North Transport Model 2019 Model Commission Protocol Hampshire County Council

04 August 2021

Model Commission Protocol

Notice

This document and its contents have been prepared and are intended solely as information for Hampshire County Council and use in relation to Model Commission Protocol Atkins Limited assumes no responsibility to any other party in respect of or arising out of or in connection with this document and/or its contents. This document has 27 pages including the cover.

Document history Document title: Model Commission Protocol Document reference: Model Commission Protocol Revision Purpose description Originated Checked Reviewed Authorised Date Rev 1.0 NHTM19 Model SDG AEA AEA AEA 11/12/20 Commission Protocol Client comment version Peter Day, Hannah Roper Rev 2.0 Revision based on SDG/TG AEA/MF TJG AEA 21/05/2021 comments- Draft Rev 3.0 Revision based on SDG AT AEA SDG 29/07/2021 comments from HCC- Final

Client signoff Client Hampshire County Council Project North Hampshire Transport Model 2019 Job number 5199550 Client signature/date

Atkins | Page 2 of 28

Contents

Chapter Page 1. Introduction 4 1.1. Need for this Document 4 1.2. When should the NHTM19 be used? 4 1.3. NHTM19 Model Overview 4 1.4. NHTM19 Model Structure 5 1.5. NHTM19 Baseline Scenario 6 2. NHTM19 Commission Protocol 7 2.1. Who can apply for NHTM19 runs 7 2.2. Approach for Typical NHTM19 Studies 7 2.3. Development Application Use 8 2.4. Data Requirements 9 2.5. Model Outputs 10 2.6. Spreadsheet analysis 11 2.7. Map analysis 11 2.8. Model Visualisation - ADV 12 2.9. Need for further detailed junction analysis 12 3. Costing 13 3.1. Overview 13 3.2. Assumptions 13 3.3. Contact 14 4. Terms of Use 15 4.1. Licences 15 4.2. Intellectual Property Rights and Ownership 15 4.3. Restrictions 15

Appendices 16 Appendix A. & Deane: Do Minimum Development Sites 17 Appendix B. NHTM19 Modelling Assumptions Proforma 21

Tables Table 2-1 – Assessment Approach 7 Table 2.2 - Summary of NHTM19 outputs 11 Table 3.1 – NHTM19 Indicative Cost Estimates (inc Administration Costs exc VAT) 13

Figures Figure 1-1 - NHTM19 fully Modelled Area 5 Figure 1-2 - Four-Stage Model Structure (Used for Iterative realism test and forecasting) 6 Figure 2-1 - NHTM19 Commissioning Protocol 8 Figure 2-2 – Standard NHTM19 VISUM plot 12

Atkins | Page 3 of 28

1. Introduction 1.1. Need for this Document This document outlines the requirements for undertaking strategic level transport modelling using the 2019 Base North Hampshire Transport Model (NHTM19). The purpose of this protocol is to ensure that a consistent approach is applied across all assessments and will also enable the public bodies and developers to understand the modelling requirements for their scheme in advance. It is noted, however, that this guidance does not replace the need for final agreement of approach with HCC officers prior to its assessment.

1.2. When should the NHTM19 be used? The model would be appropriate to assist in the following fields: • Optioneering of highway and public transport schemes, or of optional locations for land use developments, to inform the decision-making process, • Undertaking the appraisal of various highway and public transport improvements (including Park and Ride), • Undertaking assessment and comparison of impacts of various planning policies such as changes to housing and workplace location and density for new development, • Spatial strategy assessment including the testing of Local Plans, • Forecasting and testing future land-use and demographic changes and the interaction between future land use and transport provision, • Testing the impact on mode share of improved walk/cycle links, • Transport Assessments, particularly for major development sites of greater than 1000 dwellings and/or significant commercial or mixed use sites and other sites of a smaller scale where they are at locations with the potential for an impact that may require wider area consideration; and

In addition, the following outputs can be generated by the NHTM19: • Environmental analysis, • Accessibility analysis, • Economic, financial and cost-benefit analysis of schemes, and • Inputs into micro-simulation models or other models such as mesoscopic for more detailed local / junction analysis.

In general, due to their size and strategic nature, land use and transport models are focused towards investigating the effects of significant policy changes and/or major interventions, rather than individual minor changes to the transport system. Also, the model can be used to provide input to more detailed analysis of, for example, detailed junction modelling and design tasks associated with a development.

1.3. NHTM19 Model Overview The North Hampshire Transport Model (NHTM19) is a four-stage multi-mode transport model, designed to comply to Department for Transport’s Transport Analysis Guidance (TAG). This model uses version 18 of the PTV Visum software suite. The model includes highway and public transport assignment elements along with a variable demand model (VDM) component that allows for cycling and walking as well as Park & Ride (P&R). The model covers an Area of Detailed Modelling (AODM) focused around Basingstoke & Dean Borough Council (BDBC) and an Area of Less Detailed Modelling (AOLDM) as shown in Figure 1-1 below. The AODM covers Andover in the west and Fleet in the east, with Basingstoke at the centre. The model has over 900 zones of which 286 are in the AODM. In the Borough Council area of the AODM there is explicit coding of planned future developments, whilst in other locations forecast changes in land uses are based on NTEM forecasts. The implementation of the model itself and technical overview is contained in the NHTM19 Model Development Report submitted to HCC in July 2020.

