The Script of the Season Big Data Takes on the Beautiful Game
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2019/20 The Script of the Season Big data takes on the beautiful game Commissioned by: The twists, the turns, the ecstasy and the agony. You can’t script football. Or can you? By May 2020, another season will be over. Premier League positions will be finalised, UEFA Champions League winners decided, UEFA Europa League places secured and relegations regrettably confirmed. We’ve commissioned some of the biggest brains in sports data, analytics and machine learning. Writing the AI-driven script of the season before a single ball’s been kicked. Leading data scientists and real-time sports analysis experts Squawka, have analysed vast amounts of the world’s foremost football data from Opta. Leveraging the scalability of Google Cloud Platform to host the predictions and possible fortunes of all 20 Premier League clubs, as well as the giants of the European game. Can data foresee the future of football? Does it have the answers to the questions we usually wait months for? This is the story of the 19/20 season. Commissioned by BT, written by data. CONTENTS Premier League 2019/20: The Final Standings............. 1 The Golden Boot Race.................................... 2 The Playmaker Award..................................... 3 The Golden Gloves....................................... 4 How the Title Race Unfolded............................. 5 The Relegation Battle................................... 6 How the Table Looked at Christmas....................... 7 The Big Six Mini-League................................. 8 The Big Local Derbies................................... 9 The Grudge Matches..................................... 10 Arsenal................................................ 11 Aston Villa............................................ 13 Bournemouth............................................ 15 Brighton and Hove Albion............................... 17 Burnley................................................ 19 Chelsea................................................ 21 Crystal Palace......................................... 23 Everton................................................ 25 Leicester City......................................... 27 Liverpool.............................................. 29 Manchester City........................................ 31 Manchester United...................................... 33 Newcastle United....................................... 35 Norwich City........................................... 37 Sheffield United....................................... 39 Southampton............................................ 41 Tottenham Hotspur...................................... 43 Watford................................................ 45 West Ham United........................................ 47 Wolverhampton Wanderers................................ 49 European Competitions.................................. 51 The 2019/20 UEFA Champions League Knockout Stages...... 52 Barcelona.............................................. 53 Bayern Munich.......................................... 54 Juventus............................................... 55 Real Madrid............................................ 56 The 2019/20 UEFA Europa League Knockout Stages......... 57 How the Premier League Clubs Performed in Europe....... 58 New Factors Set To Tear Up This Script................. 59 The Methodology of the Script.......................... 60 2019/20 Results........................................ 61 PREMIER LEAGUE 2019/20: THE FINAL STANDINGS CLUB P W D L GF GA GD PTS --------------------------------------------------------- Man City 38 29 7 2 96 21 75 94 --------------------------------------------------------- Liverpool 38 27 7 4 80 28 52 88 --------------------------------------------------------- Tottenham 38 23 6 9 71 39 32 75 --------------------------------------------------------- Chelsea 38 19 10 9 70 37 33 67 --------------------------------------------------------- Arsenal 38 19 9 10 77 50 27 66 --------------------------------------------------------- Man Utd 38 20 6 12 72 51 21 66 --------------------------------------------------------- Everton 38 14 12 12 57 53 4 54 --------------------------------------------------------- Wolves 38 14 11 13 45 52 -7 53 --------------------------------------------------------- Leicester City 38 14 9 15 47 53 -6 51 --------------------------------------------------------- Crystal Palace 38 11 14 13 42 51 -9 47 --------------------------------------------------------- West Ham Utd 38 11 11 16 43 63 -20 44 --------------------------------------------------------- Watford 38 11 10 17 47 58 -11 43 --------------------------------------------------------- Bournemouth 38 11 9 18 48 65 -17 42 --------------------------------------------------------- Southampton 38 10 11 17 50 65 -15 41 --------------------------------------------------------- Aston Villa 38 12 5 21 45 63 -18 41 --------------------------------------------------------- Brighton 38 12 4 22 33 58 -25 40 --------------------------------------------------------- Burnley 38 8 13 17 31 51 -20 37 --------------------------------------------------------- Newcastle Utd 38 10 7 21 41 70 -29 37 --------------------------------------------------------- Norwich 38 9 7 22 38 71 -33 34 --------------------------------------------------------- Sheffield Utd 38 8 8 22 34 68 -34 32 --------------------------------------------------------- 1. Manchester City equal English football’s all time record for consecutive titles. 