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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Majority approve of Ford appeal decision Jan 26th, 2013 Mayor's approval rating rises

th Toronto, January 26 , 2013 – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by HIGHLIGHTS: the Forum Poll™ among 1,099 Torontonians 18 years of age and older, more than one half approved of the court's decision favouring Mayor 's  More than one half approved appeal of the judgement which removed him from office (53%), and approval is of the court's decision highest among the oldest (Age 55 to 64 - 61%, age 65 or more - 64%), those with favouring Mayor Rob Ford's annual household incomes of $20-$40K (65%), those in (61%) or appeal of the judgement Etobicoke/York (62%) and those who approve of the mayor (95%). which removed him from The mayor draws the approval of just less than half of Torontonians (45%), up office (53%). from 42% last month and for many months before that.  When trial match-ups between Mayor Ford and Mayor vulnerable to single opponents in election single candidates are tested, When trial match-ups between Mayor Ford and single candidates are tested, he he loses most of them. loses most of them:  In a head-to-head matchup with the former homer José  In a match-up with radio host , Ford would lose by a comfortable Canseco, Mayor Ford would margin of 36% to 48%. win 49% to 31%.  Against , there is basically a draw (Ford 45%, Vaughan 43%).  Six-in-ten think the mayor has  Against MP , Ford loses by a respectable 40% to 52%. brought negative publicity on  Against TTC Chair , Ford loses 49% to 40%. himself (59%) rather than  Councillor Denzil Minnan-Wong would fall to defeat at the mayor's hands being unfairly treated by the (30% to 44%), as would Councillor Shelley Carroll (35% to 45%). media (35%).  "It appears winning his appeal Ford more popular than former Blue Jay slugger José Canseco has burnished the mayor's In a head-to-head matchup with the former homer hero and admitted doper, image, and supporters are Mayor Ford would win 49% to 31%. Support for Canseco is highest among the ecstatic. José Canseco, young (under 35 - 43%), the lowest income group (less than $20K - 41%) and by however, may be disappointed those who disapprove of the appeal court's decision (53%). to learn he isn't Toronto's darling these days," said Dr. Fewer now think Mayor has brought his troubles on himself Lorne Bozinoff, President. Six-in-ten think the mayor has brought negative publicity on himself (59%) rather than being unfairly treated by the media (35%), and this proportion has declined since last month (66%).

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 1 forumresearch.com

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"It appears winning his appeal has burnished the mayor's image, and supporters are ecstatic. José Canseco, however, may be disappointed to learn he isn't TORONTO Toronto's darling these days," said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President. Jan 26th, 2013 Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at [email protected] or at (416) 960-9603.

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 2 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Methodology

The Forum Poll™ was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on TORONTO an interactive voice response telephone survey of 1,099 randomly selected Jan 26th, 2013 residents of Toronto aged 18 or older. The poll was conducted on January 25th, 2013. Results based on the total sample are considered accurate +/- 3%, 19 times out of 20. Subsample results will be less accurate. Margins of error for subsample (such as age, gender) results are available at www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp. Where appropriate, the data has been statistically weighted to ensure that the sample reflects the actual population according to the latest Census data. This research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but rather, captures opinion at one point in time. Forum Research conducted this poll as a public service and to demonstrate our survey research capabilities. With offices across Canada and around the world, 100% Canadian-owned Forum Research is one of the country’s leading survey research firms. This and other polls may be found at Forum's poll archive at www.forumresearch.com/polls.asp.

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 3 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Mayor Rob Ford Approval Rating Trending TORONTO % Sample Approve Disapprove Jan 26th, 2013 Jan. 25th, 2013 1099 45 55 Dec. 14th, 2012 897 42 58 Nov. 26th, 2012 807 42 58 Nov 16th – 17th, 2012 848 45 55 Oct 25th, 2012 614 44 56 Sep 28th – 29th, 2012 833 41 59 Sep 7th – 8th, 2012 834 42 58 Aug 9th – 10th, 2012 812 41 59 Jun 28th, 2012 1212 42 58 Jun 7th, 2012 951 45 55 May 28th, 2012 704 40 60 Apr 18th, 2012 812 47 53 Mar 15th, 2012 1027 41 59 Feb 13th, 2012 1547 43 57 Feb 1st, 2012 1560 39 61 Oct 24th, 2011 1004 37 63 Sep 13th, 2011 1046 42 58 Jun 1st, 2011 1050 57 43 Feb 25th – 26th, 2011 1012 60 40

