GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers Thurs-Sat THURSDAY, AUGUST 3 SATURDAY, AUGUST 5

Committee/Business Meetings Committee/Business Meetings & Other Activities & Other Activities 6:00 pm–7:00 pm S-Douglas Room 7:00 am–6:00 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby The ASA Management Review Committee (closed) ASA Membership/Special Assistance Desk Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University 7:00 am–6:00 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby 7:00 pm–9:00 pm S-Douglas Room JSM Main Registration The ASA Board of Directors Executive Committee Working Dinner (closed) 7:00 am–6:00 pm CC-507 Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University Speaker Work Room 7:00 am–6:00 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby Cyber Center FRIDAY, AUGUST 4 PRELIMINARY7:00 am–6:00 pm CC-508 Speaker Work Room Committee/Business Meetings PROGRAM8:00 am–5:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4A & Other Activities Exhibitor Move In and Lounge

8:30 am–10:00 am S-Douglas Room 8:30 am–5:30 pm S-Aspen Room The ASA Planning Committee (closed) The ASA Board of Directors Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University

10:45 am–5:00 pm S-Aspen Room 9:00 am–10:30 am S-Spruce Room The ASA Board of Directors Meeting (closed) ASA BOD-2006 Strategic Activities Review Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University Subcommittee (closed) Chair(s): Nathaniel Schenker, National Center for Health Statistics 12:00 pm–1:30 pm S-Cedar Room The ASA Board of Directors Lunch (closed) 9:00 am–10:30 am S-Admiral Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University ASA BOD-2006 Dues Subcommittee (closed) Chair(s): Daniel Kasprzyk, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 6:00 pm–7:00 pm S-Governors Suite JSM Staff and ASA Board of Directors Reception 9:00 am–5:00 pm CC-Level 1 (closed) Citywide Concierge Center Chair(s): William Smith, American Statistical Association; Sallie Keller- McNulty, Rice University 9:00 am–5:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4B Career Placement Service (Electronic Registration Only)

11:30 am–12:30 pm S-Willow A Association of GCRC Statisticians Lunch (closed) Organizer(s): Robert Oster, University of Alabama at Birmingham

Seattle 1 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

12:00 pm–5:00 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby Instructor(s): Bruno Sanso, University of California, Santa Cruz

ASA Marketplace Thurs-Sat CE_05C CC-304 12:00 pm–1:30 pm S-Cedar Room 8:30 am–5:00 pm The ASA Board of Directors Lunch (closed) Practical Data Mining The ASA 12:30 pm–5:30 pm S-Willow B Instructor(s): Richard De Veaux, Williams College Association of GCRC Statisticians Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Robert Oster, University of Alabama at Birmingham CE_06C CC-303 8:30 am–5:00 pm 3:00 pm–6:00 pm S-Spruce Room Applied Longitudinal Analysis ICES III Program Committee Meeting (closed) The ASA, Biometrics Section Chair(s): Eva Elvers, Statistics Sweden Instructor(s): Garrett Fitzmaurice, Harvard University 7:00 pm–8:30 pm S-Cedar Room National Numeracy Network Board Meeting Organizer(s): Bernard Madison, University of Arkansas SUNDAY, AUGUST 6 Continuing Education (FeePRELIMINARY Events) Tours CE_01C CC-310 9:30 am–1:30 pm CC-Convention Plaza 8:30 am–5:00 pm TR01 - Northwest Winery Tour Categorical Data Analysis (two-day course)PROGRAM 1:00 pm–4:00 pm CC-Convention Plaza The ASA TR02 - Seattle City Highlights Tour Instructor(s): Gary Koch, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Todd Schwartz, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Rebekkah Dann, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Committee/Business Meetings CE_02C CC-308 & Other Activities 8:30 am–5:00 pm 7:00 am–8:00 am S-Willow A Small-Area Estimation The ASA, Section on Survey Research Methods Association of GCRC Statisticians Breakfast (closed) Organizer(s): Robert Oster, University of Alabama at Birmingham Instructor(s): Partha Lahiri, University of Maryland

CE_03C CC-307 7:00 am–10:00 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby 8:30 am–5:00 pm Cyber Center Modern Approaches to Nonstationary Models of 7:00 am–6:00 pm CC-508 Spatial and Space-Time Processes with Air Quality Speaker Work Room Applications The ASA 7:00 am–6:00 pm CC-507 Instructor(s): Peter Guttorp, University of Washington; Paul D. Sampson, Speaker Work Room University of Washington 7:00 am–8:30 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby CE_04C CC-306 JSM Main Registration 8:30 am–5:00 pm Bayesian Inference 7:00 am–8:30 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby The ASA, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science ASA Membership/Special Assistance Desk

2 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

7:30 am–10:30 am S-Douglas Room Journal of Statistics Education Editorial Board Committee on Women in Statistics (closed) (closed) Sunday Chair(s): Teri Peterson, Idaho State University Chair(s): W. Robert Stephenson, Iowa State University

7:30 am–12:30 pm H-Blewett Suite 12:00 pm–1:00 pm S-Willow A Committee on Publications Meeting (closed) Association of GCRC Statisticians Lunch (closed) Chair(s): William Q. Meeker, Jr., Iowa State University Organizer(s): Robert Oster, University of Alabama at Birmingham

8:00 am–12:00 pm CC-302 12:00 pm–1:30 pm H-Portland ICES III Organizing Committee Meeting (closed) Amgen, Inc.(closed) Chair(s): Howard Hogan, U.S. Census Bureau Organizer(s): Chander Varma, Amgen Inc.

8:00 am–12:00 pm S-Willow B 12:00 pm–2:00 pm S-Aspen Room Association of GCRC Statisticians Meeting (closed) Statistica Sinica Board Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Robert Oster, University of Alabama at Birmingham Organizer(s): Michelle Liou, Academia Sinica; Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University 8:00 am–10:00 am S-Juniper Business Statistics Focus Group (closed) 12:00 pm–1:30 pm CC-601 Organizer(s): Dona Kenly, Addison Wesley Friends of the Indian Statistical Institute Business Meeting 8:00 am–6:00 pm PRELIMINARY CC-Exhibit Hall 4A Organizer(s): Nitis Mukhopadhyay, University of Connecticut Exhibitor Lounge 1:00 pm–6:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4A 8:00 am–11:00 am CC-ExhibitPROGRAM Hall 4A EXPO 2006 Exhibitor Move In 1:00 pm–6:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4A 9:00 am–5:00 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby ASA Communities Booth #101 ASA Marketplace 1:00 pm–6:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4B 9:00 am–5:00 pm CC-Level 1 Career Placement Service (Full Placement Service Citywide Concierge Center Open)

9:00 am–1:00 pm CC-301 2:00 pm–4:30 pm S-Metropolitan Ballroom A Advisory Committee on Teacher Enhancement Annual Council of Sections Annual Business Meeting (closed) Meeting (closed) Chair(s): John E. Boyer, Kansas State University Chair(s): Robert Gould, University of California, Los Angeles 4:00 pm–5:30 pm S-Douglas Room 9:00 am–12:00 pm S-Cedar Room 2006/2007 Committee Chairs Meeting (closed) Council of Sections Governing Board Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Darryl Downing, GlaxoSmithKline Chair(s): John E. Boyer, Kansas State University 4:30 pm–8:00 pm H-Chatham 11:00 am–2:00 pm CC-4C-1 ENAR Executive Committee Meeting (by invitation NISS/SAMSI Affi liates Meeting (closed) only) Organizer(s): Alan Karr, National Institute of Statistical Sciences Organizer(s): Kathy Hoskins, ENAR

11:30 am–1:00 pm S-Douglas Room 5:00 pm–6:30 pm S-Cedar Room Committee on Committees Meeting (closed) Council of Section New Offi cer Orientation Meeting Chair(s): Darryl Downing, GlaxoSmithKline (closed) Chair(s): S. Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University 12:00 pm–2:00 pm S-Juniper Seattle 3 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

5:00 pm–6:30 pm CC-305 ACCE Presenters’ Social (closed) Cancer Center Biostatistics Directors Annual Meeting Chair(s): Charles Tan, Merck & Co., Inc. Sunday Organizer(s): Terry Hyslop, Th omas Jeff erson University 8:00 pm–10:30 pm CC-Ballroom 6ABC JSM Opening Mixer (included in registration fee)

5:00 pm–7:30 pm H-Blewett Suite Continuing Education (Fee Events) International Chinese Statistical Association (ICSA) Board Meeting CE_01C CC-310 Organizer(s): Ivan Chan, Merck & Co., Inc. 8:30 am–5:00 pm Categorical Data Analysis (continuation of two-day course) 5:30 pm–7:00 pm CC-302 The ASA Committee on Scientifi c Freedom and Human Rights Instructor(s): Gary Koch, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Business Meeting Hill, Todd Schwartz, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chair(s): Susan Hinkins, NORC Rebekkah Dann, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

6:00 pm–7:30 pm CC-4C-2 CE_07C CC-309 JSM First-time Attendee Orientation and Reception 8:30 am–5:00 pm Chair(s): Mary W. Gray, American University Text Mining PRELIMINARYThe ASA, Section on Statistical Computing 6:00 pm–7:30 pm CC-612 Instructor(s): David Madigan, Rutgers University; David D. Lewis, David ASA Open Meeting (all welcome) D. Lewis Consulting LLC Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University PROGRAM CE_08C CC-308 6:00 pm–7:30 pm S-Aspen Room 8:30 am–5:00 am Christian Statisticians’ Informal Discussion The Psychology of Survey Response Organizer(s): Robert W. Mee, University of Tennessee The ASA, Section on Survey Research Methods Instructor(s): Roger Tourangeau, University of Maryland 6:30 pm–9:30 pm H-Douglas Boardroom & Foyer Biometrics Section Executive Committee Meeting CE_09C CC-307 (closed) 8:30 am–5:00 pm Chair(s): Karen Bandeen-Roche, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Statistical Methods for the Confi rmatory Analysis of Public Health Equivalence/Noninferiority Studies The ASA 6:30 pm–8:30 pm S-Juniper Instructor(s): Stefan Wellek, University of Heidelberg Section on Statistical Consulting Executive Committee Meeting (closed) CE_10C CC-306 Chair(s): Philip Dixon, Iowa State University 8:30 am–5:00 pm Computational Statistics: Methods for Monte Carlo 6:30 pm–8:00 pm CC-4C-3 Integration and Optimization Purdue University Alumni and Friends Reception The ASA, Section on Statistical Computing Organizer(s): Dana Neary, Director of Alumni Relations Instructor(s): Jennifer A. Hoeting, Colorado State University; Geof H. Givens, Colorado State University 7:00 pm–9:00 pm CC-615 Isolated Statisticians Meeting CE_11C CC-305 Organizer(s): Ann Cannon, Cornell College 8:30 am–5:00 pm Regression Modeling Strategies 7:00 pm–8:00 pm CC-4C-1

4 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

The ASA U.S. Census Bureau; Yea-Jane Chu, SPSS Inc.; Instructor(s): Frank E. Harrell, Jr, Vanderbilt University School of George C. Tiao, Th e University of Chicago Sunday Medicine 2:30 pm A Spectral Approach for Locally Assessing Model Misspecifi cation—Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census CE_12C CC-304 Bureau; ❖ Scott Holan, University of Missouri- 8:30 am–5:00 pm Columbia Hierarchical Bayes Methods and Software for Data 2:55 pm Nonlinear Seasonal Adjustment in Unobserved Analysis Components Models—❖ Siem Jan Koopman, The ASA, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Kai Ming Lee, Vrije Instructor(s): Bradley P. Carlin, University of Minnesota; Th omas A. Universiteit Amsterdam Louis, Th e Johns Hopkins University 3:20 pm Disc: Xichuan Zhang, Australian Bureau of CE_13C CC-303 Statistics 8:30 am–5:00 pm 3:40 pm Floor Discussion Generalized Linear Mixed Models: Theory and Applications 3 CC-615 The ASA ● ✪ Recent Advances in the Design and Analysis Instructor(s): Oliver Schabenberger, SAS Institute, Inc. of Clinical Trials—Invited WNAR, Biometrics Section, ENAR Organizer(s): Lurdes Y. T. Inoue, University of Washington Special Presentation 2:00PRELIMINARY pm–3:50 pm Chair(s): Kenneth Rice, University of Washington 2:05 pm A Bayesian Seamless Design—❖ Lurdes Y. T. 1 PROGRAMCC-4C-4 Inoue, University of Washington Introductory Overview Lectures: Genomics— 2:30 pm A Geometric Approach to Comparing Treatments Other for Rapidly Fatal Diseases—❖ Peter F. Th all, M. The ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR D. Anderson Cancer Center; Leiko H. Wooten, M. Organizer(s): Jianwen Cai, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel D. Anderson Cancer Center; Elizabeth J. Shpall, Hill M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Chair(s): Barry I. Graubard, National Cancer Institute 2:55 pm Advances in Simple Phase I Trials: Three ❖ 2:05 pm Association Mapping of Human Disease Genes— Examples— Rick Chappell, University of ❖ Bruce S. Weir, University of Washington Wisconsin-Madison ❖ 2:55 pm Statistical Analysis of Haplotype-Disease 3:20 pm Decision Analysis and Clinical Trial Design— Association—❖ Danyu Lin, Th e University of Donald Berry, Th e University of Texas North Carolina at Chapel Hill 3:45 pm Floor Discussion 3:45 pm Floor Discussion 4 CC-609 Rapid Production of Small-Area Estimates Using Invited Sessions 2:00 pm–3:50 pm the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System— Invited 2 CC-206 Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Health Policy Statistics Seasonal Time Series—Invited Organizer(s): Paul S. Levy, RTI International Business and Economics Statistics Section Chair(s): Babubhai V. Shah, SAFAL Institute Inc. Organizer(s): Stuart Scott, Bureau of Labor Statistics 2:05 pm Rapid Response Health Surveillance and the Chair(s): Brian C. Monsell, U.S. Census Bureau Utility of Small-Area Estimates: Responding to the 2004–05 Infl uenza Vaccine Shortage—❖ 2:05 pm Comparing MSEs for Finite X-11 and Model-Based Michael W. Link, Centers for Disease Control and Seasonal Adjustment Filters—❖ William R. Bell, Prevention; Ali H. Mokdad, Centers for Disease

Seattle 5 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Control and Prevention Management—Invited 2:30 pm Development of Methodology for Production Environmental and Ecological Statistics, Section on Statistics and the Environ- Sunday of Rapidly Available, County-Level, Small-Area ment Estimates To Monitor the Course of Infl uenza Organizer(s): Ganapati P. Patil, Penn State Vaccine Coverage—❖ Haomiao Jia, Mercer Chair(s): Ganapati P. Patil, Penn State University School of Medicine; Michael W. Link, 2:05 pm Spatiotemporal Geoinformatic Disease Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Ali Surveillance—❖ Stephen L. Rathbun, University H. Mokdad, Centers for Disease Control and of Georgia; Ganapati P. Patil, Penn State Prevention; James Holt, Centers for Disease 2:30 pm Crime Mapping and Hotspot Detection—❖ Reza Control and Prevention; Lei Li, RTI International; Modarres, Th e George Washington University; Paul S. Levy, RTI International Ganapati P. Patil, Penn State 2:55 pm Evaluating the Small-Area Estimates of the 2:55 pm Applications of Hotspot Detection Analysis to 2004–05 County-Level Infl uenza Vaccination Large-Scale Plant Disease Forecasting: Case Study Rates—❖ Lei Li, RTI International; Paul S. Levy, of Fusarium Head Blight—❖ Murali Haran, Penn RTI International; Akhil Vaish, RTI International; State Michael W. Link, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Ali H. Mokdad, Centers for Disease 3:20 pm Disc: Bo Ranneby, Swedish University of Control and Prevention; Lina Balluz, Centers for Agricultural Sciences Disease Control and Prevention; Haomiao Jia, 3:40 pm Floor Discussion Mercer University School of Medicine 3:20 pm Disc: Tapabrata Maiti, IowaPRELIMINARY State University 7 CC-400 3:40 pm Floor Discussion ● Density-Based Clustering—Invited Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on PROGRAMNonparametric Statistics 5 CC-3A ✪ Pipeline Issues in Recruiting Federal Organizer(s): David W. Scott, Rice University Statisticians—Invited Chair(s): Michael W. Trosset, Th e College of William & Mary Committee on Membership Retention and Recruitment, Section on Statistical 2:05 pm Variable Bandwidth Mode Testing—❖ Michael C. Education, Committee on Career Development Minnotte, Utah State University Organizer(s): David Banks, Duke University 2:30 pm Generalized Single-Linkage Clustering—❖ Chair(s): Dayanand Naik, Old Dominion University Werner Stuetzle, University of Washington; 2:05 pm JPSM: 14 Years of Training Federal Statisticians— Rebecca Nugent, University of Washington ❖ Richard Valliant, University of Michigan; Roger 2:55 pm Mixture Model Building for High-Dimensional Tourangeau, University of Maryland and Functional Data—❖ Catherine Loader, Th e 2:30 pm Gulliver Tied down by Red Tape? The Federal University of Auckland; Ramani S. Pilla, Case Government’s Challenges as an Employer of Western Reserve University Statisticians—❖ Janice Lent, Research and 3:20 pm Disc: David W. Scott, Rice University Innovative Technology Administration 3:40 pm Floor Discussion 2:55 pm Federal Statisticians in the Physical and Engineering Sciences—❖ William Guthrie, National Institute of Standards and Technology 8 CC-614 ● Statistical Methods for Oral Health Research— 3:20 pm Disc: David Marker, Westat Invited 3:40 pm Floor Discussion ENAR, Biometrics Section, WNAR Organizer(s): Jason Roy, University of Rochester 6 CC-3B Chair(s): Julie Stoner, University of Nebraska Medical Center ✪ Surveillance Geoinformatics and Hotspot 2:05 pm Analysis of Correlated Dental Data: Challenges Dynamics for Prediction, Policy, and and Recent Developments—❖ Brian G. Leroux,

6 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

University of Washington Jeremy M. G. Taylor, University of Michigan 2:30 pm Finding the Right Pair of Genes: Adding a Genetic 3:05 pm Bayesian Semiparametric Methods for Joint Sunday Component to Existing Oral Health Studies—❖ Modeling of Longitudinal and Survival Data—❖ Deborah V. Dawson, Th e University of Iowa Adam Branscum, University of Kentucky; 2:55 pm A Flexible Model for Recurrent Event Outcomes Timothy Hanson, University of Minnesota; in Oral Health—❖ Elizabeth H. Slate, Medical Wesley O. Johnson, University of California, University of South Carolina; Edsel A. Pena, Irvine University of South Carolina 3:35 pm Floor Discussion 3:20 pm Statistical Approaches for Dealing with Missing Tooth- and Surface-Level Data in Caries ❖ 11 CC-604 Research— Jason Roy, University of Rochester Modern Monte Carlo Methods for Statistical 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Inference—Invited IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Nonparametric 9 CC-620 Statistics ● Empirical Likelihood-Based Semiparametric Organizer(s): Anthony Brockwell, Carnegie Mellon University Inference—Invited Chair(s): Arnaud Doucet, Th e University of British Columbia Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 2:05 pm An Overview of SMC and Adaptive MCMC—❖ Organizer(s): Hua Liang, University of Rochester Medical Center Anthony Brockwell, Carnegie Mellon University Chair(s): Xiaogang (Steven) Wang, York University 2:35 pm Simulated Tempering Made Easy—❖ Yves PRELIMINARYAtchade, University of Ottawa 2:05 pm Empirical Likelihood-Based Inference for Comparison of Two Populations with Censored 3:05 pm Adaptive Monte Carlo Computing Methods—❖ Data—❖ Hua Liang, University of Rochester Christophe Andrieu, University of Bristol Medical Center PROGRAM 3:35 pm Floor Discussion 2:30 pm Empirical Likelihood-Based Inferences for Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves in the Presence of Verifi cation Bias—❖ Jing Qin, Topic-Contributed Sessions National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases 2:00 pm–3:50 pm 2:55 pm Empirical Likelihood for Accelerated Failure Time Model—❖ Mai Zhou, University of Kentucky 12 CC-606 3:20 pm Nonparametric Imputation of Missing Values for Advances in Item Response Theory—Topic- Estimating Equation-Based Empirical Likelihood Contributed Inference—Song X. Chen, Iowa State University; Social Statistics Section ❖ Dong Wang, University of Nebraska Organizer(s): Sandip Sinharay, Educational Testing Service 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Chair(s): Guowen Sun, sanofi -aventis 2:05 pm Limited Information Goodness-of-Fit Testing in ❖ 10 CC-203 Multidimensional Contingency Tables— Harry Joe, Th e University of British Columbia ● New Directions in Bayesian Joint Modeling of Longitudinal and Survival Data—Invited 2:25 pm Sensitivity of Latent Trait Analysis to Highly Skewed Ability Distributions—❖ David Dailey, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR Woodcock-Munoz Foundation; Elena Erosheva, Organizer(s): Timothy Hanson, University of Minnesota University of Washington Chair(s): Timothy Hanson, University of Minnesota 2:45 pm Checking the Appropriateness of the Statistical 2:05 pm A Flexible B-Spline Model for Multiple Model Used in National Assessment of ❖ Longitudinal Biomarkers and Survival— Educational Progress—❖ Sandip Sinharay, Elizabeth Brown, University of Washington Educational Testing Service 2:35 pm Extensions of the Standard Joint Model—❖

Seattle 7 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

3:05 pm Improve Variance Estimation for the Assessments Chair(s): Greg Campbell, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Based on the Plausible Values Approach—❖ 2:05 pm Statistical Myths in the Design and Analysis Sunday Jiahe Qian, Educational Testing Service; Shelby of Clinical Trials—❖ Victor Hasselblad, Duke Haberman, Educational Testing Service University 3:25 pm Estimation of Measurement Errors at Observed 2:45 pm New Medical Device? When Clinical Data Are and Scaled Scores—❖ Michelle Liou, Academia Needed for a New Medical Device—❖ Jeng Mah, Sinica; Philip E. Cheng, Academia Sinica American Medical Systems Inc. 3:45 pm Floor Discussion 3:05 pm Statistical Review Quality Assessment for Therapeutic PMA Submissions—❖ Lilly Yue, U.S. 13 CC-619 Food and Drug Administration ● Bayesian Modeling of Biomedical Data—Topic- 3:35 pm What Device Pivotal Studies Have in Common: ❖ Contributed Recurring Themes in Study Planning— Philip Lavin, Averion Inc. Biometrics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, WNAR, ENAR Organizer(s): W. John Boscardin, University of California, Los Angeles 3:55 pm Floor Discussion Chair(s): Joseph W. Hogan, Brown University 2:05 pm Analysis of Longitudinal Clinical Trial Data 15 CC-204 with Informative Dropout—❖ Xiaohong Yan, Bayesian Student Paper Competition II—Topic- University of California, Los Angeles; W. John Contributed Boscardin, University of California, Los Angeles Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 2:25 pm Bayesian Approach to MultiplePRELIMINARY Changepoint with Organizer(s): Steven N. MacEachern, Th e Ohio State University Application to HIV Immunologic Responses—❖ Chair(s): Steven L. Scott, University of Southern California Pulak Ghosh, Georgia State University; Kaushik 2:05 pm Statistical Inference for Nonlinear Models Ghosh, New Jersey Institute of Technology;PROGRAM Ram ❖ Involving Ordinary Differential Equations— Tiwari, National Institutes of Health Lovely Goyal; Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State 2:45 pm Bayesian Model Checking for a Longitudinal University ❖ Binary Variable— Catherine Crespi, University 2:25 pm Weighted Model-Based Clustering for Remote of California, Los Angeles; W. John Boscardin, Sensing Image Analysis—❖ Joseph Richards, University of California, Los Angeles; William G. Carnegie Mellon University; Johanna Hardin, Cumberland, University of California, Los Angeles Pomona College 3:05 pm Modeling Multivariate Biomedical Data with 2:45 pm On Bayesian Analysis of Generalized Linear Polynomial Smoothing Splines—❖ Hector Lemus, Models Using Jacobian Technique—❖ Sourish University of California, Los Angeles; W. John Das, University of Connecticut; Dipak Dey, Boscardin, University of California, Los Angeles University of Connecticut 3:25 pm Real-Time Learning for Heterogeneous 3:05 pm Using Incompatibility To Build Fast Gibbs Multivariate Longitudinal Data—❖ W. John Samplers—❖ Taeyoung Park, Harvard University; Boscardin, University of California, Los Angeles; David A. van Dyk, University of California, Irvine Hector Lemus, University of California, Los Angeles 3:25 pm Improving Classifi cation When a Class Hierarchy Is Available Using a Hierarchy-Based Prior—❖ 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Babak Shahbaba, University of Toronto; Radford Neal, University of Toronto 14 CC-401 3:45 pm Floor Discussion ● Planning Medical Device Studies—Topic- Contributed 16 CC-602 Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR ● ✪ IT Process Monitoring and Planning—Topic- Organizer(s): Philip Lavin, Averion Inc.; Greg Campbell, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Contributed Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences

8 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Organizer(s): Yasuo Amemiya, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center Arkansas Chair(s): Yasuo Amemiya, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Sunday 2:05 pm Fourier Domain Estimation for Network ❖ Tomography— Jin Cao, Bell Labs, Lucent 18 CC-205 Technologies; Aiyou Chen, Bell Labs, Lucent ✪ Technologies; Tian Bu, Bell Labs, Lucent SAMSI Program on National Defense Technologies and Homeland Security: 2005–2006—Topic- 2:25 pm Robust Estimation for Zero-Infl ated Longitudinal Contributed Data with Application to IT System Monitoring— Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security ❖ Jing Shen, University of Georgia/IBM; Daniel Organizer(s): Michael Last, National Institute of Statistical Sciences Hall, University of Georgia Chair(s): Michael Last, National Institute of Statistical Sciences 2:45 pm Some Statistical Problems in Capacity 2:05 pm A Study of Data Swapping for Categorical Management and Planning for On-Demand Variables—❖ Lisa R. Denogean, SAMSI Computing Services—❖ Ta-Hsin Li, IBM T. J. 2:25 pm Anomaly Detection—❖ Francisco Vera, National Watson Research Center Institute of Statistical Sciences 3:05 pm Modeling Multivariate Time Series with 2:45 pm New Measures of Data Utility—❖ Mi-Ja Woo, Application to Software Defects Data—❖ National Institute of Statistical Sciences Mihaela Serban, Carnegie Mellon University; 3:05 pm Agent-Based Methods for Dynamic Social Wanli Min, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center Networks—❖ Eric Vance, Duke University; David 3:25 pm Improving Service DeliveryPRELIMINARY Process—❖ Wen-Hua Banks, Duke University Ju, Avaya Labs Research; Lorraine Denby, Avaya 3:25 pm Disc: Alan Karr, National Institute of Statistical Labs Research; James M. Landwehr, Avaya Labs Sciences Research PROGRAM3:45 pm Floor Discussion 3:45 pm Floor Discussion 19 CC-613 17 CC-201 ● ✪ Estimation Techniques for Diagnostics ● Statistical and Quantitative Literacy 2006— Devices—Topic-Contributed Topic-Contributed Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, Section on Physical Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health and Engineering Sciences Sciences Organizer(s): Roseann White, Guidant Corporation Organizer(s): Milo Schield, Augsburg College Chair(s): David Snead, CORDIS Chair(s): Jerry Moreno, John Carroll University 2:05 pm Evaluation of a Noninvasive Diagnostic Device 2:05 pm Increasing Quantitative Literacy through the Using Weighted Least Squares Approach—❖ Mathematics Across the Community College Zhen Huang, Duke Clinical Research Institute; ❖ Curriculum Project— Rebecca Hartzler, Seattle Huiman Barnhart, Duke University Central Community College; Kim Rheinlander, 2:25 pm System Accuracy Requirements for Blood Glucose Dartmouth College Monitors—❖ Nancy Schatz, Home Diagnostics, 2:25 pm Quirks of Rhetoric: a Quantitative Analysis of Inc. Quantitative Reasoning in Student Writing—❖ 2:45 pm Bayesian Predictive Probability as a Diagnostic Neil Lutsky, Carleton College; Scott Bierman, Assessment of the Likelihood of Coronary Carleton College Artery Disease in Collateral Arteries—❖ Laura 2:45 pm Common Misconceptions in Statistical Literacy— Th ompson, U.S. Food and Drug Administration ❖ Marc Isaacson, Augsburg College 3:05 pm Disease Diagnosis Maximizing Effectiveness and 3:05 pm Statistical Literacy: Graphs, Studies, and Related Minimizing Cost of Health Care—❖ Jeff rey Vaks, ❖ Confounders— Milo Schield, Augsburg College Beckman Coulter, Inc. 3:25 pm Pedagogical Challenges of Quantitative 3:25 pm Use of Frequency Domain Measures Instead Literacy—❖ Bernard Madison, University of

Seattle 9 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

of Traditional Summary Statistics for Use in California, Davis; Hongquan Xu, University of Diagnostic Devices—❖ Roseann White, Guidant California, Los Angeles; Qing Shen, Corporation Edmunds. com Sunday 3:45 pm Floor Discussion 2:20 pm Self-Modeling Regression with Application to Arterial Pulse Pressure Waveforms—❖ Lyndia Brumback, University of Washington; Doug Regular Contributed Sessions 2:00 pm– Tommet, University of Washington; Richard Kronmal, University of Washington 3:50 pm 2:35 pm Classifi cation and Gene selection of Cancer Micro-arrays by nu-Ridge Regression—❖ Jun Luo, 20 CC-607 Michigan State University Types of Modes and Effects on Response Rates 2:50 pm Boosting with Missing Predictors—❖ Ching-Yun and Performance—Contributed Wang, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Social Statistics Section Ziding Feng, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Chair(s): Kristin Stettler, U.S. Census Bureau Center 2:05 pm A Comparison of in-Class and Online Student 3:05 pm Prediction Based on Two-Stage Modeling—Amita Evaluations—❖ David Swanson, University of K. Manatunga, Emory University; ❖ Jose N. G. Mississippi Binongo, Emory University; Ming Yuan, Georgia 2:20 pm A Repeated Measures Design To Investigate Institute of Technology Mode Effects in the Center for Epidemiologic 3:20 pm Steps Toward Individualized Treatment: a Double PRELIMINARY❖ Supervised Machine-Leaning Method—❖ Studies Depression Scale— Richard Swartz, Steven M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Carl de Moor, Y. Cen, University of Southern California; Harvard Medical School; Karon Cook, University Catherine Sugar, University of Southern of Washington; Rachel T. Fouladi,PROGRAM Simon Fraser California; Bryan Langholz, Keck School of University; Karen Basen-Engquist, Medicine of USC; David Conti, University of M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Cathy Eng, M. D. Southern California; Doug Stahl, City of Hope Anderson Cancer Center National Medical Center; Stanley P. Azen, 2:35 pm Mode of Data Collection and the Foreign Born University of Southern California in the American Community Survey—❖ Alexa 3:35 pm On Reducing Multiple Outcomes into a Single Kennedy-Puthoff , U.S. Census Bureau Score—❖ Hui Xie, Boston University 2:50 pm Making Item Selection More Effi cient in Computerized Adaptive Testing—❖ Hua-Hua 22 CC-617 Chang, University of Illinois; Zhiliang Ying, ● Regression for Censored Data—Contributed Columbia University Biometrics Section, ENAR 3:05 pm Infant Malnutrition in the Cape Coast District: a Chair(s): Debajyoti Sinha, Medical University of South Carolina Ghanaian Case—❖ Amakye Agyekum, University 2:05 pm Regression Analysis for Long Term Survival of Cape Coast Rate—❖ Yichuan Zhao, Georgia State University 3:20 pm Floor Discussion 2:20 pm Accelerated Failure Time Model with Random Effects—❖ Yaqin Wang, Iowa State University; 21 CC-618 Kenneth Koehler, Iowa State University Functional Data Analysis, Supervised Learning, 2:35 pm Penalized Weighted Least Squares Method for and Dimension Reduction—Contributed Accelerated Failure Time Models with Gene Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, ENAR Expression Data—❖ Simin Hu, Case Western Chair(s): Carsten Botts, Williams College Reserve University; J. S. Rao, Case Western 2:05 pm Functional Regression Analysis for Longitudinal Reserve University Data with a Large Number of Repeated 2:50 pm On Linear Regression under the Partial Koziol- Measures—❖ Xiaowei Yang, University of Green Model of Random Censorship—❖ Ke Wu,

10 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

California State University, Fresno 3:05 pm Application of Temporal Association Rules to a 3:05 pm Inference for Interval-Censored Data with cDNA Microarray Experiment—❖ Bruce Southey, Sunday Different Censoring Patterns among Treatment University of Illinois; Sandra Rodriguez-Zas, Groups—❖ Guozhi Gao, Amgen Inc.; Xiang University of Illinois; Younhee Ko, University of Zhang, Amgen Inc.; Steven Snapinn, Amgen Inc.; Illinois; Chengxiang Zhai, University of Illinois Qi Jiang, Amgen Inc. 3:20 pm Quantitative Association Rules Applied to the 3:20 pm Additive Hazards Model for Case-2 Interval- Analysis of cDNA Microarray Experiments—❖ Censored Failure Time Data—❖ Lianming Wang, Younhee Ko, University of Illinois; Bruce Southey, University of Missouri-Columbia; Jianguo Sun, University of Illinois; Chengxiang Zhai, University University of Missouri-Columbia; Xingwei Tong, of Illinois; Sandra Rodriguez-Zas, University of University of Missouri-Columbia Illinois 3:35 pm Statistical Analysis of Multivariate Failure Time 3:35 pm Strategies for Genome-Wide Family-Based Data with Auxiliary Covariates—❖ Zhaozhi Fan, Association Analysis for the Study of Integrative ❖ Memorial University of Newfoundland Genomics— James Degnan, Harvard University; Jessica Su, Harvard University; Cliona Molony, Rosetta Inpharmatics LLC; Eric Schadt, Rosetta 23 CC-616 Inpharmatics LLC/Merck Research Laboratories; ● Normalization and Analysis of Microarrays— Benjamin Raby, Harvard University; Christoph Contributed Lange, Harvard School of Public Health Biometrics Section, ENAR Chair(s): Dean Billheimer, Vanderbilt UniversityPRELIMINARY24 CC-2A 2:05 pm Two Extensions of the TW-SLM for Systematically ● Pharmacokinetics and Crossover Trials— Incorporating Control Genes and Spot Quality Contributed Information To Improve NormalizationPROGRAM of cDNA Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Microarray Data—❖ Deli Wang, Th e University of Chair(s): Jie Chen, Merck Research Laboratories Alabama at Birmingham; Cun-Hui Zhang, Rutgers University; Marcelo B. Soares, Northwestern 2:05 pm Assessing PK-AE Relationships Using Nonlinear ❖ University; Jian Huang, Th e University of Iowa Models— Haiyuan Zhu, Merck Research Laboratories 2:20 pm Using Cytogenetics Data To Guide the Normalization of SNP Microarray Signals—❖ 2:20 pm Applications of Adapted Crossover Designs To Stanley Pounds, St. Jude Children’s Research Reduce Study Cost and Length in Phase I Clinical ❖ Hospital; Cheng Cheng, St. Jude Children’s Trials— Fang Liu, Merck Research Laboratories Research Hospital; Charles Mullighan, St. Jude 2:35 pm Analysis of Replicated Crossover Designs for Children’s Research Hospital; Salil Goorha, Average Bioequivalence—❖ Donna Kowalski, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital; Sheila Astellas Pharma Inc.; Devan V. Mehrotra, Merck Shurtleff , St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital; Research Laboratories Susana C. Raimondi, St. Jude Children’s Research 2:50 pm Assessing Treatment Differences Adjusted by Hospital; James R. Downing, St. Jude Children’s Possible Carryover Effects in Crossover Clinical Research Hospital Trials—❖ Ling Chen, U.S. Food and Drug 2:35 pm Category Analysis for Microarray Data—❖ Zhen Administration Jiang, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; 3:05 pm Factorial Crossover Designs with Fewer Periods Robert Gentleman, Fred Hutchinson Cancer and Fewer Subjects—❖ Sourav Santra, Northern Research Center Illinois University 2:50 pm Probe-Level Modeling and Multiple Testing of 3:20 pm Locally D-Optimal Designs for Pharmacokinetics ❖ Microarray Gene Expression— Tao Wang, Compartmental Models—❖ Xin Fang, University University of South Florida; Magali Mouy, of Illinois at Chicago deCODE genetics; Jason Hsu, Th e Ohio State 3:35 pm The Hypothesis Testing behind Steady State University; Hakon Hakonarson, deCODE Determination in Clinical Pharmacology Trials—❖ genetics; Kari Stefansson, deCODE genetics

Seattle 11 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Bingming Yi, Merck & Co., Inc.; Xun Chen, Bonds—❖ Weijian Liang, New York University; sanofi -aventis; Patrick Larson, Merck & Co., Inc. Halina Frydman, New York University; Stephen Figlewski, New York University Sunday 25 CC-2B 2:35 pm Credit Risk Ananlysis for Taiwan Electronic ❖ ● Multiple Trials and Multiple Endpoints— Industrial— Yi-Kuan Jong, St. John’s University Contributed 2:50 pm Statistical Validation of a Credit Risk Model—❖ Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Lydian Medema, University of Groningen Chair(s): Shuguang Huang, Eli Lilly and Company 3:05 pm A Semiparametric Investigation of the Effect of 2:05 pm Analysis of a Composite Endpoint with Missing Reserve Prices on Selling Prices Using Identical ❖ Data in Components—❖ Hui Quan, sanofi - Auctioned Items from eBay— Dawit Zerom, aventis; Daowen Zhang, sanofi -aventis; Ji Zhang, University of Alberta; Peter Popkowski Leszczyc, sanofi -aventis; Laure Devlamynck, sanofi -aventis University of Alberta 2:20 pm A Multivariate Median-Based Robust Procedure 3:20 pm A Statistical Approach to Controlling Sniping in ❖ To Analyze Multiple Endpoints—❖ Kao-Tai Electronic Auctions— Dawn Porter, Georgetown Tsai, Organon; Harji Patel, Georgia Southern University; J. Keith Ord, Georgetown University University 3:35 pm A New Model for Forecasting Credit Spread 2:35 pm On O’Brien’s OLS and GLS Tests for Multiple Changes: Model Estimation, Prediction, and ❖ Endpoints—❖ Sergei Leonov, GlaxoSmithKline; Inference Procedures— Yang Wang, Penn State James Roger, GlaxoSmithKline; Nigel Dallow, GlaxoSmithKline PRELIMINARY27 CC-213 2:50 pm Tree-Structured Gatekeeping Procedures in Software—Contributed Clinical Trials with Multiple Objectives—❖ Section on Statistical Computing Alex Dmitrienko, Eli Lilly and Company;PROGRAM Brian Chair(s): Morteza Marzjarani, Saginaw Valley State University L. Wiens, Myogen, Inc.; Ajit C. Tamhane, 2:05 pm The Carapace Environment—❖ Gary Oehlert, Northwestern University; Xin Wang, University of Minnesota Northwestern University 2:20 pm Enterprise Automatons with R—❖ Zubin 3:05 pm Control of Overall Type I Error in Clinical Trials Dowlaty, InterContinental Hotels Group; Dean with Both Surrogate and Final Endpoints—❖ Mao, InterContinental Hotels Group; Simon Chung-Kuei Chang, Cephalon, Inc. Urbanek, AT&T Labs-Research 3:20 pm Monitoring Futility in Two-by-Two Factorial 2:35 pm Estimation and Inference in Parametric Stochastic Studies—❖ Leslie A. McClure, Th e University of Frontier Models: a SAS/IML Procedure for a Alabama at Birmingham; Christopher S. Coff ey, Maximum Likelihood Bootstrap Method—❖ Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; Sylvie Tchumtchoua, University of Connecticut George Howard, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham 2:50 pm A New Program for Computing Percentage Points for Pearson Distributions—❖ Wei Pan, University 3:35 pm Floor Discussion of Cincinnati; Haiyan Bai, University of Cincinnati 3:05 pm Statistical Inference Package (SIP)—❖ Esa 26 CC-210 Uusipaikka, University of Turku ● Mortgages and Auctions—Contributed 3:20 pm Comparison of Two CAD (Computer-Aided Business and Economics Statistics Section Detection) Algorithms for Decreased False Chair(s): J. Keith Ord, Georgetown University Positives per Image (FP/I) While Having an 2:05 pm Loss and Prepayment Modeling in the Context Equivalent Sensitivity—❖ Sandra Senneke, of Subprime Mortgage Loans—Deniz Senturk, BioStat Solutions Inc.; Christina Bromley, BioStat GE Global Research; ❖ Huaiyu Ma, GE Global Solutions Inc.; Matthew Freedman, Georgetown Research; Greg Ratkovsky, WMC University Medical Center; Benedict S. Lo, 2:20 pm Credit Rating Transition of U.S. Corporate Georgetown University Medical Center; Jesse Lin, Riverain Medical Group; Xin-Wei Xu, Riverain

12 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Medical Group; Fleming Lure, Riverain Medical Kong Group 2:20 pm A Bivariate Interval Censorship Model Sunday 3:35 pm Floor Discussion for Partnership Formation—❖ Qiqing Yu, Binghamton University; Linda Wong, Binghamton 28 CC-214 University Testing—Contributed 2:35 pm The Likelihood Ratio Test of Mixture Hypotheses and the Tube Volume Problem—❖ Yong Lin, Section on Statistical Computing University of Medicine & Dentistry of New Jersey; Chair(s): Faming Liang, Texas A&M University Bruce G. Lindsay, Penn State 2:05 pm Testing the Equality of Two Normally Distributed 2:50 pm On Hinkley’s Estimator: Inference about the Populations—❖ Charles Dunn, Miami University Change-Point—❖ Stergios B. Fotopoulos, 2:20 pm Generation of the Distribution of the Test for Washington State University; Venkata Jandhyala, a Latin Square Design with Heterogeneous Washington State University Variances—❖ Miin-Jye Wen, National Cheng 3:05 pm Conditional Properties of a Parametric Kung University; Hubert Chen, National Cheng Bootstrap—❖ Russell Zaretzki, University of Kung University Tennessee 2:35 pm On Testing the Bioequivalence of Several 3:20 pm Summarizing and Interpreting Likelihood Treatments Using the Measure of Distance—❖ Functions as Functions—❖ Michael Brimacombe, Hubert Chen, National Cheng Kung University; University of Medicine & Dentistry of New Jersey; Miin-Jye Wen, National Cheng Kung University Bo Peng, University of Medicine & Dentistry of 2:50 pm An Exact Test for TestingPRELIMINARY the Equality of New Jersey Parameter Matrices in Two Multivariate Linear 3:35 pm Testing for and against a Set of Linear Inequality Models—❖ Jinadasa K. Gamage, Illinois State Constraints in the Product Multinomial Setting— University; Malwane M. A. Ananda,PROGRAM University of ❖ Hammou Elbarmi, Baruch College Nevada, Las Vegas 3:05 pm Performance of Robust and Nonrobust Roy- Bargmann Stepdown Follow up to a Signifi cant 30 CC-211 MANOVA under a Variety of Conditions: a Bayesian Biomedical Modeling—Contributed Simulation Study—❖ Holmes Finch, Ball State Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR University Chair(s): Edwin S. Iversen, Jr., Duke University 3:20 pm Comparisons of Sets of Multivariate Time 2:05 pm Monitoring Event Times in Early-Phase Clinical Series—❖ Jaydip Mukhopadhyay, University of Trials: Practical Issues—❖ Leiko H. Wooten, M. Connecticut; Nalini Ravishanker, University of D. Anderson Cancer Center; Peter F. Th all, M. D. Connecticut; Jonathan Hosking, IBM Research Anderson Cancer Center; Nizar M. Tannir, M. D. 3:35 pm Iterated BH Procedure—❖ Nasrine Bendjilali, Anderson Cancer Center Lehigh University; Wei-Min Huang, Lehigh 2:20 pm Modeling Long-Term HIV Dynamics: a Bayesian University Approach—❖ Dacheng Liu, Boehringer Ingelheim; Hulin Wu, University of Rochester; Yangxin Huang Huang, University of South 29 CC-603 Florida Likelihood-Based Inference—Contributed 2:35 pm Prior Structures for Surrogate Endpoint Validation IMS Using PTE—❖ Chunyao Feng, Baylor University; Chair(s): Siobhan Everson-Stewart, University of Washington John W. Seaman, Baylor University; Stacy 2:05 pm Testing of Rate Ratio under Inverse Sampling—❖ Lindborg, Eli Lilly and Company Hon Keung T. Ng, Southern Methodist University; 2:50 pm A Bayesian Multivariate PK/PD Model for Man Lai Tang, Hong Kong Baptist University; Analyzing Cortisol Circadian Rhythm in a Yijie Liao, Hong Kong Baptist University; Ping Depression Study—❖ Niko Kaciroti, University of Shing Chan, Th e Chinese University of Hong Michigan; Trivellore E. Raghunathan, University

Seattle 13 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

of Michigan; Delia Vazquez, University of in the U.S. Consumer Expenditure Interview Michigan Survey—❖ Moon Jung Cho, Bureau of Labor Sunday 3:05 pm Bayesian Modeling of Correlated Binary Data Statistics; Carolyn Pickering, Bureau of Labor from the Cryotherapy for Retinopathy of Statistics Prematurity (CRYO-ROP) Study—❖ Claudia Pedroza, Th e University of Texas School of Public 32 CC-612 Health; Betty Tung, Th e University of Texas ● Applications for Modeling Health Survey School of Public Health Data—Contributed 3:20 pm Bayesian Analysis of Age-Adjusted Cancer Rates Section on Health Policy Statistics Using Joinpoint Regression Model—❖ Ram Chair(s): David Blough, University of Washington Tiwari, National Institutes of Health; Pulak Ghosh, Georgia State University 2:05 pm Mental Distress of Canadian National Population Health Surveys Participants Who Reported 3:35 pm Bayesian Modeling of Noncompliance in Folic Nonmalignant Respiratory Diseases—❖ Punam Acid Dosing Studies—❖ Owen Devine, Centers Pahwa, University of Saskatchewan; Chandima for Disease Control and Prevention Karunanayake, University of Saskatchewan; Helen H. McDuffi e, University of Saskatchewan 31 CC-605 2:20 pm Statistical Modeling of Longitudinal Mental Consumer Prices and Expenditures—Contributed Distress among the National Population Health Section on Government Statistics Survey Participants: Missing Data Analysis—❖ Chair(s): Alan R. Tupek, U.S. Census BureauPRELIMINARYChandima Karunanayake, University of 2:05 pm A Micro-Level Latent Class Analysis of Saskatchewan; Punam Pahwa, University of Underreporting on the Consumer Expenditure Saskatchewan; Helen H. McDuffi e, University of Survey—❖ Brian Meekins, BureauPROGRAM of Labor Saskatchewan Statistics; Clyde Tucker, Bureau of Labor 2:35 pm A Two-Phase Model To Study the Health Care– Statistics; Paul Biemer, RTI International Seeking Behaviors for Common Cold of Ppeople ❖ 2:20 pm The Use of Geocoding to Locate Outlets Outside in Taiwan— Hsing-Yi Chang, CHPRD, NHRI; of Sample Area Boundaries to Determine Yu-Wen Wen, CHPRD, NHRI Signifi cant Areas of Commerce—❖ John Schilp, 2:50 pm Alcohol Disorders and Employment Stability: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Fred Marsh, III, Bureau a Longitudinal Study—❖ Richard Bryant, of Labor Statistics University of Missouri-Rolla; V. A. R. 2:35 pm Internet Portals and Outlet Selection Issues in the Samaranayake, University of Missouri-Rolla Consumer Price Index—❖ Charles Mason, Bureau 3:05 pm Signifi cance Analysis of Physician Photo of Labor Statistics; Roberta Sangster, Bureau of Identifi cation Cards Trial—❖ Ye-Ying Cen, Labor Statistics; Madeleine Saxton, Bureau of Hennepin County Medical Center; Jennings Labor Statistics Ryan Staley, United States Air Force; Baolin 2:50 pm A Spatial Analysis of Price Change in CPI Housing Wu, University of Minnesota; Scott F. Davies, Index—❖ William Larson, Bureau of Labor Hennepin County Medical Center Statistics 3:20 pm Development, Scaling, and Implementation 3:05 pm Comparison of Chained CPI-U and Regular CPI-U of a Patient Satisfaction Inventory for Organ ❖ All-U.S. Indexes in the Housing Sector (2000– Transplant Candidates and Recipients— Irene 2004)—❖ Owen Shoemaker, Bureau of Labor Feurer, Vanderbilt University Medical Center; Statistics Hongxia Liu, Vanderbilt University School of Nursing; Panarut Wisawatapnimit, Vanderbilt 3:20 pm Comparison between Newly Proposed Response University School of Nursing; C. Wright Pinson, Rates and Current Response Rates for the TPOP Vanderbilt University Medical Center Survey—❖ Fred Marsh, III, Bureau of Labor Statistics 3:35 pm Factor Analysis with Categorical Data: a Methodological Illustration with the GAZA Child 3:35 pm Effect of Computer-Assisted Personal Interviews Health Survey Data—❖ Dongguang Li, National

14 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Cancer Institute of Canada; John D. Pringle, 2:05 pm A Catalog of Nonisomorphic Indicator Queen’s University; Julio Arboleda-Florez, Functions—❖ Shao-Wei Cheng, Academia Sinica; Queen’s University; Heather Stuart, Queen’s Chien-Yu Peng, Academia Sinica Sunday University 2:20 pm Certain Orthogonal Arrays with Generalized Minimum Aberration—❖ Aijun Zhang, University 33 CC-212 of Michigan ● Nonparametric Approaches to Regression and 2:35 pm Optimal Fold-Over Designs for Three-Level Spatial Modeling—Contributed Fractional Factorial Designs—❖ Hong Zhou, Section on Nonparametric Statistics University of Memphis; Manohar L. Aggarwal, University of Memphis; Lih Yuan Deng, University Chair(s): Huiping Jiang, Columbia University of Memphis; Dennis K. J. Lin, Penn State 2:05 pm Regression Model-Fitting with Long Memory—❖ 2:50 pm (M,S)-Optimality in Selecting Factorial Hongwen Guo, Michigan State University; Hira L. Designs—❖ Koul, Michigan State University Xianggui Qu, Oakland University; Robert Kushler, Oakland University; Th eophilus ❖ 2:20 pm Multivariate Theil-Sen Estimators— Xin Ogunyemi, Oakland University Dang, University of Mississippi; Hanxiang Peng, 3:05 pm Algorithms for Generating Experimental Designs University of Mississippi; Xueqin Wang, Yale for Irregularly-Shaped Regions—❖ University School of Medicine Greg Piepel, Battelle-PNNL; Nam-Ky Nguyen, University of 2:35 pm A Goodness-of-Fit Test for Parametric Regression New England Models When Some Covariates are Missing—❖ 3:20 pm Orthogonal-Maximin Latin Hypercube Designs—❖ Lei Jin, Texas A&M University;PRELIMINARY Suojin Wang, Texas A&M University Ying Hung, Georgia Institute of Technology; Roshan J. Vengazhiyil, Georgia Institute of 2:50 pm Estimating Prediction Error in Linear Regression Technology by Cross-Validation—❖ Hui Shen,PROGRAM Th e University 3:35 pm Optimal Design of an Ion Trapping Experiment— of British Columbia; William J. Welch, Th e ❖ University of British Columbia Kevin Coakley, National Institute of Standards and Technology 3:05 pm On Nonparametric Smoothing Methods for Assessing Climate Change—❖ Patricia Menendez Galvan, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL/ 35 CC-611 ETHZ; Sucharita Ghosh, Swiss Federal Research ● ✪ Causal Models and Causal Effects— Institute WSL Contributed 3:20 pm Evaluation of Spatial Normalization Parameters Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR for SPM: Application to Type 2 Diabetes Data—❖ Chair(s): Abdus Wahed, University of Pittsburgh Bedda Rosario, University of Pittsburgh; Scott 2:05 pm On Informative Detection Bias in Screening Ziolko, University of Pittsburgh; Lisa Weissfeld, Studies—❖ Arvid Sjˆlander, Karolinska Institutet; University of Pittsburgh; Julie Price, University of Juni Palmgren, Karolinska Institutet Pittsburgh 2:20 pm Estimating a Class of Causal Treatment Effect for 3:35 pm Statistical Methods for Proportional Hazards Survival Data—❖ Jing Ning, Th e Johns Hopkins ❖ Regression with Missing Covariates— Lihong University; Mei-Cheng Wang, Th e Johns Hopkins Qi, University of California, Davis; Ching-Yun University; Zhiqiang Tan, Th e Johns Hopkins Wang, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; University Ross Prentice, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research 2:35 pm Path Analysis for Ordinal Variables—❖ Haihong Center Li, University of Florida; P. V. Rao, University of Florida 34 CC-601 2:50 pm Approaches to Obtaining Standard Errors for Optimal Experimental Design—Contributed Parameter Estimates in Latent Class Analysis—❖ Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences David M. Th ompson, Th e University of Oklahoma Chair(s): Cheryl Dingus, Battelle Memorial Institute 3:05 pm An Application of Multivariate Path Models and

Seattle 15 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

the Calculus of Coeffi cients to Describe Effects of North Carolina at Chapel Hill of Health Behaviors on the Metabolic Syndrome. —❖ Youngju Pak, University at Buff alo; Randy L. Sunday Carter, University at Buff alo 37 CC-610 ● Estimation and Confi dentiality—Contributed 3:20 pm Signed Directed Acyclic Graphs for Causal Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Health Policy Statistics Inference—❖ Tyler J. VanderWeele, Harvard School of Public Health; James Robins, Harvard Chair(s): Andrew A. White, Institute of Education Sciences School of Public Health 2:05 pm Disclosure Avoidance for the 2007 ACS PUMS: a Model-Based Approach for Group-Quarters 3:35 pm Floor Discussion Data—❖ Rolando Rodriguez, U.S. Census Bureau 2:20 pm Confi dentiality in Survey Data: the Lack of 36 CC-608 Consistent Standards—❖ M. Leeann Habte, ● Unit Nonresponse in Surveys I—Contributed University of California, Los Angeles; Hongjian Section on Survey Research Methods Yu, University of California, Los Angeles; Jenny Chair(s): Karol Krotki, RTI International Chia, University of California, Los Angeles; 2:05 pm Nonresponse to a Computer-Assisted Self- Brandon Traudt, University of California, Los Interviewing (CASI) Module—❖ Mick Couper, Angeles University of Michigan; Eleanor Singer, University 2:35 pm Reporting to Payers, Regulators, and Managers: of Michigan; John Van Hoewyk, University of Issues and Experiences with Confi dentiality and Michigan Compliance—❖ Richard Carlson, Medica 2:20 pm Assessing the EffectivenessPRELIMINARY of Weighting Cell 2:50 pm A Bridge between the Greg and the Linear Adjustments for Longitudinal Nonresponse—❖ Regression Estimators—❖ Sarjinder Singh, Leroy Bailey, U.S. Census Bureau St. Cloud State University; Raghunath Arnab, 2:35 pm Sample Reweighting To Refl ect anPROGRAM Initial University of Botswana Population—❖ Julia Bienias, Rush University 3:05 pm A Generalized Forced Quantitative Randomized Medical Center; Phillip S. Kott, National Response Model—❖ Oluseun Odumade, St. Agricultural Statistics Service; Todd L. Beck, Rush Cloud State University; Sarjinder Singh, St. Cloud University Medical Center; Denis A. Evans, Rush State University University Medical Center 3:20 pm Global and Hierarchical Linear Regression in Two- 2:50 pm Approaches to Nonresponse Bias Analysis in Stage Sampling—❖ Dhirendra Ghosh, Synectics an Adult Literacy Survey—❖ Wendy Van de for Management Decisions, Inc.; Andrew Vogt, Kerckhove, Westat; Th omas Krenzke, Westat; Georgetown University Leyla Mohadjer, Westat 3:35 pm The Change-of-Variance Function in Generalized 3:05 pm An Application of Propensity Modeling To Adjust Linear Mixed-Effect Models with Applications to Weights for Nonresponse: Effectiveness of Poisson-Gamma and Beta-Binomial Models—❖ Restricting Variables and Propensity Values—❖ Gabriela Cohen-Freue, Th e University of British Frank Potter, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Columbia Nuria Diaz-Tena, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Stephen R. Williams, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Special Presentation 4:00 pm–5:50 pm 3:20 pm Adjusting for Nonignorable Missing Data with Nonignorable Sampling Design in Longitudinal Sample Survey—❖ Moh Yin Chang, University of 38 CC-4C-4 Nebraska-Lincoln Introductory Overview Lectures: Adaptive 3:35 pm Estimated Response Propensities as a Means To Designs/Interim Pilots and Regression Trees— Evaluate Error Effects Due to Nonresponse—❖ Other Leela Aertker, Th e University of North Carolina at The ASA, ENAR, IMS, SPAIG Committee, WNAR Chapel Hill; William D. Kalsbeek, Th e University Organizer(s): Lisa M. LaVange, Th e University of North Carolina at

16 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Chapel Hill Institute of Environmental Health Sciences Chair(s): Lisa M. LaVange, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel 4:55 pm Analysis of Complex Pathways in Molecular Sunday Hill Epidemiology—❖ Duncan C. Th omas, University 4:05 pm Regression Trees—❖ Wei-Yin Loh, University of of Southern California Wisconsin-Madison 5:20 pm Disc: David Clayton, University of Cambridge ❖ 4:55 pm Adaptive and Internal Pilot Designs— 5:40 pm Floor Discussion Christopher S. Coff ey, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham 5:45 pm Floor Discussion 41 CC-203 ● ✪ Statistical Effect Assessment of Environmental Exposure—Invited Invited Sessions 4:00 pm–5:50 pm ENAR, Biometrics Section, WNAR, Section on Statistics and the Environment Organizer(s): Li-Shan Huang, University of Rochester Chair(s): Christopher Cox, Th e Johns Hopkins University 39 CC-401 4:05 pm Bayesian Models for Multiple Outcomes Nested Statistics in Biotechnology around the Puget within Domains—❖ Sally W. Th urston, University Sound—Invited of Rochester Medical Center; David Ruppert, ASA, Puget Sound Chapter, Section on Statistical Graphics Cornell University Organizer(s): Bruce Peterson, Terastat 4:30 pm Analysis of Multivariate Longitudinal Data Using Chair(s): Tim C. Hesterberg, Insightful CorporationPRELIMINARYStructural Equation Models—❖ Esben Budtz- 4:05 pm Reference Samples and Other Low-Level Choices Jorgensen, University of Copenhagen; Philippe for the Design and Analysis of Two-Color Grandjean, Harvard University; Frodi Debes, Microarray Experiments—❖ Kathleen Kerr, University of Southern Denmark; Pal Weihe, PROGRAMFaroese Hospital System University of Washington 4:35 pm Graphs and Networks in Computational Biology— 4:55 pm Double-Smoothing Local Linear Estimation ❖ Robert Gentleman, Fred Hutchinson Cancer in Partial Linear Models with Application to Research Center Environmental Health Data—❖ Li-Shan Huang, 5:05 pm Statistical Methods for Integrating High- University of Rochester; Christopher Cox, Th e Dimensional Genotype, Molecular Profi ling, and Johns Hopkins University Clinical Data To Elucidate Human Disease—❖ 5:20 pm Synthesizing Data from Multiple Sources for Eric Schadt, Rosetta Inpharmatics LLC/Merck Environmental Risk Assessment—❖ Louise Ryan, Research Laboratories Harvard School of Public Health 5:35 pm Floor Discussion 5:45 pm Floor Discussion

40 CC-400 42 CC-610 Statistical Issues in Genetic Association Graphical Models and Variational Methods— Studies—Invited Invited General Methodology, Biometrics Section, ENAR IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Danyu Lin, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Organizer(s): Martin Wainwright, University of California, Berkeley Hill Chair(s): Martin Wainwright, University of California, Berkeley Chair(s): Daniel Schaid, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine 4:05 pm Variational Methods for Dirichlet Process 4:05 pm Family Studies in the Age of Association—❖ Nan Mixtures—❖ David M. Blei, Princeton University; M. Laird, Harvard School of Public Health Michael I. Jordan, University of California, 4:30 pm Hybrid Vigor: Family-Based and Population- Berkeley Based Designs Can Work Together—❖ Clarice R. 4:30 pm Structured Prediction, Dual Extragradient, and Weinberg, National Institute of Environmental Bregman Projections—❖ Ben Taskar, University Health Sciences; David M. Umbach, National of California, Berkeley

Seattle 17 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

4:55 pm A Variational Inference Procedure Allowing 4:05 pm Statistical Regulations in the EU: Do They Exist for Internal Structure for Overlapping Clusters and Medical Devices?—❖ Bart Gerritse, Medtronic, Deterministic Constraints—❖ Christopher Meek, Inc. Sunday Microsoft Research; Dan Geiger, Technion-Israel 4:30 pm Statistics in the Chinese Regulatory Environment Institute of Technology of Medical Devices—❖ Li Wei, Cardiovascular 5:45 pm Floor Discussion Institute and Fu Wai Hospital; Yao Chen, Peking University First Hospital 43 CC-213 4:55 pm The Global Harmonization Task Force—❖ Larry ● Statistical Methods in HIV/AIDS Research— G. Kessler, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Invited 5:20 pm Disc: Greg Campbell, U.S. Food and Drug Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR Administration Organizer(s): Michael G. Hudgens, Th e University of North Carolina at 5:40 pm Floor Discussion Chapel Hill Chair(s): Michael G. Hudgens, Th e University of North Carolina at 45 CC-3A Chapel Hill Statistical Learning and Data Mining—Invited 4:05 pm Methods for Determining the Accuracy of International Chinese Statistical Association, Section on Nonparametric ❖ Quantitative PCR for Low Levels of HIV-1— Statistics Barbra Richardson, University of Washington Organizer(s): Xiaotong Shen, University of Minnesota 4:25 pm A Bernoulli/Left-Censored Lognormal Mixture Chair(s): Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University Model for Activity of the Protease of HIV-1 as a PRELIMINARY4:05 pm Image Denoising via Solution Paths—❖ Ji Zhu, Function of Amino Acid Characteristics—❖ Paul University of Michigan; Li Wang, University of W. Stewart, Th e University of North Carolina at Michigan; Hui Zou, University of Minnesota Chapel Hill PROGRAM 4:35 pm Using Input-Dependent Weights for Model 4:45 pm Evaluating Linked Substitutions in HIV Genomic Combination and Model Selection with Multiple Sequences—❖ Francoise Seillier-Moiseiwitsch, Sources of Data—❖ Wei Pan, University of Georgetown University Medical Center; Huwaida Minnesota; Guanghua Xiao, University of Rabie, Georgetown University Medical Center; Minnesota; Xiaohong Huang, University of Rebecca Slack, Georgetown University Medical Minnesota Center; JaeHyung Ahn, Th e University of ❖ North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Gary Koch, Th e 5:05 pm Binning in Gaussian Kernel Regularization— University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Bin Yu, University of California, Berkeley; Tao Shi, University of California, Berkeley 5:05 pm A Comprehensive Mathematical Model of HIV/ STD Spread in Communities—❖ Georgiy V. 5:35 pm Floor Discussion Bobashev, RTI International; Michael Goedecke, RTI International; Elizabeth Costenbader, RTI 46 CC-614 International; Wiliam Zule, RTI International Statistical Graphics: from Playfair to Bertin and 5:25 pm Disc: Sarah Holte, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Beyond—Invited Research Center Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Statistical Education 5:45 pm Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Michael Friendly, York University Chair(s): Antony Unwin, Universit‰t Augsburg 44 CC-201 4:05 pm Graphics in French Statistical Journals during ● Global Views on the Role of Statistics in the 19th Century—❖ Antoine de Falguerolles, Medical Device Regulation—Invited University Paul Sabatier (Toulouse III) Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR 4:35 pm Andre-Michel Guerry and the Rise of Moral Organizer(s): Gene Pennello, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Statistics—❖ Michael Friendly, York University Chair(s): Gene Pennello, U.S. Food and Drug Administration 5:05 pm William Playfair and the Psychology of Graphs— ❖ Ian Spence, University of Toronto

18 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

5:35 pm Floor Discussion The American Statistician, Section on Statistical Education, Section on Statis- tical Consulting, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Organizer(s): Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University Sunday 47 CC-210 ● Chair(s): Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University Statistical Methods in Oral Health Research— ❖ Invited Panelists: David Freedman, University of California, Berkeley Biometrics Section, WNAR ❖ Organizer(s): Elizabeth G. Hill, Medical University of South Carolina S. StanleyYoung, National Institute of Statistical Sciences Chair(s): Elizabeth H. Slate, Medical University of South Carolina ❖ Mary Foulkes, U.S. Food and Drug 4:05 pm A Semiparametric Bayesian Model for Inter- Administration Rater Agreement of Probing Pocket Depth—❖ ❖ Elizabeth G. Hill, Medical University of South Juliet Shaff er, University of California, Berkeley Carolina; Elizabeth H. Slate, Medical University of 5:45 pm Floor Discussion South Carolina 4:30 pm Ensemble Models for Risk Prediction with Survey and Multilevel Data—❖ Stuart A. Gansky, Topic-Contributed Sessions University of California, San Francisco; Nancy F. 4:00 pm–5:50 pm Cheng, University of California, San Francisco 4:55 pm Spatial Analyses of Periodontal Data Using Conditionally Autoregressive Priors Having Two 50 CC-204 Classes of Neighbor Relations—PRELIMINARY❖ Brian Reich, ● Strengths and Weaknesses of a Megatrial— North Carolina State University; James Hodges, Topic-Contributed University of Minnesota; Bradley P. Carlin, Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR University of Minnesota PROGRAMOrganizer(s): Vipin Arora, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation; 5:20 pm Disc: Julie Stoner, University of Nebraska Medical Tsushung A. Hua, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation Center Chair(s): John E. Connett, University of Minnesota 5:40 pm Floor Discussion 4:05 pm Megatrials: Not Necessarily Either/Or—❖ Lloyd Fisher, University of Washington 4:25 pm Issues in the Use of a Composite Endpoint in Invited Panels 4:00 pm–5:50 pm Megatrials—❖ Steven Snapinn, Amgen Inc. 4:45 pm Are Megatrials Worth It?—❖ Barry Davis, Th e University of Texas School of Public Health 48 CC-617 ● ✪ Minorities, Environment, and Statistics— 5:05 pm Strengths and Weaknesses of a Megatrial: Complexity of Designing, Handling, and Invited Implementing Megatrials—❖ Timothy Church, Committee on Minorities in Statistics, Section on Statistical Education University of Minnesota Organizer(s): Nagambal Shah, Spelman College 5:25 pm Disc: Patrick O’Meara, Pat O’Meara Associates, Chair(s): Calvin L. Williams, Clemson University Inc. ❖ Panelists: Nagambal Shah, Spelman College 5:45 pm Floor Discussion ❖ William Hunt, North Carolina State University ❖ Julia Bader, Th e University of Texas at El Paso 51 CC-613 ❖ Kishi Animashaun Ducre, Syracuse University ● ✪ Issues with Open Source Statistical Software 5:45 pm Floor Discussion in Industry: Validation, Legal Issues, and Regulatory Requirements—Topic-Contributed 49 CC-3B Section on Statistical Computing, Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on ● ✪ ‘Bad’ Statistical Methods: What Are the Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Graphics Costs?—Invited Organizer(s): Nicholas J. I. Lewin-Koh, Eli Lilly and Company

Seattle 19 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Chair(s): Stacy Lindborg, Eli Lilly and Company Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau 4:05 pm Open-Source Software and Pharma Development: 5:25 pm Floor Discussion Sunday Computer Systems Validation and Value—❖ Anthony Rossini, Novartis Pharma AG 53 CC-615 4:25 pm Open-Source Software in Pharmaceutical ● From Sharks to Salmon: Quantitative Tools in Discovery—❖ Gregory Warnes, Pfi zer Inc.; A. Max Kuhn, Pfi zer Global Research & Marine Demography and Management for Puget Development; James Rogers, Pfi zer Global Sound and Alaska Fisheries—Topic-Contributed Research & Development Section on Statistics and the Environment 4:45 pm Use of Open-Source Software by an Academic Organizer(s): Loveday Conquest, University of Washington Center in a Regulatory Environment—❖ Th omas Chair(s): Loveday Conquest, University of Washington D. Cook, University of Wisconsin-Madison 4:05 pm The Management Strategy Evaluation Approach 5:05 pm Times R A’changin’: FDA Perspectives on Use of and the Gulf of Alaska Walleye Pollock Fishery— ❖ Open Source—❖ B. Sue Bell, U.S. Food and Drug Teresa A’mar, University of Washington; Andre Administration; Kathleen Morrish, U.S. Food and E. Punt, University of Washington; Martin W. Drug Administration; Ferrin Harrison, U.S. Food Dorn, NOAA and Drug Administration; David Petullo, U.S. 4:25 pm Using Mixture Models To Estimate Abundance of Food and Drug Administration; Laura Th ompson, Patchy Species—❖ Elizabeth Conners, NOAA U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Gerry W. 4:45 pm Forecasts of Salmon Returns—❖ Saang- Gray, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Yoon Hyun, Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish 5:25 pm Software and Code Evaluation:PRELIMINARY Risk-Based Commission; David H. Salinger, University of Approaches to Software Integration—❖ Nicholas Washington J. I. Lewin-Koh, Eli Lilly and Company; Robert A. 5:05 pm Using Multivariate Statistics To Resolve Issues Myers, Eli Lilly and Company PROGRAM of Scale with Salmon Survival and Ocean 5:45 pm Floor Discussion Environmental Data—❖ Rishi Sharma, University of Washington 52 CC-602 5:25 pm Reconciling Biological Realities with Statistical Model-Based Seasonal Adjustment: Algorithms Requirements in Fitting Growth Curves with Emphasis on Growth Models for Sharks—❖ and Applications—Topic-Contributed Nicole Vega, University of Washington; Vincent Business and Economics Statistics Section Gallucci, University of Washington Organizer(s): Brian C. Monsell, U.S. Census Bureau 5:45 pm Floor Discussion Chair(s): Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau 4:05 pm Numerical Implementation of Kalman Filter/ Smoother for State Space Models with Partially 54 CC-620 Diffuse Initial Conditions—❖ Rajesh Selukar, SAS ● ✪ Overview and Results from the 2005 Institute, Inc. National Census Test—Topic-Contributed 4:25 pm Evaluation of Finite-Sample Diagnostics for Section on Survey Research Methods Model-Based Seasonal Adjustments and Trends— Organizer(s): Jennifer Tancreto, U.S. Census Bureau ❖ David Findley, U.S. Census Bureau; Richard Chair(s): James Treat, U.S. Census Bureau Gagnon, U.S. Census Bureau; Tucker S. McElroy, 4:05 pm An Overview of the 2005 National Census U.S. Census Bureau Test—❖ Jennifer Tancreto, U.S. Census Bureau 4:45 pm Aspects of Model Averaging for Seasonal 4:25 pm Effect of Internet Response Mode Designs on Adjustment—❖ John Aston, Academia Sinica Data Quality and Ease of Use—❖ Kelly Allmang, 5:05 pm Assessing Spectral Peaks in Economic Time U.S. Census Bureau; Kevin Zajac, U.S. Census Series—❖ Th omas D. Evans, Bureau of Labor Bureau Statistics; Stuart Scott, Bureau of Labor Statistics; 4:45 pm Experimental Treatment Results of the Bilingual Scott Holan, University of Missouri-Columbia; Census Form from the 2005 National Census

20 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Test—❖ Julie Bouff ard, U.S. Census Bureau; Chair(s): Merlise Clyde, Duke University Jennifer Tancreto, U.S. Census Bureau 4:05 pm Bayesian Synthesis—❖ Qingzhao Yu, Th e Ohio Sunday 5:05 pm Analysis of Self-Response Options and State University; Steven N. MacEachern, Th e Ohio Respondent-Friendly Design from the 2005 State University; Mario Peruggia, Th e Ohio State National Census Test—❖ Michael Bentley, U.S. University Census Bureau 4:25 pm A Bayesian Framework To Combine Multivariate 5:25 pm Experimental Treatment Results for the Age, Spatial Data and Physical Models for Hurricane Relationship, and Tenure Items from the 2005 Surface Wind Prediction—❖ Kristen M. Foley, National Census Test—❖ Joan Hill, U.S. Census North Carolina State University; Montserrat Bureau; Jennifer Tancreto, U.S. Census Bureau; Fuentes, North Carolina State University Cynthia A. Rothhaas, U.S. Census Bureau 4:45 pm A Bayesian Pooled Analysis of Doubly Censored 5:45 pm Floor Discussion HIV Data Using the Hierarchical Cox Model—❖ Wei Zhang, Boehringer Ingelheim; Kathryn Chaloner, Th e University of Iowa; Ying Zhang, 55 CC-611 Th e University of Iowa; Mary K. Cowles, Th e ● Statistical Issues in Veterans’ Administration University of Iowa (VA) Health Services Research—Topic- 5:05 pm An Adaptive Bayesian Approach to Jointly Contributed Modeling Response and Toxicity in Phase I Dose- Section on Health Policy Statistics Finding Trials—❖ Meihua Wang, University of Organizer(s): Roslyn A. Stone, Veteran’s Aff airs Pittsburgh Healthcare Pittsburgh; Roger Day, University of Pittsburgh System PRELIMINARY5:25 pm Hierarchical State-Space Model for Microarray Chair(s): Xiao-Hua Andrew Zhou, University of Washington Short Time Course Experiments—❖ Haiyan Wu, 4:05 pm Statistical Issues in Racial/Ethnic Disparities Emory University; Ming Yuan, Georgia Institute Research—❖ Roslyn A. Stone, Veteran’sPROGRAM Aff airs of Technology; Susan Kaech, Yale University; Pittsburgh Healthcare System; Huanyu Chen, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Fred Hutchinson Cancer VA Pittsburgh Healthcare System; Xiangyan Xu, Research Center Veteran’s Aff airs Pittsburgh Healthcare System 5:45 pm Floor Discussion 4:25 pm The Use of Hierarchical Linear Models To Evaluate Methods for the Delivery of Primary Care—❖ Martin Lee, University of California, Los Angeles 57 CC-612 ● Student Paper Competition Award 4:45 pm Understanding Variation in Patient Safety Measures in the VA: How Bayesian Methods Can Presentations—Topic-Contributed Help—❖ Cindy Christiansen, Boston University Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section 5:05 pm A Decision-Theoretic Approach to Identifying Organizer(s): Michael P. Cohen, Bureau of Transportation Statistics Future High-Cost Patients—❖ Kenneth Pietz, Chair(s): Michael P. Cohen, Bureau of Transportation Statistics U.S. Department of Veterans Aff airs; Margaret M. Byrne, University of Miami; Laura A. Petersen, 4:05 pm Robust Model-Based Predictor of Finite U.S. Department of Veterans Aff airs Population Total—❖ Yan Li, University of Maryland; Partha Lahiri, University of Maryland 5:25 pm Disc: Stephan Fihn, University of Washington Harborview Medical Center 4:25 pm Causal Inference Based on Directed Acyclic Graphical Models and the Randomization 5:45 pm Floor Discussion Distribution: a Probability-Sampling Approach—❖ Joel E. Hanson, University of California, Berkeley 56 CC-604 4:45 pm Small-Area Estimation for Business Surveys—❖ ● ✪ Bayesian Student Paper Competition I— Hukum Chandra, University of Southampton Topic-Contributed 5:05 pm An Application of Parametric Bootstrap Method Section on Bayesian Statistical Science in Small-Area Estimation Problem—❖ Huilin Li, Organizer(s): Steven N. MacEachern, Th e Ohio State University University of Maryland

Seattle 21 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

5:25 pm Local Polynomial Regression for Small-Area Panelists: ❖ Barbara Bailar, Consultant ❖ Estimation— Pushpal Mukhopadhyay, Iowa ❖ John Bailar, Consultant State University; Tapabrata Maiti, Iowa State Sunday ❖ Th omas Boardman, Colorado State University University ❖ Gerald van Belle, University of Washington 5:45 pm Floor Discussion 5:45 pm Floor Discussion

Topic-Contributed Panels 61 CC-211 4:00 pm–5:50 pm Statistical Aspects of Pharmaceutical Industry Proof-of-Concept Studies—Topic-Contributed 58 CC-608 Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Alfred Balch, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation ● ✪ Going beyond the Law: Ethical Aspects of Privacy in Surveys—Topic-Contributed Chair(s): Joga Gobburu, U.S. Food and Drug Administration ❖ Social Statistics Section Panelists: Surya Mohanty, Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical R&D Organizer(s): Gerald Gates, U.S. Census Bureau ❖ Chair(s): Barbara Bailar, Consultant Glen Laird, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation Panelists: ❖ Gerald Gates, U.S. Census Bureau ❖ Alfred Balch, Novartis Pharmaceuticals ❖ Pamela White, Statistics Canada Corporation ❖ Jeff ery Rodamar, U.S. Department of Education PRELIMINARY ❖ Jens Praestgaard, Novartis Pharmaceuticals 5:45 pm Floor Discussion Corporation 5:45 pm Floor Discussion 59 PROGRAMCC-609 ● How Is the TI-83 Calculator Changing How We Teach the Introductory Course in Statistics? Or Is Regular Contributed Sessions It?—Topic-Contributed 4:00 pm–5:50 pm Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Marjorie Bond, Monmouth College 62 CC-205 Chair(s): Marjorie Bond, Monmouth College ● Measuring Gene Expression—Contributed ❖ Panelists: Dexter Whittinghill, Rowan University Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR ❖ Christopher Mecklin, Murray State University Chair(s): Saonli Basu, University of Minnesota ❖ Carolyn P. Dobler, Gustavus Adolphus College 4:05 pm Clustering of Time-Course Gene Expression Data ❖ James Davis, Radford University Using Functional Data Analysis—❖ Joon Jin Song, ❖ Madhuri Mulekar, University of South Alabama University of Arkansas; Ho-Jin Lee, Schering- Plough Corporation; Jeff rey S. Morris, M. D. 5:45 pm Floor Discussion Anderson Cancer Center; Sanghoon Kang, Oak Ridge National Laboratory 60 CC-607 4:20 pm Dynamic Network Analysis of Time-Course Gene The Nontechnical Side of Statistical Consulting: Expression Data—❖ Donatello Telesca, University Refl ections on Careers as Working Statisticians of Washington; Lurdes Y. T. Inoue, University of and Suggestions and Guidance for Those on the Washington Way—Topic-Contributed 4:35 pm A Bayes Approach to Virus Gene Time Course Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Education Expression Data—❖ I-Shou Chang, National Organizer(s): John Bartko, Retired Health Research Institutes Chair(s): John Bartko, Retired 4:50 pm Comparing Distance Measures for Clustering Time-Course Microarray Data—❖ Th eresa Scharl,

22 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Vienna University of Technology; Friedrich Emory University; Amita K. Manatunga, Emory Leisch, University of Munich University Sunday 5:05 pm Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo and 5:20 pm Detecting Cerebral Activation from Functional Restricted Maximum Likelihood Study of Gene Magnetic Resonance Imaging Data—❖ William Expression Patterns across Time—❖ Feng Hong, Baumann, Iowa State University; Ranjan Maitra, University of Illinois; Sandra Rodriguez-Zas, Iowa State University University of Illinois 5:35 pm Floor Discussion 5:20 pm Semiparametric Analysis of Gene Expression Patterns across Ages—❖ Sandra Rodriguez-Zas, University of Illinois; Bruce Southey, University of 64 CC-214 ● ✪ Illinois; Gene Robinson, University of Illinois Methodological Issues in Genetics Studies— Contributed 5:35 pm Connectivity, Module-Conformity, and Signifi cance: Understanding Gene Coexpression Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR Network Methods—❖ Jun Dong, University of Chair(s): Bryan Langholz, Keck School of Medicine of USC California, Los Angeles; Steve Horvath, University 4:05 pm An Importance Sampling Procedure for Obtaining of California, Los Angeles; Andy Yip, National Confi dence Intervals of Disease Loci with General University of Singapore Pedigree Data—❖ Shuyan Wan, Th e Ohio State University; Shili Lin, Th e Ohio State University 63 CC-206 4:20 pm Correcting for Measurement Errors in Structured Association Tests—❖ ● Advances in Analyzing fMRI Studies— Jasmin Divers, Th e PRELIMINARYUniversity of Alabama at Birmingham; Laura Contributed K. Vaughan, Th e University of Alabama at Biometrics Section, ENAR Birmingham; David Redden, Th e University of Chair(s): Brian Caff o, Th e Johns Hopkins University PROGRAMAlabama at Birmingham; Jose R. Fernandez, 4:05 pm Intrinsic Voxel Correlation in fMRI—❖ Daniel Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; Rowe, Medical College of Wisconsin; Raymond G. David B. Allison, Th e University of Alabama at Hoff mann, Medical College of Wisconsin Birmingham 4:20 pm Robust Independent Component Analysis in 4:35 pm Genomic Control for Association Studies When fMRI—❖ Ping Bai, Th e University of North the Genetic Model Is Unknown—❖ Gang Zheng, Carolina at Chapel Hill; Young Truong, Th e National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Boris Freidlin, National Cancer Institute; Joseph 4:35 pm A Semiparametric Approach To Estimate the Gastwirth, Th e George Washington University Family-Wise Error Rate in fMRI Using Resting- 4:50 pm Pedigree Disequilibrium Test for X-Chromosome State Data—❖ Rajesh Nandy, University of Markers—❖ Jie Ding, Th e Ohio State University; California, Los Angeles Shili Lin, Th e Ohio State University 4:50 pm Spatio-Temporal Modeling of Functional Magnetic 5:05 pm Incorporating Endophenotypes into Allelic Resonance Imaging Data—❖ Qihua Lin, Southern Association Studies—❖ Chao Hsiung Methodist University; Patrick S. Carmack, Th e 5:20 pm Allowing for Etiologic Heterogeneity by Disease University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center Subtype Increases the Power of Tests for Genetic at Dallas; Richard F. Gunst, Southern Methodist Association—❖ Peter Kraft, Harvard University; University; William R. Schucany, Southern Sholom Wacholder, National Cancer Institute; Methodist University; Jeff rey S. Spence, Th e Nilanjan Chatterjee, National Cancer Institute University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center 5:35 pm A Multiple Test Procedure Controling Type I at Dallas Error for Genome Scan Association Studies using 5:05 pm Interpreting Experience-Based Cognition from HapMap Data—❖ Renfang Jiang, Michigan ❖ fMRI— Rajan Patel; F. DuBois Bowman, Technological University; Jianping Dong, Emory University; Ying Guo, Emory University; Michigan Technological University; Shuanglin Gordana Derado, Emory University; Lance Waller, Zhang, Michigan Technological University;