2. Liverpool become the second team in history to complete three consecutive Premier League seasons unbeaten at home. 3. No Manchester United side has ever lost more games in a single Premier League season. 4. Norwich City are the first team ever to be relegated from the Premier League on five separate occasions. 1. THE GOLDEN BOOT RACE 30 | ----+----+----+----+----+----+----+--- | | | | | | | | ● SALAH(29) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | ----+----+----+----+----+----+----+--- | | | | | | | | ● KANE(24) | | | | | | | | ● = AUBAMEYANG(23) | | | | | | | | = AGUERO(23) | | | | | | | | 20 | ----+----+----+----+----+----+----+--- | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ● STERLING(17) | | | | | | | | ● LACAZETTE(16) 15 | ----+----+----+----+----+----+----+--- | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | ----+----+----+----+----+----+----+--- | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | ----+----+----+----+----+----+----+--- | | ● | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ● | | | | | | | | ●| ● ●● | | | | | | +--------------------------------------- 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 38 gameweek 1. MOHAMED SALAH equals the record for consecutive Premier League Golden Boot wins (3). 2. Only three nations have more Premier League Golden Boot wins than Egypt (England, France, Netherlands). 3. HARRY KANE is now the joint-10th top scorer in Premier League history (149). 4. PIERRE-EMERICK AUBAMEYANG is the first Arsenal player to score 20+ Premier League goals in consecutive seasons since Thierry Henry (2004/05,2005/06). 5. SERGIO AGUERO has now scored more hat tricks (13) than any player in Premier League history, surpassing ALAN SHEARER. 6. JAMIE VARDY’S 10 strikes takes his career total to 90 Premier League goals, surpassing CRISTIANO RONALDO (84) and DENNIS BERGKAMP (87). 2. THE PLAYMAKER AWARD 15 | ----+----+----+----+----+----+----+--- | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ● STERLING(13) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ● = IWOBI(11) | | | | | | | | 10 | ----+----+----+----+----+----+----+--- ● = B.SILVA(11) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | = OZIL(11) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | = ALEXANDER- | | | | | | | | ARNOLD(11) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ERIKSEN(10) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 |----+----+----+----+----+----+----+--- | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ● | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ● ●|● | | | | | | | | | | | | | | +--------------------------------------- 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 38 gameweek 1. No player has more Premier League assists since the start of 2018/19 than TRENT ALEXANDER-ARNOLD (23). 2. RAHEEM STERLING is the first player to provide 10+ assists and score 10+ goals in three consecutive Premier League seasons. 3. MESUT OZIL breaks into the top 20 assist-providers in Premier League history by GAMEWEEK 16, overtaking ERIC CANTONA (56), PAUL SCHOLES (55), EDEN HAZARD (54)and ROBIN VAN PERSIE (53) on the way. 4. ALEX IWOBI records as many Premier League assists in 2019/20 as his uncle JAY-JAY OKOCHA managed in his entire career. 5. DAVID SILVA equals STEVEN GERRARD’S tally of 92 Premier League assists (sixth in the all-time ranking). 6. BERNARDO SILVA, JOAO MOUTINHO and MESUT OZIL recorded the longest streak of assists in consecutive games (4) in 2019/20. 3. THE GOLDEN GLOVES TEAM CLEAN SHEETS --------------------------------------------------------- Manchester City 21 --------------------------------------------------------- Liverpool 20 --------------------------------------------------------- Burnley 12 --------------------------------------------------------- Chelsea 12 --------------------------------------------------------- Crystal Palace 12 --------------------------------------------------------- Leicester City 12 --------------------------------------------------------- Wolverhampton Wanderers 11 --------------------------------------------------------- Brighton and Hove Albion 10 ---------------------------------------------------------