Vortex Interactions and the Barotropic Aspects of Concentric Eyewall Formation
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Performance of Horizontal Drains
FACTUAL REPORT ON HONG KONG RAINFALL AND LANDSLIDES IN 2003 GEO REPORT No. 186 T.H.H. Hui & A.F.H. Ng GEOTECHNICAL ENGINEERING OFFICE CIVIL ENGINEERING AND DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT THE GOVERNMENT OF THE HONG KONG SPECIAL ADMINISTRATIVE REGION FACTUAL REPORT ON HONG KONG RAINFALL AND LANDSLIDES IN 2003 GEO REPORT No. 186 T.H.H. Hui & A.F.H. Ng This report was originally produced in April 2004 as GEO Special Project Report No. SPR 3/2004 - 2 - © The Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region First published, September 2006 Prepared by: Geotechnical Engineering Office, Civil Engineering and Development Department, Civil Engineering and Development Building, 101 Princess Margaret Road, Homantin, Kowloon, Hong Kong. - 3 - PREFACE In keeping with our policy of releasing information which may be of general interest to the geotechnical profession and the public, we make available selected internal reports in a series of publications termed the GEO Report series. The GEO Reports can be downloaded from the website of the Civil Engineering and Development Department (http://www.cedd.gov.hk) on the Internet. Printed copies are also available for some GEO Reports. For printed copies, a charge is made to cover the cost of printing. The Geotechnical Engineering Office also produces documents specifically for publication. These include guidance documents and results of comprehensive reviews. These publications and the printed GEO Reports may be obtained from the Government’s Information Services Department. Information on how to purchase these documents is given on the last page of this report. R.K.S. Chan Head, Geotechnical Engineering Office September 2006 - 4 - FOREWORD This report presents a summary of the factual information on rainfall and landslides in Hong Kong throughout 2003. -
Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR Sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ Updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET
Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET Summary Report Ongoing typhoon situation The storm had lost strength early Tuesday July 8, going from the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane to a Category 3 on the Saffir‐Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which means devastating damage is expected to occur, with major damage to well‐built framed homes, snapped or uprooted trees and power outages. It is approaching Okinawa, Japan, and is moving northwest towards South Korea and the Philippines, bringing strong winds, flooding rainfall and inundating storm surge. Typhoon Neoguri is a once‐in‐a‐decade storm and Japanese authorities have extended their highest storm alert to Okinawa's main island. The Global Assessment Report (GAR) 2013 ranked Japan as first among countries in the world for both annual and maximum potential losses due to cyclones. It is calculated that Japan loses on average up to $45.9 Billion due to cyclonic winds every year and that it can lose a probable maximum loss of $547 Billion.2 What are the most devastating cyclones to hit Okinawa in recent memory? There have been 12 damaging cyclones to hit Okinawa since 1945. Sustaining winds of 81.6 knots (151 kph), Typhoon “Winnie” caused damages of $5.8 million in August 1997. Typhoon "Bart", which hit Okinawa in October 1999 caused damages of $5.7 million. It sustained winds of 126 knots (233 kph). The most damaging cyclone to hit Japan was Super Typhoon Nida (reaching a peak intensity of 260 kph), which struck Japan in 2004 killing 287 affecting 329,556 people injuring 1,483, and causing damages amounting to $15 Billion. -
Climatology, Variability, and Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Strikes in the Northeastern and Central Pacific Ab Sins Nicholas S