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 4 of 28

Figure 1-1 - NHTM19 fully Modelled Area

The VDM within NHTM19 operates at the daily level and represents an average weekday in the neutral month of May 2019. The assignment models cater for the following time periods: • AM Peak hour 08:00 to 09:00 – representing the busiest hour of the AM peak period, • Inter-peak 10:00 to 16:00 – an average hour representation across 6 hours of the day, and • PM Peak hour 17:00 to 18:00 – representing the busiest hour of the PM Peak period.

1.4. NHTM19 Model Structure The structure and iterative process of NHTM19 is shown in Figure 1-2. The NHTM19 model consists of public transport and highway assignment models including freight and these assignment models, along with the Park and Ride model, are linked through a VDM. Although the VDM generates walk and cycle matrices that demonstrate the policy impact for those two modes, these matrices are not assigned to a network as there are not considered to be any crowding or congestion constraints associated with walking or cycling . The VDM structure incorporates all components of the traditional “four-stage” model: trip generation (production and attraction), mode choice, trip distribution, and trip assignment. It works using the Absolute Models Applied Incremental (AMAI) approach as shown in Figure 1-2.

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 5 of 28

Figure 1-2 - Four-Stage Model Structure (Used for Iterative realism test and forecasting) 1.5. NHTM19 Baseline Scenario When transport models are used for projects, it is usually necessary to compare model tests for a ‘no change’ and ‘with change’ scenario, often termed the “Do Minimum” and “Do Something” (DM and DS). The choice of DM and DS will normally need to be taken at the time of commissioning work, with the DM being bespoke to describe a scheme, policy or development (or combination of one/many of all these). The DS may also need to be developed to provide a useful comparison. However, it is extremely helpful to maintain a common ‘Baseline’ scenario which can be the default future year Do Minimum, and a common basis for developing any bespoke DM or DS scenarios. This has many advantages, including ensuring consistency and easier comparison between different projects, and reducing overall effort and elapsed times to prepare runs. Currently, the most appropriate Baseline is a 2040 scenario prepared in relation to the BDBC Adopted Local Plan, referred to as the ‘Do Minimum. This scenario includes: • land use assumptions as per the adopted Local Plan (LP) for 2011 – 2029 • any committed developments with planning permissions, and schemes (including North Manydown) within the existing adopted LP with all the necessary mitigation. • committed highway and public transport schemes provided by HCC, Highways , Network Rail etc as well as any necessary connections between the developments and the network. • Land use change outside of BDBC is taken from the DfT NTEMv7.2 Planning Data, including external areas, and the parts of Test Valley and Hart within the model Internal Area. • Transport connections are included to connect new development sites to the wider network and if further detail was available at the time of model development. Note that the scenarios described above are not constrained to NTEM Trip Ends, as may be required for some appraisal work, and it is not proposed that the Baseline by default should do so. The reason for this is that the current NTEM v7.2 was prepared in 2014 and does not reflect either the anticipated future quantum or location of development in BDBC going forward. This is better represented by using bespoke land use assumptions. It is expected that the Baseline will need to be reviewed periodically, as future assumptions will change and evolve. A new Local Plan Baseline scenario will be developed with preferred sites determined by BDBC after local plan review is undertaken and made public, this is currently due to be available in spring/summer 2022. The Development Sites in Basingstoke & Deane in the 2040 Do Minimum (current Baseline) are provided in Appendix A.

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 6 of 28

2. NHTM19 Commission Protocol 2.1. Who can apply for NHTM19 runs NHTM19 is available for use by the following organisations (hereby referred to as user/third-party/applicant) in addition to HCC: • Unitary and District/Borough Councils within Hampshire, • Highways England (HE) and the Department for Transport (DfT), • Network Rail and Public Transport Operators within North Hampshire, • Chambers of Commerce, • The Enterprise M3 Local Enterprise Partnership (LEP) or other local LEPs, • Developers promoting various projects, and • Any consultants working on behalf of the above.

The model is available to be run as a bureau service by Atkins, the developers of NHTM19, with all use subject to HCC approval, although no reasonable request for use is likely to be rejected.

2.2. Approach for Typical NHTM19 Studies Table 2-1 provides the suggested approach that will be adopted for a typical range of studies to enable policy assessment, business case preparation and the appraisal of significant new development sites.

Table 2-1 – Assessment Approach

Type of Study VDM Development Trip Trip Growth Generation Constraining Local Plan Required NTEM-based trip rates, checks Unconstrained or against TRICS applied for constrained to an adjusted where appropriate. NTEM (i.e. with proposed households and jobs) Transport Scheme Dependent on NTEM-based trip rates for Constrained to NTEM assessment for scheme value, or wider area growth, with high/low funding level of impact TRICS-based trip rates for key scenarios or adjustment developments likely to affect agreed with DfT scheme Development Test Dependent on scale TRICS-based trip rates for Unconstrained of development development, trip rates elsewhere from existing model scenario (likely Local Plan).

