South Staffordshire’s Locality Profile 2017 Locality Data Profiles 2017 “Your Council supporting Introduction Your Place and Your Community” Welcome to the 2017 Locality Profile for South Staffordshire Council. In April 2016, we launched our new Council Plan 2016-2020, which clearly sets, our ambitions over the next four years for ‘A Skilled and Prosperous District, A Safe and Sustainable District and A Connected District’. The profile has been structured around these three themes so we can ensure we can achieve our ambitions for the residents of South Staffordshire. Whilst the Locality Profile identifies the challenges we currently face, they also highlight examples of how we have recognised new ways of working, such as the South Staffordshire Business Hub and the District Deal 2. Our latest ‘My Place My Say’ results revealed that resident satisfaction levels remain high with South Staffordshire Council but there are still areas where we can do more to signpost information and raising what residents feel need improving with the relevant partner organisations. Our values: The information in this profile will be the start underpinning of conversations with our public and private partners, Voluntary and Community Sector and all that we do local communities to ensure we continue to strive together to support the residents of South Customer Focused Staffordshire. Organisation. Value for Money. Councillor Brian Edwards MBE Leader of South Staffordshire Council Working in Partnership. Contents Locality Map & Wards and South Staffordshire Page 4 Demographics Page 5 Out of 100 people in South Staffordshire Page 6 A Skilled and Prosperous District Page 7 Employment and Benefits, Top 5 employers A Safe and Sustainable District Education, Health, Community Safety and Crime, Page 12 Planning Enforcement, Housing A Connected District Customer Contact, Volunteering, Rural Isolation, Page 30 Community Assets, Transport Appendices Page 41 © Crown copyright and database rights 2017 Ordnance Survey 100019681 PAGE 3 Key risks/challenges Funding 1. Uncertainty surrounding EU structural funds and possible replacements. 2. Fiscal approach from UK government and South Staffordshire hits local authority funding. 1. Future procurement requirements on The UK voted to leave the European Union on the 23rd June 2016 and South Regulatory major projects and services may change. Staffordshire had a record 77.8% turnout for the EU Referendum. It was a decisive vote with Leave gaining 43,248 of the votes (64.8%) compared to Remains 23,444 £ 2. Future approach to state aid and (35.2%). economic development interventions may change. Theresa May has confirmed that she will trigger article 50 before the end of March 2017, setting in motion the two-year process of leaving the European Union. There are plans for a Repeal Bill that will come into effect the day after we leave the European Economy 1. Threat of UK recession. Union. 2. Potential property market falls impacting development projects. 3. Potential for foreign owned businesses Leaving the EU isn’t a straightforward process, £ to relocate outside UK. the UK is the first country to the leave the EU 4. Reductions in Foreign Direct Investment. and the impact of this is entirely unknown. 1. Levels of migration change materially in Society anticipation of future changes. 2. Availability of skills. 3. Entitlement to benefits changes for EU and non EU migrants. 4. Entitlement to residency changes. 1. Regeneration and major infrastructure Environment projects delayed or stalled due to uncertainty on funding and/or demand assumptions. 2. EU regulation and directives in respect of environment - landfill, waste water, energy efficiency – with associated tariffs and funding. Source: Grant Thornton 2016 PAGE 4 (1) http://www.grantthornton.co.uk/globalassets/1.-member-firms/united-kingdom/pdf/publication/2016/local-government-brexit-web.pdf n Staffordshire County Council's Insight, Planning and South Staffordshire Employment Forecasts Performance Team have developed a local model to look pre and post-Brexit (numbers) at employment forecasts pre and post-Brexit. This shows that we may see an 11-21% reduction (equating to 4,400 50,000 to 8,600 fewer jobs) than the current forecast number of jobs between 2017 and 2020. 