The Overtaking of Bicyclists

The overtaking behaviour of motorized vehicles in cyclists with and without a child on the same in the Brussels Capital Region

First author: Toon Ampe Co-authors: prof. dr. Bas de Geus, dr. Ian Walker, dr. Ben Serrien Safe Overtaking Manoeuvre

Road Safety Advisory Council (Australia) Unsafe Overtaking Manoeuvre Introduction

Safe overtaking manoeuvre

perceived traffic risk

prevalence (1-3)

Introduction Methods Main finding 1 Main finding 2 Main finding 3 Conclusion

31/10/2019 - 4

(1-3) see last slides Introduction

Lateral clearance distance

Introduction Methods Main finding 1 Main finding 2 Main finding 3 Conclusion

31/10/2019 - 5 Introduction

Larger lateral clearance distance Smaller lateral clearance distance

The motorized Professional drivers / Larger vehicles vehicle (3-7) Opposing traffic

Tangent section The road Curved sections Wider roads Centreline environment (6-10) On- lanes

Higher speed Closer to the edge (road and cycling lane) Being female The cyclist (4-6, 11-13) Helmet wearing ‘Police’ vest

Introduction Methods Main finding 1 Main finding 2 Main finding 3 Conclusion

31/10/2019 - 6 (3-7)(6-10)(4-6, 11-13) see last slides Introduction

Aim of the study

- Lateral clearance distance

- 3 cycling conditions:

 Cyclist without child

 Cyclist with child bike seat

 Cyclist with child bike trailer

- Safest means of transport

Introduction Methods Main finding 1 Main finding 2 Main finding 3 Conclusion

31/10/2019 - 7 Methods

Measurements

- Instrumented bicycle (distance sensor) - 17 cycling trips - Regular commuter/utility cyclist

Road

- One single, flat, bidirectional road - Two types of - Brussels Capital Region

Cycling conditions

- 3 different conditions

Introduction Methods Main finding 1 Main finding 2 Main finding 3 Conclusion

31/10/2019 - 8 Methods

-23 cm Sensor

- Ultrasonic distance sensor

• accuracy: ± 1 cm • frequency: 10 measurements per second

- Mounted on luggage rack

• Substraction for outermost point

- -45 cm

- Child bike trailer

Introduction Methods Main finding 1 Main finding 2 Main finding 3 Conclusion

31/10/2019 - 9 Main finding 1

• 1417 overtaking manoeuvres Mean = 124.2 Std. Dev. = 38.3

• Mean lateral clearance distance = 124.2 cm 25.4% 74.6%

• Significantly > 100 cm

• 25.4% < 100 cm

• Safety problem!

 Punishment? 100

Introduction Methods Main finding 1 Main finding 2 Main finding 3 Conclusion

31/10/2019 - 10 Main finding 2

• Cyclists without child = 117.3 cm *

• Cyclists with child = 127.5 cm

• Larger and safer with child

• Drivers’ perception (13)

• Overtaking manoeuvre = adjustable (13)

Without child With child

* Significant at p ≤ 0.05

Introduction Methods Main finding 1 Main finding 2 Main finding 3 Conclusion

31/10/2019 - 11 Main finding 3 Without child Child bike seat Child bike trailer

• Lateral clearance distance * * * * * ≈ cycling condition ≈ peak traffic hours

• Off peak traffic hours

- Child bike trailer = safer than without

• Morning & evening peak traffic hours

- Child bike seat = safest

* Significant at p ≤ 0.05

Introduction Methods Main finding 1 Main finding 2 Main finding 3 Conclusion

31/10/2019 - 12 Conclusion

• Larger lateral clearance distances when a child is present

• Safest way of child transport dependent of

• peak traffic hours

• Child bike seat safest during peak hours

• Illegal overtaking manoeuvres occur in every category

Introduction Methods Main finding 1 Main finding 2 Main finding 3 Conclusion

31/10/2019 - 13 Conclusion

• Specific study area (11)

• Generalising of the results?

• Other regions, cities and/or countries

• Speed and type of the motorized vehicle

Introduction Methods Main finding 1 Main finding 2 Main finding 3 Conclusion

31/10/2019 - 14 Thank you for your attention

[email protected] References

• 1. Sanders RL. Perceived traffic risk for cyclists: The impact of near miss and collision experiences. Accid Anal Prev. 2015; • 2. Mueller N, Rojas-Rueda D, Cole-Hunter T, de Nazelle A, Dons E, Gerike R, et al. Health impact assessment of active transportation: A systematic review. Vol. 76, Preventive Medicine. 2015. p. 103–14. • 3. Dozza M, Schindler R, Bianchi-Piccinini G, Karlsson J. How do drivers overtake cyclists? Accid Anal Prev. 2016;88:29–38. • 4. Walker I. Drivers overtaking bicyclists: Objective data on the effects of riding position, helmet use, vehicle type and apparent gender. Accid Anal Prev. 2007;39(2):417–25. • 5. Chapman JR, Noyce DA. Influence of roadway geometric elements on driver behavior when overtaking on rural roads. J Traffic Transp Eng (English Ed. 2014;1(1):28–38. References

