china law and society review 2 (2017) 154-176
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Disaggregating the Court: A Methodological Survey of Research on the Supreme People’s Court of China
Taisu Zhang Yale Law School [email protected]
Abstract
This article surveys recent academic literature on the Supreme People’s Court of Chi- na, sorting existing studies into three basic categories: those that study what the Court is allowed to do, those that study what it actually does, and those that study why it does those things. Moving from the first category to the second and third is, in many ways, a progression from a predominantly formalist method to more realist ones. The article argues that the field suffers from a lack of rigorous political economy modeling and that this affects not only the thoroughness of studies in the third category, but also those in the first and second categories. Remedying these problems will depend on whether future scholarship can successfully make use of the theoretical and empirical tools developed by political science and institutional economics. Most importantly, the field needs to develop a usable model of individual judge behavior, based on their material incentives, political aspirations, and ideological commitments, which can then provide the foundation for modeling of the Court as an institution. At the early stage, ethnography and bibliographical analysis may be more useful than quantitative analysis.
Keywords adjudication – Chinese judiciary – legal reform – political economy – Supreme People’s Court of China
* The author thanks Sue Trevaskes for comments and feedback and the Applied Legal Studies Institute of the Supreme People’s Court of China for hosting a workshop on a draft of this paper.
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Introduction
The Supreme People’s Court of China (spc) is, despite its formal title, a hy- brid adjudicative, administrative, and legislative institution (Finder 1993; Fu 2015; Liebman 2007; Peerenboom 2002). It is China’s highest court, with final review power over legal cases. At the same time, it is the central—but not the sole—administrator of the Chinese court system, overseeing the institutional structure, compensation models, and personnel of lower courts. Finally, it is a limited but nonetheless important player in national legislation, with powers that can only be described as legislative. Underlying all these functions is the basic reality that the spc, like any other court in China, is a substantially politi- cal entity that is both theoretically and practically subsumed within the Party- state system and ultimately subject to its monitoring and control. Perhaps because of its hybrid nature, academic research on the Court has varied significantly in focus, methodology, and conclusions: Scholars often zero in on the Court’s semipolitical nature, citing it as an example of how China has lacked the “rule of law,” however defined and evaluated (Cohen 1969; He 1997; Lubman 1999; Xu 2002).1 Adopting a top-down perspective that looks primarily at the Court’s somewhat vulnerable legal and political posi- tion within the Party-state, these studies can easily—and, to some extent, ac- curately—describe the Court as easily compromised by external political and ideological pressure. More recently, scholars have attempted to move beyond this sweepingly negative assessment, looking more carefully at the Court’s in- ternal institutions and functions (Hou 2007; Ip 2011; Peerenboom 2010). Even if the Court lacks the legal authority to conduct, for example, constitutional review, and is subject to nominal control by other Party organs, does that nec- essarily mean that it cannot effectively function as a court of highest appeal over nonconstitutional matters? Do the Party’s periodic episodes of ideologi- cal tightening substantially interfere with the Court’s legal and administrative functions and, if so, to what extent? As we get into the institutional weeds, “external political influence” often becomes less visible, whereas the legal and administrative agency of judges comes to the forefront. At the same time, a more details-oriented approach can lead to analytical confusion. The Court appears very different if we focus on its administrative rule-making function, vis-à-vis its adjudicative one, or its interpretative/legislative one. This article surveys some of this highly varied and often uneven literature, identifies gaps, and suggests ways to fill them, sorting existing studies into three basic categories: those that study what the Court is allowed to do, those
