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Tracking COVID-19 As Cause of Death: Global Estimates of Relative Severity
Tracking COVID-19 as Cause of Death: Global Estimates of Relative Severity By Philip Schellekens and Diego Sourrouille* May 2020 ABSTRACT: Despite the rapid spread of the COVID-19 pandemic across countries, the global death toll remains highly concentrated in few high-income countries. Reported data suggests the developing world has been largely spared, yet a host of factors, not least demography, suggest that the observed discrepancy in the burden of mortality is likely significantly exaggerated. This paper tracks the severity implied by the reported data and relates it to pre-pandemic mortality patterns to get a feel for the discrepancies and inequalities. An indicator of “relative severity” is proposed to generate global comparisons across countries and over time. The methodology can be utilized to improve tracking systems and detect data anomalies that can then set the stage for further analysis. It should prove useful in getting a better grasp of the distribution and progression of the pandemic if or when the epicenters of the pandemic start shifting to the developing world. JEL: I10, J11 Keywords: Mortality; pandemic. * World Bank Group. Email correspondence: [email protected] and [email protected]. We would like to thank Syud Amer Ahmed, Pablo Cafiero, Marcio Cruz, Carl Dahlman, Indermit Gill, Huade Huo, Matthew Jones, Fabrice Lockefeer, Andrew Mason, Iris Pigeot, Bryce Quillin, Juan V. Sourrouille, Alfred Watkins, Juan Wisnivesky and Shahid Yusuf. 1. Introduction Views about the severity of the COVID-19 outbreak have evolved considerably. The initial outbreak was thought to be confined to China. Soon it spread across Asia and then the rest of the world. -
Near-Death Experiences and the Theory of the Extraneuronal Hyperspace
Near-Death Experiences and the Theory of the Extraneuronal Hyperspace Linz Audain, J.D., Ph.D., M.D. George Washington University The Mandate Corporation, Washington, DC ABSTRACT: It is possible and desirable to supplement the traditional neu rological and metaphysical explanatory models of the near-death experience (NDE) with yet a third type of explanatory model that links the neurological and the metaphysical. I set forth the rudiments of this model, the Theory of the Extraneuronal Hyperspace, with six propositions. I then use this theory to explain three of the pressing issues within NDE scholarship: the veridicality, precognition and "fear-death experience" phenomena. Many scholars who write about near-death experiences (NDEs) are of the opinion that explanatory models of the NDE can be classified into one of two types (Blackmore, 1993; Moody, 1975). One type of explana tory model is the metaphysical or supernatural one. In that model, the events that occur within the NDE, such as the presence of a tunnel, are real events that occur beyond the confines of time and space. In a sec ond type of explanatory model, the traditional model, the events that occur within the NDE are not at all real. Those events are merely the product of neurobiochemical activity that can be explained within the confines of current neurological and psychological theory, for example, as hallucination. In this article, I supplement this dichotomous view of explanatory models of the NDE by proposing yet a third type of explanatory model: the Theory of the Extraneuronal Hyperspace. This theory represents a Linz Audain, J.D., Ph.D., M.D., is a Resident in Internal Medicine at George Washington University, and Chief Executive Officer of The Mandate Corporation. -
Looking Back Featured Stories from the Past
ISSN-1079-7832 A Publication of the Immortalist Society Longevity Through Technology Volume 49 - Number 01 Looking Back Featured stories from the past www.immortalistsociety.org www.cryonics.org www.americancryonics.org Who will be there for YOU? Don’t wait to make your plans. Your life may depend on it. Suspended Animation fields teams of specially trained cardio-thoracic surgeons, cardiac perfusionists and other medical professionals with state-of-the-art equipment to provide stabilization care for Cryonics Institute members in the continental U.S. Cryonics Institute members can contract with Suspended Animation for comprehensive standby, stabilization and transport services using life insurance or other payment options. Speak to a nurse today about how to sign up. Call 1-949-482-2150 or email [email protected] MKMCAD160206 216 605.83A SuspendAnim_Ad_1115.indd 1 11/12/15 4:42 PM Why should You join the Cryonics Institute? The Cryonics Institute is the world’s leading non-profit cryonics organization bringing state of the art cryonic suspensions to the public at the most affordable price. CI was founded by the “father of cryonics,” Robert C.W. Ettinger in 1976 as a means to preserve life at liquid nitrogen temperatures. It is hoped that as the future unveils newer and more sophisticated medical nanotechnology, people preserved by CI may be restored to youth and health. 1) Cryonic Preservation 7) Funding Programs Membership qualifies you to arrange and fund a vitrification Cryopreservation with CI can be funded through approved (anti-crystallization) perfusion and cooling upon legal death, life insurance policies issued in the USA or other countries. -
