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The Contribution of Cosmic Rays Interacting with Molecular Clouds to the Galactic Center Gamma-Ray Excess

The Contribution of Cosmic Rays Interacting with Molecular Clouds to the Galactic Center Gamma-Ray Excess

The Contribution of Cosmic Rays Interacting With Molecular Clouds to the Galactic Center Gamma-Ray Excess

Oscar Macias and Chris Gordon Department of Physics and Astronomy, Rutherford Building, University of Canterbury, Private Bag 4800, Christchurch 8140, New Zealand

The Fermi-LAT data appear to have an excess of gamma rays from the inner 150 pc of the Galactic Center. The main explanations proposed for this are: an unresolved population of millisecond pulsars (MSPs), dark matter (DM) annihilation, and nonthermal bremsstrahlung produced by a population of electrons interacting with neutral gas in molecular clouds. The first two options have spatial templates well fitted by the square of a generalized Navarro-Frenk-White (NFW) profile with inner slope γ = 1.2. We model the third option with a 20-cm continuum emission Galactic Ridge template. A template based on the HESS residuals is shown to give similar results. The gamma-ray excess is found to be best fit by a combination of the generalized NFW squared template and a Galactic Ridge template. We also find the spectra of each template is not significantly affected in the combined fit and is consistent with previous single template fits. That is the generalized NFW squared spectrum can be fit by either of order 1000 unresolved MSPs or DM with mass around 30 GeV, a thermal cross section, and mainly annihilating to b¯b quarks. While the Galactic Ridge continues to have a spectrum consistent with a population of nonthermal electrons whose spectrum also provides a good fit to synchrotron emission measurements. We also show that the current DM fit may be hard to test, even with 10 years of Fermi-LAT data, especially if there is a mixture of DM and MSPs contributing to the signal, in which case the implied DM cross section will be suppressed.

I. INTRODUCTION inner slope γ = 1.2. We will denote this spatial profile as 2 (NFW1.2). Gamma rays constitute an excellent search channel for (ii) A superposition of ∼ 103 millisecond pulsars < a signature of pair annihilation of dark matter (DM), (MSPs) within a radius of r ∼ 150 pc of the Galactic 2 since they can propagate almost without absorption from Center whose number density follow a NFW1.2 profile [8– the source to the observer. Amongst all possible target 10, 14–17]. However, Refs. [18, 19] have claimed that regions in the gamma-ray sky, the Galactic Center is ex- there is evidence of a gamma-ray excess at 2 kpc ≤ r ≤ pected to be the brightest DM emitting source as it is 3 kpc that is consistent with DM annihilation but is too relatively close by and has a high density of DM. How- extended to be explained by a concentrated population of ever, this region is populated by a variety of astrophysical MSPs given the number of MSPs that have been resolved gamma-ray sources that make it hard to unambiguously by Fermi-LAT [20]. identify a DM signal [1, 2]. (iii) Another possibility is that the signal is being pro- Several independent groups have reported evidence of duced by cosmic rays interacting with gas in the Galactic extended excess gamma-ray emission above the diffuse Center [3, 6, 8, 9, 21, 22]. This alternative solution can galactic background (DGB) from the central 1◦ − 2◦ be divided in two different scenarios, the hadronic and around the Galactic Center [3–10]. These investiga- nonthermal bremsstrahlung. The first one consists of π0- tion were based on Fermi Large Area Telescope (LAT) decays resulting from the emission of high energy protons data. Although the Fermi-LAT Collaboration have not and their subsequent collision with gas in the Galactic yet published a full Galactic Center analysis, in a prelim- Center. In Ref. [21] it was found that a model based inary study with one year of data, the Fermi team has on hadronic emission from Sgr A* would be determined reported an excess in observed counts peaking at energies predominately by the gas distribution and would appear of ∼ 2 − 5 GeV [11, 12]. Given that there is a reasonable point-like to the Femi-LAT gamma-ray detector. There-

