Preface

The Development Application for the Terra Nova Development has been prepared pursuant to the - Newfoundland Atlantic Accord Implementation Act and the Canada-Newfoundland Atlantic Accord Implementation (Newfoundland) Act. These Acts require that plans for development of the Terra Nova Field be approved by the Canada-Newfoundland Offshore Petroleum Board.

This Development Application has been prepared by Petro-Canada on behalf of and in cooperation with all the development Proponents: Petro-Canada, Mobil Oil Canada Properties, Husky Oil Operations Limited, Murphy Oil Company Ltd. and Mosbacher Operating Limited.

This application consists of five main documents:

1. Development Application Summary 2. Development Plan - Part I 3. Canada-Newfoundland Benefits Plan 4. Environmental Impact Statement 5. Socio-Economic Impact Statement

As well, Development Plan - Part II, which consists of the numerous reports used to prepare the development plan, has been filed with the Board. In the future Project Phase, a Safety Plan and an Environmental Protection Plan will also be prepared.

Each of the five main documents is described below:

Development Plan Summary - an overview of all aspects of the plans to develop the Terra Nova Field engineering, economic, environmental and social

Development Plan - Part I - the details of the engineering, reservoir and economic plans for the Terra Nova Field

Canada-Newfoundland Benefits Plan - a description of the Proponents' commitments and plans for the participation of Canadian, in particular Newfoundland and Labrador businesses, and the employment of Canadians, in particular Newfoundland and Labrador residents, during the development.

Environmental Impact Statement - a description of the physical and biological environments of the Terra Nova area and the impacts of the development on them

Socio-Economic Impact Statement - a description of the baseline conditions for, and the effects of the Terra Nova Development on industry, employment, demography, housing, social infrastructure and services, public infrastructure, municipal government and the fishery

The Development Application for the Terra Nova Development is based on preliminary information and design work available to March 31, 1996. As further information becomes available, the plans described in this Development Application may be modified or refined. Furthermore, submission of this Development Application does not necessarily commit the Proponents to proceed with the Terra Nova Development.

Any requests for Development Application documents should be sent to:

Petro-Canada Telephone: (709) 576-2681 Suite 504, Scotia Centre Facsimile: (709) 576-2685 235 Water Street St. John's, Newfoundland A1C 1B5

The Development Application documents were printed in Newfoundland. The Authors

Petro-Canada contracted the following firms to research the environmental impacts of the Terra Nova Development:

LGL Limited - St. John's, Newfoundland

ASL Environmental Sciences Inc. - Sidney, British Columbia

S.L. Ross Environmental Research Ltd. - Ottawa, Ontario

The technical content of this Environmental Impact Statement is the result of that assessment. Master Table of Contents

1. Introduction 1-1

1.1 Scope of the Development 1-1 1.2 History of the Field 1-9 1.3 Participants in the Development 1-11 1.4 Schedule 1-13 1.5 Management 1-13

2. Environmental Management 2-1

2.1 Total Loss Management 2-2

2.1.1 Leadership 2-2 2.1.2 Organization 2-2 2.1.3 Issue Management 2-4 2.1.4 Evaluation 2-4 2.1.5 Stewardship 2-5 2.1.6 Operating Practice 2-6

2.2 Application of Total Loss Management 2-6

3. Physical Environmental Setting 3-1

3.1 Atmospheric Environment 3-1

3.1.1 Database 3-1 3.1.2 Air Masses and Circulation Patterns 3-6 3.1.3 Climatic Controls and Variations 3-11 3.1.4 Regional Climatology 3-13 3.1.5 Severe Conditions 3-22

3.2 Oceanic Environment 3-37

3.2.1 Database 3-37 3.2.2 Bathymetry 3-40 3.2.3 Water Masses 3-42 3.2.4 Ocean Currents 3-60 3.2.5 Tides and Other Short-Term Sea-Level Variations 3-81 3.2.6 Oceanic Fronts 3-84 3.2.7 Upwelling Areas 3-84

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00010.0 Rev.0 iv 3.2.8 Wave Climate 3-88

3.3 Sea Ice and Icebergs 3-111

3.3.1 Database 3-111 3.3.2 Sea Ice 3-113 3.3.3 Icebergs 3-135

3.4 Geology 3-157

3.4.1 Bedrock Geology 3-157 3.4.2 Physiography and Surficial Sediments 3-163 3.4.3 Hydrocarbon Occurrence and Production 3-166 3.4.4 Seismicity 3-166

3.5 Shoreline Environment 3-172

3.5.1 Coastal Geomorphology 3-172 3.5.2 Hydrology, Oceanography and Ice 3-173

3.6 Chemical Environment 3-176

3.6.1 Water Quality 3-176 3.6.2 Marine Sediment Chemistry 3-179

4. Biological Environmental Setting 4-1

4.1 Grand Banks Ecosystem 4-1

4.1.1 Plankton 4-4 4.1.2 Benthos 4-4 4.1.3 Fish 4-6 4.1.4 Marine-Related Birds and Mammals 4-6

4.2 Phytoplankton 4-9

4.3 Other Microbiota 4-14

4.4 Invertebrate Zooplankton 4-16

4.4.1 Species Composition 4-17 4.4.2 Geographic Distribution 4-18 4.4.3 Vertical Distribution 4-20 4.4.4 Seasonal and Annual Variability 4-21 4.4.5 Importance in Food Web 4-25

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00010.0 Rev.0 v 4.5 Ichthyoplankton 4-26

4.5.1 Geographic and Seasonal Distribution 4-27 4.5.2 Recent Ichthyoplankton Research 4-33 4.5.3 Geographic and Seasonal Distribution 4-33 4.5.4 Vertical Distribution 4-35 4.5.5 Interannual Variability 4-36 4.5.6 Flemish Cap 4-36