For model forecasting to be used to obtain funding, the methodology to be used should normally be in line with TAG and include constraining of overall growth in trips at district or county level. to NTEM. However, adjustments to NTEM should be considered where growth is legitimately expected to differ from the existing NTEM assumptions, e.g. a new Local Plan projects different growth. These can be explored as high/low scenarios or with DfT agreement adopted as a central case. For strategy or policy work, including Local Plan and Transport Strategy development, there is no requirement to match NTEM and it is generally more sensible to make adjustments to represent the growth levels actually anticipated. For those scenarios where it is proposed to use TRICS-based trip rates and VDM is required, daily person trip rates derived from TRICS would be input into the model for the required sites. The VDM would determine the mode split and the AM, Inter-Peak and PM peak hour trips in and out of the site. When use of VDM isn’t required/appropriate the AM, Inter-Peak and PM peak hour vehicle trip rates from TRICS could be used directly

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 7 of 28

for a highways only assessment. Trip distribution for generated trips in all scenarios would be determined with NHTM19. 2.3. Development Application Use The need for using the NHTM19 is primarily dependent upon the following: • What is the size of the development? • What level of trip generation is expected in the peak hours? • Is there the potential for mode shift as a result of the development? • Is there the potential for strategic rerouting due to the development?

In addition, the scale and nature of any mitigation measures will also need to be considered including: • Current / future highway and public transport networks conditions around the development • Could the mitigation measure introduce strategic rerouting or mode shift?

The Commission process of NHTM19 is shown in Figure 2-1 and is explained step by step in the sections below:

Figure 2-1 - NHTM19 Commissioning Protocol

Step 1 - Model Commission Enquiry form on the HCC Website As a first step, as part of the NHTM19 model commission, the potential applicants will need to complete a Model Commission Enquiry form on the HCC Website1 . This online form will require basic information with regards to the following: 1. Details of the requesting organisation including contact details of the applicant 2. Type of Model Use 3. Brief description of the scheme 4. Outputs required

This initial form will provide consistency to the process and once the form is submitted, HCC (with advice from NHTM19 Consultants) will be able to undertake an initial assessment of the scale of development and advise whether or not NHTM19 is needed for the proposed application.

1 Strategic transport - plans and policies | Hampshire County Council (hants.gov.uk)

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 8 of 28

If NHTM19 modelling is required, HCC in conjunction with Atkins will determine the priority of the application alongside existing commitments and advise on fee and timescale. It should be noted that this form does not constitute any form of contractual agreement and a separate Purchase Order will be required to be set up.

Step 2 – Issue of Purchase Order and Completion of Model Assumptions Proforma Once the need for the modelling is established, HCC will determine the priority of the application and advice on the fee and timescale. The applicant will then need to issue a Purchase Order and a completed NHTM19 Modelling Assumptions Proforma in Appendix B. This will include the following: 1. Scheme Details 2. Assumptions/data requirement • Land Use and Trip Ends • Highways Network • Public Transport • Walk & Cycle

3. Model Run and Scenario details • Model Component • Analysis Requirement • Scenario Details 4. Atkins Data Visualisation Tool Requirement 5. Required Outputs, Deliverables 6. Any other Supporting Information The data requirement and the standard model outputs are explained in the sections below. 2.4. Data Requirements The information required for assessment using the NHTM19 will depend on the type of proposed scheme. This could be new Developments, Highway Schemes, Public transport or a range of policy interventions and will require the following key information:

2.4.1. Developments Detailed land use data for the development will be required. This includes: • Employment (jobs) by type, quantum, location and parking standard; • Household / population/dwellings data, by type, quantum, location and parking standard, • Details of the development access, and highway network / public transport changes that need to be supplied for input to the NHTM19, • Assumed trip rate for the proposed land uses and details on the status of HCC agreement to these prior to their use (If available). • Whether NTEM constraint is to be applied or not, see Section 1.5.

2.4.2. Highway Schemes: • Key attributes such as alignment and class of road, • No. lanes, type of junctions or interchanges, • Any design drawings, however schematic to assist with scheme coding • Any bans/prohibitions on HGV movements for network links

2.4.3. Public transport Schemes: • The system [bus, rail, LRT, tram, BRT or MRT], • Location of any bus lanes, • Operational speed,

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 9 of 28

• Alignment, stops and stopping patterns, • Service frequency by time period, • Growth in fares in real terms and premium fare (if there are any), • Rail and bus P&R scheme locations,

2.4.4. Policy Assessments • Change in parking fees and capacity provision within development locations and/or at existing sites • Active mode schemes- For walk and cycle interventions, definition of the scheme, impact on space given to motorised traffic • Carbon impact, air quality and climate change assessments: details of restrictions due to be imposed by vehicle type, charging regime and other associated data that would affect travel and trip choice(s) • Mobility as a Service (MaaS): agreement on principles supporting local car ownership, public transport access and trip making characteristics that represent a pragmatic benchmark for appraisal.

In addition to the above, it’s important to consider if a forecast year besides the NHTM19 horizon of 2040 is required for the assessment. If so, this needs to be discussed on a case by case basis so that the assumptions and approach is agreed. 2.5. Model Outputs When specifying the inputs for a model run, the commissioning client/consultant also needs to specify the outputs they will require from it. The outputs need to provide information that supports the model user. The outputs from NHTM19 can be broadly grouped into the following five categories and the standard outputs from are set out in

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 10 of 28

Table 2.2:

i. overall model diagnostics, ii. VDM analysis, iii. Pivoting analysis. iv. Highway Assignment Model (HAM) analysis, v. Public Transport Assignment Model (PTAM) analysis Analysis can either be presented on an absolute basis from a single standalone run or scenario, or analysis can be presented comparatively by comparing the results across different run. Following the assessment of a development within the NHTM19 a Technical Note outlining the assessment undertaken, the inputs applied, and key headline outputs and statistics will be supplied.

