History of Quaternary Science
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Influence of Current Climate, Historical Climate Stability and Topography on Species Richness and Endemism in Mesoamerican Geophyte Plants
Influence of current climate, historical climate stability and topography on species richness and endemism in Mesoamerican geophyte plants Victoria Sosa* and Israel Loera* Biología Evolutiva, Instituto de Ecologia AC, Xalapa, Veracruz, Mexico * These authors contributed equally to this work. ABSTRACT Background. A number of biotic and abiotic factors have been proposed as drivers of geographic variation in species richness. As biotic elements, inter-specific interactions are the most widely recognized. Among abiotic factors, in particular for plants, climate and topographic variables as well as their historical variation have been correlated with species richness and endemism. In this study, we determine the extent to which the species richness and endemism of monocot geophyte species in Mesoamerica is predicted by current climate, historical climate stability and topography. Methods. Using approximately 2,650 occurrence points representing 507 geophyte taxa, species richness (SR) and weighted endemism (WE) were estimated at a geographic scale using grids of 0.5 × 0.5 decimal degrees resolution using Mexico as the geographic extent. SR and WE were also estimated using species distributions inferred from ecological niche modeling for species with at least five spatially unique occurrence points. Current climate, current to Last Glacial Maximum temperature, precipitation stability and topographic features were used as predictor variables on multiple spatial regression analyses (i.e., spatial autoregressive models, SAR) using the estimates of SR and WE as response variables. The standardized coefficients of the predictor variables that were significant in the regression models were utilized to understand the observed patterns of species richness and endemism. Submitted 31 May 2017 Accepted 26 September 2017 Results. -
Identifying the Causal Role of CO2 During the Ice Ages
Identifying the Causal Role of CO2 during the Ice Ages Jennifer L. Castle and David F. Hendry∗ Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School and Climate Econometrics at Nuffield College, University of Oxford January 13, 2020 Abstract We investigate past climate variability over the Ice Ages, where a simultaneous-equations system is developed to characterize land ice volume, temperature and atmospheric CO2 levels as non-linear functions of measures of the Earth’s orbital path round the Sun. Although the orbital variables were first theorised as the fundamental causes of glacial variation by Croll in 1875 following Agassiz’s conception of a ‘Great Ice Age’ in 1840, their minor variations were thought insufficient to drive such major changes, especially the relative rapidity of shifts between glacial and warmer periods. The changes over the ice ages in atmospheric CO2 closely matched changes in land ice volumes, and since temperature changes are in turn affected by CO2 and also closely tracked ice volumes, a key identification issue is the causal role of CO2 in the process. As any links between CO2 and temperature above the forces from the orbital drivers (which of course are still operating) must have been natural ones hundreds of thousands of years ago, understanding their interactions at that time is important now that additional CO2 emissions are anthropogenic. We develop a simultaneous equation system over the last 800,000 years that allows a test of the role of CO2 as endogenously driven by the orbital variations, or an ‘exogenous’ influence as it now is. JEL classifications: C01, C51, C87, Q54. -
The Observer October 2015
Santa Monica Amateur Astronomy Club October, 2015 The Observer UPCOMING CLUB MEETING: FRIDAY, OCTOBER 9, 7:30 PM Santa Moncia Featured Speaker: DEBORAH VANE, JPL Amateur Astronomy Club Topic: “Observing Earth From Space To Understand and Better Predict INSIDE THIS ISSUE Climate Change” October Calendar: A Busy Month! ************** Earth’s Climate: Milankovitch and his Cycles OUR MEETING SITE: Wildwood School 11811 Olympic Blvd. Our knowledge of the earth's ecosystems has been dramatically ad- Los Angeles, CA 90064 vanced by observations from space. NASA now has a suite of satellites observing our atmosphere, oceans and weather systems. Many of these Free parking in garage, SE satellites are built and operated nearby, at