Louisiana State University LSU Digital Commons LSU Master's Theses Graduate School March 2019 Climatology, Variability, and Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Strikes in the Northeastern and Central Pacific aB sins Nicholas S. Grondin Louisiana State University, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.lsu.edu/gradschool_theses Part of the Climate Commons, Meteorology Commons, and the Physical and Environmental Geography Commons Recommended Citation Grondin, Nicholas S., "Climatology, Variability, and Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Strikes in the Northeastern and Central Pacific asinB s" (2019). LSU Master's Theses. 4864. https://digitalcommons.lsu.edu/gradschool_theses/4864 This Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate School at LSU Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in LSU Master's Theses by an authorized graduate school editor of LSU Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. CLIMATOLOGY, VARIABILITY, AND RETURN PERIODS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE STRIKES IN THE NORTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC BASINS A Thesis Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of the Louisiana State University and Agricultural and Mechanical College in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in The Department of Geography and Anthropology by Nicholas S. Grondin B.S. Meteorology, University of South Alabama, 2016 May 2019 Dedication This thesis is dedicated to my family, especially mom, Mim and Pop, for their love and encouragement every step of the way. This thesis is dedicated to my friends and fraternity brothers, especially Dillon, Sarah, Clay, and Courtney, for their friendship and support. This thesis is dedicated to all of my teachers and college professors, especially Mrs. -
Annual Progress Report July 1, 2003 – June 30, 2004 Cooperative Institute for Climate Science at Princeton University
Annual Progress Report July 1, 2003 – June 30, 2004 Cooperative Institute for Climate Science at Princeton University CICS Jorge L. Sarmiento, Professor of Geosciences and Director Cooperative Institute for Climate Science Princeton University Forrestal Campus 300 Forrestal Road, Box CN 710 Princeton, New Jersey 08544-0710 Table of Contents Introduction 1 Research Themes Overview 2-4 Structure of the Joint Institute 5-6 Research Highlights Earth System Studies 7-10 Land Dynamics Ocean Dynamics Chemistry-Radiation-Climate Interactions Large-scale Atmospheric Dynamics Clouds and Convection Biogeochemistry 10-13 Ocean Biogeochemistry Land Processes Atmospheric Chemistry Earth System Model Coastal Processes 13 Paleoclimate 13-15 NOAA Funding Table 16 Project Reports 17-155 Publications 156-158 CICS Fellows 159 Personnel Information 160-163 CICS Projects 164-165 Cooperative Institute for Climate Science Princeton University Annual Report of Research Progress under Cooperative Agreement NA17RJ2612 During July 1, 2003 – June 30, 2004 Jorge L. Sarmiento, Director Introduction The Cooperative Institute for Climate Sciences (CICS) was founded in 2003 to foster research collaboration between Princeton University and the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) of the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Its vision is to be a world leader in understanding and predicting climate and the co- evolution of society and the environment – integrating physical, chemical, biological, technological, economical, social, and ethical dimensions, and in educating the next generations to deal with the increasing complexity of these issues. CICS is built upon the strengths of Princeton University in biogeochemistry, physical oceanography, paleoclimate, hydrology, ecosystem ecology, climate change mitigation technology, economics, and policy; and GFDL in modeling the atmosphere, oceans, weather and climate. -
Global Catastrophe Review – 2015
GC BRIEFING An Update from GC Analytics© March 2016 GLOBAL CATASTROPHE REVIEW – 2015 The year 2015 was a quiet one in terms of global significant insured losses, which totaled around USD 30.5 billion. Insured losses were below the 10-year and 5-year moving averages of around USD 49.7 billion and USD 62.6 billion, respectively (see Figures 1 and 2). Last year marked the lowest total insured catastrophe losses since 2009 and well below the USD 126 billion seen in 2011. 1 The most impactful event of 2015 was the Port of Tianjin, China explosions in August, rendering estimated insured losses between USD 1.6 and USD 3.3 billion, according to the Guy Carpenter report following the event, with a December estimate from Swiss Re of at least USD 2 billion. The series of winter storms and record cold of the eastern United States resulted in an estimated USD 2.1 billion of insured losses, whereas in Europe, storms Desmond, Eva and Frank in December 2015 are expected to render losses exceeding USD 1.6 billion. Other impactful events were the damaging wildfires in the western United States, severe flood events in the Southern Plains and Carolinas and Typhoon Goni affecting Japan, the Philippines and the Korea Peninsula, all with estimated insured losses exceeding USD 1 billion. The year 2015 marked one of the strongest El Niño periods on record, characterized by warm waters in the east Pacific tropics. This was associated with record-setting tropical cyclone activity in the North Pacific basin, but relative quiet in the North Atlantic. -
