whatsontheballot.com What’s on the ballot? 2020 General / Created by Daniel Nichanian / @taniel

i This cheatsheet of election night 2020 are updated with Table of contents results of the election, as of December 13, 2020. 1 U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races 2 U.S. House races 3 The Presidency You can access this document, as well as a spread- 4 State legislative control sheet that contains more information and the swing 5 Prosecutors and sheriffs of each legislative chamber, at whatsontheballot.com. 6 Statewide offices: A.G., SoS, Justices Content represents my views alone. 7 - 8 Referenda 9 Other local elections 10 Maps

All races D R i Democrats need to pick up a net U.S. Senate Net swing: Control: 3 seats to retake the Senate if Biden wins, 4 if not.

Currently Democratic held Currently Republican held Result Pick up? Result Pick up? Result Pick up? Alabama Alaska Mississippi Delaware Arizona Montana Illinois Arkansas Nebraska Mass. Colorado N. Carolina Michigan Idaho Oklahoma Minnesota Iowa S. Carolina N. Hampshire Kansas S. Dakota New Jersey Kentucky Tennessee New Mexico Louisiana Texas Oregon Runoff? W. Rhode Island Maine Wyoming Virginia Georgia’s two Senate races: Both currently Republican-held seats Regular Special (Purdue seat) Runoff? (Loeffler seat) Runoff? Georgia will hold a top-two runoff on Jan. 5, 2021 if no candidate receives 50% for either race.

All races Governor Net swing: +1 GOP i Current: D: 24 seats; R: 26 seats. Currently Democratic held Currently Republican held Result Pick up? Result Pick up? Result Pick up? Delaware Indiana Utah Montana Missouri Vermont N. Carolina N. Hampshire W. Virginia Washington N. Dakota

Last updated December 13, 2020 Designed by Yonah Freemark / @yfreemark 2 whatsontheballot.com

D R i Republicans need to pick up a net U.S. House Net swing: Control: 18 seats to retake the House.

GOP held: Potential for All districts won by Clinton in 2016 (6 seats) Result Pick up? Result Pick up? Result Pick up? Result Pick up? CA-25 NC-06 PA-01 TX-23 NC-02 NY-24

Competitive districts won by Trump in 2016 (33 seats)* AK-AL IL-13 NC-09 PA-10 AR-02 IN-05 NC-11 TX-03 AZ-06 MI-03 NE-02 TX-10 CA-04 MI-06 NJ-02 TX-21 CA-22 MN-01 NY-01 TX-22 CA-50 MO-02 NY-02 TX-24 CO-03 MT-AL OH-01 VA-05 FL-15 NC-08 OH-12 WA-03

GA-07 *District usually included if one of the following forecasters list it as non-safe: Cook Political, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, Daily Kos Elections

Democratic held: Potential for All districts won Trump in 2016 (30 seats) AZ-01 MI-08 NJ-07 PA-08 GA-06 MI-11 NM-02 PA-17 IL-14 MN-02 NY-11 SC-01 IL-17 MN-07 NY-18 UT-04 IA-01 NV-03 NY-19 VA-02 IA-02 NH-01 NY-22 VA-07 IA-03 NJ-03 OK-05 WI-03 ME-02 NJ-05

Competitive districts won by Clinton in 2016 (6 seats)* CA-10 CA-48 OR-04 WA-08 CA-21 FL-26 *District usually included if one of the following forecasters list it as non-safe: CA-39 FL-27 Cook Political, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, Daily Kos Elections Other unexpected pickups

Two open all-Democratic run-offs

CA-53 Jacobs WA-10 Strickland Democratic incumbents face Democratic challengers in: CA-12, CA-18, CA-29, CA-34, CA-38, and CA-44. 3 whatsontheballot.com

The Presidency Who won the popular vote? Biden Who won the electoral vote? Biden

NH D1 4 WA ME 12 2 D2 VT 3 ND VT MT MA 3 3 NH MN 11 OR NY MA 7 10 29 RI WI CT ID RI 4 4 SD 10 3 MI CT WY 16 PA 3 NJ 7 IA 20 NE MD NJ 2 6 OH DE 14 D1 D2 D3 IL IN 18 DC NV UT 20 11 WV DE 6 VA 3 6 CO 5 13 CA 9 KS MO KY MD 55 8 6 10 NC 10 TN 15 DC 11 3 AZ OK SC 7 AR 9 11 NM 6 5 AL GA MS 16 A state is left blank if at 6 9 i LA least one of the Cook TX 8 38 Political Report, Inside FL Elections, or Sabato’s AK 29 Crystal Ball rate it in 3 the “lean” or “toss-up” HI 4 categories.

