PAKEFIELD ELECTORAL DIVISION PROFILE 2021 This Division comprises parts of Carlton Colville, Kirkley & Pakefield and Carlton & Whitton Wards
www.suffolkobservatory.info © Crown copyright and database rights 2021 Ordnance Survey 100023395
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CONTENTS
▪ Demographic Profile: Age & Ethnicity ▪ Economy and Labour Market ▪ Schools & NEET ▪ Index of Multiple Deprivation ▪ Health ▪ Crime & Community Safety ▪ Additional Information ▪ Data Sources
3 ELECTORAL DIVISION PROFILES: AN INTRODUCTION
These profiles have been produced to support elected members, constituents and other interested parties in understanding the demographic, economic, social and educational profile of their neighbourhoods. We have used the latest data available at the time of publication.
Much more data is available from national and local sources than is captured here, but it is hoped that the profile will be a useful starting point for discussion, where local knowledge and experience can be used to flesh out and illuminate the information presented here.
The profile can be used to help look at some fundamental questions e.g. • Does the age profile of the population match or differ from the national profile? • Is there evidence of the ageing profile of the county in all the wards in the Division or just some? • How diverse is the community in terms of ethnicity? • What is the impact of deprivation on families and residents? • Does there seem to be a link between deprivation and school performance? • What is the breakdown of employment sectors in the area? • Is it a relatively healthy area compared to the rest of the district or county? • What sort of crime is prevalent in the community?
A vast amount of additional data is available on the Suffolk Observatory
www.suffolkobservatory.info
The Suffolk Observatory is a free online resource that contains all Suffolk’s vital statistics; it is the one-stop-shop for information and intelligence about Suffolk. Through data, reports and maps, the Suffolk Observatory provides a comprehensive picture of the County. It is a great source for useful facts and figures that can be used for writing reports and presentations, informing strategic and business planning, preparing funding applications or supporting academic research. Data is presented around the key themes of population, children and young people, health and social care, housing, crime and community safety, deprivation, economy and employment and environment. All areas of the county are covered, right down to district, electoral division, ward and parish level, with information easily accessible in a variety of formats. You can also build your own reports for custom areas.
Technical Notes: 1. Where electoral divisions do not exactly match the boundaries at which the data is available (e.g. ward, Output Area or Lower Super Output Area), we have adopted a “best-fit” approach to produce a dataset. 2. District, county and national level data is provided where possible to provide a context for comparisons. Where possible we have used the most recent district boundaries for comparison purposes, but in some cases it has been necessary to use the pre-2019 districts.
4 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE - AGE In mid-2019, the population of Pakefield stood at 15,337, an increase of 1.8% since the 2011 Census. The age structure of the component wards and the division as a whole is set out below.
Pakefield Division Carlton Colville Kirkley & Pakefield Carlton & Whitton All Ages 15,337 8,936 5,484 917 0-4 738 478 207 53 5-9 833 591 191 51 10-14 875 593 218 64 15-19 763 473 233 57 20-24 688 425 208 55 25-29 798 512 215 71 30-34 838 559 235 44 35-39 816 550 233 33 40-44 710 463 209 38 45-49 979 621 302 56 50-54 1,180 726 395 59 55-59 1,077 611 403 63 60-64 943 487 402 54 65-69 956 455 439 62 70-74 1,203 559 585 59 75-79 808 365 409 34 80-84 615 251 325 39 85-89 331 132 181 18 90+ 186 85 94 7
90+ 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%
England - females England - males Pakefield - females Pakefield - males
▪ The age pyramid for Pakefield division shows a considerably higher proportion of people of retirement age when compared to the national average.
5 ▪ The most common age group in the division is 70-74-year-olds, followed by 50-54-year- olds. ▪ There is a much lower-than-average proportion of people of working age, particularly 20- 44-year-olds and children under the age of 10.
ETHNICITY 100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Pakefield East Suffolk Suffolk England
▪ According to the latest data (2011 Census), 98.0% (14,763) of the population of Pakefield are white. ▪ There are 305 (2.0%) people of minority ethnic origin in the division, less than the level in Suffolk as a whole and around a seventh of the England average. ▪ Pakefield has a similar diversity profile to East Suffolk district, and generally lower proportions of minority ethnic groups than Suffolk as a whole.
Asian and Black and Other All Total minority White White British Mixed Asian Black Ethnic ethnic people British British Group population
Count Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Pakefield 15,068 14,763 98.0 14,533 96.4 140 0.9 117 0.8 40 0.3 8 0.1 305 2.0 East Suffolk 239,552 232,565 97.1 227,040 94.8 2,728 1.1 2,991 1.2 925 0.4 343 0.1 6,987 2.9 Suffolk 728,163 693,195 95.2 661,458 90.8 12,472 1.7 13,131 1.8 6,854 0.9 2,511 0.3 34,968 4.8 England 85.4 79.8 2.3 7.8 3.5 1.0 14.6
6 ECONOMY
There are around 2,100 people employed in Pakefield.