1 This literature has been criticized by Randall Peerenboom (2010) and Zhu Suli (2009).
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1 The Court’s Institutional Boundaries
For many scholars who study Chinese law, the central question surrounding the spc is some variation of “what is the Court allowed to do?” (Cohen 1969; Fu 2016, 2003; He 1997; Liebman 2007; Lubman 1999; Minzner 2011; Wang 2015; Xu 2002). It is a truism, of course, to state that the Court operates—and has always operated—under significant constraints, both institutional and political. The far more substantive question is “how much” and, by extension, “what kinds of powers are left to the Court in view of these constraints?” Every study on the spc must, at some level, grapple with these issues, as they are logical pre- requisites for virtually every other question one can ask about the Court. For example, a project on how the Court uses prior decisions as legal precedents must necessarily include an inquiry into whether the Court is subject to any external constraints in developing and employing precedents. Similarly, it is logically impossible to understand the spc’s institutional incentives regarding any specific issue without first knowing what kinds of constraints and pres- sures it faces. Apart from these analytical necessities, the issue of constraints has com- manded, and continues to command, so much scholarly attention largely be- cause it plays a central role in the “rule of law” debates that have dominated the Chinese law world for much of the past three decades. The argument often runs as follows: For China to have true “rule of law”—even in the narrow sense that laws are consistent obeyed—it must have a truly independent and pro- fessional judiciary, preferably one with sufficient constitutional and admin- istrative review powers that allow it to effectively check the power of other branches of government (Fu 2003; Ji 2002; Liebman 2007; Lubman 1999).2 Cor- respondingly, how independent and powerful the judiciary, and specifically the spc, is at any given time is often used as a barometer for how far China has progressed in its “long march,” as one scholar famously put it, “towards the rule of law.”3 Removing constraints on the Court’s authority was, for a time, virtually synonymous with constitutional progress. The enormous time and energy that scholars devoted to parsing the Qi Yuling case is probably the best example of this (Hand 2016; Kellogg 2009; Lin and Ginsburg 2015; Zhu 2010).
2 The force of this academic consensus can be observed, for example, in Building Constitution- alism in China (Balme and Dowdle 2009), which contains essays by many of the core figures in the field: with the exception of Zhu Suli, every author adheres to the consensus. 3 The phrase comes from Peerenboom (2002), although he is actually rather skeptical of this measure.
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Scholars both within and outside China have begun to question whether con- stitutional review conducted by the spc is indeed a necessary condition for the rule of law or even a desirable one (Hand 2011; Lin and Ginsburg 2015; Zhu 2009), but, for the most part, legal academics continue to advocate strongly for judicial reviews. Scholars have studied these shackles at two different levels: a relatively stable institutional—indeed constitutional—level and a rapidly evolving po- litical level. The deals with formal legal definitions of the Court’s authority, as expressed in the Chinese constitution, statutory law, case decisions, and for- mal regulations. It has experienced some change over the years but only at a slow and hesitant pace.4 The basic observations made in earlier studies, such as those by Susan Finder (1993), Stanley Lubman (1999), and Randall Peeren- boom (2002), still largely hold true even today: The Court’s major realms of authority—adjudication, administration of the judiciary, and issuing legal in- terpretations—have remained unchanged since the 1980s. Furthermore, it is still subject to the oversight of the Political and Legal Affairs Commission and is, of course, under the leadership of the Chinese Communist Party. For a short time (2001–2008), the Qi case offered a weak but tantalizing possibility that the Court might gain some power of constitutional review, but when it was overturned in 2008, that possibility seemed to be shut down for the foresee- able future (Hand 2016; Lin and Ginsburg 2015; Zhu 2010). More recently, the Court, along with the other two branches of the law enforcement apparatus, gained the ability to issue “guiding cases,” which, as explained by senior judges on the Court, would function as the Chinese equivalent of American case law, thereby potentially giving the Court a new dimension of authority (Ahl 2014; Deng 2015; Gurgel and Yu 2012; Jia 2016; Limmer 2013). A wave of studies fol- lowed each and every one of these developments, and most of them came, eventually, to the conclusion that not much had changed institutionally and that the Court’s formal boundaries remained similar to those twenty or thirty years earlier. The guiding cases system may yet change this, but so far it has not substantially altered the status quo. The second level—political control and interference—is where the real ac- tion takes place. Institutionally, the Party leads and oversees the Court, but the much more interesting question is precisely how it prefers to lead and oversee, which is something that, for the past decade or two, has seemed to change dramatically every couple of years. Since 2008, when Xiao Yang stepped down
4 The relative lack of formal institutional change can be observed in the basic similarity of the descriptions given by Finder (1993), Fu (2015), Liebman (2007), and Peerenboom (2002), despite the passage of over two decades.
