. Journal of Democracy, 28(1): 5-15. https://www.journalofdemocracy.org/article/signs-deconsolidation

Foley, J, et al., (2012). Solutions for a Cultivated Planet. Nature, 478: 337–342. https://www.nature.com/articles/nature10452

Hsiang, S et al., (2017). Estimating Economic Damage from Climate Change in the United States. Science, 356(6345): 1362-1369. http://science.sciencemag.org/content/356/6345/1362

Greshko, M, Parker, L, Howard, B, Stone, D, Borunda, A and Gibbens, S (2019). A Running List of How President Trump is Changing Environmental Policy. National Geographic. https://news.nationalgeographic.com/2017/03/how-trump-is-changing-science-environment/

Guilford, G (2016). Harvard Research Suggests that an Entire Global Generation has Lost Faith in Democracy. Quartz. https://qz.com/848031/harvard-research-suggests-that-an-entire-global-generation-has- lost-faith-in-democracy/

Heinberg, R (2018). The Big Picture. Resilience.Org. https://www.resilience.org/stories/2018-12-17/the-big-picture/

Hinrichsen, D and Tacio, H (2002). The Coming Freshwater Crisis is Already Here, in Finding the Source: The Linkages Between Population and Water. Environmental Change and Security Program, Woodrow Wilson Center. Washington, D.C. Pp. 1-26. https://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/popwawa2.pdf

International Panel on Climate Change (2014a). AR5 Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg2/

International Panel on Climate Change (2014b). Climate Change 2014 Synthesis Report: Summary for Policy Makers. http://ar5-syr.ipcc.ch/topic_summary.php

International Panel on Climate Change (2018). Global Warming of 1.5° C: Summary for Policy Makers. https://report.ipcc.ch/sr15/pdf/sr15_spm_final.pdf

Klein, N (2016). Let Them Drown. London Review of Books, 38(11). http://www.lrb.co.uk/v38/n11/naomi- klein/let-them-drown

Koerth-Baker, M (2019). Americans Were A Lot Less Worried About Climate Change Before Trump Took Office. Five Thirty Eight, Feb. 6. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/americans-were-a-lot-less- worried-about-climate-change-before-trump-took-office/

Knutti, R, Rogelj, J, Sedlacek, J and Fischer, E (2015). A Scientific Critique of the Two-degree Climate Change Target. Nature Geoscience, 9: 13–18. https://www.nature.com/articles/ngeo2595

Koch, A and 30 co-authors (2013). Soil Security: Solving the Global Soil Crisis. Global Policy, 4(4): 434- 441. http://www.css.cornell.edu/faculty/lehmann/publ/Global%20Policy%204,%20434- 441,%202013%20Koch.pdf

Langston, J (2011). Northwest Ocean Acidification: The Hidden Cost of Fossil Fuel Pollution. Sightline Institute. https://www.sightline.org/research_item/northwest-ocean-acidification/

Lenton, T, et al., (2008). Tipping Elements in the Earth’s Climate System. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, 105(6): 1786-1793. http://www.pnas.org/content/105/6/1786.full.pdf

Lipschutz, R (2018). Eco-utopia or Eco-catastrophe? Imagining California as an Ecological Utopia. Elementa Science of the Anthropocene. 6:65. https://www.elementascience.org/articles/10.1525/elementa.320/

Mann, C (2018). The Worst Effects of Climate Change May Not be Felt for Centuries. So How Should We Think About it Now? Ideas.Ted.Com. https://ideas.ted.com/the-worst-effects-of-climate-change-may- not-be-felt-for-centuries-so-how-should-we-think-about-it-now/

Marshall, M (2018). A Simple Guide To All The Scary And Depressing Climate Change News At The Moment. Forbes. https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelmarshalleurope/2018/11/29/a-simple-guide-to-all-the- scary-and-depressing-climate-change-news-at-the-moment/#929a1a4776ad

Mauger, Casola, Morgan, Strauch, Jones, Curry, Busch Isaksen, Whitely Binder, Krosby, and Snover, (2015). State of Knowledge: Climate Change in Puget Sound. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. https://cig.uw.edu/resources/special-reports/ps-sok/

McKibben, B (2017). Winning Slowly is the Same as Losing. Rolling Stone. https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/bill-mckibben-winning-slowly-is-the-same-as-losing-198205/

Menker, S (2017). A Global Food Crisis May Be Less than a Decade Away. TED. https://www.ted.com/talks/sara_menker_a_global_food_crisis_may_be_only_a_decade_away

Millennium Alliance for Humanity and the Biosphere (2019). Responding to the Human Predicament. Reducing the Threat of a Shattering Collapse of Civilization. https://mahb.stanford.edu/ [An impressive collection of articles with frequent additions.]

