Is Capitalism a Belief System?
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The Financial and Economic Crisis of 2008-2009 and Developing Countries
THE FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC CRISIS OF 2008-2009 AND DEVELOPING COUNTRIES Edited by Sebastian Dullien Detlef J. Kotte Alejandro Márquez Jan Priewe UNITED NATIONS New York and Geneva, December 2010 ii Note Symbols of United Nations documents are composed of capital letters combined with figures. Mention of such a symbol indicates a reference to a United Nations document. The views expressed in this book are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the UNCTAD secretariat. The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Material in this publication may be freely quoted; acknowl edgement, however, is requested (including reference to the document number). It would be appreciated if a copy of the publication containing the quotation were sent to the Publications Assistant, Division on Globalization and Development Strategies, UNCTAD, Palais des Nations, CH-1211 Geneva 10. UNCTAD/GDS/MDP/2010/1 UNITeD NatioNS PUblicatioN Sales No. e.11.II.D.11 ISbN 978-92-1-112818-5 Copyright © United Nations, 2010 All rights reserved THE FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC CRISIS O F 2008-2009 AND DEVELOPING COUN T RIES iii CONTENTS Abbreviations and acronyms ................................................................................xi About the authors -
Andrew Kliman
ANDREW KLIMAN The Failure of Capitalist Production Underlying Causes of the Great Recession THE FAILURE OF CAPITALIST PRODUCTION Underlying Causes of the Great Recession Andrew Kliman ^fpy) PlutoPress www.plutobooks.com In memory of Ted Kliman (1929-2009) and Chris Harman (1942-2009) For Jesse For Anne Contents List o f Tables viii List o f Figures ix List of Abbreviations xi Acknowledgments xii 1 Introduction 1 2 Profitability, the Credit System, and the “ Destruction of Capital” 13 3 Double, Double, Toil and Trouble: Dot-com Boom and Home-price Bubble 28 4 The 1970s—Not the 1980s—as Turning Point 48 5 Falling Rates of Profit and Accumulation 74 6 The Current-cost “ Rate of Profit” 102 7 W hy the Rate of Profit Fell 123 8 The Underconsumptionist Alternative 151 9 What is to be Undone? 181 Notes 208 Bibliography 227 Index 234 List of Tables 2.1 Non-Linear Effect of Falling Profitability on Business Failures 17 4.1 Growth Rates of Real GDP Per Capita 53 4.2 Sovereign Debt Defaults and Restructurings, 1946-2005 57 4.3 Debt and GDP, U.S. 61 5.1 Rates of Profit, U.S. Corporations, Selected Trough Years 82 6.1 Rates of Profit and Equity-market Rates of Return 117 7.1 Rapid Depreciation of Computer Equipment 142 8.1 Real Income G rowth, U.S., 1979-2007 160 8.2 The Final Part of Output and Economic Growth 163 8.3 Initial Situation 169 8.4 First Ten Periods 172 8.5 W orldwide G rowth of Real GDP since 1600 174 8.6 Investment and Growth, 1965-92 Averages 176 ‘>.1 Pay, Exports, and Economic G rowth in the U.S. -
Economic Growth, Capitalism and Unknown Economic Paradoxes
Sustainability 2012, 4, 2818-2837; doi:10.3390/su4112818 OPEN ACCESS sustainability ISSN 2071-1050 www.mdpi.com/journal/sustainability Article Economic Growth, Capitalism and Unknown Economic Paradoxes Stasys Girdzijauskas *, Dalia Streimikiene and Andzela Mialik Vilnius University, Kaunas Faculty of Humanities, Muitines g. 8, LT-44280, Kaunas, Lithuania; E-Mails: [email protected] (D.S.); [email protected] (A.M.) * Author to whom correspondence should be addressed; E-Mail: [email protected]; Tel.: +370-37-422-566; Fax: +370-37-423-222. Received: 28 August 2012; in revised form: 9 October 2012 / Accepted: 16 October 2012 / Published: 24 October 2012 Abstract: The paper deals with failures of capitalism or free market and presents the results of economic analysis by applying a logistic capital growth model. The application of a logistic growth model for analysis of economic bubbles reveals the fundamental causes of bubble formation—economic paradoxes related with phenomena of saturated markets: the paradox of growing returnability and the paradoxes of debt and leverage trap. These paradoxes occur exclusively in the saturated markets and cause the majority of economic problems of recent days including overproduction, economic bubbles and cyclic economic development. Unfortunately, these paradoxes have not been taken into account when dealing with the current failures of capitalism. The aim of the paper is to apply logistic capital growth models for the analysis of economic paradoxes having direct impact on the capitalism failures such as economic bubbles, economic crisis and unstable economic growth. The analysis of economic paradoxes and their implication son failures of capitalism provided in the paper presents the new approach in developing policies aimed at increasing economic growth stability and overcoming failures of capitalism. -
The Great Depression: an Overview by David C
