STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT

Authorised and published by the Victorian Government, 1 Treasury Place, Purpose

This Strategic Assessment supports the This includes an overview of the project rationale, the identified project corridor and development of a Suburban Rail Loop — the next steps needed to progress the project. a new 90-kilometre circle line to connect This includes a full business case, planning and our suburbs and regions to jobs, education, technical studies and stakeholder consultation health services, the , to determine the precise project route, delivery method and funding mechanisms. and each other.

The project, expected to be completed in stages over multiple decades, will represent The Suburban Rail Loop will deliver the biggest transformation of our public transport significant urban renewal outcomes network in history. for Melbourne, improving access to jobs This document outlines the strategic assessment and providing opportunities for new undertaken by Development , supported by industries to develop. Rail Projects Victoria, with commercial and technical advice provided by PricewaterhouseCoopers (PWC) and Aurecon.

Introduction

The Suburban Rail Loop project will Sunshine and Werribee National Employment and Innovation Clusters (NEIC) with key precincts such as transform Victoria’s public transport Box Hill, Burwood, Broadmeadows and the Airport. system. It will provide an underground rail connection between Melbourne’s The Suburban Rail Loop will deliver urban renewal outcomes for Melbourne, improving access to jobs major employment, health services, and providing opportunities for new industries education and activity precincts outside to develop. The Rail Loop will connect into every the central business district. major passenger railway line in Melbourne from the Frankston line to the Werribee line via Melbourne The Suburban Rail Loop will revolutionise the way Airport, allowing people to travel easily between that people move around Melbourne, providing mass suburbs, significantly reducing pressure on the across the metropolitan area and existing rail network and taking 200,000 vehicle enabling people to live closer to where they work. trips off our major roads by 2051.

The project responds to the challenges and It will reduce travel to the airport to around 45 minutes opportunities presented by Melbourne’s growth from the Frankston line and around 25 minutes from to a city of 8 million people and will support the Box Hill region. Becoming the busiest stand alone the Victorian Government vision set out in Plan line in Melbourne by 2051 with patronage of around Melbourne (2017-2050). The mostly underground 400,000 per day, the Suburban Rail Loop is expected rail system will form a ring through Melbourne’s to have strong demand in both directions during peak suburbs, connecting the Monash, La Trobe, periods providing high utilisation of the corridor.

Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment | 1 Suburban Rail Loop conceptual map

Connecting suburbs, regions, jobs, health and education

To Bendigo To Shepparton, Wodonga The need Melbourne Airport for a Broadmeadows Suburban Fawkner

Rail Loop Reservoir Bundoora Planning for

Melbourne’s To Ballarat economic and population growth Heidelberg

Melbourne is Australia’s fastest growing city, with population projected to reach almost To Geelong Sunshine 8 million people by 2051. Doncaster

This growth will require some 1.6 million additional dwellings and 1.5 million jobs to be created, as well as significant investments CBD Box Hill in infrastructure, health, education and transport.

3.5 million Burwood more people

1.5 million Glen Waverley more jobs

Werribee 1.6 million Monash more houses

Clayton

Potential station 10 million more trips/day Potential interchange station Suburban Rail Loop To Traralgon (subject to further detailed technical investigations Cheltenham and consultations) Need to protect community Not to scale, for illustrative purposes only liveability The challenges of a radial public transport system

Melbourne’s transport system has evolved Nearly 1 million additional and grown in response to how Melbourne people made Melbourne itself has developed. Most of Melbourne’s their home in the 10 years network was built between 1860 and 1930, to 2016, more than any constructed by private land owners looking to unlock the value of land in the suburbs other Australian capital city. and Melburnians escaping the city for While central Melbourne land and property in these areas. experienced growth in the Built to support the transport of people from their CBD and inner-city, most residences in the suburbs to and from the city centre, of the population growth Melbourne developed around a strong radial public transport network. As reliance on the CBD grew, took place in the middle so too did the radial transport network, servicing the demand of commuters accessing knowledge and outer suburbs. based jobs and services in central Melbourne.