Miller, I, Morgan, H, Mauger G, Newton, T, Weldon, R, Schmidt, D, Welch, M and Grossman, E (2018). Projected Sea Level Rise for Washington State: A 2018 Assessment. The Washington Coastal Resilience Project. A collaboration of Washington Sea Grant, University of Washington Climate Impacts Group, Oregon State University, University of Washington, and US Geological Survey. https://cig.uw.edu/resources/special-reports/sea-level-rise-in-washington-state-a-2018-assessment/

Mongillo, T, Ylitalo, G, Rhodes, L, O’Neill, S, Noren, D and Hanson, M (2016). Exposure to a Mixture of Toxic Chemicals: Implications for the Health of Endangered Southern Resident Killer Whales. U.S. Dept. Commerce, NOAA Tech. Memo. NMFS-NWFSC-135, 107 p. https://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/assets/25/8314_11302016_111957_TechMemo135.pdf

Mora, C et al., (2018). Broad Threat to Humanity from Cumulative Climate Hazards Intensified by Greenhouse Gas Emissions. Nature Climate Change, 8: 1062–1071. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-018-0315-6

Myers, S (2009). Global Environmental Change: The Threat to Human Health. Worldwatch Report 181. www.worldwatch.org/system/files/181%20Health%20and%20Environment.pdf

National Resource Defense Council (2010). Water Facts - Climate Change, Water, and Risk: Current Water Demands Are Not Sustainable. http://www.nrdc.org/globalWarming/watersustainability/files/WaterRisk.pdf

Newkirk, V (2018). Climate Change is Already Damaging Democracy. The Atlantic. https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2018/10/climate-change-damaging-american-democracy/573769/

Nuwer, R (2017). How Western Civilisation Could Collapse. BBC Future, April 18. http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20170418-how-western-civilisation-could-collapse

Orlov, D (2013). The Five Stages of Collapse. New Society Publishers.

Orr, D (2009). Down to the Wire: Confronting Climate Collapse. Oxford Univ. Press.

Park C, Jeong, S, Joshi, M, Osborn, T, Ho, C, Piao, S, Chen, D, Liu, J, Yang, H, Park, H, Kim, B, and Feng, S (2018). Keeping Global Warming Within 1.5 °C Constrains Emergence of Aridification. Nature Climate Change, 6:70-74.

Post Carbon Institute (2010). The Post Carbon Reader: Managing the 21st Century's Sustainability Crises. https://www.scribd.com/lists/3724981/The-Post-Carbon-Reader-Managing-the-21st-Century-s- Sustainability-Crises-2010 [30 essays by “some of the most provocative thinkers on the key issues shaping our new century, from renewable energy and urban agriculture to social justice and community resilience.”]

Potts, S, Biesmeijer, J, Kremen, C, Neumann, P, Schweiger, O, and Kunin, W (2010). Global Pollinator Declines: Trends, Impacts and Drivers. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 25(6):345-353. https://wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/handle/20.500.11822/17836/Global_Pollinator_Declines_Trends_Impacts_ Dr.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y

Randers, J (2008). Global Collapse – Fact or Fiction? Futures, 40: 853-864. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S001632870800092X

Rees, M (2014). Existential Risks. Sustainable Humanity, Sustainable Nature: Our Responsibility Pontifical Academy of Sciences, Extra Series 41, Vatican City. http://www.pas.va/content/dam/accademia/pdf/es41/es41- rees.pdf

Rigaud, K, Kanta, de Sherbinin, A, Jones, B, Bergmann, J, Clement, V, Ober, K, Schewe, J, Adamo, S, McCusker, B, Heuser, S, and Midgley, A (2018). Groundswell: Preparing for Internal Climate Migration. The World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/29461

Ripple, W, Wolf, C, Galetti, M, Newsome, T, Alamgir, M, Crist, E, Mahmoud, M, Laurance, W (2017). World Scientists’ Warning to Humanity: A Second Notice. Bioscience, 67(12). https://academic.oup.com/bioscience/article/67/12/1026/4605229