Biden is likely to have 212 Trump is likely to have 103 electoral votes in the bag, from electoral votes in the bag, from California, Colorado, Connecticut, DC, Delaware, Hawaii, Alabama, Arkansas, Idaho, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Illinois, Maine (State, D1), Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Nebraska (state, D1, D3), N. Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, New Jersey, New Mexico, , Rhode S. Carolina, S. Dakota, Tennessee, Utah, W. Virginia, and Island, Washington, Virginia, and Vermont Wyoming

250 200 150 100 50 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 270 Leaving 223 electoral votes on the path to 270...

3 Alaska 11 Arizona 29 Florida 16 Georgia 6 Iowa 6 Kansas 1 Maine-D2 16 Michigan 10 Minnesota 10 Missouri

3 Montana 1 Nebraska-D2 4 N. Hampshire 6 Nevada 15 N. Carolina 18 Ohio 20 Pennsylvania 38 Texas 10 Wisconsin

Biden 212 + 94 = 306 Trump 103 + 129 = 232 4 whatsontheballot.com

Listed if somewhat competitive. Control of state legislative chambers * Watching closely. Currently Democratic held Result Flip? Result Flip? Result Flip? AK-House NH-House NY-Senate MN-House NH-Senate WA-Senate

Currently GOP held Result Flip? AZ-House* GA-Senate MI-House* PA-House AZ-Senate* GA-House MN-Senate* PA-Senate FL-Senate IA-House NC-Senate TX-House* NC-House

Can Democrats gain or keep supermajority? VT-Hse. Can GOP gain or keep supermajority? NE-Sen. No CA-Sen. Yes NY-Sen. Yes NV-Sen. No No KS-Sen. Yes KS-Hse. Yes WI-Sen. No WI-Hse. No

Key legislative districts to watch that are likely to decide partisan control or supermajorities Arizona Senate Iowa House N. Carolina House New York Senate Texas House LD6/17/28 (GOP-held) HD16/37/55/67/73/82/ HD9/20/45/63/59/74/82 SD1/4/41/46/50/51/55/ HD26/28/54/64/66/67/92/ Arizona House 91/95 (GOP-held) /83 (GOP-held) 56/60/61 (GOP-held) 93/94/96/97/108/112/121 LD6/20/21 (GOP-held) Michigan House HD43/47/66 (D-held) SD3/5/6/22/40/42 (D-held) 121/126/134/138 (GOP-held) LD4/17/18 (D-held) HD38/39/43/45/61/72/ N. Carolina Senate Pennsylvania House HD45/47/52/65/102/113/114 Florida Senate 91/104 (GOP-held) SD1/7/11/24/31 (GOP-held) HD18/28/29/30/44/105/ /132/135 (D-held) SD9/20/39 (GOP-held) Minnesota Senate SD8/19/27 (D-held) 106/144/151/152/160/168 Wisconsin House 37 (D-held) SD14/25/26/34/44/56 Nevada Senate /176/178 (GOP-held) AD14/73/74/94 (D-held) (GOP-held) SD15/18 (GOP-held) HD9/25/33/50/53/55/72/113 Wisconsin Senate SD4/27/37/54/58 (D-held) SD5/6 (D-held) 114/118/119/123/143 (D-held) SD10/30/32 (D-held) Trifectas: Will a party control a state’s government? All races Currently a Democratic trifecta (15 states)

G H S T G H S T G H S T GovernorHouse Senate Trifecta? G H S T CA DE ME NV RI CO IL NJ NY VA CT HI NM OR WA

Currently a Republican trifecta (21 states) AL ID MO OH TX AR IN NE* SC UT AZ IA ND SD WV FL MS OK TN WY GA * Nebraska has a unicameral and technically non-partisan legislature. Currently split (14 states) AK LA MI NC VT KS* MD* MN NH WI KY* MA* MT PA * If, in split situation, the party that doesn’t control the governorship has veto-proof majorities.