Plan Melbourne and the Victorian Infrastructure Plan identify several committed and potential future transport projects, including and the Level Crossing Removal Program (as well as the West Gate Tunnel and road projects). This unprecedented level of investment in public Melbourne is a powerhouse of the This radial network faces pressure into the transport will provide a significant uplift in transport Australian economy, with strong future as population growth continues in network capacity, improving existing radial transport the outer fringes of Melbourne. movements and unlocking capacity in the transport population, economic and jobs growth. network connecting to the CBD. According to Plan Melbourne, our transport system While the second largest city by gross domestic will need to provide an additional 10.4 million trips To support the distribution of population and product (GDP), Melbourne provided the highest a day by 2050, an increase of more than 80 per employment in Melbourne, further evolution jobs growth of any city between 2006 and 2016. cent on the current 12.5 million trips a day. While of the transport network is required to connect This jobs growth has changed the structure and substantial network investments are being made, people to jobs inside and outside of the CBD. nature of Victoria’s economy, transitioning from continued significant investment is essential to one heavily reliant on a mature manufacturing sector address the pressure facing our transport system to a more diversified economy with significant and to ensure Melbourne retains its liveability. growth in healthcare, education, accommodation, construction and professional services. Infrastructure Victoria's 30-year Infrastructure Strategy also recommends investment in infrastructure to Like many cities, Melbourne’s transport system prepare for population change and provide better has also evolved in response to its growth and access to jobs and educational opportunities in geographical size. As reliance on the CBD grew major employment centres outside of the CBD. and our population moved to outer suburban communities, a radial transport network providing transport into central Melbourne developed.

4 | Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment | 5 To support the distribution of population and employment in Melbourne, further evolution of the transport network is required to connect people to jobs outside of the CBD

A polycentric city that is well connected will provide more jobs in Comparison to cities with orbital rail strategic areas

Train trips in Melbourne make up only and higher order services in strategic areas, such as employment centres and National 5 per cent of all weekly travel, while other Employment and Innovation Clusters (NEICs). major cities are able to attract a public transport mode share of 21 per cent and A review of cities that are polycentric indicates that train networks with higher greater — in some cases up to 60 per cent. public transport mode shares have infrastructure catering to a range of radial and orbital Plan Melbourne has explored the approach movements, as well as a more integrated of Melbourne becoming a polycentric city with approach to development. multiple employment centres to reduce demand on the transport system and improve efficiency. Urban renewal in these cities is typically integrated with urban development, While the CBD will continue as Melbourne’s transport infrastructure and value capture. largest employment centre, a polycentric city that is well connected will provide more jobs

6 | Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment Comparing rail Melbourne's primarily monocentric and radial rail network usage networks from as a percentage of total transport trips is 5% select major cities BENDIGO Donnybrook Junction

Rochester Epsom SEYMOUR Murchison

Ker around the world K t CRAIGIEBURN Pyr mid E C ine M Kyneton UPFIELD Woodend Gowrie Middle Gore MERNDA Gisborne Airport Ruthven South Moran Hawkstowe

Reservoir MELBOURNE (PRIMARILY Creswick SUNBURY Montmorency Creek HURSTBRIDGE MONOCENTRIC) Wendouree Essendon Anstey Preston BALLARAT Moonee Ponds Brunswick Thornbury

Croxton

Ginifer Northcote LILYDALE Croydon Merri West Dennis Ardeer North

Sunshine Population: South WERRIBEE Seddon 4.7 million Corio Upwey

North Shore North Richmond Spotswood SOUTHERN West Richmond BELGRAVE CROSS Newport GEELONG Auburn

Richmond Burwood Train trips Ashburton

FLINDERS STREET ALAMEIN in Melbourne Train mode WILLIAMSTOWN Richmond share: 5% make up only Mount Windsor GLEN TRARALGON WAVERLEY

5 per cent of Moe

Ormond all weekly Train Lines McKinnon travel Stony Point Line Drouin LONDON Bunyip (POLYCENTRIC) V/Line – required customer service hub SANDRINGHAM

Werribee Mentone Berwick Officer

Lynbrook PAKENHAM

CRANBOURNE 7 © 7 FRANKSTON Population: Bittern Crib Point STONY POINT 8.8 million