Introduction The Great Depression: An Overview by David C. Wheelock Why should students learn about the Great Depression? Our grandparents and great-grandparents lived through these tough times, but you may think that you should focus on more recent episodes in Ameri- can life. In this essay, I hope to convince you that the Great Depression is worthy of your interest and deserves attention in economics, social studies and history courses. One reason to study the Great Depression is that it was by far the worst economic catastrophe of the 20th century and, perhaps, the worst in our nation’s history. Between 1929 and 1933, the quantity of goods and services produced in the United States fell by one-third, the unemployment rate soared to 25 percent of the labor force, the stock market lost 80 percent of its value and some 7,000 banks failed. At the store, the price of chicken fell from 38 cents a pound to 12 cents, the price of eggs dropped from 50 cents a dozen to just over 13 cents, and the price of gasoline fell from 10 cents a gallon to less than a nickel. Still, many families went hungry, and few could afford to own a car. Another reason to study the Great Depression is that the sheer magnitude of the economic collapse— and the fact that it involved every aspect of our economy and every region of our country—makes this event a great vehicle for teaching important economic concepts. You can learn about inflation and defla- tion, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and unemployment by comparing the Depression with more recent experiences. -
A Crisis of Confidence and Legal Theory: Why the Economic Downturn Should Help Signal the End of the Doctrine of Efficient Breach
1-1-2011 A Crisis of Confidence and Legal Theory: Why the Economic Downturn Should Help Signal the End of the Doctrine of Efficient Breach Dawinder S. Sidhu University of New Mexico - School of Law Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalrepository.unm.edu/law_facultyscholarship Part of the Law and Race Commons Recommended Citation Dawinder S. Sidhu, A Crisis of Confidence and Legal Theory: Why the Economic Downturn Should Help Signal the End of the Doctrine of Efficient eachBr , 24 Georgetown Journal of Legal Ethics 257 (2011). Available at: https://digitalrepository.unm.edu/law_facultyscholarship/279 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the UNM School of Law at UNM Digital Repository. It has been accepted for inclusion in Faculty Scholarship by an authorized administrator of UNM Digital Repository. For more information, please contact [email protected], [email protected], [email protected]. A Crisis of Confidence and Legal Theory: Why the Economic Downturn Should Help Signal the End of the Doctrine of Efficient Breach DAWINDER S. SIDHU* INTRODUCTION The doctrine of efficient breach is a common feature of a first-year foundational course in contract law.' In what follows, I argue that this familiar doctrine should be condemned, if not discarded. An efficient breach compels, or at least encourages or invites, a party to intentionally break a contract if he can enter into a second more profitable one and remain better off after compensating the non-breaching party.2 An efficient breach is said to take -
The Underlying Causes
3 The Underlying Causes I have suggested that the immediate causes of the depression were the confluence of risky lend- ing with inadequate personal savings, so that when the risks materialized, causing bank insolvencies and a fall in demand for goods and services be- cause credit was difficult to obtain, people couldn’t reallocate savings to consumption, and this al- lowed the fall in demand to trigger a downward spiral in employment and output. Digging a little deeper, we find the housing bubble, the bursting of which produced the defaults that endangered the solvency of the banks; the very low interest rates that motivated the banks to increase their leverage; the complicated financial instruments that turned out to be riskier than people thought; and the with- ering of regulation of financial services, which re- moved checks on risky lending. (The bursting of the housing bubble also of course caused the resi- 75 A Failure of Capitalism dential-construction market to nose-dive, but it is the broader decline in demand for goods and ser- vices that poses the big threat to the economy.) These phenomena too need to be explained rather than just assumed, if there is to be hope of heading off future depressions, and of a prompt recovery from this one. Among the deep causes of a depression might be human errors—maybe errors of a kind to which people are predisposed by quirks of human cognitive psychology—or character flaws, such as “greed” (whatever that means). It is widely be- lieved, for example, that banks miscalculated the safety of the novel financial instruments, or were taken in by the credit-rating agencies’ giving triple- A ratings to what really were risky assets; and that the housing bubble was due to the inability of ordinary people to understand the risks involved in novel forms of mortgage loan, such as a mortgage loan that does not require the borrower to have any equity in his home and does not give him the secu- rity of a fixed interest rate. -
Capitalist Revolutionary: John Maynard Keynes
