THE TAXPAYER’S BILL OF RIGHTS: EVIDENCE FROM COLORADO AND IMPLICATIONS FOR ARIZONA A Report from the Office of the University Economist February 2005 Dennis Hoffman, Ph.D. Professor, Department of Economics; Director, L. William Seidman Research Institute; and Director, Office of the University Economist Timothy Hogan, Ph.D. Professor Emeritus, Department of Economics; and Senior Research Associate, L. William Seidman Research Institute Center for Competitiveness and Prosperity Research L. William Seidman Research Institute W. P. Carey School of Business Arizona State University Box 874011 Tempe, Arizona 85287-4011 (480) 965-5362 FAX: (480) 965-5458 EMAIL:
[email protected] wpcarey.asu.edu/research/competitiveness-prosperity-research economist.asu.edu The authors gratefully acknowledge the research support provided by the Arizona Office for Strategic Planning and Budgeting and the Arizona Department of Commerce TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction 1 What is TABOR? 1 The Rationale for Tax and Expenditure Limitations 2 How Does Tabor Compare With Other State Tax and Expenditure Limits? 3 Fiscal Impacts of TABOR on the State of Colorado 4 TABOR and Economic Growth in Colorado 7 The Future of TABOR in Colorado 7 Arizona as a TABOR Candidate 8 The Impact of a TABOR Rule on Arizona Revenue Collections 10 Long-Term Implications of a TABOR Rule 12 Summary and Conclusion 16 References 18 LIST OF TABLES 1. Funding by Agency 6 2. Total Taxes and Fees: Arizona 9 3. Estimated Burden of Major Taxes for a Family of Four by Income, 2003 10 4. Hypothetical Simulations From 1972 12 5. Basic Facts 13 6. TABOR Hypotheticals 13 7.