Train mode London's polycentric and orbital rail network usage share: 21% as a percentage of total transport trips is 21%

NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) (POLYCENTRIC)

Population: 8.6 million

Train mode share: 12%

SINGAPORE (POLYCENTRIC)

Population: 3.5 million

Train mode share: 19%

Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment | 9 Suburban Rail Loop — NEICs Lockerbie 1 Werribee benefits to Victoria 2 Sunshine 3 Fishermans Bend 4 Parkville Epping Connecting priority growth precincts 5 La Trobe

Broadmeadows 6 Monash Metropolitan Activity Centre (MAC), La Trobe Toolern Other than central Melbourne, which 10 7 Dandenong NEIC, Broadmeadows MAC, Melbourne Airport, will continue to be a focus of activity, 5 Sunshine NEIC and Werribee NEIC. It connects Major universities Plan Melbourne identifies areas across three of our major university precincts — Monash, 2 Sunshine 4 Ringwood 8 La Trobe and Deakin. Footscray Box Hill Melbourne that also need to grow or 3 9 continue to grow. This corridor could be up to 90-kilometres in length, 9 10 moving through the emerging western and northern These include seven NEICs to increase business 1 suburbs, close to some of Melbourne’s largest growth 8 6 activity of national significance, as well as business areas, into the established eastern suburbs and some cluster areas with the potential to support significant of the largest employment clusters and health and economic growth and development. The plan also education precincts outside of central Melbourne. Dandenong highlights the importance of health and education 7 centres that have specialised economic functions The project will transform the way people access Fountain Gate-Narre Warren and provide opportunities for ancillary retail and priority precincts, enabling more efficient transport commercial uses. movements to and between NEICs, activity centres, Port Phillip Bay health and education centres.

The Suburban Rail Loop connects the middle Frankston suburban regions including the Monash NEIC, Geelong Burwood education precinct, Box Hill

10 | Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment | 11 Connecting Melbourne

The Suburban Rail Loop will fundamentally In the east, the project will connect the Frankston line to the Melbourne Airport change public transport access for via the Monash activity centre, providing Melbourne, directly connecting priority connections into major existing lines and better suburbs and precincts outside the inner access to and from suburbs currently without city, reducing reliance on the radial efficient access to existing train lines. transport network and road network.

25 Clayton 35 Broadmeadows Estimated min to Bundoora min to Monash travel times for the Suburban Rail Loop (approx)* 25 Box Hill 45 Cheltenham min to Airport min to Airport

BENDIGO ECHUCA SHEPPARTON

CRAIGIEBURN ALBURY SWAN HILL Broadmeadows UPFIELD Fawkner MARYBOROUGH MERNDA ARARAT Reservoir Melbourne SUNBURY Airport Bundoora HURSTBRIDGE BALLARAT Heidelberg The Suburban Rail Loop provides a new option for people to access jobs and services outside the Doncaster CBD. Many of the current trips across and around LILYDALE Melbourne are taken by car, taking longer than Box Hill the expected travel times on the Suburban Rail Sunshine Loop. Analysis on demand and patronage has Werribee been undertaken utilising the Victorian Integrated

SOUTHERN CBD Transport Model to assess transport project CROSS BELGRAVE GEELONG demand and traffic movements. Burwood This analysis suggests that by 2051, the section BAIRNSDALE More people WILLIAMSTOWN of the project between the Frankston line and closer to jobs, the Airport would become the busiest stand alone more high TRARALGON rail line in Melbourne. Glen Waverley productivity Unlike existing lines on the network, preliminary jobs outside WARRNAMBOOL work shows the Suburban Rail Loop will have strong the CBD Monash passenger flows in both directions (clockwise and Clayton anticlockwise) during peak hours.

