Capital Accumulation: Fiction and Reality
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Demographics, Wealth, and Global Imbalances in the Twenty-First Century
Demographics, Wealth, and Global Imbalances in the Twenty-First Century § Adrien Auclert∗ Hannes Malmbergy Frédéric Martenetz Matthew Rognlie August 2021 Abstract We use a sufficient statistic approach to quantify the general equilibrium effects of population aging on wealth accumulation, expected asset returns, and global im- balances. Combining population forecasts with household survey data from 25 coun- tries, we measure the compositional effect of aging: how a changing age distribution affects wealth-to-GDP, holding the age profiles of assets and labor income fixed. In a baseline overlapping generations model this statistic, in conjunction with cross- sectional information and two standard macro parameters, pins down general equi- librium outcomes. Since the compositional effect is positive, large, and heterogeneous across countries, our model predicts that population aging will increase wealth-to- GDP ratios, lower asset returns, and widen global imbalances through the twenty-first century. These conclusions extend to a richer model in which bequests, individual savings, and the tax-and-transfer system all respond to demographic change. ∗Stanford University, NBER and CEPR. Email: [email protected]. yUniversity of Minnesota. Email: [email protected]. zStanford University. Email: [email protected]. §Northwestern University and NBER. Email: [email protected]. For helpful comments, we thank Rishabh Aggarwal, Mark Aguiar, Anmol Bhandari, Olivier Blanchard, Maricristina De Nardi, Charles Goodhart, Nezih Guner, Fatih Guvenen, Daniel Harenberg, Martin Holm, Gregor Jarosch, Patrick Kehoe, Patrick Kiernan, Pete Klenow, Dirk Krueger, Kieran Larkin, Ellen McGrat- tan, Kurt Mitman, Ben Moll, Serdar Ozkan, Christina Patterson, Alessandra Peter, Jim Poterba, Jacob Rob- bins, Richard Rogerson, Ananth Seshadri, Isaac Sorkin, Kjetil Storesletten, Ludwig Straub, Amir Sufi, Chris Tonetti, David Weil, Arlene Wong, Owen Zidar and Nathan Zorzi. -
Global Wealth Inequality
EC11CH05_Zucman ARjats.cls August 7, 2019 12:27 Annual Review of Economics Global Wealth Inequality Gabriel Zucman1,2 1Department of Economics, University of California, Berkeley, California 94720, USA; email: [email protected] 2National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA Annu. Rev. Econ. 2019. 11:109–38 Keywords First published as a Review in Advance on inequality, wealth, tax havens May 13, 2019 The Annual Review of Economics is online at Abstract economics.annualreviews.org This article reviews the recent literature on the dynamics of global wealth https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-economics- Annu. Rev. Econ. 2019.11:109-138. Downloaded from www.annualreviews.org inequality. I first reconcile available estimates of wealth inequality inthe 080218-025852 United States. Both surveys and tax data show that wealth inequality has in- Access provided by University of California - Berkeley on 08/26/19. For personal use only. Copyright © 2019 by Annual Reviews. creased dramatically since the 1980s, with a top 1% wealth share of approx- All rights reserved imately 40% in 2016 versus 25–30% in the 1980s. Second, I discuss the fast- JEL codes: D31, E21, H26 growing literature on wealth inequality across the world. Evidence points toward a rise in global wealth concentration: For China, Europe, and the United States combined, the top 1% wealth share has increased from 28% in 1980 to 33% today, while the bottom 75% share hovered around 10%. Recent studies, however, may underestimate the level and rise of inequal- ity, as financial globalization makes it increasingly hard to measure wealth at the top. -
A WILPF Guide to Feminist Political Economy