Living Without Religion the Ethics of Humanism
Spring 1989 Vol. 9, No. 2 $4.00 41( Living Without Religion _The Ethics of Humanism Abortion in Can We Historical Achieve Perspective Immortality? Vern and Bonnie Bullough Cryonics and Other Technologies Carol Kahn Steven B. Harris TE Also: Ted Bundy, Pornography, and Capital Punishment Soviet Atheism and Psychoanalysis Under Perestroika, by Adolf Grü The Gospels as Literary Fiction, by Randel Helms Free Inceirf, SPRING 1989, VOL. 9, NO. 2 ISSN 0272-0701 Contents 3 LETTERS TO THE EDITOR 10 ON THE BARRICADES 62 IN THE NAME OF GOD EDITORIALS 4 Eupraxophy, Ethics, and Secular Humanism, Paul Kurtz and Tim Madigan / Abortion in Historical Perspective, Vern and Bonnie Bullough / The Morality of Unbelief, Tom Flynn / Humanism and the Roots of Morality, Tim Madigan / More On Belief and Morality, Tom Franczyk HUMANIST ETHICS 14 Can We Achieve Immortality? Carol Kahn 19 Many Are Cold But Few Are Frozen: A Humanist Looks at Cryonics Steven B. Harris 25 Humanist Ethics: Eating the Forbidden Fruit Paul Kurtz 30 Scientific Knowledge, Moral Knowledge: Is There Any Need for Faith? Bernard Davis 37 The Inseparability of Logic and Ethics John Corcoran 41 A Theory of Cooperation Leon Felkins ARTICLES 46 Glossolalia Martin Gardner 49 The Study of the Gospels as Literary Fiction Randel Helms 52 Soviet Atheism and Psychoanalysis Under Perestroika Adolf Grünbaum 54 On Ted Bundy, Pornography, and Capital Punishment Vern Bullough, Paul Kurtz 58 An Atheist Handles Life Harry Daum BOOKS 56 Abortion and the Law Mary Beth Gehrman / Books in Brief Editor: Paul Kurtz Senior Editors: Vern Bullough, Gerald Larne Executive Editor: Tim Madigan Managing Editor: Mary Beth Gehrman Special Projects Editor: Valerie Marvin Contributing Editors: Robert S. -
L'he Study of Homicide Caseflow: Creating a Comprebensive Homicide Dataset
If you have issues viewing or accessing this file, please contact us at NCJRS.gov. 144317 U.S. Department {)1 Justice National 'nstltu~e f)f Justice This document has been repr..Jduced exactly as received from th ih~rsJn or organization originating It. Points of View or opinions stated I~ IS ocument are those 01 the authors and do nol necessaril re • the official position or policies of the National Institute of JU~tic~~esent Permission to reproduce Ihis I' len mate' I h b granted by • 9 ria as een PL1.bJic Domain/OTP IRIS U.S. Department ~Justice '- to the National Criminal Jusllce Reference Service (NCJRS). Ffutrthhe~ctlon outside of the NCJRS system requires permission O a_owner. l'he Study of Homicide Caseflow: Creating a Comprebensive Homicide Dataset • Michael R. Rand U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics 633 Indiana Ave. N. W . Washington, D.C. July, 1993 This paper is an updated version of a paper that was presented at the 1992, meeting of the American Society of Criminology in New Orleans, Louisiana. Views expressed are those of the author and do not • necessarily reflect those of the Bureau of Justice Statistics, or the u.s. Department of Justice. • Introduction Historically, studies that have explored the characteristics and causes of homicide have treated it as a homogeneous type of crime. Williams and Flewelling, in their 1988 review of comparative homicide studies, found that research that examined disaggregated homicide rates was the rare exception, rather than the rule. They criticized earlier research that failed to disaggregate homicide estimates, arguing that such an approach "can mask or imprecisely reveal empirical relationships indicative of a differential causal process operating in the social production of criminal homicide." (p.422) In recent years, researchers have advocated treating homicide as a collection of very different types of events linked only by a common outcome. -
Cryonics Magazine, Q1 1999
Mark Your Calendars Today! BioStasis 2000 June of the Year 2000 ave you ever considered Asilomar Conference Center Hwriting for publication? If not, let me warn you that it Northern California can be a masochistic pursuit. The simultaneous advent of the word processor and the onset of the Initial List Post-Literate Era have flooded every market with manuscripts, of Speakers: while severely diluting the aver- age quality of work. Most editors can’t keep up with the tsunami of amateurish submissions washing Eric Drexler, over their desks every day. They don’t have time to strain out the Ph.D. writers with potential, offer them personal advice, and help them to Ralph Merkle, develop their talents. The typical response is to search for familiar Ph.D. names and check cover letters for impressive credits, but shove ev- Robert Newport, ery other manuscript right back into its accompanying SASE. M.D. Despite these depressing ob- servations, please don’t give up hope! There are still venues where Watch the Alcor Phoenix as the beginning writer can go for details unfold! editorial attention and reader rec- Artwork by Tim Hubley ognition. Look to the small press — it won’t catapult you to the wealth and celebrity you wish, but it will give you a reason to practice, and it may even intro- duce you to an editor who will chat about your submissions. Where do you find this “small press?” The latest edition of Writ- ers’ Market will give you several possibilities, but let me suggest a more obvious and immediate place to start sending your work: Cryonics Magazine! 2 Cryonics • 1st Qtr, 1999 Letters to the Editor RE: “Hamburger Helpers” by Charles Platt, in his/her interest to go this route if the “Cryonics” magazine, 4th Quarter greater cost of insurance is more than offset Sincerely, 1998 by lower dues. -
