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Belmont Stakes Wagering Guide Daily Late-Breaking Online Updates Begin June 4

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Belmont Stakes Wagering Guide Daily Late-Breaking Online Updates Begin June 4 BELMONT STAKES WAGERING GUIDE DAILY LATE-BREAKING ONLINE UPDATES BEGIN JUNE 4 Union Rags wins 2012 Belmont. ©Horsephotos.com/NTRA 866.88XPRESS (866.889.7737) Fellow Racing Fan, Welcome to the sixth edition of Xpressbet’s free Belmont Wagering Guide! The exciting, front-running victory by Oxbow in the Preakness Stakes and Orb’s scintillating closing ANALYSIS: Text charge in the Kentucky Derby set up an intriguing rubber match in the Belmont Stakes. Of course, the Belmont won’t necessarily be a two-horse race. At this writing, a large field seems set to tangle in MAIN CONTENDERS: Text New York. VALUE PLAYS: Text Golden Soul and Revolutionary, second and third in the Kentucky Derby, respectively, appear to offer WAGERINGthe biggest STRATEGIES challenges to the($100): top pair, however, there are other interesting alternatives. Inside this • $10guide Exacta you Part-Wheel: will find an HORSE assortment with ($20) of runners mentioned and supported to possibly upset the apple cart • $10or atExacta least Part-Wheel: crack the HORSE superfecta with ($20)at decent prices. • $10 Exacta Part-Wheel: HORSE with ($20) The best way to prepare to wager successfully on the Belmont is with Xpressbet’s Belmont Wagering Guide. Inside you will find everything you need to watch and wager on the race like an expert. And, of course, you can wager on the Belmont Stakes and worldwide Thoroughbred and harness racing with Xpressbet online, by phone or via mobile device. If you don’t already have an Xpressbet account, please accept this complimentary guide and act now to open an account and to earn up to $125 in bonus cash! Complete details are available at Xpressbet.com. We’ve recruited top handicappers, writers and broadcasters to examine the race—Analysis, Main Contenders, Value Plays and $100 Wagering Strategies. You’ll also find useful Stats & Trends, a handy Exotic Wagering Chart and much more gathered in one place. Plan to return to the Xpressbet web site for free daily Belmont Wagering Guide updates. These will include Johnny D’s in-depth, horse-by-horse analysis and revised expert opinions and selections based on scratches, post positions, weather, etc. Updates will be posted daily beginning Tuesday, June 4. The folks at Xpressbet wish you an entertaining and profitable 2013 Belmont Stakes and look forward to serving as your advance deposit wagering account provider for the big day and into the future. Sincerely, Ron Luniewski Xpressbet PICKS 1. HORSE 2. HORSE 3. HORSE 4. HORSE 866.88XPRESS (866.889.7737) Daily Late-Breaking Online Updates Begin June 4 *Restrictions apply. See website for details. National gambling support line 800.522.4700. BELMONT WAGERING FACTS By Jeremy Plonk, Horseplayernow.com Below are some interesting and informative wagering tidbits from past Belmont Stakes events. WIN-PLACE-SHOW ODDS EXACTA PAYOFFS (Last 12 Years, Odds to $1) (Last 12 Years, $2 Payoff) ANALYSIS:Win Odds Text Average: $391.89 Average: 17.68 High: $2,454.00 (Sarava-Medaglia d’Oro, 2002) MAINHigh: CONTENDERS:70.25 (Sarava, 2002) Text Low: $20.60 (Point Given-A P Valentine, 2001) Low: 1.15 (Afleet Alex, 2005) Notable: 9 of last 12 exactas have paid $144 or less. VALUENotable: PLAYS: Union Rags Text (2012) snapped a streak of 4 straight Belmont winners at 11-to-1 or more. TRIFECTA PAYOFFS WAGERING STRATEGIES ($100): (Last 12 Years, $1 Payoff) • $10Place Exacta Odds Part-Wheel: HORSE with ($20) Average: $1,757.75 • $10Average: Exacta 7.28 Part-Wheel: HORSE with ($20) High: $12,504.50 • $10High: Exacta 16.20 Part-Wheel:(Stay Thirsty, HORSE 2011) with ($20) (Sarava-Medaglia d’Oro-Sunday Break, 2002) Low: .35 (Smarty Jones, 2004) Low: $33.75 Notable: 6 of last 7 Belmont runner-ups were single-digit odds. (Empire Maker-Ten Most Wanted-Funny Cide, 2003) Notable: 3 of the last 4 Belmont trifectas paid $383 or less for a Show Odds buck. Average: 12.10 High: 31.50 (Anak Nakal/Ready’s Echo dead-heat, 2008) SUPERFECTA PAYOFFS Low: 1.00 (Funny Cide, 2003) (Since 2000, NA in 2003, $1 Payoff) Notable: 4 of last 9 Belmont show horses were 20-to-1 or more. Average: $12,237.04 (Average Odds of 4th-Place Finishers is 10.70-to-1) LOWEST-PRICED FAVORITES High: $72,667.00 (Last 12 Years, Odds to $1) (Sarava-Medaglia d’Oro-Sunday Break-Magic Weisner, 2002) Odds Horse Year Fin. Low: $91.75 .30 Big Brown 2008 dnf (Point Given-A P Valentine-Monarchos-Dollar Bill, 2001) .35 Smarty Jones 2004 2nd Notable: 3 of the last 5 Belmont superfectas paid $5,329 or 1.00 Funny Cide 2003 3rd more. 1.10 