Mayor Treated Unfairly By Media or Negative Publicity His Fault Trending

Mayor has been Mayor has brought % Sample treated unfairly by negative publicity Neither Don’t know the media upon himself Jan. 25th, 2013 1099 35 59 4 1 Dec. 14th, 2012 897 29 66 3 2 Nov. 26th, 2012 807 33 61 4 2 Nov 16th – 17th, 848 35 56 6 3 2012

Mayoral Trial Heat Trending:

Ford / Tory % Sample Rob Ford John Tory Don’t Know Jan 25th, 2013 1099 36 48 16 May 28, 2012 704 29 52 19 Jan 31, 2012 1560 26 48 26 180 Bloor Street W., #1400

Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 4 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Ford / Vaughan % Sample Rob Ford Adam Vaughan Don’t Know TORONTO th Jan 25 , 2013 1099 45 43 12 Jan 26th, 2013 May 28, 2012 704 37 50 14 Mar 15, 2012 1027 37 49 14 Jan 31, 2012 1560 36 45 19

Ford / Chow

% Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow Don’t Know Jan 25th, 2013 1099 40 52 8 Oct 25, 2012 614 34 49 17 Jun 25 – 28, 2012 1212 34 58 8

Ford / Stintz

% Sample Rob Ford Karen Stintz Don’t Know Jan 25th, 2013 1099 40 49 11 May 28, 2012 704 39 49 12 Mar 15, 2012 1027 37 46 17 Feb 12, 2012 1547 40 44 17

Ford / Carroll % Sample Rob Ford Shelley Carroll Don’t Know Jan 25th, 2013 1099 45 35 20 May 28, 2012 704 39 39 22 Jan 31, 2012 1560 36 36 28

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 5 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603 Approval of Rob Ford as Mayor

‘First of all, overall do you approve or disapprove of the job Rob Ford is doing as TORONTO ?’ Jan 26th, 2013 [All Respondents]

Age / Gender

% Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Sample 1099 78 168 250 290 313 470 629 Approve 45 26 50 51 57 58 51 39 Disapprove 55 74 50 49 43 42 49 61

Region

Toronto or East Etobicoke or Total North York Scarborough % York York Sample 1099 381 235 244 239 Approve 45 30 50 60 44 Disapprove 55 70 50 40 56

Household Income

% Total <$20K $20-40K $40-60K $60-80K $80-100K $100K+ Sample 1099 107 186 160 105 111 218 Approve 45 43 48 47 51 39 44 Disapprove 55 57 52 53 49 61 56

Primary Transit / Appeal Decision Approval / Own Property

Take TTC/Other Total Drive Other Approve Disapprove Yes No % public transit Sample 1099 440 317 82 616 447 796 303 Approve 45 54 35 25 81 3 50 37 Disapprove 55 46 65 75 19 97 50 63

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 6 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Past Mayoral Vote TORONTO Someone Total Ford Smitherman Pantalone Didn't Vote th % else Jan 26 , 2013 Sample 1099 509 258 106 150 76 Approve 45 81 11 13 36 26 Disapprove 55 19 89 87 64 74

Past Provincial Vote

Another Didn't Total PC Lib NDP Green % Party Vote Sample 1099 267 457 215 49 37 74 Approve 45 81 34 26 37 47 53 Disapprove 55 19 66 74 63 53 47

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 7 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603 Ford Appeal Decision Approval

‘Mayor Rob Ford won his appeal to remain mayor this morning. Do you approve TORONTO or disapprove of this decision?’ Jan 26th, 2013 [All Respondents]

Age / Gender

% Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Sample 1099 78 168 250 290 313 470 629 Approve 53 41 54 54 61 64 58 47 Disapprove 44 57 41 41 37 34 37 50 Don't know 3 2 5 5 2 2 4 3

Region

Toronto or East Etobicoke or Total North York Scarborough % York York Sample 1099 381 235 244 239 Approve 53 39 61 62 51 Disapprove 44 59 34 34 46 Don't know 3 2 5 4 3

