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16th EMS Annual Meeting & 11th European Conference on Applied Climatology (ECAC)
Programme Trieste | Italy | 12–16 September 2016 16th Annual Meeting of the European Meteorological Society 16th Applied Climatology 2016 European Conference on & 11th EMS & ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy
Time/Room Saturnia Vulcania 1 Oceania AB Oceania C Vulcania 2 Monday, 12 September 2016
09:30–13:00 Opening Session (in Saturnia)
SE1/CE8: Creating CS through OBS4: Manufacturers ASI2: Meteor., climate and ASI16: WRF Model: Developm 14:00–16:00 ASI1: Dynamical Meteorology partnerships OBS1: Atm. Measurem space weather and Applic.
ASI12: Phenology & AM4: Reducing weather risks 16:30–18:15 SE1/CE8 OBS1 ASI1 agrometeorology to transport
18:30–19:30 Poster Sessions ‐ Author‐in‐attendance : SE1/CE8, OBS1, OBS4, AM4, ASI1, ASI2, ASI12, ASI16
19:30 Icebreaker reception in exhibition & poster area: Foyer Tuesday, 13 September 2016 UC2: Climate predictions & OBS1 (4) UC4:The Cryosphere and its 09:00–10:30 ASI8: Atmospheric Hazards CE1: Media & Communication scenarios MC1: Climate Monit (2) interactions ASI9: BL Physics and para‐ UC4 (4) 11:00–13:00 UC2 MC1 CE1 meterization ASI6/UC8 (4)
14:00–14:55 Poster Sessions ‐ Author‐in‐attendance: MC1, UC2, UC4, SE3/AM2, ASI3, ASI6/UC8, ASI8, ASI9, CE1
15:00–16:30 Awards Session (in Saturnia)
SE3/AM2: Severe weather ASI3: Parameter. of small scale SE6/CE9: Evaluation of climate ASI6/UC8: Mid‐latitude atm. 17:00–19:00 UC7: Synoptic climatology impacts processes services teleconnections Wednesday, 14 September 2016 CE2/AM3: impact based SE2: Copernicus Climate ASI7/CE10: Human 09:00–10:30 ASI13: Energy Meteorology UC7: Synoptic climatology forecasts, risk based warn. Change Serv. Biometeorology
UC7 (5) 11:00–13:00 ASI13 AM1: High Impact Weather CE4: Adaptation Strategies ASI7 UC6: Reanalyses (3)
14:00–14:55 Poster Sessions ‐ Author‐in‐attendance : UC6, UC7, SE2, AM1, ASI7/CE10, OBS3, NWP1
NWP1: Dynamics & pred. high‐ 14:30: CE7: Quality OBS3: Ground‐ and space‐ 15:00–17:00 ASI13 UC6 impact weather Management, Infrastr. based GNSS ECAC Symposium: (in Saturnia) 17:30–19:00 Climate Change ‐ Adaptation and Mitigation: : The Role of Climate Science and Services Thursday, 15 September 2016 MC2: Spatial SE4: From predictions to NWP3: Data assimilation & use CE6: Services supporting 09:00–10:30 ASI13 Climatology impact forecasts of observations science education NWP3 (2) I NWP2 (6): ASI5: Coupled atmos.‐wave‐ 11:00–13:00 ASI13 MC2 Numerical aspects & physical CE5: Education ocean processes parametr. Int. 14:00–14:55 Poster Sessions ‐ Author‐in‐attendance: MC2, MC3, SE4, ASI4, ASI5, ASI13, ASI14, CE6, NWP2, NWP3, NWP4
ASI14: Atmospheric NWP4: Probabilistic & NWP2(6) ASI5 (2) 15:00–17:00 ASI13 composition, pollution ensemble forecasting MC3 (2) ASI4 (6)
MC3: Paleoclimatology ASI4: Coastal meteoro‐ 17:30–19:00 ASI13 ASI14 NWP4 & historical climatol. logy & oceanograohy
19:30 The EMS Festa Friday, 16 September 2016 UC1: CC detection, trends, 10:15 1‐min espressi‐talks; AM6/NWP5: s2s‐prediction & OBS2: High‐resolution ASI10: Hydrometeorology 09:00–10:30 variability NWP7‐AM5/UC3 applications precipitation monitor. 10:15 1‐min ASI11
10:30–11:30 Poster Sessions ‐ Author‐in‐attendance: UC1, AM5/UC3, AM6/NWP5, ASI10, ASI11, OBS2, NWP7
11:30–13:00 UC1 NWP7: MesoVICT AM6/NWP5 OBS2 ASI11: Urban climate
AM5/UC3: Climate Forecast 14:00–16:00 UC1 AM6/NWP5 OBS2 ASI11 Verification Time/Room Saturnia (300) Vulcania 1 (120) Oceania AB (120) Oceania C (120) Vulcania 2 (80) 16:15 Small reception, announcement poster award winner 2016, closing: Foyer
The 16th EMS Annual Meeting & 11th European Conference on Applied Climatology (ECAC) are organized in co-operation with the
Copernicus GmbH.
http://meetings.copernicus.org Content 1
Welcome 2
General Information 3 Local information, Wifi, registration 3 Conference hours 4 1-minute espressi-talks & Author-in-attendance times 5 Conference committees 6
Excursion 8 Exhibition 9
Opening & Plenary Sessions 10 Opening Session 10 ECAC Symposium 11 Awards Session 12 Young Scientist Award and Young Scientist Travel Awards 13 EMS Media Awards 14 EMS Technology Achievement Award 15 EMS Tromp Awards and EMS Tromp YSTAs 16 EMS Silver Medal 18
UMFVG Video Contest and Science Cafés 19 Side meetings 20 Training Workshops 22
Session index 24
Conference Programme 25 Oral Conference Programme – Monday 27 Poster Conference Programme – Monday 33 Oral Conference Programme – Tuesday 38 Poster Conference Programme – Tuesday 49 Oral Conference Programme – Wednesday 56 Poster Conference Programme – Wednesday 66 Oral Conference Programme – Thursday 70 Poster Conference Programme – Thursday 83 Oral Conference Programme – Friday 92 Poster Conference Programme – Friday 101
Author index 105
Floor plans 115
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy WELCOME
WHERE ATMOSPHERE, SEA AND LAND MEET: BRIDGING BETWEEN SCIENCES, APPLICATIONS AND STAKEHOLDERS
Dear participants, welcome to the EMS Annual At the plenary ECAC Symposium on Climate Meeting and the European Conference on Applied Change – Adaption and Mitigation a panel will Climatology 2016 in Trieste. discuss – with the audience – questions such as: How can the COP21 target be met? What does Under this year’s theme the conference explores the target mean for climate change research and how to support stakeholders, practitioners and for climate services? What is the relevance of links decision makers to mitigate as far as possible future between NGOs and science? What are mitigation environmental change and to adapt where and options and is geoengineering a viable approach? when necessary. Side meetings, workshops and the social programme Historically, many major centres of economic will provide many opportunities for networking at and cultural activities have developed in coastal the conference. Make ample use of these – this is areas (currently nearly 40% of Europe’s population the raison d’être of the meetings. live within 50 km from the coast). Therefore, many issues on safety, socio-economic impacts and Detailed information about the session programme infrastructure investments are particularly urgent is also available on the website and through the in coastal areas. These are linked to the changing ems2016-app for mobile devices that now offers atmospheric and oceanic circulation, sea level rise, the option to contact authors directly. extreme events, floods and landslides. The exhibition – use the opportunity The ECAC theme 2016 explores these intertwined The conference will also feature a small exhibition issues with special emphasis on sea-atmosphere- of commercial companies involving manufacturers land interactions and transitions. Assessing and of meteorological instruments. It will be open from predicting the evolution of the environment Monday lunchtime to Thursday afternoon and we and impacts will have to go hand-in-hand with hope you will make use of the opportunity to inform developing solutions supporting risk assessment, yourself on new developments and plans of these preparedness and mitigation. organisations.
Conference programme Thank you The session programme includes 265 poster and 450 We are grateful to all who have contributed to make oral presentations in 46 sessions. Both, poster and this meeting in Trieste a reality – the local organisers, oral presentations are important for the conference the EMS Member Societies and Associates, the – they offer diverse opportunities for discussions and Copernicus organisation, the exhibitors. the presentation of the authors’ work. Time slots for 1-minute espressi-talks to briefly introduce the To build the session programme would not have content of poster presentations are scheduled for been possible without the work of the convenors all sessions, mostly within the oral block or at the who developed and promoted the sessions. Sincere start of the poster session. thanks to all of them for their commitment and hard work! We are also grateful to the Programme and Poster sessions on Tuesday, Wednesday and Science Committee (PSC) for having devised a very Thursday are scheduled after the lunch break, interesting programme and hope you will enjoy (Italian) coffee will be available. and benefit from the wealth of research, results and applications that will be presented and discussed The winner of the Outstanding Poster Award will be during the week. announced on Friday at 16:15h, but the prize will be awarded at the next Annual Meeting 2017 in Dublin. Welcome again, and we hope you will have a very interesting week in Trieste, where atmosphere, sea and land meet.
Horst Böttger Renato R. Colucci Ingeborg Auer Fabio Trincardi Filippo Giorgi EMS President UMFVG President Chair Climate Director ISMAR-CNR Head Earth System Programme Physics ICTP General information 3
General information From the central railway station The Stazione Marittima Congress Centre Trieste is only Location and conference address about 1 km away from the central railway station of The 16th EMS Annual Meeting & the 11th European Trieste and can be reached on foot in around 10 minutes. Conference on Applied Climatology (ECAC) are held Alternatively, bus no. 8 connects the train station and the jointly in Trieste, Italy from 12 to 16 September 2016. congress centre.
Taxis are also available outside of the train station. Venue Stazione Marittima Congress Centre Trieste Molo Bersaglieri 3 Wireless network access 34124 Trieste Participants have free WiFi access in the conference Italy centre. The network name and password is ems2016.
Rules of conduct Registration & information desk . Smoking is prohibited in the conference centre. . It is prohibited to copy any presentation from the The registration & information desk is located in the Foyer desktops in the lecture rooms. of the conference centre. . Please switch off any mobile phones or set in mute mode during the sessions. . Please note that video-graphic recordings are not Opening hours allowed. Sunday, 11 September 2016 15:00–18:00
Official language Monday – Thursday, 12–15 September 2016 The official language of the conference is English. 08:00–18:00 Simultaneous interpretation is not provided. It is therefore expected that authors are able to present their research Friday, 16 September 2016 in the English language. 08:00–10:00
Insurances Registration & The organisers cannot accept liability for personal accident, loss or damage to private property, which may abstract management be incurred as a result of the participation in the Copernicus Meetings conference. Participants are, therefore, advised to Bahnhofsallee 1e arrange appropriate insurance cover. This should extend 37081 Göttingen, Germany not only to travel but also to cancellation costs. Phone: +49-551-900339-22 [email protected] www.copernicus.org Cover picture
The cover picture was kindly provided by and is copyrighted to R.R. Colucci. EMS Sustainable Meetings Policy Photos The EMS Council at its Session in March 2015 approved the EMS Sustainable Meetings Policy, which includes Photos of conference events are taken by Marco Gani, actions as well as recommendations for collaborating ARPA FVG. Mainly the plenary and poster sessions will organisations and participants. It covers a variety of areas be covered. such as travel activities with their impact on the climate, consumption of resources (energy, water, paper etc.) and Local transportation information considerations about reduction and minimisation of From the airport waste. For details on actions and recommendations consult: The closest airport is the "Trieste – Friuli Venezia Giulia http://www.emetsoc.org/meetings-events/ems-annual- Airport". The airport and the Trieste city centre are meetings/future-venues/sustainablemeetings. connected by bus no. 51, which starts twice per hour during the week and every one to two hours on Specifically, this programme book has been printed on weekends. The transport to Trieste takes about 1 hour recycled paper; the lanyard is made of bamboo fibre (no and costs €4.05. Tickets are available at ticket machines PET) along with a biodegradable snap hook (pressed and the tourist information centre at the airport. In the city maize). We kindly ask you to return the name badge with centre, tickets are available at city coach stations the lanyard at the registration counter when leaving the (Monday to Friday). Buses stop at the Central Bus Station conference centre. in Trieste, close to the central railway station.
Another option is the "Venice airport Marco Polo". Venice is well connected to Trieste by train (about 1.5-2 hours journey time).
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 4 General information
EMS2016 app 1-minute espressi-talks Download the EMS2016 app for (poster introductions) iPhones and Android smartphones. Posters are located in the Foyer (Hall) and on the Gallery. Posters of the programme groups ASI and OBS are located
on the Gallery (poster board numbers start with G), all other
posters are located in the Foyer (poster board numbers start
with H). The EMS2016 app provides the complete programme, including all abstracts. You can synchronize your personal programme and the latest updates are always 1-minute espressi-talks included. You have the option to contact authors of For most sessions time for such 1-minute talks is specific contributions directly via the app, to receive real- foreseen either during the oral programme or at the start time communication from the organizer and use the built- of the poster session; please check the programme of in twitter interface for posting tweets. The EMS & ECAC your session on the website, in the ems2016-app, or in hashtag is #emsecac2016. the programme book for details and prepare one or two slides for this purpose. You may also be asked ad hoc by the session chair for a summary presentation in case a Conference hours gap should occur in the oral programme. Oral and poster sessions Display times Starting time for the oral sessions Tuesday to Friday is Authors are kindly asked to put up their posters as soon 09:00 am. as possible within the according display time in order to enable the conference participants to view their posters at Monday, 12 September 2016 any time within the display days, and to take them down Opening: 09:30–13:00 on Wednesday between 18:00–18:30 (display time: Oral block 3: 14:00–16:00 Monday to Wednesday) and on Friday between 16:30– Oral block 4: 16:30–18:15 17:00 (display time: Thursday to Friday). Posters that Poster session: 18:30–19:30 have not been removed within this dismantling time will Icebreaker reception: 19:30–21:00 be removed and disposed of.
Tuesday, 13 September 2016 Outstanding Poster Award Oral block 1: 09:00–10:30 An Outstanding Poster Award will be given at the 16th Oral block 2: 11:00–13:00 EMS & 11th ECAC in Trieste. Poster session: 14:00–14:55 All posters displayed on their poster boards will be Award ceremony: 15:00–16:30 screened by a selection committee. The evaluation of Oral block 4: 17:00–19:00 posters will be based on the following criteria:
. Scientific quality; Wednesday, 14 September 2016 . Innovation in approach; . Potential impacts of the results; Oral block 1: 09:00–10:30 . Presentation aspect, including clarity of the message Oral block 2: 11:00–13:00 to readers of your poster. Poster session: 14:00–14:55 Oral block 3: 15:00–17:00 The selection committee consists of the following senior ECAC Symposium: 17:30–19:00 scientists: . Ingeborg Auer, Austria Thursday, 15 September 2016 . Marie Doutriaux Boucher, EUMETSAT . Tomas Halenka, Czech Republic Oral block 1: 09:00–10:30 . Ewen McCallum, UK (chair) Oral block 2: 11:00–13:00 . Arturo Pucillo, Italy Poster session: 14:00–14:55 Oral block 3: 15:00–17:00 Oral block 4: 17:30–19:00 Award The author(s) will receive a certificate, one registration Friday, 16 September 2016 fee waiver for the EMS Annual Meeting 2017 and the poster will be highlighted as example of Best Practice on Oral block 1: 09:00–10:30 the EMS Website. The recipient of the award will be Poster session: 10:30–11:30 announced on Friday, 16 September 2016, 16:15, in the Oral block 2: 11:30–13:00 Foyer. Oral block 3: 14:00–16:00 The award winning poster 2015 is on display in the Foyer Announcement of poster award recipient 16:15–17:00 and at the back of this programme book.
▲ Please note that video-graphic recordings are not allowed, and mobile phones must be switched off/in mute mode during the sessions.
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy General information 5
1-minute espressi-talks and author-in-attendance times
Author-in- Monday, 12 September 2016 1-minute espressi-talks attendance SE1/CE8: Creating CS through partnerships During oral session 18:00 Saturnia OBS1: Atmospheric measurements During oral session 18:00 Vulcania 1 AM4: Reducing Weather Risks to Transport During oral session 17:30 Oceania C 18:30–19:30 ASI1: Dynamical meteorology During oral session 15:45 Vulcania 2 ASI12: Phenology and agrometeorology During oral session 16:30 Oceania C ASI16: WRF: Development and Applications During oral session 15:45 Oceania C
Author-in- Tuesday, 13 September 2016 1-minute espressi-talks attendance MC1: Climate monitoring During oral session 12:45 Vulcania 1 UC2: Climate prediction & scenarios During oral session 12:45 Saturnia UC4: The Cryosphere and its interactions During oral session 10:15 Vulcania 2 SE3/AM2: Severe weather impacts During poster session 14:00 Saturnia ASI3: Parameterization of small scale processes During poster session 14:00 Oceania AB 14:00–14:55 ASI6/UC8: Mid-latitude atm. teleconnections During poster session 14:00 Vulcania 2 ASI8: Atmospheric hazards During oral session 09:00 Oceania AB ASI9: BL physics and parameterizations in models During poster session 14:00 Oceania AB CE1: Media & Communication During oral session 12:45 Oceania C
Author-in- Wednesday, 14 September 2016 1-minute espressi-talks attendance UC6: Global and regional reanalyses No espressi-talks scheduled UC7: Synoptic climatology During oral session 10:15 Vulcania 1 SE2: Copernicus Climate Change Service During oral session 09:00 Oceania C AM1: High Impact Weather During oral session 11:00 Oceania AB 14:00–14:55 ASI7/CE10: Human Biometeorology During oral session 09:00 Vulcania 2 OBS3: Ground and space based GNSS During poster session 14:00 Vulcania 2 NWP1: Dynamics & pred. of high-impact weather During poster session 14:00 Oceania AB
Author-in- Thursday, 15 September 2016 1-minute espressi-talks attendance MC2: Spatial Climatology During oral session 12:30 Vulcania 1 MC3: Paleoclimatology and historical climatology No espressi-talks scheduled SE4: From predictions to impact forecasts During oral session 09:00 Oceania AB ASI4: Coastal meteorology and oceanography During oral session 16:45 Vulcania 2 ASI5: Coupled atmosph.-wave-ocean processes During oral session 12:15 Oceania AB ASI13: Energy Meteorology During oral session 12:30 Saturnia 14:00–14:55 ASI14: Atmospheric composition and pollution During poster session 14:00 Vulcania 1 CE6: Services supporting science education No espressi-talks scheduled NWP2: Numerical aspects & physical param. Int. During oral session 12:45 Oceania C NWP3: Data assimilation and use of observations During oral session 09:00 Oceania C NWP4: Probabilistic and ensemble forecasting During poster session 14:00 Oceania AB
Author-in- Friday, 16 September 2016 1-minute espressi-talks attendance UC1: CC detection, trends, variability & extremes During oral session 10:00 Saturnia AM5/UC3: Climate forecast varification During oral session 10:15 Vulcania 1 AM6/NWP5: s2s predictions and applications During oral session 10:15 Oceania AB ASI10: Hydrometeorology During oral session 10:00 Vulcania 2 10:30–11:30 ASI11: Urban Climate During oral session 10:15 Vulcania 2 OBS2: High-resolution precipitation monitoring During oral session 10:15 Oceania C NWP7: MesoVICT During oral session 10:15 Vulcania 1
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 6 General Information
Refreshment breaks Publications Coffee breaks Paper publication in Free coffee/tea will be served during the morning coffee Advances in Science and Research breaks. In the afternoon, cold refreshments are provided. Authors of contributions that have been accepted to one Catering stations are located close to the poster areas in of the EMS & ECAC 2016 session topics are invited to the Foyer (Hall) and on the Gallery. Tuesday to Thursday submit short conference papers to the open access espresso will be provided at the start of the poster journal Advances in Science and Research sessions. (http://www.adv-sci-res.net/volumes.html). Details will be sent to the authors by email after the Monday, 12 September 2016 conference. 10:30–11:00 and 16:00–16:30 Upload of presentations
After the conference, you have the option to upload your Tuesday, 13 September 2016 oral presentation or your poster as Power Point or PDF 10:30–11:00 and 16:30–17:00 (sponsored by Harry Otten file for online publication alongside your abstract. This Foundation) shall give all interested participants the chance to revisit your contribution. Details will be sent to the authors by email after the conference. Wednesday, 14 September 2016 10:30–11:00 and 17:00–17:30 Conference committees Thursday, 15 September 2016 Programme and Science Committee (PSC) Chair: Sylvain Joffre (EMS Committee on Meetings) 10:30–11:00 and 17:00–17:30 Ingeborg Auer (EUMETNET Climate Programme) Friday, 16 September 2016 Ekaterina Batchvarova (Bulgarian Met. Soc., NIMH) Frank Beyrich (DWD, Germany) 10:30–11:30 Sandro Carniel (ISMAR-CNR, Venice, Italy)
Tanja Cegnar (Slovenian Environment Agency) Lunch Renato R. Colucci (UMFVG, ISMAR-CNR, Trieste, Italy) Marie Doutriaux Boucher (EUMETSAT) Monday–Friday, 13:00–14:00 Filippo Giorgi (ICTP, Italy)
Silvio Gualdi (CMCC, Italy) Cafes, restaurants and supermarkets are available within Renate Hagedorn (EMS, Committee on Meetings) walking distance. Paul Halton (Irish Meteorological Society) Tim Hewson (ECMWF) André Jol (EEA) Icebreaker reception Martina Junge (EMS) Andrea Kaiser-Weiss (DWD, Germany) Location: Conference Foyer Haleh Kootval (WMO) Date: Monday, 12 September 2016, 19:30–21:00 Will Lang (MetOffice, United Kingdom) Pierre-Philippe Matthieu (ESA) Ewen McCallum (EMS Committee on Meetings) Weather briefings: Andrea Montani (ARPA, Italy) Robert Mureau (PRIMET) Location: Small foyer room Saturnia Gert-Jan Steeneveld (EMS Committee on Meetings) Dates and times: Monday to Friday, 10:40 Fulvio Stel (UMFVG, Italy) (during coffee break) Saskia Willemse (EMS Committee on Meetings)
Closing reception & Programme Group Chairs announcement poster award European Conference on Applied Climatology (ECAC): Ingeborg Auer winner Applications of Meteorology (AM): Location: Conference Foyer Will Lang Date: Friday, 16 September 2016, 16:15–17:00 The Atmospheric System and its Interactions (ASI): Renate Hagedorn Communication and Education (CE): Tanja Cegnar Measurements and Observations (OBS): Frank Beyrich Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP): Andrea Montani
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy www.advances-in-science-and-research.net Advances in Science & Research
The Open Access Proceedings of the European Meteorological Society (EMS)
Managing Editor | Martina Junge
Advances in Science and Research (ASR) is the international open access proceedings journal of the European Meteorological Society (EMS). ASR publishes advances in science, profession and application of meteorology, climatology and related fields presented at the Annual Meetings of the EMS as well as at the European Conferences on Applications of Meteorology (ECAM) and on Applied Climatology (ECAC). All manuscripts submitted to ASR undergo a rigorous peer-review organised by the Programme and Science Committee (PSC).
Abstracted/Indexed Indexed in ADS and GeoRef Included in Directory of Open Access Journals (DOAJ) Long-term e-archived in Portico and CLOCKSS
Deadline for submissions: 15 January 2017 Authors of contributions that have been accepted to one of the EMS & ECAC 2016 session topics are invited to submit short conference papers. Details will be sent to the authors by email after the conference. EXCURSION METEO-MARINE EXCURSION AROUND THE GULF OF TRIESTE
In connection with the EMS & ECAC, the Marine Science Institute of the National Research Council of Italy, and the Unione Meteorologica del Friuli Venezia Giulia, local sponsors and supporters, have organized a FREE excursion by boat around the Gulf of Trieste. The main goal is to visit two meteo-marine stations named PALOMA (ISMAR-CNR) and MAMBO (OGS). Explanations about scientific research and instrumental facilities on both sites will be given on-board by local researchers belonging to ISMAR and OGS.
Besides the scientific interest of the short trip, this will be an amazing chance to admire the city of Trieste from the sea and enjoy the beautiful view of Miramare Castle and the Trieste downtown seafront at sunset.
The excursion is planned for Tuesday 13 September, departing from the EMS venue of Stazione Marittima at 18:00 and returning at 20:30. Check-in will start at 17:30.
In case of very bad sea conditions, the excursion may be cancelled. Such a decision is completely at the discretion of the boat captain.
Date: Tuesday, 13 September 2016 Place of departure: Stazione Marittima Boarding: starts at 17:30; latest boarding time is 17:50; boarding is only possible with a “ticket”. Duration: the excursion will run from 18:00 to 20:30.
Registration Registration is absolutely necessary, and will be handled on a first-come first-serve basis. Maximum number of participants: 140 First-come, first-serve
To register
■ send an e-mail to [email protected], with the following information: name and surname; ■ pick up the “ticket” at the registration desk in the conference centre no later than Tuesday, 13 September 2016, 12:00!
All tickets that have not been picked up at the registration desk by Tuesday, 13 September 2016, 12:00 will be given to those on the waiting list.
Waiting list: once 140 places for the excursion are reserved, we will open a waiting list to fill places becoming available due to any cancellations. Exhibition 9
Exhibition
Monday, 12:00–18:00 and Tuesday–Thursday, 09:00–18:00
Please use the opportunity to visit the exhibition in the conference Foyer (the exhibitors are listed in alphabetical order):
ECMWF Copernicus Shinfield Park Reading RG2 9AX United Kingdom http://www.ecmwf.int
Copernicus, the European Union’s flagship for climate and atmospheric analysis: At our exhibition stand we provide an overview of how Copernicus is equipping society, policy-makers and industry to mitigate climate threats, adapt to change and capitalise on opportunities. ECMWF/Copernicus
ECMWF/Copernicus is kindly sponsoring the conference.
Kipp & Zonen B.V. P.O. Box 507 2600 AM Delft Netherlands http://www.kippzonen.com
Kipp & Zonen is the leading specialist in the measurement of solar and sky radiation, from the ultraviolet to the far infrared. We offer a complete range of high quality instrumentation and accessories, from reliable cost-effective products to the best performance available. Our equipment is used in meteorology, climate and solar energy networks around the world. Furthermore our expertise and close links with the scientific community have led to high-end solutions for the measurement of atmospheric properties such as stratospheric Ozone, UV Spectra and evapo-transpiration. Our new RaZON+, all-in-one solar monitoring station, provides solar irradiance data accurately, simply and affordably.
Scintec AG Wilhelm-Maybach-Strasse 14 72108 Rottenburg Germany http://www.scintec.com
Scintec produces the most advanced and comprehensive line of wind and temperature profilers in SODAR, RADAR and RASS technology,as well as optical SCINTILLOMETERS for the measurement of boundary layer turbulence and heat flux. Continuing scientific innovation, outstanding product design and customer oriented philosophy has made Scintec a global leader in this field. Please come and visit us at our booth.
The conference writing pads for participants are kindly sponsored by Scintec.
UKIP Media & Events Ltd Abinger House Church Street Dorking Rh4 1DF United Kingdom http://www.ukipme.com/
Come and collect your free copy of Meteorological Technology International magazine. MTI is the only international journal focused on meteorological technology in research, civil, defense and commercial applications. Meteorological Technology World Expo in Madrid, Spain, from 27-29 September is the largest exhibition of meteorological technology in the world. 170 exhibitors will exhibit the very latest in observation and prediction technologies. Come and see us to discuss your free magazine subscription, or participation at our next Expo.
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy OPENING SESSION MONDAY, 12 SEPTEMBER 2016
Room Saturnia
09:30–10:30 Opening ceremony
Opening by the EMS President and Welcome Addresses
Renato R. Colucci UMFVG President Ingeborg Auer Climate Programme Roberto di Piazza Mayor of Trieste Debora Serracchiani (invited) President of Friuli Venezia Giulia Luca Marchesi General Director of ARPA FVG Fabio Trincardi Director of Marine Science Institute – CNR Bernardo De Bernardinis Director of ISPRA Maria Cristina Pedicchio President of OGS Dennis Schulze PRIMET
10:30–11:00 Coffee Break
11:00–13:00 Strategic Lectures
Chair: Horst Böttger, EMS President
Petteri Taalas Secretary-General of the World Meteorological Organization More people, more value, more weather and climate extremes: challenges and solutions for strengthening coastal resilience
Barbara Stenni Universita Ca’ Foscari, Venezia Antarctic ice core climate records: a lesson from the past
Filippo Giorgi Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste Challenges and prospects in regional climate projections
Fred Carr President of the American Meteorological Society Analysis, Prediction and Observing Systems Experiments for an Urban Testbed in Dallas/ Ft. Worth, Texas ECAC SYMPOSIUM CLIMATE CHANGE – ADAPTATION AND MITIGATION: THE ROLE OF CLIMATE SCIENCE AND SERVICES
WEDNESDAY, 14 SEPTEMBER 2016, 17:30–19:00
The Paris climate agreement, adopted in strengthen the ability of countries to adapt to the December 2015, is the first-ever universal, legally impacts of climate change. binding global climate deal. At this event distinguished scientists and The agreement sets out an action plan to keep other experts will discuss how researchers, global temperature rise well below 2°C and to meteorological institutes and related consider limiting the increase even further to organizations can contribute towards such a low 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. The agreement carbon society and develop actions to adapt aims to substantially reduce global greenhouse to the unavoidable impacts of climate change. emissions and accelerate and intensify actions There will be an opportunity for EMS & ECAC and investments needed for a sustainable low participants to participate actively in the debate. carbon society. The agreement also aims to
Questions and issues that will be discussed by and with the panel include issues such as the following: ■ How will the COP21 Paris agreement and its objectives influenceactions in Europe, considering already agreed upon EU policies and actions? ■ Which mitigation and adaptation options are feasible? ■ How to deal with uncertainty in climate change projections, when planning for adaptation. ■ Examples of good practice in mitigation, adaptation and their synergies. ■ How can science and climate services provide support? ■ What is the role of meteorological institutes and related organizations and how can they contribute?
PROGRAMME
Chairs and Moderators: Tanja Cegnar Slovenian Environment Agency André Jol European Environment Agency
Opening by Inge Auer
Introductory statements 10-minute introductory statements will be given by invited speakers from different organizations and areas of expertise.
Antonio Navarra JPI Climate Governing Board, President of the CMCC Peter Höppe Munich Re, Head Geo Risko Forschung/Corporate Climate Centre name tbd CO2GeoNet Selvaraju Ramasamy Climate and Environment Division, Food and Agriculture Organisation
Panel discussion Questions and contributions from the audience
19:00 Closing AWARDS SESSION TUESDAY, 13 SEPTEMBER 2016 Room Saturnia
15:00–16:30 AWARD CEREMONIES YOUNG SCIENTIST TRAVEL AWARDS 2015 POSTER AWARD EMS YOUNG SCIENTIST AWARD EMS MEDIA AWARDS EMS TECHNOLOGY ACHIEVEMENT AWARD EMS TROMP AWARDS 2017 HARRY OTTEN PRIZE EMS SILVER MEDAL
Young Scientist Travel Awards are given to support The EMS Technology Achievement Award is given participation of outstanding students and young for the first time in 2016. It is established to recognise scientists at EMS-co-sponsored conferences. The award achievements that are influential on developments of is given as travel expenses support. The recipients are technologies and technical solutions in meteorology selected by the EMS Awards Committee. For this year’s and related areas, have advanced the methods recipients see page 13. and technologies of environmental observing and forecasting systems and demonstrated the potential The Outstanding Poster Award has been established to impact on the field at the European scale. MARS, to highlight good quality posters presented at the EMS the Meteorological Archival and Retrieval System Annual Meetings. The winners of the award 2015 are developed at the European Centre for Medium- Julian Tödter and Bodo Ahrens, Goethe University, Range Weather Forecasts, and the Distributed “real- Frankfurt, Germany, with the poster ‘Ensemble-based time” Environmental Measuring System developed at Soil Initialization for Seasonal-to-Decadal Predictions’. the Slovenian Environment Agency were selected to The poster is on display in the foyer and printed at the receive the Awards this year. For more details see page back of this programme book. The winner of the award 15. 2016 will be announced on Friday 16 September 2016, 16:15. The EMS Tromp Award honours outstanding achievement in biometeorology. The recipient 2016 is Barbara Templ, The EMS Young Scientist Award is presented annually Hungary. She will give a presentation on her work on to acknowledge excellence in young scientists. The Monday, 12 September 2016, 18:15, Room Oceania AB. awardee 2016 is Giovanni Tumolo from the Abdus Six EMS Tromp Young Scientist Travel Awards for young Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) scientists in the area of biometeorology are also given. in Trieste. He is awarded for significant contributions to For more details see page 16. the field of numerical weather prediction, developing a new accurate, efficient, unified numerical framework, The Harry Otten Prize for Innovation in Meteorology permitting a seamless approach from global to high encourages individuals and groups to come forward resolution limited-area modelling. Giovanni will give a with new ideas on how meteorology in a practical way Young Scientist Award Lecture on Thursday, 11:30h in can further move society forward. For details on the call Session NWP2. See page 75. for the 2017 Prize see page 17.
The EMS Media Awards include the Outreach and The EMS Silver Medal is presented annually to a Communication Award – given in recognition of person that has made distinguished contributions projects that explore new and effective ways to to the development of meteorology in Europe. The communicate the science of meteorology, the Silver Medal 2016 is awarded to Michel Jarraud for Broadcast Meteorologist Award that recognizes life significant scientific contributions to the establishment achievement and the Journalist Award that aims to of spectral methods in numerical weather prediction, highlight outstanding professional work that explains his leading role in developing the World Meteorological the science to the public. For details on the media Organization into the recognized authority about awardees see page 14. weather, climate and water within the United Nations system, and his part in the development of several major initiatives, in particular the launching of the Global Framework for Climate Services. The Laudation is given by Ivan Čačić. More details see page 18. Awards 13
Young Scientist Award
The EMS Young Scientist Award 2016 is awarded to Giovanni Tumolo from the Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) in Trieste, Italy, for his publication: “A semi-implicit, semi-Lagrangian discontinuous Galerkin framework for adaptive numerical weather prediction”, G. Tumolo, L. Bonaventura, Q.J.R. Meteror. Society 141: 2582-2601, Oct 2015, A doi: 10.1002/qj2544. Citation: Giovanni Tumolo contributed significantly to the field of numerical weather prediction, developing a new accurate, efficient, unified numerical framework, permitting a seamless approach from global to high resolution limited-area modeling. Giovanni will give a Young Scientist Award Lecture on his recent work in session NWP2 Numerical aspects and physical parametrization integration in NWP models: A p-adaptive approach for high order numerical weather prediction, on Thursday 15 September 2016, at 11:30 in room Oceania C.
Young Scientist Travel Awards
Olga Antokhina et al. EMS2016-11: The impact of atmospheric blocking in Western Siberia on the methane emissions in summer
Thursday, 15 September 2016, Author-in-attendance time: 14:00–14:55 Poster number G38 (Gallery), Session ASI14 See page 87.
Lukáš Dolák et al. EMS2016-32: Hydrometeorological extremes and their impacts in the Jihlava region (Czech Republic) in the 1651–1880 period
Thursday, 15 September 2016, Author-in-attendance time: 14:00–14:55 Poster number H12 (Hall), Session MC3 See page 84.
Jianting Du et al. EMS2016-28: Roughness length for coastal waters from wave boundary layer model
Thursday, 15 September 2016, 16:15–16:30 Session ASI13, room: Saturnia See page 77.
Jorge Lopez Parages et al. EMS2016-39: ENSO influence on the North Atlantic European climate: a non-linear and non-stationary approach
Tuesday, 13 September 2016, 12:15–12:30 Session: ASI6/UC8, room: Vulcania 2 See page 42.
Gabriella Zsebeházi EMS2016-36: Sensitivity of the SURFEX land surface model to forcing settings in urban climate modelling
Friday, 16 September 2016, 12:00–12:15 Session ASI11, room: Vulcania 2 See page 95.
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy EMS MEDIA AWARDS
As Stéphane Foucart was not able to attend the The main aim of the new Science Park of ZAMG is Awards ceremony in September 2015 in Sofia, The to offer a state-of the-art science communication EMS Journalist Award 2015 is handed over to him in the areas of weather, climate, environment and this year. Stéphane Foucart regularly publishes geophysics at ZAMG´s headquarters in Vienna and articles addressing climate change and its social at the Customer Service Offices (Salzburg, Innsbruck, and environment impact in the “Planet” section of Klagenfurt, Graz). “Le Monde”. He was nominated for the Journalist Award on the basis of three articles published in “Le The objectives of the concept include Monde”: ■ To address people of all ages, who visit the ZAMG with guided tours, or during special ■ One third of sea level rise is due to events; melting of high altitude glaciers (Un tiers de ■ To motivate visitors to participate in l’élévation des mers est dû à la fonte des ZAMG’s science projects that have a Citizen glaciers d’altitude, June 2013) Science approach (e.g. severe weather, ■ The climate and war (Le climat et la guerre, phenology and climate, change, reports of November 2014) earthquakes, etc.); ■ Climate and the trade of doubt (Le climat et ■ To encourage to reflect and discuss the le commerce du doute, March 2015) connections between science and everyone’s life and the possibilities of Stéphane Foucart is vigilant to detect and expose interacting; misleading information about climate change ■ To intertwine the official measurement sites and he is reporting in an understandable way the and the route of the guided tours. scientific facts about the environment, the climate and also about climate change in the context of Thomas Wostal, Press officer of ZAMG and centrally politics. These implications of climate and climate involved in the development of the concept of the change are rarely addressed by meteorologists or Science Park and its implementation, will present climatologists, but are of utmost importance. the project and talk about future plans during the Stéphane Foucart was born in 1973; he has been Media & Communication Session on Tuesday, working for “Le Monde” for 15 years now, and he is 13 September 2016. the journal’s environmental sciences correspondent since 2007. He is also the author of books investigating The EMS Broadcast Meteorologist Award is presented the corporate influence on science (Le Populisme to Lieutenant Colonel Guido Guidi of the Italian Air climatique, 2010, and La Fabrique du mensonge, Force Weather Service. Guido Guidi presents weather 2013). forecasts on the national TV stations RAI1 and RAI2. Throughout his career as TV weather forecaster he Stéphane Foucart will share some thoughts about has always proved deep commitment paired with science, journalism & the climate debate during the extremely high communication skills. He also has Media & Communication Session on Tuesday, 13 a relevant long working history and experience as September 2016. weather forecaster for several weather services such as NATO, the Italian Antarctcic Survey, the The EMS Outreach & Communication Award 2016 Operational Center for Meteorology as well as the is presented to the Science Park of the Austrian Civil protection. Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics (ZAMG) for its success in providing a sophisticated Lieutenant Colonel Guido Guidi will talk about his educational experience, its breadth of appeal to experience as a weather forecaster in the Media a wide target group ranging from small children Session on Tuesday, 13 September 2016. and students to scholars and interested citizens, and its instructive presentation of the science using interactive tools aimed at increasing interest and awareness for a subject of importance to society. The project is designed as a long-term endeavour, and is already being expanded to additional locations across the country. EMS TECHNOLOGY ACHIEVEMENT AWARD
The EMS Technology Achievement Award was time” data acquisition over various channels, interval launched in 2015 and is given for the first time this data processing, local archiving, customisable data year. The first awarded projects are MARS, the reporting and data dissemination, visualisation and Meteorological Archival and Retrieval System alert services, full control of the network, remote developed at the European Centre for Medium- software validation, optimization and upgrading, Range Weather Forecasts, and the Distributed “real- modular large-scale sensors integration, provided time” Environmental Measuring System developed measurement traceability with meta data at the Slovenian Environment Agency. support, traceable software and documentation management, remote installation and removal of MARS, chiefly developed by Baudouin Raoult and software and supported low power design. Manuel Fuentes together with other members of the MARS-team over the years, is recognised for a The aim of this new EMS Technology Achievement unique approach to meteorological data storage Award is to recognise achievements that are and retrieval technology. The Meteorological influential on developments of technologies and Archival and Retrieval System is the main repository technical solutions in meteorology and related areas, of meteorological data at ECMWF containing have advanced the methods and technologies of petabytes of operational and research data. MARS environmental observing and forecasting systems has had and continues to have a huge impact on and demonstrated the potential to impact on the developments in many organisations by making field at the European scale. The award is normally vast quantities of meteorological data accessible given annually. A call for nominations is issued in to thousands of organisations and individuals. autumn each year and the award presented at the EMS Annual Meeting in the following year. The The main achievement associated with MARS is that Award is given in the form of a certificate. this system has stood the test of time as a result of continuous development. More than thirty years The Awards 2016 are presented at the Awards after it was created, MARS remains at the cutting Session on Tuesday, 13 September 2016. Baudouin edge of meteorological data storage and retrieval, Raoult will give a presentation in session UC6 with a user base that extends well beyond ECMWF Global and regional reanalyses on Wednesday, to other centres and the wider meteorological and 14 September 2016, at 15:00h: “MARS: successfully climatological community. serving meteorological data for 30 years”. Bojan Černač will give a presentation on “Distributed ‘real- The Distributed “real-time” Environmental Measuring time’ Environmental Measuring System in Slovenia” System, developed under the guidance of Bojan on Tuesday, 13 September 2016 at 9:45 in Session Černač, is recognised for an innovative concept of OBS1 Atmospheric measurements from the local automatic stations implemented as a state of the to the regional scale: Concepts, new technologies art measuring system. This open-source Linux based and scientific progress. distributed “real-time” Environmental Measuring System enables a higher degree of maintenance, flexibility, portability, modularity and diagnostics. It will have an impact for many years to come. Key features of the new network are distributed “real- EMS TROMP AWARD AND EMS TROMP YSTAS
The Tromp Foundation (Foundation for ■ Jana Fischereit, presenting Assessing Biometeorological Research), the legacy of uncertainties for the calculation of perceived Solco W. Tromp, is funding this award with the temperature in an urban environment: on intention to promote biometeorology in Europe. Wednesday, 9:30 in Session ASI7/CE10 Human Biometeorology is an interdisciplinary science Biometeorology studying the interactions between atmospheric processes and living organisms – plants, animals ■ Mikhail I. Varentsov, presenting Investigation and humans. It provides answers to the question of detailed spatial structure of the Moscow How does weather and climate impact the well- megacity climate features to the newest being of all living beings? meteorological observations and regional climate modelling with connection to human The EMS Tromp award has recently been established comfort: on Friday at 10:30 in Poster session and is given for the second time this year. The EMS ASI11 Urban Climate, Poster number G14, on Tromp Award 2016 winner is Barbara Templ from the gallery. Eötvös Lorànd University, Hungary, nominated with the paper: Flowering phenological changes in ■ Pavel Konstantinov, presenting Urban Heat relation to climate change in Hungary, B. Szabó, E. Island’s intensity research of Arctic city during Vincze, B. Czúcz, 2016, published in the International winter and its influence on inhabitants’ Journal of Biometeorology. thermal comfort: on Friday at 11:45 in session ASI11 Urban Climate The awardee will receive $US 1,000 and travel expenses to attend the EMS Annual Meeting. The ■ Burak Öztaner, presenting Estimation of Crop awardee will give a presentation on Monday, Production Loss due to Ozone over Europe by 12 September 2016 at 18:15 in Session ASI12 CMAQ Model: on Monday at 17:30 in session Phenology and Agrometeorology. ASI12 Phenology and agrometeorology
EMS Tromp Young Scientist Travel Awards ■ Spyridon Paparrizos, presenting Present and future responses of growing degree days for The Tromp Foundation also funds six EMS Tromp Crete island in Greece: on Monday at 17:45 in Young Scientist Travel Awards for papers that are session ASI12 Phenology and agrometeorology presented at the EMS & ECAC specifically on topics in biometeorology. The following recipients have ■ Ajda Valher, presenting Crop water balance been selected: variability: on Monday at 17:15 in session ASI12 Phenology and agrometeorology 25000 Euro for the best innovative idea in meteorology
The Harry Otten Prize is a prize of 25000 Euro that will be awarded every two years for the best innovative idea in Meteorology.
The prize encourages individuals and small groups (maximum of 3 individuals) to propose new ideas of how meteorology in a practical way can further move society forward.
The prize will be awarded during the meeting of the European Meteorological Society (EMS) in Dublin (Ireland) 5 September 2017.
Ideas for the prize may be submitted from 15 September 2016 until the closing date of 10 March 2017.
Harry Otten was the founder of MeteoGroup, a successful company providing meteorological services. He expressed his gratitude to the meteorological community by creating an endowment that supports the prize.
The endowment is governed by an independent board. The members of the board also form the jury that awards the prize. EMS SILVER MEDAL LECTURE 2016 PRESTIGIOUS AWARD FOR SIGNIFICANT SCIENTIFIC CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE ESTABLISHMENT OF SPECTRAL METHODS IN NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION, PIVOTAL ROLE IN LAUNCHING OF THE GLOBAL FRAMEWORK FOR CLIMATE SERVICES.
The European Meteorological Society has chosen Laudation Michel Jarraud as Laureate of the EMS Silver Medal The laudation will be given by Ivan Čačić, Croatia. 2016. He is honoured for significant scientific contributions to the establishment of spectral methods Ivan Čačić is the President of the Regional Association in numerical weather prediction, his leading role in VI (Europe) of the World Meteorological Organization developing the World Meteorological Organization and “ex officio” member of the WMO Executive into the recognized authority about weather, climate Council; he is also the Permanent Representative of and water within the United Nations system, and his Croatia with the WMO. part in the development of several major initiatives, in particular the launching of the Global Framework for Ivan Čačić is also a Member of the WMO – PWS Climate Services. Expert Team and PWS Coordination Team, and also of the Croatian Journalists’ Association, dedicated The Laureate will give a Silver Medal Lecture: to improve communication of the meteorological “Meteorology and 21st century challenges”. community to the public.
Michel Jarraud undoubtedly made outstanding EMS Silver Medal contributions in support of the worldwide The EMS Silver Medal was established in 2008 to meteorological community and beyond: His honour important contributions to the development capabilities and achievements, ranging from science of meteorology in Europe. The Award is presented to management and successfully combining them, annually. Previous recipients include the late Karin were instrumental for the introduction of modern Labitzke (Germany), René Morin (France), Lennart forecasting methods at Météo-France and ECMWF. Bengtsson (Sweden/Germany), David Burridge (United Kingdom), the late Jean-François Geleyn Michel Jarraud is an outstanding researcher and (France/Czech Republic), Tim Palmer (United internationally recognized expert in spectral methods. Kingdom), Hartmut Graßl (Germany), Peter Lynch His work in the early days of ECMWF was instrumental in (Ireland) and Anton Eliassen (Norway). the selection of this method for the ECMWF model. As director of forecasting at Météo-France and as Head of Operations at ECMWF he focused his attention on reinforcing the links between the research and operation departments, in order to ensure a smooth and efficient transfer of research developments into the operational forecasting system.
His utmost legacy will be the accomplishment to turn WMO into the reference UN institution not only concerned with weather, but in addition also with hydrology and climate, which culminated in the establishment of the Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS). As WMO Secretary General he has immensely contributed to strengthening the effectiveness of UN voices in water, disasters and climate issues. UMFVG VIDEO CONTEST THE PECULIAR WEATHER OF TRIESTE AND ITS SURROUNDINGS – WATCH THE VIDEOS
In connection with the EMS & ECAC, the UMFVG, The winning entries have been selected; the prizes the local host EMS Member Society, has organised will be presented to the three winners during The a video contest for original short films on the subject: EMS Festa on Thursday, but entry videos are shown “The meteorological and climatic peculiarities during the EMS & ECAC week in the small foyer of of Trieste, the North Adriatic Coast and the Karst the Saturnia room (when you pass the hall way to Plateau.” the lecture rooms Oceania and Vulcania). Enjoy them and learn about the weather peculiarities of The main aim of the contest is to promote the the Trieste area. exchange and sharing among meteorology and climatology enthusiasts of different creative Video interviews methods for interpreting the relation between atmospheric elements and the environment and During the conference there will be a camera team to increase the knowledge of this territory and its conducting very short interviews with participants climatic peculiarities. asking for your experiences with the conference: What is it that attracts you to attend the conference? The first three prizes are 500€ (first place), 250€ What is your favourite thing about the EMS Annual (second place) and 100€ (third place). Meeting? What would you say to young researchers why they should attend this conference? What do you expect from this conference?