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 11 of 28

Table 2.2 - Summary of NHTM19 outputs Theme Dimensions Base units Description Model All matrices n/a Analysis of matrix totals for two runs to assess high- Diagnostics level changes and diagnose errors Distance bands 24-hour P/A trips by Trip-length distributions of the VDM matrices distance band Sector-sector movement, 24-hour P/A trips Sectored analysis of the VDM trip matrices and mode and purpose flow-weighted skims VDM Mode share 24-hr P/A trips Development site mode shares

Trip rates 24-hr P/A, peak hour Trip rates based on 24-hr population Development assignment population, trip generation and conversion to assignment hour matrices Sector-sector movement, O-D trips by Time of Analysis of the pivoting matrices of the base, mode and purpose Day synthetic base and synthetic forecast matrices Pivot Distance band by AUC O-D trips by distance Trip-length distribution of the matrices used in the and Time of Day band, Time of Day pivot process Links, Turns Congested Travel Time Analysis of Journey time routes Links Vehicles Plots of flows on Links/Screenlines Vehicles Plots of flow bundles (routes vehicles take passing along a link) – links of interest to be defined in advance Seconds Plots of delays on links HAM Nodes, Turns Volume to Capacity Plots of Volume to Capacity ratios at junctions/turns ratio percentages Zones Vehicles Analysis of Origin/Destination vehicle flow and routes taken through the network – zones of interest to be defined in advance Junctions Vehicles Turning counts PTAM Links/Screenlines/Stop Person Trips Analysis of Boarding/Alighting at stop points and points flows on links/screenlines Links Person Trips Analysis of flow bundles (routes passengers take passing along a link) – links of interest to be defined in advance Zones Person Trips Analysis of Origin/Destination person trips and routes taken through the network – zones on interest to be defined in advance

2.6. Spreadsheet analysis The spreadsheet analyses for NHTM19 are exported through the use of .vbs scripts. Most standard summaries are exported in attribute file (.att) format, which is a text format and as such can be opened with a text editor. They are typically in a tab or semi-colon separated format and hence can also be opened by Excel if required. These attribute files are then pasted into the Excel spreadsheet templates either manually or through the use of an “import” macro. 2.7. Map analysis Map analysis is not produced as standard as part of the running procedure as it is likely that the maps that are required, and the scale of changes to be shown, are scenario specific. However, there are a number of results that are produced as standard outputs (such as trip ends by mode and purpose) that can be presented on maps with minimal user intervention. Figure 2-2 shows a typical Visum plot.

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 12 of 28

Figure 2-2 – Standard NHTM19 VISUM plot 2.8. Model Visualisation - ADV A bespoke NHTM19 visualisation tool Atkins Data Visualisation (ADV) will be available and includes the 2019 Base Year and 2040 Do Minimum. This will include an automated process for loading future new scenarios to ensure rapid turnaround from completion of a model run through to visualisation of results. Some examples of the types of data that could be presented are: • Zone/sector – population, employment, dwellings, trip ends, mode shares, • Link – speed, journey time, flow (demand/actual), delay, volume/capacity, • Node – junction delay, volume/capacity, • Interactive skims – trip matrices, journey times, costs, • Select Link Analyses (SLA) – a set of SLA’s (to be agreed with HCC during requirements gathering), showing the routes of assigned trips on links of interest, and • Public Transport – bus/rail boarding/alighting and link patronage.

The ADV tool can be used with any internet browser and does not require a Visum dongle. It can also include contextual layers to aid understanding of model output data presented such as the model network (zone, zone centroid/connector, node, link), indicative proposed development locations, future transport schemes, etc. An initial requirement gathering phase will identify the full set of required layers for the NHTM19 ADV. 2.9. Need for further detailed junction analysis Based on the scale of development and the area of influence, an additional detailed junction / small network evaluation may be required to evaluate the detailed impacts of any proposed mitigation measures the Client may require. An updated 2019 base year Basingstoke Town Centre VISSIM network is available and is compatible with the NHTM19 Visum model, in terms of zones and network and hence any matrices supplied will be readily transferable.

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 13 of 28

3. Costing 3.1. Overview This section of the guide describes the fees associated with the different tests possible using the NHTM19 and is designed to assist potential applicants assess a budget cost of their application before proceeding with the model application phase. The costs and timescales associated with these tests would be dependent on various factors, including: • level of assessment (e.g. number of years and time periods), • size and detail for the development, • level of network and public transport improvements proposed, and • Outputs required. The cost of model runs can only be indicative at this stage until a clearer view of the requirements for each test is reached for the schemes to be assessed. Also, the pure running and analysis work is often embedded as part of a wider project, so that overall costs may be higher, depending on complexity of the overall project. Therefore, the true cost and timescale involved in supplying this data will be determined on an individual assessment basis. The indicative fees associated with the different types of test that can be undertaken through these models are detailed in Table 3.1. The table is divided into three levels of complexity in terms of demand and supply interventions