Seattle 23 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Qiuying Sha, Michigan Technological University Findings—❖ Chung-tung Lin, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Sunday 65 CC-619 4:35 pm Estimation of Low Incidence Rates under ❖ ● Sample Survey Design I—Contributed Selection Bias— Bin Wang, University of South Alabama; Jiayang Sun, Case Western Reserve Section on Survey Research Methods University Chair(s): Soma Roy, Th e Ohio State University 4:50 pm Assessment of Diagnostic Tests in the Presence of 4:05 pm Model-Based Sampling Designs for Optimum Verifi cation Bias Using Multiple Imputation and Estimation—❖ Sun Woong Kim, Dongguk Resampling Methods—❖ Michael P. McDermott, University; Steven G. Heeringa, University of University of Rochester Medical Center; Hua He, Michigan; Peter W. Solenberger, University of University of Rochester Medical Center Michigan 5:05 pm Treatment of Spatial Autocorrelation in Geocoded 4:20 pm Optimum Allocation in Two-Stage and Stratifi ed Crime Data—❖ Krista Collins, Statistics Canada; Two-Stage Sampling for Multivariate Surveys—❖ Colin Babyak, Statistics Canada M. G. M. Khan, Th e University of the South Pacifi c; Munish A. Chand, Th e University of the 5:20 pm Assessing Population Coverage in a Health ❖ South Pacifi c Survey— Karen Davis, National Center for Health Statistics; Chris Moriarity, National Center 4:35 pm An Application of Genetic Algorithms to for Health Statistics Multivariate Optimal Allocation in Stratifi ed Sample Designs—❖ Charles Day 5:35 pm A Study of IRS Administrative Payroll as a Substitute for Missing Payroll—❖ Melvin 4:50 pm The Effect of the NumberPRELIMINARY Eligible and Number McCullough, U.S. Census Bureau Selected within Households on Reported Income and Other Socioeconomic Characteristics in the 2004 NSDUH—❖ Tania Robbins,PROGRAM RTI 67 CC-606 International ● ✪ Industrial Applications—Contributed 5:05 pm NASS/USDA Area Frame Sample Allocation for Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Physical and Engineering Estimation of Number of Farms Not on the Ag Sciences Census Mailing List—❖ Floyd Spears, Harding Chair(s): Angela Patterson, GE Global Research University; Raj S. Chhikara, University of 4:05 pm Hierarchcial Modeling Using GLMs To Improve Houston-Clear Lake; Charles R. Perry, National Yield—❖ Christina Mastrangelo, University Agricultural Statistics Service; Phillip S. Kott, of Washington; Naveen Kumar, University of National Agricultural Statistics Service Washington 5:20 pm Simple Power Calculations: How Do We Know 4:20 pm Sequential Analysis on Misspecifi ed ❖ We Are Doing It the Right Way?— Michael Distributions—❖ Th eresa Utlaut, Intel Vorburger, RTI International Corporation; Kevin Anderson, Intel Corporation ❖ 5:35 pm Estimation in Network Populations— Mike 4:35 pm On Robust Statistics—❖ Kevin Anderson, Intel Kwanisai, NORC Corporation 4:50 pm Robust Analysis of Variance: Process Design 66 CC-618 and Quality Improvement—❖ Avi Giloni, ● Sample Survey Quality I—Contributed Yeshiva University; Sridhar Seshadri, New York Section on Survey Research Methods University; Jeff rey Simonoff , New York University Chair(s): Michael P. Battaglia, Abt Associates Inc. 5:05 pm Statistical Quality Control of Loadboards for ❖ 4:05 pm Nonresponse Bias Studies: 2003–2004 School and Electronic Package Testers— Meihui Guo, Staffi ng Survey—❖ Robyn Sirkis, U.S. Census National Sun Yat-sen University; Yu-Jung Huang, Bureau; Bac Tran, U.S. Census Bureau; Phyllis I-Shou University; Ming-Kun Chen, I-Shou Singer, U.S. Census Bureau University 4:20 pm Call Efforts and Relational Estimates: Preliminary 5:20 pm Statistical Monitoring of Multistage Processes— ❖ Fugee Tsung, HKUST

24 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

5:35 pm Stochastic Models for Predicting Product Failure Wright State University; Eva Petkova, Columbia Rate of Parenterals Due to Particulate Matter—❖ University Sunday Chi-Hse Teng, Pfi zer Inc. 4:50 pm Estimation for Finite Mixture Multinomial Models—❖ Nagaraj Neerchal, University of 68 CC-616 Maryland Baltimore County; Minglei Liu, ● ✪ Risk Assessment in Business and Finance— Medtronic, Inc.; Jorge Morel, Procter & Gamble Contributed 5:05 pm Predictive Discrepancy Using Full Cross-Validation ❖ Section on Risk Analysis for Regression Models— Mark Greenwood, Montana State University Chair(s): Duane Steff ey, Exponent, Inc. 5:20 pm On the Nonnegative Garrote Estimator—❖ Ming 4:05 pm On the Application of the Latent-Variable Model Yuan, Georgia Institute of Technology; Yi Lin, To Predict Business Default—❖ K. Paul Chin, Dun University of Wisconsin-Madison & Bradstreet, Inc.; Edgar Ortiz, Dun & Bradstreet, Inc.; Jianjing Ling, Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. 5:35 pm Latent Transition Analysis: Inference and Estimation—❖ Hwan Chung, Michigan State 4:20 pm Mixture Models Applied to Reject Inference—❖ University Billie Anderson, Th e University of Alabama; J. Michael Hardin, Th e University of Alabama; Ana Landeros, Th e University of Alabama; Michael 70 CC-603 Conerly, Th e University of Alabama ● ✪ Bayesian Spatial and Spatio-Temporal 4:35 pm How To Address Click Fraud in Pay-per-Click Models—Contributed Programs—❖ Vincent PRELIMINARYGranville, Authenticlick Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 4:50 pm Application of Kernel Methods to Fraud Chair(s): Peter F. Craigmile, Th e Ohio State University Detection—❖ Ravi Mallela, Equbits 4:05 pm Bayesian Change Point Analysis for Local Linear 5:05 pm Partial Hedging Using Malliavin Calculus—PROGRAM❖ Lan Regression: a New Approach to Prior Selection— Nygren, Rider University; Lakner Peter, New York ❖ Rajib Paul, Th e Ohio State University; L. Mark University Berliner, Th e Ohio State University 5:20 pm An Econometric Model for Insurance Underwriting 4:20 pm A Bayesian Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Interaction Using Bivariate Zero-Infl ated Count Models—K. Model—❖ Jacob Oleson, Th e University of Paul Chin, Dun & Bradstreet, Inc.; ❖ Edgar Ortiz, Iowa; Hoon Kim, California State Polytechnic Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. University, Pomona 5:35 pm Investigating the Determinants of Financial 4:35 pm Dimension Reduction in Spatio-Temporal Models Harm and Predatory Lending through RDD and via Dynamic Support Points—❖ Todd DeWees, Victim Population Surveys—❖ Danna Moore, University of Missouri-Columbia; Christopher K. Washington State University Wikle, University of Missouri-Columbia 4:50 pm Multiresolution Hierarchical Dynamical Models 69 CC-601 for Spatio-Temporal Processes—❖ Ali Arab, Modeling—Contributed University of Missouri-Columbia; Christopher K. Wikle, University of Missouri-Columbia Section on Statistical Computing Chair(s): Wei Pan, University of Cincinnati 5:05 pm Spatial Bayesian Modeling of fMRI Data: a Multiple-Subject Analysis—❖ Lei Xu, University 4:05 pm Finite Elements Methods for Density Estimation— of Michigan; Timothy D. Johnson, University ❖ George Terrell, Virginia Polytechnic Institute of Michigan; Th omas Nichols, University of and State University Michigan 4:20 pm On the Mixture of Multivariate Skew Normal ❖ 5:20 pm Bayesian Hierarchical Spatially Correlated Distributions— Jack C. Lee, National Chiao Functional Data Analysis with Application Tung University; Tsung-I Lin, National Chung to Colon Carcinogenesis—❖ Veera Hsing University Baladandayuthapani, M. D. Anderson Cancer 4:35 pm Latent Regression—❖ Th addeus Tarpey, Center; Raymond J. Carroll, Texas A&M

Seattle 25 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

University; Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M Wang, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation University; Mee Young Hong, Texas A&M 4:20 pm Four Types of Sums of Squares and Estimates Sunday University of Treatment Differences in Multicenter Clinical 5:35 pm Floor Discussion Trials—❖ Daozhi Zhang, DOV Pharmaceutical, Inc. 71 CC-605 4:35 pm Optimal Allocation of Units When Comparing k Treatments to Two Controls of Unequal Designs for Clinical Trials and Other Studies— ❖ Contributed Importance— Nairanjana Dasgupta, Washington State University IMS, Biometrics Section, ENAR 4:50 pm A Method for Testing a Prespecifi ed Subgroup in Chair(s): Rebecca Nugent, University of Washington Clinical Trials—❖ Yang Song, Johnson & Johnson 4:05 pm Identifi ably Of Placebo Responders via Potential Pharmaceutical R&D; George Chi, Johnson & ❖ Outcomes— Eva Petkova, Columbia University; Johnson Pharmaceutical R&D Th addeus Tarpey, Wright State University; 5:05 pm Some Issues in Fitting Clinical Count Data with Yimeng Lu, Columbia University; Donald Klein, Poisson Regression Model—❖ Abdul Sankoh, Columbia University sanofi -aventis 4:20 pm Effi cient Adaptive Designs for Clinical Trials—❖ 5:20 pm Interval Estimation of Risk Ratio in the Simple Jay Bartroff , Stanford University; Tze Leung Lai, Compliance Randomized Trial—❖ Kung-Jong Lui, Stanford University San Diego State University 4:35 pm Remodifi ed Continual Reassessment Method and 5:35 pm Floor Discussion the PBTC Experience—PRELIMINARY❖ Arzu Onar, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital; Mehmet Kocak, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital; James Boyett, 73 CC-2B St. Jude Children’s Research HospitalPROGRAM● Phase II Trials—Contributed 4:50 pm D-optimal designs for compartmental models—❖ Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Gang Li, GlaxoSmithKline; Dibyen Majumdar, Chair(s): Dennis Cosmatos, Wyeth Research University of Illinois at Chicago 4:05 pm A Parallel Phase I/II Clinical Trial Design for 5:05 pm Robust Designs for Binomial Data—❖ Adeniyi Combination Therapies—❖ Xuelin Huang, Adewale, University of Alberta; Douglas P. Wiens, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Swati Biswas, University of Alberta University of North Texas Health Science Center; 5:20 pm Exact D-Optimal Designs for Second-Order Yasuhiro Oki, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Response Surface Model on a Sphere and with Jean-Pierre Issa, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Qualitative Factors—❖ Chuan-Pin Lee, National Donald Berry, Th e University of Texas Sun Yat-sen University; Mong-Na Lo Huang, 4:20 pm Three-Outcome Design for Randomized National Sun Yat-sen University; Ray-Bing Chen, Comparative Phase II Clinical Trials—❖ Shengyan National University of Kaohsiung Hong, Eli Lilly and Company; Yanping Wang, Eli 5:35 pm D-Optimal Designs for Combined Polynomial and Lilly and Company Trigonometric Regression on a Partial Circle—❖ 4:35 pm Two-Stage Accrual Designs for Phase II Clinical Fu-Chuen Chang, National Sun Yat-sen University Trials with a Trinomial Endpoint—❖ Paul Elson, Th e Cleveland Clinic 72 CC-2A 4:50 pm Optimal Trial Designs for Screening Cancer ● Clinical Trial Design and Analysis—Contributed Therapeutic Agents—❖ Vandana Mukhi, New Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR York University School of Medicine; Yongzhao Shao, New York University; Judith D. Goldberg, Chair(s): Sheng Feng, Duke University New York University School of Medicine 4:05 pm Note on Randomization-Based Inferences for 5:05 pm Optimal Adaptive Designs in Phase II Trials—❖ Randomized Clinical Trials—❖ Guohua Pan, Anindita Banerjee, North Carolina State Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical R&D; Yibin University; Anastasios A. Tsiatis, North Carolina

26 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

State University University of British Columbia 5:20 pm Optimal Two-Stage Designs for Phase II Clinical Sunday Trials for Continuous Endpoints—❖ Chinfu Hsiao, National Health Research Institutes; Hsiao-Hui Regular Contributed Posters Tsou, National Health Research Institutes; Jen-pei 4:00 pm–5:50 pm Liu, National Taiwan University; Shein-Chung Chow, Duke University 5:35 pm Critical Statistical Issues in the Design and 75 CC-Level 6 East Lobby Analysis of Proof-of-Concept Clinical Trials in Contributed Posters—Contributed Multiple Sclerosis—❖ Chris Assaid, Merck & Co., Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, General Methodology, Section Inc. on Nonparametric Statistics, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. 74 CC-212 Chair(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. ● Methods for Incomplete Data—Contributed Biometrics, biostatistics, epidemiology Biometrics Section 01 Examining the Effect of Biomarkers in Terms of Pathological Chair(s): Yichuan Zhao, Georgia State University Compartmentalization and a Continuous Variable—❖ 4:05 pm Semiparametric Models and Sensitivity Irene Helenowski, Northwestern University; Edward F. Analysis of Longitudinal Data with Nonrandom Vonesh, Baxter Healthcare Corporation; Ryan J. Deaton, ❖ Dropouts— David Todem, Michigan State University of Illinois at Chicago; Borko Jovanovic, University; KyungMannPRELIMINARY Kim, University of Northwestern University; Alfred W. Rademaker, Wisconsin-Madison; Jason P. Fine, University of Northwestern University; Sally A. Freels, University of Wisconsin-Madison Illinois; Vijayalakshmi Ananthanarayanan, University of 4:20 pm Methods on Longitudinal Data withPROGRAM Drop-Outs Illinois at Chicago; Peter H. Gann, University of Illinois and Mismeasured Covariates—❖ Grace Y. Yi, at Chicago University of Waterloo Clinical trials, drug discovery 4:35 pm Semiparametric Analysis of Longitudinal Data 02 Minimum Sample Size in Control Group When Comparing ❖ with Potential Right Censoring— Mengling Liu, Effi cacy Rate with Several Treatment Groups—❖ Alan Davis, New York University School of Medicine; Zhiliang Pharmanet; Inder J. Sharma, Sharma Associates, Inc. Ying, Columbia University 03 Exploring the Relationship between Extended Oral 4:50 pm A Multiple Imputation Approach for Responders Anticoagulant Th erapy after a First Episode of Venous ❖ Analysis in Longitudinal Studies— Liqiu Jiang, Th rombosis and Mortality Using Meta-analysis—❖ North Carolina State University; Kaifeng Lu, Brianna Miller, Th e University of Oklahoma Merck & Co., Inc.; Anastasios A. Tsiatis, North 04 Interval Estimation of Binomial Proportion in Clinical Carolina State University Trials with a Two-Stage Design—❖ Chen Chia Min, 5:05 pm Estimation of Transition Probabilities in a National Cheng Kung University Discrete-Time Markov Chain with Missing 05 GLUMIP 2. 0: Free SAS/IMLÆ Software for Planning Observations—❖ Hung-Wen Yeh, Th e University Internal Pilots—❖ John Kairalla, Th e University of of Texas School of Public Health; Wenyaw Chan, North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Christopher S. Coff ey, Th e University of Texas School of Public Health Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; Keith E. 5:20 pm Nonparametric Comparison of Two Survival Muller, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Functions with Dependent Censoring via 06 Stroke Clinical Trials and Response-Adaptive Nonparametric Multiple Imputation—❖ Chiu- Randomization: an Ideal Match—❖ Yuko Palesch, Hsieh Hsu, University of Arizona; Jeremy M. G. Medical University of South Carolina; Amy Bardeen, Taylor, University of Michigan Medical University of South Carolina; Renee Martin, 5:35 pm Multivariate One-Sided Hypotheses Testing with Medical University of South Carolina Complete or Incomplete Data—❖ Tao Wang, Th e 07 Multivariate Applications in Systems Biology—❖ Amber University of British Columbia; Lang Wu, Th e Anderson, GlaxoSmithKline; Zhu Lei, GlaxoSmithKline;

Seattle 27 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Edit Kurali, GlaxoSmithKline; Amit Bhattacharyya, University, East Bay GlaxoSmithKIine; Kwan Lee, GlaxoSmithKline; Michael 18 A Hyperbolastic Model for Survival Data—❖ Zoran Sunday Durante, GlaxoSmithKline Bursac, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences; 08 Comparing the Performance of Th ree Asymptotic Mohammad Tabatabai, Cameron University; David K. Methods in Estimating the Sample Size for a Th erapeutic Williams, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences; Equivalence Study Based on Diff erence of Proportions— Karan P. Singh, University of North Texas Health Science ❖ Xiaoning Li, Th e University of Oklahoma Health Center Sciences Center; Sara K. Vesely, Th e University of 19 Survival Analysis on Recurrent Event Data: an Oklahoma Health Sciences Center Application to Alcoholism Study—❖ Jian Han, 09 Recent Development in Exact Inference for Parallel Bristol-Myers Squibb Company ❖ Group Design with Repeated Binary Measurements— Semiparametric and nonparametric methods Dar-Shong Hwang, B. R. S. I. ; James Lee, Sankyo 21 Locally Effi cient Estimators for Semiparametric Models Pharma Development with Measurement Error—❖ Yanyuan Ma, Texas A&M ❖ 10 Issues of Covariate Adjustments in Clinical Trials— University; Raymond J. Carroll, Texas A&M University Moh-Jee Ng, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Tie- 22 A Graphical Method for Testing the Equality of Hua Ng, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Regression Curves—❖ Kee-Hoon Kang, Hankuk 11 Can We Recruit Additional Subjects for a Failed University of Foreign Studies; Cheolwoo Park, University ❖ Study?— Paul Hshieh, U.S. Food and Drug of Georgia Administration; Tie-Hua Ng, U.S. Food and Drug 23 A Permutation Test for Compound Symmetry—❖ Administration PRELIMINARYTracy Morris, Oklahoma State University; Mark Payton, Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods Oklahoma State University 12 Multiple imputation by chained equations: predictive mean matching—❖ Gerald Kolm, Emory University;PROGRAM Deborah Ehrenthal, Christiana Care Health System; Edward Regular Contributed Posters Ewen, Christiana Care Health System 8:00 pm–9:50 pm 13 Weighted Logrank-Type Tests Based on Doubly Truncated Data—❖ Su Pei Fang, National Cheng Kung University 76 CC-Level 6 East Lobby 14 Kernel-Assisted EM Algorithm—❖ Suzanne Dubnicka, Contributed Poster Session with Opening Mixer: Kansas State University a Look at the Richness of Statistical Interests— Pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics Contributed 15 The analysis of mixed-effects compartmental systems ENAR, Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistics in Epidemiol- ogy, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, Business and Economics using Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods—❖ Yi Wang, Statistics Section, General Methodology, Section on Government Statistics, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Kent M. Eskridge, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Social Statistics Section, Sec- University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Shunpu Zhang, tion on Survey Research Methods, Section on Statistical Education, Section on University of Nebraska-Lincoln Statistics and the Environment Reliability and survival modeling Organizer(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. 16 An Application of Accelerated Lifetime Design/Analysis for Chair(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. Estimating the Lifetime of CDs and DVDs—❖ James J. Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models Filliben, National Institute of Standards and Technology; 01 A Bayesian Approach to Semicontinuous Longitudinal Data— Adriana Hornikova, National Institute of Standards and ❖ Bing Han, Penn State; Wei Huang, Temple University Technology; Frederick R. Byers, National Institute of Standards and Technology Biometrics, biostatistics, epidemiology 02 Survival Instantaneous Log-Odds Ratio from Empirical 17 Parametric Distance Estimators versus Maximum Functions—❖ Likelihood Estimators in Estimating Quantiles with JungAh Jung, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Misclassifi ed Data—❖ Elliott Nebenzahl, California Corporation; J. Wanzer Drane, University of South State University, East Bay; Dean Fearn, California State Carolina

28 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

03 LTAS. NET: a NIOSH Life Table Analysis System for the Riverside; Orlando T. Garcia, Sandia National Windows Environment—❖ Mary Schubauer-Berigan, Laboratories Sunday National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; General William R. Raudabaugh, Constella, Inc.; Avima Ruder, 11 The Impact of Computer Programming Languages on National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Statistics—❖ Morteza Marzjarani, Saginaw Valley State Misty Hein, National Institute for Occupational Safety University and Health; Sharon R. Silver, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Patricia Laber, National Genetics, bioinformatics, computational biology Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Kathleen 12 Analyzing a Metabolomics Dataset—❖ Teresa Norris, Waters, National Institute for Occupational Safety 13 Inferring Quantitative Trait Loci Using a Bayesian and Health; Jinghui Liu, Westat; Steven Spaeth; Kyle Variable Selection Model and Markov Chain Monte Steenland, Emory University Carlo Convergence Diagnostics—❖ Daniel Shriner, Th e 04 Estimating Lifetime Prevalence Using Data from Disease University of Alabama at Birmingham; Nengjun Yi, Th e Registries—❖ Limin X. Clegg, National Cancer Institute University of Alabama at Birmingham 05 Epidemiology of Herpes Zoster (Shingles)—❖ Peter 14 Estimating p-Values in Small Microarray Experiments— Wollan, Olmsted Medical Center; Patricia Saddier, ❖ Hyuna Yang, Th e Jackson Lab; Gary Churchill, Th e Merck Research Laboratories; Lina Sy, Merck Research Jackson Lab Laboratories; Barbara P. Yawn, Olmsted Medical Center 15 Multivariate Simulation of Gene Expression Data—❖ Business, fi nancial, and marketing statistics Rudolph Parrish, University of Louisville; Horace J. 06 What We Know about Unsuccessful and Successful High- Spencer, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences Risk R&D Projects and What We PRELIMINARYCan Learn from Them—❖ Government statistics Stephanie Shipp, National Institute of Standards and 16 Treating Breaks in Time Series in the Current Employment Technology Statistics State and Area Program—❖ James White, Bureau PROGRAMof Labor Statistics; Kenneth Shipp, Bureau of Labor Clinical trials and drug discovery 07 Data Simulation Methodologies for Determining Sample Size Statistics Requirements To Test Gene-Drug Interactions in Genetically Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods Pre-Screened Populations—❖ Kimberly Lowe, University 17 On the Likelihood Ratio Test for the Numbers of Factors of Arizona College of Public Health; James Ranger- in Exploratory Factor Analysis—❖ Kentaro Hayashi, Moore, University of Arizona College of Public Health; University of Hawaii at Manoa; Peter M. Bentler, Patricia Th ompson, Arizona Cancer Center University of California, Los Angeles; Ke-Hai Yuan, Computational statistics and numerical methods University of Notre Dame 08 Wavelet-Based Functional Mixed Model Data Analysis: Logitudinal data, repeated measurements, cluster Computational Considerations—❖ Richard Herrick, data M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Jeff rey S. Morris, M. D. 18 GEE Models for Longitudinal Analysis of Long-Term Anderson Cancer Center Occupational Radiation Exposures in Russian Nuclear Engineering and physical sciences, chemometrics Workers—❖ Adina Soaita, University of Pittsburgh; 09 Hierarchical Bayesian Calibration of Untested Devices—❖ Ada O. Youk, University of Pittsburgh; Richard Day, Reid Landes, University of Arkansas for Medical University of Pittsburgh; Tamara Azizova, Southern Sciences Ural Biophysics Institute; Niel Wald, University of Pittsburgh; Mike Kuniak, University of Pittsburgh; David Environmetrics, ecology, agriculture, wildlife M. Slaughter, University of Utah; Carol K. Redmond, management University of Pittsburgh 10 Strip Transect Sampling To Estimate Object Abundance 19 Antioxidant Use Predicts Transitions to Amnestic MCI in Homogeneous and Nonhomogeneous Poisson Fields: and Dementia—❖ Marta Mendiondo, University of a Simulation Study of the Effects of Transect Width and Kentucky; Richard J. Kryscio, University of Kentucky; Number—❖ Timothy C. Coburn, Abilene Christian Fred A. Schmitt, University of Kentucky University; Sean A. McKenna, Sandia National Laboratories; Hirotaka Saito, University of California, 20 Structural Nested Mean Models for Assessing Time- Varying Eff ect Moderation: a Comparison of Two

Seattle 29 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Estimation Methods—❖ Daniel Almirall, University of Tours Michigan Sunday Neuroscience, brain imaging 9:00 am–12:00 pm CC-Convention Plaza 21 Methods for Assessing Changes in the FMRI Visual Field TR03 - Seattle City Highlights Tour Map after Surgery—❖ Raymond G. Hoff mann, Medical 9:00 am–11:00 am CC-Convention Plaza College of Wisconsin; Paul Savarapian, Marquette University; Mary Jo Maciejewski, Medical College TR04 - Walking Tour of the Pike Place Market of Wisconsin; Edward A. DeYoe, Medical College of 12:30 pm–4:00 pm CC-Convention Plaza Wisconsin; Daniel Rowe, Medical College of Wisconsin TR05 - Cruise the Locks Sampling and survey methodology 22 Design-Based versus Model-Based Methods: a Comparative ❖ Study Using Longitudinal Survey Data— Sunita Ghosh, Committee/Business Meetings University of Saskatchewan; Punam Pahwa, University of Saskatchewan; Geert Molenberghs, Limburgs & Other Activities Universitair Centrum 7:00 am–8:30 am S-Douglas Room 23 Hierarchical Generalized Linear Models for Data Committee on Archives and Historic Materials Annual from Complex Sampling Designs—❖ Prabhu Business Meeting Bhagavatheeswaran, Southern Methodist University; Ian Harris, Southern Methodist University Chair(s): Rich Allen, ASA Committee on Archives and History Social and behavioral science PRELIMINARY7:00 am–9:00 am CC-302 24 Mediation Analysis with Multilevel Data—❖ Jungwha Lee, Committee on Membership Retention and Institute for Health Research and Policy; Eisuke Segawa, Recruitment Meeting (closed) Institute for Health Research and Policy;PROGRAM Sue Curry, Chair(s): Dayanand Naik, Old Dominion University University of Illinois at Chicago Spatial statistics, time series, spatio-temporal 7:00 am–8:30 am H-Douglas Boardroom & Foyer modeling Social Statistics Section Executive Board Meeting 25 The Application of the Kalman Filter to Nonstationary Time (closed) Series through Time Deformation—❖ Zhu Wang, Fred Chair(s): Susan Schechter, Offi ce of Management and Budget Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Henry L. Gray, Southern Methodist University; Wayne A. Woodward, 7:00 am–8:30 am H-Excelsior Southern Methodist University Technometrics Management Committee (closed) Teaching, training, consulting Chair(s): Roger W. Hoerl, GE Global Research 26 Is It Normal? A Simulation Study of Properties of Some 7:00 am–11:00 am CC-4C-3 Normality Tests—❖ Daniel M. Sultana, California State University, East Bay; Charlyn J. Suarez, California State JSM 2007 Program Committee Meeting (closed) University, East Bay; Bruce E. Trumbo, California State Chair(s): Allan Rossman, California Polytechnic State University, San University, East Bay; Eric A. Suess, California State Luis Obispo University, East Bay 7:00 am–8:30 am H-Cayuse 27 Classroom Simulation: False Indications of Ouliers ASA-SIAM Series Editorial Board (closed) in Boxplots of Normal Data—❖ Bruce E. Trumbo, Chair(s): Martin T. Wells, Cornell University California State University, East Bay; Eric A. Suess, California State University, East Bay; Jacob Colvin, 7:00 am–8:30 am H-Sherman California State University, East Bay Survey Review Committee Annual Meeting Chair(s): Virginia M. Lesser, Oregon State University MONDAY, AUGUST 7 7:00 am–8:30 am S-Cedar Room SPAIG Committee Meeting (closed)

30 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Chair(s): George Williams, Amgen Inc. 7:30 am–6:00 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby

ASA Membership/Special Assistance Desk Monday 7:00 am–8:30 am H-Portland JABES Management Committee (closed) 7:30 am–6:00 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby Chair(s): Timothy Gregoire, Yale University JSM Main Registration

7:00 am–8:30 am S-Juniper 7:30 am–9:00 am S-Admiral Section on Statistical Graphics Executive Committee Committee on Minorities in Statistics Business (closed) Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Paul Murrell, Th e University of Auckland Chair(s): Nagambal Shah, Spelman College

7:00 am–8:30 am H-Chatham 7:30 am–8:30 am S-Ballard Section on Government Statistics Executive Council of Chapters International Science and Committee Meeting Engineering Fair (ISEF) Breakfast Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Stephanie Shipp, National Institute of Standards and Chair(s): John E. Boyer, Kansas State University Technology 7:30 am–8:30 am S-Spruce Room 7:00 am–8:30 am H-Blewett Suite Committee on Professional Ethics Science Policy Task Force Business Meeting Chair(s): Barbara Bailar, Consultant Chair(s): Virginia A. de Wolf, Consultant PRELIMINARY7:30 am–9:00 am S-Aspen Room 7:00 am–8:30 am H-Stevens Boardroom & Foyer Carnegie Mellon Alumni and Faculty Breakfast ASA-MAA Joint Committee on Undergraduate (closed) Statistics Meeting PROGRAMOrganizer(s): Margaret Smykla, Carnegie Mellon University Chair(s): Madhuri Mulekar, University of South Alabama 8:00 am–6:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4B 7:00 am–8:30 am H-Discovery Career Placement Service Section on Statistics and the Environment Executive Meeting (closed) 8:00 am–9:30 am S-Willow A Chair(s): Jay Ver Hoef, National Marine Mammal Lab Communications in Statistics Editorial Meeting (closed) 7:00 am–8:30 am S-Everett Organizer(s): Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan, McMaster University Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Executive Committee Meeting (closed) 8:00 am–6:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4A Chair(s): Cynthia Long, Palmer Center for Chiropractic Research Exhibitor Lounge

7:00 am–6:00 pm CC-508 8:30 am–10:00 am S-Ballard Speaker Work Room Council of Chapters Governing Board Planning Meeting (closed) 7:00 am–6:00 pm CC-507 Chair(s): Ronald Wasserstein, Washburn University Speaker Work Room 9:00 am–10:00 am S-Willow B 7:00 am–10:00 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby Transportation Statistics Interest Group Annual Cyber Center Meeting Organizer(s): Promod Chandhok, Bureau of Transportation Statistics 7:30 am–8:30 am H-Chinook Deming Lectureship Committee Business Meeting 9:00 am–10:30 am S-Metropolitan Ballroom B Chair(s): Lorraine Denby, Avaya Labs Research Academic Program Representatives Meeting (closed) Chair(s): John Stufken, University of Georgia

Seattle 31 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

9:00 am–5:00 pm CC-Level 1 Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Dalene Stangl, Duke University Citywide Concierge Center Monday

9:00 am–6:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4A 12:30 pm–2:00 pm H-Princessa II Ballroom EXPO 2006 JASA Editorial Board Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Mark S. Kaiser, Iowa State University 9:00 am–5:00 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby ASA Marketplace 2:00 pm–4:00 pm H-Excelsior Finance Committee Meeting (closed) 9:00 am–10:30 am H-Excelsior Chair(s): Sastry Pantula, North Carolina State University JASA Editors Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Mark S. Kaiser, Iowa State University 2:00 pm–3:30 pm S-Cedar Room Careers in Statistics Panel 9:00 am–6:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4A Chair(s): Janice Lent, Research and Innovative Technology ASA Communities Booth #101 Administration

10:00 am–12:00 pm S-Spruce Room 4:00 pm–6:00 pm CC-613 Council of Chapter Governing Board Status Consortium for the Advancement of Undergraduate Committee Meeting (closed) Statistics Education Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Joan Chmiel, Northwestern University Organizer(s): Dennis K. Pearl, Th e Ohio State University 10:00 am–12:00 pm PRELIMINARY S-Ballard 4:00 pm–5:00 pm S-Juniper Council of Chapters Governing Board Executive International Indian Statistical Association Executive Committee Meeting (closed) PROGRAMBoard Meeting Chair(s): Ronald Wasserstein, Washburn University Organizer(s): Hira L. Koul, Michigan State University

12:00 pm–5:30 pm S-Admiral 5:00 pm–7:00 pm H-Leonesa Balltoom II Council of Chapters Governing Board Meeting Iowa State University Statistics Alumni Reception (closed) (closed) Chair(s): Ronald Wasserstein, Washburn University Organizer(s): Kenneth Koehler, Iowa State University

12:30 pm–2:00 pm H-Discovery 5:00 pm–7:00 pm H-Princessa II Ballroom Committee on Gay and Lesbian Concerns in Statistics SSC Reception (all are welcome) Meeting Organizer(s): Charmaine Dean, SSC Chair(s): Barry Johnson, Internal Revenue Service 5:00 pm–6:30 pm S-Douglas Room 12:30 pm–2:00 pm S-Aspen Room Journal of Quality Technology Editorial Review Board Journal of Statistics in Medicine Editorial Board (closed) (closed) Organizer(s): Enrique del Castillo, Penn State Organizer(s): Ralph B. D’Agostino, Boston University 5:00 pm–6:30 pm H-Discovery 12:30 pm–2:00 pm CC-302 Section on Quality and Productivity Tactical Planning Section on Statistical Computing Executive (closed) Committee (closed) Chair(s): Christine M. Anderson-Cook, Los Alamos National Laboratory Chair(s): Stephan Sain, University of Colorado at Denver and Health Sciences Center 5:00 pm–6:00 pm H-Blewett Suite JASA T&M Associate Editors Mixer (closed) 12:30 pm–2:00 pm H-Portland Chair(s): Stephen L. Portnoy, University of Illinois at Urbana- Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Executive Champaign

32 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

5:00 pm–7:00 pm S-Cirrus Ballroom Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences

NISS/SAMSI Reception Business Meeting and Mixer Monday Organizer(s): Alan Karr, National Institute of Statistical Sciences Chair(s): Cynthia Long, Palmer Center for Chiropractic Research

5:00 pm–7:00 pm S-Willow A 5:30 pm–7:00 pm H-Stevens Boardroom & Foyer Texas A&M University Reunion (closed) Caucus for Women in Statistics Reception Organizer(s): Simon Sheather, Texas A&M University Organizer(s): Mary W. Gray, American University

5:00 pm–6:00 pm CC-604 5:30 pm–7:00 pm H-Leonesa Ballroom I Medical Devices Special Interest Group Meeting The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chair(s): Estelle Russek-Cohen, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Department of Biostatistics Alumni Reception Organizer(s): Michael Kosorok, Th e University of North Carolina at 5:30 pm–7:00 pm S-Juniper Chapel Hill Section on Statistics in Sports Business Meeting Chair(s): Phil Everson, Swarthmore College 5:30 pm–7:00 pm S-Governors Suite ASA/NSF Research Fellowship Reception (closed) 5:30 pm–7:00 pm CC-4C-1 Organizer(s): Carolyn Kesner, American Statistical Association Section on Statistics and the Environment Business Meeting and Reception 6:00 pm–9:00 pm CC-605 Chair(s): Jay Ver Hoef, National Marine Mammal Lab Amgen, Inc.(by invitation only) PRELIMINARYOrganizer(s): Chander Varma, Amgen Inc. 5:30 pm–7:00 pm S-Aspen Room IMS Member Reception 6:00 pm–7:00 pm CC-4C-3 Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, IMS PROGRAMPresident’s Invited Speaker Reception (by invitation only) 5:30 pm–7:00 pm H-Douglas Boardroom & Foyer Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University Section on Risk Analysis Business Meeting Chair(s): Susan Sereika, University of Pittsburgh 6:00 pm–8:00 pm H-Cayuse Section on Survey Research Methods Executive 5:30 pm–7:00 pm S-Everett Committee Meeting (closed) Social Statistics Section Business Meeting Chair(s): Roger Tourangeau, University of Maryland Chair(s): Susan Schechter, Offi ce of Management and Budget 6:00 pm–8:00 pm CC-303 5:30 pm–7:00 pm S-Ballard Korean Statisticians Annual Meeting Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Executive Committee Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Sin-Ho Jung, Duke University Chair(s): Sander Greenland, University of California, Los Angeles 6:00 pm–7:30 pm S-Metropolitan Ballroom B JSM Student Mixer (students only, included in 5:30 pm–7:30 pm CC-307 & 308 registration fee) Service-oriented Consulting: What Can Students Do in Chair(s): Dayanand Naik, Old Dominion University the Community? Organizer(s): Gayla R. Olbricht, Purdue University 6:00 pm–8:00 pm S-Willow B Eli Lilly and Company Faculty Reception (closed) 5:30 pm–7:00 pm CC-602 Organizer(s): Todd Sanger, Eli Lilly and Company Biometrics Section Annual Business Meeting Chair(s): Karen Bandeen-Roche, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of 6:00 pm–7:30 pm CC-601 Public Health CDC/ATSDR Statistical Advisory Group Open Meeting Organizer(s): Timothy Green, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 5:30 pm–7:00 pm S-Cedar Room

Seattle 33 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

6:00 pm–7:30 pm CC-302 CE_16C CC-310

Committee on Minorities in Statistics Reception 8:30 am–5:00 pm Monday Chair(s): Nagambal Shah, Spelman College Multiple Comparisons and Multiple Tests The ASA 6:00 pm–7:30 pm H-Sherman Instructor(s): Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University Committee on Gay and Lesbian Concerns in Statistics Social Meeting (with guest speaker) CE_17C CC-309 Chair(s): Barry Johnson, Internal Revenue Service 8:30 am–5:00 pm Statistical Demography with Applications 6:00 pm–7:00 pm CC-305 The ASA, Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics, Section Russian and Former Soviet Union Statisticians Mixer on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Stanislav Kolenikov, University of Missouri-Columbia Instructor(s): Bruce D. Spencer, Northwestern University; Juha M. Alho, University of Joensuu 6:30 pm–7:30 pm S-Metropolitan Ballroom A ASA Long Time Member Reception (closed) CE_18C CC-307 & 308 Chair(s): Dayanand Naik, Old Dominion University 8:30 am–5:00 pm Analysis of Clinical Trials: Theory and Applications 7:00 pm–9:00 pm CC-607 The ASA Merck Research Laboratories Reception (closed) Instructor(s): Christy Chuang-Stein, Pfi zer Inc.; Alex Dmitrienko, Eli Organizer(s): Beverly Jacobsen, Merck ResearchPRELIMINARY Laboratories Lilly and Company; Geert Molenberghs, Limburgs Universitair Centrum 7:30 pm–10:00 pm S-Douglas Room CE_19C CC-306 Southern Methodist University Alumni Social 8:30 am–5:00 pm Organizer(s): Richard Gunst, Southern Methodist UniversityPROGRAMApplied Bayesian Nonparametric Modeling The ASA, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 7:30 pm–10:00 pm CC-4C-2 Instructor(s): Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University; Athanasios Kottas, Joint Section on Statistical Graphics and Section on University of California, Santa Cruz Statistical Computing Business Meeting Chair(s): Paul Murrell, Th e University of Auckland; Stephan Sain, CE_20C CC-303 University of Colorado at Denver and Health Sciences Center 8:30 am–5:00 pm Generalized Linear and Latent Mixed Models The ASA, Biometrics Section Continuing Education (Fee Events) Instructor(s): Sophia Rabe-Hesketh, University of California, Berkeley; Anders Skrondal, London School of Economics CE_14C CC-305 8:00 am–12:00 pm CE_21C CC-305 Spatial Survey Design with a Focus on Natural 1:00 pm–5:00 pm Resources Creating More Effective Graphs The ASA, Section on Statistics and the Environment The ASA, Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Statistical Education Instructor(s): Anthony R. Olsen, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Instructor(s): Naomi B. Robbins, NBR Donald L. Stevens, Jr., Oregon State University CE_22C CC-304 CE_15C CC-304 1:00 pm–5:00 pm 8:00 am–12:00 pm Optimal Categorization of a Continuous Predictor Analysis of Multivariate Failure Time Data The ASA, Biopharmaceutical Section The ASA, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Instructor(s): Madhu Mazumdar, Weill Medical College of Cornell Instructor(s): Danyu Lin, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill University; Heejung Bang, Cornell University

34 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Roundtables with Coffee 82 CC-4C-1

7:00 am–8:15 am Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Monday Sciences Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences 77 CC-4C-1 Organizer(s): Patrick Tarwater, Th e University of Texas Health Science Section on Statistical Consulting Roundtable Center at Houston with Coffee (fee event) ML06 Online-Based Approaches to Statistical Education—❖ John Section on Statistical Consulting McGready, Th e Johns Hopkins University Organizer(s): Wendy Tseng, Procter & Gamble ML01 Effective Collaboration via Concise Statistical Graphics—❖ Th omas G. Filloon, Procter & Gamble Special Presentation 8:30 am–10:20 am

78 CC-4C-1 83 CC-400 Section on Statistical Education Roundtable with ● ✪ Introductory Overview Lectures: Statistical Coffee (fee event) Consulting—Other Section on Statistical Education The ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, Section on Statistical Consulting, Section Organizer(s): Patti Collings, Brigham Young University on Statistical Education ML02 Using Japanese Lesson Study in Teaching Statistics—❖ Organizer(s): Todd Nick, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center Robert DelMas, University of Minnesota; Joan Chair(s): Todd Nick, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center Garfi eld, University of Minnesota PRELIMINARY8:35 am The Business Side of Consulting—❖ Susan J. Devlin, Th e Artemis Group LLC 79 CC-4C-1 9:25 am Creating Effective Encounters: The Heart of Section on Statistics and the EnvironmentPROGRAM ❖ Meeting Global Challenges— Douglas Zahn, Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) 5x3 Associates Section on Statistics and the Environment 10:15 am Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Peter Guttorp, University of Washington ML03 Comparison of Laboratory Methods for the Same Chemi- cal—❖ Estelle Russek-Cohen, U.S. Food and Drug Invited Sessions 8:30 am–10:20 am Administration

80 CC-4C-1 84 CC-614 ✪ Statistical Models for Networks—Invited Section on Statistical Graphics Roundtable with Chance, Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Section on Coffee (fee event) Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statistical Graphics Section on Statistical Graphics Organizer(s): David Banks, Duke University Organizer(s): Simon Urbanek, AT&T Labs-Research Chair(s): Michael Lavine, Duke University ML04 Graphics for Data Mining—❖ Martin Th eus, University 8:35 am Information Processing in Cellular Networks—❖ of Augsburg Ravi Iyengar, Mount Sinai School of Medicine; Avi Ma’ayan, Mount Sinai School of Medicine 81 CC-4C-1 9:00 am Bayesian Solutions to the Degeneracy of Network Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Models—❖ Mark S. Handcock, University of Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) Washington; Martina Morris, University of Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Washington Organizer(s): Winson Taam, Th e Boeing Company 9:25 am Dynamical Analysis of Networks in Neural ML05 Data from Automotive Online Shoppers: Fact, Fiction, or Systems—❖ Emery N. Brown, Massachusetts Somewhere in Between?—❖ Lynn Truss, GM Institute of Technology Research & Development

Seattle 35 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

9:50 am Disc: Andrew Gelman, Columbia University 9:55 am Spanning the Parametric/Nonparametric Divide— ❖ John Holcomb, Jr., Cleveland State University 10:10 am Floor Discussion Monday 10:15 am Floor Discussion 85 CC-213 ● Measurement Error Models—Invited 87 CC-610 ENAR, Biometrics Section, WNAR ● ✪ Forest Fires and Fish Stocks: Statistics on Organizer(s): David Ruppert, Cornell University Long-Term Trends from Lake Sediments and Tree Chair(s): Sally W. Th urston, University of Rochester Medical Center Rings—Invited 8:35 am Semiparametric Methods and the Estimation of SSC, Section on Statistics and the Environment Nutrient Intakes—❖ Raymond J. Carroll, Texas Organizer(s): Rick Routledge, Simon Fraser University A&M University; Arnab Maity, Texas A&M Chair(s): Rick Routledge, Simon Fraser University University; Yanyuan Ma, Texas A&M University 8:35 am Patterns of Biological Productivity in Saanich 9:00 am A Latent Variable Model for Measurement Error Inlet—❖ Frank Whitney, Institute of Ocean Correction Using Replicate Data—❖ Sohee Park, Sciences; Ann Gargett, Institute of Ocean National Cancer Center, Korea; Louise Ryan, Sciences; Melissa McQuoid, Institute of Ocean Harvard School of Public Health; David Ruppert, Sciences Cornell University; John Meeker, University of 9:05 am Inference of Past Environmental Changes from Michigan; Russ Hauser, Harvard School of Public Fossil Midges—❖ Ian Walker, Th e University of Health British Columbia 9:25 am Measurement Error in PopulationPRELIMINARY Dynamics 9:35 am Forest Fires in Space and Time: Comparing Long Models—❖ John Staudenmayer, University of Records of Forest Fires To Understand Their Massachusetts; John Buonaccorsi, University of Climatic Controls—❖ Dan Gavin, University Massachusetts PROGRAMof Vermont; Kenneth Lertzman, Simon Fraser 9:50 am Generalized Measurement Error Models and University; Feng S. Hu, University of Illinois Bias Reduction—❖ Leonard A. Stefanski, North 10:05 am Floor Discussion Carolina State University 10:15 am Floor Discussion 88 CC-201 ● ✪ Mining and Exploring Clinical Trials Data: 86 CC-608 Why, What, and How?—Invited ● Directions for the Second Statistics Course— Biopharmaceutical Section, Committee on Applied Statisticians, Section on Invited Statistical Consulting, ENAR, Section on Statistical Graphics Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Organizer(s): Mani Lakshminarayanan, Pfi zer Inc. Sciences Chair(s): Mani Lakshminarayanan, Pfi zer Inc. Organizer(s): Robert Dobrow, Carleton College 8:35 am Secondary Analysis of Clinical Trials and Claims Chair(s): Rosemary Roberts, Bowdoin College Data for Risk Minimization and Outcomes 8:35 am What Should Be the Second Statistics Course?— Evaluation—❖ Michael O’Connell, Insightful ❖ Karla V. Ballman, Mayo Clinic College of Corporation Medicine 9:00 am Data Mining Trees: Mining Clinical Trials Data—❖ 8:55 am Methods of Data Analysis: a Second Course in Javier Cabrera, Rutgers University Statistics at Oregon State University—❖ Fred 9:25 am Logistic Regression on Autopilot—❖ Trevor Ramsey, Oregon State University Hastie, Stanford University 9:15 am Second Statistics Course at a Liberal Arts 9:50 am Disc: Ana Szarfman, U.S. Food and Drug College—❖ Michael Kahn, Wheaton College Administration 9:35 am Risky Business: a Second Statistics Course at 10:10 am Floor Discussion Business Schools—❖ Norean R. Sharpe, Babson College; Richard Cleary, Bentley College

36 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

89 CC-602 9:35 am Degradation-Based Models for Analyzing ● ✪ Repairable Systems—❖ Vijay Nair, University of Statistics and the Millennium Development Monday Goals—Invited Michigan; Anupap Somboonsavatdee, University Section on Government Statistics of Michigan; Ananda Sen, University of Michigan Organizer(s): Jana L. Asher, American Association for the Advancement 10:05 am Floor Discussion of Science Chair(s): Susan Hinkins, NORC 92 CC-205 8:35 am The Role of Monitoring and Evaluation in Recent Advances in Design and Analysis of Development Programs—❖ Paul Wassenich, Vaccine Studies—Invited Inter-American Development Bank Biometrics Section, ENAR, WNAR 9:00 am Statisticians and the Millennium Development Organizer(s): M. Elizabeth Halloran, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Goals—❖ Paul Fields, Brigham Young University Center 9:25 am A Role for Experimental Evaluation in Efforts Chair(s): M. Elizabeth Halloran, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research To Achieve Millennium Development Goals—❖ Center David J. Fitch, Universidad del Valle de Guatemala 8:35 am On Estimation of Vaccine Effi cacy Using Validation 9:50 am Disc: Fritz J. Scheuren, NORC Samples with Selection Bias—❖ Michael Daniels, 10:10 am Floor Discussion University of Florida; Daniel Scharfstein, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; M. Elizabeth Halloran, Fred Hutchinson Cancer 90 PRELIMINARYCC-4C-4 Research Center; Haitao Chu, Johns Hopkins Semisupervised Learning—Invited Bloomberg School of Public Health IMS, Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 9:00 am Accounting for Variability in Sample Size Organizer(s): Yoonkyung Lee, Th e Ohio State UniversityPROGRAMEstimation with Application to a Malaria Vaccine Chair(s): Yoonkyung Lee, Th e Ohio State University Phase 2 Trial—❖ Michael P. Fay, National Institute 8:35 am Semisupervised Learning: an Overview—❖ of Allergy and Infectious Diseases; M. Elizabeth Xiaojin Zhu, University of Wisconsin-Madison Halloran, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Dean A. Follmann, National Institute of 9:05 am Statistical and Geometric Principles of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Semisupervised Learning—❖ Mikhail Belkin, Th e Ohio State University 9:25 am Statistical Methods for Assessing HIV Vaccine Effi cacy in Repeated Low-Dose Challenge 9:35 am Variable Selection for Semisupervised Learning— Experiments—❖ Michael G. Hudgens, Th e ❖ Elizaveta Levina, University of Michigan; Ji University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Zhu, University of Michigan Peter Gilbert, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research 10:05 am Floor Discussion Center/University of Washington 9:50 am Disc: Th omas A. Louis, Th e Johns Hopkins 91 CC-615 University ● ✪ Some Current Issues in Industrial Statistics— 10:10 am Floor Discussion Invited Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences 93 CC-619 Organizer(s): Luis A. Escobar, Louisiana State University ● ✪ Statistical and Computational Issues in Chair(s): Luis A. Escobar, Louisiana State University Climate Research—Invited 8:35 am Use of Computer Simulation To Plan Complicated Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Physical and Engineering Industrial Experiments—❖ William Q. Meeker, Jr., Sciences, Section on Statistical Graphics Iowa State University Organizer(s): Donald B. Percival, University of Washington 9:05 am Forecasting Warranty Claims—Jerald F. Lawless, Chair(s): Donald B. Percival, University of Washington ❖ University of Waterloo; Marc Fredette, HEC 8:35 am Statistical Analysis of Spatial Patterns of Climate Montréal Variability—❖ J. Michael Wallace, University of

Seattle 37 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Washington Trials—❖ Sarah Kogut, W.L. Gore & Associates, ❖ Inc. 9:00 am Interpreting Recent Climate Change— Monday Francis W. Zwiers, Canadian Centre for Climate 9:15 am To Pair or Not To Pair? Noninferiority Test for the Modelling and Analysis Difference in Correlated Binary Outcomes—❖ 9:25 am Statistical Problems in Climate Change Dong Li, Guidant Corporation; David Breiter, and Geophysical Fluids—❖ Carl Wunsch, Guidant Corporation; Shu Han, Guidant Massachusetts Institute of Technology Corporation; Jia Wang, Guidant Corporation 9:50 am Disc: Richard L. Smith, Th e University of North 9:35 am Covariate-Adjusted Noninferiority Tests with Carolina at Chapel Hill Binary Endpoints—❖ Lei Peng, Guidant 10:10 am Floor Discussion Corporation 9:55 am Noninferiority Testing with a Variable Margin—❖ Zhiwei Zhang, U.S. Food and Drug 94 CC-612 Administration ● ✪ SAMSI Session on Statistical Issues in 10:15 am Floor Discussion Metabolomics—Invited Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute, Biometrics Section Organizer(s): James Berger, SAMSI; David Banks, Duke University 96 CC-609 ● ✪ Chair(s): James Berger, SAMSI Modeling and Testing of Economic Time 8:35 am Measurement Issues in Metabolomics Data—❖ Series—Topic-Contributed Xiaodong Lin, University of Cincinnati Business and Economics Statistics Section PRELIMINARYOrganizer(s): Stuart Scott, Bureau of Labor Statistics 9:00 am Exploring a Complex Metabolomics Dataset—❖ Susan J. Simmons, Th e University of North Chair(s): Stuart Scott, Bureau of Labor Statistics Carolina at Wilmington; XiaodongPROGRAM Lin, University 8:35 am Cost-of-Living Index Based on an Estimated of Cincinnati Variable Elasticity of Substitution Utility ❖ 9:25 am Pathway-Based Analysis of Metabolic Profi les—❖ Function— Peter Zadrozny, Bureau of Labor Jacqueline Hughes-Oliver, North Carolina State Statistics University 8:55 am Stochastic Volatility and Cointegration in Statistics Canada’s Retail Trade Series—❖ 9:50 am Disc: Cliff ord Spiegelman, Texas A&M University Th ierno A. Balde, Statistics Canada; Ioana 10:10 am Floor Discussion Schiopu-Kratina, Statistics Canada; Benoit Quenneville, Statistics Canada 9:15 am Model-Based Formulas for Growth Rates and Topic-Contributed Sessions Their Standard Errors—❖ Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. 8:30 am–10:20 am Census Bureau 9:35 am Measuring Trend Growth Rates with an 95 CC-203 Application to Consumer Prices—❖ Peter Kenny, ● ✪ Design and Analysis in Medical Devices— PBK Research Topic-Contributed 9:55 am Adjustment of Data from Period Reporters in ❖ Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Estimates of Monthly Retail Trade— Donald Martin, U.S. Census Bureau; David Findley, U.S. Organizer(s): Zhen Huang, Duke Clinical Research Institute; Greg Campbell, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Census Bureau Chair(s): Shein-Chung Chow, Duke University 10:15 am Floor Discussion 8:35 am Hypothesis Testing in Clinical Study with Mixed Patient Population—❖ Yonghong Gao, U.S. Food 97 CC-214 and Drug Administration; Chul H. Ahn, U.S. Food ● ✪ Statistical Approaches to Assess Ethnic and Drug Administration Differences: Impact on Drug Development— 8:55 am Placebo Control Group in Medical Device Clinical Topic-Contributed

38 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

ENAR Ohio State University; Yonggang Yao, Th e Ohio Organizer(s): Yoko Tanaka, Eli Lilly and Company State University; Tailen Hsing, Th e Ohio State Monday Chair(s): Ji Zhang, sanofi -aventis University 8:35 am Design and Analysis for Showing the Similarity of 9:35 am Monitoring Safety of Food Supply by Analyzing Drug Effi cacy between Two Clinical Studies—❖ Consumer Complaints—❖ Artur Dubrawski, Yoshiharu Horie, Nippon Boehringer Ingelheim Carnegie Mellon University; Maheshkumar Co., Ltd.; Hajime Uno, Kitasato University; Sabhnani, Carnegie Mellon University; Andrew Masahiro Takeuchi, Kitasato University Moore, Carnegie Mellon University 8:55 am Evaluation of Treatment-Country Interaction in 9:55 am Logistic Joinpoint Models with Applications in Global Clinical Trials—❖ Hajime Uno, Kitasato Criminal Processes—❖ Ryan Gill, University of University; Yoshiharu Horie, Nippon Boehringer Louisville Ingelheim Co., Ltd.; Masahiro Takeuchi, Kitasato 10:15 am Floor Discussion University 9:15 am Minority Differences in Cancer Survival on ❖ 99 CC-2A Cooperative Group Clinical Trials— Beow Yeap, ● Competing Risk Events in Cancer Harvard Medical School/Massachusetts General Hospital; Marvin Zelen, Harvard School of Public Epidemiology—Topic-Contributed Health Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR Organizer(s): Mousumi Banerjee, University of Michigan 9:35 am Delivering Robust Outcomes from Multiregional Clinical Trials—❖ Yoko Tanaka, Eli Lilly and Chair(s): Jaya M. Satagopan, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center Company PRELIMINARY8:35 am Competing Risks Models in the Monogenic Cancer ❖ 9:55 am Statistical and Related Issues of Global Susceptibility Syndromes— Philip S. Rosenberg, Drug Development: Experience in the PMDA National Cancer Institute ❖ PROGRAM8:55 am Analyzing Survival Data with Competing Risks— Consultation Meetings— Yuki Ando, Pharmaceuticals and Medical Devices Agency ❖ Leah Ben-Porat, Memorial Sloan-Kettering 10:15 am Floor Discussion Cancer Center; Jaya M. Satagopan, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center 9:15 am Bayesian Competing Risks Analysis of Cancer 98 CC-618 Survival Data from the SEER Program—❖ Sanjib ✪ Prediction and Detection in Defense and Basu, Northern Illinois University; Ram Tiwari, Homeland Security Applications—Topic- National Institutes of Health Contributed 9:35 am Competing Risks Analysis in Breast Cancer with Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Section on Physical Missing Cause of Death—❖ Mousumi Banerjee, and Engineering Sciences University of Michigan; Ananda Sen, University of Organizer(s): Michael Porter, University of Virginia Michigan Chair(s): Michael Porter, University of Virginia 9:55 am Development of Cohort Life Tables for ‘Other 8:35 am Geospatial Modeling in an Information Theoretic Causes’ for Use in Simulation Modeling—❖ Framework as Applied to Forecasting of Insurgent Marjorie Rosenberg, University of Wisconsin- Activity—❖ Jason Dalton, Spatial Data Analytics Madison Corporation 10:15 am Floor Discussion 8:55 am Signal Detection in Radiation Portal Monitoring Data—❖ Tom Burr, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Jim Gattiker, Los Alamos National 100 CC-3B ● Laboratory; George Tompkins, Los Alamos Bayesian Models in Finance—Topic- National Laboratory Contributed 9:15 am Cokriging with Generalized Cross-Covariances for Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Detecting Radioactivity—❖ Chunfeng Huang, Organizer(s): Refi k Soyer, Th e George Washington University Th e Ohio State University; Noel Cressie, Th e Chair(s): Alaattin Erkanli, Duke University Medical Center

Seattle 39 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

8:35 am Bayesian Forecasting of Prepayment Rates for 8:30 am–10:20 am Individual Pools of Mortgages—❖ Ivilina Popova, Monday Seattle University; Elmira Popova, Th e University of Texas at Austin; Edward I. George, University of 102 CC-607 Pennsylvania ● Finite Population Correction Factors—Topic- 8:55 am Bayesian Inference for Derivative Prices—❖ Contributed Jonathan Stroud, University of Pennsylvania; Section on Survey Research Methods Nicholas Polson, Th e University of Chicago Organizer(s): Gary Shapiro, Westat 9:15 am Reliability and Survival in Financial Risk—❖ Chair(s): Gary Shapiro, Westat Nozer Singpurwalla, Th e George Washington Panelists: ❖ Wayne Fuller, Iowa State University University ❖ Keith Rust, Westat/University of Maryland 9:35 am A Computational Approach to Bayesian ❖ Phillip S. Kott, National Agricultural Statistics ❖ Portfolio Selection— Refi k Soyer, Th e George Service Washington University ❖ Barry I. Graubard, National Cancer Institute 9:55 am Floor Discussion ❖ S. Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University 101 CC-3A 10:15 am Floor Discussion Inference for Dynamic Graphical Models—Topic- Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science PRELIMINARYRegular Contributed Sessions Organizer(s): Makram Talih, City University of New York-Hunter College 8:30 am–10:20 am Chair(s): Chris Volinsky, AT&T Labs-Research PROGRAM 8:35 am Stochastic ARMA Models—❖ Bo Th iesson, 103 CC-206 Microsoft Research; Jesper Lind, Microsoft ● Advances in Variable Selection—Contributed Research; David M. Chickering, Microsoft Biometrics Section Research; David Heckerman, Microsoft Research; Chair(s): Qin Yu, University of Rochester Christopher Meek, Microsoft Research 8:35 am Bayesian Variable Selection in Cox Models—❖ 8:55 am Strategies for Online Inference with Dynamic Naijun Sha, Th e University of Texas at El Paso; Graphs—❖ Makram Talih, City University of New Mahlet G. Tadesse, University of Pennsylvania; York-Hunter College Marina Vannucci, Texas A&M University 9:15 am Network-Based Marketing—❖ Shawndra Hill, 8:50 am FSR Methods in the Cox Proportional Hazards New York University; Chris Volinsky, AT&T Labs- Model—❖ Yun Chen, North Carolina State Research; Foster Provost, New York University University; Dennis A. Boos, North Carolina State 9:35 am Bayesian Analysis of Longitudinal Binary Data University; Leonard A. Stefanski, North Carolina Using Markov Regression Models with Skewed State University Links—Seongho Song, University of Cincinnati; 9:05 am Variable Selection in Linear Mixed Models for ❖ Younshik Chung, Pusan National University; Longitudinal Data—❖ Lan Lan, North Carolina Dipak Dey, University of Connecticut; Alaattin State University; Daowen Zhang, sanofi -aventis; Erkanli, Duke University Medical Center Hao Zhang, North Carolina State University 9:55 am Disc: Kevin Murphy, Th e University of British 9:20 am Variable Selection with Penalized GEE—❖ John Columbia Dziak, Penn State 10:15 am Floor Discussion 9:35 am Adaptive-LASSO for Cox’s Proportional Hazards Model—❖ Wenbin Lu, North Carolina State University; Hao Zhang, North Carolina State Topic-Contributed Panels University 9:50 am The LASSO Method for Variable Selection for

40 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Right-Censored Data—❖ Lili Yu, Th e Ohio State 8:35 am Is There Evidence of Racial Bias for the Federal University; Dennis K. Pearl, Th e Ohio State Death Sentence?—❖ Matthias Schonlau, RAND Monday University Corporation 10:05 am Floor Discussion 8:50 am A Measure of Intergroup Discrimination Other Than the Difference between Median Wage Incomes—❖ John Angle, Economic Research 104 CC-211 Service ● Proteomics—Contributed 9:05 am Missing Value Imputation and Weights Adjustment Biometrics Section, ENAR for Binary Variables—❖ Mingue Park, University Chair(s): Jeanette E. Eckel-Passow, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine of Nebraska-Lincoln; David Johnson, University of 8:35 am Design and Analysis of Experiments in Nebraska-Lincoln ❖ Proteomics— John Aleong, University of 9:20 am The Analysis of Seasonal Variations in Vital Vermont Statistics in Croatia: Two Approaches—❖ Ante 8:50 am Logistic and Probit Regression Modelling of Rozga, University of Split; Zeljko Banovic, T-Com Proteomic Mass Spectra in a Case Control Study Croatia ❖ on Diagnosis for Colon Cancer. — Bart Mertens, 9:35 am Mixtures of Regressions—❖ Derek Young, Penn Leiden University Medical Center State 9:05 am Preprocessing Method and Nested Cross- 9:50 am Joint Modeling of Quality of Life and Disease Validation Classifi cation of Lung Cancer Using Progression—❖ Rebecca Hubbard, University ❖ Mass Spectrometry Proteomics— Jingjing Ye, of Washington; Lurdes Y. T. Inoue, University of University of California,PRELIMINARY Davis Washington 9:20 am Statistical Approaches to Discovery of Biomarkers 10:05 am Detecting Bias in Jury Selection—❖ Bruce ❖ for Early Detection of Cancer Using LC-MS/MS— Barrett, Th e University of Alabama Xiaochun Li, Dana-Farber CancerPROGRAM Institute; Meredith A. Goldwasser, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute 106 CC-604 9:35 am Statistical Methods for Protein Interactions ● Sample Survey Quality II—Contributed Predictions—❖ Inyoung Kim, Yale University; Section on Survey Research Methods Yin Liu, Yale University; Hongyu Zhao, Yale Chair(s): Rachel Harter, NORC University 8:35 am Analysis of Inconsistency in Coverage Estimates 9:50 am Multi-Dimensional NMR Spectra Identifi cation for Children in the 2000 Census—❖ Andrew for Protein Structure Determination—❖ Nicoleta Keller, U.S. Census Bureau Serban, Georgia Institute of Technology 8:50 am Diffi culties and Solutions for Surveying Refugees: 10:05 am Inferring Protein Associations Using Protein Bosnian Refugees in St. Louis—❖ Kevin Pull-Down Assays—❖ Julia Sharp, Montana McIntyre, Saint Louis University; Hisako Matsuo, State University; Kevin K. Anderson, Pacifi c Saint Louis University; Terry Tomazic, Saint Louis Northwest National Laboratory; Don S. Daly, University Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory; Deanna L. 9:05 am Residential Address Lists vs. Traditional Listing: Auberry, Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory; Enumerating Households and Group Quarters—❖ John Borkowski, Montana State University; Sylvia Dohrmann, Westat; Daifeng Han, Westat; William R. Cannon, Pacifi c Northwest National Leyla Mohadjer, Westat Laboratory 9:20 am Employment in Nonprofi t Entities: Coverage, Bias, and Measurement Errors in QCEW and Public IRS 105 CC-603 Information, 1999–2003—❖ Martin David, Urban Salient Variables for Select Research Institute Populations—Contributed 9:35 am Use of Administrative Data To Explore Effect of Social Statistics Section Establishment Nonresponse Adjustment on the ❖ Chair(s): Jennifer Madans, National Center for Health Statistics National Compensation Survey Estimates—

Seattle 41 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Chester Ponikowski, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Contributed Erin E. McNulty, Bureau of Labor Statistics

Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR Monday 9:50 am Does a Final Coverage Check Reduce Census Chair(s): Sanjay Shete, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center ❖ Coverage Errors?— Elizabeth Martin, U.S. 8:35 am Case-Control Studies of Haplotype Environment Census Bureau; Don Dillman, Washington State Interactions with Genetic Misclassifi cation—❖ University Christine Spinka, University of Missouri- 10:05 am Nonresponse Bias Analysis in the 2003 National Columbia; Raymond J. Carroll, Texas A&M Survey of Recent College Graduates—❖ Aref University; Nilanjan Chatterjee, National Cancer Dajani, U.S. Census Bureau; Jerry J. Maples, U.S. Institute Census Bureau ; Ronald S. Fecso, National Science 8:50 am Strategy for Analyzing Multifactorial Foundation Epidemiological Data Involving Host, Genetic, and Environmental Factors—❖ John Molitor, 107 CC-606 University of Southern California ● Unit Nonresponse in Surveys II—Contributed 9:05 am A Tree-Based Regression Model for Exploring Section on Survey Research Methods Complex Gene-Gene and Gene-Environment ❖ Chair(s): Th anh LÍ, Westat Interactions— Jinbo Chen, University of Pennsylvania; Terry M. Th erneau, Mayo Clinic 8:35 am Modeling the Relationship between Cell Phone College of Medicine Usage and RDD Contact Effort—❖ Joseph Sakshaug, University of Michigan 9:20 am Genetic Interaction Networks in Association Studies of Complex Diseases—❖ Momiao Xiong, 8:50 am Web versus Email DataPRELIMINARY Collection: Experience in Th e University of Texas Health Science Center at the Current Employment Statistics Program—❖ Houston Richard Rosen, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Antonio Gomes, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Louis 9:35 am Estimation of Gene by Exposure Interactions in PROGRAM ❖ Harrell, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Jason Chute, Case-Parent Triad Studies— Tracy Bergemann, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Hong Yu, Bureau of University of Minnesota Labor Statistics 9:50 am Linkage Analysis of Affected Sib Pairs Allowing 9:05 am Effects of Incentives in the U.S. Consumer for Parent-of-Origin Effects: Multilocus Trait ❖ Expenditures Quarterly Survey—❖ David Models— Chih-Chieh Wu, M. D. Anderson McGrath, BAE Systems/BLS Cancer Center; Sanjay Shete, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center 9:20 am Indirect Monetary Incentives with a Complex Agricultural Establishment Survey—❖ Daniel 10:05 am Testing for Genomic Imprinting Using Relative ❖ Beckler, National Agricultural Statistics Service; Pairs— Wei Guo, Th e University of Hong Kong; Kathleen Ott, National Agricultural Statistics Wing K. Fung, Th e University of Hong Kong Service 9:35 am A Study of Nonrespondents in the Canadian 109 CC-611 Vehicle Survey—❖ Martin Beaulieu, Statistics ● Nonstandard Regression and Correlation Canada; Francois Gagnon, Statistics Canada Problems with Environmental Data—Contributed 9:50 am The Impact of Questionnaire Length on Economic Section on Statistics and the Environment, WNAR Census Return Rates—❖ Diane K. Willimack, U.S. Chair(s): Bahman Shafi i, University of Idaho Census Bureau 8:35 am Over-Estimation of Trend Caused by Negative 10:05 am Respondents Reasons for Participation in Binomial Regression Fit to Zero-Infl ated Count Telephone Surveys—❖ Nadra Garas, American Data—❖ Mihoko Minami, Th e Institute of University; Johnny Blair, Abt Associates Inc. Statistical Mathematics 8:50 am Estimating Correlation with Multiply Censored 108 CC-2B Data—❖ Elizabeth Newton, Silent Spring ● ✪ Genetic Interactions/Genetic Imprinting— Institute; Ruthann Rudel, Silent Spring Institute 9:05 am Bayesian Modeling for Ordinal Substrate Size

42 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Using EPA Stream Data—❖ Megan Dailey Higgs, University of California, Los Angeles Colorado State University; Jennifer A. Hoeting, 9:35 am Robust Estimation for Periodic Autoregressive Monday Colorado State University; Brian Bledsoe, Time Series—❖ Qin Shao, Th e University of Colorado State University Toledo 9:20 am Empirical Evaluation of Suffi cient Similarity in 9:50 am Functional Clustering of Water Pressure Data—❖ Dose-Responsiveness for Environmental Risk Snehalata Huzurbazar, University of Wyoming ❖ Assessment of Chemical Mixtures— LeAnna 10:05 am Circulant Embedded Extended CAR Models for G. Stork, Monsanto Company; Chris Gennings, Large Spatial Data—❖ Ernst Linder, University of Virginia Commonwealth University; W. Hans New Hampshire Carter, Jr., Virginia Commonwealth University; Linda Teuschler, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Edward W. Carney, Th e Dow Chemical 111 CC-210 Company Prediction and Classifi cation in Genetics and 9:35 am Developing a Worldwide Botanical Database: Analysis of Phylogenetic Trees—Contributed Factors That Predict the Overlap of Collectors at Biometrics Section, ENAR Herbaria—❖ Cathy Furlong, FCPS/American Chair(s): Song Wu, University of Florida University 8:35 am Boosting Nearest Shrunken Centroid Classifi er 9:50 am Semiparametric Composite Likelihood Inference for Microarray Data—❖ Baolin Wu, University of in Spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Models—❖ Minnesota Tatiyana Apanasovich, Cornell University 8:50 am Robust-Affected Sib Pair Linkage Analysis 10:05 am Search for MultivariatePRELIMINARY Structure for EMAP Fish for a Stratifi ed Sample—❖ Guan Xing, Case Data Using Partition Modeling Approach—❖ Western Reserve University; Tao Wang, Case Feng Gao, Virginia Tech; Eric P. Smith, Virginia Western Reserve University; Robert C. Elston, Polytechnic Institute and State University;PROGRAM Case Western Reserve University; J. S. Rao, Case Samantha C. Prins, Virginia Tech Western Reserve University 9:05 am Application of Bayesian Logistic Regression on 110 CC-613 Gene Expression Prediction—❖ Yuan Yuan, ● Statistical Applications in Hydrology and Harvard University; Lei Guo, Harvard University; Geosciences—Contributed Lei Shen, GlaxoSmithKline; Jun Liu, Harvard University Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Physical and Engineer- ing Sciences, WNAR 9:20 am Statistical Learning for Analyzing Functional ❖ Chair(s): Bruce A. Craig, Purdue University Genomic Data— Axel Benner, German Cancer Research Center; Carina Ittrich, German Cancer 8:35 am Nonparametric Transfer Function Models for Research Center Hydrological Forecasting—❖ Heung Wong, Th e Hong Kong Polytechnic University 9:35 am Nonnegative Matrix Factorization: a New Paradigm for Large-Scale Biological Data 8:50 am Testing Outliers Using a Mixture Population when Analysis—❖ Karthik Devarajan, Fox Chase some data are missing and training data are Cancer Center unlabeled—❖ Aruna Saram, Sam Houston State University; Ferry Butar Butar, Sam Houston State 9:50 am A Two-Stage Peeling Algorithm and Its ❖ University Applications to Phylogeny— Arindam RoyChoudhury, University of Washington; Joseph 9:05 am State-Space Models for Within-Stream Network Felsenstein, University of Washington; Elizabeth Dependence—❖ William Coar, Colorado State A. Th ompson, University of Washington University; F. Jay Breidt, Colorado State University 10:05 am Phylogeography of Modern Africa Gorillas 9:20 am Estimation of Space-Time Branching Process Using MCMC—❖ Joungyoun Kim, University of Models in Seismology Using an EM-Type Wisconsin-Madison Algorithm—❖ Alejandro Veen, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center; Frederic P. Schoenberg,

Seattle 43 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

112 CC-204 8:50 am Analysis of Medical Diagnostic Test Data with ● a Test Ignorance Region—❖ Andrzej Kosinski, Bayesian Methods in Biopharmaceuticals— Monday Contributed Duke University Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, Section on Bayesian Statisti- 9:05 am Skill Curves: a New Method for Evaluating cal Science, ENAR Diagnostic Tests—Russell Zaretzki, University of Chair(s): Priya Kulkarni, Merck Research Laboratories Tennessee; ❖ William M. Briggs, Weill Medical 8:35 am Bayesian Adaptive Noninferiority Assessment College of Cornell University with Safety Measure—❖ Melissa Spann, Eli 9:20 am Incorporation of Metabolic Insight into Analysis Lilly and Company; Stacy Lindborg, Eli Lilly and of High-Dimensional Structural Lipid Datasets—❖ Company; John W. Seaman, Baylor University Michelle Wiest, Lipomics Technologies, Inc.; 8:50 am Bayesian Sequential Analysis for Survival Data— UyenTh ao Nguyen, Lipomics Technologies, Inc.; ❖ Lili Zhao, Th e University of Iowa; George G. Aldo Bernasconi, Lipomics Technologies, Inc. Woodworth, Th e University of Iowa 9:35 am Challenges for Statisticians in Cervical Cancer ❖ 9:05 am Bayesian Approach for Predicting the Margin of Screening Research— Jong Soo Lee, M. D. Safety in Nonclinical Safety Assessment Studies: Anderson Cancer Center a Case Study—❖ Gheorghe Doros, ; Viencent 9:50 am Quantitative Impact of Length-Biased Sampling in Reynolds, Eli Lilly and Company; Eyas Aby- Cancer Screening—❖ Sonya Heltshe, University Raddad, Eli Lilly and Company of Colorado at Denver and Health Sciences 9:20 am Bayesian and Composite Designs for Center; Karen Kafadar, University of Colorado Drug Combination Studies—❖ Yuehui 10:05 am Bayesian Inference for the Lead Time in Periodic PRELIMINARYCancer Screening—❖ Wu, GlaxoSmithKline; Vladimir Dragalin, Dongfeng Wu, Mississippi GlaxoSmithKline; Vlareii Fedorov, State University; Gary L. Rosner, M. D. Anderson GlaxoSmithKline Cancer Center; Lyle D. Broemeling, M. D. PROGRAMAnderson Cancer Center 9:35 am A Bayesian Simulation-Based Approach in Investigating Physiologically-Based Drug-Drug Interaction Prediction—❖ Zhiping Wang, Indiana 114 CC-620 University Purdue University Indianapolis; Lang Estimation—Contributed Li, Indiana University; Stephen Hall, Indiana Section on Statistical Computing University Chair(s): Andrzej Galecki, University of Michigan 9:50 am Bayesian Adaptive Dose Selection—Melissa 8:35 am The Gentle Side of Kalman Filtering—❖ Yolanda Spann, Eli Lilly and Company; ❖ David Manner, Munoz Maldonado, Th e University of Texas Eli Lilly and Company; John W. Seaman, Baylor School of Public Health University 8:50 am On Some Aspects of Estimation of a Common 10:05 am Predicting Phase III Trial—❖ Madhuja Mallick, Mean of Two Independent Normal Populations— Merck Research Laboratories; Bret Musser, Merck ❖ Pranab Mitra, University of Maryland Research Laboratories Baltimore County 9:05 am A Comparison Study of Procedures for Estimating 113 CC-212 the Tail Index of Heavy-Tailed Distributions—❖ ● Diagnostic Tests and Cancer Screening— Bruno C. de Sousa, Universidade do Minho; Contributed George Michailidis, University of Michigan Biometrics Section, Section on Health Policy Statistics, ENAR 9:20 am Estimation of the Parameter of the Skewed Chair(s): John M. Williamson, Centers for Disease Control and Double Exponential Distributions—❖ Keshav Prevention Jagannathan, Coastal Carolina University 8:35 am Bootstrap Confi dence Intervals for the Area under 9:35 am A Note on the Estimation of Extreme Value the ROC Curve—❖ Gengsheng Qin, Georgia Distributions Using Maximum Product of State University; Lejla Hotilovac, Georgia State Spacings—❖ Tony Siu Tung Wong, Th e University University of Hong Kong; Wai K. Li, Th e

44 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

University of Hong Kong Wang, Penn State; Jun Xie, Purdue University; Bruce A. Craig, Purdue University 9:50 am Inference on the Mean Parameter of the Skewed Monday Distribution—❖ Toshinari Kamakura, Chuo 9:05 am Estimating the Variation in S Phase Duration University Using Branching Processes—❖ Sara Larsson, 10:05 am Comparing Ratio Estimators Based on Systematic 9:20 am Determination of Differentially Expressed Samples—❖ Hasan Hamdan, James Madison Features in a Combined LC-MS and LC-MS/MS University Proteomics Work Flow—❖ Olga Vitek, Institute for Systems Biology; Andrew Garbutt, Institute for Systems Biology; Ruedi Aebersold, Institute for 115 CC-605 Molecular Systems Biology ● Statistical Methods and Applications— Contributed 9:35 am Estimation of Variance in Two-Way Semilinear Models—❖ Weihua Tang, Rutgers University; Jian General Methodology Huang, Th e University of Iowa; Cun-Hui Zhang, Chair(s): Lori Dodd, National Cancer Institute Rutgers University ❖ 8:35 am On the Stability of Statistical Tests— Daniele 9:50 am Treating Expression Levels of Different Genes as De Martini, Universit‡ del Piemonte Orientale a Sample: Does It Do a Good Job?—❖ Andrei 8:50 am A Test of Independence in Two-Way Contingency Yakovlev, University of Rochester; Lev Klebanov, Tables Based on Maximal Correlation—❖ Deniz Charles University Yenigun, Bowling Green State University; Gabor 10:05 am Model-Based Analysis of Tiling-Arrays for Szekely, Bowling Green State University ChIP-chip—❖ William Evan Johnson, Harvard 9:05 am Multiple Comparison Procedures—PRELIMINARY❖ Yan Li, Th e University; Wei Li, Dana Farber Cancer Institute; Pennsylvania State University Cliff ord Meyer, Dana Farber Cancer Institute; X. 9:20 am Using Permutation Tests To Study Infant Handling Shirley Liu, Dana Farber Cancer Institute ❖ PROGRAM by Female Baboons— Th omas Moore, Grinnell College; Vicki Bentley-Condit, Grinnell College 117 CC-601 9:35 am Selection Bias Due to Immigration in Frames—Contributed ❖ Pharmacoepidemiologic Studies— Henrik Section on Government Statistics Stovring, University of Southern Denmark Chair(s): Leonard Gaines, Empire State Development 9:50 am Playing Fast and Loose with Time and Space: 8:35 am A Confi dence Set for Estimates from Data Statistics in Forensic Science—❖ Max Houck, Collected Using Double Sampling—❖ Zhanyun West Virginia University Zhao, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; John 10:05 am Identifying and Interpreting Regional Hall, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Convergence Clusters across Europe: Asymptotic 8:50 am Using Sensitivity Analysis To Manage Uncertain versus Boostrapped Inference—❖ Luisa Corrado, Matching in Multiple Systems Estimation—❖ University of Cambridge; Melvyn Weeks, Patrick Ball, Human Rights Data Analysis Group; University of Cambridge Scott Weikart, Human Rights Data Analysis Group; Rapheal Kaplan, Human Rights Data 116 CC-401 Analysis Group; Romesh Silva, Human Rights Frontiers in Bioinformatics—Contributed Data Analysis Group; Jeff Klingner, Human Rights IMS, Biometrics Section, ENAR Data Analysis Group Chair(s): Biao Xing, Genentech, Inc. 9:05 am Measuring Employment and Wages in the ❖ 8:35 am Nonparametric Functional Mapping of Aftermath of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita— Quantitative Trait Loci with Incomplete Genotypic Linda Unger, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Richard Data—❖ Jie Yang, University of Florida; George Clayton, Bureau of Labor Statistics Casella, University of Florida 9:20 am How Quickly Do New Construction Addresses ❖ 8:50 am Context-Dependent Models for Discovery of Appear on the Delivery Sequence File?— Tina Transcription Factor Binding Sites—❖ Chuancai Flanagan, ; Cliff ord Loudermilk, U.S. Census

Seattle 45 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Bureau Institute of Child Health & Human Development; Aiyi Liu, National Institute of Child Health & 9:35 am Evaluation of Two Subcategories of the Delivery Monday Sequence File—❖ Robert Colosi, U.S. Census Human Development; Brian W. Whitcomb, Bureau; Aliza Kwiat, U.S. Census Bureau National Institute of Child Health & Human Development; Enrique F. Schisterman, National 9:50 am Identifying and Accounting for Mergers and Institute of Child Health & Human Development Acquisitions in Measuring Employment—❖ Gordon Mikkelson, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Linda Unger, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Doreen 119 CC-617 LeBel, Connecticut Department of Labor ● Mixture Modeling—Contributed 10:05 am Floor Discussion Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Stanley Pounds, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital 118 CC-616 8:35 am Nonparametric Mixture Regression—❖ Alex ● Process Monitoring—Contributed Rojas, Carnegie Mellon University; Christopher Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Physical and Engineering Genovese, Carnegie Mellon University; Larry Sciences Wasserman, Carnegie Mellon University Chair(s): William H. Woodall, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State 8:50 am A New Approach to Modeling the PET Data and University Input Function—❖ Huiping Jiang, Columbia 8:35 am Monitoring in the Presence of Dynamically University Changing Observations—❖ Emmanuel Yashchin, 9:05 am Local linear regression by mixture—❖ Weixin IBM Research PRELIMINARYYao, Penn State 8:50 am Statistical Monitoring of Heteroscedastic 9:20 am A Mixture Model with Dependent Observations Dose-Response Profi les from High-Throughput for the Analysis of CFSE-Labeling Experiments—❖ Screening—❖ James D. Williams,PROGRAM GE Global Ollivier Hyrien, University of Rochester; Martin S. Research; Jeff rey B. Birch, Virginia Polytechnic Zand, University of Rochester Institute and State University; William H. 9:35 am Prevalence Estimation from Multiple Incomplete Woodall, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Lists Using the Rasch Model—❖ Changxuan Mao, University; Nancy Ferry, DuPont Crop Protection University of California, Riverside 9:05 am Profi le Monitoring via Linear Mixed Models—❖ 9:50 am Semiparametric Mixture Approach for the Willis Jensen, W. L. Gore & Associates, Inc.; Measurement Error Problem in the Presence of Jeff rey B. Birch, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and Additional Error-Free Covariate—❖ Byungtae State University; William H. Woodall, Virginia Seo, Penn State; Bruce G. Lindsay, Penn State Polytechnic Institute and State University 10:05 am Nonparametric Mixture Model—❖ Mian Huang, 9:20 am Monitoring of the Process Mean with Double Penn State Sampling EWMA Control Charts—❖ Keunpyo Kim, PRA International; Marion R. Reynolds, Jr., Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Invited Sessions 10:30 am–12:20 pm 9:35 am Multivariate SPC for Batch Processes—Benjamin M. Adams, Th e University of Alabama; ❖ Young Kim, Th e University of Alabama 120 CC-3A ● ✪ 9:50 am Estimation of Process Parameters To Determine Statistical Graphics: Applications in Drug the Optimum Diagnosis Interval for Control Discovery and Clinical Development—Invited of Defective Items—❖ Abhyuday Mandal, Section on Statistical Graphics, Biometrics Section University of Georgia; Tirthankar Dasgupta, Organizer(s): Stephen Kaluzny, Insightful Corporation Georgia Institute of Technology Chair(s): Stephen Kaluzny, Insightful Corporation 10:05 am An Extension of a Change Point Problem—❖ 10:35 am Graphical Analysis of Clinical Data: Exploratory Albert Vexler, National Institute of Child Health and Production Environments—❖ Matthew & Human Development; Chengqing Wu, National Austin, Amgen Inc.