We would be delighted to hear your views. TRIESTE SCIENCE CAFÉS
In connection with the EMS & ECAC Science Cafés Tuesday, 18:30 – 19:30 will be organised. Science Cafés are traditional institutions for the public of Trieste: speakers from “Biometeorology and diseases, what evolution in a the conference will give talks in a café, and this changing climate?” event is open to anyone interested. The talks will be Tanja Cegnar, Agency for Environmental given in Italian. Protection of Slovenia, and Adrian Tompkins, Venue: International Center for Theoretical Physics in Trieste “Caffè Tommaseo” Piazza Nicolò Tommaseo, 4c Thursday, 18:30 – 19:30 34121 Trieste, Italy “Climate change and air pollution: two faces of the same medal?”
Silvio Gualdi, Euromediterranean Center for Climate Change, and Fulvio Stel, Regional Agency for Environmental Protection of Friuli 20 Side meetings
Side meetings
Monday, 12 September 2016 Wednesday, 09 September 2015 SIM1: Fourth European Communications Workshop SIM4: Programme and Science Committee 2017 (by for NMHSs (by invitation only) (part I) invitation only) Contacts: Michael Williams and Tanja Cegnar Contact: Martina Junge 14:00–18:15 (continues on Tuesday) 13:00–14:00 Room: Marconi Room: Marconi
Tuesday, 13 September 2016 SIM3: IABM Annual General Meeting SIM5: Conveners GENERAL ASSEMBLY Contact: Gerald Fleming 17:30–19:00 Contact: Martina Junge Room: Vulcania 2 13:00–14:00 Room: Vulcania 2 SIM6: UERRA planning meeting (by invitation only) SIM1: Fourth European Communications Workshop Contact: Per Unden for NMHSs (by invitation only) (part II) 17:30–19:00 Room: Marconi Contacts: Michael Williams and Tanja Cegnar 14:00–16:30 Room: Marconi
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy FROM THE PUBLISHER OF METEOROLOGICAL TECHNOLOGY INTERNATIONAL
170 EXHIBITORS+ EXPECTED NEXT-GENERATION METEOROLOGICAL INSTRUMENTS ARE HERE! The global exhibition and conference that showcases the latest and next-generation meteorological forecasting and measurement technologies
FREE TO ATTEND!
Hosting TECO 27, 28, 29 SEPTEMBER 2016
MADRID SPAIN NEW Further information: VENUE Please contact Simon Willard at: UKIP Media & Events Ltd, FOR 2016! Abinger House, Church Street, Dorking, Surrey, RH4 1DF, UK Tel: +44 1306 743744 • Email: [email protected] You can register online to guarantee your FREE FASTTRACK entry code www.meteorologicaltechnologyworldexpo.com TRAINING WORKSHOPS
INTRODUCTION TO THE WEATHER RESEARCH AND FORECASTING (WRF) MODEL Training Workshop, 11 September 2016, Trieste
Gert–Jan Steeneveld Wageningen Univ. Hugo Hartmann MeteoGroup Peter Kalverla Wageningen Univ.
The WRF model is a popular open source mesoscale meteorological model that is widely used in forecasting, education, academic and applied atmospheric research. The model is rather flexible in setup concerning model domain, resolution, and physical parameterization schemes. This makes the model excellent for both theoretical as well as applied studies across a range of spatial and temporal scales in meteorology and climate. At the same time this requires user knowledge on the do’s and don’ts when working with the model. We offer this new workshop to PhD students, atmospheric researchers and scientists, as well as consultants.
BASIC DATA ASSIMILATION CONCEPTS Workshop, 11 September 2016, Trieste
Roland Potthast DWD (Research and Development, Head Division Data Assimilation)
The workshop will provide an introduction to data assimilation concepts, methods and techniques for forecasters and meteorologists.
To calculate weather forecasts on short or longer temporal scales, measurement data need to be fused into a coherent estimate of the current state of the atmosphere. These techniques are also of growing importance for nowcasting, and they are an important ingredient for climate monitoring and to calibrate climate projections. When measurements are integrated into model states, we usually speak of data assimilation.
The workshop provides a basic introduction to the ideas, set-up, properties, techniques and results which are behind data assimilation and data fusion. Its goal is to enable forecasters and users to understand the role of measurements, the capabilities and limitations of assimilation, and to gain insight into the whole NWP system which consists of a data assimilation cycle and forecast runs. A particular focus will be placed on the determination of uncertainty and risk within the analysis and forecast, which is a key goal of modern ensemble data assimilation systems. Climate Change Service Atmosphere Monitoring Service
Supporting policy-making, science and industry with reliable, timely and quality-controlled information
WATER AGRICULTURE TOURISM INSURANCE TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT & FORESTRY
ENERGY HEALTH INFRASTRUCTURE DISASTER RISK COASTAL AREAS REDUCTION
For more information, please visit: climate.copernicus.eu | atmosphere.copernicus.eu | copernicus.eu | ecmwf.int
IMPLEMENTED BY ECMWF 24 Session index
Session index European Conference on Applied Climatology (ECAC) Monitoring climate and climate change MC1 oral programme page 38, 41 | poster programme page 49 MC2 oral programme page 70, 73 | poster programme page 83 MC3 oral programme page 76, 80 | poster programme page 84 Understanding processes and climate change UC1 oral programme page 92, 94, 97 | poster programme page 101 UC2 oral programme page 38, 41 | poster programme page 50 UC4 oral programme page 39, 42 | poster programme page 51 UC6 oral programme page 59, 63 | poster programme page 66 UC7 oral programme page 45, 56, 59 | poster programme page 66 Research and services for socio-economic sectors SE1/CE8 oral programme page 27, 30 | poster programme page 33 SE2 oral programme page 56 | poster programme page 67 SE3/AM2 oral programme page 45 | poster programme page 51 SE4 oral programme page 70 | poster programme page 84 SE6/CE9 oral programme page 46 Applications of Meteorology (AM) AM1 oral programme page 59 | poster programme page 67 AM4 oral programme page 30 | poster programme page 33 AM5/UC3 oral programme page 97 | poster programme page 102 AM6/NWP5 oral programme page 92, 94, 98 | poster programme page 102 The Atmospheric System and its Interactions (ASI) ASI1 oral programme page 27, 31 | poster programme page 34 ASI2 oral programme page 28 | ASI3 oral programme page 47 | poster programme page 52 ASI4 oral programme page 76, 80 | poster programme page 85 ASI5 oral programme page 73, 76 | poster programme page 85 ASI6/UC8 oral programme page 42, 47 | poster programme page 53 ASI7/CE10 oral programme page 57, 60 | poster programme page 67 ASI8 oral programme page 40 | poster programme page 53 ASI9 oral programme page 43 | poster programme page 54 ASI10 oral programme page 93 | poster programme page 103 ASI11 oral programme page 95, 99 | poster programme page 103 ASI12 oral programme page 31 | poster programme page 34 ASI13 oral programme page 57, 61, 63, 71, 74, 77, 81 | poster programme page 86 ASI14 oral programme page 77, 81 | poster programme page 87 ASI16 oral programme page 28 | poster programme page 35 Communication and Education (CE) CE1 oral programme page 40, 43 | poster programme page 54 CE2/AM3 oral programme page 58 CE4 oral programme page 61 CE5 oral programme page 72, 74 CE6 oral programme page 71 | poster programme page 88 CE7 oral programme page 64 Measurements and Observations (OBS) OBS1 oral programme page 29, 32, 38 | poster programme page 35 OBS2 oral programme page 93, 95, 100 | poster programme page 104 OBS3 oral programme page 64 | poster programme page 68 OBS4 oral programme page 29 Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) NWP1 oral programme page 65 | poster programme page 68 NWP2 oral programme page 75, 78 | poster programme page 88 NWP3 oral programme page 72, 75 | poster programme page 89 NWP4 oral programme page 78, 82 | poster programme page 90 NWP7 oral programme page 96 | poster programme page 104
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Monday 25
Monday, 12 September 2016
Opening Session I Room Saturnia 10:30 10:30
– Opening by the EMS President and Welcome Addresses – see also page 10 09:00 09:00
10:30 Coffee Break 10:30
13:00 Strategic Lectures I Room Saturnia 13:00 – see also page 10 – 11:00 11:00
12:00 Exhibition opens 12:00
13:00 Lunch Break 13:00
Room Saturnia Vulcania 1 Oceania AB Oceania C Vulcania 2 Room
The OBS4: ASI16: SE1/CE8: Creating Manufacturers' Weather Research national and session until 14:45 ASI2: Meteorology, and Forecasting 16:00 regional climate ASI1: Dynamical 16:00 – OBS1: Atmospheric climate and space Model (WRF): – services in Europe Meteorology Measurements from weather Development, through
14:00 the local to the Research and 14:00 partnerships regional scale Applications
16:00 Coffee Break 16:00
AM4: Reducing
18:15 ASI12: Phenology & Weather Risks to 18:15 – SE1/CE8 OBS1 ASI1 – agrometeorology Transport: air, sea and land 16:30 16:30
Poster Session GALLERY: HALL: 19:30 Poster boards 19:30
– I – Poster boards H1-H78 I G1-G56 SE1/CE8 I ASI1 – ASI2 – ASI12 – ASI16 18:30 AM4 18:30 OBS1 19:30 Ice breaker in exhibition & Poster area: Foyer Hall 19:30
In the detailed daily programme (on pages 26 to 36) sessions are listed chronologically, according to the time for the oral presentations (14:00–16:00, 16:30–18:15). Within each time block sessions are listed in the following order: ECAC (MC – UC – SE), AM, ASI, OBS.
Poster display time Monday to Wednesday Authors are kindly asked to put up their posters as soon as possible within the allocated display time in order to enable the conference participants to view their posters at any time within the display days, and to take them down on Wednesday evening between 18:00–18:30. Posters that have not been removed within this dismantling time will be removed and disposed of.
Side meetings Side meetings and workshops take place in room Marconi. For details see page 20.
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy CONFERENCE 2017
The EUMETSAT Meteorological Satellite Conference has been a key annual event for the meteorological community since the organisation’s inception in 1986.
The 2017 EUMETSAT Meteorological Satellite Conference will be held at the stunning Cinecittà fi lm studios in Rome, Italy, and hosted and co-organised by ITAF-ReMET (Italian Air Force-Department of Meteorology).
Sessions will cover such topics as current and future satellite programmes and instruments, marine meteorology and oceanography, scientifi c achievements and future objectives for satellite climate observations, to name but some.
WHO SHOULD ATTEND • Experts from meteorological services, universities, satellite operating agencies working in the fi eld of satellite meteorology and related applications in weather forecasting, climate research and services, oceanography and the environment.
• Interested scientists and students from universities and organisations dealing with Earth observations.
FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT:
[email protected] Abstract submission deadline is 31 January 2017
ROME. ITALY. 2 6 OCTOBER 2017. Conference Programme – Monday 27
16:00
Monday, 14:00–16:00 –
15:30–15:45: EMS2016-509 SE1/CE8 Creating national and Providing climate information for local authorities regional climate services in Hans Olav Hygen, Hege Hisdal, Inger Hanssen-Bauer Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway Europe through partnerships ([email protected]) Lecture room: Saturnia 15:45–16:00: EMS2016-460
Conveners: Clare Goodess; Carlo Buontempo Developing a stakeholder tool to assess impacts and 14:00 | Monday Orals Co-Conveners: Tomas Halenka; Tanja Cegnar; adaptation options for Mediterranean islands’ Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes; Chris Hewitt; Filipe Lúcio agriculture through climate and crop modeling Christos Giannakopoulos, Marco Moriondo, Anna Karali, Christina Papadaskalopoulou, Camilla Dibari, 14:00–14:15: EMS2016-326 Vassiliki Assimakopoulos, Giannis Lemesios, Lorenzo Outstanding challenges limiting the development of Brilli, Konstantinos V. Varotsos climate services in Europe National Observatory of Athens, Institute for Carlo Buontempo, Marta Bruno Soares, Felicity Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, Liggins Athens, Greece ([email protected]) Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom ([email protected]) ORAL PROGRAMME SE1/CE8 CONTINUES ON MONDAY, 16:30 14:15–14:30: EMS2016-623 Prototype development of user specific climate services Daniela Jacob, Irene Fischer-Bruns, Juliane Petersen, Peer Seipold, Claas Teichmann ASI1 Dynamical meteorology Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Helmholtz- Zentrum Geesthacht, Hamburg, Germany Lecture room: Vulcania 2 ([email protected]) Convener: Thomas Frisius Co-Conveners: Frank Lunkeit; Alessandro Dell’Aquila; 14:30–14:45: EMS2016-700 Christian Franzke The National Center for Climate Services in Switzerland Jacqueline Flückiger Knutti, Cornelia Schwierz, Andreas Fischer, Mischa Croci-Maspoli, Erika Kienast, 14:00–14:30: EMS2016-296 Christof Appenzeller Synoptic view of latitudinal shifts in the North Atlantic Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology, eddy-driven jet stream (solicited) MeteoSwiss, Zurich, Switzerland Erica Madonna, Camille Li, Justin J. Wettstein Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway 14:45–15:00: EMS2016-298 ([email protected]) Assessement of user needs for climate change scenarios in Switzerland Andreas Fischer, Mark Liniger, Jacqueline Flückiger 14:30–15:00: EMS2016-105 Knutti Low-dimensional attractors for the North Atlantic Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology atmospheric circulation (solicited) MeteoSwiss, Climate Division, Zurich-Airport, Davide Faranda, Gabriele Messori, Pascal Yiou Switzerland ([email protected]) CNRS - CEA Saclay, Laboratoire de Science du Climat e de l’Environment, Gif sur Yvette, France ([email protected]) 15:00–15:15: EMS2016-588 Quantitative Information on Extreme Precipitation - a new Climate Service for Switzerland 15:00–15:15: EMS2016-85 Sophie Fukutome, Anne Schindler, Thomas Schlegel, Influence of atmospheric waves on the formation and Rebecca Hiller, Valérie Fazan, Barbara Naegeli, Mischa the maintenance of the subtropical jet during the Croci-Maspoli, Cornelia Schwierz Northern Hemisphere winter MeteoSwiss, Zurich, Switzerland Yuhji Kuroda ([email protected]) Meteorological Research Institute, Climate Research Department, Tsukuba, Japan ([email protected]) 15:15–15:30: EMS2016-694 Klima 2050: a research-based innovation centre for risk 15:15–15:30: EMS2016-290 reduction through climate adaptation of infrastructure Potential vorticity diagnostic to quantify effects of latent and buildings heating in midlatitude cyclones Berit Time, Tore Kvande, Hans Olav Hygen Dominik Büeler, Stephan Pfahl Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway ETH Zürich, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate ([email protected]) Science, Switzerland ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 28 Conference programme – Monday
15:30–15:45: EMS2016-123 16:00
– The structure and development of an extratropical ASI16 The Weather Research and cyclone over the Northeastern Asia Forecasting Model (WRF): Ying Liu, Donghai Wang Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences Development, Research and Applications 15:45–16:00: 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions) Lecture room: Oceania C
Gert-Jan Steeneveld ORAL PROGRAMME ASI1 CONTINUES ON MONDAY, Convener:
Orals Monday | 14:00 | Monday Orals Hugo Hartmann 16:30 Co-Convener:
Chairperson: Hugo Hartmann ASI2 Meteorology, climate and space weather 14:00–14:15: EMS2016-512 Dynamical and statistical-dynamical modelling of wind Lecture room: Oceania AB farm flows with WRF Patrick J. H. Volker, Jake Volker, Andrea N. Hahmann Convener: Mauro Messerotti Danish Technical University, Windenergy, Roskilde, Co-Conveners: David R. Jackson; Annika Seppälä; Suzy Denmark ([email protected]) Bingham 14:15–14:30: EMS2016-291 Chairperson: David R. Jackson High-resolution urban weather forecasting for Amsterdam 14:00–14:05: Reinder Ronda, Jisk Attema, Gert-Jan Steeneveld, Bert Introduction (M. Messerotti) and 1-min poster Heusinkveld, Bert Holtslag presentation (59 Muthanna Al-Tameemi, Poster) Wageningen University, Meteorology and Air Quality, Wageningen, Netherlands ([email protected]) 14:05–14:20: EMS2016-772 Meteorology and Space Weather as Coupled 14:30–14:45: EMS2016-101 Frameworks Simulations of hailstorms over Switzerland in a warmer Mauro Messerotti climate, using a surrogated climate change approach INAF-Astronomical Observatory of Trieste and Andrey Martynov, Luca Nisi, Olivia Martius Department of Physics, University of Trieste, Italy University of Bern, Institute of Geography, Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, Bern, Switzerland ([email protected]) 14:20–14:40: EMS2016-54 Sol-Terra: A Roadmap for Operational Coupled Sun-to- Earth Space Weather Forecasting 14:45–15:00: EMS2016-6 David R. Jackson, Mike Marsh, Alastair Pidgeon, Assessing the impact of Multiple Doppler Radar data Gareth Lawrence, Simon Reid, Mario Bisi, Yulia assimilation using WRF-3DVAR on a Heavy Bogdanova, Mike Hapgood Precipitation Event of the HyMeX campaign Met Office, Space Weather Research Group, Exeter, Ida Maiello, Rossella Ferretti, Luca Baldini, Nicoletta United Kingdom ([email protected]) Roberto, Errico Picciotti, Sabrina Gentile, Pier Paolo Alberoni, Frank Silvio Marzano Centre of Excellence CETEMPS, Department of
14:40–15:00: EMS2016-53 Physics and Chemistry - University of L’Aquila, Italy Verification of solar flare forecasts at the UK Met Office Sophie Murray, Michael Sharpe, David Jackson, Suzy Bingham, Maria Kuznetsova, Leila Mays 15:00–15:15: EMS2016-353 Met Office, Exeter, UK Regional downscaling of the global analysis with a WRF model
Shamil Maksyutov, Radomir Zaripov
15:00–15:30: EMS2016-63 National Institute for Environmental Studies, CGER, Solar irradiance variability (solicited) Tsukuba, Japan ([email protected]) Sami K. Solanki Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research, Göttingen, Germany ([email protected]) 15:15–15:30: EMS2016-389 WRF idealized-roughness response: PBL scheme and resolution dependence
15:30–15:50: EMS2016-69 Mark Kelly, Patrick J. H. Volker The forecast of global values of precipitable water vapor Danish Tech.Univ., Risø Campus, DTU Wind Energy, And precipitation rate based on statistical model Of Meteorology, Roskilde, Denmark ([email protected]) solar-terrestrial connections Muthanna Al-Tameemi Russian State Hydromet. Univ., Meteorological faculty, Experimental Physics of the Atmosph., St.Petersburg, Russian Federation ([email protected]), University of Al-Mustansyria, Baghdad, Iraq
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME ASI2
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Monday 29
15:30–15:45: EMS2016-655 16:00
An investigation of the Ora del Garda wind in the Alps OBS1 Atmospheric measurements – from surface and airborne measurements and from from the local to the regional high-resolution numerical simulations Lorenzo Giovannini, Lavinia Laiti, Dino Zardi scale: Concepts, new Atmospheric Physics Group, Derpartment of Civil, technologies and scientific Environmental and Mechanical Engineering, University of Trento, Trento, Italy., National Consortium of progress Universities for Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Physics Lecture room: Vulcania 1 (CINFAI), Rome, Italy.
Convener: Frank Beyrich 14:00 | Monday Orals 15:45–16:00: Co-Convener: Fred C. Bosveld 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions)
Chairperson: Frank Beyrich END OF ORAL PROGRAMME ASI16 Observatories and long-term measurements
OBS4 Progress in measurement 14:45–15:15: EMS2016-354 technology - new sensors, The GAW-WMO Regional Observatory of Lamezia Terme (Italy): environment and climate investigated in instruments, and systems the Mediterranean hot-spot (solicited) (Manufacturers’ session) Claudia Roberta Calidonna, Ivano Ammoscato, Daniel Gullì, Teresa Lo Feudo, Elenio Avolio, Mariafrancesca Lecture room: Vulcania 1 De Pino, Paolo Cristofanelli, Angela Marinoni, Maurizio Busetto, Tony Christian Landi, Paolo Bonasoni Convener: Fred C. Bosveld Institute of Atmospheric Science and Climate, C.N.R., Co-Convener: Frank Beyrich Lamezia Terme (CZ), Italy ([email protected])
Chairperson: Fred Bosveld 15:15–15:30: EMS2016-145 Metrological analysis of long-term surface fluxes, 14:00–14:15: EMS2016-573 meteorological and soil measurements from NubiScope - ten years of experience in ground based comprehensive datasets characterizing 2 cropland infrared cloud observation sites: from experimental to operational instrumentation. Hans Moeller, Theo Sattler Aurore Brut, Tiphaine Tallec, Morgan Ferlicoq, Eric Ing.-Büro für Mess- und Kalibriertechnik, Ceschia, Bartosz Zawilski, Franck Granouillac Frankfurt/M,Germany ([email protected]) CESBIO, Université de Toulouse, CNES/CNRS/IRD/UPS, Toulouse, France 14:15–14:30: EMS2016-612 Towards Improved High-Resolution Image-Based 15:30–15:45: EMS2016-323 Characterization of Hydrometers with Small Diameters Hectometer-scale variability of atmospheric and surface Martin Schwinzerl, Michael Schönhuber, Günter variables and assessment of average values provided Lammer by satellites and numerical models JOANNEUM RESEARCH Forschungsges mbH, Gemma Simó, Daniel Martínez-Villagrasa, Maria DIGITAL, Graz, Austria Antònia Jiménez, Vicent García-Santos, Alvaro López, ([email protected]) Rodrigo Picos, Vicente Caselles, Joan Cuxart University of the Balearic Islands, Physics, Palma de Mallorca, Spain ([email protected]) 14:30–14:45: EMS2016-781 RaZON+, a novel solar monitoring system Marc Korevaar, Ilja Staupe, Joop Mees 15:45–16:00: EMS2016-695 Kipp & Zonen Atmospheric laboratories on the Tyrrhenian coastline Stefania Argentini, Igor Petenko, Simone Bucci, Roberto Sozzi, Giangiuseppe Mastrantonio, Alessandro END OF ORAL PROGRAMME OBS4 Conidi, Giampietro Casasanta, Stefano Federico
Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, CNR,
Roma, Italy
ORAL PROGRAMME OBS1 CONTINUES ON MONDAY, 16:30
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 30 Conference programme – Monday
18:15
– Monday, 16:30–18:15 SE1/CE8 Creating national and AM4 Reducing Weather Risks to regional climate services in Transport: air, sea and land Europe through partnerships Lecture room: Oceania C Lecture room: Saturnia Convener: Fraser Ralston
Co-Conveners: Thomas Hauf; Christine Le Bot Orals Monday | 16:30 | Monday Orals Conveners: Clare Goodess; Carlo Buontempo Co-Conveners: Tomas Halenka; Tanja Cegnar; Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes; Chris Hewitt; Filipe Lúcio Chairperson: Fraser Ralston
16:30–16:45: EMS2016-758 16:30–16:45: EMS2016-50 The lessons learnt from EUPORIAS climate service Probabilistic forecasts of precipitation type for European prototypes airports based on multi-model ensemble Carlo Buontempo and the EUPORIAS prototype Team Jaakko Nuottokari Met Office, Exeter, UK, ECMWF, Reading, UK Finnish Meteorological Institute, Customer Services, Helsinki, Finland ([email protected]) 16:45–17:00: EMS2016-456 Seasonal Water Balance Forecasts for Drought Early 16:45–17:00: EMS2016-154 Warning in Ethiopia MeteoRuta & MeteoNav: Interactive weather forecasting Christoph Spirig, Jonas Bhend, Mark Liniger WEBGIS for roads and sport sailing in Spain MeteoSwiss, Analysis and Forecasting, Zurich, José A. Garcia-Moya, Jose I. Villarino, Jose Voces, Switzerland ([email protected]) Inmaculada Abia, Nieves Garrido, Eroteida Sanchez Spanish Agency of Meteorology. AEMET, Madrid, Spain 17:00–17:15: EMS2016-147 Evaluating the utilization of climate information products 17:00–17:15: EMS2016-285 of the WMO RA VI RCC-network by NMHSs in the Short term alarm system for road weather context of S2D climate service product development Ludovic Bouilloud, Odile Coudert Daniel Funk Météo-France, Toulouse, France Deutscher Wetterdienst, Regional Climate Monitoring, ([email protected]) Offenbach, Germany ([email protected]) 17:15–17:30: EMS2016-428 17:15–17:30: EMS2016-99 Spreading the right amount of salt in the right places at Real Time Experiment of seasonal river flow forecast for the right times: road ice prevention with the CLEAN- dam management in France. ROADS system Christian Viel, Mathieu Papazzoni, Anne-Lise Claudia Di Napoli, Andrea Piazza, Ilaria Pretto, Guido Beaulant, François Besson, Jean-Michel Soubeyroux, Benedetti, Giacomo Merler, Elisa Malloci, Gabriele Fabienne Regimbeau Tonidandel, Roberto Cavaliere, Stefano Seppi, Roberto Météo-France, Climatology, France Apolloni, Cosimo Corrado, Thomas Tschurtschenthaler, ([email protected]) Gianluca Antonacci, Ilaria Todeschini Meteotrentino Weather Service, Autonomous Province of Trento, Trento, Italy ([email protected]) 17:30–17:45: EMS2016-3 Trialling a seasonal climate service for UK transport stakeholders 17:30–17:45: Emilie Vanvyve, Edward Pope, Helen Hanlon, Erika J. 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions) Palin, Adam Scaife, Margaret Gordon, Jeff Knight, Emily Wallace, Alberto Arribas, Anca Brookshaw END OF ORAL PROGRAMME AM4 Met Office, FitzRoy Road, Exeter EX1 3PB, UK
17:45–18:00: EMS2016-476 Creating socio-economic benefit through climate services in the Andes - tailored seasonal forecasts for agriculture Stefanie Gubler, Christoph Spirig, Katrin Sedlmeier, Jonas Bhend, Kris Correa, Yury Escajadillo, Carmen Reyes, Karim Quevedo, Grinia Avalas, Mark Liniger, Cornelia Schwierz MeteoSwiss, Zürich, Switzerland ([email protected])
18:00–18:15: 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions)
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME SE1/CE8
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Monday 31
18:00–18:15: EMS2016-168 18:15
ASI1 Dynamical meteorology Height Tendency calculations for WRF model output by – Lecture room: Vulcania 2 using a Generalized Omega Equation and the Zwack- Okossi tendency equation Convener: Thomas Frisius Mika Rantanen, Jouni Räisänen, Heikki Järvinen, Juha Co-Conveners: Frank Lunkeit; Alessandro Dell’Aquila; Lento Department of Physics, University of Helsinki, Christian Franzke Finland
16:30–16:45: EMS2016-91 END OF ORAL PROGRAMME ASI1 Predictability of a vortex splitting type stratospheric sudden warming in January 2009 16:30 | Monday Orals Hitoshi Mukougawa, Shunsuke Noguchi, Yuhji ASI12 Phenology and Kuroda, Ryo Mizuta, Shoukichi Yabu, Hiromasa Yoshimura agrometeorology Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto Lecture room: Oceania AB University, Uji, Japan ([email protected]) Convener: Elisabeth Koch 16:45–17:00: EMS2016-226 Co-Conveners: Josef Eitzinger; Federico Spanna Effect of the Atmospheric Heat Source on the Development and Eastward Movement of the Tibetan Chairperson: Elisabeth Koch Plateau Vortices
Lun Li, Renhe Zhang, Min Wen Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, 16:30–16:45: 1-minute espressi talks (poster
China ([email protected]) introductions)
17:00–17:15: EMS2016-118 16:45–17:00: EMS2016-461 Impact of Eurasian spring snow decrement on East Crop water footprints under current and future climate Asian summer precipitation conditions in Austria (solicited) Josef Eitzinger, Sabina Thaler, Ruonan Zhang Anne Gobin China ([email protected]) Flemish Institute for Technological Research (VITO), Boeretang 200, 2400 Mol, Belgium
17:15–17:30: EMS2016-525
Use of conceptual models in explaining non-typical 17:00–17:15: EMS2016-454 orographic weather The use of ASCAT Surface Soil Moisture data in crop growth modelling Elena Mirela Polifronie, Octavian Paul Bugeac, Sabina , Josef Eitzinger Stefan Sabina Thaler University of Bucharest, Faculty of Physics, P.O.BOX Univ. of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Institute MG-11, Magurele, Bucharest, Romania, National of Meteorology, Vienna, Austria Meteorological Administration, Sos. Bucuresti-Ploiesti ([email protected]) nr.97, Sector 1, ZIP Code 013686, Bucharest, Romania 17:15–17:30: EMS2016-22 (EMS Tromp YSTA) Crop water balance variability 17:30–17:45: EMS2016-653
Investigation of the diurnal wind system in the Alpine Ajda Valher Adige Valley. Slovenia ([email protected]) Lorenzo Giovannini, Lavinia Laiti, Stefano Serafin, Dino Zardi 17:30–17:45: EMS2016-37 (EMS Tromp YSTA) Atmospheric Physics Group, Department of Civil, Estimation of Crop Production Loss due to Ozone over Environmental and Mechanical Engineering, Universitiy Europe by CMAQ Model of Trento, Trento, Italy ([email protected]), National Yasar Burak Oztaner, Luca Pozzoli, Tayfun Kindap, Consortium of Universities for Atmospheric and Amir Hakami, Alper Unal Hydrospheric Physics (CINFAI), Rome, Italy. Istanbul Technical University, Eurasia Institute of Earth Science, Climate and Marine Science, Istanbul, Turkey ([email protected], [email protected], 17:45–18:00: EMS2016-329 Impact of sub-grid mixing on spontaneous organisation [email protected]) of convection Addisu Gezahegn Semie, Adrian Mark Tompkins 17:45–18:00: EMS2016-7 (EMS Tromp YSTA) Università Degli Studi di Trieste, Trieste, Italy, Abdus Present and future responses of Growing Degree Days Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics for Crete Island in Greece (ICTP), Trieste, Italy Spyridon Paparrizos, Andreas Matzarakis Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, Albert- Ludwigs University of Freiburg, D-79085 Freiburg, Germany, email: [email protected] freiburg.de
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 32 Conference programme – Monday
18:00–18:15: EMS2016-634 18:15
– The WRF-ARW application in predicting meteorological OBS1 Atmospheric measurements conditions for Downy mildew (Plasmopara viticola) from the local to the regional appearance of wine grape Ana Firanj-Sremac, Branislava Lalic, Dragica Jankovic scale: Concepts, new Faculty of Sciences, University of Novi Sad, Novi Sad, technologies and scientific Serbia ([email protected]) progress 18:15–18:30: Lecture room: Vulcania 1 EMS Tromp Award Lecture Orals Monday | 16:30 | Monday Orals Flowering phenological changes in relation to climate Convener: Frank Beyrich change in Hungary Co-Convener: Fred C. Bosveld Barbara Templ Hungary Chairperson: Fred Bosveld
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME ASI12 New Techniques
16:30–17:00: EMS2016-422 Scanning lidars for atmospheric boundary-layer research (solicited) Ebba Dellwik, Rogier Floors DTU, Wind Energy Department, Roskilde, Denmark ([email protected])
17:00–17:15: EMS2016-619 Multicopter RPAS as a tool for ABL investigations Burkhard Wrenger, Joan Cuxart, Gemma Simo, Jens Dünnermann Ostwestfalen-Lippe University of Applied Sciences, Environmental Engineering and Computer Sciences, Hoexter, Germany
17:15–17:30: EMS2016-714 RPA-borne measurements of very weak stable and convective offshore boundary-layers over the North Sea David Tupman, Andreas Platis, Alexander Rautenberg, Norman Wildmann University of Tubingen, ZAG, Atmospheric Physics, Tubingen, Germany (david-james.tupman@uni- tuebingen.de)
17:30–17:45: EMS2016-350 Cloud cover estimation using all-sky images: state of the art algorithms, its results and applicability Mikhail Krinitskiy P.P.Shirshov Institute of Oceanology of the RAS, Sea Atmosphere Interaction And Climate Laboratory, Moscow, Russian Federation ([email protected])
17:45–18:00: EMS2016-683 Accurate measurements of upper-troposphere winds by watching contrails Olivier Boucher, Jordi Badosa, Jean-Charles Dupont, Patrick Raberanto Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, CNRS/UPMC, Paris, France
18:00–18:15: 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions)
ORAL PROGRAMME OBS1 CONTINUES ON TUESDAY, 09:00
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Monday 33
19:30 Posters Monday, 18:30–19:30 –
H56: EMS2016-546 SE1/CE8 Creating national and drought.ch - Swiss platform for early detection of regional climate services in drought Luzi Bernhard, Madlaina Juvalta, Konrad Bogner, Europe through partnerships Massimiliano Zappa, Manfred Stähli Research Institute WSL, Mountain Hydrology and Mass Conveners: Clare Goodess, Carlo Buontempo Movements, Birmensdorf, Switzerland Co-Conveners: Tomas Halenka, Tanja Cegnar, ([email protected]) Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Chris Hewitt, Filipe Lúcio 18:30 | Monday Posters Poster area: Hall H57: EMS2016-567 1-minute espressi-talks: 18:00, Saturnia Deriving user-informed climate indices from climate model ensemble results Heike Huebener
H50: EMS2016-77 Hessian Agency for Nat.cons. Env. & Geol., Hessian Regional climate service for the Federal States of Centre for Climate Change, Wiesbaden, Germany Germany ([email protected]) Sabrina Wehring, Andreas Walter, Christian Steger Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany ([email protected]) END OF POSTER PROGRAMME SE1/CE8
H51: EMS2016-384 Climate Services for the River Rhine: focus on low flows AM4 Reducing Weather Risks to Christiana Photiadou, Gerard van der Schrier, Ge Verver Transport: air, sea and land Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Netherlands Convener: Fraser Ralston Co-Conveners: Thomas Hauf, Christine Le Bot H52: EMS2016-640 Poster area: Hall Communicating changes in frost days and the frost-free 1-minute espressi-talks: 17:30, Oceania C season in the Romanian Plain to support end-users decisions in agriculture Chairperson: Christine Le Bot Constanta Boroneant, Mihaela Sima, Elena-Ana Popovici, Diana Dogaru H69: EMS2016-295 Romanian Academy, Institute of Geography, Bucharest, Creating a Snow and Ice Hazard Impact Model Romania ([email protected]) Rebecca Hemingway, Lucy Skinner Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom H53: EMS2016-706 ([email protected]) An interoperable research data infrastructure to support climate services development H70: EMS2016-55 Tiziana De Filippis, Leandro Rocchi, Elena Rapisardi Basic climatology of fog at Croatian airports based on CNR-IBIMET, IBIMET, Florence, Italy METAR reports ([email protected]) Marko Zoldoš, Miran Stojnić Croatia Control Ltd., Zagreb, Croatia H54: EMS2016-748 ([email protected]) Climate data for the national agricultural risk management scheme in Hungary H71: EMS2016-414 Zita Bihari, Mónika Lakatos, Tamás Szentimrey A Study on Fog Forecasting Methods through Data Hungarian Meteorological Service, Budapest, Hungary Mining Techniques in Jeju ([email protected]) Youngmi Lee, Joohyun Bae, Dabin Park Eco Brain Co., Ltd., Jeju, Korea, Republic Of . H55: EMS2016-523 "Climate in Norway 2100" - a national climate END OF POSTER PROGRAMME AM4 assessment for Norway Inger Hanssen-Bauer, Hege Hisdal, Hans Olav Hygen, Stephanie Mayer Norwegian Meteorological Inctitute, Climate Service Center, Oslo, Norway ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 34 Conference Programme – Monday
19:30 – ASI1 Dynamical meteorology ASI12 Phenology and agrometeorology Convener: Thomas Frisius Co-Conveners: Frank Lunkeit, Alessandro Dell’Aquila, Elisabeth Koch Christian Franzke Convener: Co-Conveners: Josef Eitzinger, Federico Spanna Poster area: Gallery Poster area: Gallery 1-minute espressi-talks: 15:45, Vulcania 2 1-minute espressi-talks: 16:30, Oceania C
G1: EMS2016-633 Chairperson: Elisabeth Koch
Posters Monday | 18:30 | Monday Posters Divergence of nearby trajectories approximated via autocovariance function and mutual information Jan Skořepa G31: EMS2016-16 Charles University in Prague, Department of The use of seasonal forecasts in agrometeorology: Atmospheric Physics, Czech Republic Smederevska Palanka 2012 case study ([email protected]) Aleksandra Krzic, Slavica Radovanovic, Miroslava Unkasevic Republic Hydrometeorological Service of G2: EMS2016-665 Serbia/SEEVCCC, Belgrade, Serbia The analysis of the Atlantic-European blockings ([email protected]) Márk Iván, Zsuzsanna Dezső, Judit Bartholy, Rita Pongrácz Dept. of Meteorology Eötvös Loránd University, G32: EMS2016-737 Budapest, Hungary ([email protected]) PEP725: real time monitoring of phenological events in Austria, Germany, Sweden and Switzerland Markus Ungersböck, Kjell Bolmgren, Thomas Hübner, G3: EMS2016-18 Frank Kaspar, Ola Langvall, Anita Paul, Barbara Identification and tracking of Mediterranean cyclones Pietragalla, Elisabeth Koch that are engaged on trans-Balkan trajectories towards ZAMG, Vienna, Austria Romania by using objective methods ([email protected]) Catrina Oana, Kajsa Parding University of Bucharest, Faculty of Physics, P.O.BOX MG - 11, Magurele, Bucharest, Romania, National G33: EMS2016-144 Meteorological Administration, Sos. Bucuresti-Ploiesti Operational irrigation forecasting service - example of No. 97, Bucharest, Romania collaboration between NHMS and regional agricultural advisory service Gregor Gregorič, Andreja Sušnik G4: EMS2016-370 Slovenian Environment Agency, Ljubljana, Slovenia Effect of Earth’s gravity anomalies on a moving cloud leading to precipitation Dhananjay Mardhekar END OF POSTER PROGRAMME ASI12 Pune, India ([email protected])
END OF POSTER PROGRAMME ASI1
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Monday 35
19:30 ASI16 The Weather Research and OBS1 Atmospheric measurements – Forecasting Model (WRF): from the local to the regional Development, Research and scale: Concepts, new Applications technologies and scientific progress Convener: Gert-Jan Steeneveld
Co-Convener: Hugo Hartmann Convener: Frank Beyrich Poster area: Gallery
Co-Convener: Fred C. Bosveld 18:30 | Monday Posters 1-minute espressi-talks: 15:45, Oceania C Poster area: Gallery 1-minute espressi-talks: 18:00, Vulcania 1 Chairperson: Gert-Jan Steeneveld G40: EMS2016-216 G34: EMS2016-107 The Cabauw Experimental Site for Atmospheric Moisture balance over the Iberian Peninsula computed Research (CESAR): New developments. using a high resolution regional climate model. The Fred C. Bosveld impact of 3DVAR data assimilation. KNMI, De Bilt, Netherlands ([email protected]) Santos J. González-Rojí, Jon Sáenz, Gabriel Ibarra- Breastegi
University of the Basque Country, Faculty of Science G41: EMS2016-321 Nocturnal fine structure of the temperature column and Technology, Leioa, Spain between 2 and -0.1 m Belén Martí, Daniel Martínez-Villagrasa, Joan Cuxart G35: EMS2016-331 University of the Balearic Islands, Physics, Palma de Evaluation of the Weather Research and Forecasting Mallorca, Spain ([email protected]) model in the Durance Valley complex terrain during the KASCADE field campaign G42: EMS2016-701 Peter Kalverla, Gert-Jan Duine, Gert-Jan Steeneveld, Comparison of Doppler Lidar Wind Measurements Thierry Hedde versus Tower and Sodar Data in the Lower Atmospheric Wageningen University, Meteorology and Air Quality Boundary Layer Section, Wageningen, Netherlands (gert- , Carola Detring, Eileen Päschke, Udo [email protected]) Frank Beyrich Rummel Deutscher Wetterdienst, Meteorologisches G37: EMS2016-437 Observatorium Lindenberg, Tauche - OT Lindenberg, Multi-scale numerical investigations with WRF about Germany ([email protected]) atmospheric features leading to flooding episodes over the central region of South-America G43: EMS2016-531 Marcelo Zamuriano, Stefan Brönnimann Recent developments of the wind- and turbulence Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Switzerland, measurement with the research UAV MASC Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, , Gerrit Anke Rau, Jens Bange University of Bern, Switzerland Alexander Rautenberg Zentrum für Angewandte Geowissenschaften, ([email protected]) Universität Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany ([email protected]) G38: EMS2016-585 The importance of reliable land use information for
urban heat island modelling with the WRF model - a G44: EMS2016-142 Impact of eddy characteristics on the turbulent heat and case study for Budapest momentum fluxes in the urban roughness sublayer Júlia Göndöcs, Breuer Hajnalka, Rita Pongrácz, Judit Zou Jun, Sun Jianning, Zhou Bowen Bartholy School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary Nanjing, China ([email protected]), Institute for ([email protected]) Climate and Global Change Research, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China ([email protected]) G39: EMS2016-426 Exploring the formation and dissipation of radiation fog
from observational data and numerical model results G45: EMS2016-488 Surface Energy Balance at Commercial and Apartment (WRF and HARMONIE) District over Urban in Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea Carlos Román-Cascón, Carlos Yagüe, Gema Morales, Jung-Hoon Chae, Sung-Hwa Park, Moon-Soo Park Gert-Jan Steeneveld, Irene Bartolomé, Mariano Meteorological Observation Lab., WISE, Yongin, Korea, Sastre, Jon Ander Arrillaga, Gregorio Maqueda Republic Of ([email protected]) Meteorology and Air Quality Section, Wageningen University, The Netherlands G46: EMS2016-223 New heated humidity sensor in the operational network END OF POSTER PROGRAMME ASI16 of DWD Simone Griesel Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Hamburg, Germany ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 36 Conference Programme – Monday
19:30 G47: EMS2016-475 G50: EMS2016-574 – Performance comparison of Ground based Microwave Stepwise implementation of siting classification on a Radiometer with Radiosonde high-resolution mesoscale meteorological network of Yunyoung Song, Sung-Hwa Park, Moon-Soo Park, automatic stations Jung-Hoon Chae Davide Dalla Libera, Roberto Grimaldelli, Mauro Meteorological Observation Lab., WISE, Yongin, Korea, Mussin, Maria Ranci, Chiara Rondanini, Marta Salvati, Republic Of ([email protected]) Paolo Nicolosi ARPA Lombardia, Meteorology, Milano, Italy G48: EMS2016-472 Comparison of field measurements, satellite data and G51: EMS2016-545 parameterization of the surface incoming shortwave Sea surface wind speed observations with SENTINEL-1 Posters Monday | 18:30 | Monday Posters radiation in Atlantic Ocean in coastal waters Alexey Sinitsyn, Sergey Gulev Yuko Takeyama, Teruo Ohsawa, Susumu Shimada, P.P.Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS, SAIL, Katsutoshi Kozai, Tetsuya Kogaki Moscow, Russian Federation ([email protected]) AIST, Japan ([email protected])
G49: EMS2016-550 G52: EMS2016-199 Uncertainties in solar radiation ECMWF data at high Climatology of Beam Propagation for Chinese Weather latitude Radar Network Bilal Babar, Tobias Boström Hongyan Wang Department of Physics and Technology, The University Chinese Academy of Meteorological Science, Beijing, of Tromsø - The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, China ([email protected]) Norway ([email protected]) END OF POSTER PROGRAMME OBS1
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Tuesday 37
Tuesday, 13 September 2016
Room Saturnia Vulcania 1 Oceania AB Oceania C Vulcania 2 Room
UC2: Climate OBS1 until 10:00 predictions & 9:45 Lecture UC4: The 10:30 scenarios on Technology ASI8: Atmospheric CE1: Media & 10:30 – Cryosphere and its – decadal to Achievement Award Hazards Communication interactions centennial MC1: Climate 09:00 timescales Monitoring 09:00 10:30 Coffee Break 10:30
ASI9: Boundary- UC4 until 12:00 layer physics and 13:00 ASI6/UC8: mid- 13:00 – UC2 MC1 parameterizations in CE1 – latitude atmospheric weather and climate teleconnections
11:00 models 11:00
General Assembly 13:00 Lunch Break 13:00 of Conveners 1-minute espressi-talks 1-minute espressi-talks Cafè (espresso) provided (poster intro) (poster intro) 14:00-14:30 SE3/AM2 (Saturnia) ASI9 – ASI3 (Oceania AB) 14:55 – HALL: GALLERY: I Poster boards H1-H78 Poster boards G1-G56
14:00 I MC1 – UC2 – UC4 – SE3/AM2 ASI3 – ASI6/UC8 – ASI8 – ASI9
I 16:30
CE1 OBS1 – :00 4
1 Awards Session I Room Saturnia 16:30
– see also page 12 15:00
16:30 Refreshment Break - sponsored by the Harry Otten Foundation 16:30
Formulation, ASI3: SE3/AM2: Severe validation and SE6/CE9: weather impacts for parameterization of 19:00 UC7: Synoptic Evaluation and 19:00 – the European small-scale ASI6/UC8 – climatology quality assurance of society in the past, processes in climate services
17:00 present and future atmospheric 17:00 modelling
In the detailed daily programme (on pages 38 to 54) sessions are listed chronologically, according to the time for the oral presentations (09:00–10:30, 11:00–13:00, 15:00–16:30, and 17:00–19:00). Within each time block sessions are listed in the following order: ECAC (MC – UC – SE), ASI, CE, OBS.
Poster display time Monday to Wednesday Authors are kindly asked to put up their posters as soon as possible within the allocated display time in order to enable the conference participants to view their posters at any time within the display days, and to take them down on Wednesday evening between 18:00–18:30. Posters that have not been removed within this dismantling time will be removed and disposed of.
Side meetings Side meetings and workshops take place in room Marconi. For details see page 20.