4.6 Benthos 4-38

4.6.1 Macrophytes and Associated Microscopic Algae 4-38 4.6.2 Benthic Fauna 4-39

4.7 Biofouling 4-45

4.8 Fish and Fisheries 4-48

4.8.1 Iceland Scallop 4-53 4.8.2 Snow Crab 4-55 4.8.3 Stimpson Surf Clam 4-55 4.8.4 Skates 4-57 4.8.5 Redfish 4-57 4.8.6 Capelin 4-59 4.8.7 Atlantic Herring 4-62 4.8.8 Atlantic Cod 4-65 4.8.9 Greenland Halibut 4-68 4.8.10 Witch Flounder 4-70 4.8.11 American Plaice 4-72 4.8.12 Pollock 4-76 4.8.13 Haddock 4-76 4.8.14 Yellowtail Flounder 4-77 4.8.15 Northern Shrimp 4-78 4.8.16 Other Notable Species 4-78

4.9 Marine-Related Birds 4-85

4.9.1 Database 4-85 4.9.2 Breeding Biology and Nesting Populations 4-85 4.9.3 Foods and Feeding Habits 4-93 4.9.4 Geographic and Seasonal Distributions 4-93 4.9.5 Important Species and Areas 4-93

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00010.0 Rev.0 vi 4.10 Marine Mammals 4-97

4.10.1 Database 4-97 4.10.2 Populations and Stocks 4-97 4.10.3 Food and Feeding Habits 4-100 4.10.4 Geographic and Seasonal Distributions 4-101

4.11 Predevelopment Pollutant Concentrations - Biota 4-103

4.11.1 Hydrocarbons 4-103 4.11.2 Trace Elements 4-107

5. Impact Assessment 5-1

5.1 Impact Assessment Methodology 5-3

5.1.1 Types of Impacts 5-3 5.1.2 Impact Analysis Methods 5-3

5.2 Evaluation of Alternatives 5-10

5.3 Normal Operations During Drilling and Construction 5-11

5.3.1 Description of Physical Facilities and Activities 5-11 5.3.2 Presence of Structures 5-13 5.3.3 Lights and Beacons 5-16 5.3.4 Installation of Seabed Components and Underwater Construction 5-16 5.3.5 Discharge of Drilling Muds and Cuttings 5-16 5.3.6 Discharge of Other Fluids and Solids 5-28 5.3.7 Atmospheric Emissions 5-33 5.3.8 Effects of Ships and Boats 5-33 5.3.9 Effects of Helicopters 5-34 5.3.10 Effects of Noise 5-34 5.3.11 Shore-Based Facilities 5-42

5.4 Normal Production and Maintenance Operations 5-46

5.4.1 Presence of Structures 5-46 5.4.2 Lights and Beacons 5-48 5.4.3 Maintenance of Subsea Structures 5-48 5.4.4 Injection Water 5-49 5.4.5 Produced Water 5-49 5.4.6 Other Operational Discharges 5-55 5.4.7 Atmospheric Emissions 5-58

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00010.0 Rev.0 vii 5.4.8 Effects of Ships and Boats 5-59 5.4.9 Effects of Helicopters 5-59 5.4.10 Effects of Noise 5-60 5.4.11 Shore-Based Facilities 5-61

5.5 Transportation 5-62

5.6 Decommissioning 5-64

5.6.1 Terra Nova Development Area 5-64 5.6.2 Shore-Based Facilities 5-66

5.7 Oil Spills 5-67

5.7.1 Oil Spill Probability Analysis 5-68 5.7.2 Selection of Oil Spill Scenarios 5-85 5.7.3 Terra Nova Oil Properties and General Spill Behaviour 5-90 5.7.4 Modelling and Description of Selected Oil Spill Scenarios 5-100 5.7.5 Terra Nova Spill Trajectories 5-108 5.7.6 Environmental Impact Assessment 5-114 5.7.7 Assessment of Oil-Spill Countermeasures 5-121 5.7.8 Residual Impacts 5-125

5.8 Cumulative Impacts 5-127

5.8.1 Impact Summary 5-127 5.8.2 Cumulative Development Impacts 5-134 5.8.3 Cumulative Impacts of the Development and Other Activities on the Grand Banks 5-135 5.8.4 Cumulative Impacts and Climatic Change 5-136

6. Mitigation Measures and Contingency Planning 6-1

6.1 Drilling Mud 6-1

6.2 Well Treatment Fluids 6-2

6.3 Produced Water 6-2

6.4 Storage Displacement Water 6-2

6.5 Deck Drainage 6-2

6.6 Garbage and Sewage 6-3

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00010.0 Rev.0 viii 6.7 Ship and Boat Noise 6-3

6.8 Helicopters 6-3

6.9 Shore-Based Facilities 6-4

6.10 Chronic and Accidental Spills 6-4

6.11 Oil-Spill Mitigation and Contingency Planning 6-5

6.11.1 Spill Prevention 6-6 6.11.2 Countermeasure Techniques 6-6 6.11.3 Contingency Planning 6-16 6.11.4 External Response Capability 6-18 6.11.5 Future Research and Development 6-21

7. Environmental Protection Plan 7-1

8. Monitoring and Reporting 8-1

8.1 Physical Environmental Monitoring 8-1

8.2 Compliance Monitoring 8-2

8.2.1 Drilling Muds and Cuttings 8-2 8.2.2 Well Treatment Fluids 8-3 8.2.3 Produced Water 8-3 8.2.4 Cooling Water 8-3 8.2.5 Deck Drainage 8-3 8.2.6 Air Emissions 8-3