Curlin 2007 2nd 1.15 Afleet Alex 2005 1st HIGHEST-PRICED RUNNERS IN SUPERFECTA 1.25 War Emblem 2002 8th (Last 12 Years, Odds to $1) 1.25 Mine That Bird 2009 3rd Odds Horse Year Fin. 1.35 Point Given 2001 1st 70.25 Sarava 2002 1st 38.50 Da’Tara 2008 1st 36.00 Birdstone 2004 1st 34.25 Anak Nakal 2008 3rd EXPERT SELECTION GRID Expert Bob Neumeier Mike Battaglia Jeff Siegel Jon White Dick Jerardi Steve Byk (NBC Sports) (NBC Sports) (HRTV) (HRTV) (Phila. Daily News) (SiriusXM Radio) First Revolutionary Orb Revolutionary Overanalyze Orb Orb Second Orb Overanalyze Orb Orb Revolutionary Revolutionary Third Code West Revolutionary Will Take Charge Revolutionary Oxbow Oxbow FourthPICKS Freedom Child Golden Soul Palace Malice Freedom Child Freedom Child Freedom Child 1. HORSE 2. HORSE 3. HORSE 4. HORSE BELMONTDaily Late-Breaking WAGERING Online Updates GUIDE Begin Updates June 4 AVAILABLE ONLINE DAILY BEGINNING TUESDAY, JUNE 4 Meet The 2013 Belmont Contenders by Johnny D Xpressbet.com ORB GOLDEN SOUL The Kentucky Derby winner failed to fire in the Preakness Trainer Dallas Stewart has made no bones about the fact ANALYSIS:when finishing Text a well beaten fourth. So, what’s a handi- that Golden Soul, longshot runner-up in the Kentucky capper to do with Orb’s chances in the Belmont Stakes? Derby, came out of that encounter a bit worse for wear. Will Orb rebound on his home track and begin another According to Stewart, after the Kentucky Derby, the son of MAIN CONTENDERS: Text winning streak, or has his hand already been played? Perfect Soul lost weight and was just plain tuckered out. Good questions. And at what odds will Orb be acceptable Stewart skipped the Preakness in order to prepare Golden VALUEto value PLAYS:conscious Texthorseplayers? Will Soul for the Belmont. As a confirmed he start favored in what appears to be stretch runner, it would seem that WAGERINGa large and contentious STRATEGIES field? ($100):Tradi- BELMONT LAST TIMES... the mile and one-half distance of the • $10 Exacta Part-Wheel: HORSE with ($20) tionally, horseplayers have proven The Last … Belmont should be right up his alley. • to$10 posess Exacta short Part-Wheel: memories. HORSE Will they with ($20) However, it should be noted that • $10 Exacta Part-Wheel: HORSE with ($20) Kentucky Derby Winner to Win: recall Orb’s five-win tear that included Thunder Gulch (1995) Golden Soul has won just one race the Fountain of Youth and Florida in six career starts, a limited resume and Kentucky Derbies, or concen- Preakness Winner to Win: for tackling such accomplished foes. trate mainly on his loss in Baltimore? Afleet Alex (2005) He has a trio of runner-up efforts—his Certainly, Orb appears a horse made initial maiden voyage, in the Lecomte Kentucky Derby runner-up to win: for the testing mile and one-half and last out in the Kentucky Derby. Empire Maker (2003) Belmont distance and he should have Will the 3-year-old colt rebound with a legitimate pace to chase. If the price Kentucky Derby Show Horse to Win: another strong performance or will the is right, Orb could turn out to be a Afleet Alex (2005) Derby melee hangover hamper him? smart Belmont wager. You make the call. Horse to Lay-Off Since Derby to Win: OXBOW Union Rags (2012) REVOLUTIONARY After a creditable race in the Kentucky New Triple Crown Face to Win: Todd Pletcher took a full cut at win- Derby, Oxbow was overlooked in the Ruler On Ice (2011) ning the Kentucky Derby by starting Preakness at juicy odds of 15.40-1. In 5 runners in the race. Revolutionary Baltimore, he went to the front and Jockey to Win His Debut: performed best of the Pletcher lot by made every pole a winning one by Jose Valdivia (2011 Ruler On Ice) finishing third at contender odds of galloping along easily. Odds are he 6.40-1. Early in the Kentucky Derby, won’t have a similar effortless journey Trainer to Win His Debut: Revolutionary had just one horse around the track in New York, espe- Michael Matz (2012 Union Rags) whipped. That turned out to be the cially if Palace Malice, the Derby pace- Winner From 10+ Lengths Back: perfect plan of attack as closers ral- setter, has his mind on running early. Jazil (2006) lied to engulf fading pacesetters. Will Still, Oxbow, by Awesome Again, has the Belmont pace set up similarly? proven to be the type of horse that Remember that Revolutionary had does not need the lead to run well. He won three consecutive races head- came from just off the pace in the Risen Star to be a very ing into the Kentucky Derby—a maiden test, Withers and close fourth and he rallied in the Rebel to lose by a neck. Louisiana Derby. That includes quite a bit of development Both of those trips were hampered by outside post posi- in a short time.
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