2020 results Dem. trifectas: 15 GOP trifectas: 23 Split: 11 Unknown: 1 5 whatsontheballot.com Prosecutors For more on elections for prosecutor, visit The Appeal: Political Report Result Result Los Angeles CA Gascón In nation’s biggest county, clash on host Athens GA Gonzalez A reform challenger (Gonzalez) vs. an ind. of issues involving DA powers (death and acting DA more skeptical of reform. penalty, decarceration, sentencing, New Orleans Williams A harsh DA is retiring, and activists are statewide role). DA Lacey vs Gascón. LA pressing for change. [May go to runoff.] Maricopa AZ In a huge county with punitive policies, a Dem gain could advance decarcera- Johnson KS In state’s biggest county, Dem challeng- tion, & change statewide politics. er is a public defender, against GOP DA. District 1 CO Open office. Big contrasts on drug Shawnee KS Topeka. Dem challenger says he’s run- policy with reform-minded Dem. ning to reduce incarceration. District 6 CO Disagreement over whether to build a Oakland MI A Dem ousted a punitive DA in primary, new jail spills into DA race. now faces R critical of reform. District 18 CO Punitive GOP inc. term-limited. Deputy (R) facing D who’s emphasized reforms. Hillsborough, 2 first-term Dems got major pushback Merrimack NH Hillsborough Tampa. Dem. inc. aligned with reform for some reform, face GOP challengers. FL prosecutors vs. R cand. critical of it. Westchester Rocah ousted Dem inc. in primary amid Orange, Orlando. Progressive Worrell is favored NY police scandal; R cand. dropped out. Osceola FL after winning a high-stakes primary. Hamilton OH Cincinnati’s punitive GOP prosecutor HI Alm Runoff: Alm (some reform language) vs. (Deters) faces Dem challenger (Rucker). Kau. (Most progressive lost primary.) Berkeley, Under-radar bid by a progressive chal- Cook IL Kim Foxx won tough primary, now faces Charleston SC lenger; backdrop of racial inequality. GOP challenger. Travis TX Progressive won Dem nomination, with DeKalb IL D challenger to R inc. campaigning on one of cycle’s boldest platforms. reform, stresses inspiration by BLM. Nueces TX Dem DA won on reform in 2016, faces R Lake IL Dem challenger campaigning on reform challenger proposing to be harsher. vs GOP incumbent. Sheriffs For more on elections for sheriff, visit The Appeal: Political Report

Maricopa AZ Joe Arpaio’s former deputy (GOP) chal- Norfolk MA GOP Sheriff vs. Dem challenger. One lenges Sheriff Penzone (D). contrast: whether sheriffs should be Pima AZ Former Dem sheriff is talking of bail re- allowed to honor ICE detainers. form while challenging GOP successor. Oakland MI Prominent ICE-friendly GOP sheriff up Pinellas FL A GOP sheriff has helped ICE, wanted to in populous suburban county. arm teachers, and more. Faces progres- sive challenger who wants to end that & Hamilton OH Dem nominee ousted the Dem sheriff in reduce arrests. primary, ran on curbing detention & ICE ties. Now ICE, scope of policing, a big Brevard FL A tough on crime GOP sheriff faces a issue in general election. Dem public defender; it is a red county, though. Charleston SC GOP sheriff faces Dem challenger with Athens GA Progressive challenger ousted the ICE cooperation at stake. incumbent Dem, in part on ICE. Dem- Harris TX Dem incumbent, who’s pushed some leaning jurisdiction. reforms, faces GOP challenger. Cobb GA GOP sheriff faces a Dem challenger. Fort Bend TX A Trumpian sheriff is running for On the line: membership in ICE’s prized Congress, and his twin brother wants to 287(g) program. replace him. Gwinnett GA Open race in a hotspot for cooperation Tarrant TX A big one. A GOP sheriff faces Dem with ICE. Dem nominee has pledged to tide. At stake: Poor jail conditions, and quit ICE’s 287(g) program. ICE contracts. 6 whatsontheballot.com Attorney general All races Currently Democratic held Currently Republican held Result Pick up? Result Pick up? Result Pick up? N. Carolina Indiana Utah Oregon Missouri W. Virginia Pennsylvania Montana Vermont Washington Secretary of state All races Currently Democratic held Currently Republican held Result Pick up? Result Pick up? Result Pick up? N. Carolina Missouri Washington Vermont Montana W. Virginia Oregon

