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Raising the Ambition of Climate Action in the Age of Global Emergencies” Is the Title of the SISC 8Th Annual Conference, Held on October 21St-23Rd, 2020

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Raising the Ambition of Climate Action in the Age of Global Emergencies” Is the Title of the SISC 8Th Annual Conference, Held on October 21St-23Rd, 2020 Raising the ambition of climate action in the age of global emergencies 8th SISC Annual Conference, online, 21-23 Oct 2020 Partners With the support of Cover: photo by Bill Oxford and Karsten Würth on Unsplash We thank Anna Romanin for her contribution in the editing of this book. More information on the Italian Society for the Climate Sciences - SISC is available at www.sisclima.it ISBN: 978-88-97666-16-5 © Società Italiana Scienze per il Clima, October 2020 ABOUT SISC CONFERENCE .................................................................................................... 6 1. PLENARY LECTURES .......................................................................................................... 9 Successful international cooperation: Lessons for climate change negotiations ............................................ 9 The role of carbo dioxide removal for CO2 neutrality ...................................................................................... 9 From niche construction to ecological traps: An evolutionary perspective on anthropogenic climate change ................................................................................................................................................................ 10 2. EXPLORE, PREDICT AND PROJECT CLIMATE VARIATIONS AND EXTREMES ...................................... 11 Atmospheric Fe supply has a negligible role in promoting marine productivity in the Glacial North Pacific Ocean ...................................................................................................................................................... 11 Regional Arctic sea ice response to abrupt climate changes: A focus on Dansgaard-Oeschger events .......... 12 200 years of equilibrium-line altitude variability across the European Alps (1901-2100)........................... 13 Paleoclimatological characterization of Grand Combin alpine site based on dust, organic fraction and heavy metals, in the framework of Ice Memory project .................................................................................. 14 Alpine-wide trend assessment of total snow depth over recent decades from a harmonized database of validated in-situ observations ....................................................................................................................... 16 Degradation of the climate signal preserved in Svalbard ice archives ........................................................... 18 Scenes from a Monopoly: Renewable resources and quickest detection of regime shifts ............................. 19 Analysis of the observations of temperature carried out at the meteorological station of the institute of physics ........................................................................................................................................................... 20 Chinese lockdown as aerosol reduction experiment ........................................................................................ 21 Interannual to decadal variability within and across the major Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems ............................................................................................................................................................................ 22 Northern hemisphere atmospheric blocking in future climate in CMIP3, CMIP5 and CMIP6 models ...... 23 ClimRisk2020: Time for Action! Book of Abstracts 1 Table of Contents Heavy daily precipitation events in the CMIP6 worst-case scenario: projected twenty-first-century changes .............................................................................................................................................................. 24 Local Atmospheric Response to Gulf Stream Sea Surface Temperature Front shifting: Impact of horizontal resolution in HighResMIP models ................................................................................................. 25 Trend analysis of flood quantiles in the Italian Alps ...................................................................................... 26 Assessment of seasonal forecasts skill over the Mediterranean area............................................................. 27 Seasonal prediction of ocean variables: towards user-relevant indicators .................................................... 29 Predicting climate change over the multi-annual range ................................................................................. 30 Changing atmospheric predictability in a changing climate ........................................................................... 31 Predictability of large scale drivers leading intense Mediterranean cyclones ............................................... 32 A decadal time series of particle fluxes in the Kongsfjorden (Svalbard) ....................................................... 33 Assessing tools for improving seasonal forecasting of climate services in Mediterranean areas ................ 35 Changes in rainfall distribution patterns over Liguria Region ....................................................................... 35 Estimation of probable maximum precipitation over Euro-Mediterranean under climate change ............ 37 European precipitation extremes using high resolution model (WRF) ......................................................... 38 Heat content trends of the Mediterranean Sea derived by Argo float data from 2000 to 2020 .................. 39 Heat events in the Indian subcontinent under a warming climate scenario: Detection and its drivers ...... 40 Orographic forcing and climate trends in Central Italy: Using a validated regional dataset over Umbria to compute climate indices .................................................................................................................. 41 Spatio-temporal correlation of extreme climate indices and river flood discharges .................................... 42 Two centuries of temperature observations in the Alpine city of Trento (1816-2020) ................................. 43 Validation of the convection-permitting regional reanalysis SPHERA: Benefits of the high resolution in detecting severe weather events................................................................................................................... 44 Swiss stone pine (Pinus cembra L.) tree-ring data as a proxy for extending glacier mass-balance series in the Italian Rhaetian Alps .............................................................................................................................. 45 3. CLIMATE RELATED IMPACTS, RISKS AND ADAPTATION OPTIONS ................................................. 46 5 kyr of fire history in the High North Atlantic Region: Natural variability and ancient human forcing ............................................................................................................................................................................ 46 Tipping oceans in a changing climate .............................................................................................................. 48 Climate change impacts on the aquaculture sector for European islands ..................................................... 49 Multi-risk scenario analysis in the Apulia shoreline: A machine learning approach supporting coastal erosion risks assessment and management .................................................................................................... 50 C3S Demo Case Soil Erosion: Assessing climate change impacts on soil erosion over Italy ......................... 51 4. CLIMATE POLICIES AND TRANSITION PATHWAYS IN THE CONTEXT OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT .... 54 Pathways of transition and the characteristics of competing technologies: A taxonomy and a policy experiment ......................................................................................................................................................... 54 Drivers of Climate Policies: A Machine Learning Approach .......................................................................... 55 Energy taxes, public debt and endogenous growth engines in OECD countries ........................................... 56 A land-based approach for climate change mitigation in the livestock sector .............................................. 57 Measuring methane emissions from ruminants. Transposing lessons between different methods of greenhouse gas accounting for ambitious climate targets .............................................................................. 58 ClimRisk2020: Time for Action! Book of Abstracts 2 Table of Contents Local climate change adaptation in the mountain region: An indicator-based decision support system methodology ...................................................................................................................................................... 59 Anchoring transition imperatives within municipal structures: Resilience as a new method for public action .................................................................................................................................................................. 61 Mobilising finance for hydropower to achieve sustainable development and energy transition ................. 64 Sustainable fashion for climate change ........................................................................................................... 65 Climate change adaptation plan ......................................................................................................................
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