Household Income

% Total <$20K $20-40K $40-60K $60-80K $80-100K $100K+ Sample 1099 107 186 160 105 111 218 Approve 53 47 65 52 51 44 48 Disapprove 44 49 34 39 46 53 48 Don't know 3 5 1 8 3 3 3

Primary Transit / Ford Approval / Own Property

Take % Total Drive TTC/Other Other Approve Disapprove Yes No public transit Sample 1099 440 317 82 560 539 796 303 Approve 53 59 40 55 95 18 57 45 Disapprove 44 38 55 44 3 77 40 51 Don't know 3 3 5 1 2 4 3 4

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 8 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President

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416.960.9603

Past Mayoral Vote TORONTO Smitherma Someone th Total Ford Pantalone Didn't Vote Jan 26 , 2013 % n else Sample 1099 509 258 106 150 76 Approve 53 87 18 25 43 38 Disapprove 44 12 77 72 52 55 Don't know 3 1 5 3 5 7

Past Provincial Vote

Another Didn't Total PC Lib NDP Green % Party Vote Sample 1099 267 457 215 49 37 74 Approve 53 83 44 31 43 61 69 Disapprove 44 14 53 65 55 35 24 Don't know 3 2 3 4 1 4 6

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 9 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603 Mayoral Voting Preference: Ford / Tory

‘If a mayoral election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates TORONTO were Mayor Rob Ford and radio host John Tory?’ Jan 26th, 2013 [All Respondents]

Age / Gender

% Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Sample 1099 78 168 250 290 313 470 629 Mayor Rob 36 29 36 39 44 39 40 33 Ford Radio host 48 51 47 48 48 45 48 49 John Tory Don't know 16 19 17 13 9 15 13 18

Region

Toronto or East Etobicoke or Total North York Scarborough % York York Sample 1099 381 235 244 239 Mayor Rob 36 23 37 49 37 Ford Radio host 48 60 47 37 47 John Tory Don't know 16 17 16 13 16

Household Income

% Total <$20K $20-40K $40-60K $60-80K $80-100K $100K+ Sample 1099 107 186 160 105 111 218 Mayor Rob 36 45 37 39 41 25 25 Ford Radio host 48 40 41 51 50 57 67 John Tory Don't know 16 15 22 11 9 18 8

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 10 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Primary Transit / Ford Approval TORONTO Take TTC/Other Total Drive Other Approve Disapprove th % public transit Jan 26 , 2013 Sample 1099 440 317 82 560 539 Mayor Rob 36 38 33 30 67 11 Ford Radio host 48 46 49 57 28 65 John Tory Don't know 16 15 18 12 6 24

Appeal Decision Approval / Own Property

% Total Approve Disapprove Yes No Sample 1099 616 447 796 303 Mayor Rob 36 60 8 38 33 Ford Radio host 48 33 67 49 47 John Tory Don't know 16 7 25 13 19

Past Mayoral Vote

Someone Total Ford Smitherman Pantalone Didn't Vote % else Sample 1099 509 258 106 150 76 Mayor Rob 36 62 12 9 37 16 Ford Radio host 48 29 69 70 44 63 John Tory Don't know 16 9 19 21 19 22

Past Provincial Vote

Another Didn't Total PC Lib NDP Green % Party Vote Sample 1099 267 457 215 49 37 74 Mayor Rob 36 60 27 27 35 36 41 Ford Radio host 48 32 58 52 44 49 41 John Tory Don't know 16 8 15 22 21 15 18

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 11 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Mayoral Voting Preference: Ford / Vaughan ‘If a mayoral election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates TORONTO were Mayor Rob Ford and Councillor Adam Vaughan?’ Jan 26th, 2013 [All Respondents]

Age / Gender

% Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Sample 1099 78 168 250 290 313 470 629 Mayor Rob 45 33 48 46 56 51 51 39 Ford Councillor 43 51 40 44 35 35 39 47 Adam Vaughan Don't know 12 15 12 10 8 14 11 14