SANDRINGHAM There is an approximate 60:40 split (with the Symbols Cheltenham AM peak being in the clockwise direction). Potential new stations Existing interchange station and customer This compares with some existing lines in Melbourne Potential new service hub Total daily trips are estimated at around interchange stations PAKENHAM operating with 90 per cent demand in the peak Metropolitan area 210,000 per day in 2031 and around Suburban Rail Loop CRANBOURNE direction. This bi-directional flow reflects the (subject to further detailed technical Regional area FRANKSTON 400,000 per day in 2051. By 2051, investigations and consultations) nature of movements between the precincts, many stations on the line will be Not to scale, for illustrative purposes only and provides a more efficient system utilisation than experienced in the radial network and the among the busiest on the network. movements to and from the CBD. By 2051, services in the busiest hour are expected to be around 80 per cent full. * Subject to final route selection.

12 | Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment | 13 Strong demand: Suburban Rail Loop load 2051 AM Peak Reducing pressure on the existing rail network: Daily network patronage redistribution (eastern) 2051

Melbourne Airport

Melbourne Airport Broadmeadows

Broadmeadows Fawkner

Fawkner

Reservoir Reservoir Bundoora Bundoora

Heidelberg Heidelberg

Doncaster Sunshine Doncaster Sunshine

Box Hill CBD Box Hill

Burwood

Burwood

Glen Waverley

Glen Waverley Werribee Monash

Werribee Monash Clayton

Clayton

Cheltenham

Cheltenham

The project will ease demand on some existing rail lines, freeing up capacity for already heavily The Suburban Rail Loop will transform our transport Suburban Rail Loop in 2051: utilised lines. By interchanging with existing rail lines, it will increase network resilience and provide viable network and be a major step towards introduction •• Strong flows in each direction of a genuine metro style of operation, connecting alternatives for existing train travel to the CBD. with every major rail line from the Frankston line •• Services in busiest hour 80 per cent full The Suburban Rail Loop is a fundamental refocus to the Werribee line via Melbourne Airport. •• Total daily trips — 400, 000 per day on public transport, shifting Melburnian's reliance •• Busiest stand alone line in Melbourne. on cars. The project is forecast to take around 200,000 vehicle trips off our major roads by 2051. Connecting Suburban Rail Loop regional super hubs — conceptual map regional Victoria

Regional Victorian BENDIGO ECHUCA SHEPPARTON passengers will benefit SEYMOUR from interchanges at WODONGA Clayton, Broadmeadows SWAN HILL ALBURY Broadmeadows and Sunshine.

These direct connections Fawkner into growing economic MARYBOROUGH precincts outside the central business district, will provide ARARAT Reservoir all Victorians with better access Melbourne to economic opportunities Airport Bundoora as well as world-class education Heidelberg and health services. BALLARAT Doncaster

Travel to and from the regions will become Sunshine Box Hill more reliable with around 200,000 vehicles forecast to be removed from our Werribee major roads as a result of the Suburban Rail Loop. CBD GEELONG Burwood Regional BAIRNSDALE super hubs Glen Waverley TRARALGON Three new regional super hubs will connect regional WARRNAMBOOL Monash passengers into the Suburban Rail Loop to access a range of world- Clayton class health, education and Symbols employment opportunities Potential new stations Existing interchange Cheltenham along the project corridor. Potential new station and customer interchange stations service hub Suburban Rail Loop Regional area (subject to further detailed technical investigations and consultations) Regional Line

Metropolitan area Suburban Rail Loop regional super hub

Not to scale, for illustrative purposes only Enabling growth and Creating places and spaces that creating value are vibrant, safe, Improved transport access will enable accessible, inter- growth around stations and within modal and practical. precincts. The Suburban Rail Loop will enable Melbourne to grow in strategic areas along the project corridor, with a focus on creating places and spaces that are vibrant, safe, accessible, intermodal and practical.

As well as transforming the way Implementing the project together with strategic that people move around Melbourne, precinct plans will ensure that suburbs are more likely to grow in a way that meets the vision the project will be a catalyst for and outcomes reflected in Plan Melbourne. transforming communities and precincts along the corridor — particularly those where new stations will be introduced for the first time. The full business case will require the development of master plans for each Many of the new underground stations will precinct to be prepared in consultation be integrated as major new interchanges with with stakeholders and communities. existing stations, providing an opportunity for precinct renewal.