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 38 Conference Programme – Tuesday
Tuesday, 09:00–10:30 OBS1 Atmospheric measurements MC1 Climate monitoring; data from the local to the regional rescue, management, quality and
scale: Concepts, new homogenization technologies and scientific Lecture room: Vulcania 1 10:30 – progress Convener: Manola Brunet-India Lecture room: Vulcania 1 Co-Conveners: Hermann Mächel; Victor Venema; Ingeborg Auer; Dan Hollis Convener: Frank Beyrich Co-Convener: Fred C. Bosveld Chairperson: Dan Hollis
Chairperson: Frank Beyrich Quality Control
Orals Tuesday | 09:00 | Tuesday Orals Climate and Weather Observations 10:00–10:15: EMS2016-390 Quality Control techniques applied to surface data in 09:00–09:30: EMS2016-282 ERA-CLIM2 Metrology for climate observation (solicited) Maria Antónia Valente, Pedro Gomes, Maria Clara Andrea Merlone, Graziano Coppa, Chiara Musacchio, Ventura, Maria João Rocha Francesca Sanna, Carmen Garcia Izquierdo, Fernando Instituto Dom Luiz, Faculdade de Ciências da Sparasci, Peter Thorne, Volker Ebert, Drago Groselj, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal ([email protected]) Gaber Beges, Janko Drnovsek, Domen Hudoklin, Jovan Bojkovski, Antonio Castrillo, Angelo Viola, Vito Vitale, Climate Data Management Guido Nigrelli, Marta Chiarle Istituto Nazionale di Ricerca Metrologica, Torino, Italy 10:15–10:30: EMS2016-228 New self-descriptive naming convention for climate data 09:30–09:45: EMS2016-121 Solfrid Agersten, Hanne Heiberg The Observational Analysis of A Tornado Associated Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway with the Typhone Mugigea ([email protected]) Zhaohui Li, Donghai Wang, Lijun Yan, Jianjun Zhu, Xuehu Mai ORAL PROGRAMME MC1 CONTINUES ON TUESDAY, Foshan Meteorological Service, Foshan, Guangdong, 11:00 China ([email protected])
09:45–10:00: UC2 Climate prediction and Distributed Environmental Measuring System scenarios on decadal to (EMS Technology Achievement Award 2016) Bojan Černač centennial timescales
Lecture room: Saturnia END OF ORAL PROGRAMME OBS1; MC1 CONTINUES IMMEDIATELY WITH RELATED TOPICS Convener: Mark Liniger
Co-Conveners: Jean-Pierre Céron; Clare Goodess;
Martin Widmann
Chairperson: Andreas Fischer
09:00–09:30: EMS2016-560 Med-CORDEX: a first coordinated inter-comparison of fully-coupled regional climate system models (RCSM) for the Mediterranean (solicited) Erika Coppola and the Med-CORDEX Team The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Earth System Physics Section, Trieste, Italy ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Tuesday 39
09:30–09:45: EMS2016-112 09:15–09:30: EMS2016-741 Assessment of multiple daily precipitation statistics in Glacier albeo decrease in the Italian Alps and ice- ERA-Interim driven Med-CORDEX and EURO- albedo feedback CORDEX experiments against high resolution Davide Fugazza, Antonella Senese, Roberto Azzoni, observations Maurizio Maugeri, Carlo D’Agata, Davide Maragno, Adriano Fantini, Francesca Raffaele, Csaba Torma, Guglielmina Diolaiuti Sara Bacer, Erika Coppola, Filippo Giorgi, Bodo Department of Earth Sciences, Università degli studi di Ahrens, Clotilde Dubois, Enrique Sanchez, Marco Milano, Italy Verdecchia University of Trieste, Department of Mathematics and Antarctic cryosphere Geosciences, Trieste, Italy ([email protected]), The Abdus 10:30 – Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, 09:30–09:45: EMS2016-126 Trieste, Italy Continuous observation of ice precipitation at Concordia Station (Antarctica) by means of an image scanner and 09:45–10:00: EMS2016-749 a depolarization LIDAR Regional downscaling of global climate simulations from Massimo Del Guasta CMIP5 with WRF: climate extremes in Europe Istituto Nazionale Ottica CNR, Sesto Fiorentino, Italy Viktoria Mohr, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi, Volker ([email protected]) Wulfmeyer Germany ([email protected]) 09:45–10:00: EMS2016-166 09:00 | Tuesday Orals Preliminary results from the chemical analysis of GV7 10:00–10:15: EMS2016-609 ice core (East Antarctica) Coastal Impacts of Climate Change due to Waves Laura Caiazzo, Silvia Becagli, Fabio Giardi, Mirko forced by Storm Projections in Climate Models Severi, Rita Traversi, Roberto Udisti Judith Wolf, Lucy Bricheno Dept. of Chemistry Ügo Schiff", Via della Lastruccia, 3, National Oceanography Centre, Marine Systems 50019 Sesto F.no (Florence), Italy Modeling, Liverpool, United Kingdom ([email protected]) ([email protected], [email protected], [email protected], [email protected], 10:15–10:30: EMS2016-755 [email protected], [email protected]) How well is annual cycle of temperature and precipitation in Europe reproduced in CMIP5, 10:00–10:15: EMS2016-318 EuroCORDEX and ENSEMBLES ensembles The isotopic composition of daily-collected precipitation Tomas Halenka, Michal Belda, Zuzana Klukova samples at Dome C, East Antarctica Charles University in Prague, Fac. of Mathematics and Giuliano Dreossi, Barbara Stenni, Virginia Ciardini, Physics, Dept. of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Massimo Del Guasta, Paolo Grigioni, Daniele Karlicek, Republic ([email protected]) Claudio Scarchilli Ca’ Foscari University of Venice, Venezia Mestre, Italy ORAL PROGRAMME UC2 CONTINUES ON TUESDAY, ([email protected], barbara.stenni@unive,it) 11:00 10:15–10:30: 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions) UC4 The Cryosphere and its interactions with the climate ORAL PROGRAMME UC4 CONTINUES ON TUESDAY, 11:00 system
Lecture room: Vulcania 2
Convener: Renato R. Colucci Co-Conveners: Florence Colleoni; Barbara Stenni
Chairpersons: Renato R. Colucci and Barbara Stenni
Alpine cryosphere
09:00–09:15: EMS2016-577
Snowmelt and onset dates processed from 123
automatic meteorological stations at high elevation in
the Swiss Alps
Geoffrey Klein, Yann Vitasse, Christoph Marty,
Christian Rixen, Anna-Maria Tilg, Martine Rebetez
Institute of Geography, University of Neuchatel,
Neuchatel, Switzerland ([email protected]), WSL
Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape
Research, Neuchatel, Switzerland
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 40 Conference Programme – Tuesday
ASI8 Atmospheric hazards CE1 Media and Communication Lecture room: Oceania AB Lecture room: Oceania C
Convener: Fulvio Stel Convener: Tanja Cegnar Co-Conveners: Dario Giaiotti; Sante Laviola; Jordi
Mazon Chairperson: T. Cegnar
10:30 Chairperson: Dario Giaiotti 09:00–09:15: EMS2016-303 – Validating Communication: An empirical test of 09:00–09:15: strategies for communicating uncertainty in seasonal 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions) climate prediction Andrea Taylor, Suraje Dessai 09:15–09:30: EMS2016-256 University of Leeds, Sustainability Research Institute, Meteorological stations-based European climatological School for Earth and Environment, United Kingdom database for the identification of heat-waves. ([email protected]) Marco Morabito, Alfonso Crisci, Gianni Messeri, Alessandro Messeri, Simone Orlandini, Giampiero 09:15–09:30: EMS2016-766 Orals Tuesday | 09:00 | Tuesday Orals Maracchi Assessment and communication of weather and climate Institute of Biometeorology, National Research Council, related risks - a view from the insurance industry Florence, Italy, Centre of Bioclimatology, University of (solicited) Florence, Florence, Italy Peter Höppe Head of Geo Risks Research/Corporate Climate 09:30–09:45: EMS2016-373 Centre, Munich Re, Germany Sensitivity Analysis on PBL Schemes of the WRF-ARW ([email protected]) in simulating a tornado event at Skala, Lakonia, Peloponnese in September 2015 09:30–09:45: Markos Mylonas Dirdiris, Panagiotis T. Nastos, Ioannis Communicating climate change adaptation through T. Matsangouras web-based platforms - The status quo in Europe, the Laboratory of Climatology and Atmospheric main challenges and relevant lessons learned Environment, Faculty of Geology and Geoenvironment, Eleni Karali National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Greece Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC) ([email protected]) 09:45–10:00: EMS2016-15 Complex terrain influence on radar-based rainfall 09:45–10:00: EMS2016-709 estimation The concept of the Eco conference Cristian Craciun, Sorin Burcea Tanja Cegnar University of Bucharest, Faculty of Physics, P.O.BOX Slovenian Environment Agency, Meteorological Office, MG - 11, Magurele, Bucharest, Romania, National Ljubljana, Slovenia ([email protected]) Meteorological Administration, Sos. Bucuresti-Ploiesti No. 97, Bucharest, Romania 10:00–10:15: Outreach and Communication Award 2016 - Science 10:00–10:15: EMS2016-156 Park Extreme precipitation events in the transitional area between Western and Central Europe and their 10:15–10:30: EMS2016-761 comparison with flood extremes Open data formats: how to communicate weather and Blanka Gvoždíková, Miloslav Müller climate to everyone Charles University in Prague, Faculty of Science, Klemen Blokar, Andrej Lajovic, Jure Varlec Prague, Czech Republic ([email protected]) Astronomical Society Vega - Ljubljana ([email protected]) 10:15–10:30: EMS2016-161 Flash floods as result of flow interactions in the ORAL PROGRAMME CE1 CONTINUES ON TUESDAY, atmospheric boundary layer over complex orography 11:00 Giaiotti Dario, Stel Fulvio, Gallai Irene, Gloglio Annachiara, Gianesini Elena, Montanari Francesco ARPA FVG - CRMA, Regional Center for Environmental Modeling, Palmanova, Italy ([email protected])
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME ASI8
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Tuesday 41
Tuesday, 11:00–13:00
12:30–12:45: EMS2016-238 MC1 Climate monitoring; data Trends in solid, mixed and liquid precipitation in the rescue, management, quality and changing climate of the Atlantic sector of the Arctic Ewa Łupikasza, Katarzyna Cielecka homogenization University of Silesia in Katowice, Faculty of Earth Lecture room: Vulcania 1 Science, Department of Climatology, Katowice, Poland., University of Silesia, Faculty of Earth Science, Centre 13:00 – for Polar Studies, Sosnowiec, Poland, Convener: Manola Brunet-India [email protected], [email protected] Co-Conveners: Hermann Mächel; Victor Venema; Ingeborg Auer; Dan Hollis 12:45–13:00: 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions) Chairpersons: Dan Hollis and Inge Auer
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME MC1 Climate time-series homogenisation
11:00–11:15: EMS2016-109 UC2 Climate prediction and 11:00 | Tuesday Orals Development of MASH procedure for homogenization of standard deviation scenarios on decadal to Tamás Szentimrey centennial timescales Hungarian Meteorological Service, Budapest, Hungary ([email protected]) Lecture room: Saturnia
11:15–11:30: EMS2016-273 Convener: Mark Liniger Homogenization of ECA&D temperature series Co-Conveners: Jean-Pierre Céron; Clare Goodess; Antonello A. Squintu, Gerard van der Schrier, Yuri Martin Widmann Brugnara, Petr Štěpánek, Albert Klein Tank Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Chairperson: Christoph Spirig Bilt, Netherlands 11:00–11:30: EMS2016-693 11:30–11:45: EMS2016-325 A user-targeted synthesis of the VALUE perfect Benchmarking homogenization computer packages: predictor experiment (solicited) First results of the MULTITEST project Douglas Maraun, Martin Widmann, Jose Gutierrez, José A. Guijarro, José A. López, Enric Aguilar, Peter Sven Kotlarski, Elke Hertig, Joanna Wibig, Ole Domonkos, Manola Brunet Rössler, Radan Huth AEMET (State Meteorological Agency), Spain Department of Meteorology and Climatology, University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland 11:45–12:00: EMS2016-647 Daily homogenization in Norway 11:30–11:45: EMS2016-689 Elin Lundstad Do seasonal to decadal climate predictions Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Meteorology and underestimate the predictability of the real world? Climate Department, Oslo, Norway ([email protected]) Rosie Eade, Doug Smith, Adam Scaife, Emily Wallace, Nick Dunstone, Leon Hermanson, Niall Robinson Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK Climate trends ([email protected])
12:00–12:15: EMS2016-44 11:45–12:00: EMS2016-222 Climate change and variability detection for the Mexican Climate change and projections for the Barents region territory Rasmus Benestad, Kajsa Parding, Ketil Isaksen, , María Eugenia Maya, Gabriela Jose Antonio Salinas Abdelkader Mezghani Colorado, Martín Montero Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Research and Mexican Institute of Water Technology, Developement, Oslo, Norway Hydrometeoroly, Jiutepec, Mexico ([email protected]) ([email protected])
12:00–12:15: EMS2016-429 12:15–12:30: EMS2016-75 On the coherence of quantile mapping effect on a Surface solar radiation variability and trends in Italy regional and local scale climate scenario during the last 55 years and underlying causes Lorenzo Sangelantoni, Alessandro Coluccelli, Aniello Veronica Manara, Michele Brunetti, Angela Celozzi, Russo, Maurizio Di Marino, Fabio Gennaretti, Patrick Maurizio Maugeri, Arturo Sanchez-Lorenzo, Martin Wild Grenier Università degli Studi di Milano, Departement of Università Politecnica delle Marche, Department of Life physics, Milano, Italy ([email protected]), ETH and Environmental Sciences, Via Brecce Bianche, Zürich, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, 60131 Ancona, Italy, Osservatorio Geofisico Zürich, Switzerland Sperimentale, Viale dell’Indipendenza 180, 62100 Macerata, Italy
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 42 Conference Programme – Tuesday
12:15–12:30: EMS2016-474 11:45–12:00: EMS2016-547 Bias corrected, high resolution climate scenarios for Modeling the post-LGM deglaciation of the Austria Scandinavian-Barents Sea Ice Sheet; a model Barbara Chimani, Georg Heinrich, Stefan Kienberger, intercomparison approach Armin Leuprecht, Michael Hofstätter, Annemarie Lexer, Michele Petrini, Nina Kirchner, Florence Colleoni, Markus Kerschbaumer, Manuela Salzmann, Marco Angelo Camerlenghi, Michele Rebesco, Renata Lucchi, Sebastian Poetsch, Raphael Spiekermann, Matthew Riko Noormets, Emanuele Forte, Renato R. Colucci Blaise Switanek, Heimo Truhetz Zentralanstalt für Department of Mathematics and Geoscience, Università Meteorologie und Geodynamik, Klimaforschung, Wien, di Trieste, Trieste, Italy 13:00
– Austria ([email protected]) END OF ORAL PROGRAMME UC4 12:30–12:45: EMS2016-489 High-resolution climate projections for the Barcelona Metropolitan Area ASI6/UC8 Towards better Vicent Altava-Ortiz, Antoni Barrera-Escoda, Jèssica Amaro, Jordi Cunillera, Marc J. Prohom, Abdel Sairouni understanding mid-latitude Meteorological Service of Catalonia, Barcelona, Spain atmospheric teleconnections ([email protected])
Orals Tuesday | 11:00 | Tuesday Orals Lecture room: Vulcania 2 12:45–13:00: 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions) Convener: Javier Garcia-Serrano Co-Conveners: Paolo Davini; Yannick Peings END OF ORAL PROGRAMME UC2 Chairperson: J. Garcia-Serrano
UC4 The Cryosphere and its Tropical-midlatitude teleconnections interactions with the climate 12:00–12:15: EMS2016-102 system The ENSO teleconnection to Europe: tropospheric, stratospheric pathways and Atlantic air-sea interactions Lecture room: Vulcania 2 (solicited) Ivana Herceg-Bulić, Bianca Mezzina, Fred Kucharski, Convener: Renato R. Colucci Paolo Ruggieri, Martin P. King Co-Conveners: Florence Colleoni; Barbara Stenni Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Earth System Physics Section, Trieste, Italy Chairperson(s): Florence Colleoni ([email protected])
Modelling 12:15–12:30: EMS2016-39 (EMS YSTA) ENSO influence on the North Atlantic European climate: 11:00–11:15: EMS2016-608 a non-linear and non-stationary approach Assessing internal variability of climate variables as a Jorge Lopez Parages, Belen Rodriguez-Fonseca, driving force for ice sheet model simulations Dietmar Dommenget, Claudia Frauen Chii-Yun Tsai, Chris Forest, David Pollard Dpto. di Scienze Ambientali, Informatica e Statistica, Department of Meteorology, Pennsylvania State Ca’ Foscari University, Campus scientifico via Torino, University, University Park, PA, United States Venice, Italy ([email protected])
11:15–11:30: EMS2016-348 12:30–12:45: EMS2016-636 One comparison in effects of Arctic sea ice loss and Tropical-Extratropical teleconnections in present and ENSO on winter haze days: observational analyses and future climate: sensitivity to model resolution and AGCM simulations stochastic parameterizations. Shuanglin Li, Zhe Han, Huopo Chen Susanna Corti, Paolo Davini, Jost von Hardenberg Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, National Sciences, Beijing, China, China University of Research Council (ISAC-CNR), Bologna, Italy Geosciences, Wuhan, China ([email protected])
11:30–11:45: EMS2016-527 12:45–13:00: EMS2016-638 Impact of the Southern Annular Mode on the basal Do tropical sea surface temperatures affect polewards melting under the ice shelves through the Plio/Pliocene moisture transport and precipitation in the extra-tropics? transition Victoria Sinclair, Jennifer Catto Florence Colleoni, Enea Montoli, Simona Masina, University of Helsinki, Division of Atmospheric Annalisa Cherchi Sciences, Department of Physics, Helsinki, Finland Fondazione CMCC, Bologna, Italy ([email protected])
ORAL PROGRAMME ASI6/UC8 CONTINUES ON TUESDAY, 17:00
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Tuesday 43
12:45–13:00: EMS2016-669 ASI9 Boundary-layer physics and Testing the turbulence scales theory on bora flows parameterizations in weather and Željko Večenaj, Danijel Belušić, Branko Grisogono University of Zagreb, Faculty of Science, Department of climate models Geophysics, Zagreb, Croatia ([email protected]) Lecture room: Oceania AB
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME ASI9 Convener: Sergej Zilitinkevich
Co-Convener: Arakel Petrosyan 13:00 CE1 Media and Communication – 11:00–11:15: EMS2016-715 Oceania C A "dirthy" almost-neutral surface layer (solicited) Lecture room: Francesco Tampieri, Mario Schiavon, Mauro Mazzola, Angelo Viola Convener: Tanja Cegnar CNR ISAC, Bologna, Italy Chairperson: T. Cegnar 11:15–11:30: EMS2016-731 Young and mature convective boundary layers in the 11:00–11:15: atmosphere (solicited) Are TV weather forecasts becoming obsolete in the era 11:00 | Tuesday Orals Sergej Zilitinkevich of social media? Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland Jay Trobec ([email protected]), Division of Atmospheric KELO TV, USA ([email protected]) Sciences, University of Helsinki, Finland, Department of Radiophysics, University of Nizhny Novgorod, Russia 11:15–11:30: EMS2016-765 The Future of TV Weather Reports (solicited) 11:30–11:45: EMS2016-440 John Teather Atmospheric boundary layer evolution and associated Larkshill Close, New Milton, Hampshire, BH25 5RN, low-level baroclinicity during cold-air outbreaks in high United Kingdom ([email protected]) latitudes Dmitry Chechin, Christof Lüpkes 11:30–11:45: Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS, EMS Broadcast Meteorologist Award – Guido Guidi Moscow, Russia ([email protected]) 11:45–12:00: EMS2016-194 11:45–12:00: EMS2016-526 Video "The voices of snow": meteorological and Optimization of the Mellor-Yamada scheme in the climatological divulgation in Friuli Venezia Giulia (Italy) meso-scale model WRF for offshore wind conditions Sergio Nordio based on measurements and large eddy simulations. Agenzia Regionale per la Protezione dell’Ambiente del Hauke Wurps, Gerald Steinfeld, Detlev Heinemann Friuli Venezia Giulia, s.o.c OSMER Osservatorio ForWind, Carl von Ossietzky Universität, Oldenburg, Meteorologico Regionale, PALMANOVA (Ud), Italy Germany ([email protected]) ([email protected])
12:00–12:15: EMS2016-587 12:00–12:15: Modeling Convectively Induced Secondary Circulations EMS Journalist Award – Stéphane Foucart (CISCs) in the Terra Incognita Stefan Poll, Prabhakar Shrestha, Clemens Simmer 12:15–12:30: EMS2016-627 Meteorological Institute, University of Bonn, Germany Creating a Virtual Museum of Meteorology: Challenges (*[email protected]) and Perspectives Panos Giannopoulos, Ioannis Poulios 12:15–12:30: EMS2016-642 Hellenic National Meteorological Service, Athens, Preliminary evaluation of the Turbulent Potential Energy Greece ([email protected]) "concept" in the ARPEGE model Eric Bazile 12:30–12:45: EMS2016-505 Météo-France CNRM, GMAP, Toulouse, France The Tempest ([email protected]) Hans Olav Hygen, Morten Cranner, Reidun Ganstø Skaland 12:30–12:45: EMS2016-658 Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway Thermally driven up-slope flows: state of the art and ([email protected]) open questions. Dino Zardi 12:45–13:00: Atmospheric Physics Group, Department of Civil, Short oral introduction of posters Environmental and Mechanical Engineering, University of Trento, Trento, Italy., National Consortium of Universities for Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Physics END OF ORAL PROGRAMME CE1 (CINFAI), Rome, Italy.
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy EMS Annual Meeting 2017 European Conference for Applied Meteorology and Climatology
04-08 September 2017 Dublin, Ireland
Save the dates 03-07 Sep 2018: Budapest 09-13 Sep 2019: Copenhagen Conference Programme – Tuesday 45
Tuesday, 17:00–19:00
18:45–19:00: EMS2016-604 UC7 Synoptic climatology Factors affecting atmospheric vertical motions as Lecture room: Vulcania 1 analyzed with a generalized omega equation and Open IFS model: a statistical study
Conveners: Radan Huth; Rasmus Benestad Oleg Stepanyuk, Jouni Räisänen, Victoria Sinclair, Heikki Järvinen Finland ([email protected]) 19:00 Chairperson: Radan Huth –
ORAL PROGRAMME UC7 CONTINUES ON
Cyclones and large-scale dynamics WEDNESDAY, 09:00
17:00–17:30: EMS2016-723 On the drivers of Mediterranean migratory anticyclones genesis and evolution (solicited) SE3/AM2 Severe weather impacts Maria Hatzaki, Helena A. Flocas, John Kouroutzoglou, for the European society in the Ian Simmonds
Sector of Geography and Climatology, Department of past, present and future 17:00 | Tuesday Orals Geology and Geoenvironment, National and Lecture room: Saturnia Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece ([email protected]) Convener: Antti Mäkelä Co-Convener: Andrea Vajda 17:30–17:45: EMS2016-30 Subtropical cyclones in future climate conditions over 17:00–17:15: EMS2016-559 the northeastern Atlantic Future changes of severe thunderstorm frequency over Juan Jesús González-Alemán, Miguel Angel Europe Gaertner, Enrique Sánchez, Raquel Romera Tomas Pucik, Pieter Groenemeijer, Lars Tijssen, Anja University of Castilla-La Mancha, Environmental Westermayer Sciences Institute, Toledo, Spain European Severe Storms Laboratory, Wessling, ([email protected]) Germany ([email protected]), Masaryk University, Faculty of Science, Brno, Czech Republic 17:45–18:00: EMS2016-110 Low pressure and rainfall around Mongolia in summer 17:15–17:30: EMS2016-492 Keiji Kimura Improving the end-user preparedness with severe Department of Gegraphy, Nara University, Nara, Japan weather impact-warnings in Finland ([email protected]) Antti Kokko, Ari-Juhani Punkka, Kristiina Säntti, Ilona Láng, Antti Mäkelä, Hilppa Gregow 18:00–18:15: EMS2016-270 Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland The asymmetries of day-to-day temperature changes ([email protected]) distribution Vladimír Piskala, Radan Huth 17:30–17:45: EMS2016-57 Faculty of Science, Charles University in Prague, Czech Florence 1966: how far ahead can we predict such Republic ([email protected]) extreme events with current, state-of-the-art ensembles? 18:15–18:30: EMS2016-196 Valerio Capecchi, Bernardo Gozzini, Simon Lang, Synoptic Aspects of Predictability of the Wintertime Roberto Buizza Arctic Oscillation Institute of Biometeorology/CNR, Florence, Italy, Vladimir N. Kryjov, Young-Mi Min Environmental Modelling and Monitoring Laboratory APEC Climate Center, Climate Prediction, Busan, (LaMMA), Florence, Italy Korea, Republic Of ([email protected]) 17:45–18:00: EMS2016-132 18:30–18:45: EMS2016-543 Social sciences contribution on informed decision- Synoptic mechanism of the formation of extreme making for mitigation of climate change impacts surface turbulent heat fluxes in North Atlantic Chiara Bianchizza Natalia Tilinina, Sergey Gulev ([email protected]) P. P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Sea Air Interaction and Climate, Moscow, Russian Federation 18:00–18:15: EMS2016-712 ([email protected]) The sensitivity of the crash rate of Finnish road traffic for bad weather circumstances Adriaan Perrels, Athanasios Votsis, Karoliina Pilli- Sihvola, Väinö Nurmi Finnish Meteorological Institute, Climate Services, Helsinki, Finland ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 46 Conference Programme – Tuesday
18:15–18:30: EMS2016-247 17:30–17:45: EMS2016-703 Probabilities of hazardous snow-related weather events On different perspectives of measuring success of in the present and projected future climate of Europe regional climate services - A case study in Northern Ilari Lehtonen, Matti Kämäräinen, Andrea Vajda, Germany Hilppa Gregow Insa Meinke, Maria Schwab, Claus Winter Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Northern German ([email protected]) Climate Office, Geesthacht, Germany ([email protected]) 19:00
– 18:30–18:45: EMS2016-436 Public crowd-sensing of heat-waves by social media 17:45–18:00: EMS2016-738 data Balancing the diversity and range of project content and Valentina Grasso, Alfonso Crisci, Marco Morabito, general evaluation criteria Paolo Nesi, Gianni Pantaleo Renate Treffeisen, Klaus Grosfeld, Michael Beuthner, CNR Ibimet, Italian National Research Council, Rolf Teigler, Jan Borm, Peter Lemke, Marietta Weigelt Florence, Italy ([email protected]), LaMMA Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz Zentrum für Polar- Consortium, Italian National Research Council, und Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany Florence, Italy ([email protected])
Orals Tuesday | 17:00 | Tuesday Orals 18:45–19:00: EMS2016-720 18:00–18:15: EMS2016-41 Projection of extreme temperature conditions for the Risk management perspective for climate service Carpathian region development - Results from a study on Finnish Rita Pongrácz, Judit Bartholy, Karolina Szabóné organizations André, Ildikó Pieczka, Judit Németh Riina Haavisto, Atte Harjanne, Heikki Tuomenvirta, Department of Meteorology, Eötvös Loránd University, Hilppa Gregow Budapest, Hungary ([email protected]) Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland, Aalto University School of Business, Helsinki, Finland END OF ORAL PROGRAMME SE3/AM2 18:15–18:30: EMS2016-729 How to establish confidence into usage of climate data SE6/CE9 Evaluation and quality products? Joerg Schulz assurance of climate services - EUMETSAT, Darmstadt, Germany Methods, criteria and pitfalls ([email protected])
Lecture room: Oceania C 18:30–18:45: EMS2016-733 Identifying and evaluating successful processes in Convener: Insa Meinke knowledge transfer projects: first lessons Co-Conveners: Irene Fischer-Bruns; Klaus Grosfeld Gesche Krause, Maximilian Felix Schupp Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Center for Polar Chairpersons: Insa Meinke, Irene Fischer-Bruns, Klaus and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany Gosfeld ([email protected])
17:00–17:15: EMS2016-150 18:45–19:00: Evaluating Co-Creation of Knowledge: Quality Criteria Discussion and Indicators Susanne Schuck-Zöller, Jörg Cortekar, Irene Fischer- END OF ORAL PROGRAMME SE6/CE9 Bruns, Stefan Füsers, Elke Keup-Thiel, Diana Rechid Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht/HZG, Climate Service Center Germany, Geesthacht, Germany
17:15–17:30: EMS2016-433 Assessing the value of seasonal climate forecasts in decision-making Marta Bruno Soares, Suraje Dessai Sustainability Research Institute and the ESRC Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy, School of Earth & Environment, University of Leeds, UK ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Tuesday 47
ASI3 Formulation, validation and ASI6/UC8 Towards better parameterization of small-scale understanding mid-latitude processes in atmospheric atmospheric teleconnections modelling Lecture room: Vulcania 2 Lecture room: Oceania AB Convener: Javier Garcia-Serrano
Co-Conveners: Paolo Davini; Yannick Peings 19:00
Convener: Gert-Jan Steeneveld – Co-Conveners: Bert Holtslag; Lisa Bengtsson Chairperson: J. Garcia-Serrano Chairperson: Bert Holtslag Extratropical teleconnections
17:00–17:30: EMS2016-283 The role of boundary-layer dynamics in the transition to 17:00–17:30: EMS2016-335 a blue Arctic (solicited) Atlantic multi-decadal variability and the role of Richard Davy, Igor Esau stratosphere-troposphere (solicited) Noel Keenlyside, Nour-Eddine Omrani Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing 17:00 | Tuesday Orals Center/Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, University of Bergen, Geophysical Institute, Bergen, Norway ([email protected]). Norway ([email protected]), Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Bergen , Norway, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, 17:30–17:45: EMS2016-334 Norway Nocturnal surface thermal inversions in the Pannonian Basin Joan Cuxart, Tamás Weidinger, Burkhard Wrenger, 17:30–17:45: EMS2016-757 Blazenka Matjacic, Gemma Simó, Daniel Martinez- The predictability of the multidecadal component of the Villagrasa, Arpad Bordas, Ágoston Tordai, Peter Torma, Mediterranean SST variability. Zoltan Nagy Ortizbevia Maria, RuizdeElvira Antonio, Alvarez-Garcia University of the Balearic Islands, Physics, Palma de Francisco J. Mallorca, Spain ([email protected]) University of Alcala, Physics, Alcala, Spain ([email protected]) 17:45–18:00: EMS2016-165 Similarity scaling systems for stably stratified turbulent 17:45–18:00: EMS2016-688 flows Is the PDO predictable? Zbigniew Sorbjan Rosie Eade, Doug Smith Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK Warsaw, Poland ([email protected])
18:00–18:15: EMS2016-576 18:00–18:15: EMS2016-277 Sensitivity tests of the roughness length for heat to the On the transient atmospheric response to an impulsive GABLS4 experiment sea-ice forcing Patrick Le Moigne, Eric Bazile, Fleur Couvreux Paolo Ruggieri, Fred Kucharski, Roberto Buizza, CNRM UMR3589, Météo-France/CNRS, TOULOUSE, Maarten H. P. Ambaum, Guido Visconti France ([email protected]) Department of Physical and Chemical Sciences and CETEMPS, University of L’Aquila, L’Aquila, Italy ([email protected]) 18:15–18:30: EMS2016-158 Validation of the broadband HLRADIA radiation scheme in the ALADIN-HIRLAM NWP system 18:15–18:30: EMS2016-682 Emily Gleeson, Laura Rontu, Kristian Pagh Nielsen, A multi-system view of wintertime NAO seasonal Ján Mašek, Velle Toll predictions Met Éireann, Glasnevin Hill, Dublin D09 Y921, Ireland Panos Athanasiadis, Alessio Bellucci, Adam Scaife, ([email protected]) Leon Hermanson, Stefano Materia, Antonella Sanna, Andrea Borrelli, Craig MacLachlan, Silvio Gualdi CMCC, Bologna, Italy. 18:30–18:45: EMS2016-443 Sensitivity of extreme events to soil moisture- atmosphere interactions in the western Mediterranean 18:30–18:45: EMS2016-662 Sebastian Helgert, Samiro Khodayar Non-annular, hemispheric signature of the winter North Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK- Atlantic Oscillation TRO), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Javier Garcia-Serrano, Reindert J. Haarsma Karlsruhe, Germany Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC-CNS), Earth Sciences Dept., Barcelona, Spain ([email protected]) END OF ORAL PROGRAMME ASI3
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 48 Conference Programme – Tuesday
18:45–19:00: EMS2016-707 Climatology of lead-lag relationships of Northern Annular Mode during the cold seasons in the Northern Hemisphere. Martin P. King, Javier Garcia-Serrano Uni Research Climate, Bjerknes Centre, Bergen, Norway ([email protected])
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME ASI6/UC8 19:00 – Orals Tuesday | 17:00 | Tuesday Orals
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Tuesday 49
Posters Tuesday, 14:00–14:55
H7: EMS2016-468 MC1 Climate monitoring; data New developments in HISTALP rescue, management, quality and Barbara Chimani, Manfred Ganekind, Ingeborg Auer
Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie und Geodynamik, homogenization Klimaforschung, Wien, Austria ([email protected]) 14:55 Convener: Manola Brunet-India – Co-Conveners: Hermann Mächel, Victor Venema, H8: EMS2016-603 Ingeborg Auer, Dan Hollis EUSTACE break-detection algorithm for a global air Poster area: Hall temperature dataset 1-minute espressi-talks: 12:45, Vulcania 1 Yuri Brugnara, Renate Auchmann, Stefan Brönnimann Oeschger Centre, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland Chairperson(s): Manola Brunet ([email protected])
Data Rescue H9: EMS2016-621 Co.Rain: a new semi-automatic procedure for a better assessment of parallel precipitation measurements 14:00 | Tuesday Posters
H1: EMS2016-243 networks Ongoing and future climate data rescue activities at the Fiorella Acquaotta, Diego Guenzi, Diego Garzena, Meteorological Service of Catalonia Simona Fratianni , Mònica Herrero Marc J. Prohom Università degli Studi di Torino, Scienze della Terra, Meteorological Service of Catalonia, Area of Turin, Italy Climatology, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain ([email protected]) H10: EMS2016-727 Using parallel measurements from German climate
Quality Control procedures reference stations to analyze the homogeneity of time series H2: EMS2016-220 Lisa Hannak, Frank Kaspar, Florian Imbery Quality Control of the Belgian Historical Weather Data Deutscher Wetterdienst, National Climate Monitoring, Charles Delvaux, Michel Journée, Romain Ingels, Offenbach, Germany ([email protected]) Vladimir Vrabel, Cédric Bertrand Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels, Data products Belgium
H11: EMS2016-74
Homogenisation approaches A new database of ground-based cloudiness observations for Italy since the 19th century H4: EMS2016-284 Veronica Manara, Michele Brunetti, Maurizio Maugeri, Number of days with various wind speed and Arturo Sanchez-Lorenzo, Martin Wild inhomogeneities in such series Università degli Studi di Milano, Departement of Pavel Zahradníček, Petr Štěpánek, Radim Tolasz, Jiří physics, Milano, Italy ([email protected]) Hostýnek Global Change Research Centre AS, v.v.i., Brno, Czech H12: EMS2016-309 Republic, Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, Czech New "big-data" sources for meteo-climatic community Republic Santiago Gaztelumendi, Jose Daniel Gomez de Segura H5: EMS2016-327 Meteorolgy Area (TECNALIA R&I), Basque Meteorology Homogenization of daily series: Suitability of additive Agency (EUSKALMET) and multiplicative models and experiences with Climatol 3.0 H13: EMS2016-376
José A. Guijarro Gridded, high-resolution observational data sets for AEMET (State Meteorological Agency), Balearic Islands Southeast Asia and South America Office, Palma de Mallorca, Spain ([email protected]) Gerard van der Schrier, Else van den Besselaar, Richard Cornes, Ge Verver, Albert Klein Tank H6: EMS2016-417 Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, A Fundamental Climate Data Record of SSM/I & SSMIS Netherlands brightness temperatures Karsten Fennig, Marc Schröder, Axel Andersson,
Thomas Spangehl Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 50 Conference Programme – Tuesday
H14: EMS2016-664 H19: EMS2016-719 A satellite-based sunshine duration product for climate Comparing RegCM projections using RCP4.5 and applications RCP8.5 scenarios Steffen Kothe, Roswitha Cremer, Uwe Pfeifroth, Jörg Judit Bartholy, Rita Pongrácz, Ildikó Pieczka, Karolina Trentmann Szabóné André Deutscher Wetterdienst, Climate Monitoring, Offenbach, Department of Meteorology, Eötvös Loránd University,
Germany ([email protected]) Budapest, Hungary ([email protected])
14:55 Climate trends H20: EMS2016-242 – Preliminary exploration of relevant predictors usable by an empirical seasonal forecasting system for the H15: EMS2016-95 Mediterranean region
| 14:00 Global trends and variability in integrated water vapour
, María J. Casado-Calle, Ernesto from ground-based GPS data and atmospheric models Irene Mestre-Guillen Rodriguez-Camino Olivier Bock, Ana Parracho, Sophie Bastin, Frededic AEMET, Spain ([email protected]) Hourdin, Lidia Mellul IGN, LAREG, Univ Paris Diderot, Sorbonne Paris Cité, Paris, France ([email protected]) H21: EMS2016-490 The CORDEX RCM ensembles in the European Alps: Patterns of 21st Century Climate Change H16: EMS2016-232 Posters Tuesday Posters Sven Kotlarski, Elias Zubler, Prisco Frei, Variability and climate change monitoring tools at the Andreas M. Fischer, Kevin J.-P. M. Winter, Mark A. Liniger Meteorological Service of Catalonia Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology Laura Barberia, Antoni Barrera-Escoda, Montserrat MeteoSwiss, Switzerland Busto, Jordi Cunillera, Mònica Herrero, Alba Llabrés, Anna Miró, Juan Carlos Peña, Anna Rius, Vicent Altava-Ortiz, Marc J. Prohom H22: EMS2016-301 Meteorological Service of Catalonia, Area of Towards the new CH2018 climate scenarios in Climatology, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain Switzerland ([email protected]) Andreas M. Fischer, Erich M. Fischer, Reto Knutti, Sven Kotlarski, Mark A. Liniger, Christoph Raible, Christoph Schär, Simon C. Scherrer, Cornelia Schwierz, H17: EMS2016-450 Elias M. Zubler Climate change observed in Slovakia and its impact on Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology changes in climate regions MeteoSwiss, Climate Division, Zurich-Airport, Gabriela Ivaňáková, Pavol Faško, Lívia Labudová Switzerland ([email protected]) Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Bratislava, Slovakia H23: EMS2016-51 Global drought changes under high levels of warming END OF POSTER PROGRAMME MC1 Gustavo Naumann, Lorenzo Alfieri, Luc Feyen, Hugo Carrao, Jonathan Spinoni, Jürgen Vogt European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, UC2 Climate prediction and Italy ([email protected]) scenarios on decadal to H24: EMS2016-359 centennial timescales Spatial and temporal characteristics of heat waves and cold spells over Central Europe in RCM simulations Convener: Mark Liniger Jan Kysely, Ondrej Lhotka, Romana Beranova, Eva Co-Conveners: Jean-Pierre Céron, Clare Goodess, Plavcova Martin Widmann Institute of Atmospheric Physics CAS, Prague, Czech Poster area: Hall Republic ([email protected]), Global Change 1-minute espressi-talks: 12:45, Saturnia Research Institute CAS, Brno, Czech Republic
Chairperson: Mark Liniger H25: EMS2016-528 Climate change impact on future heating and cooling needs in Hvar
H18: EMS2016-17 Lidija Cvitan, Renata Sokol Jurković, Mirta Patarčić High-resolution downscaling of ERA40 Reanalysis and Meteorological and hydrological service, Research and CMCC-CM 21st century data with nonhydrostatic development division, Zagreb, Croatia regional NMMB model ([email protected]) Aleksandra Krzic, Vladimir Djurdjevic Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia/SEEVCCC, Belgrade, Serbia H26: EMS2016-756 ([email protected]) Assessment of Climate Change Effects on Continentality in Europe Michal Belda, Tomas Halenka, Jaroslava Kalvova, Eva Holtanova Charles University in Prague, Fac. of Mathematics and Physics, Dept. of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Republic ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Tuesday 51
H27: EMS2016-338 H32: EMS2016-675 Characterization of thermal season and their projections Sea Ice Reduction on Northern Hemisphere and its in extratropical northern and southern hemisphere Impact on Climate of South America domains through the analysis of annual daily Alfredo Silva, Isimar Santos, Maria Gertrudes Justi, temperatures cycle as seen from regional climate model Otto Rottuno Filho ensembles UFRJ, IGEO, Metorology, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Noelia López-Franca, Enrique Sánchez, Claudio ([email protected]) Menéndez, Andrea F. Carril
Universidad Castilla-La Mancha (UCLM), Area Física H33: EMS2016-676 14:55 de la Tierra, Environmental Sciences, Toledo, Spain Sea Ice Decline Simulations with an Atmospheric Model – ([email protected]) of Intermediate Complexity Maria Gertrudes Justi da Silva, Isimar Santos, Alfredo END OF POSTER PROGRAMME UC2 Silva UFRJ, IGEO, Departamento de Meteorologia, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil ([email protected]) UC4 The Cryosphere and its H34: EMS2016-722 interactions with the climate The climate change frozen sentinels: present extent and system evolution of Italian glaciers Roberto Sergio Azzoni, Guglielmina Diolaiuti, Carlo 14:00 | Tuesday Posters D’Agata, Davide Maragno, Davide Fugazza, Claudio Convener: Renato R. Colucci Smiraglia Co-Conveners: Florence Colleoni, Barbara Stenni Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra "A. Desio", Poster area: Hall Università degli Studi di Milano, Milano, Italy 1-minute espressi-talks: 10:15, Vulcania 2 H35: EMS2016-313 Chairpersons: Renato R. Colucci, Barbara Stenni and Abrupt decay of underground cryosphere driven by Florence Colleoni increasing extreme weather events in the Southeastern European Alps H28: EMS2016-119 Renato R. Colucci, Barbara Bertozzi, Daniele Fontana, Integrated geophysical, geological and oceanographic Emanuele Forte, Michele Potleca, Mauro Guglielmin study of the Holocene paleoclimatic record offshore the Department of Earth System Sciences and western margin of the Barents Sea Ice Sheet Environmental Technology - ISMAR, CNR Trieste (Italy) Michele Rebesco, Renata Lucchi, Andrea Caburlotto, Manuel Bensi, Vedrana Kovacevic, Leonardo Rui, END OF POSTER PROGRAMME UC4 Angelo Camerlenghi OGS, GEOPHYSICS, Sgonico (TS), Italy ([email protected]) SE3/AM2 Severe weather impacts
H29: EMS2016-288 for the European society in the Seasonal co-variability of surface downwelling past, present and future shortwave radiation for the 1982-2009 period in the Arctic Mauro Boccolari, Flavio Parmiggiani Convener: Antti Mäkelä University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Department of Co-Convener: Andrea Vajda Chemical and Geological Sciences, Modena, Italy Poster area: Hall ([email protected]) 1-minute espressi-talks: 14:00, Saturnia
H30: EMS2016-387 H60: EMS2016-122 ARCA project: Arctic present Climatic change and pAst The Observational Analysis of A Tornado Associated extreme events with the Typhone Mugigea Angelo Viola, Stefano Aliani, Simona Longo, Vito Vitale, Zhaohui Li, Donghai Wang, Lijun Yan, Jianjun Zhu, Giorgiana De Franceschi, Stefania Danesi, Paola Del Xuehu Mai Carlo, Ilaria Isola, Patrizia Macrì, Giovanni Muscari, Foshan Meteorological Service, Foshan, Guangdong, Luca Spogli, Stefano Urbini, Michele Rebesco, Renata China ([email protected]) Lucchi, AndreaCaburlotto, Leonardo Rui OGS, GEOPHYSICS, Sgonico (TS), Italy H61: EMS2016-310 An analysis of flooding economic impact in Urumea H31: EMS2016-645 area The Impact of Extreme Atmospheric Circulation and Santiago Gaztelumendi, Joseba Egaña, Jose Antonio Runoff on Ocean Stratification and Productivity near Aranda Greenland Meteorology Area, Energy and Environment Division, Thomas Mote, Renato Castelao, Patricia Yager, Hao TECNALIA R&I, Basque Country, Spain, Basque Luo, Hilde Oliver, Kyle Mattingly, Marco Tedesco, Asa Meteorology Agency (EUSKALMET), Basque Country, Rennermalm, Kevin Arrigo Spain University of Georgia, Athens, GA, United States ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 52 Conference Programme – Tuesday
H62: EMS2016-311 G8: EMS2016-141 Meteorological characterization of events that generate Large-Eddy Simulation of Mesoscale Circulations floods impact in north part of Basque Country Forced by Inhomogeneous Urban Heat Island Santiago Gaztelumendi, Joseba Egaña, José Antonio Ning Zhang Aranda ([email protected]) Meteorology Area, Energy and Environment Division, TECNALIA R&I, Basque Country, Spain, Basque G9: EMS2016-160 Meteorology Agency (EUSKALMET), Basque Country, Modelling Glaciers in the ALADIN-HIRLAM Numerical
14:55 Spain Weather Prediction System – Ruth Mottram, Emily Gleeson, Kristian Pagh Nielsen, H63: EMS2016-319 Xiaohua Yang Analysis of coastal impact in Basque Country area Met Éireann, Glasnevin Hill, Dublin D09 Y921, Ireland Santiago Gaztelumendi, Joseba Egaña, Pedro Liria, ([email protected]) Manuel Gonzalez, José Antonio Aranda Meteorology Area, Energy and Environment Division, G10: EMS2016-163 TECNALIA R&I, Basque Country, Spain, Basque Scale-adaptive turbulence scheme in Hymex in the grey Meteorology Agency (EUSKALMET), Basque Country, zone of turbulence Spain Rachel Honnert, Didier Ricard, Antoine Teixeira CNRM, GMAP, Toulouse, France Posters Tuesday | 14:00 | Tuesday Posters H64: EMS2016-399 ([email protected]) Future projections of freezing rain climatology in Europe Matti Kämäräinen, Andrea Vajda, Otto Hyvärinen, Ilari G11: EMS2016-692 Lehtonen, Kirsti Jylhä Numerical framework and performance of the new Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland multiple phase cloud microphysics scheme in ([email protected]) RegCM4.5 evaluated using the satellite simulator package COSP. END OF POSTER PROGRAMME SE3/AM2 Rita Nogherotto, Adrian Mark Tompkins, Graziano Giuliani, Erika Coppola, Giorgi Filippo The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical ASI3 Formulation, validation and Physics, Earth System Physics Group, Trieste, Italy ([email protected]) parameterization of small-scale processes in atmospheric G12: EMS2016-535 Effect of evapotranspiration on isotopic composition of modelling precipitation , György Czuppon, Gergő Simon, Júlia Hajnalka Breuer Göndöcs, Emese Bottyán, Zoltán Kern Convener: Gert-Jan Steeneveld Eötvös Loránd University, Department of Meteorology, Co-Conveners: Bert Holtslag, Lisa Bengtsson Budapest, Hungary ([email protected]) Poster area: Gallery 1-minute espressi-talks: 14:00, Oceania AB G13: EMS2016-533 Sensitivity of the regional climate model ALARO-0 to Chairperson: Bert Holtslag land surface changes Julie Berckmans, Alexandra-Jane Henrot, Ingrid G6: EMS2016-48 Jacquemin, Rafiq Hamdi Parameterization of latent heat released by Royal Meteorological Institute, Department of condensation for using in a Global Thermodynamic Meteorological and Climatological Research, Uccle, Climate Model Belgium, Centre of Excellence PLECO (Plant and Julio César Melchor Pinto, Víctor Manuel Mendoza Vegetation Ecology), University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Castro, René Garduño, Elva Villanueva Urrutia Belgium Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, México D.F., México END OF POSTER PROGRAMME ASI3 ([email protected])
G7: EMS2016-49 Atmospheric response over Mexico and its adjacent seas to oceanic surface forcing, using a Global Thermodynamic Model during El Niño 1982-83, 1997- 98, 2015-16. Víctor Manuel Mendoza Castro, Julio César Melchor Pinto, René Garduño, Elva Villanueva Urrutia Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, México D.F., México ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Tuesday 53
ASI6/UC8 Towards better ASI8 Atmospheric hazards understanding mid-latitude atmospheric teleconnections Convener: Fulvio Stel Co-Conveners: Dario Giaiotti, Sante Laviola, Jordi Mazon Convener: Javier Garcia-Serrano Poster area: Gallery Co-Conveners: Paolo Davini, Yannick Peings 1-minute espressi-talks: 09:00, Oceania AB
Poster area: Gallery 14:55 – 1-minute espressi-talks: 14:00, Vulcania 2 Chairperson: Dario Giaiotti
Chairperson: J. Garcia-Serrano G20: EMS2016-115 Representing the dynamics of European Temperature G14: EMS2016-626 extremes in CMIP5 historical simulations El Niño influence on the Basque Country M. Carmen Alvarez-Castro, Davide Faranda, Thomas Maialen Martija, Belén Rodríguez-Fonseca, Santiago Noël, Pascal Yiou Gaztelumendi Laboratoire des sciences du climat et de Meteorology Area, Energy and Environment Division, l’environnement (LSCE). Université Paris-Saclay, LSCE, Gif-sur-Yvette, France (carmen.alvarez-
TECNALIA R&I, Basque Country, Spain, Basque 14:00 | Tuesday Posters Meteorology Agency (EUSKALMET), Basque Country, [email protected]) Spain G21: EMS2016-178 G15: EMS2016-418 Joint modes of air temperature and precipitation related Winter precipitation in Poland during western circulation to atmospheric circulation over Greece. in relation to water vapor transport Iliana Polychroni, Panagiotis Nastos, Evangelos Piotr Piotrowski, Joanna Jędruszkiewicz Baltas Institute of Geography, Pedagogical University of Cracow, Laboratory of Climatology and Atmospheric Kraków, Poland ([email protected]) Environment, Faculty of Geology and Geoenviroment, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, G16: EMS2016-60 University Campus, GR 15784 Athens, Greece, Synoptic features of wintertime precipitation over Department of Water Resources and Environment, southeastern China and relation with the Northern Atlantic Faculty of Civil Engineering, National Technical Oscillation University of Athens, 5 Iroon Polytechniou, 157 73, Chao Li, Maoyuan Lou, Shifeng Hao Athens, Greece Zhejiang Provincial Meteorological Observatory, Hangzhou, China ([email protected]), Zhejiang G22: EMS2016-299 Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Hangzhou, China An empirical relation between Swiss hail occurrence and monthly environmental parameters END OF POSTER PROGRAMME ASI6/UC8 Erica Madonna, Olivia Martius Oeschger-Centre for Climate Change Research and Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland, Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway ([email protected])
G23: EMS2016-317 Analysis of a tornado event in Basque Country Santiago Gaztelumendi, Joseba Egaña, Arkaitz Etxezarreta, Mercedes Maruri, José Antonio Aranda Basque Meteorology Agency (EUSKALMET), Basque Country, Spain, Meteorology Area, Energy and Environment Division, TECNALIA R&I, Basque Country, Spain
G24: EMS2016-320 A case study of heavy storms in Basque Country: 30-31 August 2015 event. Joseba Egaña, Olatz Principe, Virginia Palacio, Santiago Gaztelumendi Meteorology Area, Energy and Environment Division, TECNALIA R&I, Basque Country, Spain, Basque Meteorology Agency (EUSKALMET), Basque Country, Spain
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 54 Conference Programme – Tuesday
G25: EMS2016-367 G30: EMS2016-504 Synoptic climatology of heavy precipitation in an Investigation of the foam influence on the wind-wave active landslide region of Romania (Curvature interaction within laboratory modeling of atmosphere- Carpathian-Subcarpathian region) ocean boundary layer Dana Micu, Simona Andrei, Mihai Micu, Razvan Maksim Vdovin, Yuliya Troitskaya, Daniil Sergeev Zarea, Florica Toanca IAP RAS, Nonlinear geophysical processes, Nizhny
National Institute of R&D for Optoelectronics, Remote Novgorod, Russian Federation ([email protected]) Sensing Department, Magurele - Bucharest, Romania
14:55 ([email protected]) END OF POSTER PROGRAMME ASI9 – G26: EMS2016-371 Study of the Icelandic volcanic ash clouds trajectories CE1 Media and Communication and their impact on Romanian controlled air space Ana Denisa Urlea, Sabina Stefan, Nicu Barbu University of Bucharest, Faculty of Physics, P.O.BOX Convener: Tanja Cegnar MG-11 Magurele, Bucharest, Romania Poster area: Hall ([email protected]), Romanian Air Traffic 1-minute espressi-talks: 12:45, Oceania C Services Administration, 10 Ion Ionescu de la Brad Str., Bucharest, Romania Chairperson: T. Cegnar Posters Tuesday | 14:00 | Tuesday Posters G27: EMS2016-498 H72: EMS2016-314 Assessing the contribution of atmospheric aerosols’ Severe weather as a spectacle: the Meteo-Show optical properties in the development of deep Iñaki Orbe, Santiago Gaztelumendi convective clouds with hail Meteorology Area, Energy and Environment Division, Simona Andrei, Camelia Talianu, Florica Toanca, TECNALIA R&I, Basque Country, Spain, Basque Sabina Stefan Meteorology Agency (EUSKALMET), Basque Country, National Institute of R&D for Optoelectronics, Remote Spain Sensing Department, Magurele - Bucharest, Romania H73: EMS2016-458 G28: EMS2016-21 The weather roulette: communicating probabilistic Fog analysis using remote sensing and in situ data in predictions for wind energy a suburban area, Romania Isadora Christel, Llorenç Lledó, Verónica Torralba, Florica Toanca, Luminita Marmureanu, Jeni Albert Soret, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Francisco J. Georgeta Vasilescu, Anca Nemuc, Livio Belegante Doblas-Reyes National Institute of R&D for Optoelectronics, Laser Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Remote Sensing, Romania ([email protected]) Spain ([email protected])
END OF POSTER PROGRAMME ASI8 H74: EMS2016-441 Connecting global climate change evidence and worldwide policies to the local context: how a local ASI9 Boundary-layer physics and meteorological institution can most effectively communicate and foster action parameterizations in weather and Federica Flapp, Stefano Micheletti climate models ARPA Friuli Venezia Giulia - OSMER, Visco (UD), Italy ([email protected])
Convener: Sergej Zilitinkevich END OF POSTER PROGRAMME CE1 Co-Convener: Arakel Petrosyan Poster area: Gallery 1-minute espressi-talks: 14:00, Oceania AB
G29: EMS2016-172 Field and numerical study of wind-wave interaction at short fetches Georgy Baydakov, Alexaandra Kuznetsova, Daniil Sergeev, Vladislav Papko, Alexander Kandaurov, Maksim Vdovin, Yuliya Troitskaya Institute of Applied Physics, 230, Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Wednesday 55
Wednesday, 14 September 2016
Room Saturnia Vulcania 1 Oceania AB Oceania C Vulcania 2 Room
SE2: The Copernicus CE2/AM3: Impact 10:30 ASI13: Energy UC7: Synoptic Climate Change ASI7/CE10: Human 10:30 – based forecasts and – Meteorology climatology Service Biometeorology risk based warnings implemented by 09:00 ECMWF 09:00 10:30 Coffee Break 10:30
UC7 until 12:15 – – UC6: Global and AM1: High Impact CE4: Adaptation ASI13 ASI7/CE10
13:00 regional Weather Strategies 13:00 11:00 reanalyses 11:00 13:00 Lunch Break 13:00 Poster Session
1-minute espressi-talks Cafè (espresso) 1-minute espressi-talks (poster intro) provided (poster intro)
14:55 NWP1 (room Oceania AB) 14:00-14:30 OBS3 (room Vulcania 2) 14:55 – – HALL: Poster boards H1-H78 GALLERY: I UC6 – UC7 – SE2 Poster boards G1-G56 14:00 14:00 I AM1 ASI7/CE10 I NWP1 OBS3
OBS3: UC6 14:30 Meteorological 15:00: Lecture NWP1: Dynamics and CE7: Quality observations from 17:00 17:00
– ASI13 Technology predictability of high Management and ground and space- – Achievement impact weather Infrastructure based Global
15:00 Award Navigation Satellite 15:00 System (GNSS) 17:00 Refreshment Break 17:00
ECAC Symposium | Room Saturnia 19:00 19:00
– Climate Change – Adaptation and Mitigation: The role of climate science and services – see also page 11 17:30 17:00
In the detailed daily programme (on pages 56 to 68) sessions are listed chronologically, according to the time for the oral presentations (09:00–10:30, 11:00–13:00, and 15:00–16:30). Within each time block sessions are listed in the following order: ECAC (UC – SE), AM, ASI, CE, NWP, OBS.