A WILPF GUIDE TO FEMINIST POLITICAL ECONOMY Brief for WILPF members Table of Contents Advancing WILPF’s approach to peace . 2 Political economy as a tool . 4 A feminist twist to understanding political economy . 4 Feminist political economy in the context of neoliberal policies . 5 Gendered economy of investments . 7 Feminist political economy analysis - How does WILPF do it? . 9 What questions do we need to ask? . 10 Case study . 12 © 2018 Women’s International League for Peace and Freedom August 2018 A User Guide to Feminist Political Economy 2nd Edition 13 pp. Authors: Nela Porobic Isakovic Editors: Nela Porobic Isakovic, Nina Maria Hansen, Cover photo Madeleine Rees, Gorana Mlinarevic Brick wall painting of faces by Design: Nadia Joubert Oliver Cole (@oliver_photographer) www.wilpf.org on Unsplash.com 1 Advancing WILPF’s approach to peace HOW CAN FEMINIST UNDERSTANDING OF POLITICAL ECONOMY IN CONFLICT OR POST-CONFLICT CONTEXT HELP ADVANCE WILPF’S APPROACH TO PEACE? Political economy makes explicit linkages between political, economic and social factors. It is concerned with how politics can influence the economy. It looks at the access to, and distribution of wealth and power in order to understand why, by whom, and for whom certain decisions are taken, and how they affect societies – politically, economically and socially. It combines different sets of academic disciplines, most notably political science, economy and sociology, but also law, history and other disciplines. By using feminist political economy, WILPF seeks to understand the broader context of war and post-conflict recovery, and to deconstruct seemingly fixed and unchangeable economic, social, and political parameters. -
Capitalist Crisis and the Rise of Monetarism
CAPITALIST CRISIS AND THE RISE OF MONETARISM Simon Clarke What is the significance of 'monetarism' for an understanding of the relationship between the economy and the capitalist state? Before we can address the question we have to try to define 'monetarism'. In the strictest sense 'monetarism' refers to the advocacy of the quantity theory of money and a policy preoccupation with the growth of the money supply. In this sense monetarism expresses a pre-Keynesian ortho- doxy, that has been perpetuated by a few cranks and that inexplicably grabbed the hearts and minds of economists and politicians for the best part of a decade, between 1975 and 1985. This is the view that has tended to be taken by economists who remain committed to a Keynesian analysis. For these economists monetarism was a combination of huckstering and collective madness that led to mistaken economic policies. The response to monetarism was to keep faith and wait until normal sanity was resumed. Such a view has apparently now been vindicated by the almost universal abandonment of this kind of monetarist orthodoxy, although elements of its rhetoric remain. This is to take much too narrow a view of monetarism. Although this narrow monetarism has been utterly discredited, and the money supply no longer has the fetishistic significance that it briefly enjoyed, the broader contours of the politics and ideology of monetarism remain with us, and have been assimilated by many of those of a Keynesian persuasion. This politics and ideology relates not so much to the narrow technical issues of monetary policy and the control of the money supply as to the broader questions of the relations between the state and the economy. -
Fictitious Capital and the Elusive Quest in Understanding Its Implications: Illusions and Paradoxes*
CADMUS, Volume 2, No.3, October 2014, 55-65 Fictitious Capital and the Elusive Quest in Understanding its Implications: Illusions and Paradoxes* Joanílio Rodolpho Teixeira Fellow, World Academy of Art & Science; Emeritus Professor, University of Brasilia, Brazil Paula Felix Ferreira Post-graduate Student, Autonomous University of Madrid, Spain Abstract This paper deals with the interaction between fictitious capital and the neoliberal model of growth and distribution, inspired by the classical economic tradition. Our renewed interest in this literature has a close connection with the recent international crisis in the capitalist economy. However, this discussion takes as its point of departure the fact that standard eco- nomic theory teaches that financial capital, in this world of increasing globalization, leads to new investment opportunities which improve levels of growth, employment, income distribu- tion, and equilibrium. Accordingly, it is said that such financial resources expand the welfare of people and countries worldwide. Here we examine some illusions and paradoxes of such a paradigm. We show some theoretical and empirical consequences of this vision, which are quite different and have harmful constraints. 1. Introduction There is an extensive controversy concerning traditional models of economic equi- librium and new development paradigms based on an interdisciplinary, broader study of economics. When faced with the harmful effects of misguided directives in an economic and global sense, theorists have the obligation not only to explain their causes, but also to offer a practical solution or alternate thinking. After all, consistent levels of poverty, unemploy- ment and low growth are results which were not expected in orthodox economic models of equilibrium and should be dealt with instead of being thrown aside as a politically restricted issue. -
