2013 College Football Season TallahasseeVoices is a pro bono internet survey panel sponsored by Kerr & Downs Research. This survey was conducted in August 2013. 487 of the 5,000+ panel members responded. Results were weighted to reflect the demographics of the 90%+ local residents who have access to the Internet at home, work, or school.
Contact: Joseph St. Germain, Ph.D. joseph@kerr‐downs.com 850.906.3111 TallahasseeVoices 2013 Football Predictions Seminoles 9 –3 Gators 9 – 3 Rattlers 7 –4 Florida State will finish #9 12% of fans think FSU will be #1 at the end of the season. Florida will finish #10 In 2012, TallahasseeVoices’ panelists underestimated UF’ s and FSU’ s regular season performance, while overestimating the Rattlers’ performance. 2012 Prediction 2012 Actual Gators 7 –5 11 –1 SilSeminoles 10 – 2 11 – 2 Rattlers 7 –4 4 –7 TallahasseeVoices Football Predictions
Gator’s strengths: Seminole’s strengths: Fan support Defensive Line Home field Advantage Offensive Line Offensive Line Receivers
GtGator’ s weaknesses: Sil’Seminole’s WkWeaknesses: Depth on offense Depth on Defense Quarterbacks Punters & kickers Receivers Quarterbacks TallahasseeVoices Football Predictions
• 71% of Seminole fans think that FSU must win the ACC championship for this season to be considered a success. • 43% of Seminole fans think that Jameis Winston will be as good as Charli e WWdard.
• 54% of Gator fans think that UF must win the SEC championship for this season to be considered a success. • Gator fans would rather play Ohio State (Urban Meyer) in a bowl game than play South Carolina (Steve Spurrier) in a bowl game). Florida State Seminoles
Projected Record for the Florida State Seminoles: 9‐3* 13% believe FSU will go undefeated Number of games TallahasseeVoices panelists believe FSU will win
12 13%
11 12%
10 34%
9 12%
8 12%
7 or fewer 15%
* Based on responses from TallahasseeVoices panelists Florida Gators Projected Record for the Florida Gators: 9‐3* 2% bblielieve tha t UF will go undfdefea tdted
Number of games TallahasseeVoices panelists believe UF will win
12 2%
11 7%
10 29%
9 19%
8 26%
7 or fewer 17%
* Based on responses from TallahasseeVoices panelists Florida A & M Rattlers Projected Record for the Florida A & M Rattlers: 7 –4* 6% believe FAMU will go undefeated
Number of games TallahasseeVoices panelists believe FAMU will win
11 6%
10 6%
9 8%
8 23%
7 16%
6 21%
5 or fewer 19%
* Based on responses from TallahasseeVoices panelists Seminole strengths*/ **
Defensive line 55% Offensive line 51% Receivers 50% Fan support 48% Defensive secondary 45% Depth on defense 43%43% Quarterbacks 38% Linebackers 38% Home field advantage 37% Running backs 31% Head coach 31% Kickers & punters 18% Depth on offense 18% Other coaches 18% Punt and kickoff returns 12% None – no strengths 1% Other 2%
* Based on responses from TallahasseeVoices panelists who identified themselves as Seminole fans ** Multiple responses permitted Seminole weaknesses*/ **
Depth on defense 30% Kickers & punters 24% Quarterbacks 24% Depth on offense 20% Offensive line 19% Defensive line 19% Head coach 17% Punt and kickoff returns 15% Home field advantage 15% Fan support 9% Receivers 8% Other coaches 8% Defensive secondary 7% Linebackers 6% Running backs 5% None – no weaknesses 6% Other 7%
* Based on responses from TallahasseeVoices panelists who identified themselves as Seminole fans ** Multiple responses permitted Must the Seminoles win the ACC Championship for this season to be considere d a success?*
Yes 71%
No 29%
* Based on responses from TallahasseeVoices panelists who identified themselves as Seminole fans Jameis Winston will be as good as Charlie Wd*Ward.*
Agree 43%
Disagree 57%
* Based on responses from TallahasseeVoices panelists who identified themselves as Seminole fans Gator strengths*/ **
Fan support 64% Home field advantage 56% Offensive line 51% Defensive line 45% Running backs 44% Quarterbacks 36% Head coach 33% Linebackers 30% Other coaches 27% DfDefens ive secondary 26% Receivers 22% Depth on defense 19% Kickers & punters 18% Punt and kickoff returns 6% Depth on offense 6% None – no strengths 2% Other 2%
*Based on responses from TallahasseeVoices panelists who identified themselves as Gator fans ** Multiple responses permitted Gator weaknesses*/ **
Depth on offense 25% Quarterbacks 25% Receivers 20% Punt and kickoff returns 17% Offensive line 16% Kickers & punters 13% Defensive line 11% Defensive secondary 9% Home field advantage 9% RiRunning bkbacks 8% Depth on defense 8% Linebackers 6% Other coaches 3% Fan support 2% Head coach 1% None – no weaknesses 6% Other 5%
*Based on responses from TallahasseeVoices panelists who identified themselves as Gator fans ** Multiple responses permitted For this season to be considered a success, must Flor ida win the SEC chihihampionship game?
Yes 54%
No 46%
* Based on responses from TallahasseeVoices panelists who identified themselves as Gator fans Which team would you rather play in a bowl game: Ohio State (Urban Mey)yer) or South Carolina (Steve Spurrier)?*
Ohio State 57%
SthSouth CliCarolina 43%
* Based on responses from TallahasseeVoices panelists who identified themselves as Gator fans National championship winner (WOW – there are a lot of believers!)
Alabama 39% Florida State 20% Ohio State 7% Florida 6% Georgia 3% LSU 3% Auburn 2% Clemson 2% Michigan 2% Oklahoma 2% Oregon 2% Tennessee 2% Virginia Tech 2% Boise State 1% Boston College 1% Georgia Tech 1% Louisville 1% Miami 1% Notre Dame 1%