NASA's Jet Propulsion Labora- corner of Mississippi tory. &Westgate. Deborah Vane, our featured speaker, has worked on the Mars Viking Lander Mission Imaging Team, and has served as Scientific Assis- “The Observer” would be tant for the JPL Chief Scientist. As mission manager for Cloudsat, she delighted to accept submis- has been involved with climate observations from space. At this Friday's sions from club members. meeting, she will tell us how these observations are helping us to better Co-editors would also be understand our planet's climate--and its potential for change in the com- welcome. See one of our club ing years." officers at the next meeting! Observing Earth from Space: NASA has a whole fleet of spacecraft, including a line-up of advanced satellites collectively known as “The A Team”, orbiting the earth and collecting infor- mation about land use, atmospheric composition, ocean winds and currents, sea surface temperatures, and cloud formation. -
Ephemeral Pleistocene Woodlands Connect the Dots for Highland Rattlesnakes of the Crotalus Intermedius Group
Journal of Biogeography (J. Biogeogr.) (2011) ORIGINAL Ephemeral Pleistocene woodlands ARTICLE connect the dots for highland rattlesnakes of the Crotalus intermedius group Robert W. Bryson Jr1*, Robert W. Murphy2,3, Matthew R. Graham1, Amy Lathrop2 and David Lazcano4 1School of Life Sciences, University of Nevada, ABSTRACT Las Vegas, 4505 Maryland Parkway, Las Aim To test how Pleistocene climatic changes affected diversification of the Vegas, NV 89154-4004, USA, 2Centre for Biodiversity and Conservation Biology, Royal Crotalus intermedius species complex. Ontario Museum, Toronto, ON M5S 2C6, Location Highlands of Mexico and the south-western United States (Arizona). Canada, 3State Key Laboratory of Genetic Resources and Evolution, Kunming Institute of Methods We synthesize the matrilineal genealogy based on 2406 base pairs of Zoology, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, mitochondrial DNA sequences, fossil-calibrated molecular dating, reconstruction Kunming 650223, China, 4Laboratorio de of ancestral geographic ranges, and climate-based modelling of species Herpetologı´a, Universidad Auto´noma de distributions to evaluate the history of female dispersion. Nuevo Leo´n, San Nicolas de los Garza, Nuevo Results The presently fragmented distribution of the C. intermedius group is the Leo´n CP 66440, Mexico result of both Neogene vicariance and Pleistocene pine–oak habitat fragmentation. Most lineages appear to have a Quaternary origin. The Sierra Madre del Sur and northern Sierra Madre Oriental are likely to have been colonized during this time. Species distribution models for the Last Glacial Maximum predict expansions of suitable habitat for taxa in the southern Sierra Madre Occidental and northern Sierra Madre Oriental. Main conclusions Lineage diversification in the C. -
Mapping the Literature of GIS
Mapping the Literature of GIS Edith A. Scarletto This study analyzed citations in four journals, Annals of the Association of American Geographers, Cartography and Geographic Information Science, International Journal of Geographical Information Science, and Cartographic Journal, using Bradford’s Law of Scattering to identify three influence zones indicating core and peripheral titles in the study areas of GIS. Journals were ranked resulting in twenty-three core journals and 187 secondary journals. Scores for relevant indexing/abstracting services are also given to describe access points and coverage. The results can assist librarians and collection managers to support research in their institutions where GIS is both used and studied. cademic librarians have tra- to support research and to contribute ditionally fit emerging dis- additional knowledge to their discipline. ciplines into their existing Academic libraries support research by structure, and Geography collecting and providing access to journal and Map Librarians (among others) have literature in their institutions. The chal- integrated Geographic Information Sci- lenge of selecting journals is exacerbated ence (GIS) into their duties as quickly as as budgets shrink and is especially dif- faculty and students have adopted them. ficult for a multidisciplinary research The ARL (Association of Research Librar- area like GIS. ies) GIS Literacy Project began during the This article examines and creates a early 1990s to recognize the increasing list of the GIS journals in three ranked interest in GIS, and several SPEC KITS zones of influence using Bradford’s Law have been issued about its support includ- of Scattering.4 Analyzing citations in four ing Davie1 and Salem.2 Using a working source journals, Annals of the Association definition from the Encyclopedia of GIS, of American Geographers, Cartography and GIS is “knowledge acquired through Geographic Information Science, Interna- processing geographically referenced tional Journal of Geographical Information data. -