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5 The major exception is Wang (2015).
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2 How the Court Actually Operates
As the above discussion already suggests, the papers that I group into the second category often share the same subject matter as those in the first category— for example, recent papers in both categories make significant mention of the new guiding cases system—but they approach that subject matter from a different perspective. The papers in the first category focus on the powers, new or old, granted to the spc, whereas those in the second category focus on how the Court actually exercises them. Occasionally, the latter are con- structed purely as descriptive projects with no further ambitions, but, more often, the descriptive analysis supplies the empirical foundation for some sort of broader agenda: For example, some papers in the second category attempt, as noted above, to measure the boundaries of the Court’s authority by map- ping its actual exercise of power—and therefore can double as papers in the first category (Minzner 2011; Zang 2010). Alternatively, some scholars have at- tempted to evaluate whether the Court can competently or equitably exercise its allocated authority (Hou 2005; Li 2009). Yet another group of papers focuses on unpacking the Court’s behavioral tendencies and incentives: why it acts the way it does. Due to its specific methodological challenges, this kind of project is perhaps best treated as a separate analytical category and is the subject of Section 3. Because of the common concern—one is tempted to say obsession—with measuring the boundaries of the Court’s authority, many, arguably most, pa- pers in the second category focus on the more politically charged and contro- versial aspects of the Court’s operation. A highly visible subgroup of studies focuses, for example, on the general reform slogans the Court issues from time
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6 Such studies focus, in particular, on the Xiao Yang–Wang Shengjun transition that led to the rhetorical rise of “legal populism.” See, for example, Liebman (2011) and Minzner (2011). 7 Occasionally, commentaries on specific judicial interpretations emerge—for example, Buf- ford (2017) and Chen and Li (2016)—but few, if any, new studies on the institutional mecha- nisms and structures through which these interpretations have appeared. 8 There are a few exceptions, for example, Trevaskes (2013).
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2014; Ma 2014; Minzner 2015; Schultz 2016; Zheng and Shan 2015). Whatever emphasis on mediation and other forms of “judicial populism” existed under Wang Shengjun has largely been withdrawn. Third, as already suggested above, the Court is an enormously complex entity that does not easily lend itself to uniform ideological characterization (Zhang 2012). Slogans and initiatives that can appear contradictory—judicial professionalization and populism, for example—sometimes emerge simulta- neously, often without formal explanation. This suggests that, at the very least, the Court can be the target of competing sources of pressure and must some- times balance divergent incentives. It is undoubtedly influenced—to some ex- tent, controlled—by the political directives of the Party leadership, but it has shown both the desire and the capacity to pursue other, potentially competing, objectives. This is hardly the only source of tension in the Court’s regular op- eration, but it is likely the most important one. If nothing else, these basic conclusions constitute a fairly strong rejection of the old and somewhat common notion that the Court is merely a pawn of the Party leadership (Ip 2011; Zhang 2012). Quite the opposite—it possesses considerable institutional agency over a large, and growing, swathe of legal affairs and can sometimes resist (subtly, to be sure) the general rhetorical ex- hortations of the Party leadership. No external entity—not the Political and Legal Affairs Commission and not the more distant Politburo—is capable of monitoring and controlling the Court’s operations with any kind of regularity, nor does there seem to be much interest in doing so. When left to its own de- vices, the spc seems to prefer judicial professionalization over populism and court-centric, formal modes of dispute resolution over the alternatives. In oth- er words, most of the time it acts like a conventional “highest court of the land,” even though it lacks the power of constitutional review. It should be studied as such and not merely as an entity of some moderate political intrigue. But this is only a shallow and preliminary conclusion that leads to a number of deeper and more interesting ones: Is the Court competent at what it does? Correspondingly, should its powers be expanded or further constrained? More fundamentally, why does it act the way it does? What incentives, pressures, and constraints influence its operation? In other words, what would an actual “behavioral theory of the Court”—one that has the ability to both explain past fact patterns and predict future ones—look like? Building a “behavioral theory of the Court” is not merely an academic at- tempt to understand it at a deeper level but also a necessary step if we are to make any normative claims about it, including its potential role in constitu- tional review or other forms of power balancing. Take, for example, the simple question of institutional competence: no logically reliable way of evaluating
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3 Behavioral Theories of the Court
As noted above, a traditional—and common—view of the Court is that it is predominantly a loyal foot soldier of the Party leadership. If one peers more
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9 The most infamous example is probably the “Three Supremes” slogan issued in Wang (2008). This concept had actually made its debut in late 2007 speeches by Hu Jintao, then general secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, but it was Wang’s vigorous advocacy that alerted the Chinese legal world to its potential ramifications for judicial reform.
