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Paa2003finalprogram.Pdf POPULATION ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 2003 ANNUAL MEETING May 1-3 Hilton Minneapolis Minneapolis, Minnesota ! FINAL PROGRAM AND ABSTRACTS ! Population Association of America 8630 Fenton Street, Suite 722 Silver Spring, MD 20910 301.565.6710 fax 301.565.7850 www.popassoc.org SOCIAL SCIENCE THAT MATTERS AMERICA’S THE NEW RACE NEWCOMERS AND QUESTION THE DYNAMICS How the Census Counts OF DIVERSITY Multiracial Individuals JOEL PERLMANN FRANK D. B EAN & MARY C.WATERS,EDS. & GILLIAN STEVENS A volume in Copublished the ASA’s Rose Series with the Levy in Sociology Economics Institute $32.50 cloth $39.95 cloth 0-87154-124-6 228 pp. 0-87154-657-4 416 pp. ENGAGING TRUST IN THE LAW CULTURAL Encouraging Public DIFFERENCES Cooperation with the Police and Courts The Multicultural Challenge in Liberal TOM R.TYLER Democracies AND YUEN J. HUO RICHARD A. SHWEDER, $32.95 cloth MARTHA MINOW,& HAZEL 0-87154-889-5 272 pp. ROSE MARKUS,EDS. $49.95 cloth BEYOND SMOKE 0-87154-791-0 504 pp. AND MIRRORS Mexican Immigration SOCIAL in an Era of Free Trade CONTRACTS DOUGLAS MASSEY, UNDER STRESS JORGE DURAND, The Middle Classes & NOLAN J. MALONE of America, Europe, $29.95 cloth and Japan at the Turn 0-87154-589-6 216 pp. of the Century OLIVIER ZUNZ, THE CHANGING LEONARD SCHOPPA,& FACE OF HOME NOBUHIRO HIWATARI,EDS. $47.50 cloth The Transnational Lives 0-87154-997-2 448 pp. of the Second Generation PEGGY LEVITT & MARY C.WATERS,EDS. VISIT US AT $39.95 cloth 0-87154-517-9 424 pp. BOOTH #31 At bookstores now or call 1-800-524-6401 112 East 64th Street, New York,NY 10021 www.russellsage.org TABLE OF CONTENTS General Information........................................................................ 3 Meeting Rooms and Floor Plans..................................................... 4 Officers, Past Presidents and Past Secretary-Treasurers ................. 7 Program Committee, Local Arrangements Committee and Staff ... 8 Acknowledgements......................................................................... 9 PAA Fund Contributors ................................................................ 10 Exhibitors ..................................................................................... 12 Member Initiated Meetings ........................................................... 13 Program Summary ........................................................................ 17 Program ........................................................................................ 23 Program Abstracts....................................................................... 138 (Poster Session Abstracts Available Online, http://paa2003.princeton.edu) Index ........................................................................................... 330 Cover photo courtesy of The Greater Minneapolis Convention and Visitors Association HPN AD will insert with pages for printer GENERAL INFORMATION REGISTRATION - PAA Registration is located in Grand Ballroom Foyer, Third Floor. Hours are: Wednesday 12:30 pm - 8:30 pm Friday 7:30 am - 4:00 pm Thursday 7:30 am - 5:00 pm Saturday 8:00 am - 12:00 noon EXHIBITS - An exhibit of publications and software is located in the Grand Ballroom and Foyer, Third Floor. Hours are: Wednesday 12:30 pm - 5:00 pm Friday 9:00 am - 4:00 pm Thursday 7:30 am - 5:00 pm Saturday 9:00 am - 12:00 noon LOCAL INFORMATION DESK - Information about Minneapolis, PAA Restaurant Guide and Message Board, located in the Grand Ballroom Foyer, Third Floor. EMPLOYMENT EXCHANGE - Listings of job vacancies and a listing of prospective applicants are available at the Employment Exchange table in the exhibit area. ANNUAL MEMBERSHIP MEETING - Thursday, May 1, 5:30 - 6:30 pm, Grand Ballroom F, Third Floor. This is an opportunity for members to voice their opinions, discuss items of interest to PAA members, and query PAA officers about the affairs of the Association. CHILD CARE - Contact the hotel concierge. SPEAKER REHEARSAL ROOM - Located in Board Room 3, Third Floor. An LCD projector and overhead projector are available to authors who wish to practice their presentation. Hours are: Wednesday 2:00 pm - 5:00 pm Friday 8:00 am - 4:00 pm Thursday 8:00 am - 5:00 pm Saturday 8:00 am - 12:00 pm BADGE RECYCLE PROGRAM - Before you leave, please drop your badge holder in the designated receptacle in the registration area. TAPE RECORDING, VIDEO RECORDING OR PHOTOGRAPHS ARE NOT ALLOWED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION OF THE POPULATION ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA AND THE SPEAKER. PAA 2003 Annual Meeting Program 3 MEETING FACILITIES Second Floor Marquette LaSalle Hennepin Carver Nicollet Conrad A-D Third Floor Grand Ballroom A-G and Foyer Board Room 1, 2 and 3 Directors Row 1, 2, 3 and 4 Duluth Rochester 4 PAA 2003 Annual Meeting Program PAA 2003 Annual Meeting Program 