Samset, B, Sand, M, Smith, C, Bauer, S, Forster, P, Fuglestvedt, J, Osprey, S and Schleussner, C (2018). Climate Impacts from a Removal of Anthropogenic Aerosol Emissions. Geophysical Research Letters, 45: 1020-1029. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2017GL076079

Schewe, J and Lissner, T (2016). Water and Climate Change. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. International Center for Climate Governance. http://www.iccgov.org/en/video/water-and-climate-change/

Science and Security Board (2019). 2019 Doomsday Clock Statement - A New Abnormal: It is Still Two Minutes to Midnight. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/current-time/

Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity (2014). Global Biodiversity Outlook 4. Montréal, 155 p. https://www.cbd.int/gbo4/

Shah, A (2014). Loss of Biodiversity and Extinctions. Global Issues, January. http://www.globalissues.org/article/171/loss-of-biodiversity-and-extinctions

Shepherd, A, Mitchell, T, Lewis, K, Lenhardt, A, Jones, L, Scott, L, and Muir-Wood, R (2013). The Geography of Poverty, Disasters and Climate Extremes in 2030. Overseas Development Institute. https://www.odi.org/sites/odi.org.uk/files/odi-assets/publications-opinion-files/8633.pdf

Solomon, O and Palanisami, T (2016). Microplastics in the Marine Environment: Current Status, Assessment Methodologies, Impacts and Solutions. Jour of Pollutant Effects & Control, 4(2): https://www.omicsonline.org/open-access/microplastics-in-the-marine-environment-current-status- assessment-methodologies-impacts-and-solutions-2375-4397-1000161.php?aid=72325

Speth, JG (2008). The Bridge at the Edge of the World. Yale Univ. Press. Pp: 17-45.

Speth, JG (2012). America the Possible: A Manifesto, Part 1. Orion Magazine, March/April. http://www.orionmagazine.org/index.php/articles/article/6681/

Steffen, W, et al., (2015). Planetary Boundaries: Guiding Human Development on a Changing Planet. Science, 347(6223). http://science.sciencemag.org/content/347/6223/1259855

Sweet, W, Kopp, R, Weaver, C, Obeysekera, J, Horton, R, Thieler, R and Zervas, C (2017). Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States. NOAA Technical Report NOS CO-OPS 083. U.S. Dept. of Commerce. https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/publications/techrpt83_Global_and_Regional_SLR_Scenarios_for_the_US_final.pdf

United Nations World Water Assessment Programme (2015). The United Nations World Water Development Report 2015: Water for a Sustainable World. UNESCO. https://unesdoc.unesco.org/ark:/48223/pf0000231823

U.S. Global Change Research Program (2018a). Fourth National Climate Assessment, V II: Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United States. https://nca2018.globalchange.gov/

U.S. Global Change Research Program (2018b). Chapter 24: Northwest, in Fourth National Climate Assessment, V II: Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United States. https://nca2018.globalchange.gov/chapter/24/

V-Dem Institute Team (2018). Democracy for All? V-Dem Annual Democracy Report. Univ. of Gothenburg. https://www.v-dem.net/media/filer_public/3f/19/3f19efc9-e25f-4356-b159-b5c0ec894115/v- dem_democracy_report_2018.pdf

Vorosmarty, C, McIntyre, P, Gessner, M, Dudgeon, D, Prusevich, A, Green, P, Glidden, S, Bunn, S, Sullivan, C, Reidy, C, Liermann, C, and Davies, P (2010). Global Threats to Human Water Security and River Biodiversity. Nature, 467: 555-561. http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v467/n7315/full/nature09440.html

Wallace-Wells, D (2017). The Uninhabitable Earth. New York Magazine, July. http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2017/07/climate-change-earth-too-hot-for-humans.html

Wallace-Wells, D (2018). UN Says Climate Genocide is Coming. It’s Actually Worse than That. New York Magazine, October 10. http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2018/10/un-says-climate-genocide-coming-but-its- worse-than-that.html

Walsh, S, Jelks, H, and Burkhead, N (2009). The Decline of North American Freshwater Fishes. Action Bioscience. http://www.actionbioscience.org/biodiversity/walsh.html?print

Watson, P (2015). How Are the Animals Doing?, in Atmosphere of Hope: Searching for Solutions to the Climate Crisis. Grove Press, NY. https://ncse.com/files/pub/evolution/excerpt--atmosphere.pdf