Great Mambo Chicken and the Transhuman Condition
Tf Freewheel simply a tour « // o é Z oon" ‘ , c AUS Figas - 3 8 tion = ~ Conds : 8O man | S. | —§R Transhu : QO the Great Mambo Chicken and the Transhuman Condition Science Slightly Over the Edge ED REGIS A VV Addison-Wesley Publishing Company, Inc. - Reading, Massachusetts Menlo Park, California New York Don Mills, Ontario Wokingham, England Amsterdam Bonn Sydney Singapore Tokyo Madrid San Juan Paris Seoul Milan Mexico City Taipei Acknowledgmentof permissions granted to reprint previously published material appears on page 301. Manyofthe designations used by manufacturers andsellers to distinguish their products are claimed as trademarks. Where those designations appear in this book and Addison-Wesley was aware of a trademark claim, the designations have been printed in initial capital letters (e.g., Silly Putty). .Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Regis, Edward, 1944— Great mambo chicken and the transhuman condition : science slightly over the edge / Ed Regis. p- cm. Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 0-201-09258-1 ISBN 0-201-56751-2 (pbk.) 1. Science—Miscellanea. 2. Engineering—Miscellanea. 3. Forecasting—Miscellanea. I. Title. Q173.R44 1990 500—dc20 90-382 CIP Copyright © 1990 by Ed Regis All rights reserved. No part ofthis publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher. Printed in the United States of America. Text design by Joyce C. Weston Set in 11-point Galliard by DEKR Corporation, Woburn, MA - 12345678 9-MW-9594939291 Second printing, October 1990 First paperback printing, August 1991 For William Patrick Contents The Mania.. -
Guideline Completion of Death Certificates
Department of Health Center for Health Statistics Guideline Revised – 2/23/17 Title: Completion of Death Certificates Number: CHS D-10 References: RCW 70.58.170 Contact: Daniel O’Neill, Senior Policy Analyst Phone: 360-236-4311 Email: [email protected] Effective Date: February 23, 2017 Approved By: Christie Spice The Department of Health provides this guideline for medical certifiers of death certificates. Medical certifiers include allopathic and osteopathic physicians, physician assistants, advanced registered nurse practitioners, chiropractors, coroners and medical examiners to follow when completing death certificates. The Department receives complaints that health care providers fail to complete death certificates in a timely manner or fail to accurately list the cause of death on the death certificate. The death certificate provides important information about the decedent and the cause of death. Death certification errors are common and range from minor to severe. Under RCW 70.58.170, a funeral director or person having the right to control the disposition of human remains must present the death certificate to the medical certifier last in attendance upon the deceased. The medical certifier then has two business days to certify the cause of death according to his or her best knowledge and sign or electronically approve the certificate, unless there is good cause for not doing so. The medical certifier should register cause and manner of death information through the Washington State Electronic Death Reporting System (EDRS). The EDRS facilitates timely registration of the death and rapid collection of cause and manner of death information. The EDRS can be found at https://fortress.wa.gov/doh/edrs/EDRS/. -
The Importance of Planning Funeral & Cemetery Arrangements
THE IMPORTANCE OF PLANNING FUNERAL & CEMETERY ARRANGEMENTS When there is a death, the family almost always experiences shock, grief and a sudden change in their lives. The staggering number of complicated arrangements for a funeral and burial makes it more difficult. And, very few people are aware of the high cost and complexity of last-minute arrangements. Here is a list of 67 things the survivors must face when there is a death in the family. With the help of this kit and our guidance, many of these last-minute needs can be arranged in advance. You can then be assured that your family will be spared much of this burden and expense. Notify Immediately: q 34. Name of business, address, telephone q 35. Occupation and title q 1. The doctor or doctors q 36. Social Security Number q 2. The Funeral Director q 37. Veterans Serial Number q 3. The cemetery q 38. Date of birth q 4. All relatives q 39. Place of birth q 5. All friends q 40. U.S. Citizenship q 6. Employer of deceased q 41. Parent 1 name q 7. Employers of relatives missing work q 42. Parent 1 birthplace q 8. Insurance Agents (life, health, etc.) q 43. Parent’s maiden name q 9. Organizations (religious, civic, etc.) q 44. Parent 2 birthplace q 10. Newspapers for the obituary q 45. Religious name (if any) Decide and Arrange Immediately: Collect Documents q 11. Select Funeral Director All of this information is required to establish rights for q 12. Meet with Funeral Director insurance, pension, Social Security, etc. -