5 POP COUNCIL will insert with pages for printer POPULATION ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA — Founded 1931 — 2003 Officers S. Philip Morgan, President Sara McLanahan, President-Elect Christine A. Bachrach, Vice President Alberto Palloni, Vice President-Elect Lynne M. Casper, Secretary-Treasurer 2003 BOARD OF DIRECTORS Joseph Chamie Robert M. Hauser Elizabeth Peters Irma Elo Mark Hayward Judith J. Treas Elizabeth Frankenberg John F. Long Lawrence L. Wu Calvin Goldscheider Robert A. Moffitt Hania Zlotnik PAST PRESIDENTS 2002 Marta Tienda 1980 Jacob S. Siegel 1957-58 Harold F. Dorn 2001 Arland Thornton 1979 Charles B. Nam 1956-57 Joseph A. Spengler 2000 Suzanne M. Bianchi 1978 Richard A. Easterlin 1955-56 Henry S. Shryock, Jr. 1999 Andrew J. Cherlin 1977 Evelyn M. Kitagawa 1954-55 Margaret J. Hagood 1998 Anne R. Pebley 1975-76 Sidney Goldstein 1953-54 Irene B. Taeuber 1997 Karen O. Mason 1974-75 Charles F. Westoff 1952-53 Clyde V. Kiser 1996 Douglas S. Massey 1973-74 Arthur A. Campbell 1951-52 Rupert B. Vance 1995 Linda J. Waite 1972-73 Norman B. Ryder 1950-51 Philip M. Hauser 1994 J. Richard Udry 1971-72 Amos H. Hawley 1949-50 Frederick Osborn 1993 Albert I. Hermalin 1970-71 Nathan Keyfitz 1948-49 Conrad Taeuber 1992 Etienne van de Walle 1969-70 Everett S. Lee 1947-48 Frank W. Notestein 1991 Ronald R. Rindfuss 1968-69 Otis Dudley Duncan 1946-47 Frank Lorimer 1990 Larry Bumpass 1967-68 Ansley J. Coale 1945-46 Frank H. Hankins 1989 Harriet B. Presser 1966-67 Paul C. Glick 1942-45 Lowell J. Reed 1988 Reynolds Farley 1965-66 Calvin F. Schmid 1941-42 P.K. Whelpton 1987 Ronald D. Lee 1964-65 Ronald Freedman 1940-41 T.J. Woofter, Jr. 1986 Paul Demeny 1963-64 Donald J. Bogue 1939-40 Leon E. Trusdell 1985 Jane A. Menken 1962-63 Kingsley Davis 1938-39 Alfred J. Lotka 1984 Samuel H. Preston 1961-62 John D. Durand 1936-38 Warren S. Thompson 1983 George J. Stolnitz 1960-61 C. Horace Hamilton 1935-36 Louis I. Dublin 1982 John F. Kanter 1959-60 Dudley Kirk 1931-35 Henry Pratt Fairchild 1981 Judith Blake 1958-59 Dorothy S. Thomas PAST SECRETARY – TREASURERS 1999-02 John Haaga 1975-78 Mary Grace Kovar 1950-53 Henry S. Shryock, Jr. 1996-99 Elizabeth Hervey Stephen 1971-75 James W. Brackett 1946-49 Harold F. Dorn 1993-96 V. Jeffery Evans 1968-71 Abbot L. Ferriss 1942-46 Philip M. Hauser 1990-93 Barbara Foley Wilson 1965-68 Anders S. Lunde 1939-42 Conrad Taeuber 1987-90 Suzanne M. Bianchi 1962-65 Paul C. Glick 1934-39 Frank Lorimer 1984-87 Robert J. Lapham 1959-62 Kurt B. Mayer 1932-33 Clarence G. Dittmer 1981-84 John L. Goodman, Jr. 1956-59 Daniel P. Price 1931-32 Alfred J. Lotka 1978-81 Thomas W. Merrick 1953-56 Hugh Carter PAA 2003 Annual Meeting Program 7 2003 PROGRAM ORGANIZING COMMITTEE S. Philip Morgan, Co-Chair Christine Bachrach, Co-Chair Ann Blanc Larry Long Claudia Buchmann Ken Manton Natasha Cabrera Karen Mason Lynne Casper Marjorie McElroy Anjani Chandra Susan Newcomer Rebecca Clark Angela O’Rand Beth Corder Emilio Parrado Larry Corder Laura Shrestha William A. Darity Audrey Singer Thomas DiPrete Frank Sloan Jeffrey Evans Eric Stallard Kathleen Harris Steven Tordella Mary Elizabeth Hughes Jim Vaupel Robert Kominski Robert Weller Kenneth Land Zeng Yi Paul Leslie LOCAL ARRANGEMENTS COMMITTEE Dennis Ahlburg, Chair Minnesota Population Center and Carlson School of Management Becky Boudreau, Carlson School of Management Cathy Fitch, Minnesota Population Center Iman Ghazalla, Humphrey Institute Barb Schwab, Minnesota Population Center PAA STAFF Stephanie D. Dudley, Executive Director Lois M. Brown, Member Services Coordinator Ann L. Murray, Administrative Assistant 8 PAA 2003 Annual Meeting Program ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The 2003 Co-Chairs thank numerous persons and organizations for their contributions to the annual program. We have literally asked hundreds of people to help, incredibly high proportion agreed, and their assistance has been invaluable. Special acknowledgements to: Gary Thompson, for managing the web site, handling most meeting correspondence, and preparing the preliminary and final programs. Gary has been key to the successful organization of the 2003 meetings. German Rodriquez, for developing the excellent web-software and for frequent advice on its use. This web-based software represents a valuable contribution to PAA this year and for years to come. Also thanks to Princeton’s Office of Population Research for allowing the software to be resident on their servers. Dennis Ahlburg, for chairing the local arrangements committee. Members of the program organizing committee: whose ideas shaped the substance of the program From Duke/UNC, Claudia Buchmann, Beth Corder, Larry Corder, William A. Darity, Thomas DiPrete, Kathie Harris, M.E. Hughes, Ken Land, Paul Leslie, Ken Manton, Marjorie McElroy, Angela O’Rand, Emilio Parrado, Frank Sloan, Eric Stallard,
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