Other statewide offices Interesting races North Carolina Pennsylvania Montana Result Result Result Faultlines on public Lieutenant Govenor [R] Auditor Super. Public school funding Auditor [D] General [D] Instruction [R] debates. Treasurer [R] Washington Auditor [R] Ag. Commish. [R] Lieutenant Heck Texas Governor [D] Important for cli- Labor Commish. [R] Railroad mate politics and Commish. [R] Insurance Commish. [R] West Virginia energy policy. Super. Public Inst. [R] Treasurer [D] Washington R-backed chal- Auditor [R] Super. Public lenger takes issue i Current partisan seat holders Instruction [D] with D-inc.-backed noted in brackets. sex ed mandate.

Supreme court Interesting races Result Result Arizona Retained 3 justices are up for retention, 2 years Nevada Herndon Open race btw. former prosecutor (Hern- after Republicans packed the court. don) & former D. lawmaker (Fumo). Illinois Ousted GOP effort to not retain a Dem justice in N. Carolina R - R - R Three elections, two Dem held, one 3rd district. GOP held. Dems now up 6-1. Big stakes for civil rights. Kentucky Conley Eastern Kentucky district. C. Harris, Dem, vs. B. Conley, conservative. Ohio D - R Dems could flip court if they beat both GOP incumbents. Michigan D - D Two elections: To gain control, Dems need to flip one seat, defend another. Texas All R On 2 highest courts, 7 GOP incumbents Minnesota Thissen P. Thissen (Dem-appointed inc) vs M. face Dem challengers. MacDonald (conservative). Washington Retained Two new Inslee appointees face op- Mississippi GOP-backed inc. vs. D-backed challenger, ponents. who’d be 1st Af.-Am. woman to be MS Justice.

Make sure to visit Whatsontheballot.com for links to more information on these elections. 7 whatsontheballot.com

Referenda Y Passed N Failed Drug policy Labor Result Result AZ Legalize marijuana (#207) CA End mandate that gig economy workers be em- DC Deprioritize psilocybin ployees, bar their unionization (#22) MS Legalize medical marijuana CO Paid medical & family leave (#118) MT Legalize marijuana FL $15 minimum wage (#2) NJ Legalize marijuana Portland ME $15 minimum wage (#A) OR Legalize psilocybin (#109) OR Decriminalize drugs (#110) Policing SD Legalize medical marijuana (#26) SD Legalize marijuana (#A) King Co. WA May shrink sheriff powers (and make sheriff appointed) Criminal justice LA Co. CA Boost funding for housing, health, jobs, not L.E. (#J) CA Rolls back sentencing reform (#20) Pittsburgh PA Strengthens civilian oversight board CA On the 2018 bail reform (#25) KY Marsy’s law Portland ME Ban facial recognition KY Longer terms for DAs St. Louis MO Would allow police officers to not NV Make the parole process a bit easier live in the city OK Sentencing reform (#805) San Fran. CA End mandate for minimal size of police force (#E) Housing Columbus OH Phila. PA CA Expand rent control (#21) Set up civilian oversight Portland OR Baltimore MD Bond for affordable hsg. (#A) boards with subpoena power San Diego CA Boulder CO “No eviction without representation” San Fran. CA Burbank CA Rent control measure Culver Cty CA Would undo tenant protections Portland ME New green rules for buildings (#C) Energy and environment Tenant protections (#D) AK Increases taxes on oil companies (#1) Airbnb restrictions (#E) CO Reintroduce wolves Raleigh NC Bond: Hsg. dev., esp. near transit NV Renewable energy std. to 50% by 2030 (#6) Sacra. CA Rent control measure CO Increases sales tax to reduce GG emissions. San Diego CA Bond: Est. 7.5K units aff. hsg. (#A) San Fran. CA Bond: Est. 10K units aff. hsg. (#K) Taxes AZ High-income tax hike for education (#208) Education CA Changes to property tax structure; curbs long- CA Allow affirm. action; universities, contracts (#16) time revenue constraints (#15) WA Enable Enable or block law requiring sex ed (#90) CO Lowers income tax Multnomah OR Preschool for all IL Enables a progressive income tax LA Enables property tax exemptions for some Transportation companies (#5) Austin TX Prop. tax for rail, bus expansion. Gwinnett GA Sales tax for rail, bus expansion. Reproductive rights Portland OR Regional transport measure. CO 22-week abortion ban SF/SF/SM CA Sales tax for Caltrain (#RR) LA Anti-abortion declaration (#1) 8 whatsontheballot.com