Region

Toronto or Etobicoke or Total North York Scarborough % East York York Sample 1099 381 235 244 239 Mayor Rob 45 33 50 56 43 Ford Councillor 43 58 35 34 41 Adam Vaughan Don't know 12 10 14 10 16

Household Income

% Total <$20K $20-40K $40-60K $60-80K $80-100K $100K+ Sample 1099 107 186 160 105 111 218 Mayor Rob 45 50 42 43 48 40 45 Ford Councillor 43 36 45 49 37 53 44 Adam Vaughan Don't know 12 14 13 8 15 7 11

180 Bloor Street W., #1400

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MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Primary Transit / Ford Approval TORONTO Take TTC/Other Total Drive Other Approve Disapprove th % public transit Jan 26 , 2013 Sample 1099 440 317 82 560 539 Mayor Rob 45 51 38 25 87 10 Ford Councillor 43 35 51 63 8 71 Adam Vaughan Don't know 12 15 10 12 5 19

Appeal Decision Approval / Own Property

% Total Approve Disapprove Yes No Sample 1099 616 447 796 303 Mayor Rob 45 76 10 49 38 Ford Councillor 43 18 73 41 46 Adam Vaughan Don't know 12 7 17 10 16

Past Mayoral Vote

Someone Total Ford Smitherman Pantalone Didn't Vote % else Sample 1099 509 258 106 150 76 Mayor Rob 45 78 8 18 36 36 Ford Councillor 43 15 75 75 44 48 Adam Vaughan Don't know 12 7 17 7 20 17

Past Provincial Vote

Another Didn't Total PC Lib NDP Green % Party Vote Sample 1099 267 457 215 49 37 74 Mayor Rob 45 78 33 25 43 77 44 Ford Councillor 43 16 51 65 38 18 36 Adam Vaughan Don't know 12 7 16 9 18 5 19

180 Bloor Street W., #1400

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MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Mayoral Voting Preference: Ford / Chow TORONTO ‘If a mayoral election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates th were Mayor Rob Ford and federal MP Olivia Chow?’ Jan 26 , 2013

[All Respondents]

Age / Gender

% Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Sample 1099 78 168 250 290 313 470 629 Mayor Rob 40 28 42 43 52 49 47 34 Ford Federal MP 52 65 48 52 42 42 47 57 Olivia Chow Don't know 8 8 10 5 5 9 6 9

Region

Toronto or East Etobicoke or Total North York Scarborough % York York Sample 1099 381 235 244 239 Mayor Rob 40 29 44 52 38 Ford Federal MP 52 63 51 40 53 Olivia Chow Don't know 8 8 5 8 9

Household Income

% Total <$20K $20-40K $40-60K $60-80K $80-100K $100K+ Sample 1099 107 186 160 105 111 218 Mayor Rob 40 24 40 42 49 37 40 Ford Federal MP 52 65 52 52 45 58 55 Olivia Chow Don't know 8 11 8 6 5 5 6

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 14 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Primary Transit / Ford Approval TORONTO Take TTC/Other public Total Drive Other Approve Disapprove th % transit Jan 26 , 2013 Sample 1099 440 317 82 560 539 Mayor Rob 40 47 32 25 78 9 Ford Federal MP 52 46 60 67 17 81 Olivia Chow Don't know 8 6 8 8 5 10

Appeal Decision Approval / Own Property

% Total Approve Disapprove Yes No Sample 1099 616 447 796 303 Mayor Rob 40 69 7 45 33 Ford Federal MP 52 24 85 48 59 Olivia Chow Don't know 8 6 8 7 8

Past Mayoral Vote

Someone Total Ford Smitherman Pantalone Didn't Vote % else Sample 1099 509 258 106 150 76 Mayor Rob 40 73 11 16 28 22 Ford Federal MP 52 23 84 77 57 66 Olivia Chow Don't know 8 4 6 8 15 12

Past Provincial Vote

Another Didn't Total PC Lib NDP Green % Party Vote Sample 1099 267 457 215 49 37 74 Mayor Rob 40 75 29 24 44 40 44 Ford Federal MP 52 22 62 72 42 54 41 Olivia Chow Don't know 8 3 9 4 14 7 15

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Mayoral Voting Preference: Ford / Canseco ‘If a mayoral election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates TORONTO were Mayor Rob Ford and former Blue Jay slugger José Canseco?’ Jan 26th, 2013 [All Respondents]