8.3 Environmental Effects Monitoring 8-4

8.3.1 Effects and Zone of Influence of Drilling Muds and Cuttings 8-4 8.3.2 Zone of Influence of Produced Water 8-4 8.3.3 Effects of Oily Water on Fish 8-4

Glossary

Bibliography

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00010.0 Rev.0 ix Chapter 1 Table of Contents

1. Introduction 1-1 1.1 Scope of the Development 1-1 1.2 History of the Field 1-9 1.3 Participants in the Development 1-11 1.4 Schedule 1-12 1.5 Management 1-12

Tables

1.2-1 Discovery and Other Exploratory Well Results 1-9 1.2-2 Delineation Well Results 1-11 1.3-1 Proponents' Predevelopment Cost Sharing 1-13 1.4-1 Major Milestone Dates 1-13

Figures

1.1-1 Location Map 1-2 1.1-2 Field Map 1-3 1.1-3 Significant Discovery Area 1-4 1.1-4 Proposed Development - Monohull Alternative 1-6 1.1-5 Proposed Development - Semisubmersible with Dynamic Storage Alternative 1-7 1.1-6 Proposed Development - Semisubmersible with Storage Vessel Alternative 1-8 1.1-7 Preliminary Seafloor Layout, Wells, Manifolds, and Flowlines 1-10 1.3-1 Significant Discovery Area Ownership 1-12 1.4-1 Preliminary Development Schedule 1-14 1.5-1 Organizational Structure 1-15

Document #95032-0-SE-GM-00001.0, Rev.0 1. Introduction

The Socio-Economic Impact Statement (SEIS) discusses the socio-economic effects of the Terra Nova Development. The SEIS deals with the following areas:

· Industry and employment · Demography · Housing · Social infrastructure and services · Public infrastructure and services · Municipal government ·The fishery · Land and resource use · Socio-cultural issues

Particular attention is given to issues of most concern to local residents and issues arising from the Hibernia project or other significant events. The geographic scope is primarily provincial, with regions most likely to be directly affected by the Terra Nova Development covered in detail.

The SEIS covers the period from project engineering through construction, installation and operations to decommissioning and abandonment. The main socio-economic impacts will be associated with construction, installation and the early years of operations. Subsequent operations, however, will see the cessation of economic benefits.

1.1 Scope of the Development

The is situated on the Grand Banks, about 350 km east-southeast of St. John's, Newfoundland, and 35 km southeast of the Hibernia Oil Field (Figure 1.1-1). The field encompasses four geological structural fault blocks (Figure 1.1-2): West Flank, Graben, East Flank and Far East. A Significant Discovery Area (SDA) covers the four blocks (Figure 1.1-3).

It is expected that oil reserves of approximately 47 x 106 m3 will be recovered from the Jeanne d'Arc Formation in two of the blocks, the Graben and the East Flank. The reservoir consists of a sequence of medium- to coarse-grained sandstones deposited about 140 million years ago in the Late age. While the Far East block has not yet been tested by drilling, it may yield oil reserves of up to 16 x 106 m3. It is contemplated that a well will be drilled in the Far East block early in the life of the field to evaluate the presence of hydrocarbons. Following successful results, the Far East will be brought into production. The West Flank block has low potential for commercial oil production. Produced gas will be conserved by reinjection into the field.

95032-0-SE-GM-00001.0, Rev.0 1-1

Development of the Terra Nova Field will include development drilling, and the engineering, procurement, construction or modification, installation, commissioning and operation of a floating production system and associated facilities. The crude oil will be delivered directly to market using shuttle tankers or via a transshipment facility.

Since the discovery of the Terra Nova field in 1984, studies have been conducted on various production systems, including a floating production system and a gravity base structure (GBS). The clear conclusion is that a floating production system is the only viable alternative for economic development of the Terra Nova Field. The amount of oil that can be recovered is insufficient to warrant using a GBS platform, which has higher capital cost.

Pre-Engineering will be undertaken in 1996 to determine the optimum type of floating production system for Terra Nova. The following floating production facility (FPF) alternatives will be considered:

· New or converted monohull (Figure 1.1-4) · New or converted semisubmersible with: - Dynamic storage (Figure 1.1-5) - Storage vessel (Figure 1.1-6)

Pre-Engineering will also determine if the hull of the FPF will be made of steel or concrete.

Water depth in the area is about 95 m. Physical environmental conditions are similar to the northern areas of the North Sea except for the seasonal presence of icebergs and sea ice at the Terra Nova location.

Reliable systems for the detection, monitoring and management of icebergs, including towing techniques, have been developed. An ice management plan will give operations personnel sufficient early warning of any need to disconnect the FPF or drilling units from their moorings and risers. This would provide an orderly and controlled move off location, in the event an unmanageable iceberg that presents a hazard approaches too close to the facilities.

The depletion strategy is based on pressure maintenance of the reservoir. This will be accomplished by waterflood for most of the field with the option of gas flooding in the southern portion of the reservoir.

Initial development plans for the Graben and East Flank blocks foresee about 32 wells, including production wells, water injection wells and gas injection wells. Five of the existing delineation wells will be assessed for possible use as development wells. As the FPF will not have a drilling capability, new wells will be drilled and completed using one or more semisubmersible drilling units. Wells will be tied into subsea manifolds

95032-0-SE-GM-00001.0, Rev.0 1-5

with flowlines and connected to the FPF through flexible marine risers.

An additional 12 wells could be required to exploit the potential oil reserves of the Far East block. Figure 1.1-7 shows a preliminary layout of the planned wells, field manifolds and riser manifolds.

