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Project for Strengthening Capacity of Integrated Data Management of Flood Forecasting and Warning in the Republic of the Philippines

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Project for Strengthening Capacity of Integrated Data Management of Flood Forecasting and Warning in the Republic of the Philippines The Republic of the Philippines Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) Project for Strengthening Capacity of Integrated Data Management of Flood Forecasting and Warning in the Republic of the Philippines Completion Report June 2019 Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) Nippon Koei Co., Ltd. GE Foundation of River & Basin Integrated Communications, Japan JR 19-031 Location Map Location Project for Strengthening Capacity of Integrated Data Management Completion Report of Flood Forecasting and Warning Table of Contents Completion Report on Project for Strengthening Capacity of Integrated Data Management of Flood Forecasting and Warning Table of Contents Location Map Abbreviations Page CHAPTER 1 BASIC INFORMATION OF THE PROJECT .................................................... 1-1 1.1 Country .................................................................................................................................... 1-1 1.2 Title of the Project ................................................................................................................... 1-1 1.3 Duration of the Project ............................................................................................................ 1-1 1.4 Background ............................................................................................................................. 1-1 1.5 Overall Goal and Project Purpose ........................................................................................... 1-2 1.6 Implementing Agency ............................................................................................................. 1-2 1.7 PAGASA Modernization Program .......................................................................................... 1-4 CHAPTER 2 RESULTS OF THE PROJECT ............................................................................ 2-1 2.1 Results of the Project ............................................................................................................... 2-1 2.1.1 Input by the Japanese Side ....................................................................................... 2-1 2.1.2 Input by the Philippine Side ..................................................................................... 2-2 2.1.3 Activities .................................................................................................................. 2-3 2.1.3.1 Activities for Output 1 ............................................................................. 2-6 2.1.3.2 Activities for Output 2 ........................................................................... 2-13 2.1.3.3 Activities for Output 3 ........................................................................... 2-27 2.1.3.4 Activities for Output 4 ........................................................................... 2-39 2.1.3.5 Activities for Output 5 ........................................................................... 2-51 2.1.3.6 Activities for the Overall Project Implementation ................................ 2-54 2.1.3.7 Cross-sectoral Surveys and Products ..................................................... 2-61 2.2 Achievements of the Project.................................................................................................. 2-70 2.2.1 Project Outputs and Indicators ............................................................................... 2-70 2.2.2 Project Purpose and Indicators ............................................................................... 2-74 2.3 History of PDM Modification ............................................................................................... 2-80 CHAPTER 3 RESULTS OF JOINT REVIEW ........................................................................... 3-1 3.1 Results of Review Based on DAC Evaluation Criteria ........................................................... 3-1 3.2 Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes ........................................................... 3-4 3.3 Evaluation on the Results of the Project Risk Management ................................................... 3-5 3.4 Lessons Learned ...................................................................................................................... 3-6 3.4.1 Issues, Countermeasures and Lessons Common to All Activities............................ 3-6 i Nippon Koei Co., Ltd. Foundation of River & Basin Integrated Communications, Japan Completion Report Project for Strengthening Capacity of Integrated Data Management Table of Contents of Flood Forecasting and Warning 3.4.2 Issues, Countermeasures, and Lessons in Respective Activities .............................. 3-8 CHAPTER 4 FOR THE ACHIEVEMENT OF OVERALL GOALS AFTER THE PROJECT COMPLETION ...................................................................................................... 4-1 4.1 Prospects to Achieve Overall Goal .......................................................................................... 4-1 4.2 Plan of Operation and Implementation Structure of the Philippine Side to Achieve Overall Goal ......................................................................................................................................... 4-3 4.3 Recommendations for the Philippine Side .............................................................................. 4-4 4.4 Monitoring Plan from the End of the Project to Ex-post Evaluation ...................................... 4-5 List of Tables Page Table 2.1.1 Actual Input by Japanese Experts ............................................................................... 2-1 Table 2.1.2 List of Equipment Procured by the Project ................................................................. 2-1 Table 2.1.3 PWG Members ........................................................................................................... 2-2 Table 2.1.4 Participants in the 1st Counterpart Training in Japan ................................................. 2-3 Table 2.1.5 Participants in the 2nd Counterpart Training in Japan ................................................ 2-3 Table 2.1.6 Priority Grouping of 18 Major River Basin Based on Development Progress .................................................................................................................................... 2-8 Table 2.1.7 18 Major River Basins Prioritized by the NAFRA Study ........................................... 2-8 Table 2.1.8 Medium-term Plans (Component: Monitoring Network, as an example) ................ 2-13 Table 2.1.9 Composition of Quality Management Standards ...................................................... 2-20 Table 2.1.10 AQUARIUS Acquisition Type in the Project River Basins ...................................... 2-23 Table 2.1.11 Telemetry Systems in Accordance with Development Levels .................................. 2-34 Table 2.1.12 Composition of the Operational Guidelines on RFFWCs ........................................ 2-36 Table 2.1.13 Contents of Flood Advisory (FA) ............................................................................. 2-37 Table 2.1.14 Contents of Flood Bulletin (FB) ............................................................................... 2-37 Table 2.1.15 Comparison of Communication Networks ............................................................... 2-38 Table 2.1.16 Comparison of Communication Tools ...................................................................... 2-38 Table 2.1.17 Development Levels for Planning (Staffing and Human Resources Development, Monitoring Network and Data Transfer System) .............................. 2-39 Table 2.1.18 RFFWC Staff Deployment Plan by Development Level (Cagayan de Oro/ Tagoloan RFFWC).................................................................................................... 2-41 Table 2.1.19 Outline of Twin Phoenix System .............................................................................. 2-42 Table 2.1.20 Outline of JICA Grant System .................................................................................. 2-42 Table 2.1.21 Outline of JICS Tagoloan System ............................................................................. 2-43 Table 2.1.22 FWWLs of the Existing WL Gauging Stations in Cagayan de Oro River Basin ......................................................................................................................... 2-44 Table 2.1.23 List of Observation Stations for Flood Forecasting and Warning ............................ 2-45 Table 2.1.24 Results of H-Q Curves .............................................................................................. 2-47 ii Nippon Koei Co., Ltd. Foundation of River & Basin Integrated Communications, Japan Project for Strengthening Capacity of Integrated Data Management Completion Report of Flood Forecasting and Warning Table of Contents Table 2.1.25 Results of FWWLs ................................................................................................... 2-47 Table 2.1.26 Outline of Drill Implementation ............................................................................... 2-49 Table 2.1.27 Feedback from the Participants in the 1st Drill Activity .......................................... 2-50 Table 2.1.28 Status of Monitoring Sheet Preparation .................................................................... 2-54 Table 2.1.29 Timing and Major Agenda of JCC ...........................................................................
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