46 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

11:00 am Statistical Graphics: Applications in Drug of Wyoming; Christine M. Anderson-Cook, Discovery and Clinical Development—❖ Los Alamos National Laboratory; Douglas C. Monday C. George Rochester, U.S. Food and Drug Montgomery, Arizona State University Administration; Charles K. Cooper, U.S. Food and 11:05 am Evaluation Criteria for Second-Order Split-Plot Drug Administration; Mat Soukup, U.S. Food and Designs—❖ Peter A. Parker, NASA; Christine Drug Administration; Ana Szarfman, U.S. Food M. Anderson-Cook, Los Alamos National and Drug Administration; Robert T. O’Neill, U.S. Laboratory; Timothy Robinson, University of Food and Drug Administration Wyoming; Li Liang, Duke Clinical Research 11:25 am Statistical Graphics for Effective Scientifi c and Institute Business Decisionmaking throughout Drug 11:35 am Criteria for Designing Experiments: Some Discovery, Development, Postmarketing, and Practical Considerations—❖ Douglas C. ❖ Portfolio Management— Th omas G. Filloon, Montgomery, Arizona State University Procter & Gamble 12:05 pm Floor Discussion 11:50 am Disc: Michael O’Connell, Insightful Corporation 12:10 pm Floor Discussion 123 CC-608 Consistency and Convergence Rates for Bayesian 121 CC-3B Methods—Invited Machine Learning and beyond: a Session in Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Memory of Leo Breiman—Invited Organizer(s): Steven N. MacEachern, Th e Ohio State University Memorial, Section on Statistical Computing,PRELIMINARY Section on Statistical Graphics, Chair(s): Steven N. MacEachern, Th e Ohio State University Section on Nonparametric Statistics 10:35 am On Posterior Consistency in Nonparametric Organizer(s): Elizaveta Levina, University of Michigan; Vijay Nair, Regression Problems—❖ Taeryon Choi, University of Michigan PROGRAMUniversity of Maryland Baltimore County Chair(s): Elizaveta Levina, University of Michigan 11:05 am Rates of Convergence for Posterior 10:35 am Leo’s Many Lives: Probabilist, Statistician, Applied Distributions—❖ Stephen Walker, University of and Theoretical, Machine-Learning Guru and Kent Gadfl y—❖ Peter J. Bickel, University of California, Berkeley 11:35 am Recent Advances in Posterior Convergence Problem—❖ Subhashis Ghosal, North Carolina 11:05 am Predictive Learning via Rule Ensembles—❖ State University Jerome H. Friedman, Stanford University 12:05 pm Floor Discussion 11:35 am Random Forests: Variable Importance and Proximities—❖ Adele Cutler, Utah State University 124 CC-617 12:05 pm Floor Discussion ● ✪ Theory and Analysis of Complex Networks— Invited IMS, Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Section on 122 CC-616 Statistical Graphics ● ✪ Balancing the Multiple Objectives of a Good Organizer(s): Cosma Shalizi, Carnegie Mellon University Design of Experiments—Invited Chair(s): Cosma Shalizi, Carnegie Mellon University Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Physical and Engineering ❖ Sciences 10:35 am Community Detection in Large Networks— Jˆrg Reichardt, University of Bremen Organizer(s): Christine M. Anderson-Cook, Los Alamos National Laboratory 11:00 am Semimetric and Scale-Free Structure in Document ❖ Chair(s): Christine M. Anderson-Cook, Los Alamos National Laboratory Networks— Luis Rocha, Indiana University 10:30 am The Effect of Cost and Other Constraints on 11:25 am Exponential-Family Models of Random Graphs for ❖ Optimal Split-Plot Designs—❖ Alejandro Social Networks— Martina Morris, University Heredia-Langner, Pacifi c Northwest National of Washington Laboratory; Timothy Robinson, University 11:50 am Depth Partitions and Hierarchical Structure in

Seattle 47 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

a Tokyo Industrial District—Tsutomu Nakano, 11:35 am Disc: Jianqing Fan, Princeton University Kwansei Gakunin University; ❖ Douglas White, 12:05 pm Floor Discussion Monday University of California, Irvine 12:15 pm Floor Discussion 127 CC-619 ● ✪ Spatial Modeling to Address Problems in 125 CC-2B Ecology—Invited ● Real-Life Problems Advancing Missing Data Section on Statistics and the Environment, WNAR Techniques—Invited Organizer(s): Estelle Russek-Cohen, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, Section on Health Policy Chair(s): Eric P. Smith, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Statistics University Organizer(s): Sunni A. Barnes, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine 10:35 am Geostatistical Modeling: Model Selection and Chair(s): Sunni A. Barnes, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine Parameter Estimation—❖ Jennifer A. Hoeting, 10:35 am Missing Data in Smoking Cessation Trials—❖ Colorado State University Michael D. Larsen, Iowa State University; Sunni 11:00 am Markov Chain Monte Carlo for a Spatial-Temporal A. Barnes, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; Paul Autologistic Regression Model—❖ Jun Zhu, Decker, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; Darrell University of Wisconsin-Madison Schroeder, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; 11:25 am Application and Comparison of Alternative Robert Klesges, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; Spatial Modeling Approaches of Zero-Infl ated Mark W. Vander Weg, Mayo Clinic College of Data—❖ Mary C. Christman, University of Medicine PRELIMINARYFlorida 11:00 am A Novel Pattern Mixture Model Applied to QOL 11:50 am Disc: Dale Zimmerman, Th e University of Iowa Data—❖ Page C. Moore, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences; John W. Seaman,PROGRAM Baylor 12:10 pm Floor Discussion University; Sunni A. Barnes, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine 128 CC-601 11:25 am The Impact of Missing Data and How It Is ● ✪ Cross-National Research on Immigration— Handled on the Rate of False Positive Results Invited ❖ In Drug Development— Stacy Lindborg, Eli Social Statistics Section Lilly and Company; Craig Mallinckrodt, Eli Lilly Organizer(s): Kevin Deardorff , U.S. Census Bureau and Company; Michael K. Carter, Eli Lilly and Chair(s): Pamela White, Statistics Canada Company; Sunni A. Barnes, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine 10:35 am Measuring Migration between Canada and the United States: a Case Study for Best Practices— 11:50 am Disc: Nathaniel Schenker, National Center for Melissa L. Th errien, U.S. Census Bureau; ❖ Health Statistics Margaret Michalowski, Statistics Canada 12:10 pm Floor Discussion 11:15 am Counting Immigrants and Expatriates: a New Perspective—❖ Jean-Christophe Dumont, 126 CC-4C-4 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and JASA Theory and Methods Invited Paper Development; Georges LeMaitre, Organisation for Session—Invited Economic Co-operation and Development JASA, Theory and Methods 11:55 am Disc: Angela Me, United Nations Economic Organizer(s): Walter W. Piegorsch, University of South Carolina Commission for Europe Chair(s): Stephen L. Portnoy, University of Illinois at Urbana- 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Champaign 10:35 am Quantile Autoregression—❖ Roger Koenker, 129 CC-206 University of Illinois ● Subset Selection in Random Effects and 11:20 am Disc: Keith Knight, University of Toronto Variance Component Models—Invited

48 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

ENAR, Biometrics Section, WNAR ● ✪ Having an Impact in a Multidisciplinary Organizer(s): David B. Dunson, National Institute of Environmental Setting—Invited Monday Health Sciences Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Education, Section on Chair(s): David B. Dunson, National Institute of Environmental Health Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Sciences Organizer(s): Janice Derr, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Lillian 10:35 am A New Class of Model Selection Strategies with Lin, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Applications in Mixed Model Selection—❖ Jiming Chair(s): Christina M. Gullion, Kaiser Permanente Center for Health Jiang, University of California, Davis Research 11:05 am Variance Components and Reliability in FMRI Panelists: ❖ Janice Derr, U.S. Food and Drug Administration ❖ Studies— Hal Stern, University of California, ❖ Janet Powell, University of Washington Irvine; Sandip Sinharay, Educational Testing ❖ Lillian Lin, Centers for Disease Control and Service Prevention 11:35 am BART: a Nonparametric Random Effects Model— ❖ Kevin Cain, University of Washington Hugh A. Chipman, Acadia University; ❖ Edward ❖ I. George, University of Pennsylvania; Robert E. W. ScottClark, Eli Lilly and Company McCulloch, Th e University of Chicago 12:15 pm Floor Discussion 12:05 pm Floor Discussion

130 CC-400 Topic-Contributed Sessions ● Inference under Biased Sampling—InvitedPRELIMINARY10:30 am–12:20 pm General Methodology Organizer(s): Barry I. Graubard, National Cancer Institute 132 CC-606 Chair(s): Barry I. Graubard, National Cancer InstitutePROGRAM● ✪ Advances in Confi dence Intervals on Variance 10:35 am Estimation of Treatment Effects in Observational Components—Topic-Contributed Studies—❖ Danny Pfeff ermann, Hebrew Section on Health Policy Statistics University/University of Southampton Organizer(s): Joseph Cappelleri, Pfi zer Inc. 11:00 am Maximum-Likelihood Inference on a Mixed Chair(s): Kye Gilder, Biogen Idec Conditionally and Marginally Specifi ed Regression 10:35 am A Comparison of Two Confi dence Interval Model in Genetic Epidemiologic Studies with Two- Approaches on the Dependability Coeffi cient in a Phase Sampling—❖ Nilanjan Chatterjee, National Two-Factor Crossed Design—❖ Joseph Cappelleri, Cancer Institute; Yi-Hau Chen, Academia Sinica Pfi zer Inc.; Naitee Ting, Pfi zer Inc. 11:25 am The Design and Analysis of Two-Phase Sampling— 10:55 am Confi dence Intervals on General Variance ❖ Alastair J. Scott, Th e University of Auckland; Components Model: Modifi ed Large Sample Christopher J. Wild, Th e University of Auckland; Approach—❖ Yonghee Lee, Ewha Womans Yannan Jiang, Th e University of Auckland University 11:50 am Weighted Likelihood for Semiparametric 11:15 am Confi dence Intervals on Intermediate Precision Models and Two-Phase Stratifi ed Samples with Measures in Analytical Method Validations and Application to Cox Regression—❖ Norman Transfers—❖ Richard Burdick, Amgen Inc.; Shea E. Breslow, University of Washington; Jon A. Watrin, Amgen Inc. Wellner, University of Washington 11:35 am Confi dence Intervals of a Common Intraclass 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Correlation Coeffi cient—❖ Lili Tian, University of Buff alo 11:55 am Disc: Naitee Ting, Pfi zer Inc. Invited Panels 10:30 am–12:20 pm 12:15 am Floor Discussion

131 CC-401 133 CC-602

Seattle 49 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

● Recent Advances in Small-Area Issues—Topic- 11:35 am Meta-analysis in the Human Sciences—❖ Mack Shelley, Iowa State University Contributed Monday Section on Survey Research Methods 11:55 am Disc: Allan L. McCutcheon, University of Organizer(s): Karabi Sinha, University of Illinois at Chicago Nebraska-Lincoln Chair(s): Karabi Sinha, University of Illinois at Chicago 12:15 pm Floor Discussion 10:35 am Small-Area Modeling for Survey Data with Smoothed Error Covariance Structure via ❖ 135 CC-609 Generalized Design Effects— Ralph Folsom, ● ✪ Recent Advances in Bayesian Computation RTI International; Avinash C. Singh, Statistics Canada; Akhil Vaish, RTI International and Bioinformatics—Topic-Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR 10:55 am Small-Area Estimation Using Nonparametric Organizer(s): Raphael Gottardo, Th e University of British Columbia Regression—❖ Tathagata Bandyopadhyay, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad Chair(s): Mario Peruggia, Th e Ohio State University 11:15 am Robust Estimation of the Mean Square Error of 10:35 am Model-Based Correlations: a Tool for Revealing ❖ an EBLUP of a Small-Area Mean—❖ Shijie Chen, Interactions in Microarray Data— Beatrix RTI International; Partha Lahiri, University of Jones, Massey University; Marie Fitch, Massey Maryland; Jon N. K. Rao, Carleton University University 11:35 am Hierarchical and Empirical Bayesian Analysis of 10:55 am Recent Developments in Population Monte ❖ Bivariate Binary Data: an Application to Small- Carlo— David Stephens, Imperial College Area Estimation—❖ AnanyaPRELIMINARY Roy, University of London Florida; Malay Ghosh, University of Florida 11:15 am Multiple Testing Using the Posterior Probability ❖ 11:55 am Bayesian Estimation of the Percentiles of of Half-Space: Application to Microarray Data— Overweight—❖ Jai Choi, NationalPROGRAM Center for Aurelie Labbe, Universite Laval; Mary Th ompson, Health Statistics; Balgobin Nandram, Worcester University of Waterloo Polytechnic Institute 11:35 am Markov Chain Density Estimation with ❖ 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Applications in Bioinformatics— Mark Briers, University of Cambridge; Arnaud Doucet, Th e University of British Columbia; Raphael Gottardo, 134 CC-603 Th e University of British Columbia ● Meta-analysis in Survey Research: Analysis 11:55 am Bayesian Analysis of ChIP-chip Experiments—❖ of Multiple Response Rates and Other Raphael Gottardo, Th e University of British Applications—Topic-Contributed Columbia Section on Survey Research Methods 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Hiroaki Minato, NORC Chair(s): Hiroaki Minato, NORC 136 CC-203 10:35 am Differences in Survey Nonresponse Components ● ✪ ❖ Coalescent/Evolution Theory—Topic- over Time in Various Domains— Brad Edwards, Contributed Westat; David Cantor, Westat; Lisa Moses, Westat Section on Statistics in Epidemiology 10:55 am Monitoring Survey Response Rates and Organizer(s): Ingo Ruczinski, Th e Johns Hopkins University Measuring Nonresponse Bias in a Federal Statistical Agency: National Center for Education Chair(s): Varghese George, Medical College of Georgia Statistics (NCES)—❖ Marilyn Seastrom, National 10:35 am The McDonald-Kreitman Test in Studies of Center for Education Statistics Molecular Evolution—❖ Jason Gardenier, Th e College of William & Mary 11:15 am Sources of Variation in Response Rates to the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System—❖ 10:55 am Beyond the TDT—❖ Knut Wittkowski, Th e David W. Smith, Th e University of Texas School of Rockefeller University; Ephraim Sehayek, Th e Public Health Rockefeller University

50 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

11:15 am Coalescent Theory for a Completely Random 138 CC-211 Mating Monoecious Population—❖ Edward ● ✪ Statistical Issues in Cardiovascular Medical Monday Pollak, Iowa State University Device Clinical Trials—Topic-Contributed 11:35 am Poisson Stars and Phylogenetic Trees: Limits Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR ❖ of Inferences on Population History— James Organizer(s): Jeng Mah, American Medical Systems Inc.; Michael Lu, Dunyak, Th e MITRE Corporation; Marc Edwards Life Sciences Colosimo, Th e MITRE Corporation; Lynette Chair(s): Ning Li, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Hirschman, Th e MITRE Corporation 10:35 am The Use of a Correlated Binary Data Model 11:55 am Strategies for Optimally Identifying Signifi cant for Sample Size Calculation and Analysis of SNPs in Case-Control and Trio Association Accessions Data—❖ John C. Evans, Boston ❖ Data— Christina Bromley, BioStat Solutions Scientifi c Corporation; Corina M. Sirbu, Boston Inc.; Ronald L. Bromley, BioStat Solutions Inc.; Scientifi c Corporation; Kay M. Larholt, Boston Sandy Close Kirkwood, Eli Lilly and Company; Scientifi c Corporation; Brian Johnson, Boston Richard D. Hockett, Eli Lilly and Company; Nitai Scientifi c Corporation Mukhopadhyay, Eli Lilly and Company 10:55 am Statistical and Clinical Signifi cance: a Practical 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Example Utilizing ST-Segment Monitor Endpoints in Acute ST Elevation MI (STEMI)—❖ Cynthia 137 CC-611 Green, Duke Clinical Research Institute ● ✪ Bayesian Bioinformatics—Topic-Contributed 11:15 am An Application of Propensity Score Method in ❖ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, BiometricsPRELIMINARY Section, ENAR Medical Device Trials— Minglei Liu, Medtronic, Organizer(s): Lynn Kuo, University of Connecticut Inc.; Jianming Wang, Medtronic, Inc.; Jane Gau, Medtronic, Inc. Chair(s): Ram Tiwari, National Institutes of Health 11:35 am Patient-Prosthesis Mismatch and Operative 10:35 am Bayesian Analysis of EST Data withPROGRAM Multiple Mortality after Aortic Valve Replacement Libraries and Multiple Types of Tissues—❖ Fang Surgery—❖ Sean M. O’Brien, Duke University; Yu, University of Connecticut; Ming-Hui Chen, Elizabeth R. DeLong, Duke University; Lawrence University of Connecticut; Lynn Kuo, University H. Muhlbaier, Duke University; Charles R. of Connecticut; Peng Huang, Medical University Bridges, University of Pennsylvania; Eric D. of South Carolina; Wanling Yang, Th e University Peterson, Duke University of Hong Kong 11:55 am Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve Method 10:55 am Protein Structure Prediction: Statistical and for Evaluating Surrogate Endpoints for Predicting Machine-Learning Approaches—❖ Sujay Datta, Target Lesion Revascularization in a Second- Texas A&M University Generation Drug Eluting Stent Trial—❖ Hong 11:15 am Identifying Activated Molecular Pathways Wang, Boston Scientifi c Corporation; Sarah Bass, ❖ Using Bayesian Methods— Yifang Zhao, Boston Scientifi c Corporation ; Peter S. Lam, University of Connecticut; Lynn Kuo, University Boston Scientifi c Corporation of Connecticut; Dong-Guk Shin, University of 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Connecticut; Fang Yu, University of Connecticut 11:35 am Normalization of Microrarrays in Transcription Inhibition Experiments—❖ Yan Zheng, University 139 CC-214 of Minnesota; Cavan Reilly, University of ● Methods in Cancer Research—Topic- Minnesota Contributed 11:55 am Bayesian Models for Pooling Microarray Studies Biometrics Section, ENAR with Multiple Sources of Replications—❖ Erin Organizer(s): Terry Hyslop, Th omas Jeff erson University Conlon, University of Massachusetts Chair(s): Karla V. Ballman, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine 12:15 pm Floor Discussion 10:35 am A Primer on Quantitative RT-PCR (q-RT-PCR) with Applications in Colorectal Cancer Biomarker Studies—❖ Terry Hyslop, Th omas Jeff erson

Seattle 51 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

University; Yanyan Li, Th omas Jeff erson 10:30 am–12:20 pm University ; Inna Chervoneva, Th omas Jeff erson Monday University 10:55 am Estimation of RT-PCR Amplifi cation Effi ciency with 141 CC-210 Application to Relative Quantifi cation—❖ Inna Causal Inference and Noncompliance— Chervoneva, Th omas Jeff erson University; Yanyan Contributed Li, Th omas Jeff erson University ; Terry Hyslop, Biometrics Section, Section on Health Policy Statistics, ENAR Th omas Jeff erson University; Boris Iglewicz, Chair(s): Ming An, Th e Johns Hopkins University Temple University 10:35 am On eEstimating Treatment Effects under 11:15 am Sample Size for FDR-Control in Microarray Data Noncompliance in Randomized Clinical Trials—❖ Analysis—❖ Sin-Ho Jung, Duke University Heejung Bang, Cornell University; Clarence E. 11:35 am An Experimental Design for Clinical Trials Davis, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Evaluating Combination Agents—❖ Christine Hill McLaren, University of California, Irvine; Vernon 10:50 am Effi cient Nonparametric Estimation of M. Chinchilli, Penn State; Wen-Pin Chen, Chao Causal Effects in Randomized Trials with Family Comprehensive Cancer Center; Frank L. Noncompliance—❖ Jing Cheng, University Meyskens, Chao Family Comprehensive Cancer of Pennsylvania; Dylan S. Small, University of Center Pennsylvania; Th omas R. Ten Have, University of 11:55 am Adaptive Phase I Clinical Trial Designs for Biologic Pennsylvania; Zhiqiang Tan, Th e Johns Hopkins Agents and Molecularly Targeted Therapies—❖ University Sumithra Mandrekar, MayoPRELIMINARY Clinic College of 11:05 am Nested Markov Compliance Class Model in the Medicine; Daniel Sargent, Mayo Clinic College of Presence of Time-Varying Noncompliance—❖ Medicine Julia Lin, University of Pennsylvania; Th omas R. 12:15 pm Floor Discussion PROGRAMTen Have, University of Pennsylvania; Michael R. Elliott, University of Michigan 11:20 am Use of a Marginal Structural Model To Estimate the Causal Effect of Epoetin Use on Hemactocrit Topic-Contributed Panels Value among Hemodialysis Patients—❖ Yi 10:30 am–12:20 pm Zhang, Medical Technology and Practice Patterns Institute; Mae Th amer, Medical Technology 140 CC-607 and Practice Patterns Institute; Dennis J. Cotter, Expanding Access to Research Data: Reconciling Medical Technology and Practice Patterns Risks and Opportunity—Topic-Contributed Institute; James Kaufman, U.S. Department of Veterans Aff airs VA Boston Healthcare System; Section on Government Statistics, Section on Statistical Education, Section on Miguel A. Hern·n, Harvard School of Public Statistical Consulting Health Organizer(s): Connie Citro, Committee on National Statistics 11:35 am The Causal Effect of Finasteride on the Severity of Chair(s): Katherine Wallman, Offi ce of Management and Budget Prostate Cancer—❖ Bryan Shepherd, Vanderbilt ❖ Panelists: Eleanor Singer, University of Michigan University; Mary W. Redman, Southwest ❖ Margo Anderson, University of Wisconsin- Oncology Group; Donna P. Ankerst, University of Milwaukee Munich ❖ John Haltiwanger, University of Maryland 11:50 am Location Design in Location-Controlled Follow-Up ❖ Daniel Weinberg, U.S. Census Bureau Studies—❖ Fan Li, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health ❖ Donald Rubin, Harvard University 12:05 pm How To Make Inference from Experiments 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Conducted on Populations with Different Disease Determinants—❖ Steven D. Mark, University of Colorado Health Sciences Center Regular Contributed Sessions

52 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

142 CC-610 11:05 am A Bayesian Approach to Radiographic Surveillance in Children—❖ Namhee Kim, Th e Ohio State Nonparametric Regression Methods I— Monday Contributed University; Prem K. Goel, Th e Ohio State Section on Nonparametric Statistics University; Bema Bonsu, Columbus Children’s Hospital; M. Marvin, Children’s Hospital Chair(s): Veera Baladandayuthapani, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center 11:20 am Statistical Analysis of Department of Energy 10:35 am Two-Sample Comparison with Long Memory Safety Data—❖ Rama Sastry, U.S. Department of Errors—❖ Fang Li, Indiana University Purdue Energy University Indianapolis 11:35 am Time transformation methods for analyzing time 10:50 am Some Diagnostic Methods for Choosing series with time-varying frequencies—❖ James the Degree of Smoothing in Nonparametric R. Haney, Southern Methodist University; Wayne Regression—❖ Craig Andres, Kettering A. Woodward, Southern Methodist University; University; Robert Kushler, Oakland University Henry L. Gray, Southern Methodist University 11:05 am Spline-Backfi tted Kernel Smoothing of Additive 11:50 am Minimum Hellinger Distance Estimation Using Regression Models—❖ Jing Wang, Michigan Synthetic Data—❖ Bret Hanlon, Cornell State University; Lijian Yang, Michigan State University; Anand Vidyashankar, Cornell University University 11:20 am Boundary Kernel Method in Nonparametric 12:05 pm Error Modeling in Vector-Based GIS Data—❖ Deconvolution—❖ Shunpu Zhang, University of Kimberly Love, Virginia Tech; Keying Ye, Th e Nebraska-Lincoln University of Texas at San Antonio; Eric P. 11:35 am Double-Smoothing for PRELIMINARYBias Reduction in Local Smith, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State ❖ Linear Regression— Hua He, University of University; Stephen Prisley, Virginia Tech Rochester Medical Center ; Li-Shan Huang, University of Rochester PROGRAM 11:50 am A Comparative Study of Stage-1 and Stage-2 144 CC-205 ● ✪ Semiparametric Estimation of Hemodynamic Epidemiologic Modeling—Contributed Response Function for fMRI Data—❖ Chunming Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, ENAR Zhang, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Yuan Chair(s): Liang Li, Th e Cleveland Clinic Jiang, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Tao Yu, 10:35 am A Minimum-Distance Approach to Logistic University of Wisconsin-Madison Regression via the Case-Control Formulation—❖ 12:05 pm Floor Discussion Howard Bondell, North Carolina State University 10:50 am A Wavelet-Based Method for the Prospective Monitoring of Disease Incidence Counts in Space 143 CC-605 ❖ ✪ and Time— J. Brooke Marshall, Virginia Tech; Contributions in National Security— Dan Spitzner, Virginia Tech; William H. Woodall, Contributed Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security 11:05 am Estimating the Causal Effect of LTVV on ALI with Chair(s): Elizabeth Hohman, Naval Surface Warfare Center G-Computation—❖ Weiwei Wang, Th e Johns 10:35 am Albert Einstein: Centennial Appreciation of a Hopkins University; Daniel Scharfstein, Johns Master Statistician—❖ Boris Iglewicz, Temple Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Dale University Needham, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions; 10:50 am Toward Effective Anomaly Detection in Public Roy Brower, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions; Health Surveillance—❖ Colin Goodall, AT&T Peter Pronovost, Johns Hopkins Medical Labs-Research; Sylvia Halasz, AT&T Labs- Institutions Research; Arnold Lent, AT&T Labs - Research; 11:20 am Joint Modeling of Birthweight and Gestational Simon Tse, AT&T Labs - Research; John Allegra, Age—❖ Betsy Enstrom, Duke University; Alan E. Emergency Medical Associates Research Gelfand, Duke University; Geeta K. Swamy, Duke Foundation; Dennis Cochrane, Emergency University Medical Center; Marie L. Miranda, Medical Associates Research Foundation

Seattle 53 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Duke University 146 CC-201 ● ✪ 11:35 am A Cross-Cultural Investigation of College Student Disease Surveillance Methods—Contributed Monday Alcohol Consumption: a Classifi cation Trees Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR Analysis—❖ Panagiota Kitsantas, East Carolina Chair(s): Lei Shen, Th e Ohio State University University; Anastasia Kitsantas, George Mason 10:35 am Disease Outbreak Surveillance: Using Prescription University; Tanya Anagnostopoulou, Hellenic Data as a Proxy Source for Detection—❖ A. Institute of Psychology and Health Elizabeth Allen, IMS Health; Kennon Copeland, 11:50 am Smoothing U.S. State Life Tables for Years 1999– IMS Health ❖ 2001— Rong Wei, National Center for Health 10:50 am A Comparison of Two Methods for Disease Statistics; Lester R. Curtin, Centers for Disease Surveillance—❖ Gerald Shoultz, Grand Valley Control and Prevention; Robert Anderson, State University; Paul Stephenson, Grand Valley National Center for Health Statistics; Elizabeth State University; J. Wanzer Drane, University of Arias, National Center for Health Statistics South Carolina ❖ 12:05 pm Clustered Odds Ratio— Wanjie Sun, Th e 11:05 am Prospective Surveillance of Infl uenza Data Using George Washington University; Patricia Cleary, Hidden Markov Models—❖ Al Ozonoff , Boston Th e George Washington University; John M. University; Paola Sebastiani, Boston University Lachin, Th e George Washington University 11:20 am Modeling and Prediction of Infl uenza Outbreaks Using Chest Radiograph Data—Peter F. Craigmile, 145 CC-604 Th e Ohio State University; Namhee Kim, Th e ● Survey-Based Estimation I—ContributedPRELIMINARYOhio State University; ❖ Soledad Fernandez, Th e Section on Survey Research Methods Ohio State University; Bema Bonsu, Columbus Chair(s): Michael R. Elliott, University of Michigan Children’s Hospital 10:35 am Estimating Dynamic Price Indexes—PROGRAM❖ Alan 11:35 am Detection of Outbreaks in Syndromic Surveillance Dorfman, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Mary Data Using Monotonic Regression—❖ Jared Kokoski, Bureau of Labor Statistics Burdin, Th e MITRE Corporation; James Dunyak, 10:50 am Categorical Time Series Modeling Using Data Th e MITRE Corporation; Mojdeh Mohtashemi, Th e MITRE Corporation/MIT/AI Lab; Martin from the Current Population Survey—❖ Stephen Kulldorff , Harvard Medical School/Harvard Miller, Bureau of Labor Statistics Pilgrim Health Care 11:05 am An Examination of Poststratifi cation Techniques 11:50 am Surveillance of Occupational Drivers Using k for the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance Nearest Neighbor Methods on the Line—❖ Svetla System—❖ Michael P. Battaglia, Abt Associates Slavova, University of Kentucky; Terry Bunn, Inc.; Martin R. Frankel, Abt Associates Inc.; University of Kentucky; Dmitri Pavlov, Pfi zer Inc.; Michael W. Link, Centers for Disease Control and Richard J. Kryscio, University of Kentucky Prevention 12:05 pm A Mathematical Model for the Infl uence of the 11:20 am Power Analysis of the Rao-Scott First- Pneumococcal Vaccine on S. pneumoniae Vaccine Order Adjustment to the Pearson Test for and Nonvaccine Serotypes—❖ Robertino Mera, Homogeneity—❖ Sunyeong Heo, Changwon GlaxoSmithKline National University 11:35 am Estimating Counterfactual Temporal Trends—❖ Andrea Piesse, Westat; David R. Judkins, Westat 147 CC-620 11:50 am Testing the Robustness of HLM and SUDAAN—❖ Reliability and Life Testing—Contributed Jiaquan Fan, Westat; David R. Judkins, Westat Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences 12:05 pm Hierarchical Linear Modeling Using Complex Chair(s): Peter Hovey, University of Dayton Survey Data Based on the Pre-Elementary 10:35 am Estimating Failure Probability: Exploring Education Longitudinal Study (PEELS)—❖ Methods—❖ Jason Overstreet, Honeywell Inc.; Hyunshik Lee, Westat; Frank Jenkins, Westat; Eric B. Howington, Coastal Carolina University; Sunyeong Heo, Changwon National University Alexia M. Athienitis-Makris, Applied Health

54 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Outcomes 11:50 am A Comparison of Gender Performance on Parallel Mathematics Questions—❖ Kenn Pendleton, 10:50 am Graphical Estimators of Location and Scale from Monday Probability Plots with Censored Data—❖ Anupap GED Testing Service Somboonsavatdee, University of Michigan; 12:05 pm Changing Answers in Exams: for the Better or for Vijay Nair, University of Michigan; Ananda Sen, the Worse?—❖ Juergen Symanzik, Utah State University of Michigan University; Natascha Vukasinovic, Utah State 11:05 am Design of Sudden Death Tests for Estimation of a University Weibull Percentile—❖ John McCool, Penn State 11:20 am Accelerate Life Test Planning with Independent 149 CC-614 Weibull Competing Risks with Known Shape ● Insights for Advanced Undergraduate Statistics Parameter—❖ Francis Pascual, Washington State Courses—Contributed University Section on Statistical Education, Section on Statistical Consulting 11:35 am Proportional Odds Families of Lifetime Chair(s): William Peterson, Middlebury College Distributions—❖ James Gleaton, University of 10:35 am Writing Experiences in a Second Statistics North Florida; James Lynch, University of South Class—❖ Terry King, Northwest Missouri State Carolina University 11:50 am Robust Prediction and Extrapolation Designs for 10:50 am Datasets for Teaching Statistics and Design—❖ Censored Data—❖ Xiaojian Xu, University of Charles Stegman, University of Arkansas; Calli Alberta Holaway-Johnson, University of Arkansas 12:05 pm Comparison Sequential Testing for Reliability: PRELIMINARY11:05 am Attracting the Brightest Students into Statistics— Optimal Test Truncation—❖ Genady Grabarnik, ❖ Greg Taylor, Winston-Salem State University IBM T. J. Watson Research Center; Haim Michlin, ❖ Technion-Israel Institute of Technology 11:20 am Intermediate Statistics with SAS: Interactive— PROGRAMPhyllis Curtiss, Grand Valley State University 11:35 am Computer Activities To Support Learning 148 CC-613 Traditional Math Stat Topics—❖ Mary Parker, Th e ● Assessment of Student Performance— University of Texas at Austin/Austin Community Contributed College Section on Statistical Education 11:50 am Teaching an Undergraduate Capstone Course Chair(s): Joan Weinstein, Pine Manor College in Statistical Consulting—❖ Heather Smith, 10:35 am Pedagogical Utilization and Assessment of the California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Statistic Online Computational Resource in Obispo; John Walker, California Polytechnic State Introductory Probability and Statistics Courses— University, San Luis Obispo ❖ Juana Sanchez, University of California, Los 12:05 pm Integrating Statistical Knowledge through an Angeles; Ivo Dinov, University of California, Undergraduate Capstone Course—❖ John Walker, Los Angeles; Nicolas Christou, University of California Polytechnic State University, San Luis California, Los Angeles Obispo; Heather Smith, California Polytechnic 10:50 am Assessing College Students’ Success in the State University, San Luis Obispo Elementary Statistics Course—❖ Jen-Ting Wang, SUNY at Oneonta; Shu-Yi Tu, University of Michigan; Yann-Yann Shieh, 150 CC-612 Mixture Models and Misspecifi ed Models— 11:05 am Be Realistic! Analysis and Pedagogical Benefi ts of Soliciting Students’ Exam Score Estimates—❖ Contributed Douglas M. Andrews, Wittenberg University Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University 11:20 am Predictors of Group Performance on Projects—❖ William L. Harkness, Penn State 10:35 am Bayes Methodology Accounting for Uncertainty of Commonality in ‘Random Effects’ in a Linear 11:35 am Are the Students Ready for the Challenge?—❖ Mixed Model—❖ Guofen Yan, University of Mammo Woldie, Texas Southern University

Seattle 55 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Virginia; Joseph Sedransk, Case Western Reserve 11:50 am Highest Posterior Model Selection—❖ Tanujit University Dey, Case Western Reserve University; Hemant Monday 10:50 am How Well Does a Logistic Regression Model Ishwaran, Th e Cleveland Clinic; J. S. Rao, Case Estimated with Complex, Multistage Survey Data Western Reserve University Fit Data from a New Sample?—❖ Tyson Rogers, 12:05 pm Residuals and Diagnostics in Dirichlet University of Minnesota Regression—❖ Rafi q Hijazi, United Arab 11:05 am Bayesian Model for Misclassifi ed Binary Response Emirates University with Covariate Subject to Measurement Error—❖ Anna McGlothlin, Baylor University 152 CC-213 11:20 am Label Switching in Finite Mixture Models—❖ ● Missing Covariates, Covariate Measurement Tong Wang, University of Southern California; Error, and Misclassifi cation—Contributed Steven L. Scott, University of Southern California Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR 11:35 am Bayesian Inference of Population Structure from Chair(s): Sebastien Haneuse, Group Health Cooperative Dominant Markers Using Mixture of Betas—❖ 10:35 am A Pseudolikelihood Approach for Analyzing Rongwei Fu, Oregon Health & Science University; Nutritional Epidemiologic Data in the Presence of Dipak Dey, University of Connecticut; Kent E. Dietary Measurement Error—❖ Samiran Sinha, Holsinger, University of Connecticut Texas A&M University; Raymond J. Carroll, Texas 11:50 am Flexible Bayesian Variable Selection in A&M University; Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M ❖ Multivariate Linear Regression— Nan Lin, University Washington University in St. Louis PRELIMINARY10:50 am Instrumental Variable Estimation in Logistic 12:05 pm The Average Effects of Misspecifi ed Models and Regression Models with Measurement Error— ❖ Diffuse Interaction Models— Juxin Liu, Th e ❖ Kimberly Weems, North Carolina State University of British Columbia; PaulPROGRAM Gustafson, University; Leonard A. Stefanski, North Carolina Th e University of British Columbia State University 11:05 am Simultaneous Inference for Semiparametric 151 CC-618 Nonlinear Mixed-effects Models with Covariate Model Selection and Diagnostics—Contributed Measurement Errors and Missing Responses—❖ IMS Wei Liu, Th e University of British Columbia; Lang Chair(s): Albert Kim, University of Washington Wu, Th e University of British Columbia 10:35 am AIC for Change-Point Models—❖ Yoshiyuki 11:20 am Sieve Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Missing ❖ Ninomiya, Kyushu University Covariates in Regression Models— Qingxia Chen, Vanderbilt University; Donglin Zeng, Th e 10:50 am Iterative Bias Correction on Cross-Validation—❖ University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Hirokazu Yanagihara, University of Tsukuba; Joseph G. Ibrahim, Th e University of North Hironori Fujisawa, Th e Institute of Statistical Carolina at Chapel Hill Mathematics 11:35 am Composite Tests Using Matrix Pooling: Minimizing 11:05 am Model Assessment Tools for a Model False Tests, Maximizing Results—❖ Bethany Hedt, World—❖ Jiawei Liu, Georgia State University; Harvard School of Public Health; Marcello Bruce G. Lindsay, Penn State Pagano, Harvard School of Public Health 11:20 am Context Tree Estimation for Not Necessarily Finite 11:50 am The Effect of Differential Misclassifi cation in the Memory Processes, via BIC and MDL—❖ Zsolt Chuuk’s Mudslide Study—❖ Tzesan Lee, National Talata, Georgia Institute of Technology; Imre Center for Environmental Health; Josephine Csiszar, AlfrÈd RÈnyi Institute of Mathematics Malilay, National Center for Environmental 11:35 am Variable Selection via Penalized Likehood in Health Semiparametric Regression—❖ Xiao Ni, North 12:05 pm Floor Discussion Carolina State University; Daowen Zhang, sanofi -aventis; Hao Zhang, North Carolina State University 153 CC-615

56 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Inference—Contributed U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Th amban Valappil, U.S. Food and Drug Administration;

Section on Statistical Computing Monday Chair(s): Anuradha Roy, Th e University of Texas at San Antonio Mohammad Huque, U.S. Food and Drug Administration 10:35 am Inference on Reliability in Two-Parameter Exponential Stress-Strength Model—❖ 11:20 am Dynamic Treatment Allocation and Randomization ❖ Shubhabrata Mukherjee, University of Louisiana Tests in Clinical Trials— Lee-Lian Kim, Centocor at Lafayette; Kalimuthu Krishnamoorthy, R&D, Inc.; Yaung-Kaung Shen, Centocor R&D, University of Louisiana at Lafayette; Huizhen Guo, Inc.; Jewel Johanns, Centocor R&D, Inc.; Aparna Xavier University Raychaudhuri, Centocor R&D, Inc. ❖ 10:50 am The Distribution of the S-Statistic for Samples 11:35 am Resampling Methods for Adaptive Designs— of Size 4 Drawn from Uniform and Exponential Hui Zhang, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Populations—❖ Winston Richards, Penn State 11:50 am Evaluating Exploratory and Confi rmatory ❖ 11:05 am Modifi ed Normal Approximations to the Binomial Evidience Collectively— Qian Li, U.S. Food and Distribution—❖ David Vlieger, Northwest Drug Administration Missouri State University 12:05 pm Adjusted Two-Sided Combination Tests for ❖ 11:20 am On the Simultaneous Lower Confi dence Bounds Adaptive Clinical Trials— Zhilong Yuan, for Order Restricted Inference—❖ Chu-In C. Lee, Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical R&D; Yang Memorial University of Newfoundland; Jianan Song, Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical R&D; Peng, Acadia University; Lin Liu, University of Xiaolong Luo, Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical California, San Diego R&D; George Chi, Johnson & Johnson PRELIMINARYPharmaceutical R&D 11:35 am A Partially Exchangeable Model and Its Applications in Correlated Data—❖ Latonya Garner, University of Mississippi; PROGRAMHanxiang Peng, 155 CC-204 University of Mississippi ● Analysis of Microarrays—Contributed 11:50 am A Continuing Study on a New Resampling Method Biometrics Section, ENAR To Reduce Small-Sample Bias: an Extension Chair(s): Xueli Liu, University of Florida ❖ to Nonnormal Distributions— Haiyan Bai, 10:35 am Biweight Correlation as a Measure of Distance University of Cincinnati; Wei Pan, University of between Genes on a Microarray—❖ Aya Mitani, Cincinnati Pitzer College 12:05 pm Shape-Restricted Regression Splines and 10:50 am Modifi ed Wilcoxon Mann-Whitney Methods ❖ Applications— Mary Meyer, University of for Identifying Functional Gene Categories in Georgia Microarray Experiments—❖ Liu Hua, University of Kentucky; Constance Wood, University of 154 CC-2A Kentucky; Arnold J. Stromberg, University of ● Adaptive Methods—Contributed Kentucky Biopharmaceutical Section 11:05 am MicroRNA Regulation of mRNA Expression in ❖ Chair(s): Wei Zhong, ICON Clinical Research Neuronal Development— Diane Richardson, Rutgers University; Rebecka Jornsten, Rutgers 10:35 am A Two-Stage Adaptive Design for Phase III Trials University To Establish Noninferiority and Superiority—❖ Yulan Li, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation; 11:20 am Point and Interval Predictions of Protein ❖ Qing Liu, Johnson & Johnson; Jeff rey Maca, Concentrations in ELISA Microarray Assays— Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation Don S. Daly, Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory; Kevin K. Anderson, Pacifi c Northwest 10:50 am Confi dence Intervals Following an Adaptive National Laboratory; Amanda M. White, Pacifi c Group Sequential Design—❖ Cyrus Mehta, Cytel Northwest National Laboratory; Susan S. Varnum, Inc. Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory; Richard 11:05 am Implementing Adaptive Designs in Clinical Trials: C. Zangar, Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory Risks and Benefi ts—❖ Christopher Khedouri,

Seattle 57 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

11:35 am A Nonparametric Likelihood Ratio Test To Identify Topic-Contributed Poster Session Differentially Expressed Genes from Microarray Monday Data—❖ Sunil Mathur, University of Mississippi; 10:30 am–12:20 pm Sankar Bokka, University of Mississippi 11:50 am A Statistical Framework To Infer Functional 157 CC-Level 6 East Lobby Gene Associations from Multiple Biologically Topic-Contributed Poster Session: Data Dependent Microarray Experiments—❖ Siew- Exposition—Topic-Contributed Leng Teng, University of California, Berkeley Section on Statistical Graphics 12:05 pm Cluster Analysis for Gene Expression Data with Organizer(s): Paul Murrell, Th e University of Auckland Liquid Association Structure—❖ Yijing Shen, Chair(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. University of California, Los Angeles; Ker- Graphics, visualization Chau Li, University of California, Los Angeles; 01 Using Data Mining Tools in the Study of NASA Ozone Data— Shinsheng Yuan, University of California, Los ❖ Wei-hong Wang, Th e College of New Jersey; Pin-Shuo Angeles Liu, William Paterson University 02 Identifying Outliers in Multivariate Spatial Data—❖ 156 CC-212 Anthony Franklin, Coastal Carolina University; Eric ● Models for Data Collected over Time— B. Howington, Coastal Carolina University; Keshav Contributed Jagannathan, Coastal Carolina University Biometrics Section 03 Exploratory Data Analysis of Meteorological Data Using Chair(s): Patrick Heagerty, University of WashingtonPRELIMINARYSAS Stat Studio—❖ Frederick Wicklin, SAS Institute, 10:35 am Analysis of Mixture Random Effects Models for Inc.; Yun Chen, North Carolina State University Longitudinal Data—❖ Yimeng Lu, Columbia 04 SparkMats: a Graphical Method of Exploring Spatially University; Hongtu Zhu, ColumbiaPROGRAM University and Distributed Time Series—❖ John Emerson, Yale New York State Psychiatric Institute; Th addeus University; Walton Green, Yale University Tarpey, Wright State University; Eva Petkova, 05 Novel Two-Step Process for Graphically Summarizing Columbia University Multivariate Spatial Temporal Data in Two 10:50 am Nonparametric Inference for High-Dimensional Dimensions—❖ Svetlana K. Eden, Vanderbilt University; Longitudinal Data—❖ Ke Zhang, Kansas State Th eresa A. Scott, Vanderbilt University; Angel An, University; Haiyan Wang, Kansas State University Vanderbilt University; Jeff rey Horner, Vanderbilt 11:05 am Violating the Assumption of Independence of the University; Cathy Jenkins, Vanderbilt University Error Components in the Linear Mixed Model for 06 Using Kriging and 3-D Graphics To Explore Trends Longitudinal Data—❖ Matthew Gurka, University of Total Column Ozone Amount and Tropospheric of Virginia ; Lloyd Edwards, Th e University of Weather Systems in Central America from 1995 to North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Keith E. Muller, 2000—❖ Kening Wang, University of Arkansas ; Charles Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Stegman, University of Arkansas; Sean W. Mulvenon, 11:20 am A Marginal Model for Multistate Panel Data under University of Arkansas ; Yanling Xia, University of Heterogeneity—❖ Wei-Ting Hwang, University Arkansas of Pennsylvania School of Medicine 07 Dynamic Data Visualization of Meteorological Data—❖ 11:35 am Nonparametric Inference for Panel Count Data— Bruce Peterson, Terastat ❖ Ying Zhang, Th e University of Iowa 08 A Web-Centric Graphical Approach to Gain Insight into 11:50 am Estimation of the Mean Function of Panel Count NASA’s NUMB3RS—❖ Robert Allison, SAS Institute, Data Using Monotone Polynomial Splines—❖ Inc. Minggen Lu, Th e University of Iowa; Ying 09 Another View at Central America—Hadley Wickham, Zhang, Th e University of Iowa; Jian Huang, Th e Iowa State University; ❖ Jonathan Hobbs, Iowa State University of Iowa University; Dianne Cook, Iowa State University; Heike 12:05 pm Floor Discussion Hofmann, Iowa State University 10 Graphical Display of Model-Based Temperature Data—

58 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

❖ Jeff Slezak, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine Punjabi, Th e Johns Hopkins University

11 Multiple Lagged Diff erences in Spatial Time Series— 19 Using Multivariate Statistical Techniques To Analyze Monday Rafe Donahue, Vanderbilt University Medical Center; ❖ Environmental Data—❖ Kyle Bradford, James Madison Jeff rey Horner, Vanderbilt University University; Steaphanie Pearson, James Madison 12 Exploring Spatial and Temporal Characteristics University of Atmospheric Ozone Concentration Using Visualization—❖ Sudeshna Paul, Purdue University; Souleymane Fall, Purdue University; Devdutta Niyogi, Speaker with Lunch 12:30 pm–1:50 pm Purdue University; Bruce A. Craig, Purdue University 13 Visualizing Several Abnormal Climate Changes in 159 CC-4C-1 Central America from January 1995–December 2000— Statistics in Sports Speaker with Lunch (fee ❖ Sang-Hoon Cho, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Hyonho Chun, University of Wisconsin-Madison; event)—Speaker with Lunch Deepayan Sarkar, State University of Wisconsin Section on Statistics in Sports Organizer(s): Scott Berry, Berry Consultants 14 Data Display Principles Revealed in the NASA Data—❖ Rafe Donahue, Vanderbilt University Medical Center ML07 Every Play, Every Day: a Success Story for Statistics in Sports—❖ Gilbert Fellingham, Brigham Young Univer- sity Regular Contributed Posters 10:30 am–12:20 pm PRELIMINARYRoundtables with Lunch 12:30 pm–1:50 pm 158 CC-Level 6 East Lobby Contributed Posters—Contributed PROGRAM General Methodology, Section on Statistical Computing, Biometrics Section, 160 CC-4C-2 Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Statistical Graphics Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Chair(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Merlise Clyde, Duke University Cognitive science, linguistics, artifi cial intelligence ML08 Bayesian Bioinformatics—❖ Jeff rey S. Morris, M. D. 15 Intervention Models To Avoid—❖ Bradley Huitema, Anderson Cancer Center Western Michigan University Computational statistics and numerical methods 16 JSL Scripts for Extending Available Statistical Tests in JMP 161 CC-4C-2 Version 6—❖ Andy Mauromoustakos, University of Biopharmaceutical Section Roundtables with Arkansas; Kevin Th ompson, University of Arkansas Lunch (fee event) Data mining and knowledge discovery, machine Biopharmaceutical Section learning Organizer(s): Amit Bhattacharyya, GlaxoSmithKIine 17 Interactive Web Site for Data Analysis—❖ Roger Lamb, ML09 New Development and Challenges in Phase I and Phase I/II ❖ Saginaw Valley State University; Morteza Marzjarani, Dose-Finding Studies— Weili He, Merck & Co., Inc. Saginaw Valley State University; Josh Urbain, Saginaw ML10 Analysis and Evaluation of Safety Information from Clinical Valley State University Trial Data—❖ H. Amy Xia, Amgen Inc. Graphics, visualization ML11 Time-to-Event Analysis with Uncertain Endpoints—❖ Li 18 Novel Methods in the Visualization of Transitional Chen, Amgen Inc. Phenomena—❖ Bruce Swihart, University of Colorado ML12 Analyses of Stratifi ed Trials: Tips for Improving Power—❖ at Denver and Health Sciences Center; Brian Caff o, Th e Devan V. Mehrotra, Merck Research Laboratories Johns Hopkins University; Matthew Strand, University of ML13 Using Computer Simulation To Aid in Dose Selection in Clini- Colorado at Denver and Health Sciences Center; Naresh cal Trials—❖ Kenneth Liu, Merck & Co., Inc.

Seattle 59 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

ML14 Assessing the Concordance of Two-Measurement Meth- Section on Statistical Education ods—❖ Jason Liao, Merck Research Laboratories Organizer(s): Patti Collings, Brigham Young University Monday ML15 Pharmacogenomics for Drug Development and Personalized ML25 Service Learning throughout the Statistics Curriculum—❖ Medicine—❖ Xuejun Peng, Takeda Global Research Craig A. Johnson, Brigham Young University, Idaho and Development Center ML26 Finding Internet Resources for Teaching Statistics Using ML16 What To Do with Interaction Effects at Interim Analysis?— CAUSEweb—❖ Ginger Rowell, Middle Tennessee State ❖ Yuko Palesch, Medical University of South Carolina University ML17 Preparation of Interim Reports for Independent Data Moni- ML27 What Can We Do To Implement the GAISE Guidelines in Our toring Committee Review—❖ KyungMann Kim, Univer- Classrooms?—❖ Mary Parker, Th e University of Texas sity of Wisconsin-Madison at Austin/Austin Community College ML18 Statistical Design and Analysis Issues Associated with the Establishment of the Safety and Effectiveness of Medical ❖ 165 CC-4C-3 Devices— Gary Kamer, U.S. Food and Drug Admin- Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Roundtable istration with Lunch (fee event) ML19 Issues in Planning Two-Arm Clinical Trials of Active Drugs— Section on Statistics in Epidemiology ❖ Sheela Talwalker, T’Walker Consulting Organizer(s): Jennifer Clark Nelson, Group Health Cooperative ML20 Analysis of Multiple Failure Outcomes—❖ Guowen Sun, ML28 Sampling from Large Cohorts When Covariate Ascertain- sanofi -aventis ment Is Expensive—❖ William Barlow, Cancer Research ML21 What Are the Statistical Issues in Subgroup Analysis - De- and Biostatistics sign, Analysis, and Interpretation?—PRELIMINARY❖ Chul H. Ahn, U.S. Food and Drug Administration ML22 Conducting Multiple Event Analysis in Clinical Trials—❖ 166 CC-4C-3 Xiang Zhang, Amgen Inc. PROGRAMSection on Government Statistics Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Government Statistics 162 CC-4C-3 Organizer(s): Roberta Sangster, Bureau of Labor Statistics Business and Economics Statistics Section ML29 Katrina: Unanticipated Data Needs—❖ Christa Jones, Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) U.S. Census Bureau Business and Economics Statistics Section Organizer(s): David Dickey, North Carolina State University ML23 MBA Statistics Courses Should Start with Regression—❖ J. 167 CC-4C-3 Keith Ord, Georgetown University Section on Health Policy Statistics Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Health Policy Statistics 163 CC-4C-3 Organizer(s): Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar, RAND Corporation Section on Statisticians in Defense and National ML30 Measuring Health Disparities—❖ James Scanlan, James P. Security Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Scanlan, Attorney at Law Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security Organizer(s): Lara S. Schmidt, RAND Corporation ML24 Metrics for National Defense: What Metrics Would You Use 168 CC-4C-3 To Measure Success or Make Decisions If You Were the Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Secretary of Defense or a Senator or Congressman?—❖ Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Nancy Spruill, Offi ce of the Secretary of Defense Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Organizer(s): Winson Taam, Th e Boeing Company 164 CC-4C-3 ML31 Using All Them Machines: Grid Computing for Statistical Ap- plications—❖ Randall Tobias, SAS Institute, Inc.; Peter Section on Statistical Education Roundtables Westfall, Texas Tech University with Lunch (fee event)

60 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

169 CC-4C-3 Organizer(s): Hulin Wu, University of Rochester Chair(s): Andrei Yakovlev, University of Rochester Section on Quality and Productivity Roundtables Monday with Lunch (fee event) 2:05 pm A Kernel Method for Subpopulation Discovery Organizer(s): William R. Myers, Proctor & Gamble and Analysis in Polychromatic Flow Cytometry— ML32 Use of Genetic Algorithms in Experimental Design—❖ David Foster, Duke University; Cliburn Chan, ❖ John Borkowski, Montana State University Duke University; Th omas B. Kepler, Duke University ML33 Bayesian Methods in Reliability—❖ Alyson Wilson, Los Alamos National Laboratory 2:30 pm Multidimensional Scaling Analysis To Study Temporal Transcriptome Fingerprint Clustering in Human Dendritic Cells Infected with Wild-Type 170 CC-4C-3 and Chimeric Viruses—❖ Yongchao Ge, Mount Section on Risk Analysis Roundtable with Lunch Sinai School of Medicine; Ana Fernandez-Sesma, (fee event) Mount Sinai School of Medicine; Th omas M. Section on Risk Analysis Moran, Mount Sinai School of Medicine; Stuart C. Organizer(s): Duane Steff ey, Exponent, Inc. Sealfon, Mount Sinai School of Medicine ML34 Risks of Computerized Voting Systems—❖ Michael Orkin, 2:55 pm Data Analysis for Multiplex Assays—❖ Shlomo Exponent, Inc. Ta’asan, Carnegie Mellon University 3:20 pm Identifi ability and Statistical Inverse Problems for Biomedical Dynamic Systems—❖ Hulin Wu, 171 CC-4C-3 University of Rochester Section on Survey Research PRELIMINARYMethods Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Steven G. Heeringa, University of MichiganPROGRAM ML35 The Importance of Nonresponse for Survey Design—❖ Invited Sessions 2:00 pm–3:50 pm Roger Tourangeau, University of Maryland ML36 Optimization of Survey Procedures in the Presence of 174 CC-205 Limited Cost Information—❖ John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Bayesian Finance—Invited Labor Statistics Business and Economics Statistics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Robert E. McCulloch, Th e University of Chicago; Nicholas 172 CC-4C-3 Polson, Th e University of Chicago Social Statistics Section Roundtable with Lunch Chair(s): Robert E. McCulloch, Th e University of Chicago (fee event) 2:05 pm Random Field and Affi ne Models for Interest Social Statistics Section Rates: an Empirical Comparison—❖ Alan Bester, Organizer(s): Allen Schirm, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Th e University of Chicago ❖ ML37 The Future of U.S. Income Statistics— Connie Citro, 2:30 pm Optimal Filtering of Jump-Diffusions: Extracting Committee on National Statistics Latent States from Asset Prices—❖ Michael Johannes, Columbia University; Nicholas Polson, Th e University of Chicago; Jonathan Stroud, Special Presentation 2:00 pm–3:50 pm University of Pennsylvania 2:55 pm Macroeconomic Filtering from the Yield Curve—❖ 173 CC-4C-4 Satadru Hore, Th e University of Chicago Late-Breaking Session #1: Statistical/ 3:20 pm Disc: Nicholas Polson, Th e University of Chicago Mathematical Challenges in Biodefense Immune 3:40 pm Floor Discussion Modeling—Other The ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR 175 CC-401

Seattle 61 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Section on Statistics in Sports Invited Session— Yves G. Berger, Th e University of Reading; Jon N. K. Rao, Carleton University Invited Monday Section on Statistics in Sports, Section on Statistical Education 2:55 pm Variance Estimation for Complex Surveys in Organizer(s): Kara Morgan, the Presence of Outliers—❖ Ralf T. M¸nnich, Chair(s): Kara Morgan, University of Trier; Beat Hulliger, Swiss Federal Statistical Offi ce 2:05 pm An Objective Scoring Method for Graded Count Variables with Applications to Olympics and 3:20 pm Disc: Susanne R‰ssler, Institute for Employment Baseball—❖ John Daniels, Central Michigan Research University 3:40 pm Floor Discussion 2:35 pm Evaluation and Analysis of the Impact of Recruiting on College Football—❖ Justin W. 178 CC-210 Davis, University of Missouri-Columbia; David ● ✪ Statistical Issues in Disaster Response— Annis, Naval Postgraduate School Invited 3:05 pm The Combination of Subjective Judgment Section on Risk Analysis, Section on Statisticians in Defense and National with Statistical Projections in the Evaluation Security, Section on Statistical Graphics ❖ of a Baseball Player— Sig Mejdal, St. Louis Organizer(s): Sarah Michalak, Los Alamos National Laboratory Cardinals Chair(s): Sarah Michalak, Los Alamos National Laboratory 3:35 pm Floor Discussion 2:05 pm Statistical GeoInformatics of Hotspot Detection and Prioritization for Early Warning and Disaster 176 PRELIMINARYCC-3B Management—❖ Ganapati P. Patil, Penn State; ✪ Forensic Statistics—Invited Luiz Duczmal, Universidade Federal de Minas Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security Gerais; Reza Modarres, Th e George Washington Organizer(s): David Banks, Duke University PROGRAMUniversity; Stephen L. Rathbun, University of Georgia Chair(s): Wendy Martinez, Offi ce of Naval Research 2:30 pm Changing Perspectives in the Analysis of Natural 2:05 pm Another Look at the Kennedy Assassination—❖ Disaster Data—❖ Maria J. Sirois, Tulane Cliff ord Spiegelman, Texas A&M University University; David Banks, Duke University 2:35 pm Forensic Statistics: Intelligence, Evidence, and 2:55 pm Preparing for a Disaster—❖ Vicki M. Bier, Law—❖ David Kaye, Arizona State University University of Wisconsin-Madison; Lee Clarke, 3:05 pm The Probative Value of Trace Evidence: What Rutgers University Sources of Error Are Really Important?—❖ Alicia 3:20 pm Disc: David Banks, Duke University Carriquiry, Iowa State University 3:40 pm Floor Discussion 3:35 pm Floor Discussion

179 CC-613 177 CC-604 ● ✪ ● Variance Estimation in the Presence of Statistical Methods in Climate Modeling and Nonresponse and Outliers—Invited Seismology—Invited WNAR, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Bayesian Section on Survey Research Methods Statistical Science, Section on Statistics and the Environment Organizer(s): Ralf T. M¸nnich, University of Trier Organizer(s): Gabriel Huerta, University of New Mexico Chair(s): Phillip S. Kott, National Agricultural Statistics Service Chair(s): Gabriel Huerta, University of New Mexico 2:05 pm Estimation of the Total Variance of Survey 2:05 pm Probabilistic Projections of Climate Change: Statistics under Unweighted Imputation—❖ Bayesian Models for Analyzing Ensembles of Santanu Pramanik, University of Maryland; Global Climate Models—❖ Claudia Tebaldi, Partha Lahiri, University of Maryland National Center for Atmospheric Research; 2:30 pm Adjusted Jackknife for Imputation under Unequal Richard L. Smith, Th e University of North Probability Sampling without Replacement—❖ Carolina at Chapel Hill; Douglas W. Nychka,

62 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

National Center for Atmospheric Research; Linda Wendelberger, Los Alamos National Laboratory O. Mearns, National Center for Atmospheric 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Monday Research 2:35 pm Uncertainty Estimation in Geophysics—❖ Mrinal K. Sen, Th e University of Texas at Austin 182 CC-3A ● ✪ Genome-Wide Association Studies—Invited 3:05 pm Estimating Parametric Uncertainties of the Section on Statistical Computing, Biometrics Section, ENAR, WNAR Community Atmospheric Model (CAM3) and Processes Controlling Global Climate Change—❖ Organizer(s): Charles Kooperberg, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center Charles S. Jackson, Th e University of Texas at Austin Chair(s): Michael LeBlanc, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 3:35 pm Floor Discussion 2:05 pm Genome-Wide Disease Gene Mapping by Association Analysis—❖ Jurg Ott, Th e Rockefeller University 180 CC-609 2:30 pm The Genetics of Insulin Resistance: Clusters and Sensitivity Analysis for Missing Data and Causal SNPs—❖ Richard A. Olshen, Stanford University Inference: Principles and Practice—Invited 2:55 pm Identifying Interactions in Genome-Wide Biometrics Section Association Studies—❖ Charles Kooperberg, Organizer(s): Joseph W. Hogan, Brown University Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center Chair(s): Michael Daniels, University of Florida 3:20 pm Choices and Consequences of Genetic Marker 2:05 pm A Sensitivity Analysis Paradigm for Randomized Selection on Whole-Genome Association Scans— Trials with Potentially InformativePRELIMINARY Censored ❖ Lon Cardon, University of Oxford ❖ Data— Daniel Scharfstein, Johns Hopkins 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Bloomberg School of Public Health 2:35 pm Mixture Models and Informative PriorsPROGRAM for Analyzing Incomplete Longitudinal Data—❖ 183 CC-619 Joseph W. Hogan, Brown University Regression Models with Functional Predictors— 3:05 pm Sensitivity Analysis for Instrumental Variables Invited Regression with Overidentifying Restrictions—❖ Section on Nonparametric Statistics Dylan S. Small, University of Pennsylvania Organizer(s): Philip Reiss, Columbia University 3:35 pm Floor Discussion Chair(s): Philip Reiss, Columbia University 2:05 pm Functional Variance Processes and Volatility Modeling—❖ Hans-Georg Mueller, University of 181 CC-211 California, Davis Management of Statistical Decisionmaking in a 2:35 pm Interpretable Functional Regression Models—❖ Large Organization—Invited Gareth James, University of Southern California Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statistical Educa- 3:05 pm Aspects of Feature Selection in Functional tion, Section on Statistical Consulting Data—❖ Philip J. Brown, University of Kent Organizer(s): Sarah Kalicin, Intel Corporation 3:35 pm Floor Discussion Chair(s): Sarah Kalicin, Intel Corporation 2:05 pm Maximizing the Effectiveness of Statistical Resources in Industry—❖ Henry T. Davis, Becton, 184 CC-611 Dickinson, and Company Threshold Regression Models and Applications— 2:30 pm The Future of Corporate Statistics Invited Organizations—❖ Roger W. Hoerl, GE Global Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Research Organizer(s): Mei-Ling T. Lee, Th e Ohio State University 2:55 pm Teaching Engineers To Think Statistically—❖ Chair(s): Marvin Zelen, Harvard School of Public Health Scott A. Pardo, Purdue Frederick Labs 2:05 pm Threshold Regression for Survival Analysis: 3:20 pm Collaboration with Nonstatisticians—❖ Joanne Modeling Event Occurrence When Latent Health

Seattle 63 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Status Decreases to a Threshold—❖ George A. Organizer(s): Steve Boeh, Medtronic, Inc. Whitmore, McGill University Chair(s): Steve Boeh, Medtronic, Inc. Monday 2:30 pm Application of Threshold Regression in Analyzing 2:05 pm Limiting Distributions of Resistances for Specifi c Lung Cancer Rates in Women—❖ Mei-Ling T. Radiation Sterilization Doses—❖ Harry Bushar, Lee, Th e Ohio State University; Bernard Rosner, DHHS/PHS/FDA/CDRH/OSB/DBS Harvard Medical School 2:25 pm Issues Encountered in Statistical Analyses 2:55 pm Latent Process Models with Multiple Types of of Complex Experimental Medical Device Observations—❖ Daniel Commenges, UniversitÈ Data—❖ Hollington Lu, Center for Devices and Bordeaux Radiological Health; Barbara Krasnicka, U.S. Food 3:20 pm Disc: David Oakes, University of Rochester and Drug Administration Medical Center 2:45 pm Frailty Model for Assessing Treatment Effect 3:40 pm Floor Discussion between Bare-Metal and Drug-Eluting Stents with Multiple Cardiac Events: Experience from Post- Marketing Registries—❖ So Jung Imm, Boston Scientifi c Corporation; Scott Wehrenberg, Boston Topic-Contributed Sessions Scientifi c Corporation; Aijun Song, Boston 2:00 pm–3:50 pm Scientifi c Corporation; Zheng Zhou, Boston Scientifi c Corporation 185 CC-618 3:05 pm Multiple Imputation for Missing Data in ● Applications of Machine Learning Techniques Propensity Score Generation: Application in PRELIMINARYComparing Two Stenting Techniques Using Post- in Bioinformatics and Other Areas—Topic- ❖ Contributed Marketing Registry Data— Aijun Song, Boston Scientifi c Corporation; Scott Wehrenberg, Boston Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, ENAR PROGRAMScientifi c Corporation; Zheng Zhou, Boston Organizer(s): Sujay Datta, Texas A&M University Scientifi c Corporation Chair(s): Sujay Datta, Texas A&M University 3:25 pm Disc: Andrew Mugglin, University of Minnesota 2:05 pm Graph-Based Classifi ers in Semi-Supervised 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Learning—❖ George Michailidis, University of Michigan 2:25 pm Estimating Differential Equation Models of Gene 187 CC-2B Expression Dynamics—❖ Th eodore Perkins, ● ✪ Bayesian Applications in Medical Devices— McGill University Topic-Contributed 2:45 pm Statistical Models on Protein Complex Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, ENAR Alignments—❖ Tony Chiang, Fred Hutchinson Organizer(s): Yihua Zhao, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Gosford Cancer Research Center Sawyerr, 3:05 pm Neural Network Imputation: an Experience with Chair(s): Yihua Zhao, U.S. Food and Drug Administration the National Resources Inventory Survey—❖ 2:05 pm Using Auxiliary Information in Clinical Trials—❖ Tapabrata Maiti, Iowa State University Shu Han, Guidant Corporation; Donald Berry, 3:25 pm Analyzing Gene Expression Data Using Tree- Th e University of Texas Based Models—❖ Bret Musser, Merck Research 2:25 pm The Role of Accrual Rate and Follow-up Time in Laboratories a Bayesian Adaptive Design—❖ Xuefeng Li, U.S. 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Food and Drug Administration 2:45 pm A Tiered Treatment Design for a Historically Controlled Medical Device Clinical Trial—❖ 186 CC-610 Alistair O’Malley, Harvard Medical School ● Postmarket Issues in Medical Devices—Topic- 3:05 pm How Bayesian Hierarchical Models Handle Contributed Multiplicity Issues Automatically: a Case Study in Biopharmaceutical Section a Medical Device Trial—❖ Feng Tang, Medtronic,

64 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Inc.; Lou Sherfesee, Medtronic, Inc.; Andrew Sampling—❖ Jesse Frey, Villanova University Mugglin, University of Minnesota 2:25 pm Ranked Set Sample Inference under the Monday 3:25 pm Disc: Cynthia DeSouza, Constraint of Stochastic Ordering of Judgment 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Ranking Classes—❖ Omer Ozturk, Th e Ohio State University 2:45 pm Concomitant of Multivariate Order Statistics with 188 CC-606 Application to Judgment Post-Stratifi cation—❖ Statistical Methods for Evaluating Racial-Ethnic Xinlei Wang, Southern Methodist University; S. Disparities in Health—Topic-Contributed Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University; Section on Health Policy Statistics Johan Lim, Texas A&M University; Min Chen, Organizer(s): Marc Elliott, RAND Corporation Th e University of Texas at Austin Chair(s): Marika Suttorp, RAND Corporation 3:05 pm Approximate Confi dence Intervals from a Ranked 2:05 pm A New Method for Estimating Racial/Ethnic Set Sample—❖ Christopher Sroka, Th e Ohio Disparities Where Administrative Records Lack State University; Elizabeth Stasny, Th e Ohio Self-Reported Race/Ethnicity—❖ Marc Elliott, State University; Douglas Wolfe, Th e Ohio State RAND Corporation; Allen Fremont, RAND University Corporation; Nicole Lurie, RAND Corporation; 3:25 pm Disc: Douglas Wolfe, Th e Ohio State University Peter A. Morrison, RAND Corporation; Philip 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Pantoja, RAND Corporation; Allan Abrahamse, RAND Corporation 2:25 pm Power of Tests for a DichotomousPRELIMINARY Independent 190 CC-608 Variable Measured with Error—❖ Daniel Synthetic Data or No Data: Choices in Disclosure McCaff rey, RAND Corporation; Marc Elliott, Avoidance Methods—Topic-Contributed RAND Corporation PROGRAMSection on Government Statistics 2:45 pm Improving the Accuracy of Health Estimates for Organizer(s): J. NeilRussell, National Center for Education Statistics Small Racial-Ethnic Groups by Weighted Pooling Chair(s): J. NeilRussell, National Center for Education Statistics ❖ over Time— Brian Finch, San Diego State 2:05 pm U.S. Census Bureau Disclosure Avoidance Practices University; Marc Elliott, RAND Corporation; and Research: an Update for JSM 2006—❖ Laura Daniel McCaff rey, RAND Corporation; David Zayatz, U.S. Census Bureau Klein, RAND Corporation; Daniela Golinelli, 2:25 pm Part 2: Myth & Reality - Complementary Cell RAND Corporation Suppression—❖ Ramesh Dandekar, Energy 3:05 pm Differential Use of 0-10 Rating Scales by Information Administration Racial-Ethnic Minorities in CAHPSÆ—❖ Robert 2:45 pm Partial Synthesis for Disclosure Avoidance—❖ Weech-Maldonado, University of Florida; Marc Sam Hawala, U.S. Census Bureau Elliott, RAND Corporation; K. Cameron Schiller, University of Florida; Ron D. Hays, University of 3:05 pm The Disclosure Limitation Protocol for the California, Los Angeles Census Bureau’s ‘On the Map’ Origin-Destination Transportation Application—❖ Fredrik 3:25 pm Disc: William D. Kalsbeek, Th e University of Andersson, Cornell University; John Abowd, North Carolina at Chapel Hill Cornell University; Marc Roemer, U.S. Census 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Bureau 3:25 pm Inferences on Two-Stage, Multiply-Imputed 189 CC-620 Data—❖ Satkartar Kinney, Duke University; ● Ranked Sampling I—Topic-Contributed Jerome Reiter, Duke University Section on Nonparametric Statistics 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Omer Ozturk, Th e Ohio State University Chair(s): S. LynneStokes, Southern Methodist University 191 CC-601 2:05 pm New Imperfect Rankings Models for Ranked-Set ● Census Coverage Measurement—Topic-

Seattle 65 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Contributed ● ✪ The Promise and Potential of the American

Section on Survey Research Methods Community Survey—Topic-Contributed Monday Organizer(s): Richard Griffi n, U.S. Census Bureau Social Statistics Section Chair(s): William R. Bell, U.S. Census Bureau Organizer(s): Charles Hirschman, University of Washington 2:05 pm 2010 Census Coverage Measurement: Initial Chair(s): Susan Schechter, Offi ce of Management and Budget Results of Net Error Empirical Research Using Panelists: ❖ Charles Hirschman, University of Washington ❖ Logistic Regression— Richard Griffi n, U.S. ❖ Linda Gage, California Department of Finance Census Bureau; Th omas Mule, U.S. Census ❖ Linda Jacobsen, Population Reference Bureau Bureau; Doug Olson, U.S. Census Bureau 3:45 pm Floor Discussion 2:25 pm 2010 Census Coverage Measurement Research on Person Coverage Estimates by Housing Unit Enumeration Status—❖ Vincent Mule, U.S. 194 CC-201 Census Bureau ● Learning from and Applying Statistics 2:45 pm A Nonparametric Approach to Census Education Research to Our Own Teaching—Topic- Population Size Estimation—❖ Song X. Chen, Contributed Iowa State University; Chengyong Tang, Iowa Section on Statistical Education State University; Jean D. Opsomer, Iowa State Organizer(s): Jackie Miller, Th e Ohio State University University; Sarah M. Nusser, Iowa State University Chair(s): Jackie Miller, Th e Ohio State University 3:05 pm 2010 Census Coverage Measurement: the Hunt Panelists: ❖ Christine Franklin, University of Georgia for the Magic Variables—❖ Eric Schindler, U.S. PRELIMINARY ❖ Roxy Peck, California Polytechnic State Census Bureau University, San Luis Obispo 3:25 pm Framework for Census Coverage Error ❖ Components—❖ Mary Mulry, U.S.PROGRAM Census Robert Gould, University of California, Los Bureau; Donna Kostanich, U.S. Census Bureau Angeles ❖ 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Joy Jordan, Lawrence University 3:35 pm Floor Discussion

Topic-Contributed Panels 2:00 pm–3:50 pm Regular Contributed Sessions 2:00 pm–3:50 pm 192 CC-2A ● Hiring a Consulting Statistician: What We Look 195 CC-603 for—Topic-Contributed ● Sample Survey Design II—Contributed Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Education Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Christina M. Gullion, Kaiser Permanente Center for Chair(s): Michael E. Jones, Westat Health Research 2:05 pm Properties and Modifi cations of a Probability Chair(s): Brenda Gaydos, Eli Lilly and Company Proportional to Size Sampling Procedure—❖ Panelists: ❖ Christina M. Gullion, Kaiser Permanente Lawrence R. Ernst, Bureau of Labor Statistics Center for Health Research 2:20 pm Supplementing RDD Surveys with Web-Based ❖ K. B. Boomer, Penn State Survey Data—❖ Karol Krotki, RTI International ❖ Fred Hulting, General Mills, Inc. 2:35 pm Comparison of Mixed-Mode and Address Frame Designs to Random Digit Dialing for General ❖ Don Harder, Eli Lilly and Company Population Surveys—❖ Michael W. Link, Centers 3:45 pm Floor Discussion for Disease Control and Prevention; Michael P. Battaglia, Abt Associates Inc.; Martin R. Frankel, 193 CC-607 Abt Associates Inc.; Larry Osborn, Abt Associates

66 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Inc. University; Chihnan Chen, Boston University; Margarita Alegria, Cambridge Health Alliance 2:50 pm Probability Sample Designs that Impose Monday Superpopulation Models on Survey Data—❖ 3:35 pm Multiple Imputation Strategy for Alameda County Stephen Woodruff , Study—❖ Irina Bondarenko, University of 3:05 pm A Review of the Sample Design for the 2001, Michigan; Trivellore E. Raghunathan, University 2003, and 2005 California Health Interview of Michigan Survey—❖ Ismael Flores Cervantes, Westat; Michael E. Jones, Westat; Laura Alvarez-Rojas, 197 CC-203 Westat; J. Michael Brick, Westat; John H. Kurata, ● ✪ Challenges and Innovative Methods for University of California, Los Angeles; David Teaching Biostatistics in the Health Sciences— Grant, University of California, Los Angeles Contributed 3:20 pm Comparing Alternate Designs for a Multidomain Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Cluster Sample—Pedro Saavedra, ORC Macro; ❖ Chair(s): Dongseok Choi, Oregon Health & Science University Mareena McKinley Wright, ORC Macro; Joseph P. Riley, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban 2:05 pm The Implications of the Increasing Sophistication Development of Statistical Methods in The New England Journal of Medicine—❖ Suzanne Switzer, Smith College; 3:35 pm The Impact of Unequal Minority Distribution Nicholas J. Horton, Smith College across Schools on PPS Oversampling Methods—❖ William Robb, ORC Macro; Joshua Brown, ORC 2:20 pm How To Reduce the Risk of Nervous Breakdown Macro; James Ross, ORC Macro; Ronaldo Iachan, in Physicians Taking an Introductory Biostatistics ❖ ORC Macro PRELIMINARYCourse— Patrick Arbogast, Vanderbilt University 2:35 pm Learner-Centered Approach to Biostatistics in 196 CC-602 PROGRAMHealth Sciences Settings—❖ Ralph Turner, ● Nonresponse, Imputation, and Estimation— University of the Sciences in Philadelphia Contributed 2:50 pm Basic Biostats: Online Learning versus Onsite Section on Survey Research Methods Learning—❖ John McGready, Th e Johns Hopkins Chair(s): Steven Pedlow, NORC University 2:05 pm Multiple Imputation for Incomplete Multivariate 3:05 pm The Design and Evaluation of Computer-Assisted ❖ Data Under a Latent-Class Selection Model— Instruction on Biostatistics: an Example of Hyekyung Jung, Penn State; Joseph L. Schafer, Central Limit Theorem—❖ Lai-Chu See, Chang Penn State Gung University; Yu Hsuan Huang, Chang Gung 2:20 pm Inferences on Missing Information and the Memorial Hospital; Yi Hua Chang, Chang Gung Number of Imputation—❖ Ofer Harel, University University; Pei-I Peng, Chang Gung University of Connecticut 3:20 pm Enhancing Medical Students’ Understanding 2:35 pm Enhancements to the 2006 Canadian Census Edit of Risk Information Using a Large Group and Imputation System—❖ Wesley Benjamin, Interactive Audience Response System—❖ Statistics Canada Fredric Wolf, University of Washington; David 2:50 pm Separating the Wheat from the Chaff: the Search Masuda, University of Washington; Linda Pinsky, for the Best Imputation Methodology—❖ Paula University of Washington Weir, Energy Information Administration; Pedro 3:35 pm Floor Discussion Saavedra, ORC Macro 3:05 pm Analyses of Measures of Respondent Burden at ❖ 198 CC-614 the National Agricultural Statistics Service— ● Advances in Graphical Methods—Contributed Fatu Wesley, U.S. Department of Agriculture Section on Statistical Graphics 3:20 pm Multiple Imputation for Response Biases in Chair(s): Li Li, George Mason University NLAAS Due to Survey Instruments—❖ Jingchen Liu, Harvard University; Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard 2:05 pm Letter Value Box Plots: Box Plots for Large

Seattle 67 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Datasets—❖ Karen Kafadar, University of Science Center at Houston; Hung-Wen Yeh, Th e Colorado; Heike Hofmann, Iowa State University; University of Texas School of Public Health Monday Hadley Wickham, Iowa State University 3:05 pm The Log Multinomial Regression Model for 2:20 pm Censored Q-Q Plot: Diagnostic Tool for Checking Nominal Outcomes with More Than Two Population Heteroscedasticity—❖ Jong Kim, Attributes—❖ Leigh Blizzard, Menzies Research Portland State University Institute; David W. Hosmer, University of 2:35 pm Variations on the Histogram—❖ Lorraine Denby, Massachusetts Avaya Labs Research; Colin Mallows, Avaya Labs 3:20 pm Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Racial and Research Socioeconomic Predictors of Mortality in a ❖ 2:50 pm Ideas about Forestry Data Visualization—❖ Sample of the U.S. Medicare Population— Yijie Lutong Zhou, University of Western Ontario; Zhou, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Francesca Willard J. Braun, University of Western Ontario Dominici, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Th omas A. Louis, Th e Johns Hopkins University 3:05 pm Of Forests, Trees, and Logs: Application and Visualization of Tree-Based Methods for Large 3:35 pm Bayesian Estimation for Epidemic Models on a ❖ Data—❖ Simon Urbanek, AT&T Labs-Research Social Network— Crystal Linkletter, Simon Fraser University; Randy R. Sitter, Simon Fraser 3:20 pm Simple Visualizations of Paired Comparisons—❖ University; Nicolas Hengartner, Los Alamos Spencer Graves, PDF Solutions, Inc.; Hans-Peter National Laboratory Piepho, University of Hohenheim 3:35 pm Floor Discussion PRELIMINARY200 CC-605 Choice Experiments in Marketing—Contributed 199 CC-612 Section on Statistics and Marketing ● ✪ Longitudinal Models—Contributed Chair(s): Arindam RoyChoudhury, University of Washington Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, PROGRAMENAR 2:05 pm Managing Large Conjoint Studies—❖ Ulderico Chair(s): Owen Devine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Santarelli, Consultant 2:05 pm Modeling Individual Addition Behavior Using a 2:20 pm Designing a Stated Choice Survey To Study Food Mixed-Effect Model with Three States—❖ Sheng Product Eco-Labels—❖ Iain Pardoe, University of Luo, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Ciprian M. Oregon Crainiceanu, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Th omas A. Louis, Th e Johns Hopkins University; 2:35 pm Fusing Best/Worst Choices and Ratings Data ❖ Nilanjan Chatterjee, National Cancer Institute for Comparisons on a Common Scale— Lynd D. Bacon, Sighthound Solutions, Inc.; Peter J. 2:20 pm Quantile Regression Methods for Modeling Lenk, University of Michigan; Katya Seryakova, CD4 T-Cell Trajectory among HIV-Infected Knowledge Networks, Inc. Men and Women on Long Term, Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy—❖ Haitao Chu, Johns 2:50 pm The Impact of Choice Set Complexity on ❖ Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Ying Respondent Screening Behavior— Joseph Wei, Columbia University; Alvaro Munoz, Johns Retzer, Maritz Research Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; 3:05 pm Partial Profi le Choice Experiments: an Stephen J. Gange, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Assessment—❖ Terry Elrod, University of Alberta School of Public Health 3:20 pm Misspecifi cation and Decision Strategies in Choice 2:35 pm On the Equivalence of Case-Crossover and Time- Design Parameter Assumptions—❖ Jennifer Series Methods—❖ Yun Lu, Th e Johns Hopkins Golek, DuPont; Robert W. Mee, University of University; Scott Zeger, Th e Johns Hopkins Tennessee University 3:35 pm Thurstone Scaling via Maximum Likelihood in 2:50 pm Analysis of Longitudinal Trinomial Outcome Order Statistics—❖ Stan Lipovetsky, GfK-CRI through a Surrogate Variable—❖ Wenyaw Chan, Th e University of Texas School of Public Health; Yen-Peng Li, Th e University of Texas Health 201 CC-213

68 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

● Statistical Methods and Ecological Chair(s): Louise Ryan, Harvard School of Public Health

