The lending landscape in the United States is rapidly changing. Companies like Zillow are announcing their entry into mortgage lending, creating a significant business-loss scenario for banks and credit unions across the U.S.
In this report, we investigate how top-50 lenders are losing their website audiences — potential homebuyers — to platforms like Zillow, Trulia, Redfin, and Realtor.com.
The traffic overlap between lender websites and real estate platforms is 46 million visitors. If just 5% of these visitors in common converted with platforms like Zillow, U.S. banks would face hundreds of billions of dollars in lost business.
But not all is lost: banks that have adopted digital home discovery and mortgage experience technologies have seen their overlap with Zillow- like platforms decrease, reducing business losses.
The combined audience overlap traffic between top lenders and real estate platforms is close to 550 million yearly visitors. (These are online consumers that left their bank's website, then visited Zillow, Trulia, Redfin, or Realtor.com).
If we assume that 5 percent of this traffic comes from serious homebuyers seeking a loan in the next 12 months, this overlap amounts to 2.76 million mortgages — roughly the same number of mortgages that the top 40 US mortgage lenders process in 1 year.
If even a fraction of these 2.76 million consumers secured their mortgages through a major real estate portal instead of a traditional lender, the effect on banks across the U.S. would be crippling.
On Zillow alone, 21 million visitors per month (over 250 million per year) overlap with the top 50 lenders. If
5 percent of this traffic came from motivated homebuyers, they'd account for 1.26 million potential mortgages per year.
If just 5 percent of those borrowers chose Zillow for their mortgage needs, the platform would rank among the top 10 mortgage lenders in the US. If half of those borrowers converted, Zillow would outperform the
top 8 lenders put together.
TOP HIGHLIGHTS
The average monthly visitor overlap with Trulia across the top 50 lenders increased from 13% in 2018 to 19% in 2019.
The total overlap between Zillow and the top 50 lenders in the US is over 21 million website visitors per month.
The average monthly visitor overlap with Zillow across the top 50 lenders increased from 35% in 2018 to 43% in 2019.
If Zillow converted just 5% of their audience overlap traffic (i.e., those who have buyer intent) with top lenders in the US, they would become one of the largest mortgage lenders in the country.
The average monthly visitor overlap with Redfin across the top 50 lenders increased from 14.7% in 2018 to 20% in 2019.
If Trulia, Redfin, Realtor.com were to join Zillow
in giving mortgages to overlapping audiences, they could generate as much as $40 billion per month.
In 2018, 38% of the top 50 US lenders had an audience overlap with Realtor.com of 20% or higher. In 2019, this overlap increased to 48%.
Even if they convert a small fraction of their traffic, Zillow, Redfin, Realtor.com, and Trulia have the potential to generate 172K mortgages per month.
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country.
How Audience Overlap with Zillow Has Changed for Top 50 Mortgage Lenders Since 2018
2018 - % Audience Overlap With 2019 - % Audience Overlap With
Zillow
Zillow
20 10
0
25 20 15 10
5
17
21
15
17
- 8
- 8
8
4
0
- Overlap %
- Overlap %
- 1% - 20%
- 20 % - 30%
- 30% - 50%
- 50% - 100%
- 1% - 20%
- 20 % - 30%
- 30% - 50%
- 50% - 100%
(2 lenders with less than 1% audience overlap)
The number of mortgage lenders that share a 50%+ overlap with
Zillow increased 2.5X in the past 12 months.
The share of lenders with an audience overlap of less than 50% with Zillow has shrunk over past 12 months due to overlap increases.
In 2018, only 8 of the top 50 US mortgage lenders had an overlap of 50% or higher with Zillow. By the end of 2019, 21 of the top 50 mortgage lenders can say the same.