Poster display time Monday to Wednesday Authors are kindly asked to put up their posters as soon as possible within the allocated display time in order to enable the conference participants to view their posters at any time within the display days, and to take them down on Wednesday evening between 18:00–18:30. Posters that have not been removed within this dismantling time will be removed and disposed of.
Side meetings Side meetings and workshops take place in rooms Marconi and Vulcania 2. For details see page 20.
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 56 Conference Programme – Wednesday
Wednesday, 09:00–10:30 UC7 Synoptic climatology SE2 The Copernicus Climate Lecture room: Vulcania 1 Change Service implemented by ECMWF Conveners: Radan Huth; Rasmus Benestad Lecture room: Oceania C Chairperson: Maria Hatzaki Conveners: Dick Dee; Jean-Noel Thepaut Carlo Buontempo Statistical (empirical) downscaling Co-Convener:
: Jean-Noel Thepaut 09:00–09:30: EMS2016-214 Chairperson Using principal component analysis in empirical- statistical downscaling to emphasise synoptic scales 09:00–09:15: (solicited) 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions) Rasmus Benestad, Abdelkader Mezghani, Kajsa Parding, Deliang Chen, Lijun Fan 09:15–09:30: EMS2016-740
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Research and EDgE, a Sectoral Information System for the water Developement, Oslo, Norway sector ([email protected]) Christel Prudhomme, Gwyn Rees, Luis Samaniego, 10:30 – Glenn Watts, Helen Houghton-Carr 09:30–09:45: EMS2016-718 CEH, HRR, Wallingford, United Kingdom Validation of spatial and temporal characteristics ([email protected]) simulated by a variety of downscaling models: Results of the VALUE project 09:30–09:45: EMS2016-629 Radan Huth, Martin Widmann, Douglas Maraun, José Urban SIS - Climate information for European Cities Manuel Gutiérrez, Elke Hertig, María Jesús Casado, Heiner Körnich, Esbjörn Olsson, Jorge Amorim, Judit Bartholy, Rita Pongrácz, Joaquín Bedia, Andreas Patrick Samuelsson, David Segersson, Lars Gidhagen Fischer SMHI, Research Department, Norrköping, Sweden Charles University, Faculty of Science, Dept. of ([email protected]) Physical Geography and Geoecology, Praha 2, Czech
Orals Wednesday | 09:00 | Wednesday Orals Republic ([email protected]), Institute of Atmospheric 09:45–10:00: EMS2016-661 Physics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Praha 4, Czech The Copernicus Climate Change Service ’European Republic Climatic Energy Mixes (ECEM)’ Alberto Troccoli and the ECEM Team 09:45–10:00: EMS2016-478 UEA, School of Environmental Sciences, United Future changes in precipitation statistics on high spatial Kingdom ([email protected]) and temporal resolution using a conditional stochastic model 10:00–10:15: EMS2016-187 Aristita Busuioc, Alexandru Dumitrescu, Felicia UERRA regional reanalysis products, data services, Carbunaru quality and user interaction National Meteorological Administration, Climatology, Per Undén, Manola Brunet, Richard Renshaw, Andrea Bucharest, Romania Kaiser-Weiss, Else van den Besselaar, Phil Jones ([email protected]) Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), Norrkoping, Sweden 10:00–10:15: EMS2016-615 Multidecadal To Centennial Surface Wind Variability 10:15–10:30: EMS2016-751 Over Northeastern North America Via Statistical CLIPC: From Big Data Science to Big Data Decisions Downscaling Martin Juckes, Rob Swart, Lars Bärring, Annemarie Etor E. Lucio-Eceiza, J. Fidel González-Rouco, Jorge Groot, Peter Thysse, Wim Som de Cerff, Victoria Navarro, Elena García-Bustamante, Hugo Beltrami Bennett, Luis Costa, Johannes Lückenkötter, Sarah Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Astrofísica y Callaghan Ciencias de la Atmósfera, Madrid, Spain, Instituto de STFC, RAL Space, Chilton, Didcot, Oxon, United Geociencias (UCM-CSIC). Madrid, Spain Kingdom ([email protected])
10:15–10:30: END OF ORAL PROGRAMME SE2 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions)
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Wednesday 57
ASI7/CE10 Human ASI13 Energy Meteorology Biometeorology Lecture room: Saturnia Lecture room: Vulcania 2 Convener: Sven-Erik Gryning Co-Conveners: Ekaterina Batchvarova; Lucien Wald; Convener: Andreas Matzarakis Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt Co-Convener: Tanja Cegnar
Chairperson: Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt Chairperson: Tzu-Ping Lin
09:00–09:15: EMS2016-530
1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions) Environmental production factors in solar energy forecasting 09:15–09:30: EMS2016-1 Herman Böök, Carl Fortelius, Sami Niemelä, Anders Concept and application of the Heat Health Warning Lindfors System in Germany Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland Andreas Matzarakis Research Center Human-Biometeorology, Deutscher 09:15–09:30: EMS2016-180 Wetterdienst, Freiburg, Germany A “smart" method for short-term solar radiation ([email protected]) forecasting Javier Rodriguez-Benitez, Clara Arbizu-Barrena, 09:30–09:45: EMS2016-12 (EMS Tromp YSTA)
Samuel Quesada-Ruiz, Joaquin Tovar-Pescador, David 10:30 Assessing uncertainties for the calculation of perceived Pozo-Vazquez – temperature in an urban environment MATRAS Res. Group, Department of Physic, University Jana Fischereit, K. Heinke Schlünzen, Michael Bruse of Jaén, 23071, Jaén, Spain ([email protected]) Meteorologisches Institut, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany ([email protected]) 09:30–09:45: EMS2016-139 Surface Downwelling Solar Radiation as estimated from 09:45–10:00: EMS2016-2 MSG/SEVIRI and predicted by RAMS model forecast: Modelling of thermal indices in urban micro scale - verification and improvements from analysis Assessment of radiation and wind influence Stefano Federico, Monica Campanelli, Ping Wang, Andreas Matzarakis, Dominik Fröhlich, Marcel Paolo Sanò, Daniele Casella, Stefania Vergari, Stefano Gangwisch
Dietrich 09:00 | Wednesday Orals University of Freiburg, Chair of Meteorology and ISAC-CNR, ISAC-CNR,via del Fosso del Cavaliere 100, Climatology, Freiburg, Germany 00133 Rome, Italy ([email protected]) ([email protected]) 09:45–10:00: EMS2016-324 10:00–10:15: EMS2016-186 Warning Electricity Grid Operators about Large The effects of vegetation in thermal comfort Photovoltaic Forecast Errors amelioration Rafael Fritz, Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan, Malte Siefert Areti Tseliou, Panagiotis Nastos, Ioannis Tsiros Fraunhofer IWES, Kassel, Germany, National and Kapodistrian University, Athens, Greece ([email protected]) ([email protected]) 10:00–10:15: EMS2016-517 10:15–10:30: EMS2016-278 The Project PerduS: Forecasting the reduction in The potential of modified Physiologically Equivalent photovoltaic power production during Saharan dust Temperature (mPET) in the hot-humid regions based on outbreaks - first results the local thermal comfort Andrea Steiner, Vanessa Wehner, Jochen Förstner Tzu-Ping Lin, Shing-Ru Yang, Andreas Matzarakis Deutscher Wetterdienst, Research and Development, National Cheng Kung University, Department of Offenbach, Germany Architecture, Tainan, Taiwan ([email protected])
10:15–10:30: EMS2016-146 ORAL PROGRAMME ASI7/CE10 CONTINUES ON Development of innovative weather and power forecast WEDNESDAY, 11:00 models for the grid integration of weather-dependent
energy sources
Malte Siefert, Jan Dobschinski
Fraunhofer IWES, Kassel, Germany
ORAL PROGRAMME ASI13 CONTINUES ON
WEDNESDAY, 11:00
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 58 Conference Programme – Wednesday
CE2/AM3 Delivery and communication of impact based forecasts and risk based warnings Lecture room: Oceania AB
Conveners: Dee Cotgrove; Haleh Kootval Co-Convener: Tanja Cegnar
Chairperson: Dee Cotgrove
09:00–09:15: EMS2016-136 Real-time Thunderstorm Warnings for the Population and the Authorities Marco Gaia, Alessandro Hering, Guido Della Bruna MeteoSwiss, Centro regionale sud, Locarno, Switzerland ([email protected])
09:15–09:30: EMS2016-407 Italian codified hashtags for weather warning on Twitter.
10:30 Who is really using them? – Valentina Grasso, Alfonso Crisci, Paolo Nesi, Gianni Pantaleo, Imad Zaza, Bernardo Gozzini LaMMA Consortium, Italian National Research Council Tuscany Region, Florence, Italy ([email protected]), IBIMET CNR, Italian National Research Council, Florence, Italy
09:30–09:45: EMS2016-697 MeteoSwiss - Natural Hazards at a glance Mobile App Barbara Galliker
Orals Wednesday | 09:00 | Wednesday Orals Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss
09:45–10:00: EMS2016-103 ’Name our Storms’ pilot project - improving communication of severe weather Emma Sharples Met Office, United Kingdom ([email protected])
10:00–10:15: EMS2016-776 How storm naming improves communication to general public Gerald Fleming Met Eireann, Ireland ([email protected])
10:15–10:30: Panel Q&A with Barbara Galliker, Emma Sharples and Gerald Fleming
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME CE2/AM3
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Wednesday 59
Wednesday, 11:00-13:00 UC7 Synoptic climatology UC6 Global and regional Lecture room: Vulcania 1 reanalyses Lecture room: Vulcania 1 Conveners: Radan Huth; Rasmus Benestad
Convener: A. Kaiser-Weiss Chairperson: Rasmus Benestad Co-Conveners: Eric Bazile; Leopold Haimberger; Ge Verver; Dick Dee Classifiations Chairperson: Andrea Kaiser-Weiss 11:00–11:30: EMS2016-717 Atmospheric circulation types and extreme areal 12:15–12:45: EMS2016-4 precipitation in southern central Europe - impacts of CERA-20C: The ECMWF coupled assimilation system present and future climate change (solicited) for climate reanalysis (solicited) Jucundus Jacobeit, Markus Homann, Andreas Philipp, Patrick Laloyaux Christoph Beck ([email protected])
University of Augsburg, Institute of Geography, Augsburg, Germany ([email protected]) 12:45–13:00: EMS2016-188
UERRA Regional Reanalysis systems developments 13:00 11:30–11:45: EMS2016-578 and production for pre-operational Copernicus climate – Variability and trends of fog and low stratus over the change services Swiss Plateau: The role of circulation types Per Undén, Manola Brunet, Richard Renshaw, Andrea Yasmin Rosskopf, Simon C. Scherrer, Cornelia Kaiser-Weiss, Else van den Besselaar, Gé Verver, Schwierz, Tanja Weusthoff Albert Klein Tank, Phil Jones Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute MeteoSwiss, Zurich, Switzerland (SMHI), Norrkoping, Sweden ([email protected]) ORAL PROGRAMME UC6 CONTINUES ON 11:45–12:00: EMS2016-419 WEDNESDAY, 15:00 European Weather Types and their Persistence over Italy 11:00 | Wednesday Orals Gianni Messeri, Maurizio Iannuccilli, Giampiero Maracchi, Roberto Vallorani, Bernardo Gozzini, Giovanni Dalu CNR-IBIMET, Roma, Italy ([email protected]), AM1 High Impact Weather: Foundation for Climate and Sustainability, Firenze, Italy Forecasting Systems, Socio-
12:00–12:15: EMS2016-643 Economic Benefits and User Circulation background of spatial patterns of atmospheric Perspectives moisture content over Central Europe Agnieszka Wypych, Bogdan Bochenek Lecture room: Oceania AB Jagiellonian University, Krakow, Poland ([email protected]) Conveners: Ken Mylne; Adriaan Perrels Co-Conveners: P. Davies; Yong Wang; Bernhard END OF ORAL PROGRAMME UC7 Reichert ORAL PROGRAMME UC6 CONTINUES IN THIS ROOM Chairperson: Adriaan Perrels
Setting the stage
11:00–11:15: Session introduction (Perrels) and 3 Poster express presentations (Stefan, Chen, Cazulli)
11:15–11:30: EMS2016-728 A Review of the Socio-Economic Benefits of the Met Office Will Lang UK Met Office, Operations Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 60 Conference Programme – Wednesday
Specific impacts oriented forecasting & warning ASI7/CE10 Human
11:30–11:45: EMS2016-127 Biometeorology Medium- to long-range forecast applications for high Vulcania 2 impact weather using predefined weather regimes Lecture room: Robert Neal, Rutger Dankers Met Office, Exeter, UK ([email protected]) Convener: Andreas Matzarakis Co-Convener: Tanja Cegnar 11:45–12:00: EMS2016-9 Road traffic safety during the severe bora wind at the Chairperson: Andreas Matzarakis eastern Adriatic coast Alica Bajic 11:00–11:15: EMS2016-549 Meteorological and hydrological service, Research and A thermal comfort survey of the UK modeling department, Zagreb, Croatia Mark McCarthy ([email protected]) Met Office, Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom ([email protected]) Dedicated forecasts for renewable electricity production 11:15–11:30: EMS2016-635 Heat Shield: Prediction of deep body temperature in workers during load carriage in hot environments 12:00–12:15: EMS2016-253 Application of Forecasting in REMCs - Development in Igor Mekjavic, Urša Ciuha, Ola Eiken, Tjaša Pogačar, India Marco Morabito, Simon Orlandini, Alfonso Crisci, Lučka 13:00
– Indradip Mitra, Aravindakshan Ramanan, Mandeep Kajfež Bogataj Kaur, Sunil Sharma, Markus Wypior, Detlev Heinemann Jozef Stefan Institute, Ljubljana, Slovenia GIZ GmbH, New Delhi, India ([email protected]) 11:30–11:45: EMS2016-94 12:15–12:30: EMS2016-495 The impact of climate change on recreation tourism in GUI for weather forecast products tailored to the needs Croatia of renewable energy industry Ksenija Zaninovic, Lidija Srnec, Grigory Nikulin, Ivan Tobias Reinartz, Alexandros Bouras, Isabel Metzinger, Guettler Malte Siefert Meteorological and Hydrological Service of Croatia Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany ([email protected]) 11:45–12:00: EMS2016-510 Orals Wednesday | 11:00 | Wednesday Orals Impact of heat waves on labour productivity - case Accounting for human behaviour in impact oriented study for industry forecasting Tjaša Pogačar, Mateja Zalar, Zalika Crepinsek, Lučka Kajfež Bogataj, Urša Ciuha, Igor Mekjavic Biotechnical faculty, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, 12:30–12:45: EMS2016-519 Slovenia ([email protected]) Increasing Accuracy of National Load Forecast using a Nominal Meteorological Input, Temperature Index Beytiye Derya Aydın, Ahmet Faruk Kavak 12:00–12:15: EMS2016-663 Towards intelligent spatially detailed heatwave risk
assessments for authorities and personalised tools for 12:45–13:00: EMS2016-711 citizens Maximizing the number of informed citizens may not Iphigenia Keramitsoglou, Chris T. Kiranoudis, Christos maximize societal benefits Giannakopoulos, Klea Katsouyanni, Anna Karali, Adriaan Perrels, Francesco Ciari Panagiotis Sismanidis, Antonis Analitis, Giannis Finnish Meteorological Institute, Climate Services, Lemesios, Vasilis Tenentes Helsinki, Finland ([email protected]) National Observatory of Athens, Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, END OF ORAL PROGRAMME AM1 Athens, Greece ([email protected])
12:15–12:30: EMS2016-224 Effect of Air Pollution on Respiratory Disease in Western China Yuxia Ma, Bingshuang Xiao, Yuxin Zhao, Xiaodong Zheng The Gansu key Laboratory of Arid Climate Change and Reducing Disaster, College of Atomospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Wednesday 61
12:30–12:45: EMS2016-231 12:30–12:45: EMS2016-167 Case studies and discussions about meteorosensitivity Solar irradiation variability over Iberian Peninsula for in southern Germany electricity generation: RCM analysis regarding aerosols Christian König implications Agency, Press & Media, Germany Claudia Gutiérrez, Miguel Ángel Gaertner, Clemente ([email protected]) Gallardo, Victoria Gil Instituto de Ciencias Ambientales, Universidad de END OF ORAL PROGRAMME ASI7/CE10 Castilla-La Mancha, TOLEDO, Spain ([email protected])
ASI13 Energy Meteorology 12:45–13:00: EMS2016-294 Fog impact on the solar photovoltaic power production Lecture room: Saturnia Saverio Teodosio Nilo, Angela Cersosimo, Domenico Cimini, Francesco Di Paola, Edoardo Geraldi, Elisabetta Convener: Sven-Erik Gryning Ricciardelli, Filomena Romano, Mariassunta Viggiano Co-Conveners: Ekaterina Batchvarova; Lucien Wald; Institute of methodologies for environmental analysis, Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt National Research Council, Tito Scalo, Italy (correspondence to: [email protected]) Chairperson: Lucien Wald ORAL PROGRAMME ASI13 CONTINUES ON
11:00–11:30: EMS2016-362 WEDNESDAY, 15:00 Fish-eye camera: a new meteorological instrument of 13:00
high potential for meteorology and energy (solicited) – Philippe Blanc CE4 Adaptation Strategies MINES ParisTech - PSL Research university, Center Observation, Impacts, Energie, Sophia Antipolis Lecture room: Oceania C CEDEX, France ([email protected]) Convener: André Jol Co-Convener: Tanja Cegnar 11:30–11:45: EMS2016-170 Evaluation of various procedure transposing global tilted irradiance to horizontal surface irradiance Chairperson: A. Jol Caroline Housmans, Cédric Bertand Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels, 11:00–11:15: EMS2016-681 Belgium Information on national and urban adaptation strategies 11:00 | Wednesday Orals and actions in Europe 11:45–12:00: EMS2016-315 André Jol Estimating the amount of cloud cover (in oktas) using European Environment Agency, Head of group photovoltaics vulnerability and adaptation, Copenhagen K, Denmark Stavros Stylianou, Rogiros Tapakis, Alexandros G. ([email protected]) Charalambides Cyprus University of Technology, Department of 11:15–11:30: EMS2016-773 Environmental Science and Technology, Limassol, Climate Change Adaptation at National level: the Italian Cyprus ([email protected]) case Maurizio Pernice, Clara Pusceddu 12:00–12:15: EMS2016-386 Directorate General for Climate and Energy, Rome, Italy Classifying 1 minute temporal variability in global and ([email protected], direct normal irradiances within each hour from ground- [email protected]) based measurements Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt, Sandra Jung, Miriam 11:30–11:45: EMS2016-774 Kosmale Austrian Adaptation policy approach: from development DLR, German Remote Sensing Data Center, Wessling, to implementation Germany ([email protected]) Ingeborg Auer, Markus Leitner, Andrea Prutsch Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie und Geodynamik, 12:15–12:30: EMS2016-469 Vienna, Austria On the land-sea contrast in the solar resource climatology over Europe 11:45–12:00: EMS2016-767 Anders Lindfors, Aku Riihelä, Thomas Carlund, Jörg The role of the insurance industry in adaptation to Trentmann, Richard Müller climate change Finnish Meteorological Institute, Finland Peter Höppe Head of Geo Risks Research/Corporate Climate Centre, Munich Re, Germany ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 62 Conference Programme – Wednesday
12:00–12:15: EMS2016-760 WMO Commission for Climatology supporting adaptation to climate change and climate variability Tanja Cegnar Slovenian Environment Agency
12:15–12:30: EMS2016-507 The role of the EU HEAT-SHIELD project in mitigation of heat waves’ impact on labor productivity Lucka Kajfez Bogataj, Tjaša Pogačar, Igor Mekjavic Biotechnical faculty, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia ([email protected])
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME CE4
13:00 – Orals Wednesday | 11:00 | Wednesday Orals
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Wednesday 63
Wednesday, 15:00–17:00
16:45–17:00: EMS2016-674 UC6 Global and regional Evaluating solar radiation of three regional reanalyses reanalyses over Europe against the satellite-derived SARAH dataset Lecture room: Vulcania 1 Michael Borsche, Andrea Kaiser-Weiss, Frank Kaspar Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany Convener: A. Kaiser-Weiss ([email protected]) Co-Conveners: Eric Bazile; Leopold Haimberger; Ge Verver; Dick Dee END OF ORAL PROGRAMME UC6
Chairperson: Eric Bazile ASI13 Energy Meteorology 15:00–15:15: MARS: successfully serving meteorological data for 30 Lecture room: Saturnia years (EMS Technology Achievement Award 2016) Convener: Sven-Erik Gryning Baudouin Raoult Co-Conveners: Ekaterina Batchvarova; Lucien Wald;
Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt 15:15–15:30: EMS2016-153
High resolution regional reanalysis over Ireland using 15:00–15:15: EMS2016-182 17:00 the HARMONIE NWP system WRF advection and diffusion of MSG cloud estimates – Emily Gleeson, Eoin Whelan, Ray McGrath for short-term solar radiation forecasting Met Éireann, Glasnevin Hill, Dublin, D09 Y921, Ireland Clara Arbizu-Barrena, Jose Antonio Ruiz-Arias, ([email protected]) Samuel Quesada-Ruiz, Javier Rodriguez-Benitez, Joaquin Tovar-Pescador, David Pozo-Vazquez 15:30–15:45: EMS2016-558 MATRAS Group. Physics Department, University of Enhanced representation of precipitation using a Jaen, Spain ([email protected]) convection permitting regional reanalysis system Sabrina Wahl, Susanne Crewell, Petra Friederichs, 15:15–15:30: EMS2016-508 Andreas Hense, Jan Keller, Christian Ohlwein Tracking Cloud Motion with Deformation in Satellite
University of Bonn, Meteorological Institute, Bonn, Imagery: Lagrangian Techniques for PV Forecasts 15:00 | Wednesday Orals Germany ([email protected]), Hans-Ertel-Centre for Garrett H. Good, Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan, Rafael Weather Research, Climate Monitoring Branch Fritz, Malte Siefert Fraunhofer IWES, Kassel, Germany 15:45–16:00: EMS2016-78 Evaluation and uncertainty assessment of precipitation 15:30–15:45: EMS2016-503 in UERRA regional re-analyses: First results for the Load Flow Calculation of a Low Voltage Transformer Alpine Region and Fennoscandia using CAMS radiation service Francesco Isotta, Cristian Lussana, Barbara Casati, Holger Ruf, Konstantin Ditz, Marion Schroedter- Christoph Frei, Ole Einar Tveito Homscheidt, Hans Georg Beyer, Carmen Köhler, Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology Florian Meier, Gerd Heilscher MeteoSwiss, Zurich, Switzerland Ulm University of Applied Science, Institut for Energy Systems and Automation, Ulm, Germany (ruf@hs- 16:00–16:15: EMS2016-258 ulm.de), University of Agder, Jon Lilletuns Vei 9, NO- Estimating uncertainties in surface variables reanalyses 4876 Grimstad in the framework of UERRA project Rachid Abida, Eric Bazile 15:45–16:00: EMS2016-131 CNRM-GAME, Météo-France, Toulouse,France Estimation and forecast of PV generation on a regional scale using satellite data and high resolution WRF 16:15–16:30: EMS2016-148 output combined with machine learning techniques Setup and first evaluation of the coupled hydro- Alessandro Perotto, Marco Pierro, Cristina Cornaro, meteorological MESCAN-SURFEX-TRIP modelling Enrico Maggioni, Francesco Spada, David Moser system over Europe Ideam Srl, Via Frova 34, Cinisello Balsamo (MI), Italy, Camille Szczypta, Patrick Le Moigne, Bertrand [email protected] Decharme, Antoine Verrelle, Eric Bazile, Rachid Abida CNRM, UMR3589, Météo-France, Toulouse, France 16:00–16:15: EMS2016-302 Use of post processing techniques and satellite 16:30–16:45: EMS2016-581 irradiance data to forecast short wave solar radiation ERA-Interim based analysis of persistent cold air pools Enrico Maggioni, Alessandro Perotto, Francesco over the Carpathian Basin Spada, Cristina Cornaro, Marco Pierro Karolina Szabóné André, Judit Bartholy, Rita Ideam S.r.l, Via Frova 34 Cinisello Balsamo (MI), Italy Pongrácz ([email protected]) Department of Meteorology, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 64 Conference Programme – Wednesday
16:15–16:30: EMS2016-540 15:15–15:30: EMS2016-775 Satellite-based solar irradiance assessment and Meteorological services and quality management under forecasting in tropical insular areas participation of the German Meteorological Society Sylvain Cros, Maxime Deroubaix, Mathieu Turpin, Armin Raabe Patrick Jeanty German Meteorological Society (DMG), Institut f. Reuniwatt SAS, R&D, Sainte-Clotilde, Reunion Island, Meteorologie Universität Leipzig, Germany (raabe@uni- France ([email protected]) leipzig.de)
16:30–16:45: EMS2016-372 15:30–15:45: EMS2016-569 Hilbert-Huang spectral analysis for the characterization The professional meteorologists and meteorological of variability in satellite-derived time series of surface technicians in Italy: overview of the national legislation solar irradiance and certification scheme Marc Bengulescu, Philippe Blanc, Lucien Wald Mara Altieri, Marina Baldi, Massimo Ferrario, Massimo MINES ParisTech - PSL Research University, Sophia Ferri, Teodoro Georgiadis, Vittorio Villasmunta, Dino Antipolis cedex, France (lucien.wald@mines- Zardi paristech.fr) Associazione Geofisica Italiana, AGI, Roma, Italy, CNR - Institute of Biometeorology, Italy 16:45–17:00: EMS2016-667 ([email protected]), WMO RTC-Italy, Firenze, Italy Short-range NWP for direct normal irradiance by utilizing Meteosat Second Generation data 15:45–16:15: EMS2016-779 Heiner Körnich, Magnus Lindskog, Tomas Landelius Professional Accreditation in the UK: Become a SMHI, Research Department, Norrköping, Sweden Registered or Chartered Meteorologist (solicited)
17:00 ([email protected]) Liz Bentley, Chloe Moore – Royal Meteorological Society, UK ORAL PROGRAMME ASI13 CONTINUES ON THURSDAY, 09:00 16:15–16:30: EMS2016-759 Quality management personal education and certification CE7 Quality Management and Jelko Urbančič Slovenian Water Agency and Slovenian Association for Infrastructure Quality and Excellence Lecture room: Oceania C 16:30–17:00:
Orals Wednesday | 15:00 | Wednesday Orals Note: This session starts already at 14:30! Questions and discussion
Convener: Jelko Urbančič Co-Convener: Tanja Cegnar END OF ORAL PROGRAMME CE7
Chairperson: J. Urbančič OBS3 Meteorological 14:30–14:45: EMS2016-764 observations from ground and How to change an organization according to the ISO 9001:2015 space-based Global Navigation Marko Kiauta, Jelko Urbančič Satellite System (GNSS) Tangram TQC, Ljubljana, Slovenia, Slovenian Water Agency, Ljubljana, Slovenia Lecture room: Vulcania 2
14:45–15:00: EMS2016-734 Convener: Jonathan Jones Quality Management System in Maroc Meteo, Co-Convener: Guergana Guerova Roadmap for the implementation of a Global QMS in a NMHS (solicited) Chairperson: Guergana Guerova Fatima Zahra Bensaid, Bouchra Eljohra Maroc Météo, Casablanca, Morocco 15:00–15:30: EMS2016-762 ([email protected]) GNSS for climate research: a twenty year perspective of using ground-based networks in northern Europe 15:00–15:15: EMS2016-191 Gunnar Elgered Certification and professional accreditation in the Chalmers University of Technology, Onsala Space meteorological service providers Observatory, Sweden Raffaele Salerno Centro Epson Meteo, Sesto S. Giovanni (MI), Italy 15:30–15:45: EMS2016-100 ([email protected]) On the potential of ground-based GPS measurements for climatological and hydrological applications Isabella Bordi Consorzio Interuniversitario Nazionale per la Fisica delle Atmosfere e delle Idrosfere (CINFAI), Rome, Italy ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Wednesday 65
15:45–16:00: EMS2016-687 15:15–15:30: EMS2016-104 COST Action ES1206: Advanced GNSS Tropospheric Blocking and persistence: a dynamical system Products for Monitoring Severe Weather Events and perspective Climate (GNSS4SWEC) Davide Faranda, Giacomo Masato, Nicholas Moloney, Jonathan Jones, Guergana Guerova, Jan Douša, Yuzuru Sato, Francois Daviaud, Berengere Dubrulle, Galina Dick, Siebren de Haan, Eric Pottiaux, Olivier Pascal Yiou Bock, Rosa Pacione CNRS, CEA-Saclay, Laboratoire de Science du Climate Met Office, Observations R&D, Exeter, United Kingdom de l’Environment, Gif sur Yvette, France ([email protected]) ([email protected])
16:00–16:15: EMS2016-388 15:30–15:45: EMS2016-548 4DVAR assimilation of GNSS zenith path delays into a Classification of extratropical cyclogenesis events numerical weather prediction model based on a set of precursors Karina Wilgan, Witold Rohm, Jakub Guzikowski, Jan Michael Sprenger, Michael Graf, Heini Wernli Kaplon, Maciej Kryza, Pawel Hordyniec ETH Zurich, Atmospheric and Climate Science, Zurich, Institute of Geodesy and Geoinformatics, Wroclaw Switzerland ([email protected]) University of Environmental and Life Sciences, Wroclaw, Poland 15:45–16:00: EMS2016-732 Hurricane Debby: extra-tropical transition, 16:15–16:30: EMS2016-595 characteristics and impacts in Finland in 1982 A GNSS-based bayesian technique for atmospheric Terhi Laurila, Hilppa Gregow, Victoria Sinclair, Antti profiling in extended area Mäkelä
Andrea Antonini, Riccardo Benedetti, Luca Rovai, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland 17:00 – Stefano Romanelli, Samantha Melani, Alberto Ortolani, ([email protected]) Bernardo Gozzini Consorzio LaMMA ([email protected]) 16:00–16:15: EMS2016-70 Hail precursors and predictability for regions North and 16:30–16:45: EMS2016-183 South of the Swiss Alps Fog case study with GNSS tropospheric products, Sofia Simona Trefalt, Olivia Martius, Urs Germann, Stability Index and WRF model Alessandro Hering Anastassia Stoycheva, Guergana Guerova, Keranka University of Bern, Mobiliar Group for Climate Impact Vassileva Research, Hallerstrasse 12, 3012 Bern, Switzerland, Sofia University, Department of Meteorology and Federal Office of Climatology and Meteorology
Geophysics, Sofia, Bulgaria ([email protected] MeteoSwiss, Via ai Monti 146, 6605 Locarno Monti, 15:00 | Wednesday Orals sofia.bg) Switzerland
16:45–17:00: 16:15–16:30: EMS2016-275 OBS3 session: discussion A multianalysis study of a bow echo-like storm in Northeastern Italy END OF ORAL PROGRAMME OBS3 Arturo Pucillo, Mario Marcello Miglietta, Kelly Lombardo, Estibaliz Gascon, Agostino (Tino) Manzato ARPA FVG (OSMER), Palmanova (UD), Italy NWP1 Dynamics and predictability ([email protected]) of high impact weather 16:30–16:45: EMS2016-555 High-resolution forecasts over complex topography of Lecture room: Oceania AB Southeast Brazil Sin Chan Chou, Claudine Dereczynski, Jorge Luís Convener: Timothy Hewson Gomes, Fedor Mesinger, Marcelo Seluchi, Gustavo Co-Convener: Victoria Sinclair Sueiro CPTEC, INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil Chairperson: Victoria Sinclair 16:45–17:00: EMS2016-752 15:00–15:15: EMS2016-698 Statistical framework for generating precipitation The Forecast Skill Horizon occurrence over complex terrain Roberto Buizza, Martin Leutbecher Paola Marson ECMWF, Research, Reading, United Kingdom University of Venice, Venice, Italy ([email protected]) ([email protected])
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME NWP1
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 66 Conference Programme – Wednesday
Posters Wednesday, 14:00–14:55 UC6 Global and regional UC7 Synoptic climatology reanalyses Conveners: Radan Huth, Rasmus Benestad
Poster area: Hall Convener: A. Kaiser-Weiss 1-minute espressi-talks: 10:15, Vulcania 1 Co-Conveners: Eric Bazile, Leopold Haimberger, Ge Verver, Dick Dee Poster area: Hall Chairperson: Rasmus Benestad
Chairperson: Andrea Kaiser-Weiss H42: EMS2016-72 Impacts of The Intraseasonal Oscillations on the Submonthly Wave Patterns over the Western North H36: EMS2016-529 Pacific The role of data recovery and historical climate records Ken-Chung Ko in understanding High Impact Weather National Kaohsiung Normal University, Geography, , Malcolm Allan, Christine Duffy, Tim Mark McCarthy Kaohsiung, Taiwan ([email protected]) Legg, Sarah Pankiewicz, Catherine Ross, Martyn
Sunter Met Office, Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom H43: EMS2016-81 The classification of atmospheric circulation over Serbia
14:55 ([email protected])
– Suzana Putnikovic, Ivana Tosic, Vladimir Djurdjevic University of Belgrade, Faculty of Physics, Dept.for
H37: EMS2016-580 Meteorology, Belgrade, Serbia ([email protected]) Local Reanalysis on the Convective Scale with a Fully- Coupled Model (TerrSysMP) Clarissa Figura, Insa Thiele-Eich, Jan Keller, Christian H44: EMS2016-252 Ohlwein, Sabrina Wahl, Andreas Hense, Clemens Climate change projections of medicanes with a large Simmer multi-model ensemble of regional climate models Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn, Raquel Romera, Miguel Ángel Gaertner, Enrique Meteorologisches Institut, Bonn, Germany Sánchez, Marta Domínguez, Juan Jesús González- Alemán, Mario Marcello Miglietta ICAM, UCLM, Toledo, Spain H38: EMS2016-678
Posters Wednesday | 14:00 | Wednesday Posters Causes for discrepancies between reanalyses and station observations in Germany H45: EMS2016-485 Andrea Kaiser-Weiss, Michael Borsche, Frank Kaspar Changes in summer thermal stress index in Romania DWD, National climate monitoring, Offenbach, Germany using a statistical downscaling model ([email protected]) Andreea Dima, Aristita Busuioc, Alexandru Dumitrescu National Meteorological Administration, Climatology, Bucharest, Romania
H39: EMS2016-420 ([email protected]) Indirect assessment of a high-resolution precipitation reanalysis system in mountainous areas during winter. Antoine Verrelle, Patrick Lemoigne, Eric Bazile, H46: EMS2016-630 Rachid Abida, Camille Szczypta Are jet tracks changing over Central Europe? CNRM (Meteo-France, CNRS, UMR3589), Toulouse, Anna Zsilinszki, Zsuzsanna Dezső, Rita Pongrácz, France ([email protected]) Judit Bartholy Eötvös Loránd University Department of Meteorology, Budapest, Hungary ([email protected]) END OF POSTER PROGRAMME UC6
H47: EMS2016-644 Synoptic analysis of some tropical-like cyclones over the Mediterranean Sea using ECMWF reanalysis data Dávid Hérincs Eötvös Loránd University Department of Meteorology, Budapest, Hungary ([email protected])
H48: EMS2016-484 An Objective Synoptic Classification for Catalonia Vicent Altava-Ortiz, Montse Aran, Juan Carlos Peña, Jordi Cunillera, Marc J. Prohom, Abdel Sairouni Meteorological Service of Catalonia, Barcelona, Spain ([email protected]), Catalan Wildfire Prevention Service, Sta Perpètua de la Mogoda, Spain
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Wednesday 67
H49: EMS2016-244 H67: EMS2016-236 An optimized weather type classification scheme based Observational study on complementary relationship on cost733 for italian peninsula. between pan evaporation and actual evapotranspiration Giulio Betti, Roberto Vallorani, Gianni Messeri, Alfonso and its variation with pan type Crisci, Bernardo Gozzini, Marco Morabito, Alessandro Hongchao Zuo, Bo long Chen Messeri, Daniele Grifoni, Maurizio Iannuccilli, Giorgio College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Bartolini, Giampiero Maracchi Lanzhou,China ([email protected]) LaMMA Consortium, Sesto Fiorentino, Italy, Institute of Biometeorology (CNR - IBIMET), Firenze, Italy H68: EMS2016-401 A “seamless forecast service" for EXPO2015 END OF POSTER PROGRAMME UC7 Gian Paolo Minardi, Orietta Cazzuli, Roberto Cremonini ARPA Lombardia, Milano, Italy SE2 The Copernicus Climate END OF POSTER PROGRAMME AM1 Change Service implemented by ECMWF ASI7/CE10 Human
Conveners: Dick Dee, Jean-Noel Thepaut Biometeorology Co-Convener: Carlo Buontempo Poster area: Hall
09:00, Oceania C Convener: Andreas Matzarakis 14:55
1-minute espressi-talks: – Co-Convener: Tanja Cegnar Poster area: Gallery H58: EMS2016-393 1-minute espressi-talks: 09:00, Vulcania 2 The ERA-CLIM2 Global Registry: a new metadatabase for historical data Maria Antónia Valente, Thomas Cropper, Pedro Chairperson: Andreas Matzarakis Gomes, Maria Clara Ventura Instituto Dom Luiz, Faculdade de Ciências da G17: EMS2016-650 Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal ([email protected]) Projections of the future climate potential for different type of tourism in Hungary H59: EMS2016-467 Akos Nemeth Seasonal forecasts for the wind power industry within Hungarian Meteorological Service, Budapest, Hungary the CLIM4ENERGY project ([email protected]) 14:00 | Wednesday Posters Llorenç Lledó, Albert Soret, Verónica Torralba, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes G18: EMS2016-462 Barcelona Supercomputing Center-Centro Nacional de Assessment of thermal sensation in complex urban Supercomputación (BSC-CNS), Spain ([email protected]) micro environments, utilizing meteorological measurements from sensors mounted on a cargo END OF POSTER PROGRAMME SE2 bicycle Panagiotis T. Nastos, Irini Berdebe, Marina-Panagiota P. Nastou University of Athens, Laboratory of Climatology and AM1 High Impact Weather: Atmospheric Environment, Athens, Greece Forecasting Systems, Socio- ([email protected])
Economic Benefits and User G19: EMS2016-473 Perspectives Biometeorological Conditions and Respiratory Admissions in Crete Island, Greece Anastasia G. Bleta, Panagiotis T. Nastos Conveners: Ken Mylne, Adriaan Perrels Laboratory of Climatology and Atmospheric Co-Conveners: Yong Wang, Bernhard Reichert Environment, Faculty of Geology and Geoenviroment, Poster area: Hall National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 1-minute espressi-talks: 11:00, Oceania AB University Campus GR 15784 Athens, Greece ([email protected]) H66: EMS2016-111 Hailstorm forecasting based on stability indices derived END OF POSTER PROGRAMME ASI7/CE10 from radio-sounding profiles Sabina Stefan, Nicu Barbu, Florica Toanca University of Bucharest, Faculty of Physics, Atmospheric Physics, BUCHAREST, Romania ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 68 Conference Programme – Wednesday
OBS3 Meteorological NWP1 Dynamics and predictability observations from ground and of high impact weather space-based Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) Convener: Timothy Hewson Co-Convener: Victoria Sinclair Poster area: Hall Convener: Jonathan Jones 1-minute espressi-talks: 14:00, Oceania AB Co-Convener: Guergana Guerova Poster area: Gallery Chairperson: Victoria Sinclair 1-minute espressi-talks: 14:00, Vulcania 2 H75: EMS2016-628 Chairpersons: Jonathan Jones, Guergana Guerova Towards ultra-high resolution analyses in complex terrain G53: EMS2016-176 Alexander Kann, Benedikt Bica, Irene Schicker Comparison of WRF model with GNSS tropospheric Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, products during intense precipitation events in Bulgaria Department of Forecasting Models, Vienna, Austria Guergana Guerova, Martin Slavchev ([email protected]) National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Sofia, Bulgaria H76: EMS2016-312 Cold-air pooling in the Cerdanya valley (Pyrenees) 14:55
– G54: EMS2016-280 Daniel Martínez-Villagrasa, Laura Conangla, Gemma Investigation of the dependence between ZTD and Simó, Maria Antonia Jiménez, Davide Tabarelli, Josep vertical position of GNSS stations on the example of Ramon Miró, Rodrigo Picos, Álvaro López, Dino Zardi, long-term EPN measurements. Burkhard Wrenger, Joan Cuxart Zofia Bałdysz, Karolina Szafranek, Grzegorz Nykiel, University of the Balearic Islands, Physics, Palma de Andrzej Araszkiewicz, Mariusz Figurski Mallorca, Spain Military University of Technology, Warsaw, Poland ([email protected]) H77: EMS2016-33 Verifications of the 14-16 May 2014 extreme G55: EMS2016-568 precipitation in western Balkans simulated by the Eta GNSS Meteorology Studies in Ankara for the model and WRF-NMM: A comparison of bias adjusted Comparison of Water Vapour Estimates equitable threat score and extreme dependency score Posters Wednesday | 14:00 | Wednesday Posters Emine Tanır Kayıkçı, Selma Zengin Kazancı, Mesut Dragana Marjanovic, Katarina Veljovic Demircan University of Belgrade, Faculty of Physics, Insitute of Karadeniz Technical University, Department of meteorology, Belgrade, Serbia Geomatics Engineering, Trabzon, Turkey ([email protected]) ([email protected]) END OF POSTER PROGRAMME NWP1 G56: EMS2016-705 Achievements of GNSS4SWEC Working Group 1: Advanced GNSS Processing Techniques Jan Douša, Galina Dick, Michal Kačmařík, Pavel Václavovic, Eric Pottiaux, Florian Zus, Hugues Brenot, Gregor Möller, Fabian Hinterberger, Rosa Pacione, Andrea Stuerze, Kryštof Eben, Norman Teferle, Wenwu Ding, Laurent Morel, Jan Kaplon, Pawel Hordyniec, Witold Rohm Geodetic Observatory Pecny, RIGTC, Zdiby, Czech Republic ([email protected])
END OF POSTER PROGRAMME OBS3
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Thursday 69
Thursday, 15 September 2016
Room Saturnia Vulcania 1 Oceania AB Oceania C Vulcania 2 Room
NWP3: Data CE6: Research and SE4: From weather assimilation and use services in 10:30 ASI13: Energy MC2: Spatial and climate 10:30 – of observations in atmospheric – Meteorology Climatology predictions to impact meteorology and sciences supporting forecasts
09:00 oceanography science education 09:00
10:30 Coffee Break 10:30 until 11:30 NWP3 NWP2: Numerical ASI5: Modeling the aspects and physical 13:00 dynamics of coupled 13:00 – ASI13 MC2 parametrization CE5: Education – atmosphere-wave- 11:30 Young ocean processes
11:00 Scientist Award 11:00 Lecture 13:00 Lunch Break 13:00 Poster Session Cafè (espresso)
1-minute espressi-talks 1-minute espressi-talks (poster intro) provided (poster intro) NWP4 (room Oceania AB) 14:00-14:30 ASI14 (room Vulcania 1) 14:55 14:55 – HALL: – Poster boards H1-H75 I GALLERY: 14:00 MC2 – MC3 – SE4 I Poster boards G1-G52 14:00 CE6 I ASI4 – ASI5 – ASI13 – ASI14 NWP2 – NWP3 – NWP4
ASI14: NWP2 until 16:30 Meteorological NWP4: Probabilistic ASI5 until 15:30 MC3: 17:00 processes, and ensemble ASI4: Coastal 17:00 – ASI13 Paleoclimatology – atmospheric forecasting at short meteorology and and historical composition and and medium ranges oceanography
15:00 climatology 15:00 pollution 17:00 Refreshment Break 17:00
– – ASI13 ASI14 NWP4 MC3 ASI4 19:00 19:00 17:30 17:30
19:30 The EMS Festa 19:30
In the detailed daily programme (on pages 70 to 90) sessions are listed chronologically, according to the time for the oral presentations (09:00–10:30, 11:00–13:00, 15:00–17:00, and 17:30–19:00). Within each time block sessions are listed in the following order: ECAC (MC – SE), ASI, CE, NWP.