Applications—Contributed 2:05 pm Inter-Rater Reliability of Pressure Ulcer Staging: Monday Section on Statistics and the Environment Ordinal Probit Bayesian Hierarchical Model That Chair(s): Samantha C. Prins, Virginia Tech Allows for Uncertain Rater Response—❖ Byron 2:05 pm Choice of Weights in Meta-Analysis of Mark- Gajewski, Th e University of Kansas Medical Recapture Survival Studies—❖ James R. Faulkner, Center; Sara Hart, Th e University of Kansas U.S. Department of Commerce; Steven G. Smith, Medical Center; Sandra Bergquist-Beringer, Th e U.S. Department of Commerce University of Kansas Medical Center; Nancy Dunton, Th e University of Kansas Medical Center 2:20 pm Trend Estimation in a Periodic Survey of North- 2:20 pm A Random-Effects Four-Part Model for American Waterfowl—❖ Mark Otto, U.S. Fish and Longitudinal Medical Costs—❖ Wildlife Service Lei Liu, University of Virginia; Mark R. Conaway, 2:35 pm Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Models for Radio- University of Virginia Telemetry Contacts—❖ Albert N. Hendrix, 2:35 pm Bayesian Analysis of Repeated Data with Many R2 Resource Consultants, Inc.; Rip Shively, Zeros: Application to the Longitudinal Adolescent U.S. Geological Survey; Barbara Adams, U.S. Substance Abuse Study—❖ Geological Survey Hyonggin An, Th e University of Iowa 2:50 pm Evaluating Sampling Approaches for Monitoring Chronic Wasting Disease (CWD) 2:50 pm Repeated Measures Mixture Modeling with Applications to Postmortem Tissue Studies in in Deer Populations—❖ Ling Huang, Iowa Schizophrenia—❖ State University; Sarah M. Nusser, Iowa State Zhuoxin Sun, Dana-Farber PRELIMINARYCancer Institute; Ori Rosen, Th e University of University; William R. Clark, Iowa State University; David L. Otis, Iowa State University Texas at El Paso; Allan R. Sampson, University of Pittsburgh 3:05 pm The Federally Threatened Plant Species, Missouri PROGRAM3:05 pm A Hidden Markov Model To Describe Responses Bladderpod: Model Selection and Validation—❖ to Alcoholism Treatment—❖ William Leeds, Truman State University; Hyun- Kenneth Shirley, Joo Kim, Truman State University; Corey Elledge, University of Pennsylvania; Dylan S. Small, Truman State University; Michael Kelrick, University of Pennsylvania Truman State University; Elizabeth Bobzien, 3:20 pm Mixture Gaussian Model-Based Bayesian Truman State University; James Franklin, Truman Clustering—❖ Wei Zhang, Harvard University State University 3:35 pm Modeling Distortion Product Otoacoustic 3:20 pm Effects of Sample Survey Design on the Accuracy Emissions Using Noncentral-F Mixed Effects of Classifi cation Tree Models in Ecology—❖ Models—❖ Lai Wei, Th e Ohio State University; Th omas C. Edwards, U.S. Geological Survey; Peter F. Craigmile, Th e Ohio State University; D. Richard Cutler, Utah State University; Wayne M. King, Th e Ohio State University; Gretchen Moisen, U.S. Forest Service; Niklaus Stephanie Jones, Th e Ohio State University E. Zimmermann, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL; Linda Geiser, U.S. Department of 203 CC-617 Agriculture ● Methodology for Survival and Censored 3:35 pm Spatio-Temporal Analysis Incorporating a Spatial Data—Contributed Correlation Structure on a Long-Term Forestry Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR Field Research Dataset—❖ Bronson Bullock, Chair(s): Sudipto Banerjee, University of Minnesota North Carolina State University; Edward Boone, Th e University of North Carolina at Wilmington 2:05 pm Constructing Multivariate Prognostic Expression Profi les for Survival Endpoints—❖ Derick R. Peterson, University of Rochester; Alexander 202 CC-616 Pearson, University of Rochester ● Biostatistical Modeling—Contributed 2:20 pm Predict Survival using Gene Expression Data Biometrics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, ENAR under Cox PH Models—❖ Wenqing He,

Seattle 69 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

University of Western Ontario; Grace Y. Yi, 3:35 pm Floor Discussion University of Waterloo Monday 2:35 pm Model Combining in Survival Analysis—❖ Lihua 205 CC-206 Chen, Th e University of Toledo ● ✪ A Changing World: Katrina, Children, Judges, 2:50 pm Median Regression Analysis from Doubly and More—Contributed ❖ Censored Data— Sundar Subramanian, Business and Economics Statistics Section University of Maine Chair(s): David Dickey, North Carolina State University 3:05 pm Smoothed Bootstrap-Based Bandwidth 2:05 pm Statistics - Sociophysics - Mediaphysics Estimation—❖ Derek Bean, University of Maine; (Statistical Physics of Social Mass Media Sundar Subramanian, University of Maine Phenomena)—❖ Dmitri V. Kuznetsov, Media 3:20 pm Equivalences of Nonparametric Estimators and Planning Group; Igor Mandel, Media Planning Noninformative Censoring Conditions—❖ Yingfu Group Li, University of Houston-Clear Lake; Jiantian 2:20 pm The Impact of Hurricane Katrina on Business Wang, Kean University Establishments—❖ Ron S. Jarmin, U.S. Census 3:35 pm Floor Discussion Bureau 2:35 pm Estimating the Change in the Gender Wage 204 CC-400 Gap When Employment Composition Changes: Mixed Models and Data Mining—Contributed Evidence for Japan, 1987–2002—❖ Daiji Section on Statistical Computing Kawaguchi, Hitotsubashi University; Hisahiro Naito, Tsukuba University Chair(s): Hasan Hamdan, James MadisonPRELIMINARY University ❖ 2:05 pm A Comparison of the Reporting of Problems 2:50 pm When Do Judges Explain Themselves?— Alan Encountered in the Estimation of Covariance Izenman, Temple University; David Hoff man, Parameters in Linear Mixed ModelsPROGRAM Using Temple University SAS, SPSS, R, Stata, and HLM—❖ Brady West, 3:05 pm Do Regular Cycles Occur in American Politics?—❖ University of Michigan; Kathy Welch, University Samuel Merrill, Wilkes University; Bernard of Michigan; Andrzej Galecki, University of Grofman, University of California, Irvine Michigan 3:20 pm Tolls, Exchange Rates, and International Bridge 2:20 pm A Note on Testing of Hypothesis of Kroneckar Traffi c—❖ Th omas Fullerton, Th e University of Product Covariance Structure in Doubly Texas at El Paso Multivariate Data—❖ Anuradha Roy, Th e 3:35 pm High-Frequency Returns, Jumps, and the Mixture University of Texas at San Antonio of Normals Hypothesis—❖ Jeff Fleming, Rice 2:35 pm On Hierarchical Linear Mixed Modeling Using University; Brad Paye, Rice University the Multivariate t Distribution with Missing ❖ Information— Tsung-I Lin, National Chung 206 CC-615 Hsing University; Jack C. Lee, National Chiao ● Stochastic Processes with Applications— Tung University Contributed 2:50 pm Automatic Approximation of the Marginal Biometrics Section Likelihood in Non-Gaussian Hierarchical Models— Chair(s): Jamie McClave Baldwin, Info Tech, Inc. ❖ Hans J. Skaug, University of Bergen; David A. Fournier, Otter Research Ltd. 2:05 pm Intensity Estimates for Spike Train Data Observed under Multiple Behavioral States—❖ Matt 3:05 pm Adversarial Learning—❖ Bowei Xi, Purdue Gregas, Harvard School of Public Health University; Murat Kantarcioglu, Th e University of Texas at Dallas; Chris Clifton, Purdue University 2:20 pm Probabilistic Model To Evaluate Biological Process—❖ Hrishikesh Chakraborty, RTI 3:20 pm Maximum Entropy Data Camoufl aging—❖ International; Pranab K. Sen, Th e University of Kurt Pfl ughoeft, Market Probe; Ehsan S. Soofi , North Carolina at Chapel Hill University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee; Refi k Soyer, Th e George Washington University 2:35 pm Parametric Inference from Window-Censored

70 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Renewal Processes and Applications—❖ Yanxing 3:20 pm Goodness-of-Fit Tests via Phi-Divergences—❖ Zhao, Th e Ohio State University; H. N. Nagaraja, Leah R. Jager, University of Washington; Jon A. Monday Th e Ohio State University Wellner, University of Washington 2:50 pm Stochastic Models for MRI Lesion Count 3:35 pm Extensions of the Penalized Spline Propensity Data from Patients with Relapsing Remitting Prediction Method for Monotone Missing Data— Multiple Sclerosis—❖ Xiaobai Li, Th e Ohio ❖ Guangyu Zhang, University of Michigan; State University; H. N. Nagaraja, Th e Ohio State Roderick J. Little, University of Michigan University 3:05 pm Tracking Of Multiple Merging and Splitting 208 CC-204 Targets with Application to Convective Systems— Advances in Bayesian Computation—Contributed ❖ Curtis Storlie, North Carolina State University Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 3:20 pm An Effi cient Algorithm for Exact Distribution Chair(s): Subhashis Ghosal, North Carolina State University of Discrete Scan Statistics—❖ Morteza 2:05 pm Likelihood Subgradient Densities—❖ Kjell Ebneshahrashoob, California State University, Nygren, IMS Health; Lan Nygren, Rider Long Beach; Tangan Gao, California State University University, Long Beach; Mengnien Wu, Tamkang University 2:20 pm Likelihood Approximations in Bayesian Multiple Curve Fitting—❖ 3:35 pm Floor Discussion Carsten Botts, Williams College; Michael Daniels, University of Florida 2:35 pm Video Segmentation Using a Bayesian Online EM 207 PRELIMINARYCC-214 Algorithm—❖ Johan Lindstrˆm, Lund University; Estimating Functions, Goodness-of-Fit, Finn Lindgren, Lund University; Kalle ≈strˆm, and Smoothing for Nonparametric and Lund University; Jan Holst, Lund University; Ulla Semiparametric Models—ContributedPROGRAMHolst, Lund University IMS, Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, ENAR 2:50 pm Two-Stage EM Algorithm on the Random Transfer Chair(s): Qunhua Li, University of Washington Function Model—❖ Hyunyoung Choi, University 2:05 pm Minimax Estimation Using Higher-Order of California, Santa Barbara; Bonnie K. Ray, IBM Estimating Functions—❖ Lingling Li, Harvard T. J. Watson Research Center School of Public Health; Eric Tchetgen, Harvard 3:05 pm Bayesian Variable Selection in Clustering High School of Public Health; James Robins, Harvard Dimensional Data with Substructure—❖ Michael School of Public Health; Aad van der Vaart, Vrije D. Swartz, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Universiteit Amsterdam Marina Vannucci, Texas A&M University 2:20 pm Higher Order Infl uence Functions for Inference 3:20 pm Floor Discussion in Monotone Missing Data Models—❖ Eric Tchetgen, Harvard School of Public Health; Lingling Li, Harvard School of Public Health; 209 CC-212 James Robins, Harvard School of Public Health; Design and Analysis of Response Surface Aad van der Vaart, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Experiments—Contributed 2:35 pm Minimax Interval Estimation of Optimal Treatment Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Stategies—❖ James Robins, Harvard School of Chair(s): Jason Loeppky, Th e University of British Columbia Public Health; Eric Tchetgen, Harvard School 2:05 pm Semiparametric Techniques for Response Surface of Public Health; Lingling Li, Harvard School of Methodology—❖ Stephanie Pickle, Virginia Tech; Public Health; Aad Van der Vaart, Amsterdam Jeff rey B. Birch, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and 2:50 pm A Semi-Adaptive Smoothing Algorithm in State University; Timothy Robinson, University of Bispectrum Estimation—❖ Wei Yang, University Wyoming at Albany; Igor Zurbenko, University at Albany 2:20 pm Simulation-Based Inference on the Improvement ❖ 3:05 pm Estimation in Constrained Models—❖ Hanxiang in a Rotatable Response Surface— Robert Peng, University of Mississippi Parody, Rochester Institute of Technology; Don

Seattle 71 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Edwards, University of South Carolina 04 Model Identifi cation and Forecasting of Stationary ❖ Models with GARCH(P,Q) Errors—❖ Melody 2:35 pm Rethinking Steepest Ascent— Robert W. Mee, Monday University of Tennessee; Jihua Xiao, University of Ghahramani, University of Manitoba Tennessee 05 Th e Magnet Eff ect of Price Limits: Evidence from ❖ 2:50 pm Sequential Methodology for Detecting Jumps Transactions Data— Ping-Hung Hsieh, Oregon State in Complex Surfaces—❖ Yan Lan, University University; Yong H. Kim, University of Cincinnati; J. of Michigan; George Michailidis, University of Jimmy Yang, Oregon State University Michigan 06 Robust Granger Causality Tests in the VARX ❖ 3:05 pm Minimal-Point Optimal Designs for Second-Order Framework— Alex Maynard, University of Toronto; Response Surfaces—❖ Ray-Bing Chen, National Dietmar Bauer, Arsenal Research University of Kaohsiung; Yu-Jen Tsai, National 07 Uplift Modeling in Direct Marketing—❖ John Lin, University of Kaohsiung; Dennis K. J. Lin, Penn Epsilon; Qizhi Wei, Epsilon State General 3:20 pm Alphabet-Optimal Central Composite Designs—❖ 08 How Bad Could Your Data Be? Variance Maximization—❖ Trevor A. Craney, Sikorsky Jeff rey Stuart, Pacifi c Lutheran University 3:35 pm Orthogonal blocking in response surface designs 09 Characterizations of Factor Analytic Covariance ❖ with split-plot structure— Li Wang, Virginia Structure—❖ Timothy Costigan, Eli Lilly and Company Tech; Scott Kowalski, Minitab Inc.; Geoff Vining, Health policy, public health Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 10 Assessment of Small-Area Estimates from a Complex Survey PRELIMINARYCancer Surveillance Project—❖ Van Parsons, National Center for Health Statistics; Nathaniel Schenker, Regular Contributed Posters National Center for Health Statistics; Trivellore E. 2:00 pm–3:50 pm PROGRAMRaghunathan, University of Michigan; Dawei Xie, University of Pennsylvania; William Davis, National 210 CC-Level 6 East Lobby Cancer Institute Contributed Posters—Contributed 11 Disparities in the Age of Onset of Overweight (AOOW) among Persons 16 Years of Age and Older: NHANES Business and Economics Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Education, ❖ Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section 1999–2002— Henry Xia, Centers for Disease Control on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health and Prevention Sciences, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Social Statistics Section, WNAR, Social and behavioral science Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Survey Research Methods, Sec- 12 A Multivariate Statistical Analysis of Substance Abuse in tion on Statistics and Marketing the United States—❖ Monique Owens, SUMSRI at Organizer(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. Miami University; Joshua Svenson, SUMSRI at Miami Chair(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. University Business, fi nancial, and marketing statistics 13 Adaptive Poisson Modeling of Medication Adherence In 01 Measuring Financial Data Quality Assessment and HIV-Positive Methadone Patients—❖ Kevin Delucchi, Improvement—❖ George Sirbu, Bentley College; Mary University of California, San Francisco; George Knafl , Ann Robbert, Bentley College; Donna Fletcher, Bentley Oregon Health & Science University; Nancy Haug, College University of California, San Francisco; James Sorensen, 02 Perceptions of Men versus Women in a Business University of California, San Francisco Organization in 2005—❖ Kris Moore, Baylor University; 14 Assessing Publication Bias in Meta-analysis—❖ Xin Li, Dawn Carlson, Baylor University; Amber St. Anant, Th e University of Texas at Austin; Tasha Beretvas, Th e Baylor University; Dwayne Whiten, Texas A&M University of Texas at Austin University 15 University Graduate Mentoring—❖ Terry Tomazic, 03 Inference for a Hazard Rate Change Point under Saint Louis University; Michael Donovan, Saint Louis Dependent Censoring—❖ Nan Zhang, Rice University; University; John Hicks, Saint Louis University; Eric Xuelin Huang, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Watterson, Saint Louis University; Barry Katz, Saint

72 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Louis University for Graduate Students in Biomedical Sciences—❖ John Rutledge, Weill Medical College of Cornell 16 Gender Diff erences and Factors Aff ecting the Interface Tuesday Performance Level—❖ Dennis Kira, Concordia University; Kylie Bryant, Weill Medical College of University; Fassil Nebebe, Concordia University; Raafat Cornell University; Kathy Zhou, Weill Medical College G. Saade, Concordia University of Cornell University; Yolanda Barron, Weill Medical College of Cornell University; Anita Mesi, Weill Medical Teaching, training, consulting College of Cornell University; Heejung Bang, Cornell 17 Statistical Analysis of Aphid Data: a Case Study for AP University; Eduardo Martinez-Ceballos, Weill Medical ❖ Statistics— James Matis, Texas A&M University; College of Cornell University; Lorraine Gudas, Weill Th omas Kiff e, Texas A&M University; Timothy Matis, Medical College of Cornell University; Selina Chen- Texas Tech University; Douglass Stevenson, Texas A&M Kiang, Weill Medical College of Cornell University; University Madhu Mazumdar, Weill Medical College of Cornell 18 Favorite Datasets from Early Phases of Drug Research: University Part 6—Th omas E. Bradstreet, Merck Research Laboratories; ❖ Th omas H. Short, Indiana University of Pennsylvania Invited Sessions 4:00 pm–5:50 pm 19 Statistics Jeopardy!Æ—❖ Neal Rogness, Grand Valley State University; Adam Weimer, Th e Ohio State University 211 CC-Ballroom 6ABC 20 Assessment of Learning in a Business Statistics Course: President’s Invited Session—Invited a Writing in the Disciplines Approach—PRELIMINARY❖ Maria de A. The ASA, ENAR, WNAR, SSC, IMS Medina-Vargas, University of Puerto Rico Organizer(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University 21 Expectations for Statistical Literacy: a Comparison Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University among Psychology, Business, and PublicPROGRAM Health 4:05 pm A Data-Driven World: Why Now, and What Do We Professions—❖ S. David Kriska, Restat Systems; Mark Do about It?—❖ William R. Pulleyblank, IBM C. Fulcomer, Richard Stockton College of New Jersey; Business Consulting Services Marcia M. Sass, University of Medicine & Dentistry of 5:35 pm Floor Discussion New Jersey 22 A Bayesian Model for Predicting the Probability of Additional Positive Axillary Nodes in Breast Cancer Patients with Positive Sentinel Lymph Node Biopsy—❖ TUESDAY, AUGUST 8 Sunni A. Barnes, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; Tanya Hoskin, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; Cody Hamilton, Baylor Health Care System Tours 23 Introducing Data Quality in the Classroom—❖ Mark C. Fulcomer, Richard Stockton College of New Jersey 9:00 am–1:00 pm CC-Convention Plaza TR06 - Historical Seattle Tour 24 A Menu System for Stats/List on the TI Voyage 200—❖ John Turner, U.S. Naval Academy 1:00 pm–5:00 pm CC-Convention Plaza 25 Program Assessment in Statistics at the Master’s TR07 - Glassblowing Tour Level—❖ Julia Norton, California State University, East Bay; Lynn Eudey, California State University, East Bay 26 Discussing Factor Analysis in a 50-Minute Class Committee/Business Meetings Period—❖ J. Burdeane Orris, Butler University; Bruce Bowerman, Miami University of Ohio & Other Activities 27 Strategies for Making Your Curriculum Vita Numerical 5:15 am–7:00 am Off Property and Graphical for Promotion, Tenure, and Career Gertrude Cox Scholarship Race Awards—❖ Charlie Goldsmith, McMaster University 28 Development of an Introductory Biostatistics Course 7:00 am–10:00 am S-Metropolitan Ballroom A

Seattle 73 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Council of Chapters Business Meeting and Breakfast Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Stacy Lindborg, Eli Lilly and Company

(closed) Tuesday Chair(s): Ronald Wasserstein, Washburn University 7:30 am–9:00 am H-Cayuse 7:00 am–10:00 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby Project on Filming of Distinguished Statisticians Cyber Center (closed) Organizer(s): Nitis Mukhopadhyay, University of Connecticut 7:00 am–6:00 pm CC-507 Speaker Work Room 7:30 am–4:30 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby JSM Main Registration 7:00 am–6:00 pm CC-508 Speaker Work Room 7:30 am–4:30 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby ASA Membership/Special Assistance Desk 7:00 am–8:30 am S-Spruce Room Business and Economics Statistics Section Executive 8:00 am–4:00 pm S-Admiral Committee Meeting (closed) ASA/NCTM Beyond AP Statistics (closed) Chair(s): Paul Shaman, University of Pennsylvania Chair(s): Roxy Peck, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo 7:00 am–8:30 am S-Cedar Room Section on Statisticians in Defense and National 8:00 am–12:00 pm H-Sherman Security Business Meeting PRELIMINARYCommittee of Presidents of Statistical Societies Chair(s): Ron Fricker, Naval Postgraduate School Committee Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Linda Young, University of Florida 7:00 am–8:30 am PROGRAM H-Chatham Scientifi c and Public Affairs Advisory Committee 8:00 am–6:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4A Meeting Exhibitor Lounge Chair(s): David Marker, Westat 8:00 am–6:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4B 7:00 am–8:30 am H-Excelsior Career Placement Service Technometrics Editorial Board Meeting (closed) 8:00 am–9:30 am H-Portland Chair(s): Randy R. Sitter, Simon Fraser University Section on Risk Analysis Executive Committee 7:00 am–8:30 am H-Discovery Meeting (closed) Section on Quality and Productivity Executive Chair(s): Susan Sereika, University of Pittsburgh Meeting (closed) 8:30 am–10:00 am S-Juniper Chair(s): Christine M. Anderson-Cook, Los Alamos National Laboratory Section on Statistical Education Executive Committee 7:00 am–8:30 am CC-302 Meeting (closed) Committee on Statistics and Disability Annual Chair(s): Christine Franklin, University of Georgia Meeting (closed) 9:00 am–6:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4A Chair(s): Joan Turek, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services ASA Communities Booth #101 7:00 am–10:00 am S-Ballard 9:00 am–5:00 pm CC-Level 1 Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Citywide Concierge Center Executive Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Robert Wilkinson, Lubrizol 9:00 am–5:00 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby ASA Marketplace 7:30 am–12:00 pm S-Aspen Room Biopharmaceutical Section Executive Committee 9:00 am–6:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4A

74 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

EXPO 2006 2:00 pm–3:30 pm S-Everett

Council of Chapters Traveling Course Tuesday 9:00 am–10:00 am CC-302 Chair(s): Delray Schultz, Millersville University Mu Sigma Rho Executive Committee Organizer(s): Marcia Gumpertz, North Carolina State University 2:00 pm–3:30 pm S-Spruce Room ASA Committee Organization and Management Task 9:30 am–12:30 pm H-Chatham Force (closed) Current Index to Statistics Management Committee Chair(s): Susan J. Devlin, Th e Artemis Group LLC Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Duncan Murdoch, University of Western Ontario 2:30 pm–4:00 pm H-Cayuse JBES Editorial Board Meeting 10:30 am–1:00 pm S-Willow A Chair(s): Torben G. Andersen, Northwestern University New Chapter Offi cers meeting with Council of Chapters Vice Chairs 3:40 pm–4:00 pm CC-3B Chair(s): Ronald Wasserstein, Washburn University Presentation of 2006 Roger Herriot Award with Reception (Open) 12:00 pm–1:30 pm H-Excelsior Chair(s): Lawrence H. Cox, National Center for Health Statistics JCGS Management Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Dianne Cook, Iowa State University 4:00 pm–6:00 pm S-Metropolitan Ballroom A Council of Chapters Workshop and Reception: New 12:30 pm–2:00 pm PRELIMINARY H-Blewett Suite and Not So New Methods of Communications for The American Statistician Editorial Board Meeting Chapters Featuring Wiki Pages (closed) (closed) Chair(s): J. LynnPalmer, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Chair(s): Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University PROGRAM 4:00 pm–5:00 pm H-Sherman 12:30 pm–2:00 pm H-Discovery JASA Reviews Assistant Editors Meeting (closed) ASA Defense and Security Task Force Meeting Chair(s): Robert Lund, Clemson University (closed) Chair(s): Alyson Wilson, Los Alamos National Laboratory 4:30 pm–6:00 pm S-Cedar Room Biometrics Editorial Board (closed) 12:30 pm–2:00 pm S-Douglas Room Organizer(s): Marie Davidian, North Carolina State University Open Source Textbook Project Planning Meeting Organizer(s): Beatrix Jones, Massey University 5:00 pm–6:00 pm CC-602 Caucus for Women in Statistics Business Meeting 12:30 pm–4:30 pm H-Stevens Boardroom & Foyer Organizer(s): Mary W. Gray, American University ENAR RAB/RECOM Luncheon Meeting (by invitation only) 5:00 pm–6:00 pm CC-601 Organizer(s): Kathy Hoskins, ENAR Business and Economics Statistics Section Business Meeting 12:30 pm–2:00 pm CC-302 Chair(s): Paul Shaman, University of Pennsylvania Interface Foundation of North America Board Meeting (closed) 5:00 pm–6:30 pm CC-605 Organizer(s): Tim C. Hesterberg, Insightful Corporation JSM 2008 Program Committee Orientation Meeting (closed) 12:30 pm–2:00 pm H-Portland Chair(s): Russell V. Lenth, University of Iowa Deming Lectureship Committee Speaker Luncheon (closed) 5:00 pm–7:00 pm S-Willow B Chair(s): Lorraine Denby, Avaya Labs Research North Carolina State University Reception for Alumni

Seattle 75 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

and Friends 5:30 pm–7:30 pm CC-606 Organizer(s): Tom Gerig, North Carolina State University

Biopharmaceutical Section Business Meeting Tuesday Chair(s): Stacy Lindborg, Eli Lilly and Company 5:00 pm–6:30 pm CC-609 Section on Survey Research Methods Business 5:30 pm–7:00 pm CC-4C-1 Meeting Section on Government Statistics Business Meeting Chair(s): Roger Tourangeau, University of Maryland Chair(s): Stephanie Shipp, National Institute of Standards and Technology 5:00 pm–7:00 pm S-Douglas Room Friends and Alumni of UCLA 5:30 pm–7:00 pm S-Cirrus Ballroom Organizer(s): Jason Mesa, University of California, Los Angeles Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Open Meeting Chair(s): Dalene Stangl, Duke University 5:30 pm–7:00 pm CC-603 Section on Statistical Consulting Business Meeting 6:00 pm–6:30 pm CC-Ballroom 6ABC Chair(s): Philip Dixon, Iowa State University 2006 ASA New Fellows Group Picture (closed) Chair(s): M. ElizabethHalloran, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research 5:30 pm–6:30 pm CC-607 Center Section on Statistics and Marketing Business Meeting Chair(s): Alan Montgomery, Carnegie Mellon University 6:00 pm–7:00 pm CC-607 Joint Mixer for Section on Statistics and Marketing 5:30 pm–6:30 pm PRELIMINARY S-Willow A and the Business & Economics Section IMS New Member and Student Reception Chair(s): Alan Montgomery, Carnegie Mellon University; Paul Shaman, Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, IMS PROGRAMUniversity of Pennsylvania 5:30 pm–7:00 pm H-Blewett Suite 6:00 pm–8:00 pm H-Leonesa Ballroom I University of Washington Department of Biostatistics University of Wisconsin-Madison Department of Alumni Meeting Statistics Reception Organizer(s): Xiao-Hua Andrew Zhou, University of Washington Organizer(s): Jun Shao, University of Wisconsin-Madison

5:30 pm–7:00 pm CC-604 6:00 pm–7:30 pm CC-302 ENAR Business Meeting (open to all ENAR Members) Insightful Reception Organizer(s): Kathy Hoskins, ENAR Organizer(s): Gina Buzzelle, Insightful Corporation

5:30 pm–7:30 pm CC-4C-3 6:30 pm–8:00 pm S-Aspen Room Joint Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Bristol Myers Squibb Co. Presentation and Reception and Section on Quality and Productivity Business (closed) Meeting and Mixer Organizer(s): Denise Houghton, Bristol Myers Squibb Chair(s): Christine M. Anderson-Cook, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Robert Wilkinson, Lubrizol 6:30 pm–7:30 pm CC-4C-2 2006 ASA New Fellows Reception (by invitation only) 5:30 pm–7:30 pm CC-610 Chair(s): M. ElizabethHalloran, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Social Mixer Center Chair(s): Sander Greenland, University of California, Los Angeles 6:30 pm–8:00 pm S-Ballard 5:30 pm–7:30 pm H-Princessa II Ballroom CRC Press/Taylor & Francis Reception University of Michigan Biostatistics and Statistics Organizer(s): David Grubbs, CRC Press Departments Joint Alumni Reception 8:00 pm–10:30 pm CC-4C-3 Organizer(s): Jack Kalbfl eisch, University of Michigan JSM Informal Dance Party (all welcome, included in

76 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

registration fee) Methods and Computational Tools for the Screening

and Classifi cation of Microarray Gene Expression Tuesday Data Continuing Education (Fee Events) The ASA, Biopharmaceutical Section Instructor(s): Geoff McLachlan, University of Queensland; Kim-Anh Do, CE_23C CC-306 M. D. Anderson Cancer Center 8:00 am–12:00 pm Adaptive Tests of Signifi cance and Confi dence CE_30C CC-306 Intervals 1:00 pm–5:00 pm The ASA Meta-analysis: Statistical Methods for Combining the Instructor(s): Th omas W. O’Gorman, Northern Illinois University Results of Independent Studies The ASA CE_24C CC-310 Instructor(s): Ingram Olkin, Stanford University 8:30 am–5:00 pm Bayesian Analysis of Case-Control Data The ASA, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Roundtables with Coffee Instructor(s): Malay Ghosh, University of Florida; Bhramar Mukherjee, 7:00 am–8:15 am University of Florida; Samiran Sinha, Texas A&M University

CE_25C CC-309 212 CC-4C-1 8:30 am–5:00 pm PRELIMINARYSection on Bayesian Statistical Science Analysis of Environmental Data with Nondetects Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) The ASA, Section on Statistics and the Environment Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Instructor(s): Dennis R. Helsel, U.S. Geological Survey;PROGRAM Lopaka Lee, U.S. Organizer(s): Merlise Clyde, Duke University Geological Survey TL01 Can and Should We Teach Bayesian Inference in Stat 101?—❖ Jerome Reiter, Duke University CE_26C CC-307 & 308 8:30 am–5:00 pm Models for Discrete Repeated Measures 213 CC-4C-1 The ASA, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Section on Statistical Consulting Roundtable Instructor(s): Geert Verbeke, K. U. Leuven; Geert Molenberghs, Limburgs with Coffee (fee event) Universitair Centrum Section on Statistical Consulting Organizer(s): Phillip Chapman, Colorado State University CE_27C CC-305 TL02 Bioinformatics Consulting: Keeping up to Date—❖ Ann 8:30 am–5:00 pm Hess, Colorado State University Effective Scientifi c Writing The ASA Instructor(s): Judith A. Swan, Princeton University 214 CC-4C-1 Section on Statistical Education Roundtable with CE_28C CC-304 Coffee (fee event) 8:30 am–5:00 pm Section on Statistical Education Bioequivalence and Statistics in Clinical Organizer(s): Patti Collings, Brigham Young University Pharmacology TL03 Motivating the Math Major To Consider a Career in Statis- The ASA tics—❖ Carolyn Cuff , Westminster College Instructor(s): Scott Patterson, GlaxoSmithKline; Byron Jones, Pfi zer Inc. 215 CC-4C-1 CE_29C CC-303 Section on Statistics and the Environment 8:30 am–5:00 pm Roundtable with Coffee (fee event)

Seattle 77 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Section on Statistics and the Environment 9:25 am The Modeling and Analysis of Data from Organizer(s): Peter Guttorp, University of Washington Computer Experiments—❖ Th omas Santner, Th e Tuesday TL04 Bayesian Applications in Environmental Science—❖ Eric P. Ohio State University Smith, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Univer- 10:15 am Floor Discussion sity; Keying Ye, Th e University of Texas at San Antonio

216 CC-4C-1 Invited Sessions 8:30 am–10:20 am Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) 220 CC-619 Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences JBES Invited Session—Invited Organizer(s): Winson Taam, Th e Boeing Company JBES-Journal of Business and Economic Statistics TL05 Weibull Analysis—❖ Fritz Scholz, Th e Boeing Company Organizer(s): Torben G. Andersen, Northwestern University Chair(s): Torben G. Andersen, Northwestern University 217 CC-4C-1 8:35 am On the Fit and Forecasting Performance of Section on Risk Analysis Roundtable with Coffee New Keynesian Models—❖ Frank Schorfheide, (fee event) University of Pennsylvania; Marco Del Negro, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta; Frank Smets, Section on Risk Analysis European Central Bank; Raf Wouters, National Organizer(s): Duane Steff ey, Exponent, Inc. Bank of Belgium TL06 Estimation of Health Risk from Fish Consumption Associated PRELIMINARY9:20 am Disc: Larry Christiano, Northwestern University with Fishing in an Urban Industrial Setting—❖ Rose Ray, Exponent, Inc. 9:35 am Disc: A. RonaldGallant, Duke University PROGRAM9:50 am Disc: Christopher Sims, Princeton University 218 CC-4C-1 10:05 am Floor Discussion Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) 221 CC-2B Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences ● ✪ Six Sigma: What’s Missing—Invited Organizer(s): Patrick Tarwater, Th e University of Texas Health Science Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Statistical Education Center at Houston Organizer(s): Ramon Leon, University of Tennessee TL07 Productivity versus Professionalism in Biostatistics—❖ Chair(s): Roger W. Hoerl, GE Global Research Lemuel Moye, Th e University of Texas Health Science 8:35 am Improving the Six Sigma Toolkit—❖ Gerald Center at Houston J. Hahn, GE Global Research/RPI; ❖ Necip Doganaksoy, GE Global Research 9:05 am Six Sigma: What Is Missing?—❖ William C. Parr, Special Presentation 8:30 am–10:20 am University of Tennessee 9:35 am Making Six Sigma Work: Statistics, Semi-Statistics, 219 CC-4C-4 and Soft Stuff—❖ Blanton Godfrey, North Introductory Overview Lectures: Computer Carolina State University Experiments—Other 10:05 am Floor Discussion The ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, Section on Physical and Engineering Sci- ences 222 CC-3A Organizer(s): Th omas M. Loughin, Kansas State University ● ✪ Bayesian Methods in Computational Chair(s): Andrew J. Booker, Th e Boeing Company Biology—Invited 8:35 am What Are Computer Experiments, and How Do We Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR Design Them?—❖ William Notz, Th e Ohio State Organizer(s): Joseph G. Ibrahim, Th e University of North Carolina at University Chapel Hill

78 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Chair(s): Joseph G. Ibrahim, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel 8:35 am Integrative Correlation: a Gene-Level Measure of Hill Cross-Study Reproducibility—❖ Leslie Cope, Th e Tuesday 8:35 am Evolutionary Sparse Factor Modeling for Johns Hopkins University; Liz Garrett-Mayer, Th e Subpathway Identifi cation and Characterization— Johns Hopkins University; Edward Gabrielson, ❖ Mike West, Duke University; Carlos Carvalho, Th e Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine; Duke University; Quanli Wang, Duke University; Giovanni Parmigiani, Th e Johns Hopkins Joseph Lucas, Duke University; Joseph Nevins, University Duke University; Jeff rey Chang, Duke University 9:00 am A Bayesian Model for Cross-Study Differential 9:00 am Bayesian Inference for Biochemical Network Expression—❖ Andrew Nobel, Th e University Dynamics—❖ Darren J. Wilkinson, University of of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Haakon Newcastle upon Tyne Tjelmeland, Norwegian University of Science and 9:25 am Bayesian One-Way and Two-Way Clustering Technology; Rob Scharpf, Th e Johns Hopkins Methods for Genomic Data—❖ Jun Liu, Harvard University; Giovanni Parmigiani, Th e Johns University Hopkins University 9:50 am Statistical Methods for Motif Detection 9:25 am Statistical Methods for Analysis of Copy Number ❖ Incorporating Structural Features of DNA—❖ and Expression Transcript Data— Debashis Mayetri Gupta, Th e University of North Carolina Ghosh, University of Michigan at Chapel Hill 9:50 am Integrative Homologous Regulation Analysis ❖ 10:15 am Floor Discussion between Mouse and Human— Jae K. Lee, University of Virginia PRELIMINARY10:15 am Floor Discussion 223 CC-400 ● Alternative Approaches for Sample Size Planning—Invited PROGRAM225 CC-603 Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Education Network Visualization—Invited Organizer(s): Peter Bacchetti, University of California, San Francisco Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security Chair(s): Stuart A. Gansky, University of California, San Francisco Organizer(s): Deborah F. Swayne, AT&T Labs-Research 8:35 am Estimating the Minimally Signifi cant Difference Chair(s): Leland Wilkinson, SPSS Inc. for a Clinical Study—❖ Robert A. Parker, Harvard ❖ School of Public Health 8:35 am Scaling up Graph Visualization— Stephen North, AT&T Labs-Research 9:00 am A Completely Different Approach to Sample ❖ Size Planning—❖ Peter Bacchetti, University of 9:05 am Scalable Drawing of Trees and Graphs— California, San Francisco; Charles E. McCulloch, Tamara Munzner, Th e University of British University of California, San Francisco; Mark R. Columbia Segal, University of California, San Francisco 9:35 am Visualizing Evolving Graphs by Simultaneous 9:25 am Sample Size and the Value of Information—❖ Embeddings—❖ Stephen G. Kobourov, University Kimberly M. Th ompson, Harvard School of Public of Arizona Health 10:05 am Floor Discussion 9:50 am Disc: Stephen Senn, University of Glasgow 10:10 am Floor Discussion 226 CC-617 ● Teaching Biostatistics to Health Care 224 CC-608 Professionals without Equations—Invited ● ✪ Statistical Methods for Integrative Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences, Section on Statistical Genomics—Invited Education, Section on Statistical Graphics Organizer(s): Janet A. Tooze, Wake Forest University School of Medicine Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR Chair(s): Janet A. Tooze, Wake Forest University School of Medicine Organizer(s): Giovanni Parmigiani, Th e Johns Hopkins University Chair(s): Kim-Anh Do, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center 8:35 am Teaching Research Design to Health Sciences

Seattle 79 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Professionals—❖ Stephen W. Looney, LSU 9:00 am The Federal Statisticians’ Response to the HIPAA Health Sciences Center Privacy Rule—❖ Jacob Bournazian, Energy Tuesday 9:00 am Teaching Statistical Concepts through Information Administration Visualization—❖ Edward H. Ip, Wake Forest 9:25 am Statistical Deidentifi cation and the HIPAA Rule— University School of Medicine; Gary Wolgast, ❖ Patrick Baier, NORC Wake Forest University School of Medicine 9:50 am Disc: J. NeilRussell, National Center for Education 9:25 am Effective Teaching of Applied Biostatistics Statistics for Clinicians Enrolled in a Research Training 10:10 am Floor Discussion Program—❖ Jodi Lapidus, Oregon Health & Science University 9:50 am Disc: Ralph O’Brien, Th e Cleveland Clinic 229 CC-602 Recent Developments in Nonparametric Survival 10:10 am Floor Discussion Analysis Methods—Invited ENAR, Biometrics Section, WNAR, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 227 CC-607 Organizer(s): Haibo Zhou, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel ● Statistical Issues in Diagnostic Medicine— Hill Invited Chair(s): Jianqing Fan, Princeton University Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, Section on Health 8:35 am Partially Linear Hazard Regression for Policy Statistics, ENAR Multivariate Survival Data—❖ Jianwen Cai, Organizer(s): Estelle Russek-Cohen, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Chair(s): Estelle Russek-Cohen, U.S. Food PRELIMINARYand Drug Administration Jianqing Fan, Princeton University; Jiancheng 8:35 am Evaluating the Predictiveness of a Continuous Jiang, Princeton University; Haibo Zhou, Th e Marker—❖ Margaret S. Pepe, Fred Hutchinson University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Cancer Research Center/UniversityPROGRAM of 8:55 am A General Imputation Methodology for Washington; Ying Huang, University of Nonparametric Regression with Censored Washington; Ziding Feng, Fred Hutchinson Data—❖ Daniel Rubin, University of California, Cancer Research Center Berkeley; Mark van der Laan, University of 9:00 am Double-Semiparametric ROC Regression California, Berkeley Analysis—❖ Xiao-Hua Andrew Zhou, University 9:15 am Kernel-Smoothed Profi le Likelihood Function in of Washington; Huazhen Lin, University of Accelerated Failure Time Model—❖ Donglin Washington Zeng, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel 9:25 am Evaluation of Diagnostic Tests in Studies with Hill; Danyu Lin, Th e University of North Carolina Verifi cation Bias—❖ Marina Kondratovich, U.S. at Chapel Hill Food and Drug Administration 9:35 am Nonparametric Analysis of Multivariate ❖ 9:50 am Disc: Colin B. Begg, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Competing Risks Data— Jason P. Fine, Cancer Center University of Wisconsin-Madison ❖ 10:10 am Floor Discussion 9:55 am An Additive Modulated Renewal Process— Dorota Dabrowska, University of California, Los Angeles 228 CC-618 10:15 am Floor Discussion ● ✪ Statistical Responses to Legislation: the Privacy Rule—Invited Committee on Privacy and Confi dentiality, Section on Health Policy Statistics 230 CC-2A ● Organizer(s): Alvan O. Zarate, National Center for Health Statistics Client-Oriented Perspectives on Small-Area Chair(s): Laura Zayatz, U.S. Census Bureau Estimation—Invited Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Physical and Engineering 8:35 am The Statistician’s Role in Developing the HIPAA Sciences De-identifi cation Standard—❖ Alvan O. Zarate, Organizer(s): Avinash C. Singh, Statistics Canada National Center for Health Statistics

80 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Chair(s): Graham Kalton, Westat 232 CC-206

8:35 am Characterization of Cost Structures, Perceived Responding to Emergency Needs for Data: Tuesday Value, and Optimization Issues in Small-Domain Developing Population Estimates in the Wake of Estimation—❖ John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Hurricane Katrina—Topic-Contributed Statistics Section on Government Statistics 9:00 am A Small-Area Estimation Approach in Reducing Organizer(s): Wendy Alvey, U.S. Census Bureau; Lisa Blumerman, U.S. Survey Costs—❖ Partha Lahiri, University of Census Bureau Maryland; Paul D. Williams, National Center for Chair(s): Edward Spar, Council of Professional Associations on Federal Health Statistics Statistics 9:25 am Some Problems and Possible Solutions in 8:35 am The Suitability of Population Estimates To Address Developing a Small-Area Estimation Product for Data Needs Related to Hurricane Katrina—Signe Clients—❖ Avinash C. Singh, Statistics Canada Wetrogan, U.S. Census Bureau; ❖ Sally Obenski, 9:50 am Disc: Jon N. K. Rao, Carleton University U.S. Census Bureau 10:10 am Floor Discussion 8:55 am Responding to Emergency Needs for Data: Data Acquisition and Intra- and Inter-Agency Collaboration—❖ Lisa Blumerman, U.S. Census Topic-Contributed Sessions Bureau 9:15 am Hurricane Katrina: Methodological Response to 8:30 am–10:20 am Informing Current Population Survey Controls— PRELIMINARYKevin M. Shaw, U.S. Census Bureau; ❖ Marc 231 CC-609 Roemer, U.S. Census Bureau; Sally Obenski, U.S. ● Missing Data in Clinical Trials: Can We Do Census Bureau Better Than LOCF?—Topic-ContributedPROGRAM9:35 am Responding to Emergency Needs for Data: Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Developing Population Estimates in the Wake of Organizer(s): Bret Musser, Merck Research Laboratories Hurricane Katrina—❖ Christa Jones, U.S. Census Chair(s): Bret Musser, Merck Research Laboratories Bureau; Ronald Prevost, U.S. Census Bureau 8:35 am Is It Better To Use Random Effects Models in 9:55 am Disc: Th omas Nardone, Bureau of Labor Statistics Analysis of Repeated Binary Responses with 10:15 am Floor Discussion Missing Data?—❖ Guanghan Liu, Merck Research Laboratories 233 CC-615 8:55 am An Analytic Road Map for Incomplete ❖ Applications in Seasonal Adjustment—Topic- Longitudinal Clinical Trial Data— Craig Contributed Mallinckrodt, Eli Lilly and Company; Shuyi Shen, Business and Economics Statistics Section Eli Lilly and Company; Caroline Beucnkens, Limburgs Universitair Centrum; Geert Organizer(s): Benoit Quenneville, Statistics Canada Molenberghs, Limburgs Universitair Centrum Chair(s): Peter Kenny, PBK Research 9:15 am Mixed-Effects Latent Curve Modeling of 8:35 am Balancing SA Series as a Complement to the ❖ Incomplete Longitudinal Cognitive Data—❖ John Direct and Indirect SA of Series— Benoit J. McArdle, University of Southern California Quenneville, Statistics Canada 9:35 am Scope of the Problem, Options Available, and 8:55 am Computing Tasks Associated with Seasonal Empirical Performance of Techniques for Handling Adjustment at Statistics Canada: Methods and ❖ Missing Data in Randomized Clinical Trials: Focus Software— Susie Fortier, Statistics Canada; on Weight Loss Trials—❖ David B. Allison, Th e Benoit Quenneville, Statistics Canada University of Alabama at Birmingham 9:35 am Exploring Model-Based Seasonal Adjustment for ❖ 9:55 am Disc: Fanhui Kong, U.S. Food and Drug Industry Employment Statistics— Christopher Administration Manning, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Jeff rey A. Smith, Bureau of Labor Statistics 10:15 am Floor Discussion

Seattle 81 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

9:55 am Variance Estimation for Noise Components in 9:15 am Coverage Assessment and Adjustment in the 2011 Time Series from a Survey—❖ Daniell Toth, UK Census—❖ Owen Abbott, Offi ce for National Tuesday Bureau of Labor Statistics; Stuart Scott, Bureau of Statistics Labor Statistics 9:35 am Using the Audit Trail Data To Evaluate the 9:55 am Disc: Estela BeeDagum, University of Bologna Quality of Collection of the Canadian National ❖ 10:15 am Floor Discussion Longitudinal Survey of Children and Youth— Bruno Lapierre, Statistics Canada; Scott Meyer, Statistics Canada 234 CC-210 9:55 am Floor Discussion ✪ New Methods for Testing Sensitive Questions Using the National Health Interview Survey— Topic-Contributed 236 CC-214 Section on Survey Research Methods Climate, Weather, and Spatial-Temporal Organizer(s): Peter Meyer, National Center for Health Statistics Models—Topic-Contributed Chair(s): Julie TrÈpanier, Statistics Canada Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, WNAR 8:35 am Using Screened-Out Households To Test Sensitive ❖ Organizer(s): Stephan Sain, University of Colorado at Denver and Questions— Peter Meyer, National Center for Health Sciences Center Health Statistics Chair(s): Douglas W. Nychka, National Center for Atmospheric Research 8:55 am Sampling and Oversampling in the National 8:35 am Models for Multivariate Spatial Lattice Data and Health Interview Survey—❖ Chris Moriarity, Assessing Climate Change—❖ Stephan Sain, National Center for HealthPRELIMINARY Statistics University of Colorado at Denver and Health 9:15 am Unfolding the Answers? Income Brackets and Sciences Center Income Nonresponse in the National Health ❖ PROGRAM8:55 am Spatial Patterns of Global Climate Change Interview Survey (NHIS)— John Pleis, National Fields—❖ Reinhard Furrer, Colorado School Center for Health Statistics of Mines; Reto Knutti, National Center for 9:35 am Questions People Don’t Like To Answer: Wealth Atmospheric Research and Social Security Numbers—❖ James 9:15 am Modeling Precipitation Network Data when Dahlhamer, National Center for Health Statistics; Station Reporting Times Are Misaligned—❖ Peter Meyer, National Center for Health Statistics; Jarrett Barber, Montana State University; Alan E. John Pleis, National Center for Health Statistics Gelfand, Duke University; Douglas W. Nychka, 9:55 am Disc: James Chromy, RTI International National Center for Atmospheric Research 10:15 am Floor Discussion 9:35 am Spatial and Temporal Models for Evaluating IPCC Climate Model Outputs—❖ Mikyoung Jun, Texas 235 CC-211 A&M University; Douglas W. Nychka, National ● ✪ Frontiers in Demographic Coverage Center for Atmospheric Research; Reto Knutti, Measurement—Topic-Contributed National Center for Atmospheric Research Social Statistics Section 9:55 am A Hierarchical Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Model for Tropospheric Carbon Monoxide—❖ Anders Organizer(s): Dean H. Judson, U.S. Census Bureau Malmberg, National Center for Atmospheric Chair(s): Jeremy Wu, U.S. Census Bureau Research 8:35 am Demographic Coverage Measurement: Can 10:15 am Floor Discussion Information Integration Theory Help?—❖ Dean H. Judson, U.S. Census Bureau 8:55 am Demographic Analysis in the UK Census: a Look 237 CC-3B Back to 2001 and Looking Forward to 2011— Spatial Modeling—Topic-Contributed Owen Abbott, Offi ce for National Statistics; ❖ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Garnett Compton, Offi ce for National Statistics Organizer(s): Herbert Lee, University of California, Santa Cruz

82 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Chair(s): Christopher Hans, Th e Ohio State University Michigan University

8:35 am Gaussian Processes and Limiting Linear Models— 10:15 am Floor Discussion Tuesday Robert Gramacy, University of Cambridge; ❖ Herbert Lee, University of California, Santa Cruz 239 CC-204 8:55 am Bayesian Model for Dependent Nonparametric Health Policy Student Paper Awards—Topic- Regressions—❖ Abel Rodriguez, Duke University; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University; Contributed David B. Dunson, National Institute of Section on Health Policy Statistics Environmental Health Sciences Organizer(s): Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar, RAND Corporation 9:15 am Sampling Importance Resampling for Computer Chair(s): Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar, RAND Corporation Model Inverse Problems—❖ Matt Taddy, 8:35 am Understanding Self-Reported Disability among University of California, Santa Cruz; Bruno Sanso, the Elderly: a Novel Use of Anchoring Vignettes— University of California, Santa Cruz; Herbert Lee, ❖ Kate Stewart, Harvard University; Mary Beth University of California, Santa Cruz Landrum, Harvard Medical School; David M. 9:35 am Bayesian Computational Methods for Models in Cutler, Harvard University Geosciences—❖ Alejandro Villagran, University 8:55 am Hierarchical and Joint Site-Edge Methods for of New Mexico; Gabriel Huerta, University of Medicare Hospice Service Region Boundary New Mexico Analysis—❖ Haijun Ma, University of Minnesota; 9:55 am The Effect of Collinearity on Parameter Estimation Bradley P. Carlin, University of Minnesota; in Bayesian Spatially Varying Coeffi cient Sudipto Banerjee, University of Minnesota Models—❖ David Wheeler,PRELIMINARY Th e Ohio State 9:15 am Extending the Capture-Recapture Methodology University To Estimate Disease Subpopulation Sizes in the ❖ 10:15 am Floor Discussion Presence of Cross-Classifi cation— Ulysses Diva, PROGRAMUniversity of Connecticut; Dipak Dey, University of Connecticut; Timothy Morse, University of 238 CC-401 Connecticut Health Center ● Fostering Active Learning in Statistics—Topic- 9:35 am Methods for Profi ling the Value of Hospital Care Contributed Following Acute Myocardial Infarction—❖ Justin Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Timbie, Harvard University Sciences 9:55 am Nonparametric Statistical Methods for a Organizer(s): Carl Lee, Central Michigan University Cost-Effectiveness Analysis—❖ Phillip Dinh, Chair(s): Carl Lee, Central Michigan University University of Washington; Xiao-Hua Andrew 8:35 am How Do You Come up with These Things?—❖ Zhou, University of Washington AndrÈ Michelle Lubecke, Lander University 10:15 pm Floor Discussion 8:55 am Using Simulation To Introduce Inference—❖ Sharon Lane-Getaz, University of Minnesota/Cal Poly Regular Contributed Sessions 9:15 am Active Learning in an Online Introductory 8:30 am–10:20 am Statistics Course—❖ Michelle Everson, University of Minnesota 9:35 am Designing Classroom Activities for Student 240 CC-205 Learning—❖ Allan Rossman, California Methods for High Dimensional Data— Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo; Contributed Beth Chance, California Polytechnic State IMS University, San Luis Obispo Chair(s): Elizabeth Koehler, University of Washington 9:55 am Evaluation of Students’ Learning in Real-Time 8:35 am Constrained Dimension Reduction Based Online Activities Environment—❖ Felix Famoye, on Canonical Correlation—❖ Jianhui Zhou, Central Michigan University; Carl Lee, Central University of Virginia

Seattle 83 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

8:50 am Sliced Inverse Regression under Data 242 CC-213 Contamination—❖ Ulrike Genschel, Iowa State Classifi cation and Other Correlated Data Tuesday University Problems—Contributed 9:05 am Signifi cance and Recovery of Block Structures in Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences ❖ Binary and Real Matrices with Noise— Xing Chair(s): EunJoo Lee, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Sun, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel 8:35 am InfoEvolve(TM): a Data Mining Tool Combining Hill; Andrew Nobel, Th e University of North Information Theory and Genetic Algorithms—❖ Carolina at Chapel Hill Aaron J. Owens, DuPont; Karen M. Bloch, 9:20 am Some Extensions of a Two-Sample Test under DuPont the Effect of High Dimension—❖ Yingli Qin, 8:50 am Analysis of Handwritten ZIP Code Digits Using Iowa State University; Song X. Chen, Iowa State OBSTree—❖ Atina Dunlap Brooks, North University; Liang Peng, Iowa State University Carolina State University; Jacqueline Hughes- 9:35 am Detecting Sparse Signals with a Large Scale of Oliver, North Carolina State University SPRTs—❖ Yanhong Wu, University of the Pacifi c 9:05 am A Nonparametric Approach Based on a like ❖ 9:50 am On the Accuracy of Data Squashing— Atsuyuki Markov Property for Classifi cation—❖ Eun Sug Kogure, Keio University; Masahiko Sagae, Gifu Park, Texas Transportation Institute; Cliff ord University Spiegelman, Texas A&M University 10:05 am New Tools for Sparse Inference: the Regime of 9:20 am Sensitivity Analysis with Correlated Inputs: ❖ Moderate Signifi cances— Jiashun Jin, Purdue Application to Kinetic Models—❖ Sebastien University PRELIMINARYDa Veiga, Institut FranÁais du PÈtrole; Francois Wahl, Institut FranÁais du PÈtrole; Fabrice 241 CC-601 Gamboa, UniversitÈ Paul Sabatier Construction of Prior Distributions—ContributedPROGRAM9:35 am A Structural Equation Method for Modeling Data ❖ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Center Thermal Distribution— Zhiguang Qian, Chair(s): Raphael Gottardo, Th e University of British Columbia ; Yasuo Amemiya, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center 8:35 am An Asymptotic Viewpoint on High-Dimensional Bayesian Testing—❖ Dan Spitzner, Virginia Tech 9:50 am Improved Tolerance Factors for Multivariate Normal—❖ Sumona Mondal, University 8:50 am Novel Bayesian Variable-Selection Priors for of Louisiana at Lafayette; Kalimuthu “Large p Small n” Data Analysis—❖ Joseph Krishnamoorthy, University of Louisiana at Lucas, Duke University Lafayette 9:05 am New Priors for Complex System Reliabilities and 10:05 am K-Means Clustering: A Novel Probabilistic Trends—❖ Earl Lawrence, Los Alamos National Formulation, with some Applications—❖ Samiran Laboratory; Scott Vander Wiel, Los Alamos Ghosh, University of Connecticut; Dipak Dey, National Laboratory University of Connecticut 9:20 am Reference Priors in Linear Models with General Covariance Structures—❖ Xin Zhao, Merck & Co., Inc.; Martin T. Wells, Cornell University 243 CC-605 9:35 am Bayesian Interval Estimation of Attributable Risk Missing or Censored Data—Contributed Using Probability Matching Prior—❖ Bin Huang, Section on Statistical Computing, Biometrics Section, ENAR Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center; Chair(s): George Terrell, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Siva Sivaganisan, University of Cincinnati University ❖ 9:50 am Bayesian Inference with Matching Priors—❖ 8:35 am Counting the Homeless in Los Angeles County— Ana-Maria Staicu, University of Toronto Brian Kriegler, University of California, Los Angeles; Richard Berk, University of California, 10:05 am A General Approach for Constructing Normalizing Los Angeles; Don Ylvisaker, University of Constants for Parameter Selection Priors—❖ California, Los Angeles Christopher Carter, University of New South Wales 8:50 am An Investigation of Missing Data Methods for

84 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Decision Trees—❖ Yufeng Ding, New York Snidero, University of Torino; Alexandru Stancu, University; Jeff rey Simonoff , New York University University of Torino; Cecilia Scarinzi, University Tuesday 9:05 am Nonlinear Neural Network Imputation—❖ Safaa of Torino; Roberto Corradetti, University of Amer, NORC Torino; Dario Gregori, University of Torino 9:20 am Using Objective Measures in Combination with 9:20 am Risk Assessment of Listeria Monocytogenes on Self-Report To Estimate Adherence—❖ Richard Frankfurters with Organic Acid Salts Surface ❖ Th ompson, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Treatments— Zheng Lu, Iowa State University; Public Health; Michael Griswold, Johns Hopkins Chunwang Gao, Iowa State University Bloomberg School of Public Health; Arlene Butz, 9:35 am Generalized Residual Sojourns under Truncation Th e Johns Hopkins University; Michele Donithan, and Censoring—❖ John Hsieh, University of Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Nevada, Reno 9:35 am Test of Independence with Incomplete 9:50 am General Indexes for Spatial-Temporal Population Contingency Table—❖ Shin-Soo Kang, Iowa Risk Assessment—❖ Chu-Chih Chen, National State University; Kenneth Koehler, Iowa State Health Research Institutes University; Michael D. Larsen, Iowa State 10:05 am Public Health Interventions and Transition University Probabilities—❖ Paula Diehr, University of 9:50 am A Comparison of Parametric and Semiparametric Washington Methods for Predicting Limited Dependent Variables—❖ Maya Sternberg, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Alula Hadgu, 245 CC-616 ● Misspecifi cations, Data Quality, and Centers for Disease ControlPRELIMINARY and Prevention; Suephy Chen, Emory University School of Improvements—Contributed Medicine Business and Economics Statistics Section 10:05 am Estimation of Correlation Coeffi cientPROGRAM in Bivariate Chair(s): Michael Smith, University of Sydney Normal Population Based on Concomitants 8:35 am Sons, Daughters, and Parents’ Labor Supply: New of Order Statistics—❖ Qinying He, Th e Ohio Evidence from Matched CPS Data—❖ James Vere, State University; H. N. Nagaraja, Th e Ohio State Th e University of Hong Kong University 8:50 am Statistical Modeling: Science versus Business and Domain Expertise—❖ Igor Mandel, Media 244 CC-212 Planning Group; David Hauser, Media Planning Group ● ✪ Risk Assessment: Disease, Health, and ❖ Harm—Contributed 9:05 am Estimating Signatures on a Petition with Cis— Mary M. Whiteside, Th e University of Texas at Section on Risk Analysis, Biometrics Section, ENAR Arlington; Mark E. Eakin, Th e University of Texas Chair(s): Ciprian M. Crainiceanu, Th e Johns Hopkins University 9:20 am Estimation of Industry Distribution of Statistical 8:35 am Characterization of Occupant Anthropometry Discreancy in National Income and Product and Clearance Measures in Passenger Cars—❖ Accounts—❖ Baoline Chen, Bureau of Economic Duane Steff ey, Exponent, Inc.; Robert Bove, Jr., Analysis Exponent, Inc.; Jacob Fisher, Exponent, Inc.; Lauren Ciccarelli, Exponent, Inc.; Robert Cargill, 9:35 am Quantifying the Quality of Macroeconomic ❖ Exponent, Inc.; Tara Moore, Exponent, Inc. Variables— Alex Teterukovsky, Statistics Sweden; Lars-Erik ÷ller, Statistics Sweden/ 8:50 am Smallpox and Pandemic Infl uenza: Modeling Stockholm University Potential Challenges for the U.S. Blood Supply— ❖ Steven Anderson, U.S. Food and Drug 9:50 am Incorporating EITC Participation into the SAIPE ❖ Administration Program’s County Poverty Model— Wesley Basel, U.S. Census Bureau; Brian J. O’Hara, U.S. 9:05 am A Comparison of Bayesian Networks and MCMC Census Bureau Techniques for Quantitative Risk Assessment—❖ Paola Berchialla, University of Torino; Silvia 10:05 am Misspecifi cation of Cointegrating Ranks in Seasonal Models—❖ Byeongchan Seong,

Seattle 85 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Pohang University of Science and Technology; 8:50 am Paradoxes Revisited: Comparison of B-Statistic Sinsup Cho, Seoul National University; Sung K. with Kappa—❖ Shankar Viswanathan, Th e Tuesday Ahn, Washington State University; S. Y. Hwang, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Sookmyung Women’s University Shrikant I. Bangdiwala, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 9:05 am Interobserver Variability and Intraobserver 246 CC-612 ❖ ● Nonclinical, Nonbiological Drug Variability— Jing Han, St. Francis Hospital Development—Contributed 9:20 am Assessing Rater Exchangeability and Identifying Biopharmaceutical Section an Atypical Rater Using a Log-linear Modeling Approach—❖ Kari Kastango, University of Chair(s): Yanping Wang, Eli Lilly and Company Pittsburgh; Roslyn A. Stone, Veteran’s Aff airs 8:35 am Statistical Issues of Two-Stage Delivery Dose Pittsburgh Healthcare System Uniformity Test of Orally Inhaled and Nasal Drug 9:35 am The Test-Based Exact Confi dence Intervals of Products—❖ Meiyu Shen, U.S. Food and Drug the Difference between Two Proportions for Administration; Yi Tsong, U.S. Food and Drug Small-Sample Paired Binary Data—❖ Administration Hong-Long Wang, National Taipei University; Shiu-Ying Lin, 8:50 am Practical Considerations on Lot Acceptance National Taipei University; Xiao-Hua Andrew ❖ Sampling Procedures— Boguang Zhen, U.S. Zhou, University of Washington Food and Drug Administration 9:50 am Problems Related to Effect Size Measurement 9:05 am Assessing the Reproducibility of an Analytical and Analysis—❖ Sibabrata Banerjee, New Jersey ❖ Method— Jason Liao,PRELIMINARY Merck Research Institute of Technology Laboratories 10:05 am Confi dence Interval of Effect Size in Paired and 9:20 am Imputing Nonignorable Missing Data on Clinical Parallel-Group Study—❖ Jianrong Wu, St. Jude ❖ Laboratory Assessments— KapildebPROGRAM Sen, Children’s Research Hospital; Guoyong Jiang, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Chen-Sheng Cephalon, Inc. Lin, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Kannan Natarajan, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation; Jun Xing, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company 248 CC-614 9:35 am Web-Based Interactive Bayesian Multiple- ● Inference for Categorical Data—Contributed Objective Optimal Designs for Dose Response Biometrics Section Studies with Constraints—❖ Xiang-feng Wu, Chair(s): Kenneth Koehler, Iowa State University Stony Brook University; Wei Zhu, Stony Brook 8:35 am Exact Inference for Contingency Tables with University; Holger Dette, Ruhr-Universit‰t Correlated Data—❖ Chris Corcoran, Utah State Bochum; Weng Kee Wong, University of University California, Los Angeles 8:50 am Exact Unconditional Inference for Multinomial 9:50 am Teaching Statistics to Clinical Research Staff in Likelihoods with an Example Using 2x3 a Pharmaceutical Company—❖ Sunil Dhar, New Contingency Tables—❖ Gerald Crans, Eli Lilly Jersey Institute of Technology; Farid Kianifard, and Company; Jonathan J. Shuster, University of Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation Florida 10:05 am Floor Discussion 9:05 am Measuring Association in Contingency Tables—❖ Shailendra Banerjee, Centers for Disease Control 247 CC-613 and Prevention ● Methods for Agreement and Paired Data— 9:20 am Data Information with the Cochran-Mantel- ❖ Contributed Haenszel Test— Philip E. Cheng, Academia Sinica Biometrics Section, ENAR Chair(s): Michael Haber, Emory University 9:35 am Modifi ed Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Proportional Odds Model—❖ Evrim Oral, Middle 8:35 am Concordance Correlation Coeffi cient for Ordinal East Technical University Data—❖ Jingyun Yang, Penn State 86 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

9:50 am Using Variation Reduction Point To Remove Chair(s): Kiros Berhane, University of Southern California Extraneous Effect in Modeling—❖ Chong Yau

8:35 am Interval Estimation for a Measure of Stochastic Tuesday Fu, National Yang-Ming University; Shih-Hua Superiority—❖ Euijung Ryu, University of Florida Liu, National Yunlin University of Science & 8:50 am Estimating Equation Approach for Regression Technology Analysis of Interval-Censored Failure Time Data— 10:05 am Floor Discussion ❖ HeeJeong Lim, California State University, Fullerton; Xingqiu Zhao, McMaster University; 249 CC-610 Jianguo Sun, University of Missouri-Columbia ● Design of Power and Sample Size in Clinical 9:05 am Sensitivity of the Kaplan-Meier Estimate to ❖ Trials—Contributed Nonignorable Censoring— Tao Liu, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine ; Daniel F. Biometrics Section, ENAR Heitjan, University of Pennsylvania Chair(s): James F. Ward, Sand Point Statistics Group 9:20 am Censoring Point in Logistic ELISA Standard 8:35 am Blinded Sample-Size Re-estimation in Randomized Curves—❖ Ryan E. Wiegand, Medical University Block Trials with Continuous Endpoint—❖ of South Carolina; Elizabeth H. Slate, Medical Biao Xing, Genentech, Inc.; Jitendra Ganju, University of South Carolina; Elizabeth G. Hill, BiostatWorks Medical University of South Carolina; Jyotika K. 8:50 am Sample Size Re-estimation for Time-to-Event Fernandes, Medical University of South Carolina Studies—❖ Erinn Hade, Th e Ohio State 9:35 am Biases Due to Left Censoring and Left Truncation University; Soledad Fernandez, Th e Ohio State in Estimating Menopausal Transition Stages from University; David Jarjoura, Th e Ohio State PRELIMINARYMenstrual Cycle Data—Kevin Cain, University of University Washington; ❖ Bin Nan, University of Michigan 9:05 am Sample Size and Power Calculation with 9:50 am Predicting Exposure at a Specifi ed Time Based Generalized Mixed Effects Model—PROGRAM❖ Qianyu on an Extended Randomized Regression Model Dang, University of Pittsburgh; Sati Mazumdar, for Interval-Censored Data—❖ Robert Lyles, University of Pittsburgh Emory University; Amita K. Manatunga, Emory 9:20 am Design of Clinical Trials with Flexible Sample University; Renee Moore, Emory University; ❖ Size— Lu Cui, sanofi -aventis; Fang Liu, Merck Michele Marcus, Emory University Research Laboratories; Ray Zhu, sanofi -aventis 10:05 am Inference for partially observed systems, 9:35 am Approximate Confi dence Intervals for Power with an application to cholera. —Edward L. ❖ in UNIREP Analyses— Matthew Gribbin, Th e Ionides, University of Michigan; ❖ Carles Breto, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill University of Michigan; Aaron A. King, University 9:50 am Designing Standardly Tailored Multicomponent of Michigan Intervention Trials in Medicine To Yield Unbiased Effect Estimates—❖ Heather G. Allore, Yale University 251 CC-604 ● ✪ Design and Analysis Issues in 10:05 am Evaluation of Several Multiple Comparison Procedures for Noninferiority Trials with Two Epidemiological Modeling—Contributed Doses of a Treatment and a Control with a Binary Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Success Rate Endpoint—❖ Hongling Zhou, U.S. Chair(s): Jonathan Mahnken, Th e University of Kansas Medical Center Food and Drug Administration; Mohammad 8:35 am Data Analysis under Case-Cohort Designs with Huque, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Clustered Binary Outcome Data—❖ Shou-En Lu, University of Medicine & Dentistry of New Jersey; Yong Lin, University of Medicine & Dentistry 250 CC-606 of New Jersey; Joanna H. Shih, National Cancer ✪ Censoring and Modeling with Censoring— Institute Contributed 8:50 am Early, Cost-Effective Identifi cation of High- Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR Risk/Priority Control Areas in Foot-and-Mouth

Seattle 87 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Disease Epidemics—❖ Steven Schwager, Cornell Kappa Measure of Agreement—❖ Moshe Feder, University; Ariel Rivas, Cornell University; RTI International Tuesday Stephen Smith, Cornell University; Antoni Magri, 10:05 am Improved Confi dence Intervals for the Bernoulli Cornell University Parameter—Wheyming Tina Song, National Tsing 9:05 am Capture-Recapture Revisited—❖ Lawrence Hua University; ❖ Chia-Jung Chang, National Lessner, SUNY University at Albany Tsing Hua University 9:20 am Heterogeneity on Estimation Size of Hard-to- Reach Population Using Capture-Recapture ❖ 253 CC-203 Data— Shenghai Zhang, Public Health Agency ● Survey-Based Estimation II—Contributed of Canada Section on Survey Research Methods 9:35 am Analysis of a Disease and Probability of Exposure Chair(s): Elizabeth R. Zell, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Association Using a Replicated Error-Prone 8:35 am Methods for Birth Cohort Analysis for the Exposure Assessment—❖ Chengxing Lu, Emory National Immunization Survey—❖ Phil Smith, University; Robert Lyles, Emory University Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Kirk 9:50 am A Two-Phase Analysis of Air Pollution and Wolter, NORC; James Singleton, Centers for ❖ Adverse Birth Outcomes— Katherine Hoggatt, Disease Control and Prevention University of Michigan; Sander Greenland, 8:50 am Estimation of Regression Coeffi cients with University of California, Los Angeles; Beate Ritz, Unequal Probability Samples—❖ Yu Wu, Iowa University of California, Los Angeles State University; Wayne Fuller, Iowa State 10:05 am Floor Discussion PRELIMINARYUniversity 9:05 am Indirect Sampling and the Problem of 252 CC-201 Identifi cation of Links—❖ Pierre LavallÈe, ● Survey-Based Variance Estimation PROGRAMI— Statistics Canada; Xiaojian Xu, University of Contributed Alberta Section on Survey Research Methods 9:20 am A Comparison between Ratio Estimation and Chair(s): Keith Rust, Westat/University of Maryland Post-Stratifi cation—❖ Chang-Tai Chao, National 8:35 am Confi dence Intervals for Quantile Estimation Cheng Kung University; Tzu-Ching Chiang, from Complex Survey Data—❖ Babubhai V. National Cheng Kung University Shah, SAFAL Institute Inc.; Akhil Vaish, RTI 9:35 am Using Income as an Auxiliary Variable To Improve International the Design of Household Expenditure Surveys—❖ 8:50 am Estimating Prevalence When a Subset of the Charles Mitchell, Statistics Canada; Christian Sample Requires Further Evaluation—❖ David Nadeau, Statistics Canada C. Hoaglin, Abt Associates Inc.; K. P. Srinath, Abt 9:50 am Model Averaging in Survey Estimation—❖ Xiaoxi Associates Inc. Li, Iowa State University; Jean D. Opsomer, Iowa 9:05 am Variance Estimation for Ordered Categories—❖ State University Steven Pedlow, NORC; Yongyi Wang, NORC; Kirk 10:05 am Integrating Person and Housing Unit Weighting Wolter, NORC for the Current Population Survey—❖ Andrew 9:20 am Variance Estimation in a Survey for Iowa’s State Zbikowski, U.S. Census Bureau; Phawn Board of Education—Michael D. Larsen, Iowa Letourneau, U.S. Census Bureau State University; ❖ Lu Lu, Iowa State University 9:35 am Variance Estimation in Complex Survey Sampling 254 CC-620 for Generalized Linear Models—❖ Sundar ● Nonparametric Regression Methods II— Natarajan, New York University Medical Center; Contributed Stuart Lipsitz, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; Section on Nonparametric Statistics Garrett Fitzmaurice, Harvard University; Charity Chair(s): Yolanda Munoz Maldonado, Th e University of Texas School of G. Moore, University of South Carolina Public Health 9:50 am Variance Estimation of the Survey-Weighted

88 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

8:35 am Spline Single-Index Prediction Model—❖ Li Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center/ Wang, Michigan State University; Lijian Yang, University of Washington; Michael G. Hudgens, Tuesday Michigan State University Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 8:50 am Testing Lack-of-Fit of Heteroscedastic Nonlinear 10:05 am A Novel Approach for Proteomic Biomarker Regression Models with Local Linear Smoothers— Identifi cation Using Mass Spectrometry—❖ ❖ Chin-Shang Li, St. Jude Children’s Research Chen Ji, Stony Brook University; Yeming Ma, Hospital Brookhaven National Laboratory; Xuena Wang, 9:05 am Local Analytic Curve Estimation—❖ Richard University of Hawaii; Esther Arkin, Stony Charnigo, University of Kentucky; Cidambi Brook University; Joseph Mitchell, Stony Brook Srinivasan, University of Kentucky University; Wei Zhu, Stony Brook University 9:20 am Nonparametric regression with coarsened predictors—❖ Aurore Delaigle, University of California, San Diego Special Presentation 10:30 am–12:20 pm 9:35 am Asymptotic Approximation to a Nonparametric Regression Experiment with Unknown Variance— 256 CC-400 ❖ Andrew Carter, University of California, Santa College Bowl I—Other Barbara The ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR 9:50 am Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Mark Payton, Oklahoma State University Chair(s): Mark Payton, Oklahoma State University 255 PRELIMINARYCC-611 Game 4—❖ Ke Zhang, Kansas State University; ❖ ● Biomarkers and Joint Models—Contributed Tanujit Dey, Case Western Reserve University; ❖ Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR Christopher Rigdon, Southern Illinois University Chair(s): Elizabeth Brown, University of Washington PROGRAM Game 3—❖ Fang Yu, University of Connecticut; ❖ ❖ 8:35 am Mixtures-of-Experts Joint Model for Longitudinal Alicia Graziosi, Temple University; Arunava Biomarkers and Recurrent Events—❖ Jun Han, Chakravartty, University of California, Riverside; ❖ Georgia State University; Elizabeth H. Slate, Rajarshi Dey, Kansas State University Medical University of South Carolina; Edsel PeÒa, Game 2—❖ Vivekananda Roy, University of University of South Carolina Florida; ❖ Ying Hung, Georgia Institute of ❖ 8:50 am Joint Analysis of Longitudinal Measurements Technology; Dipankar Bandyopadhyay, ❖ and Competing Risks Failure Time Data—❖ Ning University of Georgia; Jeff rey Lidicker, Temple Li, University of California, Los Angeles; Robert University Elashoff , University of California, Los Angeles; Game 1—❖ Upasana Santra, University of Gang Li, University of California, Los Angeles Florida; ❖ Samiran Ghosh, University of ❖ 9:05 am Joint Modeling of Survival and Longitudinal Connecticut; Susanta Tewari, University of ❖ Data—Jimin Ding, University of California, Davis Georgia; Xinwei Deng, Georgia Institute of Technology 9:20 am Type I and II Error of Joint Multimarkers Cox Models To Predict Chronic Disease Outcomes—❖ Philimon Gona, Boston University 9:35 am Robust Analysis of Biomarker Data with Invited Sessions 10:30 am–12:20 pm Informative Missingness Using a Two-Stage Hypothesis Test in an HIV Treatment Interruption 257 CC-4C-4 Trial: AIEDRP AIN503 /ACTG A5217—❖ Karen ● ✪ Hurricane Katrina and Economic Data— Messer, University of California, San Diego; Invited Florin Vaida, University of California, San Diego; Business and Economics Statistics Section Christine Hogan, Columbia University Organizer(s): John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics 9:50 am Evaluating Causal Effect Predictiveness of Chair(s): John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics Candidate Surrogate Endpoints—❖ Peter Gilbert,

Seattle 89 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

10:35 am Current Population Survey Response to the 10:35 am Analysis of Comparative Data with Hierarchical Hurricane Katrina Disaster—❖ Edwin L. Robison, Autocorrelation—❖ Cecile Ane, University of Tuesday Bureau of Labor Statistics; Anne Polivka, Bureau Wisconsin-Madison of Labor Statistics; Diane Herz, Bureau of Labor 11:00 am Using Bootstrap Support for Splits To Construct Statistics; Lawrence Cahoon, U.S. Census Bureau; Confi dence Regions for Trees—❖ Edward Susko, Richard Ning, U.S. Census Bureau; Maria Reed, Dahousie University U.S. Census Bureau; Greg Weyland, U.S. Census 11:25 am The Threshold Model: an Underutilized Resource Bureau in Phylogenetic Inference—❖ Joseph Felsenstein, 11:00 am Accounting for Katrina Effects in State Labor University of Washington Force Estimates—❖ Richard Tiller, Bureau of 11:50 am Algebraic Statistics and Phylogenetic Inference: Labor Statistics; Sharon Brown, Bureau of Labor Establishing Identifi ability of Mutation Models— Statistics ❖ Elizabeth S. Allman, University of Alaska, 11:25 am Effects of Hurricane Katrina on the BLS Payroll Fairbanks; John A. Rhodes, University of Alaska, ❖ Survey— Patricia Getz, Bureau of Labor Fairbanks Statistics; Richard Rosen, Bureau of Labor 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Statistics; Larry Huff , Bureau of Labor Statistics; Angela Clinton, Bureau of Labor Statistics 11:50 am Analysis and Procedures in the Census Bureau’s 260 CC-210 Trade Surveys after Hurricane Katrina—❖ Jock R. ● Personal Networks: Applications Using Data on Black, U.S. Census Bureau; Ruth E. Detlefsen, U.S. Social Relationships—Invited Census Bureau PRELIMINARYSection on Statistical Computing, Section on Statisticians in Defense and 12:15 pm Floor Discussion National Security, Section on Statistical Graphics Organizer(s): Chris Volinsky, AT&T Labs-Research PROGRAMChair(s): Deepak K. Agarwal, AT&T Labs-Research 258 CC-607 ● ✪ Estimation of Treatment Effect for Clinical 10:35 am Design and Analysis of ‘How Many Xs Do You Know?’ Surveys—❖ Tian Zheng, Columbia Trials with Group Sequential Designs—Invited University; Andrew Gelman, Columbia University Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR 11:00 am Data Mining in Networks—❖ David Jensen, Organizer(s): Michael W. Lee, Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical R&D; Hui Quan, sanofi -aventis University of Massachusetts Chair(s): Daowen Zhang, sanofi -aventis 11:25 am The Dynamics of Viral Marketing—Jure Leskovec, Carnegie Mellon University; ❖ Lada A. Adamic, 10:35 am Estimation Following Group Sequential Trials: University of Michigan; Bernardo Huberman, a Bayesian View—❖ Gary L. Rosner, M. D. Hewlett Packard Labs Anderson Cancer Center 11:50 am Modeling Massive Dynamic Graphs—❖ Chris 11:10 am Conditional Estimation of Treatment Effects Volinsky, AT&T Labs-Research for Clinical Trials with Group Sequential Designs—❖ Michael W. Lee, Johnson & Johnson 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Pharmaceutical R&D; Hui Quan, sanofi -aventis 11:45 am Disc: Weichung J. Shih, University of Medicine & 261 CC-206 Dentistry of New Jersey ● Modeling Behavioral Data from Clinical 12:05 pm Floor Discussion Research on Smoking—Invited Section on Health Policy Statistics, Biometrics Section 259 CC-2B Organizer(s): E. PaulWileyto, University of Pennsylvania ● ✪ Advances in Phylogenetic Inference—Invited Chair(s): Joseph L. Schafer, Penn State IMS, WNAR 10:35 am Modeling Heaping in Self-Reported Cigarette ❖ Organizer(s): Bret Larget, University of Wisconsin-Madison Counts— Daniel F. Heitjan, University of Pennsylvania Chair(s): Bret Larget, University of Wisconsin-Madison 11:00 am A Cure Mixture Model for Multivariate Time-to-

90 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Event Data—❖ E. Paul Wileyto, University of Imaging Applications with a Statistician’s Eye— Pennsylvania Invited Tuesday 11:25 am Modeling Variation in the Effects of Smoking Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statisticians in Using Intensive Longitudinal Data—❖ Donald Defense and National Security, Section on Statistical Graphics Hedeker, University of Illinois at Chicago Organizer(s): Kary Myers, Los Alamos National Laboratory 11:50 am Exploring the Relationship between Adverse Chair(s): Kary Myers, Los Alamos National Laboratory Events, Compliance, Dropout, and Abstinence in 10:35 am Do Guns Transfer Their DNA to Bullets?—❖ Pharmacotherapy Smoking Cessation Trials—❖ William F. Eddy, Carnegie Mellon University Joel A. Dubin, University of Waterloo 11:00 am Using Image Grand Tour To Explore Multiangle, 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Multispectral Satellite Imagery—❖ Amy Braverman, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Edward 262 CC-603 Wegman, George Mason University; Wendy Martinez, Offi ce of Naval Research; Juergen ● ✪ Complex Data Structures—Invited Symanzik, Utah State University; Brad Wallet, SSC Automated Decisions Organizer(s): James Staff ord, University of Toronto 11:25 am Tomographic Imaging Using Background Cosmic Chair(s): James Staff ord, University of Toronto Radiation—❖ Nicolas Hengartner, Los Alamos 10:35 am Issues Relating to Methods for Analysis of Survey National Laboratory ❖ Data— David Binder, Statistical Society of 11:50 am Using Statistics To Search and Annotate Canada; Georgia Roberts,PRELIMINARY Statistics Canada Pictures—❖ Nuno Vasconcelos, University of 11:05 am Spatial-Temporal Modeling for Marine Ecological California, San Diego; Pedro J. Moreno, Google, Systems—❖ Joanna M. Flemming, Dahousie Inc. University 12:15 pm Floor Discussion PROGRAM❖ 11:35 am A Stochastic Model for Forest Fire Growth— Willard J. Braun, University of Western Ontario 265 CC-616 12:05 pm Floor Discussion ● ✪ Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Models—Invited WNAR, Biometrics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on 263 CC-3A Statistics and the Environment ● ✪ Effective Leadership for Statistical Thinking Organizer(s): Bruno Sanso, University of California, Santa Cruz and Impact—Invited Chair(s): Catherine A. Calder, Th e Ohio State University Council of Chapters, Section on Statistical Education, Section on Statistical 10:35 am Spatial Dynamic Factor Models—❖ Hedibert Consulting F. Lopes, Th e University of Chicago; Esther S. Organizer(s): James Kenyon, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Salazar, Instituto de Matem·tica-UFRJ; Dani Chair(s): James Kenyon, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Gamerman, Instituto de Matem·tica-UFRJ 10:35 am Building Statistical Thinking into the School 11:00 am Characterizing Invasions with Hierarchical, Rule- Curriculum: Obstacles and Opportunities—❖ Based Systems—❖ Mevin B. Hooten, University Richard L. Scheaff er, University of Florida of Missouri-Columbia; Christopher K. Wikle, 11:05 am Seven Habits of Highly Effective Statisticians in University of Missouri-Columbia Pharmaceutical Industry—❖ Frank Shen, Bristol- 11:25 am Spatially Varying AR Processes Based on Discrete Myers Squibb Company Convolutions—❖ Bruno Sanso, University of 11:35 am Effective Statistical Leadership in Government California, Santa Cruz; Alexandra Schmidt, and Industry—❖ Fritz J. Scheuren, NORC Universidade Federal de Rio de Janeiro; Aline Nobre, Universidade Federal de Rio de Janeiro 12:05 pm Floor Discussion 11:50 am Using Computer Models To Inform about Space- Time Fields—❖ Dave Higdon, Los Alamos 264 CC-604 National Laboratory ● Bombs to Bullets, People to Planets: Exploring 12:15 am Floor Discussion