arXiv:1312.6671v4 [astro-ph.HE] 12 Mar 2014 consensus on the reality of these Galactic Center excess fore, that model would not be suitable for explaining the gamma rays (GCEG), various alternative explanations extended nature of the GCEG. for its origin have been posited: In the second scenario, the nonthermal bremsstrahlung (i) DM particles with masses of about 10 − 100 GeV emission model, a case which results in extended emis- annihilating into b¯b and τ +τ − final states or a combi- sion has been proposed in Ref. [22]. Based on multi- nation of both [3, 4, 6–9]. Importantly, it was argued wavelength observational data obtained with the Green in Ref. [10] that the signal has a relatively soft spectral Bank Telescope (GBT) [23], Susaku, X-ray Multi-Mirror shape, which makes it difficult to fit the GCEG data with Mission (XMM)-Newton, Chandra, Fermi-LAT and High a dark matter model annihilating mainly to leptons. The Energy Stereoscopic System (HESS) it was argued [22] spatial profile of the DM was found to be well fit [10] by that the ∼GeV GCEG is nonthermal, diffuse and is prob- a generalized NFW profile [13] with inner slope γ = 1.2. ably generated by a population of synchrotron emitting As the DM signal is proportional to ρ2, the spatial profile electrons interacting with gas in molecular clouds. used will be the square of a generalized NFW profile with In this study we focus on the spatial and spectral 2 morphology of the gamma-ray Galactic Ridge (hereafter to rapid cooling of electrons at high energies [22]. By “Galactic Ridge”) region, and confirm that an extended comparing the frequency of the break in the radio data source associated with the Galactic Ridge can improve and the energy of the break in the gamma-ray data, the the GCEG fit. But, we find that adding a Galactic Ridge magnetic field value can be constrained, see Sec. V. does not remove the need for also adding a spherically The TeV nonthermal electrons, proposed to explain symmetric extended source whose radial profile follows a for the HESS Galactic Ridge, are assumed to be a sep- 2 NFW1.2 profile. We show that the spectral parameters arate younger population of nonthermal electrons in the 2 of the NFW1.2 template are not significantly affected by Galactic Center molecular clouds. This extra population inclusion of a Galactic Ridge. is assumed to have not had time to cool and so is modeled with a power law distribution [22]. To study the evidence for a new component of extended II. DATA REDUCTION GeV emission in the Fermi-LAT data, the authors in Ref. [22] tried spatial templates obtained from X-ray, 20- The Fermi-LAT data selection is the same as described cm continuum emission radio data, and the HESS residu- in [10]. In summary, we analysed Pass-71 data taken als. For a spectral model they initially employed a broken within a squared region of 7◦ × 7◦ centred on Sgr A? power law of the form: in the first 45 months of observations over the period −Γ August 4, 2008−June 6, 2012. We used the standard E 1 dN if E < Eb data cuts and kept only the SOURCE class events which Eb = N0 × −Γ (1) dE  E  2 have a high probability of being photons of astrophysical  otherwise. origin. We also selected events between 200 MeV−100  Eb GeV without making any distinction between Front and   They found that the 20-cm radio and HESS residual tem- Back events. plates had similar high test statistic (TS) values. The spectra were obtained by maximizing the like- lihood of source models using the binned pyLikeli- For illustration, we show in Fig. 1 the HESS residual hood library in the Fermi Science Tools [24]. We fol- and 20-cm spatial templates. The 20-cm template was lowed the same fitting procedure adopted in Ref. [8, based on GBT continuum emission data which measures 9] which has been recommended to be more suitable nonthermal and thermal plasma distributions [22, 23]. for crowded regions like the Galactic Center. Un- Note, this is distinct from the 21-cm line temperatures less otherwise stated, the models included all sources used by the Fermi team in constructing the DGB as that suggested in the 2FGL [25] catalog plus the LAT gives a measure of the column density [27]. Both tem- standard DGB and extragalactic background models plates initially had a DC value, evaluated from a nearby region, subtracted. They have also had Sgr A removed gal−2yearp7v6−v0.fits and iso−p7v6source.txt re- spectively. and they have been normalized so that their total area integrated flux is unitary. To test whether the GCEG is better fitted by a combi- 2 III. MODELS FOR THE EXTENDED SOURCE nation of a NFW1.2 template and a Galactic Ridge tem- AT THE GALACTIC CENTER plate we have done a broad band analysis within the Fermi Tools and also a bin-by-bin analysis for each of the extended sources under scrutiny. The HESS telescope has revealed a point-source co- inciding with the dynamical center of the as well as diffuse emission that is spatially correlated with the molecular clouds in the Galactic IV. SYSTEMATIC ERRORS AND PARAMETER Ridge [26]. In Ref. [22] it was argued that bremsstrahlung CONSTRAINTS from nonthermal electrons in Galactic Center molecular clouds can explain the GCEG measured at TeV scales The DGB accounts for a large proportion of the pho- by HESS and at GeV scales by Fermi-LAT. The non- tons detected by the LAT instrument. For regions near thermal electrons in the molecular clouds are proposed the Galactic Center this component can be several orders to mainly come from supernova remnants and nonther- of magnitude brighter than any other source. In partic- mal radio filaments (see [22, 23] and references therein). ular, the dominant systematic error at energies ∼1 GeV A proposed population of nonthermal electrons is con- emerges from the uncertainties in the DGB model. These strained, by both radio and gamma-ray data, to need a systematics were studied in a previous analysis [10]. broken power law spectrum where the break is attributed Since this work involves the analysis of an extra ex- tended source (see section III) not considered in [10], we have reassessed the systematic errors in the DGB by fol- lowing the same approach explained in [10]. There is con- 1 Preliminary checks have shown our results are not significantly sistency between the present and previous analysis [10], changed if we instead use Pass-7 reprocessed data. we found that the overall systematic flux error is energy 3 ) b 8000 0 20 7000 ◦ 0 6000 ? 0 00 Sgr A 5000 ◦ 0 Sgr B 4000 0 20 the Arc 3000 − ◦ 0 2000 1000 0◦ 400 0 − 1 0 1 ◦ ◦ ◦ Normalized Intensity Galactic Latitude ( Galactic Longitude (l−)

7200

) 6400 b 1 ◦ 5600 4800 Sgr A? 4000 0◦ Sgr B 3200 the Arc 2400

1600 Normalized Intensity Galactic Latitude ( 1◦ − 800 0 1◦ 0◦ 1◦ Galactic Longitude− (l)

FIG. 1. Top: Gamma-ray image of the Galactic Center as observed by the HESS telescope (E > 380 GeV) after subtracting the dominant point sources [26]. To include this template map in the likelihood function within the Fermi Science Tools package, we background subtracted, thresholded and normalized the data provided in [26]. Bottom: Background-subtracted, thresholded, and normalized image from 20-cm continuum emission GBT data. This template was the same one as used in Ref. [22] and we refer the reader to that article for detailsa. This spatial template is named the “20-cm template” in the rest of this work. The crosses overlaid on the image represent the position of the 2FGL catalog point sources.

