The Great Escape?
The Great Escape? A Quantitative Evaluation of the Fed's Liquidity Facilities∗ Marco Del Negro, Gauti Eggertsson, Andrea Ferrero, Nobuhiro Kiyotaki Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Brown, Oxford, and Princeton University May 1, 2016 Abstract We introduce liquidity frictions into an otherwise standard DSGE model with nominal and real rigidities and ask: Can a shock to the liquidity of private paper lead to a collapse in short-term nominal interest rates and a recession like the one associated with the 2008 U.S. financial crisis? Once the nominal interest rate reaches the zero bound, what are the effects of interventions in which the government provides liquidity in exchange for illiquid private paper? We find that the effects of the liquidity shock can be large, and show some numerical examples in which the liquidity facilities prevented a repeat of the Great Depression in 2008-2009. JEL Classification: E44, E58 Key Words: Financial crisis, liquidity shocks, financing constraints, liquidity facilities, zero lower bound ∗The views expressed in this paper are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System. The first draft of this paper (2010) circulated with the title \The Great Escape? A Quantitative Evaluation of the Fed's Non-Standard Policies." We thank Sonia Gilbukh and Micah Smith for outstanding research assistance, and several colleagues at the FRBNY for help in obtaining and constructing financial data and for valuable suggestions (Nancy Duong, Michael Fleming, Domenico Giannone, Ernst Schaumburg, Or Shachar, Zachary Wojtowicz). We also thank for their helpful comments Pierpaolo Benigno, Luis Cespedes, Isabel Correia, Jes´usFernandez-Villaverde, James Hamilton, Thomas Laubach, Zheng Liu, John Moore, Diego Rodriguez, Cedric Tille, Oreste Tristani, Jaume Ventura, as well as participants in various seminars and conferences.
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