The production facilities will have the capacity to handle full field development. They will be designed for 20 x 103 m3/d of oil with a 32 x 103 m3/d limit on total fluid handling. Gas injection of 2.6 x 106 m3/d and water injection of 38 x 103 m3/d are anticipated. A full field production life of about 18 years is anticipated.

1.2 History of the Field

The Terra Nova K-08 discovery well was drilled in 1984. The well had 58 m of net oil pay and flowed a total of 1430 m3/d of oil from four drillstem tests (DST). Two additional wells were drilled during the exploration phase. Table 1.2-1 summarizes the results of these exploratory wells.

Table 1.2-1

Discovery and Other Exploratory Well Results

Well Number Year Description Results Drilled Terra Nova Drilled into a keystone Discovery well; 58 m of net pay; flowed 1984 K-08 graben of a northwest- 1430 m3/d of oil from four DSTs plunging rollover anticline Beothuk Drilled updip of the K-08 Pay not encountered in the Terra Nova 1985 M-05 discovery well equivalent sands; demonstrated the southern depositional limit of the field Terra Nova Drilled as an updip step-out Encountered water-bearing reservoir 1985 K-17 from K-18 sands

Six additional delineation wells were drilled in the field. Table 1.2-2 summarizes the results of the delineation wells.

Of the nine wells drilled in the field, six are located within the Graben and East Flank blocks. Five major and two minor oil-bearing sands have been identified.

95032-0-SE-GM-00001.0, Rev.0 1-9

Table 1.2-2

Delineation Well Results

Well Year Number Description Results Drilled Terra Nova Drilled on the western flank of the Encountered water-bearing reservoir sands 1984 K-18 structure outside the Graben Terra Nova Drilled updip and across the east-west Encountered 28 m of net oil pay; flowed a 1985 K-07 fault from the discovery well total of 1260 m3/d of oil from two DSTs Terra Nova Drilled to evaluate the updip edge of the Encountered 11 m of net oil pay and flowed a 1986 I-97 east flank total of 640 m3/d of oil; defined the southern field boundary Terra Nova Drilled to confirm additional reserves on Encountered 43 m of net oil pay and flowed 1987 H-99 the east flank of the structure 1200 m3/d of oil Terra Nova Drilled downdip from the K-08 discovery Oil-water contact not encountered; 64 m of 1988 C-09 well to encounter the oil-water transition net oil pay penetrated with a total flow of and identify the northern extent of the 1330 m3/d of oil field Terra Nova Drilled on the easternmost extremity of 74 m of net oil pay penetrated with a total of 1988 E-79 the H-99 fault block to test sand 3650 m3/d of oil from three DSTs development on this fault block and the far east portion of the structure

1.3 Participants in the Development

The Terra Nova Significant Discovery Area (SDA) incorporates five Significant Discovery Licences (SDL) with ownership varying in each SDL.

The owners of interests in the four SDL blocks covering the West Flank, Graben and East Flank currently share costs through a pre-development agreement. These owners and their predevelopment cost-sharing interests are shown in Table 1.3-1.

Table 1.3-1

Proponents' Predevelopment Cost Sharing

Owner Share (%) Petro-Canada 49.2 Mobil Oil Canada Properties 20.7 Husky Oil Operations Limited 15.8 Murphy Oil Company Ltd. 10.7 Mosbacher Operating Limited 3.6

95032-0-SE-GM-00001.0, Rev.0 1-11 The fifth SDL, 1034, is operated by Husky (Figure 1.3-1). The varying ownership across Terra Nova requires unitization of the field. This process is underway and when complete, the equity interest of individual owners will be established.

1.4 Schedule

The development schedule (Figure 1.4-1) reflects the approach that will be taken for the construction or modification, installation and operation of a production system at Terra Nova. Major milestones are listed in Table 1.4-1.

1.5 Management

The Terra Nova Proponents will appoint Petro-Canada as the Operator, acting on their behalf (Figure 1.5-1).

The Operator's authority, role, responsibility and reporting requirements will be outlined in the Unit agreement and Construction, Ownership and Operating agreements that will be in place for the execution of the development. Proponents' rights, responsibilities and dispute resolution mechanisms will be included in the agreement.

Table 1.4-1

Major Milestone Dates

Scheduled Milestone Description Completion Date

Quarter Year

Public announcement regarding Development Application preparation 4 1995 File Development Application 2 1996 Obtain all regulatory approvals 2 1997 Proponents approve execution of the development 4 1997 First Oil 4 2001 Finish Production (includes Far East) 3 2019 Decommissioning and Abandonment 4 2019

Technical and management committees will establish overall Proponents' requirements and budgetary approvals for the Operator's implementation. Petro-Canada will review on a regular basis the development status with the Proponents who will provide advice and guidance. Petro-Canada will manage and direct all aspects of the development within the authority and approval parameters of the agreements.

95032-0-SE-GM-00001.0, Rev.0 1-12

A safe, environmentally sound, quality-controlled, fit-for-purpose and cost-effective oil producing system will be developed using an alliance contracting strategy.

The alliance philosophy involves establishing long-term relationships between the Operator, contractors and possibly key suppliers to collectively achieve mutual objectives in a more effective and efficient way than traditional contracting methods. The alliance approach focusses on maximizing the efficiency of the design, construction and production start-up.

The current trend in the industry is to adopt the alliance approach in implementing major oil and gas projects, particularly in high-cost areas such as the North Sea and the East Coast of Canada. Using the alliance approach, companies are lowering costs while sustaining high levels of safety, quality and protection of the environment. This is enabling industry to remain competitive in the global marketplace.