36,800 40,500 34,600 n Based on the 2011 Census data around 800 South 33,100 36,100 Staffordshire residents were in born in other EU Nations 31,900 – equating to 0.7% of the population – lower than West 31,400 35,300 Midlands (2.4%) and England (3.7%). The Census data 32,400 32,400 25,000 also tells us that around 700 residents aged 16-74 from other EU countries were in employment in South Staffordshire, equivalent to 2% of our workforce, again a lower proportion than both regionally (3.1%) and nationally (4.9%). n However, since then we have seen an increase in the number of migrants from other EU countries coming 0 to South Staffordshire. During 2015/16 the total number 2017 2018 2019 2020 of national insurance number (NINo) registrations to adult overseas nationals in South Staffordshire was 150, which Article 50 triggered Post Article 50 is a 36% increase from the previous year. The majority of these migrants were from other EU countries (130 people) Scenario A: Immediate impact / slow recovery and mainly from EU8 (Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia) and EU2 Scenario B: Immediate impact / 2010-12 modelled recovery countries (Romania and Bulgaria). Standard forecast Model developed by Insight, Planning and Performance, Staffordshire County Council. Source: Office for National Statistics PAGE 5 Demographics Population: South Staffordshire at a glance 110,700 85 and over under 5 Trends in dependancy ratios for older people 3,000 5,000 in South Staffordshire 2.7% 4.5% 5-15’s 65 -84's 12,200 22,900 11.0% 20.7% 1985 2000 6 to 1 4 to 1 16-64's 67,600 Source: 2015 Mid-year population estimates Office for 61.1% National Statistics 2015 2030 3 to 1 2 to 1 Population change between 2015 - 2025 aged 85 and over: 1,800 of the population live in rural areas aged 65 - 84: 5,200 40% -2,700 16-64s: of the population is from minority ages 5-15 : 900 5.4% ethnic groups under 5: 200 Overall population change: Source: Insight, Planning and Performance, Staffordshire County Council 3,300 2016 PAGE 6 Source: Compiled by Insight, Planning and Performance Team, Staffordshire County Council. Out of 100 people in South Staffordshire The total population under 16 aged 16-64 aged 16+ 92 *out of 100 *out of 100 aged 18+ are satisfied five year olds 81 with their 84 adults are area as a 78 place to live aged 16 or 77 qualified to voted in 71 NVQ Level 69 over adults are the EU 2+ are school employed referendum carry excess ready weight are aged 65+ are 23 40 remain voted 27 live in rural obese are 1 25 areas live in the 13 12 20% most deprived provide children live areas unpaid care in poverty voted leave 51 are aged 16-64 are nationally are overweight are 61 44 are obese are 4 11 1 7 have been 19 adult adults have *out of 100 16 the victim of claims no formal aged 18+ crime 22 25 aged under have a long 25 jobseekers qualifications take part in 16 years term limiting allowance are are overweight are children aged illness or 22 financially less than 14 *out of 100 four to five 30 mins of disability school leavers stressed carry excess did not vote physical 60 weight in the EU activity per 55 referendum week live in urban achieve 5 A*-C areas grade GCSEs including English PAGE 7 and Maths Key Findings 1. Strengths and Challenges A Skilled and Prosperous Strengths Challenges District n The proportion of children in South Staffordshire who had reached n GCSE attainment for South Staffordshire pupils is similar n Supporting and growing a good level of development at the age of five (71%) is better than to the England average. There are however inequalities existing businesses. the national average. within the district with attainment ranging from 25% in n Attracting and supporting Trysull & Seisdon ward to 73% in Penkridge West ward. new businesses. n Key Stage 2 (KS2) results for South Staffordshire pupils are similar n Enhancing the skills of to the England average. our residents. n South Staffordshire also has a lower number of adults with no qualifications compared to the national average. n The percentage of adults aged 16-64 with NVQ level 2 or above is Focus on: Backing business higher than the national average, it also performs well compared to development, supporting n Vulnerable groups (for example those with mental health vulnerable people to move its CIPFA district comparators. conditions or who have a learning disability) have closer to work and self- sufficiency, opportunities for n Unemployment and youth unemployment rates in South relatively low employment rates. young people. Staffordshire (as at June 2016) were lower than the national average. The proportion of people claiming out-of-work benefits is n 34% of our residents would like to improve on skills that better than average (5.8% compared to 8.6%). would help them in the workplace, in particular IT Skills, with residents in the 35-64 year age group listing this n Using the Mosaic variable “Financial Stress”, 22% (23,600) of the skill the most. population in South Staffordshire find it difficult to cope on current income. This is lower than the national average (28%). There is variation across the district with financial stress ranging from 16% in Himley & Swindon ward to 29% in Huntington & Hatherton ward. n The proportion of South Staffordshire residents aged 60 and over living in income deprived households is significantly better than the national average.