Wattigney, W, Irvin-Barnwell, E, Pavuk, M and Ragin-Wilson, A (2015). Regional Variation in Human Exposure to Persistent Organic Pollutants in the United States, NHANES. Jour of Environmental Public Health, 2015: 571839. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4709617/

Watts, N, et al., (2018). The 2018 Report of the Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change: Shaping the Health of Nations for Centuries to Come. The Lancet, 392 (10163): 2479-2514. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(18)32594-7/fulltext

Webster, D (2017). Scape Goats, Silver Bullets, and Other Pitfalls in the Path to Sustainability. Elementa Science of the Anthropocene. 5:7. https://www.elementascience.org/article/10.1525/elementa.212/

World Meteorological Organization (2018). WMO Statement on the State of the Global Climate in 2017. WMO-No. 1212. https://library.wmo.int/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=20220#.XFZih1VKipq

Eco-grief

Albeck-Ripka, L (2017). Why Lost Ice Means Lost Hope for an Inuit Village. New York Times, Nov. 25, 2017. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/11/25/climate/arctic-climate-change.html

American Psychological Association (2017). Climate Change's Toll On Mental Health. https://www.apa.org/news/press/releases/2017/03/mental-health-climate.pdf

Atkinson, J (2018). Addressing Climate Grief Makes You a Badass, Not a Snowflake. High Country News. https://www.hcn.org/articles/opinion-addressing-climate-grief-makes-you-a-badass-not-a-snowflake

Dahl, K (2018). Feeling Blue About Climate Change? You’re Not Alone. Union of Concerned Scientists. EcoWatch. https://www.ecowatch.com/climate-change-grief-2624799890.html

Doppelt, B (2016). Transformational Resilience. Routledge.

Ellis, N and Cunsolo, A (2018). Ecological Grief as a Mental Health Response to Climate Change- related Loss. Nature Climate Change, 8:275–281. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-018-0092-2

Ellis, N and Cunsolo, A (2018). Hope and Mourning in the Anthropocene: Understanding Ecological Grief. The Conversation. https://theconversation.com/hope-and-mourning-in-the-anthropocene- understanding-ecological-grief-88630

Jensen, D (2006). Beyond Hope. Orion Magazine. https://orionmagazine.org/article/beyond-hope/

Maniates, M (2013). Teaching for Turbulence, in State of the World 2013: Is Sustainability Still Possible? The Worldwatch Institute. http://library.uniteddiversity.coop/More_Books_and_Reports/State_of_the_World/State_of_the_World_2013- Is_Sustainability_Still_Possible.pdf

Mind Over Chatter (2018). Exploring Climate Psychology. Climate One, November 29, 2018. https://climateone.org/audio/mind-over-chatter-exploring-climate-psychology

Mooallem, J (2017). Our Climate Future Is Actually Our Climate Present. New York Times Magazine. April 19. https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/19/magazine/our-climate-future-is-actually-our-climate- present.html?_r=0

Nelson, M (2011). To a Future Without Hope, in Moral Ground: Ethical Action for a Planet in Peril. Trinity University Press. http://moralground.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/11/MichaelNelson.pdf

Richardson, J (2015). When the End of Human Civilization Is Your Day Job. Esquire, August. https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/a36228/ballad-of-the-sad-climatologists-0815/

Roberts, D (2017). Does Hope Inspire More Action on Climate Change than Fear? We Don't Know. Vox, Dec. 5. https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2017/12/5/16732772/emotion-climate-change- communication

Scher, A (2018). Climate Grief': The Growing Emotional Toll of Climate Change. NBC News, Dec. 24. https://www.nbcnews.com/health/mental-health/climate-grief-growing-emotional-toll-climate-change-n946751

Solnit, R (2010). A Paradise Built in Hell. Penguin,

Wildcat, D (2009). Red Alert! Saving the Planet with Indigenous Knowledge. Speaker's Corner.