The alliance approach will allow for the:

- Elimination of unproductive organizational layers - Use of functional specifications - Use of standardized equipment - Reduction of documentation requirements to an optimum level - Clarification and simplification of contracts with contractors and suppliers and the minimization of adversarial clauses - Streamlining of the procurement processes - Rationalization of design, materials and construction standards - Simplification of maintenance requirements and creation of an inherently safe workplace

For the Project Phase, Petro-Canada will establish an alliance with a group of contractors and key suppliers to execute the core work up to First Oil production (i.e., engineering, procurement, construction or modification, installation, commissioning and possibly pre-development drilling). Other companies, contractors and suppliers will be engaged in the development through the normal procurement-of-goods-and-services process.

Petro-Canada and other alliance companies will establish a single alliance-based Integrated Management Team (IMT). Petro-Canada and other Proponents' personnel will be represented in the IMT and in the alliance organization as a whole. Each member company of the alliance will participate in a risk-reward commercial arrangement with established targets aimed at meeting the functional, quality, safety, environmental, cost and schedule requirements.

95032-0-SE-GM-00001.0, Rev.0 1-16 In the Project Phase an alliance board will be formed from members of alliance companies (including Petro-Canada) to monitor work status and ensure the alliance objectives are being met.

The mission of the Project Phase alliance will be completed when First Oil is delivered. Petro-Canada intends to lead the Operations Phase and will use contracting strategies, such as alliancing, partnering and sub-contracting, to enhance the safety and efficiency of the operations.

95032-0-SE-GM-00001.0, Rev.0 1-17 Chapter 2

Table of Contents

2. Environmental Management 2-1 2.1 Total Loss Management 2-2 2.1.1 Leadership 2-2 2.1.2 Organization 2-2 2.1.3 Issue Management 2-4 2.1.4 Evaluation 2-4 2.1.5 Stewardship 2-5 2.1.6 Operating Practice 2-6 2.2 Application of Total Loss Management 2-6

Figures

2.1-1 Total Loss Management Fishbone Diagram 2-3

Appendices

2A Petro-Canada Environmental Protection and Occupational Health and Safety Policies

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00002.0, Rev.0 2. Environmental Management

Environmental protection, and occupational health and safety are fundamental Petro- Canada values. The management of these issues is conducted within a larger system, the Total Loss Management (TLM) framework.

At Petro-Canada, loss management systems have been developed over many years. Processes have been adapted to reflect both internal developments and changing expectations of Canadian society. In 1992, specialists within the company, divisional management teams and external experts reviewed loss management performance and processes. This evaluation led, over time, to the development of the TLM approach.

TLM encompasses all programs and activities associated with health, safety, environment, reliability, process hazard management, risk assessment and loss prevention. It is a systematic and continuous approach toward the elimination or reduction of risks to people, the environment, assets and production. TLM means doing the right thing, for the right reason, in the right way, and at the right time.

In the broadest sense, TLM ensures that loss management is an integral part of how business is conducted. TLM is being pursued as a company-wide means of managing the review and integration of all existing loss management programs and practices.

TLM is designed so that the lessons of the past assist in shaping the future. It identifies the elements and activities that must be incorporated into all operations. TLM was built upon the strengths of existing programs. Petro-Canada's vision of success includes:

- Running operations effectively and reliably with a focus on prevention

- Making Petro-Canada a leader in the industry

This chapter discusses the TLM approach and how it will be applied during the Project and Operations phases of the development. Copies of the Petro-Canada Environmental Protection and Occupational Health and Safety policies can be found in Appendix 2A.

Petro-Canada will prepare a Safety Plan and an Environmental Protection Plan, in accordance with the regulations, that will be submitted to the C-NOPB for approval during the Project Phase.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00002.0, Rev.0 2-1 2.1 Total Loss Management

The following key elements make up the TLM framework:

· Leadership · Organization · Issue Management · Evaluation · Stewardship · Operating Practice

Figure 2.1-1 illustrates how each of the six elements has been subdivided into a number of discrete initiatives.

Combining initiatives from within these elements produces the health, safety, environment, reliability, risk assessment and loss prevention programs. Petro-Canada is best positioned to deliver the appropriate standard of care, and meet its loss management targets, when these programs include some or all of the initiatives associated with each of the six elements.

2.1.1 Leadership

Leadership in TLM comes from all levels within the company Senior Management through to front-line personnel are all accountable for various activities. Exemplary loss management performance requires the commitment of every employee, through continuous striving, to incorporate sound loss management philosophies and practices into business activities.

Statements with respect to or demonstrating leadership provide documented performance expectations to the public, the regulators and the courts. This is especially true of formal statements that are widely distributed. They may be used to assess the adequacy of actual actions and performance. It is essential that these communications be reasonable and relevant to the business operating environment, that they are developed with the input and buy-in of those directly affected, that the application is equitable and that they are reviewed and updated on a regular basis.

2.1.2 Organization

The quality and commitment of its employees is one of Petro-Canada's most important competitive advantages. The contributions of individuals is the largest single factor in achieving TLM goals.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00002.0, Rev.0 2-2

Superior loss management performance requires:

- Highly competent employees focussed on loss management

- Maintaining the expertise of health, safety, environment, reliability and loss prevention professionals

- Senior managers and management teams capable of creating a business environment where loss management is valued

- The identification and resolution of functional boundaries that impair the flow of information and coordination

All four components are essential to properly manage current issues and anticipate future challenges.

Continuing employee performance requires organizational support through considerations such as hiring (and retaining) capable individuals, workplace setting (conditions and aesthetics), training, site health and safety factors and employee assistance programs.