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Pakefield East Suffolk Suffolk England
▪ Professional, scientific and technical activities account for almost a third of jobs in the division and includes employment at the CEFAS Laboratory on Pakefield Road. ▪ Other important sectors in the division are accommodation and food services, health, construction, wholesale, retail and motor trades and education. ▪ In total, these five sectors account for more than 75% of jobs in Pakefield.
7 LABOUR MARKET
OUT-OF-WORK BENEFIT CLAIMANT RATE
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
Jul-18 Jul-19 Jul-20
Apr-18 Oct-18 Apr-19 Oct-19 Apr-20 Oct-20
Jan-18 Jun-18 Jan-19 Jun-19 Jan-20 Jun-20 Jan-21
Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20
Feb-18 Feb-19 Feb-20
Nov-18 Dec-18 Nov-19 Dec-19 Nov-20 Dec-20
Aug-18 Sep-18 Aug-19 Sep-19 Aug-20 Sep-20
May-18 May-19 May-20
Pakefield East Suffolk Suffolk England
▪ In common with East Suffolk, Suffolk and England as a whole, Pakefield saw a sharp increase in claimants of out-of-work benefits in the first half of 2020 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. ▪ In percentage terms, around 4.3% of the working age population (aged 16-64) were claiming out-of-work benefits in the division according to the latest data from January 2021. ▪ The claimant rate in Pakefild has declined since the peak of 5.5% in May 2020. ▪ Historically, the claimant unemployment rate in Pakefield is generally similar to the county level and below the East Suffolk and national averages.
8 SCHOOLS
SCHOOL INFORMATION
Schools in the Division
Average cohort size at:
Latest Latest Ofsted Ofsted
Status Date
Academy
Foundation
KS2 (age KS2 11) (age KS4 16) (age KS5 18) Name Phase (age Stage 5) Requires Grove Primary School Primary AS 43 41 0 0 13/02/2019 improvement Requires Pakefield Primary School Primary AC 59 59 0 0 29/11/2017 improvement Requires Pakefield High School Secondary AC 0 0 177 0 26/04/2018 improvement* The Everitt Academy Special F 0 4 5 0 Inadequate 17/09/2019
Schools with catchments that overlap with the Division
Average cohort size at:
Latest Latest
Ofsted Ofsted Date
Status
Academy
Foundation
KS2 (age KS2 11) (age KS4 16) (age KS5 18) Name Phase (age Stage 5) Carlton Colville Primary Primary LA 60 58 0 0 Outstanding 29/11/2011 School Phoenix St Peter Requires Primary AS 30 22 0 0 27/06/2018 Academy improvement Westwood Primary Primary AS 29 29 0 0 Good 23/02/2017 School East Point Academy Secondary AS 0 0 104 0 Good 12/10/2016
Academy Status key: AS = Academy Sponsored, AC = Academy Converter, LA = LA Maintained, F = Free *The latest full inspection judgement does not relate to the current school
9 SCHOOL ATTAINMENT
Foundation Stage Profile (reception) % pupils achieving Good Level of Development (GLD) 100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0% 2017 2018 2019
Grove Primary School Pakefield Primary School Suffolk National
▪ Foundation Stage attainment at the two schools in the division has remained similar to or above the county and national average from 2017 to 2019, with steady improvements seen at both schools during this time. ▪ Attainment at Grove Primary School was five percentage points below average in 2017, but otherwise both schools have seen above average attainment at Foundation Stage. ▪ In 2019, the percentage of pupils achieving a Good Level of Development at Grove Primary School was 77.5%, while at Pakefield Primary it was 75.9%. The equivalent county and national figures are 71% and 72% respectively.
10 Key Stage 2 (age 11) % pupils achieving the Expected Level or better in Reading, Writing and Mathematics
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0% 2017 2018 2019
Grove Primary School Pakefield Primary School Suffolk National
▪ Key stage 2 attainment at schools in Pakefield has been quite variable from 2017 to 2019, though in most cases it has been above average. ▪ Attainment at Grove Primary School was very low in 2017 but well above the county and national benchmarks in the two subsequent years. ▪ Pakefield Primary School has seen steadily declining attainment during this period, with the percentage of pupils achieving the expected level or better in reading, writing and mathematics at the school dipping just below average in 2019.
Key Stage 4 (GCSE) (age 16) % pupils achieving level 4-9 in English and Mathematics
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0% 2017 2018 2019
Pakefield High School Suffolk National
▪ Key Stage 4 at Pakefield High School has steadily improved from 2017 to 2019. ▪ According to the most recent data, the percentage of pupils achieving level 4-9 in English and mathematics at the school was one percentage point below the county average, and four percentage points below the national benchmark.
11 NEET % (NOT IN EDUCATION, EMPLOYMENT OR TRAINING)
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
Pakefield East Suffolk Suffolk
▪ In January 2021 around 2.1% of 16–18-year-olds in Pakefield were classified as NEET (where current activity is known). ▪ NEET levels in Pakefield have fluctuated considerably in recent years but have been consistently below the district and county averages since autumn 2019.