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4 Toward a Behavioral Model
The first step in creating a behavioral model of spc judges is to compile a list of the factors that potentially influence their legal and administrative thinking. At the most foundational level, judges of all ranks are rewarded for display- ing legal expertise and can suffer serious reputational and institutional con- sequences if they make legal mistakes. But this basic incentive to apply and interpret the law in a professional manner is easily obstructed and occasion- ally overridden by other incentives. This includes the need to avoid reprimand and sanction by the Party leadership, the desire for greater sociopolitical pres- tige and status, the need to secure high-quality exit opportunities, the desire for financial comfort, and, more recently, the need to avoid the sweeping anti- corruption measures implemented under the Xi Jinping administration. The lack of judicial tenure and institutional independence in the Chinese court system tends to multiply and complicate the material considerations that its members must juggle, and spc judges and justices are no exception. Even a cursory glance shows that these incentives are often at odds with one another. spc justices gain in power and prestige when the Court’s author- ity expands relative to other branches of government and when the judiciary becomes more independent, but rapid movement in these directions can eas- ily arouse suspicion and hostility from the Party leadership, as it did during the lead-up to Wang Shengjun’s appointment. Similarly, the calculus on what, exactly, generates good exit opportunities is murky. On the one hand, former
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10 For an in-depth survey of these various ideological strands, see Seppänen (2016).
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(Bendor and Swistak 2001; Ellickson 2001). The Court, like most bureaucratic bodies, imposes great homogeneity on its members, especially through its personnel decisions: promotion is based at least partly on one’s personal and ideological compatibility with superiors, which ensures a large amount of behavioral continuity both across time and within chains of patronage. This substantially narrows the range of behavioral possibilities that scholars must consider and justifies approaching the Court from a top-down perspective. One of the most obvious steps that scholars can take—but have yet to attempt—is to produce an in-depth biographical study of one or more justices: their personal journey through the judicial system, their speeches, published opinions, academic publications, and, if available, private writings as well as the impressions they left on colleagues and superiors. spc justices are usu- ally secretive and cautious, but the nature of their work demands that they leave a substantial paper trail. A serious qualitative study of these paper trails would provide a firm foundation for potential analytic abstraction and further modeling. Such a study would not be unlike an academic biography, although it would ideally be more mindful of the relevant theoretical and institutional literature than most biographies tend to be. For now, at least, the most rewarding angles for studying the spc will likely be qualitative, rather than quantitative. Far more than lower courts, the spc is secretive, and available public data is scarce enough to render most forms of quantitative analysis infeasible. More importantly, modeling requires at least some assumptions on the interactive patterns between the factors list- ed above: Otherwise, one would not know what factors to control for, which to use as independent variables and which to disintegrate into functions of other variables. In many cases, these assumptions must be made prior to em- pirical testing, but they cannot be made without some in-depth understand- ing of how spc judges and justices think. Therefore, given that very little work has been done on these issues, qualitative analysis should probably precede quantification. All in all, research on the spc now stands at a somewhat less developed level than research on local courts. The field has yet to develop a sophisticated understanding of individual incentives, whether of spc judges or of the politi- cal actors with whom they with on a daily basis. This has prevented scholars from developing truly systemic and falsifiable theories of the Court’s operation and behavior or even of its institutional powers and limitations. To address these issues, this chapter proposes a “reset” of sorts: a “descent” of our research methodology from the aggregate institutional level to a combination of institu- tional analysis and individual-level biography and modeling. This would bring the field more in line with conventional “best practices” in the social sciences
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