a We thank Farhad Yusef-Zadeh for providing us with the 20-cm template. 4 and spatial dependent: systematic errors due to uncer- in constructing the grey bands in the top panels of Fig 2. tainties of the spectral distribution amounts to an aver- In the bottom panel of Fig 2 we plot the band of solutions age of about 2% at ∼1 GeV, and the dominant fraction obtained when the GALPROP DGB’s are used. In this 2 for the systematics arises from the spatial part, we ob- panel, the NFW1.2 template has a greater amplitude as tained on average about 23% for energy bins ≤ 10 GeV the GALPROP estimate of the DGB is not as good a fit and 18% in the 10−100 GeV energy band. The total sys- as the standard DGB provided with the Fermi Tools. tematic error is evaluated by summing in quadrature the spatial, spectral, and effective area [10, 25] systematic errors. V. RESULTS Our parameter constraints method is the same as used in Ref. [10]. In summary we use the Fermi Tools to con- As seen from Fig. 1, the Arc and Sgr B are bright struct a spectrum of the source of interest [25]. As in sources in the Galactic Center. They are thought to be Refs. [10, 25], we allow the amplitude of all sources, in associated with cosmic rays interacting with molecular the region of interest, to vary when fitting a band. We clouds [22] and so in Table I we consider models with then add, in quadrature, the systematic errors (evalu- and without them being assumed to be included in the ated as described above) to the statistical errors of the Galactic Ridge template. spectral bands. The spectrum likelihood is then approxi- The results listed in Table I show that the broad band mated as a multivariate Gaussian and a profile likelihood analysis revealed significant detections of both a Galactic approach is used to construct confidence intervals. 2 Ridge and a NFW1.2 extended source. In plotting the spectra we display both the system- The need for the Galactic Ridge can be seen in the atic and statistical errors. For bands which have a test residuals shown in Fig. 3. It is particularly noticeable in statistic (TS) [10, 25] less than 10, or whose total error those bands which have a high TS (see Table VI). is more than the half of the best fit band value, we plot Based on the GBT radio data, Ref. [22] set the syn- the 95% upper limit. We do not plot or use bands in our chrotron flux at 325 MHz to be F325 = 508 Jy and a parameter constraints which have TS< 1. Unless oth- synchrotron spectrum of electrons of the form E−p with erwise stated, best fit parameter values are quoted with p = 1.5 below the break frequency νb = 3.3 GHz and 68% confidence intervals. p = 4.4 above it. The GCEG spectrum can be used to To cross-check the systematical errors explained above, constrain the break energy for the electron spectrum (Eb) we have also estimated the systematic uncertainties in the via Eq. A16. This can be converted to a constraint on DGB following the interesting analysis technique utilized the magnetic field strength B by using the measured ra- in [28]. We constructed eight different diffuse emission dio frequency spectral break νb and the general relation models using GALPROP [29, 30], and each of these tem- between electron energy and characteristic synchrotron plates were included in the likelihood fit of the sources radio frequency given in Eq. A7. The GBT uncertain- of interest as an alternative to the standard DGB recom- ties for the spectral slopes, νb, and F325 were not given mended in the 2FGL catalog [25]. in Ref. [22] and so our analysis just includes their point The set of alternative DGB models taken into account estimates. in this analysis consider a range of possible values for the Fitting the bremsstrahlung model (Eq. A16), we var- input parameters that were found to exhibit the largest ied the number density of hydrogen nuclei nH and the sensitivities [28]. The parameters varied in the models magnetic field B. We simultaneously fit the normaliza- are the propagation halo heights (4 kpc or 10 tion and slope of the power-law formula corresponding kpc), cosmic ray source distribution (supernova remnants to the TeV HESS data. Using a bin-by-bin analysis we or pulsars) and the atomic hydrogen spin temperature made a parameter scan as shown in Fig. 4 and Table II. (150 K or optically thin). An E(B − V ) magnitude cut Additionally, this analysis enabled us to study to what of 5 mag was also chosen. The results obtained through extent the Galactic Ridge component affects the model this method are displayed as grey shaded areas in the parameters of a DM or unresolved MSPs extended source. spectra of Fig. 2. We therefore made a detailed parameter scan correspond- The DGB provided with the Fermi Tools is generated ing to the DM and MSPs hypotheses in models which by a weighted sum of gas column densities and an inverse included a Galactic Ridge. The dark matter spectra are Compton intensity map [27]. In the DGB generation, the obtained using DMFIT [31] while the standard exponen- weights depend on the energy band and the gas template tial cut off form is used for the MSPs’ spectrum: weights also depend on the ring radius concentric around the Galactic Center. The weights are fitted to all sky dN E −Γ E = K exp − , (2) Fermi-LAT data. Due to the greater degree of freedom dE E0 Ecut this method produces a better fit to the Fermi-LAT data     than the GALPROP based approach described above. where photon index Γ, a cut-off energy Ecut and a nor- So in general the GALPROP simulations do not envelope malization factor K are free parameters. The results are the solution found using the standard DGB. Therefore we summarized in Fig. 5 and Table III for the MSPs hypoth- use the relative dispersion of the GALPROP simulations esis, and Fig. 6 and Table IV for the DM hypothesis. 5

Systematic Uncertainties from GALPROP ] ]