Table 3.1 – NHTM19 Indicative Cost Estimates (inc Administration Costs exc VAT)

Partner Cost/Range Public Sector Cost/Range Private Sector Cost/Range Major with VDM £12,300 £19,700 £27,000 Minor with VDM £5,600 £8,900 £8,900 £14,250 £12,300 £19,800 Additional run minimal £3,350 £5,600 £5,350 £8,900 £7,350 £12,300 Land use/Network Change £3,350 £5,600 £5,350 £8,900 £7,350 £12,300

Adhoc Model Traffic data request £2,200 £5,600 £3,500 £8,900 £4,850 £12,300

Adhoc Traffic Survey Data requests per site Not Charged £100 £450 £100 £450

Access to ADV Tool £1,100 £1,700 £2,400

3.2. Assumptions • Differential charge rates will be used for the various types of applicants in order to reflect the financial contributions made to date towards the development of the model. Administration costs incurred by HCC in managing the modelling contract in respect of a particular piece of work are included. • The fees shown are simply illustrative estimates of what a user can expect to pay for the types of tests listed. The actual cost will depend on the exact nature and complexity of the application being undertaken. For example, very simple infrastructure changes may be very easy to code in the model, but detailed extensive changes would take longer and would potentially cost considerably more than the cost quoted above.

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 14 of 28

• It is impossible to cost every possible combination of tests and in this case an initial consultation with the NHTM19 team would be required to get an idea of potential costs. It is also likely that economies of scale would be achievable if for example if a series of tests were to be commissioned. • Where a change will result in a material impact on the application HCC will advise the additional costs associated with making the change. • In addition to variations in the type of test there is also scope for variation in the amount of analysis undertaken and the extent of model results extracted. The estimates in Table 3.1 assume a reasonable set of “standard” model outputs with potential simple follow up queries. However, it may be necessary to augment the data extracted with a series of more detailed results using any number of analysis techniques. Standard model outputs and examples of additional more advanced model outputs. • It may be possible to run other types of tests with the NHTM19, which are not included in the table above. Similarly, these would require discussion at the initial consultation stage and then these would be costed up on a case by case basis. These can include the following although some would entail use of other modelling tools such as Simulation Based Assignment: i. The standard model can provide input into the economic and environmental (Air Quality/Noise) impacts and appraisal. ii. Modelling of new future modes such as Mobility as a Service (MaaS), Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs). iii. Modelling to support traffic control and assisting in Traffic Management and Traffic Signals analysis. • All fees, client invoicing details and the corresponding scope of work necessary to produce the agreed deliverables will be clearly defined and agreed at the outset of the contract. As the submission of the formal request must be accompanied by payment it is essential that the initial costing process is as accurate as possible. It should be noted that payment for NHTM19 commissions is not subject to third party approval/ sign-off of deliverables. Delay of payment may result in rescheduling of model applications and production of deliverables. • The ADV platform will be provided as a zip file containing all the files required to view the platform in a modern web browser. Access to the ADV tool for the visualisation of model outputs is for use in relation to the specific project or application of the model only. The underlying code should not be modified or used for any other purpose.

3.3. Contact

All queries in relation to NHTM19 model should be sent to [email protected]

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 15 of 28

4. Terms of Use 4.1. Licences The Hampshire County Council (HCC) North Hampshire Transport Model (NHTM19) outputs are provided with a general agreement that they will only be used for projects authorised by HCC. 4.2. Intellectual Property Rights and Ownership The intellectual property rights (and copyright) of the NHTM19, associated data, procedures and model outputs remain with HCC. The intellectual property rights of the software used to construct the model and to present the output (PTV - VISUM, Atkins -Visualisation tool) remain with the software developers. It should be noted that HCC retain intellectual property rights for any NHTM19 modelling work carried out under any third-party applicant contracts. NHTM19 scenarios developed through applicant third-party applicant contracts may be taken forward and incorporated into reference cases for the NHTM19. Users are not permitted to copy, or make use of, any part of the model, data, procedures, or outputs without prior agreement from HCC. 4.3. Restrictions • HCC and Atkins shall not incur any liability under, or in connection with, the release of NHTM19 output, to the extent that any failure thereof has been caused by, or contributed to by, any force majeure event or circumstances beyond reasonable control of either Atkins or HCC. • The provision of NHTM19 outputs are provided in good faith and the user accepts full responsibility to satisfy themselves of the accuracy, reliability and completeness of the information and no responsibility is accepted to the user of the data and any third party for the whole or any part of its content. No part of the contents nor any reference thereto may be included in any published document, circular or statement, nor published in any way without HCC and Atkin’s prior written agreement of the form and context of such text. Such agreement will not be unreasonably withheld. • Any documentation making use of NHTM19 outputs must reference NHTM19 and HCC and should be reviewed prior to publication by the HCC NHTM19 manager. • HCC and Atkins will make all reasonable endeavours to provide the agreed deliverables within timescales agreeable to all parties on the condition that HCC and Atkins have been provided with all necessary information to carry out the agreed tasks. HCC and Atkins will not be liable for any costs, charges or losses sustained or incurred by the applicant that arise directly or indirectly from a delay in providing the agreed deliverables in the agreed timescales.