Age / Gender

% Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Sample 1099 78 168 250 290 313 470 629 Mayor Rob 49 35 52 57 60 55 58 42 Ford Former Blue Jay José 31 43 30 28 22 18 27 34 Canseco Don't know 20 22 18 15 17 26 15 24

Region

Toronto or East Etobicoke or Total North York Scarborough % York York Sample 1099 381 235 244 239 Mayor Rob 49 40 48 67 45 Ford Former Blue Jay José 31 39 31 20 30 Canseco Don't know 20 22 20 13 25

Household Income

% Total <$20K $20-40K $40-60K $60-80K $80-100K $100K+ Sample 1099 107 186 160 105 111 218 Mayor Rob 49 50 46 53 48 49 53 Ford Former Blue Jay José 31 41 34 24 28 35 33 Canseco Don't know 20 9 20 23 25 16 13

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MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Primary Transit / Ford Approval TORONTO Take TTC/Other public Total Drive Other Approve Disapprove th % transit Jan 26 , 2013 Sample 1099 440 317 82 560 539 Mayor Rob 49 58 42 32 89 17 Ford Former Blue Jay José 31 24 39 49 7 50 Canseco Don't know 20 19 19 19 4 33

Appeal Decision Approval / Own Property

% Total Approve Disapprove Yes No Sample 1099 616 447 796 303 Mayor Rob 49 79 16 54 42 Ford Former Blue Jay José 31 13 53 26 38 Canseco Don't know 20 8 32 20 20

Past Mayoral Vote

Someone Total Ford Smitherman Pantalone Didn't Vote % else Sample 1099 509 258 106 150 76 Mayor Rob 49 81 24 18 43 25 Ford Former Blue Jay José 31 13 42 45 31 55 Canseco Don't know 20 5 35 36 26 20

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 17 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Past Provincial Vote TORONTO Another Didn't Total PC Lib NDP Green th % Party Vote Jan 26 , 2013 Sample 1099 267 457 215 49 37 74 Mayor Rob 49 78 40 41 39 51 50 Ford Former Blue Jay José 31 16 35 31 33 45 33 Canseco Don't know 20 5 25 28 29 5 17

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 18 forumresearch.com

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Mayoral Voting Preference: Ford / Minnan-Wong TORONTO ‘If a mayoral election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates th were Mayor Rob Ford and Councillor Denzil Minnan-Wong?’ Jan 26 , 2013

[All Respondents]

Age / Gender

% Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Sample 1099 78 168 250 290 313 470 629 Mayor Rob 44 33 45 48 51 53 50 38 Ford Councillor Denzil Minnan- 30 36 28 31 30 22 28 33 Wong Don't know 26 31 27 21 19 26 23 29

Region

Toronto or East Etobicoke or Total North York Scarborough % York York Sample 1099 381 235 244 239 Mayor Rob 44 31 46 58 44 Ford Councillor Denzil Minnan- 30 41 28 23 26 Wong Don't know 26 28 26 19 31

Household Income

% Total <$20K $20-40K $40-60K $60-80K $80-100K $100K+ Sample 1099 107 186 160 105 111 218 Mayor Rob 44 45 43 43 48 44 35 Ford Councillor Denzil Minnan- 30 22 32 31 28 33 46 Wong Don't know 26 32 26 26 24 23 19

180 Bloor Street W., #1400

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MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Primary Transit / Ford Approval / TORONTO Take TTC/Other Total Drive Other Approve Disapprove th % public transit Jan 26 , 2013 Sample 1099 440 317 82 560 539 Mayor Rob 44 49 40 23 82 13 Ford Councillor Denzil Minnan- 30 27 31 52 12 46 Wong Don't know 26 24 29 26 6 42

Appeal Decision Approval / Own Property

% Total Approve Disapprove Yes No

Sample 1099 616 447 796 303 Mayor Rob 44 74 11 47 38 Ford Councillor Denzil Minnan- 30 16 47 30 31 Wong Don't know 26 11 42 23 31