Article James Croll – Aman‘Greater Far Than His Work’ Kevin J
Earth and Environmental Science Transactions of the Royal Society of Edinburgh,1–20, 2021 Article James Croll – aman‘greater far than his work’ Kevin J. EDWARDS1,2* and Mike ROBINSON3 1 Departments of Geography & Environment and Archaeology, School of Geosciences, University of Aberdeen, Elphinstone Road, Aberdeen AB24 3UF, UK. 2 McDonald Institute for Archaeological Research and Scott Polar Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. 3 Royal Scottish Geographical Society, Lord John Murray House, 15–19 North Port, Perth PH1 5LU, UK. *Corresponding author. Email: [email protected] ABSTRACT: Popular and scholarly information concerning the life of James Croll has been accumu- lating slowly since the death in 1890 of the self-taught climate change pioneer. The papers in the current volume offer thorough assessments of topics associated with Croll’s work, but this contribution seeks to provide a personal context for an understanding of James Croll the man, as well as James Croll the scho- lar of sciences and religion. Using archival as well as published sources, emphasis is placed upon selected components of his life and some of the less recognised features of his biography.These include his family history, his many homes, his health, participation in learned societies and attitudes to collegiality, finan- cial problems including the failed efforts to secure a larger pension, and friendship. Life delivered a mix- ture of ‘trials and sorrows’, but it seems clear from the affection and respect accorded him that many looked upon James Croll as a ‘man greater far than his work’. KEY WORDS: Croil–Croyle–Croll, family history, friendship, health, homes, income, learned societies, pension. -
Towards a Glacial‐Sensitive Model of Island Biogeography
Global Ecology and Biogeography, (Global Ecol. Biogeogr.) (2016)(2015) 25, 817–830 SPECIAL Towards a glacial-sensitive model of ISSUE island biogeography José María Fernández-Palacios1,2*, Kenneth F. Rijsdijk3, Sietze J. Norder3, Rüdiger Otto1, Lea de Nascimento1,2, Silvia Fernández-Lugo1, Even Tjørve4 and Robert J. Whittaker2,5 1Island Ecology and Biogeography Research ABSTRACT Group. Instituto Universitario de Although the role that Pleistocene glacial cycles have played in shaping the present Enfermedades Tropicales y Salud Pública de Canarias (IUETSPC), Universidad de La biota of oceanic islands world-wide has long been recognized, their geographical, Laguna, Tenerife, Canary Islands 38206, biogeographical and ecological implications have not yet been fully incorporated Spain, 2Conservation Biogeography and within existing biogeographical models. Here we summarize the different types of Macroecology Group, School of Geography and impacts that glacial cycles may have had on oceanic islands, including cyclic the Environment, South Parks Road, Oxford changes in climate, shifts in marine currents and wind regimes and, especially, OX1 3QY, UK, 3Computation GeoEcology cycles of sea level change. The latter have affected geographical parameters such as Group, Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem island area, isolation and elevation. They have also influenced the configurations of Dynamics & Institute for Interdisciplinary archipelagos via island fusion and fission, and cycles of seamount emergence and Studies, University of Amsterdam, Sciencepark submergence. We hypothesize that these sea level cycles have had significant 904, 1098 XH Amsterdam, The Netherlands, impacts on the biogeographical processes shaping oceanic island biotas, influencing 4Faculty of Economics and Organisation the rates and patterns of immigration and extinction and hence species richness. -
Paleoclimate Reconstruction Along the Pole-Equator-Pole Transect of the Americas (PEP 1)