150 Years Karl Marx's “Capital”
150 years Karl Marx’s “Capital” Reflections for the 21st century INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE 14-15.1.2017 | Olympia Hall – Garden of Zappio Athens - Greece 2 150 YEARS KARL MARX’S “CAPITAL” 150 ΧΡΌΝΙΑ ΚΑΡΛ ΜΑΡΞ ΤΟ ΚΕΦΆΛ150 YEARSΆΙΟ KARL MARX’S “CAPITAL” 150 years Karl Marx’s “Capital” Reflections for the 21st century INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE 14-15.1.2017 Olympia Hall – Garden of Zappio Athens - Greece CONTENTS PREFACE . 9 INTRODUCTION ◊ John Milios . 11 New Readings and New Texts: Marx’s Capital after MEGA2* Michael Heinrich. 15 Old readings ◊ New readings since the 1960s ◊ New insights from new texts in MEGA2 ◊ Not one, but two critical projects since 1857 ◊ The disparate character of Capital manuscripts ◊ Value theory ◊ The law of the tendency of the rate of profit to fall ◊ Crisis theory after 1865 Comments: Dimitris Papafotiou . 26 Money in Marx: from value-form analysis to an understanding of modern capitalism Spyros Lapatsioras and Dimitris P. Sotiropoulos . 35 1. Money, commodity, and value-form ◊ 2. Credit-money: money as a means of payment ◊ 3. The form of capital ◊ 4. Money as capital ◊ 5. Derivatives ◊ 6. Epilogue: the dynamics of contemporary capitalism ◊ References Comments: Christos Vallianos . 55 If you don’t understand the Second Product, you understand nothing about Capital Michael A. Lebowitz . 63 Capitalism as an organic system ◊ The fearful symmetry of hats and men ◊ Marx’s plan ◊ The missing second product Comments: George Economakis . 82 1. The ‘second product’ in Capital ◊ 2. Wages in Capital and the “symmetry” of hats and men ◊ 3. An initial critical commentary ◊ 4. The issue of the real wage as a set amount of means of subsistence in Marx and the ‘Ricardian Default’ ◊ 5. -
Inside Money, Business Cycle, and Bank Capital Requirements
Inside Money, Business Cycle, and Bank Capital Requirements Jaevin Park∗y April 13, 2018 Abstract A search theoretical model is constructed to study bank capital requirements in a respect of inside money. In the model bank liabilities, backed by bank assets, are useful for exchange, while bank capital is not. When the supply of bank liabilities is not sufficiently large for the trading demand, banks do not issue bank capital in competitive equilibrium. This equilibrium allocation can be suboptimal when the bank assets are exposed to the aggregate risk. Specifically, a pecuniary externality is generated because banks do not internalize the impact of issuing inside money on the asset prices in general equilibrium. Imposing a pro-cyclical capital requirement can improve the welfare by raising the price of bank assets in both states. Key Words: constrained inefficiency, pecuniary externality, limited commitment JEL Codes: E42, E58 ∗Department of Economics, The University of Mississippi. E-mail: [email protected] yI am greatly indebted to Stephen Williamson for his continuous support and guidance. I am thankful to John Conlon for his dedicated advice on this paper. This paper has also benefited from the comments of Gaetano Antinolfi, Costas Azariadis and participants at Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Korean Development Institute, The University of Mississippi, Washington University in St. Louis, and 2015 Mid-West Macro Conference at Purdue University. All errors are mine. 1 1 Introduction Why do we need to impose capital requirements to banks? If needed, should it be pro- cyclical or counter-cyclical? A conventional rationale for bank capital requirements is based on deposit insurance: Banks tend to take too much risk under this safety net, so bank capital requirements are needed to correct the moral hazard problem created by deposit insurance. -
Capital As Process and the History of Capitalism