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2018 - % Audience Overlap With 2019 - % Audience Overlap With
Trulia Trulia
33
31
35 30 25 20 15 10
5
35 30 25 20 15 10
5
- 9
- 9
4
3
2
- 0
- 0
- Overlap %
- Overlap %
- 1% - 20%
- 20 % - 30%
- 30% - 50%
- 50% - 100%
- 1% - 20%
- 20 % - 30%
- 30% - 50%
- 50% - 100%
- (5 lenders with less than 1% audience overlap)
- (4 lenders with less than 1% audience overlap)
The number of mortgage lenders that share a 30%+ overlap with
Trulia increased nearly 4X in the past 12 months.
Average monthly overlap across all top 50 lenders went up from
13% in 2018 to 19% in 2019.
The share of lenders with an overlap of 20-30% with Trulia has shrunk over past 12 months due to overlap increases.
In 2018, most top-50 US lenders had an audience overlap with Trulia of 20% or less. In 2019, 11 top lenders have a significant overlap with Trulia.
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2018 - % Audience Overlap With 2019 - % Audience Overlap With
- Redfin
- Redfin
30
29
30 20 10
0
30 20 10
0
9
- 6
- 6
5
4
2
- Overlap %
- Overlap %
- 1% - 20%
- 20 % - 30%
- 30% - 50%
- 50% - 100%
- 1% - 20%
- 20 % - 30%
- 30% - 50%
- 50% - 100%
- (4 lenders with less than 1% audience overlap)
- (4 lenders with less than 1% audience overlap)
The number of mortgage lenders that share a 30%+ overlap with
Redfin increased nearly 2X in the past 12 months.
Average monthly overlap across all top 50 lenders went up from
14.7% in 2018 to 20% in 2019.
The share of lenders that had an overlap of 20- 30% with Redfin has shrunk over past 12 months due to overlap increases.
In 2018, most top-50 US lenders had an audience overlap with Redfin of 20% or less. In 2019, 11 top lenders have a significant overlap with Redfin.
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2019 - % Audience Overlap With
Realtor.com
2018 - % Audience Overlap With
Realtor.com
30 15
0
30 15
0
26
25
10
9
8
8
6
2
Overlap %
Overlap %
- 1% - 20%
- 20 % - 30%
- 30% - 50%
- 50% - 100%
- 1% - 20%
- 20 % - 30%
- 30% - 50%
- 50% - 100%
- (4 lenders with less than 1% audience overlap)
- (4 lenders with less than 1% audience overlap)
The number of mortgage lenders that share a 30%+ overlap with
Realtor.com increased nearly 2X in the past 12 months.
Average monthly overlap across all top 50 lenders went up from
18.5% in 2018 to 30% in 2019.
The share of lenders that had an overlap of 20- 30% with Realtor.com has shrunk over past 12 months due to overlap increases.
In 2018, 38% of the top 50 US-based lenders had an audience overlap with Realtor.com of 20% or higher. In 2019, that share increased to 48%.
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About Bank of America's Digital Mortgage Experience
Bank of America's Early Successes With Real Estate Center®
The Bank of America Real Estate Center® enables consumers to complete a mortgage application, no matter where they are in their homebuying journey. Potential borrowers can see suitable homes and home values and receive integrated personal assistance from a lending specialist.
Since the launch of the tool, adoption has steadily increased, with weekly application volumes up 10x. 20% of Bank of America mortgage applications are now sourced digitally. Time to close has been reduced by roughly 20%
OVERLAP WITH ZILLOW DECREASES
May 2018 to September 2019 - Bank of America website audience overlap with Zillow becomes smaller and goes down from 34% to 22%.
OVERLAP WITH TRULIA DECREASES
May 2018 to September 2019 - Bank of America website audience overlap with Trulia becomes smaller and goes down from 15% to 7%.
OVERLAP WITH REDFIN DECREASES
May 2018 to September 2019 - Bank of America website audience overlap with Redfin becomes smaller and goes down from 16% to 9%.