Future Scenarios Analyses

Beery, J, Eidinow, E, and Murphy, N (1997). The Mont Fleur Scenarios: What Will South Africa Be Like in the Year 2002? Deeper News, 7(1). Global Business Network. https://reospartners.com/wp- content/uploads/old/Mont%20Fleur.pdf [Also, check out these related videos: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f92RYCZMwEk, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GNORlqf7Ipo, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_uE4b5KShp8]

Bishop, P Hines, A, and Collins, T (2007). The Current State of Scenario Development: An Overview of Techniques. Foresight, 9(1): 5-25. https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Andy_Hines/publication/228623754_The_current_state_of_scenario_dev elopment_An_overview_of_techniques/links/0f31753c036cf1a857000000/The-current-state-of-scenario- development-An-overview-of-techniques.pdf?origin=publication_detail

Cork, S, Peterson, G, Petschel-Held, G, Alcamo, J, Alder, J, Bennet, E, Carr, E, Deane, D, Nelson, G, Ribeiro, T, Butler, C, Mendiondo, E, Oluoch-Kosura, W, and Zurek, M (2001). Four Scenarios, in Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. http://www.millenniumassessment.org/documents/document.332.aspx.pdf

Great Transition Initiative (2016). Global Scenarios. http://greattransition.org/explore/scenarios

International Panel on Climate Change (2018). Scenario Process for AR5. http://sedac.ipcc- data.org/ddc/ar5_scenario_process/scenario_overview.html

Hunt, D and 26 co-authors (2012). Scenario Archetypes: Converging Rather than Diverging Themes. Sustainability, 4(4), 740-772. https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/4/4/740

Kahane, A (2013). Transformative Scenario Planning: A Tool for Systemic Change. Social Space, 16-22. https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1109&context=lien_research

McPhearson, T, Iwaniec, D and Bai, X (2016). Positive Visions for Guiding Urban Transformations Toward Sustainable Futures. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 22: 33-40. https://static1.squarespace.com/static/552ec5f5e4b07754ed72c4d2/t/59439c42f5e231a68c4c248e/14976031478 44/mcphearson+et+al.+2017+cosust.pdf

Nakicenovic, N, Lempert, R and Janetos, A (2014). Special Issue: A Framework for the Development of New Socio-economic Scenarios for Climate Change Research. Climatic Change, 122(3). https://link.springer.com/journal/10584/122/3

O’Neill, B et al., (2017). The Roads Ahead: Narratives for Shared Socioeconomic Pathways Describing World Futures in the 21st Century. Global Environmental Change, 42, Pp. 169-180. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0959378015000060

Raskin, P, Banuri, T, Gallopin, G, Gutman, P, Hammond, A, Kates, R, and Swart, R (2002). Great Transition: The Promise and Lure of the Times Ahead. Stockholm Environmental Institute. http://greattransition.org/documents/Great_Transition.pdf

Rosengrant, M, Cai, X, and Cline, S (2002). World Water and Food to 2025: Dealing with Scarcity. International Food Policy Research Institute. https://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/1B0BBA6D1080C010C1256C6E002E1D17-ifpri- water2025-16oct.pdf

University of Washington Urban Ecology Research Lab (2008). Puget Sound Future Scenarios. http://urbaneco.washington.edu/wp/research/future-without/

World Business Council Scenario Unit (2000). Biotechnology Scenarios 2000-2050: Using the Future to Explore the Present. World Business Council for Sustainable Development. http://www.blue- way.net/assets/biotech.pdf

World Ocean Review (2017). The IPCC Scenarios, in Wolrd Ocean Review 5: Coasts – A Vital Habitat Under Pressure. https://worldoceanreview.com/en/wor-5/climate-change-threats-and-natural-hazards/climate- change-and-the-coasts/the-ipcc-scenarios/

Hopeful Resources

Bennett, E and 21 co-authors (2016). Bright Spots: Seeds of a Good Anthropocene. Front Ecol Environ, 14(8): 441–448. http://www.pecs-science.org/download/18.8693cf81571d344d79544/1475845149855/Bennett_et_al-2016- Frontiers_in_Ecology_and_the_Environment.pdf

Carlock, G and Mangan, E (2018). A Green New Deal: A Progressive Vision for Environmental Sustainability and Economic Stability. Data for Progress. https://www.dataforprogress.org/green-new- deal/

Common Ground Media (2009). I Will Be a Hummingbird, video clip from Dirt! The Movie, directed by Benenson, B, Rosow, G and Dailly, E. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IGMW6YWjMxw

Durning, A (2005). Sustainability’s Slow-motion Revolution. Sightline Institute. http://www.sightline.org/research_item/slow-motion-revolution-full-article/