Poster display time Thursday to Friday Authors are kindly asked to put up their posters as soon as possible within the allocated display time in order to enable the conference participants to view their posters at any time within the display days, and to take them down on Friday between 16:30–17:00. Posters that have not been removed within this dismantling time will be removed and disposed of.
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 70 Conference Programme – Thursday
Thursday, 09:00–10:30 MC2 Spatial Climatology SE4 From weather and climate Lecture room: Vulcania 1 predictions to impact forecasts Lecture room: Oceania AB Convener: Ole Einar Tveito
Co-Conveners: Mojca Dolinar; Christoph Frei Convener: Silvio Gualdi Co-Convener: Swadhin Behera Chairperson: Ole Einar Tveito 09:00–09:15: 09:00–09:15: EMS2016-88 2-minute espressi talks (poster introductions) 1961-1990 high-resolution monthly precipitation climatologies for Italy 09:15–09:30: EMS2016-347 Alice Crespi, Maurizio Maugeri, Michele Brunetti Cyclone-track based seasonal prediction for South Department of Physics, Università degli Studi di Milano, Pacific tropical cyclone activity using APCC multi-model Milan, Italy ensemble prediction OK-Yeon Kim 09:15–09:30: EMS2016-477 APEC Climate Center, Busan, Korea, Republic Of Construction of a temperature and precipitation high ([email protected]) resolution database in Catalonia for the 1970-2014 period. Analyses of recent climatic variability. 09:30–09:45: EMS2016-536 Vicent Altava-Ortiz, Antoni Barrera-Escoda, Mercè Forecasting Weather Impacts on the UK Barnolas, Mònica Herrero, Aleix Serra, Abdel Sairouni, Telecommunication Network Marc J. Prohom , David Brayshaw, Stefan Thor Smith, Meteorological Service of Catalonia, Barcelona, Spain Alan Halford Kjeld Jensen ([email protected]), Catalan Wildfire Prevention University of Reading, TSBE Centre, Reading, United Service, Sta Perpètua de la Mogoda, Spain Kingdom ([email protected])
09:30–10:00: EMS2016-254
Trends and variability of surface solar radiation in 09:45–10:00: EMS2016-108 Consistent bias correction/downscaling of different Europe based on CMSAF satellite data sets climate variables Uwe Pfeifroth, Arturo Sanchez-Lorenzo, Jörg Léonard Dekens, Mathilde Grandjacques, Sylvie
Trentmann , Didier Dacunha-Castelle Deutscher Wetterdienst, Climate Monitoring, Offenbach, Parey EDF, R&D, CHATOU, France ([email protected]) Germany ([email protected])
10:30 – 10:00–10:15: EMS2016-97 10:00–10:30: EMS2016-383 A Statistical Emulator For Prediction Of Crop Yield Developments to the E-OBS gridded dataset across Response To Climate Change Europe (solicited) Malcolm Mistry, Enrica Decian, Ian Sue Wing Richard Cornes, Else van den Besselaar, Gerard van Department of Economics, Ca’ Foscari University, der Schrier, Phil Jones, Ge Verver Venezia, Italy ([email protected]), Fondazione Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), Venezia, Italy Netherlands, Climatic Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK 10:15–10:30: EMS2016-430 Orals Thursday | 09:00 | Thursday Orals Adaptation of Mediterranean agriculture to future climate change scenarios: investigations on agronomic, ORAL PROGRAMME MC2 CONTINUES ON productive and economic impact nexus in an irrigated THURSDAY, 11:00 and rain-fed farming district.
Dono Gabriele, Cortignani Raffaele, Dell’Unto Davide, Deligios Paola, Doro Luca, Lacetera Nicola, Mula Laura, Pasqui Massimiliano, Quaresima Sara, Roggero Pier Paolo, Vitali Andrea CNR IBIMET - Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Istituto di Biometeorologia, Roma (Italy)
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME SE4
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Thursday 71
ASI13 Energy Meteorology CE6 Research and services in Lecture room: Saturnia atmospheric sciences supporting science education in schools and Convener: Sven-Erik Gryning Co-Conveners: Ekaterina Batchvarova; Lucien Wald; the general public Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt Lecture room: Vulcania 2
Chairperson: Ekaterina Batchvarova Convener: Heikki Tuomenvirta
09:00–09:15: EMS2016-479 Chairperson: Heikki Tuomenvirta Weather and Power Information Tailored to the Needs of Renewable Energy Industry in a web-based GUI Alexandros Bouras, Tobias Reinartz, Harald Kempf, Reaching Citizens Arne Wessel Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany 09:00–09:15: EMS2016-704 ([email protected]) Providing climate change information for user needs using visualization - Climateguide.fi portal 09:15–09:30: EMS2016-614 Sanna Luhtala, Juha A. Karhu, Tiina Ervasti Using high resolution reanalyses for renewable energy Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland applications ([email protected]) Christopher Frank, Susanne Crewell, Jan Keller, Christian Ohlwein, Andreas Hense, Sabrina Wahl 09:15–09:30: EMS2016-743 Climate Monitoring Branch, Hans-Ertel-Centre for Engaging citizens in the communication of climate Weather Research, Germany, Institute for Geophysics sciences as an educational process and Meteorology, University of Cologne, Germany Michel Bourqui, Claudia Mignani, Cassandra Bolduc, Paul Charbonneau, Marie Charrière, Daniel Hill, 09:30–09:45: EMS2016-90 Angélica Lòpez, Enrique Loubet, Philippe Roy, Barbara The Smoothing Effect in an Afro-Eurasian Renewable Winter Power Grid MSB Climate Science Communication, Zurich, Maria Krutova, Alexander Kies, Bruno Schyska, Lüder Switzerland ([email protected]), Department von Bremen of Physics, Université de Montréal, Montreal, Canada ForWind - Center for Wind Energy Research, University of Oldenburg, Germany (alexander.kies@uni- Focusing on schools oldenburg.de), Institute of Physics, University of Oldenburg, Germany 09:30–09:45: EMS2016-58
High schoolers as researchers - Results from a Finnish 10:30 – 09:45–10:00: EMS2016-366 science education project Estimating the performance of wind-PV hybrid mini-grid Atte Harjanne, Tiina Ervasti, Juha Karhu, Heikki systems for rural electrification in Africa Tuomenvirta Thomas Huld, Irene Pinedo Pascua, Mario Marcello Climate Services Centre, Finnish Meteorological Miglietta, Fabio Monforti-Ferrario Institute, Helsinki, Finland, School of Business, Aalto European Commission Joint Research Centre, University, Helsinki, Finland Renewables and Energy Efficiency Unit, Ispra, Italy 09:45–10:00: EMS2016-67 10:00–10:15: EMS2016-654 Wow Schools
How Much Can Demand Side Management Contribute to Felicity Liggins, Richard Orrell, Dom Lethem, Lesley 09:00 | Thursday Orals Balance a Fully Renewable European Power System? Challenger, Maria Dorothy, Tiaan Loubser Alexander Kies, Bruno Schyska, Lüder von Bremen Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom ForWind - Center for Wind Energy Research, Oldenburg, ([email protected]) Germany ([email protected]), Institute of Physics, University of Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany END OF ORAL PROGRAMME CE6
10:15–10:30: EMS2016-189 Synthetic weather files for dynamic simulations of future building energy demand in Finland Kirsti Jylhä, Kimmo Ruosteenoja, Juha Jokisalo, Targo Kalamees, Hanna Mäkelä, Reijo Hyvönen Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland ([email protected])
ORAL PROGRAMME ASI13 CONTINUES ON THURSDAY, 11:00
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 72 Conference Programme – Thursday
CE5 Education NWP3 Data assimilation and use Lecture room: Vulcania 2 of observations in meteorology and oceanography Convener: Tomas Halenka Co-Convener: Alessandro Chiariello Lecture room: Oceania C
Chairperson: Tomas Halenka Convener: Alexander Cress Co-Convener: Sarah Dance 10:00–10:15: EMS2016-739 Education on atmospheric processes by generation of Chairperson: Alexander Cress new data using mobile sensors Roger Curcoll, Alba Àgueda, Lídia Cañas, Eusebi 09:00–09:15: Vazquez, Claudia Grossi, Marta Comerma, Sílvia 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions) Borràs, Òscar Batet, Manel Nofuentes, Paola Occhipinti, Xavier Rodó, Josep-Anton Morguí
IC3 - Catalan Institute for Climate Sciences, Barcelona, 09:15–09:30: EMS2016-61 Comparison between 3D-Var and 4D-Var data Spain (contact: [email protected]), Dept assimilation methods for the simulation of a heavy Ecology, University of Barcelona, Spain rainfall case in central Italy Vincenzo Mazzarella, Ida Maiello, Vincenzo Capozzi, 10:15–10:30: EMS2016-431 Giorgio Budillon, Rossella Ferretti Engaging students and teachers in meteorology and Department of Science and Technology, University of atmospheric sciences: the LaMMA activities Naples "Parthenope", Italy Valentina Grasso, Giorgio Bartolini, Riccardo Benedetti, Giulio Betti, Valerio Capecchi, Bernardo
Gozzini, Ramona Magno, Andrea Orlandi, Luca Rovai, 09:30–09:45: EMS2016-487 Impact of GPS-Integrated Water Vapour assimilation in Claudio Tei, Tommaso Torrigiani, Federica Zabini the simulation of heavy precipitation events in the CNR Ibimet, Italian National Research Council, western Mediterranean region Florence, Italy ([email protected]), LaMMA , Samiro Khodayar Consortium, Italian National Research Council, Alberto Caldas Álvarez Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research - Florence, Italy Troposphere Research (IMK-TRO), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany ORAL PROGRAMME CE5 CONTINUES ON THURSDAY, 11:00 09:45–10:00: EMS2016-660 Data assimilation from a continental-scale network of ground-based microwave radiometers into NWP
10:30
– Domenico Cimini, Francesco De Angelis, Pauline Martinet, Olivier Caumont, Ulrich Löhnert, Leif-Leonard Kliesch CNR-IMAA, Potenza, Italy ([email protected])
10:00–10:15: EMS2016-66 Assimilating all-sky SEVIRI infrared brightness temperatures using the KENDA ensemble data assimilation system Orals Thursday | 09:00 | Thursday Orals Axel Hutt, Jason Otkin, Hendrik Reich, Robin Faulwetter, Andreas Rhodin, Florian Harnisch, Martin Weissmann, Roland Potthast Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach am Main, Germany ([email protected])
10:15–10:30: EMS2016-599 Data Assimilation Experiment of meteo-marine observations from a virtual collaborative fleet Valerio Capecchi, Riccardo Benedetti, Lorenzo Bottai, Gianni Messeri, Andrea Orlandi, Alberto Ortolani, Stefano Romanelli, Luca Rovai National Research Council, Institute of Biometeorology, Florence, Italy ([email protected]), LaMMA Consortium - Environmental Modelling and Monitoring Laboratory, Florence, Italy
ORAL PROGRAMME NWP3 CONTINUES ON THURSDAY, 11:00
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Thursday 73
Thursday, 11:00–13:00 MC2 Spatial Climatology ASI5 Modeling the dynamics of Lecture room: Vulcania 1 coupled atmosphere-wave-ocean processes Convener: Ole Einar Tveito Co-Conveners: Mojca Dolinar; Christoph Frei Lecture room: Oceania AB
Chairperson: Ole Einar Tveito Convener: Sandro Carniel Co-Conveners: Huw Lewis; Joanna Staneva; Alvise 11:00–11:15: EMS2016-582 Benetazzo A reference crop evapotranspiration database for Spain Miquel Tomas-Burguera, Santiago Begueria, Sergio Chairpersons: Sandro Carniel, Joanna Staneva, Huw Vicente-Serrano, Marco Maneta Lewis Estación Experimental de Aula DEI, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (EEAD-CSIC), Zaragoza, 11:00–11:15: EMS2016-564 Spain Air-sea coupling aspects in ECMWF Earth System model 11:15–11:45: EMS2016-679 Jean-Raymond Bidlot Climate Grid - an open source gridding tool for climate ECMWF, Marine Prediction Section, Reading, United monitoring Kingdom ([email protected]) Dan Hollis, Ian Edwards, Mark McCarthy, Mike Kendon, Gareth Dow, Tim Legg, Ian Simpson 11:15–11:30: EMS2016-124 Met Office, Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom UK Environmental Prediction - where atmosphere, sea ([email protected]) and land meet at the convective scale Huw Lewis, Juan Castillo, Joachim Fallmann, David 11:45–12:15: EMS2016-174 Pearson, Alex Arnold, Andrew Saulter, Lucy Bricheno, From single estimates to ensembles: Quantifying Eleanor Blyth, Alberto Martinez de la Torre uncertainties in spatial precipitation analyses over the Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom Alps (solicited) ([email protected]) Christoph Frei, Francesco Isotta Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology, 11:30–11:45: EMS2016-439
MeteoSwiss, Zürich-Airport, Switzerland An operational coupled wave-ocean system for the ([email protected]) Adriatic Sea
Alessandro Coluccelli, Francesco Memmola, Antonio 13:00 12:15–12:30: EMS2016-263 Ricchi, Lorenzo Sangelantoni, Aniello Russo, Sandro – Objective climate classification of Slovenia Carniel, Tiziana Paccagnella, Andrea Valentini Katja Kozjek, Mojca Dolinar, Gregor Skok Università Politecnica delle Marche, Department of Life University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Mathematics and and Environmental Sciences, Via Brecce Bianche, Physics, Ljubljana, Slovenia ([email protected]) 60131 Ancona, Italy
12:30–12:55: 11:45–12:00: EMS2016-42 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions) Modelling a Tropical Like Cyclone in the western Mediterranean sea: a sensitivity study using a coupled atmosphere-ocean-wave approach END OF ORAL PROGRAMME MC2 11:00 | Thursday Orals Antonio Ricchi, Mario Marcello Miglietta, Davide Bonaldo, Francesco Barbariol, Alvise Benetazzo, Francesco M. Falcieri, Aniello Russo, Mauro Sclavo, Sandro Carniel Marche Polytechnic University, Marche Polytechnic University, Department of Life and Environmental Sciences, Piano di Sorrento, Italy ([email protected])
12:00–12:15: EMS2016-29 The Draupner wave: a fresh look and the emerging view Luigi Cavaleri, Francesco Barbariol, Alvise Benetazzo, Luciana Bertotti, Jean-Raymond Bidlot, Peter Janssen, Nils Wedi Italian National Research Council - Institute of Marine Sciences, Venice, Italy
12:15–12:30: 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions)
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 74 Conference Programme – Thursday
12:30–12:45: EMS2016-611 12:00–12:15: EMS2016-542 Development of a Coupled Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Probabilistic forecasting of wind power production Model for the UK losses in cold climates Lucy Bricheno, Juan Castillo, Judith Wolf Jennie P. Söderman, Henier Körnich, Esbjörn Olsson, National Oceanography Centre, Marine Systems Hans Bergström, Anna Sjöblom Modelling, Liverpool, United Kingdom ([email protected]) Department of earth sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden 12:45–13:00: EMS2016-496 ([email protected]) Coupled WAM/COSMO - Application to the Southern North Sea 12:15–12:30: EMS2016-649 Kathrin Wahle, Joanna Staneva, Wolfgang Koch, Improved intraday power forecasts of unmeasured wind Luciana Fenoglio-Marc, Emil Stanev plants with weather predictions and nearby online ([email protected]) power measurements Stephan Vogt, Axel Braun, Scott Otterson, Malte ORAL PROGRAMME ASI5 CONTINUES ON Siefert, Jan Dobschinski THURSDAY, 15:00 Fraunhofer IWES, Kassel, Germany
12:30–13:00: ASI13 Energy Meteorology 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions)
Lecture room: Saturnia ORAL PROGRAMME ASI13 CONTINUES ON THURSDAY, 15:00 Convener: Sven-Erik Gryning Co-Conveners: Ekaterina Batchvarova; Lucien Wald; Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt CE5 Education
Chairperson: Sven-Erik Gryning Lecture room: Vulcania 2
11:00–11:15: EMS2016-35 Convener: Tomas Halenka Very short term wind power forecasting using shore- Co-Convener: Alessandro Chiariello based scanning lidar observations over the Danish North Sea Chairperson: Tomas Halenka Elliot Simon, Michael Courtney, Guillaume Léa DTU Wind Energy ([email protected]) 11:00–11:15: EMS2016-691
Educational programs in atmospheric sciences for 11:15–11:30: EMS2016-171 primary schools in Greece
13:00 The Wind Power Application Research Based on The Panos Giannopoulos, Nicoleta Ziakopoulou – Fusion of Deterministic and Ensemble Prediction Hellenic National Meteorological Service, Athens, Lan Shi, LiNa Xu Greece ([email protected]) China ([email protected]) 11:15–11:30: EMS2016-162 11:30–11:45: EMS2016-377 Using Hydroponics to Teach the Effects of Climate Particle filtering and smoothing within an ultra large Change mesoscale ensemble for estimating wind energy Yukimasa Tsubota, Yumi Hara Jonas Berndt, Charlotte Hoppe, Hendrik Elbern J. F. Oberlin University, Natural Science Divisions, Forschungszentrum Juelich GmbH, Institute for Energy Atmospheric Science, Yokohama-shi, Japan
Orals Thursday | 11:00 | Thursday Orals and Climate Research (IEK-8), Juelich, Germany ([email protected]) ([email protected]), Rhenish Institute for Environmental Research at the University of Cologne 11:30–11:45: EMS2016-68 (RIU), Cologne, Germany Sandscape Felicity Liggins, Ellen Dowell, Jamie Wardley, Claire 11:45–12:00: EMS2016-442 Jamieson Investigating short-term power fluctuations of large Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom offshore wind farms ([email protected]) Daniel Drew, Janet Barlow, Phil Coker, David Brayshaw, Omduth Coceal 11:45–12:00: EMS2016-699 Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, MOOCs as a vehicle for delivering meteorological Reading, UK training Sylvia Knight, Felicity Liggins Met Office, United Kingdom ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Thursday 75
12:00–12:15: EMS2016-539 IWAL-An Interactive Weather Analysis Laboratory NWP2 Numerical aspects and Michael Sprenger, Sebastian Limbach, Elmar physical parametrization Schömer, Heini Wernli ETH Zurich, Atmospheric and Climate Science, Zurich, integration in NWP models Switzerland ([email protected]) Lecture room: Oceania C
12:15–12:30: EMS2016-652 Convener: Daniel Reinert Project-based learning: interactive weather forecast Co-Convener: Guy de Morsier laboratory at the Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest Ádám Leelőssy, Zsuzsanna Dezsö, Tamás Mona, Dynamical Core Development Anna Zsilinszki, Attila Merics Eötvös Loránd University Department of Meteorology, Budapest, Hungary ([email protected]) Young Scientist Award lecture by Giovanni Tumolo 11:30–12:00: EMS2016-305 A p-adaptive approach for high order numerical weather END OF ORAL PROGRAMME CE5 prediction Giovanni Tumolo, Luca Bonaventura, Graziano Giuliani NWP3 Data assimilation and use The Abdus Salam ICTP, Trieste, Italy ([email protected]), of observations in meteorology OGS, Trieste, Italy and oceanography 12:00–12:15: EMS2016-289 Lecture room: Oceania C Sloping steps Eta: Monotonic horizontal diffusion and Gallus-Klemp test Fedor Mesinger, Jorge Gomes, Gustavo Sueiro, Alexander Cress Convener: Dušan Jović, Sin Chan Chou Sarah Dance Co-Convener: Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Belgrade, Serbia ([email protected]), National Institute Chairperson: Alexander Cress for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil 11:00–11:15: EMS2016-365 Bias correction of global irradiance modelled with the 12:15–12:30: EMS2016-415 Weather Research and Forecasting model over Heat flux parameteriztation and entropy production Paraguay Almut Gaßmann Angel Rincon, Juan Gonzalez, Oriol Jorba, Leopoldo IAP, Kühlungsborn, Germany (gassmann@iap- Alvarez, Miguel Frutos, Fernando Pio kborn.de)
Engineering Faculty, National University of Asuncion 13:00
– (FIUNA), Asunción, Paraguay 12:30–12:45: EMS2016-778 ([email protected]) KIAPS next generation global model Young Kwon 11:15–11:30: EMS2016-575 Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems Physically motivated covariance models for two- (KIAPS) dimensional wind fields. , Petra Friederichs, Andreas Hense, Ruediger Hewer 12:45–13:00: Martin Schlather 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions) Meteorological Institute, University Bonn, Bonn
Germany ([email protected]) 11:00 | Thursday Orals ORAL PROGRAMME NWP2 CONTINUES ON THURSDAY, 15:00
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME NWP3; ORAL PROGRAMME OF NWP2 CONTINUES IN THIS ROOM
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 76 Conference Programme – Thursday
Thursday, 15:00–17:00 MC3 Paleoclimatology and ASI4 Coastal meteorology and historical climatology oceanography Lecture room: Oceania C Lecture room: Vulcania 2
Convener: Rudolf Brázdil Convener: Mario Marcello Miglietta Co-Conveners: Ricardo García-Herrera; J. Fidel Co-Conveners: Anna Maria Sempreviva; Manel Grifoll; González-Rouco Silvio Gualdi
Chairperson: Rudolf Brázdil Chairperson: Silvio Gualdi
16:30–16:45: EMS2016-596 15:30–15:45: EMS2016-13 Simulation and inversion of borehole temperature Simulations with the oceanographic model AdriaROMS: profiles in surrogate climates: last millennium LULC sensitivity to the horizontal resolution and sea surface influence on Spatial distribution and surface coupling forcing Camilo Andres Melo-Aguilar, J. Fidel Gonzalez-Rouco, Lidia Bressan, Andrea Valentini, Tiziana Paccagnella, Elena Garcia-Bustamante, Jorge Navarro-Montesinos Andrea Montani, Chiara Marsigli CIEMAT, Dpto. Energías Renovables, Madrid, Spain Regional environmental agency of Emilia-Romagna, Hydro-meteo-climate service (Arpae-SIMC), Bologna, 16:45–17:00: EMS2016-589 Italy ([email protected]) Revisiting East Asia temperature and its associated uncertainty over the last 2k from reconstructions and 15:45–16:00: EMS2016-241 climate simulations Sirocco and Bora, intense air-sea exchanges and heavy Elena García-Bustamante, J. Fidel González-Rouco, orographic precipitation Laura Fernández-Donado, Juerg Luterbacher, Johann Silvio Davolio, Paolo Stocchi Jungclaus ISAC - CNR, Bologna, Italy ([email protected]) CIEMAT, Dpt. of Energy, Madrid, Spain ([email protected]) 16:00–16:15: EMS2016-747 Western Iberia Summer Wind Regime ORAL PROGRAMME MC3 CONTINUES ON Nádia Rijo, Alvaro Semedo, Pedro M. A. Miranda, THURSDAY, 17:30 Daniela C. A. Lima, Rita M. Cardoso, Pedro M. M. Soares Naval Academy - CINAV, Portugal, Instituto Dom Luiz, 17:00
– ASI5 Modeling the dynamics of University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
coupled atmosphere-wave-ocean 15:00 16:15–16:30: EMS2016-646 processes Coastal flooding: coupled model system for the German Bight Lecture room: Vulcania 2 Joanna Staneva, Kathrin Wahle, Wolfgang Koch, Emil Stanev Convener: Sandro Carniel HZG, Institute for Coastal Research, Geesthacht, Co-Conveners: Huw Lewis; Joanna Staneva; Alvise Germany ([email protected]) Benetazzo Orals Thursday | Thursday Orals 16:30–16:45: EMS2016-27 Chairpersons: Huw Lewis, Alvise Benetazzo Numerical simulations of a tornadic supercell in the Mediterranean 15:00–15:15: EMS2016-306 Mario Marcello Miglietta, Jordi Mazon, Richard LES of Interfacial Dynamics in Air-Sea Systems Rotunno Santiago Lopez Castano, Vincenzo Armenio ISAC-CNR, Lecce, Italy ([email protected]) Research Assistant, DICA, University of Trieste, TS, Italy ([email protected]) 16:45–17:00: 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions) 15:15–15:30: EMS2016-397 Wave-Current Interactions in the Southern North Sea: ORAL PROGRAMME ASI4 CONTINUES ON The Impact on Salinity THURSDAY, 17:30 Emil Stanev, Sebastian Grashorn, Julia Schloen Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Institute for Coastal Research, Geesthacht, Germany ([email protected])
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME ASI5; ORAL PROGRAMME OF ASI4 CONTINUES IN THIS ROOM
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Thursday 77
16:30–16:45: EMS2016-221 ASI13 Energy Meteorology Weather Dependent Upscaling Algorithms for European Lecture room: Saturnia Wind Power Bruno U. Schyska, António Couto, Lüder von Bremen, Convener: Sven-Erik Gryning Ana Estanqueiro Co-Conveners: Ekaterina Batchvarova; Lucien Wald; University of Oldenburg – ForWind Center for Wind Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt Energy Research, Oldenburg, Germany([email protected]) Chairperson: Lucien Wald 16:45–17:00: EMS2016-570 Characterizing atmospheric stability and roughness
15:00–15:15: EMS2016-56 lengths for wind resource assessment in complex Changes in Weather in Future Decades terrain , Ralph Burton, James Groves, Alan Blyth, Alan Gadian Ben Crawford, Adrian Matangi, James Griffiths, James Warner, Greg Holland, Cindy Bruyere, James Andreas Christen, Andy Black Done, Jutta Thielen Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, University of Leeds, Earth and Environment, National Reading, United Kingdom, Sea Breeze Power Corp., Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, Leeds, United Vancouver, Canada, Department of Geography, Kingdom ([email protected]) University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada
15:15–15:30: EMS2016-293 ORAL PROGRAMME ASI13 CONTINUES ON An offshore climatology of anomalous wind events THURSDAY, 17:30 Peter Kalverla, Reinder Ronda, Gert-Jan Steeneveld, Bert Holtslag Wageningen University, Meteorology and Air Quality Section, Wageningen, Netherlands ASI14 Meteorological processes, ([email protected]) atmospheric composition and
15:30–15:45: EMS2016-455 pollution, including CAMS related Predictability assessment of climate predictions within activities the context of the New European Wind Atlas project (NEWA) Lecture room: Vulcania 1 Verónica Torralba, Albert Soret, Sergio Lozano, Nicola Cortesi Convener: Charles Chemel Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Co-Conveners: Martin Piringer; Alexander Baklanov;
Spain ([email protected]) Astrid Manders; V.-H. Peuch
15:45–16:00: EMS2016-257 Chairperson: Charles Chemel 17:00 – EMHIRES: European Meteorological derived HIgh resolution RES generation time series for present and 15:00–15:30: EMS2016-771 future scenarios Coastal ozone in sea breeze circulation: episode Iratxe Gonzalez-Aparicio, Andreas Zucker, Fabio analysis by mean of aircraft measurements and Monforti-Ferrario, Thomas Huld, Jake Badger mesoscale modelling in Naples (solicited) Energy Technology Policy Outlook Unit, European Sandro Finardi, Daniele Gasbarra, Giuseppe Calori, Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Alessio D’Allura, Beniamino Gioli, Giuseppe Agrillo, Energy and Transport, Petten, The Netherlands Pantaleone Carlucci, Luca Shindler, Vincenzo Magliulo ARIANET Srl, Milano, Italy 16:00–16:15: EMS2016-563 15:00 | Thursday Orals Investigating continental-scale synchronicity of wind 15:30–15:45: EMS2016-586 power national productions in the EU with different Validation of WRF/Chem Model and Sensitivity of meteorological datasets. Chemical Mechanisms to Ozone Simulation over Fabio Monforti-Ferrario, Thomas Huld, Iratxe Megacity Delhi Gonzalez-Aparicio, Andreas Zucker, Mario Marcello Medhavi Gupta, Manju Mohan Miglietta, Marta Poncela Blanco, Gianluca Fulli Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Renewable Energy Unit, European Commission, Joint Technology Delhi, India Research Centre, Institute for Energy and Transport 15:45–16:00: EMS2016-62 16:15–16:30: EMS2016-28 (EMS YSTA) Study on the Cause of Hazy Weather in Beijing and Its Roughness length for coastal waters from wave Surrounding Areas boundary layer model Rong Zhu Jianting Du, Xiaoli Larsén, Rodolfo Bolaños National Climate Center, China Meteorological Department of Wind Energy, Technical University of Administration, Beijing, China ([email protected]) Denmark, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 78 Conference Programme – Thursday
16:00–16:15: EMS2016-400 15:30–15:45: EMS2016-686 Diurnal cycle and turbulence evaluated by remote A PDF based parameterization of microphysical sensing and numerical weather prediction model during variability in cumulus convective clouds a winter stable period Yefim Kogan Guylaine Canut, Pauline Martinet, Alexandre Paci, NorthWest Research Associates, San Diego, United Tiphaine Sabatier States ([email protected]) CNRM, Météo-France UMR 3589 CNRS, Toulouse, France 15:45–16:00: EMS2016-352 Techniques for Sensitivity Analysis of Spatial Features 16:15–16:30: EMS2016-20 in Forecasts: The Stochastic Kinetic Energy Backscatter PBL height by radiosounding data and the pollution with Scheme PM10 in Sofia valley Caren Marzban, Natalia Hryniw, Robert Tardif, Scott Orlin Gueorguiev, Elena Hristova, Blagorodka Veleva, Sandgathe Maria Kolarova Univ. of Washington, Department of Statistics, Seattle, National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Sofia, WA 98195 USA ([email protected]), Univ. Bulgaria ([email protected]) of Washington, Applied Physics Laboratory, Seattle, WA 98195 USA 16:30–16:45: EMS2016-659 Validation of dispersions models using Cabauw field 16:00–16:15: EMS2016-742 experiments High resolution model simulation of Urban Heat Island Gertie Geertsema, Marko Kaasik for a medium sized Hungarian city KNMI, R&D Weather and Climate Models, De Bilt, András Zénó Gyöngyösi, Gergely Molnár, Tamás Gál Netherlands ([email protected]) Department of Climatology and Landscape Ecology, University of Szeged, Szeged, Hungary 16:45–17:00: EMS2016-494 ([email protected]) Stability classes from operational ceilometers Gabriele Rau, Martin Piringer 16:15–16:30: EMS2016-93 Central Institute for Meteorology & Geodynamics, Accurate numerical solution and analytical Environmental Meteorology, Vienna, Austria approximation for the wind profile over flat terrain ([email protected]) Ulf Janicke, Lutz Janicke Janicke Consulting, Environmental Physics, Überlingen, ORAL PROGRAMME ASI14 CONTINUES ON Germany ([email protected]) THURSDAY, 17:30 END OF ORAL PROGRAMME NWP2; ORAL PROGRAMME MC3 CONTINUES IN THIS ROOM
NWP2 Numerical aspects and 17:00 – physical parametrization NWP4 Probabilistic and ensemble integration in NWP models forecasting at short and medium- Lecture room: Oceania C ranges
Convener: Daniel Reinert Lecture room: Oceania AB Co-Convener: Guy de Morsier Convener: Andrea Montani Chairperson: Guy de Morsier Co-Conveners: Jan Barkmeijer; Fernando Prates
Orals Thursday | 15:00 | Thursday Orals Physical Parameterization Development and Chairperson: Andrea Montani Evaluation 15:00–15:30: EMS2016-769 15:00–15:15: EMS2016-195 The SRNWP-EPS Programme, an overview Small-scale orographic gravity wave drag in stable José A. Garcia-Moya, Francesca Marcucci, Chiara boundary layers and its impacts on synoptic systems Marsigli and near surface meteorology Arpae-SIMC, Bologna, Italy ([email protected]) Aristofanis Tsiringakis, Gert-Jan Steeneveld, Bert Holtslag 15:30–15:45: EMS2016-768 Wageningen University, Meteorology and Air Quality Fog forecasting methods: review and application Section, Wageningen, Netherlands (gert- Mario Papa [email protected]) EUMETNET/COMET-Centro Operativo per la Meteorologia, Rome, Italy 15:15–15:30: EMS2016-680 A parametrization of the vertical overlap of clouds based on wind-shear Francesca Di Giuseppe, Adrian Mark Tompkins ECMWF, Reading, ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Thursday 79
15:45–16:00: EMS2016-562 Spatial temperature calibration of a multi-model ensemble using a NGR approach with local anomalies Irene Schicker, Moritz Lang, Alexander Kann, Yong Wang Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie und Geodynamik - ZAMG, Vienna, Austria ([email protected])
16:00–16:15: EMS2016-193 Temporal Ensemble Post-Processing with Standardized Anomalies Markus Dabernig, Georg J. Mayr, Jakob W. Messner, Achim Zeileis University of Innsbruck, Institute of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences, Innsbruck, Austria ([email protected])
16:15–16:30: EMS2016-427 Constrained genetic algorithms for ensemble prediction model parameter setting Adrian Mark Tompkins ICTP, Earth System Physics, Trieste, Italy ([email protected])
16:30–16:45: EMS2016-261 Improving ECMWF 6-h maximum rain with non-linear methods and instability indices Agostino (Tino) Manzato, Arturo Pucillo ARPA Friuli Venezia Giulia, OSMER, Visco, Italy ([email protected])
16:45–17:00: EMS2016-86 Mesoscale hydrology-oriented verification of different probabilistic precipitation forecasts: highlighting their
complementarity Joseph Bellier, Isabella Zin, Guillaume Bontron, Stanislas Siblot, Matthieu Lafaysse 17:00
LTHE, Université Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble, France –
ORAL PROGRAMME NWP4 CONTINUES ON THURSDAY, 17:30
Orals Thursday | 15:00 | Thursday Orals
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 80 Conference Programme – Thursday
Thursday, 17:30–19:00 MC3 Paleoclimatology and ASI4 Coastal meteorology and historical climatology oceanography Lecture room: Oceania C Lecture room: Vulcania 2
Convener: Rudolf Brázdil Convener: Mario Marcello Miglietta Co-Conveners: Ricardo García-Herrera; J. Fidel Co-Conveners: Anna Maria Sempreviva; Manel Grifoll; González-Rouco Silvio Gualdi
Chairperson: J. Fidel Gonzáles-Rouco Chairperson: Mario Marcello Miglietta
17:30–17:45: EMS2016-114 17:30–17:45: EMS2016-553 European summer hot temperatures events and the On the evaluation of the ability of different Reanalyses atmospheric circulation during the last Millennium in representing Coastal Low-Level Jets M. Carmen Alvarez-Castro, Davide Faranda, Pascal Daniela C. A. Lima, Alvaro Semedo, Pedro M. M. Yiou Soares, Rita M. Cardoso Laboratoire des sciences du climat et de Instituto Dom Luiz, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, l’environnement (LSCE). Université Paris-Saclay, Portugal ([email protected]) LSCE, Gif-sur-Yvette, France (carmen.alvarez- [email protected]) 17:45–18:00: EMS2016-396 The marine atmospheric boundary layer during the 17:45–18:00: EMS2016-76 HyMeX/ASICS-MED campaign: observations and Environmental factors affecting sensitivity of Oak simulations under strong wind conditions (Quercus spp.) ring width chronologies to hydroclimate Guylaine Canut, Pierre Etienne Brilouet, Pierre Durand Petr Dobrovolný, Michal Rybníček, Ulf Büntgen, CNRM, Météo-France UMR 3589 CNRS, Toulouse, Miroslav Trnka, Rudolf Brázdil, Zdeněk Stachoň, Ondřej France Prokop, Tomáš Kolář Masaryk University, Department of Geography, Brno, 18:00–18:15: EMS2016-34 Czech Republic, Global Change Research Institute, Assessing the quality of Synthetic Aperture Radar Czech Academy of Sciences, Brno, Czech Republic (SAR) wind retrieval in coastal zones using multiple Lidars 18:00–18:15: EMS2016-106 Tobias Ahsbahs, Ioanna Karagali, Xiaoli Guo Larsén, Spatio-temporal variability of windstorms in the Czech Merete Badger 19:00
– Lands derived from documentary evidence Wind Energy, Technical University of Denmark (DTU) Rudolf Brázdil, Petr Dobrovolný, Peter Szabó, Ladislava Řezníčková, Oldřich Kotyza, Hubert Valášek, 18:15–18:30: EMS2016-219 Lukáš Dolák, Silvie Suchánková Advected boundary layer rolls over the Baltic Sea Masaryk University, Institute of Geography, Brno, Nina Svensson, Hans Bergström, Erik Sahlée, Erik Czech Republic ([email protected]), Global Change Nilsson, Anna Rutgersson Research Institute CAS, Brno, Czech Republic Department of Earth Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden ([email protected]) 18:15–18:30: EMS2016-143 Main Characteristics of Tornadoes in Estonia and Latvia 18:30–18:45: EMS2016-239 Orals Thursday | 17:30 | Thursday Orals Andres Tarand Role of the phase transition of intraseasonal oscillation Tallinn, Estonia ([email protected]) on the South China Sea summer monsoon onset Xie Shao, Ping Huang, Ronghui Huang 18:30–18:45: EMS2016-391 China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China A reconstruction of the August 1st 1674 thunderstorms ([email protected]) over Holland Gerard van der Schrier, Rob Groenland END OF ORAL PROGRAMME ASI4 Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Netherlands
18:45–19:00: EMS2016-249 A comparison of the 2009 and 2015-16 flooding in Ireland and its historical context Kieran Hickey Ireland ([email protected])
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME MC3
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Thursday 81
ASI13 Energy Meteorology ASI14 Meteorological processes, Lecture room: Saturnia atmospheric composition and pollution, including CAMS related Convener: Sven-Erik Gryning Co-Conveners: Ekaterina Batchvarova; Lucien Wald; activities Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt Lecture room: Vulcania 1
Chairperson: Ekaterina Batchvarova Convener: Charles Chemel Co-Conveners: Martin Piringer; Alexander Baklanov; 17:30–17:45: EMS2016-506 Astrid Manders; V.-H. Peuch Wind farm efficiency assessed by WRF with a statistical-dynamical approach Chairperson: Vincent-Henri Peuch , Jake Badger, Andrea N. Patrick J. H. Volker Hahmann 17:30–17:45: EMS2016-381 Danish Technical University, Windenergy, Roskilde, The CAMS radiation service in a nutshell Denmark ([email protected]) Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt, Antti Arola, Niels Killius, Mireille Lefevre, Laurent Saboret, William 17:45–18:00: EMS2016-398 Wandji, Lucien Wald, Etienne Wey A hybrid model for the wind profile (direction and speed) DLR, German Remote Sensing Data Center, for the whole boundary layer Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany (marion.schroedter- Sven-Erik Gryning, Ekaterina Batchvarova [email protected]) Technical University of Denmark, Wind Energy Departmemt, Roskilde, Denmark ([email protected]) 17:45–18:00: EMS2016-159 A case study of the June 2013 Biomass-Burning Haze 18:00–18:15: EMS2016-483 event using WRF-Chem Estimating wind speeds at wind turbines with ARMAX Yaasiin Oozeer, Andy Chan, Jun Wang, Santo Salinas, models using Lidar measurements Ooi Maggie Chel Gee, Choong Wee Kang Ashim Giyanani, Wim Bieerbooms, Gerard van Bussel Faculty of Engineering, University of Nottingham Delft University of Technology, Wind Energy Research Malaysia Campus, Semenyih, Selangor, Malaysia Group, Faculty of Aerospace Engineering, Delft, Netherlands ([email protected]) 18:00–18:15: EMS2016-524 Direct radiative feedback due to biogenic secondary 18:15–18:30: EMS2016-651 organic aerosol estimated from boreal forest site Determination of wind velocity components and its observations characteristics in the wake of a full scale wind turbine Heikki Lihavainen, Eija Asmi, Veijo Aaltonen, Ulla
using short-range ground-based synchronized Makkonen, Veli-Matti Kerminen 19:00
– WindScanners Finnish Meteorological Inst., Research & Development, Hasan Yazicioglu, Nikolas Angelou, Torben Mikkelsen Helsinki, Finland ([email protected]) Danish Technical University, Wind Energy, Roskilde, Denmark ([email protected]) 18:15–18:30: EMS2016-571 Modelling of an extreme dust event in the Eastern 18:30–18:45: EMS2016-522 Mediterranean with ICON-ART - Impact on local Investigation of the flow in complex terrain with regard circulation systems in the Dead-Sea region to wind-energy research using the small remotely Philipp Gasch, Daniel Rieger, Carolin Walter, Bernhard piloted aircraft MASC Vogel
Alexander Rautenberg, Jan Anger, Christoph Schulz, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, 17:30 | Thursday Orals Jens Bange Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Zentrum für Angewandte Geowissenschaften, Germany, [email protected] Universität Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany 18:30–18:45: EMS2016-286 18:45–19:00: EMS2016-657 Observation of volcanic aerosol in the stratosphere over Noise levels and environmental impact assesments: Western Siberia effect of different Weibull-fit parameters. Alexander Cheremisin, Valery Marichev, Pavel Gertie Geertsema Novikov KNMI, R&D Weather and Climate Models, De Bilt, Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk, Russian Netherlands ([email protected]) ([email protected]), Krasnoyarsk Railway Institute, Krasnoyarsk, Russia ([email protected]) END OF ORAL PROGRAMME ASI13 18:45–19:00: EMS2016-685 Modelling and assessment of particulate matter at rural background stations in Europe
Goran Gašparac, Amela Jeričević
Geophysical and Ecological Modeling Ltd, Zagreb,
Croatia
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME ASI14
