The Plant Phenology Monitoring Design for the National Ecological Observatory Network Sarah Elmendorf
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
University of Montana ScholarWorks at University of Montana Numerical Terradynamic Simulation Group Numerical Terradynamic Simulation Group Publications 4-2016 The plant phenology monitoring design for The National Ecological Observatory Network Sarah Elmendorf Katherine D. Jones Benjamin I. Cook Jeffrey M. Diez Carolyn A. F. Enquist See next page for additional authors Let us know how access to this document benefits ouy . Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarworks.umt.edu/ntsg_pubs Recommended Citation Elmendorf, S. C., K. D. Jones, B. I. Cook, J. M. Diez, C. A. F. Enquist, R. A. Hufft, M. O. Jones, S. J. Mazer, A. J. Miller-Rushing, D. J. P. Moore, M. D. Schwartz, and J. F. Weltzin. 2016. The lp ant phenology monitoring design for The aN tional Ecological Observatory Network. Ecosphere 7(4):e01303. 10.1002/ecs2.1303 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Numerical Terradynamic Simulation Group at ScholarWorks at University of Montana. It has been accepted for inclusion in Numerical Terradynamic Simulation Group Publications by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks at University of Montana. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Authors Sarah Elmendorf, Katherine D. Jones, Benjamin I. Cook, Jeffrey M. Diez, Carolyn A. F. Enquist, Rebecca A. Hufft, Matthew O. Jones, Susan J. Mazer, Abraham J. Miller-Rushing, David J. P. Moore, Mark D. Schwartz, and Jake F. Weltzin This article is available at ScholarWorks at University of Montana: https://scholarworks.umt.edu/ntsg_pubs/405 SPECIAL FEATURE: NEON DESIGN The plant phenology monitoring design for The National Ecological Observatory Network Sarah C. Elmendorf,1,2,†Katherine D. Jones,1 Benjamin I. Cook,3 Jeffrey M. Diez,4 Carolyn A. F. Enquist,5,6 Rebecca A. Hufft,7 Matthew O. Jones,8 Susan J. Mazer,9 Abraham J. Miller-Rushing,10 David J. P. Moore,11 Mark D. Schwartz,12 and Jake F. Weltzin13 1The National Ecological Observatory Network, 1685 38th St., Boulder, Colorado 80301 USA 2Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado 80309 USA 3NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, 2880 Broadway, New York, New York 10025 USA 4Department of Botany and Plant Sciences, University of California, Riverside, California 92521 USA 5USA National Phenology Network, National Coordinating Office, 1955 E. 6th Street, Tucson, Arizona 85719 USA 6DOI Southwest Climate Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, 1064 E. Lowell Street, Tucson, Arizona 85721 USA 7Denver Botanic Gardens, 909 York Street, Denver, Colorado 80206 USA 8Department of Forest Ecosystems and Society, Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon 97331 USA 9Department of Ecology, Evolution and Marine Biology, University of California, Santa Barbara, California 93106 USA 10National Park Service, Acadia National Park and Schoodic Education and Research Center, Bar Harbor, Maine 04660 USA 11School of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona, 1064 East Lowell Street, Tucson, Arizona 85721 USA 12Department of Geography, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, PO Box 413, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53201 USA 13US Geological Survey, 1955 East 6th St., Tucson, Arizona 85721 USA Citation: Elmendorf, S. C., K. D. Jones, B. I. Cook, J. M. Diez, C. A. F. Enquist, R. A. Hufft, M. O. Jones, S. J. Mazer, A. J. Miller-Rushing, D. J. P. Moore, M. D. Schwartz, and J. F. Weltzin. 2016. The plant phenology monitoring design for The National Ecological Observatory Network. Ecosphere 7(4):e01303. 10.1002/ecs2.1303 Abstract. Phenology is an integrative science that comprises the study of recurring biological activities or events. In an era of rapidly changing climate, the relationship between the timing of those events and envi- ronmental cues such as temperature, snowmelt, water availability, or day length are of particular interest. This article provides an overview of the observer-based plant phenology sampling conducted by the U.S. National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON), the resulting data, and the rationale behind the design. Trained technicians will conduct regular in situ observations of plant phenology at all terrestrial NEON sites for the 30- yr life of the observatory. Standardized and coordinated data across the network of sites can be used to quantify the direction and magnitude of the relationships between phenology and environmen- tal forcings, as well as the degree to which these relationships vary among sites, among species, among phe- nophases, and through time. Vegetation at NEON sites will also be monitored with tower-based