Sensitivity of Numerical Simulation of Early Rapid Intensification of Hurricane Emily (2005) to Cloud Microphysical and Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterizations
Sensitivity of Numerical Simulation of Early Rapid Intensification of Hurricane Emily (2005) to Cloud Microphysical and Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterizations XUANLI LI and ZHAOXIA PU* Department of Meteorology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT Second revision Submitted to Monthly Weather Review March 25, 2008 * Corresponding author: Dr. Zhaoxia Pu, Department of Meteorology, University of Utah, 135 S 1460 E, Rm.819, Salt Lake City, UT 84112-0110. E-mail: [email protected] 0 ABSTRACT An advanced research version of the Weather Research and Forecasting (ARW) model is used to simulate the early rapid intensification of Hurricane Emily (2005) using grids nested to high resolution (3 km). A series of numerical simulations are conducted to examine the sensitivity of the simulation to available cloud microphysical (CM) and planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterization schemes. Results indicate that the numerical simulations of the early rapid intensification of Hurricane Emily are very sensitive to the choice of CM and PBL schemes in the ARW model. Specifically, with different CM schemes, the simulated minimum central sea level pressure (MSLP) varies by up to 29 hPa, and the use of various PBL schemes has resulted in differences in the simulated MSLP of up to 19 hPa during the 30 h forecast period. Physical processes associated with the above sensitivities are investigated. It is found that the magnitude of the environmental vertical wind shear is not well correlated with simulated hurricane intensities. In contrast, the eyewall convective heating distributions and the latent heat flux and high equivalent potential temperature (θe) feeding from the ocean surface are directly associated with the simulated intensities. -
Development of GMDH-Based Storm Surge Forecast Models for Sakaiminato, Tottori, Japan
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering Article Development of GMDH-Based Storm Surge Forecast Models for Sakaiminato, Tottori, Japan Sooyoul Kim 1 , Hajime Mase 2,3,4,5, Nguyen Ba Thuy 6,* , Masahide Takeda 7, Cao Truong Tran 8 and Vu Hai Dang 9 1 Center for Water Cycle Marine Environment and Disaster Management, Kumamoto University, 2-39-1, Kurokami, Chuo-ku, Kumamoto 860-8555, Japan; [email protected] 2 Professor Emeritus, Kyoto University, Kyoto 611-0011, Japan; [email protected] 3 Toa Corporation, Tokyo 163-1031, Japan 4 Hydro Technology Inst., Co., Ltd., Osaka 530-6126, Japan 5 Nikken Kogaku Co., Ltd., Tokyo 160-0023, Japan 6 Vietnam National Hydrometerological Forecasting Center Hanoi, No 8, Phao Dai Lang, Dong Da, Hanoi, Vietnam 7 Research and Development Center, Toa Corporation, Kanagawa 230-0035, Japan; [email protected] 8 Le Quy Don Technical University, 236 Hoang Quoc Viet St, Hanoi, Vietnam; [email protected] 9 Institute of Marine Geology and Geophysics, VAST, 18 Hoang Quoc Viet St, Hanoi, Vietnam; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] Received: 31 July 2020; Accepted: 4 October 2020; Published: 14 October 2020 Abstract: The current study developed storm surge hindcast/forecast models with lead times of 5, 12, and 24 h at the Sakaiminato port, Tottori, Japan, using the group method of data handling (GMDH) algorithm. For training, local meteorological and hydrodynamic data observed in Sakaiminato during Typhoons Maemi (2003), Songda (2004), and Megi (2004) were collected at six stations. In the forecast experiments, the two typhoons, Maemi and Megi, as well as the typhoon Songda, were used for training and testing, respectively. -
The Improvement of Trap by Considering Typhoon Intensity Variation