2.1.3 Issue Management

Issue management involves the identification, assessment and management of the opportunities and liabilities associated with present and anticipated loss management issues. Issues that could influence strategic direction, involve unique (and significant) change or affect the viability of key assets, are candidates for referral to the issue management process.

The support and participation of all levels of management and a timely reporting process is critical in meeting the objectives of this element. Management participation and support provide the impetus and strategic direction required for effective integration with operations. Timely communication ensures that all stakeholders (management teams, issue owners and operations personnel) affected by the issue can act with the knowledge that there is consensus and support for the resulting action plans.

2.1.4 Evaluation

Evaluations of both physical assets and operational performance have a wide range of applications in TLM by helping to identify and manage the extent to which individuals, the environment and the company are exposed to hazard and risk. Such evaluations are viewed by regulators and the courts as fundamental to the concept of due diligence and have recently been employed as a key consideration by financial markets and lending institutions.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00002.0, Rev.0 2-4 The objective of both internal and external evaluation is to recognize and promote the achievement and maintenance of loss management performance by:

- Identifying liabilities or potential problems associated with operations - Determining whether appropriate and effective operating and management systems are in place - Providing a feedback mechanism for continuous improvement - Ensuring compliance with regulator and corporate requirements - Verifying conformance and positioning with industry practice

Improving and integrating processes for identifying, planning for and communicating acceptable risks, appropriate responses and accurate costs will assist in developing cost effective liability management tools.

2.1.5 Stewardship

Petro-Canada cannot define success simply in terms of having a clean regulatory record; responsible management must be demonstrated. Proper stewardship allows all employees with loss management responsibilities, not just those associated with day-to- day operations, an opportunity to improve the company's loss management performance.

Integration of TLM issues into the company's business operations and strategy relies upon proactive and comprehensive reporting and feedback processes. These reporting processes help the company take all reasonable steps to prevent or mitigate unacceptable impacts resulting from business activities.

Stewardship includes information on the ongoing cycle of setting loss management expectations and comparing those expectations to actual performance. These performance measures and targets are designed to reflect past performance and the impact of proactive initiatives. They are an important tool in the effort to continuously improve loss management performance.

Compliance with regulator requirements and accident statistics have been used as indicators of loss management performance. Scientific uncertainty and long lag times between an event and its consequences can complicate the selection and measurement of other environmental and health indices. However, simply because the economic benefits associated with superior loss management performance may not be immediately determinable does not mean they do not confer benefit or that the issues can, or should be set aside.

2.1.6 Operating Practice

Risks can be minimized through appropriate loss management procedures, programs and standards coupled with sound management practices. Loss management

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00002.0, Rev.0 2-5 considerations must be addressed from project inception and evaluation through design, construction, start-up, routine operations and eventual decommissioning and reclamation.

The other five TLM elements provide the building blocks for effective management of loss by operations. The operating practice element describes a range of initiatives and relationships unique to the operating environment at the field and facility level.

There are serious loss implications associated with failure to adequately design, construct, commission and operate facilities. Improved reliability, efficiency and prevention are all achievable goals if operating practices incorporate an aggressive loss management focus.

On-going effort to maximize production involves changes to processes, equipment, materials and operational parameters. Each of these changes can lead to accidents and incidents if the changes are not discussed and communicated to all stakeholders.

Many operations rely on the availability of experienced contractors to provide a range of services; many of these services involve safety-sensitive tasks. It is imperative that contractor selection include evaluation of loss management programs and performance and that open and honest communications be maintained with the contractors before and during the conduct of their duties.

Planning, exercising and evaluating emergency response programs are essential for minimizing impacts associated with unplanned events. Maintaining an effective emergency response capability requires extra effort and constant support from all employees.

Many loss management programs are concerned with the health and safety of the individuals and communities close to the operations. The best means of achieving community support and trust is through communication, consultation and frank disclosure on issues affecting their health and safety.

2.2 Application of Total Loss Management

Table 2.2-1 summarizes how TLM will be applied to Terra Nova activities during the Project and Operations phases.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00002.0, Rev.0 2-6 Table 2.2-1

Total Loss Management Application to Environmental Management

Element and Initiatives Project Phase Operations Phase

Leadership

· Vision Vision for the Terra Nova Development will be generated to Vision for the Terra Nova Development will be generated communicate a sense of future performance to communicate a sense of future performance

· Policy Corporate policies for environmental protection and health and Corporate policies for environmental protection and health safety apply and safety apply

· Accountability Vice President Frontier and International Vice President Frontier and International

· Procedures Will be developed to apply policies to the Terra Nova Those not in place for Project Phase will be developed for Development; includes participation of alliance contractors this phase

· Standards Developed with alliance contractors to meet corporate, regulatory Expected to be similar but may be modified to meet and classification society requirements specific requirements

· Commitment Ensure alliance contractors understand and accept loss Continuous reinforcement through daily activities; support management philosophies; management participation (hands-on- by verification of the understanding of the intent and leadership); audit to verify application of systems and programs application of policies and procedures

· Communication A clear definition of goals and expectations will be A clear definition of goals and expectations will be communicated in a formal, written and widely distributed communicated in a formal, written and widely distributed fashion; employee contributions to loss management will be fashion; employee contributions to loss management will recognized be recognized

Organization

· Key Skills Contractor evaluation and selection process Terra Nova staffing program will establish position- specific loss management skills and prerequisites for hiring, promotions and transfers

· Training Contractor evaluation and selection process Job and task analysis will assess training needs and priorities

· Roles and Responsibilities Contractor will address decision-making authority; will report Operations manuals will address onshore and offshore processes and management responsibilities for routine and roles and responsibilities, and the reporting process for emergency conditions routine and emergency conditions Table 2.2-1