cameras, satellite remote sensing, and annual high- resolution airborne remote sensing. Ground- based measurements can be used to calibrate and improve satellite- derived phenometrics. NEON’s phenology monitoring design is complementary to existing phenology research efforts and citizen science initiatives throughout the world and will produce interoperable data. By collocating plant phenology observations with a suite of additional meteorological, biophysical, and ecological measurements (e.g., climate, carbon flux, plant productivity, population dynamics of consumers) at 47 terrestrial sites, the NEON design will enable continental- scale inference about the status, trends, causes, and ecological consequences of phenological change. Key words: long-term monitoring; NEON; open-source data; plant phenology; sample design; Special Feature: NEON Design. Received 30 July 2015; revised 6 November 2015; accepted 12 November 2015. Corresponding Editor: E.-L. Hinckley. Copyright: © 2016 Elmendorf et al. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. † E-mail: [email protected] v www.esajournals.org 1 April 2016 v Volume 7(4) v Article e01303 SPECIAL FEATURE: NEON DESIGN ELMENDORF ET AL. INTRODUCTION within a growing season, and the southern limit by insufficient chilling to break bud dormancy. The overarching mission of NEON is to enable Phenological plasticity may be a beneficial trait. understanding and forecasting of the impacts of Species whose activity patterns closely track in- climate change, land use change, and the intro- terannual climate variability tend to have im- duction of invasive species on ecosystem struc- proved growth, productivity, or reproductive ture and function (see Thorpe et al., unpublished success than those that do not (Cleland et al. manuscript). Tracking the timing of seasonally 2012). In other cases, however, early greenup or recurring life cycle events (phenology) is thus a floral bud development in response to anoma- natural focal area of study for the Observatory. lously early arrival of spring can be detrimental. Plant phenological transitions may be triggered Phenological advancement in response to warm by a variety of cues, including chilling, spring spring temperatures followed by a late frost can temperature, growing degree days, and daylight have catastrophic effects on fruit and seed pro- (Chuine 2000); many of these factors are likely to duction, and canopy development (Inouye 2008, shift significantly over the next 30 yr (IPCC 2013). Hufkens et al. 2012). Changes in phenology have been observed for Climate- induced changes in phenology can many taxa across the earth (Parmesan and Yohe create feedbacks that alter biogeochemical cy- 2003). The onset of spring phenological events cling and species interactions (Melillo et al. 2014). advanced at an estimated mean rate of 1.2 d per Changes in the timing of leaf budburst and se- decade from 1955 to 2002, across the Northern nescence affect surface radiation, near surface Hemisphere, likely caused by recent climate temperature, hydrology, and carbon cycling warming (Schwartz et al. 2006). Observational (Churkina et al. 2005, Bonan 2008, Richardson and experimental studies indicate that plants et al. 2010, Jeong et al. 2012, 2013). An analysis flower on average ~5 d earlier per 1 °C increase in of more than a dozen models included in the spring temperature (Wolkovich et al. 2012) and North American Carbon Program (NACP) Inter- current projections indicate that spring phenolo- im Synthesis indicated across all models, sites, gy could advance by between 1 and 10 d over the and years of data, for each forest type; errors of planned 30- yr lifespan of the NEON observatory up to 25 d in predictions of “spring onset” were (IPCC 2013). Many species, however, delay flow- common, and errors of up to 50 d were observed ering in response to increases in winter or spring (Richardson et al. 2012). From the general posi- temperatures (Mazer et al. 2013), and there is tive relationship between carbon uptake and sea- still much to learn about the causes of variation son length derived from a synthesis of a range among species and higher taxa in the direction of eddy covariance sites, the largest phenologi- and magnitude of their phenological responses cal errors in current models would translate into to both temperature and rainfall (Mazer et al. between ~150 and ~450 g/m2 of carbon annually 2013, 2015). (Churkina et al. 2005). Differential responses to Beyond providing an indicator of climate phenological cues between plants, consumers, change, the timing of phenological transitions and/or pollinators can disrupt the overlap in ac- is also a potentially important driver of demo- tivity periods among interacting organisms, po- graphic trajectories and biogeographic distri-