• 6. Kay JJ, Savolainen PT, Gates TJ, Datta TK. Driver behavior during bicycle passing maneuvers in response to a Share the Road sign treatment. Accid Anal Prev. 2014;70:92–9. • 7. Llorca C, Angel-Domenech A, Agustin-Gomez F, Garcia A. Motor vehicles overtaking cyclists on two-lane rural roads: Analysis on speed and lateral clearance. Saf Sci. 2017;92:302–10. • 8. Shackel SC, Parkin J. Influence of road markings, lane widths and driver behaviour on proximity and speed of vehicles overtaking cyclists. Accid Anal Prev. 2014;73:100–8. • 9. Mchale A, Stewart K. Cycle lanes: their effect on driver passing distance in urban areas. Transport. 2014;2–7. References

• 10. Chapman J, Noyce D. Observations of Driver Behavior During Overtaking of Bicycles on Rural Roads. Transp Res Rec J Transp Res Board [Internet]. 2012;2321:38–45. Available from: http://trrjournalonline.trb.org/doi/10.3141/2321-06 • 11. Olivier J, Walter SR. Bicycle Helmet Wearing Is Not Associated with Close Motor Vehicle Passing: A Re-Analysis of Walker, 2007. PLoS One. 2013;8(9). • 12. Walker I, Robinson DL. Bicycle helmet wearing is associated with closer overtaking by drivers: A response to Olivier and Walter, 2013. Accid Anal Prev. 2019; • 13. Walker I, Garrard I, Jowitt F. The influence of a bicycle commuter’s appearance on drivers’ overtaking proximities: An on-road test of bicyclist stereotypes, high-visibility clothing and safety aids in the United Kingdom. Accid Anal Prev. 2014;64:69–77. Q&A – Sensor Q&A - Data Analysis

Statistical analyses using R • Checking for random effects (cluster sampling) -> session = significant • Further tests corrected for session • Multi model influencing • Combination of 3 models to form 95% confidence set • Distance ~ cycling condition * peak traffic hours • Distance ~ cycling condition + peak traffic hours + infrastructure • Distance ~ cycling condition + peak traffic hours • Mixed effects regression Q&A - Data Analysis

A priori analysis with G*Power 3.0.10

• Small effect size (f=0.10)

• Significance level α=0.05

• Power of 1-β=0.80

 Number of overtaking manoeuvres = 1290 Q&A - Study Area

Brussels Capital Region

- extensive public transport network - dense, very congested network of urban motorways - network of various different cycling infrastructures

Commuting Trips 2005 2014

Car 45.1 % 37,9 %

Public Transport 47.2 % 53.1 %

Bicycle 1.2 % 3.0 % Q&A – Descriptives

Peak traffic hours Cycling infrastructure Cycling condition MEAN SD MIN Q1 MEDIAN Q3 MAX N_obs Off-peak Shared lane marking Without child 126,8 36,1 46,0 102,8 127,0 153,5 233,0 100 Child bike seat 129,7 31,7 48,0 111,5 131,0 144,0 217,0 100 Child bike trailer 136,4 29,6 82,0 113,3 137,0 154,8 221,0 82 Bike lane Without child 120,2 35,0 49,0 95,0 121,0 140,0 318,0 119 Child bike seat 129,8 36,9 42,0 107,0 130,0 153,0 230,0 97 Child bike trailer 134,0 36,9 40,0 108,0 134,0 154,0 243,0 81 Morning peak Shared lane marking Without child 97,3 44,9 50,0 71,0 87,0 108,0 304,0 45 Child bike seat 122,7 46,0 45,0 93,3 124,5 139,3 303,0 38 Child bike trailer 106,8 25,4 65,0 91,0 105,0 123,0 157,0 13 Bike lane Without child 97,4 30,6 47,0 71,5 97,0 120,5 159,0 35 Child bike seat 124,1 32,6 67,0 100,5 122,5 137,3 222,0 28 Child bike trailer 129,3 39,7 61,0 107,0 123,0 138,0 213,0 13 Evening peak Shared lane marking Without child 120,5 37,5 60,0 97,0 119,0 137,0 290,0 93 Child bike seat 137,0 53,7 40,0 109,5 127,0 153,5 317,0 83 Child bike trailer 123,0 34,4 27,0 102,0 122,0 142,0 268,0 121 Bike lane Without child 117,4 35,0 59,0 95,5 117,0 133,3 282,0 64 Child bike seat 123,0 41,8 21,0 95,0 121,0 145,0 314,0 113 Child bike trailer 122,9 36,3 8,0 102,5 124,0 144,3 214,0 192 Q&A Cycling condition

Mean lateral clearance distance ○ Significant difference ○ Without child < Bike seat ○ Without child < Bike trailer ○ Bike seat = Bike trailer

Illegal manoeuvres ○ Without child = 34.6% ○ Bike seat = 21.2% ○ Bike trailer = 20.6% Q&A Cycling Infrastructure and Traffic

Mean lateral clearance distance ● Cycling Infrastructure ○ Insignificant difference ○ Shared lane marking = 125.5 cm ○ Bike lane = 123.1 cm ● Peak Traffic Hours ○ Significant difference ○ Off > Morning ○ Evening > Morning