Past Mayoral Vote

Someone Total Ford Smitherman Pantalone Didn't Vote % else Sample 1099 509 258 106 150 76 Mayor Rob 44 75 14 20 37 23 Ford Councillor Denzil Minnan- 30 16 48 38 31 39 Wong Don't know 26 9 38 42 32 38

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 20 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Past Provincial Vote TORONTO Another Didn't Total PC Lib NDP Green th % Party Vote Jan 26 , 2013 Sample 1099 267 457 215 49 37 74 Mayor Rob 44 72 34 33 44 40 50 Ford Councillor Denzil Minnan- 30 21 36 34 36 14 26 Wong Don't know 26 7 30 33 20 46 24

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 21 forumresearch.com

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Mayoral Voting Preference: Ford / Stintz ‘If a mayoral election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates TORONTO were Mayor Rob Ford and TTC Chair Karen Stintz?’ Jan 26th, 2013 [All Respondents]

Age / Gender

% Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Sample 1099 78 168 250 290 313 470 629 Mayor Rob 40 23 43 46 52 52 44 37 Ford TTC Chair 49 65 44 42 42 37 46 51 Karen Stintz Don't know 11 12 12 12 7 11 9 13

Region

Toronto or East % Total North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough York Sample 1099 381 235 244 239 Mayor Rob 40 27 44 57 35 Ford TTC Chair 49 63 43 36 50 Karen Stintz Don't know 11 10 13 7 15

Household Income

% Total <$20K $20-40K $40-60K $60-80K $80-100K $100K+ Sample 1099 107 186 160 105 111 218 Mayor Rob 40 31 42 41 44 43 38 Ford TTC Chair 49 53 46 46 52 48 54 Karen Stintz Don't know 11 15 12 14 5 9 8

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 22 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Primary Transit / Ford Approval TORONTO Take TTC/Other public Total Drive Other Approve Disapprove th % transit Jan 26 , 2013 Sample 1099 440 317 82 560 539 Mayor Rob 40 51 29 16 82 6 Ford TTC Chair 49 41 57 74 13 78 Karen Stintz Don't know 11 8 13 10 5 16

Appeal Decision Approval / Own Property

% Total Approve Disapprove Yes No Sample 1099 616 447 796 303 Mayor Rob 40 72 4 45 32 Ford TTC Chair 49 23 79 45 54 Karen Stintz Don't know 11 6 16 10 13

Past Mayoral Vote

Someone Total Ford Smitherman Pantalone Didn't Vote % else Sample 1099 509 258 106 150 76 Mayor Rob 40 78 8 10 24 19 Ford TTC Chair 49 16 84 74 57 59 Karen Stintz Don't know 11 6 8 16 19 22

Past Provincial Vote

Another Didn't Total PC Lib NDP Green % Party Vote Sample 1099 267 457 215 49 37 74 Mayor Rob 40 77 29 28 19 41 44 Ford TTC Chair 49 18 60 60 61 51 37 Karen Stintz Don't know 11 5 11 12 20 8 20

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Mayoral Voting Preference: Ford / Carroll ‘If a mayoral election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates TORONTO were Mayor Rob Ford and Councillor Shelley Carroll?’ Jan 26th, 2013 [All Respondents]

Age / Gender

% Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Sample 1099 78 168 250 290 313 470 629 Mayor Rob 45 36 45 48 53 55 50 41 Ford Councillor Shelley 35 38 39 36 31 25 35 35 Carroll Don't know 20 26 17 17 16 20 15 25

Region

Toronto or East % Total North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough York Sample 1099 381 235 244 239 Mayor Rob Ford 45 31 48 59 47 Councillor 35 49 29 25 32 Shelley Carroll Don't know 20 20 23 16 21

Household Income

% Total <$20K $20-40K $40-60K $60-80K $80-100K $100K+ Sample 1099 107 186 160 105 111 218 Mayor Rob 45 39 42 46 50 38 49 Ford Councillor Shelley 35 37 45 32 31 41 34 Carroll Don't know 20 24 12 23 20 21 16

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 24 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Primary Transit / Ford Approval TORONTO Take TTC/Other Total Drive Other Approve Disapprove th % public transit Jan 26 , 2013 Sample 1099 440 317 82 560 539 Mayor Rob 45 52 40 26 87 11 Ford Councillor Shelley 35 31 37 60 8 57 Carroll Don't know 20 18 23 14 5 32