Seattle 91 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

266 CC-211 Organizer(s): Subha Chakraborti, Th e University of Alabama ● ✪ Chair(s): Subha Chakraborti, Th e University of Alabama Challenges Facing the Next Generation of Tuesday Applied Statisticians—Invited 10:35 am Minimum Control Charts—❖ Willem Albers, Social Statistics Section, Committee on Applied Statisticians, Committee on University Twente Women in Statistics, Committee on Law and Justice Statistics, Section on 10:55 am Distribution-Free Quality Control Charts Based Statistical Education, Section on Statistical Consulting on Signed-Rank-Like Statistics—❖ Saad Bakir, Organizer(s): Kelly H. Zou, Harvard Medical School Alabama State University Chair(s): Alan M. Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School 11:15 am Dispersion Control Charts Based on Ranks—❖ 10:35 am Motivations and Challenges Facing Women Raid Amin, University of West Florida ❖ Statisticians— Kelly H. Zou, Harvard Medical 11:35 am Distribution-Free Multivariate Process Control School Based on Log-Linear Modeling—❖ Peihua Qiu, 11:00 am Statistical Tools Employed in Legal Settings—❖ University of Minnesota Mary W. Gray, American University 11:55 am A Bayesian Approach in Modeling Shifts of the 11:25 am Professional Accreditation for Statisticians—❖ Mean/Variance of Count Data—❖ Panagiotis Mary Batcher, Ernst & Young LLP Tsiamyrtzis, Athens University of Economics 11:50 am Disc: Kimberly F. Sellers, Georgetown University and Business; Douglas M. Hawkins, University of 12:10 pm Floor Discussion Minnesota 12:15 pm Floor Discussion

Invited Panels 10:30 am–12:20PRELIMINARY pm 269 CC-609 ● ✪ Bayesian Computational Methods for 267 PROGRAMCC-2A Biomedical Applications—Topic-Contributed ● Practical Issues in Conducting Statistics Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, ENAR Education Research—Invited Organizer(s): Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University Section on Statistical Education Chair(s): Marina Vannucci, Texas A&M University Organizer(s): Joan Garfi eld, University of Minnesota 10:35 am Bayesian Hidden Markov Modeling of Array CGH ❖ Chair(s): Joan Garfi eld, University of Minnesota Data— Subharup Guha, Panelists: ❖ Robert DelMas, University of Minnesota 10:55 am A Hierarchical Bayesian Analysis of Longitudinal Frequency Data Using Piecewise Linear ❖ Lawrence M. Lesser, Th e University of Texas at Regression—❖ John Kern, Duquesne University; El Paso Nicholas Bernini, Duquesne University; Sujit ❖ Beth Chance, California Polytechnic State Ghosh, North Carolina State University University, San Luis Obispo 11:15 am Bayesian Spatial Modeling of Data from Bird ❖ Sterling Hilton, Brigham Young University Surveys—❖ Raymond Webster, North Carolina ❖ Andrew Zieffl er, University of Minnesota State University; Kenneth Pollock, North Carolina 12:15 pm Floor Discussion State University; Th eodore Simons, North Carolina State University 11:35 am Bayesian Inference for NLME Models Involving Topic-Contributed Sessions ODEs—❖ Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State 10:30 am–12:20 pm University; Lovely Goyal, 11:55 am Bayesian Modeling of Longitudinal Data with Nonignorable Missing Data—❖ Liansheng Zhu, 268 CC-601 North Carolina State University; Sujit Ghosh, ● Nonparametric Statistical Process Control North Carolina State University; Subhashis Methods—Topic-Contributed Ghosal, North Carolina State University Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 12:15 pm Floor Discussion

92 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

270 CC-617 11:55 am Statistical Analysis of a POT Model with Time- ● Varying Extreme Parameters—❖ Marta Nogaj, Recent Advances in Analyzing Agreement Tuesday Data—Topic-Contributed Commission of Atomic Energy Biometrics Section, ENAR 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Ananda Sen, University of Michigan Chair(s): Ananda Sen, University of Michigan 272 CC-611 10:35 am Bivariate Modeling of Interobserver Agreement ● ✪ Outcome-Dependent Sampling—Topic- Coeffi cients—❖ Mohamed Shoukri, King Faisal Contributed Specialist Hospital; Allan Donner, University of Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Western Ontario Organizer(s): Jonathan Wakefi eld, University of Washington 10:55 am A Weighted Kappa for Agreement between Two Chair(s): James Lynch, University of Nebraska Medical Center Ratings with Different Ordinal Scales—❖ Stuart 10:35 am The Combination of Ecological and Individual- Lipsitz, Brigham and Women’s Hospital Level Data—❖ Jonathan Wakefi eld, University of 11:15 am Coeffi cient of Agreement for Binary Data with Washington; Sebastien Haneuse, Group Health Replications—❖ Huiman Barnhart, Duke Cooperative University; Michael Haber, Emory University; 10:55 am Two-Phase Methods for Ecological Studies—❖ Andrzej Kosinski, Duke University Sebastien Haneuse, Group Health Cooperative; 11:35 am A Permutation Test for Dependent Concordance Jonathan Wakefi eld, University of Washington Correlation Coeffi cients—❖ John M. Williamson, 11:15 am The Optimal Ratio of Cases to Controls for Centers for Disease ControlPRELIMINARY and Prevention; Estimating the Classifi cation Accuracy of Hung-Mo Lin, Penn State; Sara Crawford, a Biomarker—❖ Holly E. Janes, Th e Johns Th e Rollins School of Public Health of Emory Hopkins University; Margaret S. Pepe, Fred University PROGRAMHutchinson Cancer Research Center/University of 11:55 am Disc: Allan Donner, University of Western Washington Ontario 11:35 am An Effi cient Outcome-Dependent Sampling 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Design for Longitudinal Binary Response Data—❖ Jon Schildcrout, Vanderbilt University 271 CC-602 Medical Center; Patrick Heagerty, University of ● ✪ Extremes: Methods for Environmental and Washington Meteorological Studies—Topic-Contributed 11:55 am Disc: Patrick Heagerty, University of Washington WNAR 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Daniel Cooley, Colorado State University Chair(s): Daniel Cooley, Colorado State University 273 CC-201 10:35 am How Good Are the Air Quality Standards?—❖ ● The Transition from the Long Form to the Sofi a Aberg, Lund University; Peter Guttorp, American Community Survey: Findings from The University of Washington National Academies Panel—Topic-Contributed 10:55 am A Statistical Approach to North American Section on Survey Research Methods Rainfall—❖ Jie Zhou, Th e University of North Organizer(s): Michael L. Cohen, Committee on National Statistics Carolina at Chapel Hill Chair(s): Michael L. Cohen, Committee on National Statistics 11:15 am Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling for Extreme 10:35 am Functionality and Usability of Information from ❖ Values in Spatio-Temporal Data— Huiyan the American Community Survey—❖ Connie Sang, Duke University; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke Citro, Committee on National Statistics; Graham University Kalton, Westat; Michael L. Cohen, Committee on 11:35 am Predicting Extreme Hurricane Winds in the National Statistics ❖ United States— Th omas Jagger, Florida State 10:55 am The ACS and the Data User Community—❖ University Joseph Salvo, New York City; Nancy Dunton,

Seattle 93 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Th e University of Kansas Medical Center; 10:55 am An Economic Analysis of Survey Response Charles Purvis, Oakland Metro Transportation Quality—❖ Julia Lane, NORC; Leslie Athey, Tuesday Commission NORC; Suzanne Bard, NORC; Judith Petty, 11:15 am Methodological Issues in the ACS—❖ Graham NORC Kalton, Westat; Tim Holt, Retired; Sharon Lohr, 11:15 am Effects of Late-Stage Completions on Data Arizona State University; Hal Stern, University of Quality—❖ Karen Grigorian, NORC; Th omas B. California, Irvine Hoff er, NORC; Ronald S. Fecso, National Science 11:35 am Disc: Jay Waite, U.S. Census Bureau Foundation 11:55 am Disc: Allen Schirm, Mathematica Policy Research, 11:35 am Disc: Cheryl R. Landman, U.S. Census Bureau Inc. 11:55 am Floor Discussion 12:15 pm Floor Discussion 276 CC-608 274 CC-212 High Dimensional Modeling and Model Student Paper Award Winners—Topic- Selection—Topic-Contributed Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Graphics Organizer(s): Christopher Hans, Th e Ohio State University Organizer(s): Jose Pinheiro, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation Chair(s): Herbert Lee, University of California, Santa Cruz Chair(s): Jose Pinheiro, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation 10:35 am Priors for High-Dimensional Covariance Models— 10:35 am Effi cient Computation and Variable Selection for ❖ Charles Curry, University of California, Santa PRELIMINARY❖ Cruz the L1-Norm Quantile Regression— Youjuan Li, University of Michigan; Ji Zhu, University of 10:55 am High-Dimensional Modeling and Model Michigan PROGRAMSelection—❖ Carlos Carvalho, Duke University 10:55 am An Algorithm for Regression of Scalars on 11:15 am Sparsity in Linear Regression for High- Images—❖ Philip Reiss, Columbia University; R. Dimensional Problems—❖ Christopher Hans, Th e Todd Ogden, Columbia University Ohio State University 11:15 am Clustering with Confi dence—❖ Rebecca Nugent, 11:35 am A Bayesian Nonparametric Approach for University of Washington; Werner Stuetzle, Expression Proteomic Analyses—❖ Leanna University of Washington House, Duke University; Merlise Clyde, Duke 11:35 am Kernel Regularization and Dimension Reduction— University; Robert Wolpert, Duke University Fan Lu, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Grace 11:55 am Making Sense of Estimating Integrated Wahba, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Yi Lin, Likelihoods: Bridges, Paths, and Other Routes—❖ University of Wisconsin-Madison; Sunduz Keles, Russell Steele, McGill University University of Wisconsin-Madison; Stephen J. 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Wright, University of Wisconsin-Madison 11:55 am Disc: Charles Roosen, Insightful Corporation 277 CC-615 12:15 pm Floor Discussion ✪ Topics in Function Estimation Using Isotonization and Smoothing Techniques—Topic- 275 CC-205 Contributed ● Measuring and Improving Data Quality—Topic- IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Contributed Organizer(s): Moulinath Banerjee, University of Michigan Section on Government Statistics Chair(s): Jon A. Wellner, University of Washington Organizer(s): Nancy M. Gordon, U.S. Census Bureau 10:35 am Nonparametric Density Estimation from Covariate Chair(s): Nancy M. Gordon, U.S. Census Bureau Information—❖ Ryan Elmore, Colorado State 10:35 am How Do We Know If We Aren’t Looking? An University; Peter G. Hall, Australian National Investigation of Data Quality in the SCF—❖ University; Vladimir Troynikov, Department of Arthur Kennickell, Federal Reserve Board Primary Industries 94 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

10:55 am Limiting Distribution of the NPMLE for Current Frauke Kreuter, University of Maryland; Roger Status Data with Competing Risks—❖ Marloes Tourangeau, University of Maryland; Ting Yan, Tuesday Maathuis, University of Washington Institute for Social Research 11:15 am Penalized Likelihood Ratio Method for the Spiking 12:05 pm Population Coverage in the National Survey Problem in Nonincreasing Density Estimation—❖ on Drug Use and Health—Susan R. Hunter, Jayanta Pal, University of Michigan RTI International; ❖ Katherine B. Morton, RTI 11:35 am Fractile Graphical Analysis with Multiple International; James Chromy, RTI International; Covariates—❖ Bodhisattva Sen, University of Peilan C. Martin, RTI International Michigan 11:55 am Disc: Moulinath Banerjee, University of Michigan 279 CC-204 12:15 pm Floor Discussion ● Survey-Based Estimation III—Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Bryan Sayer, Social & Scientifi c Systems, Inc. Regular Contributed Sessions 10:35 am New Cell Collapsing Strategies Based on 10:30 am–12:20 pm Collapsing Adjustment Factor—❖ Jay J. Kim, National Center for Health Statistics; Richard Valliant, University of Michigan; Wenxing Zha, 278 CC-203 National Institutes of Health ● Sample Survey Quality III—Contributed 10:50 am Stratifi cation for Radio Listening Estimation—❖ Section on Survey Research Methods PRELIMINARYRichard Griffi ths, Arbitron Inc. Chair(s): David Dolson, Statistics Canada 11:05 am Calculating Effect Sizes Using Survey Data—❖ 10:35 am Evaluation of New Cell-Phone-Only Households Jun Liu, Research Triangle Institute with Knowledge Networks’ NationalPROGRAM Panel 11:20 am Estimation for Two-Phase Panel Surveys—❖ Jason ❖ Data— Vicki Pineau, Knowledge Networks, Legg, Iowa State University; Wayne Fuller, Iowa Inc.; Lingrui Jiang, Knowledge Networks, Inc. State University; Sarah M. Nusser, Iowa State 10:50 am An Evaluation of Methods To Compensate for University Noncoverage of Phoneless Households Using 11:35 am Evaluation of Collapsing Criteria in Sample Information on Interruptions in Telephone Service Weighting—❖ ❖ Linda Tompkins, National Center and Presence of Wireless Phones— Meena for Health Statistics; Jay J. Kim, National Center Khare, ; Sadeq Chowdhury, NORC; Kirk Wolter, for Health Statistics; Wenxing Zha, National NORC; Karen Wooten, National Immunization Institutes of Health Program; Stephen Blumberg, National Center for Health Statistics 11:50 am A Pseudo-Empirical Likelihood Approach for Stratifi ed Samples with Nonresponse—❖ Fang 11:05 am Using Record Linkage Techniques To Improve Fang, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Quan Online Genealogical Research with Census ❖ Hong, Eli Lilly and Company; Jun Shao, University Records— John Lawson, Brigham Young of Wisconsin-Madison University 12:05 pm Estimation Methods To Produce Preliminary 11:20 am Integrating Culture Industries into Canada’s Statistics in an Employment Survey—❖ ❖ Anders National Economic Surveys Program— Mary Holmberg, Statistics Sweden; Natalie Jansson, March, Statistics Canada; Paddison Wong, Statistics Sweden; Martin Odencrants, Statistics Statistics Canada Sweden 11:35 am The Internet Response Method: Impact on the Canadian Census of Population Data—❖ Laurent Roy, Statistics Canada 280 CC-3B 11:50 am Good Item or Bad: Can Latent Class Analysis Hot Topics in Sports—Contributed Tell? Examining the Effectiveness of the Latent Section on Statistics in Sports, Section on Statistical Education Class Analysis Approach to Item Evaluation—❖ Chair(s): Michael Anderson, Battelle

Seattle 95 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

10:35 am A Compound Logistic Regression Model for Third Ascertainment of Pedigrees for Random-Effects Down Effi ciency in the NFL—❖ Christopher Cox Proportional Hazard Linkage Analysis—❖ Tuesday Rigdon, Southern Illinois University; Steve Susan Slager, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; Rigdon, Southern Illinois University Shannon K. McDonnell, Mayo Clinic College 10:50 am A Cross-Country Comparison of Effi ciency of of Medicine; Vernon S. Pankratz, Mayo Clinic Soccer-Betting Markets—❖ Ruud H. Koning, College of Medicine; Antje Hoering, Cancer University of Groningen Research and Biostatistics; Terry M. Th erneau, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; Mariza de 11:05 am Using Spatial Analysis as a Coaching Tool in Ice Andrade, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine Hockey—❖ Robin Lock, St. Lawrence University; Travis Gingras, St. Lawrence University; 11:20 am A Probability Model for Recent Tb Transmissions ❖ Chris Wells, St. Lawrence University; Michael in Genetic Clusters— Nong Shang, Schuckers, St. Lawrence University 11:35 am Human Population Structure Detection via ❖ 11:20 am An Interesting Classroom Exercise—❖ Laurence Multilocus Genotype Clustering— Xiaoyi Gao, Robinson, Ohio Northern University North Carolina State University; Bruce S. Weir, University of Washington 11:35 am Identifying and Evaluating Contrarian Strategies for NCAA Tournament Pools—❖ Jarad Niemi, 11:50 am Testing for Familial Aggregation When the ❖ Duke University; Bradley P. Carlin, University of Population Size Is Known— Yixin Fang, Minnesota; Jonathan Alexander, Duke University Columbia University 11:50 am Improved College Football Scheduling using a 12:05 pm A Study of an Allele-Sharing Statistic on Extended ❖ Pseudo-Swiss System—❖ David Annis, Naval Pedigrees— Saonli Basu, University of PRELIMINARYMinnesota Postgraduate School; Samuel Wu, University of Florida 12:05 pm Regressing Modeling Using MultiplePROGRAM Sources 282 CC-613 To Detect Group-Level Differences in Pitching ● ✪ Disease Modeling: Theory and Applications— Performance—❖ Liam O’Brien, Colby College; Contributed Matthew Aschaff enburg, Colby College Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR Chair(s): Eric Siegel, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences 281 CC-614 10:35 am Model choice in time series studies of air ● ✪ Pedigree/Population Analyses—Contributed pollution and mortality—❖ Roger Peng, Th e Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR Johns Hopkins University; Francesca Dominici, Chair(s): Jinbo Chen, University of Pennsylvania Th e Johns Hopkins University; Th omas A. Louis, 10:35 am Family-Based Liquid Association Analysis on Th e Johns Hopkins University Atherosclerosis in C3H/HeJ. ApoE-/- x C57BL/6J. 10:50 am A Generalized Threshold Mixed Model for ApoE-/- Cross—❖ Tun-Hsiang Yang, University of Analyzing Non-Normal Nonlinear Time Series: California, Los Angeles; Ker-Chau Li, University Plague in Kazakhstan as an Illustration—❖ of California, Los Angeles; Shinsheng Yuan, Noelle I. Samia, Th e University of Iowa; Kung-Sik University of California, Los Angeles; Aldons Chan, Th e University of Iowa; Nils C. Stenseth, J. Lusis, University of California, Los Angeles; Th e University of Oslo Wei Sun, University of California, Los Angeles; 11:05 am Statistical Determination of the Length of Susanna Wang, University of California, Los Quarantine Periods in an Epidemic—❖ Xiaojun Angeles You, 10:50 am Evaluating the Impact of Family Structure on 11:20 am Bayesian Analysis of the 1918 Infl uenza Pandemic Estimating Genetic Association Parameters in in Baltimore, MD—❖ Yue Yin, ❖ Family Studies— Stefan Boehringer, National 11:35 am Changes in Infant Mortality by Socioeconomic Cancer Institute; Ruth Pfeiff er, National Cancer Status: U.S. Residents, 1995–2000—❖ Jay H. Kim, Institute Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Joe 11:05 am Evaluation of Three Approaches To Correct for Fred Gonzalez, Jr., National Center for Health

96 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Statistics; Paul D. Williams, National Center for Carcinogenicity Studies—❖ Mohammad Rahman, Health Statistics U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Karl Lin, U.S. Tuesday 11:50 am BMI, Race, and Prostate Cancer—❖ Negasi Food and Drug Administration Beyene, National Center for Health Statistics 10:50 am Predictive Fingerprint Modeling in Systems 12:05 pm Standardized Risk and Description of Results from Biology—❖ Lei Zhu, GlaxoSmithKline; Multivariable Modeling of a Binary Response— Daniel Parks, GlaxoSmithKline; Xiwu Lin, Bong-Rae Kim, University of Florida; ❖ Randy L. GlaxoSmithKline; Kwan Lee, GlaxoSmithKline; Carter, University at Buff alo; P. V. Rao, University Amit Bhattacharyya, GlaxoSmithKIine; Edit of Florida Kurali, GlaxoSmithKline; Amber Anderson, GlaxoSmithKline; Dilip Rajagopalan, GlaxoSmithKline 283 CC-401 11:05 am Evaluation of a Novel Metric for Quality Control Portfolios and Derivations—Contributed in an RNA Interference High-Throughput Assay— Business and Economics Statistics Section ❖ Xiaohua Zhang, Merck Research Laboratories; Chair(s): Paul Shaman, University of Pennsylvania Namjin Chung, Merck Research Laboratories; 10:35 am Mimicking Portfolios with Conditioning Amy Espeseth, Merck Research Laboratories; Information—❖ Andrew Siegel, University of Marc Ferrer, Merck Research Laboratories Washington 11:20 am On Methods To Utilize HIV-RNA Data Measured 10:50 am Population Segmentation for Portfolio by Two PCR Assays—❖ Joshua Chen, Merck & Strategies—❖ Timothy H. Lee, ; Otto Schwalb, Co., Inc.; Chunpeng Fan, University of Wisconsin- 11:05 am Synthesis-Effi cient PortfolioPRELIMINARY of Investment Madison; Jing Zhao, Merck & Co., Inc. Projects—❖ Alex Fedorov, Novosibirsk State 11:35 am Consideration of Parallel-Line and Logistic Technical University; Dmitri Shubin, Novosibirsk models for Potency estimation—❖ Bill Pikounis, State Technical University; AnatolyPROGRAM Naumov, Centocor R&D, Inc.; Ken Goldberg, Centocor Novosibirsk State Technical University R&D, Inc. 11:20 am Assessing the Effects of Variability in Interest 11:50 am A Linear Model Approach To Detect Outliers in Rate Derivative Pricing—❖ Michael Crotty, North Quantitative PCR—❖ Michael Man, Pfi zer Inc. Carolina State University; Peter Bloomfi eld, North 12:05 pm Quantifi cation Limits in HIV Clinical Trials—❖ Carolina State University Michael Nessly, Merck Research Laboratories 11:35 am Structural Models of Corporate Bond Yields by Nonconvex Penalized Least Squares—❖ Yuejiao Ma, Penn State 285 CC-612 ● Sample Size—Contributed 11:50 am Toward Identifi cation of Shocks in State-Space Biopharmaceutical Section Models: Application to Stochastic Volatility—❖ Nour Meddahi, MontrÈal University; StÈphane Chair(s): Tom Kelleher, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Gregoir, CREST/INSEE 10:35 am Sample Size Considerations in Noninferiority ❖ 12:05 pm Estimating the Commonality in Volatility-Volume Trials— Qi Jiang, Amgen Inc.; Steven Snapinn, Relationship—❖ Lei Zhang, Syracuse University; Amgen Inc. Raja Velu, Syracuse University; Tze Leung Lai, 10:50 am Determining Sample Size for Proportions When Stanford University; Haipeng Xing, Columbia the Information on a Prognostic Factor Is University Unavailable—❖ Bong S. Kim, Neumann College 11:05 am Sample Size Re-estimation in a Dose-Response Study—❖ Kazuhiko Kuribayashi, Pfi zer Inc.; Mike 284 CC-606 D. Smith, Pfi zer Inc. ● Preclinical Design and Analysis—Contributed 11:20 am Sample-Size Estimation for Repeated Measures Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR Analysis in Randomized Clinical Trials with Chair(s): Kannan Natarajan, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation Missing Data—Kaifeng Lu, Merck & Co., Inc.; 10:35 am Some Results Concerning Multiplicities in Animal Xiaohui Luo, Merck & Co., Inc.; ❖ Pei-Yun Chen,

Seattle 97 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Merck & Co., Inc. Experiments—Contributed

11:35 am Sample-Size Calculations in Logistic Regression: Biometrics Section, ENAR Tuesday Commnets on Hsieh, Bloch, and Larsen’s Chair(s): Jayawant Mandrekar, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine ❖ Method— Mohammed K. Alam, University 10:35 am Evaluation Parallelism Testing Methods in of Cincinnati; Marepalli Rao, University of Immunoassay—❖ Lanju Zhang, MedImmune, Cincinnati; Rupa Mitra, Minnesota State Inc.; Harry Yang, MedImmune, Inc.; Iksung Cho, University MedImmune, Inc. 11:50 am Extracting Information from an Ongoing Blinded 10:50 am Censored Poisson Regression with Normal ❖ Trial— Jitendra Ganju, BiostatWorks Random Effects with an Application to a Dilution 12:05 pm Floor Discussion Assay—❖ Jorge Quiroz, Wyeth Research; Jeff rey R. Wilson, Arizona State University 286 CC-619 11:05 am LD50/IC50 Estimation for in vitro Cytotoxicity—❖ ● Clinical Trial and Microarray Design— Wenquan Wang, Th e University of Alabama at Contributed Birmingham Biometrics Section, ENAR 11:20 am Application of Pharmacokinetic Modeling To Guide Clinical Sample Testing—❖ Andrew Chen, Chair(s): Daniel Sargent, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine MedImmune, Inc.; Harry Yang, MedImmune, 10:35 am Adaptive Design on Adjusting Sample Size Inc.; Lanju Zhang, MedImmune, Inc.; Iksung Cho, ❖ without Infl ating Type I Error— Jialu Zhang, MedImmune, Inc.; Ed O’Connor, MedImmune, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; John Inc. Lawrence, U.S. Food andPRELIMINARY Drug Administration 11:35 am Error Variance Estimation with Few Replicates 10:50 am Designs for Phase I Clinical Trials with Multiple in Cell Line Experiments—❖ David Jarjoura, Th e ❖ Courses of Subjects at Different Doses— Ohio State University; Soledad Fernandez, Th e Shenghua Fan, California State University,PROGRAM East Ohio State University; Keding Hua, Th e Ohio Bay; You-Gan Wang, CSIRO Mathematical and State University Information Sciences 11:50 am Theoretical Relationship between Direct and 11:05 am Bayesian Decision-Theoretic Adaptive Designs for Indirect Potency Assays for Biological Product ❖ Clinical Trials— Yi Cheng, Indiana University of Live Virus—❖ Harry Yang, MedImmune, Inc.; South Bend Iksung Cho, MedImmune, Inc. 11:20 am Use of Hadamard Matrices in Designs for Two- 12:05 pm Floor Discussion Color Factorial Microarray Experiments—❖ Yu Ding, Temple University; Damaraju Raghavarao, Temple University 288 CC-620 11:35 am Minimax Estimation of Means in Large-Scale Analysis of Imaging and Spatial Data— Experiments—❖ Tiejun Tong, Yale University; Contributed Liang Chen, Yale University; Hongyu Zhao, Yale Biometrics Section, ENAR University Chair(s): Diana Miglioretti, Group Health Cooperative 11:50 am Tradeoffs between Power and ‘Confounding’ in 10:35 am Applications of Copulas To Improve Covariance a Small Microarray Experiment—❖ Mary Putt, Estimation for PLS—❖ Gina D’Angelo, University University of Pennsylvania; Th omas Cappola, of Pittsburgh; Lisa Weissfeld, University of University of Pennsylvania Pittsburgh; Scott Ziolko, University of Pittsburgh; 12:05 pm Likelihood Inference for Survival Analysis in Two- Chester Mathis, University of Pittsburgh; William Stage Randomization Designs—❖ Abdus Wahed, Klunk, University of Pittsburgh; Steven DeKosky, University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh; Julie Price, University of Pittsburgh 10:50 am Establishing the Utility of MRI Parameters in 287 CC-618 Predicting Disease Activity in RRMS Patients ● Statistical Methods in Assays and Cell Line Using GMDM—❖ Welfredo R. Patungan,

98 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

University of the Philippines; Daniel Bonzo, California State University, Fullerton; James Serono, Inc. Schott, University of Central Florida Tuesday 11:05 am Application of Randomized Singular Value 11:05 am Robust Diagnostics for Multivariate Mixed Decomposition Techniques to the Analysis of Continuous and Categorical Data—❖ Tsung-Chi Imaging Data Using Partial Least Squares—❖ Cheng, National Chengchi University; Atanu Scott Ziolko, University of Pittsburgh; Lisa Biswas, Indian Statistical Institute Weissfeld, University of Pittsburgh; Chester 11:20 am A Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approach for Mathis, University of Pittsburgh; William Klunk, Finding the Minimum Volume Ellipsoid—❖ J. University of Pittsburgh; Steven DeKosky, Brian Gray, Th e University of Alabama; Eric B. University of Pittsburgh; Julie Price, University of Howington, Coastal Carolina University Pittsburgh 11:35 am Clustering of Outlier Structure Using Minimal 11:20 am A Comparison of Different Methods for Spanning Tree Rankings and Minimum Volume ❖ Identifying Outliers in MRS Data— Sandra B. Ellipsoids—❖ Mark W. Lukens, George Mason Hall, Th e University of Kansas Medical Center; University; James Gentle, George Mason Mihai Popescu, Th e University of Kansas Medical University Center; Anda Popescu, Th e University of Kansas 11:50 am Spanning Trees as Data Analysis Tools—❖ Adam Medical Center; Niaman Nazir, Th e University Petrie, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute; Th omas of Kansas Medical Center; Th omas Malone, Th e R. Willemain, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute University of Kansas Medical Center; Robin Aupperle, Th e University of Kansas Medical 12:05 pm A Nonparametric Approach to Descriptive Center; Allan Schmitt, Th e University of Kansas Measures of Multivariate Massive Data Based on PRELIMINARYConvex Hull Peeling Depth—❖ Medical Center; JoAnn Lierman, Th e University of Hyunsook Lee, Kansas Medical Center; William M. Brooks, Th e Penn State University of Kansas Medical CenterPROGRAM 11:35 am A Central Limit Theorem for High-Dimensional 290 CC-605 Spatially Correlated Processes—❖ Danielle ● Analysis of Factorial Experiments— Harvey, University of California, Davis; Qian Contributed Weng, University of California, Davis; Evan Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Fletcher, University of California, Davis; Charles Chair(s): Christopher Malone, Winona State University DeCarli, University of California, Davis; Laurel Beckett, University of California, Davis 10:35 am Iterative Stepdown Tests: Analysis of Orthogonal Saturated Factorial Designs—❖ Daniel Voss, 11:50 am Image Analysis by Spatial Point Process Modeling Wright State University in Irregular Area—❖ Weimin Zhang, Texas A&M University; Suojin Wang, Texas A&M University 10:50 am Error Sum of Squares Comparison for Model Search, Identifi cation, and Discrimination—❖ 12:05 pm Identifying Risk Factors for Encephalitis from Hongjie Deng, University of California, Riverside; ❖ West Nile Virus Infection Using Scan Statistics— Subir Ghosh, University of California, Riverside Sarah Baraniuk, Th e University of Texas School of Public Health; Kristy Lillibridge, Th e University of 11:05 am Power Comparisons for Model Search, ❖ Texas School of Public Health Identifi cation, and Discrimination— Ying Luan, University of California, Riverside; Subir Ghosh, University of California, Riverside 289 CC-213 11:20 am A Comparison of Three Approaches to Modeling Robust Methods—Contributed a Multivariate Response in a Designed Section on Statistical Computing Experiment—❖ Steven LaLonde, Rochester Chair(s): H. N. Nagaraja, Th e Ohio State University Institute of Technology; Peter Bajorski, Rochester 10:35 am On Weighted Least Squares for Missing Data—❖ Institute of Technology Sergey Tarima, Medical College of Wisconsin 11:35 am Bayesian Analysis of Split Plot Failure 10:50 am Testing Equality of Covariance Matrices When Amplifi cation Experiments—❖ Oksoun Yee, Data Are Incomplete—❖ Mortaza Jamshidian, Schering-Plough Corporation; Robert W. Mee,

Seattle 99 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

University of Tennessee Methods—Contributed

11:50 am Deriving Optimal Conditions for Large-Scale Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Tuesday Controlled Synthesis of Nanostructures Using Chair(s): Qingzhao Yu, Th e Ohio State University ❖ Statistical Methods— Tirthankar Dasgupta, 10:35 am Admissibility and Minimaxity of Generalized Georgia Institute of Technology; Christopher Bayes Estimators for Spherically Symmetric Ma, Georgia Institute of Technology; Roshan J. Family—❖ Yuzo Maruyama, University of Tokyo; Venghazhiyil, Georgia Institute of Technology; Akimichi Takemura, University of Tokyo Zhong L. Wang, Georgia Institute of Technology; 10:50 am Adjusting Frequentist Results for Previous C. F. Jeff Wu, Georgia Institute of Technology Information by Combining Prior and Objective 12:05 pm Application of Two-Level Unreplicated Factorial Posterior Distributions—❖ David Bickel, Pioneer ❖ Designs in Agricultural Field Experiments— Hi-Bred International, Inc. Tessema Astatkie, Nova Scotia Agricultural 11:05 am Relationships between Frequentist and Bayesian College Prediction Limits of the Poisson Process: Noninformative Priors—❖ Valbona Bejleri, 291 CC-214 University of District of Columbia ● Spline-Based Methods—Contributed 11:20 am Reconciling Bayesian and Frequentist Evidence in Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Biometrics Section the One-Sided Scale Parameter Testing Problem— Chair(s): Dongfeng Wu, Mississippi State University ❖ Athanasios Micheas, University of Missouri- 10:35 am Log-Density Functional ANOVA Model Estimation Columbia; Dipak Dey, University of Connecticut and Nonparametric GraphicalPRELIMINARY Model Building—❖ 11:35 am Combining Bootstrap and Bayesian Inferences— Yongho Jeon, University of Wisconsin-Madison ❖ Yan Zhou, University of Michigan 10:50 am Model Selection in Accelerated Failure Time 11:50 am Higher Order Semiparametric Frequentist Models with Nonlinear Covariate PROGRAMEffects—❖ Inference Based on the Profi le Sampler—❖ Chenlei Leng, National University of Singapore; Guang Cheng, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Shuangge Ma, University of Washington Michael Kosorok, University of Wisconsin- 11:05 am Effi cient Polynomial Spline Estimation of Partially Madison Linear Models for Clustered Data—❖ Lan Xue, 12:05 pm Floor Discussion Oregon State University; Li Wang, Oregon State University; Lijian Yang, Michigan State University 11:20 am Shape-Restricted Spline Regression—❖ Xiao Regular Contributed Posters Wang, University of Maryland Baltimore County 10:30 am–12:20 pm 11:35 am Smoothing Spline Estimation for Skew-Symmetric Density Function—❖ Sheng-Mao Chang, North Carolina State University; Hao Zhang, North 293 CC-Level 6 East Lobby Carolina State University Contributed Posters—Contributed General Methodology, WNAR, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Sec- 11:50 am Multivariate Time-Dependent Spectral Analysis ❖ tion, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Survey Research Using Cholesky— Ming Dai, Th e University Methods of North Carolina at Charlotte; Wensheng Guo, Organizer(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. University of Pennsylvania Chair(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. 12:05 pm Bivariate Binomial Spatial Modeling of Loa loa Prevalence in Tropical Africa—❖ Ciprian M. Genetics, bioinformatics, computational biology Crainiceanu, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Peter 01 Sample Size and Power Calculations in Case-Control Designs Diggle, University of Lancaster; Barry Rowlingson, for Detecting Gene-Environment Interaction in the Presence University of Lancaster of Environmental Correlation—❖ Amy Murphy, Harvard School of Public Health; Peter Kraft, Harvard University 02 Examining the Multiple Dye-Swap Design for Effi cient 292 CC-610 and Eff ective Microarray Studies—❖ Th eresa Kim, The Interface of Bayesian and Frequentist

100 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

University of Washington Total under a Many-to-Many Frame Structure—Martin Levy, University of Cincinnati; ❖ ZhiYuan Dong, University of

03 Using the Maximum Cross-Correlation Statistic To Tuesday Find Signifi cant Voxel-Wise Activations in fMRI Cincinnati Experiments—❖ Kinfemichael Gedif, Southern 13 Comparison of Alternatives for Controlling Group Methodist University; Richard F. Gunst, Southern Quarters Person Estimates in the American Community Methodist University; Qihua Lin, Southern Methodist Survey—❖ Lynn Weidman, U.S. Census Bureau; Michael University; William R. Schucany, Southern Methodist Ikeda, U.S. Census Bureau; Julie Tsay, U.S. Census University Bureau 04 Predict Gene Expression Using Logistic Regression—❖ 14 American Community Survey (ACS) Variance Reduction Lei Guo, Harvard University; Yuan Yuan, Harvard of Small Areas via Coverage Adjustment Using an University; Lei Shen, GlaxoSmithKline; Jun Liu, Harvard Administrative Records Match—❖ Donald Malec, U.S. University Census Bureau; Elizabeth Huang, U.S. Census Bureau; 05 A Nonparametric Method of Background Correction Jerry J. Maples, U.S. Census Bureau ; Lynn Weidman, for Microarray Data Analysis—❖ Zhongxue Chen, U.S. Census Bureau Southern Methodist University; Monnie McGee, 15 A Comparison of Strategies for Reducing Item Southern Methodist University; Richard Scheuermann, Nonresponse in a Web Survey—❖ Jeff rey Kerwin, Th e University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Westat; Kerry Levin, Westat; Andrew Wang, National Dallas Institute of Standards and Technology; Stephen 06 A Case Study for Finding Condition-Specifi c cis- Campbell, National Institute of Standards and Regulatory Motifs and Modules in the Mouse Genome— Technology; Stephanie Shipp, National Institute of ❖ Dongseok Choi, Oregon HealthPRELIMINARY & Science University; Standards and Technology Yuan Fang, Oregon Health & Science University; 16 Estimating Variance of Double Sampling Using Jackknife William Mathers, Oregon Health & Science University and Bootstrap Methods—❖ Jing Wang, Sam Houston 07 Identifying Responder Cells in High-ContentPROGRAM Imaging— State University; Ferry Butar Butar, Sam Houston State ❖ Shuguang Huang, Eli Lilly and Company; Adeline Yeo, University Eli Lilly and Company 08 Simulation Study Investigating Nonrandom Recombination Events on Single Point LOD Scores—❖ Speaker with Lunch 12:30 pm–1:50 pm Derek Blankenship, Th e University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center 294 CC-4C-1 09 A Method for Computing the Overall Statistical Business and Economics Statistics Section Signifi cance of a Treatment Eff ect among a Group ❖ Speaker with Lunch (fee event)—Speaker with of Genes— Taewon Lee, National Center for Lunch Toxicological Research; Robert Delongchamp, National Business and Economics Statistics Section Center for Toxicological Research; Cruz Velasco, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center Organizer(s): Paul Shaman, University of Pennsylvania ❖ 10 An Alternative Approach To Estimate Averages in TL08 Housing Correction or Crash— Mark McMullen, Aff ymetrix Chips—❖ William R. Schucany, Southern Moody’s Economy. com Methodist University; Md. Jobayer Hossain, Southern Methodist University; Julia V. Kozlitina, Southern Methodist University; Kinfemichael Gedif, Southern Roundtables with Lunch Methodist University 12:30 pm–1:50 pm 11 Near-Infrared (NIR) Spectroscopy Coupled with Molecular Marker Data as a Tool for Gene Discovery— ❖ Mervyn Marasinghe, Iowa State University; Paul 295 CC-4C-2 Scott, Iowa State University/USDA-ARS Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Sampling and survey methodology Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 12 A Matrix Approach for Comparing Estimates of a Population

Seattle 101 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Organizer(s): Merlise Clyde, Duke University 297 CC-4C-3 ❖ TL09 Objective Bayes Model Selection— M. J. Bayarri, Uni- Section on Statistical Consulting Roundtable Tuesday versity of Valencia with Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistical Consulting 296 CC-4C-2 Organizer(s): Todd Nick, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center Biopharmaceutical Section Roundtables with TL23 Extreme Consulting: a Novel Method of Improving Effi ciency Lunch (fee event) of Biostatistical Analysis—❖ Daniel Byrne, Vanderbilt Biopharmaceutical Section University Organizer(s): Amit Bhattacharyya, GlaxoSmithKIine TL10 Contemporary Issues in Data Monitoring Committees—❖ 298 CC-4C-3 David Kerr, Axio Research Section on Statisticians in Defense and National TL11 Controlling Error Rate in Safety Assessments from a Security Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Regulatory Perspective—❖ Qian Li, U.S. Food and Drug Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security Administration Organizer(s): Lara S. Schmidt, RAND Corporation TL12 The Use of Targeted Designs in Clinical Trials—❖ Gerald TL24 Epidemiology and Education: Using Public Health and Crans, Eli Lilly and Company; Matthew Rotelli, Eli National Security in Statistics Education—❖ Henry Rolka, Lilly and Company Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Donna TL13 Statistical Concerns and Methodology Regarding Cognitive Stroup, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and Psychomotor Endpoints in Early Development (Phase I Trials)—❖ Cynthia Gargano,PRELIMINARY Merck & Co., Inc. 299 CC-4C-3 TL14 Preferred Methods of Dealing with Missing Data in Clinical Section on Statistical Education Roundtables ❖ Trials— Rukmini Rajagopalan, AbbottPROGRAM Laboratories with Lunch (fee event) TL15 Decision Rules Based on Multiple Endpoints in Clinical Tri- Section on Statistical Education ❖ als— Alex Dmitrienko, Eli Lilly and Company Organizer(s): Patti Collings, Brigham Young University TL16 Patient-Reported Outcomes: Issues Related to the Collec- TL25 Using Technology in the Classroom and for Distance Educa- tion and Analysis, Including Measurement Reliability and tion—❖ Michael Speed, Texas A&M University Sensitivity—❖ Tammy J. Massie, U.S. Food and Drug TL26 Teaching Introductory Statistics with (All) Sports Exam- Administration ples—❖ Robin Lock, St. Lawrence University TL17 Statistician’s Role in PK/PD Modeling and Clinical Trial Simu- lation—❖ Haiyuan Zhu, Merck Research Laboratories TL18 Retrospective Testing for Baseline Variables Comparabil- 300 CC-4C-3 ity and Subsequent Covariate Adjustments for Signifi cant Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Roundtable Imbalance: Good Clinical Practice or Bad Statistical Prac- with Lunch (fee event) tice?—❖ Abdul Sankoh, sanofi -aventis Section on Statistics in Epidemiology TL19 Statistical Issues Regarding Experimental Medicine—❖ Organizer(s): Jennifer Clark Nelson, Group Health Cooperative James Bolognese, Merck Research Laboratories TL27 Design and Analytic Challenges of Conducting Biomedical TL20 Bayesian Dose-Finding Strategies for Phase I Oncology Trials Research with Older Populations: Steps Toward a Geronto- ❖ —❖ Glen Laird, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation logic Biostatistics— Peter H. Van Ness, Yale Univer- sity; Heather G. Allore, Yale University TL21 On the Evaluation of Benefi t and Risk: the Tools We Have and How They Help—❖ Yili Pritchett, Eli Lilly and Com- pany 301 CC-4C-3 TL22 Use of Adaptive Clinical Trial Designs in Clinical Develop- Section on Government Statistics Roundtables ment for Product Registration—❖ Laura Meyerson, with Lunch (fee event) Biogen Idec Section on Government Statistics, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Commit- tee on Gay and Lesbian Concerns in Statistics Organizer(s): Roberta Sangster, Bureau of Labor Statistics

102 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

TL28 Including Sexual Orientation Questions in Surveys: Issues Section on Survey Research Methods and Approaches—❖ Sarah Boslaugh, Washington Uni- Organizer(s): Steven G. Heeringa, University of Michigan Tuesday versity in St. Louis TL35 Sharing Frame Information To Improve Coverage and TL29 ASA and Volunteerism: New Special-Interest Group—❖ Reduce Cost and Duplication of Effort—❖ Paula Weir, Roberta Sangster, Bureau of Labor Statistics Energy Information Administration TL36 Bayesian Inference for Complex Sample Surveys—❖ Rod- 302 CC-4C-3 erick J. Little, University of Michigan Section on Statistical Graphics Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) 307 CC-4C-3 Section on Statistical Graphics Social Statistics Section Roundtable with Lunch Organizer(s): Simon Urbanek, AT&T Labs-Research (fee event) TL30 Are Graphics/Interactive Graphics Useful for Getting Your Social Statistics Section Work Done?—❖ Matthias Schonlau, RAND Corpora- Organizer(s): Allen Schirm, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. tion; Martin Th eus, University of Augsburg TL37 Telephone Surveys: Where Do We Go from Here?—❖ Clyde Tucker, Bureau of Labor Statistics 303 CC-4C-3 Section on Health Policy Statistics Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) Special Presentation 2:00 pm–3:50 pm Section on Health Policy Statistics PRELIMINARY Organizer(s): Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar, RAND Corporation 308 CC-400 TL31 The Role of Prescription Drugs in Health and Disability—❖ College Bowl II—Other Michele Connolly, U.S. Social SecurityPROGRAM Administration The ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR TL32 Peer Grouping Methodology in Hospital Profi ling—❖ Organizer(s): Mark Payton, Oklahoma State University Chintamani Rairikar, BlueCross BlueShield of Illinois Chair(s): Mark Payton, Oklahoma State University Round 2 will consist of two games. Six players will advance 304 CC-4C-3 from Round 1 to Round 2, three players going to each Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences game. The six players will be determined by the winners of Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) the four games, plus the two non-winning players that score the highest. The winners of the two Round 2 games will Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences face off in the Finals. Each player will receive team points Organizer(s): Winson Taam, Th e Boeing Company depending upon how they fi nish (4 points for champion, 3 TL33 What’s the Difference between Collaborative Research and points for runner up, 2 points to semifi nalists not advancing, ❖ Consulting?— Roger W. Hoerl, GE Global Research 1 point to participants not advancing to round 2). Team accumulating the most points will be declared team 305 CC-4C-3 champion. Ties for team totals are broken by the highest Section on Quality and Productivity Roundtable average score for all members of the teams in question. with Lunch (fee event) Organizer(s): William R. Myers, Proctor & Gamble TL34 Graphical and Numeric Approaches to Selecting Invited Sessions 2:00 pm–3:50 pm Effects in Two-Level Factorial Models—❖ Wayne Adams, Stat-Ease 309 CC-3A ● Modern Statistics at Land Grant Institutions: 306 CC-4C-3 Memorial Session for Holly Fryer—Invited Section on Survey Research Methods Memorial, Section on Statistical Education Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) Organizer(s): Th omas M. Loughin, Kansas State University Chair(s): Th omas M. Loughin, Kansas State University

Seattle 103 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

2:05 pm The Life and Times of Holly Fryer—❖ John E. 2:35 pm Dimension Reduction of Large Datasets in the Boyer, Kansas State University Atmospheric Sciences—❖ Barbara A. Bailey, Tuesday 2:30 pm Recent Developments on Multiplicative University of Colorado Interaction Models—❖ Dallas E. Johnson, Kansas 3:05 pm Automated Metadata—Edward Wegman, George State University Mason University; ❖ Faleh Alshameri, George 2:55 pm Estimating Genetic Relatedness—❖ Bruce S. Mason University Weir, University of Washington 3:35 pm Floor Discussion 3:20 pm Signals and Noises: Statistical Models Based on Fundamental Tenets of the Environmental and 312 CC-4C-4 ❖ Ecological Sciences— Mark S. Kaiser, Iowa State ● ✪ Statistical Models in Evolutionary Biology— University Invited 3:45 pm Floor Discussion IMS, Biometrics Section, WNAR Organizer(s): Christopher Genovese, Carnegie Mellon University 310 CC-602 Chair(s): Cecile Ane, University of Wisconsin-Madison ✪ Recent Advances in Resampling Methods for 2:05 pm Introductory Discussion—❖ Christopher Complex Data Structures—Invited Genovese, Carnegie Mellon University Section on Nonparametric Statistics 2:25 pm Mathematical Models of Speciation—❖ Sergey Organizer(s): Soumendra N. Lahiri, Iowa State University Gavrilets, University of Tennessee Chair(s): Shuxia Sun, Wright State UniversityPRELIMINARY3:05 pm Fitness Value of Information—❖ Carl Bergstrom, 2:05 pm A Nonparametric Plug-in Rule for Smoothing University of Washington; Michael Lachmann, Parameter Selection—❖ Soumendra N. Lahiri, Max Planck Institute for Mathematics in the Iowa State University PROGRAMSciences 2:30 pm A Blockwise Empirical Likelihood for Spatial 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Data—❖ Daniel J. Nordman, Iowa State University 313 CC-611 2:55 pm The Limit of Finite Sample Size and a Problem Biometrics Editor Invited Session —Invited with Subsampling—❖ Donald W. K. Andrews, ENAR, WNAR Yale University Organizer(s): Xihong Lin, Harvard School of Public Health; Mike 3:20 pm Unit Root Testing via the Tapered Block Kenward, University of London ❖ Bootstrap— Cameron Parker, University of San Chair(s): Naisyin Wang, Texas A&M University Diego; Dimitris Politis, University of California, 2:05 pm Are Flexible Designs Sound?—❖ Carl-Fredrik San Diego Burman, AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals; ❖ 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Christian Sonesson, AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals 2:45 pm Disc: Christopher Jennison, University of Bath 311 CC-606 2:55 pm Disc: Michael Proschan, Biostatistics Research ● ✪ Computational Challenges of Massive Branch, NIAID Datasets and Sources—Invited 3:05 pm Disc: Peter Bauer, University of Vienna Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statisticians in Defense and 3:15 pm Disc: Marianne FrisÈn, Gˆteborg University National Security, Section on Statistical Graphics Organizer(s): Karen Kafadar, University of Colorado 3:25 pm Floor Discussion Chair(s): Karen Kafadar, University of Colorado 2:05 pm Statistical and Computational Issues Associated 314 CC-607 with Massive Public Health Databases for ● Challenges for Early Detection of Cancer Using Detecting Adverse Events—❖ Kathe E. Bjork, Genomic or Proteomic Profi les—Invited Colorado Department of Public Health and General Methodology, Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR Environment Organizer(s): Larry G. Kessler, U.S. Food and Drug Administration

104 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Chair(s): Larry G. Kessler, U.S. Food and Drug Administration 2:55 pm Bootstrapping for Variance Estimation in Multilevel Models Fitted to Survey Data—❖

2:05 pm Analytic Opportunities: Moving New Diagnostics Tuesday to the Clinic—❖ Robert Lipshutz, Aff ymetrix Milorad Kovacevic, Statistics Canada; Rong 2:35 pm Platforms for the Early Detection of Cancer—❖ Huang, Statistics Canada; Yong You, Statistics Andrew Quong, Th omas Jeff erson University Canada 3:05 pm Comparing Adaptive and Nonadaptive 3:20 pm Disc: Michael Sverchkov, Bureau of Labor Algorithms for Cancer Early Detection with Statistics and BAE Systems IT Novel Biomarker—❖ Martin W. McIntosh, Fred 3:40 pm Floor Discussion Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 3:35 pm Floor Discussion 317 CC-610 ● ✪ The Use of Quality Control Charts in 315 CC-3B Biosurveillance and Prospective Public Health ● ✪ Statistical Careers in Government Surveillance—Invited Agencies—Invited Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, ENAR Section on Government Statistics, Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): William H. Woodall, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; J. MichaelHardin, Th e University of Alabama Organizer(s): John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics Chair(s): Landon Sego, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Chair(s): Carol C. House, National Agricultural Statistics Service University 2:05 pm Growing Challenges Facing Federal Statisticians 2:05 pm The Use of Control Charts in Health Care and Agencies—❖ William G. Barron, Princeton Monitoring and Public Health Surveillance—❖ University PRELIMINARY William H. Woodall, Virginia Polytechnic Institute 2:30 pm Recruitment, Training, and Retention of and State University Government Statisticians—❖ Clyde Tucker, PROGRAM2:30 pm Cumulative Sum Methods for Spatial Bureau of Labor Statistics Surveillance—❖ Peter A. Rogerson, University of 2:55 pm Meeting the Challenges of Science at the Buff alo Frontiers: Statistics in a Government Science 2:55 pm Performance of Residual-Based Control Charts Agency—❖ Nell Sedransk, National Institute of Using Generalized Exponential Smoothing of Statistical Sciences Syndromic Data for Routine Health Surveillance— 3:20 pm Disc: John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics ❖ Howard S. Burkom, Th e Johns Hopkins 3:40 pm Floor Discussion University Applied Physics Laboratory; Galit Shmueli, University of Maryland; Sean Murphy, Th e Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics 316 CC-203 Laboratory ● Multilevel Modeling of Complex Survey Data— 3:20 pm A Neural Network Approach to Control Charts Invited with Applications to Health Surveillance—❖ Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Health Policy Statistics Benjamin M. Adams, Th e University of Alabama; Organizer(s): Milorad Kovacevic, Statistics Canada Kidakan Saithanu, Th e University of Alabama; J. Chair(s): David Binder, Statistical Society of Canada Michael Hardin, Th e University of Alabama 2:05 pm Multilevel Modeling with Multistage Survey 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Samples—❖ Tihomir Asparouhov, MuthÈn & MuthÈn; Bengt Muthen, University of California, Los Angeles 318 CC-401 ● 2:30 pm Adjusting for Unequal Selection Probability in Technometrics Invited Session—Invited Multilevel Models: a Comparison of Software Technometrics, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Packages—❖ Kim Chantala, Th e University of Organizer(s): Randy R. Sitter, Simon Fraser University North Carolina at Chapel Hill; C. M. Suchindran, Chair(s): Randy R. Sitter, Simon Fraser University Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 2:05 pm Simultaneous Variable Selection—❖ Berwin A.

Seattle 105 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Turlach, Th e University of Western Australia; Asparouhov, MuthÈn & MuthÈn; Bengt Muthen, William N. Venables, CSIRO Mathematical University of California, Los Angeles Tuesday and Information Sciences; Stephen J. Wright, 2:45 pm Semiparametric Bayesian Structural Equation University of Wisconsin-Madison Models—❖ David B. Dunson, National Institute 2:55 pm A New Strategy for Variable Selection—Xiaohui of Environmental Health Sciences Luo, Merck & Co., Inc.; Leonard A. Stefanski, 3:05 pm Penalized Latent Class Regression: Incorporating ❖ North Carolina State University; Dennis A. Scientifi c Knowledge into Measurement Boos, North Carolina State University Models—❖ Jeannie-Marie Sheppard, Johns 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Karen Bandeen-Roche, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Peter Zandi, Johns 319 CC-617 Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; ● ✪ Statistical Challenges in Natural Resource William Eaton, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School Management—Invited of Public Health Section on Statistics and the Environment 3:25 pm Principal Stratifi cation Designs To Estimate Organizer(s): Estelle Russek-Cohen, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Outcomes Missing Due to Death—❖ Constantine Chair(s): Gretchen Moisen, U.S. Forest Service Frangakis, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of 2:05 pm Bayesian Analysis of Animal Community Public Health ; Donald Rubin, Harvard University; Structure—❖ Jeff rey A. Royle, U.S. Geological Ming-Wen An, Th e Johns Hopkins University Survey/Patuxent Wildlife Research Center 3:45 pm Floor Discussion 2:30 pm A Vision for Forest Inventory—PRELIMINARY❖ Ronald E. McRoberts, U.S. Department of Agriculture 321 CC-201 2:55 pm Challenges in Modeling Associations between ● ✪ Innovative Uses of the Survey of Income Streams and Their Watersheds—❖PROGRAM John Van and Program Participation for Social Program Sickle, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Evaluation—Topic-Contributed 3:20 pm What Is a Realistic Fisheries Stock Assessment Social Statistics Section Model?—❖ Terrance Quinn, University of Alaska Organizer(s): Carole L. Popoff , U.S. Census Bureau 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Chair(s): John Czajka, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 2:05 pm Assessing the Effect of Allocated Data on the Estimated Value of Total Household Income in Topic-Contributed Sessions the Survey of Income and Program Participation 2:00 pm–3:50 pm (SIPP)—❖ Patricia Fisher, U.S. Census Bureau 2:25 pm Welfare Reform Revisited: Leavers and Cyclers— How Are They Doing under the New Restrictive 320 CC-613 ❖ ● Beyond Your Parents’ Models: Latent Variables Time Limits?— Carole L. Popoff , U.S. Census as You May Not Yet Have Thought of Them— Bureau; Qi Wang, U.S. Census Bureau Topic-Contributed 2:45 pm Assessing Estimates of Program Participation: an Analysis of Matched SIPP and Administrative Biometrics Section, ENAR Data—❖ Scott Cody, Mathematica Policy Organizer(s): Karen Bandeen-Roche, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Research, Inc.; Julie Sykes, Mathematica Policy Public Health Research, Inc. Chair(s): Bradley P. Carlin, University of Minnesota 3:05 pm Accounting for SIPP Design Effects: Testing Four 2:05 pm Latent Variable Mixture Modeling with Genetic Approaches with the 2004 Panel—❖ Arthur F. Applications—❖ Bengt Muthen, University of Jones, U.S. Census Bureau; Robert Nielsen, U.S. California, Los Angeles Census Bureau; Michael Davern, University of 2:25 pm Latent Variable Modeling—❖ Katherine Minnesota; John Boies, U.S. Census Bureau Masyn, University of California, Davis; Tihomir 3:35 pm Disc: John Boies, U.S. Census Bureau

106 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

3:45 pm Floor Discussion System—❖ Alan K. Jeeves, Bureau of Transportation Statistics Tuesday 322 CC-608 3:25 pm Disc: Eugene Burns, Bureau of Transportation POC/Adaptive Design—Topic-Contributed Statistics Biopharmaceutical Section 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Organizer(s): James Bolognese, Merck Research Laboratories Chair(s): James Bolognese, Merck Research Laboratories 324 CC-214 2:05 pm Impact of Pharmacometrics Reviews on Drug ✪ Statistical Methods on Networks and Graphs— Approval and Labeling Decisions—❖ Joga Topic-Contributed Gobburu, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Section on Statisti- 2:25 pm Adaptive by Design in Exploratory cal Graphics Development—❖ Brenda Gaydos, Eli Lilly and Organizer(s): Patricia H. Carter, Naval Surface Warfare Center Company Chair(s): David Marchette, Naval Surface Warfare Center 2:45 pm Comparison of Bayesian and Frequentist Adaptive 2:05 pm Graphs for Streaming Text—❖ Elizabeth Designs for Combination Proof-of-Concept/ Hohman, Naval Surface Warfare Center ❖ Dose Response Modeling Trials in Phase II— 2:25 pm Graph Theoretic Methods for the Identifi cation Nitin Patel, Cytel Inc.; James Bolognese, Merck of Article Associations—❖ Jeff rey L. Solka, Naval Research Laboratories; Jerald Schindler, Cytel Inc.; Surface Warfare Center; Avory Bryant, Naval Scott Berry, Berry Consultants; Yannis Jemiai, Surface Warfare Center; Nicholas Tucey, Naval Cytel Inc.; Vipul Suru, CytelPRELIMINARY Inc. Surface Warfare Center 3:05 pm Bayesian Modeling of Safety Data Using 2:45 pm Anomaly Detection in Genetic Networks—❖ ❖ Databases of Placebo Patients— Jose Pinheiro, Christopher Overall, ; Jeff rey L. Solka, Naval Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation;PROGRAM Chyi- Surface Warfare Center; J. W. Weller, George Hung Hsu, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation Mason University; Carey Priebe, Th e Johns 3:25 pm Disc: Sue-Jane Wang, U.S. Food and Drug Hopkins University Administration 3:05 pm Network Traffi c Profi ling—❖ Patricia H. Carter, 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Naval Surface Warfare Center 3:25 pm Disc: John Rigsby, Naval Surface Warfare Center 323 CC-205 3:45 pm Floor Discussion ● Quality Initiatives in Establishment Surveys— Topic-Contributed 325 CC-2B Section on Survey Research Methods ✪ Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Bayesian Organizer(s): Shawna Waugh, Energy Information Administration Inference—Topic-Contributed Chair(s): Nicolas Hengartner, Los Alamos National Laboratory Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 2:05 pm A Methodology for Evaluating Suffi ciency of Organizer(s): Michele Guindani, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center ❖ Survey Frames— Howard Bradsher-Fredrick, Chair(s): Christopher Carter, University of New South Wales Energy Information Administration 2:05 pm Multivariate Spatial Modeling in Bayesian 2:25 pm An Evaluation of the 2002 MECS Measure of Hierarchical Settings—❖ Sudipto Banerjee, ❖ Size— William Giff ord, Energy Information University of Minnesota Administration 2:25 pm Flexible Spatial Modeling for Multivariate 2:45 pm Nonresponse Bias Analysis of the Survey of Geological Data Using Convolved Covariance ❖ Workplace Violence Prevention— Kathy Functions—❖ Anandamayee Majumdar, Arizona Downey, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Kelley State University; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University Frampton, Bureau of Labor Statistics; William 2:45 pm Gaussian Process Models for a Sphere with McCarthy, Bureau of Labor Statistics Application to Faraday Rotation Measures—❖ 3:05 pm Quality Issues in a Regulatory Data Collection Margaret Short, Los Alamos National Laboratory;

Seattle 107 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Dave Higdon, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Organizer(s): H. DeanJohnson, Washington State University Philipp Kronberg, Los Alamos National Chair(s): H. DeanJohnson, Washington State University Tuesday Laboratory 2:05 pm Successes (and Challenges) in Funding Campus 3:05 pm A Comprehensive Spatial-Temporal Analysis of Consulting Facilities—❖ Murray Clayton, Breast Cancer: First Primary, Second Primary, and University of Wisconsin-Madison ❖ Breast Cancer Survival— Song Zhang, M. D. 2:25 pm An Overview of The Ohio State University Anderson Cancer Center Statistical Consulting Service—❖ Christopher 3:25 pm Bayesian Nonparametric Mixture Modeling for Holloman, Th e Ohio State University ❖ Spatial Processes— Michele Guindani, M. 2:45 pm Multiple Solutions to Funding Statistical D. Anderson Cancer Center; Alan E. Gelfand, Consulting within a University—❖ Linda Young, Duke University; Sonia Petrone, Universit‡ University of Florida Commerciale Luigi Bocconi 3:05 pm Compensation Is More Than Money: Life as 3:45 pm Floor Discussion an Internal Statistical Consultant in a Medical School—❖ Sarah Boslaugh, Washington 326 CC-604 University in St. Louis Least Angle Regression—Topic-Contributed 3:25 pm Disc: Barbara Mann, Wright State University Section on Statistical Computing 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Tim C. Hesterberg, Insightful Corporation Chair(s): Trevor Hastie, Stanford University 2:05 pm New Methods and SoftwarePRELIMINARY for Variable Selection Regular Contributed Sessions in Regression—❖ Chris Fraley, Insightful 2:00 pm–3:50 pm Corporation; Tim C. Hesterberg, Insightful Corporation PROGRAM 2:25 pm Penalized Cox Regression Analysis in the High- 328 CC-612 ● ✪ Dimensional and Low Sample Size Settings with Approaches for Handling Missing Data and Application to Microarray Gene Expression Measurement Issues—Contributed Data—❖ Jiang Gui, University of Pennsylvania; Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section Hongzhe Li, University of Pennsylvania Chair(s): Betsy Gunnels, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2:45 pm Grouped and Hierarchical Model Selection 2:05 pm Missingness Screens and Regression Modeling in through Composite Absolute Penalties (CAPs)—❖ Clinical Aging Research—❖ Peter H. Van Ness, Guilherme Rocha, University of California, Yale University Berkeley; Peng Zhao, University of California, 2:20 pm Deletion Approach To Handle Missing Data in Berkeley; Bin Yu, University of California, Longitudinal Data—❖ Cuiling Wang, Albert Berkeley Einstein College of Medicine; Myunghee C. Paik, 3:05 pm Determination of Regularization Parameter Using Columbia University L-Curve by LARS-LASSO Algorithm—❖ Leming 2:35 pm Impact of Missing Data on Building Prognostic Qu, Boise State University; Partha Routh, Boise Models and Summarizing Models across State University Studies—❖ Mahtab Munshi, Takeda Global 3:25 pm Disc: Greg Ridgeway, RAND Corporation Research and Development Center; Daniel 3:45 pm Floor Discussion McGee, Sr. , Florida State University 2:50 pm Using Multiple Imputation To Improve Race- Specifi c Disease Rate Reporting in a National 327 CC-211 Active Surveillance System—❖ Elizabeth R. Zell, Proper Compensation for Statistical Consulting Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Services Provided in a University Setting—Topic- 3:05 pm Effi cacy Studies of Malaria Treatments in Africa: Contributed Effi cient Estimation with Missing Indicators Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Education of Failure—❖ Rhoderick Machekano, ; Alan

108 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Hubbard, University of California, Berkeley Bias in Hierarchical Linear Models—❖ Jun Lu, American University; Labeed Mokatrin, American 3:20 pm Application of Errors-in-Variables to Model Tuesday Variation between Studies in Regression University Equations for GFR—❖ Tom Greene, Th e 2:35 pm Exploring Teacher by Student Interactions Cleveland Clinic; Liang Li, Th e Cleveland Clinic in Longitudinal Achievement Data—❖ J. 3:35 pm Dose-Response Errors and Detection of Biological R. Lockwood, RAND Corporation; Daniel Thresholds—❖ Michael E. Ginevan, Exponent, McCaff rey, RAND Corporation Inc.; Deborah K. Watkins, Exponent, Inc. 2:50 pm An Item Response Model for Balancing Personalization and Privacy in Online Browsing— ❖ Steven L. Scott, University of Southern 329 CC-204 California; Ramnath Chellappa, Emory University ● Mode Considerations—Contributed 3:05 pm Modeling Student Ability in Low-Stakes Section on Survey Research Methods Settings—❖ Eric Loken, Penn State Chair(s): Sarah M. Nusser, Iowa State University 3:20 pm A Bayesian Approach to the Calibration of New 2:05 pm Color, Labels, and Interpretive Heuristics Test Items—❖ Tiandong Li, Westat; Chinfang for Response Scales—❖ Roger Tourangeau, Wong, University of Maryland; Ru Lu, University University of Maryland; Mick Couper, University of Maryland of Michigan; Frederick G. Conrad, Institute for Social Research 3:35 pm Floor Discussion 2:20 pm Effi cient Multimode Data Collection—❖ David Dolson, Statistics CanadaPRELIMINARY331 CC-618 2:35 pm Improved Evaluation of the Quantitative Survey Distribution and Robustness Theory— Response Variance—❖ Patrick Flanagan, U.S. Contributed Census Bureau PROGRAMIMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 2:50 pm Comparing performance and self-reported data Chair(s): Debashis Mondal, University of Washington on ease of use of surveys—❖ Christine Rho, 2:05 pm A New Approach to Robust Parameter Estimation Bureau of Labor Statistics against Heavy Contamination—❖ Hironori 3:05 pm Estimation of Measurement Error and Fujisawa, Th e Institute of Statistical Mathematics Identifi cation of Causes in the Absence of 2:20 pm Minimax Asymptotic Mean-Squared-Error of Validation Data—❖ Andy Peytchev, University of L-estimators of Scale Parameter—❖ Daniela Michigan Szatmari-Voicu, Th e University of Texas at El Paso 3:20 pm An Alternative Estimator for Multi-Frame Sample 2:35 pm Order Statistics of Concomitants of Subsets of Designs—❖ Charles D. Palit, University of Order Statistics and Applications—❖ Ke Wang, Wisconsin Th e Ohio State University; H. N. Nagaraja, Th e 3:35 pm Is There a Homogeneity in Value Orientations Ohio State University within European Societies?—❖ Peter P. Mohler, 2:50 pm Power Transformation Toward a Linear Regression ZUMA Quantile—❖ Yunming Mu, Texas A&M University 330 CC-2A 3:05 pm Duality Between Matrix Variate -t and Matrix ● ✪ Bayesian Methods in the Social Sciences— Variate V. G. Distributions—❖ Solomon W. Contributed Harrar, South Dakota State University; Eugene Seneta, University of Sydney; Arjun K. Gupta, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Bowling Green State University Chair(s): Sanjib Basu, Northern Illinois University 3:20 pm Some Moment Relationships for Skew-Symmetric 2:05 pm Latent Space Models for Irish Voting Data—❖ Distributions—❖ Dale Umbach, Ball State Isobel Claire Gormley, Trinity College Dublin; University Th omas B. Murphy, Trinity College Dublin 3:35 pm On the Decomposition of the Skew-Symmetric 2:20 pm A Bayesian Approach to Correct Sample Selection

Seattle 109 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Family of Probability Distributions—❖ Jose A. 333 CC-206 Sanqui, Appalachian State University; Arjun K. ● New Approaches to Modeling Costs and Other Tuesday Gupta, Bowling Green State University; Truc T. Health Outcomes—Contributed Nguyen, Bowling Green State University Section on Health Policy Statistics, Biometrics Section Chair(s): Mark Glickman, Boston University 332 CC-210 2:05 pm Performance of statistical models to predict Estimation for Government Data Collection— mental health and substance abuse cost—❖ Contributed Maria Montez, Boston University; Cindy Section on Government Statistics Christiansen, Boston University; Susan L. Ettner, Chair(s): Frank Potter, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. University of California, Los Angeles; Susan Loveland, Boston University; Amy K. Rosen, 2:05 pm New Models for Estimating Health Insurance Boston University Coverage for Small Areas—❖ Donald M. Bauder, U.S. Census Bureau 2:20 pm Use of Risk-Adjustment Models To Predict Future High Medical Cost Cases: Is the Model 2:20 pm Small-Area Estimation of Health Insurance Performance Sensitive to the Time Intervals Coverage at the Sub-State Level: a Hierarchical in Claims Data?—❖ Ya-Chen Tina Shih, M. Bayes Model—❖ Steven Riesz, U.S. Census D. Anderson Cancer Center; Lirong Zhao, M. Bureau; Robin Fisher, U.S. Census Bureau D. Anderson Cancer Center; Ying Xu, M. D. 2:35 pm Estimation of standardized state-level food Anderson Cancer Center stamp participation rates—❖ Elizabeth Stuart, 2:35 pm Two-stage Samples and the Minimum Sum Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Allen Schirm, PRELIMINARYMethod for Medicare Fraud Investigations—❖ Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Alan M. Iliana Ignatova, University of South Carolina Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School; Laura Castner, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Scott 2:50 pm Experiences with a Virtual Regionalization Model PROGRAM ❖ Cody, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. for Cardiac Surgery— Edward Wegman, George Mason University; Yasmin H. Said, Th e Johns 2:50 pm Estimating School District Poverty with Free and Hopkins University; Shabib A. Alhadheri, SUNY Reduced Priced Lunch Data—❖ Craig Cruse, U.S. Upstate Medical University Census Bureau; David S. Powers, U.S. Census Bureau 3:05 pm The LASSO-Patternsearch Algorithm and Its Application to Data from the Beaver Dam 3:05 pm An Analysis of Gender Differences in Vehicles Eye Study—❖ Weiliang Shi, University of Miles Traveled Using Nonparametric Methods— Wisconsin-Madison; Grace Wahba, University ❖ Brian Sloboda, Bureau of Transportation of Wisconsin-Madison; Kristine Lee, University Statistics; Wenxiong V. Yao, University of of Wisconsin-Madison; Ronald Klein, University Arkansas at Little Rock of Wisconsin-Madison; Barbara E. K. Klein, 3:20 pm Improved Preliminary Estimation of Total University of Wisconsin-Madison Employment Change for the U.S. Current 3:20 pm On the Equivalence of Medical Cost Estimators Employment Statistics Survey—❖ Bogong with Censored Data—Heejung Bang, Cornell Li, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Partha Lahiri, University; ❖ Hongwei Zhao, University of University of Maryland Rochester; Phillip E. Pfeifer, University of Virginia; 3:35 pm Analysis of Recall Effect on the Reporting of Hongkun Wang, University of Virginia Expenditures for the Consumer Expenditure 3:35 pm Floor Discussion Interview Survey—❖ Barry Steinberg, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Boriana Chopova, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Lucilla Tan, Bureau of Labor 334 CC-620 Statistics; Jared Ogden, Bureau of Labor Statistics; ✪ Degradation Models and Other Topics in Pierre Bahizi, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Geoff rey Reliability—Contributed Paulin, Bureau of Labor Statistics Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Chair(s): Jave Pascual, Washington State University

110 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

2:05 pm A Statistical Method for Crack Detection in a Functional Dataset—❖ David B. Hitchcock, Thermal Acoustics Nondestructive Evaluation University of South Carolina ❖ Tuesday Data— Chunwang Gao, Iowa State University; 3:20 pm Analysis of Panic-Relevant Experimental Tidal William Q. Meeker, Jr., Iowa State University Volume Curves: Wavelet-Based Functional 2:20 pm Estimation of Flaw Size Distribution Parameters Hypothesis Testing—❖ Sang Han Lee, Texas under Correlated Random Censoring—❖ Peter A&M University; Marina Vannucci, Texas A&M Hovey, University of Dayton; Alan Berens, Retired University; Eva Petkova, Columbia University; 2:35 pm Modeling Unit Degradation from Exceedance Maurice Preter, Columbia University; Donald Time Data—❖ Hui Fan, Rensselaer Polytechnic Klein, Columbia University Institute; Brock Osborn, GE Global Research; 3:35 pm Floor Discussion Th omas R. Willemain, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute; Pasquale Sullo, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute 336 CC-605 Categorical Data and Experimental Design— 2:50 pm A Discrete Degradation Model for Ultra-Thin Gate Oxide Data—❖ Shuen-Lin Jeng, Tunghai Contributed University; Min-Hsiung Hsien, Tunghai University Section on Statistical Computing Chair(s): Zenaida F. Mateo, University of Manitoba 3:05 pm Bayesian Degradation Modeling With Covariate- Dependent Box-Cox Transformation of the 2:05 pm A Simple Method for Generating Multivariate ❖ Response Variable—❖ Fridtjof Th omas, VTI; Categorical Variates— Hyunjip Choi, Kyonggi Arzu Onar, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital; University Bouzid Choubane, FloridaPRELIMINARY Department of 2:20 pm Testing Multinomial Categories with Sequential Transportation; Tom Byron, Florida Department Sampling: Is a Wheel of Fortune Fair?—❖ of Transportation Hokwon Cho, University of Nevada, Las Vegas; 3:20 pm System Reliability Prediction—❖ PROGRAMWai Chiu, Los Hai Zhen, University of Nevada, Las Vegas Alamos National Laboratory; Arthur P. Dempster, 2:35 pm A Comparison of Approximations for Logistic Harvard University Regression—❖ Charity J. Morgan, Harvard 3:35 pm Recurrent Events: Modeling and Inference—❖ University; Donald Rubin, Harvard University Edsel A. Pena, University of South Carolina 2:50 pm Construction Methods for Balanced Incomplete Block Designs—❖ Jeff rey Shaff er, Tulane University; Sudesh Srivastav, Tulane University 335 CC-601 ● Classifi cation Methods and Functional Data 3:05 pm Asymptotic Properties of Effective Experimenting Strategies—❖ Anatoly Naumov, Novosibirsk Analysis—Contributed State Technical University Section on Nonparametric Statistics 3:20 pm Misspecifi cation Tests for Binomial and Beta- Chair(s): Martina Pavlicova, Columbia University Binomial Models—❖ Marinela Capanu, Memorial 2:05 pm Scrambling Method for Cluster Analysis Using Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center; Brett Presnell, ❖ Supervised Learning— Oksana Shcherbak, University of Florida 2:20 pm Finding an Approximate Solution Path of 3:35 pm Floor Discussion Support Vector Machines for Large Datasets—❖ Zhenhuan Cui, ; Yoonkyung Lee, Th e Ohio State University 337 CC-212 ● 2:35 pm Bandwidth Selection for RBF Kernel in Kernel- Teaching Statistics to Specifi c Audiences— Based Classifi cation—❖ Jeongyoun Ahn, Th e Contributed University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Section on Statistical Education, Section on Statistical Graphics 2:50 pm Multivariate Functional ANOVA for Kriging Model Chair(s): Marvin Gruber, Rochester Institute of Technology in Computer Experiments—❖ Zhe Zhang, Penn 2:05 pm Teaching Effective Graph and Table Construction State Needs More Attention in Statistical Education— ❖ 3:05 pm Bootstrap Investigation of the Median Curve of Th omas E. Bradstreet, Merck Research

Seattle 111 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Laboratories; Michael Nessly, Merck Research 2:50 pm Further Assessment of Materials for Engaging Laboratories; Th omas H. Short, Indiana Students in Statistical Discovery—❖ W. Robert Tuesday University of Pennsylvania Stephenson, Iowa State University; Amy Froelich, 2:20 pm What Do M&Ms, Dahlias, Soil Erosion, and Iowa State University; William M. Duckworth, Data Analysis across the Curriculum Have in Iowa State University Common?—❖ Jerry Moreno, John Carroll 3:05 pm Sequencing of Topics in an Introductory Course: University Does Order Make a Difference?—❖ Christopher 2:35 pm Instructional Tools in Educational Measurement Malone, Winona State University; John Gabrosek, and Statistics (ITEMS) for School Personnel: Grand Valley State University Evaluation of Two Web-Based Training Modules— 3:20 pm A Geometrical Approach to Introductory ❖ Rebecca Zwick, University of California, Santa Statistics—❖ Daniel Kaplan, Macalester College Barbara; Jeff rey C. Sklar, California Polytechnic 3:35 pm Toward Statistical Literacy: Statistics in Everyday State University, San Luis Obispo; Graham Life—❖ Hoke Hill, Jr., Clemson University; Wakefi eld, University of California, Santa Barbara William Bridges, Jr., Clemson University; Rose 2:50 pm Interactive animation for learning IRT and misfi t Martinez-Dawson, Clemson University identifi cation in Item Response Theory—❖ Chong Ho Yu, Arizona State University; Roger Freeman, Paradise Valley Unifi ed School District; Angel 339 CC-603 Jannasch-Pennell, Arizona State University; Regression and Time Series—Contributed Samuel DiGangi, Arizona State University; Chang Section on Statistical Computing Kim, Arizona State University;PRELIMINARY Victoria Stay, Chair(s): Brian Gray, Th e University of Alabama Arizona State University; Wenjuo Lo, Arizona 2:05 pm Automatic Detection of Outliers Based on State University; Lori Long, Arizona State the Forward Search—Matilde Bini, University University PROGRAMof Florence; Bruno Bertaccini, University of 3:05 pm An Education Model for Secondary Students— Florence; ❖ Franco Polverini, University of John Aleong, University of Vermont; ❖ Chandra Florence Aleong, Delaware State University 2:20 pm A Novel Statistical Approach to Identifying and 3:20 pm A Pilot Survey on Ways Practicing Engineers Learn Limiting the Effect of Infl uential Observations—❖ Statistics—❖ Jorge Romeu, Syracuse University Tamekia Jones, Th e University of Alabama at 3:35 pm Presenting Statistics Online to Nontraditional Birmingham; David Redden, Th e University of Business Students—❖ William Livingston, Baker Alabama at Birmingham College Center for Graduate Studies 2:35 pm Robust Winsorized Regression Using Bootstrap Approach—Deo Kumar Srivastava, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital; ❖ Jianmin Pan, 338 CC-213 St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital; Ila Sarkar, ● Innovative Approaches to Introductory Louisiana Health Care Review, Inc. Statistics—Contributed 2:50 pm Bent-Cable Regression with Autoregressive Section on Statistical Education Noise—❖ Grace Chiu, University of Waterloo; Chair(s): James Grady, Th e University of Texas Medical Branch Richard Lockhart, Simon Fraser University 2:05 pm Statistics: Telling the Whole Story—❖ Nancy 3:05 pm Multiresolution Outlier Detection for Long-Range Pfenning, University of Pittsburgh Dependent Time Series—❖ Lingsong Zhang, 2:20 pm Teaching a Writing-centered Course in Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Introductory Statistics—❖ Deborah Lurie, Saint Zhengyuan Zhu, Th e University of North Carolina Joseph’s University at Chapel Hill 2:35 pm Assessing the Gains from Concept Mapping 3:20 pm Restricted Error Regression—❖ James Cochran, in Introductory Statistics—❖ David Doorn, Louisiana Tech University University of Minnesota, Duluth; Maureen 3:35 pm Local Linear Estimation for Single-index O’Brien, University of Minnesota, Duluth Conditional Quantiles—❖ Zhou Wu, University

112 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

of Cincinnati; Yan Yu, University of Cincinnati; R&D Wednesday Keming Yu, Brunel University 2:35 pm Tolerance Regions for Multivariate Random Effects Model with Application to Beat-to-Beat 340 CC-614 QT-TQ Interval Data—❖ Kimberly Crimin, ● Misclassifi cation and Measurement Error: Pfi zer Inc.; Joseph McKean, Western Michigan Problems and Solutions—Contributed University Biometrics Section, ENAR 2:50 pm A New Method for Sample Size Calculation of the Thorough QT/QTc Study—❖ Shu Zhang, Sepracor, Chair(s): Tom Braun, University of Michigan Inc. 2:05 pm Measurement Error Correction Methods Based 3:05 pm Bayesian Measurement Error Approach to QT on Cumulative Average Intake for Nutritional Interval Correction/Prolongation—❖ Jie Chen, Data—❖ Weiliang Qiu, Harvard Medical School; Merck Research Laboratories; Xin Zhao, Merck & Bernard Rosner, Harvard Medical School Co., Inc. 2:20 pm A Robust Likelihood-Based Approach to Nonlinear 3:20 pm Designing and Analyzing Covariate-Adjusted Measurement Error Models with Application to Response Adaptive Randomized Clinical Trials—❖ Radiation Dose Effects on Leukemia-Specifi c Ayanbola Ayanlowo, Th e University of Alabama Hazard Rate among A-Bomb Survivors—❖ Antara at Birmingham; David Redden, Th e University of Majumdar, University at Buff alo; Randy L. Carter, Alabama at Birmingham University at Buff alo 3:35 pm Floor Discussion 2:35 pm Varying Coeffi cient Model with Measurement Error—❖ Liang Li, Th ePRELIMINARY Cleveland Clinic; Tom Greene, Th e Cleveland Clinic 342 CC-615 2:50 pm Conditional Score Methods for Regression Models ● Methods for Design and Analysis of with Poisson Surrogates—❖ AlvinPROGRAM Van Orden, Microarrays—Contributed ; Leonard A. Stefanski, North Carolina State Biometrics Section, ENAR University Chair(s): Wei Zhao, University of California, Los Angeles 3:05 pm Effects of Misclassifi cation on Exposure-Disease 2:05 pm Detecting Differential Expressions in GeneChip ❖ Association with Odds Ratio— Jun-mo Nam, Microarray Studies: a Quantile Approach—❖ National Cancer Institute Huixia Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana- 3:20 pm Adjusting for Misclassifi cation in Binary Response Champaign ❖ Variables— Jun Zhai, Duke University; John 2:20 pm Gene Selection Using a Modifi ed Mahalanobis Olson, Duke University; Mike West, Duke Distance—❖ Xiwen Ma, University of Wisconsin- University Madison 3:35 pm Floor Discussion 2:35 pm Analysis of Microarray Data: Two Examples—❖ Meng Du, University of Toronto; Muni Srivastava, 341 CC-609 University of Toronto ● QT/QTc—Contributed 2:50 pm Multidimensional Local False Discovery Rate for ❖ Biopharmaceutical Section Microarray Studies— Yudi Pawitan, Karolinska Chair(s): Yun-Ling Xu, FDA Institutet; Alex Ploner, Karolinska Institutet 2:05 pm Noninferiority Testing in Thorough QT/QTc 3:05 pm Optimal Cross-Validation for Estimating Small ❖ Studies—❖ Balakrishna Hosmane, Northern Sample Classifi cation Error Rate— Wenjiang Illinois University; Charles Locke, Abbott Fu, Michigan State University; Suojin Wang, Texas Laboratories A&M University 2:20 pm Bias in Estimates of QTc Prolongation by 3:20 pm Gene Expression (Microarray) Analysis by Neural ❖ Timepoint-Wise Treatment Comparison—❖ Yibin Networks— David Booth, Kent State University; Wang, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation; David Zhu, Kent State University; Richard Geoke, Guohua Pan, Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical Kent State University; David Baker, Kent State University; James Hamburg, Kent State University

Seattle 113 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

3:35 pm Floor Discussion U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development; William E. Winkler, U.S. Census Tuesday Bureau; Fritz J. Scheuren, NORC 343 CC-616 ● Analysis of Correlated Data and Mixed 2:35 pm Quality Techniques in the Mill Benefi t Young Trees in the Field—❖ Models—Contributed Bonnie P. Dumas, MeadWestvaco Corporation Biometrics Section 2:50 pm Interlaboratory Study of DEA Profi ciency Test Chair(s): Jon Schildcrout, Vanderbilt University Medical Center Using RExcel—❖ Hung-kung Liu, National 2:05 pm Regression Analysis of Panel Count Data with Institute of Standards and Technology; Adriana ❖ Dependent Observation Times— Xin He, Hornikova, National Institute of Standards and University of Missouri-Columbia; Jianguo Sun, Technology University of Missouri-Columbia; Xingwei Tong, 3:05 pm Statistical Data Processing of GC-MS Data—❖ University of Missouri-Columbia Shiying Wu, RTI International; Jun Liu, Research 2:20 pm Modellng Variability in Longitudinal Data Using Triangle Institute; Robert J. Morris, RTI ❖ Random Changepoint Models— Annica International; James Raymer, RTI International; Dominicus, Karolinska Institutet; Samuli Ripatti, Ye Hu, RTI International; Larry Michael, RTI Karolinska Institutet; Juni Palmgren, Karolinska International Institutet 3:20 pm Dynamic Calibration for Instruments—❖ Charles 2:35 pm Semiparametric Modeling with Correlated Hagwood, National Institute of Standards and ❖ Data— Chun Han, Th e University of Kansas Technology 2:50 pm Marginal Mixture AnalysisPRELIMINARY of Correlated Bounded- 3:35 pm Floor Discussion Response Data with an Application to Ultrasound Risk Assessment—❖ Yan Yang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; DouglasPROGRAM Simpson, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Regular Contributed Posters 3:05 pm On the Analysis of Mouse Preference Data—❖ 2:00 pm–3:50 pm Yang Yang, University of Western Ontario; Willard J. Braun, University of Western Ontario 345 CC-Level 6 East Lobby 3:20 pm Equality of REML and ANOVA Estimators of Contributed Posters—Contributed Variance Components in Unbalanced Models—❖ Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statistics in Shaun Wulff , University of Wyoming Epidemiology, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Biopharmaceuti- 3:35 pm Measuring the Mean Squared Error of the EBLUP cal Section, Business and Economics Statistics Section, Section on Statistical in Linear Mixed Models—❖ Jamie McClave Computing, IMS, Section on Survey Research Methods Baldwin, Info Tech, Inc.; Ramon Littell, University Organizer(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. of Florida Chair(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. Engineering and physical sciences, chemometrics 344 CC-619 01 A Monte Carlo Method To Simulate the Stochastic Behavior ● ✪ Quality Applications and Approaches— of a Field of Forces—❖ Elizabeth Martinez Gomez, Contributed National Autonomous University of Mexico; Hector A. Perez de Tejada Jaime, National Autonomous University Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences of Mexico ; Hector J. Durand Manterola, National Autonomous University of Mexico Chair(s): Jennifer Van Mullekom, DuPont Quality Management and Technology 02 Examples of Estimating Confi dence Intervals for the 2:05 pm Economic Decisionmaking Challenges in Quality Arithmetic Means of Lognormally Distributed Data ❖ Applications—❖ John Barrett, University of from Mixed or Random Eff ects Linear Models— North Alabama Stanley Shulman, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health 2:20 pm Methods of Data Quality—❖ Th omas Herzog, 03 Statistical Design of Computer Experiments for a 3D

114 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Chemical Microanalysis Imaging System—❖ Juan Soto, 18 Predicting Integrals of Transformed Gaussian Random National Institute of Standards and Technology; James J. Fields—❖ Zhengyuan Zhu, Th e University of North Tuesday Filliben, National Institute of Standards and Technology; Carolina at Chapel Hill; Alf Harbitz, Institute of Marine John H. Scott, National Institute of Standards and Research, Observation Methodology Technology 19 Analysis of Mixed Frequency Data: a Bayesian Model Environmetrics, ecology, agriculture, wildlife manage- Averaging Approach—❖ Gavino Puggioni, ; Abel ment Rodriguez, Duke University 04 A Spatio-Temporal Model for Estimating Diameter of Taiwan 20 Data Augmentation within a Conditionally Specifi ed Cryptomerioides under Different Planting Densities—Hsing- Gaussian Spatial Model—❖ Brooke Fridley, Mayo Clinic Yi Chang, CHPRD, NHRI; ❖ Yu-Wen Wen, CHPRD, College of Medicine; Philip Dixon, Iowa State University NHRI 21 Spatio-Temporal Precipitation Modeling Based on a 05 A Study of the Type I and Type II Error Rates of Tests Hidden Random Field—❖ Oleg Makhnin, New Mexico for Species Diversity Based on Shannon and Simpson’s Tech Indexes of Diversity—❖ Lewis VanBrackle, Kennesaw 22 Real-Time Multivariate Analysis Onboard a Wi-Fi– State University; Kristina Corts, Kennesaw State Controlled Vehicle—❖ Jason Minter, Sam Houston State University University; Cecil Hallum, Sam Houston State University 06 Projecting the Risk of Future Climate Shifts—❖ Luis Cid, Universidad de ConcepciÛn; David B. Enfi eld, NOAA Invited Sessions 4:00 pm–5:50 pm Experimental design PRELIMINARY 07 Equivalence of Fractional Factorial Designs—❖ Tena 346 CC-Ballroom 6ABC Katsaounis, Th e Ohio State University; Angela Dean, Deming Lecture—Invited Th e Ohio State University PROGRAMDeming Lectureship Committee, The ASA, ENAR, WNAR, IMS, SSC, Section on 08 Th e Oklahoma Oral Health Needs Assessment: Statistical Consulting Comparison of Sampling Methods Using Monte Organizer(s): Lorraine Denby, Avaya Labs Research ❖ Carlo Simulations— Emily Leary, Th e University of Chair(s): Lorraine Denby, Avaya Labs Research Oklahoma Health Sciences Center 4:05 pm Making Another World: a Holistic Approach to 09 Design of Experiments for Parameter Estimation in Performance Improvement—❖ Ronald D. Snee, ❖ Compartmental Models— Michael DeVasher, Th e Tunnell Consulting University of Alabama; J. Michael Hardin, Th e University of Alabama 5:35 pm Floor Discussion Spatial statistics, time series, spatio-temporal model- ing 14 A MATLAB Software Implementation for Time-Series Analysis Invited Sessions 8:00 pm–9:30 pm by State-Space Methods—❖ Jyh-Ying Peng, Academia Sinica; John Aston, Academia Sinica 347 CC-Ballroom 6ABC 15 An Interpolated Periodogram-Based Metric for ASA Presidential Address and Awards—Invited Comparison of Time Series with Unequal Lengths—❖ The ASA Jorge Caiado, CEMAPRE/ISEG and IPS; Nuno Crato, Organizer(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University CEMAPRE/Technical University of Lisbon; Daniel PeÒa, Chair(s): Fritz J. Scheuren, NORC Universidad Carlos III de Madrid 8:00 pm Presentation of Awards—❖ Fritz J. Scheuren, 16 Recent Developments in Seasonal Adjustment Software NORC ❖ at the U.S. Census Bureau— Brian C. Monsell, U.S. 8:30 pm From Data to Policy: Scientifi c Excellence Is Our Census Bureau Future—❖ Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University 17 Elevators as an Excitation Source for Structural Health 9:00 pm Presentation of Founders Awards and New ASA ❖ Monitoring in Buildings— Jong-ho Baek, University of Fellows—❖ Fritz J. Scheuren, NORC California, Los Angeles

Seattle 115 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research Advisory WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 9 Wednesday Committee (closed) Chair(s): Karen Kafadar, University of Colorado

Tours 7:30 am–4:30 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby ASA Membership/Special Assistance Desk 2:00 pm–5:00 pm CC-Convention Plaza TR08 - Seattle City Highlights Tour 7:30 am–4:30 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby JSM Main Registration 3:00 pm–6:00 pm CC-Convention Plaza TR09 - Lifestyles and Lakes Cruise 7:30 am–9:30 am S-Douglas Room Sequential Analysis Journal Editorial Board’s Breakfast Meeting (closed) Committee/Business Meetings Organizer(s): Nitis Mukhopadhyay, University of Connecticut & Other Activities 7:30 am–9:30 am S-Spruce Room 7:00 am–8:30 am CC-301 ASA Engagement with other Organizations Task Force Committee on Career Development Meeting (closed) (closed) Chair(s): Janice Lent, Research and Innovative Technology Chair(s): Darryl Downing, GlaxoSmithKline Administration PRELIMINARY8:00 am–9:00 am CC-302 7:00 am–8:30 am S-Aspen Room Noether Award Committee Business Meeting (closed) Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics Chair(s): Regina Liu, Rutgers University Editorial Board Meeting (closed) PROGRAM Chair(s): Luke Tierney, University of Iowa 8:00 am–2:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4A Exhibitor Lounge 7:00 am–8:30 am S-Everett ASA/AMATYC Joint Committee Meeting 8:00 am–6:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4B Chair(s): Robert DelMas, University of Minnesota Career Placement Service

7:00 am–8:30 am CC-306 9:00 am–11:00 am CC-301 Friends and Alumni of Brigham Young University Committee on Outreach Education (closed) Open House/Breakfast Chair(s): Wendy Martinez, Offi ce of Naval Research Organizer(s): Del Scott, Brigham Young University 9:00 am–5:00 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby 7:00 am–8:30 am H-Chatham ASA Marketplace AAAS Committee Business Meeting Organizer(s): Michael P. Cohen, Bureau of Transportation Statistics 9:00 am–5:00 pm CC-Level 1 Citywide Concierge Center 7:00 am–10:00 pm CC-Level 4 South Lobby 9:00 am–11:00 am S-Aspen Room Cyber Center Focus Group to Explore the Introductory Statistics 7:00 am–6:00 pm CC-508 Course Speaker Work Room 9:00 am–2:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4A 7:00 am–6:00 pm CC-507 EXPO 2006 Speaker Work Room 9:00 am–2:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4A 7:30 am–9:30 am S-Cedar Room ASA Communities Booth #101

116 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

9:00 am–11:00 am S-Juniper Instructor(s): Dongping Fang, SPSS Inc. Wednesday Council of Sections Publication and Newsletter Editors Meeting CE_32T CC-304 Chair(s): E. JacquelinDietz, Meredith College 8:30 am–10:15 am Meta-analysis: Concepts and Applications 11:30 am–2:00 pm CC-302 The ASA Committee on Meetings (closed) Instructor(s): Michael Borenstein, Biostat, Inc.; Hannah R. Rothstein, Chair(s): Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University Biostat, Inc.