18 | Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment Economic benefits of the project include:

Productivity Economic benefits resulting from enhanced business productivity and labour supply particularly associated by connecting NEICS, Delivering health and other precincts along the corridor and enabling broader economic benefits interconnectivity between the new orbital and existing rail lines. Given the level of patronage, the project is expected to deliver strong transport benefits to Liveability Accessibility public transport and road users. Urban renewal benefits as Transport benefits associated with Significant urban renewal benefits precincts along the corridor are improved transport travel times, unlocked, with further liveability public transport frequencies and would also be generated due improvements as more people increased capacity along the to increased density and urban take advantage of living and corridor, and lower reliance on the amenity in station precincts. working in a highly accessible existing radial rail network and area with high amenity along roads resulting in improvements the project corridor. more broadly across the transport network.

20 | Suburban Rail Loop – Strategic Assessment Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment | 21 The Suburban Rail Loop project Assessment of corridor options Plan Melbourne Key drivers Assessment (highest ranked corridor in bold Defining the Suburban Rail Loop outcome under each) Melbourne is a •• Melbourne is a global city The Inner corridor will not connect NEICs. Three potential broad corridors were Middle: Connecting middle suburban regions including productive city that of opportunity and choice Middle corridor will connect four NEICs along opportunities to link Monash NEIC, Burwood, Box Hill, attracts investment, •• Change the shape of the considered for the project, reflecting with other major health, education and La Trobe NEIC, Broadmeadows, Melbourne Airport, supports innovation city to support access to the places of state significance set out employment precincts. Sunshine NEIC and Werribee NEIC. and creates jobs jobs and services in central in Plan Melbourne. Melbourne, NEICs, and MACs Outer: Connecting middle-outer suburbs including Outer corridor connects two NEICs and many other Frankston, Dandenong NEIC, Ringwood, Epping, major health, education and employment precincts. These three ‘inner’, ‘middle’ and ‘outer’ corridor Melbourne Airport and outer west growth areas. options would loop around Melbourne from one Melbourne provides •• People have options All corridors present opportunities for connecting side of Port Philip Bay to the other, connecting to The middle corridor was identified as it provides housing choice in to live where they want housing closer to where people work. various lines on the existing radial rail network. the greatest opportunity to link NEICs and locations close to •• Melbourne is inclusive other major health, education and employment jobs and services The inner corridor may be more challenging The three options were: precincts. It also provides an efficient and •• Improve housing choices given levels of built up areas. integrated transport route which better in liveable communities Middle corridor will enable bigger uplift in Inner: Connecting inner suburban regions, with connects all Victorians. with good access to public opportunities to connect areas including Caulfield, transport and jobs housing choice for more people, particularly Camberwell, Kew, Coburg, Essendon and Footscray. noting job rich areas in the middle corridor.

Melbourne has an •• A transport system that Inner corridor provides opportunity to integrate integrated transport meets the needs of a however this would overlap with existing tram system that connects growing and changing network that provides many of these connections. people to jobs and Melbourne to better services and goods connect people with jobs Middle corridor can integrate well with the to market and services transport system, presenting an opportunity to connect with existing rail lines (metro and regional). NEICs •• Promote greater mode Lockerbie 1 Werribee share of more sustainable Outer corridor can integrate with existing rail transport options including 2 Sunshine network yet will not connect with some existing public transport, walking lines reducing the catchment. 3 Fishermans Bend and cycling 4 Parkville Epping 5 La Trobe Melbourne is a •• Protect Melbourne’s This objective is not a distinguishing factor distinctive and status as an iconic and between the options. Broadmeadows 6 Monash Toolern liveable city with liveable city 10 7 Dandenong 5 quality design Major universities and amenity 2 Sunshine 4 Ringwood 8 Monash University Footscray Box Hill Melbourne is a •• Develop a city of thriving Middle and outer corridors present a better Deakin University 3 9 city of inclusive, local communities that opportunity to create new 20-minute 9 10 La Trobe University vibrant and healthy are vibrant, safe, healthy neighbourhoods across the city. 1 neighbourhoods and accessible with more 8 6 20-minute neighbourhoods INNER CORRIDOR Melbourne is a •• Help Victoria become Each corridor presents an opportunity to reduce Dandenong sustainable and a zero-carbon economy emissions (reduced car use and energy efficient MIDDLE CORRIDOR 7 Fountain Gate-Narre Warren resilient city by 2050 transport). This objective is not expected to be a •• Melbourne remains a healthy distinguishing factor between options, although the inner corridor may not see as much mode Port Phillip Bay and productive city OUTER CORRIDOR shift and therefore less reduction in car usage.