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 16 of 28

Appendices

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 17 of 28

Appendix A. Basingstoke & Deane: Do Minimum Development Sites

A list of future housing2 and employment development sites3 for the Do Minimum scenario were provided by Basingstoke & Deane Borough Council (BDBC) for the Basingstoke & Deane district in July and August 2020. These were agreed with Hampshire County Council (HCC). Only those developments which were larger than 100 dwellings or 50 jobs the development was coded into the model Model assumptions including development size, planning reference, access point, GIS matched zone, S106 and S278 mitigation were extracted from the information provided by BDBC. The location was then confirmed against the details in the BDBC Planning Portal. The access point for developments and the nature of connection with the existing network i.e. priority, signalised, roundabout junction was noted through interrogation of planning portal documents, available layout drawings were obtained to aid coding. Basingstoke & Deane: Do Minimum Development Sites Dwellings Jobs 2019- ID SubID Site Description Type 2019-2040 2040 R1 R1.1 Aurum Green Residential 33 - R11 R11.1 Hounsome Fields, Basingstoke Residential 750 - R12 R12.1 Kennel Farm, Basingstoke Residential 68 - R14 R14.1 Land at Oakley Hall/Andover Road Residential 147 - Land north of Park Prewett, former golf R16 R16.1 Residential 342 - course R18 R18.1 North of Marnel Park/Spiers Meadow Residential 55 - R19 R19.1 Mitchens Land/St James Park Residential 45 - R2 R2.1 Basing View Residential 300 - R21.3 R21 - North Manydown, Basingstoke Residential 3,400 - R21.6 R23.1 R23 - North of Popley/Merton Rise Residential 262 - R23.3 Island Site, Beggarwood Lane, R25 R25.1 Residential 41 - Basingstoke Kemphott R27 R27.1 Land at Park Farm, Oakley Residential 48 - R28 R28.1 Razors Farm /Vyne Park, Basingstoke Residential 118 - R29 R29.1 Redlands, adjacent to Basingstoke Residential 150 - Basingstoke Golf Club, Winchester Road, R3 R3.1 Residential 1,000 - Hill R30 R30.1 Wella (GB) Residential 70 - R31 R31.1 Fairfield house/Vantage House Residential 37 - South of Bloswood Lane / Manor Farm, R32 R32.1 Residential 90 - Whitchurch R33 R33.1 Caesars Way Residential 33 - R34 R34.1 Recycling Yard, Hurstbourne Station Residential 43 - R35 R35.1 Innovation Court, New Street Residential 46 - R36 R36.1 Beech Tree Close Residential 70 - R37 R37.1 Swing Swang, Basingstoke Residential 100 - R38 R38.1 Land adjacent to The Street Residential 26 -

2 2020 PHASING for NHTM.xlsx (Do Minimum site phasing) received from BDBC via email on 9th July 2020 3 Basingstoke commercial data 240620 - job numbers and AR comments.xlsx received from BDBC via email on 6th August 2020

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 18 of 28

Dwellings Jobs 2019- ID SubID Site Description Type 2019-2040 2040 R39 R39.1 32 Copenhagen Court, New Street Residential 38 - R40 R40.1 Global House, Victoria Street Residential 40 - R41 R41.1 Land off Evingar Road Residential 60 - R42 R42.1 Land off Wiltshire Crescent Residential 33 - R43 R43.1 The Hollies, Aldermaston Road Residential 21 - R44 R44.1 Sainfoin Land Residential 35 - R45 R45.1 Land at Oakley Hall Residential 33 - R46 R46.1 South of Two Gate Lane Residential 70 - R47 R47.1 Coppice Road Residential 26 - R48 R48.1 Trumpet Junction / Squirrels Wood Residential 121 - R50 R50.1 Lyde Boarding Kennels Residential 19 - R51 R51.1 Dextra Court, Chapel Hill Residential 90 - Unity Place, Hampshire International R55 R55.1 Residential 270 - Business Park R56 R56.1 Upper Cufaude Farm Residential 390 - R7 R7.1 Clifton House, Bunnian Place Residential 205 - R8 R8.1 East of Basingstoke, Basingstoke Residential 450 - R9 R9.1 Eli Lilly Building / Chapel Lane Residential 90 - R87 R87.1 Cheam haw treys, Newbury Road Residential 6 - R88 R88.1 20 Winchester Street Residential 15 - R89 R89.1 Main Hall, Park Prewett Residential 19 - R90 R90.1 Land at Weston Road Residential 17 - North of Sherfield Road /Strawberry R91 R91.1 Residential 2 - Fields Land between Elmdene and Fairholme R92 R92.1 Residential 11 - Road R93 R93.1 Leamington Court Residential 4 - R94 R94.1 Brickells Yard Residential 10 - R95 R95.1 Home Farm, Estate Residential 10 - R96 R96.1 15 New Road Residential 10 - R97 R97.1 Cranes Road Residential 18 - R98 R98.1 Land to East of Heath Road Residential 12 - R99 R99.1 Land at Residential 12 - R100. R100 12 London Road Residential 10 - 1 R101. R101 Minchens Court, The Barns Residential 14 - 1 R102. R102 Sandringham Court, Paddock Road Residential 13 - 1 R103. R103 Deeside Residential 15 - 1 R104. R104 Riverside Residential 11 - 1 R105. R105 Boundary Hall Residential 17 - 1 R106. Field Adjoining The White Hart, Reading R106 Residential 15 - 1 Road R107. R107 North West of Overton Primary School Residential 11 - 1 R108. R108 East of Court Drove Residential 14 - 1