Election rules Expand voter eligibility AK Albany CA CA Voting rights for people on parole (#17) MA Blmtn. MN CA Enable 17-year olds to vote in primaries (#18) Boulder CO San Fran. CA Voting age to 16, city elections (#G) Eureka CA Enable ranked-choice voting Oakland CA Voting age to 16, school brd. races Minntka. MN (AK’s includes top-4 system) Winnoski VT Allows non-citizen voting AR (#3) Initiatives to make ballot FL (#4) initiatives harder Governance rules ND (#4001) MD Transfer budgetary authority from Gov to leg. AL Inscribe in state constitutions that only U.S. MO New two-term limits for statewide officials CO citizens can vote (would preempt enabling Baltimore MD Strengthen cncl. over mayor (#F-#H) FL bigger electorate in local races) Baltimore MD Create unelected city mgr. (#K) CO Stay in popular vote compact (#113) Sacrmto. CA Strengthens authority of mayor (#A) FL Top 2 voting system (#3) San Fran. CA Allows noncitizens, local boards (#C) MS End electoral clg.-like system in statewide races MO Overturn voter-approved redistricting reform (#3) Other topics Reform redistricting process (#1) VA MS Approves new state flag St. Louis MO Mix of approval voting & runoff MT Makes local gun control harder NE Removes slavery as punishment from state law NV Repeal state ban on same-sex marriage Key legislative districts PR Vote on statehood (for reasons other than solely partisan control: see earlier for that) RI Remove word “plantation” from state name UT Removes slavery as punishment from state law California AD53, AD58, AD64, SD11 WY Lifts constitutional debt ceiling on sewer projects Dem lawmakers challenged from left. California AD59 Rhode Island SD34, HD39 Dem lawmaker faces police-funded Progressive groups had success in Dem challenger from his right. primaries; now they’re targeting Repub- lican incumbents in these two districts. Delaware SD5, SD7, SD14, HD21 For Democrats to solidify their majori- Rhode Island HD15 ties could be a plus for prospects of State’s conservative Dem. Speaker bigger reforms; watch these districts. faces strong challenge from GOPer. Indiana HD37 Tennessee Harris HD90 GOP speaker faces strong challenge Rep. Deberry, ind., pushed out of D for among education wars. conservative voting (incl. backing law criminalizing protests). Faces Harris (D). New SD1 Texas Hampshire Main prospect of swing toward Dems. HD28 GOPer up for re-election after reports of New Mexico SD28, SD30, SD35 role in evicting many during pandemic. Progressives ousted 6 conservative Texas Democratic lawmakers in the primary; HD47 now what for those with competitive A Dem lawmaker faces a challenge generals. from a police union leader who’s ampli- fying fears against the BLM movement. New York +3 Dem SD3, SD5, SD6, SD40, SD42 Washington Police unions are targeting Democratic Simmons HD23 senators in these districts, after a Tarra Simmons (D), formerly incarcerat- yearlong push by law enforcement ed advocate, aiming to join legislature. groups against reforms adopted in the Washington HD43 legislature. Former Speaker (D) challenged on left (D). 9 whatsontheballot.com Mayors and county executives Result Result Phoenix AZ Gallego Mayor (D) running for re- Miami-Dade Cava Mayor: Steve Bovo (R) vs. Daniella election, but mayoral power has really County FL Levine Cava (D). Major issues: ICE; weakened. transit.

