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2016 Post-Election Report LIBERTARIAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE BALLOT ACCESS COMMITTEE 2016 POST-ELECTION REPORT Presented at the LNC meeting on December 20th, 2016. TABLE OF CONTENTS OVERVIEW …………………………………… Page 2 2016 SUMMARY ………………………….….. Page 3 SUGGESTIONS FOR IMPROVEMENT …… Page 5 BALLOT ACCESS 2018 …………….………. Page 6 STATE BY STATE ANALYSIS ………………. Page 13 MEETING MINUTES ………………………… Page 65 SUPPLEMENTAL REPORT ………………… Page 82 Page 1 OVERVIEW About this report This report attempts to comply with the word and spirit of the requirements outlined in the LNC Policy Manual for the post-election Ballot Access Committee Report. Election results are as reported as of 11/30. Secretaries of State are the source of this information unless otherwise noted. Sources of information Information for this report was gathered from the LNC Staff, the Johnson Campaign, and State Parties. The LNC Staff provided the Ballot Access information current from early 2016, and the expenditures of the LNC on ballot access, as well as support in creating this report. The Johnson Campaign provided estimates on how much was spent by the campaign in each state specific to ballot access. State Chairs were asked to provide how much was spent by their State Party to obtain Presidential ballot access. Information about electoral results was gathered either from the Secretary of State, or from the New York Times when SoS data was unavailable. Data gathered from the various state SoS websites is current as of 12/2. The NYT website was updated and is current as of 11/29. In some cases, the SoS website for a state lagged behind the NYT (as determined by number of votes tallied) and in those cases the NYT numbers are used. Committee Members Voting Committee Members Non-voting Committee Advisors Staff Contributors Ken Moellman, Chair Paul Frankel, Petitioner (and scribe) Wes Benedict Mark Axinn Chris Thrasher, Johnson/Weld Andy Burns Ed Marsh Nick Dunbar Bill Redpath Carla Howell Richard Winger Bob Johnston Robert Kraus Credits and Thank You As the chair of this committee, I would like to take this opportunity like to thank each and every contributor for their time and dedication to both the task of obtaining 50+DC access in 2016, and supplying the information for this report. It is important to understand the truly monumental task that is 50+DC. No one else outside of the D/Rs did it. I thank my fellow committeemen, my fellow LNC members, the LNC staff, state petition coordinators, every Libertarian petitioner, and every petition signer - past and present. And of course, our donors, without whom this wouldn’t be possible. While thousands of hours were donated to ballot access in 2016 (over 100 hours just to prepare this report alone), that time pales in comparison to the time of many dedicated activists and leaders who have given selflessly to grow the Libertarian Party in the past 45 years. We stand upon your shoulders to continue to push for liberty. This organization we call the Libertarian Party shows that libertarianism, the philosophy, works; through mutual voluntary association, we can accomplish great things. It speaks to the strength of our organization that we are able to accomplish such great things. Here’s to 2016, the 45 years before, and to the next 45 years. Thank you, Libertarians, of the past, the present, and the future. Thank you, Ken Moellman, Comittee Chair Page 2 2016 SUMMARY LNC Spent Signatures Cost per Signature JW16 Budget LNC Johnson State/Other Total Required Collected Valid Required Collected Valid Result AL $15,000.00 $18,750.00 $0.00 $5,000.00 $23,750.00 5,000 12,000 --- $4.714 $1.979 --- 2.09% AR $26,000.00 $24,997.50 $0.00 $8,273.10 $33,270.60 10,000 15,609 11,918 $3.327 $2.132 $2.791 2.6 % CT $25,000 $45,003.61 **$2,000.00 $7,640.41 $54,644.02 7,500 16,500 --- $7.289 $3.312 --- 3.0 % DC $36,000 $40,893.00 **$8,500.00 $0.00 $49,393.00 4,421 18,501 --- $11.172 $2.670 --- 1.57% IA $0.00 $764.07 **$500.00 0.00 $1264.07 1,500 2,282 $0.843 $0.554 --- 3.78% IL $50,000 + $59,291.03 **$51,000.00 $40,010.00 $150,301.03 25,000 54,039 --- $6.012 $2.781 --- 3.8 % KY $15,000 $9,230.00 **$5,000.00 $20,002.00 $34,232.00 5,000 12,868 8,304 $6.846 $2.660 $4.122 2.79% MA $25,000 $26,250.00 $0.00 $13,795.00 $40,045.00 10,000 17,410 14,704 $4.005 $2.300 $2.723 4.2 % ME* $3,000.00 $2,000.00 **$4,500.00 $39,000.00 $45,500.00 5,000 7,659 5,200 $9.100 $5.941 $8.750 5.1 % MN $0.00 $13.50 **$200.00 $0.00 $213.50 2,000 3,211 --- $0.107 $0.066 --- 3.84% MT $3,722.20 $3,722.20 $0.00 $0.00 $3722.20 0 0 0 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 5.7 % NH $15,000.00 $36,088.83 **$1,500.00 $0.00 $37,588.83 3,000 5,835 --- $12.530 $6.442 --- 4.1 % NJ $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1,800.00 $1,800.00 800 1,924 --- $2.250 $0.936 --- 1.9 % NY $25,000.00 $45,000.00 $17,000.00 $12,500.00 $74,500.00 15,000 32,617 --- $4.967 $2.284 --- 2.26% OH $12,500 $19,894.13 $0.00 $1,000 $20,894.13 5,000 12,407 6,730 $4.179 $1.684 $3.105 3.2 % OK $60,000 $101,365.00 $0.00 $0.00 $101,365.00 24,745 42,183 28,967 $4.096 $2.403 $3.499 5.7 % PA $62,000 $42,318.29 **$500.00 $7430.66 $50,248.95 4,000 26,342 --- $12.562 $1.908 --- 2.40% RI $2,500 $2,000.00 **$7,500.00 $0.00 $9,500.00 1,000 2,150 --- $9.500 $4.419 --- 3.18% SD $20,000.00 $14,738.10 $0.00 $0.00 14,738.10 6,936 7,680 7,066 $2.125 $1.919 $2.086 5.63% TN $0.00 $0.00 **$100.00 $300.00 $400.00 275 523 --- $1.455 $0.765 --- 2.82% VA $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $12,013.35 $12,013.35 5,000 9,692 6,500 $2.403 $1.240 $1.848 2.97% WA $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $500.00 $500.00 1,000 1,782 --- $0.500 $0.281 --- 5.01% T $395,722.20 $492,319.26 **$98,300.00 $169,264.52 $759,883.78 142,177 303,214 --- $5.345 $2.506 --- --- Anything in italics is an estimate based upon the best information available. + The Johnson Campaign directly contributed $20,000 to the LNC for the IL drive, reducing the LNC’s burden by $20,000. The LNC had spent $79,291.03. * Maine was a voter registration drive ** Johnson campaign estimated spending The number one issue in 2016 was the unexpected increase in petitioning rates. In 2012, the “going rate” was approximately $2 per signature. In 2016, rates started at $2.50 per raw signature (at 2/3rds validity), and increased throughout the drive, with some states reaching $4 per signature. Costs were higher in the bigger states, compounding the cost increases. All information was collected in good faith, and there are amounts that are not calculated, including in-kind donations of printing, organizing, distribution, collecting, collation, and submission. To collect this information in the future will require additional organization and better coordination with the state affiliates and with the campaign. For some states, the information on validity rates will never be reasonably available. The Johnson campaign believes they have contributed over $180,000, however, they were unable to provide details on such expenditures due to internal bookkeeping methodologies. If that is accepted and added, the total cost for 2016 access would be $841,583.78. ​ ​ Page 3 State Election Certification Dates State Certification/canvassing date Alabama 11/30/16 Alaska 11/29/16 Arizona 12/05/16 Source: BallotPedia Arkansas 11/23/16 California 12/10/16 Colorado 12/08/16 Connecticut 11/30/16 Not all states were certified at the time that this report was Delaware 11/10/16 completed. Therefore the results for the campaign are given from Florida 11/22/16 the best source available at the time. Georgia 11/22/16 Hawaii No formal deadline Election results in this report were compiled on 12/4/2016. ​ Idaho 11/25/16 Illinois 12/09/16 Election results are from the Secretary of State’s website, or from Indiana 11/29/16 the New York Times (which was updated on 11/29), whichever Iowa 12/05/16 had more up-to-date information, as determined by the total Kansas 12/01/16 number of votes tallied by each source. Kentucky 11/28/16 Louisiana 11/21/16 Maine 11/28/16 Maryland 12/13/16 Massachusetts 11/30/16 Michigan 11/28/16 Minnesota 11/29/16 Mississippi 12/08/16 Missouri 12/13/16 Montana 12/05/16 Nebraska 12/05/16 Nevada 11/22/16 New Hampshire No formal deadline New Jersey 12/06/16 New Mexico 11/29/16 New York 12/12/16 North Carolina 11/29/16 North Dakota 11/25/16 Ohio 11/29/16 Oklahoma 11/15/16 Oregon 12/08/16 Pennsylvania 11/28/16 Rhode Island No formal deadline South Carolina 11/18/16 South Dakota 11/15/16 Tennessee 11/28/16 Texas 12/12/16 Utah 11/22/16 Vermont 11/15/16 Virginia 11/21/16 Washington 12/08/16 West Virginia 12/08/16 Wisconsin 12/01/16 Wyoming 11/16/16 Page 4 SUGGESTIONS FOR IMPROVEMENT Create standard rates - We need to look at creating standard petitioning rates prior to going into a state.
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