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 19 of 28

Dwellings Jobs 2019- ID SubID Site Description Type 2019-2040 2040 R109. R109 Dances Lane Residential 15 - 1 R110. 57 Winchester Road /Whitchurch Car R110 Residential 10 - 1 Centre R111. R111 Fawconer Road Residential 12 - 1 R112. R112 Strokins Road Residential 14 - 1 R113. R113 Andover Road Residential 14 - 1 R114. R114 Redlands Residential 15 - 1 E2 E2.1 Basing View Office - 1,167 E27 E27.1 REDWOOD CROCKFORD LANE Office - 504 E29 E29.1 SPINDLEWOOD CROCKFORD LANE Office - 352 LAND OFF EVINGAR ROAD ARDGLEN E31 E31.1 Industrial - 80 ROAD E33 E33.1 LAND AT GERMAN ROAD Industrial - 100 VISA INTERNATIONAL LIME TREE E38 E38.1 Logistics - 49 WAY E40 E40.1 LAND AT LUTYENS CLOSE Industrial - 62 E41 E41.1 MARBAIX HOUSE, 1 WELLA ROAD Logistics - 34 J A HIRST & SONS HURSTBOURNE E42 E42.1 Office - 46 STATION E47 E47.1 HOUSE CHURCH LANE Office - 59 E49 E49.1 INHURST HOUSE BRIMPTON ROAD Office - 6 LAND NORTH OF PARK E51 E51.1 Industrial - 12 KINGSCLERE PARK E52 E52.1 UNIT 10 WADE ROAD Industrial - 47 E53 E53.1 E & P HOUSE BASING VIEW Office - 4 Other Private E54 E54.1 UNITS 1&2 CROCKFORD LANE - 20 Services E55 E55.1 PORTLAND FARM POPHAM LANE Industrial - 2 E59 E59.1 MERTON RISE POPLEY WAY Retail - 71 HOUNSOME FIELDS TRENCHARD E60 E60.1 Retail - 19 LANE CONKERS GARDEN CENTRE E61 E61.1 Retail - 33 LONDON ROAD E62 E62.1 FORMER CO-OP WAY Retail - 80 UNITS 1,3, 4, 5 & 5A BRIGHTON E63 E63.1 Retail - 250 WINCHESTER ROAD E64 E64.1 PLOT K AND K1 BASING VIEW Retail - 12 E65 E65.1 32 OAKLEY LANE Retail - 15 E66 E66.1 74-76 FRANKLIN AVENUE Retail - 11 UNIT 3, RETAIL E67 E67.1 Retail - 14 PARK WALLOP DRIVE E68 E68.1 LAND NORTH OF POPLEY WAY Recreation - 20 LAND AT POPLEY FIELDS MARLS E69 E69.1 Recreation - 3 LANE HOUNSOME FIELDS TRENCHARD E71 E71.1 Recreation - 20 LANE LAND AT BREACH FARM BREACH E72 E72.1 Recreation - 6 FARM LANE

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 20 of 28

Dwellings Jobs 2019- ID SubID Site Description Type 2019-2040 2040 LAND ADJACENT CHRIST CHURCH E73 E73.1 Recreation - 4 ROAD MAYS BOUNTY CRICKET GROUND E74 E74.1 Recreation - 21 BOUNTY ROAD THE ISLAND SITE BEGGARWOOD Accommodation & E75 E75.1 - 36 LANE Food Services E76 E76.1 WORTING HOUSE CHURCH LANE Recreation - 12 E77 E77.1 HOME FARM NEW STREET Recreation - 4 Accommodation & E78 E78.1 2 WINCHESTER STREET - 11 Food Services UNIT 3A, ST. MICHAELS RETAIL P THE E79 E79.1 Recreation - 18 HARROW WAY Accommodation & E80 E80.1 POPHAM DINER COXFORD DOWN - 10 Food Services UNIT A, DANESHILL ARMSTRONG E81 E81.1 Recreation - 8 ROAD MEMORIAL HALL E82 E82.1 Recreation - 5 PAMBER HEATH ROAD E83 E83.1 UNIT 10 BESSEMER ROAD Recreation - 8 UNIT B DANESHILL CENTRAL E84 E84.1 Recreation - 5 ARMSTRONG ROAD 11-14 & 17 KENSINGTON HOUSE E85 E85.1 Recreation - 5 FESTIVAL PLACE Accommodation & E86 E86.1 ITT DEFENCE SITE JAYS CLOSE - 13 Food Services WHITNEY PROPERTIES WHITNEY E87 E87.1 Recreation - 9 ROAD Accommodation & E89 E89.1 THE SUN INN WINCHESTER ROAD - 12 Food Services Accommodation & E90 E90.1 PLOT W BASING VIEW - 77 Food Services PREMIER INN, BASINGSTOKE Accommodation & E91 E91.1 - 11 LEISURE PARK WORTING ROAD Food Services BISHOPSWOOD GOLF COURSE Accommodation & E92 E92.1 - 11 BISHOPSWOOD LANE Food Services E93 E93.1 M3 J7 Storage and Distribution Centre Logistics - 734 E94 E94.1 Windfall - DM general additional jobs - - 1,013

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 21 of 28

Appendix B. NHTM19 Modelling Assumptions Proforma

Assumption Description Specification Comments Scheme Details Development Site Name of development site

Location Geographic location of the development site

Previous Planning Application Provide the reference number of any previous

Reference planning application and it's current status Land Use and Trip Ends, where appropriate provide supporting information below with reference in text here to make clear schemes included

Housing Detail scale and location of housing growth sites.

