Response Preparedness Plan Bangladesh: Floods
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Response Preparedness Plan Bangladesh: Floods Humanitarian Coordination Task Team Final Draft June 2018 1 Table of Contents 1. INTRODUCTION 2. FLOOD IMPACT MODEL 2.1 Summary of Floods Risk 2.1 Risk Monitoring of Floods 2.2 Consequences of Flood Disaster 3. NEEDS ANALYSIS 3.1 Community Perceptions on Needs 3.2 Analysis of Needs and Key Immediate Needs (KIN) Immediate (1-2 weeks) Short-term (2-4 weeks) Sectoral Needs Analysis (5 weeks to 6 months) 4. RESPONSE CAPACITY ANALYSIS 4.1 Sector/Cluster Response Capacity 4.2 Response Modalities 5. COORDINATION AND MANAGEMENT ARRANGEMENTS 5.1 Humanitarian Coordination 5.2 Private Sector 5.3 Operational Support 6. PLANNING AND ADVOCACY 2 1. INTRODUCTION Bangladesh is one of the most flood prone countries in the world, which is situated in south Asian sub- continent. Bangladesh has 230 rivers of which 57 are trans-boundary Rivers. Three large rivers systems e.g. Ganges, Brahmaputra and Meghna, in the world covering a combined total catchments area of about 1.7 million sq. km. extending over Bhutan, China, India and Nepal, flow through this country. Out of these huge catchments only 7% lies in Bangladesh. Floods are annual phenomena, with the most severe occurring during the months of July and August. Regular river floods affect nearly 20% of the country on an average, increasing up to 68% in extreme years. Bangladesh tries to live with flood and disaster with structural and non-structural measures. Systematic structural measures began by implementing flood control projects in sixties after the colossal flood of 1963. Non-structural measures have introduced in seventies which includes early warning system, capacity building of communities and institutions etc. Flooding is a natural phenomenon, which cannot be prevented. Complete flood control is not in the interests of most Bangladeshi farmers. The flood control measures and policies need to be directed to mitigation of flood damage, rather than flood prevention. The basic factors of Floods in Bangladesh are as follows; • Bangladesh has to drain out runoff of an area which is 12 times larger than its size. Only 7% of the combined catchment areas of the Ganges, Brahmaputra and Meghna rivers (i.e., 0.12 Mkm2 out of 1.76 Mkm2) are within Bangladesh. The remaining 93% are distributed over Nepal, India, China and Bhutan. • Annually, 1,360,000 million m3 of discharge originate outside Bangladesh. About 85 per cent of this discharge is generated between June-October. • The amount of water which passes over the country can create a pool having a depth of about 9 meters. • Besides water the rivers also carry high loads of silt from the steep and denuded upstream - an estimated 1.2 to 2.4 billion tons of sediments are carried annually to the Bay of Bengal. The combined, annual sediment load of the Ganges and Brahmaputra is estimated to, be 1185 million tons. Their respective share is 38% and 62%. • About 1/3 of Bangladesh or 49,000 sq. km. area are influenced by tides, in the Bay of Bengal. The overall objective of this Flood Response Preparedness Plan is to strengthen the existing capacity of the Government to lead and ensure an effective, timely, and coordinated response that will mitigate the risks and reduce the impact of disaster on the vulnerable communities. • To ensure the availability of the stock of assets under government and non-government custody in the disaster affected area • To ensure availability of additional assets if needed • To ensure the safety and security of common people and rule of laws • To undertake effort in reducing damage of properties and lives • To undertake every effort needed as per the local disaster management planning 3 2. FLOODS IMPACT MODEL 2.1 Summary of Floods Risk According to the World Risk Report 2016, of 173 countries, Bangladesh is the fifth most disaster-prone country in the world, particularly susceptible to devastating natural disasters such as flooding. Although the country and its people have adapted to regular flooding that maintain the equilibrium of a range of ecological systems, in extreme years, up to 68% of the country have been inundated with devastating effect. Floods by nature are complex events caused by a range of human vulnerabilities, inappropriate development planning and climate variability. There are different ways of classifying and categorizing floods along geographic and geophysical characteristics. In Bangladesh, floods are most commonly classified as: • Flash floods, which affect both the hilly areas of the south east and can cause landslides and the Haor Basin area of the north east; • River flooding, also known as monsoon flooding, an annual event which can be extreme some years; • Water logging, is the name given