12:00 pm–1:30 pm S-Cedar Room CE_33T CC-303 Noether Award Committee Luncheon (closed) 8:30 am–10:15 am Chair(s): Regina Liu, Rutgers University Power and Sample Size Analysis Using SAS/STAT Software 12:00 pm–2:30 pm H-Chatham The ASA ENAR 2006 Spring Meetings Planning Committee Instructor(s): John Castelloe, SAS Institute, Inc. Meeting (by invitation only) Organizer(s): Kathy Hoskins, ENAR CE_34T CC-305 10:30 am–12:15 pm 2:00 pm–8:00 pm CC-Exhibit Hall 4A Introduction to CART: Data Mining with Decision Exhibitor Move Out Trees PRELIMINARYThe ASA 4:00 pm–6:00 pm CC-302 Instructor(s): Mikhail Golovnya, Salford Systems ICES III Program Committee (closed) Chair(s): Eva Elvers, Statistics Sweden PROGRAMCE_35T CC-304 10:30 am–12:15 pm 5:30 pm–7:00 pm CC-606 Power Analysis: a Simple and Effective Approach Section on Statistical Education Business Meeting The ASA Chair(s): Christine Franklin, University of Georgia Instructor(s): Michael Borenstein, Biostat, Inc.

5:45 pm–6:45 pm CC-603 CE_36T CC-303 International Chinese Statistical Association (ICSA) 10:30 am–12:15 pm Annual Members Meeting Modern Regression Analysis in SAS Software Organizer(s): Ivan Chan, Merck & Co., Inc. The ASA 6:00 pm–7:30 pm S-Governors Suite Instructor(s): Robert Cohen, SAS Institute, Inc. JSM 2006 Program Committee/ACCE/COM Reception CE_37T CC-305 (closed) 2:00 pm–3:45 pm Chair(s): William Smith, American Statistical Association; Lisa M. Advances in Data Mining: Jerome Friedman’s TreeNet/ LaVange, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Charles Tan, Merck & Co., Inc.; Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University MART and Leo Breiman’s Random Forests The ASA Instructor(s): Mikhail Golovnya, Salford Systems

Continuing Education (Fee Events) CE_38T CC-304 CE_31T CC-305 2:00 pm–3:45 pm 8:30 am–10:15 am East 4: a Comprehensive Package for Adaptive and Time Series in SPSS: Automatic Model Selection and Group Sequential Design, Interim Monitoring, and Outlier Detection Simulation The ASA The ASA

Seattle 117 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Instructor(s): Cyrus Mehta, Cytel Inc.

350 CC-4C-1 Wednesday Section on Statistics and the Environment CE_39T CC-303 Roundtables with Coffee (fee event) 2:00 pm–3:45 pm Section on Statistics and the Environment Quantile Regression Using the SAS QUANTREG Organizer(s): Peter Guttorp, University of Washington Procedure WL03 Keeping Our Jobs: Relevance of Statistical Research in a The ASA Production Environment—❖ Gretchen Moisen, U.S. For- Instructor(s): Colin Chen, SAS Institute, Inc. est Service CE_40T CC-305 WL04 Current Issues in Space-Time Modeling of Environmental ❖ 4:00 pm–5:45 pm Data— Montserrat Fuentes, North Carolina State University Introduction to MARS: Predictive Modeling with Nonlinear Automated Regression Tools The ASA 351 CC-4C-1 Instructor(s): Mikhail Golovnya, Salford Systems Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) CE_41T CC-303 Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Statistical Consulting 4:00 pm–5:45 pm Organizer(s): Jennifer Clark Nelson, Group Health Cooperative From Software to Solutions in Statistics and Risk WL05 Developing and Cultivating Successful Collaborations—❖ Analysis Robert F. Woolson, Medical University of South Carolina The ASA PRELIMINARY Instructor(s): Shawn Harahush, Palisade Corporation 352 CC-4C-1 PROGRAMSection on Physical and Engineering Sciences Roundtables with Coffee Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences 7:00 am–8:15 am Organizer(s): Winson Taam, Th e Boeing Company WL06 Catching up on Wavelets: Recent Advances, Future Direc- 348 CC-4C-1 tions—❖ Donald B. Percival, University of Washington Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) 353 CC-4C-1 Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Statistical Society of Canada Roundtable with Organizer(s): Merlise Clyde, Duke University Coffee (fee event) WL01 Model Selection in Hierarchical Models—❖ David B. SSC, Section on Statistical Consulting Dunson, National Institute of Environmental Health Organizer(s): X. JoanHu, Simon Fraser University Sciences WL07 Tips for Academic Medical Statisticians—❖ Karen Kopciuk, Alberta Cancer Board; Rhonda Rosychuk, 349 CC-4C-1 University of Alberta Section on Statistical Education Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) Section on Statistical Education Special Presentation 8:30 am–10:20 am Organizer(s): Patti Collings, Brigham Young University WL02 An Open Discussion about Quantitative and Qualititative Research in Statistics Education—❖ Jackie Miller, Th e 354 CC-400 Late-Breaking Session #2: What is the Role of Ohio State University Statistics in Public Policy Debates about Climate Change?—Other

118 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

The ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR 9:25 am Spatial Bayesian Variable Selection with Wednesday Organizer(s): Edward Wegman, George Mason University; Richard L. Application to Functional Magnetic Resonance Smith, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Imaging—❖ Michael Smith, University of Sydney; Chair(s): Douglas W. Nychka, National Center for Atmospheric Research Daniel Smith, University of Sydney 8:40 am The Kyoto Accord, the 2001 IPCC Third 9:50 am Statistical Inference for Highly Parameterized Assessment Report, and the Academic Papers Models for Discrete-Valued Data—❖ Sylvia Underpinning Them—❖ Edward Wegman, George Fr¸hwirth-Schnatter, Johannes Kepler University Mason University 10:15 am Floor Discussion 9:05 am National Research Council Report on the ‘Hockey Stick Controversy’—❖ J. Michael Wallace, University of Washington 357 CC-203 ● ✪ Statistical Models in Computational 9:30 am The CCSP Report on Temperature Trends in the Biology—Invited Lower Atmosphere—❖ Richard L. Smith, Th e WNAR, Biometrics Section, ENAR University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Organizer(s): Raquel Prado, University of California, Santa Cruz 9:55 am Floor Discussion Chair(s): Daniel Merl, University of California, Santa Cruz 8:35 am Spatial Smoothing To Map HIV Recombination 355 CC-4C-4 Hotspots: Associations with RNA Secondary Introductory Overview Lectures: Image Statistics Structure—❖ Marc A. Suchard, University of and Bootstrap—Other California, Los Angeles; Vladimir N. Minin, The ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR PRELIMINARYUniversity of California, Los Angeles; Karin S. Organizer(s): Jianwen Cai, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Dorman, Iowa State University Hill 8:55 am Computational and Statistical Algorithms for Chair(s): Chris Fraley, Insightful Corporation PROGRAMParentage Inference with Single Nucleotide 8:35 am Introduction to Bootstrapping—❖ Tim C. Polymorphisms—❖ Eric C. Anderson, Southwest Hesterberg, Insightful Corporation Fisheries Science Center 9:25 am Image Statistics—❖ Eugene Demidenko, 9:15 am Detecting Positive Selection in Protein-Coding Dartmouth Medical School DNA Sequences in Absence of Substantial Phylogenetic Information—❖ Raquel Prado, 10:15 am Floor Discussion University of California, Santa Cruz; Daniel Merl, University of California, Santa Cruz 9:35 am Inferring Maximum-Likelihood Species Invited Sessions 8:30 am–10:20 am Phylogenies under Coalescence—❖ Laura S. Kubatko, University of New Mexico 356 CC-614 9:55 am A Bayesian Approach to Gene Tree Concordance— Estimation and Inference for Models with Many ❖ Bret Larget, University of Wisconsin-Madison Parameters—Invited 10:15 am Floor Discussion Business and Economics Statistics Section Organizer(s): Robert J. Kohn, University of New South Wales 358 CC-201 Chair(s): Th omas S. Shively, Th e University of Texas at Austin ● Complex Sampling Designs and Related 8:35 am Objective Bayesian Analysis for Multivariate ❖ Inference Issues in Epidemiologic Studies— Dynamic Models— Dongchu Sun, Virginia Invited Polytechnic Institute and State University/ Section on Statistics in Epidemiology University of Missouri-Columbia; Shawn Ni, University of Missouri-Columbia Organizer(s): Bhramar Mukherjee, University of Florida Chair(s): Malay Ghosh, University of Florida 9:00 am Bayesian Inference for Gaussian Copula Models— ❖ Robert J. Kohn, University of New South Wales 8:35 am Complex Case-Control Sampling Methods: Solutions to Some Diverse Problems in

Seattle 119 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Epidemiological Research—❖ Bryan Langholz, University of Minnesota Wednesday Keck School of Medicine of USC 9:05 am Classifi cation and Feature Selection for High- 9:00 am Confounding of Genetic Association Studies by Dimensional Data—❖ Hao Zhang, North Population Structure—❖ Alice S. Whittemore, Carolina State University Stanford University 9:35 am Bias and Variance of Bagging Based on 9:25 am Case-Control Studies of Gene-Environment Subsampling with and without Replacement—❖ Interaction: a Bayesian Approach—❖ Bhramar Andreas Buja, University of Pennsylvania Mukherjee, University of Florida; Li Zhang, 10:05 am Floor Discussion University of Florida; Malay Ghosh, University of Florida 9:50 am Disc: Peter Kraft, Harvard University 361 CC-607 ● Causal Inference and the Estimation of 10:10 am Floor Discussion Neighborhood Health Effects—Invited Section on Health Policy Statistics, Biometrics Section 359 CC-602 Organizer(s): Bob Gerzoff , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention ● Rare Trait Inference—Invited Chair(s): Bob Gerzoff , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Section on Survey Research Methods 8:35 am The (Mis)estimation of Neighborhood Effects: Organizer(s): Myron J. Katzoff , National Center for Health Statistics Identifi cation Problems and the Multilevel Chair(s): Myron J. Katzoff , National Center for Health Statistics Model—❖ J. Michael Oakes, University of 8:35 am Network Sampling: a Potential Tool for Survey Minnesota PRELIMINARY❖ Estimates about Rare Populations— Iris M. 9:00 am Response to ‘The (Mis)Estimation of Shimizu, National Center for Health Statistics; Neighborhood Effects’—❖ Jay S. Kaufman, Th e Monroe G. Sirken, National Center for Health University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Statistics PROGRAM 9:25 am Forming Better Guesses about Neighborhood 9:00 am Design and Likelihood-Based Inference for Effects on Health—❖ Brian Krauth, Simon Fraser Sample Surveys on Rare Traits—❖ Steve University Th ompson, Simon Fraser University 9:50 am Causal Diagrams To Express Identifi cation of Place 9:25 am Testing Logistic Regression Coeffi cients with Effects Using Multilevel Models—❖ M. Maria Clustered Data and Few Positive Outcomes—❖ Glymour, Harvard School of Public Health; S. V. Sally Hunsberger, National Cancer Institute; Barry Subramanian, Harvard School of Public Health I. Graubard, National Cancer Institute; Edward 10:15 am Floor Discussion Korn, National Cancer Institute 9:50 am Analytic Issues for Rare Events in the NHANES Survey—❖ Lester R. Curtin, Centers for Disease 362 CC-401 ✪ Control and Prevention Detecting Anomalies in Dynamic Multivariate 10:15 am Floor Discussion Data—Invited Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statistical Graphics 360 CC-612 Organizer(s): Deepak K. Agarwal, AT&T Labs-Research ● ✪ New Directions in Statistical Machine Chair(s): Chuanhai Liu, Purdue University Learning—Invited 8:35 am Aggregation Queries at Streaming Speeds—❖ Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statisticians in Defense and Divesh Srivastava, AT&T Labs-Research National Security, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 9:00 am Dynamic Thresholds: Monitoring Streams of Organizer(s): Yufeng Liu, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Counts Online—❖ Diane Lambert, Google, Inc.; Hill Chuanhai Liu, Purdue University Chair(s): Yufeng Liu, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 9:25 am Monitoring Massive Streams Simultaneously: a 8:35 am Margin-Based, Semisupervised Learning—Junhui Holistic Approach—❖ Deepak K. Agarwal, AT&T ❖ Wang, University of Minnesota; Xiaotong Shen, Labs-Research

120 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

9:50 am Two-Dimensional Variable Window Scan National Science Foundation Invited Session— Wednesday Statistics—❖ Joseph Glaz, University of Invited Connecticut National Science Foundation, Section on Statistical Education 10:15 am Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Grace Yang, National Science Foundation Chair(s): Grace Yang, National Science Foundation 363 CC-617 Panelists: ❖ Cheryl Eavey, National Science Foundation ● Design and Analysis of Experiments for ❖ Dean Evasius, National Science Foundation Complex Computer Simulators —Invited ❖ Wen C. Masters, National Science Foundation Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences ❖ Ronald S. Fecso, National Science Foundation Organizer(s): Derek Bingham, Simon Fraser University 10:15 am Floor Discussion Chair(s): Derek Bingham, Simon Fraser University 8:35 am Designs for Integrated Computer and Physical Experiments—❖ C. Shane Reese, Brigham Young University; Derek Bingham, Simon Fraser Topic-Contributed Sessions University; Wilson Lu, Simon Fraser University 8:30 am–10:20 am 9:05 am Sequential Experiment Design for Contour Estimation from Complex Computer Codes—❖ 366 CC-618 Pritam Ranjan, Simon Fraser University ✪ Sparse Inference and Multiple Comparisons— 9:35 am Uncertainty Quantifi cation for Combining Topic-Contributed Experimental Data andPRELIMINARY Computer Simulations IMS from Multiple Data Sources—❖ Brian J. Williams, Organizer(s): Jiashun Jin, Purdue University Los Alamos National Laboratory; Dave Higdon, Chair(s): Pei Wang, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center Los Alamos National Laboratory; PROGRAMJim Gattiker, 8:35 am False Discovery Rates for Spatial Signals—❖ Ruth Los Alamos National Laboratory Heller, Tel-Aviv University; Yoav Benjamini, Tel- 10:05 am Floor Discussion Aviv University 8:55 am Large Dimensional Covariance Matrix Estimation Using a Factor Model—❖ Jinchi Lv, Princeton Invited Panels 8:30 am–10:20 am University 9:15 am A Bayesian Approach for Incomplete Paired 364 CC-206 Data—❖ Feng Liang, Duke University; Woncheol ● Status of Disability Information in Surveys Jang, Duke University; Fei Liu, Duke University —Invited 9:35 am Quantile Coupling for Median and Its Application Committee on Statistics and Disability to Nonparametric Robust Estimation—❖ Organizer(s): Michele Connolly, U.S. Social Security Administration Harrison Zhou, Yale University Chair(s): Michele Connolly, U.S. Social Security Administration 9:55 am Sparse Principal Component Analysis—❖ Hui Panelists: ❖ Susan Schechter, Offi ce of Management and Zou, University of Minnesota Budget 10:15 am Floor Discussion ❖ Jennifer Madans, National Center for Health Statistics 367 CC-2B ❖ Martin Gould, National Council for Disability Adaptive Dose Response—Topic-Contributed ❖ Philip Rones, Bureau of Labor Statistics Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR ❖ Mary Grace Kovar, NORC Organizer(s): Jose Pinheiro, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation 10:15 am Floor Discussion Chair(s): Jeff rey Maca, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation 8:35 am Implementing Bayesian Adaptive Dose-Response Finding Studies: a Clinical Perspective—❖ 365 CC-3B Seattle 121 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Michael Krams, 8:35 am Confi dence Intervals for Quantiles Based on Wednesday 8:55 am Adaptive Dose-Response Phase II Trials for Ranked Set Samples—❖ Tao Li, St. Francis Clinical Development—❖ Qing Liu, Johnson & Xavier University; Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan, Johnson McMaster University 9:15 am Evaluating Rolling Dose Designs and Methods—❖ 8:55 am Missing Data and Consequences in Ranked Set ❖ Amit Roy, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Frank Sampling— Jessica Kohlschmidt, Th e Ohio Shen, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company State University; Elizabeth Stasny, Th e Ohio State University; Douglas Wolfe, Th e Ohio State 9:35 am Disc: Greg Enas, Eli Lilly and Company University 9:55 am Disc: Jerald Schindler, Cytel Inc. 9:15 am Ranked Set Sampling for Ordered Categorical 10:15 am Floor Discussion Variables—❖ Haiying Chen, Wake Forest University; Elizabeth Stasny, Th e Ohio State 368 CC-2A University; Douglas Wolfe, Th e Ohio State Biomarker—Topic-Contributed University Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR 9:35 am Order-Restricted, Randomized Designs for Linear ❖ Organizer(s): Viswanath Devanarayan, Merck Research Laboratories Models Using L1 Norm— Shannon Markiewicz, Th e Ohio State University; Omer Ozturk, Th e Chair(s): Christopher Tong, Merck Research Laboratories Ohio State University 8:35 am Biomarker Analysis of Medical Imaging and 9:50 am Two-Sample, Ranked-Sum Test for Order- Radiotelemetry Signals—❖ Christopher Restricted Randomized Designs—❖ Yiping Sun, Tong, Merck Research Laboratories; Yevgen PRELIMINARYTh e Ohio State University; Omer Ozturk, Th e Tymofyeyev, Merck Research Laboratories; Karim Ohio State University Azer, Merck Research Laboratories; Philip E. Brandish, Merck Research Laboratories;PROGRAM Hongxing 10:15 am Floor Discussion Chen, Merck Research Laboratories; James C. Hershey, Merck Research Laboratories; Matthew 370 CC-604 Walker, III, Merck Research Laboratories; Barry From Policy to Application: a Health and R. Campbell, Merck Research Laboratories; Kaijie Fang, Merck Research Laboratories; Donald Mortality Case Study—Topic-Contributed S. Williams, Merck Research Laboratories; Section on Government Statistics Alexandre Coimbra, Merck Research Laboratories Organizer(s): Wendy Alvey, U.S. Census Bureau; Norman Johnson, U.S. Census Bureau 8:55 am Statistical Considerations for Protein Biomarker Chair(s): Paul D. Sorlie, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute/NIH Discovery from Human Plasma and Cerebrospinal ❖ Fluid—❖ Richard Higgs, Eli Lilly and Company 8:35 am The National Longitudinal Mortality Study— Norman Johnson, U.S. Census Bureau 9:15 am Model Selection and Cross-Validation for ❖ Biomarker Discovery and Validation—❖ Annette 8:55 am The National Death Index: an Overview— Molinaro, Yale University School of Medicine Robert Bilgrad, National Center for Health Statistics 9:35 am Application of RandomForest as a Variable ❖ Selection Tool on Biomarker Data—❖ Katja 9:15 am The NLMS: Data Stewardship Policies at Work— Remlinger, GlaxoSmithKline Wendy Alvey, U.S. Census Bureau 9:55 am Disc: Joseph Heyse, Merck & Co., Inc. 9:35 am U.S. Census Bureau Administrative Record Data Stewardship Policies for Administrative Records 10:15 am Floor Discussion Use—❖ Patricia Melvin, U.S. Census Bureau 9:55 am Disc: Daniel J. Wilson, Federal Reserve Bank of 369 CC-615 San Francisco ● Ranked Set Sampling II—Topic-Contributed 10:15 am Floor Discussion Section on Nonparametric Statistics Organizer(s): Omer Ozturk, Th e Ohio State University Chair(s): Omer Ozturk, Th e Ohio State University 371 CC-619

122 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

● Visual Sampling Plan Software for Designing Aircraft Cabin Altitudes—❖ Mike Muhm, Th e Wednesday Environmental Sampling Plans for Chem/Bio/ Boeing Company Rad and Munitions Contamination—Topic- 9:15 am Protocol Development of the Cabin Altitude Contributed Study—❖ Dianne McMullin, Th e Boeing Section on Statistics and the Environment Company; Mike Muhm, Th e Boeing Company; Organizer(s): Richard Gilbert, Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory Stephen P. Jones, Th e Boeing Company; I-Li Lu, Chair(s): Richard GIlbert, Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory Th e Boeing Company; Paul Rock, Oklahoma State University 8:35 am Visual Sample Plan (VSP) Software: What Is It, ❖ and How To Use It?—❖ John Wilson, Pacifi c 9:35 am Statistical Methods in Cabin Altitude Study— Northwest National Laboratory; Lisa Nuff er, Stephen P. Jones, Th e Boeing Company Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory; Brent A. 9:55 am Applications of Structural Equation Models: Case Pulsipher, Battelle-PNNL Studies in Biomedical and Aerospace Engineering ❖ 8:55 am Sampling Designs for Surfaces within Buildings— Research— I-Li Lu, Th e Boeing Company ❖ Brett D. Matzke, Battelle-PNNL; Brent A. 10:15 am Floor Discussion Pulsipher, Battelle-PNNL; John Wilson, Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory; Richard Gilbert, 373 CC-603 Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory; Lisa ● ✪ Nuff er, Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory; Medical Expenditures: Data Collection, Nancy Hassig, Pacifi c Northwest National Estimation, and Evaluations—Topic-Contributed Laboratory; John Hathaway, Battelle-PNNL Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Health Policy Statistics, PRELIMINARYBiometrics Section, ENAR 9:15 am Geophysical Survey Designs To Aid the Organizer(s): Trena Ezzati-Rice, Agency for Healthcare Research and Identifi cation and Remediation of Ordnance- Quality Related Contaminants—❖ John Hathaway, PROGRAMChair(s): Steven B. Cohen, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Battelle-PNNL; Brent A. Pulsipher, Battelle- PNNL; John Wilson, Pacifi c Northwest National 8:35 am The Completeness and Accuracy of Household ❖ Laboratory; Richard Gilbert, Pacifi c Northwest Reports of Total Medical Expenditures— David National Laboratory; Brett D. Matzke, Battelle- Kashihara, Agency for Healthcare Research PNNL and Quality; Steven R. Machlin, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; Lap-Ming Wun, 9:35 am A Practical Application of VSP to an Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Environmental Question: Abraham’s Creek—❖ Kelly Black, Neptune & Company; Michele Wolf, 8:55 am An Evaluation of the Completeness and Accuracy Neptune & Company of Household Reports of Out-of-Pocket and Private Health Insurance Payments for Medical Disc: Nagaraj Neerchal, University of Maryland Expenditures—Steven R. Machlin, Agency for Baltimore County Healthcare Research and Quality; ❖ Diana 9:55 am Floor Discussion Wobus, Westat 9:15 am The Impact of Medical Expenditure Predictors 372 CC-310 in MEPS Nonresponse Adjustments—❖ Lap- ● ✪ Statistics in the Aerospace Industry: Human Ming Wun, Agency for Healthcare Research and Factor Studies—Topic-Contributed Quality; Trena Ezzati-Rice, Agency for Healthcare Biometrics Section, Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Research and Quality; Steven B. Cohen, Agency Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences for Healthcare Research and Quality; William Yu, Organizer(s): I-Li Lu, Th e Boeing Company Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Chair(s): Winson Taam, Th e Boeing Company 9:35 am Evaluation of Expenditure Estimates When Including a High-Expenditure Predictor in 8:35 am Using Statistical Methods in the Design of the 787 Nonresponse Adjustments—Lap-Ming Wun, Cabin Environment—❖ Martin Meckesheimer, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; Th e Boeing Company Steven B. Cohen, Agency for Healthcare Research 8:55 am Predicted Arterial Oxygenation at Commercial

Seattle 123 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

and Quality; ❖ Trena Ezzati-Rice, Agency for Chair(s): Mary W. Gray, American University Wednesday Healthcare Research and Quality; William Yu, Panelists: ❖ Martha Aliaga, American Statistical Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Association 9:55 am Approximation of Skewed Health Care ❖ Arlene Ash, Boston University Expenditure Distribution Using a Mixture ❖ Eduardas Valaitis, American University Model—❖ William Yu, Agency for Healthcare 10:15 am Floor Discussion Research and Quality 10:15 am Floor Discussion 376 CC-609 ● Mentoring Statisticians—Topic-Contributed 374 CC-205 Section on Statistical Education, Committee on Career Development ✪ Analyses of Studies Using Biomarkers—Topic- Organizer(s): Snehalata Huzurbazar, University of Wyoming Contributed Chair(s): Snehalata Huzurbazar, University of Wyoming Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR ❖ Organizer(s): Estelle Russek-Cohen, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Panelists: Amy Froelich, Iowa State University ❖ Chair(s): Alex Bajamonde, Genentech, Inc. Sastry Pantula, North Carolina State University ❖ 8:35 am Array Spatial Variability and Normalization Sally C. Morton, RTI International Techniques for Microarray Gene Expression ❖ Cynthia Clark, U. K. Offi ce for National Signals—❖ Samir Lababidi, U.S. Food and Drug Statistics Administration; Daya Ranamukhaarachchi, U.S. ❖ Ronald Menton, Wyeth Research Food and Drug AdministrationPRELIMINARY 10:15 am Floor Discussion 8:55 am Statistical Issues in Incorporating and Testing Biomarkers in Clinical Trials—❖ Daniel Sargent, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; PROGRAMSumithra Mandrekar, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine Regular Contributed Sessions 9:15 am Statistical Design and Multiple Testing Analysis of 8:30 am–10:20 am Microarray—❖ Jane Chang, Bowling Green State University; Jason Hsu, Th e Ohio State University 377 CC-309 9:35 am Prediction Modeling Using Survival Data for Gene ● Capture-Recapture and Other Problems in Expression Prognostic Test for Breast Cancer—❖ Environmental and Ecological Statistics— Kit Lau, Celera Diagnostics; Alice Wang, Celera Contributed Diagnostics; John Sninsky, Celera Diagnostics; Biometrics Section, ENAR Trevor Hastie, Stanford University Chair(s): Linda Young, University of Florida 9:55 am Disc: Estelle Russek-Cohen, U.S. Food and Drug 8:35 am Semiparametric Models for Capture-Recapture Administration Experiments with Behavoral Response—❖ 10:05 am Floor Discussion Wen-Han Hwang, Feng Chia University; Richard Huggins, University of Melbourne 8:50 am Approximate Estimating Equations in Topic-Contributed Panels Measurement Error Model with Application to a 8:30 am–10:20 am Capture-Recapture Problem—❖ Yih-huei Huang, Tamkang University 9:05 am Population Estimation for Noninvasive Trapping— 375 CC-606 ❖ Emily Murphree, Miami University ● ✪ What Is Feminist Statistics?—Topic- 9:20 am Assessing Similarity of Two Assemblages with Contributed Unseen Species in Samples—❖ Tsung-Jen Shen, Social Statistics Section, Caucus for Women in Statistics, Section on Govern- National Chung Hsing University; Anne Chao, ment Statistics, Section on Statistical Education National Tsing Hua University; Robin L. Chazdon, Organizer(s): Mary W. Gray, American University

124 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

University of Connecticut; Robert L. Colwell, between Pulsatile Hormones—❖ Nichole Wednesday University of Connecticut Carlson, Oregon Health & Science University; 9:35 am Estimating the Species Richness by a Poisson- Timothy D. Johnson, University of Michigan; Compound Gamma Model—❖ Ji-Ping Wang, Morton B. Brown, University of Michigan Northwestern University 10:05 am Floor Discussion 9:50 am Mixtures of Exponential Distributions To Describe the Distribution of Poisson Means in Estimating ❖ 379 CC-608 the Number of Unobserved Classes— Kathryn ● Robust Solutions—Contributed Barger, Cornell University Business and Economics Statistics Section 10:05 am Principle Component Analysis as a Statistical Chair(s): Michael Sverchkov, Bureau of Labor Statistics and BAE Tool To Investigate the Role of Specifi c Habitat Systems IT Variables in Lyme Disease Ecology—❖ Haiyan 8:35 am Competitiveness Analysis of the Italian Firms: Use Chen, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute of Robust Classifi cation Methods—❖ Matilde Bini, University of Florence; Luigi Biggeri, Italian 378 CC-308 National Statistical Institute ● Models for Multivariate (Longitudinal) Data— 8:50 am On robust forecasting in dynamic vector time Contributed series models—❖ Pierre Duchesne, UniversitÈ Biometrics Section, ENAR de MontrÈal; Christian GagnÈ, UniversitÈ de Chair(s): Armando Teixeira-Pinto, Harvard School of Public Health MontrÈal 8:35 am Alternative Structural ModelsPRELIMINARY for Analyzing 9:05 am A Test of the Modality of the Variance Function Multivariate Longitudinal Data—❖ Feng Gao, in Modulated Autoregressive Models—❖ Gabe Washington University School of Medicine; Paul Chandler, Connecticut College Th ompson, Washington UniversityPROGRAM School of 9:20 am Multiple Imputation of Right-Censored Data: an Medicine; Chengjie Xiong, Washington University Application to Wage Data and Understanding the School of Medicine; J. Philip Miller, Washington Changing Wage Gap by Gender in Germany—❖ University School of Medicine Hermann Gartner, Institute for Employment 8:50 am Unconstrained Models for the Covariance Research Structure of Multivariate Longitudinal Data—❖ 9:35 am A new approach to univariate unit root tests Chulmin Kim, University of Minnesota, Morris; robust to structural change—❖ Seong-Tae Kim, Dale Zimmerman, Th e University of Iowa North Carolina State University 9:05 am Multilevel Flexible Models for Mixed Longitudinal 9:50 am Testing for Threshold Moving Average with Data—❖ Nuoo-Ting Molitor, University of Conditional Heteroscedasticity—❖ Guodong Southern California; Kiros Berhane, University of Li, Th e University of Hong Kong; Wai K. Li, Th e Southern California University of Hong Kong 9:20 am Robustness in Joint Modeling of a Primary 10:05 am A New Approach for Calculating Sample Size To Regression Model and a Longitudinal Process— Detect Desired Difference between Treatment ❖ Xianzheng Huang, North Carolina State Groups with Intended Power—❖ Seemit Sheth, University; Marie Davidian, North Carolina State Capital One Financial Corporation University; Leonard A. Stefanski, North Carolina State University 380 CC-204 9:35 am Conditional Estimation for Joint Models for a ● Primary Endpoint and Multivariate Longitudinal Flexible Methods for Longitudinal Data— Data—❖ Erning Li, Texas A&M University; Contributed Naisyin Wang, Texas A&M University; Nae-Yuh ENAR, Biometrics Section Wang, Th e Johns Hopkins University School of Chair(s): Andres Houseman, Harvard School of Public Health Medicine 8:35 am Effi cient Estimation in Semiparametric 9:50 am A Bayesian Approach to Modeling Associations Generalized Linear Model for Longitudinal

Seattle 125 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Data—❖ Lu Wang, Harvard University; Xihong Food and Drug Administration; Sandra Gardner, Wednesday Lin, Harvard School of Public Health; Andrea Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre Rotnitzky, Harvard University 9:35 am Time to Rescue as a Surrogate Endpoint for 8:50 am Varying-Coeffi cient Model with Unknown within- Analgesic Effi cacy in Acute Pain Studies—❖ Subject Covariance for the Analysis of Tumor Julia Wang, Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical Growth Curves—❖ Robert Krafty, University R&D; Akiko Okamoto, Johnson & Johnson of Pennsylvania; Wensheng Guo, University Pharmaceutical R&D; Surya Mohanty, Johnson & of Pennsylvania; Phyllis Gimotty, University of Johnson Pharmaceutical R&D Pennsylvania; George Coukos, University of 9:50 am On Analysis of Time to Progression—❖ Zhiping Pennsylvania Sun, Merck & Co., Inc.; Cong Chen, Merck & Co., 9:05 am Modeling Plasma HIV Viral Load by a Piecewise Inc. Polynomial Linear Mixed Model—❖ Hsiao-Chuan 10:05 am Testing for Change-Points in Waiting Time Tien, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Distributions—❖ Th omas Hammerstrom, U.S. Hill; Pai-Lien Chen, Family Health International Food and Drug Administration; Rafi a Bhore, U.S. 9:20 am Nonparametric Inference in the Heteroscedastic Food and Drug Administration Two-Way Random Effects Model Based on ❖ Ranks— Zhe Shang, Wyeth Research 382 CC-307 9:35 am Marginal Regression Modeling under Irregular, ● Clustering and Classifi cation—Contributed Biased Sampling—❖ Petra Buzkova, Th e Biometrics Section, ENAR University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Chair(s): David B. Hitchcock, University of South Carolina Th omas Lumley, UniversityPRELIMINARY of Washington 8:35 am Classifi cation by Ensembles from Random 9:50 am Projected Multivariate Linear Mixed-Effects Partitions of High-Dimensional Genomic Data—❖ Models for Clustered Angular Data—❖ Daniel Hojin Moon, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Hall, University of Georgia; LewisPROGRAM Jordan, Hongshik Ahn, Stony Brook University; James J. University of Georgia; Jinae Lee, University of Chen, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Ralph Georgia L. Kodell, U.S. Food and Drug Administration 10:05 am Optimal estimators from Generalized Estimating 8:50 am Ensemble methods for classifying an ordinal Equations (GEE) for longitudinal data—❖ Ioana response—❖ Kellie J. Archer, Virginia Schiopu-Kratina, Statistics Canada; Raluca M. Commonwealth University Balan, University of Ottawa 9:05 am Tree-Based Integration of One-versus-Some Classifi ers for Multiclass Classifi cation—❖ 381 CC-3A Yuejing Ding, Columbia University; Tian Zheng, ● Survival, Time to Event—Contributed Columbia University Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR 9:20 am Clustering Genes in Genetical Genomics Chair(s): B. ChristineClark, ICON Clinical Research Experiments—❖ Joshua Sampson, University of 8:35 am Predicting Time of Completion in Multiphase Washington; Steve Self, University of Washington Survival Trials—❖ Dennis Sweitzer, AstraZeneca 9:35 am A Divisive Method via Multivariate Hypothesis Pharmaceuticals Testing for Clustering Gene Expression Patterns— 8:50 am Power Calculation for Log-Rank Test under a ❖ Haiyan Wang, Kansas State University Nonproportional Hazards Model—❖ Daowen 9:50 am On Comparing the Clustering of Regression Zhang, sanofi -aventis; Hui Quan, sanofi -aventis Models Method with K-Means Clustering—❖ 9:05 am Use of Life Tables To Extrapolate Survival from Li-Xuan Qin, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Clinical Trial Data—❖ W. J. Hall, University of Center; Steve Self, University of Washington Rochester Medical Center; Hongyue Wang, 10:05 am Floor Discussion University of Rochester Medical Center 9:20 am Analyzing Change in Hazard for Time-to-Event Endpoints in Clinical Trials—❖ Rafi a Bhore, U.S. 383 CC-616

126 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Clustering—Contributed Institute of Technology Wednesday Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 9:50 am Post-Hoc Analysis for a Class of Chi-Square Chair(s): Guei-Feng Tsai, Northwestern University Tests—❖ Edward Markowski, Old Dominion 8:35 am Clustering by Intersection-Merging—❖ Qunhua University; Carol A. Markowski, Old Dominion Li, University of Washington; Marina Meila, University University of Washington 10:05 am Keeping an Introductory Statistics Course 8:50 am Strategies for Scaling and Weighting Variables Interesting: Use of Demonstrations, Examples, ❖ in Cluster Analysis—❖ Srinivas Maloor, Rutgers Rewards, and a Little Humor— Harry Norton, University; Ramanathan Gnanadesikan, Rutgers Carolinas Medical Center University; Jon Kettenring, Drew University 9:05 am Model-Based Projection Pursuit Clustering—❖ Jie 385 CC-611 Ding, GlaxoSmithKline Bayesian Design and High Dimensional 9:20 am Estimating the Number of Data Clusters via Inference—Contributed Agreement Measure–Based Statistics—❖ Heng Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Liu, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Chair(s): Ming Yuan, Georgia Institute of Technology Michelle Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana- 8:35 am Automatic Estimation of Multivariate Spectra via Champaign; Douglas Simpson, University of Smoothing Splines—❖ Ori Rosen, Th e University Illinois at Urbana-Champaign of Texas at El Paso; David Stoff er, University of 9:35 am Clustering of Longitudinal Data: a Functional Data Pittsburgh ❖ Approach— Jeng-MinPRELIMINARY Chiou, Academia Sinica; 8:50 am Bayesian Curve Estimation with Overcomplete Pai-Ling Li, National Tsing Hua University Wavelet Dictionary—❖ Jen-hwa Chu, Duke 9:50 am Initializing Optimization Partition Algorithms—❖ University; Merlise Clyde, Duke University; Feng Ranjan Maitra, Iowa State UniversityPROGRAMLiang, Duke University 10:05 am A Scale-Independent Clustering Method with 9:05 am Bayesian LAGO for Statistical Detection Automatic Variable Selection Based on Trees—❖ Problems—❖ Wanhua Su, University of Waterloo; Samuel Buttrey, Naval Postgraduate School Mu Zhu, University of Waterloo; Hugh A. Chipman, Acadia University 384 CC-610 9:20 am Avoiding Bias from Feature Selection in ● Examples for the Statistics Classroom— Classifi cation and Regression Models—❖ Contributed Longhai Li, University of Toronto; Jianguo Zhang, University of Toronto; Radford Neal, University of Section on Statistical Education Toronto Chair(s): Tena Katsaounis, Th e Ohio State University 9:35 am Dose-Schedule Finding in Phase I/II Clinical Trials 8:35 am Making Babies by the Flip of a Coin?—❖ Using Bayesian Isotonic Transformation—❖ Matthew Carlton, California Polytechnic State Yisheng Li, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; University, San Luis Obispo Nebiyou B. Bekele, M. D. Anderson Cancer 8:50 am Illuminating the Confi dence Interval Concept Center; Yuan Ji, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; ❖ Activity— Alicia Graziosi, Temple University; John Cook, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Jeff rey Lidicker, Temple University 9:50 am Bayesian Two Stage Optimal Design for ❖ 9:05 am Learning Activities for Large Classes— Patti Generalized Linear Models—❖ Ying Zhang, Collings, Brigham Young University Virginia Tech ❖ 9:20 am How Low Can You Go?— Paul Stephenson, 10:05 am Floor Discussion Grand Valley State University; Mary Richardson, Grand Valley State University; John Gabrosek, Grand Valley State University 386 CC-613 ● ✪ 9:35 am Conditional Probability and ‘Who Wants To Be Bayesian Applications to Genetics— a Millionaire?’—❖ Diane Evans, Rose-Hulman Contributed

Seattle 127 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, ENAR 9:35 am A Comparison of Two Ratio Edit Methods for Wednesday Chair(s): Leanna House, Duke University the Annual Survey of Government Finances—❖ 8:35 am The Evolutionary Forest Algorithm—❖ Scotland Elizabeth Cornett, U.S. Census Bureau; Joanna Leman, Duke University F. McLaughlin, U.S. Census Bureau; Carma R. Hogue, U.S. Census Bureau; Stephen D. Owens, 8:50 am Bayesian Inference for Estimating Migration U.S. Census Bureau Rate, Mutation Rate, and Population Size in Microsatellite Loci—❖ Seongho Song, 9:50 am Evaluation of the Detectability and Inferential University of Cincinnati; Dipak Dey, University Impact of Nonresponse Bias in Establishment ❖ of Connecticut; Kent E. Holsinger, University of Surveys— Randall Powers, Bureau of Labor Connecticut Statistics; John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics 9:05 am Bayesian Discovery of Regulatory Motifs using Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo—❖ 10:05 am A Coverage Profi le of Area Frame Blocks on the Min Li, University of Washington United States Census Bureau’s Master Address File—❖ Timothy Kennel, U.S. Census Bureau 9:20 am Detection of Quantitative Trait Loci on Multiple Linkage Groups—❖ Patrick Gaff ney, ImClone Systems 388 CC-211 9:35 am Bayesian Clustering of SNP Genotypes—❖ ● ✪ Cluster Modeling and Cluster Detection— Guohua Yan, Th e University of British Columbia; Contributed William J. Welch, Th e University of British Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Columbia; Ruben H. Zamar,PRELIMINARY Th e University of Chair(s): Margaret Nemeth, Monsanto Regulatory Sciences British Columbia 8:35 am P-Values for the Besag-Newell Cluster Detection 9:50 am Bayesian Clustering of Short Temporal Gene Test—❖ Ronald Gangnon, University of Expression Dynamics—❖ Ling Wang,PROGRAM Boston Wisconsin-Madison University; Paola Sebastiani, Boston University; 8:50 am On Detecting a Rate Increase Using a Bernoulli- Marco Ramoni, Harvard Medical School Based Scan Statistic—❖ Michael Joner, Virginia 10:05 am A Bayesian Retrospective Classifi cation Model— Polytechnic Institute and State University; ❖ Jingqin Luo, Duke University William H. Woodall, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Marion Reynolds, Virginia 387 CC-601 Polytechnic Institute and State University ● Sample Survey Quality IV—Contributed 9:05 am Spatial Survival Clusters of Patients Diagnosed Section on Survey Research Methods with Lung Cancer and Late-Stage Colorectal Cancer in California—❖ Lan Huang, National Chair(s): Rita Petroni, U.S. Census Bureau Cancer Institute 8:35 am Changing to Register-Based Statistics—❖ Anders 9:20 am A Latent Model for Highly Skewed and Grouped Wallgren, Statistics Sweden; Britt Wallgren, Data—❖ Statistics Sweden Huichao Chen, Emory University; Amita K. Manatunga, Emory University; Robert 8:50 am Longitudinal Evaluation of Point and Variance Lyles, Emory University; Michele Marcus, Emory Estimates in an Establishment Survey after Ratio University Imputation—❖ Adriana Perez, Th e University of 9:35 am Local Likelihood Models for Disease Cluster Texas Health Science Center at Houston Modeling: a Space-Time Extension—❖ Monir 9:05 am Experimental Design for the 2006 American Hossain, University of South Carolina; Andrew B. ❖ Community Survey Content Test— Mark Asiala, Lawson, University of South Carolina U.S. Census Bureau; Alfredo Navarro, U.S. Census 9:50 am Approximating the Multiple-Width-Window Scan Bureau Statistic for Nonuniform Background—❖ Joseph 9:20 am Comparison of Key from Paper and Automated Naus, Rutgers University Data Capture in the American Community 10:05 am Cluster Analysis Using Methods of Pairwise Survey—❖ Anthony Tersine, U.S. Census Bureau; Weight on Mixed Type Attributes—❖ Donald Keathley, U.S. Census Bureau William

128 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Warde, Oklahoma State University 9:35 am Estimating Birth Counts for Small Geographical Domains Used for Control Totals in Raking Wednesday Adjustment—❖ Amang Sukasih, Mathematica 389 CC-620 Policy Research, Inc.; Donsig Jang, Mathematica Methodology for Spatial Data—Contributed Policy Research, Inc.; Mary Edith Bozylinsky, Section on Statistics and the Environment, WNAR Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Barbara L. Chair(s): Eric Slud, U.S. Census Bureau Carlson, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 8:35 am Spatial Multivariate EOFs: Discrete to Continuous 9:50 am Iteration of Second-Stage and Composite Approximations—❖ Yonggang Yao, Th e Ohio Procedures in the Current Population Survey—❖ State University; Noel Cressie, Th e Ohio State Samantha Cruz, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Edwin University L. Robison, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Tamara S. 8:50 am Spatial Designs and Strength of Spatial Signal: Zimmerman, Bureau of Labor Statistics Effects on Covariance Estimation—❖ Kathryn 10:05 am Estimation and Reliability Issues of Health Irvine, Oregon State University; Alix Gitelman, Estimates from the Behavioral Risk Factor Oregon State University; Jennifer A. Hoeting, Surveillance System for U.S. Counties Contiguous Colorado State University to the United States-Mexico Border—❖ Joe 9:05 am Spatial Models, Spatial Integrals, and Green’s Fred Gonzalez, Jr., National Center for Health Theorem—❖ Gary Simon, New York University Statistics; Machell Town, National Center 9:20 am A Variation on Spike-Time Distance Prototypes— for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health ❖ Katherine Tranbarger, Amherst College Promotion; Jay J. Kim, National Center for Health Statistics; Sam Notzon, National Center for 9:35 am A Method for MultiscalePRELIMINARY Spatio-Temporal Health Statistics; Juan R. Albertorio, National Analysis—❖ Mary Louie, National Center for Center for Health Statistics Health Statistics 9:50 am A Weighting Class Adjustment EstimatorPROGRAM in a Continuous Domain—❖ Breda Munoz, RTI International; Virginia M. Lesser, Oregon State Invited Sessions 10:30 am–12:20 pm University; Leigh Harrod, Oregon State University 10:05 am Floor Discussion 391 CC-4C-4 ● ✪ Noether Award Invited Session—Invited 390 CC-605 Noether Award Committee, Section on Nonparametric Statistics ● Survey-Based Estimation IV—Contributed Organizer(s): Regina Liu, Rutgers University Chair(s): Regina Liu, Rutgers University Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Walter Boyle, RTI International 10:35 am Doing Thousands of Hypothesis Tests at the Same Time—❖ Bradley Efron, Stanford University 8:35 am Effects of Uncontrolled Factors at the Collection ❖ Stage on the Canadian Nutrition Survey—❖ 11:25 am Bayesian Mixed Models for Functional Data— FranÁois Verret, Statistics Canada; Steven Jeff rey S. Morris, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Th omas, Statistics Canada 12:15 pm Floor Discussion 8:50 am Regression Diagnostics for Survey Data—❖ Jianzhu Li, University of Maryland; Richard 392 CC-607 Valliant, University of Michigan ● ✪ Government Statistical Agencies Are 9:05 am Design Effects in Randomized Experiments Now Offering Electronic Reporting to Their Based on Sample Surveys—❖ K. P. Srinath, Abt Respondents, but Is It Worth the Effort?—Invited Associates Inc. Section on Government Statistics 9:20 am Using Census Data to Defi ne Estimation Areas for Organizer(s): Robert Lussier, Statistics Canada the American Community Survey: A Case Study— Chair(s): Robert Lussier, Statistics Canada ❖ Joseph Powers, U.S. Census Bureau; Alfredo Navarro, U.S. Census Bureau 10:35 am Qui Bono: Who Benefi ts from Web Data

Seattle 129 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Collection?—❖ Michael D. Levi, Bureau of Labor 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Wednesday Statistics 10:55 am The Development of Electronic Data Collection 395 CC-611 ❖ Techniques— Toni R‰ikkˆnen, Statistics ● Latent Class Models for Disease Finland Classifi cation—Invited 11:15 am Statistics Canada’s Electronic Data Reporting ENAR, Biometrics Section, WNAR ❖ Experience— Jocelyn Burgess, Statistics Canada Organizer(s): Rebecca Betensky, Harvard School of Public Health 11:35 am Improving the Provider Experience: The Vision for Chair(s): Rebecca Betensky, Harvard School of Public Health Multi-Modal Data Collection in Australia—❖ Sean 10:35 am Diagnosing Sepsis in Patients with SIRS—❖ Klaus Th ompson, Australian Bureau of Statistics Larsen, University of Copenhagen 11:55 am Disc: Th omas L. Mesenbourg, U.S. Census Bureau 11:05 am Penalized Latent Class Methods for Disease 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Classifi cation—❖ Andres Houseman, Harvard School of Public Health; Brent A. Coull, Harvard 393 CC-601 School of Public Health; Rebecca Betensky, ● ✪ Bayesian Methods in Cancer Genomics— Harvard School of Public Health Invited 11:35 am Latent Class Measurement of Frailty and ❖ WNAR, Biometrics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, ENAR Dysregulation in Older Adults— Karen Bandeen-Roche, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Organizer(s): Sonia Jain, University of California, San Diego School of Public Health Chair(s): Sonia Jain, University of California, San Diego PRELIMINARY12:05 pm Floor Discussion 10:35 am Variable Selection in Regression Mixture Modeling for the Discovery of Gene Regulatory Networks—❖ Joseph G. Ibrahim, PROGRAMTh e University 396 CC-206 of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Mayetri Gupta, Semiparametric Inference in Practice—Invited Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 11:00 am Variable Selection in Clustering via Dirichlet Organizer(s): Florentina Bunea, Florida State University Process Mixture Models—❖ Marina Vannucci, Chair(s): Florentina Bunea, Florida State University Texas A&M University 10:35 am Semiparametric Approaches To Model the Survival 11:25 am Nonparametric Models for Proteomic Peak and Longitudinal Data Simultaneously—❖ Jane- Identifi cation, Quantifi cation, and Classifi cation— Ling Wang, University of California, Davis; Jimin ❖ Merlise Clyde, Duke University; Leanna Ding, University of California, Davis; Fushing House, Duke University; Robert Wolpert, Duke Hsieh, University of California, Davis University 11:05 am Semiparametric Models with Data Missing 11:50 am Disc: Steven N. MacEachern, Th e Ohio State by Design and Inverse Probability Weighted University Empirical Processes: Partial Results and Open 12:10 pm Floor Discussion Problems—❖ Jon A. Wellner, University of Washington ❖ 394 CC-307 11:35 am Statistical Inference for Variable Importance— ✪ Building Statistical Capacity in Developing Mark van der Laan, University of California, Berkeley Countries—Invited 12:05 pm Floor Discussion Committee on International Relations in Statistics, Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Louise Ryan, Harvard School of Public Health 397 CC-308 Chair(s): Martha Aliaga, American Statistical Association ● Balanced Sampling—Invited 10:50 am Statistics in Argentina—❖ Diana Kelmansky, SSC University of Buenos Aires Organizer(s): Pierre LavallÈe, Statistics Canada

130 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Chair(s): Pierre LavallÈe, Statistics Canada 11:05 am Perception of Scene Spatial Layout and Complex Wednesday 10:35 am Balanced Sampling by Means of the Cube Visual Displays—❖ Aude Oliva, Massachusetts Method—❖ Yves TillÈ, University of Neuch‚tel Institute of Technology 11:00 am Stochastic Imputation Using Balanced Sampling— 11:35 am Toward Integrating Perception, Cognition, and ❖ Jean-Claude Deville, CREST/ENSAI Visual Statistical Analytics in Quantitative ❖ 11:25 am Use of Balanced Sampling in the Framework Visualization— Daniel B. Carr, George Mason of the Master Sample for French Household University Surveys—❖ Marc Christine, Institut National de 12:05 pm Floor Discussion la Statistique et des …tudes …conomiques 11:50 am Sampling and Estimation Strategies for the 400 CC-400 Canadian Unincorporated Business Population— ● ✪ Haplotype Analysis—Invited ❖ Wisner Jocelyn, Statistics Canada Section on Risk Analysis, ENAR 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Ingo Ruczinski, Th e Johns Hopkins University Chair(s): Hua Tang, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 398 CC-608 10:35 am Haplotype Analysis in Related Individuals—❖ Statistical Challenges in Analyzing Highly Hongyu Zhao, Yale University; Ning Sun, Yale Stratifi ed Data—Invited University Biometrics Section, WNAR 11:00 am A Comparison of Haplotype-Based and Tree-Based Organizer(s): Bhramar Mukherjee, University of Florida SNPs Imputation in Association Studies—❖ James Chair(s): Bhramar Mukherjee, UniversityPRELIMINARY of Florida Y. Dai, University of Washington; Ingo Ruczinski, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Michael LeBlanc, 10:35 am Semiparametric Transformation Models with Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Charles Random Effects for Highly Stratifi ed Survival ❖ PROGRAMKooperberg, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Data— Danyu Lin, Th e University of North Center Carolina at Chapel Hill 11:25 am Haplotype and SNP Analyses in Genetic 11:00 am Connections between Bayesian and Conditional Epidemiology with Application to Longitudinal Inference in Matched Studies—❖ Kenneth Rice, Data—❖ M. Daniele Fallin, Johns Hopkins University of Washington Bloomberg School of Public Health; Kelly S. 11:25 am Model-Based Profi le Confi dence Intervals for Benke, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public ❖ Stratifi ed Contingency Tables— Joseph B. Lang, Health Th e University of Iowa 11:50 am Disc: Nilanjan Chatterjee, National Cancer 11:50 am Fixed-Effects Models for Longitudinal Binary Institute Data with Drop-Outs Missing at Random—❖ Paul 12:10 pm Floor Discussion Rathouz, Th e University of Chicago 12:15 pm Floor Discussion 401 CC-201 ● Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling of Exposure 399 CC-401 Pathways—Invited ● Human Perception and Statistical Graphics— Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Bayesian Statistical Invited Science Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Statisticians in Defense and Organizer(s): Noel Cressie, Th e Ohio State University National Security Chair(s): Noel Cressie, Th e Ohio State University Organizer(s): Naomi B. Robbins, NBR 10:35 am Regional Spatial Modeling of Toxic Metals in Chair(s): Naomi B. Robbins, NBR Various Environmental Media—❖ Catherine A. ❖ 10:35 am Attention, Consciousness, and Data Display— Calder, Th e Ohio State University Ronald A. Rensink, Th e University of British 11:00 am Characterizing Human Exposure to Toxic Metals Columbia Using a Bayesian Pathways Model—❖ Nancy J.

Seattle 131 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

McMillan, Battelle ❖ Veronica Berrocal, University of Washington Wednesday 11:25 am Computational Strategies for Fitting and Learning 11:35 am Use of Uncertainty Information in Deterministic from Complex Bayesian Hierarchical Models—❖ Weather Forecasting Decisions—❖ Susan Joslyn, Peter F. Craigmile, Th e Ohio State University University of Washington 11:50 am Disc: Louise Ryan, Harvard School of Public 11:55 am Disc: Brad Colman, NOAA Health 12:15 pm Floor Discussion 12:10 pm Floor Discussion 404 CC-609 Dose-Finding—Topic-Contributed Invited Panels 10:30 am–12:20 pm Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Organizer(s): Naitee Ting, Pfi zer Inc. 402 CC-2B Chair(s): Greg C. G. Wei, Pfi zer Inc. ● Statistical Consulting for Clinical Research— 10:35 am Hypothesis Testing and Bayesian Estimation Invited Applied to Sparse Dose Response Designs—❖ Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Education Neal Th omas, Organizer(s): Jeff Sloan, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine 10:55 am Phase I Studies of Chemotherapeutic Agents in Chair(s): Joseph Cappelleri, Pfi zer Inc. Cancer Patients: a Review of the Designs—❖ Panelists: ❖ Jeff Sloan, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine Douglas Potter, University of Pittsburgh ❖ Todd Nick, CincinnatiPRELIMINARY Children’s Hospital 11:15 am Design and Analysis of Dose-Finding Studies Medical Center Combining Multiple Comparisons and Modeling ❖ ❖ Felicity B. Enders, Mayo Clinic College of Procedures— Frank Bretz, Novartis Pharma Medicine PROGRAMAG; Jose Pinheiro, Novartis Pharmaceuticals ❖ Corporation; Bjoern Bornkamp, University of Michael Griswold, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Dortmund School of Public Health 11:35 am Optimal Dose Response Studies with Potentially 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Missing Observations—❖ Weng Kee Wong, University of California, Los Angeles; InYoung Baek, Stony Brook University; Wei Zhu, Stony Topic-Contributed Sessions Brook University 10:30 am–12:20 pm 11:55 am Experimental Design for Experiments with Toxicity and Effi cacy Response Functions—❖ 403 CC-612 Nancy Flournoy, University of Missouri-Columbia ● ✪ Statistics for Weather Forecasting 12:15 pm Floor Discussion I: Challenges and Opportunities—Topic- Contributed 405 CC-204 Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Section on Physical ● Modeling and Adjustment of Economic Time and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statistics and the Environment Series—Topic-Contributed Organizer(s): Tilmann Gneiting, University of Washington Business and Economics Statistics Section Chair(s): Tilmann Gneiting, University of Washington Organizer(s): Th omas D. Evans, Bureau of Labor Statistics 10:35 am General Introduction to Weather Prediction—❖ Chair(s): Th omas D. Evans, Bureau of Labor Statistics Cliff ord Mass, University of Washington 10:35 am Reference Week Adjustment of Labor Force Series 10:55 am Local Bayesian Model Averaging for Calibrated with X-12-ARIMA—❖ Zhao-Guo Chen, Statistics Weather Forecast Probabilities—❖ Eric Grimit, Canada; Th ierno A. Balde, Statistics Canada; University of Washington Benoit Quenneville, Statistics Canada; Helen 11:15 am Combining Spatial Statistical and Ensemble Fung, Statistics Canada Information in Probabilistic Weather Forecasts— 10:55 am Issues in Identifying Easter Effects in Economic

132 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Time Series—❖ Kellie Wills, U.S. Census Bureau Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR Wednesday 11:15 am A New Time Series Model for Seasonally Organizer(s): R. LakshmiVishnuvajjala, U.S. Food and Drug Adjusting Economic Data with Trend-Cycle Administration Movement and Irregular, Sharply Pronounced Chair(s): Kyunghee Song, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Seasonal Fluctuations—❖ Stephanus Arz, 10:35 am ROC Graphs for Assessing the Ability of a Deutsche Bundesbank Diagnostic Marker To Detect Three Disease ❖ 11:35 am An ARIMA Model–Based Approach To Estimate Classes with an Umbrella Ordering— Todd Evolving Trading Day Effect—❖ Xichuan Zhang, Alonzo, University of Southern California; Australian Bureau of Statistics; Anna Poskitt, Christos Nakas, University of the Aegean Australian Bureau of Statistics 10:55 am Random Effects Modeling Approaches for 11:55 am Modeling CPS Labor Force Time Series in Selected Estimating ROC Curves from Repeated Ordinal ❖ Metropolitan Areas—❖ Jennifer Oh, Bureau of Tests without a Gold Standard— Paul S. Albert, Labor Statistics; Richard Tiller, Bureau of Labor NCI Statistics 11:15 am Diagnostic Imaging Procedures: Defi ning and 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Analyzing Test Results To Account for Unknown Disease Loci—❖ Gene Pennello, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Brandon D. Gallas, U.S. 406 CC-606 Food and Drug Administration ● ✪ When Disaster Strikes: Responses from the 11:35 am A Model-Free Approach to Combining Diagnostic Survey Community—Topic-Contributed Markers—❖ Ruth Pfeiff er, National Cancer Section on Survey Research Methods, SectionPRELIMINARY on Statisticians in Defense and Institute; Efstathia Bura, Th e George Washington National Security University Organizer(s): Rachel Harter, NORC 11:55 am Statistical Issues in Diagnostic Devices Including Chair(s): David Banks, Duke University PROGRAMROC Methods—❖ R. Lakshmi Vishnuvajjala, U.S. 10:35 am Conducting Surveys When Disasters Strike—❖ Food and Drug Administration Rachel Harter, NORC; Judith Petty, NORC; Jenny 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Kelly, NORC 10:55 am On the Use of Survey Methods in Assessing Large- Scale Human Rights Violations in Confl ict Zones: 408 CC-605 ● Lessons-Learned from Timor-Leste and Sierra Innovative Uses of Longitudinal Panels, Leone—❖ Romesh Silva, Human Rights Data Information Documents, and Time-Series Analysis Analysis Group; Patrick Ball, Human Rights Data to Study the Impact of the U.S. Tax System— Analysis Group Topic-Contributed 11:15 am Impact of Gulf Hurricanes on the National Section on Government Statistics Immunization Survey—❖ Kirk Wolter, NORC; Organizer(s): Barry Johnson, Internal Revenue Service James Singleton, Centers for Disease Control and Chair(s): Arthur Kennickell, Federal Reserve Board Prevention 10:35 am Analysis of the Distributions of Income, Taxes, and 11:35 am Local Data Coordination and Dissemination in Payroll Taxes via Cross-Section and Panel Data— Post-Katrina New Orleans—❖ Allison Plyer, ❖ Th omas Petska, Internal Revenue Service; Greater New Orleans Nonprofi t Knowledge Michael Strudler, Internal Revenue Service; Ryan Works Petska, Ernst & Young LLP 11:55 am Disc: Alan R. Tupek, U.S. Census Bureau 10:55 am Social Security Taxes, Social Security Benefi ts, 12:15 pm Floor Discussion and Social Security Benefi ts Taxation: 2002—❖ Peter J. Sailer, Internal Revenue Service; Evgenia Lomize, Internal Revenue Service 407 CC-614 11:15 am Longitudinal Analysis of the Earned Income Tax ● Statistical Issues in Diagnostic Devices Credit—❖ Karen Masken, Internal Revenue Including ROC Methods—Topic-Contributed Service

Seattle 133 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

11:35 am The 1999–2003 Individual Income Tax Return Chair(s): Galin Jones, University of Minnesota Wednesday Panel: a First Look at the Data—❖ Michael 10:35 am Hierarchical Bayes Estimation of Response Rates Weber, Internal Revenue Service with Spatial Correlations—❖ Xiaoming Gao, 11:55 am Constructing a Panel of Income and Estate Tax Missouri Department of Conservation; Chong Data for Wealthy Individuals: Creativity and He, University of Missouri-Columbia; Dongchu Compromise—❖ Barry Johnson, Internal Revenue Sun, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Service; Lisa Schreiber, Internal Revenue Service University/University of Missouri-Columbia 12:15 pm Floor Discussion 10:55 am Reference Priors for Gaussian Processes with Spatial Correlation Structure—❖ Mi Hyun Lee, Virginia Tech; Dongchu Sun, Virginia Polytechnic 409 CC-211 Institute and State University/University of ● ✪ Statistical Phylogenetics—Topic-Contributed Missouri-Columbia IMS, Biometrics Section, ENAR 11:15 am Bayesian Spatial-Temporal Smoothing of Cancer Organizer(s): Bret Larget, University of Wisconsin-Madison Mortality Rates—❖ Gentry White, University Chair(s): Laura S. Kubatko, University of New Mexico of Missouri-Columbia; Dongchu Sun, Virginia 10:35 am A Model of AFLP Evolution and Its Use in Bayesian Polytechnic Institute and State University/ Estimation of Phylogenies—❖ Ruiyan Luo, University of Missouri-Columbia; Paul Speckman, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Bret Larget, University of Missouri-Columbia University of Wisconsin-Madison 11:35 am Spatially Adaptive Bayesian Thin-Plate Splines— 10:55 am A Random Duplication/Deletion Model in Genome ❖ Yu Yue, Rearrangement—❖ SoowanPRELIMINARY Sohn, University of 11:55 am Bayesian Smoothing of Density Estimation Wisconsin-Madison; Bret Larget, University of via Hazard Rates—❖ Luyan Dai, University of Wisconsin-Madison Missouri-Columbia 11:15 am Spatially Smoothed Change-PointPROGRAM Processes 12:15 pm Floor Discussion for Phylogenetic Mapping of Recombination Hot Spots—❖ Vladimir N. Minin, University of California, Los Angeles; Marc A. Suchard, 411 CC-610 University of California, Los Angeles; Karin S. Multidimensional Scaling and Manifold Dorman, Iowa State University; Fang Fang, Iowa Learning—Topic-Contributed State University Section on Statistical Computing, IMS, Section on Statisticians in Defense and 11:35 am Reconstructing Posterior Distributions of a National Security Species Phylogeny Using Estimated Gene Tree Organizer(s): Michael W. Trosset, Th e College of William & Mary Distributions—❖ Liang Liu, Th e Ohio State Chair(s): David W. Scott, Rice University University; Dennis K. Pearl, Th e Ohio State 10:35 am Parametric Mapping (PARAMAP): an Approach to University Nonlinear Mapping—❖ Ulas Akkucuk, Bogazici 11:55 am Reconstructing Evolutionary Trees Using Amino University Acid Substitution Models that Allow Rate 10:55 am Metric MDS to Surfaces—❖ David Johannsen, Variation to Depend on Spatial Location—❖ Naval Surface Warfare Center; Jeff rey L. Solka, Xueliang Pan, Th e Ohio State University; Dennis Naval Surface Warfare Center K. Pearl, Th e Ohio State University; Liang Liu, Th e 11:15 am Local Multidimensional Scaling: a Nonlinear Ohio State University; Dennis J. Pollack, Th e Ohio Dimension Reduction Method for Data State University Visualization—❖ Lisha Chen, University of 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Pennsylvania; Andreas Buja, University of Pennsylvania 410 CC-3B 11:35 am Classical Multidimensional Scaling and Laplacian ● ✪ Bayesian Spatial Models—Topic-Contributed Eigenmaps—❖ Michael W. Trosset, Th e College Section on Bayesian Statistical Science of William & Mary Organizer(s): Paul Speckman, University of Missouri-Columbia 11:55 am Manifold Learning and Dimensionality Reduction

134 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

for Classifi cation—❖ Alfred Hero, University of 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Wednesday Michigan; Raviv Raich, University of Michigan; Jose Costa, California Institute of Technology 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Regular Contributed Sessions 10:30 am–12:20 pm 412 CC-205 ● Multivariate Control Charts and Other Related 414 CC-602 Topics—Topic-Contributed ● Unit Nonresponse in Surveys III—Contributed Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Physical and Engineering Section on Survey Research Methods Sciences Chair(s): Barbara L. Carlson, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Organizer(s): Arthur Yeh, Bowling Green State University 10:35 am A Comparison of a Model-Assisted Estimator Chair(s): Jane Chang, Bowling Green State University and a Model-Based Estimator under Ignorable 10:35 am Single Variables Control Chart: an Overview—❖ and Nonignorable Nonresponse—❖ Jill A. Smiley Cheng, University of Manitoba; Keoagile Dever, University of Maryland; Richard Valliant, Th aga, University of Botswana University of Michigan 10:55 am Multivariate Process Control for Improving 10:50 am Modeling Nonresponse Adjustment Factors—❖ Detection of Out-of-Control Conditions—❖ Amit Hee-Choon Shin, NORC Mitra, Auburn University 11:05 am Use of Propensity Scores To Estimate and Adjust 11:15 am The Multivariate Exponentially Weighted Nonresponse Bias in Complex Surveys—❖ Leigh Moving Average—❖ StevePRELIMINARY Rigdon, Southern Harrod, Oregon State University; Virginia M. Illinois University; Nicole Munden, University of Lesser, Oregon State University Missouri 11:20 am Are Refusal Conversions Different from Willing 11:35 am Monitoring Multivariate Process VariabilityPROGRAM for Respondents on Demographic, Cardiovascular, Individual Observations—❖ Baiyau Yeh, Bowling and Sensitve Items? National Health and Green State University Nutrition Examination Survey, 1999–2002—❖ 11:55 am Disc: Herb McGrath, Bowling Green State Margaret Carroll, National Center for Health University Statistics; Yinong Chong, National Center for 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Health Statistics 11:35 am Response Process Models for Unit Nonresponse Adjustment—❖ Courtney Kies-Bokenkroger, Iowa State University; Sarah M. Nusser, Iowa State Topic-Contributed Panels University 10:30 am–12:20 pm 11:50 am A Nonresponse Bias Analysis To Inform the Use of Incentives in Multistage Telephone Surveys—❖ 413 CC-2A Benjamin Skalland, NORC; Kirk Wolter, NORC; ● Assessing Student Retention of Essential Hee-Choon Shin, NORC; Stephen Blumberg, Statistical Concepts, Issues, and Topics—Topic- National Center for Health Statistics Contributed 12:05 pm An Application of Propensity Modeling To Adjust Section on Statistical Education Weights for Nonresponse: Effectiveness of Using Organizer(s): Mark L. Berenson, Montclair State University Near-Saturated Models—❖ Stephen R. Williams, Chair(s): Mark L. Berenson, Montclair State University Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Nuria Tena- Diaz, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Frank Panelists: ❖ Leonard Gaines, Empire State Development Potter, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. ❖ Albyn Jones, Reed College ❖ Deborah Rumsey, Th e Ohio State University 415 CC-603 ❖ Jessica Utts, University of California, Davis ● Sample Survey Quality V—Contributed ❖ Karen Kinard, Tallahassee Community College

Seattle 135 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Section on Survey Research Methods Dirichlet Process—❖ Th omas J. M. Jiang, National Wednesday Chair(s): Mary March, Statistics Canada Chengchi University; Kun-Lin Kuo, National 10:35 am Effi ciently Limiting Census Errors When Quality Chengchi University Control Parameters Range Freely—❖ Glenn 11:35 am Bayesian Circular Regression—❖ Barbara Wolfgang, U.S. Census Bureau Jane George, U.S. Environmental Protection 10:50 am Precision of Compositional Data in a Stratifi ed Agency; Kaushik Ghosh, New Jersey Institute of Two-Stage Cluster Sample: Comparison of Technology the Swiss Earnings Structure Survey 2002 and 11:50 am Nonparametric Bayesian Bootstrap in ROC Curve 2004—❖ Monique Graf, Swiss Federal Statistical Study—❖ Jiezhun Gu, North Carolina State Offi ce University; Subhashis Ghosal, North Carolina 11:05 am Independent School Survey Coverage Study—❖ State University Dedrick Owens, U.S. Census Bureau 12:05 pm Floor Discussion 11:20 am Cluster Analysis for Outlier Detection and Its Application in a Large-Scale Survey—❖ Jianqiang 417 CC-604 Wang, Iowa State University; Jean D. Opsomer, ● Combining Information, Missing Data, and Iowa State University Hierarchical Bayesian Methods for Health 11:35 am Using Evaluations To Plan and Integrate Outcomes Data—Contributed Survey Programs—❖ Shawna Waugh, Energy Section on Health Policy Statistics, Biometrics Section, Section on Bayesian Information Administration Statistical Science, ENAR 11:50 am Modeling NonsamplingPRELIMINARY Errors in Agricultural Chair(s): Christopher Schmid, Tufts-New England Medical Center Surveys—❖ James Gentle, George Mason 10:35 am When Standard Regression Techniques Fail: the University; Charles R. Perry, National Agricultural Role of Propensity Score Methods—❖ Michael Statistics Service; William Wigton, National PROGRAMPosner, Villanova University; Arlene Ash, Boston Agricultural Statistics Service University 12:05 pm Interviewer Burden and Its Effects on Data 10:50 am Imputaion and Forecasting for State Mortality— Quality in the Swedish Part of the European ❖ Guanhua Lu, University of Maryland/National Social Survey (ESS)—❖ Lilli Japec, Statistics Center for Health Statistics; Benjamin Kedem, Sweden University of Maryland; Rong Wei, National Center for Health Statistics 416 CC-3A 11:05 am The Impact of Using Different Imputation Nonparametric Bayesian Methods—Contributed Methods for Missing Quality-of-Life Scores Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Nonparametric Statistics on the Estimation of the Cost-Effectiveness Chair(s): Fabrizio Ruggeri, CNR-IMATI of Lung Volume Reduction Surgery—❖ David 10:35 am Bayesian Analysis for Quantile Regression of Blough, University of Washington; Sean Sullivan, Correlated Data—❖ Chin-Hua Wang, Family University of Washington; Scott Ramsey, Fred Health International; Pai-Lien Chen, Family Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Roger Health International Yusen, Washington University School of Medicine 10:50 am Sequentially Allocated Merge-Split Sampler for 11:20 am Combining Information from Various Data Conjugate and Nonconjugate Dirichlet Process Sources To Improve Analyses of Adjuvant Cancer ❖ Mixture Models—❖ David Dahl, Texas A&M Therapies— Yulei He, Harvard Medical School; University Alan M. Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School 11:05 am Fast Nonparametric Bayes Testing of Distribution 11:35 am Do Teenagers Always Tell the Truth? Bayesian Changes in Large Datasets—❖ Michael Pennell, Methods To Estimate the Prevalence of ❖ National Institute of Environmental Health Adolescent Risk Behaviors from Self-Report— Sciences; David B. Dunson, National Institute of Janet Rosenbaum, Harvard University Environmental Health Sciences 11:50 am Bayesian Simultaneous Intervals for Small Areas: ❖ 11:20 am On the Random Functional of the Ferguson- an Application to Variation in Maps— Erik B.