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 82 Conference Programme – Thursday
NWP4 Probabilistic and ensemble forecasting at short and medium- ranges Lecture room: Oceania AB
Convener: Andrea Montani Co-Conveners: Jan Barkmeijer; Fernando Prates
Chairperson: Fernando Prates
17:30–18:00: EMS2016-605 GRAPES-REPS Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction System: methodology and evaluation Jing Chen, Hanbin Zhang, Xiaoli Li, Yinglin Li, Li Gao, Yuanzhe Wang, Guo Deng ([email protected]), Numerical Weather Prediction Center, CMA
18:00–18:15: EMS2016-668 The global ICON Ensemble at DWD Michael Denhard, Cristina Primo, Felix Fundel, Andreas Rhodin, Ana Fernandez del Rio, Harald Anlauf, Alexander Cress, Michael Buchold, Roland Potthast Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany ([email protected])
18:15–18:30: EMS2016-380 Use of TIGGE-LAM ensemble datasets for the prediction of high-impact weather events Andrea Montani, Chiara Marsigli, Tiziana Paccagnella Arpae-SIMC, HydroMeteoClimate Service of Emilia- Romagna Region, Bologna, Italy ([email protected])
19:00
– 18:30–18:45: EMS2016-248 Large scale skill of the Eta against its driver ECMWF 32-day ensemble Katarina Veljovic, Fedor Mesinger University of Belgrade, Faculty of Physics, Institute of Meteorology, Serbia ([email protected])
18:45–19:00: EMS2016-151 gSREPS: AEMET New Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction System. First objective verification Orals Thursday | 17:30 | Thursday Orals Jose A. Garcia-Moya, Alfons Callado, Pau Escriba, Carlos Santos, Marc Compte, Antonio Manzano, Alberto Martin, Jesus Rodriguez Spanish Agency of Meteorology, AEMET, Madrid, Spain
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME NWP4
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Thursday 83
Posters Thursday, 14:00–14:55
H7: EMS2016-521 MC2 Spatial Climatology Temporal and spatial variability of air temperature inversions over Europe based on ERA-Interim Convener: Ole Einar Tveito reanalysis Co-Conveners: Mojca Dolinar, Christoph Frei Angelika Palarz Poster area: Hall Poland ([email protected]) 1-minute espressi-talks: 12:30, Vulcania 1 H8: EMS2016-735 Chairpersons: Mojca Dolinar, Christoph Frei and Ole Evaluation of gridding procedures for temperature over Einar Tveito Southern Africa Kai-Uwe Eiselt, Jens O. Riede, Stefan Krähenmann, Frank Kaspar H1: EMS2016-300 Deutscher Wetterdienst, National Climate Monitoring, High-resolution analysis of 1 day extreme precipitation Offenbach, Germany ([email protected]) in a wet area centred over eastern Liguria Andrea Bertolini, Michele Brunetti, Maurizio Maugeri Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, CNR, H9: EMS2016-671 Bologna, Italy Monthly gridded dataset for sunshine duration over Slovenia Mojca Dolinar H2: EMS2016-177 Slovenian Environment Agency, Climatology section, High resolution daily gridded precipitation dataset for Ljubljana, Slovenia ([email protected]) Spain Roberto Serrano-Notivoli, Santiago Beguería, Miguel Ángel Saz, José María Cuadrat, Luis Alberto Longares, H10: EMS2016-363 Martín de Luis Assessment of spatial variation of extreme wind speeds Estación Experimental de Aula Dei, Consejo Superior Mikko Laapas, Ari Venäläinen, Pentti Pirinen, Matti de Investigaciones Científicas (EEAD-CSIC), Horttanainen, Reijo Hyvönen, Ilari Lehtonen, Päivi Zaragoza., Zaragoza, Geography and Regional Junila, Heli Peltola Planning, Zaragoza, Spain ([email protected]) Finnish Meteorological Institute, Finland ([email protected]) H3: EMS2016-215 Evolution of the AURELHY method for spatial analysis H11: EMS2016-332 of precipitation and temperature climatological fields A Multi-Purpose Multi-Site Stochastic Weather over France. Generator
Pierre Lassègues, Anne-Laure Gibelin, Claire Martin Dubrovsky, Radan Huth 14:55 Canellas, Pascal Simon Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Praha, Czechia – Météo-France, DCSC, Toulouse, France ([email protected]), Global Change Research Institute, ([email protected]) Czech Academy of Sciences, Brno, Czechia
H4: EMS2016-235 END OF POSTER PROGRAMME MC2 Daily and climatological fields of precipitation and temperature over the western Alps Pierre Lasségues, Anne-Laure Gibelin Météo-France, DCSC, Toulouse, France ([email protected])
14:00 | Thursday Posters
H5: EMS2016-544
New 1981-2010 climatological normal and comparison
to previous 1961-1990 and 1971-2000 normals for
temperature, precipitation and humidity in Croatia
Irena Nimac, Melita Perčec Tadić
Meteorological and hydrological service of Croatia,
Zagreb, Croatia ([email protected])
H6: EMS2016-457 Spatial analyses of the air temperature and thermal indices in the Tatra Mountains. Katarína Mikulová, Elwira Żmudzka, Pavol Nejedlík Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Bratislava, Slovakia
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 84 Conference Programme – Thursday
MC3 Paleoclimatology and SE4 From weather and climate historical climatology predictions to impact forecasts
Convener: Rudolf Brázdil Convener: Silvio Gualdi Co-Conveners: Ricardo García-Herrera, J. Fidel Co-Convener: Swadhin Behera González-Rouco Poster area: Hall Poster area: Hall 1-minute espressi-talks: 09:00, Oceania AB
Chairperson: Rudolf Brázdil H37: EMS2016-200 Long-lead station-scale prediction of hydrological H12: EMS2016-32 (EMS YSTA) droughts in South Korea based on bivariate pattern- Hydrometeorological extremes and their impacts in the based downscaling Jihlava region (Czech Republic) in the 1651-1880 Soo-Jin Sohn, Chi-Yung Tam period APEC Climate Center, Climate Research Department, Lukáš Dolák, Rudolf Brázdil, Katerina Chroma, Hubert Busan, Korea, Republic Of ([email protected]) Valášek, Monika Belinová, Ladislava Řezníčková Masaryk University, Institute of Geography, Brno, H38: EMS2016-202 Czech Republic ([email protected]), Global Change Predictability of the East Asian Winter Monsoon in Research Institute CAS, Brno, Czech Republic APCC Multi-Model Ensemble Forecast System Sun-Hee Shin H13: EMS2016-240 APEC Climate Center, Busan, Korea, Republic Of Climatic effects and impacts of the 1815 Tambora ([email protected]) eruption in the Czech Lands Rudolf Brázdil, Ladislava Řezníčková, Hubert Valášek, H39: EMS2016-341 Lukáš Dolák, Oldřich Kotyza The effect of dynamical downscaling with GCM bias Department of Geography, Masaryk University, Brno, corrections on simulated climate over East Asia Czech Republic ([email protected]), Global Change Yoo-Bin Yhang, Chang-Mook Lim Research Institute, Czech Academy of Sciences, Brno, APEC climate center, Busan, Korea, Republic Of Czech Republic ([email protected])
H14: EMS2016-515 H40: EMS2016-382 Documentary series of Tiber floods in Rome: 2000 Analysing the hydrological impacts of climate change at
years of interactions between the town and the river. a small catchment scale A focus on the LIA period. Anna Kis, János Adolf Szabó, Rita Pongrácz, Judit
14:55 Silvia Enzi, Mirka Sghedoni Bartholy – KLEIO’ Ass., Padova, Italy ([email protected]) Eötvös Loránd University, Department of Meteorology, Budapest, Hungary ([email protected]) H15: EMS2016-690 A simple and cost-effective approach for assessing the H41: EMS2016-452 uncertainties in gridded data Tailored seasonal climate predictions for wind energy Juha Aalto, Pentti Pirinen, Kirsti Jylhä users Finnish Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 503, FI-00101 Verónica Torralba, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Isadora ([email protected]), Department of Geosciences and Christel, Llorenç Lledó, Nube González-Reviriego, Geography, University of Helsinki, P.O. Box 64, Gustaf Albert Soret Hällströmin katu 2a, 00014 Helsinki, Finland Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona,
Posters Thursday | 14:00 | Thursday Posters Spain ([email protected]) END OF POSTER PROGRAMME MC3 H42: EMS2016-597 Exposure to climate change hazards: A challenge in a risk analysis framework Maddalen Mendizabal, Benat Abajo, José Martínez, Efren Feliu, Santiago Gaztelumendi Meteorology Area, Energy and Environment Division, TECNALIA R&I, Basque Country, Spain
END OF POSTER PROGRAMME SE4
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Thursday 85
ASI4 Coastal meteorology and ASI5 Modeling the dynamics of oceanography coupled atmosphere-wave-ocean processes Convener: Mario Marcello Miglietta Co-Conveners: Anna Maria Sempreviva, Manel Grifoll, Convener: Sandro Carniel Silvio Gualdi Co-Conveners: Huw Lewis, Joanna Staneva, Alvise Poster area: Gallery Benetazzo 1-minute espressi-talks: 16:45, Vulcania 2 Poster area: Gallery 1-minute espressi-talks: 12:15, Oceania AB Chairperson: Mario Marcello Miglietta
Chairpersons: Joanna Staneva, Alvise Benetazzo G2: EMS2016-250 Severe sea-effect snowfall on Finnish coasts G6: EMS2016-552 Taru Olsson, Anna Luomaranta, Matti Kämäräinen, Effect of the wave-induced forcing on the North Sea Pauli Jokinen, Terhi Laurila, Kirsti Jylhä NEMO during extreme storms Finnish Meteorological Institute, Climate Service , Victor Alari, Øyvind Breivik, Jean- Centre, Helsinki, Finland Joanna Staneva Raymond Bidlot, Kristian Mogensen HZG, Institute for Coastal Research, Geesthacht, G3: EMS2016-351 Germany ([email protected]) Effects of tidal flat and urbanization on surface meteorological fields in a major coastal city of Korea G7: EMS2016-152 Ju-Hee Jeong, Yoo-Keun Kim, Zang-Ho Shon Teleconnections and extreme ocean states in the North Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Pusan National Atlantic using the EC-Earth and WaveWatchIII models University, Busan, Korea, Republic Of , Sarah Gallagher, Colm Clancy, ([email protected]) Emily Gleeson Frederic Dias Met Éireann, Glasnevin Hill, Dublin D09 Y921, Ireland G5: EMS2016-631 ([email protected]) Sea Surface temperature influences on the summer coast parallel winds offthe west coast of Iberia G8: EMS2016-448 Nádia Rijo, Alvaro Semedo, Pedro M. A. Miranda, Modeling turbulent heat fluxes during an extreme Bora Pedro M. M. Soares, Rita M. Cardoso event in the Adriatic using atmosphere-ocean coupling Naval Academy - CINAV,Lisbon, Portugal, Instituto Matjaž Ličer, Peter Smerkol, Anja Fettich, Michalis Dom Luiz, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal Ravdas, Alexandros Papapostolou, Anneta Mantziafou, Benedikt Strajnar, Jure Cedilnik, Maja Jeromel, Jure END OF POSTER PROGRAMME ASI4 14:55 Jerman, Sašo Petan, Alvise Benetazzo, Sandro Carniel, – Vlado Malačič, Sarantis Sofianos Marine Biology Station Piran, Slovenia
G9: EMS2016-637 A sensitivity study using the WRF model of a flash flood
event occurred over southern Italy
, Vincenzo Mazzarella, Vincenzo 14:00 | Thursday Antonio Ricchi Capozzi, Guido Cioni, Ida Maiello, Giorgio Budillon,
Rossella Ferretti, Aniello Russo, Sandro Carniel
Marche Polytechnic University, Marche Polytechnic
Posters University, Department of Life and Environmental
Sciences, Ancona , Italy ([email protected])
G10: EMS2016-725 Wind Sea and Swell Waves along Eastern Boundary Currents Alvaro Semedo, Pedro Soares, Gil Lemos Escola Naval-CINAV, Lisbon, Portugal, Instituto Dom Luiz, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
G11: EMS2016-750 Investigating extreme events using the Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Wave Sediment Transport Modeling System (COAWST). John C. Warner, Francesco Barbariol, Alvise Benetazzo, Francesco M. Falcieri, Jeffrey List, Maria Liste, Mario Marcello Miglietta, William C. Schwab, Antonio Ricchi, Aniello Russo, Ilgar Sakaf, Mauro Sclavo, Sandro Carniel Univ. Politecnica delle Marche, Ancona, Italy
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 86 Conference Programme – Thursday
G12: EMS2016-780 G24: EMS2016-538 Future Wave Power Projections in the North Atlantic Evaluating regional change in performance of several Sub-Basin from a Single-Model, Single-Forcing and databases in Arabic Peninsula Single-Scenario Ensemble Mathilde Marchand, Nasser Al-Azri, Armel Ombe- Gil Lemos, Arno Behrens, Mikhail Dobrynin, Pedro M. Ndeffotsing, Etienne Wey, Lucien Wald A. Miranda, Alvaro Semedo, Joanna Staneva Transvalor, France Instituto Dom Luiz, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, ([email protected]) Portugal, Escola Naval-CINAV, Lisbon, Portugal ([email protected]) G25: EMS2016-392 Validation of simple Solar Radiation models for some END OF POSTER PROGRAMME ASI5 sites in Bulgaria Vanya Maneva, Dimiter Atanasov, Nadya Neykova, Anton Petrov ASI13 Energy Meteorology Bulgaria ([email protected])
G26: EMS2016-179 Convener: Sven-Erik Gryning Automatic cloud type classification based on the Co-Conveners: Ekaterina Batchvarova, Lucien Wald, combined used of a sky camera and a ceilometer Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt Javier Huertas-Tato, Javier Rodriguez-Benitez, Clara Poster area: Gallery Arbizu-Barrena, Ricardo Aler-Mur, Ines Galvan-Leon, 1-minute espressi-talks: 12:30, Saturnia David Pozo-Vazquez MATRAS Res. Group, Department of Physic, University Chairperson: Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt of Jaén, 23071, Jaén, Spain ([email protected])
G20: EMS2016-446 G27: EMS2016-128 Solar power forecasting: application of the NMMB/BSC- Different behaviour of short-wave bands of solar CTM on-line chemical weather prediction model in radiation in relation to photosynthetically active radiation central Europe in dependence on weather and solar elevation angle Albert Soret, Sara Basart, Daniel Ortega, Matthias Piot Marie Opálková, Martin Navrátil, Vladimír Špunda Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain Department of Physics, Faculty of Science, University of ([email protected]) Ostrava, Ostrava, Czech Republic ([email protected]) G21: EMS2016-212 Predictability of outlier forecast error using TIGGE G28: EMS2016-423 ensemble forecasts Remote sensing for wind and solar resource Fumichika Uno, Hideaki Ohtake, Takashi Oozaki, assessment in port area in South Italy
14:55 Yoshinori Yamada Rosamaria Calaudi, Teresa Lo Feudo, Claudia – National Institute of Advanced Industrical Science and Roberta Calidonna, Anna Maria Sempreviva Technology, Research Center for Photovoltaics, Japan Institute of Atmospheric Science and Climate, C.N.R., ([email protected]) Lamezia Terme (CZ), Italy
G22: EMS2016-184 G29: EMS2016-369 Cloud nowcasting based on the combined use of MSG A spatial data infrastructure dedicated to the cloud estimates and the WRF NWP model. interoperable exchange of meteorological Clara Arbizu-Barrena, Jose Antonio Ruiz-Arias, measurements in renewable energies Samuel Quesada-Ruiz, Javier Rodriguez-Benitez, Lionel Menard, Philippe Blanc, Benoit Gschwind, Joaquin Tovar-Pescador, Francisco Santos-Alamillos, Lucien Wald
Posters Thursday | 14:00 | Thursday Posters David Pozo-Vazquez MINES ParisTech - PSL Research University, Sophia MATRAS Group., Physics Department, University of Antipolis cedex, France (lucien.wald@mines- Jaen, Spain. Spain ([email protected]) paristech.fr)
G23: EMS2016-339 G30: EMS2016-518 Testing several models describing the change in Optimization of WRF Forecasts for Renewable Energy surface solar irradiance with solar zenith angle in cloud- Applications in Italy free skies Carmen Köhler, Fabrizio Ruffini Benoit Gschwind, Zhipeng Qu, Philippe Blanc, Lucien i-EM S.r.l., Livorno, Italy ([email protected]) Wald MINES ParisTech - PSL Research University, Sophia G31: EMS2016-52 Antipolis cedex, France (lucien.wald@mines- Analysis and probabilistic forecast of wind power paristech.fr) generation and ramp in Japan based on multi-model ensembles Masamichi Ohba, Daisuke Nohara, Shinji Kadokura Central research institute of electric power industry, Environmental Science Research Laboratory, Abiko, Japan ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Thursday 87
G32: EMS2016-721 The impacts of long term climate change on wind ASI14 Meteorological processes, energy resources in Hungary atmospheric composition and Csilla Peline Nemeth, Judit Bartholy, Rita Pongracz, Kornelia Radics pollution, including CAMS related Geoinformation Service of HDF, Budapest, Hungary activities ([email protected])
G33: EMS2016-336 Convener: Charles Chemel Comparing monthly statistical distributions of wind Co-Conveners: Martin Piringer, Alexander Baklanov, speed measured at wind towers and estimated from Astrid Manders, V.-H. Peuch ERA-Interim Poster area: Gallery Colin Harpham, Alberto Troccoli, Philip Jones, Thierry 1-minute espressi-talks: 14:00, Vulcania 1 Ranchin, Lucien Wald MINES ParisTech - PSL Research University, Sophia Chairperson: Martin Piringer Antipolis cedex, France (lucien.wald@mines- paristech.fr) G38: EMS2016-11 (EMS YSTA) The impact of atmospheric blocking in Western Siberia G35: EMS2016-541 on the methane emissions in summer Wind measurements in tall masts in Estonia Olga Antokhina, Pavel Antokhin, Mikhail Arshinov, Marko Kaasik, Steffen Noe Boris Belan, Denis Davidov, Alexandr Fofonov Institute of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences, V.E. Zuev Institute of Atmospheric Optics, Siberian Estonian University of Life Sciences, Estonia Branch of Russian Academy of Science (IAO SB RAS), ([email protected]) Tomsk, Russia ([email protected])
G36: EMS2016-451 G39: EMS2016-129 Corrosion in offshore wind energy: assessment of Influence of atmospheric pollution on spectral marine aerosol concentration using the BSC-CALIOPE composition of incident solar radiation air quality modelling system in Europe Eva Gavelčíková, Marie Opálková, Martin Navrátil, Albert Soret, Daniel Ortega, María Teresa Pay, Daniel Vladimír Špunda Cabezón, Llorenç Lledó Department of Physics, Faculty of Science, University of Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain Ostrava, Ostrava ([email protected]) ([email protected]) G40: EMS2016-198
G37: EMS2016-137 Quantitative recognition of PLAM index on impacts of Standard L Distribution Accumulative Function Table emissions and meteorological conditions to the "93
Wanli Wang Beijing Blue" 14:55 Wuhan University,School of Resource and Li Duo – Environmental Science,Wuhan,China,430079, National Climate Center Research Centre of climate and atmospheric environment, Wuhan, China G41: EMS2016-673 ([email protected]) Spatial climatology of air pollution in Slovenia using data fusion END OF POSTER PROGRAMME ASI13 Mojca Dolinar, Marko Rus Slovenian Environment Agency, Climatology section, Ljubljana, Slovenia ([email protected])
G42: EMS2016-696 14:00 | Thursday Posters Consistency between the global and regional modeling components of Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service Eleni Katragkou, Dimitrios Akritidis, Serafim Kontos, Prodromos Zanis, Dimitrios Melas, Henk Eskes Department of Meteorology and Climatology, School of Geology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki 54124, Greece ([email protected])
G43: EMS2016-438 Dispersion modelling over complex terrain in the Bolzano basin in the Alps: comparison of CALPUFF results with diagnostic and prognostic input fields. Elena Tomasi, Lorenzo Giovannini, Marco Falocchi, Gianluca Antonacci, Dino Zardi Atmospheric Physics Group, Department of Civil, Environmental and Mechanical Engineering, University of Trento, Trento, Italy ([email protected]), National Consortium of Universities for Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Physics (CINFAI), Rome, Italy
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 88 Conference Programme – Thursday
G44: EMS2016-480 Validation of gas phase chemistry modules used in NWP2 Numerical aspects and WRF/chem model on domain including Europe physical parametrization Jan Karlicky, Peter Huszar, Tomas Halenka Department of Atmospheric Physics, Charles University integration in NWP models in Prague, Czech Republic ([email protected]) Convener: Daniel Reinert G45: EMS2016-537 Co-Convener: Guy de Morsier Detailed Contributions of Foreign and Domestic Poster area: Hall Emissions to Particulate Matter over South Korea 1-minute espressi-talks: 12:45, Oceania C Forecasted with WRF and UM models Eunhye Kim, Soontae Kim, Hyun Cheol Kim, Byeong Chairperson: Daniel Reinert Uk Kim, Jeonghoon Cho Ajou University, Korea, Republic Of
([email protected]) H53: EMS2016-511 The ECMWF OpenIFS model and reduced numerical precision in weather forecasting G46: EMS2016-501 Glenn Carver, Filip Váňa, Simon Lang, Martin Monitoring of atmospheric trace gases in Budapest by Leutbecher, Deborah Salmond, Peter Dueben, Tim mobile measurements Palmer Róbert Mészáros, Ádám Leelőssy, Péter Csapó, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Balázs Boda, Attila Kovács, István Lagzi Forecasts (ECMWF), Reading, UK Department of Meteorology, Eotvos Lorand University, Budapest, Hungary ([email protected]) H54: EMS2016-670 Results from the recent Dynamical Core Model G47: EMS2016-572 Intercomparison Project (DCMIP2016) for ICON Desert dust over a Caribbean island with North West Daniel Reinert, Marco Giorgetta, Günther Zängl Atlantic air masses Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach am Main, Germany Jack Molinié, Lovely Euphrasie-Clotilde, Tony ([email protected]) Feuillard, Francenor Brute LaRGE, Université des Antilles, Pointe-A-Pitre,
Guadeloupe ([email protected]) H55: EMS2016-230 Evaluation of the influence of non-hydrostatic processes in development of tropical convection using Global Eta END OF POSTER PROGRAMME ASI14 Framework(GEF) Dragan Latinovic, Sin Chan Chou, Miodrag Rancic
CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista,SP, Brazil CE6 Research and services in ([email protected]) 14:55 – atmospheric sciences supporting H56: EMS2016-622 science education in schools and Benefits of convection-permitting simulations in the non- the general public hydrostatic regional climate model REMO-nh Lennart Marien, Thomas Raub, Kevin Sieck, Lars Buntemeyer, Daniela Jacob Convener: Heikki Tuomenvirta Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Hamburg, Poster area: Hall Germany
H51: EMS2016-453 H57: EMS2016-307 Simulations of deep convection as a testbed for two
Posters Thursday | 14:00 | Thursday Posters Climate Atlas of Slovakia Katarína Mikulová, Pavel Šťastný, Pavol Nejedlík, fine-scale models Peter Kajaba, Maroš Turňa Didier Ricard, Antoine Verrelle Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Bratislava, CNRM (Météo-France, CNRS), CNRM, Toulouse, Slovakia France ([email protected])
END OF POSTER PROGRAMME CE6 H58: EMS2016-565 Ensemble of different planetary boundary layer schemes in WRF model for wind speed and direction prediction over Apulia region Andrea Tateo, Francesca Fedele, Menegotto Micaela, Roberto Bellotti Dipartimento Interateneo di Fisica, Università degli Studi di Bari A. Moro, Bari, Italy, Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare, Sezione di Bari, Bari, Italy
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Thursday 89
H59: EMS2016-648 Simulating Airflow over Small Water Surfaces with NWP3 Data assimilation and use WRF-OpenFOAM Coupled Model in the Upper East of observations in meteorology Region of Ghana Ali Abbasi, Frank Ohene Annor, Nick van de Giesen, and oceanography Camille le Coz Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Water Convener: Alexander Cress Resources Section, Delft University of Technology, Co-Convener: Sarah Dance Delft, Netherlands Poster area: Hall 1-minute espressi-talks: 09:00, Oceania C H60: EMS2016-424 Specification of urban canopy parameters for better Chairperson: Alexander Cress understanding the thermal structure in case of Szeged, Hungary H63: EMS2016-169 Gergely Molnár, András Zénó Gyöngyösi, Tamás Gál Using mobile observations in road weather forecasting Department of Climatology and Landscape Ecology, Virve Karsisto, Pertti Nurmi University of Szeged, Szeged, Hungary Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland ([email protected]) ([email protected])
H61: EMS2016-444 H65: EMS2016-466 Impacts of Terminal Velocity and Drop Size Distribution The evaluation of soil moisture analyses at KMA using Shape on the Numerical Simulation of Precipitation in situ observations around Korean peninsula Donghai Wang Hae-Mi Noh, Mee-Ja Kim, SeiYoung Park, Sangwon LaSW, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Joo Beijing, China ([email protected]) Numerical Data Application Division, Numerical Modeling Bureau, Korea, Republic Of H62: EMS2016-610 Verification of Rapid Update Cycle Prediction system H66: EMS2016-486 Situation Field and Precipitation Forecasts Using Lightning data assimilation to improve the RAMS short- Station Datasets over Northwest China term precipitation forecast Xianyu Yang, Jun Wen, Yaqiong Lu, Jianglin Li Stefano Federico, Giulia Panegrossi, Marco Petracca, Cold and Arid Environmental and Engineering Research Stefano Dietrich Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou ISAC-CNR, Rome, Italy ([email protected]) 730000, China ([email protected])
H68: EMS2016-513 END OF POSTER PROGRAMME NWP2 Assimilation of hyperspectral IR radiances over land 14:55
using a principal components based representation of – surface emissivity Kristin Raykova, Christina Köpken-Watts, Andreas Rhodin, Olaf Stiller, Anne Walter, Robin Faulwetter, Roland Potthast Deutscher Wetterdienst, Meteorological Analysis and Modelling, Offenbach, Germany ([email protected])
END OF POSTER PROGRAMME NWP3
14:00 | Thursday Posters
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 90 Conference Programme – Thursday
H71: EMS2016-245 NWP4 Probabilistic and ensemble Probabilistic Wind Speed Predictions with an Analog forecasting at short and medium- Ensemble Iris Odak Plenkovic, Luca Delle Monache, Kristian ranges Horvath, Mario Hrastinski, Alica Bajic Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Zagreb, Convener: Andrea Montani Croatia Co-Conveners: Jan Barkmeijer, Fernando Prates Poster area: Hall H72: EMS2016-412 1-minute espressi-talks: 14:00, Oceania AB Calibrated COSMO-DE-EPS wind forecasts for energy application Chairperson: Jan Barkmeijer Tobias Heppelmann, Zied Ben Bouallegue, Susanne Theis Deutscher Wetterdienst, Research and Development,
H69: EMS2016-98 Offenbach, Germany ([email protected]) Calibration of probabilistic forecast of temperature in Pyeongchang area using statistical postprocessing methods END OF POSTER PROGRAMME NWP4 Chansoo Kim, Keunhee Han Kongju National University, Applied Mathematics, Gongju, Korea, Republic Of ([email protected])
H70: EMS2016-173 Verification of ensemble precipitation forecasts for
hydrological modelling in the Czech Republic
Martin Vokoun Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Department
of Water Resources and Environmental Modeling,
Prague, Czech Republic ([email protected])
14:55 – Posters Thursday | 14:00 | Thursday Posters
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Friday 91
Friday, 16 September 2016 Room Saturnia Vulcania 1 Oceania AB Oceania C Vulcania 2 Room ASI10: Interfacing OBS2: High-
hydrological and UC1: Climate AM6/NWP5: resolution meteorological change detection, 10:15: 1-min Subseasonal-to- precipitation 10:30 models in 10:30 assessment of espressi-talks; seasonal (s2s) monitoring for forecasting system trends, variability NWP7-AM5/UC3 predictions and impact assessment 10:15: 1-min 09:00 – and extremes societal applications and climate-related 09:00 – espressi-talks: applications ASI11 Coffee Break & Poster Session HALL:
11:30 GALLERY: 11:30
– Poster boards H1-H75 I – Poster boards G1-G52 UC1 I ASI10, ASI11
10:30 AM5/UC3, AM6/NWP5 I 10:30 OBS2 NWP7 NWP7: Mesoscale Verification Inter- 13:00 ASI11: Urban 13:00 – UC1 Comparison over AM6/NWP5 OBS2 – climate Complex Terrain 11:30 (MesoVICT) 11:30 13:00 Lunch Break 13:00
16:00 AM5/UC3: Climate 16:00 UC1 AM6/NWP5 OBS2 ASI11 Forecast Verification 14:00 – 14:00 –
16:15 Small reception, announcement poster award winner 2016, closing: Foyer Hall 16:15
In the detailed daily programme (on pages 92 to 104) sessions are listed chronologically, according to the time for the oral presentations (09:00–10:30, 11:30–13:00, and 14:00–16:00). Within each time block sessions are listed in the following order: ECAC (UC), AM, ASI, NWP, OBS.
Poster display time Thursday to Friday Authors are kindly asked to put up their posters as soon as possible within the allocated display time in order to enable the conference participants to view their posters at any time within the display days, and to take them down on Friday between 16:30–17:00. Posters that have not been removed within this dismantling time will be removed and disposed of.
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 92 Conference Programme – Friday
Friday, 09:00–10:30 UC1 Climate change detection, AM6/NWP5 Subseasonal-to- assessment of trends, variability seasonal (s2s) predictions and and extremes societal applications Lecture room: Saturnia Lecture room: Oceania AB
Convener: Albert M.G. Klein Tank Convener: Ángel G. Muñoz Co-Conveners: Monika Lakatos; Martine Rebetez Co-Conveners: Laura Ferranti; Joanne Robbins; Andrew W. Robertson; Adrian Tompkins; Frederic Vitart Heat waves Chairperson: Angel G Munoz 09:00–09:15: EMS2016-421 Comparison of various definitions of heat and cold 09:00–09:30: waves in Europe Modes, predictability and skill Peter Bissolli, Hermann Mächel, Stefan Rösner, Maya Adrian Mark Tompkins Körber, Andrea Kreis ICTP, Earth System Physics, Trieste, Italy Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany ([email protected]) ([email protected]) 09:30–09:45: EMS2016-82 09:15–09:30: EMS2016-84 Structure and Evolution Characteristics of Atmospheric Heat waves characterization over France in present and Intraseasonal Oscillation during Wet and Dry summers future climate over Yangtze River Basin in China Jean-Michel Soubeyroux, Gaelle Ouzeau, Michel Yanjun Qi Schneider Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, Direction de la Climatologie et des Services China ([email protected]) Climatiques, Météo-France, Toulouse, France 09:45–10:00: EMS2016-185 09:30–09:45: EMS2016-702 Modulation of Indonesian rainfall variability by the Heatwaves variability and long term changes in central Madden-Julian Oscillation Poland Rahmat Hidayat Joanna Wibig Indonesia ([email protected]) University of Lodz, Meteorology and Climatology, Lodz, Poland ([email protected]) 10:00–10:15: EMS2016-80 Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasts with CNRM- 09:45–10:00: EMS2016-379 CM : a case study on the July 2015 West-European The 2010 eastern European heat wave in a future heat wave climate Constantin Ardilouze, Lauriane Batté, Michel Déqué Lucinda Rasmijn, Gerard van der Schrier, Jan CNRM, Météo-France and CNRS, Toulouse, France Barkmeijer, Andreas Sterl, Wilco Hazeleger ([email protected]) Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Netherlands 10:15–10:30: 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions) Poster pitches ORAL PROGRAMME AM6/NWP5 CONTINUES ON 10:00–10:30: FRIDAY, 11:30 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions)
10:30 – ORAL PROGRAMME UC1 CONTINUES ON FRIDAY, 11:30
Orals Friday | 09:00 | Friday Orals
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Friday 93
ASI10 Interfacing hydrological and OBS2 High-resolution meteorological models in precipitation monitoring for forecasting system impact assessment and climate- Lecture room: Vulcania 2 related applications Lecture room: Oceania C Convener: Massimiliano Zappa Co-Conveners: Herbert Formayer; Louise Crochemore Convener: Tanja Winterrath Co-Conveners: Andreas Becker; Auguste Gires; Chairperson: Massimiliano Zappa Katharina Lengfeld; Vincenzo Levizzani; Aart Overeem; Marie-claire ten Veldhuis; Markus Ziese 09:00–09:15: EMS2016-120 Hydrological skill of different sources of PQPF: a case Chairperson: Marie-claire ten Veldhuis study on the French upper Rhone Joseph Bellier, Stanislas Siblot, Guillaume Bontron,
Isabella Zin 09:00–09:15: EMS2016-276 Daily updates of the high-resolution gridded dataset E- Université Grenoble Alpes, Laboratoire d’étude des OBS Transferts en Hydrologie et Environnement, Grenoble, , Gerard van der Schrier, France Else van den Besselaar Richard Cornes Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De 09:15–09:30: EMS2016-753 Bilt, Netherlands ([email protected]) Seamless seasonal hydrological ensemble predictions over Europe 09:15–09:30: EMS2016-404 Fredrik Wetterhall South East Asia gridded data set of precipitation for European Centre for Medium Range Weather 1998-2015 period using TRMM retrievals and selected Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom rain gauge data for climate monitoring ([email protected]) Igor Stepanov, Gerard van der Schrier, Else van den Besselaar, Richard Cornes 09:30–09:45: EMS2016-164 Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Post-processing of monthly hydrological forecasts in Netherlands, Delft University of Technology, Switzerland Geoscience and Remote Sensing, Delft, Netherlands Konrad Bogner, Samuel Monhart, Luzi Bernhard, ([email protected]) Michael Schirmer, Massimiliano Zappa Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape
Research WSL, Birmensdorf, Switzerland 09:30–09:45: EMS2016-406 Assessment of high-resolution gridded precipitation ([email protected]) data uncertainty in an Alpine catchment Lavinia Laiti, Alberto Bellin, Bruno Majone, Stefano 09:45–10:00: EMS2016-304 Mallucci, Sebastiano Piccolroaz, Dino Zardi Operational hydro-meteorological monitoring and Civil, Environmental and Mechanical Engineering forecasts over France using the SAFRAN-SURFEX- Department, University of Trento, Trento, Italy MODCOU model chain François Besson, Fabienne Regimbeau, Michèle
Blanchard, Christian Viel, Pierre Etchevers, Mathieu 09:45–10:00: EMS2016-613 Quantifying the spatial summer precipitation variability Papazzoni, Anne-Lise Beaulant, Patrick Le Moigne, Eric in a highly glacierized catchment: the case study of the Martin, Florence Habets Arve catchment (Chamonix) in the French Alps DCSC, METEO FRANCE, Toulouse, France , Isabella Zin, Delphine Six, ([email protected]) Thomas Condom Catherine Coulaud, Frederic Gottardi, Laarman Olivier,
Morin Samuel, Lebel Thierry, Matthieu Lafaysse, 10:00–10:01: Charles Obled, Christian Vincent, Vincent Vionnet 1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions) 10:30 LTHE (UMR 5564, CNRS-IRD-Grenoble INP-UGA) –
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME ASI10 10:00–10:15: EMS2016-395 Measurements of precipitation in a coastal region of 10:15–10:30: Antarctica 1-minute espressi-talks (poster introductions) of Jacopo Grazioli, Christophe Genthon, Alexis Berne ASI11 EPFL, EPFL-ENAC-IIE-LTE, Switzerland ([email protected])
09:00 | Friday Orals 10:15–10:30: 1-minute espressi-talks (poster introductions)
ORAL PROGRAMME OBS2 CONTINUES ON FRIDAY, 11:30
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 94 Conference Programme – Friday
Friday, 11:30–13:00
12:45–13:00: EMS2016-130 UC1 Climate change detection, Impact of climate change on runoff timing over the assessment of trends, variability Alpine region Erika Coppola, Francesca Raffaele, Filippo Giorgi and extremes The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Lecture room: Saturnia Physics, Earth System Physics Section, Trieste, Italy ([email protected]) Convener: Albert M.G. Klein Tank Co-Conveners: Monika Lakatos; Martine Rebetez ORAL PROGRAMME UC1 CONTINUES ON FRIDAY, 14:00
Precipitation extremes AM6/NWP5 Subseasonal-to- 11:30–11:45: EMS2016-46 Trends and mechanisms behind extreme hourly seasonal (s2s) predictions and precipitation Mendy van der Vliet, Peter Siegmund, Willem Jan van societal applications de Berg Lecture room: Oceania AB Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, The Netherlands, Utrecht University, The Netherlands Convener: Ángel G. Muñoz Co-Conveners: Laura Ferranti; Joanne Robbins; Andrew 11:45–12:00: EMS2016-333 W. Robertson; Adrian Tompkins; Frederic Vitart Study of changes in precipitation extremes over the Eastern Mediterranean during 1961-2012 Chairperson: Adrian Tompkins Shifa Mathbout, Joan Albert Lopez Bustins, Javier Martin-Vide, Fernando Sánche Rodrigo, Joan Bech
Rustullet 11:30–11:45: EMS2016-337 University of Barcelona, Q-0818001-J U00400025 Statistical approaches for diagnosing and applying U00400025, Physical Geography and Regional sources of forecast skill to subseasonal predictions , Jiaxin Black, Daniel Harnos, Geographical Analysis, Barcelona, Spain Nathaniel Johnson ([email protected]) Michelle L’Heureux, Stephen Baxter, Steven Feldstein Princeton University/NOAA GFDL, Princeton, NJ United States ([email protected]) 12:00–12:15: EMS2016-534 An analysis of sub-daily rainfall to characterise long
term trends in UK rainfall 11:45–12:00: EMS2016-516 Verification of the CNR-ISAC sub-seasonal prediction Mark McCarthy Met Office, Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom system , Piero Malguzzi ([email protected]) Daniele Mastrangelo CNR-ISAC, Bologna, Italy ([email protected])
12:15–12:30: EMS2016-710
Anthropogenic signals in global and regional 12:00–12:15: EMS2016-435 precipitation variability and extremes: detection and Verification of subseasonal forecasts of drought indices , Jonas Bhend, Samuel Monhart, quantification of change using scaling fluctuation Christoph Spirig analysis Mark Liniger MeteoSwiss, Analysis and Forecasting, Zurich, Isabel de Lima, Shaun Lovejoy Civil Engineering Department, University of Coimbra, Switzerland ([email protected])
3030-788 Coimbra, Portugal ([email protected]), Institute of Marine Research (IMAR) and Marine and 12:15–12:30: EMS2016-65 Environmental Sciences Centre (MARE), Portugal Predictability of heat waves over West Africa in 13:00 – subseasonal and seasonal reforecasts with CNRM-CM , Constantin Ardilouze, Michel Déqué 12:30–12:45: EMS2016-551 Lauriane Batté Emerging trends in heavy precipitation and hot CNRM, UMR 3589 Météo-France/CNRS, Toulouse, temperature extremes in Switzerland France ([email protected]) Simon C. Scherrer, Erich M. Fischer, Rebekka Posselt, Mark A. Liniger, Mischa Croci-Maspoli, Reto Knutti 12:30–12:45: EMS2016-684 Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology Atmospheric cryptography: Using weather regimes to MeteoSwiss, Zurich, Switzerland ’crack the code’ of subseasonal-to-seasonal extreme rainfall events Orals Friday | 11:30 | Friday Orals ([email protected]) Ángel G. Muñoz, Gabriel Vecchi, Xiaosong Yang, Lisa Goddard, Andrew W. Robertson
NOAA/GFDL, Princeton University. NJ. USA
([email protected]), International Research
Institute for Climate and Society (IRI). Columbia
University. NY. USA
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Friday 95
12:45–13:00: EMS2016-708 12:45–13:00: EMS2016-274 Harnessing butterflies for improved monthly, seasonal, Evaluation of the simulated spatio-temporal variability of and interannual forecasts the anthropogenic heat flux in the agglomeration of Shaun Lovejoy, Lenin Lenin Del Rio Amador Toulouse, France McGill University, Department of Physics, Montreal, Robert Schoetter, Alexandre Amossé, Erwan Bocher, Canada ([email protected]) Marion Bonhomme, Alexis Bourgeois, Serge Faraut, Julia Hidalgo, Aude Lemonsu, Jean-Pierre Lévy, Valéry ORAL PROGRAMME AM6/NWP5 CONTINUES ON Masson, Gwendall Petit, Nathalie Tornay FRIDAY, 14:00 CNRM-GAME, Toulouse, France ([email protected])
ASI11 Urban Climate ORAL PROGRAMME ASI11 CONTINUES ON FRIDAY, 14:00 Lecture room: Vulcania 2
Convener: Martin Wattenbach OBS2 High-resolution Co-Convener: Francesco Musco precipitation monitoring for Chairperson: Martin Wattenbach impact assessment and climate- related applications 11:30–11:45: EMS2016-5 WRF Model Evaluation for the Urban Heat Island Lecture room: Oceania C Assessment Shweta Bhati, Manju Mohan Convener: Tanja Winterrath Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Co-Conveners: Andreas Becker; Auguste Gires; Technology Delhi, Hauz Khas, New Delhi, India Katharina Lengfeld; Vincenzo Levizzani; Aart Overeem; ([email protected]) Marie-claire ten Veldhuis; Markus Ziese