Jonathan Levy Capital as Process and the History of Capitalism In the wake of the Great Recession, a new cycle of scholarship opened on the history of American capitalism. This occurred, however, without much specification of the subject at hand. In this essay, I offer a conceptualization of capitalism, by focus- ing on its root—capital. Much historical writing has treated capital as a physical factor of production. Against such a “mate- rialist” capital concept, I define capital as a pecuniary process of forward-looking valuation, associated with investment. Engag- ing recent work across literatures, I try to show how this con- ceptualization of capital and capitalism helps illuminate many core dynamics of modern economic life. Keywords: capitalism, capital theory, economic thought, finance, Industrial Revolution, Keynes, money, slavery, Veblen ecently, the so-called new history of capitalism has helped bring Reconomic life back closer to the center of the professional historical agenda. But what further point might it now serve—especially for schol- ars toiling in the fields of business and economic history all the while independent of historiographical fashion and trend? In the wake of the U.S. financial panic of 2008 and the Great Reces- sion that followed, in the field of U.S. history a new cycle of scholarship on the history of American capitalism opened, but without all that much conceptualization of the subject at hand—capitalism. If there has been one shared impulse, it is probably the study of commodification. Follow the commodity wherever it may lead, across thresholds of space, time, and the ever-expanding boundaries of the market. -
Modern Monetary Theory: a Marxist Critique
Class, Race and Corporate Power Volume 7 Issue 1 Article 1 2019 Modern Monetary Theory: A Marxist Critique Michael Roberts [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/classracecorporatepower Part of the Economics Commons Recommended Citation Roberts, Michael (2019) "Modern Monetary Theory: A Marxist Critique," Class, Race and Corporate Power: Vol. 7 : Iss. 1 , Article 1. DOI: 10.25148/CRCP.7.1.008316 Available at: https://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/classracecorporatepower/vol7/iss1/1 This work is brought to you for free and open access by the College of Arts, Sciences & Education at FIU Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Class, Race and Corporate Power by an authorized administrator of FIU Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Modern Monetary Theory: A Marxist Critique Abstract Compiled from a series of blog posts which can be found at "The Next Recession." Modern monetary theory (MMT) has become flavor of the time among many leftist economic views in recent years. MMT has some traction in the left as it appears to offer theoretical support for policies of fiscal spending funded yb central bank money and running up budget deficits and public debt without earf of crises – and thus backing policies of government spending on infrastructure projects, job creation and industry in direct contrast to neoliberal mainstream policies of austerity and minimal government intervention. Here I will offer my view on the worth of MMT and its policy implications for the labor movement. First, I’ll try and give broad outline to bring out the similarities and difference with Marx’s monetary theory. -
Gray, Neil (2015) Neoliberal Urbanism and Spatial Composition in Recessionary Glasgow
Gray, Neil (2015) Neoliberal urbanism and spatial composition in recessionary Glasgow. PhD thesis. http://theses.gla.ac.uk/6833/ Copyright and moral rights for this thesis are retained by the author A copy can be downloaded for personal non-commercial research or study, without prior permission or charge This thesis cannot be reproduced or quoted extensively from without first obtaining permission in writing from the Author The content must not be changed in any way or sold commercially in any format or medium without the formal permission of the Author When referring to this work, full bibliographic details including the author, title, awarding institution and date of the thesis must be given. Glasgow Theses Service http://theses.gla.ac.uk/ [email protected] Neoliberal Urbanism and Spatial Composition in Recessionary Glasgow Neil Gray MRes Submitted in fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy School of Geographical and Earth Sciences College of Science and Engineering University of Glasgow November 2015 i Abstract This thesis argues that urbanisation has become increasingly central to capital accumulation strategies, and that a politics of space - commensurate with a material conjuncture increasingly subsumed by rentier capitalism - is thus necessarily required. The central research question concerns whether urbanisation represents a general tendency that might provide an immanent dialectical basis for a new spatial politics. I deploy the concept of class composition to address this question. In Italian Autonomist Marxism (AM), class composition is understood as the conceptual and material relation between ‘technical’ and ‘political’ composition: ‘technical composition’ refers to organised capitalist production, capital’s plans as it were; ‘political composition’ refers to the degree to which collective political organisation forms a basis for counter-power. -