to the phenomenon in the southwest of Bangladesh where river flooding is unable drain and causes prolonged flooding. Widespread and prolonged flooding can lead the population to become extremely vulnerable and can bring devastation to crops, livestock, and property as well as disrupt livelihoods and cause loss of life and livelihoods options. In order to identify the kind of floods disaster most relevant for Bangladesh, a risk analysis was conducted with government officials and members of the Humanitarian Coordination Task Team (HCTT). Floods were identified, they were ranked twice on a scale of 1 to 5; once to reflect their perceived impact and the second time for likelihood of occurrence. Multiplying these two variables gave a value indicating the gravity — low, medium or high — of a given 4 risk. The outcome of the risk analysis was a commonly agreed inter-agency Country Risk Profile for Bangladesh (Figure 1). Figure 1. Floods Risk Profile: Bangladesh 5. Critical River/Monsoon 4. Severe flooding Waterlogging Flash floods Impact 3. Moderate Landslide 2. Minor 1. Negligible 1. Very 3. Moderately 2. Unlikely 4. Likely 5. Very likely Unlikely Likely Likelihood Likelihood: Impact: 1= Very unlikely (up to 20% chance of the event happening) 1 = Negligible (minimal impact on overall population) 2 = Unlikely (20-40%) 2 = Minor (minor impact on overall population) 3 = Moderately likely (40-60%) 3 = Moderate (moderate impact on overall population) 4 = Likely (60-80%) 4 = Severe (severe impact on overall population) 5 = Very likely (over 80%) 5 = Critical (major impact on overall population) *Hazards to be cross-checked and referenced with official data and statistics Scenario 1: Landslide- Based on the landslide experience on 2017 People Affected 79,234 persons including 33,907 persons severely affected among whom 4,028 are children. Districts Affected 5 districts affected (Bandarban, Chittagong, Cox’s Bazar, Khagrachari and, Rangamati) among which Bandarban, Chittagong and Rangamati are the worst affected. Bandarban and Rangamati are part of the Chittagong Hill Tracts. Deaths 160 (6 persons missing) Injured 187 people injured severely and moderately Main Impact • Destruction of shelters (est. 6,000) and other infrastructures (38 schools damaged, 11 adolescent clubs severely damaged, 129 para-centers). • High pressure on medical services. • Main road access blocked, compromised access to life-saving services including gender-based violence services. • Main communication lines broken • Power lines damaged • Shortage of fuel, food and water • Market prices increased • Food stocks lost • Livelihood activities hindered • Heightened risk of harassment and sexual assault 5 Scenario 2: Monsoon Floods- Based on the flood experience on 2017 People Affected 3.39 million people severely affected with number of displaced 344,785 people Districts Affected 31 districts affected in northern part of Bangladesh among which 10 districts (Kurigram, Gaibandha, Lalmonirhat, Dinajpur, Nilphamary, Bogra, Thakurgaon, Sirajganj, Jamalpur, Sunamganj) are severely affected Deaths 84 people Injured 17,018 people injured severely and moderately Main Impact • Most (>75%) houses severely damage • Majority of the traditional houses inundation. Considerable damage to structures of light to medium construction • All crops (food and cash crops) have been lost • Most of the household’s face difficulties to take care of their children • Electrical power distribution and communication services are completely disrupted • Most of the tube well fully or partially damage • Prices for basic commodities like fuel and water soared in the market due to scarcity of goods. • The power shortages hindered access to water. • Access to health, nutrition assistance, and life-saving intervention was initially limited due to road damage. • Protection related concerns have also increased, in particular for children and women. Scenario 3: Water Logging- Based on the Flooding & Prolonged Water-logging in South West Bangladesh on 2011 People Affected Estimated 921,942 people affected Districts Affected 3 districts Satkhira, Jessore and Khulna Deaths N/A Injured N/A Main Impact • Period of displacement and until rebuilding of houses and livelihoods commences is predicted to be 3 months or more • Community short term priority is adequate food support • Significant losses to main forms of livelihood (agriculture, shrimp cultivation, fisheries) which could take months to recover • Inadequate sanitation (for displaced and non-displaced people) • Inadequate temporary shelter • Displaced people will need to rebuild homes when the water recedes. Most houses of displaced people are destroyed • Water sources in submerged villages require rehabilitation • Health concerns include snake bite, diarrhea, access to services and pollution