capitalist revolutionary CAPITALIST REVOLUTIONARY JOHN MAYNARD KEYNES Roger E. Back house Bradley W. Bateman HARVARD UNIVERSITY PRESS Cambridge, Massachusetts London, England 2011 Copyright © 2011 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College All rights reserved Printed in the United States of America Library of Congress Cataloging- in- Publication Data Back house, Roger, 1951– Capitalist revolutionary : John Maynard Keynes / Roger E. Backhouse, Bradley W. Bateman. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978- 0- 674- 05775- 3 (alk. paper) 1. Keynes, John Maynard, 1883–1946. 2. Keynesian economics. I. Bateman, Bradley W., 1956– II. Title. HB103.K47B25 2011 330.15'6092—dc22 2011010437 To our families, past, present, and future CONTENTS 1. Keynes Returns, but Which Keynes? 1 2. The Rise and Fall of Keynesian Economics 21 3. Keynes the Moral Phi los o pher: Confronting the Challenges to Capitalism 47 4. Keynes the Physician: Developing a Theory of a Capitalist Economy 77 5. Keynes’s Ambiguous Revolution 113 6. Perpetual Revolution 139 Documenting the Keynesian Revolution: A Bibliographic Essay 161 Notes 175 References 179 Ac know ledg ments 187 Index 189 capitalist revolutionary 1 KEYNES RETURNS, BUT WHICH KEYNES? Following the fi nancial crisis of September 2008 when the Ameri- can investment bank Lehman Brothers collapsed, threatening to engulf the entire banking system, the British economist John Maynard Keynes returned to center stage. In the pop u lar press and in the writings of many economists, Keynes featured promi- nently as governments around the world urgently sought ways to avoid economic collapse. In the United States, the New York Times contained articles titled “What would Keynes have done?” (October 28, 2008), “The old economist, relevant amid the rub- ble” (September 18, 2009), and “An old master back in fashion” (November 1, 2009). -
Neoclassical Economics and the Erosion of Middle-Class Values: an Explanation for Economic Collapse John Mixon
Notre Dame Journal of Law, Ethics & Public Policy Volume 24 Issue 2 Symposium on the Rise and Fall of the Middle Article 4 Class 1-1-2012 Neoclassical Economics and the Erosion of Middle-Class Values: An Explanation for Economic Collapse John Mixon Follow this and additional works at: http://scholarship.law.nd.edu/ndjlepp Recommended Citation John Mixon, Neoclassical Economics and the Erosion of Middle-Class Values: An Explanation for Economic Collapse, 24 Notre Dame J.L. Ethics & Pub. Pol'y 327 (2011). Available at: http://scholarship.law.nd.edu/ndjlepp/vol24/iss2/4 This Essay is brought to you for free and open access by the Notre Dame Journal of Law, Ethics & Public Policy at NDLScholarship. It has been accepted for inclusion in Notre Dame Journal of Law, Ethics & Public Policy by an authorized administrator of NDLScholarship. For more information, please contact [email protected]. NEOCLASSICAL ECONOMICS AND THE EROSION OF MIDDLE-CLASS VALUES: AN EXPLANATION FOR ECONOMIC COLLAPSE JOHN MIXON* INTRODUCTION The American middle class is sandwiched between, on the one hand, an elite few whose wealth and power are beyond middle-class reach, and on the other, the despairing poor, whose plight the middle class hopes to avoid. These social divisions may be defined in terms of power, education, income, morality, or a dozen other attributes. How- ever defined, it is neither the elite nor the poor, but the middle class whose commitments to the virtues of honesty, hard work, integrity, and community morality most fueled twentieth-century economic and insti- tutional success. A strong middle-class belief in justice and fairness underlies the legal and political systems that protect and advance individ- ual and community interests. -
POEC 301 Syllabus
Jon Bakija Jim Mahon Schapiro 330 Schapiro 226 office: x2325 office: x2236 Office hours: Office hours: Tu 1:30-3:30 W, F 10:30-noon and by app’t. and by app’t [email protected] [email protected] POLITICAL ECONOMY 250 ECONOMIC LIBERALISM AND ITS CRITICS Fall 2012 This course explores the relationship between politics and economics by surveying influential works of political economy. Its first part examines major systems of thought in relation to the historical development of capitalism in Britain and the United States, from the classical liberalism of Adam Smith to the works of John Maynard Keynes. The second part considers more recent writings, with more of a focus on policy issues and the USA. The historical nature of the course permits you to appreciate the ongoing dialogue between classical and contemporary views of political economy. The Political Economy major at Williams aims to prepare students for active engagement in public life. This course has two purposes in relation to the major: first, to expose you to the intellectual roots of the political- economic theories you will encounter in your senior courses; and second, to provide a space for you to reflect about the ethical issues that arise whenever one seeks not only to analyze public policy, but to make it. This syllabus is the single most important document for the course. It has been annotated with some information about the authors and the themes of their work, in order to contextualize your reading and leave more class time for discussion of ideas. It also includes study questions. -
Political Economy of the Us Financial Crisis 2007-2009