Scott Douglas Jacobsen In-Sight: Independent Interview-Based Journal Interviews 01/14/2017
SCOTT DOUGLAS JACOBSEN IN-SIGHT: INDEPENDENT INTERVIEW-BASED JOURNAL INTERVIEWS 01/14/2017 An Interview with Lawrence Hill (Part Two) on January 8, 2017 An interview with Lawrence Hill. He discusses: the motivation for compassionate truth; religious or secular worldview influencing it; long time to write novels and this as either part of habit or personality; view on books in terms of their personal importance; strengths and weaknesses of the writing style; reason for writing more non-fiction than fiction; importance of nearly dying; importance of Malcolm X as an influence on him; influence of Martin Luther King on him; meaning of blood to him; and the dangers of associating blood with race or religion. Keywords: author, blood, Lawrence Hill, Malcolm X, Martin Luther King, novelist, race, religion, writer. An Interview with Lawrence Hill (Part One) on January 1, 2017 An interview with Lawrence Hill. He discusses: geographic, cultural, and linguistic family background; familial influence on development; parents’ love story; influence on parents’ relationship on him; influences and pivotal moments in major cross-sections of life; being read to each night by his mother; journalistic experience influencing writing to date; self-editing for writers; number of drafts; singer- songwriter brother, Dan Hill, influence on professional work; recommended songs for listening pleasure by Dan; affect of Karen Hill’s mental illness and death on him; advice for coping with the emotional pain; Café Babanussa (2016) and an essay inside called On Being Crazy; and Karen’s written work and impact on him. Keywords: author, Canadian, Dan Hill, Karen Hill, Lawrence Hill, novelist, writer. -
Cause and Manner of Death
Cause and Manner of Death Cause of death is a medical opinion which is expressed in two parts. The first is a description of the condition or conditions which directly led to death. When multiple, they are listed in reverse chronological order. The first condition listed is the immediate cause of death, i.e. the condition which caused the individual to die at that time and in that place. The last condition listed is the proximate (or underlying) cause of death, i.e. the condition which started a chain of events leading to death. In some cases, these are one and the same—for example, “Toxic effects of cocaine”. More commonly, the chain has multiple links. For instance, if an individual suffered brain injury from a fall and, while bedridden and unconscious, developed pneumonia which led to death, his or her cause of death could be listed as, “Pneumonia, due to blunt force head trauma, due to fall.” The second part of the cause of death statement is a list of conditions which did not directly cause death but were contributing factors. For instance, the individual in the example above might have had severe emphysema and, because of this, have been at increased risk of developing pneumonia. Manner of death is a medicolegal determination that groups deaths into categories for public health purposes. It is based upon the proximate cause of death. In the example above, although the immediate cause of death was pneumonia, the proximate cause was a fall. Therefore, the manner of death is accident. An excellent description of the five commonly used manners of death is provided by the National Association of Medical Examiners: “Natural deaths are due solely or nearly totally to disease and/or the aging process. -
N E W S L E T T
PUBLISHED BY THE CRYONICS INSTITUTE ISSUE 03 | 2020 Cryonics insights and information for members and friends of the Cryonics Institute NEWSLETTER cryonics.org • [email protected] • 1 (866) 288-2796 CI BULLETIN I am proud to be a part of this history, and happy to report the Cryonics Institute continues to expand. Most notably, we are completing the improvements on our second facility. We are currently reviewing and finalizing plans to retrofit the facility with a bulk LN2 tank and insulated supply lines for the cryostats that will be used to store patients once the existing facility reaches capacity. On the financial front, the CI Board of Directors continues to monitor investments and operations to ensure the long term solvency of our organization. Despite challenges related to the covid epidemic, operations and patient care remain out- standing and have not slipped in the least. However, there are still some poor outcome situations that result directly from patient next of kin who are hostile to cryonics. Hello Everyone, In numerous issues of this magazine as well as in articles on our web site and our other social media venues we continue I hope you are all doing well during these trying times. With to stress the critical importance of identifying, planning and Covid, world politics, and a spattering of civil unrest it can be preparing for circumstances and situations that could cause a little depressing, but cryonicists are indeed a rare breed. a person to not be suspended. Historically, the two biggest We are known for thinking outside the box and rising above factors have been when family or friends actively block a any negative consensus.