12 INDEX OF MULTIPLE DEPRIVATION (IMD) 2019 (SEE MAP OVERLEAF)
The IMD combines a number of indicators, chosen to cover a range of economic, social and housing issues, into a single deprivation score for each small area in England. This allows each area to be ranked relative to one another according to their level of deprivation. Small areas (Lower Super Output Areas, average population 1,700) are most commonly described as being in 1 of 5 quintile bands. The bottom quintile represents the 20% of areas that are the most deprived in England; these are shaded pale yellow on the map. The top quintile represents the least deprived areas in England and is shaded dark blue. The Index is widely used to analyse patterns of deprivation, identify areas that would benefit from special initiatives or programmes and as a tool to determine eligibility for specific funding streams.
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5% % of population of % population by deprivation quintile residence of 0% Most deprived 20% Next most deprived Mid 20% Next least deprived Least deprived 20% 20% 20%
Pakefield East Suffolk England
▪ The IMD 2019 shows that deprivation levels in Pakefield are extremely varied, with parts of the division in each deprivation quintile in England. ▪ Of the nine Lower Layer Super Output Areas (LSOA) comprising the division, one is ranked in the top 20% most deprived LSOAs in the country (accounting for 8% of the population), two are in the next most deprived quintile (20% of the population), three are in the mid quintile (26%), one is in the second-best quintile (20%) and two are in the least deprived quintile (25%). ▪ See the map overleaf for the distribution of IMD 2019 results across the division.
13 14 HEALTH
The local data used here is based on relatively small numbers. The confidence limits provide an indication of the reliability of the data. The 95% confidence intervals utilised on the chart provide a range within which there is 95% chance of the true result lying.
LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH 86 85 84 83 82 81 80 79 78 77 76 Pakefield East Suffolk Suffolk England Life expectancy at birth for males Life expectancy at birth for females
▪ Estimated life expectancy at birth for men and women in Pakefield is similar to the East Suffolk and Suffolk averages and relatively high when compared to the national average. ▪ Current life expectancy at birth for females in Pakefield is approaching 84 (the England average is 83.4), compared to just above 81 for males (compared to 79.8 nationally).
DEATHS, UNDER 75 YEARS, STANDARDISED MORTALITY RATIO 140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0 Deaths from all causes, Deaths from all cancers, Deaths from circulatory Deaths from causes under 75 years under 75 years disease, under 75 years considered preventable (all ages)
Pakefield Waveney Suffolk England
▪ Standardised mortality ratios for deaths from all causes, circulatory disease and coronary heart disease in Pakefield are below 100, indicating that deaths in under 75s due to these causes are lower than in England. The SMR for deaths from causes considered preventable across all ages is also below 100. ▪ The standardised mortality ratio data shown here means that for every 100 early deaths from all causes across England as a whole, there are an estimated 92 comparable deaths in Pakefield. ▪ The rates of early deaths in Pakefield are generally below the East Suffolk and national level, but higher than for Suffolk county. 15 CRIME & COMMUNITY SAFETY 80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0 Pakefield East Suffolk Suffolk England
Burglary Criminal damage and arson Drugs Public order Shoplifting Other theft Vehicle crime Violence and sexual offences Other
▪ Crime levels in Pakefield are fairly low compared to both the district and county averages, with just over 42 crimes per 1,000 residents in division in the 12 months to the end of January 2021 compared to 59 in East Suffolk and 66 countywide. ▪ All types of crime occur at a lower rate in the division than the county average. The rate of vehicle crimes was slightly higher in Pakefield than East Suffolk, but otherwise all types of crime were recorded relatively less frequently in the division than the district average. ▪ The most common type of crime recorded during this period was violence and sexual offences, which accounted for more than half of all recorded crimes in the division.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
Parishes in Division Carlton Colville Lowestoft (part)
16 DATA SOURCES
Category Indicator Source
ONS 2019 mid-year population Quinary population table 2019 estimates
Demographic ONS 2019 mid-year population Population pyramid 2019 Profile estimates
Ethnicity 2011 ONS 2011 Census
ONS Business Register and Economy Employment by broad industrial sector 2019 Employment Survey via NOMIS Claimant count: The number of people claiming Jobseeker's Allowance plus those who claim Labour market DWP via NOMIS Universal Credit who are out of work (% 16-64 population) January 2018- February 2021 School information and attainment 2017-2019 Suffolk County Council Education % 16-18-year-olds NEET (Not in Employment, Suffolk County Council via the Education or Training) 2017-2021 Suffolk Observatory Ministry for Housing, Deprivation Index of Multiple Deprivation 2019 Communities and Local Government Health Life expectancy at birth 2013-2017 Public Health England Standardised mortality ratio for deaths from all causes, cancer and circulatory disease, (aged under 75), and death from causes considered Health preventable (all ages), 2013-2017. The Public Health England standardised mortality ratio is the ratio of observed deaths in the study group to expected deaths in the general population. Community Recorded crime rate per 1,000 resident Data.police.uk via the Suffolk Safety population February 2020 to January 2021 Observatory
For more data and information about Pakefield Electoral Division, see the Suffolk Observatory www.suffolkobservatory.info
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