Total Loss Management Application to Environmental Management

Element and Initiatives Project Phase Operations Phase · Business Integration Loss management issues will be addressed in contracts Loss management issues will be integrated into business decisions, planning and budgeting

· Succession Planning Contractors will have sufficient qualified personnel for all aspects Key loss management positions will be identified; potential of alliance activity candidates will be inventoried and training and assignments arranged

· Performance Management Performance measures for loss management could be negotiated Variable compensation or value-sharing programs to into contracts incorporate TLM expectations and performance

Issue Management Petro-Canada will monitor contractor progress and performance Terra Nova management will regularly consider current or for indication of short- and longer-term loss management issues; anticipated loss management issues, such as compliance, actions as dictated by issue and stakeholders safety records, regulatory change loss statistics, and take action as appropriate; senior management, owners or other stakeholders will be notified as appropriate

Evaluation · Audits Rights of Proponents to audit contractor sites and performance Rigorous, scheduled and objective appraisals by internal or will be addressed in contract, consistent with alliance principles external teams will be planned and conducted; Significant audit findings will be reported to higher levels of management. Implementation of recommendations will be tracked, and resourcing for audit programs given priority in planning cycle

· Inspections Same actions as for audits Inspections will be used between audits or as a follow-up; used in place of audit at less complex facilities

· Risk Assessment Contractor scope of work includes risk assessment for design, Facilities delivered should have addressed risk assessment construction, installation and operations; cooperative activity at every stage. Risk assessment is ongoing for change in between Proponents and contractor risk assessment are integral facility, operation or operating environment components of the safety management system

· Investigation Contractors will be required to investigate serious (to be defined Programs, incidents and operations-specific problems will in contract) loss incidents be investigated (sampling and analysis as required). Includes down-grading accident and near-hits Table 2.2-1

Total Loss Management Application to Environmental Management

Element and Initiatives Project Phase Operations Phase · Event Reporting Contractors will be required to report within specified times for Event-reporting procedures will be developed; as a serious loss events, including details, basic causes and measures minimum, reports will include details of events' basic to prevent recurrence causes, and systems and measures to prevent recurrence

Stewardship · Analysis and Assessment Consistent with alliance concept. Contractors will be required to Consistent with corporate stewardship reporting procedure, provide information to Petro-Canada for inclusion in stewardship Terra Nova management will report on current and future report; as a minimum compliance, safety statistics, analysis of compliance issues, analyze the differences between variance from expectations and (as necessary) plans for expectations and results and provide evidence of improvement measureable improvement

· Benchmarking Contractors may be required to submit benchmarking data during Terra Nova management will benchmark procedures, evaluation phase, or at other times as necessary activities, programs, performance and achievement against other offshore operators as part of the development's continuous improvement cycle

· Performance Measures Performance measures can be built into the alliance contract risk Loss management performance targets could be a and reward compensation program component for individual or team performance

· Reporting Timely feedback will be provided to the contractor Appropriate and effective communication at and between all levels of the Terra Nova Development; actions and measures will be appropriate and aligned with corporate strategy; timely feedback will be provided to those preparing the information Operating Practice

· Design, Construction, Startup Contractor will: During operations, should new equipment be added, the · Conduct activities in accordance with engineering controls same procedures would apply; startup after turnaround will and procedures go through a process similar to that for the Project Phase; · Incorporate input from operations and maintenance into this will be described in the operations manuals design · Design for equipment reliability, energy efficiency, minimum environmental impact, and operating safety · Document pre start-up and inspection procedures for routine and emergency conditions

· Management of Change Specific procedures will be developed between the contracting · All changes made to facilities, equipment, materials parties and operating parameters will be discussed before implementation, documented and transmitted to other operating personnel · Environmental, safety, health and operating risks and compliance implications arising out of any changes made to facilities, equipment, materials and operational parameters will be communicated

· Operations and Maintenance Manuals will be developed to support the latter part of the Project Manuals prepared for the Project Phase will be used as the Phase. As a minimum, contractors will be required to: basis for the Operations Phase; these documents will be · Ensure programs are in place and in use that verify the updated as necessary reliability of piping, vessels and equipment · Provide fundamental safety, health and hygiene contracts for the workplace · Document compliance requirements and performance

· Third Party Services In addition to the evaluation and selection process discussed Contractors will play a significant role in operations, above, an open and honest dialogue before and during the term of therefore Petro-Canada will: the contract will be maintained · Evaluate the safety program and performance of contractors during the award process · Conduct site orientations including facility layout and loss management philosophy and procedures · Maintain open and honest dialogue with contractors before and during the term of the contract

· Emergency Preparedness Contractors will be responsible for emergency preparedness at Petro-Canada will comply with pertinent regulations in the onshore sites; their preparedness will be reviewed during audits development of all emergency preparedness plans Petro- and inspections. Offshore emergency preparedness plans will be Canada will: prepared and implemented jointly with the Operator · Maintain emergency response plans that are available to, and discussed with, employees, government agencies and the public · Conduct periodic emergency response simulations and drills to validate training and procedures · Ensure initial responders have the necessary financial and operational authorities

· Community Relations Contractors will be expected to deal openly and honestly with the Petro-Canada will: public respecting their operations and activities · Develop and maintain a relationship with the public that facilitates the investigation of complaints, responds to concerns and provides information on loss management issues that may be of interest Appendix 2A

Petro-Canada Environmental Protection and Occupational Health and Safety Policies

