02-09-2020
Supporting European Aviation
Exchange of views with EUROCONTROL European Parliament, TRAN meeting
Eamonn Brennan Director General
2 September 2020
Headline Impact of COVID-19 on European Aviation
Lost 970 million Lost 4 million flights Estimated loss of 60% of passengers at European across the network (1 airline passengers airports (1 Jan – 2 Aug Mar – 31 Aug) expected in 2020 2020) [EUROCONTROL] [IATA] [ACI Europe]
Billions EUR in 6 million jobs at airline bailouts & Recovery to 2019 levels risk & thousands already now slipping to 2024 loans by States lost (Airlines, Airports, [IATA] (Lufthansa, Air France, Manufactures, Ground Alitalia, KLM, easyJet, handlers…!) etc.,)
1 02-09-2020
Recovery Milestones-losing momentum
Flights
1 Sept 2020 -55%
Top-40 Airlines (1 Sept Vs 18 August)
Top 5 Airlines Vs 2019 Ryanair -54% easyJet -67% Turkish Airlines -58% Air France -43% Wizz Air -28%
2 02-09-2020
Top-40 Airports (1 Sept Vs 18 August)
Top 4 Airports Vs 2019 Amsterdam -49% Paris CDG -58% Frankfurt -68% London Heathrow -66%
Loss 968 million pax in 2020 by 2 Aug
Aug 2020 Vs Aug 2019
Airport Pax: -69% (provisional)
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Within Europe -44% Vs 2019
To/From Europe -71% Vs 2019
REGION 02-09-2019 31-08-2020 % Intra-Europe 27.771 15.615 -44% Europe<->Asia/Pacific 783 316 -60% Europe<->Mid-Atlantic 171 64 -63% Europe<->Middle-East 1.625 412 -75% Europe<->North Atlantic 1.427 403 -72% Europe<->North-Africa 1.234 283 -77% Europe<->Other Europe 1.266 399 -68% Europe<->South-Atlantic 195 42 -78% Europe<->Southern Africa 312 130 -58% Non Intra-Europe 7.013 2.049 -71%
USA Domestic: -44% USA International: -75%
China Domestic: -13% China International: -70%
Middle-East: -60%
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Traffic Scenarios Produced on 24 April (Actual traffic until 31 Aug)
• Downgrading likely • New traffic scenario’s under development
CO2 Emissions 2019 Vs 2017
CO2 Traffic 2019 +7.5% +3.5% Vs 2017
CO2 Growth Per State (Departing Flights)
10 Source: EUROCONTROL
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CO2 Emissions in COVID (April– July 2020)
CO2 Traffic -77.7% -77.2% April-July 2020 Vs April-July 2019
CO2 Growth Per State (Departing Flights)
Core Roles of EUROCONTROL During COVID
Financial measures (airline charges deferred, ANSP loan facility)
Network coordination and recovery planning
Data for decision-making
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6 02-09-2020
European aviation Then Vs Now Expectations Before COVID Post-Covid-19 World
Recovery by Traffic Would Grow 2023/24?
Fragmented Airspace No change! / Capacity Issues
Carbon Neutral Expectations No change!
Need improved SES framework No change!
Single European Sky Reform “Build Back Better”
• Capacity & Excess CO2 will be issue (2023/24) Now is the time! if we don’t fix the ATM system
• Collaborative Decisions (industry and Build resilience EUROCONTROL Network Manager) • ATM Data Service Providers
Keep Investment • SESAR funding is essential in ATM • Build the Digital European Sky
7 02-09-2020
Support is Needed For:
Need EU Slot waiver Quarantine coordinated Green Recovery SES reform approach extension • Blunt tool • Common •Aviation must be epidemiological risk included in •Give certainty to assessment • As bad as green recovery • Now is the time all stakeholders closure support to Build ATM on the • More predictable programmes back better conditions and and more common (scrappage, timescales •Fear of Getting responses SESAR, SAF,…) Stuck • Urgent - before • Common position • Chance to make Winter deadlines • No public within EU and with further progress confidence 3rd Countries on sustainability
Thank you Eamonn Brennan, Director General @eurocontrolDG
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