1 7 1 10− − − s s 2 2 − − 7 10− 8 10− dN/dE [GeV cm dN/dE [GeV cm 2 10 9 2

E − E

Log Parabola Systematic Uncertainties from GALPROP 10 8 100 101 102 103 104 − 100 101 102 Eγ [GeV] Eγ [GeV] ] 1 − s 2 − 7 10− dN/dE [GeV cm 2 E

Log Parabola Amplitudes obtained with 8 GALPROP models 10 8 − 100 101 102 Eγ [GeV]

FIG. 2. Top Left: Galactic Ridge spectrum generated from model 2 in Table I. The red dashed line shows the best fit broken power-law as obtained from a Fermi Tools broad band fit. The grey area is an estimate of the systematic uncertainties as calculated with 8 different GALPROP models of the DGB. Black and red error bars are the LAT (1σ) statistical and systematic errors. A red arrow indicates a 95% upper limit. The blue points correspond to data taken by HESS [26] and the 2 blue dotted line is the best fit power law to them. Top Right: spectrum for NFW1.2 spatial profile generated with model 1 in Table I. The blue solid line is the best fit Fermi tools log parabola spectrum. The grey area shows the systematic uncertainties as computed with 8 different GALPROP models of the DGB. The spectra and error bars are listed in Table V and VI. Bottom Center: Same as top right, except the GALPROP based model results are shown rather than just the relative errors obtained from them.

VI. DISCUSSION A. Interaction of cosmic rays with molecular clouds

From Table I we can check the significance of adding a new component by evaluating the test statistic (TS) which is defined as in Ref. [25]: TS = 2 [log L(new source) − log L(NO-new source)] , (3) The main focus of our study was try to evaluate three competing explanations for the GCEG: MSPs, DM, or a where L stands for the maximum of the likelihood of the Galactic Ridge resulting from the interaction of cosmic data given the model with or without the new source. In rays with molecular clouds. As we discuss below, the the large sample limit, under the no source hypothesis, data prefer combinations of the Galactic Ridge template TS has a χ2/2 distribution with the number of degrees 2 and a NFW1.2 template which has a spectrum compatible of freedom equal to the number of parameters associated with either MSPs, DM, or some combination of the two. with the proposed positive amplitude new source [36, 37]. 6

0.30 0.40 GeV 0.40 0.54 GeV 0.54 0.72 GeV − 14 − 16 − 20.0 14 ) 12 ) ) b 2◦ b 2◦ b 2◦ 17.5 12 10 15.0 Residual Counts 10 Residual Counts Residual Counts 8 12.5 0◦ 0◦ 8 0◦ 10.0 6 6 7.5 4 4 5.0 2◦ 2 2◦ 2◦ Galactic− Latitude ( Galactic− Latitude ( 2 Galactic− Latitude ( 2.5 0 0 0.0

2◦ 0◦ 2◦ 2◦ 0◦ 2◦ 2◦ 0◦ 2◦ Galactic Longitude− (l) Galactic Longitude− (l) Galactic Longitude− (l) 0.72 0.97 GeV 0.97 1.29 GeV 1.29 1.73 GeV − − − 20.0 21 17.5 17.5 ) ) ) b 2◦ b 2◦ 15.0 b 2◦ 18 15.0

15 Residual Counts 12.5 Residual Counts 12.5 Residual Counts 12 10.0 0◦ 0◦ 0◦ 10.0 9 7.5 7.5 6 5.0 5.0 2◦ 2◦ 2◦ 2.5 Galactic− Latitude ( 3 Galactic− Latitude ( 2.5 Galactic− Latitude ( 0 0.0 0.0

2◦ 0◦ 2◦ 2◦ 0◦ 2◦ 2◦ 0◦ 2◦ Galactic Longitude− (l) Galactic Longitude− (l) Galactic Longitude− (l) 1.73 2.32 GeV 2.32 3.11 GeV 3.11 4.16 GeV − − 12.0 − 17.5 10.5 9.0 ) ) )

b 2 b 2 b 2 ◦ 15.0 ◦ 9.0 ◦ 7.5

12.5 Residual Counts Residual Counts Residual Counts 7.5 6.0 10.0 6.0 0◦ 0◦ 0◦ 4.5 7.5 4.5 3.0 5.0 3.0 1.5 2◦ 2.5 2◦ 1.5 2◦ Galactic− Latitude ( Galactic− Latitude ( Galactic− Latitude ( 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 2◦ 0◦ 2◦ 2◦ 0◦ 2◦ − 2◦ 0◦ 2◦ Galactic Longitude− (l) Galactic Longitude− (l) Galactic Longitude− (l) 4.16 5.57 GeV 5.57 7.47 GeV 7.47 10.00 GeV − 6.4 − 2.8 − 1.8 2.4

) 5.6 ) )

b 2◦ b 2◦ b 2◦ 1.5 4.8 2.0

Residual Counts Residual Counts 1.2 Residual Counts 4.0 1.6 0.9 0◦ 3.2 0◦ 1.2 0◦ 2.4 0.8 0.6 1.6 0.4 0.3 2◦ 2◦ 2◦

Galactic− Latitude ( 0.8 Galactic− Latitude ( 0.0 Galactic− Latitude ( 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 − − 2◦ 0◦ 2◦ 2◦ 0◦ 2◦ 2◦ 0◦ 2◦ Galactic Longitude− (l) Galactic Longitude− (l) Galactic Longitude− (l)

2 FIG. 3. Shown are the residuals of model 2 in Table I where the model components of the NFW1.2 and the 20-cm Galactic Ridge have not been subtracted from the data. The images have been smoothed with a 0.3◦ radius Gaussian filter. 7