Appeal Decision Approval / Own Property

% Total Approve Disapprove Yes No Sample 1099 616 447 796 303 Mayor Rob 45 77 10 49 39 Ford Councillor Shelley 35 15 59 31 40 Carroll Don't know 20 9 31 19 21

Past Mayoral Vote

Someone Total Ford Smitherman Pantalone Didn't Vote % else Sample 1099 509 258 106 150 76 Mayor Rob 45 79 13 13 34 34 Ford Councillor Shelley 35 13 59 59 40 36 Carroll Don't know 20 8 27 29 26 30

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 25 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Past Provincial Vote TORONTO Another Didn't Total PC Lib NDP Green th % Party Vote Jan 26 , 2013 Sample 1099 267 457 215 49 37 74 Mayor Rob 45 80 35 31 38 45 46 Ford Councillor Shelley 35 12 41 49 29 21 38 Carroll Don't know 20 9 23 20 33 34 16

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 26 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Mayor Treated Unfairly By Media or Negative Publicity His Fault ‘Has the Mayor been treated unfairly by the media recently, or has he brought TORONTO the negative publicity upon himself?’ Jan 26th, 2013 [All Respondents]

Age / Gender

% Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Sample 1099 78 168 250 290 313 470 629 Mayor has been treated 35 27 39 37 41 40 41 30 unfairly by the media Mayor has brought negative 59 70 56 58 52 51 53 65 publicity upon himself Neither 4 3 4 4 6 5 5 3 Don’t know 1 0 1 1 1 4 1 1

Region

Toronto or East Etobicoke or Total North York Scarborough % York York Sample 1099 381 235 244 239 Mayor has been treated 35 24 40 49 32 unfairly by the media Mayor has brought negative 59 73 56 45 59 publicity upon himself Neither 4 2 4 4 6 Don’t know 1 1 1 1 3

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MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Household Income TORONTO % Total <$20K $20-40K $40-60K $60-80K $80-100K $100K+ Jan 26th, 2013 Sample 1099 107 186 160 105 111 218 Mayor has been treated 35 34 31 36 40 31 34 unfairly by the media Mayor has brought negative 59 59 58 60 56 63 62 publicity upon himself Neither 4 6 8 2 4 4 3 Don’t know 1 1 3 2 0 1 1

Primary Transit / Ford Approval

Take TTC/Other Total Drive Other Approve Disapprove % public transit Sample 1099 440 317 82 560 539 Mayor has been treated 35 43 27 20 73 5 unfairly by the media Mayor has brought negative 59 52 68 77 19 92 publicity upon himself Neither 4 4 5 3 6 2 Don’t know 1 1 1 0 2 1

180 Bloor Street W., #1400

Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 28 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Appeal Decision Approval / Own Property TORONTO % Total Approve Disapprove Yes No Jan 26th, 2013 Sample 1099 616 447 796 303 Mayor has been treated 35 64 3 39 30 unfairly by the media Mayor has brought negative 59 29 95 57 63 publicity upon himself Neither 4 5 2 3 6 Don’t know 1 2 1 2 1

Past Mayoral Vote

Someone Total Ford Smitherman Pantalone Didn't Vote % else Sample 1099 509 258 106 150 76 Mayor has been treated 35 64 7 11 34 16 unfairly by the media Mayor has brought negative 59 31 89 84 63 74 publicity upon himself Neither 4 4 4 3 1 7 Don’t know 1 1 0 3 2 3

180 Bloor Street W., #1400

Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 29 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Past Provincial Vote TORONTO Another Didn't Total PC Lib NDP Green th % Party Vote Jan 26 , 2013 Sample 1099 267 457 215 49 37 74 Mayor has been treated 35 61 28 22 28 45 39 unfairly by the media Mayor has brought negative 59 33 68 74 72 49 51 publicity upon himself Neither 4 4 3 4 1 5 7 Don’t know 1 2 1 0 0 1 2

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For more information: Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. President Forum Research Inc. Tel: (416) 960-9603 Fax: (416) 960-9602 E-mail: [email protected] 180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 30 forumresearch.com