Eco Tipping Points.Org (2019). The Eco Tipping Points Project: Models for Success in a Time of Crisis. http://www.ecotippingpoints.org/

Elders Climate Action (2019). https://www.eldersclimateaction.org/

Happiness Alliance (2019). https://www.happycounts.org/

Herold, K (2017). The Rights of Nature: Indigenous Philosophies Reframing Law. Intercontinental Cry. https://intercontinentalcry.org/rights-nature-indigenous-philosophies-reframing-law/

International Youth Climate Movement (2019). https://youthclimatemovement.wordpress.com/

Jensen, D (2006). Beyond Hope. Orion Magazine. https://orionmagazine.org/article/beyond-hope/

Kahane, A (2007). Solving Tough Problems: An Open Way of Talking, Listening, and Creating New Realities. Berrett-Koehler Publishers, 2nd edition. http://www.academia.edu/3223136/Solving_tough_problems_An_open_way_of_talking_listening_and_creating _new_realities

Kahane, A (2010). How To Change the Future. RSA Public Services and Communities talk. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XiGS9Vq0FGA

Kelsey, E (2016). Propagating Collective Hope in the Midst of Environmental Doom and Gloom. Canadian Journal of Environmental Education, 21. https://cjee.lakeheadu.ca/article/view/1415

Kretz, L (2012). Hope in Environmental Philosophy. Funded Articles, 11. https://scholarworks.gvsu.edu/oapsf_articles/11/

Local 20/20 (2019). https://l2020.org/

Lynch, T (2017). Why Hope Is Dangerous When It Comes To Climate Change. Slate. https://slate.com/technology/2017/07/why-climate-change-discussions-need-apocalyptic-thinking.html

Macy, J (2012). Active Hope: How to Face the Mess We're in Without Going Crazy. New World Library.

Matthews, D (2018). 23 Charts and Maps that Show the World is Getting Much Better. Vox. https://www.vox.com/2014/11/24/7272929/global-poverty-health-crime-literacy-good-news

Monbiot, G (2017). George Monbiot – Out of the Wreckage – A New Politics for an Age of Crisis. The Gaia Foundation. YouTube video. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uE63Y7srr_Y

Orr, D (2004). The Hour Before the Dawn. Yes Magazine. http://www.yesmagazine.org/article.asp?ID=1015

Orr, D (2009). Millennial Hope, in Down to the Wire: Confronting Climate Collapse. Oxford Univ. Press. Pp: 181-202.

Pinker, S (2018). Is the World Getting Better or Worse? A Look at the Numbers. TED Conferences. https://www.ted.com/talks/steven_pinker_is_the_world_getting_better_or_worse_a_look_at_the_numbers#t-377167

Remington-Doucette, Sonya (2017). Sustainable World: Approaches to Analyzing and Resolving Wicked Problems. Kendall Hunt Publishing, 2nd edition.

Revill, C and Harris, V (2017). 2020: The Climate Turning Point. Mission 2020. http://www.mission2020.global/wp-content/uploads/2020-The-Climate-Turning-Point.pdf

Rifkin, J (2010). The Empathic Civilisation. The Royal Society of the Arts Animate. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l7AWnfFRc7g

Runciman, D (2018). Fatalism, Freedom, and the Fight for America’s Future. Boston Review. http://bostonreview.net/politics-philosophy-religion/david-runciman-fatalism-freedom-and-fight-americas-future

Schwartzberg, L (2014). What’s Possible: UN Climate Summit Opening Film. Moving Art Studio. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-vaajVtgRuI

Seeds of a Good Anthropocene (2019). McGill University, the Stockholm Resilience Centre at Stockholm University, and the Centre for Complex Systems in Transition at Stellenbosch University. https://goodanthropocenes.net/

Society of Fearless Grandmothers (2019). https://www.facebook.com/fearlessgrandmothers/

Steffen, A (2016). The Politics of Optimism. Alex Steffen.com http://www.alexsteffen.com/the_politics_of_optimism

Sunrise Movement (2019). https://www.sunrisemovement.org/

Transition US (2019). Transition United States. http://transitionus.org/

Vaidyanathan, G (2018). Science and Culture: Imagining a Climate-change Future, Without the Dystopia. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(51): 12832-12835. https://www.pnas.org/content/115/51/12832/tab-article-info

World Health Organization (2018). COP24 Special Report: Health & Climate Change. https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/276405/9789241514972-eng.pdf