Road Map to DARWIN and Beyond: A Ten Year Strategy for Exoplanet Research in the UK 2006 - 2015 Prepared by the PPARC Exoplanet Forum Working Group for the Astronomy Advisory Panel November 2005 1 Road Map to DARWIN and Beyond: A Ten Year Strategy for Exoplanet Research in the UK 2006 – 2015 1 Executive Summary...........................................................................................................3 2 Introduction........................................................................................................................5 3 Science.................................................................................................................................6 3.1 Discovery and Observation of Exoplanets.................................................................. 6 3.1.1 Search techniques................................................................................................ 6 3.1.2 UK Strengths and Contributions......................................................................... 7 3.1.3 Forward look for the discovery and observation of exoplanets.......................... 8 3.2 Formation and Evolution of Planetary Systems ......................................................... 9 3.2.1 Theory and Modelling......................................................................................... 9 3.2.2 Debris Disks...................................................................................................... 10 3.2.3 Laboratory-based analyses................................................................................ 10 3.2.4 UK Strengths and Contributions....................................................................... 11 3.2.5 Forward look for formation and evolution of planetary systems...................... 11 4 Technology Development ................................................................................................12 4.1 Space-based Instrumentation.................................................................................... 12 4.2 Ground-based instrumentation ................................................................................. 12 4.3 Industrial Contribution ............................................................................................. 14 5 The Community ...............................................................................................................15 6 Summary and Recommendations: A Roadmap to DARWIN .....................................15 7 Cost of the Road Map......................................................................................................18 8 Authorship of this document...........................................................................................19 9 Terms of Reference..........................................................................................................19 Appendix 1 – The UK Community .........................................................................................20 Appendix 2 – UK groups and Companies with relevant technology competences...............24 Appendix 3 - Acronyms and Glossary ....................................................................................26 Cover images: left column, top – Venus in transit across the Sun, copyright Keele Observatory; middle – artist's impression of an extremely large telescope, copyright ESO; bottom – artist's impression of the DARWIN telescope, copyright ESA. Right column, top: cameras from the SuperWasp installation, copyright SuperWasp consortium; middle - SCUBA image of a debris disk around Vega, copyright ATC Edinburgh; bottom – David Hardy's impression of an Earth-like planet orbiting a sun-type star , copyright PPARC. 2 Executive Summary The existence, or otherwise, of potential life-bearing planets outside the Solar System remains as one of the outstanding questions in modern science. The characterisation of other planetary systems, and the search for life on planets outside the solar system, is going to happen within the coming decade. Given the immense scientific and cultural impact this will have, it is essential that the UK plays a leading role. This requires a coherent strategy for the long-term support and development of UK Exoplanet science. The Exoplanet Forum Working Group was requested by PPARC to develop a 10 year strategy for enhancing UK involvement in Exoplanet science. The goal was to ensure that UK researchers will be positioned to hold leadership positions in future space-based (specifically ESA's DARWIN mission) and ground-based (the development of ELTs) Exoplanet search programmes. The strategy developed here seeks to maintain and increase the short-term support of areas of existing UK strength and expertise, to enhance the international credibility of UK Exoplanet research, whist setting the scientific and technical developments that will serve as a stepping stone to DARWIN and beyond. Our starting assumption is that a primary goal of Exoplanet research is to detect and study light directly from an Earth-like planet orbiting in the habitable zone of a Sun-like star. The cost to PPARC by Financial Year of the strategy is as follows a) New money: Project (costs in £k) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total Planet Searches SuperWasp 150 150 150 150 150 750 AAPS 9090909090 450 GENIE 100 100 100 100 100 100 600 Robotic Telescopes 1000 2000 1000 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 4700 Science Exploitation 0 Project Manager 20 30 50 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 800 Science focus 15 15 20 20 25 25 25 25 30 30 230 meetings Visiting Fellowships 50 53 55 58 61 65 68 70 73 75 628 Technology 0 Systems modelling 100 100 100 100 100 100 600 ELT EU FP7 matching 80 140 140 140 140 140 140 80 1000 finds Laboratory test-bed 50 100 450 100 100 100 100 1000 Technology focus 15 15 20 20 25 25 25 25 30 30 230 meetings Total 440 603 765 1228 891 655 558 460 373 315 6288 Total with Robotic Array 1440 2603 1765 1328 991 755 658 560 473 415 10988 b) by providing support for money funded by other programmes: Project (costs in £k) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total Planet Searches PRVS 1100 100 100 100 100 100 1600 Science Exploitation Visiting Fellowships30303030303030303030300 Ph.D. students 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 1000 PDRAs 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 5000 HPC facilities 350 100 100 350 100 100 350 100 100 350 2000 Technology development EU FP7 ??????????? Total 980 730 730 2080 830 830 1080 830 830 980 9900 3 Our main recommendations are listed here. They are justified in more detail in section 6: Planet Searches • Provide increased operational support for SuperWASP • Maintain funding for the AAT Planet Search programme • Support development of the Precision Radial Velocity System on Gemini (North) • Negotiate entry to Las Cumbres Observatory global telescope network, or to fund an 8 x 1 m telescope network to expand the UK microlens detection capability • Support participation in the ESA-ESO GENIE science programme as a precursor to DARWIN Science Exploitation • Provide support for a Project Coordinator ramping up to full time position by 2009 • Establish an (initially) virtual DARWIN Integrated Science Centre (DISC) with a targeted Visiting Fellowship programme and a series of Science Focus Meetings • Provide targeted Ph.D. support in Exoplanet research, at >5 studentships yr-1 for 10 years • Provide additional support for PDRAs in Exoplanet research at >5 per yr-1 for 10 years • Provide stable and continuous investment in HPC facilities over the next 10 years to support Theory and Modelling • Support the establishment of a UK GAIA Data Centre Technology Development • Develop end-to-end systems modelling to allow optimisation of the science capability of the DARWIN and ELT systems • Fund or support a major UK laboratory facility as a test-bed for ultra-high quality imaging, coronography, and image quality evaluation techniques • Support a series of Technology Focus Meetings Beyond DARWIN • Plan for full engagement in ESA's Cosmic Visions 2015 - 2025 Far-IR observatory mission (FIRM), and the 2015 – 2018 Japanese SPICA mission • Plan for full engagement in a 100 m class ELT • Provide flexibility of an uncommitted funding line to respond to new opportunities 3000 2500 SC Plan (to 2012 2000 only) Exoplanet Forum Plan 1 1500 Exoplanet Forum Plan 2 Other money £K at£K 2005 values 1000 Uncommitted 500 0 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 0 0 0 1 01 01 01 01 01 2006 20 20 20 20 2 2 2 2 2 The Exoplanet Forum Plan 1 is the yellow row in the first Table on Page 3, Plan 2 is the same programme but with additional costs included to purchase 8 x 1m telescope if the Las Cumbres discussions fail to produce an acceptable solution to the Microlensing Community requirements. The SC plan is the current operational plan. The uncommitted line provides projected flexibility to respond to new opportunities, but is based on Science Committee agreeing to provide £2M/year in the forward look for 2012/13 and beyond. 4 Introduction The existence, or otherwise, of life-bearing planets outside the Solar System is one of the major unresolved questions in science. The discovery of planets orbiting stars other than the Sun has given this question renewed urgency, leading to the emergence of a new discipline within astronomy: Exoplanet science. Exoplanet research puts our own solar system in context through the characterisation of other planetary systems; aims to understand the origins of planets; and to answer whether habitable planets exist outside the Solar