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

Housing build out by year

2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041

Employment Detail scale and location of growth sites. If available outline the number of jobs. If data provided as floorspace area then employment type should be given. This should include details of any retail development.

Employment type (% of jobs or floorspace)

A1

A2

A3

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 22 of 28

B1a

B1b

B1c

B2

B8

C1

C2

D1

D2

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

Employment build out by year

2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041

Details of changes in school (primary, secondary, Education sixth form). Any new schools, increased size, removal of schools assumed in Local Plan. Details of any previous estimation of Trip Trip Ends Generation. (eg using TRICS) Should the overall growth be constrained to NTEM Constraints (Ref: Table 2.1)

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 23 of 28

Are any new development zones required to Zones accommodate revised growth distribution. Give details of location and connectivity of zones.

Highway Network where appropriate provide supporting information below with reference in text here to make clear schemes included

Detail any changes to the highway network to provide access to the development. Include details of junction arrangements, method of control, signal plans (if possible). Provide General Arrangements plans where ever possible. Network Provide information of any significant internal network that could be used as a potential 'rat-run' for existing traffic, i.e. spine roads or through routes.

Provide General Arrangement plans wherever possible, or details of the road classification, speed, number of lanes. Public Transport where appropriate provide supporting information below with reference in text here to make clear schemes included Bus

Stop Provide details of any changes to bus stops

Services Route and frequency changes to bus services.

Fares Detail any changes to fare structures.

Mass Rapid Transit

Provide details of any new Guided Bus stations Station including location and connectivity to existing highway network. Route and frequency of changes to Guided Bus Services services. Rural or urban fare charging band for any new Fares Guided Bus services and/or stations.

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 24 of 28

Rail

Provide details of any new rail stations including Station location and connectivity to existing highway network.

Services Route and frequency changes to rail services.

Fares Detail any changes to fare structures.

Walk and Cycle where appropriate provide supporting information below with reference in text here to make clear schemes included Detail any walk or cycle schemes that should be included in the run including any plans of the route, Network estimated catchment areas, level of infrastructure to be provided i.e. mandatory lane or fully segregated cycle track. Required Model component, including the period and modelled year

Model Component Period(s) Model Year(s)/Forecast Scenario required

Variable Demand Model 24-hour daily

Highway Assignment Model AM, IP, PM Public Transport Assignment AM, IP, PM

Model Model Component Period(s)

Analysis requirement Detail bespoke sector system requirements for Sector System analysis of matrix-based model inputs/outputs. Demand Analysis Demand analysis requirements.

NHTM19 Analysis Highway model analysis requirements.

Scenario Details Please provide details of which reference cases you require, and any changes that need to be made to Reference Case them. (i.e. 2040 Do-Minimum OR any other forecast year scenario) Please estimate the number of scenarios to be Number of scenarios tested.

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 25 of 28

Dependencies/Packages Requests for a series of model runs can be segmented into a number of packages, where the selection of later packages can be dependent on the outcomes of earlier work. Please provide details of

any such dependencies, and the packages that work should be split into. Bear in mind economies of scale in the fees can be achieved when multiple model runs are required. Atkins Data Visualisation Tool Requirement Specify the scenarios required ADV Required? Actual Flow

Demand Flow

Highway Links (provide a Travel Time shapefile of the cordon area Delay and identify the outputs) Speed

Volume to Capacity ratio

Highway Nodes (provide a Delay shapefile of the cordon area Volume to Capacity ratio and identify the outputs) Required Outputs, Deliverables Model Diagnostics All matrices VDM Distance bands Sector-sector movement, mode and purpose Mode share Trip rates Pivot Sector-sector movement, mode and purpose Distance band by AUC and Time of Day HAM Link travel time (specify routes required) Links flow difference Link screenline flows (Specify screenlines) Link delay difference

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 26 of 28

Link flow bundles (Specify links required) Node Volume to Capacity ratio (average) Turns Volume to Capacity ratios Zones flow bundles (Specify zones required) Junction turning counts (Specific junctions required) PTAM Link person trips difference plots Screenlines (Specify screenlines) Stop point boarding/alighting (Specify stop points) Link flow bundles (Specify links required) Zone flow bundles (Specify zones required)

Any other study specific Provide a list of any other specific deliverables that

deliverable you require

Supporting Information, ensure use of this information is clearly referenced above, and versions of scheme/site assumptions clearly stated Document Source

Document Source

Document Source

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 27 of 28

© Atkins Limited except where stated otherwise

Model Commission Protocol | 1.0 | 04 August 2021 Atkins | NHTM19-Model Commission Protocol_Final_August 2021 copy Page 28 of 28