Model 2 log(L/Lbase) dof−dofbase Base (2FGL−“the Arc”−Sgr B) 0 0 2FGL 425 4+5=9 2FGL+20-cm template 638 4+5+4=13 2 2FGL+NFW1.2 1295 4+5+3=12 2 2FGL+NFW1.2 + HESS residual template 1325 4+5+3+4=16 2 2FGL+NFW1.2 + 20-cm template (model 1) 1330 4+5+3+4=16 2 Base+NFW1.2 + HESS residual template 1164 3+4=7 2 Base+NFW1.2 + 20-cm template (model 2) 1170 3+4=7

TABLE I. The likelihoods evaluated in compiling the above table are maximized with a broad band analysis using the Fermi Tools. Alternatives models of the Galactic Center in the 200 MeV−100 GeV energy range are listed. Each point source in the model has degrees of freedom (dof) from its spectrum and two extra dof from its location. The spectra for the Galactic Ridge 2 templates are modeled by a broken power law. While the spectra for the NFW1.2 templates are modeled by a log parabola which has enough flexibility to mimic a good fitting DM or MSP spectra [10].

25

] 20 1 7

− 10− s 2 ] 3 − 15 −

8 [cm 10−

H 10 n dN/dE [GeV cm

2 9 10− 5 E 2σ 1σ 0 100 101 102 103 104 5 10 15 20 25 Eγ [GeV] B[µG]

FIG. 4. (Left) Red filled circles show the Fermi-LAT Galactic Ridge energy flux points obtained under the assumption of Model 2 in Table I. They are listed in Table VI. The blue circles represent the Galactic Ridge as measured by the HESS telescope [26]. Black and red error bars show statistical and systematic errors respectively. Red arrows show 2σ upper limits. The red dashed curve is the gamma-ray nonthermal bremsstrahlung model generated from Eq. A16. The blue dotted line is a nonthermal bremsstrahlung model represented by a power law. The black solid line is the sum of the red dashed curve and blue dotted line. It gives the best fit to the combined Fermi-LAT and HESS Galactic Ridge data. (Right) Confidence regions generated from the data and models shown in the left panel. The parameter nH is the number density of hydrogen nuclei and B the magnetic field. The white cross shows our best-fit values while the red cross corresponds to the values found in Ref. [22]. See also Table II.

−3 −2 −1 −1 nH [cm ] B [µG] N0 [ph cm s MeV ]Γ

+6 +3 −11 +0.07 5−3 6−2 (2 ± 1) × 10 2.25−0.08

TABLE II. Best fit values obtained in the bremsstrahlung analysis for the gas number density (nH), the magnetic field (B), and the HESS power law spectrum amplitude (N0) and spectral index (Γ). The best fit spectra and data fitted to are shown in the LHS panel of Fig. 4.

As the amplitude is restricted to be non-negative, a χ2/2 to the equivalent p-value for 1 degree of freedom) and so distribution rather than the χ2 distribution is needed. confirms that the 20-cm Galactic Ridge does improve the As can be seen from Table I, the improvement in the fit to the GCEG. However, the corresponding TS for a 2 fit of the 20-cm Galactic Ridge relative to 2FGL is TS= NFW1.2 template is 870 and for only 3 extra dof and so 648 − 425 = 213 for 13 − 9 = 4 extra degrees of freedom clearly also improves the fit substantially. (dof). This corresponds to a 14σ detection (if we convert We can check whether the 20-cm Galactic Ridge still 8

−9 −2 −1 Model Ecut [GeV] Γ G100 [10 erg cm s ]

+2 MSPs 4−1 1.6 ± 0.2 1.5 ± 0.2 +2 +0.2 MSPs + Galactic Ridge 3−1 1.4 ± 0.3 1.2−0.1

TABLE III. Best-fit values for MSPs hypothesis. The spectrum of the MSPs is fitted with a power law with an exponential cut off (see Fig. 5). The first row shows the result from an analysis without a galactic ridge [10]. The second row parameters were fitted to the spectral data plotted on the top RHS panel of Fig. 2. The GCEG energy flux for 100 MeV≤ E ≤ 100 GeV is denoted by G100.

3 Model Best-fit Branching ratio hσvi [cm /s] MDM [GeV]

DM (60 ± 20)% b¯b (2.8 ± 0.4) × 10−26 24 ± 7 ¯ +0.5 −26 +8 DM + 20-cm template (80 ± 20)% bb 2.0−0.6 × 10 27−9

TABLE IV. Best-fit values for the branching fraction between b¯b and τ +τ −, DM velocity averaged annihilation cross section and DM mass. DMFIT was used to generate the model spectra [31]. The first row shows the result from an analysis without a Galactic Ridge [10]. The second row parameters were fitted to the spectral data plotted on the top RHS panel of Fig. 2.

2.5 5σ 4σ 3σ 2.0 1σ

1.5 Γ

1.0 Best Fit: 1.43 dN/dE E − exp E ∝ 1.18 GeV −3.1 GeV 0.5   

0 2 4 6 8 10 Ecut [GeV]

FIG. 5. Confidence regions for an unresolved population of MSPs when the Galactic Ridge was included in the fit. The data used is shown in the top RHS panel of Fig. 2 and listed in Table V. The best fit is denoted by a white cross. The green triangles show the best fit parameters of the MSPs detected in the second Fermi LAT catalog of gamma-ray pulsars (2FPC) [32]. The blue circles represent the best fit parameters of MSP populated globular clusters [33].