THE IMPROVEMENT OF TRAP BY CONSIDERING TYPHOON INTENSITY VARIATION Yu-Chun Chen*1, Gin-Rong Liu2, and Yen-Ju Chen3 1Graduate Student, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, National Central University, 300, Jhongda Rd., Jhongli, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan; Tel: + 886-3-4227151#57665 Email: [email protected] 2Professor, Central for Space and Remote Sensing Research, and Institute of Atmospheric Physics, National Central University, 300, Jhongda Rd., Jhongli, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan; Tel: + 886-3-4227151#57634 E-mail: [email protected] 3Graduate Student, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, National Central University, 300, Jhongda Rd., Jhongli, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan; Tel: + 886-3-4227151#57634 Email: [email protected] KEY WORDS: Typhoon, TRaP, Typhoon Intensity, Typhoon Rainfall ABSTRACT: For years, the flash floods, mudflows and landslides brought by typhoons always cause severe loss of property and human life. For this reason, it is crucial to develop a more accurate and prompt typhoon rainfall prediction technique and thus can provide necessary rainfall potential information to the relevant disaster mitigation agencies. Kidder et al. (2005) developed the Tropical Rainfall Potential (TRaP) technique, which applied satellite-borne passive microwave radiometers, to retrieve a tropical cyclone’s rainfall amount and predict its 24-h accumulated rainfall distribution. However, the effects of a tropical cyclone’s rainband rotation and intensity variation were not considered in their method. To obtain a better approximation to the actual rainfall system, this study will improve the TRaP technique by considering those effects. In the typhoon intensity variation part, the method proposed by DeMaria (2006) was applied to predict the 6-h intensity change with GOES-9 and MTSAT satellites, and the result was further extended to predict the 24-h intensity change and accumulated rainfall. -
Quantification of Typhoon-Induced Phytoplankton Blooms Using
remote sensing Article Quantification of Typhoon-Induced Phytoplankton Blooms Using Satellite Multi-Sensor Data Jiayi Pan 1,2,3,* ID , Lei Huang 2, Adam T. Devlin 2 and Hui Lin 2 1 School of Marine Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China 2 Institute of Space and Earth Information Science, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; [email protected] (L.H.); [email protected] (A.T.D.); [email protected] (H.L.) 3 Shenzhen Research Institute, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen 518057, China * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +852-3943-1308 Received: 19 December 2017; Accepted: 16 February 2018; Published: 20 February 2018 Abstract: Using satellite-based multi-sensor observations, this study investigates Chl-a blooms induced by typhoons in the Northwest Pacific (NWP) and the South China Sea (SCS), and quantifies the blooms via wind-induced mixing and Ekman pumping parameters, as well as pre-typhoon mixed-layer depth (MLD). In the NWP, the Chl-a bloom is more correlated with the Ekman pumping than with the other two parameters, with an R2 value of 0.56. In the SCS, the wind-induced mixing and Ekman pumping have comparable correlations with the Chl-a increase, showing R2 values of 0.4~0.6. However, the MLD exhibits a negative correlation with the Chl-a increase. A multi-parameter quantification model of the Chl-a bloom strength achieves better results than the single-parameter regressions, yielding a more significant R2 value of 0.80, and a lower regression rms of 0.18 mg·m−3 in the SCS, and the R2 value in the NWP is also improved compared with the single-parameter regressions. -
Numerical Simulations of Storm-Surge Inundation Along Innermost Coast of Ariake Sea Based on Past Violent Typhoons
Numerical Simulations of Storm-Surge Inundation Along Innermost Coast of Ariake Sea Based on Past Violent Typhoons Paper: Numerical Simulations of Storm-Surge Inundation Along Innermost Coast of Ariake Sea Based on Past Violent Typhoons Noriaki Hashimoto∗, Masaki Yokota∗∗,†, Masaru Yamashiro∗, Yukihiro Kinashi∗∗∗, Yoshihiko Ide∗, and Mitsuyoshi Kodama∗ ∗Kyushu University 744, Motooka, Nishi-ku, Fukuoka 819-0395, Japan ∗∗Kyushu Sangyo University, Fukuoka, Japan †Corresponding author, E-mail: [email protected] ∗∗∗CTI Engineering Co.,Ltd, Fukuoka, Japan [Received April 25, 2016; accepted September 2, 2016] The Ariake Sea has Japan’s largest tidal range – up Haiyan, which hit the Philippines in 2013. These events to six meters. Given previous Ariake Sea disasters caused large-scale disasters costing many lives and forc- caused by storm surges and high waves, it is con- ing large-scale evacuations. Storm-surge disasters in Ko- sidered highly likely that the bay’s innermost coast rea, such as Typhoon Maemi in 2003 and Typhoon Sanba will be damaged by typhoon-triggered storm surges. in 2012, also caused considerable damage. Concern with increased storm-surge-related disasters After Typhoon Vera – known as the Ise Bay Typhoon is associated with rising sea levels and increasing ty- in Japan – struck Japan in 1959, coastal and river lev- phoon intensity due to global warming. As increas- ees and other appropriate defensive structures were devel- ingly more potentially disastrous typhoons cross the oped. Since then, no human casualties related to storm- area, preventing coastal disasters has become increas- surge disasters have been reported in Japan, except during ingly important. -