Frankston Geelong Regional Victoria •• Turn Melbourne into a city The inner corridor is not expected to encourage is productive, of centres linked to regional better links with regional Victoria. sustainable and Victoria — creating social supports jobs and and economic opportunities Middle and outer corridors present an economic growth across the state opportunity to connect precincts with regional communities. Major stations like Sunshine, Clayton/Dandenong, and Broadmeadows present this opportunity.

22 | Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment | 23 Potential Suburban Rail Loop stations

Potential station Existing Features Potential precinct vision

Maintain a strong retail focus around Southland Shopping Cheltenham area Centre, with strong growth in this corridor. Precinct selection and station locations Clayton (Part Focus on connecting to and growing the Monash Hospital of Monash NEIC) and health precinct to the north.

The Suburban Rail Loop will connect with Precinct will continue to grow and develop into a Monash (Part knowledge centre to support Monash University, as well all the major passenger railway lines in The assumed station options are of Monash NEIC) as increased retail and community facilities in the area. Melbourne between Frankston and Werribee. indicative and would be subject to detailed options analysis, design Preliminary selection of interchange points was Glen Waverley Precinct will maintain strong retail and employment growth. and engineering investigations based on the identification of key precincts along and be informed through various the corridor aligned with project objectives: levels of stakeholder engagement Urban renewal opportunity to create a community •• identification of NEICs, MACs and other major Burwood area and data analysis as part of that can support Deakin University. health and education precincts a full business case. •• identification of higher density residential Precinct currently experiencing high levels of residential locations along the corridor that would benefit Box Hill and commercial growth which is expected to continue. from better connections to these major (Metropolitan Precinct is also an important health and knowledge employment and activity precincts Activity Centre) centre supporting Box Hill Hospital, Epworth Eastern and the Box Hill Institute. •• integration with the existing rail network •• ensuring an efficient transport route Precinct will continue to cater for strong residential growth, with existing high density residential growth could be achieved. Doncaster area along Doncaster Road, near retail and commercial uses centred around Doncaster Shopping Centre.

Heidelberg (Part Precinct will continue to support the Austin Hospital, health of La Trobe NEIC) and commercial uses, with opportunities for improved links.

Bundoora area Precinct will continue to develop as an innovation and (Part of La Trobe knowledge centre to support La Trobe University and NEIC) other facilities in the area.

There are opportunities for intensification of residential Reservoir and commercial / retail in immediate vicinity of the station, building on the existing retail centre.

The current lack of services and mix of uses in the area Fawkner presents an opportunity for urban renewal centred around the rail interchange.

Broadmeadows Precinct is expected to continue to grow and function as an (Metropolitan employment and activity centre for the northern suburbs, Activity Centre) with population growth in the northern growth corridor.

Melbourne Airport is a major transport hub for Victoria Melbourne servicing over 35 million passengers a year. The Melbourne Airport Airport Rail Link project will connect to the airport via a super-hub in Sunshine.

Sunshine NEIC is a major activity precinct and transport Sunshine hub in the west. Sunshine provides connections to the (Part of Sunshine Airport, as well as for the Sunbury Railway line and NEIC) Geelong, Bendigo and Ballarat regional services.

Werribee NEIC is an important precinct for the west Werribee of Melbourne. Many options exist for how Werribee (Part of Werribee and Sunshine could be connected. This would require NEIC) further consideration in the full business case.

Potential other stations in the west — depending on the route selected for connecting key precincts in the west there may be potential for inclusion of additional stations. This would require further consideration in the full business case.