2 improves the fit once the NFW1.2 template is included. gation in the longitudinal direction, indicating the need From Table I we obtain a TS= 1330 − 1295 = 35 for for the 20-cm Galactic Ridge, is particularly evident in 4 extra dof which corresponds to a 5σ detection. This the energy ranges 1.73 to 5.57 GeV. 2 shows that the GCEG motivates a sum of the NFW1.2 and the Galactic Ridge being included. We also did the above analysis with the HESS residual Galactic Ridge and we found that a TS=30 for 4 extra 2 The parts of the data which require the NFW1.2 and dof which is less than the 20-cm case, but the difference the 20-cm Galactic Ridge are shown in Fig. 3. The elon- is not statistically significant. 9

1.0 25 10−

0.8 /s]

0.6 3 f [cm 26 B 10− 0.4 5σ 5σ

4σ < σv > 4σ 0.2 3σ 3σ 2σ 2σ 1σ 1σ 0.0 27 0 20 40 60 80 100 10− 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 MDM [GeV] Bf

25 10− /s] 3

[cm 26 10−

Fermi- LAT Dwarfs (4 years) 5σ < σv > Fermi- LAT Dwarfs (10 years) 4σ Fermi- LAT Inner Galaxy (2 years) 3σ Fermi- LAT Inner Galaxy (10 years) 2σ 1σ 27 10− 0 20 40 60 80 100 MDM [GeV]

FIG. 6. Confidence regions for the dark matter model when the Galactic Ridge source was included. The data used is shown in the top RHS panel of Fig. 2 and listed in Table V. The parameter Bf = 1.0 implies 100% b¯b and Bf = 0.0 means 100% τ +τ −. The DM spatial distribution follows a NFW profile with inner slope γ = 1.2. The white cross denotes the best-fit values. Limits from dwarf [34] (2σ) and the Inner Galaxy (10◦ ≤ b ≤ 20◦) (3σ) [35] are included. We rescaled the Inner Galaxy results to account for the different γ of the current study, using√ the Galactic coordinate (l = 0, b = 10) as a reference point [10]. The 10 year forecasts were approximated with a simple 1/ time scaling and in the case it was assumed there were three times more dwarf galaxies available.

Additionally, we checked whether the inclusion of the the parameters of the Galactic Ridge. They also investi- Galactic Ridge affected the spectral parameters of the gated the effects of adding Sgr C, but we found once the 2 2 NFW1.2 model. As can be seen from Tables III and IV, NFW1.2 was included, Sgr C had a very low TS and so the inclusion of the Galactic Ridge does not significantly we have not included it in our analysis. 2 alter the spectral parameters of the NFW1.2 template. As can be seen from Table I, the Arc and Sgr B do sig- In Ref. [22], it was argued that the Arc and Sgr B were nificantly improve the fit even when the Galactic Ridge 2 associated with cosmic rays interacting with molecular and the NFW1.2 template are included. However, it is clouds and so should not be included when evaluating common practice [38, 39] to exclude such point sources 10 when analyzing a physical model for the cosmic rays in- the core collapse supernovae rate which in turn is ob- teracting with molecular gas. Otherwise, some of the sig- tained from measurements of the total mass of 26Al in nal will be lost to the apparent point sources arising from the Galaxy. Using this method they estimate the number 5 < cosmic rays interacting with molecular gas. As shown in of MSPs as ∼ 10 fr for r ∼ 150 pc where fr is the frac- Table I, in this case there is also no significant difference tion of neutron stars that get recycled to MSPs. Based in the goodness of fit between HESS Galactic Ridge and on Galactic disk and globular cluster radio observations, −2 < 20-cm Galactic Ridge, but as the 20-cm template has a they estimate fr ∼ 10 for r ∼ 150 pc. slightly higher TS in both models 1 and 2, we use it as 2 A justification for the MSPs resulting in a NFW1.2 the default. profile with γ ∼ 1.2 was proposed in Ref. [8] who noted In Fig. 4 we provide confidence regions for the magnetic the observations of low mass X-ray binaries (LMXBs) in field B and hydrogen density nH . The Galactic Ridge M31 follow a similar profile and MSPs are believed to is consistent with the Ref. [22] best fit even though the arise from LMXBs. They also note some indication of 2 extra NFW1.2 component is included. a similar trend in the Milky Way although the LMXB observational data in that case is currently not very con- clusive. B. Millisecond Pulsars

