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Alternative Payment Providers Disrupting the Payment Landscape Michelle Evans | Consumer Finance Analyst Euromonitor International

#PaymentsForum @Euromonitor @MEvans14

© Euromonitor International INTRODUCTION NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS STRATEGIES BEHIND M-COMMERCE PROSPECTS FOR PAYMENT DISRUPTORS

INTRODUCTION 3 Who is Euromonitor International?

.A leading resource for global market insight and business intelligence

.Consumer-focused: industries, countries, consumers

.Annually updated syndicated research

.Customized ad-hoc projects conducted globally in virtually every market

.800+ analysts in 80 countries

.Regional research hubs and industry specialist support teams

© Euromonitor International INTRODUCTION 4 Euromonitor’s consumer finance coverage

FINANCIAL CARDS CONSUMER LENDING CONSUMER PAYMENTS .ATM .Mortgages/Housing .Card Payment Transactions .Debit .Consumer Credit .Cash Transactions .Credit (Commercial & .Auto Lending .Other Paper Payments Personal) .Card Lending .Electronic direct/ACH .Charge (Commercial & .Home Lending transactions Personal) .Durables Lending .Open loop Prepaid .Education Lending .Closed loop Prepaid .Other Personal Lending . Store

© Euromonitor International INTRODUCTION 5 Growth expectations for global card payments

© Euromonitor International INTRODUCTION 6 A look at how US$100 moves through the global payment space

© Euromonitor International INTRODUCTION NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS STRATEGIES BEHIND M-COMMERCE PROSPECTS FOR PAYMENT DISRUPTORS

NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER 8 Alternative payment providers are disrupting traditional landscape

“If the rate of change

on the outside is

greater than the rate of

change on the inside,

the end is near.”

Jack Welch, former CEO of General Electric

© Euromonitor International NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER 9 A number of factors have opened the door for payment disruption

Smartphones

Tablets

NFC chips

QR codes

Bluetooth

Cloud computing

New business models

Regulations

© Euromonitor International NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER Smartphones and tablets have become a major conduit for change

$12.5 $185.4 $300 billion billion billion SMARTPHONE SALES SMARTPHONES SALES EXPECTED SALES OF IN 2006 IN 2012 SMARTPHONE IN 2015 NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER 11 A look at the changing landscape of mobile-enabled devices

© Euromonitor International NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER 12 Smartphones as a percentage of mobile phones worldwide

© Euromonitor International NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER 13 NFC-driven mobile payments slowly gaining momentum

.Near Field Communications is considered the technology frontrunner to power m-payments .It builds upon RFID systems by allowing two-way communication between two NFC-enabled devices .Can read and transmit radio frequencies within 20 centimeters .Automatically pairs two devices .Already used in contactless card payment systems like MasterCard’s PayPass

© Euromonitor International NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER 14 The potential uses of NFC chips

Payment

Service Pairing initiation NFC ecosystem

Sharing Ticketing

© Euromonitor International NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER 15 NFC’s new technology competitor: Bluetooth 4.0 hallmark feature Bluetooth Low NFC Energy

Short-range communication Short-range communication technology technology Range of less than 20 centimeters, Range of up to 100 meters, reducing liklihood of interception depending upon its class Operates on lower frequency Operates on more higher, more (13.56MHz) popular frequency (2.4GHz) Transfer rates ranging from 106 to Transfer rates below 100 megabits 424 kilobit per second per second Connection automatically established Connection must be established within 1/10th of second manually to create a trusted bond

Product example: Google Wallet Product Example: Rollpay

© Euromonitor International NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER 16 Consumers, retailers and phone manufacturers must be on board

Consumers Manufacturers must have introduce confidence in NFC-enabled payment smartphones alternative

Retailers install NFC- compliant POS terminals

© Euromonitor International NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER 17 Fractured industry also provides opportunity for payment entrants

Typical POS Transaction: New Payment Entrants:

Mobile Issuing Customer Mobile bank phone networks makers

Value-added service Retailers Payment Merchant networks providers

Tech Mobile app Merchant acquirer companies platforms

© Euromonitor International NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER 18 Payments industry may become increasingly more fractured soon

Banks/card issuers (eg Barclays)

Retailers (eg Card operators Tesco plc) (eg Visa Inc.)

Payments US$13.8 Mobile app trillion Value-added platforms (eg service Android by providers (eg Google Inc.) PayPal Inc.)

Mobile phone Mobile phone networks (eg manufacturers Verizon (eg Samsung Wireless) Electronics)

© Euromonitor International NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER 19 All players want a piece of the fast-growing mobile payments pie

© Euromonitor International INTRODUCTION NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS STRATEGIES BEHIND M-COMMERCE PROSPECTS FOR PAYMENT DISRUPTORS

PLUG-IN DEVICES Such products consist of a free mobile app and a fully encrypted small card reader, which can turn any iOS or Android-based device into a system accepting card transactions.

DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS Meet the poster child for plug-in devices: Square

$275/ 2 US$8 month million billion FEE CHARGED TO SMALL INDIVIDUALS AND TRANSACTIONS BUSINESS IN EXCHANGE BUSINESSES USE PROCESSED BY FOR 0% SWIPE FEE SQUARE SQUARE ANNUALLY QR CODE-BASED PAYMENT SYSTEMS QR codes are a two-dimensional form of a barcode whose contents can be decoded electronically. QR codes recently gained attention in payments.

DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS 24 Starbucks has operated most successful QR code system to date 60 million MOBILE TRANSACTIONS PROCESSED ON THE STARBUCKS’ MOBILE APP SINCE JANUARY 2011 1 million MOBILE PAYMENTS PROCESSED BY STARBUCKS WEEKLY

© Euromonitor International DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS 25 LevelUp makes money on repeat business, not interchange fee

© Euromonitor International DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS LevelUp is fast expanding its presence across the US

$4 30 million 4000 US CITIES, MORE THAN TRANSACTIONS PER MERCHANTS ON BOARD DOUBLING ITS PRESENCE MONTH TELECOM-DRIVEN PARTNERSHIPS Mobile networks, which will play an important role in pushing the necessary technology forward, likely will become a part of the banking and payment processes executed on mobile phones and could reap significant financial benefits as a result.

DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS 28 Telecom-driven mobile payments efforts from around the globe

Isis, WyWallet, US Sweden

Trusted Service Oscar, Management, UK Taiwan

© Euromonitor International DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS 29 UK’s multi-carrier mobile payment JV received regulatory go ahead

© Euromonitor International DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS 30 Carrier partnerships make m-payments easier for related parties

Platform where individual servicers can interoperate

Increases likelihood of use among banks, retailers and other companies

Single point of contact for advertisers, media agencies, retailers, brands

Control of consumer information

© Euromonitor International DIRECT-CARRIER BILLING Method of payment that charges the payment directly to a consumer’s wireless bill. It’s most popular with small- volume payment transactions like the digital purchase of apps, ringtones or game tokens. DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS 32 Direct-carrier most popular in Asia Pacific, the Middle East, LATAM

© Euromonitor International DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS 33 Bill-to-mobile likely to remain a niche mobile payment offering

© Euromonitor International EFT NETWORK DISRUPTORS These disruptors challenge the status quo by funding a payment method through electronic funds transfer, also known as EFT, rather than a credit or debit card.

DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS 35 Dwolla’s attempt to launch its own national payments network

“It (paying) should be a very simple thing and for whatever reason we have complicated the hell out of it as a society. We need to blow it up and start over.”

Ben Milne, founder and CEO of Dwolla As part of Inc. Magazine’s 30 under 30 interview

© Euromonitor International DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS Dwolla’s free web-based system relies on ACH network for funding $0.25 RECEIVER PAYS FOR TRANSFERS OVER US$10 100,000 USER ACCOUNTS 1Million DAILY TRANSACTIONS $500 AVERAGE TRANSACTION AMOUNT VIA DWOLLA RETAILERS IN CONSUMER FINANCE Retailers around the world are morphing into consumer finance providers, as well. Besides selling core products, retailers also may offer loans, insurance, card services or even proprietary mobile payment systems.

DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS 38 Nearly 20 US retailers aim to create a new m-commerce platform

© Euromonitor International DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS 39 Merchant-led network about cutting costs, retaining consumer data

Gain scale, critical mass among consumers

Could negotiate lower interchange fees

Promote own merchant-issued cards

Avoid payment rails altogether by connecting merchant-issued cards to bank accounts

Control all customer data

© Euromonitor International CLOSED-LOOP PAYMENT SYSTEMS Companies, such as Apple, that have found success operating closed-loop payment systems could leverage that experience to a wider payment system.

DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS 41 New iPhone lacks NFC, but Apple may still be thinking payments

Boarding passes

Movie tickets

Sporting event tickets

Retail coupons

Loyalty cards

Prepaid cards

© Euromonitor International DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS 42 Apple could leverage experience from running iTunes, retail stores

© Euromonitor International TECH TITANS IN PAYMENTS Technology-driven giants like Apple, Google, Facebook, and Amazon.com are well positioned to cash in on the upcoming mobile payments bonanza thanks to their reputation for innovation.

DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS 44 Will consumers trust tech titans when it comes to payments?

Top 10 Most-Trusted Brands March 2012 1. Amazon 2. Coca-Cola 3. FedEx 4. Apple 5. Target 6. Ford 7. Nike 8. Starbucks 9. Southwest Airlines 10. Nordstrom

Source: Entreprenueur

© Euromonitor International DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS 45 PayPal’s buying spree, innovations reveal it’s serious

Direct- Acquired Inc. for US $240 million in 2011 carrier Users can charge online purchases like online games to wireless billing carrier bills Wireless Acquired Fig for US$15 million in 2011 payments Smartphone app and POS connect over wireless network Customer photo appears on POS for shopkeeper to confirm identity Plug-in Plug-in device unveiled in March device Unlike many rivals, it is international, as well

Scan card Acquired card.io in July details Captures credit card info via smartphone camera