11:45–12:00: EMS2016-25 (EMS Tromp YSTA) Chairperson: Chairperson: Tanja Winterrath Urban Heat Island’s intensity research of Arctic city during winter (Apatity case-study) and its influence on 11:30–11:45: EMS2016-31 inhabitants’ thermal comfort The Uncertainties Assessments of the Satellite Derived , Mikhail Varentsov, Mikhail Pavel Konstantinov Rainfall Products Grishchenko, Irina Zheleznova, Alexander Baklanov Margaret Kimani Lomonosov Moscow State University, Faculty of University of Twente, Water Resource and Geography, Department of Meteorology and Environmental Managements, Enschede, Netherlands climatology, Moscow, Russian Federation ([email protected]) ([email protected])
11:45–12:00: EMS2016-260
12:00–12:15: EMS2016-36 (EMS YSTA) The diurnal cycle of tropical precipitation given by Sensitivity of the SURFEX land surface model to forcing satellite, model and rain gauge data settings in urban climate modelling Uwe Pfeifroth, Jörg Trentmann, Andreas H. Fink, Bodo Gabriella Zsebeházi Ahrens Hungarian Meteorological Service, Regional Climate Deutscher Wetterdienst, Climate Monitoring, Offenbach, Modelling Group, Budapest, Hungary Germany ([email protected]) ([email protected])
12:00–12:15: EMS2016-601
12:15–12:30: EMS2016-125 3D Reconstruction of Individual Raindrops from Precise Evaluation of MUKLIMO_3 urban model simulations for Ground-Based Precipitation Measurements summer days in Vienna in 2011-2015 Martin Schwinzerl, Michael Schönhuber, Günter
Maja Zuvela-Aloise, Brigitta Hollosi 13:00
Lammer, Merhala Thurai – ZAMG, Division Data, Methods, Modeling, Vienna, JOANNEUM RESEARCH Forschungsges mbH, Austria ([email protected]) DIGITAL, Graz, Austria ([email protected]) 12:30–12:45: EMS2016-246 Impact of Urban Land-Use Change in Eastern China on 12:15–12:30: EMS2016-583 the East Asian Subtropical Monsoon: A Numerical Real-time data acquisition of commercial microwave Study links: Implementation, Potential and Challenges Rong Yu, Zhihong Jiang, Panmao Zhai Christian Chwala, Felix Keis, Harald Kunstmann Nan Jing University of Information Science 11:30 | Friday Orals Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK- &Technology ([email protected]) IFU), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Garmisch- Partenkirchen, Germany ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 96 Conference Programme – Friday
12:30–12:45: EMS2016-594 Rainfall monitoring using a regional X-band radar NWP7 Mesoscale Verification network Inter-Comparison over Complex Samantha Melani, Andrea Antonini, Alessandro Mazza, Stefano Romanelli, Manuela Corongiu, Alberto Terrain (MesoVICT) Ortolani, Bernardo Gozzini Lecture room: Vulcania 1 LaMMA Consortium, Sesto Fiorentino (FI), Italy ([email protected]), Institute of Convener: Manfred Dorninger Biometeorology - National Research Council, Florence, Co-Conveners: Eric Gilleland; Chiara Marsigli Italy ([email protected])
Chairperson: Eric Gilleland 12:45–13:00: EMS2016-449
Analysis of extreme rainfall events in Piedmont (NW 11:30–11:45: EMS2016-267 Italy) using the CondMerg software on weather radars Understanding the properties of the Fraction Skill Score and a dense network of rain gauges Gregor Skok, Nigel Roberts Diego Guenzi, Simona Fratianni, Rodolfo Boraso, University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Mathematics and Roberto Cremonini Physics, Ljubljana, Slovenia ([email protected]) Università degli Studi di Torino - Scienze della Terra, Turin, Italy ([email protected]) 11:45–12:00: EMS2016-328 Verification of ensemble forecasts including observation ORAL PROGRAMME OBS2 CONTINUES ON FRIDAY, uncertainty 14:00 Simon Kloiber, Manfred Dorninger
University of Vienna, Department of Meteorology and
Geophysics, Wien, Austria
12:00–12:15: EMS2016-357 Comparison of Clustered Fields Caren Marzban, Xiaochuan Du, Scott Sandgathe University of Washington, Applied Physics Lab, Seattle, WA, United States ([email protected]), Univ. of Washington, Department of Statistics, Seattle, WA 98195 USA
12:15–12:30: EMS2016-557 Spatial verification of high-resolution precipitation forecasts through wavelets Florian Kapp, Petra Friederichs, Michael Weniger Bonn, Meteorological Institute, Germany (s6flkapp@uni- bonn.de)
12:30–12:45: EMS2016-358 Evaluation of Mei-yu Heavy-rainfall Forecasts for Taiwan by the CReSS Model: Performance and Impact of Model Resolution Chung-Chieh Wang, Pi-Yu Chuang National Taiwan Normal University, Earth Sciences, Taipei, Taiwan ([email protected])
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME NWP7
13:00 –
Orals Friday | 11:30 | Friday Orals
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Friday 97
Friday, 14:00–16:00
15:30–15:45: EMS2016-425 UC1 Climate change detection, Analysis of changes in drought occurrence over the assessment of trends, variability Mediterranean Basin using multiple time scales SPI index and extremes Ramona Magno, Massimiliano Pasqui, Edmondo Di Lecture room: Saturnia Giuseppe Institute of Biometeorology (IBIMET-CNR), Florence, Italy ([email protected]), LaMMA Consortium of Convener: Albert M.G. Klein Tank Tuscany Region Co-Conveners: Monika Lakatos; Martine Rebetez
15:45–16:00: EMS2016-83 14:00–14:15: EMS2016-157 An evaluation of modelling 20th century climate Long-term Changes in Precipitation Phase in Europe variability in CMIP5 models Martin Hynčica, Radan Huth Teija Seitola, Heikki Järvinen, Johan Silén, Jouni Department of Physical Geography and Geoecology, Räisänen Charles University in Prague, the Czech Republic Department of Physics, University of Helsinki, Finland, ([email protected]) Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland
14:15–14:30: EMS2016-408 END OF ORAL PROGRAMME UC1 Observed temperature dependence of snowfall and snow pack up to 2500 m asl in the Swiss Alps Martine Rebetez, Gaelle Serquet, Geoffrey Klein, Christoph Marty, Christian Rixen, Yann Vitasse AM5/UC3 Climate Forecast Swiss federal research institute WSL, Neuchatel, Switzerland ([email protected]), Institute of Verification Geography, University of Neuchatel, Switzerland Lecture room: Vulcania 1
Circulation, windstorms, etc Convener: Pertti Nurmi Co-Conveners: Anna Ghelli; Barbara Casati 14:30–14:45: EMS2016-730 December 2015: Unprecedented climatic conditions in Chairperson: Anna Ghelli the Eastern Alps Renato R. Colucci, Filippo Giorgi, Csaba Torma 14:00–14:15: EMS2016-64 Earth System Sciences and Environmental Technology, Assessing the impact of random corrections of the ISMAR-CNR I-34123 Trieste, Italy atmospheric component in seasonal predictions with CNRM-CM 14:45–15:00: EMS2016-14 Lauriane Batté, Michel Déqué Siberian High Anomalies and Their Precursors CNRM, UMR 3589 Météo-France/CNRS, Toulouse, Yuliya Martynova, Vladimir Krupchatnikov, Elena France ([email protected]) Kharyutkina Siberian Regional Hydrometeorological Research 14:15–14:30: EMS2016-79 Institute, Novosibirsk, Russian Federation Quantifying improvements of multi model summer ([email protected]), Institute of Monitoring of Climatic predictions over mid-latitudes with enhanced soil and Ecological Systems SB RAS, Tomsk, Russian moisture initial conditions Federation Constantin Ardilouze, Prodhomme Chloé, Batté Lauriane, Déqué Michel
15:00–15:15: EMS2016-116 Meteo France, CNRM, Toulouse, France Changes in the atmospheric dynamics leading to ([email protected])
European heatwaves during the last century 16:00 – M. Carmen Alvarez-Castro, Davide Faranda, Pascal 14:30–14:45: EMS2016-73 Yiou Evaluating NARCCAP model performance in capturing Laboratoire des sciences du climat et de frequencies of severe storm environments l’environnement (LSCE). Université Paris-Saclay, Eric Gilleland, Melissa Bukovsky, Christopher LSCE, Gif-sur-Yvette, France (carmen.alvarez- Williams, Caspar M Ammann, Barbara G Brown, Seth [email protected]) McGinnis, Linda O Mearns National Center for Atmospheric Research, Research 15:15–15:30: EMS2016-10 Applications Laboratory, Boulder, United States
Local storminess trends and large-scale climate ([email protected]) 14:00 | Friday Orals characterization from one of the world’s longest observational wave dataset. Angela Pomaro, Luigi Cavaleri, Piero Lionello CNR-ISMAR Institute of Marine Sciences, Italy ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 98 Conference Programme – Friday
14:45–15:00: EMS2016-175 A comparison between observed and modeled AM6/NWP5 Subseasonal-to- precipitation at different spatial scales on the Norwegian seasonal (s2s) predictions and mainland Cristian Lussana, Barbara Casati, Hilde Haakenstad, societal applications Thomas N. Nipen, Ivar A. Seierstad Lecture room: Oceania AB Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway ([email protected]) Convener: Ángel G. Muñoz Co-Conveners: Laura Ferranti; Joanne Robbins; Andrew 15:00–15:15: EMS2016-624 W. Robertson; Adrian Tompkins; Frederic Vitart Discrimination assessment of empirical, dynamical and combined probabilistic rainy season onset forecasts for Chairperson: Angel G Munoz São Paulo, Brazil Caio Coelho National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Centre for Applications Weather Forecast and Climate Studies (CPTEC), Brazil ([email protected]) 14:00–14:15: EMS2016-266 Experimenting with climate services to support short 15:15–15:30: EMS2016-402 term adaptation Evaluation of decadal predictions using satellite Andrea Vajda, Hilppa Gregow, Pentti Pirinen simulators and Fundamental Climate Data Records Finnish Meteorological Institute, Climate Service (FCDRs) Centre, Helsinki, Finland ([email protected]) Thomas Spangehl, Marc Schröder, Kathrin Graw, Alejandro Bodas-Salcedo, Rita Glowienka-Hense, 14:15–14:30: EMS2016-520 Sophie Stolzenberger, Andreas Hense, Rainer A multi-model application on the sub-seasonal Hollmann forecasting scale Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany Alfonso Ferrone, Daniele Mastrangelo, Piero Malguzzi ([email protected]) Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy ([email protected]) 15:30–15:45: EMS2016-445 Multiple levels of validation for downscaled ensemble 14:30–14:45: EMS2016-349 results Heat waves in South Asia: diagnosis, prediction and Rasmus Benestad, Kajsa Parding, Abdelkader communication for the health community Mezghani Hannah Nissan Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Research and International Research Institute for Climate & Society, Developement, Oslo, Norway Columbia University, United States ([email protected]) ([email protected])
15:45–16:00: EMS2016-482 14:45–15:00: EMS2016-763 Assessment of the forecast quality of different seasonal Seasonal forecast of droughts: providing useful climate prediction systems for the wind energy sector information to water management and agribusiness Doo Young Lee, Albert Soret, Veronica Torralba, sector Nicola Cortesi, Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière, Francisco J. Stefano Materia, Silvio Gualdi Doblas-Reyes Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Earth Sciences Bologna, Italy Department, Spain ([email protected]) 15:00–15:15: EMS2016-192 END OF ORAL PROGRAMME AM5/UC3 Analysis of monthly precipitations from a regional ensemble prediction system applied to irrigation
management Raffaele Salerno, Enrico Maggioni 16:00 – Centro Epson Meteo, Sesto S. Giovanni (MI), Italy ([email protected])
15:15–15:30: EMS2016-96 Using seasonal climate forecasts in dynamic crop model to predict rice yield Prakash Jha, Panos Athanasiadis, Silvio Gualdi, Vakhtang Shelia, Gerrit Hoogenboom University of Venice CA’Foscari, Venice, Italy Orals Friday | 14:00 | Friday Orals
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Friday 99
15:30–15:45: EMS2016-340 Malaria forecasting in Uganda using S2S and seasonal ASI11 Urban Climate forecasts Lecture room: Vulcania 2 Adrian Mark Tompkins, Felipe Colon-Gonzalez, Francesca Di Giuseppe, Didas Namanya Convener: Martin Wattenbach ICTP, Earth System Physics, Trieste, Italy Co-Convener: Francesco Musco ([email protected]) Chairperson: Martin Wattenbach 15:45–16:00: EMS2016-364
Potential of long-range forecasts in the energy market
Otto Hyvärinen, Antti Mäkelä, Matti Kämäräinen, 14:00–14:15: EMS2016-281 Hilppa Gregow High density street-level air temperature observations Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland network (HiSAN) in tropical urban area , Tsuyoshi Honjo, Chun-Kuei Yao, Yu- ([email protected]) Tzu-Ping Lin Cheng Chen, Feng-Yi Lin National Cheng Kung University, Department of END OF ORAL PROGRAMME AM6/NWP5 Architecture, Tainan, Taiwan ([email protected])
14:15–14:30: EMS2016-287 The role of the atmospheric boundary layer in cool city mornings Natalie Theeuwes, Gert-Jan Steeneveld, Reinder Ronda, Mathias Rotach, Bert Holtslag Wageningen University, Meteorology and Air Quality, Wageningen, Netherlands ([email protected])
14:30–14:45: EMS2016-459 Detection of Urban Heat Island in the regional reanalysis COSMO-REA6 Deborah Niermann, Christian Ohlwein, Sabrina Wahl Meteorological Institute, University of Bonn, Auf dem Hügel 20, 53121 Bonn
14:45–15:00: EMS2016-566 Temporal and spatial patterns of sensible heat flux measured by scintillometers in central London Ben Crawford, Sue Grimmond, Helen Ward, William Morrison, Simone Kotthaus Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, United Kingdom ([email protected])
15:00–15:15: EMS2016-616 Comparison of atmospheric and surface urban heat islands in terms of their diurnal variability - a summertime case study for Krakow, Poland Monika J. Hajto, Jakub P. Walawender, Mariusz Szymanowski, Anita Bokwa Institute of Geography and Spatial Management, Jagiellonian University, Krakow, Poland, Satellite
Remote Sensing Department, Institute of Meteorology and Water Management - National Research Institute,
Krakow, Poland 16:00
–
END OF ORAL PROGRAMME ASI11
14:00 | Friday Orals
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 100 Conference Programme – Friday
15:00–15:15: EMS2016-716 OBS2 High-resolution Spatio-temporal variability of erosivity estimated from precipitation monitoring for highly resolved and adjusted radar rain data (RADOLAN) impact assessment and climate- Franziska Fischer, Julia Hauck, Robert Brandhuber, related applications Elmar Weigl, Harald Maier, Karl Auerswald Grassland Group, Technical University of Munich, Lecture room: Oceania C Freising, Germany ([email protected]), Bavarian State Research Center for Agriculture, Convener: Tanja Winterrath Freising, Germany, German Weather Service, Co-Conveners: Andreas Becker; Auguste Gires; Freising/Weihenstephan, Germany Katharina Lengfeld; Vincenzo Levizzani; Aart Overeem; Marie-claire ten Veldhuis; Markus Ziese 15:15–15:30: EMS2016-265 Comparison of different radar-based hail detection Chairperson: Chairperson: Else van den Besselaar algorithms in Slovenia Gregor Stržinar, Gregor Skok 14:00–14:15: EMS2016-374 University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Mathematics and Global analysis of extreme precipitation trends and Physics, Ljubljana, Slovenia ([email protected]) examination of the extreme value distribution based on daily data over land for the time period between 1988 15:30–15:45: EMS2016-269 and 2013 Analysis of heavy rains with respect to precipitation Kristin Raykova, Elke Rustemeier, Markus Ziese, intensity course Andreas Becker, Bodo Ahrens Marek Kašpar, Miloslav Müller, Vojtěch Bližňák Deutscher Wetterdienst, Meteorological Analysis and Institute of Atmospheric Physics CAS, Department of Modelling, Offenbach, Germany Meteorology, Prague, Czech Republic ([email protected]) ([email protected])
14:15–14:30: EMS2016-677 15:45–16:00: EMS2016-744 Extreme value analysis based on a 10-year radar-based A novel approach to characterising flow regimes in precipitation reanalysis urban watersheds based on inter-amount times Edouard Goudenhoofdt, Laurent Delobbe distribution Royal Meteorological Institute, Belgium Marie-claire ten Veldhuis, Marc Schleiss ([email protected]) Delft University of Technology, Watermanagement Department, Delft, Netherlands 14:30–14:45: EMS2016-218 ([email protected]) A scheme to conserve climatologically consistency of precipitation over different temporal scales for radar- END OF ORAL PROGRAMME OBS2 derived precipitation rates Rico Kronenberg, Christian Bernhofer Technische Universität Dresden, Hydrologie und Meteorologie, Umweltwissenschaften, Tharandt, Germany ([email protected])
14:45–15:00: EMS2016-375 Towards a radar-based high-resolution precipitation climatology for Germany - methodology and potential areas of application Tanja Winterrath, Christoph Brendel, Mario Hafer, Thomas Junghänel, Anna Schmitt, Ewelina
Walawender, Elmar Weigl, Andreas Becker Deutscher Wetterdienst, Department of 16:00
– Hydrometeorology, Offenbach a. M., Germany ([email protected])
Orals Friday | 14:00 | Friday Orals
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Friday 101
Posters Friday, 10:30–11:30
H22: EMS2016-416 UC1 Climate change detection, Long-term changes in the frequency and intensity of assessment of trends, variability thunderstorms in Latvia: analysis based on observations from 14 surface weather stations and extremes Zanita Avotniece, Maris Klavins, Agrita Briede, Svetlana Aniskevica Convener: Albert M.G. Klein Tank Latvian Environment, Geology and Meteorology Centre, Co-Conveners: Monika Lakatos, Martine Rebetez Forecasting and Climate Department, Riga, Latvia Poster area: Hall 1-minute espressi-talks: 10:00, Saturnia H23: EMS2016-360 Testing goodness-of-fit of the GEV distribution for sub- H16: EMS2016-87 daily precipitation extremes in RCM-simulated and Trends and variability of precipitation extremes in observed data Sardinia island, 1951-2000: results dependence on the Romana Beranova, Martin Hanel, Jan Kysely network density. Institute of Atmospheric Physics CAS, Prague, Czech Paolo Boi Republic ([email protected]) ARPAS, Sassari, Italy ([email protected]) H24: EMS2016-500 H17: EMS2016-89 How does the climate change modify everyday life of Comparison of heavy precipitation events in two mid- Poles? elevation mountain systems in Central Europe: the Malgorzata Szwed Vosges Mountains (France) and the Ore Mountains Polish Academy of Sciences, Institute for Agricultural (Czech Republic-Germany border) and Forest Environment, Poznan, Poland Jana Minářová, Miloslav Müller, Alain Clappier ([email protected]) Laboratoire Image, Ville, Environnement, University of Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France (jana.minarova@live- H25: EMS2016-532 cnrs.unistra.fr), Department of Physical Geography and Climate impact on large temperate river (River Salaca) Geoecology, Faculty of Science, Charles University in ecosystem in Latvia Prague, Prague, Czech Republic Gunta Springe, Janis Birzaks, Agrita Briede, Ivars ([email protected]) Druvietis, Dāvis Ozoliņš, Valerijs Rodinovs, Agnija Skuja H18: EMS2016-113 University of Latvia, Faculty of Geography and Earth Tokyo’s 100-year Rainfall Changes Science, 19 Raina Blvd., Riga LV 1586, Latvia Yukimasa Tsubota, Saki Machida ([email protected]) J. F. Oberlin University, Natural Science Divisions, Atmospheric Science, Yokohama-shi, Japan H26: EMS2016-554 ([email protected]) Warm and cold spells in Alaska and their synoptic background H19: EMS2016-279 Agnieszka Sulikowska The occurrence of convective systems with a bow echo Department of Climatology, Jagiellonian University, in warm season in Poland Krakow, Poland ([email protected]) Daniel Celiński-Mysław Department of Climatology, Jagiellonian University, H27: EMS2016-598 Krakow, Poland (daniel.celinski- A new global climatology of cut-off lows based on re- [email protected]) analysis: trends, drivers and implications Steve Dorling, Oliver Bliss, Manoj Joshi
H20: EMS2016-308 Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, University Analysis of twenty-first century monthly temperature in of East Anglia, Norwich, UK ([email protected]) 11:30
Basque Country – Santiago Gaztelumendi, Roberto Hernandez, Joseba H28: EMS2016-618 Egaña European summer heat of 2015 in a long-term Meteorology Area, TECNALIA R&I., Basque perspective and atmospheric circulation peculiarities Meteorology Agency (EUSKALMET) Andreas Hoy, Stephanie Hänsel Hessian Agency for Nature Conservation, Environment H21: EMS2016-181 and Geology, Rheingaustr. 186, 65203 Wiesbaden, Variability and trends of extreme temperatures in Germany Finland H29: EMS2016-632 Kirsti Jylhä, Seppo Saku, Ari Venäläinen 10:30 | Friday Posters Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland The trends and variability of climate extremes in Latvia ([email protected]) Agrita Briede, Zanita Avotniece, Lita Koreļska University of Latvia, Faculty of Geography and Earth Sciences, Riga, Latvia ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 102 Conference Programme – Friday
H30: EMS2016-672 AM5/UC3 Climate Forecast Climate types in Slovenia, based on climate normals, Verification trends and variability Katja Kozjek, Mojca Dolinar, Gregor Vertačnik Slovenian Environment Agency, Meteorological Office, Convener: Pertti Nurmi Ljubljana, Slovenia ([email protected]) Co-Conveners: Anna Ghelli, Barbara Casati Poster area: Hall 10:15, Vulcania 1 H31: EMS2016-713 1-minute espressi-talks: Heavy rainfall - estimation of IDF curves for Hungary Monika Lakatos, Lilla Hoffmann, Zita Bihari, Tamás Chairperson: Anna Ghelli Szentimrey Hungarian Meteorological Service, Climate Division, H43: EMS2016-234 Budapest, Hungary ([email protected]) Study on Extended-range Precipitation Forecast Based on Low Frequency Oscillation in Midwest Region of H32: EMS2016-736 Northwest China Changes in extreme events over Italian peninsula and Xuwei Jia, Xu Li, Ying Zhang, Kezheng Shang, Yue its impacts on the electric system Man, Shigong Wang Riccardo Bonanno, Paola Faggian Collage of Atmospheric sciences, Lanzhou University, RSE Spa - Milano - Italy Lanzhou, China ([email protected])
H33: EMS2016-135 H44: EMS2016-272 An Assessment of Summer Hydro-Climatic Variability How well do regional climate models reproduce mean and Extremes on the Canadian Prairies seasonal precipitation over Europe? Barrie Bonsal Ivana Herceg-Bulić, Ivan Güttler, Čedo Branković Environment Canada ([email protected]) Faculty of Science, University of Zagreb, Geophysical Institute, Zagreb, Croatia ([email protected]) H34: EMS2016-579 Sensitivity of glacier melt and equilibrium line altitude on END OF POSTER PROGRAMME AM5/UC3 the Antarctic Peninsula to climatic change Ulrike Falk, Damián López, Adrián Silva Busso, Hernán Sala, Benjamin Marzeion AM6/NWP5 Subseasonal-to- Climate Lab, Dept Geography, University Bremen, Germany seasonal (s2s) predictions and societal applications H35: EMS2016-229 Assessing significance of trends using counts of signs of the trends as test statistic Convener: Ángel G. Muñoz Radan Huth, Martin Dubrovský Co-Conveners: Laura Ferranti, Joanne Robbins, Andrew Charles University, Faculty of Science, Dept. of W. Robertson, Adrian Tompkins, Frederic Vitart Physical Geography and Geoecology, Prague, Czechia Poster area: Hall ([email protected]), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, 1-minute espressi-talks: 10:15, Oceania AB Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czechia Chairperson: Adrian Tompkins H36: EMS2016-592 Sensitivity analysis of expected wind extremes over the H45: EMS2016-316 Iberian Peninsula Canadian Sub Seasonal to Seasonal Forecasting Elena García-Bustamante, Jorge Navarro-Montesinos, System
J. Fidel González-Rouco, Jorge Conte-García, Etor E. Marko Markovic, Hai Lin, Normand Gagnon Lucio-Eceiza Environment Canada ([email protected]) CIEMAT, Dpt. of Energy, Madrid, Spain 11:30 – ([email protected]) H46: EMS2016-471 Sub-seasonal Sources of Predictability of Temperature END OF POSTER PROGRAMME UC1 and Wind Speed: the Role of Weather Regimes. Nicola Cortesi, Veronica Torralba, Albert Soret, Llorenç Lledo, Pierre-Antoine Bretonniere, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
H47: EMS2016-190 Posters Friday | 10:30 | Friday Posters The north-south precipitation dipole over southeastern South America and the SACZ predictability Iracema Cavalcanti National Institute for Space Research, Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies, São José dos Campos, Brazil ([email protected])
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Conference Programme – Friday 103
H49: EMS2016-210 Skill of Real-Time APCC’s Seasonal Multi-Model ASI11 Urban Climate Ensemble Predictions during the Period 2008-2014 Young-Mi Min, Vladimir N. Kryjov Convener: Martin Wattenbach APEC Climate Center, Busan, Korea, Republic Of Co-Convener: Francesco Musco ([email protected]) Poster area: Gallery 1-minute espressi-talks: 10:15, Vulcania 2 H50: EMS2016-355 Forecast Skills in prediction of the precipitation in Global Chairperson: Martin Wattenbach Seasonal Forecasting System version 5 during the East Asian Summer Monsoon G14: EMS2016-26 (EMS Tromp YSTA) Sang-Min Lee, Hyun-Suk Kang, Young-Hwa Byun Investigation of detailed spatial structure of the Moscow National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Korea megacity climate features according to the newest Meteorological Administration, Jeju, Korea, Republic Of meteorological observations and regional climate ([email protected]) modelling with connection to human comfort Mikhail Varentsov, Pavel Konstantinov END OF POSTER PROGRAMME AM6/NWP5 Lomonosov Moscow State University, Faculty of Geography, Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Moscow, Russian Federation ASI10 Interfacing hydrological and ([email protected]), A.M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics meteorological models in forecasting system G15: EMS2016-47 Urban heat island and outdoor thermal comfort indices in extreme continental climate zone (Astana case-study) Convener: Massimiliano Zappa Pavel Konstantinov, Alina Akhmetova, Diana Co-Conveners: Herbert Formayer, Louise Crochemore Tattimambetova Poster area: Gallery Lomonosov Moscow State University, Faculty of 1-minute espressi-talks: 10:00, Vulcania 2 Geography, Meteorology and climatology, Moscow, Russian Federation ([email protected]) Chairperson: Massimiliano Zappa G16: EMS2016-606 G13: EMS2016-754 Validation and analysis of WRF-simulated summer Hydrologic ensemble prediction: enhancing science, urban heat island effect for Budapest operation and application through HEPEX Júlia Göndöcs, Hajnalka Breuer, Rita Pongrácz, Judit Fredrik Wetterhall, Maria-Helena Ramos, Qj Wang, Bartholy Andy Wood Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary European Centre for Medium Range Weather ([email protected]) Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom ([email protected]) G17: EMS2016-641 Variability of PM10 & PM2.5 concentrations in selected END OF POSTER PROGRAMME ASI10 Polish agglomerations: the role of meteorological conditions, 2005-2015 Joanna Jędruszkiewicz, Bartosz Czernecki, Michał Marosz Institute of Geography, Pedagogical University of Cracow, Kraków, Poland ([email protected])
G18: EMS2016-656 Urban climatological measurements in a renovated
district of Budapest 11:30 Csenge Dian, Rita Pongrácz, Zsuzsanna Dezsö, Judit – Bartholy Eötvös Loránd University Department of Meteorology, Budapest, Hungary ([email protected])
G19: EMS2016-724 Urban heat island phenomenon and related meteorological effects over central Europe: a multi- model assesment Peter Huszar, Michal Belda, Jan Karlicky, Tomas 10:30 | Friday Posters Halenka, Michal Ronovsky Charles University, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, Dept. of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Republic ([email protected])
END OF POSTER PROGRAMME ASI11
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 104 Conference Programme – Friday
G55: EMS2016-262 OBS2 High-resolution Radar-based precipitation climatology of the Czech precipitation monitoring for Republic in the warm part of the year Vojtěch Bližňák, Marek Ka¨par, Miloslav Müller impact assessment and climate- Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS, Department of related applications Meteorology, Prague 4, Czech Republic ([email protected])
Convener: Tanja Winterrath G56: EMS2016-745 Co-Conveners: Andreas Becker, Auguste Gires, On the potential role of radar technology in the Global Katharina Lengfeld, Vincenzo Levizzani, Aart Overeem, Climate Observing System Marie-claire ten Veldhuis, Markus Ziese Andreas Becker Poster area: Gallery DWD, Hydrometeorology, Offenbach, Germany 1-minute espressi-talks: 10:15, Oceania C ([email protected])
Chairperson: Tanja Winterrath END OF POSTER PROGRAMME OBS2
G50: EMS2016-411 Verification of ECMWF precipitation forecasts using NWP7 Mesoscale Verification high-density surface observations Sinead Duffy, Thomas Haiden, Martin Janousek Inter-Comparison over Complex ECMWF, Forecast Department, Reading, United Terrain (MesoVICT) Kingdom
G51: EMS2016-502 Convener: Manfred Dorninger Assessment of extreme global precipitation over land in Co-Conveners: Eric Gilleland, Chiara Marsigli ERA-20C by comparison to GPCC’s Full Data Daily Poster area: Hall data set 1-minute espressi-talks: 10:15, Vulcania 1 Elke Rustemeier, Kristin Raykova, Markus Ziese, Andreas Becker, Peter Finger, Anja Meyer-Cristoffer, Chairperson: Eric Gilleland Udo Schneider Deutscher Wetterdienst, Meteorological Analysis and H73: EMS2016-213 Modelling, Offenbach, Germany User oriented verification of wind speed and wind direction G52: EMS2016-746 Manfred Dorninger Estimation of catchment wetness for the Wupper River University of Vienna, Department of Meteorology and Basin, Germany Geophysics, Wien, Austria Marc Scheibel, Paula Lorza ([email protected]) Wupperverband, Wuppertal, Germany ([email protected]) H74: EMS2016-255 Statistical downscaling of WRF mesoscale simulations G53: EMS2016-19 using an artificial neural network to forecast winds at Using X-Band radar reflectivity data for hail detection local, unresolved scale and lightning nowcasting in Naples urban area Florian Dupuy, Thierry Hedde, Pierre Roubin, Pierre Vincenzo Capozzi, Errico Picciotti, Vincenzo Durand Mazzarella, Giorgio Budillon, Frank Silvio Marzano Laboratoire de Modélisation des Transferts dans Department of Science and Technology, University of l’Environnement, CEA Cadarache, France Naples "Parthenope", Naples, Italy ([email protected]), Laboratoire d’Aérologie, University of Toulouse, CNRS, Toulouse, France
G54: EMS2016-264 ([email protected]) Hail detection with a C-band dual-polarization weather 11:30
– radars in Finland. H75: EMS2016-268 Ljubov Liman, Dmitri Moisseev A new wind verification method based on the Fraction FMI, Helsinki, Finland ([email protected]) Skill Score Gregor Skok, Veronika Hladnik University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, Ljubljana, Slovenia ([email protected])
END OF POSTER PROGRAMME NWP7
Posters Friday | 10:30 | Friday Posters The End
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Author index 105
Araszkiewicz, Andrzej Batet, Òscar 72 Bidlot, Jean-Raymond Author index 68 Batté, Lauriane 92, 94, 73, 85
Arbizu-Barrena, Clara 97 Bieerbooms, Wim 81 Aaltonen, Veijo 81 57, 63, 86 Baxter, Stephen 94 Bihari, Zita 33, 102 Abajo, Benat 84 Ardilouze, Constantin Baydakov, Georgy 54 Bingham, Suzy 28, 34 Abbasi, Ali 89 92, 94, 97 Bazile, Eric 43, 47, 59, Birzaks, Janis 101 Abia, Inmaculada 30 Argentini, Stefania 29 63, 66 Bisi, Mario 28 Abida, Rachid 63, 66 Armenio, Vincenzo 76 Beaulant, Anne-Lise Bissolli, Peter 92 Acquaotta, Fiorella 49 Arnold, Alex 73 30, 93 Black, Andy 77 Agersten, Solfrid 38 Arola, Antti 81 Becagli, Silvia 39 Black, Jiaxin 94 Agrillo, Giuseppe 77 Arribas, Alberto 30 Beck, Christoph 59 Blanc, Philippe 61, 64, Àgueda, Alba 72 Arrigo, Kevin 51 Becker, Andreas 93, 86 Aguilar, Enric 41 Arrillaga, Jon Ander 35 95, 100, 104 Blanchard, Michèle 93 Ahrens, Bodo 39, 95, Arshinov, Mikhail 87 Bedia, Joaquín 56 Bleta, Anastasia G. 67 100 Asmi, Eija 81 Beges, Gaber 38 Bliss, Oliver 101 Ahsbahs, Tobias 80 Assimakopoulos, Beguería, Santiago 83 Bližňák, Vojtěch 100, Akhmetova, Alina 103 Vassiliki 27 Behrens, Arno 86 104 Akritidis, Dimitrios 87 Atanasov, Dimiter 86 Belan, Boris 87 Blokar, Klemen 40 Alari, Victor 85 Athanasiadis, Panos Belda, Michal 39, 50, Blyth, Alan 77 Al-Azri, Nasser 86 47, 98 103 Blyth, Eleanor 73 Alberoni, Pier Paolo 28 Attema, Jisk 28 Belegante, Livio 54 Boccolari, Mauro 51 Aler-Mur, Ricardo 86 Auchmann, Renate 49 Belinová, Monika 84 Bochenek, Bogdan 59 Alfieri, Lorenzo 50 Auer, Ingeborg 38, 41, Bellier, Joseph 79, 93 Bocher, Erwan 95 Aliani, Stefano 51 49, 61 Bellin, Alberto 93 Bock, Olivier 50, 65 Allan, Malcolm 66 Auerswald, Karl 100 Bellotti, Roberto 88 Boda, Balázs 88 Al-Tameemi, Avalas, Grinia 30 Bellucci, Alessio 47 Bodas-Salcedo, Muthanna 28 Avolio, Elenio 29 Beltrami, Hugo 56 Alejandro 98 Altava-Ortiz, Vicent 42, Avotniece, Zanita 101 Belušić, Danijel 43 Bogdanova, Yulia 28 50, 66, 70 Aydın, Beytiye Derya Ben Bouallegue, Zied Bogner, Konrad 33, 93 Altieri, Mara 64 60 90 Boi, Paolo 101 Alvarez, Leopoldo 75 Azzoni, Roberto 39 Benedetti, Guido 30 Bojkovski, Jovan 38 Alvarez-Castro, M. Azzoni, Roberto Sergio Benedetti, Riccardo Bokwa, Anita 99 Carmen 53, 80, 97 51 65, 72 Bolaños, Rodolfo 77 Alvarez-Garcia, Babar, Bilal 36 Benestad, Rasmus 41, Bolduc, Cassandra 71 Francisco J. 47 Bacer, Sara 39 45, 56, 59, 66, 98 Bolmgren, Kjell 34 Amaro, Jèssica 42 Badger, Jake 77, 81 Benetazzo, Alvise 73, Bonaldo, Davide 73 Ambaum, Maarten Badger, Merete 80 76, 85 Bonanno, Riccardo H. P. 47 Badosa, Jordi 32 Bengulescu, Marc 64 102 Ammann, Caspar M. Bae, Joohyun 33 Bennett, Victoria 56 Bonasoni, Paolo 29 97 Bajic, Alica 60, 90 Bensaid, Fatima Zahra Bonaventura, Luca 75 Ammoscato, Ivano 29 Baklanov, Alexander 64 Bonhomme, Marion 95 Amorim, Jorge 56 77, 81, 87, 95 Bensi, Manuel 51 Bonsal, Barrie 102 Amossé, Alexandre 95 Baldi, Marina 64 Bentley, Liz 64 Bontron, Guillaume 79, Analitis, Antonis 60 Baldini, Luca 28 Beranova, Romana 50, 93 Andersson, Axel 49 Bałdysz, Zofia 68 101 Böök, Herman 57 Andrea, Vitali 70 Baltas, Evangelos 53 Berckmans, Julie 52 Boraso, Rodolfo 96 Andrei, Simona 54 Bange, Jens 35, 81 Berdebe, Irini 67 Bordas, Arpad 47 Angelou, Nikolas 81 Barbariol, Francesco Bergström, Hans 74, Bordi, Isabella 64 Anger, Jan 81 73, 85 80 Borm, Jan 46 Aniskevica, Svetlana Barberia, Laura 50 Berndt, Jonas 74 Boroneant, Constanta 101 Barbu, Nicu 54, 67 Berne, Alexis 93 33 Anlauf, Harald 82 Barkmeijer, Jan 78, 82, Bernhard, Luzi 33, 93 Borràs, Sílvia 72 Annachiara, Gloglio 40 90, 92 Bernhofer, Christian Borrelli, Andrea 47 Anne Gobin, Anne 31 Barlow, Janet 74 100 Borsche, Michael 63, Antokhin, Pavel 87 Barnolas, Mercè 70 Bertolini, Andrea 83 66 Antokhina, Olga 87 Barrera-Escoda, Bertotti, Luciana 73 Boström, Tobias 36 Antonacci, Gianluca Antoni 42, 50, 70 Bertozzi, Barbara 51 Bosveld, Fred C. 29, 30, 87 Bärring, Lars 56 Bertrand, Cédric 49, 61 32, 35, 38 Antonini, Andrea 65, Bartholy, Judit 34, 35, Besson, François 30, Bottai, Lorenzo 72 96 46, 50, 56, 63, 66, 84, 93 Bottyán, Emese 52 Antonio, RuizdeElvira 87, 103 Betti, Giulio 67, 72 Boucher, Olivier 32 47 Bartolini, Giorgio 67, Beuthner, Michael 46 Bouilloud, Ludovic 30 Apolloni, Roberto 30 72 Beyer, Hans Georg 63 Bouras, Alexandros Appenzeller, Christof Bartolomé, Irene 35 Beyrich, Frank 29, 32, 60, 71 27 Basart, Sara 86 35, 38 Bourgeois, Alexis 95 Aran, Montse 66 Bastin, Sophie 50 Bhati, Shweta 95 Bourqui, Michel 71 Aranda, Jose Antonio Batchvarova, Ekaterina Bhend, Jonas 30, 94 Bowen, Zhou 35 51 57, 61, 63, 71, 74, 77, Bianchizza, Chiara 45 Brandhuber, Robert 81, 86 Bica, Benedikt 68 100
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 106 Author index
Branković, Čedo 102 Canellas, Claire 83 Chou, Sin Chan 65, Cristofanelli, Paolo 29 Braun, Axel 74 Canut, Guylaine 78, 80 75, 88 Croci-Maspoli, Mischa Brayshaw, David 70, Capecchi, Valerio 45, Christel, Isadora 54, 84 27, 94 74 72 Christen, Andreas 77 Cropper, Thomas 67 Brázdil, Rudolf 76, 80, Capozzi, Vincenzo 72, Chroma, Katerina 84 Cros, Sylvain 64 84 85, 104 Chuang, Pi-Yu 96 Csapó, Péter 88 Breivik, Øyvind 85 Carbunaru, Felicia 56 Chwala, Christian 95 Cuadrat, José María Brendel, Christoph 100 Cardoso, Rita M. 76, Ciardini, Virginia 39 83 Brenot, Hugues 68 80, 85 Ciari, Francesco 60 Cunillera, Jordi 42, 50, Bressan, Lidia 76 Carlucci, Pantaleone Cielecka, Katarzyna 41 66 Bretonniere, Pierre- 77 Cimini, Domenico 61, Curcoll, Roger 72 Antoine 102 Carlund, Thomas 61 72 Cuxart, Joan 29, 32, Breuer, Hajnalka 52, Carniel, Sandro 73, 76, Cioni, Guido 85 35, 47, 68 103 85 Ciuha, Urša 60 Cvitan, Lidija 50 Bricheno, Lucy 39, 73, Carrao, Hugo 50 Clancy, Colm 85 Czernecki, Bartosz 103 74 Carril, Andrea F. 51 Clappier, Alain 101 Czuppon, György 52 Briede, Agrita 101 Carver, Glenn 88 Coceal, Omduth 74 D’Agata, Carlo 39, 51 Brilli, Lorenzo 27 Casado, María Jesús Coelho, Caio 98 D’Allura, Alessio 77 Brilouet, Pierre Etienne 56 Coker, Phil 74 Dabernig, Markus 79 80 Casado-Calle, María J. Colleoni, Florence 39, Dacunha-Castelle, Brönnimann, Stefan 50 42, 51 Didier 70 35, 49 Casasanta, Giampietro Colon-Gonzalez, Dalla Libera, Davide Brookshaw, Anca 30 29 Felipe 99 36 Brown, Barbara G 97 Casati, Barbara 63, 97, Colorado, Gabriela 41 Dalu, Giovanni 59 Brugnara, Yuri 41, 49 98, 102 Coluccelli, Alessandro Danesi, Stefania 51 Brunet, Manola 38, 41, Casella, Daniele 57 41, 73 Dankers, Rutger 60 49, 56, 59 Caselles, Vicente 29 Colucci, Renato R. 39, Dario, Giaiotti 40 Brunetti, Michele 41, Castelao, Renato 51 42, 51, 97 Daviaud, Francois 65 49, 70, 83 Castillo, Juan 73, 74 Comerma, Marta 72 Davidov, Denis 87 Bruse, Michael 57 Castrillo, Antonio 38 Compte, Marc 82 Davini, Paolo 42, 47, Brut, Aurore 29 Catto, Jennifer 42 Conangla, Laura 68 53 Brute, Francenor 88 Caumont, Olivier 72 Condom, Thomas 93 Davolio, Silvio 76 Bruyere, Cindy 77 Cavalcanti, Iracema Conidi, Alessandro 29 Davy, Richard 47 Bucci, Simone 29 102 Conte-García, Jorge De Angelis, Francesco Buchold, Michael 82 Cavaleri, Luigi 73, 97 102 72 Budillon, Giorgio 72, Cavaliere, Roberto 30 Coppa, Graziano 38 De Filippis, Tiziana 33 85, 104 Cazzuli, Orietta 67 Coppola, Erika 38, 39, De Franceschi, Büeler, Dominik 27 Cedilnik, Jure 85 52, 94 Giorgiana 51 Bugeac, Octavian Paul Cegnar, Tanja 27, 30, Cornaro, Cristina 63 de Haan, Siebren 65 31 33, 40, 43, 54, 57, 58, Cornes, Richard 49, de Lima, Isabel 94 Buizza, Roberto 45, 60, 61, 62, 64, 67 70, 93 de Luis, Martín 83 47, 65 Celiński-Mysław, Corongiu, Manuela 96 De Pino, Bukovsky, Melissa 97 Daniel 101 Corrado, Cosimo 30 Mariafrancesca 29 Buntemeyer, Lars 88 Celozzi, Angela 41 Correa, Kris 30 Decharme, Bertrand Büntgen, Ulf 80 Cersosimo, Angela 61 Cortekar, Jörg 46 63 Buontempo, Carlo 27, Ceschia, Eric 29 Cortesi, Nicola 77, 98, Decian, Enrica 70 30, 33, 56, 67 Chae, Jung-Hoon 35, 102 Dekens, Léonard 70 Burcea, Sorin 40 36 Corti, Susanna 42 Del Carlo, Paola 51 Burton, Ralph 77 Challenger, Lesley 71 Costa, Luis 56 Del Guasta, Massimo Busetto, Maurizio 29 Chan, Andy 81 Coudert, Odile 30 39 Busto, Montserrat 50 Charalambides, Coulaud, Catherine 93 Del Rio Amador, Lenin Busuioc, Aristita 56, 66 Alexandros G. 61 Courtney, Michael 74 Lenin 95 Byun, Young-Hwa 103 Charbonneau, Paul 71 Couto, António 77 Della Bruna, Guido 58 Cabezón, Daniel 87 Charrière, Marie 71 Couvreux, Fleur 47 Delle Monache, Luca Caburlotto, Andrea 51 Chechin, Dmitry 43 Craciun, Cristian 40 90 Caiazzo, Laura 39 Chen, Bo long 67 Cranner, Morten 43 Dellwik, Ebba 32 Calaudi, Rosamaria 86 Chen, Deliang 56 Crawford, Ben 77, 99 Delobbe, Laurent 100 Caldas Álvarez, Chen, Huopo 42 Cremer, Roswitha 50 Delvaux, Charles 49 Alberto 72 Chen, Jing 82 Cremonini, Roberto 67, Demircan, Mesut 68 Calidonna, Claudia Chen, Yu-Cheng 99 96 Deng, Guo 82 Roberta 29, 86 Cherchi, Annalisa 42 Crepinsek, Zalika 60 Denhard, Michael 82 Callado, Alfons 82 Cheremisin, Alexander Crespi, Alice 70 Déqué, Michel 92, 94, Callaghan, Sarah 56 81 Cress, Alexander 72, 97 Calori, Giuseppe 77 Chiarle, Marta 38 75, 82, 89 Dereczynski, Claudine Camerlenghi, Angelo Chimani, Barbara 42, Crewell, Susanne 63, 65 42, 51 49 71 Deroubaix, Maxime 64 Campanelli, Monica 57 Cho, Jeonghoon 88 Crisci, Alfonso 40, 46, Dessai, Suraje 40, 46 Cañas, Lídia 72 58, 60, 67 Detring, Carola 35