Political economy of 91 the US financial crisis 35 (1) 91-128 (2011) PRACTICE FINANCIAL 2007-2009 THEORY VUK VUKOVIĆ* AND Student at Master of Science program at London School of Economics and Political Science, London [email protected] POLITICAL VUK VUKOVIĆ Article** ECONOMY JEL: G01, G28, P16 : UDC: 316.334.2 OF THE US FINANCIAL CRISIS 2007-2009 * The author would like to thank two anonymous referees for their useful comments and suggestions. ** Received: June 1, 2010 Accepted: December 10, 2010 92 Abstract The emphasis of this paper is on the political economy of the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States and how the policy makers contributed to it through their legislation and regulations, made under the rising infl uence of interest groups and the lobbying activities of the fi nance industry. The “Great Recession” 35 (1) 91-128 (2011) PRACTICE FINANCIAL of 2007-2009 began as a bubble-burst in the mortgage market in the United States that spilled over to the entire fi nancial market of the US, and afterwards to the THEORY integrated world fi nancial market. The crisis sprang up over the US real sector and, due to the decline in US aggregate demand, spread consequently to the real AND economy of the rest of the World. No sound evidence has been given for the publi- cly proclaimed idea that the causes of the crisis lie within the self-regulating free market. The causes of the crisis lie primarily in the activities of political power, i.e. in the extensive government regulation which has, under the strong infl uence POLITICAL VUK of interest groups and the lobbying power of fi nancial corporations, led to favou- VUKOVIĆ ritism in macroeconomic policies and ineffi cient resource allocation. -
Antitrust Law Enforcement: What to Do About the Current Economics Cacophony?
Federal Trade Commission Antitrust Law Enforcement: What To Do About The Current Economics Cacophony? Remarks of J. Thomas Rosch1 Commissioner, Federal Trade Commission before the Bates White Antitrust Conference Washington, D.C. June 1, 2009 Good evening. My remarks tonight will focus on the proper intersection between economic theory, on the one hand, and antitrust doctrinal analysis, on the other. I have been giving this topic some thought for quite a while. Indeed, my attorney advisor, Mandy Reeves, was likely surprised in April when I called from an airport to say that a New York Times book review that I had just read on the origins of quantum physics should inform our thinking on this 2 topic. In that book, The Age of Entanglement: When Quantum Physics Was Reborn, the author explains that for more than half a century, physicists were of sharply different views as to whether general relativity or quantum mechanics should supply the organizing principle to describe the relationship between atoms and subatomic particles. But in the 1960s, the discord 1 The views stated here are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Commission or other Commissioners. I am grateful to my attorney advisor, Amanda Reeves, for her invaluable assistance preparing this paper. 2 Peter Galison, “Sons of Atom,” New York Times (March 26, 2009) (reviewing Louisa Gilder, The Age of Entanglement: When Quantum Physics was Reborn (2009)). began to ebb with the contribution of a new generation of physicists who suggested that a modified version of quantum mechanics could sensibly coexist with a theory of relativity. -
Recession Antitrust
DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE COMPETITION POLICY IN DISTRESSED INDUSTRIES CARL SHAPIRO† Deputy Assistant Attorney General for Economics Antitrust Division U.S. Department of Justice Remarks as Prepared For Delivery to ABA Antitrust Symposium: Competition as Public Policy May 13, 2009 † I am grateful to Wayne Dunham and Ken Heyer for their assistance in preparing this speech. I have greatly benefited from discussions of these issues over the years with Jonathan Baker, Joe Farrell, Bill Kovacic, and Steve Salop. None of these individuals should bear any responsibility for the opinions offered here. 1. Introduction I am delighted to have the opportunity to speak at the American Bar Association’s Antitrust Symposium on Competition as Public Policy. In sponsoring this symposium, the ABA Antitrust Section indicates that “capitalism as we know it is under attack” and worries that “heavier government regulation is being touted as the solution.” Tomorrow we will continue our discussion of the central question posed in this symposium: “whether competition will continue to serve as the foundation for economic policy and legislation.” This is no small question in these difficult economic times. But it is one I am eager to address here, in my first speech since rejoining the Antitrust Division as Deputy Assistant Attorney General for Economics. The Antitrust Division’s short answer is this: keeping markets competitive is no less important during times of economic hardship than during normal times. As we map the course ahead for regulatory reform and competition policy, the first step is to diagnose the public policy failures that caused the current crisis so we can correct past errors and avoid repeating them.