Interagency Strategic Research Plan for Tropical Cyclones: the Way Ahead
INTERAGENCY STRATEGIC RESEARCH PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES THE WAY AHEAD FCM-P36-2007 February 2007 Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorological Services and Supporting Research THE FEDERAL COMMITTEE FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AND SUPPORTING RESEARCH (FCMSSR) VADM CONRAD C. LAUTENBACHER, JR., USN (RET.) MR. RANDOLPH LYON Chairman, Department of Commerce Office of Management and Budget DR. SHARON L. HAYS MS. VICTORIA COX Office of Science and Technology Policy Department of Transportation DR. RAYMOND MOTHA MR. DAVID MAURSTAD Department of Agriculture Federal Emergency Management Agency Department of Homeland Security BRIG GEN DAVID L. JOHNSON, USAF (RET.) Department of Commerce DR. MARY L. CLEAVE National Aeronautics and Space MR. ALAN SHAFFER Administration Department of Defense DR. MARGARET S. LEINEN DR. JERRY ELWOOD National Science Foundation Department of Energy MR. PAUL MISENCIK MR. KEVIN “SPANKY” KIRSCH National Transportation Safety Board Science and Technology Directorate Department of Homeland Security MR. JAMES WIGGINS U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission DR. MICHAEL SOUKUP Department of the Interior DR. LAWRENCE REITER Environmental Protection Agency MR. RALPH BRAIBANTI Department of State MR. SAMUEL P. WILLIAMSON Federal Coordinator MR. JAMES B. HARRISON, Executive Secretary Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorological Services and Supporting Research THE INTERDEPARTMENTAL COMMITTEE FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AND SUPPORTING RESEARCH (ICMSSR) MR. SAMUEL P. WILLIAMSON, Chairman MR. JAMES H. WILLIAMS Federal Coordinator Federal Aviation Administration Department of Transportation MR. THOMAS PUTERBAUGH Department of Agriculture DR. JONATHAN M. BERKSON United States Coast Guard MR. JOHN E. JONES, JR. Department of Homeland Security Department of Commerce MR. JEFFREY MACLURE RADM FRED BYUS, USN Department of State United States Navy Department of Defense DR. -
The Interaction of Supertyphoon Maemi (2003) with a Warm Ocean Eddy
17A.2 THE INTERACTION OF SUPERTYPHOON MAEMI (2003) WITH A WARM OCEAN EDDY I-I Lin1 ,Chun-Chieh Wu2, Kerry A. Emanuel3, W. Timothy Liu4, and I-Huan Lee5 1National Center for Ocean Research, Taipei, Taiwan 2 Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan 3Dept. of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA 4Jet Propulsion Lab, NASA, USA 5Inst. of Marine Geology and Chemistry, National Taiwan Sun Yat-Sen Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan 1. INTRODUCTION impact of the NWPO warm ocean eddies on The Northwest Pacific Ocean (NWPO) is the typhoon intensification is not well understood. world's most prolific generator of tropical cyclones, This work serves as our first investigation of producing about 6-10 category-4 (in Saffir-Simpson the impact of a warm ocean eddy on the intensity scale) or category-5 typhoons each year. These change of Maemi (2003) in the NWPO, by using the severe typhoons are direct threats to the half-billion synergy of the multiple remote sensing data and people living on the coast of East Asia. The high the CHIPS (Coupled Hurricane Intensity Prediction frequency of strong typhoons in these regions is System) model (Emanuel, 1999). partly related to the large area of warm sea surface temperature (SST) and correspondingly large 2. EXPERIMENT DESIGN potential intensity (Emanuel 1991). Nevertheless, TOPEX/Poseidon satellite altimetry Sea it remains unclear why some storms reach higher Surface Height Anomaly (SSHA) data and cloud- intensity than others. penetrating SST data from the Tropical Rainfall Recent studies (Bender and Ginis, 2000; Measuring Mission (TRMM) Microwave Imager Shay et al., 2000; Goni and Trinanes, 2003) (TMI) are used to improve the initial and boundary suggest that one of the major stumbling blocks in conditions for hindcast experiments using CHIPS.