Financial Integration and International Business Cycle Co-Movement: Wealth Effects Vs
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute Working Paper No. 89 http://www.dallasfed.org/assets/documents/institute/wpapers/2011/0089.pdf Financial Integration and International Business Cycle Co-movement: Wealth Effects vs. Balance Sheet Effects* J. Scott Davis Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas September 2011 Revised: August 2012 Abstract Different types of international financial integration have different effects on cross-country business cycle co-movement. International business cycle transmission through financial integration occurs through the wealth and balance sheet effects. The balance sheet effect leads to business cycle convergence, but the wealth effect leads to divergence. Using a cross- sectional regression, this paper shows that cross-border credit market integration (debt) has a positive effect on co-movement, implying that the balance sheet effect is the main conduit for international transmission through credit markets. However, cross-border capital market integration (equity) has a negative effect, implying that the wealth effect is the main channel for international transmission through capital markets. By distinguishing between wealth and balance sheet effects, this paper resolves many discrepancies between some key empirical and theoretical findings in the open economy macro literature, between different studies in the theoretical literature, and between empirical studies that use a cross-sectional regression and those employing panel data. JEL codes: E30, E44, F40, G15 * Scott Davis, Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, 2200 N. Pearl Street, Dallas, TX 75201. 214-922-5124. [email protected]. This paper previously circulated under the title “Financial Integration and International Business Cycle Co-movement: The Role of Balance Sheets.” I would like to thank Jean Imbs and participants at the Banque de France, CEPR conference on “The Financial Crisis: Lessons for International Macroeconomics” for many helpful comments and suggestions. -
The Critique of Real Abstraction: from the Critical Theory of Society to the Critique of Political Economy and Back Again
The Critique of Real Abstraction: from the Critical Theory of Society to the Critique of Political Economy and Back Again Chris O’Kane John Jay, CUNY [email protected] There has been a renewed engagement with the idea of real abstraction in recent years. Scholars associated with the New Reading of Marx, such as Moishe Postone, Chris Arthur, Michael Heinrich, Patrick Murray, Riccardo Bellofiore and others,1 have employed the idea in their important reconstructions of Marx’s critique of political economy. Alberto Toscano, Endnotes, Jason W. Moore and others have utilized and extended these theorizations to concieve of race, gender, and nature as real abstractions. Both the New Reading and these new theories of real abstraction have provided invaluable work; the former in systematizing Marx’s inconsistent and unfinished theory of value as a theory of the abstract social domination of capital accumulation and reproduction; the latter in supplementing such a theory. Yet their exclusive focus on real abstraction in relation to the critique of political economy means that the critical marxian theories of real abstraction -- developed by Alfred Sohn- Rethel, Theodor W. Adorno and Henri Lefebvre -- have been mostly bypassed by the latter and have largely served as the object of trenchant criticism for their insufficient grasp of Marx’s theory of value by the former. Consequently these new readings and new theories of real abstraction elide important aspects of Sohn-Rethel, Adorno and Lefebvre’s critiques of real abstraction; which sought to develop Marx’s critique of political economy into objective-subjective critical theories of the reproduction of capitalist society.2 However, two recent works by 1 Moishe Postone’s interpretation of real abstraction will be discussed below.