San Diego City Gloria An all-Dem runoff for mayor (Todd Glo- Portland OR Wheeler Mayor Ted Wheeler faces a challenger CA ria vs. more moderate Barbara Bry). (Sarah Iannarone) from the left.

Honolulu City Blangiardi R. Blangiardi (running more as a moder- Republican challenging Democratic HI ate, endorsed by police union) vs K. UT incumbent mayor. Amemiya. Pierce County Dems could flip county executive posi- Richmond VA Stoney Mayor Levar Stoney faces re-election. WA tion.

Other local elections

Maricopa Can Dems flip the county board in the Los Angeles Mitchell Herb Wesson vs Holly Mitchell for the County AZ 4th biggest county in the nation? County CA board, stakes for law enforcement.

Maricopa Retained Dems campaign against retention of a Los Angeles Raman Inc. David Ryu vs. progressive chaI- County AZ judge (Coury) after he tossed an initia- City CA lenger Nithya Raman. tive to increase ed funding. Los Angeles Ridley-Thomas M. Ridley-Thomas faces G. Yoo who op- City CA San Jose CA Cohen Inc. councilor Liep vs. labor-backed Cohen; inc. posed homelessness assistance. Davis Davis (formerly GOP) vs. Green challenger Tonkel. Sacramento Vang Progressives trying to strengthen a CA Oakland CA Fife Community/housing advocate Fife run- ‘Sacramento Squad’ by getting Mai ning for city council. Vang elected to council. Irvine CA Mayor Christina Shea (R) vs. Farrah San Diego Dems can flip board if they flip the 3rd Khan (D). County CA District. Arapahoe Could board in this populous county flip Georgia GOP/runoff District 1 (southern GA) & District 4 County CO to Dems? (northern GA) have elections for Public Serice Commission where climate & Ada County ID Dems flipped this (2-1) in 2018; now de- utility shutdowns are on the line. fending D2 (Lachiondo) & targeting D3. Cook County IL Retained Local reform advocates are oppos- New Orleans 2 won Group of 7 public defenders is trying to ing the retention of the head judge in LA win local judgeships on reform agenda. juvenile division, Toomin. Baltimore MD Stokes Green Party’s Muller Paz challenges Louisiana Two districts are voting for their of- Dem. incumbent Stokes for seat. ficials on the public service comission, Remove police Prince George’s candidates won Police presence in schools at issue in which runs utilities. Co. MD school board races. Hennepin 4 seats are up on the county board, incl. Wake County Far right fails A slate of conservatives opposed to County MN some D/R contests & LE debates. NC diversity efforts aim to take over the High bailiffs VT Both won Numerous candidates are running to school board. promote criminal justice reform via the Oklahoma County commission could flip to Dems high bailiff’s office. County OK if Hicks defeats Maughan.

Washington Henderson At-large city council seats part of effort DC to push council left. 10 whatsontheballot.com

D R U.S. Senate Net swing: Control:

AK WA ID MT ND MN WI NY VT NH ME

Currently

held by: Up for election in 2020 Remaining in office in Won 2020 OR NV WY SD IA IL MI PA NJ CT RI MA Democrat 12 seats 35 13

Republican 23 seats 30 20 CA UT CO NE MO IN OH WV MD DE

The Senate’s composition heading into the election KY VA AZ NM KS AR TN NC

SC TX OK LA MS AL 50 seats needed with GA president, 51 without

HI

FL

Will a party entirely control a state’s government?

WA ME

VT * MT ND NH MN MA* OR NY ID SD WI RI MI CT WY PA IA NJ NE OH DE NV IL IN UT WV MD* CO VA CA KS* MO KY* NC TN SC AZ OK AR NM AL GA MS Pre-2020 election LA Democrats TX FL Republicans AK Split HI * States where the party that does not control the governorship enjoys a veto-proof majority.