136 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Erhardt, University of New Mexico; Balgobin 11:50 am ProMAT: Protein Microarray Analysis Tool—❖ Wednesday Nandram, Worcester Polytechnic Institute; Jai Amanda M. White, Pacifi c Northwest National Choi, National Center for Health Statistics Laboratory; Don S. Daly, Pacifi c Northwest 12:05 pm Spatial Statistical Methods for Small-Area National Laboratory; Susan S. Varnum, Pacifi c Health Data with Application to the Association Northwest National Laboratory; Kevin K. of Breast Cancer Incidence and Local Power Anderson, Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory; Plant Emissions—❖ Heather Watson, ; Judith Nikki Bollinger, Pacifi c Northwest National D. Goldberg, New York University School of Laboratory; Rachel M. Gonzalez, Pacifi c Medicine; Mengling Liu, New York University Northwest National Laboratory; Richard C. School of Medicine Zangar, Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory 12:05 pm Uncertainty in Clustering Posterior Distributions of Gene Expression Levels Using MCMC 418 CC-613 Samples—❖ Tanzy Love, Carnegie Mellon ● ✪ Bioinformatics—Contributed University Section on Statistical Computing, Biometrics Section, ENAR Chair(s): Jie Ding, GlaxoSmithKline 10:35 am Linker DNA Length Preference in Human 419 CC-309 ● Chromatin Revealed by a Two-State Duration Nonparametric Statistics with Censored Hidden Markov Model—❖ Guei-Feng Tsai, Data—Contributed Northwestern University; Ji-Ping Wang, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, ENAR Northwestern University; Jonathan Widom, Chair(s): Sarah Baraniuk, Th e University of Texas School of Public PRELIMINARYHealth Northwestern University 10:50 am A Systematic Benchmark of Dimension Reduction 10:35 am Nonparametric Siginfi cance Tests for Sums of in Remote Homology Detection withPROGRAM Support Censored Random Variables—❖ Golde Holtzman, Vector Machines. —❖ Melissa M. Matzke, Pacifi c Virginia Tech; Carl E. Zipper, Virginia Tech Northwest National Laboratory; Bobbie-Jo 10:50 am Nonparametric Tests for Covariate Effects with Webb-Robertson, Pacifi c Northwest National Multistate Survival Data—❖ Limin Peng, Emory Laboratory; Christopher S. Oehmen, Pacifi c University; Jason P. Fine, University of Wisconsin- Northwest National Laboratory; Jorge F. Reyes Madison Spindola, Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory 11:05 am Estimation for Two-Sample, Location-Scale 11:05 am Using Microarray Gene-Coexpression Networks Models under Type I Censorship—❖ Xuewen Lu, To Increase Gene Screening Validation Success University of Calgary ❖ and To Build Accurate Classifi ers— Wei Zhao, 11:20 am Nonparametric Maximum Likelihood Estimation University of California, Los Angeles; Steve of Hazard Function under Shape Restrictions—❖ Horvath, University of California, Los Angeles; Desale Habtzghi, University of Georgia; Mary Paul Mischel, University of California, Los Meyer, University of Georgia; Somnath Datta, Angeles; Aldons J. Lusis, University of California, University of Louisville Los Angeles; Stanley Nelson, University of 11:35 am Inference on the Quantile Function under Left California, Los Angeles Truncation and Right Censoring—❖ Sana 11:20 am ANOVA Model-Based Pattern Recognition Buhamra, Kuwait University; Noriah Al-Kandari, ❖ Technique— Yushu Liu, University of Kentucky; Kuwait University R. Lakshman Chelvarajan, University of Kentucky; 11:50 am Empirical Likelihood Method for Heteroscedastic Th omas Getchell, University of Kentucky; Linear Model—❖ Hua Zhu, University of Subbarao Bondada, University of Kentucky; Kentucky; Mi-Ok Kim, University of Kentucky; Arnold J. Stromberg, University of Kentucky Mai Zhou, University of Kentucky 11:35 am Canonical Parallel View and Adjustment for the 12:05 pm Empirical Likelihood and Marginal Confi dence Difference between Paired High-Dimensional Interval—❖ Mi-Ok Kim, University of Kentucky Datasets—❖ Xuxin Liu, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Seattle 137 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Genetic Basis of Heterosis through Multiple

420 CC-310 Wednesday Time Series and Temporal Correlation with Interval Mapping (MIM) in Design III Regression Applications—Contributed Populations—❖ Antonio A. F. Garcia, Escola Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statistics and the Superior de Agricultura “Luis de Queiroz”; Zhao- Environment Bang Zeng, Bioinformatics Research Center Chair(s): Stephan Sain, University of Colorado at Denver and Health 11:05 am A semi-parametric approach for functional Sciences Center genetic mapping of long-term HIV dynamics—❖ 10:35 am Spectral Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series Song Wu, University of Florida; Jie Yang, with Piece-Wise Monotonic Time-Varying University of Florida; Rongling Wu, University of Frequencies—❖ Md. Jobayer Hossain, Southern Florida Methodist University; Wayne A. Woodward, 11:20 am A Semiparametric Approach to K Mixtures of Two Southern Methodist University; Henry L. Gray, Components with Application to the Mapping Southern Methodist University of Quantitative Trait Loci—❖ Shiju Zhang, Th e 10:50 am Nonparametric Kernel Estimates of University of Toledo; Biao Zhang, Th e University Autocorrelation Structure from Single-Molecule of Toledo; Grier P. Page, Th e University of Experimental Data—❖ Tingting Zhang, Harvard Alabama at Birmingham University; Samuel Kou, Harvard University 11:35 am Functional Mapping of Time-Warped 11:05 am Exploring Statistical Correlations among Developmental Trajectories Based on B-Splines— ❖ Nonlinear Time Series/Signals—❖ Carolyn Xueli Liu, University of Florida; Rongling Wu, Morgan, Hampton University; Morris H. Morgan, University of Florida Hampton University PRELIMINARY11:50 am Combining QTL Analysis and Bayesian Network 11:20 am Wavelet Variance Analysis for Random Fields—❖ Discovery Methods To Determine Genetic ❖ Debashis Mondal, University of Washington; Relationships in a Micorarray/Marker Dataset— Donald B. Percival, University of WashingtonPROGRAMChristine W. Duarte, North Carolina State University; Zhao-Bang Zeng, Bioinformatics 11:35 am Wavelet-Based Estimation of Linear Regression Research Center Models with Two Errors: a Long Memory and a White Noise—❖ Kyungduk Ko, Boise State 12:05 pm A Statistical Approach for Genome-Wide Scan ❖ University and Testing Imprinted Quantitative Trait Loci— Yuehua Cui, Michigan State University 11:50 am Calibrating OLS Estimators in Linear Regression with Long Memory Error—❖ Jaechoul Lee, Boise State University; Kyungduk Ko, Boise State 422 CC-617 University ● The Cox Model and Methods for Recurrent 12:05 pm On Improved Estimation in Linear Regression Events—Contributed with Long Memory Errors—❖ Mohamedou Ould Biometrics Section, ENAR Haye, Carleton University; A. K. Saleh, Carleton Chair(s): Huichao Chen, Emory University University 10:35 am Methods To Distinguish between the Cox’s and Aalen’s Model for Right-Censored Data—❖ 421 CC-615 Yinghua Zhang, Medical College of Wisconsin; ● QTL Analysis and Mapping—Contributed John Klein, Medical College of Wisconsin Biometrics Section 10:50 am Asymptotic Theory for the Proportional Hazards Chair(s): Haiyan Wang, Kansas State University Model with Random Effects—Anthony C. Gamst, University of California, San Diego; ❖ Michael 10:35 am Strategies for Fine Mapping of QTL in Complex Donohue, University of California, San Diego; Pedigrees Using Combined Linkage and Ronghui Xu, University of California, San Diego Linkage Disequilibrium Method—❖ Natascha Vukasinovic, Monsanto Company; Fengxing Du, 11:05 am Comparing Two Crossing Hazard Rates by Cox Monsanto Company Proportional Hazards Modeling—❖ Kejian Liu, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation; 10:50 am A New Statistical Model for Dissecting the

138 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Peihua Qiu, University of Minnesota; Jun Sheng, Control and Prevention University of Minnesota Wednesday 11:20 am Robust Method for Analyzing Recurrent Events ❖ 424 CC-620 Data in the Presence of Terminal Events— ● Missing Data—Contributed Rajeshwari Sundaram, Th e University of North Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section Carolina at Charlotte Chair(s): Soomin Park, Eli Lilly and Company 11:35 am Estimation of Gap-Time Distribution with 10:35 am Statistical Methods To Analyze Incomplete Clinical Recurrent Event Data under an Informative Trial Data—❖ Ohidul Siddiqui, U.S. Food and Monitoring Period—❖ Akim Adekpedjou, Drug Administration University of South Carolina; Edsel A. Pena, University of South Carolina 10:50 am Mixed Model: an Alternative to LOCF as Primary Analysis—❖ 11:50 am Floor Discussion Cunshan Wang, Pfi zer Inc.; Naitee Ting, Pfi zer Inc.; Greg C. G. Wei, Pfi zer Inc. 11:05 am Estimating Treatment Effect in Clinical Trials with 423 CC-619 Disease-Dependant Noncompliance—❖ Kuenhi ● Binary Data—Contributed Tsai, Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University; Stephan Chair(s): Keith Soper, Merck & Co., Inc. Ogenstad, Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; 10:35 am A Multiplicative Heteroscedasticity Model for Miles Dunn, Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated Clustered Binary Data—❖ Mitchell Rosen, 11:20 am Variability in Visit Times in Clinical Trials and the Omnicare Clinical ResearchPRELIMINARYImplications for a Common Mixed Model for ❖ 10:50 am Design and Analysis of Active Control Repeated Measures— Tristan Massie, U.S. Food Noninferiority Trials with Binary Data—❖ Yu-Yun and Drug Administration Ho, Johnson & Johnson PharmaceuticalPROGRAM R&D; 11:35 am Using Stochastic Differential Equations for Sudhakar Rao, Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical Imputation of Missing Values in Longitudinal R&D; George Chi, Johnson & Johnson Clinical Data—❖ Naum Khutoryansky, Novo Pharmaceutical R&D Nordisk 11:05 am A Note on Sample Size Re-estimation with Interim 11:50 am What Is a Suitable Defi nition of Study Information Binary Data for Double-blind Clinical Trials—❖ in Longitudinal Clinical Trials?—❖ Guoguang Xiaohui Luo, Merck & Co., Inc.; Peng-Liang Zhao, Ma, Merck & Co., Inc.; Michael Nessly, Merck Kyowa Pharmaceutical, Inc. Research Laboratories 11:20 am More Powerful Analyses of Stratifi ed 12:05 pm A Local Infl uence Sensitivity Analysis for NonInferiority Trials with Binary Endpoints—❖ Incomplete Longitudinal Depression Data—❖ Devan V. Mehrotra, Merck Research Laboratories; Shuyi Shen, Eli Lilly and Company; Caroline William W. B. Wang, Merck Research Beucnkens, Limburgs Universitair Centrum; Laboratories Craig Mallinckrodt, Eli Lilly and Company; Geert 11:35 am Estimation of Multiple Response Rates in Clinical Molenberghs, Limburgs Universitair Centrum Trials with Missing Observations—❖ Myron Chang, University of Florida 425 CC-203 11:50 am Choice of Working Correlation Structure for a ● Time Series Outliers and Filters—Contributed GEE-Based Analysis of Incomplete Longitudinal Business and Economics Statistics Section ❖ Binary Data— Priya Kulkarni, Merck Research Chair(s): Moon Jung Cho, Bureau of Labor Statistics Laboratories; Devan V. Mehrotra, Merck 10:35 am Longitudinal Microdata Outlier Detection Research Laboratories; Xiaoming Li, Novartis Techniques—❖ Eric Simants, Pharmaceuticals Corporation 10:50 am Forecasting and Dynamic Updating of Time Series 12:05 pm Constructing Better Binomial Confi dence Intervals of Curves—❖ by Remembering Three Lessons from Normal Haipeng Shen, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Jianhua Z. Huang, Data—❖ Craig Borkowf, Centers for Disease

Seattle 139 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Texas A&M University Center; Andrea Callegaro, Leiden University Wednesday 11:05 am Tests for Changing Mean with Monotonic Medical Center; Marian Beekman, Leiden Power—❖ Ted Juhl, Th e University of Kansas University Medical Center; Rudi Westendorp, Leiden University Medical Center; Eline 11:20 am Some Ruin Problems with the Mixture Slagboom, Leiden University Medical Center; Distribution—❖ Min Deng, Maryville University Hans van Houwelingen, Leiden University 11:35 am An Asymmetric Information Modeling Framework Medical Center for Ultra-High-Frequency Transaction Data: a Nonlinear Filtering Approach—❖ Yoonjung Lee, Harvard University 427 CC-618 ● 11:50 am Variance Change in Time Series ARIMA Models— Statistical Methods in Genetics—Contributed ❖ Dongping Fang, SPSS Inc. Biometrics Section, ENAR 12:05 pm Outlier Detection in Multiple Time Series by Chair(s): Tracy Bergemann, University of Minnesota Projection Pursuit—Galeano Pedro, Universidad 10:35 am Regional Admixture Mapping and Structured Santiago de Compostela ; ❖ Daniel PeÒa, Association Testing: Conceptual Unifi cation Using Universidad Carlos III de Madrid ; Ruey S. Tsay, a General Linear Model—❖ David Redden, Th e Th e University of Chicago University of Alabama at Birmingham; Jasmin Divers, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; Kelly Vaughan, Th e University of Alabama at 426 CC-616 Birmingham; Hemant Tiwari, Th e University ● Modeling of Genetic Data—Contributed of Alabama at Birmingham; Mark Beasley, Th e Biometrics Section, ENAR PRELIMINARYUniversity of Alabama at Birmingham; Jose Chair(s): Yi He, University of Minnesota R. Fernandez, Th e University of Alabama at 10:35 am Likelihood of a Particular Order of Genetic Birmingham; Robert Kimberly, Th e University of Markers and the Construction of GeneticPROGRAM Maps— Alabama at Birmingham; Rui Feng, Th e University ❖ Susanta Tewari, University of Georgia of Alabama at Birmingham; Miguel Padilla, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; Nianjun 10:50 am Estimating population structure—❖ Suvajit Liu, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; Samanta, North Carolina State University; Bruce Michael Miller, University of Minnesota; S. Weir, University of Washington David B. Allison, Th e University of Alabama at 11:05 am Inference of Dynamic Activity of Transcriptional Birmingham Modules—❖ Ron Yu, University of California, San 10:50 am Data Normalization of Stable-Isotope Labeled Diego; Jie Liu, University of California, San Diego; Peptides in Mass Spectrometry—❖ Douglas Wei Wang, University of California, San Diego Mahoney, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; 11:20 am Performance of Phylo-HMM for Evolutionary Ann L. Oberg, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; Conserved Element Detection in Promoter Jeanette E. Eckel-Passow, Mayo Clinic College ❖ Region— Xiaodan Fan, Harvard University; Jun of Medicine; Terry M. Th erneau, Mayo Clinic Liu, Harvard University College of Medicine; Suresh T. Chari, Mayo Clinic 11:35 am A Mixture Model Approach in Analyzing College of Medicine; Unnikrishnan Gopinathan, Genotype-Phenotype Association—❖ Jason Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; Lawrence E. Robarge, Indiana University School of Medicine; Ward, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; Xuan- Lang Li, Indiana University; David Flockhart, Mai T. Persson, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; Indiana University School of Medicine Sreekumar Raghavakaimal, Mayo Clinic College 11:50 am On the Detection of DNA Copy Number of Medicine Changes—❖ Jie Chen, University of Missouri- 11:05 am A Genome-Wide Study on Transcriptional Kansas City; Yu-Ping Wang, University of Regulation of Protein Complex in Saccharomyces Missouri-Kansas City Cerevisiae—❖ Ching-Ti Liu, University of 12:05 pm Including Current Ages in Aggregation and California, Los Angeles; Shinsheng Yuan, Linkage Analysis of Longevity—❖ Jeanine University of California, Los Angeles; Ker-Chau Houwing-Duistermaat, Leiden University Medical Li, University of California, Los Angeles

140 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

11:20 am Comparative Validity and Power of Methods for States—❖ Shouhao Zhou, Columbia University; Andrew Wednesday Association-Testing with Related Individuals—❖ Gelman, Columbia University Hemant Tiwari, Th e University of Alabama 05 Join-Point Analysis of Survival Data—❖ Sandra Hurtado at Birmingham; Amit Patki, Th e University Rua, Northern Illinois University; Sanjib Basu, Northern of Alabama at Birmingham; Mark Beasley, Illinois University Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; David B. Allison, Th e University of Alabama at Biometrics, biostatistics, epidemiology Birmingham 06 Design-Based Calibration Estimators for Measurement Error in the Cox Model—❖ Th omas Lumley, University of 11:35 am Measuring Deviations from Hardy Weinberg Washington; Pam Shaw, University of Washington Equilibrium in SNP Data—❖ Vernon S. Pankratz, ❖ Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; Robert 07 ROC Curve Analysis in Osteoporosis Screening— Vierkant, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine James Powers, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Margaret Gourlay, Th e University of North Carolina at 11:50 am An algorithm for fi nite Markov Chain Imbedding Chapel Hill; Kristine Ensrud, V A Medical Center Approach—❖ Lung-An Li, Academia Sinica 08 A Soft Endpoint for HIV-1Ba-l Growth in Cervical, 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Rectal, and Tonsular in vitro Assays—❖ Nicola Richardson-Harman, BioStat Solutions Inc.; James Cummins, Southern Research Institute; Carol Lackman- Regular Contributed Posters Smith, Southern Research Institute; Christina Bromley, 10:30 am–12:20 pm BioStat Solutions Inc.; Patricia Reichelderfer, National PRELIMINARYInstitute of Child Health & Human Development 428 CC-Level 6 East Lobby 09 Feasibility of Genome-Wide Haplotype Association Contributed Posters—Contributed Studies with Small Sample Size and Sparsely Spaced SNPs—❖ Shaokun Chuai, University of Pennsylvania; General Methodology, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science,PROGRAM Section on Nandita Mitra, University of Pennsylvania; Nathan Ellis, Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, Section on Statistical Comput- Th e University of Chicago ing, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, IMS 10 Bayesian State-Space Models for Predicting Temporal Organizer(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. Gene Expression Profi les—❖ Yulan Liang, University at Chair(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. Buff alo; Arpad Kelemen, Niagara University Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models 11 Handling Missing Data for Smoking Cessation with Bootstrap, Trees, and Multiple Imputation—❖ Jeff 01 The Relative Contribution Measures in Multilevel Modeling— Th ostenson, University of Arkansas for Medical ❖ Liyi Cen, University of Pennsylvania; Zhen Chen, Sciences; Lowell C. Dale, Mayo Clinic College of University of Pennsylvania; Daniel E. Polsky, University Medicine; Darrell Schroeder, Mayo Clinic College of of Pennsylvania; Kevin G. Volpp, University of Medicine; Heike Hofmann, Iowa State University Pennsylvania 12 Analysis of Longitudinal Case-Control Zero-Heavy 02 Uncertainty Computation for the Virtual Cement and Data: Vaginal Shedding of HIV—❖ Leann Myers, Concrete Testing Laboratory Measurements—❖ Blaza Tulane University; Hao He, Tulane University; Patricia Toman, National Institute of Standards and Technology; Kissinger, Tulane University Charles Hagwood, National Institute of Standards and Technology; Adriana Hornikova, National Institute of 13 SAS Estimation of Standard Errors for Partial Least ❖ Standards and Technology; Hung-kung Liu, National Squares Regression— April Grant, University of Institute of Standards and Technology; Nien Fan Zhang, Arkansas for Medical Sciences; David K. Williams, National Institute of Standards and Technology University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences; Zoran Bursac, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences; 03 Alternative Methods for Variable Selection in Geoff rey M. Curran, University of Arkansas for Medical Generalized Linear Models with Binary Outcomes for Sciences Incomplete Data—❖ Gang Liu, University of California, Los Angeles 14 Assessment of Capture-Recapture Methods in Estimating Populations of Oklahomans with Birth 04 Analysis in Opinions about the Death Penalty in U.S. Defects—❖ Robert C. Wild, Th e University of Oklahoma

Seattle 141 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Health Sciences Center; Barbara Neas, Th e University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center Wednesday Oklahoma Health Sciences Center 23 Discrete Time Analysis of Mortality among Persons with 15 Comparing Methods of Examining Trend Data for a Diabetes Using the Logit Model—❖ Edward Tierney, Large Population—❖ Kristen Eberly, Th e University of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Oklahoma; Barbara Neas, Th e University of Oklahoma Bootstrap, resampling methods Health Sciences Center; David M. Th ompson, Th e 24 Permutation Test and Its Application to the Youth Partners University of Oklahoma in Care (YPIC) Study—❖ Lingqi Tang, University of 16 Repeated Measurement of Gastric Myoelectric Activity California, Los Angeles; Naihua Duan, University of ❖ in Obese Participants— Jiangyue Wang, Penn State California, Los Angeles; Joan Asarnow, University of 17 Salamander Cannibalism—❖ Jean Ellis, California California, Los Angeles State University, East Bay; Erica Wildy, California State 25 Comparison of Resampling Methods to Least Squares University, East Bay and Maximum Likelihood Methods for Estimating 18 Determining an Optimal Exposure Metric from a Fracture Strength Parameters of Glass Test Specimens— Bivariate Distribution of Asbestos Exposures (Length, ❖ Gerald Shaughnessy, University of Dayton; Peter Diameter) in a Cohort of South Carolina Textile Hovey, University of Dayton ❖ Workers— Stephen Gilbert, National Institute for 26 Stepwise Permutation Tests Using Medians—❖ Scott Occupational Safety and Health; Leslie T. Stayner, Richter, Th e University of North Carolina at Greensboro; University of Illinois at Chicago; Eileen D. Kuempel, Melinda McCann, Oklahoma State University National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Neuroscience, brain imaging John D. Dement, Duke University Medical Center PRELIMINARY28 Surface Shape Analysis with an Application to Brain Cortical 19 Analysis of Respiratory Viral Exposure and Timing Surface Analysis in Schizophrenia—❖ Christopher Brignell, of Exposure During Infancy with Development of University of Nottingham; Ian Dryden, University of Childhood Asthma—❖ Pingsheng Wu, Vanderbilt Nottingham; William Browne, University of Nottingham University School of Medicine; Tebeb Gebretsadik,PROGRAM Vanderbilt University School of Medicine ; William Dupont, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine; Marie Griffi n, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine; Speaker with Lunch 12:30 pm–1:50 pm Rachel Enriquez, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine; Kecia Carroll, Vanderbilt University School of 429 CC-4C-1 Medicine; Tina Hartert, Vanderbilt University School of Health Policy Statistics Speaker with Lunch (fee Medicine event)—Speaker with Lunch 20 Evaluating the Predictiveness of a Continuous Marker Section on Health Policy Statistics in Case-Control Design—❖ Ying Huang, University of Organizer(s): Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar, RAND Corporation Washington; Margaret S. Pepe, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center/University of Washington WL08 Mapping and Applications in Spatio-Temporal Public Health Data—❖ Bradley P. Carlin, University of Minnesota 21 Variable Selection in the Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS)-Logit Models To Detect Gene-Gene Interactions—❖ Huiyi Lin, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center; Cruz Velasco, Roundtables with Lunch Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center; 12:30 pm–1:50 pm Jennifer J. Hu, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center 430 CC-4C-2 22 A Comparison of Th ree Categorical Data Analysis Biopharmaceutical Section Roundtables with Methods Applied to Survey Data—❖ Barbara Neas, Th e University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center; Lunch (fee event) Hani Dimassi, Th e University of Oklahoma Health Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Graphics Sciences Center; David M. Th ompson, Th e University of Oklahoma; Betty J. Pfeff erbaum, Th e University of Organizer(s): Amit Bhattacharyya, GlaxoSmithKIine

142 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

WL09 Procedures for Controlling the False Discovery Rate in the Organizer(s): Edward Wegman, George Mason University Wednesday Multiple Comparison Problems Involving Multiple Endpoint WL23 S-PLUS and R: Working Together?—❖ Tim C. Hesterberg, Tests in Clinical Trials—❖ Arunava Chakravartty, Uni- Insightful Corporation versity of California, Riverside ❖ WL10 Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials— Dinesh Kumar, 433 CC-4C-3 Eisai Medical Research Section on Statistical Consulting Roundtable WL11 How Can Statisticians Better Contribute to Clinical Trials with Lunch (fee event) and Intervention Studies in Developing Countries?—❖ Section on Statistical Consulting Craig Borkowf, Centers for Disease Control and Pre- vention Organizer(s): Phillip Chapman, Colorado State University WL24 Statistical Consulting in (and around) the Bayesian Para- WL12 Use of Propensity Scoring in Clinical Trials—❖ Daniel P. digm—❖ Reyner, Zimmer, Inc. Alix Gitelman, Oregon State University WL13 Increasing the Usage of Data from Cross-Over Studies—❖ Yonghua Wang, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company 434 CC-4C-3 WL14 Statistical Methods for Optimization of Development of Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Combination Products—❖ Timothy Montague, GlaxoS- Security Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) mithKline Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Section on Statisti- WL15 How To Explain Complex Statistical Methods to Life Scien- cal Consulting tists—❖ Vadim Kutsyy, Cytokinetics, Inc. Organizer(s): Lara S. Schmidt, RAND Corporation ❖ WL16 R-Based Data Analysis and GraphicsPRELIMINARY Applications for Scien- WL25 Defense-Related Consulting Projects— John Crown, tists: Moving beyond Excel—❖ Bert Gunter, Genentech, RAND Corporation Inc. WL17 Translational Medicine: from R to D and fromPROGRAM D to R—❖ 435 CC-4C-3 Chi-Hse Teng, Pfi zer Inc.; Patricia English, Pfi zer Inc. Section on Statistical Education Roundtables WL18 Proof of Concept Studies—❖ Robert Smith, Bristol-My- with Lunch (fee event) ers Squibb Company Section on Statistical Education WL19 Sensitivity Analysis for Missing Data in Clinical Trials—❖ Jie Organizer(s): Patti Collings, Brigham Young University Zhang, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation WL26 Analogies and Other Strategies To Help Students Use Intu- WL20 Analysis of Cell-Based, High-Content Imaging Data—❖ ition To Understand Concepts—❖ Lawrence M. Lesser, Shuguang Huang, Eli Lilly and Company Th e University of Texas at El Paso WL21 Interval Censored Time-to-Event Data: Examples, Analyses, WL27 How I Use the ARTIST Web Site in My Teaching—❖ John and Assumptions—❖ Daohai Yu, Duke University Holcomb, Jr., Cleveland State University

431 CC-4C-2 436 CC-4C-3 Business and Economics Statistics Section Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Roundtable Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) with Lunch (fee event) Business and Economics Statistics Section Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Organizer(s): David Dickey, North Carolina State University Organizer(s): Jennifer Clark Nelson, Group Health Cooperative WL22 Economic Aspects of Alternative Energy—❖ Margaret F. WL28 Relative Risk Regression as an Alternative to Logistic Land, TeXas Environmental Studies and Analysis, LLC Regression in Cross-Sectional and Longitudinal Studies—❖ Richard Kronmal, University of Washington 432 CC-4C-2 Section on Statistical Computing Roundtables 437 CC-4C-3 with Lunch (fee event) Section on Government Statistics Roundtable Section on Statistical Computing with Lunch (fee event)

Seattle 143 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Allen Schirm, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Wednesday Organizer(s): Roberta Sangster, Bureau of Labor Statistics WL35 The Next Survey Imperative: Being Proactive on WL29 Journal of Empirical Research on Human Research Eth- Privacy—❖ Gerald Gates, U.S. Census Bureau ics—❖ Joan E. Sieber, California State University, East Bay 443 CC-4C-3 Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health 438 CC-4C-3 Sciences Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistical Graphics Roundtable with Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Lunch (fee event) Organizer(s): Patrick Tarwater, Th e University of Texas Health Science Section on Statistical Graphics Center at Houston Organizer(s): Simon Urbanek, AT&T Labs-Research WL36 Distance Teaching and Learning in the Health WL30 Biostatistical Graphics: Large, Weak Datasets—❖ Th omas Sciences—❖ T. Robert Harris, Th e University of Texas Lumley, University of Washington at Dallas

439 CC-4C-3 Section on Quality and Productivity Roundtable Invited Sessions 2:00 pm–3:50 pm with Lunch (fee event) Organizer(s): William R. Myers, Proctor & Gamble 444 CC-617 WL31 Communicating Statistics to NonstatisticiansPRELIMINARY in JASA Applications and Case Studies Invited Industry—❖ Philip Scinto, Th e Lubrizol Corporation Session—Invited JASA, Applications and Case Studies, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 440 PROGRAMCC-4C-3 Organizer(s): Mark S. Kaiser, Iowa State University Section on Risk Analysis Roundtable with Lunch Chair(s): Mark S. Kaiser, Iowa State University (fee event) 2:05 pm Model-Assisted Estimation of Forest Resources with Generalized Additive Models—❖ Jean D. Section on Risk Analysis Opsomer, Iowa State University; F. Jay Breidt, Organizer(s): Duane Steff ey, Exponent, Inc. Colorado State University; Gretchen Moisen, U.S. WL32 Results of a Post-Katrina Survey of New Orleans Forest Service; Goeran Kauermann, Universitaet ❖ Residents— David Banks, Duke University Bielefeld 2:40 pm Disc: David Ruppert, Cornell University 441 CC-4C-3 2:55 pm Disc: Roderick J. Little, University of Michigan Section on Survey Research Methods 3:10 pm Disc: Mary C. Christman, University of Florida Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) 3:35 pm Floor Discussion Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Steven G. Heeringa, University of Michigan WL33 Survey Research and Its Role in Improving the Health and 445 CC-211 Lives of the World’s Poor—❖ David J. Fitch, New Methods for Modeling Choice in Universidad del Valle de Guatemala Marketing—Invited WL34 Cross-Cultural Issues in Survey Research—❖ Peter P. Section on Statistics and Marketing Mohler, ZUMA Organizer(s): Andrew Ainslie, University of California, Los Angeles Chair(s): Andrew Ainslie, University of California, Los Angeles 442 CC-4C-3 2:05 pm Structural Estimation of Retail Demand and Inventory Decisions—❖ Andres Musalem, Th e Social Statistics Section Roundtable with Lunch Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania (fee event) 2:55 pm Estimating Willingness To Pay with Random Social Statistics Section Coeffi cient Models—❖ Garrett Sonnier,

144 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

University of California, Los Angeles

448 CC-3B Wednesday 3:45 pm Floor Discussion ● Adaptive Designs in Clinical Trials—Invited Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, WNAR 446 CC-606 Organizer(s): Sue-Jane Wang, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Nonparametric Inference—Invited Chair(s): Kao-Tai Tsai, Organon IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 2:05 pm Weighted and Unweighted Z-tests in Sample Size ❖ Organizer(s): Tony Cai, University of Pennsylvania Re-estimation— Kuang-Kuo G. Lan, Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical R&D Chair(s): Jiashun Jin, Purdue University 2:30 pm Considerations in Use of Adaptive Designs in Drug 2:05 pm Statistical Inference for Evolving Periodic Development—❖ Hsien-Ming Hung, U.S. Food Functions—❖ Peter G. Hall, Australian National and Drug Administration University 2:55 pm Adaptive Designs in Clinical Trials—❖ Yu Shen, 2:25 pm On Nonparametric Confi dence Sets—❖ Tony Cai, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center University of Pennsylvania; Mark Low, University of Pennsylvania 3:20 pm Disc: Sue-Jane Wang, U.S. Food and Drug 2:50 pm Nonparametric Estimation of Eigenvectors—❖ Administration Iain Johnstone, Stanford University 3:40 pm Floor Discussion 3:15 pm Adaptive Generalized Likelihood Inferences for Additive Models—❖ Jianqing Fan, Princeton 449 CC-4C-4 University; Jiancheng Jiang,PRELIMINARY Princeton University ● ✪ A Tribute to Yehuda Vardi—Invited 3:40 pm Floor Discussion Memorial, IMS, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Organizer(s): Christopher Genovese, Carnegie Mellon University 447 PROGRAMCC-604 Chair(s): Daryl Pregibon, Google Labs ● Split-Plot Designs and Response Surface 2:05 pm Statistical Inverse Problems in Active Network Analysis: the Interface—Invited Tomography—❖ Vijay Nair, University of Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Physical and Michigan Engineering Sciences 2:35 pm Fast Functional MRI—❖ Cun-Hui Zhang, Rutgers Organizer(s): Martha Gardner, GE Global Research University Chair(s): Martha Gardner, GE Global Research 3:05 pm Duration Data: Poisson Process and Bias 2:05 pm A Bayesian Approach to the Analysis of Split- Correction—❖ Zhiliang Ying, Columbia Plot Experiments—❖ Peter Goos, Universiteit University Antwerpen; Steven G. Gilmour, Queen Mary, 3:35 pm Floor Discussion University of London 2:30 pm Randomization-Based Analysis of Multistratum ❖ 450 CC-607 Response Surface Designs— Steven G. Gilmour, ● New Statistical Methodology for Genomic Queen Mary, University of London Applications with Focus on Array CGH and Gene 2:55 pm Testing for Lack-of-Fit in Split Plot Response Networks—Invited Surface Models—❖ Scott Kowalski, Minitab Inc.; ENAR, Biometrics Section, WNAR Geoff Vining, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Organizer(s): Jeff rey S. Morris, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Chair(s): Jeff rey S. Morris, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center 3:20 pm Standard Error Calculations for Estimators of Regression Coeffi cients in Split Plot Designs— 2:05 pm A Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Integrating ❖ Shaun Wulff , University of Wyoming; ❖ Timothy Biological Data— Shane Jensen, Th e Wharton Robinson, University of Wyoming; Christine M. School of the University of Pennsylvania Anderson-Cook, Los Alamos National Laboratory 2:35 pm A Statistics Method for Array CGH Analysis—❖ 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Pei Wang, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center

Seattle 145 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

3:05 pm On Detecting Chromosomal Aberrations Using Fraser University; Changbao Wu, University of Wednesday Copy Number Data—Xuesong Yu, University Waterloo of Washington; Tim Randolph, University of 3:20 pm Disc: Phillip S. Kott, National Agricultural Washington; Hua Tang, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Statistics Service Research Center; ❖ Li Hsu, Fred Hutchinson 3:40 pm Floor Discussion Cancer Research Center 3:35 pm Floor Discussion 453 CC-201 ● ✪ Advanced Statistical Methods in 451 CC-608 Psychological Research—Invited ● ✪ The Role of Administrative Records in 21st- Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, ENAR Century Surveys and Censuses—Invited Organizer(s): Dongchu Sun, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Social Statistics Section, Section on Health Policy Statistics University/University of Missouri-Columbia Organizer(s): Ronald Prevost, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Dongchu Sun, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Chair(s): Lisa Blumerman, U.S. Census Bureau University/University of Missouri-Columbia 2:05 pm Methods and File Acquisitions Supporting the 2:05 pm Combining Speed and Accuracy To Assess Error- Expanded Use of Administrative Records—❖ Free Cognitive Processes—❖ Mark Glickman, Dean Resnick, U.S. Census Bureau Boston University 2:30 pm Administrative Records and Survey Data Reuse: 2:30 pm Long-Range Trends and Short-Range a Muse on Their Future—❖ Ronald Prevost, U.S. Dependencies in Response Time Data—❖ Mario Census Bureau PRELIMINARYPeruggia, Th e Ohio State University; Peter F. 2:55 pm Why Are Survey Counts of Medicaid Enrollees Craigmile, Th e Ohio State University; Trisha Van Lower Than Administrative Enrollment Counts?— Zandt, Th e Ohio State University ❖ Michael Davern, University of Minnesota;PROGRAM 2:55 pm Hierarchical Bayesian Methods for Models of David Baugh, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Memory Processes—❖ Paul Speckman, University Services; Christine Cox, National Center for of Missouri-Columbia; Jeff Rouder, University Health Statistics; Kim Lochner, National Center of Missouri-Columbia; Dongchu Sun, Virginia for Health Statistics Polytechnic Institute and State University/ 3:20 pm Combining Social Program Administrative Data University of Missouri-Columbia; Jun Lu, with Census Bureau Survey Data—❖ Robert American University Goerge, Th e University of Chicago 3:20 pm Disc: Jay Myung, Ohio State University 3:45 pm Floor Discussion 3:40 pm Floor Discussion

452 CC-612 454 CC-401 Using Empirical Likelihood Methods in Survey ● A Statistician’s Summer Reading List: Modern Sampling—Invited Topics To Check Out—Invited Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Organizer(s): Phillip S. Kott, National Agricultural Statistics Service Sciences Chair(s): Charles R. Perry, National Agricultural Statistics Service Organizer(s): Paul Roback, St. Olaf College 2:05 pm Empirical Likelihood Inference from Sample Chair(s): Paul Roback, St. Olaf College Survey Data—❖ Jon N. K. Rao, Carleton 2:05 pm Analyzing DNA Microarrays with Undergraduate University; Changbao Wu, University of Waterloo Statisticians—❖ Johanna Hardin, Pomona 2:30 pm Variance Estimation for Empirical Likelihood College; Laura Hoopes, Pomona College; Ryan Calibration Estimators in Unequal Probability Murphy, Pomona College Sampling—❖ Jae-kwang Kim, Yonsei University 2:30 pm An Introduction to Incomplete Data Regression ❖ 2:55 pm Empirical Likelihood Methods for Raking in Methods Used in Practice— Nicholas J. Horton, Complex Surveys—❖ Randy R. Sitter, Simon Smith College; Ken P. Kleinman, Harvard Medical

146 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

School Chair(s): Th omas Petska, Internal Revenue Service Wednesday 2:55 pm A Data Mining Reading List—❖ Richard De 2:05 pm Monitoring SOI Samples—❖ Joseph Koshansky, Veaux, Williams College Internal Revenue Service 3:20 pm Introducing Bayes in a First Statistics Course— 2:25 pm Measuring Nonsampling Error in Exempt ❖ James Albert, Bowling Green State University Organization Business Income Tax Data—❖ 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Tamara Rib, Internal Revenue Service 2:45 pm Customer Satisfaction Initiatives at IRS’s Statistics of Income: Using Surveys To Improve Customer Service—❖ Ruth Schwartz, Internal Revenue Topic-Contributed Sessions Service; Beth Kilss, Internal Revenue Service 2:00 pm–3:50 pm 3:05 pm Performance Measures within the Statistics of Income Division—❖ Kevin Cecco, Internal 455 CC-618 Revenue Service ● Recent Advances in Brain Imaging—Topic- 3:25 pm Disc: John Czajka, Mathematica Policy Research, Contributed Inc. Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, ENAR 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Daniel Rowe, Medical College of Wisconsin Chair(s): Daniel Rowe, Medical College of Wisconsin 457 CC-308 2:05 pm Modeling State-Related fMRI Activity Using Visualization of Large Datasets—Topic- Change Point Theory—❖ PRELIMINARYMartin A. Lindquist, Contributed Columbia University; Tor D. Wager, Columbia University Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security 2:25 pm Wild Bootstrap for Functional Magnetic PROGRAMOrganizer(s): Simon Urbanek, AT&T Labs-Research Resonance Imaging Data—❖ Hongtu Zhu, Chair(s): Deborah F. Swayne, AT&T Labs-Research Columbia University and New York State ❖ Psychiatric Institute; Bradley S. Peterson, 2:05 pm Tours of Large Multivariate Data— Dianne Columbia University and New York State Cook, Iowa State University Psychiatric Institute 2:25 pm Visualization of Features in Curve Estimates and ❖ 2:45 pm Predicting Post-Treatment Brain Activity Using Application to Genetic Loci Mapping— Myung a Bayesian Hierarchical Model—❖ F. DuBois Hee Lee, Th e University of North Carolina at Bowman, Emory University; Ying Guo, Emory Chapel Hill; Ivan Rusyn, Th e University of North University Carolina at Chapel Hill; David Th readgill, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; 3:05 pm Power Calculations for Group fMRI Studies J. Stephen Marron, Th e University of North Accounting for Arbitrary Design and Temporal Carolina at Chapel Hill Autocorrelation—❖ Jeanette Mumford, ❖ University of Michigan; Th omas Nichols, 2:45 pm Upscaling Statistical Graphics— Martin Th eus, University of Michigan University of Augsburg 3:25 pm New Kernel Method on Unit Sphere and Its 3:05 pm Visualization of Statistical Models on a Billion ❖ Application to Brain Imaging—❖ Moo Chung, Cases— Graham Wills, SPSS Inc. University of Wisconsin-Madison 3:25 pm Disc: Antony Unwin, Universität Augsburg 3:45 pm Floor Discussion 3:45 pm Floor Discussion

456 CC-614 458 CC-204 Measuring, Monitoring, and Evaluating Internal ● Topics in Univariate and Multivariate Time-to- Revenue Service Data—Topic-Contributed Events Analysis—Topic-Contributed Section on Government Statistics Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, ENAR Organizer(s): Kevin Cecco, Internal Revenue Service Organizer(s): Nalini Ravishanker, University of Connecticut

Seattle 147 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Chair(s): Paola Sebastiani, Boston University Emory University/Centers for Disease Control Wednesday 2:05 pm Bayesian Modeling of Multiple Episode and Prevention; Lance Waller, Emory University; Occurrence and Severity with a Terminating Lillian Lin, Centers for Disease Control and Event—❖ Amy Herring, Th e University of North Prevention Carolina at Chapel Hill 2:45 pm How Good Is Good Enough? An Investigation of 2:25 pm Bayesian Semiparametric Inference for the the Effect of Uncertainty in Survey Parameters on Accelerated Failure Time (AFT) Model Using Estimates of HIV Prevalence, Guyana 2004— Hierarchical Mixture Modeling with N-IG Priors— ❖ Maxine Denniston, Centers for Disease Control ❖ Alessandra Guglielmi, Politecnico di Milano; and Prevention; Nicole Seguy, Centers for Disease Raff aele Argiento, Universit‡ Commerciale Luigi Control and Prevention; Wolfgang Hladik, Bocconi/CNR-IMATI; Antonio Pievatolo, CNR- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention IMATI; Fabrizio Ruggeri, CNR-IMATI 3:05 pm A Multiple-Recapture Approach When a Unique 2:45 pm A Bayesian Dynamic Frailty Model for Recurrent Identifi er Is Not Available—❖ Ruiguang Song, Events—❖ Changhong Song, University of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Connecticut; Lynn Kuo, University of Connecticut H. Irene Hall, Centers for Disease Control and 3:05 pm Multivariate Times-to-Events Analysis for Prevention; John Gerstle, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Lisa Lee, Centers for Marketing Data Using Frailty Models—❖ Nalini Disease Control and Prevention Ravishanker, University of Connecticut; V. Kumar, University of Connecticut; Rajkumar Venkatesan, 3:25 pm Floor Discussion University of Connecticut 3:25 pm Flexible Models for QuantilePRELIMINARY Regression— 460 CC-602 ❖ Milovan Krnjajic, Lawrence Livermore National ● Statistical Applications in Water Quality and Laboratory; Athanasios Kottas, University of Monitoring—Topic-Contributed California, Santa Cruz PROGRAM Section on Statistics and the Environment 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Keying Ye, Th e University of Texas at San Antonio Chair(s): Ilya Lipkovich, Eli Lilly and Company 459 CC-611 2:05 pm Clustering Using Stressor-Response ● ✪ Statistical Approaches to Handling Data Relationships—❖ Samantha C. Prins, Virginia Quality: Issues and Evaluating Intervention Tech; Eric P. Smith, Virginia Polytechnic Institute Effectiveness in HIV/AIDS Research—Topic- and State University Contributed 2:25 pm Composite Sampling for Environmental Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR Variables—❖ Sylvia Esterby, Th e University of Organizer(s): Felicia Hardnett, Centers for Disease Control and British Columbia; Abdel H. El-Shaarawi, National Prevention Water Research Institute Chair(s): Timothy Green, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2:45 pm Modifi ed Power Priors with Multiple Historical ❖ 2:05 pm Assessing Mediation in HIV Intervention Datasets in Water Quality Evaluation— Yuyan Studies—❖ Felicia Hardnett, Centers for Disease Duan, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Keying Control and Prevention; Craig Borkowf, Centers Ye, Th e University of Texas at San Antonio; Eric for Disease Control and Prevention; Sherri Pals, P. Smith, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; University Ann O’Leary, Centers for Disease Control and 3:05 pm Model-Based Clustering in a Brook Trout Prevention; Jeff rey Parsons, City University of Classifi cation Study within the Eastern United New York-Hunter College; Cynthia Gomez, States—❖ Huizi Zhang, Virginia Tech; Samantha University of California, San Francisco C. Prins, Virginia Tech; Eric P. Smith, Virginia 2:25 pm Are Higher Levels of Multilevel (Hierarchical) Polytechnic Institute and State University Models Necessary? Application to High-Risk 3:25 pm Nonparametric Harmonic Regression for Estuarine Sexual Behavior Data—❖ DeMarc Hickson, Water Quality Data—❖ Melanie Autin, University

148 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

of South Carolina; Don Edwards, University of Westat; Jill Montaquila, Westat; Leyla Mohadjer, South Carolina Westat; Lester R. Curtin, Centers for Disease Wednesday 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Control and Prevention 2:25 pm Disclosure Limitation in NAEP: a Probabilistic Approach to Swapping Sample Selection—❖ 461 CC-400 David Freund, Educational Testing Service; ● ✪ Statistics for Weather Forecasting Andreas Oranje, Educational Testing Service II: Challenges and Opportunities—Topic- 2:45 pm Tactics for Reducing the Risk of Disclosure Using Contributed the NCES DataSwap Software—❖ Th omas Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Section on Physical Krenzke, Westat; Stephen E. Roey, Westat; Sylvia and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statistics and the Environment Dohrmann, Westat; Leyla Mohadjer, Westat; Organizer(s): Tilmann Gneiting, University of Washington Wen-Chau Haung, Westat; Steve Kaufman, Chair(s): Matthew Stephens, University of Washington Retired; Marilyn Seastrom, National Center for 2:05 pm Probabilistic Forecasting in Meteorology— Education Statistics ❖ Barbara Brown, National Center for 3:05 pm Combinations of SDC Methods for Numerical Atmospheric Research Microdata—❖ Anna Oganian, National Institute 2:25 pm Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration, and of Statistical Sciences; Alan Karr, National Sharpness—❖ Fadoua Balabdaoui, Institut für Institute of Statistical Sciences Mathematische Stochastik; Tilmann Gneiting, 3:25 pm Disc: Jerome Reiter, Duke University University of Washington; Adrian E. Raftery, 3:45 pm Floor Discussion University of WashingtonPRELIMINARY 2:45 pm Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting at the Stateline Wind Energy Center: the Regime- Topic-Contributed Panels Switching Space-Time (RST) Method—PROGRAM❖ Tilmann Gneiting, University of Washington; Kristin 2:00 pm–3:50 pm Larson, 3 Tier Environmental Forecast Group, Inc.; Kenneth Westrick, 3 Tier Environmental 463 CC-206 Forecast Group, Inc.; Marc G. Genton, Texas Making Statistical History: Collecting, Preserving, A&M University; Eric Aldrich, Duke University and Providing Access to Records of the American 3:05 pm Detection and Modeling of Long Memory in Statistical Community—Topic-Contributed Biases of Daily Forecasts of Surface Air Pressure General Methodology, Section on Statistical Education and Temperature—❖ Yulia Gel, University of Organizer(s): John PaulDeley, Energy Information Administration Waterloo; Bovas Abraham, University of Waterloo Chair(s): John McKenzie, Babson College 3:25 pm Disc: Wendy Martinez, Offi ce of Naval Research Panelists: ❖ John PaulDeley, Energy Information 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Administration ❖ Pat McClellan, American Statistical Association 462 CC-609 ❖ Rich Allen, ASA Committee on Archives and ● ✪ Reducing the Risk of Data Disclosure through History Swapping and Other Masking Procedures— 3:45 pm Floor Discussion Topic-Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security Organizer(s): Th omas Krenzke, Westat Regular Contributed Sessions Chair(s): Leyla Mohadjer, Westat 2:00 pm–3:50 pm 2:05 pm Reducing the Risk of Data Disclosure through Area Masking: Limiting Biases in Variance 464 CC-616 Estimation—❖ Inho Park, ; Sylvia Dohrmann, ● Unit Nonresponse in Surveys IV—Contributed

Seattle 149 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Section on Survey Research Methods Section on Survey Research Methods Wednesday Chair(s): Christopher Johnson, Centers for Disease Control and Chair(s): Yahia Ahmed, Internal Revenue Service Prevention 2:05 pm Study of Volatility and Smoothing of Estimated 2:05 pm Evaluation of Using a Model-Assisted Sampling Variances in the Employment Cost Index Paradigm versus a Traditional Sampling Paradigm Program—❖ Meghan S. O’Malley, Bureau of in a Nationally Representative Establishment Labor Statistics; Daniell Toth, Bureau of Labor Survey—❖ Marcus Berzofsky, RTI International; Statistics; Chester Ponikowski, Bureau of Labor Brandon Welch, RTI International; Rick L. Statistics Williams, RTI International; Paul Biemer, RTI 2:20 pm Estimation of Generalized Variance Functions for International the 2003 Survey of Doctorate Recipients— 2:20 pm Using Telephone-Exchange Data To Adjust for ❖ Michael Yang, NORC; Yongyi Wang, NORC Nonresponse: Application in an Establishment 2:35 pm Stability of Jackknife Variance Estimates ❖ Survey— Ronghua Lu, Mathematica Policy for Prescription Count Estimates over Time Research, Inc.; Stephen R. Williams, Mathematica Intervals—❖ Christina Gaughan, IMS Health; Policy Research, Inc. Heather Zuleba, IMS Health; Chris Boardman, 2:35 pm Nonresponse Adjustment Using Logistic IMS Health; Kennon Copeland, IMS Health ❖ Regression: To Weight or Not To Weight?— 2:50 pm To Replicate (a Weight Adjustment Procedure) Eric A. Grau, Mathematica Policy Research, or Not To Replicate? An Analysis of the Variance Inc.; Frank Potter, Mathematica Policy Research, Estimation Effects of a Shortcut Procedure Using Inc.; Stephen R. Williams, Mathematica Policy the Stratifi ed Jackknife—❖ Katherine Th ompson, Research, Inc.; Nuria Diaz-Tena,PRELIMINARY Mathematica U.S. Census Bureau; Wesley Yung, Statistics Policy Research, Inc. Canada 2:50 pm Response Rates and Response Patterns among 3:05 pm On Generalized Variance Functions—❖ Donsig New Enterprises: Results from thePROGRAM Kauffman Firm Jang, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Amang ❖ Survey— Yuhong Zheng, Mathematica Policy Sukasih, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Research, Inc.; Frank Potter, Mathematica Policy Xiaojing Lin, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Research, Inc.; David DesRoches, Mathematica 3:20 pm Generalized Variance Functions To Create Stable Policy Research, Inc.; Janice Ballou, Mathematica and Timely Variance Estimates for Prescription Policy Research, Inc.; Zhanyun Zhao, Count Estimates—❖ Kennon Copeland, IMS Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Health; Christina Gaughan, IMS Health; Chris ❖ 3:05 pm Estimation of Attrition Biases in SIPP— Eric Boardman, IMS Health Slud, U.S. Census Bureau; Leroy Bailey, U.S. 3:35 pm Standard Error Estimation for County-Level Radio Census Bureau Listening—❖ Mandy Webb; Richard Griffi ths, 3:20 pm Subsampling Nonrespondents: Issues of Arbitron Inc. Calculating Response Rates—❖ Sonya Vartivarian, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Sameena Salvucci, Mathematica Policy Research, 466 CC-603 Inc.; Donsig Jang, Mathematica Policy Research, ● Studies in Air Quality and Pollution— Inc.; Daniel Kasprzyk, Mathematica Policy Contributed Research, Inc. Section on Statistics and the Environment, WNAR 3:35 pm Physician Survey Response Methods Research— Chair(s): Jay Ver Hoef, National Marine Mammal Lab ❖ Catharine Burt, National Center for Health 2:05 pm Comparing CMAQ to Observations—❖ Li Chen, Statistics; David Woodwell, National Center for Th e University of Chicago; Michael L. Stein, Th e Health Statistics University of Chicago 2:20 pm A Case Study in Estimating Percentage Detection 465 CC-615 Biases along a Recorded Ozone Profi le—❖ ● Survey-Based Variance Estimation II— Wendy Meiring, University of California, Santa Contributed Barbara

150 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

2:35 pm Statistical conditional simulation of a Desirability Function—❖ Terrence Murphy, Yale Wednesday multiresolution numerical air quality model—❖ University Xiaofeng Shao, Th e University of Chicago; 3:20 pm Temporary Help, Leased, and Contract Workers: Michael L. Stein, Th e University of Chicago Designing and Testing a Supplement to the 2:50 pm New Classes of Asymmetric Spatial-Temporal Current Employment Statistic Survey—❖ Polly Covariance Models—❖ Man Sik Park, Colorado Phipps, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Kathy Downey, State University Bureau of Labor Statistics; Christopher Manning, 3:05 pm Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Model for Speciated Bureau of Labor Statistics; Kirk Mueller, Bureau of Fine Particle Matter—❖ Jungsoon Choi, North Labor Statistics Carolina State University; Montserrat Fuentes, 3:35 pm Multilevel Structural Equation Model for Ordinal North Carolina State University; Brian Reich, Responses—❖ Sophia Rabe-Hesketh, University North Carolina State University of California, Berkeley; Xiaohui Zheng, University 3:20 pm Fast and Flexible Statistical Techniques for the of California, Berkeley Analysis of Space-Time Data with Complex Structures—Dana Draghicescu, City University of ❖ 468 CC-203 New York-Hunter College; Michael Porter, City Confi dence Intervals and Hypothesis Testing— University of New York Contributed 3:35 pm Statistical Challenges in Comparisons of Business and Economics Statistics Section Measured Indoor and Outdoor Exposures in an Chair(s): Edward Melnick, New York University Urban Setting—❖ Sorina Eftim, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of PublicPRELIMINARY Health; Alison 2:05 pm New Tests for Joint Hypothesis of a Unit Root Geyh, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of When There Is a Break in the Innovation ❖ Public Health; Patrick Breysse, Johns Hopkins Variance— Amit Sen, Xavier University Bloomberg School of Public HealthPROGRAM2:20 pm Easily Implemented Confi dence Intervals and Hypothesis Tests for Sharpe Ratios under General Conditions—❖ J. D. Opdyke, DataMineIt 467 CC-610 Quality Measures for Human Populations— 2:35 pm Parameters Estimation and Bias Corrections for Diffusion Processes—❖ Chengyong Tang, Contributed Iowa State University; Song X. Chen, Iowa State Social Statistics Section, Section on Health Policy Statistics University Chair(s): Kelly H. Zou, Harvard Medical School 2:50 pm New Tests for Endogeneity in a Simultaneous 2:05 pm Individuals with Disabilities: How They Impact Equation System with Discrete Endogenous ❖ Research— Larry Featherston, University of Variable—❖ Xu Cao, University of Missouri- Arkansas Rolla; V. A. R. Samaranayake, University of 2:20 pm Statistical Methodology for Longitudinal Social Missouri-Rolla ❖ Network Data— Anton Westveld, University of 3:05 pm Causality Tests in Cointegrated Systems Washington; Peter Hoff , University of Washington and Temporal Aggregation of Multivariate 2:35 pm Testing for Differential Responses in a Multiple Autoregressive Moving Average Processes—❖ Category Scale: a Case Study on Self-Rated Ceylan Yozgatligil, Temple University; William W. Health among Foreign- and Native-Born Asian S. Wei, Temple University ❖ Americans— Elena Erosheva, University of 3:20 pm LAD Estimation of ARFIMA-GARCH Models—❖ Washington; Emily C. Walton, University of Wai K. Li, Th e University of Hong Kong; Guodong Washington; David T. Takeuchi, University of Li, Th e University of Hong Kong Washington 3:35 pm A Note on the Inequality Constraints for the 2:50 pm Quality Management at the National Center for GARCH Models—❖ Henghsiu Tsai, Academia ❖ Health Statistics (NCHS)— Kenneth Harris, Sinica; Kung-Sik Chan, Th e University of Iowa National Center for Health Statistics 3:05 pm Achieving Clinical Satisfaction with the

Seattle 151 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

2:50 pm Analysis of Linear Transformation Models with

469 CC-2A Wednesday ● Equivalence, Superiority, and Noninferiority— Covariate Transformations—❖ Chunpeng Fan, Contributed University of Wisconsin-Madison; Jason P. Fine, Biopharmaceutical Section University of Wisconsin-Madison Chair(s): Amit Bhattacharyya, GlaxoSmithKIine 3:05 pm Smoothing Spline Anova Model for Bivariate Bernoulli Outcome—❖ Hyonho Chun, University 2:05 pm Simultaneous Test for Superiority and of Wisconsin-Madison Noninferiority Hypotheses in Active Controlled Clinical Trials—❖ Yi Tsong, U.S. Food and Drug 3:20 pm Statistical Inference for Multivariate Outcome- ❖ Administration; Joanne Zhang, Center for Drug Dependent Sampling Design— Tsui-Shan Lu, Evaluation and Research Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Haibo Zhou, Th e University of North Carolina at 2:20 pm Testing Equality of Medians in Two Independent Chapel Hill Lognormal Distributions—❖ Hongwei Wang, Merck & Co., Inc.; Arvind K. Shah, Merck & Co., 3:35 pm Floor Discussion Inc. 2:35 pm Likelihood Ratio Tests for Equivalence 471 CC-620 Hypotheses—❖ Shun-Yi Chen, Tamkang ● Inference and Models for Censored Data— University; Ching-Feng Hsu, Tamkang University Contributed 2:50 pm Simultaneous Testing of Noninferiority and Biometrics Section, ENAR Superiority Increases the False Discovery Rate—❖ Chair(s): Petra Buzkova, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Tie-Hua Ng, U.S. Food PRELIMINARYand Drug Administration Hill 3:05 pm New Tests for Null Hypotheses of Nonunity 2:05 pm Statistical Analysis of Survival Data under Relative Risk—❖ Kallappa Koti, U.S. Food and Informative Truncation—❖ Shu-Hui Chang, Drug Administration PROGRAMNational Taiwan University 3:20 pm Assessing the Superiority of a Combination 2:20 pm Medical Cost Estimation under Dependent Drug—Jianjun Li, Merck Research Laboratories; Censoring—❖ Wenqin Pan, Duke University; Steven Snapinn, Amgen Inc.; ❖ Guoyong Jiang, Donglin Zeng, Th e University of North Carolina Cephalon, Inc. at Chapel Hill 3:35 pm To Permute or Not Permute—❖ Haiyan Xu, 2:35 pm A General Semiparametric Transformation Model Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical R&D; Jason for Survival Data—❖ Hao Liu, University of Hsu, Th e Ohio State University; Yifan Huang, H. California, Davis; Alexander Tsodikov, University Lee Moffi tt Cancer Center & Research Institute; of California, Davis Violeta Calian, University of Iceland 2:50 pm Estimation of a Survival Curve with Unlinked Entry and Failure Times—❖ Yujun Wu, University 470 CC-619 of Medicine & Dentistry of New Jersey; Weichung ● Semiparametric Methods—Contributed J. Shih, University of Medicine & Dentistry of Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, ENAR New Jersey; Dirk Moore, University of Medicine & Dentistry of New Jersey 2:05 pm The Effi ciency of Multivariate Pseudo-Likelihood ❖ Estimation—❖ Park Bum Hee, Hankuk University 3:05 pm Comorbidity through the Life Span— John of Foreign Studies; Park Heungsun, Hankuk Dixon, Florida State University; Eric Chicken, University of Foreign Studies Florida State University; Myles Hollander, Florida State University; Dan McGee, Florida State 2:20 pm Confi dence Intervals Based on Non-Smooth University Estimating Equations for Longitudinal Data Using Markov Chain Marginal Bootstrap—❖ Di Li, 3:20 pm Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Left-Truncated and ❖ University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Right-Censored Data— Yi-Ting Hwang, National Taipei University 2:35 pm Hierarchical Quasi-Likelihood Approach to Bioavailability and Bioequivalence Analysis— 3:35 pm A Goodness-of-Fit Test for Copula Models— ❖ ❖ Changchun Xie, McMaster University Antai Wang, Georgetown University

152 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center; Ganesh

472 CC-2B Wednesday ● Osteoporosis, Contraceptive, and Vaccine V. Raj, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center; Trials—Contributed Paul Russo, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Center Chair(s): Margaret Minkwitz, AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals 2:35 pm Statistical Properties of a Modifi ed Accelerated Design for Phase I Cancer Clinical Trials—❖ Weili 2:05 pm Quantitative Risk-Benefi t Assessment in the He, Merck & Co., Inc.; Jun Liu, Rutgers University; Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation Hui Quan, sanofi -aventis (MORE) Trial: an Application of the Global Benefi t- Risk Assessment—❖ Messan G. Amewou-Atisso, 2:50 pm Using Marginal Structural Model To Adjust for Eli Lilly and Company; Yili Pritchett, Abbott Post-Discontinuation Chemotherapy in Cancer ❖ Laboratories Clinical Trials— Yanping Wang, Eli Lilly and Company; Jim Symanowski, Eli Lilly and 2:20 pm Quantifying the Effect of the Surrogate Marker by Company Information Gain—❖ Yongming Qu, Eli Lilly and Company; Michael Case, Eli Lilly and Company 3:05 pm On Dose Escalation Rules in Phase I Cancer Clinical Trials—❖ Susan Li, Centocor R&D, Inc. 2:35 pm Assessing Learning Effect and Nonrandom Dropout in a Contraceptive Device Trial—❖ Pai- 3:20 pm Identifying Patients with Newly Diagnosed; Lien Chen, Family Health International Histologically Proven; Untreated; Symptomatic Stage I, II, or III Myeloma Who May Benefi t 2:50 pm An Improved Exact Method for the Estimation from Dexamethasone—❖ Keyue Ding, Queen’s and Testing of a Rate Ratio—❖ William W. B. University Wang, Merck Research Laboratories; Ivan Chan, PRELIMINARY3:35 pm A Statistical Method To Integrate Independent Merck & Co., Inc. Review and Investigator Review in Clinical Cancer 3:05 pm Utilizing Statistical Models To Predict the Trial—❖ Xiaolong Luo, Johnson & Johnson Duration of Protection of Vaccines—❖ Liwen Xi, PROGRAMPharmaceutical R&D Merck & Co., Inc. 3:20 pm A Statistical Framework for Quantile Equivalence Clinical Trials with Application to Pharmacokinetic 474 CC-601 Studies That Bridge from HIV-Infected Adults ✪ Network Analysis and Spatial Applications— to Children—❖ Lixia Pei, Harvard University; Contributed Michael Hughes, Harvard University Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences 3:35 pm The Use of an Internal Unblinded Statistician with Chair(s): Dave Higdon, Los Alamos National Laboratory a Data-Monitoring Committee—❖ David Radley, 2:05 pm Dynamic Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Merck & Co., Inc.; Gregory Golm, Merck & Co., from Partially Observed Trajectories in a Large Inc. Network—❖ Jaimyoung Kwon, California State University, East Bay; Pravin Varaiya, University of 473 CC-3A California, Berkeley ● Oncology Trials—Contributed 2:20 pm Network Tomography Problems—❖ Jiangang Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Fang, Rutgers University; Cun-Hui Zhang, Rutgers University Chair(s): David Manner, Eli Lilly and Company 2:05 pm Evaluating the Quality Reporting of Clinical Trials 2:35 pm A Bayes/Empirical Bayes approach for service in Primary Treatment of Brain Tumors— level network reliability/survivability measure— ❖ ❖ Lehana Th abane, McMaster University; Rose Cheng Chen, Texas A&M University; Lai, Columbia University; Rong R. Rachel, Th e Margaret F. Land, TeXas Environmental Studies University of British Columbia; Michael Fraumeni, and Analysis, LLC; Rajat Sethi, Texas A&M Juravinski Cancer Centre University-Kingsville 2:20 pm Predicting Malignant Renal Lesions by Using 2:50 pm Calibration and Prediction for Computer Preoperative Color Doppler Ultrasonography: Experiment Output Having Qualitative and Quantitative Input Variables—❖ Building a Nomogram—❖ Alexia Iasonos, Gang Han, Th e

Seattle 153 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Ohio State University; Th omas Santner, Th e Ohio Chapel Hill; Guido Gerig, Th e University of State University; William Notz, Th e Ohio State North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Matthew Gribbin, Wednesday University Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; 3:05 pm Validity of Likelihood and Bayesian Inference for Joseph Piven, Th e University of North Carolina at Gaussian Process Regression—❖ Bela Nagy, Th e Chapel Hill University of British Columbia; Jason Loeppky, Th e University of British Columbia; William J. 476 CC-205 Welch, Th e University of British Columbia The Practice of Statistical Consulting: Study 3:20 pm Exploiting Spatial Information in Multivariate Design and Sample Size—Contributed ❖ Calibration— Brian Marx, Louisiana State Section on Statistical Consulting University; Paul H. C. Eilers, Leiden University Chair(s): Harold Dyck, California State University Medical Center 2:05 pm The Joys (and Perils) of Professional Statistical 3:35 pm Representations of Spatial Surface Models— Consulting—❖ Nestor Rohowsky, IDCS, Inc. ❖ James Yen, National Institute of Standards and Technology 2:20 pm Impact of Effect Size, Sample Size, and Crossover Percent on Intention-to-Treat (ITT) Analysis: Do Subjects Need To Stay in the Group They Were 475 CC-309 Assigned?—❖ Th omas Wasser, Lehigh Valley Dimension Reduction and Image Analysis— Hospital; Christopher S. Hollenbeak, Penn State; Contributed Stephen Matchett, Lehigh Valley Hospital Section on Statistical Computing, Section onPRELIMINARY Statistical Graphics 2:35 pm Comparison of Effect Size, Power, and Type I Error Chair(s): Ranjan Maitra, Iowa State University Rate in Simulated Effi cacy and Effectiveness ❖ 2:05 pm Assessment of Infl uential Observations Using Trials— Mary Z. Mays, Arizona State Alpha Factor Analysis—❖ ZenaidaPROGRAM F. Mateo, University; Jan Jirsak, University of Arizona University of Manitoba; Yutaka Tanaka, Nanzan 2:50 pm Reporting Signifi cant Results for a Large Sample University Study—❖ Gloria Caldito, LSU Health Sciences 2:20 pm Factor Analysis for Multiattribute Ranked Data— Center ❖ Philip L. H. Yu, Th e University of Hong Kong; 3:05 pm Uncontrolled Variation in Multistage Wai Ming Wan, Th e University of Hong Kong Experiments—❖ T. B. Bailey, Iowa State 2:35 pm Suffi cient Dimension Reduction, Regardless of University (n, p) Relation—❖ Lexin Li, North Carolina State 3:20 pm Dose Ranging Studies in Acupuncture, University Manipulative Therapy, and Mind Body ❖ 2:50 pm Linear Dimension Reduction in Image Analysis Research— Laura L. Johnson, National Using Geometrical Tools—❖ Evgenia Rubinshtein, Center for Complementary and Alternative Florida State University; Anuj Srivastava, Florida Medicine; Catherine Stoney, National Center for State University Complementary and Alternative Medicine; Partap Khalsa, National Center for Complementary and 3:05 pm Inferring Galaxy Morphology Through Texture Alternative Medicine Analysis—❖ Kinman Au, Carnegie Mellon University; Christopher Genovese, Carnegie 3:35 pm A General Serial Gatekeeping Procedure To ❖ Mellon University; Andrew Connolley, University Control Studywise Error Rate— Fang Xie, of Pittsburgh Cephalon, Inc.; Chung-Kuei Chang, Cephalon, Inc.; Guoyong Jiang, Cephalon, Inc. 3:20 pm Image Analysis Using the EM Algorithm with Stochastic Variation—❖ Xiaoxi Zhang, University of Michigan; Roderick J. Little, University of 477 CC-307 Michigan Dimension Reduction Methods—Contributed 3:35 pm Validity Diagnostics for DTI Heterogeneity Section on Nonparametric Statistics Models—❖ Meagan E. Clement, Rho, Inc.; Keith Chair(s): Ann Kalinowski, E. Muller, Th e University of North Carolina at 2:05 pm Sliced Inverse Moment Regression Using

154 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Weighted Chi-Squared Tests for Dimension 3:05 pm Bayesian Procrustes Analysis—Athanasios Wednesday Reduction—❖ Jie Yang, Th e University of Micheas, University of Missouri-Columbia; Chicago; Zhishen Ye, Eli Lilly and Company ❖ Yuqiang Peng, University of Missouri-Columbia 2:20 pm Selecting Tuning Parameters in Dimension 3:20 pm Statistical Analysis of Single-Unit Firing-Rate— Reduction Methods in Regression—❖ Peng Zeng, ❖ Sam Behseta, California State University; Auburn University Robert E. Kass, Carnegie Mellon University 2:35 pm Projection-Directed Nonparametric Omnibus Test 3:35 pm Floor Discussion for the Multivariate Multisample Problem—❖ Xiaobin Yuan, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital; Cheng Cheng, St. Jude Children’s 479 CC-613 Research Hospital Nonresponse Bias and Other Estimation Challenges—Contributed 2:50 pm Aggregation of Nonparametric Estimators for Volatility Matrix—❖ Yingying Fan, Princeton Section on Government Statistics University Chair(s): Carolyn Shettle, Westat 3:05 pm Dimensionality Reduction of High-Dimensional 2:05 pm Nonresponse Bias in the Omnibus Household ❖ Tables—❖ Siamak Noorbaloochi, VAMC, Survey— Promod Chandhok, Bureau of University of Minnesota; David Nelson, VAMC, Transportation Statistics University of Minnesota; Joe Grill, VAMC, 2:20 pm Nonresponse Bias of Time-Use Measures’ Inter- Minneapolis relationships—❖ John Dixon, Bureau of Labor 3:20 pm Statistical Inference of Distributions on Statistics Manifold—❖ PRELIMINARY2:35 pm Using Survival Analysis To Predict Sample Wanli Min, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center Retention Rates—❖ Andy Sadler, Bureau of Labor 3:35 pm Floor Discussion PROGRAMStatistics 2:50 pm Comparison of the Income Items from the CPS and Census 2000—❖ Bruce H. Webster, Jr., U.S. 478 CC-310 Census Bureau ● Applied Bayesian Modeling—Contributed 3:05 pm Multiple-Record Applicants in the Analysis of Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Hiring Disparity—❖ Charles McGhee, U.S. Chair(s): Dan Spitzner, Virginia Tech Department of Labor; Marika Litras, Offi ce of 2:05 pm Tree-Based and Bayesian Modeling of Food Web Federal Contract Compliance Programs; Michael Collapse in the Permian Mass Extinction— Sinclair, Offi ce of Federal Contract Compliance ❖ Steve C. Wang, Swarthmore College; Peter Programs D. Roopnarine, California Academy of Sciences; 3:20 pm The Use of the Peters-Belson Method in Hiring Kenneth D. Angielczyk, University of Bristol Discrimination Assessments—Michael Sinclair, 2:20 pm Bayesian Calibration Models for Obsidian Offi ce of Federal Contract Compliance Programs; Hydration Dating—❖ Andrew Schaff ner, ❖ Shirong Leu, U.S. Department of Labor; Arline California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Easley, U.S. Department of Labor Obispo 3:35 pm Estimating Missing Prices in Producer Price 2:35 pm Bayesian Semiparametric Analysis for a Single- Index—❖ Onimissi Sheidu, Bureau of Labor Item Maintenance Optimization—❖ Elmira Statistics Popova, Th e University of Texas at Austin; Paul Damien, Th e University of Texas at Austin; Timothy Hanson, University of Minnesota 480 CC-605 Stochastic Process and Mixture Models— 2:50 pm Bayesian Modeling of the Effect of Four-to-Three- Lane Conversion on the Number of Crashes and Contributed Crash Rates for Iowa Roads—❖ Wen Li, Iowa IMS State University; Alicia Carriquiry, Iowa State Chair(s): Marloes Maathuis, University of Washington University 2:05 pm A Class of Probability Measures on the Simplex—

Seattle 155 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

❖ Zach Dietz, Tulane University Pacifi c University Wednesday 2:20 pm The Bahadur Representation for Sample Quantiles 04 Partial Least Squares Regression and Its Application in under Weak Dependence—❖ Shuxia Sun, Wright Drug Discovery—❖ Jingjing Chen, Merck & Co., Inc. State University 05 Quasi-Probability Distributions Based on the Lagrange 2:35 pm Long-Time Asymptotics for Constrained Diffusions Expansions—❖ Shubiao Li, Central Michigan in Polyhedral Domains—❖ Chihoon Lee, Th e University; Carl Lee, Central Michigan University; Felix University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Famoye, Central Michigan University Amarjit Budhiraja, Th e University of North 06 Data Analysis of Virtual Cement Measurements— Carolina at Chapel Hill ❖ Adriana Hornikova, National Institute of Standards 2:50 pm The Mixture Labelling Problem: a Frequentist and Technology; Charles Hagwood, National Institute View—❖ Daeyoung Kim, Penn State; Bruce G. of Standards and Technology; Hung-kung Liu, National Lindsay, Penn State Institute of Standards and Technology; Blaza Toman, 3:05 pm Stability and Tail Properties of Nonlinear National Institute of Standards and Technology; Stochastic Recursions with Application to Nien Fan Zhang, National Institute of Standards and Nonlinear AR-GARCH Models—❖ Daren B. H. Technology; Edward J. Garboczi, National Institute of Cline, Texas A&M University Standards and Technology; Jeff rey W. Bullard, National Institute of Standards and Technology 3:20 pm Noncommutative Stochastic Convergence of the Bounded Besicovitch Sequence—❖ Larisa 07 Analysis of Number of Components in Mixture Model— ❖ Shwartz, IBM; Genady Grabarnik, IBM T. J. Yan Wang, Southern Methodist University; S. Lynne Watson Research CenterPRELIMINARYStokes, Southern Methodist University 3:35 pm Floor Discussion 08 Use of Data Mining To Determine Variable Signifi cance and Inter-Relationships in Models—❖ Karl Sieber, PROGRAMNational Institute for Occupational Safety and Health 09 Th e Impact of Erroneous Inclusion and Exclusion of Regular Contributed Posters Variables in Multivariate Inference—❖ Youfeng Nie, 2:00 pm–3:50 pm Sam Houston State University; Cecil Hallum, Sam Houston State University 481 CC-Level 6 East Lobby 10 On Testing about a Construct Mean for Likert-Scale Contributed Posters—Contributed Data—❖ Cherng Ding, National Chiao Tung University; General Methodology, Social Statistics Section, Section on Survey Research Hsiu-Yu Lee, National Chiao Tung University Methods, Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Physical and Engineering 11 Caution When Using Covariate Adjustment in Mixed Sciences, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Statistics and Eff ect ANOVA—❖ Zhenxu Ma, Battelle; Paul Feder, Marketing, Section on Statistical Battelle Consulting, Biometrics Section, Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistics in Sports, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology 12 Estimating a Population Median from a Small Sample— ❖ Organizer(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. Boris Shulkin, Christy Industries/Magna International; Shlomo Sawilowsky, Wayne State Chair(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. University Archeology, anthropology, humanities 13 On the Use of Heywood Cases for Specifi cation Testing 01 A Multivariate Statistical Analysis of Female Empowerment— in SEM—❖ Stanislav Kolenikov, University of Missouri- ❖ Janelle Jones, SUMSRI; Adrianne Demski, SUMSRI Columbia; Kenneth A. Bollen, Th e University of North General Carolina at Chapel Hill 02 Examination of Structure Coeffi cient Interpretation in Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods ❖ Descriptive Discriminant Analysis: the Three-Group Case— 14 S-PLUS and R Package for Least Angle Regression— Mercedes Schneider, Ball State University ❖ Tim C. Hesterberg, Insightful Corporation 03 Computer Literacy of Adolescents in Grades 9 to 12: 15 Partially Repeated Measurements—❖ Mitchell Watnik, ❖ an Exploratory Study— Matthew Sink, Shoreline California State University, East Bay; Erica Wong, Christian High School; Christopher A. Sink, Seattle California State University, East Bay; David Schlessinger,

156 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

California State University, East Bay 26 A Modifi ed Asymmetric Simes Procedure for Multiple ❖ 16 Selecting the Best Confi dence Interval for a Variance Tests of Signifi cance— Li Deng, New England College Thursday Ratio (or Heritability)—❖ Brent Burch, Northern of Optometry Arizona University Simulation and Monte Carlo methods 17 Calculating Power for Generalized Linear Models Using 27 An Examination of the Utility of Bonferroni Adjustments for the Wald Test—❖ Jonathan Mahnken, Th e University of Tests of Regression Coeffi cients—❖ Daniel Mundfrom, Kansas Medical Center University of Northern Colorado; Jamis Perrett, 18 Confi dence Interval Coverage for Four Eff ect Sizes for University of Northern Colorado; Jay Schaff er, University Predictor Variables in a Multiple Linear Regression of Northern Colorado; Adam Piccone, University of Model—❖ Todd Bodner, Portland State University Northern Colorado Logitudinal data, repeated measurments and cluster Sports, art, entertainment data 28 The Brave New Hockey World: a Statistical Assessment of NHL ❖ 19 Large-Cluster Asymptotics for GEE: Working Correlation Rules Changes— Paramjit Gill, Th e University of British Models—❖ Hyoju Chung, University of Washington; Columbia Th omas Lumley, University of Washington Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods 20 Free SAS/IML (r) Software for Computing Confi dence 29 Statistical Approches To Analyze Censored Data with Multiple Limits for Power in the Univariate and Multivariate Detection Limits—❖ Wei Zhong, ICON Clinical Research; Approaches to Repeated Measures—❖ Jacqueline Linda Levin, University of Cincinnati; Paul Succop, Johnson, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel University of Cincinnati; Rakesh Shukla, University of Hill; Matthew Gribbin, Th e UniversityPRELIMINARY of North Carolina Cincinnati; Jeff rey Welge, University of Cincinnati at Chapel Hill; Sola Park, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Keith E. Muller, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill PROGRAMInvited Sessions 4:00 pm–5:50 pm 21 Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Proportional Odds Model with GEE for Ordinal Categorical Responses— ❖ Junxiang Luo, University of Cincinnati; Rakesh 482 CC-Ballroom 6ABC Shukla, University of Cincinnati; Qi Zhang, University of COPSS Awards and Fisher Lecture—Invited Cincinnati Committee of Presidents of Statistics Societies (COPSS), The ASA, ENAR, WNAR, IMS, SSC 22 Latent Class Growth Models: an Application— ❖ Organizer(s): Karen Bandeen-Roche, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Maragatha Kuchibhatla, Duke University Medical Public Health Center; Gerda Fillenbaum, Duke University Medical Chair(s): Karen Bandeen-Roche, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Center Public Health 23 Model Selection for the Impact Evaluation of Energy ❖ ❖ 4:05 pm Recombination and Linkage— Terence P. Speed, Effi ciency Programs— Kathryn Parlin, West Hill University of California, Berkeley Energy and Computing, Inc.; Larry Haugh, University of Vermont 5:35 pm Floor Discussion 24 An Empirical Power Analysis of Hierarchical Multivariate Linear Model under Th ree Covariance Structures in Longitudinal Data Analysis—❖ Hua Fang, THURSDAY, AUGUST 10 Ohio University; Gordon P. Brooks, Ohio University; Maria L. Rizzo, Ohio University; Robert S. Barcikowski, Ohio University Tours Probability, mathematical statistics, stochastic pro- cesses 1:00 pm–5:00 pm CC-Convention Plaza 25 A General Probability Distribution Using B¸rmann Power TR10 - Northwest Winery Tour Series—❖ Pali Sen, University of North Florida; Richard F. Patterson, University of North Florida 1:00 pm–5:00 pm CC-Convention Plaza

Seattle 157 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

TR11 - Glassblowing Tour Chair(s): Bonnie K. Ray, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center

8:35 am Sensor Analytics: Radioactive Gas Quantity Thursday Estimation and Error Propagation—❖ Dale Committee/Business Meetings N. Anderson, Pacifi c Northwest National & Other Activities Laboratory; Justin I. McIntyre, Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory; Deborah K. Carlson, Pacifi c 7:00 am–10:30 am CC-507 Northwest National Laboratory; Reynold Suarez, Speaker Work Room Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory; James C. Hayes, Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory 7:00 am–10:30 am CC-508 9:00 am Using Informative Bayesian Priors in a Sales Speaker Work Room Forecasting System—❖ Phillip M. Yelland, Sun Microsystems Laboratories 7:00 am–8:30 am CC-305 9:25 am Formulation Prediction for Derivative Product Howard Levene Memorial Breakfast Reception Development—❖ Martha Gardner, GE Global (closed) Research Organizer(s): Zhiliang Ying, Columbia University 9:50 am Disc: Sarah Michalak, Los Alamos National Laboratory 7:00 am–10:30 am CC-Level 4 South Lobby 10:10 am Floor Discussion Cyber Center 7:30 am–10:30 am PRELIMINARY CC-Level 4 South Lobby 484 CC-3A JSM Main Registration ✪ Statistical Methodology for Environmental Applications—Invited 7:30 am–10:30 am CC-Level 4 South Lobby PROGRAMInternational Indian Statistical Association ASA Membership/Special Assistance Desk Organizer(s): Soumendra N. Lahiri, Iowa State University 8:00 am–10:00 am CC-306 Chair(s): Soumendra N. Lahiri, Iowa State University Council of Sections Response Meeting (closed) 8:35 am Bayesian Melding: an Application and Critical Chair(s): John E. Boyer, Kansas State University Assessment—❖ James Zidek, Th e University of British Columbia; Zhong Liu, Th e University of 8:00 am–10:30 am CC-Level 4 South Lobby British Columbia; Nhu Le, BC Cancer Agency/ ASA Marketplace University of British Columbia 9:00 am Fixed Rank Kriging for Massive Datasets— 9:00 am–5:00 pm CC-Level 1 ❖ Noel Cressie, Th e Ohio State University; Citywide Concierge Center Gardar Johannesson, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory 10:00 am–11:30 am CC-306 9:25 am Minimum Distance Inference in Unilateral Council of Sections Governing Board Debriefi ng Autoregressive Lattice Processes—❖ Marc G. Meeting (closed) Genton, Texas A&M University; Hira L. Koul, Chair(s): John E. Boyer, Kansas State University Michigan State University 9:50 am Computation and Modeling for Large Space-Time Environmental Datasets—❖ Michael L. Stein, Th e Invited Sessions 8:30 am–10:20 am University of Chicago 10:15 am Floor Discussion 483 CC-603 ● Collaborative Research in Statistics—Invited 485 CC-3B General Methodology, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Statistical Genetics and Nonparametric Methods: Organizer(s): Bonnie K. Ray, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center in Memory of Howard Levene—Invited

158 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Memorial, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Committee on Women in Statistics