University of Nebraska - Lincoln DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln USGS Staff -- Published Research US Geological Survey 2000 Paleoclimate Reconstruction Along The Pole-Equator-Pole Transect of the Americas (PEP 1) Vera Markgraf Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado. Boulder CO 80309-0450, USA T.R Baumgartner Scripps Oceanographic Institute, La Jolla CA 92093, USA J. P. Bradbury US Geological Survey, Denver Federal Center, MS 980, Denver CO 80225, USA H. F. Diaz National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration, Climate Diagnostic Center, 325 Broadway, Boulder CO 90303, USA R. B. Dunbar Department of Geological and Environmental Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford CA 94305-2115, USA See next page for additional authors Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/usgsstaffpub Part of the Earth Sciences Commons Markgraf, Vera; Baumgartner, T.R; Bradbury, J. P.; Diaz, H. F.; Dunbar, R. B.; Luckman, B. H.; Seltzer, G. O.; Swetnam, T. W.; and Villalba, R., "Paleoclimate Reconstruction Along The Pole-Equator-Pole Transect of the Americas (PEP 1)" (2000). USGS Staff -- Published Research. 249. https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/usgsstaffpub/249 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the US Geological Survey at DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln. It has been accepted for inclusion in USGS Staff -- Published Research by an authorized administrator of DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln. Authors Vera Markgraf, T.R Baumgartner, J. P. Bradbury, H. F. Diaz, R. B. Dunbar, B. H. Luckman, G. O. Seltzer, T. W. Swetnam, and R. Villalba This article is available at DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln: https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/ usgsstaffpub/249 Quaternary Science Reviews 19 (2000) 125}140 Paleoclimate reconstruction along the Pole}Equator}Pole transect of the Americas (PEP 1) Vera Markgraf!,*, T.R Baumgartner", J. -
For Quaternary Science Reviews Manuscript Draft Manuscript Number
Elsevier Editorial System(tm) for Quaternary Science Reviews Manuscript Draft Manuscript Number: Title: RAPID DEGLACIATION IN NORTHWEST GREENLAND CIRCA 11 ka BP Article Type: Rapid Communication Corresponding Author: Ms. Lee B Corbett, Corresponding Author's Institution: University of Vermont First Author: Lee B Corbett Order of Authors: Lee B Corbett; Paul R Bierman; Jason P Briner; Joseph A Graly; Thomas A Neumann; Dylan H Rood; Robert C Finkel Abstract: In this study, we use a rare isotope, 10Be, to determine when and how rapidly a sparsely studied region of the northwest Greenland coast was deglaciated. Despite the fact that such information is critical to understanding future behavior of the Greenland Ice Sheet, little is known about the timing or rate of ice loss in northwest Greenland, the region with the most marine-based ice. Here, we report the concentration of cosmogenic 10Be in 12 boulders and show that outlet glaciers likely retreated 100 km in no more than a few hundred years at the end of the Last Glacial Maximum around 11,000 years ago. This abrupt loss of ice was forced by post-glacial warming and sea level rise, which together destabilized fjord-based outlet glaciers. Our results suggest an intimate relationship between warming climate, increasing sea level, and ice loss rate, a positive feedback process that could lead to a significant decrease in global ice cover on human time scales. Our work demonstrates that rapid loss of ice in Greenland has occurred in the past; because anthropogenic warming and associated sea level rise have been widely predicted for the future, it is crucial to understand the rate and distribution of these processes. -
Quaternary Field Mapping: Lowland Britain
Quaternary Field Mapping: Lowland Britain Training and Staff Development Internal Report IR/06/099 BRITISH GEOLOGICAL SURVEY TRAINING AND STAFF DEVELOPMENT INTERNAL REPORT IR/06/099 Quaternary Field Mapping: Lowland Britain Editors: J R Lee and S J Booth The National Grid and other Ordnance Survey data are used with the permission of the Contributors: S J Booth, J Carney, A H Cooper, J Ford, H Kessler, J Controller of Her Majesty’s R Lee, B S P Moorlock, S Price, A N Morigi Stationery Office. Licence No: 100017897/2005. Keywords Quaternary, lowland, glaciation, river terraces, alluvium, head, glacial deposits, landforms. Bibliographical reference LEE, J R, BOOTH S J. 2006. Quaternary Field Mapping: Lowland Britain. British Geological Survey Internal Report, IR/06/099. 