View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Birkbeck Institutional Research Online Birkbeck ePrints BIROn - Birkbeck Institutional Research Online Enabling open access to Birkbeck’s published research output The end of secularization in Europe? A socio- demographic perspective Journal Article http://eprints.bbk.ac.uk/4941 Version: Unspecified Draft (Unrefereed) Citation: Kaufmann, E.; Vegard, S.; Anne, G. (2012) The end of secularization in Europe? A socio-demographic perspective Sociology of Religion (In Press) © 2012 Oxford Journals Publisher Version ______________________________________________________________ All articles available through Birkbeck ePrints are protected by intellectual property law, including copyright law. Any use made of the contents should comply with the relevant law. ______________________________________________________________ Deposit Guide Contact:
[email protected] The secularization debate involves a lengthy time horizon and competing predictions over mankind’s cultural future (Swatos and Olson 2000). Each party possesses its cherished ‘master narratives’: taken-for-granted outlooks regarding where we have come from and where we are going, which can structure interpretations of data (Taylor 2007: 427-8; 2009). In addition, the immense complexity of the terms ‘religion’ and ‘secularization’ and their symbiotic historical and etymological relationship problematize the issue (Casanova 1994). Notwithstanding these difficulties, at the most basic level, there exist competing visions concerning the relative trajectory of distinct ‘secular’ and ‘religious’ populations. With so much at stake, it is surprising that two major aspects of religious change in Europe have generally been overlooked: first, shifts in the rate (rather than merely the direction) of religious change; second, the population dynamics of religious change, i.e.