Organizer(s): Zhiliang Ying, Columbia University Organizer(s): Lori A. Th ombs, University of Missouri-Columbia; Eleanor Thursday Chair(s): Todd Durham, Inspire Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Feingold, University of Pittsburgh 8:35 am The Infl uence of Professor Levene’s Test of the Chair(s): Eleanor Feingold, University of Pittsburgh Equality of the Variances of k Groups on the 8:35 am Aggregation, Lasso, and Sparsity—❖ Florentina Development of Robust Procedures and Their Bunea, Florida State University Application—❖ Joseph Gastwirth, Th e George 9:00 am A Bayesian Hierarchical Model with Nest-Specifi c Washington University Covariates in Nest Survival Study—❖ Jing Cao, 9:00 am The Infl uence of Levene’s Paper on Polymorphism Southern Methodist University; Chong He, in Subdivided Populations—❖ Edward Pollak, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Iowa State University 9:25 am Joint Statistical Models for Genome-Wide Tiling 9:25 am Howard Levene: Statistician, Educator, Colleague, Array and Sequence Data—❖ Sunduz Keles, and Friend—❖ Th eodore W. Anderson, Stanford University of Wisconsin-Madison; Heejung Shim, University University of Wisconsin-Madison 9:50 am Testing Multivariate Scale Difference by Depth 9:50 am A Markov-Hidden Markov Model for Genetic Rank Tests—❖ Regina Liu, Rutgers University; Admixture—❖ Hua Tang, Fred Hutchinson Kesar Singh, Rutgers University Cancer Research Center; Pei Wang, Fred 10:15 am Floor Discussion Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Marc Coram, Th e University of Chicago 10:15 am Floor Discussion 486 PRELIMINARYCC-612 ● Experimental Design for Nonlinear Modeling— Invited 488 CC-607 ● ✪ Biopharmaceutical Section PROGRAM Bayesian Methods in Bioinformatics—Invited Organizer(s): Th omas E. Bradstreet, Merck Research Laboratories Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR Chair(s): Th omas E. Bradstreet, Merck Research Laboratories Organizer(s): Sounak Chakraborty, University of Missouri-Columbia 8:35 am Curvature, Robustness, and Optimal Design in Chair(s): Marc A. Suchard, University of California, Los Angeles Applied Nonlinear Regression Modeling— 8:35 am Bayesian Mixture Models and Application to ❖ Timothy E. O’Brien, Loyola University Chicago High-Throughput Data—❖ Kim-Anh Do, M. D. 9:00 am Locally D-Optimal Designs Based on Models Anderson Cancer Center Combining Emax and One-Compartment 9:00 am Bayesian Modeling of Complex Traits—❖ Paola Models—❖ Sam Hedayat, University of Illinois at Sebastiani, Boston University Chicago 9:25 am Functional Clustering by Bayesian Wavelet 9:25 am Optimal Designs in Nonlinear Mixed- Methods—❖ Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M Effects Models: Applications for Population University Pharmacokinetics/Pharmacodynamics Studies— 9:50 am Multiclass Cancer Diagnosis with Bayesian Kernel ❖ Sylvie Retout, INSERM U738; Emmanuelle Machine Models—❖ Sounak Chakraborty, Comets, INSERM U738; France Mentre, INSERM University of Missouri-Columbia U738 10:15 am Floor Discussion 9:50 am Modeling and Clinical Trial Simulation in the Post– Critical Path Drug—❖ Michael D. Hale, Amgen Inc. 489 CC-2B ● Bayesian Inference for Population Survey 10:15 am Floor Discussion Data—Invited Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 487 CC-619 Organizer(s): Michael R. Elliott, University of Michigan ● ✪ Women Pioneering Solutions to New Global Chair(s): Steven G. Heeringa, University of Michigan Challenges—Invited 8:35 am The Bayesian Approach to Inference for Finite

Seattle 159 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Population Samples—❖ Roderick J. Little, 9:25 am Nonparametric Estimation of Copulas via ❖ University of Michigan Mixtures— Peter Hoff , University of Thursday 9:00 am Weight Trimming via Bayesian Variable Selection Washington Methods—❖ Michael R. Elliott, University of 9:50 am Bayesian Nonparametric Spatial and Spatio- Michigan Temporal Models for Disease Incidence Data— ❖ 9:25 am Bayesian Approach for Combining Information Athanasios Kottas, University of California, from Multiple Surveys—❖ Trivellore E. Santa Cruz; Jason Duan, Duke University; Alan E. Raghunathan, University of Michigan Gelfand, Duke University 9:50 am Infl uence Functions and Robust Bayes 10:15 am Floor Discussion Estimation—❖ Malay Ghosh, University of Florida; Tapabrata Maiti, Iowa State University; 492 CC-304 Ananya Roy, University of Florida ● Fusing Environmental Data with Numerical 10:15 am Floor Discussion Models—Invited Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Bayesian 490 CC-303 Statistical Science ● Graphical Tools for Spatial Econometrics— Organizer(s): Montserrat Fuentes, North Carolina State University Invited Chair(s): Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University Section on Statistical Graphics 8:35 am Statistical Data Assimilation To Improve Hurricane ❖ Organizer(s): Christine Th omas-Agnan, University of Toulouse Forecasting— Montserrat Fuentes, North Carolina State University; Kristen M. Foley, North Chair(s): Antoine de Falguerolles, UniversityPRELIMINARY Paul Sabatier (Toulouse III) Carolina State University 8:35 am Using ArcView Mapping Files in Statistical Software Programs—❖ James P. LeSage, Th e 9:00 am Stochastic Parameterizations in Numerical PROGRAMWeather Forecasting Models—❖ Christopher University of Toledo K. Wikle, University of Missouri-Columbia; 9:05 am GeoXp: an R Package for Interactive Exploratory Yong Song, University of Missouri-Columbia; ❖ Spatial Data Analysis— Anne Ruiz-Gazen, Christopher Anderson, NOAA University Toulouse I; Christine Th omas-Agnan, University of Toulouse 9:25 am Ensemble Smoothing for Understanding Geophysical Processes—❖ Douglas W. Nychka, 9:35 am Exploring Spatial Data with openGeoDa and National Center for Atmospheric Research PySAL—❖ Luc Anselin, University of Illinois; Sergio J. Rey, San Diego State University 9:50 am Disc: Peter Guttorp, University of Washington 10:05 am Floor Discussion 10:10 am Floor Discussion

491 CC-614 Invited Panels 8:30 am–10:20 am ● Bayesian Nonparametric Methods—Invited ENAR, WNAR, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 493 CC-2A Organizer(s): Mahlet G. Tadesse, University of Pennsylvania ● ✪ Federal Data-Sharing Requirements: Issues, Chair(s): Mahlet G. Tadesse, University of Pennsylvania Ethical Challenges, and Roles for the Statistical 8:35 am Split-Merge Markov Chain Monte Carlo for a Community—Invited Nonconjugate Dirichlet Process Mixture Model— Section on Government Statistics ❖ Sonia Jain, University of California, San Diego; Organizer(s): Virginia A. de Wolf, Consultant Radford Neal, University of Toronto Chair(s): Alvan O. Zarate, National Center for Health Statistics 9:00 am Bayesian Semiparametric Inferences for Disease Panelists: ❖ Joan E. Sieber, California State University, East Risk, ROC Curves, and Prevalence—❖ Wesley O. Bay Johnson, University of California, Irvine; Adam ❖ Karen M. Hansen, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Branscum, University of Kentucky Research Center

160 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

❖ Helen McGough, University of Washington 9:15 am Design of Experiments for Wind Tunnel Testing: ❖ ❖ Alan M. Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School an Application on Load Investigation— Julio Thursday Peixoto, Th e Boeing Company; Winson Taam, Th e 10:15 am Floor Discussion Boeing Company; I-Li Lu, Th e Boeing Company 9:35 am Parametric Analysis of Advanced Feature-Aided Tracking with Dynamic Resource Allocation and Topic-Contributed Sessions Management—❖ Th omas C. Bradley, Boeing 8:30 am–10:20 am Phantom Works; Dwight Rousu, Boeing Phantom Works; Jeff ery D. King, Boeing Phantom Works; 494 CC-613 Jeff ery D. Musiak, Boeing Phantom Works ● Survival Analysis Issues for Medical Devices— 9:55 am Weighted Least Squares Approach To Assess Flight ❖ Topic-Contributed Test with Unbalanced Samples— Winson Taam, Th e Boeing Company Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Organizer(s): David Breiter, Guidant Corporation 10:15 am Floor Discussion Chair(s): W. J. Hall, University of Rochester Medical Center 8:35 am Confi dence Levels of Confi dence Intervals in 496 CC-611 the Survival Analysis—❖ Xiaolong Shih, Boston ● Statistical Developments in Cancer Scientifi c Corporation Surveillance Research—Topic-Contributed 8:55 am Futility Analysis for a Randomized Trial with a Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Health Policy Time-to-Event Endpoint—PRELIMINARY❖ Corina M. Sirbu, Statistics, Biometrics Section, ENAR Boston Scientifi c Corporation; Kay M. Larholt, Organizer(s): Mousumi Banerjee, University of Michigan Boston Scientifi c Corporation Chair(s): Mousumi Banerjee, University of Michigan 9:15 am General Statistical Issues and ApplicationsPROGRAM for 8:35 am Learning from Cancer Incidence: Secular Trend, Survival Analysis in Medical Device Clinical Lead Time, and Overdiagnosis in Prostate Cancer Studies—❖ Chang S. Lao, U.S. Food and Drug Screening—❖ Ruth Etzioni, Fred Hutchinson Administration Cancer Research Center; Donatello Telesca, 9:35 am Group Sequential Design of Device Trials Using University of Washington Time-to-Event Analysis with Highly Unbalanced, 8:55 am Screening with Virtual Colonoscopy: Should Recurrent Events—❖ Zengri Wang, Medtronic, Small Polyps Be Referred for Removal?—❖ Iris Inc.; Andrew Mugglin, University of Minnesota Vogelaar, University Medical Center Rotterdam; 9:55 am Disc: Gosford Sawyerr, Marjolein van Ballegooijen, University Medical Center Rotterdam; Ann Zauber, Memorial Sloan- 10:15 am Floor Discussion Kettering Cancer Center; J. Dik F. Habbema, University Medical Center Rotterdam 495 CC-620 9:15 am Modeling the Impact of Customizing Colorectal ✪ Industry Applications in Defense and National Screening by Age, Sex, and Race—❖ Ann Zauber, Security—Topic-Contributed Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center; Iris Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Section on Physical Vogelaar, University Medical Center Rotterdam; and Engineering Sciences Marjolein van Ballegooijen, University Medical Organizer(s): I-Li Lu, Th e Boeing Company Center Rotterdam; J. Dik F. Habbema, University Chair(s): I-Li Lu, Th e Boeing Company Medical Center Rotterdam; Sidney Winawer, 8:35 am Exploiting Ontologies To Enhance Situation Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center Awareness—❖ Steven A. Lien, Th e Boeing 9:35 am Short-Term Prediction of Time Series Using Company; Matt Easley, Rockwell Scientifi c Semiparametric Bayesian Techniques—❖ Kaushik 8:55 am Multi-Sensor Fusion Using Nontraditional Ghosh, New Jersey Institute of Technology; Ram Tiwari, National Institutes of Health Sensors—❖ Edward Wright, Information Extraction and Transport, Inc. 9:55 am Disc: Kathy Cronin, National Cancer Institute

Seattle 161 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

10:15 am Floor Discussion 9:55 am Cross-Cultural, Cross-National Questionnaire ❖ Design— Sue Ellen Hansen, University of Thursday 497 CC-606 Michigan ✪ Bayesian Methods and Computation in 10:15 am Floor Discussion Finance—Topic-Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Shawn Ni, University of Missouri-Columbia Regular Contributed Sessions Chair(s): Susan Alber, University of California, Los Angeles 8:30 am–10:20 am 8:35 am Estimating Macroeconomic Models: a Likelihood Approach—❖ Juan Rubio, Federal Reserve Bank 499 CC-206 of Atlanta; Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, University Explorations in Behavior and Outcomes— of Pennsylvania Contributed 8:55 am A Full Information Bayesian Approach to the Social Statistics Section Evaluation and Estimation of DSGE Models— Chair(s): Carole L. Popoff , U.S. Census Bureau ❖ John Landon-Lane, Rutgers University 8:35 am Shift Workers and Their Spouses’ Daily 9:15 am Bayesian Selection of Multivariate Stochastic Activities—❖ Anne Polivka, Bureau of Labor ❖ Volatility Models— Antonello Loddo, University Statistics of Missouri-Columbia 8:50 am A Group-Based Approach to Causal Analysis 9:35 am Bayesian Smoothing in Generalized Additive Using Longitudinal Data with Applications to Models—❖ Shawn Ni, PRELIMINARYUniversity of Missouri- ❖ Gang Membership and Teen Violence— Amelia Columbia; Dongchu Sun, Virginia Polytechnic Haviland, RAND Corporation; Daniel Nagin, Institute and State University/University of Carnegie Mellon University; Paul Rosenbaum, Missouri-Columbia PROGRAMUniversity of Pennsylvania 9:55 am Leveling the Playing Field: Prior Choice and 9:05 am Toward Redistricting Rules Based on Housing ❖ DSGE Model Comparisons— Marco Del Negro, Density and Indivisible Census Tracts—❖ Tom Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Belin, University of California, Los Angeles 10:15 am Floor Discussion 9:20 am Test Equating for Mixed-IRT Models: an Illustration with 3PL and Generalized Partial Credit Model Using the Stacking-Lord Approach— 498 CC-201 ❖ ● ✪ New Directions in Comparative and Cross- Yann-Yann Shieh, Cultural Survey Methods—Topic-Contributed 9:35 am Oral Translations in Surveys: Issues of Data ❖ Section on Survey Research Methods Quality and Question Design— Janet Harkness, University of Nebraska-Lincoln Organizer(s): Janet Harkness, University of Nebraska-Lincoln Chair(s): Janet Harkness, University of Nebraska-Lincoln 9:50 am Comparing Internet Users and Nonusers’ Behavior toward Market Products—❖ Nuria Diaz-Tena, 8:35 am Quality Assurance in Comparative Studies—❖ Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Robert Lars Lyberg, Statistics Sweden Benford, TNS-Global ❖ 8:55 am Harmonization by Design— Beth-Ellen Pennell, 10:05 am A Policy Tool for Assessing Alcohol Intervention University of Michigan Strategies—Edward Wegman, George Mason 9:15 am The Effects of Acculturation on Survey Question University; ❖ Yasmin H. Said, Th e Johns Hopkins Comprehension among Latino Respondents in the University United States—❖ Timothy P. Johnson, University of Illinois at Chicago; Allyson L. Holbrook, University of Illinois at Chicago; Young I. Cho, 500 CC-211 University of Illinois at Chicago ● Imputation of Sample Surveys—Contributed 9:35 am Use of Interpreters in Telephone Interviews— Section on Survey Research Methods ❖ Laura Branden, Westat Chair(s): Benmei Liu, Westat

162 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

8:35 am Fractional Imputation for Missing Values in Diseases; Erica Brittain, National Institute of ❖ Linear Regression Models— Minhui Paik, Iowa Allergy and Infectious Diseases; Robert Holliday, Thursday State University; Michael D. Larsen, Iowa State Rho, Inc.; Mark Slifka, Oregon Health & Science University; Shin-Soo Kang, Iowa State University University 8:50 am 2010 Census Count Imputation: Research Results 9:05 am Comparison of Survival Methods and Polytomous Using Spatial Modeling—❖ Robert D. Sands, U.S. Logistic Regression with Competing Risks— Census Bureau ❖ Robert Glynn, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; 9:05 am Bias-Reduced Multivariate Imputation: Use of Bernard Rosner, Harvard Medical School the Locally Adjusted Predictive Mean Matching 9:20 am Software for Survival Analysis of Studies Nested Method—❖ Masato Okamoto, Statistical within Cohorts To Estimate Relative, Absolute, and Research and Training Institute Attributable Risks—❖ Hormuzd Katki; Steven 9:20 am Imputation of Economic Data Subject to Linear D. Mark, University of Colorado Health Sciences Restrictions Using a Sequential Regression Center Approach—❖ Caren Tempelman, University of 9:35 am Population Attributable Risk in the Presence of Groningen Cure/Immune Individuals: a Simulation-Based ❖ 9:35 am Imputations via Triangular Regression-Based Study— Jayawant Mandrekar, Mayo Clinic Hot Deck: Methods for Rapid Development of College of Medicine; Melvin L. Moeschberger, Th e an Allocation Scheme and Preservation of the Ohio State University Covariance Matrix—❖ Scott Susin, U.S. Census 9:50 am Comparison of Methods to Model Mortality in the Bureau Presence of Time-Dependent Confounders—❖ 9:50 am Creating Imputation ClassesPRELIMINARY Using Nonparametric Ouhong Wang, Amgen Inc.; Trevor McMullan, Classifi cation Trees—❖ Darryl Creel, RTI Amgen Inc. International; Stephen Black, RTI International; 10:05 am Estimating Lifetime Risk Accounting for Karol Krotki, RTI International; JeremyPROGRAM Porter, Baseline Prevalence: High Total Cholesterol in RTI International Framingham Heart Study—❖ Michael Pencina, 10:05 am 2010 Census Count Imputation: Research Results Boston University; Ralph B. D’Agostino, Boston for Alternative Methods—❖ Andrew Kilmer, U.S. University; Ramachandran S. Vasan, Framingham Census Bureau Heart Study; Alexa Beiser, Boston University; Mark R. Cobain, Unilever Corporate Research 501 CC-610 ● ✪ Theory and Application of Survival 502 CC-204 Analysis—Contributed ● Survey-Based Estimation V—Contributed Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Patrick Tarwater, Th e University of Texas Health Science Chair(s): Donsig Jang, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Center at Houston 8:35 am Weighting an Internet Panel Survey on Drug Use 8:35 am Proportional Hazards Model with Empirically and Abuse—❖ Harpe Gordek, RTI International; Estimated Weights—❖ Qing Pan, University of Rick L. Williams, RTI International; Lanting Dai, Michigan; Douglas E. Schaubel, University of RTI International Michigan 8:50 am A New Method for Weighting Survey 8:50 am Power Estimation for Clearance of Live Vaccine Respondents—❖ Feiming Chen, Spectra Virus Using Weibull Survival Models with Interval Marketing Systems Censoring—❖ Daniel Zaccaro, Rho, Inc.; Barry 9:05 am Nonparametric Regression with Complex Survey Eggleston, Rho, Inc.; Susan Lieff , Rho, Inc.; Dennis Data—❖ Torsten Harms, Freie Universität Berlin; Wallace, Rho, Inc.; Jon Hanifi n, Oregon Health Pierre Duchesne, Université de Montréal & Science University; Donald Leung, National 9:20 am Combining Survey and Population Data in Jewish Medical and Research Center; Marshall Inference—❖ Raymond Chambers, University of Plaut, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Wollongong

Seattle 163 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

9:35 am Dual Frame Estimation in the National Survey Contributed ❖ of College Graduates— John Finamore, U.S. Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Thursday Census Bureau; David W. Hall, U.S. Census Chair(s): David Dahl, Texas A&M University Bureau; Ronald S. Fecso, National Science 8:35 am Capturing Uncertainty When the Event Probability Foundation Is Subject to Uncertainty—❖ Ehsan S. Soofi , 9:50 am Use Sampling Weights in Hierarchical Modeling— University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee; Paul C. ❖ Yue Jia, Southern Methodist University; S. Nystrom, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee; Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University Masoud Yasai-Ardekani, George Mason 10:05 am Anomaly of Survey Weights for American Indians University ❖ and Alaska Natives— Sunghee Lee, University 8:50 am A New Bayes Rule—❖ James R. Meginniss, Vista of California, Los Angeles; John H. Kurata, Research, Inc. University of California, Los Angeles; Yan Xiong, 9:05 am Estimating the Positive False Nondiscovery University of California, Los Angeles Rate and False Nondiscovery Rate in Multiple Hypothesis Testing—❖ Changzheng Chen, K & 503 CC-203 L Consulting Services Inc.; Burt Holland, Temple Broad Quality Issues in Organizations— University Contributed 9:20 am Decision Theoretic Bayesian Hypothesis Testing Section on Government Statistics with the Selection Goal—❖ Naveen Bansal, Chair(s): Eugene Burns, Bureau of Transportation Statistics Marquette University 8:35 am Business Process ImprovementPRELIMINARY in the Economic 9:35 am Bayes Approach to Dependent Multiple Programs Directorate at the U.S. Census Bureau— Comparisons—❖ Lemuel Moye, Th e University of ❖ Deborah Stempowski, U.S. Census Bureau; Texas Health Science Center at Houston Shirin A. Ahmed, U.S. Census BureauPROGRAM9:50 am A Bayesian Multiple Comparison Procedure for 8:50 am Assessing the Improvement of Data Quality: Order-Restricted Mixed Models—❖ Junfeng Surveys Revised Using Cognitive Techniques— Shang, Bowling Green State University; Farroll ❖ Kara Norman, Energy Information T. Wright, University of Missouri; Joseph E. Administration; Carrie Hughes-Cromwick, Cavanaugh, Th e University of Iowa Energy Information Administration 10:05 am Empirical Bayes Analysis on the Power Law 9:05 am Revisions and Other Changes in Offi cial Process—❖ Zhao Chen, Florida Gulf Coast Statistics: Swedish Observations on Concepts and University Terminology—❖ Eva Elvers, Statistics Sweden 9:20 am Improving the Job Opening and Labor Turnover 505 CC-310 Survey—❖ Darrell Greene, Bureau of Labor Simulation—Contributed Statistics Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Physical and Engineering Sci- 9:35 am Data Quality Review at a Small Agency— ences ❖ John Blachere, U.S. Consumer Product Safety Chair(s): Tanzy Love, Carnegie Mellon University Commission 8:35 am Importance Sampling with the Huber and 9:50 am Tying Web Site Performance to Mission Elliptical Multivariate Logistic Distributions—❖ Achievement in the Federal Government— Stella W. Karuri, North Carolina State University; ❖ Diane Milleville, Buff y Hudson-Curtis, North Carolina State 10:05 am Results from the International Survey of ASA University; John Monahan, North Carolina State Members—❖ Amy Luo, Ernst & Young LLP; University Roberta Sangster, Bureau of Labor Statistics 8:50 am Application of Randomized Spherical-Radial Integration to the E-step of the Monte Carlo 504 CC-604 Expectation Maximization algorithm for Generalized Linear Mixed Models—❖ Vadim Bayesian Multiple Testing and Decision Theory— Zipunnikov, Cornell University; James Booth,

164 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Cornell University ● Teaching and Technology—Contributed

9:05 am An Implementation of Constrained Sequential Section on Statistical Education Thursday Monte Carlo by Particle Resizing—❖ Lixin Lang, Chair(s): Lewis VanBrackle, Kennesaw State University Th e Ohio State University; Prem K. Goel, Th e 8:35 am Real-Time Classroom Data Collection—❖ Jeff rey Ohio State University; Bhavik R. Bakshi, Th e Ohio Lidicker, Temple University; Alicia Graziosi, State University Temple University 9:20 am Continuous Contour Monte Carlo for Marginal 8:50 am Visualizing Hypothesis Testing Concepts through ❖ Density Estimation— Faming Liang, Texas the Power of PowerPoint—❖ Edward Mansfi eld, A&M University Th e University of Alabama 9:35 am Annealing Contour Monte Carlo Algorithm for 9:05 am Ways To Increase the Use of Graphs throughout ❖ Real Protein Folding— Sooyoung Cheon, Texas the Introductory Applied Statistics Course—❖ A&M University John McKenzie, Babson College ❖ 9:50 am Simulation-Based Estimation— Weijie Cai, 9:20 am I Spy (Assessing the Reliability of Eye-Witness George Mason University; James Gentle, George Testimony)—❖ Mary Richardson, Grand Valley Mason University State University; Paul Stephenson, Grand Valley 10:05 am Solving Complex Network Optimization Problems State University ❖ Using Response Surface Methodology— Ying- 9:35 am Using Online Videos To Supplement Classroom Chao Hung, National Central University Instruction—❖ Monnie McGee, Southern Methodist University; Jing Cao, Southern 506 PRELIMINARYCC-205 Methodist University; Robert Skinner, Southern Bayesian Statistics and Methods—Contributed Methodist University; Ian K. Aberle, Southern Methodist University IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Man Sik Park, Colorado State University PROGRAM9:50 am Using Computer-Aided Learning To Teach Statistics—❖ Tristan Denley, University of 8:35 am Robust Prior Bayes Estimation on Infi nite Mississippi; Kim Denley, University of Mississippi Dimensional Normal Mean and Spectral Densities—❖ Herman Rubin, Purdue University; 10:05 am A Probability Problem on the Number of Loops ❖ Hui Xu, Purdue University Formed When Ends of Strings Are Tied— Marepalli Rao, University of Cincinnati; 8:50 am Geometric Ergodicity of the Gibbs Sampler for the Subramanyam Kasala, Th e University of North Probit Model—❖ Vivekananda Roy, University of Carolina at Wilmington Florida 9:05 am Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approximation of the Posterior in Hierarchical Linear Models—❖ Galin 508 CC-307 Jones, University of Minnesota ● Robust Statistical Methods—Contributed 9:20 am On the Bayesian Detection of a Change in the Section on Nonparametric Statistics Arrival Rate of a Poisson Process—❖ Marlo Chair(s): Samuel Wu, University of Florida Brown, Niagara University 8:35 am Multivariate Spatial Median for Clustered ❖ 9:35 am The Bayesian Lasso—❖ Trevor Park, University of Data— Denis Larocque, HEC MontrÈal; Jaakko Florida; George Casella, University of Florida Nevalainen, University of Tampere; Hannu Oja, University of Tampere 9:50 am Robust Estimators and Infl uence Measures of Extremal Dependence—❖ Yu-Ling Tsai, 8:50 am Multivariate Robust Regression Based on General ❖ University of Western Ontario; Duncan Murdoch, Depth Function— Weihua Zhou, Th e University University of Western Ontario; Debbie Dupuis, of North Carolina at Charlotte HEC Montréal 9:05 am Robust Effi cient Identifi cation of an Outlying Cell 10:05 am Floor Discussion in a Two-Way Layout with Replicates—❖ Nathalie Malo, Genome Quebec Innovation Centre/McGill University 507 CC-605 9:20 am Robust Testing of the Nonparametric Behrens-

Seattle 165 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Fisher Hypothesis Using a Density Ratio Model— Cavell Brownie, North Carolina State University ❖ James Troendle, National Institute of Child 10:05 am On Goodman and Kruskal’s G and Stuart’s Thursday Health & Human Development; Kostas Fokianos, Measure of Association—❖ Jeff rey Green, Ball University of Cyprus State University 9:35 am Robust Nonparametric Confi dence Intervals and Tests for the Median in the Presence of (c,r)-Contamination—❖ Masakazu Ando, Japan 510 CC-608 ● Society for the Promotion of Science; Itsuro Microarrays—Contributed Kakiuchi, Kobe University; Miyoshi Kimura, Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Nanzan University Chair(s): Brian L. Wiens, Myogen, Inc. 9:50 am Inference in a Simple Random Effects Model with 8:35 am Validation of Biomarkers Identifi ed by Gene Low Replication and Nonnormal Distributions— Expression Profi les—❖ Boris Zaslavsky, U.S. Food ❖ Hongjuan Liu, University of California, and Drug Administration; Jing Han, U.S. Food and Riverside; Xinping Cui, University of California, Drug Administration; Jawahar Tiwari, U.S. Food Riverside and Drug Administration; Raj K. Puri, U.S. Food 10:05 am On the Estimation of Disability-Free Life and Drug Administration Expectancy—❖ Kosuke Imai, Princeton 8:50 am Gene expression data analysis using the Gene University; Samir Soneji, Princeton University Ontology—❖ Jiajun Liu, North Carolina State University; Jacqueline Hughes-Oliver, North Carolina State University; Alan J. Menius, 509 PRELIMINARYCC-308 GlaxoSmithKline ● New Methods and Practical Application— 9:05 am Microarray, PCR, and Northern Blot: a Contributed Comparison—Yongzeng Ding, Northwestern Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Physical andPROGRAMUniversity; ❖ Borko Jovanovic, Northwestern Engineering Sciences University; Raymond Bergan, Northwestern Chair(s): James D. Williams, GE Global Research University; Irene Helenowski, Northwestern 8:35 am Robust Designs for One-Way Random Effects University Model Using Q-estimator—❖ Julie Zhou, 9:20 am Technical, Longitudinal, and Genetic Variation University of Victoria; Xiaolong Yang, University in Proteomic Analysis of Human Plasma—❖ of Victoria Imola K. Fodor, Lawrence Livermore National 8:50 am Beta-Geometric Distribution in Survival Laboratory; Todd H. Corzett, Lawrence Modeling—❖ Alfred Akinsete, Marshall Livermore National Laboratory; Megan Choi, University Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory; Vicki 9:05 am Optimal Targeting under an Asymmetric Loss— L. Walsworth, Lawrence Livermore National ❖ Yvonne Zubovic, Indiana University Purdue Laboratory; Kenneth W. Turteltaub, Lawrence University Fort Wayne; Chand K. Chauhan, Livermore National Laboratory; Sandra L. Indiana University Purdue University Fort Wayne McCutchen-Maloney, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory 9:20 am Adaptively Trimmed L-Moments with Applications to Heavy-Tailed Distributions—❖ Jonathan 9:35 am A Valid False Discovery Rate Procedure in ❖ Hosking, IBM Research Presence of Biased Null P-values— Hoa Phuong Nguyen, Johnson & Johnson 9:35 am Goodness-of-Fit Testing and Pareto-Tail Estimation—❖ Yuri Goegebeur, University of 9:50 am A Sequential Monte Carlo EM Solution to the Southern Denmark; Jan Beirlant, K. U. Leuven; Transcription Factor Binding Site Identifi cation ❖ Tertius de Wet, University of Stellenbosch Problem— Edmund Jackson, Cambridge University; William Fitzgerald, Cambridge 9:50 am New Methods Using Levene-Type Tests for University Hypotheses about Dispersion Differences— ❖ Xiaoni Liu, North Carolina State University; 10:05 am Statistical Issues in High-Throughput Screening— ❖ Dennis A. Boos, North Carolina State University; E. Venkatraman, MSKCC; Hakim Djaballah,

166 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

MSKCC 8:50 am A Mixed Model Analysis of Errors in ❖ Radiotherapy— Alai Tan, Th e University of Thursday Texas Medical Branch; Giuseppe Sanguineti, Th e 511 CC-617 University of Texas Medical Branch; Daniel H. ● Power and Sample-Size Calculations— Freeman, Th e University of Texas Medical Branch Contributed 9:05 am Flexible Random Intercept Models for Binary Biometrics Section Outcomes Using Mixtures of Normals—❖ Ming- Chair(s): Sumithra Mandrekar, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine Wen An, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Brian 8:35 am Quick Calculation for Sample Size While Caff o, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Charles Controlling False Discovery Rate with Application Rohde, Th e Johns Hopkins University ❖ to Microarray Analysis— Peng Liu, Cornell 9:20 am Generalized Linear Mixed Models with Sparse University; J. T. Gene Hwang, Cornell University Binary Outcome Data: Comparing Estimation 8:50 am Sample Size for FDR-Control in DNA Microarray Methods—❖ Marie-Eve Beauchamp, McGill Studies—❖ Yongzhao Shao, New York University; University; Robert W. Platt, McGill University; Chi-Hong Tseng, New York University James A. Hanley, McGill University 9:05 am Sample-Size Determination for Multiple 9:35 am Baseline Adjustment: Issues for Mixed-Effects Comparisons—❖ Chi-Hong Tseng, New York Regression Models in Clinical Trials—❖ Ronald University; Yongzhao Shao, New York University Th isted, Th e University of Chicago 9:20 am Power Calculations for Linear Mixed Effects 9:50 am Performance of Pseudo-Rsquare Statistics in the Models Using SAS/PROC MIXED—❖ Andrzej Linear Mixed Model—❖ Jean Orelien, SciMetrika Galecki, University of Michigan;PRELIMINARY Tomasz LLC; Lloyd Edwards, Th e University of North Burzykowski, Hasselt University Carolina at Chapel Hill 9:35 am Power Analysis for Longitudinal Study Designs— 10:05 am Floor Discussion ❖ Xin Tu, University of Rochester;PROGRAM Wan Tang, University of Rochester 513 CC-602 9:50 am Accuracy of P-Values and Sample Size in ● ✪ Comparing Skewed Clinical Trial Data—❖ Jun Health, Resources, Energy, and Ranking— Zhao, Organon; Gang Li, Johnson & Johnson Contributed Business and Economics Statistics Section, Section on Health Policy Statistics 10:05 am Does Pair-Matching on Baseline Measures Chair(s): Polly Phipps, Bureau of Labor Statistics Improve Power in a Pre-Post Cluster Randomized Trial?— 8:35 am Diseased-Based Price Indexe: a Cure Worse Than ❖ ❖ Misook Park, Virginia Commonwealth the Disease— Ralph Bradley, Bureau of Labor University; Robert E. Johnson, Virginia Statistics Commonwealth University 8:50 am Switching from Retrospective to Current-Year Data Collection in the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey-Insurance Component (MEPS-IC)—❖ Anne 512 CC-615 T. Kearney, U.S. Census Bureau; John P. Sommers, ● Methodology and Applications Based on Mixed Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Models—Contributed 9:05 am Nonparametric Inferences on Conditional Biometrics Section, ENAR Quantile Processes—❖ Chuan Goh, University of Chair(s): Hongmei Jiang, Northwestern University Toronto 8:35 am A Two-step, Logistic Regression-Linear Mixed 9:20 am Risk Sharing by Local Governments and Private Model Method to Calculate CpG Island Institutions in Environmental Transformation— Methylator Phenotype (CIMP) Scores in Colorectal ❖ Neela Manage, Florida Atlantic University Cancer Patients—❖ Wei Wei, M. D. Anderson 9:35 am Nonparametric Transfer Function Model— Cancer Center; Jeff rey S. Morris, M. D. Anderson ❖ Cancer Center; Jean-Pierre Issa, M. D. Anderson Jun Liu, Georgia Southern University; Qiwei Cancer Center Yao, London School of Economics; Rong Chen, University of Illinois at Chicago

Seattle 167 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

9:50 am Rank-Based Estimation for Autoregressive Moving Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR ❖ Average Time Series Models— Beth Andrews, Chair(s): T. PauletteCeesay, Merck & Co., Inc. Thursday Northwestern University 8:35 am Comparison of Methods for Handling Missing 10:05 am Bayesian Seemingly Unrelated Regression Data in NonInferiority Psychiatric Trials—❖ Isaac in Spatial Regional Model: Economics of Nuamah, Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical Agglomeration in Japan from 1991–2000— R&D; Guohua Pan, Johnson & Johnson ❖ Kazuhiko Kakamu, ; Wolfgang Polasek, Pharmaceutical R&D; Kwang-Shi Shu, Johnson & Institute for Advanced Studies; Hajime Wago, Johnson Pharmaceutical R&D; Pilar Lim, Johnson Nagoya University & Johnson Pharmaceutical R&D 8:50 am Differentiating Major Depressive Disorder in Youths with Attention Defi cit Hyperactivity 514 CC-601 ❖ ● Regression, Time Series, and Adjustments— Disorder— Adriana Lopez, University Contributed of Pittsburgh; Satish Iyengar, University of Pittsburgh; Rasim Diler, University of Pittsburgh; Business and Economics Statistics Section William Daviss, University of Pittsburgh Chair(s): Christian K. Hansen, Eastern Washington University 9:05 am Impact of Reference Range Selection on Long 8:35 am Using Firm Optimization To Evaluate and Estimate Term Growth Evaluations—❖ Dustin Ruff , Eli ❖ Returns to Scale— Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Lilly and Company 8:50 am How Far to Asymptopia? Errors and Regressors 9:20 am Is There an Optimal Sample in Depression with Realistically Asymmetric Distributions Studies?—❖ Kenneth Liu, Merck & Co., Inc.; Generate Unreliable t-StatisticsPRELIMINARY in Large Finite Duane Snavely, Merck & Co., Inc. Samples—❖ Robert McClelland, Bureau of 9:35 am Placebo effect adjusted assessment of quality of Labor Statistics; Elliot Williams, Bureau of Labor life in placebo-controlled clinical trials—❖ Statistics Jens PROGRAMEickhoff , University of Wisconsin-Madison 9:05 am Effectiveness of Two-Stage Least Squares in Correcting Endogeneity Bias: a Monte Carlo 9:50 am Clinical Trial Designs To Study Rare Infectious Diseases—❖ Study—❖ V. A. R. Samaranayake, University Yufeng Li, Th e University of of Missouri-Rolla; Xujun Wang, University of Alabama at Birmingham; Seng-jaw Soong, Th e Missouri-Rolla University of Alabama at Birmingham 9:20 am Tuning Parameter Selectors for SCAD— 10:05 am Floor Discussion ❖ Hansheng Wang, Peking University; Runze Li, Penn State; Chih-Ling Tsai, University of 516 CC-618 California, Davis Environmental Models and Assessing Gene- 9:35 am A Stepwise SPA Test for Data Snooping and Its Environment Interactions—Contributed Application on Fund Performance Evaluation— Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR ❖ Yu-Chin Hsu, Th e University of Texas at Chair(s): Samiran Sinha, Texas A&M University Austin; Po-Hsuan Hsu, Columbia University 8:35 am Statistical Issues Related to Development of a 9:50 am An Alternative Framework for Univariate and New Model of the Life Cycle of Salmonid Fishes in ❖ Multivariate Seasonal Adjustment— Stéphane the Pacifi c Northwest—❖ Steven G. Smith, U.S. Gregoir, CREST/INSEE Department of Commerce; James R. Faulkner, U.S. 10:05 am Nonlinear Properties of Conditional Returns Department of Commerce; Richard W. Zabel, U.S. under Scale Mixtures—❖ Venkata Jandhyala, Department of Commerce/NOAA Fisheries Washington State University; Stergios B. 8:50 am Breeding Value Estimation in Forest Genetics— Fotopoulos, Washington State University ❖ Anne M. Millar, Dahousie University 9:05 am A Model for Ordinal Data with Spatial and 515 CC-609 Temporal Dependency—❖ Graciela Gonzalez- ● Psychiatric, Cardiovascular, and Infectious Farias, CIMAT; Rogelio Ramos-Quiroga, CIMAT; Disease Trials—Contributed Felipe Peraza-Garay, Universidad Autonoma de

168 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Sinaloa Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Peter

9:20 am New Method for Assessing Gene-Environment Gilbert, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Thursday Interaction in Case-Only Studies—❖ Shizue Center/University of Washington; David Izumi, Oita University; John Cologne, Radiation Montefi ori, Duke University Medical Center; Eff ects Research Foundation Steve Self, University of Washington 9:35 am An Evaluation of the Benefi t of Genetic 10:05 am Antigen Scanning Methods for Identifying Peptide ❖ Information in Discovering the Effect of an Signatures— Allan deCamp, Fred Hutchinson Environmental Factor on Disease—❖ Abhijit Cancer Research Center; Peter Gilbert, Fred Dasgupta, Th omas Jeff erson University; Nilanjan Hutchinson Cancer Research Center/University of Chatterjee, National Cancer Institute; Sholom Washington Wacholder, National Cancer Institute 9:50 am Analysis of an Interaction Threshold in a Mixture of Drugs and/or Chemicals—❖ Adam Hamm, Invited Sessions 10:30 am–12:20 pm Rho, Inc. 10:05 am Floor Discussion 518 CC-605 Releasing Tabular Data Collected under a 517 CC-616 Confi dentiality Pledge: Going beyond Cell ● Statistical Methods in HIV Research— Suppression—Invited Contributed Business and Economics Statistics Section Biometrics Section, ENAR PRELIMINARYOrganizer(s): Steve H. Cohen, Bureau of Labor Statistics Chair(s): Hrishikesh Chakraborty, RTI International Chair(s): Jacob Bournazian, Energy Information Administration 8:35 am Combining Retrospective and Prospective Data To 10:35 am A Comparison on Data Utility between Publishing Improve Markov Transition ParameterPROGRAM Estimation Fixed Intervals versus Traditional Cell Suppression for Characterizing the Accumulation of HIV-1 Drug on Tabular Employment Data—❖ Steve H. Cohen, Resistance Mutations—❖ Brian Healy, Harvard Bureau of Labor Statistics; Bogong Li, Bureau of School of Public Health; Victor DeGruttola, Labor Statistics Harvard School of Public Health; Marcello 11:00 am Quality-Preserving Controlled Tabular Adjustment: Pagano, Harvard School of Public Health an Alternative to Cell Suppression for Disclosure 8:50 am Inference for Multiple Kappas with Nested and Limitation of Tabular Magnitude Data— Clustered Study Designs: Application to HIV ❖ Lawrence H. Cox, National Center for Health Prevention and Sexual Abuse Research—❖ Yan Statistics Ma, University of Rochester; Xin Tu, University of 11:25 am Combining Synthetic Data and Noise Infusion Rochester for Confi dentiality Protection of the Quarterly 9:05 am On Sensitivity Analysis of HIV-Free Survival— Workforce Indicators—❖ John Abowd, Cornell ❖ Peng Zhang, Harvard University; Stephen W. University; Lars Vilhuber, Cornell University Lagakos, Harvard University 11:50 am Protecting the Confi dentiality of Commodity 9:20 am Hierarchical Poisson Regression Models for HIV Flow Survey Tables by Adding Noise to the Vaccine Studies—❖ Xin Huang, University of Underlying Microdata—❖ Paul B. Massell, U.S. California, Los Angeles; W. John Boscardin, Census Bureau; J. Neil Russell, National Center for University of California, Los Angeles; Elissa Education Statistics Schwartz, Harvey Mudd College 12:15 pm Floor Discussion 9:35 am Hypothesis Testing of Treatment Policies in Two- Stage Randomization Designs in Clinical Trials— 519 CC-603 ❖ Xiang Guo, sanofi -aventis; Anastasios A. ● Monte Carlo Methods for Computationally Tsiatis, North Carolina State University Intensive Problems—Invited 9:50 am Design and Analysis of Neutralizing Antibody Section on Statistical Computing Assays in HIV-1 Vaccine Trials—❖ Yunda Huang,

Seattle 169 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Organizer(s): Yuguo Chen, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Function—❖ Runze Li, Penn State; Jianqing Fan,

Chair(s): Yuguo Chen, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Princeton University; Tao Huang, Yale University Thursday 10:35 am Espousing Modern Computation with Classical 11:00 am Bayesian Model Assessment Using Pivotal Statistics: Suffi ciency, Ancillarity, and a New Quantities—❖ Valen Johnson, M. D. Anderson Generation of MCMC—❖ Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard Cancer Center University 11:25 am Consistent Model Selection and Goodness-of- 11:00 am Conditional Inference in Log-Linear Models: Exact Fit Test for Marginal Regression Analysis of Calculation versus Monte Carlo Approximation— Longitudinal Data—❖ Lan Wang, University of ❖ James Booth, Cornell University Minnesota; Annie Qu, Oregon State University 11:25 am Constrained Sequential Monte Carlo (CSMC)— 11:50 am Semiparametric Modeling in Applications— ❖ Rong Chen, National Science Foundation ❖ Naisyin Wang, Texas A&M University 11:50 am Sequential Monte Carlo for Estimating Ratio of 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Normalizing Constants—❖ Arnaud Doucet, Th e University of British Columbia 522 CC-3A 12:15 pm Floor Discussion ● What Makes a Successful Career in Statistics? Ruminations and Advice from 520 CC-303 Veteran Statisticians who have Made Major ● ✪ Classifi cation of Data with a Large Number Contributions Over the Long Haul—Invited of Polychotomous Variables—Invited Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Education Classifi cation Society of North America, SectionPRELIMINARY on Physical and Organizer(s): Jai Choi, National Center for Health Statistics Engineering Sciences Chair(s): Fritz J. Scheuren, NORC Organizer(s): I-Li Lu, Th e Boeing Company 10:35 am Good (?) Advice for Young Statisticians—❖ Chair(s): Stephen P. Jones, Th e Boeing Company PROGRAM Robert V. Hogg, Th e University of Iowa 10:35 am Similarity Index for Polychotomous Variables— 11:00 am Why Some Statisticians Never Die or Fade Away: ❖ Ranjan K. Paul, Boeing Math Group; I-Li Lu, Refl ections on the Career of Joe Waksberg— Th e Boeing Company ❖ David Morganstein, Westat; Daniel Levine, 11:00 am Learning Accurate Probability Estimates: Why and Westat; Ed Bryant, ; Graham Kalton, Westat ❖ How?— Dragos D. Margineantu, Th e Boeing 11:25 am A Personal ‘10 Commandments’ for a Successful Company; Roman D. Fresnedo, Th e Boeing Career in Biostatistics—❖ Th eodore Colton, Company Boston University 11:25 am Assessing the Risk of Classifi cation Decisions— 11:50 am Disc: Paul S. Levy, RTI International ❖ Roman D. Fresnedo, Th e Boeing Company; 12:10 pm Floor Discussion Dragos D. Margineantu, Th e Boeing Company 11:50 am Disc: Sabyasachi Basu, Th e Boeing Company 12:10 pm Floor Discussion 523 CC-616 ● ✪ Statistical Issues in Emerging Areas in Cancer Research—Invited 521 CC-310 Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR ● ✪ Semiparametric and Nonparametric Organizer(s): Shili Lin, Th e Ohio State University; Jaya M. Satagopan, Modeling and Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center Longitudinal Data—Invited Chair(s): Shili Lin, Th e Ohio State University WNAR, Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 10:35 am DNA Methylation, Aging, and Cancer—❖ Organizer(s): Annie Qu, Oregon State University Kimberly Siegmund, University of Southern Chair(s): Annie Qu, Oregon State University California; Paul Marjoram, University of Southern 10:35 am Analysis of Longitudinal Data with California; Darryl Shibata, University of Southern Semiparametric Estimation of Covariance California

170 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

11:00 am Molecular Classifi cation of Prostate Tumors— Hutchinson Cancer Research Center ❖ Jaya M. Satagopan, Memorial Sloan-Kettering 11:35 am Risk Estimation in Persons at Genetic Risk Thursday Cancer Center of Cancer—❖ Sining Chen, Johns Hopkins 11:25 am Composite MicroRNA Target Predictions and Bloomberg School of Public Health; Edwin S. Comparisons of Several Prediction Algorithms— Iversen, Jr., Duke University; Giovanni Parmigiani, ❖ Jin Zhou, Th e Ohio State University; Vincent Th e Johns Hopkins University Melfi , Michigan State University; Joe Verducci, 11:55 am Disc: Mitchell H. Gail, National Cancer Institute Th e Ohio State University; Shili Lin, Th e Ohio 12:15 pm Floor Discussion State University 11:50 am Disc: Terence P. Speed, University of California, Berkeley 526 CC-609 12:10 pm Floor Discussion Survival Analysis with Medical Applications: Parametric and Nonparametric Adjustment for Survival Function—Invited 524 CC-3B Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR, WNAR Statistical Models of Natural Language Text— Organizer(s): Chaofeng Liu, Eli Lilly and Company Invited Chair(s): Chaofeng Liu, Eli Lilly and Company IMS, Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security 10:35 am Evaluating the Added Value of an Expensive Organizer(s): Michael Collins, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Marker in Predicting Survival—❖ Tianxi Cai, Chair(s): Christopher Genovese, Carnegie Mellon University Harvard University 10:35 am Structured Prediction ProblemsPRELIMINARY in NLP—❖ 11:00 am Adjusted Nelson-Aalen Estimator with Inverse Michael Collins, Massachusetts Institute of Probability of Treatment Weighting—❖ Jun Xie, Technology Purdue University; Chaofeng Liu, Eli Lilly and 11:20 am Statistical Approaches for MachinePROGRAM Translation— Company ❖ Dan Klein, University of California, Berkeley 11:25 am Split Point Estimation for Logistic Regression— 12:05 pm Floor Discussion ❖ Ian McKeague, Columbia University 11:50 am Disc: Gang Li, University of California, Los 525 CC-608 Angeles ● Population-Based Genetic Association Studies: 12:10 pm Floor Discussion Using Genetics/Genomics To Advance Public Health—Invited Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Health Policy Invited Panels 10:30 am–12:20 pm Statistics, WNAR, ENAR Organizer(s): Philip S. Rosenberg, National Cancer Institute 527 CC-2A Chair(s): Philip S. Rosenberg, National Cancer Institute ● ✪ Misuse of Statistical Methodology—Invited 10:35 am Gene-Environment Interaction: Implications for Committee on Applied Statisticians, Section on Statistical Education, Section Public Health and Methodological Challenges— on Statistical Consulting, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences ❖ Ramal Moonesinghe, Centers for Disease Organizer(s): Joyce N. Orsini, Fordham University Control and Prevention; Muin Khoury, Centers Chair(s): Joyce N. Orsini, Fordham University for Disease Control and Prevention Panelists: ❖ Gipsie B. Ranney, Belmont University 10:55 am Candidate Gene Association Studies: Power and ❖ Sample Size Requirements—❖ Bingshu E. Chen, Michael Tveite, Guidant Corporation National Cancer Institute; Philip S. Rosenberg, ❖ Kevin Murphy, Grand Prairie Accessory National Cancer Institute Services 11:15 am Diversity of Haplotype Confi gurations in the ❖ Michael Round, Th eory of Constraints for Human Genome: Implications for Genome-Wide Education Association Studies—❖ Shuying S. Li, Fred 12:15 pm Floor Discussion

Seattle 171 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Topic-Contributed Sessions 10:55 am Staffi ng and Infrastructure Issues Related to

Hand-Held Computer-Based Data Collection in Thursday 10:30 am–12:20 pm the 2004 Nonresponse Follow-up Operation—❖ Darlene Moul, U.S. Census Bureau; Geraldine 528 CC-613 Burt, U.S. Census Bureau ● Assessing Treatment Effect in Cardiovascular 11:15 am Electronic Wage Reporting Customer Satisfaction: Medical Device Clinical Trials—Topic-Contributed a Good News Case Study—❖ Stephen Dienstfrey, Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas, Inc.; Michael Organizer(s): Lilly Yue, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Peter S. Greenberg, U.S. Social Security Administration Lam, Boston Scientifi c Corporation 11:35 am Evaluating the Collection of Global Positioning Chair(s): Yao Huang, U.S. Food and Drug Administration System Coordinates with Hand-Held Computers 10:35 am Using Different Multiple Imputation Strategies in the 2004 Census Test—❖ Diane Barrett, U.S. in Estimating Treatment Effects in Drug-Eluting Census Bureau; Doug Olson, U.S. Census Bureau Stent Trials—❖ Liang Li, Boston Scientifi c 11:55 am Disc: Walter W. Hill, St. Mary’s College of Corporation; Helen Chmiel, Boston Scientifi c Maryland Corporation; Hong Wang, Boston Scientifi c 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Corporation 10:55 am Survival Analysis of Repeated Events in Drug- Eluting Stent Trials—❖ Yongyi Yu, Boston 530 CC-307 Scientifi c Corporation; Jian Huang, Boston ✪ Statistics of Extremes—Topic-Contributed Scientifi c Corporation; PRELIMINARYBrian Johnson, Boston IMS Scientifi c Corporation; Hong Wang, Boston Organizer(s): Liang Peng, Georgia Institute of Technology Scientifi c Corporation Chair(s): Tailen Hsing, Th e Ohio State University 11:15 am Bootstrap Generalized EstimatingPROGRAM Equation for 10:35 am Dependence Estimation and Prediction in Treatment Differences for Randomization Trials Max-Stable Random Fields—❖ Daniel Cooley, with Correlated Data—❖ Duo Zhou, Medtronic, Colorado State University; Philippe Naveau, Inc.; Zengri Wang, Medtronic, Inc. Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de 11:35 am Gender by Treatment Interaction on Coronary l’Environnement; Richard Davis, Colorado State Lesion Revascularization in Drug-Eluting Stent University Trials—❖ Zheng Zhou, Boston Scientifi c 10:55 am Analyzing the Extreme Behavior of Large-Scale Corporation; Liang Li, Boston Scientifi c Meteorlogical Variables Found To Have Infl uence Corporation; Hong Wang, Boston Scientifi c on Severe Storms and Tornadic Events Using Corporation Global Reanalysis Data—❖ Eric Gilleland, 11:55 am Disc: Heng Li, Center for Devices and National Center for Atmospheric Research; Matt Radiological Health Pocernich, National Center for Atmospheric 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Research 11:15 am Variance Reduction in Multiparameter Likelihood Models—❖ Liang Peng, Georgia Institute of 529 CC-201 Technology; Ming-Yen Cheng, National Taiwan New Technology for Data Collection—Topic- University Contributed 11:35 am Bootstrap Confi dence Band for Dependence Section on Government Statistics Functions in Extreme-Value Statistics— Organizer(s): Michael P. Cohen, Bureau of Transportation Statistics ❖ Yongcheng Qi, University of Minnesota, Chair(s): Kennon Copeland, IMS Health Duluth; Liang Peng, Georgia Institute of 10:35 am The Impact of Using Hand-Held Computers To Technology Reduce Count Imputation in the 2004 Census 11:55 am Asymptotically (In)dependent Multivariate Test—❖ Jamie Burnham, U.S. Census Bureau; Maxima of Moving Maxima Processes— Rosemary Byrne, U.S. Census Bureau ❖ Zhengjun Zhang, University of Wisconsin-

172 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Madison Selection and Other Stochastic Processes with ❖ 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Applications to Terrorism— Michael Porter, Thursday University of Virginia; Charles D. Robinson, University of Virginia; Donald E. Brown, 531 CC-607 University of Virginia ● Bayesian Biostatistical Modeling—Topic- 10:55 am Issues in the Analysis of Combat Data—❖ Contributed Michael Last, National Institute of Statistical Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR Sciences Organizer(s): Li-Jung Liang, University of California, Los Angeles 11:15 am Strategies for Validating Complex Simulations— Chair(s): Kaushik Ghosh, New Jersey Institute of Technology ❖ David Banks, Duke University 10:35 am A Bayesian Adaptive Design for Two Drug 11:35 am The Brave New World of Designing Simulation Combination Phase I Clinical Trials—❖ Lu-May Experiments for Defense and Homeland Security Chiang, ; William G. Cumberland, University of Applications—❖ Th omas W. Lucas, Naval California, Los Angeles Postgraduate School; Susan M. Sanchez, Naval 10:55 am A Bayesian Model Selection Approach for Postgraduate School Simultaneous Clustering of Treatment Intercepts 11:55 am Disc: Sarah Michalak, Los Alamos National and Slopes—❖ Susan Alber, University of Laboratory California, Los Angeles; Robert Weiss, University 12:15 pm Floor Discussion of California, Los Angeles 11:15 am Hierarchical Zero-Infl ated Poisson Models— ❖ Warren Comulada, CenterPRELIMINARY for Community 533 CC-2B Health; Robert Weiss, University of California, ✪ Record Linkage—Topic-Contributed Los Angeles Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Statisticians in 11:35 am Using a Bayesian Phylogenetic DualPROGRAM Change-Point Defense and National Security Model To Detect HIV-1 Intrahost Recombination— Organizer(s): William E. Winkler, U.S. Census Bureau ❖ Erik Bloomquist, University of California, Chair(s): Th omas Herzog, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Los Angeles; Christina Kitchen, University Development of California, Los Angeles; Marc A. Suchard, 10:35 am Automatically Estimating Record Linkage False University of California, Los Angeles; Vladimir N. Match Rates—❖ William E. Winkler, U.S. Census Minin, University of California, Los Angeles; Hua Bureau; William E. Yancey, U.S. Census Bureau Guo, University of California, Los Angeles 10:55 am Record Linkage and Automatic Maintenance 11:55 am Hierarchical Post-Processing of Longitudinal Activities—❖ Holly Smith, U.S. Department of Bayesian Phylogenetic Analyses Using Agriculture; Denise Abreu, National Agricultural Semiparametric Regression Models—❖ Li- Statistics Service; Kara Daniel, National Jung Liang, University of California, Los Agricultural Statistics Service; Stan Hoge, Angeles; Robert Weiss, University of California, National Agricultural Statistics Service; Bill Iwig, Los Angeles; Marc A. Suchard, University of National Agricultural Statistics Service California, Los Angeles 11:15 am A Study of String Comparator Performance on 12:15 pm Floor Discussion Census Name Data—❖ William E. Yancey, U.S. Census Bureau 532 CC-602 11:35 am A Comparison of Big Match and the Current NDI ✪ Applications of Modeling and Simulation for Record Selection System Using Artifi cial Data— ❖ Homeland Security—Topic-Contributed Bryan Sayer, Social & Scientifi c Systems, Inc. Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security 11:55 am Using Test Databases To Evaluate Record Linkage Models and Train Linkage Practitioners— Organizer(s): David Banks, Duke University ❖ Michael H. McGlincy, Strategic Matching, Inc. Chair(s): Jeff rey L. Solka, Naval Surface Warfare Center 12:15 pm Floor Discussion 10:35 am Modeling the Interaction between Intelligent Site

Seattle 173 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Regular Contributed Sessions Shui-Ching Chang, Th e Oversea Chinese Institute

of Technology; Tze-Fen Li, National Chung Hsing Thursday 10:30 am–12:20 pm University 11:05 am Bayesian Parameter Estimation of Stable 534 CC-203 Distributions—❖ Ece Oral, Hacettepe University; ● Survey-Based Estimation VI—Contributed Cenap Erdemir, Hacettepe University Section on Survey Research Methods 11:20 am Bayesian Analysis and Model Selection in Closed- Chair(s): James Chromy, RTI International Population, Capture-Recapture Models—❖ Ross 10:35 am Detection Method for the Sources of Change in Gosky, Bucknell University Estimations—❖ Serge Godbout, Statistics Canada 11:35 am Estimation of Parameter Covariance for a 10:50 am Model-Based Approach in Two-Stage Sampling of Penalized Likelihood Approach to Estimation Audit Data—❖ Yan Liu, NORC; Mary Batcher, of Kinetic Models in PET (Positron Emission Ernst & Young LLP Tomography)—❖ Michelle Byrtek, Western 11:05 am Confi dence Interval Coverage in Stratifi ed Sample Washington University; Finbarr O’Sullivan, Design—❖ Jinhee Yang, Ernst & Young LLP; University College Cork Wendy Rotz, Ernst & Young LLP 11:50 am Empirical Bayes Estimation for Additive Hazards ❖ 11:20 am Evaluating a Calibration Weighting Scheme for Regression Models— M. Brent McHenry, Elementary Indexes for Commodities and Services Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Debajyoti Sinha, in the U.S. Consumer Price Index—❖ Sylvia G. Medical University of South Carolina; Stuart Leaver, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Robert A. Cage, Lipsitz, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; Malay PRELIMINARYGhosh, University of Florida Bureau of Labor Statistics; Darin T. Solk, Bureau of Labor Statistics 12:05 pm Floor Discussion 11:35 am Comparing Procedures To EstimatePROGRAM the Measure of Heteroscedasticity and Their Effect on ❖ 536 CC-204 Estimating Totals and Their Variances— Data Collection and Missing Data Issues in Kimberly Henry, Internal Revenue Service; Health Surveys—Contributed Richard Valliant, University of Michigan Section on Health Policy Statistics 11:50 am Power-Shrink Excessive Weights Preferred to Chair(s): Carolyn Rutter, Group Health Cooperative Trimming—Naihua Duan, University of California, Los Angeles; Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University; 10:35 am A New Method To Evaluate the Completeness of ❖ Chihnan Chen, Boston University; Margarita Case Ascertainment by a Cancer Registry— ❖ Alegria, Cambridge Health Alliance Barnali Das, National Cancer Institute; Limin X. Clegg, National Cancer Institute; Eric J. Feuer, 12:05 pm Confi dence Interval Coverage in Complex Model- National Cancer Institute; Linda Pickle, National Based Estimation with Deep Stratifi cation—❖ Cancer Institute Archana Joshee, Ernst & Young LLP; Wendy Rotz, Ernst & Young LLP 10:50 am The Early Release Program of the U.S. National Health Interview Survey—❖ Jeannine Schiller, National Center for Health Statistics; Jane 535 CC-606 Gentleman, National Center for Health Statistics; Bayesian and Empirical Bayesian Models— Eve Powell-Griner, National Center for Health Contributed Statistics Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 11:05 am Providing Health Information to the Public: Chair(s): Lei Qian, University of California, Los Angeles Analysis of National Audience Data for Public ❖ 10:35 am The Analysis of Fluctuating Asymmetry as a Health Communication Planning— William Measure of Developmental Instability—❖ Stefan Pollard, Centers for Disease Control and Van Dongen, University of Antwerp Prevention 10:50 am Empirical Bayes Distribution Rule for 11:20 am Measuring Menses: Issues with Patient-Reported ❖ Classifi cation Using Unsupervised Learning—❖ Menstrual Cycle Assessment— Stephanie Land,

174 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

University of Pittsburgh; Gina Sucato, Children’s ❖ Zheng Zhang, University of Washington

Hospital; Marcie Ritter, University of Pittsburgh; 10:50 am Model Diagnostics for Generalized Linear Mixed Thursday Reena Cecchini, University of Pittsburgh; Sandra Models Using Chi-Square Test—❖ Zhonghua Gu, Swain, National Cancer Institute; Patricia Ganz, University of California, Davis University of California, Los Angeles 11:05 am Single-Sample Predictive Model Validation 11:35 am Childhood Obesity: What’s the Mother’s Marital via Variance Components Estimated through ❖ Status Got to Do with It?— Soma Roy, Th e Resampling and Cross-Validation—❖ Michael Ohio State University; Elizabeth Stasny, Th e Ohio Jones, University of Sydney; Petra Macaskill, State University University of Sydney 11:50 am Floor Discussion 11:20 am Investigating the Categories for Cholesterol and Blood Pressure for Risk Assessment of Death Due 537 CC-205 to Coronary Heart Disease—❖ Billy Franks, Jr., ● Small-Area Estimation—Contributed Astellas Pharma Inc.; Daniel McGee, Sr. , Florida State University Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Georgia Roberts, Statistics Canada 11:35 am Survival and Classifi cation Tree Analyses in Medicine: Usefulness in Identifying the 10:35 am Accounting for Interviewer Variability in Small- Predisposing and Precipitating Health Conditions Area Estimation—❖ Benmei Liu, Westat; Partha and Events Associated with Death—❖ Gail Lahiri, University of Maryland McAvay, Yale University; Mary Tinetti, Yale 10:50 am Using Administrative Records with Model- University School of Medicine; Th omas Gill, Yale Assisted Estimation forPRELIMINARY the American Community University; Heather G. Allore, Yale University Survey—❖ Robert Fay, U.S. Census Bureau 11:50 am Adjusting ROC Curves Estimation for Covariates 11:05 am Small-Area Prevalence Estimates Using two without Gold Standard Tests—❖ Chong Wang, ❖ Surveys— William Davis, NationalPROGRAM Cancer Cornell University; Bruce W. Turnbull, Cornell Institute; Charuta Soman, IMS Health; Zhaohui University; Yrjˆ Grˆhn, Cornell University; S¯ren Zou, Information Management Services, Inc. Nielsen, Th e Royal Veterinary and Agricultural 11:20 am Interval Estimation in Small-Area Problems— University ❖ Snigdhansu Chatterjee, University of 12:05 pm Combination of Multiple Tests by Likelihood and Minnesota; Partha Lahiri, University of Maryland; Bayesian Approaches—❖ Carol Lin, Bristol- Huilin Li, University of Maryland Myers Squibb Company; Lance Waller, Emory 11:35 am Nonparametric M-Quantile Small-Area Estimation University via Penalized Splines—❖ Monica Pratesi, Universit‡ di Pisa; Nicola Salvati, University of Pisa; Maria G. Ranalli, University of Perugia 539 CC-304 ● Climate, Weather, and Health: Novel 11:50 am Using Regression To Combine Information from Multiple Surveys for Small-Domain Estimation— Applications of Spatial and Temporal Analyses— ❖ Takis Merkouris, Statistics Canada Contributed Section on Statistics and the Environment 12:05 pm Using the t-Distribution in Small-Area Estimation: Chair(s): Kristen M. Foley, North Carolina State University an Application to SAIPE State Poverty Models— ❖ ❖ Elizabeth Huang, U.S. Census Bureau; William 10:35 am Predicting Spatial Exceedance Regions— Jian R. Bell, U.S. Census Bureau Zhang, Th e Ohio State University; Noel Cressie, Th e Ohio State University; Peter F. Craigmile, Th e Ohio State University 538 CC-612 10:50 am A Geostatistical Method for Texas NexRad Data ● ✪ Model Diagnostics—Contributed Calibration—❖ Bo Li, Texas A&M University; Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Marian Eriksson, Texas A&M University; Chair(s): Michael Pencina, Boston University Raghavan Srinivasan, Texas A&M University; 10:35 am Semiparametric Estimation of the ROC Surface— Michael Sherman, Texas A&M University

Seattle 175 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

11:05 am Identifying Effect Modifi ers in Air Pollution— Inc.; Jeff Hunter, General Mills, Inc.; Ashwin ❖ Sandrah P. Eckel, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Sridhar, Sighthound Solutions, Inc. Thursday School of Public Health; Th omas A. Louis, Th e 11:50 am Falling into the Data Mine: Nontechnical Errors Johns Hopkins University for Database Model Builders—❖ Sam Koslowsky, 11:20 am Identifying Environmental Risk Factors of Harte Hanks CRM Analytics Childhood Obesity—❖ Rong Qi, Indiana 12:05 pm Churn Modeling in a Noncontractual Setting— University; Gilbert Liu, Indiana University; Jeff rey ❖ Enping Mai, Syracuse University; Raja Velu, Wilson, Indiana University Purdue University Syracuse University Indianapolis; Jun Ying, Indiana University 11:35 am Space Time Analyses of Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania— 541 CC-611 ● ❖ M. Abdus Sattar, University of Pittsburgh Repeated Measures and Longitudinal Data— Contributed 11:50 am Prediction of State Cancer Case Counts and Rates by Hierarchical Spatio-Temporal Models—❖ Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Linda Pickle, National Cancer Institute Chair(s): Irina Kats, BIM, Inc. 12:05 pm Testing for Spatial Dependence Based on the SAR 10:35 am A Multivariate Truncated Model Combined with Model—❖ Hongfei Li, Th e Ohio State University; Multiple Imputation for Longitudinal Data with ❖ Catherine A. Calder, Th e Ohio State University; Nonignorable Missing— Rong Liu, Merck & Noel Cressie, Th e Ohio State University Co., Inc.; Viswanathan Ramakrishnan, Virginia Commonwealth University PRELIMINARY10:50 am Analysis of Longitudinal Trials with Non-MCAR 540 CC-206 Dropouts and Potentially Non-Normal Data: Is Forecasting and Database Modeling in Marketing Weighted GEE the Solution?—❖ Robin Mogg, Applications—Contributed PROGRAMMerck Research Laboratories; Devan V. Mehrotra, Section on Statistics and Marketing Merck Research Laboratories Chair(s): Steve Millard, Probability, Statistics, & Information 11:05 am Analysis of Repeated Measures Random 10:35 am Some Challenges in Sales Forecasting in a Global Length Data—❖ Ana-Maria Iosif, University Automotive Environment—❖ Lynn Truss, of Pittsburgh; Allan R. Sampson, University of GM Research & Development; Satish Sehgal, Pittsburgh GM India Science Lab; Atul Saroop, GM India 11:20 am Jointly Modeling the Dropout Process and Science Lab; Balaji Jidugu, GM India Science Lab; Repeated Categorical Outcome—❖ Yuting Peiling Wu, GM Research & Development; Diane Zhang, MedFocus; Brent J. Shelton, University of Gibbons, GM Research & Development Kentucky 10:50 am An Empirical Analysis of Customized and Dynamic 11:35 am Inference for Skew-Normal Data Using Stochastic Cross-Selling Campaigns—❖ Alan Montgomery, Hellinger Distance Method and Stochastic Carnegie Mellon University; Baohong Sun, MLE—❖ Serena Chan, Cornell University; Anand Carnegie Mellon University; Shibo Li, Indiana Vidyashankar, Cornell University University 11:50 am Identifying Worsening MS Patients Using a 11:05 am A New Methodology to Modeling Prospects of Generalized Mahalanobis Distance Metric— ❖ Corporate Database— Kangkang Xu, Experian ❖ Daniel Bonzo, Serono, Inc. 11:20 am Estimating Factor Effects with Data from 12:05 pm Distributions of Patterns in Markov Chains with ❖ Heterogeneous Experimental Units— Sam Stopping Rules—❖ Francis Hsuan, Temple Weerahandi, Time Warner; Martin Koschat, Time University; Milton Parnes, Temple University; Warner Th omas E. Bradstreet, Merck Research 11:35 am Hybrid GA-Based Constrained Optimization Laboratories and Search for High-Potential Product Confi gurations—❖ Brandon L. Paris, General Mills, Inc.; Lynd D. Bacon, Sighthound Solutions, 542 CC-604

176 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

● Principal Components, Predication, and Sample, Independent, and Correlated Cases—

Optimization—Contributed Kalimuthu Krishnamoorthy, University of Thursday ❖ Business and Economics Statistics Section Louisiana at Lafayette; Yanping Xia, University Chair(s): Kellie Wills, U.S. Census Bureau of Louisiana at Lafayette 10:35 am Likelihood-Based Estimate for the Number of 11:20 am A New Approach for a Linear Combination of ❖ Principal Components—❖ Lifang Hsu, Le Moyne K Multinormal Mean Vectors— Shu-Hui Lin, College; Pinyuen Chen, Syracuse University National Taichung Institute of Technology; Jack C. Lee, National Chiao Tung University 10:50 am Long Run Canonical Correlations: Estimation, Inference, and Usefulness in Econometric 11:35 am Estimation of Multivariate Normal Secondary ❖ Analysis of Time Series—❖ Kalidas Jana, Trinity Parameters in Group Sequential Trials— Kai Fun University; Alastair R. Hall, North Carolina State Yu, National Institute of Child Health & Human University Development; Chengqing Wu, National Institute of Child Health & Human Development; Aiyi 11:05 am Ex Post and Ex Ante Prediction of Unobserved Liu, National Institute of Child Health & Human Multivariate Time Series: a Structural Model- Development Based Approach—❖ Fabio Nieto, National University of Colombia 11:50 am The Median Test for Cluster-Correlated Data— ❖ Rick L. Williams, RTI International; Angela 11:20 am Model-Based Sequence Clustering with Pitts, RTI International Application to Resource Pattern Identifi cation in ❖ B2B Services Engagements—❖ Bonnie K. Ray, 12:05 pm Bivariate Growth Charts— Ying Wei, Columbia IBM T. J. Watson ResearchPRELIMINARY Center; Jianying Hu, University IBM Research 11:35 am Applications of Direct Search Optimization 544 CC-619 Methods—❖ Otto Schwalb, ; TimothyPROGRAM H. Lee, ● Applications of Statistical Graphics— 11:50 am Preliminary Micro Data Results from the Business Contributed List Comparison Project—❖ Lucia Foster, U.S. Section on Statistical Graphics Census Bureau; Joel Elvery, Bureau of Labor Chair(s): Weijie Cai, George Mason University Statistics; C. J. Krizan, U.S. Census Bureau; David 10:35 am Importing Graphics for Statistical Plots—❖ Paul Talan, Bureau of Labor Statistics Murrell, Th e University of Auckland 12:05 pm Establishment Survival Using the BLS Longitudinal 10:50 am An Implemetation of the Grammar of Graphics ❖ Database— Merissa Piazza, Bureau of Labor in R: ggplot—❖ Hadley Wickham, Iowa State Statistics University 11:05 am Visualization Challenges in Internet Traffi c 543 CC-618 Research—❖ Cheolwoo Park, University of Inference for Parameters of Continuous Georgia Distribution—Contributed 11:20 am What Can Match ‘a Daisy a Day’?—❖ Rachel Biometrics Section Graham, Iowa State University; Heike Hofmann, Chair(s): Patches Johnson, Roanoke College Iowa State University 10:35 am Bias-Corrected Point and Interval Estimates for 11:35 am Design Strategies for Sampling in Graphs— Lognormal Mean—❖ Abu Minhajuddin, Th e ❖ James Rosenberger, Penn State; Hong Xu, Penn University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center State; Steve Th ompson, Simon Fraser University at Dallas; Xian-Jin Xie, Th e University of Texas 11:50 am Advanced Sequential Sampling Methods and Their Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas Implementation within a Portable Computing 10:50 am Preliminary Test Estimator for the Mean of Environment—❖ Arunava Chakravartty, Bivariate Normal—❖ Xiaoping Zhu, Novartis University of California, Riverside; Daniel R. Jeske, Pharmaceuticals Corporation; Chien-Pai Han, Th e 12:05 pm Floor Discussion University of Texas at Arlington 11:05 am Inferences on Correlation Coeffi cients: One-

Seattle 177 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

545 CC-614 11:20 am Control of the Family-Wise Error Rate for Multiple

● Semi- and Nonparametric Methods— Correlated Test Outcomes: the Effect of Stress on Thursday Contributed Cytokine Production Prior to Spacefl ight— ❖ Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Alan Feiveson, NASA; Satish Mehta, Enterprise Advisory Services, Inc.; Duane L. Pierson, NASA Chair(s): Donglin Zeng, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Johnson Space Center 10:35 am Improving the Effciency of the Log-Rank Test 11:35 am Effects of Dependencies in High-Dimensional Using Auxiliary Covariates—❖ Xiaomin Lu, North Multiple Testing Problems—❖ Kyung In Kim, Carolina State University; Anastasios A. Tsiatis, Eindhoven University of Technology; Mark A. van North Carolina State University de Wiel, Eindhoven University of Technology 10:50 am Fitting Density Function with Exponential 11:50 am Hypothesis Testing of High-Dimensional Data with Polynomials—❖ Eugene Demidenko, Dartmouth Applicaitons to Medical Image Analysis—❖ Kun Medical School Nie, Boehringer Ingelheim 11:05 am U-Statistics for Right-Censored Data—❖ 12:05 pm Floor Discussion Dipankar Bandyopadhyay, University of Georgia 11:20 am Extension of the Rank Sum Test for Clustered Data: Two Group Comparisons with Group 547 CC-617 Membership Defi ned at the Subunit Level—❖ ● Hypothesis Testing in Genetics—Contributed Bernard Rosner, Harvard Medical School; Robert Biometrics Section, ENAR Glynn, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; Mei-Ling Chair(s): Shrikant I. Bangdiwala, Th e University of North Carolina at Ting Lee, Harvard MedicalPRELIMINARY School Chapel Hill 11:35 am Outputation Permutation: Exact Inference for 10:35 am Testing Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium for Loci Complex Clustered Data—❖ Dean A. Follmann, on the X Chromosome—Gang Zheng, National National Institute of Allergy and InfectiousPROGRAM Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; ❖ Jungnam Joo, Diseases; Michael P. Fay, National Institute of National Institutes of Health; Chun Zhang, Roche Allergy and Infectious Diseases Palo Alto LLC; Nancy L. Geller, National Heart, 11:50 am A New Semiparametric Regression Approach Lung, and Blood Institute for Modeling Group Differences—❖ Qin Yu, 10:50 am A Conditional Test for Finding the Variants that University of Rochester; Xin Tu, University of Explain the Evidence for Association—❖ Baoguan Rochester Ke, Th e University of Chicago 12:05 pm Floor Discussion 11:05 am Improved Association Analyses of Disease Subtypes in Case-Parent Trio Studies— ❖ Glen Satten, Centers for Disease Control and 546 CC-615 Prevention; Michael Epstein, Emory University; Multiple Comparisons and Testing—Contributed Irwin Waldman, Emory University Biometrics Section 11:20 am Analysis of DNA Gene Sequences with the Chair(s): Yongming Qu, Eli Lilly and Company Smith-Waterman Algorithm—❖ William Owen, 10:35 am The Combined p-value for Detecting University of Richmond Differentially Expressed Genes from High Density 11:35 am A New Approach To Performing Segregation Oligonucleotide Arrays—❖ Ann Hess, Colorado Analysis To Detect Imprinting—❖ Sanjay Shete, State University; Hari Iyer, Colorado State M. D. Anderson Cancer Center University 11:50 am Missing Genotypes in TDT—❖ Gulhan Alpargu, 10:50 am A Two-Step Multiple Comparison Procedure for a California State University, Fullerton Large Number of Tests and Multiple Treatments— ❖ Hongmei Jiang, Northwestern University; 12:05 pm Analysis of a Probe-Level Linear Mixed Model for ❖ Rebecca W. Doerge, Purdue University Oligonucleotide Arrays— Alexander Cambon, University of Louisville; Caryn Th ompson, 11:05 am Optimality Results for the Bonferroni Method University of Louisville; Brian Wattenberg, with Large m—❖ Yonggang Lu, Texas Tech University of Louisville University; Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University

178 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

548 CC-610 11:20 am Revisiting Beal’s Confi dence Intervals for the ❖ ● Step Up, Step Down Multiple Comparisons— Difference of Two Binomial Proportions— Thursday Contributed Joshua M. Tebbs, University of South Carolina; Biopharmaceutical Section Scott Roths, Penn State Chair(s): Anna Nevius, U.S. Food and Drug Administration/CVM 11:35 am Normal Approximations for Computing Confi dence Intervals for Log-Location-Scale 10:35 am A Non-Bonferroni Step-Up Rejection Procedure— Distribution Probabilities—❖ Yili Hong, Iowa ❖ Jianjun Li, Merck Research Laboratories State University; William Q. Meeker, Jr., Iowa 10:50 am Gatekeeping Procedures for Dose-Finding State University; Luis A. Escobar, Louisiana State ❖ Problems with Multiple Endpoints— Xin Wang, University Northwestern University 11:50 am Simulation Results To Assess Upper Tolerance 11:05 am Comparison of Two Step-Down Linear Trend Interval Methodology That Adjusts for Multiple ❖ Tests— Kaifeng Lu, Merck & Co., Inc. Nuisance Uncertainties—Greg Piepel, Battelle- 11:20 am A New Gatekeeping Strategy for Hierarchical- PNNL; ❖ Scott Cooley, Battelle; Matthew Paul, Structured Hypotheses in Clinical Trials— Western Washington University ❖ Junyuan Wang, Th e Medicines Company; Yan 12:05 pm Floor Discussion Zheng, University of Minnesota; Guanghan Liu, Merck Research Laboratories 11:35 am Hochberg’s Step-up Method: Cutting Corners off 550 CC-211 ● ✪ Holm’s Step-Down Method—❖ Yifan Huang, H. Anxiety, Ambiguity, and Multiculturalism in Lee Moffi tt Cancer CenterPRELIMINARY & Research Institute; Statistical Education—Contributed Jason Hsu, Th e Ohio State University Section on Statistical Education 11:50 am Testing the Assumption in Several Chair(s): David Swanson, University of Mississippi Amalagamation-Based Tests for DosePROGRAM Response— 10:35 am Ambiguity Intolerance: an Impediment to ❖ Arthur Roth, Pfi zer Inc. Inferential Reasoning?—❖ Robert Carver, 12:05 pm Exploring Dose Response in Flexible-Dose Clinical Stonehill College Trials Using Marginal Structural Models: a Clinical 10:50 am Stochastics Learning Environment: Can a Trial Example—❖ Ilya Lipkovich, Eli Lilly and Professor Identify and Displace Student Statistical Company; Craig Mallinckrodt, Eli Lilly and Anxiety?—❖ Daniel Edelman, Illinois Institute of Company; Douglas Faries, Eli Lilly and Company Technology 11:05 am Investigating Communication within a Multitiered 549 CC-308 Instructional Team—❖ Marian Frazier, Th e Ohio Better Statistical Intervals with Applications— State University; Jackie Miller, Th e Ohio State University Contributed Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences 11:20 am Can You Explain That in Plain English? Making Statistics Group Projects Work in a Multicultural Chair(s): Kevin Coakley, National Institute of Standards and Technology Setting—❖ Michelle R. Sisto, International 10:35 am Adjusting Likelihood Ratio Confi dence Intervals University of Monaco for Parameters Near Boundaries Applied to the 11:35 am Balancing Cultural Differences in Teaching Binomial—❖ Sundar Dorai-Raj, PDF Solutions, Statistics—❖ Huizhen Guo, Xavier University Inc.; Spencer Graves, PDF Solutions, Inc. 11:50 am A Window on Statistical Education at the 10:50 am Parametric 95%–95% Upper Tolerance Limits for University Of Lagos, Lagos, Nigeria—❖ Raymond Left-Censored Lognormal Data—❖ Charles Davis, Okafor, University of Lagos EnviroStat 12:05 pm Floor Discussion 11:05 am Estimating the Variance of the Graybill-Deal Estimator of a Common Mean—❖ Nien Fan Zhang, National Institute of Standards and 551 CC-601 Technology Classifi cation—Contributed

Seattle 179 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Section on Statistical Computing 11:50 am Sequential monitoring of randomization tests: ❖ Chair(s): Samuel Buttrey, Naval Postgraduate School theory and calculation discussion— Yanqiong Thursday 10:35 am Evidence Contrary to the Statistical View of Zhang, Merck & Co., Inc.; William Rosenberger, Boosting—❖ David Mease, San Jose State George Mason University University 12:05 pm On the Relationship between Spearman’s Rho and 10:50 am Adaptive Learning Rate in Stochastic Boosting— Kendall’s Tau for Extreme Order Statistics— ❖ ❖ Mark Culp, University of Michigan; George Yung-Pin Chen, Lewis & Clark College Michailidis, University of Michigan; Kjell Johnson, Pfi zer Inc. 11:05 am Additive Regression Trees and Smoothing Splines - Predictive Modeling and Inference in Hybrid Learning. —❖ Bin Li, Th e Ohio State University; Prem K. Goel, Th e Ohio State University 11:20 am Use of Projection Pursuit in Classifi cation—❖ Li Li, George Mason University; James Gentle, George Mason University 11:35 am Tuned and Guided Adaptive Regression by Mixing—❖ Panayotis Giannakouros, University of Missouri-Kansas City; Lihua Chen, Th e University of Toledo PRELIMINARY 11:50 am Floor Discussion

552 PROGRAMCC-620 ● Rank-Based Statistical Methods—Contributed Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Xiaobin Yuan, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital 10:35 am One-Sample and Multisample Tests for Repeated Measurement—❖ Chien-Hua Wu, Chung-Yuan Christian University; Shu-Mei Wan, Lunghwa University of Science and Technology; Hon-Ron Lin, Chung-Yuan Christian University 10:50 am Test-Based Classifi cation Rule: a Linkage between Classifi cation and Statistical Testing—❖ Shu-Min Liao, Penn State; Michael G. Akritas, Penn State 11:05 am Bayesian Hypothesis Testing Using Nonparametric Statistics—❖ Ying Yuan, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Valen Johnson, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center 11:20 am Asymptotic Effi ciency of the Majority Rule Relative to Rank-Sum Method for Selecting Best Population—❖ Samuel Wu, University of Florida; David Annis, Naval Postgraduate School 11:35 am Nonparametric Methods in Multivariate Factorial Designs—❖ Arne Bathke, University of Kentucky; Solomon W. Harrar, South Dakota State University

180 JSM 2006