78pp. Copyright in materials derived from the British Geological Survey’s work is owned by the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) and/or the authority that commissioned the work. You may not copy or adapt this publication without first obtaining permission. Contact the BGS Intellectual Property Rights Section, British Geological Survey, Keyworth, e-mail [email protected]. You may quote extracts of a reasonable length without prior permission, provided a full acknowledgement is given of the source of the extract. Maps and diagrams in this book use topography based on Ordnance Survey mapping. © NERC 2006. All rights reserved Keyworth, Nottingham British Geological Survey 2006 BRITISH GEOLOGICAL SURVEY The full range of Survey publications is available from the BGS British Geological Survey offices Sales Desks at Nottingham, Edinburgh and London; see contact details below or shop online at www.geologyshop.com Keyworth, Nottingham NG12 5GG The London Information Office also maintains a reference collection 0115-936 3241 Fax 0115-936 3488 of BGS publications including maps for consultation. -
RESUMEN ABSTRACT Environmental Variability During the Last Three Millennia in the Rain Shadows of Central Mexico
Boletín de la Sociedad Geológica Mexicana / 73 (1) / A171220 / 2021 / 1 Environmental variability during the last three millennia in the rain shadows of central Mexico Variabilidad ambiental durante los últimos tres milenios en las sombras de lluvia de México central Gustavo Olivares-Casillas1, Alex Correa-Metrio2,*, Edyta Zawisza3, Marta Wojewódka-Przybył3, Maarten Blaauw4, Francisco Romero2 ABSTRACT 1 Posgrado en Ciencias del Mar y Limnología, ABSTRACT RESUMEN Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad Universitaria, 04510, Coyoacán,CD- The last three millennia have been characterized Los últimos tres milenios se han caracterizado por osci- MX, Mexico. by global temperature oscillations of around one laciones en la temperatura global alrededor de un grado Celsius degree, and high frequency variability on Celsius, y una variabilidad de alta frecuencia de la 2 Instituto de Geología, Universidad Nacional precipitation. Two main temperature anomalies precipitación. Dos principales anomalías de temperatura Autónoma de México, Ciudad Universitaria, have been reported worldwide, the Medieval han sido reportadas mundialmente, el Periodo Cálido 04510, Coyoacán, CDMX, Mexico. Warm Period (MWP) and the Little Ice Age Medieval (PCM) y la Pequeña Edad de Hielo (PEH), caracterizadas por temperaturas más cálidas y más frías 3 Institute of Geological Sciences, Polish Acad- (LIA), characterized by higher and lower than average temperatures, respectively. Precipitation que el promedio, respectivamente. La variabilidad de la emy of Sciences, Research -
Article Cosmic Connections: James Croll's Influence on His
Earth and Environmental Science Transactions of the Royal Society of Edinburgh,1–6, 2021 Article Cosmic connections: James Croll’sinfluence on his contemporaries and his successors James R. FLEMING Science, Technology, and Society Program, Colby College, Waterville, Maine 04358, USA. Email: jfl[email protected] ABSTRACT: This paper examines the astronomical theory of ice ages of James Croll (1821–1890), its influence on contemporaries John Tyndall, Charles Lyell, and Charles Darwin, and the subsequent development of climate change science, giving special attention to the work of Svante Arrhenius, Nils Ekholm, and G. S. Callendar (for the carbon dioxide theory), and Milutin Milanković(for the astro- nomical theory). Croll’s insight that the orbital elements triggered feedbacks leading to complex changes – in seasonality, ocean currents, ice sheets, radiative forcing, plant and animal life, and climate in general – placed his theory of the Glacial Epoch at the nexus of astronomy, terrestrial physics, and geology. He referred to climate change as the most important problem in terrestrial physics, and the one which will ultimately prove the most far reaching in its consequences. He was an autodidact deeply involved in philosophy and an early proponent of what came to be called ‘cosmic physics’–later known as ‘Earth-system science.’ Croll opened up new dimensions of the ‘climate controversy’ that continue today in the interplay of geological and human influences on climate. KEY WORDS: astronomical theory, carbon dioxide theory, climate change, cosmic physics, ice ages. It is to be hoped that the day is not far distant when the G. S. Callendar (for the carbon dioxide theory), and Milutin climate controversy will be concluded.