© Euromonitor International DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS 46 PayPal makes a measureable push into brick-and-mortar locations

3 SEPARATE DEALS WITH BIGGEST POS MAKERS — , AND EQUINOX PAYMENTS 40 million TERMINALS WORLDWIDE 80% TOP 200 BIG-BOX RETAILERS IN US USE VERIFONE POS © Euromonitor International INTRODUCTION NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS STRATEGIES BEHIND M-COMMERCE PROSPECTS FOR PAYMENT DISRUPTORS

STRATEGIES BEHIND M-COMMERCE 48 MasterCard’s mobile-related recent acquisitions, partnerships

• Partnered with Sybase 365, Utiba and Comviva to bring transactions through Mobile Money telephone to brick-and-mortar and online merchants worldwide Partnership

• Acquired rewards specialist, formerly known as Bill Shrink, in 2012 • Uses payment data to target special offers and discounts from merchants to Truaxis debit and credit cardholders

• Acquired DataCash, a European , in 2010 • Offers single interface that provides e-commerce merchants with ability to DataCash process secure payments around the world

© Euromonitor International STRATEGIES BEHIND M-COMMERCE 49 Visa’s recent acquisitions, partnerships in mobile-driven space

• Acquired platform that enables delivery of financial services to unbanked consumers, including P2P payments, airtime top-up and bill payment Fundamo

• Acquired platform works with publishers and developers to handle transactions for digital online games, digital media and social networks PlaySpan

• Acquired software provider, which has a variety of fraud-detection capabilities that identify questionable transactions and provide near-instant fraud detection CyberSource

• Visa entered into a five-year agreement in 2011 • Monitise operates payments an mobile banking services for financial institutions Monitise

© Euromonitor International STRATEGIES BEHIND M-COMMERCE 50 Mobile in emerging areas may be pathway to financial mainstream

Rise in the Banked Population, 2.5 billion Selected Markets 100 people in the world do not have accounts at formal financial institutions 90

80 11% in developed markets do not have 70

accounts versus 59% in emerging markets 60

50

40 Lack of access is not only because of poverty, but also the cost, travel distance and amount 30

of paperwork involved in opening accounts 15+ a of % as population Banked 20

10

Women, in particular, are more 0 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 likely to be unbanked India Brazil Turkey South Africa China Czech Republic

Source: World Bank Japan USA

© Euromonitor International STRATEGIES BEHIND M-COMMERCE 51 Emerging markets more likely to connect to internet via mobile

Possession of Internet-Enabled Computer Versus a Mobile Phone 2012 100

90

80

70

60

50

% of households of % 40

30

20

10

0 Indonesia India Ukraine China Chile Russia United Germany Canada Japan Australia USA Kingdom

Possession of internet-enabled computer Possession of mobile telephone

© Euromonitor International STRATEGIES BEHIND M-COMMERCE 52 Developed markets more accustomed to buying items via internet

Internet Retailing as a Percentage of Total Retailing, Selected Markets

12%

10%

8%

6%

4%

2% Internet retailing as percentageretailingtotal as of aretailing Internet

0% UK US France Germany Sweden Japan China Hungary Russia Ukraine Romania Thailand India

2006 2011 2016

© Euromonitor International INTRODUCTION NEW PAYMENTS FRONTIER DISRUPTORS RESHAPING PAYMENTS STRATEGIES BEHIND M-COMMERCE PROSPECTS FOR PAYMENT DISRUPTORS

PROSPECTS FOR PAYMENT DISRUPTORS 54 Mobile wallet expected to gain momentum in coming years

386% PROJECTED 2012-2017 GROWTH OF THE 46 MARKETS RESEARCHED BY EUROMONITOR $378 billion PROJECTED 2017 SIZE OF M-COMMERCE IN MARKETS 64% THE SIZE OF THE US MARKET VERSUS WHOLE

© Euromonitor International PROSPECTS FOR PAYMENT DISRUPTORS 55 Many alternative payment products layer over card payment rails

Plug-in devices

QR code-based payment systems

Mobile carrier-led payment systems

Direct-carrier billing

ACH-funded payments

Merchant-led payment networks

Closed-loop payment systems

Product innovations from tech titans

© Euromonitor International PROSPECTS FOR PAYMENT DISRUPTORS 56 Hurdles that might stop payment disruptors from taking share

Industry collaboration

Technology included in new phone models

Proving to merchants that it’s worth POS updates

Convincing consumers it is safe and effective

Consumers prefer a digital wallet from their primary bank

Non-payment providers tackling trust and privacy concerns

Regulatory barriers

© Euromonitor International PROSPECTS FOR PAYMENT DISRUPTORS 57 Value from alternative payment providers is added services

Manage loyalty

Geo-location discounts

Comparison shopping

Read product reviews

Faster transaction time

Check account balances

© Euromonitor International PROSPECTS FOR PAYMENT DISRUPTORS 58 Winning alternative systems will go beyond payment transaction

© Euromonitor International THANK YOU FOR LISTENING Michelle Evans | Consumer Finance Analyst [email protected] @mevans14

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