In Fig. 5 we show the confidence intervals for the C. Dark Matter exponential cut off fit. Although, they are not sig- nificantly different from the ones without an extended Galactic Ridge template (see Ref.[10]), here we also Although the estimates for the DM parameters are not show the MSPs reported in the second Fermi LAT cat- significantly changed, as can be seen from Fig. 6, the alog of gamma-ray pulsars (2FPC) [32] and also the τ +τ − channel is now only excluded as 4σ rather than globular clusters which can contain multiple unresolved 5σ as was the case when no Galactic Ridge was included MSPs [33]. As can be seen the spectrum of the GCEG is [10]. As can be seen in the bottom panel of Fig. 6, neither consistent with the majority of MSPs and MSP contain- Fermi-LAT dwarfs nor the Fermi-LAT inner Galaxy will ing globular clusters. be able to definitively detect the DM self-annihilation if Using the GCEG energy flux for 100 MeV≤ E ≤ 100 it is causing the GCEG. Also, as there is likely to be GeV (G100) of our best fit exponential cut off model from at least some MSP contribution, the actual hσvi will be 2 Table III we evaluate the luminosity as Lγ = 4πd G100 ∼ correspondingly lower and so even harder to detect. 1037 erg s−1 where we take the distance to the Galactic Center as d ∼ 8 kpc. The 2FPC contains 40 MSPs with estimated luminosi- ties ranging from about 5 × 1031 to 7 × 1034 erg s−1. The VII. CONCLUSIONS 34 average MSP luminosity in the 2FPC is L¯MSP ∼ 10 erg s−1. Only about 20% of known MSPs have been detected We have found that the GCEG is best fit by adding to 2 by Fermi-LAT [32] and so the catalog is biased towards the base 2FGL model both a NFW1.2 source and a Galac- higher gamma-ray luminosity MSPs. Therefore, we ex- tic Ridge based on a 20-cm continuum emission template. pect the 2FPC average MSP luminosity will be greater Similar results were found for a Galactic Ridge template than the MSP population average. So we use the average based on the HESS data residuals. The addition of the 2FPC value to estimate a lower bound of ∼ 1000 MSPs Galactic Ridge was not found to significantly affect the < 2 for r ∼ 150pc in order to explain the GCEG. NFW1.2 spectral parameters. We found that the GCEG If we assume each of the MSPs at the Galactic Center is consistent with a lower bound of ∼ 1000 on the number has a luminosity of L¯MSP and then convert this to a flux of MSPs at the Galactic Center. This is consistent with using d ∼ 8 kpc we get each MSP at the Galactic Center estimates based on core collapse supernovae inferences has a flux ∼ 10−12 erg cm −2 s−1 which, as can be seen from 26Al measurements. We also demonstrated that from Fig. 17 of Ref. [32], is below the detection limit current and 10-year Fermi-LAT measurements of dwarf (∼ 10−11 erg cm −2 s−1) at the Galactic Center. This spheroidals and the inner Galaxy are unlikely to be able is consistent with these proposed Galactic Center MSPs to conclusively check a DM annihilation explanation of being unresolved. the GCEG. As the modeling based on the 26Al measure- < The Galactic Center r ∼ 150 pc region corresponds to ments indicates there is likely to be ∼ 1000 MSPs in the about 6 square degrees. As the Fermi-LAT resolution is Galactic Center, this implies that if there is a DM anni- > ◦ ∼ 0.1 at the relevant energy level of this work, it follows hilation component then it probably has a significantly that each (0.1 deg)2 pixel of the Fermi-LAT image of the smaller hσvi and so will be even harder to check. > Galactic Center would contain ∼ 1 MSP. We also constrained a bremsstrahlung model of the This MSPs explanation of the GCEG is consistent with Galactic Ridge and showed that the B and nH con- the results presented in Ref. [15]. Their analysis is based straints are consistent with a previous analysis [22] done 2 on the number of neutron stars which are computed from without a NFW1.2 component. 11

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS cm template and helpful comments on the underlying physics it measures. O.M. is supported by a UC Doc- We thank Mark Wardle for providing notes for the toral Scholarship. This work makes use of Fermi Sci- bremsstrahlung formula used in the analysis of Ref. [22]. ence Tools [24], DMFit [31], Minuit [40], SciPy [41], We also thank Farhad Yusef-Zadeh for providing the 20- and GALPROP [29, 30].

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Springer. ISBN 3-540-66465-3, 2002, XV + 519 pp. −p1 n1 γ if 1 ≤ γ ≤ γb (2002). n(γ) = cm−3 (A3) −p2 [43] H. Bethe and W. Heitler, “On the Stopping of fast (n2 γ if γ ≥ γb, particles and on the creation of positive electrons,” −p1 −p2 2 Proc.Roy.Soc.Lond. A146, 83–112 (1934). with n1γb = n2γb ≡ nb and Eb = γbmc the [44] R. Schlickeiser and K. O. Thielheim, “Non-thermal elec- break energy. After substituting Eq. (A1) and (A3) into tron bremsstrahlung in the Galactic disk,” MNRAS 182, 103–109 (1978). [45] J. Beringer et al. (Particle Data Group), “Review of Par- 2 ticle Physics (RPP),” Phys.Rev. D86, 010001 (2012). We note that Eq. 4.4.1 of Ref. [42] is missing a factor of 1/Eγ . 13

Eq. (A2) and solving the corresponding integrals we get for the omnidirectional source function 3 α σ n q(E ) = T Φ n b J (E /E ) γ 8π H H mc γ b photons cm−3 s−1eV−1, (A4)

where

[I (1) − I (1/x)] x−p1 + I (1/x) x−p2 for x < 1 J(x) = p1 p1 p2 (A5) −p2 (Ip2 (1) x for x ≥ 1,

and as 1 e2 j = √ f (p) ν γ n (γ ) erg cm−3 ster−1 s−1 Hz−1 ν j c B ν ν 1 3 4x 4 3 −pi Ipi (x) = x + − (A10) 3 x + p x p − 1 p  i i i  where for i = 1, 2. (A6)