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Audience Overlap
Wells Fargo - Audience Overlap % Change
22.01%
25 20 15 10
5
17.19%
13.99%
9.06%
7.98%
7.11%
6.34%
5.26%
0
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
JPMorgan Chase
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Audience Overlap
JPMorgan Chase - Audience Overlap % Change
22.49%
25 20 15 10
5
19.94%
14.11%
9.06%
9.01%
7.85%
7.16%
7.02%
0
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
Quicken Loans - Audience Overlap % Change
34.53%
35 30 25 20 15 10
5
26.53%
24.33%
17.71%
15.52%
13.10%
12.83%
6.81%
0
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
Loan Depot - Audience Overlap % Change
35.06%
40 30 20 10
0
28.38%
22.84%
17.41%
15.42%
14.87%
12.41%
9.93%
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
Guild Mortgage Company - Audience Overlap % Change
44.39%
43.49%
50 40 30 20 10
0
28.70%
23.58%
22.21%
20.32%
13.88%
13.44%
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
PrimeLending - Audience Overlap % Change
52.04%
60 50 40 30 20 10
0
50.32%
44.08%
38.15%
31.43%
30.21%
15.90%
12.44%
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
USAA - Audience Overlap % Change
23.43%
22.07%
25 20 15 10
5
15.76%
10.43%
10.05%
8.71%
7.17%
6.22%
0
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
NAVY Federal Credit Union - Audience Overlap % Change
24.70%
21.78%
25 20 15 10
5
17.05%
11.22%
10.12%
9.59%
8.60%
6.51%
0
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
HomeBridge Financial Services - Audience Overlap % Change
57.90%
60 50 40 30 20 10
0
49.78%
36.93%
22.71%
20.17% 20.17%
- 6.77%
- 6.77%
2018
Zillow
2019
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
First Republic Bank - Audience Overlap % Change
30.25%
35 30 25 20 15 10
5
29.64%
23.06%
21.88%
20.77%
13.43%
12.76%
7.31%
0
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
PNC Bank N.A. - Audience Overlap % Change
25 20 15 10
5
21.15%
20.19%
13.93%
10.47%
9.84%
8.31%
6.43%
6.00%
0
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
MUFG Union Bank N.A. - Audience Overlap % Change
32.05%
35 30 25 20 15 10
5
22.05%
17.32%
12.22%
11.23%
8.35%
7.91%
4.31%
0
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
Citizens Bank N.A. - Audience Overlap % Change
24.19%
21.53%
25 20 15 10
5
17.82%
11.35%
10.80%
9.53%
7.40%
6.94%
0
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
Capital One N.A. - Audience Overlap % Change
210
1.18%
1.17%
0.97%
0.82%
0.54%
0.44%
0.35%
0.13%
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
TIAA, FSB - Audience Overlap % Change
- 27.42%
- 27.43%
30 20 10
0
18.82%
13.76%
11.88%
10.51%
8.96%
8.14%
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
CMG Mortgage Inc. - Audience Overlap % Change
66.80%
70 60 50 40 30 20 10
0
50.88%
27.45%
- 20.02%
- 19.85%
18.82%
- 14.22%
- 14.09%
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
Franklin American Mortgage Co. - Audience Overlap % Change
51.89%
60 50 40 30 20 10
0
48.26%
40.97%
25.03% 25.03%
24.26%
18.14%
14.03%
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
Pulte Mortgage LLC - Audience Overlap % Change
58.13%
60 50 40 30 20 10
0
49.54%
47.25% 47.25%
44.89%
22.91%
21.03%
20.12%
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
Lend US LLC - Audience Overlap % Change
100%
100
90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10
0
52.45%
36.71% 36.71%
- 0%
- 0%
- 0%
- 0%
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
The Huntington National Bank - Audience Overlap % Change
23.92%
25 20 15 10
5
19.90%
17.68%
10.19%
10.04%
8.73%
4.14%
3.45%
0
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
Regions Bank - Audience Overlap % Change
18.85%
20 10
0
16.00%
15.26%
8.70%
8.61%
7.92%
4.75%
2.57%
- 2018
- 2019
- Zillow
- Realtor.com
- Redfin
- Trulia
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Audience Overlap
Plaza Home Mortgage Inc. - Audience Overlap % Change
57.90%
60 50 40 30 20 10
0
49.78%
36.93%
22.71%
20.17% 20.17%
- 6.77%
- 6.77%