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Author index 107
Dezső, Zsuzsanna 34, Eben, Kryštof 68 Fischer, Erich M. 50, Gasch, Philipp 81 66 Ebert, Volker 38 94 Gascon, Estibaliz 65 Di Giuseppe, Edmondo Edwards, Ian 73 Fischer, Franziska 100 Gašparac, Goran 81 97 Egaña, Joseba 51, 52, Fischer-Bruns, Irene Gaßmann, Almut 75 Di Giuseppe, 53, 101 27, 46 Gavelčíková, Eva 87 Francesca 78, 99 Eiken, Ola 60 Fischereit, Jana 57 Gaztelumendi, Di Marino, Maurizio 41 Eiselt, Kai-Uwe 83 Flapp, Federica 54 Santiago 49, 51, 52, Di Napoli, Claudia 30 Eitzinger, Josef 31, 34 Flocas, Helena A. 45 53, 54, 84, 101 Di Paola, Francesco Elbern, Hendrik 74 Floors, Rogier 32 Geertsema, Gertie 78, 61 Elena, Gianesini 40 Flückiger Knutti, 81 Dian, Csenge 103 Elgered, Gunnar 64 Jacqueline 27 Gennaretti, Fabio 41 Dias, Frederic 85 Eljohra, Bouchra 64 Fofonov, Alexandr 87 Genthon, Christophe Dibari, Camilla 27 Enzi, Silvia 84 Fontana, Daniele 51 93 Dick, Galina 65, 68 Ervasti, Tiina 71 Forest, Chris 42 Gentile, Sabrina 28 Dietrich, Stefano 57, Esau, Igor 47 Förstner, Jochen 57 Georgiadis, Teodoro 89 Escajadillo, Yury 30 Forte, Emanuele 42, 64 Dima, Andreea 66 Escriba, Pau 82 51 Geraldi, Edoardo 61 Ding, Wenwu 68 Eskes, Henk 87 Fortelius, Carl 57 Germann, Urs 65 Diolaiuti, Guglielmina Estanqueiro, Ana 77 Frank, Christopher 71 Giannakopoulos, 39, 51 Etchevers, Pierre 93 Fratianni, Simona 49, Christos 27, 60 Ditz, Konstantin 63 Etxezarreta, Arkaitz 53 96 Giannopoulos, Panos Djurdjevic, Vladimir 50, Euphrasie-Clotilde, Frauen, Claudia 42 43, 74 66 Lovely 88 Frei, Christoph 63, 70, Giardi, Fabio 39 Doblas-Reyes, Faggian, Paola 102 73, 83 Gibelin, Anne-Laure 83 Francisco J. 27, 30, Falcieri, Francesco M. Frei, Prisco 50 Gidhagen, Lars 56 33, 54, 67, 98, 102 73, 85 Friederichs, Petra 63, Gil, Victoria 61 Dobrovolný, Petr 80 Falk, Ulrike 102 75, 96 Gilleland, Eric 96, 97, Dobrynin, Mikhail 86 Fallmann, Joachim 73 Fritz, Rafael 57, 63 104 Dobschinski, Jan 57, Falocchi, Marco 87 Fröhlich, Dominik 57 Gioli, Beniamino 77 74 Fan, Lijun 56 Frutos, Miguel 75 Giorgetta, Marco 88 Dogaru, Diana 33 Fantini, Adriano 39 Fugazza, Davide 39, Giorgi, Filippo 26, 39, Dolák, Lukáš 80, 84 Faranda, Davide 27, 51 94, 97 Dolinar, Mojca 70, 73, 53, 65, 80, 97 Fukutome, Sophie 27 Giovannini, Lorenzo 83, 87, 102 Faraut, Serge 95 Fulli, Gianluca 77 29, 31, 87 Domínguez, Marta 66 Faško, Pavol 50 Fulvio, Stel 40 Giuliani, Graziano 52, Dommenget, Dietmar Faulwetter, Robin 72, Fundel, Felix 82 75 42 89 Funk, Daniel 30 Giyanani, Ashim 81 Domonkos, Peter 41 Fazan, Valérie 27 Füsers, Stefan 46 Gleeson, Emily 47, 52, Done, James 77 Fedele, Francesca 88 Gabriele, Dono 70 63, 85 Dorling, Steve 101 Federico, Stefano 29, Gadian, Alan 77 Glowienka-Hense, Rita Dorninger, Manfred 96, 57, 89 Gaertner, Miguel Angel 98 104 Feldstein, Steven 94 45 Goddard, Lisa 94 Dorothy, Maria 71 Feliu, Efren 84 Gagnon, Normand 102 Gomes, Jorge 75 Douša, Jan 65, 68 Fennig, Karsten 49 Gaia, Marco 58 Gomes, Jorge Luís 65 Dow, Gareth 73 Fenoglio-Marc, Gál, Tamás 78, 89 Gomes, Pedro 38, 67 Dowell, Ellen 74 Luciana 74 Gallagher, Sarah 85 Gomez de Segura, Dreossi, Giuliano 39 Ferlicoq, Morgan 29 Gallardo, Clemente 61 Jose Daniel 49 Drew, Daniel 74 Fernandez del Rio, Galliker, Barbara 58 Göndöcs, Júlia 35, 52, Drnovsek, Janko 38 Ana 82 Galvan-Leon, Ines 86 103 Druvietis, Ivars 101 Fernández-Donado, Ganekind, Manfred 49 Gonzalez, Juan 75 Du, Jianting 77 Laura 76 Gangwisch, Marcel 57 Gonzalez, Manuel 52 Du, Xiaochuan 96 Ferrario, Massimo 64 Ganstø Skaland, González-Alemán, Dubois, Clotilde 39 Ferretti, Rossella 28, Reidun 43 Juan Jesús 45, 66 Dubrovský, Martin 102 72, 85 Gao, Li 82 Gonzalez-Aparicio, Dubrulle, Berengere 65 Ferri, Massimo 64 Garcia Izquierdo, Iratxe 77 Dueben, Peter 88 Ferrone, Alfonso 98 Carmen 38 González-Reviriego, Duffy, Christine 66 Fettich, Anja 85 García-Bustamante, Nube 84 Duffy, Sinead 104 Feuillard, Tony 88 Elena 56, 76, 102 González-Rojí, Santos Duine, Gert-Jan 35 Feyen, Luc 50 Garcia-Moya, José A. J. 35 Dumitrescu, Alexandru Figura, Clarissa 66 30, 78 González-Rouco, J. 56, 66 Figurski, Mariusz 68 García-Santos, Vicent Fidel 56, 76, 80, 84, Dünnermann, Jens 32 Filippo, Giorgi 52 29 102 Dunstone, Nick 41 Finardi, Sandro 77 Garcia-Serrano, Javier Gordon, Margaret 30 Duo, Li 87 Finger, Peter 104 42, 47, 48, 53 Gottardi, Frederic 93 Dupont, Jean-Charles Fink, Andreas H. 95 Garduño, René 52 Goudenhoofdt, 32 Firanj-Sremac, Ana 32 Garrett H. Good, 63 Edouard 100 Dupuy, Florian 104 Fischer, Andreas 27, Garrido, Nieves 30 Gozzini, Bernardo 45, Durand, Pierre 80, 104 38, 56 Garzena, Diego 49 58, 59, 65, 67, 72, 96 Eade, Rosie 41, 47 Fischer, Andreas 50 Gasbarra, Daniele 77 Graf, Michael 65
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 108 Author index
Grandjacques, Hakami, Amir 31 Hollosi, Brigitta 95 Järvinen, Heikki 31, Mathilde 70 Halenka, Tomas 27, Holtanova, Eva 50 45, 97 Granouillac, Franck 29 30, 33, 39, 50, 72, 74, Holtslag, Bert 28, 47, Jeanty, Patrick 64 Grashorn, Sebastian 88, 103 52, 77, 78, 99 Jędruszkiewicz, 76 Halford, Alan 70 Homann, Markus 59 Joanna 53, 103 Grasso, Valentina 46, Hamdi, Rafiq 52 Honjo, Tsuyoshi 99 Jensen, Kjeld 70 58, 72 Han, Keunhee 90 Honnert, Rachel 52 Jeong, Ju-Hee 85 Graw, Kathrin 98 Han, Zhe 42 Hoogenboom, Gerrit Jeričević, Amela 81 Grazioli, Jacopo 93 Hanel, Martin 101 98 Jerman, Jure 85 Gregorič, Gregor 34 Hanlon, Helen 30 Hoppe, Charlotte 74 Jeromel, Maja 85 Gregow, Hilppa 45, 46, Hannak, Lisa 49 Höppe, Peter 40, 61 Jha, Prakash 98 65, 98, 99 Hänsel, Stephanie 101 Hordyniec, Pawel 65, Jia, Xuwei 102 Grenier, Patrick 41 Hanssen-Bauer, Inger 68 Jiang, Zhihong 95 Griesel, Simone 35 27, 33 Horttanainen, Matti 83 Jianning, Sun 35 Griffiths, James 77 Hao, Shifeng 53 Horvath, Kristian 90 Jiménez, Maria Grifoni, Daniele 67 Hapgood, Mike 28 Hostýnek, Jiří 49 Antònia 29 Grigioni, Paolo 39 Hara, Yumi 74 Houghton-Carr, Helen Johnson, Nathaniel 94 Grimaldelli, Roberto 36 Harjanne, Atte 46, 71 56 Jokinen, Pauli 85 Grimmond, Sue 99 Harnisch, Florian 72 Hourdin, Frededic 50 Jokisalo, Juha 71 Grishchenko, Mikhail Harnos, Daniel 94 Housmans, Caroline Jol, André 61 95 Harpham, Colin 87 61 Jones, Jonathan 64, Grisogono, Branko 43 Hatzaki, Maria 45, 56 Hoy, Andreas 101 65, 68 Groenemeijer, Pieter Hauck, Julia 100 Hrastinski, Mario 90 Jones, Phil 56, 59, 70 45 Hazeleger, Wilco 92 Hristova, Elena 78 Jones, Philip 87 Groenland, Rob 80 Hedde, Thierry 35, 104 Hryniw, Natalia 78 Joo, Sangwon 89 Groot, Annemarie 56 Heiberg, Hanne 38 Huang, Ping 80 Jorba, Oriol 75 Groselj, Drago 38 Heilscher, Gerd 63 Huang, Ronghui 80 Joshi, Manoj 101 Grosfeld, Klaus 46 Heinemann, Detlev 43, Hübner, Thomas 34 Journée, Michel 49 Grossi, Claudia 72 60 Hudoklin, Domen 38 Jović, Dušan 75 Groves, James 77 Heinrich, Georg 42 Huebener, Heike 33 Juckes, Martin 56 Gryning, Sven-Erik 57, Helgert, Sebastian 47 Huertas-Tato, Javier Jun, Zou 35 61, 63, 71, 74, 77, 81, Hemingway, Rebecca 86 Jung, Sandra 61 86 33 Huld, Thomas 71, 77 Jungclaus, Johann 76 Gschwind, Benoit 86 Henrot, Alexandra- Huszar, Peter 88, 103 Junghänel, Thomas Gualdi, Silvio 47, 70, Jane 52 Huth, Radan 41, 45, 100 76, 80, 84, 85, 98 Hense, Andreas 63, 56, 59, 66, 83, 97, 102 Junila, Päivi 83 Gubler, Stefanie 30 66, 71, 75, 98 Hutt, Axel 72 Justi da Silva, Maria Guenzi, Diego 49, 96 Heppelmann, Tobias Hygen, Hans Olav 27, Gertrudes 51 Gueorguiev, Orlin 78 90 33, 43 Justi, Maria Gertrudes Guerova, Guergana Herceg-Bulić, Ivana Hynčica, Martin 97 51 64, 65, 68 42, 102 Hyvärinen, Otto 52, 99 Juvalta, Madlaina 33 Guettler, Ivan 60 Hérincs, Dávid 66 Hyvönen, Reijo 71, 83 Jylhä, Kirsti 52, 71, 84, Guglielmin, Mauro 51 Hering, Alessandro 58, Iannuccilli, Maurizio 85, 101 Guijarro, José A. 41, 65 59, 67 Kaasik, Marko 78, 87 49 Hermanson, Leon 41, Ibarra-Breastegi, Kačmařík, Michal 68 Gulev, Sergey 36, 45 47 Gabriel 35 Kadokura, Shinji 86 Gullì, Daniel 29 Hernandez, Roberto Imbery, Florian 49 Kaiser-Weiss, Andrea Gupta, Medhavi 77 101 Ingels, Romain 49 56, 59, 63, 66 Gutiérrez, Claudia 61 Herrero, Mònica 49, Irene, Gallai 40 Kajaba, Peter 88 Gutierrez, Jose 41 50, 70 Isaksen, Ketil 41 Kajfež Bogataj, Lučka Gutiérrez, José Manuel Hertig, Elke 41, 56 Isola, Ilaria 51 60 56 Heusinkveld, Bert 28 Isotta, Francesco 63, Kalamees, Targo 71 Güttler, Ivan 102 Hewer, Ruediger 75 73 Kalverla, Peter 35, 77 Guzikowski, Jakub 65 Hickey, Kieran 80 Iván, Márk 34 Kalvova, Jaroslava 50 Gvoždíková, Blanka 40 Hidalgo, Julia 95 Ivaňáková, Gabriela 50 Kämäräinen, Matti 46, Gyöngyösi, András Hidayat, Rahmat 92 Jackson, David 28 52, 85, 99 Zénó 78, 89 Hill, Daniel 71 Jackson, David R. 28, Kandaurov, Alexander Haakenstad, Hilde 98 Hiller, Rebecca 27 34 54 Haarsma, Reindert J. Hinterberger, Fabian Jacob, Daniela 27, 88 Kann, Alexander 68, 47 68 Jacobeit, Jucundus 59 79 Haavisto, Riina 46 Hisdal, Hege 27, 33 Jacquemin, Ingrid 52 Kaplon, Jan 65, 68 Habets, Florence 93 Hladnik, Veronika 104 Jamieson, Claire 74 Kapp, Florian 96 Hafer, Mario 100 Hoffmann, Lilla 102 Janicke, Lutz 78 Karagali, Ioanna 80 Hahmann, Andrea N. Hofstätter, Michael 42 Janicke, Ulf 78 Karali, Anna 27, 60 28, 81 Holland, Greg 77 Jankovic, Dragica 32 Karhu, Juha 71 Haiden, Thomas 104 Hollis, Dan 38, 41, 49, Janousek, Martin 104 Karhu, Juha A. 71 Hajnalka, Breuer 35 73 Janssen, Peter 73 Karlicek, Daniele 39 Hajto, Monika J. 99 Hollmann, Rainer 98 Karlicky, Jan 88, 103
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Author index 109
Karsisto, Virve 89 Kontos, Serafim 87 Laurila, Terhi 65, 85 Longares, Luis Alberto Kaspar, Frank 34, 49, Köpken-Watts, Lawrence, Gareth 28 83 63, 66, 83 Christina 89 le Coz, Camille 89 Longo, Simona 51 Kašpar, Marek 100 Körber, Maya 92 Le Moigne, Patrick 47, Lopez Bustins, Joan Katragkou, Eleni 87 Koreļska, Lita 101 63, 93 Albert 94 Katsouyanni, Klea 60 Korevaar, Marc 29 Léa, Guillaume 74 Lopez Castano, Kaur, Mandeep 60 Körnich, Heiner 56, 64 Lee, Doo Young 98 Santiago 76 Kavak, Ahmet Faruk Körnich, Henier 74 Lee, Sang-Min 103 Lopez Parages, Jorge 60 Kosmale, Miriam 61 Lee, Youngmi 33 42 Keenlyside, Noel 47 Kothe, Steffen 50 Leelőssy, Ádám 75, 88 López, Alvaro 29 Keis, Felix 95 Kotlarski, Sven 41, 50 Lefevre, Mireille 81 Lòpez, Angélica 71 Keller, Jan 63, 66, 71 Kotthaus, Simone 99 Legg, Tim 66, 73 López, Damián 102 Kelly, Mark 28 Kotyza, Oldřich 80, 84 Lehtonen, Ilari 46, 52, López, José A. 41 Kempf, Harald 71 Kouroutzoglou, John 83 López-Franca, Noelia Kendon, Mike 73 45 Leitner, Markus 61 51 Keramitsoglou, Kovacevic, Vedrana 51 Lemesios, Giannis 27, Lorza, Paula 104 Iphigenia 60 Kovács, Attila 88 60 Lou, Maoyuan 53 Kerminen, Veli-Matti Kozai, Katsutoshi 36 Lemke, Peter 46 Loubet, Enrique 71 81 Kozjek, Katja 73, 102 Lemoigne, Patrick 66 Loubser, Tiaan 71 Kern, Zoltán 52 Krähenmann, Stefan Lemonsu, Aude 95 Lovejoy, Shaun 94, 95 Kerschbaumer, Markus 83 Lemos, Gil 85, 86 Lozano, Sergio 77 42 Krause, Gesche 46 Lento, Juha 31 Luca, Doro 70 Keup-Thiel, Elke 46 Kreis, Andrea 92 Lethem, Dom 71 Lucchi, Renata 42, 51 Kharyutkina, Elena 97 Krinitskiy, Mikhail 32 Leuprecht, Armin 42 Lucio-Eceiza, Etor E. Khodayar, Samiro 47, Kronenberg, Rico 100 Leutbecher, Martin 65, 56, 102 72 Krupchatnikov, 88 Lückenkötter, Kiauta, Marko 64 Vladimir 97 Lévy, Jean-Pierre 95 Johannes 56 Kienast, Erika 27 Krutova, Maria 71 Lewis, Huw 73, 76, 85 Luhtala, Sanna 71 Kienberger, Stefan 42 Kryjov, Vladimir N. 45, Lexer, Annemarie 42 Lundstad, Elin 41 Kies, Alexander 71 103 Lhotka, Ondrej 50 Luo, Hao 51 Killius, Niels 81 Kryza, Maciej 65 Li, Camille 27 Luomaranta, Anna 85 Kim, Byeong Uk 88 Krzic, Aleksandra 34, Li, Chao 53 Łupikasza, Ewa 41 Kim, Chansoo 90 50 Li, Jianglin 89 Lüpkes, Christof 43 Kim, Eunhye 88 Kucharski, Fred 42, 47 Li, Lun 31 Lussana, Cristian 63, Kim, Hyun Cheol 88 Kunstmann, Harald 95 Li, Shuanglin 42 98 Kim, Mee-Ja 89 Kuroda, Yuhji 27, 31 Li, Xiaoli 82 Luterbacher, Juerg 76 Kim, OK-Yeon 70 Kuznetsova, Li, Xu 102 Ma, Yuxia 60 Kim, Soontae 88 Alexaandra 54 Li, Yinglin 82 Mächel, Hermann 38, Kim, Yoo-Keun 85 Kuznetsova, Maria 28 Li, Zhaohui 38, 51 41, 49, 92 Kimani, Margaret 95 Kvande, Tore 27 Ličer, Matjaž 85 Machida, Saki 101 Kimura, Keiji 45 Kwon, Young 75 Liggins, Felicity 27, 71, MacLachlan, Craig 47 Kindap, Tayfun 31 Kysely, Jan 50, 101 74 Macrì, Patrizia 51 King, Martin P. 42, 48 L’Heureux, Michelle 94 Lihavainen, Heikki 81 Madonna, Erica 27, 53 Kiranoudis, Chris T. 60 Laapas, Mikko 83 Lim, Chang-Mook 84 Maggie Chel Gee, Ooi Kirchner, Nina 42 Labudová, Lívia 50 Lima, Daniela C. A. 76, 81 Kis, Anna 84 Lafaysse, Matthieu 79, 80 Maggioni, Enrico 63, Klavins, Maris 101 93 Liman, Ljubov 104 98 Klein Tank, Albert 41, Lagzi, István 88 Limbach, Sebastian 75 Magliulo, Vincenzo 77 49, 59 Laiti, Lavinia 29, 31, 93 Lin, Feng-Yi 99 Magno, Ramona 72, Klein, Geoffrey 39, 97 Lajovic, Andrej 40 Lin, Hai 102 97 Kliesch, Leif-Leonard Lakatos, Monika 92, Lin, Tzu-Ping 57, 99 Mai, Xuehu 38, 51 72 94, 97, 101, 102 Lindfors, Anders 57, 61 Maiello, Ida 28, 72, 85 Kloiber, Simon 96 Lalic, Branislava 32 Lindskog, Magnus 64 Maier, Harald 100 Klukova, Zuzana 39 Laloyaux, Patrick 59 Liniger, Mark 27, 30, Majone, Bruno 93 Knight, Jeff 30 Lammer, Günter 29, 95 38, 41, 50, 94 Mäkelä, Antti 45, 51, Knight, Sylvia 74 Landelius, Tomas 64 Liniger, Mark A. 50, 94 65, 99 Knutti, Reto 50, 94 Landi, Tony Christian Lionello, Piero 97 Mäkelä, Hanna 71 Ko, Ken-Chung 66 29 Liria, Pedro 52 Makkonen, Ulla 81 Koch, Elisabeth 31, 34 Láng, Ilona 45 List, Jeffrey 85 Maksyutov, Shamil 28 Koch, Wolfgang 74, 76 Lang, Moritz 79 Liste, Maria 85 Malačič, Vlado 85 Kogaki, Tetsuya 36 Lang, Simon 45, 88 Liu, Ying 28 Malguzzi, Piero 94, 98 Kogan, Yefim 78 Lang, Will 59 Llabrés, Alba 50 Malloci, Elisa 30 Köhler, Carmen 63, 86 Langvall, Ola 34 Lledó, Llorenç 54, 67, Mallucci, Stefano 93 Kokko, Antti 45 Larsén, Xiaoli 77 84, 87 Man, Yue 102 Kolář, Tomáš 80 Larsén, Xiaoli Guo 80 Lo Feudo, Teresa 29, Manara, Veronica 41, Kolarova, Maria 78 Lassègues, Pierre 83 86 49 König, Christian 61 Latinovic, Dragan 88 Löhnert, Ulrich 72 Maneta, Marco 73 Konstantinov, Pavel Laura, Mula 70 Lombardo, Kelly 65 Maneva, Vanya 86 95, 103 Lauriane, Batté 97 Mantziafou, Anneta 85
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 110 Author index
Manzano, Antonio 82 Matzarakis, Andreas Miglietta, Mario Nastos, Panagiotis T. Manzato, Agostino 31, 57, 60, 67 Marcello 65, 66, 71, 40, 67 (Tino) 65, 79 Maugeri, Maurizio 39, 73, 76, 77, 80, 85 Nastou, Marina- Maqueda, Gregorio 35 41, 49, 70, 83 Mignani, Claudia 71 Panagiota P. 67 Maracchi, Giampiero Maya, María Eugenia Mikkelsen, Torben 81 Naumann, Gustavo 50 40, 59, 67 41 Mikulová, Katarína 83, Navarro, Jorge 56, 76, Maragno, Davide 39, Mayer, Stephanie 33 88 102 51 Mayr, Georg J. 79 Min, Young-Mi 45, 103 Navarro-Montesinos, Maraun, Douglas 41, Mays, Leila 28 Minardi, Gian Paolo 67 Jorge 76, 102 56 Mazon, Jordi 40, 53, Minářová, Jana 101 Navrátil, Martin 86, 87 Marchand, Mathilde 86 76 Miranda, Pedro M. A. Neal, Robert 60 Marcucci, Francesca Mazza, Alessandro 96 76, 85, 86 Nejedlík, Pavol 83, 88 78 Mazzarella, Vincenzo Miró, Anna 50 Nemeth, Akos 67 Mardhekar, Dhananjay 72, 85, 104 Miró, Josep Ramon 68 Németh, Judit 46 34 Mazzola, Mauro 43 Mistry, Malcolm 70 Nemuc, Anca 54 Marichev, Valery 81 McCarthy, Mark 60, Mitra, Indradip 60 Nesi, Paolo 46, 58 Marien, Lennart 88 66, 73, 94 Mizuta, Ryo 31 Neykova, Nadya 86 Marinoni, Angela 29 McGinnis, Seth 97 Moeller, Hans 29 Nicola, Lacetera 70 Marjanovic, Dragana McGrath, Ray 63 Mogensen, Kristian 85 Nicolosi, Paolo 36 68 Mearns, Linda O 97 Mohan, Manju 77, 95 Niemelä, Sami 57 Markovic, Marko 102 Mees, Joop 29 Mohr, Viktoria 39 Niermann, Deborah 99 Marmureanu, Luminita Meier, Florian 63 Moisseev, Dmitri 104 Nigrelli, Guido 38 54 Meinke, Insa 46 Molinié, Jack 88 Nikulin, Grigory 60 Marosz, Michał 103 Mekjavic, Igor 60, 62 Möller, Gregor 68 Nilo, Saverio Teodosio Marsh, Mike 28 Melani, Samantha 65, Molnár, Gergely 78, 89 61 Marsigli, Chiara 76, 78, 96 Moloney, Nicholas 65 Nilsson, Erik 80 82, 96, 104 Melas, Dimitrios 87 Mona, Tamás 75 Nimac, Irena 83 Marson, Paola 65 Melchor Pinto, Julio Monforti-Ferrario, Nipen, Thomas N. 98 Martí, Belén 35 César 52 Fabio 71, 77 Nisi, Luca 28 Martija, Maialen 53 Mellul, Lidia 50 Monhart, Samuel 93, Nissan, Hannah 98 Martin, Alberto 73, 82 Melo-Aguilar, Camilo 94 Noe, Steffen 87 Martin, Eric 93 Andres 76 Montanari, Francesco, Nofuentes, Manel 72 Martinet, Pauline 72, Memmola, Francesco 40 Nogherotto, Rita 52 78 73 Montani, Andrea 76, Noguchi, Shunsuke 31 Martinez de la Torre, Menard, Lionel 86 78, 82, 90 Noh, Hae-Mi 89 Alberto 73 Mendizabal, Maddalen Montero, Martín 41 Nohara, Daisuke 86 Martínez, José 84 84 Montoli, Enea 42 Noormets, Riko 42 Martínez-Villagrasa, Mendoza Castro, Moore, Chloe 64 Nordio, Sergio 43 Daniel 29, 35, 68 Víctor Manuel 52 Morabito, Marco 40, Novikov, Pavel 81 Martin-Vide, Javier 94 Menéndez, Claudio 51 46, 60, 67 Nuottokari, Jaakko 30 Martius, Olivia 28, 53, Merics, Attila 75 Morales, Gema 35 Nurmi, Pertti 89, 97, 65 Merler, Giacomo 30 Morel, Laurent 68 102 Marty, Christoph 39, Merlone, Andrea 38 Morguí, Josep-Anton Nurmi, Väinö 45 97 Mesinger, Fedor 65, 72 Nykiel, Grzegorz 68 Martynov, Andrey 28 75, 82 Moriondo, Marco 27 Oana, Catrina 34 Martynova, Yuliya 97 Messeri, Alessandro Morrison, William 99 Obled, Charles 93 Maruri, Mercedes 53 40, 67 Moser, David 63 Occhipinti, Paola 72 Marzano, Frank Silvio Messeri, Gianni 40, 59, Mote, Thomas 51 Odak Plenkovic, Iris 90 28, 104 67, 72 Mottram, Ruth 52 Ohba, Masamichi 86 Marzban, Caren 78, 96 Messerotti, Mauro 28, Mukougawa, Hitoshi Ohene Annor, Frank Marzeion, Benjamin 34 31 89 102 Messner, Jakob W. 79 Müller, Miloslav 40, Ohlwein, Christian 63, Masato, Giacomo 65 Messori, Gabriele 27 100, 101, 104 66, 71, 99 Mašek, Ján 47 Mestre-Guillen, Irene Müller, Richard 61 Ohsawa, Teruo 36 Masina, Simona 42 50 Muñoz, Ángel G. 92, Ohtake, Hideaki 86 Masson, Valéry 95 Mészáros, Róbert 88 94, 98, 102 Oliver, Hilde 51 Mastrangelo, Daniele Metzinger, Isabel 60 Murray, Sophie 28 Olivier, Laarman 93 94, 98 Meyer-Cristoffer, Anja Musacchio, Chiara 38 Olsson, Esbjörn 56, 74 Mastrantonio, 104 Muscari, Giovanni 51 Olsson, Taru 85 Giangiuseppe 29 Mezghani, Abdelkader Mussin, Mauro 36 Ombe-Ndeffotsing, Matangi, Adrian 77 41, 56, 98 Mylonas Dirdiris, Armel 86 Materia, Stefano 47, Mezzina, Bianca 42 Markos 40 Omrani, Nour-Eddine 98 Micaela, Menegotto 88 Naegeli, Barbara 27 47 Mathbout, Shifa 94 Michel, Déqué 97 Nagy, Zoltan 47 Oozaki, Takashi 86 Matjacic, Blazenka 47 Micheletti, Stefano 54 Namanya, Didas 99 Oozeer, Yaasiin 81 Matsangouras, Ioannis Micu, Dana 54 Nastos, Panagiotis 53, Opálková, Marie 86, 87 T. 40 Micu, Mihai 54 57 Orbe, Iñaki 54 Mattingly, Kyle 51 Orlandi, Andrea 72
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Author index 111
Orlandini, Simon 60 Petan, Sašo 85 Prutsch, Andrea 61 Rijo, Nádia 76, 85 Orlandini, Simone 40 Petenko, Igor 29 Pucik, Tomas 45 Rincon, Angel 75 Orrell, Richard 71 Petersen, Juliane 27 Pucillo, Arturo 65, 79 Rius, Anna 50 Ortega, Daniel 86, 87 Petit, Gwendall 95 Punkka, Ari-Juhani 45 Rixen, Christian 39, 97 Ortizbevia, Maria 47 Petracca, Marco 89 Pusceddu, Clara 61 Roberto, Nicoletta 28 Ortolani, Alberto 65, Petrini, Michele 42 Putnikovic, Suzana 66 Roberts, Nigel 96 72, 96 Petrov, Anton 86 Qi, Yanjun 92 Robertson, Andrew W. Otkin, Jason 72 Pfahl, Stephan 27 Qu, Zhipeng 86 92, 94, 98, 102 Otterson, Scott 74 Pfeifroth, Uwe 50, 70, Quaresima, Sara 70 Robinson, Niall 41 Ouzeau, Gaelle 92 95 Quesada-Ruiz, Samuel Rocchi, Leandro 33 Ozoliņš, Dāvis 101 Philipp, Andreas 59 57, 63, 86 Rocha, Maria João 38 Oztaner, Yasar Burak Photiadou, Christiana Quevedo, Karim 30 Rodinovs, Valerijs 101 31 33 Raabe, Armin 64 Rodó, Xavier 72 Paccagnella, Tiziana Piazza, Andrea 30 Raberanto, Patrick 32 Rodriguez, Jesus 82 73, 76, 82 Picciotti, Errico 28, 104 Radics, Kornelia 87 Rodriguez-Benitez, Paci, Alexandre 78 Piccolroaz, Sebastiano Radovanovic, Slavica Javier 57, 63, 86 Pacione, Rosa 65, 68 93 34 Rodriguez-Camino, Pagh Nielsen, Kristian Picos, Rodrigo 29, 68 Raffaele, Cortignani 70 Ernesto 50 47, 52 Pidgeon, Alastair 28 Raffaele, Francesca Rodriguez-Fonseca, Palacio, Virginia 53 Pieczka, Ildikó 46, 50 39, 94 Belen 42 Palarz, Angelika 83 Pierro, Marco 63 Raible, Christoph 50 Rohm, Witold 65, 68 Palin, Erika J. 30 Pietragalla, Barbara 34 Räisänen, Jouni 31, Román-Cascón, Palmer, Tim 88 Pilli-Sihvola, Karoliina 45, 97 Carlos 35 Panegrossi, Giulia 89 45 Ramanan, Romanelli, Stefano 65, Pankiewicz, Sarah 66 Pinedo Pascua, Irene Aravindakshan 60 72, 96 Pantaleo, Gianni 46, 71 Ramos, Maria-Helena Romano, Filomena 61 58 Pio, Fernando 75 103 Romera, Raquel 45, 66 Paola, Deligios 70 Piot, Matthias 86 Ranchin, Thierry 87 Ronda, Reinder 28, 77, Paolo, Roggero Pier Piotrowski, Piotr 53 Ranci, Maria 36 99 70 Pirinen, Pentti 83, 84, Rancic, Miodrag 88 Rondanini, Chiara 36 Papa, Mario 78 98 Rantanen, Mika 31 Ronovsky, Michal 103 Papadaskalopoulou, Piringer, Martin 77, 78, Rapisardi, Elena 33 Rontu, Laura 47 Christina 27 81, 87 Rasmijn, Lucinda 92 Rösner, Stefan 92 Papapostolou, Piskala, Vladimír 45 Rau, Gabriele 78 Ross, Catherine 66 Alexandros 85 Platis, Andreas 32 Rau, Gerrit Anke 35 Rosskopf, Yasmin 59 Paparrizos, Spyridon Plavcova, Eva 50 Raub, Thomas 88 Rössler, Ole 41 31 Pogačar, Tjaša 60, 62 Rautenberg, Alexander Rotach, Mathias 99 Papazzoni, Mathieu Polifronie, Elena Mirela 32, 35, 81 Rottuno Filho, Otto 51 30, 93 31 Ravdas, Michalis 85 Rotunno, Richard 76 Papko, Vladislav 54 Poll, Stefan 43 Raykova, Kristin 89, Roubin, Pierre 104 Parding, Kajsa 34, 41, Pollard, David 42 100, 104 Rovai, Luca 65, 72 56, 98 Polychroni, Iliana 53 Rebesco, Michele 42, Roy, Philippe 71 Parey, Sylvie 70 Pomaro, Angela 97 51 Ruf, Holger 63 Park, Dabin 33 Poncela Blanco, Marta Rebetez, Martine 39, Ruffini, Fabrizio 86 Park, Moon-Soo 35, 36 77 92, 94, 97, 101 Ruggieri, Paolo 42, 47 Park, SeiYoung 89 Pongrácz, Rita 34, 35, Rechid, Diana 46 Rui, Leonardo 51 Park, Sung-Hwa 35, 36 46, 50, 56, 63, 66, 84, Rees, Gwyn 56 Ruiz-Arias, Jose Parmiggiani, Flavio 51 103 Regimbeau, Fabienne Antonio 63, 86 Parracho, Ana 50 Pope, Edward 30 30, 93 Rummel, Udo 35 Päschke, Eileen 35 Popovici, Elena-Ana Reich, Hendrik 72 Ruosteenoja, Kimmo Pasqui, Massimiliano 33 Reid, Simon 28 71 97 Posselt, Rebekka 94 Reinartz, Tobias 60, 71 Rus, Marko 87 Pasqui, Massimiliano, Potleca, Michele 51 Reinert, Daniel 75, 78, Russo, Aniello 41, 73, 70 Potthast, Roland 72, 88 85 Patarčić, Mirta 50 82, 89 Rennermalm, Asa 51 Rustemeier, Elke 100, Paul, Anita 34 Pottiaux, Eric 65, 68 Renshaw, Richard 56, 104 Pay, María Teresa 87 Poulios, Ioannis 43 59 Rustullet, Joan Bech Pearson, David 73 Pozo-Vazquez, David Reyes, Carmen 30 94 Peline Nemeth, Csilla 57, 63, 86 Řezníčková, Ladislava Rutgersson, Anna 80 87 Pozzoli, Luca 31 80, 84 Rybníček, Michal 80 Peltola, Heli 83 Pretto, Ilaria 30 Rhodin, Andreas 72, Sabatier, Tiphaine 78 Peña, Juan Carlos 50, Primo, Cristina 82 82, 89 Saboret, Laurent 81 66 Principe, Olatz 53 Ricard, Didier 52, 88 Sáenz, Jon 35 Perčec Tadić, Melita Prodhomme, Chloé 97 Ricchi, Antonio 73, 85 Sahlée, Erik 80 83 Prohom, Marc J. 42, Ricciardelli, Elisabetta Saint-Drenan, Yves- Pernice, Maurizio 61 49, 50, 66, 70 61 Marie 57, 63 Perotto, Alessandro 63 Prokop, Ondřej 80 Riede, Jens O. 83 Sairouni, Abdel 42, Perrels, Adriaan 45, Prudhomme, Christel Rieger, Daniel 81 66, 70 59, 60, 67 56 Riihelä, Aku 61 Sakaf, Ilgar 85
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 112 Author index
Saku, Seppo 101 Schuck-Zöller, Simpson, Ian 73 Steger, Christian 33 Sala, Hernán 102 Susanne 46 Sinclair, Victoria 42, Steiner, Andrea 57 Salerno, Raffaele 64, Schulz, Christoph 81 45, 65, 68 Steinfeld, Gerald 43 98 Schulz, Joerg 46 Sinitsyn, Alexey 36 Stenni, Barbara 26, 39, Salinas, Jose Antonio Schupp, Maximilian Sismanidis, Panagiotis 42, 51 41 Felix 46 60 Štěpánek, Petr 41, 49 Salinas, Santo 81 Schwab, Maria 46 Six, Delphine 93 Stepanov, Igor 93 Salmond, Deborah 88 Schwab, William C. 85 Sjöblom, Anna 74 Stepanyuk, Oleg 45 Salvati, Marta 36 Schwierz, Cornelia 27, Skinner, Lucy 33 Sterl, Andreas 92 Salzmann, Manuela 42 30, 50, 59 Skok, Gregor 73, 96, Stiller, Olaf 89 Samaniego, Luis 56 Schwinzerl, Martin 29, 100, 104 Stocchi, Paolo 76 Samuel, Morin 93 95 Skořepa, Jan 34 Stojnić, Miran 33 Samuelsson, Patrick Schyska, Bruno 71 Skuja, Agnija 101 Stolzenberger, Sophie 56 Schyska, Bruno U. 77 Slavchev, Martin 68 98 Sánche Rodrigo, Sclavo, Mauro 73, 85 Smerkol, Peter 85 Stoycheva, Anastassia Fernando 94 Sedlmeier, Katrin 30 Smiraglia, Claudio 51 65 Sánchez, Enrique 45, Segersson, David 56 Smith, Doug 41, 47 Strajnar, Benedikt 85 51, 66 Seierstad, Ivar A. 98 Smith, Stefan Thor 70 Stržinar, Gregor 100 Sanchez, Eroteida 30 Seipold, Peer 27 Soares, Marta Bruno Stuerze, Andrea 68 Sanchez-Lorenzo, Seitola, Teija 97 27, 46 Stylianou, Stavros 61 Arturo 41, 49, 70 Seluchi, Marcelo 65 Soares, Pedro 85 Suchánková, Silvie 80 Sandgathe, Scott 78, Semedo, Alvaro 76, Soares, Pedro M. M. Sueiro, Gustavo 65, 75 96 80, 85, 86 76, 80, 85 Sulikowska, Agnieszka Sangelantoni, Lorenzo Semie, Addisu Söderman, Jennie P. 101 41, 73 Gezahegn 31 74 Sunter, Martyn 66 Sanna, Antonella 47 Sempreviva, Anna Sofianos, Sarantis 85 Sušnik, Andreja 34 Sanna, Francesca 38 Maria 76, 80, 85, 86 Sohn, Soo-Jin 84 Svensson, Nina 80 Sanò, Paolo 57 Senese, Antonella 39 Sokol Jurković, Renata Swart, Rob 56 Santos, Carlos 82 Seppi, Stefano 30 50 Switanek, Matthew Santos, Isimar 51 Serafin, Stefano 31 Solanki, Sami K. 28 Blaise 42 Santos-Alamillos, Sergeev, Daniil 54 Som de Cerff, Wim 56 Szabó, János Adolf 84 Francisco 86 Serquet, Gaelle 97 Song, Yunyoung 36 Szabó, Peter 80 Säntti, Kristiina 45 Serra, Aleix 70 Sorbjan, Zbigniew 47 Szabóné André, Sastre, Mariano 35 Serrano-Notivoli, Soret, Albert 54, 67, Karolina 46, 50, 63 Sato, Yuzuru 65 Roberto 83 77, 84, 86, 87, 98, 102 Szafranek, Karolina 68 Sattler, Theo 29 Severi, Mirko 39 Soubeyroux, Jean- Szczypta, Camille 63, Saulter, Andrew 73 Sghedoni, Mirka 84 Michel 30, 92 66 Saz, Miguel Ángel 83 Shang, Kezheng 102 Sozzi, Roberto 29 Szentimrey, Tamás 33, Scaife, Adam 30, 41, Shao, Xie 80 Spada, Francesco 63 41, 102 47 Sharma, Sunil 60 Spangehl, Thomas 49, Szwed, Malgorzata Scarchilli, Claudio 39 Sharpe, Michael 28 98 101 Schär, Christoph 50 Sharples, Emma 58 Sparasci, Fernando 38 Szymanowski, Mariusz Scheibel, Marc 104 Shelia, Vakhtang 98 Spiekermann, Raphael 99 Scherrer, Simon C. 50, Shi, Lan 74 42 Tabarelli, Davide 68 59, 94 Shimada, Susumu 36 Spinoni, Jonathan 50 Takeyama, Yuko 36 Schiavon, Mario 43 Shin, Sun-Hee 84 Spirig, Christoph 30, Talianu, Camelia 54 Schicker, Irene 68, 79 Shindler, Luca 77 41, 94 Tallec, Tiphaine 29 Schindler, Anne 27 Shon, Zang-Ho 85 Spogli, Luca 51 Tam, Chi-Yung 84 Schirmer, Michael 93 Shrestha, Prabhakar Sprenger, Michael 65, Tampieri, Francesco Schlather, Martin 75 43 75 43 Schlegel, Thomas 27 Siblot, Stanislas 79, 93 Springe, Gunta 101 Tanır Kayıkçı, Emine Schleiss, Marc 100 Sieck, Kevin 88 Špunda, Vladimír 86, 68 Schloen, Julia 76 Siefert, Malte 57, 60, 87 Tapakis, Rogiros 61 Schlünzen, K. Heinke 63, 74 Squintu, Antonello A. Tarand, Andres 80 57 Siegmund, Peter 94 41 Tardif, Robert 78 Schmitt, Anna 100 Silén, Johan 97 Srnec, Lidija 60 Tateo, Andrea 88 Schneider, Michel 92 Silva Busso, Adrián Stachoň, Zdeněk 80 Tattimambetova, Diana Schneider, Udo 104 102 Stähli, Manfred 33 103 Schoetter, Robert 95 Silva, Alfredo 51 Stanev, Emil 74, 76 Taylor, Andrea 40 Schömer, Elmar 75 Sima, Mihaela 33 Staneva, Joanna 73, Teather, John 43 Schönhuber, Michael Simmer, Clemens 43, 74, 76, 85, 86 Tedesco, Marco 51 29, 95 66 Šťastný, Pavel 88 Teferle, Norman 68 Schröder, Marc 49, 98 Simmonds, Ian 45 Staupe, Ilja 29 Tei, Claudio 72 Schroedter- Simó, Gemma 29, 47, Steeneveld, Gert-Jan Teichmann, Claas 27 Homscheidt, Marion 68 28, 35, 47, 52, 77, 78, Teigler, Rolf 46 57, 61, 63, 71, 74, 77, Simon, Elliot 74 99 Teixeira, Antoine 52 81, 86 Simon, Gergő 52 Stefan, Sabina 31, 54, Templ, Barbara 32 Simon, Pascal 83 67
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Author index 113
ten Veldhuis, Marie- Unkasevic, Miroslava Vitale, Vito 38, 51 Whelan, Eoin 63 claire 93, 95, 100, 104 34 Vitasse, Yann 39, 97 Wibig, Joanna 41, 92 Tenentes, Vasilis 60 Uno, Fumichika 86 Voces, Jose 30 Widmann, Martin 38, Thaler, Sabina 31 Urbančič, Jelko 64 Vogel, Bernhard 81 41, 50, 56 Theeuwes, Natalie 99 Urbini, Stefano 51 Vogt, Jürgen 50 Wild, Martin 41, 49 Theis, Susanne 90 Urlea, Ana Denisa 54 Vogt, Stephan 74 Wildmann, Norman 32 Thiele-Eich, Insa 66 Václavovic, Pavel 68 Vokoun, Martin 90 Wilgan, Karina 65 Thielen, Jutta 77 Vajda, Andrea 45, 46, Volker, Jake 28 Williams, Christopher Thierry, Lebel 93 51, 52, 98 Volker, Patrick J. H. 97 Thorne, Peter 38 Valášek, Hubert 80, 84 28, 81 Wing, Ian Sue 70 Thurai, Merhala 95 Valente, Maria Antónia von Bremen, Lüder 71, Winter, Barbara 71 Thysse, Peter 56 38, 67 77 Winter, Claus 46 Tijssen, Lars 45 Valentini, Andrea 73, von Hardenberg, Jost Winter, Kevin J.-P. M. Tilg, Anna-Maria 39 76 42 50 Tilinina, Natalia 45 Valher, Ajda 31 Votsis, Athanasios 45 Winterrath, Tanja 93, Time, Berit 27 Vallorani, Roberto 59, Vrabel, Vladimir 49 95, 100, 104 Toanca, Florica 54, 67 67 Wahl, Sabrina 63, 66, Wolf, Judith 39, 74 Todeschini, Ilaria 30 van Bussel, Gerard 81 71, 99 Wood, Andy 103 Tolasz, Radim 49 van de Berg, Willem Wahle, Kathrin 74, 76 Wrenger, Burkhard 32, Toll, Velle 47 Jan 94 Walawender, Ewelina 47, 68 Tomas-Burguera, van de Giesen, Nick 89 100 Wulfmeyer, Volker 39 Miquel 73 van den Besselaar, Walawender, Jakub P. Wurps, Hauke 43 Tomasi, Elena 87 Else 49, 56, 59, 70, 93, 99 Wypior, Markus 60 Tompkins, Adrian Mark 100 Wald, Lucien 57, 61, Wypych, Agnieszka 59 31, 52, 78, 79, 92, 99 van der Schrier, 63, 64, 71, 74, 77, 81, Xiao, Bingshuang 60 Tonidandel, Gabriele Gerard 33, 41, 49, 70, 86, 87 Xu, LiNa 74 30 80, 92, 93 Wallace, Emily 30, 41 Yabu, Shoukichi 31 Tordai, Ágoston 47 van der Vliet, Mendy Walter, Andreas 33 Yager, Patricia 51 Torma, Csaba 39, 97 94 Walter, Anne 89 Yagüe, Carlos 35 Torma, Peter 47 Váňa, Filip 88 Walter, Carolin 81 Yamada, Yoshinori 86 Tornay, Nathalie 95 Vanvyve, Emilie 30 Wandji, William 81 Yan, Lijun 38, 51 Torralba, Verónica 54, Varentsov, Mikhail 95, Wang, Chung-Chieh Yang, Shing-Ru 57 67, 77, 84 103 96 Yang, Xianyu 89 Torrigiani, Tommaso Varlec, Jure 40 Wang, Donghai 28, 38, Yang, Xiaohua 52 72 Varotsos, Konstantinos 51, 89 Yang, Xiaosong 94 Tosic, Ivana 66 V. 27 Wang, Hongyan 36 Yao, Chun-Kuei 99 Tovar-Pescador, Vasilescu, Jeni Wang, Jun 81 Yazicioglu, Hasan 81 Joaquin 57, 63, 86 Georgeta 54 Wang, Ping 57 Yhang, Yoo-Bin 84 Traversi, Rita 39 Vassileva, Keranka 65 Wang, Qj 103 Yiou, Pascal 27, 53, Trefalt, Simona 65 Vdovin, Maksim 54 Wang, Shigong 102 65, 80, 97 Treffeisen, Renate 46 Vecchi, Gabriel 94 Wang, Wanli 87 Yoshimura, Hiromasa Trentmann, Jörg 50, Večenaj, Željko 43 Wang, Yong 59, 67, 79 31 61, 70, 95 Veleva, Blagorodka 78 Wang, Yuanzhe 82 Yu, Rong 95 Trnka, Miroslav 80 Veljovic, Katarina 68, Ward, Helen 99 Zabini, Federica 72 Troccoli, Alberto 56, 87 82 Wardley, Jamie 74 Zahradníček, Pavel 49 Troitskaya, Yuliya 54 Venäläinen, Ari 83, Warner, James 77 Zalar, Mateja 60 Truhetz, Heimo 42 101 Warner, John C. 85 Zamuriano, Marcelo 35 Tsai, Chii-Yun 42 Ventura, Maria Clara Warrach-Sagi, Kirsten Zängl, Günther 88 Tschurtschenthaler, 38, 67 39 Zaninovic, Ksenija 60 Thomas 30 Verdecchia, Marco 39 Watts, Glenn 56 Zanis, Prodromos 87 Tseliou, Areti 57 Vergari, Stefania 57 Wedi, Nils 73 Zappa, Massimiliano Tsiringakis, Aristofanis Verrelle, Antoine 63, Wee Kang, Choong 81 33, 93, 103 78 66, 88 Wehner, Vanessa 57 Zardi, Dino 29, 31, 43, Tsiros, Ioannis 57 Vertačnik, Gregor 102 Wehring, Sabrina 33 64, 68, 87, 93 Tsubota, Yukimasa 74, Verver, Gé 59 Weidinger, Tamás 47 Zarea, Razvan 54 101 Vicente-Serrano, Weigelt, Marietta 46 Zaripov, Radomir 28 Tumolo, Giovanni 75 Sergio 73 Weigl, Elmar 100 Zawilski, Bartosz 29 Tuomenvirta, Heikki Viel, Christian 30, 93 Weissmann, Martin 72 Zaza, Imad 58 46, 71, 88 Viggiano, Mariassunta Wen, Jun 89 Zeileis , Achim 79 Tupman, David 32 61 Wen, Min 31 Zengin Kazancı, Selma Turňa, Maroš 88 Villanueva Urrutia, Weniger, Michael 96 68 Turpin, Mathieu 64 Elva 52 Wernli, Heini 65, 75 Zhai, Panmao 95 Tveito, Ole Einar 63, Villarino, Jose I. 30 Wessel, Arne 71 Zhang, Hanbin 82 70, 73, 83 Villasmunta, Vittorio 64 Westermayer, Anja 45 Zhang, Ning 52 Udisti, Roberto 39 Vincent, Christian 93 Wetterhall, Fredrik 93, Zhang, Renhe 31 Unal, Alper 31 Viola, Angelo 38, 43, 103 Zhang, Ruonan 31 Undén, Per 56, 59 51 Wettstein, Justin J. 27 Zhang, Ying 102 Ungersböck, Markus Vionnet, Vincent 93 Weusthoff, Tanja 59 Zhao, Yuxin 60 34 Visconti, Guido 47 Wey, Etienne 81, 86 Zheleznova, Irina 95
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 114 Author index
Zheng, Xiaodong 60 Ziese, Markus 93, 95, Zoldoš, Marko 33 Zucker, Andreas 77 Zhu, Jianjun 38, 51 100, 104 Zsebeházi, Gabriella Zuo, Hongchao 67 Zhu, Rong 77 Zilitinkevich, Sergej 43, 95 Zus, Florian 68 Ziakopoulou, Nicoleta 54 Zsilinszki, Anna 66, 75 Zuvela-Aloise, Maja 95 74 Zin, Isabella 79, 93 Zubler, Elias 50 Żmudzka, Elwira 83 Zubler, Elias M. 50
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy Floor plans 115
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 116 Floor plans
16th EMS & 11th ECAC | 12–16 September 2016 | Trieste, Italy 2012 2015Award Award Winning Winning Poster Poster Ensemble-Based Soil Initialization for Seasonal-to-Decadal Predictions
J. Tödter and B. Ahrens ([email protected]) Institute for Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Goethe University, Frankfurt/Main, Germany
Motivation Approach: Ensemble-based data assimilation As the ocean, the long-term memory of the (deep) soil exhibits potential seasonal-to-decadal predictability.[1] → Use o+ine soil model (TERRA-ML from COSMO-CLM) → Assimilate atmospheric forcing data and satellite observations → Soil temperature & moisture should be initialized as → TERRA-ML transports observational information downwards realistic as possible. Challenge: There are no observations for the deep soil... → Achieve optimized soil initial state for predictions
Observation Simulation System Experiments
TERRA-ML Results State estimation ● Multilayer land surface scheme, default in Compare (lter analysis with spin-up One observation per day already valuable: COSMO-CLM (forcing only) and truth over one year: → Soil temperature & moisture are estimated ● Prognoses soil temperature & moisture more reliably and quicker than with spin-up ● O+ine model, driven by atmospheric forcing T_SO(5m) W_SO(5m) ROOTDP Parameter estimation Data assimilation experiment Tr u e root depth can be ● One vertical soil column (Lindenberg) retrieved ● Use Ensemble Kalman Filter → Estimation of un- ● Generate truth run, but initialize 5lter with certain parameters Time [d] strong bias (initial uncertainty) works in principle Time [d] Time [d] Observations → Deep soil estimation by ensemble Evolution of truth, analysis and spin-up in 5m depth for Soil temperature & moisture in 5rst layer only soil temperature (T_SO) and moisture (W_SO) for one year. data assimilation is feasible.
Regional Data Assimilation with Real Observations Technical setup Data assimilation system Satellite observations ● Domain: Africa, decade 2001-2010, Generates soil initial conditions ● Daily ESA CCI surface soil within the MiKlip-DEPARTURE project moisture[5] in year 2000 ● TERRA-ML coupled with Parallel Data WATCH ● Includes uncertainty [2] F Assimilation Framework (PDAF ) Near surface or ce information: used as observation ● Use Local Ensemble Transform atmosphere TERRA-ML 1979-2010 offline [3] error in DA system Kalman 5lter (LETKF ) soil moisture CCI soil moisture ● Soil temperature unobserved, te soil temperature ESA satellites, ila 1979-2010
im I but is updated through optional, ss n Satellite observations of the surface volumetric
Methodology A i
t
only 2000 i correlations with soil moisture soil moisture content on 16.06.2000.
a
● Create land surface re-analysis 1979- l i
z (e.g., heat capacity and transfer
[4] e 2010 using WATCH forcing data coe!cient depend on soil moisture) → Regional, ensemble-based ● Additionally assimilate satellite soil Coupled COSMO-CLM land surface data assimilation moisture in 2000 decadal predictions system fully working.
Impact on Decadal Predictions Setup Results ● Decadal COSMO-CLM hindcast (2001-2010) → Soil initialization consistently improves the Correlations with observations for all sub- for Africa, downscales global MPI-ESM predictability of sub-periods in all regions: periods of the decade in the 3 regions: ● Initialize with soil 5elds from DA system at ● WS/CS: particularly for longer periods 01.01.2001 (00 UTC) WS CS GC ● GC: particularly at end of decade feeds Comparison with other boundary conditions Assimilation Initialization Coupled run (TERRA) CCLM run JJAS precip., MPI-ESM: global model 2001-2010 CCLM: standard COSMO-CLM CCLM-VEG: with VEG3D 2000 2001 2010 Correlation Western / instead of TERRA_ML Central Sahel CCLM-LUC: with new land Evaluation (WS/CS) WS CS use data to generate the BC ● CCLM-SOIL: with new soil West African Monsoon (WAM) precipitation in initial 5elds three regions: Guinea Coast (GC), Western & MPI-ESM CCLM CCLM-VEG CCLM-LUC CCLM-SOIL CCLM CCLM CCLM Central Sahel (WS, CS) +SOIL +SOIL +SOIL ● RCMs outperform the GCM and land surface ● Compare new soil initialization (CCLM-SOIL) BCs inHuence the decadal predictability with standard initialization (= soil taken from Correlations between observed & simulated JJAS precipitation for all sub- periods in 2001-2010. The upper panel shows the results for the standard ● Improved soil initialization increases skill in ERA-driven historical COSMO-CLM run) CCLM hindcasts, while the lower panel uses new soil initial conditions. X-axis = start year ; Y-axis = end year both regions
Conclusions and Outlook Conclusions → Soil initialization is relevant for medium-range climate Outlook ▶ Further evaluation → Predictive skill can be enhanced by soil initialization with WEATHER SEASONAL/ CLIMATE ▶ ensemble data assimilation due to long-term memory Initial Value DECADAL Boundary Use new satellite products → Limited by model & observations errors, but high potential Problem ⇽ Both ⇾ Value Problem ▶ Application to other predictions/models due to improved satellite observations within past years ▶ Exploration of parameter estimation
References Presented at the 15th EMS Annual Meeting & 12th European [1] Bellucci et al. (2015): Advancements in decadal climate predictability: the role of non-oceanic drivers. Reviews of Geophysics, 53, 165-202. [2] Nerger and Hiller (2013). Software for Ensemble-based Data Assimilation Systems - Implementation Strategies and Scalability. Comp. & Geosc, 55, 110-118. Conference on Applications of Meteorology (ECAM) [3] Hunt et al. (2007): Efficient data assimilation for spatiotemporal chaos: A local ensemble transform Kalman filter. Physica D, 230, 112–126. (So a, Sept. 2015) [4] Weedon et al. (2014): The WFDEI meteorological forcing data set: WATCH Forcing Data methodology applied to ERA-Interim reanalysis data. Water Res. Res., 50, 7505-7514. [5] Dorigo et al. (2014): Evaluation of the ESA CCI soil moisture product using ground-based observations. Remote Sensing of Environment, 162, 380-395 Support by the MiKlip project (BMBF, Germany) is acknowledged. We thank our sponsors and supporters
EUMETCAL EIG EUMETNET PROJECT | 11th European Conference on Applied Climatology (ECAC) European Conference on | 11th 16th EMS Annual Meeting 16th EMS