2(p−1)/2 3p − 1 3p + 19 In Ref. [22] it was argued that the morphological distri- f (p) = Γ Γ , (A11) j p + 1 12 12 bution of diffuse radiation from the GC measured at 1.45     GHz, GeV and TeV energies is correlated. Importantly, and Γ(z) is the Gamma function. Using Eq. A10 we can in that work it was assumed that all the synchrotron estimate the emission coefficient for a broken power law emitting electrons are interacting with the molecular at the synchrotron break frequency clouds. It is thus interesting to find an expression for the bremsstrahlung spectrum in terms of the synchrotron −3 −1 −1 −1 flux. jb = ˜jnb erg cm ster s Hz , (A12) Synchrotron emission at frequency ν (taken to be the characteristic synchrotron radiation frequency) is associ- where ated with particles of energy (see Eq. 4.1.9 of [42]) 2 1 ¯ e √ −1 −1 −1 ˜j = √ fj(p) νBνb erg ster s Hz ,(A13) 3 c

2 and Eν = γν mc 1/2 ¯ 1 4πmcν fj(p) = [fj(p1) + fj(p2)] . (A14) = mc2 2 3eB   where p1 and p2 are the broken power law spectral indices −1/2 B ν 1/2 before and after the break. = 7.89 GeV . (A7) µG GHz Then the spectral value of synchrotron radiation from a     source of volume V at a distance d at the break frequency where the electron charge is e = 4.803 × 10−10 stat- is given by coulomb. Eq. A7 can be rewritten as ˜jn V S = 4π b Jy. (A15) b 4πd2 ν 1/2 3eB B γ = where ν = = 4.20 Hz. Finally, the source function given in Eq. A4 is multi- ν ν B 4πmc µG  B    plied by a factor V to get the photon luminosity spectrum (A8) and then divided by 4πd2 to obtain the bremsstrahlung photon flux spectrum and using the results of Eq A15 we We therefore obtain that particles radiating at the syn- thus get for the bremsstrahlung γ-ray spectrum chrotron break frequency νb obey the relation

2 dN 3 α σ S νb = νBγ Hz. (A9) brem T b b = ΦH nH J (Eγ /Eb) dEγ 32π2˜j mc The synchrotron emission coefficient resulting from an photons erg−1 cm−2 s−1, (A16) electron spectrum that is a simple power law can be ob- tained from Eq.(6.36) of Ref. [46] which can be rewritten where J (Eγ /Eb) is given by Eq. A5. 14

Appendix B: Gamma-Ray Excess Data

−1 −2 −1 −1 −2 −1 −1 −2 −1 Emin [GeV] Emax [GeV] dN/dE [GeV cm s ] Stat. Error [GeV cm s ] Syst. Error [GeV cm s ] TS 0.30 0.40 1.11 × 10−6 6.41 × 10−7 3.92 × 10−7 3.06 0.40 0.54 7.17 × 10−7 6.71 × 10−8 2.84 × 10−7 5.93 0.54 0.72 4.28 × 10−7 4.54 × 10−8 1.26 × 10−7 10.45 0.72 0.97 3.02 × 10−7 3.05 × 10−8 7.98 × 10−8 25.21 0.97 1.29 1.95 × 10−7 2.57 × 10−8 3.80 × 10−8 49.1 1.29 1.73 1.23 × 10−7 1.81 × 10−8 1.83 × 10−8 73.51 1.73 2.32 5.44 × 10−8 1.48 × 10−8 9.38 × 10−9 63.94 2.32 3.11 3.39 × 10−8 7.25 × 10−9 4.35 × 10−9 84.03 3.11 4.16 1.33 × 10−8 6.11 × 10−9 1.98 × 10−9 43.3 4.16 5.57 3.42 × 10−9 3.17 × 10−9 3.17 × 10−9 10.46 5.57 7.47 2.26 × 10−9 6.97 × 10−10 3.01 × 10−10 14.14 7.47 10.00 1.21 × 10−9 2.51 × 10−10 2.40 × 10−10 12.82 10.00 100.00 − − − 0.12

2 TABLE V. NFW1.2 spectrum and corresponding statistical and systematic errors using model 1 in Table I. The spectral points dN/dE were obtained at the logarithmic midpoint of each band.

−1 −2 −1 −1 −2 −1 −1 −2 −1 Emin [GeV] Emax [GeV] dN/dE [GeV cm s ] Stat. Error [GeV cm s ] Syst. Error [GeV cm s ] TS 0.30 0.40 − − − 0.0 0.40 0.54 2.70 × 10−7 7.19 × 10−8 9.21 × 10−8 5.04 0.54 0.72 1.24 × 10−7 3.41 × 10−8 5.57 × 10−8 5.42 0.72 0.97 1.14 × 10−7 2.13 × 10−8 4.83 × 10−8 20.71 0.97 1.29 5.32 × 10−8 1.11 × 10−8 4.35 × 10−8 18.53 1.29 1.73 2.45 × 10−8 7.20 × 10−9 9.16 × 10−9 16.49 1.73 2.32 1.39 × 10−8 3.19 × 10−9 7.09 × 10−9 19.42 2.32 3.11 7.63 × 10−9 1.71 × 10−9 1.98 × 10−9 22.89 3.11 4.16 5.04 × 10−9 1.39 × 10−9 8.02 × 10−10 33.45 4.16 5.57 2.05 × 10−9 3.83 × 10−10 3.68 × 10−10 21.57 5.57 7.47 7.67 × 10−10 2.64 × 10−10 1.59 × 10−10 8.82 7.47 10.00 2.37 × 10−10 1.10 × 10−10 8.06 × 10−11 3.02 10.00 100.00 3.53 × 10−12 1.90 × 10−11 5.69 × 10−12 1.06

TABLE VI. Galactic Ridge spectrum generated using model 2 in Table I.