Metro Interchange VLine Interchange New Station

Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment | 25 Project Staging options delivery The target to begin work on the Melbourne Delivery priority Airport to Sunshine section of the project as part of the Airport Rail Link is 2022. In the east, connection of major NEICs, The Suburban Rail Loop is a education, health and retail precincts substantial investment and is the key focus with the south-east section a project of this scale requires between the Frankston line and Box Hill considered the priority for delivery. Work significant development and staged is targeted to commence by end-2022. delivery over several decades. The full business case will consider the best Exact project staging, timing, route staging approach and sequencing within sections. and construction methodology to be confirmed as part of the full business case for the project.

Cheltenham to Box Hill (south-east) CRAIGIEBURN

•• Fully underground rail to minimise impacts Broadmeadows •• Further technical assessment UPFIELD required to determine precise station Fawkner locations, staging and construction MERNDA timeline as part of the full business case Melbourne Reservoir •• Target work to commence Airport by end-2022. SUNBURY Bundoora HURSTBRIDGE Heidelberg Box Hill to Melbourne Airport (north-east) Doncaster •• Fully underground rail to minimise impacts LILYDALE •• Further technical assessment required to determine precise station locations, Box Hill staging and construction timeline Sunshine as part of the full business case. Werribee Melbourne Airport to Sunshine CBD (north-west, Airport Rail Link) SOUTHERN BELGRAVE CROSS •• Potential sections of underground and surface rail Burwood •• Technical assessment being undertaken as part of the Melbourne Airport Rail Link WILLIAMSTOWN •• Target work to commence in 2022.

Sunshine to the Werribee line Glen Waverley (south-west) •• Potential sections of underground and surface rail Monash •• Further technical assessment required for this stage as part of the full business case Clayton •• To be constructed in sections Symbols SANDRINGHAM over a period of decades. Potential new stations Metropolitan area Cheltenham Potential new Regional area interchange stations South-east section (tunnel) Existing interchange North-east section (tunnel) station and customer PAKENHAM service hub North-west section CRANBOURNE (Airport Rail Link — sections of tunnel & surface rail) FRANKSTON South-west section (sections of tunnel & surface rail) Not to scale, for illustrative purposes only 26 | Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment Project cost Next steps Full business case This Strategic Assessment has confirmed commencing and funding early-2019 that investment in the Suburban Rail Loop Further technical work is needed is warranted. to define the estimated cost of The key next step is the development of a full the Suburban Rail Loop as part business case, with potential interim milestones to of the full business case. inform continued investment in the project given its scale and complexity. This will enable work on the The combined Suburban Rail Loop south-east and Suburban Rail Loop to commence by end-2022. Geotechnical north-east sections are expected to cost in the investigations order of $30-50 billion to be delivered over 2019 – 2021 several decades. The Melbourne Airport Rail Link Business case section is expected to cost $8-13 billion. A full business case for the project will progress, informed by further technical work, industry engagement and stakeholder consultation. Business The Suburban Rail Loop is a significant case development will commence in early-2019. investment and opportunities to offset capital costs and capture value will be Market engagement Community considered in the full business case. consultation Market engagement will commence with industry 2019 This includes direct commercial arrangements to inform the business case development, and to ongoing or developments at stations together seek innovative technical and commercial solutions with broader value capture mechanisms. for the project. Innovative financing and funding These mechanisms will draw on recent approaches will also be explored, particularly those aimed at offsetting the capital cost of the project policy examples, such as the development through developer contributions and value capture. contribution scheme at Macaulay.

Consultation Detailed planning & An extensive stakeholder consultation process staged approvals will commence in early-2019 to seek input from 2019 ongoing communities, local government, peak bodies, developers and key health, education, retail and industry stakeholders along the project corridor.

Planning and technical development Procurement Detailed technical and planning work is needed to commencing develop the project scope and assess the economic, 2020 social and environmental impacts of the project. This work will help to inform the project business case, as well as appropriate planning and approval processes to enable project delivery.

Target project commencement end-2022

28 | Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment Suburban Rail Loop — Strategic Assessment | 29 bigbuild.vic.gov.au 1800 105

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