Chapter 3 Table of Contents

3. Physical Environmental Setting 3-1 3.1 Atmospheric Environment 3-1 3.1.1 Database 3-1 3.1.2 Air Masses and Circulation Patterns 3-6 3.1.3 Climatic Controls and Variations 3-11 3.1.4 Regional Climatology 3-13 3.1.5 Severe Conditions 3-22 3.2 Oceanic Environment 3-37 3.2.1 Database 3-37 3.2.2 Bathymetry 3-40 3.2.3 Water Masses 3-42 3.2.4 Ocean Currents 3-60 3.2.5 Tides and Other Short-Term Sea-Level Variations 3-81 3.2.6 Oceanic Fronts 3-84 3.2.7 Upwelling Areas 3-84 3.2.8 Wave Climate 3-88 3.3 Sea Ice and Icebergs 3-111 3.3.1 Database 3-111 3.3.2 Sea Ice 3-113 3.3.3 Icebergs 3-135 3.4 Geology 3-157 3.4.1 Bedrock Geology 3-157 3.4.2 Physiography and Surficial Sediments 3-163 3.4.3 Hydrocarbon Occurrence and Production 3-166 3.4.4 Seismicity 3-166 3.5 Shoreline Environment 3-172 3.5.1 Coastal Geomorphology 3-172 3.5.2 Hydrology, Oceanography and Ice 3-173 3.6 Chemical Environment 3-176 3.6.1 Water Quality 3-176 3.6.2 Marine Sediment Chemistry 3-179

Tables

3.1-1 Expected Extreme Wind Speeds at Terra Nova 3-24 3.1-2 Occurrence of Restricted Ceiling Height Based on Rig Data 3-31 3.1-3 Occurrence of Restricted Ceiling Height Based on Ship Data 3-32 3.1-4 Occurrence of Freezing Precipitation 3-35

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3.1-5 Computed Extreme Values for Superstructure Icing at Terra Nova 3-35 3.2-1 Satellite-Based Remote Sensors 3-40 3.2-2 Monthly Temperature and Salinity Statistics from Historical Bottle Data in the Terra Nova Area, Surface, 1900-1987 3-56 3.2-3 Monthly Temperature and Salinity Statistics from Historical Bottle Data in the Terra Nova Area, 20 m Depth, 1900-1987 3-57 3.2-4 Monthly Temperature and Salinity Statistics from Historical Bottle Data in the Terra Nova Area, 50 m Depth, 1900-1987 3-58 3.2-5 Monthly Temperature and Salinity Statistics from Historical Bottle Data in the Terra Nova Area, Within 10 m of Bottom, 1900-1987 3-59 3.2-6 Summary of Moored Current Meter Data Sets Available for Terra Nova and the Immediate Vicinity 3-62 3.2-7 Extreme Currents at Terra Nova Computed for Various Return Periods 3-79 3.2-8 Significant Wave Height Versus Peak Period at Terra Nova, 1980 to 1988 and 1990 Observations 3-94 3.2-9 Joint Distribution of Wave Height and Wind Direction at Terra Nova, 1980 to 1986 3-95 3.2-10 Wave Height Persistence for Terra Nova, February, 1980 to 1986 3-96 3.2-11 Wave Height Persistence for Terra Nova, May, 1980 to 1986 3-97 3.2-12 Wave Height Persistence for Terra Nova, August, 1980 to 1986 3-98 3.2-13 Wave Height Persistence for Terra Nova, November, 1980 to 1986 3-99 3.2-14 Wave Groupiness Factor for Significant Wave Height Classes 3-103 3.2-15 Extreme Significant Wave Height and Associated Periods for Terra Nova 3-105 3.3-1 Characterization of Sea Ice by Type, Thickness and Age 3-115 3.3-2 Descriptive Statistics for Iceberg Scour at Terra Nova 3-154 3.4-1 Geological Timetable 3-160 3.4-2 Lithology of Pre-Mesozoic Basement Rocks of the Study Area 3-161 3.4-3 Stratigraphy of Surficial Sediments Overlying Tertiary Bedrock 3-165 3.6-1 Trace Metal Concentrations in Grand Banks and the Gulf of St. Lawrence Seawater 3-176 3.6-2 Concentrations of Organic Compound Residues in Marine Sediments 3-179 3.6-3 Trace Metals in Marine Sediments in Eastern Canada 3-181

Figures

3.1 Environmental Study Area 3-2 3.1-1 Climatological Database Area 3-5 3.1-2 Mean Sea-Level Pressures 3-7

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3.1-3 NAO Index Anomaly and Northwesterly Winds 3-8 3.1-4 Areal Distribution of Cyclonic Activity - Number of Events and Genesis 3-10 3.1-5 Flow Field Within a Split-Frontal System Storm 3-12 3.1-6 Monthly Air Temperatures 3-14 3.1-7 Weekly Air Temperatures 3-15 3.1-8 Mean Monthly Precipitation, St. John's 3-16 3.1-9 Maximum Daily Precipitation, St. John's 3-18 3.1-10 Monthly Occurrence of Precipitation 3-19 3.1-11 Seasonal Wind Roses 3-20 3.1-12 Average Monthly Wind Speeds, St. John's and Terra Nova 3-21 3.1-13 Maximum Monthly Wind Speeds 3-23 3.1-14 Average Number of Days with Fog, St. John's 3-25 3.1-15 Visibility Statistics from Ship Data 3-26 3.1-16 Visibility Statistics from Drilling Rigs 3-27 3.1-17 Ceiling Statistics from Drilling Rigs 3-29 3.1-18 Limited Flying Weather Statistics 3-30 3.1-19 Superstructure Icing 3-34 3.2-1 Bathymetric Chart of the Grand Banks 3-41 3.2-2 Bathymetric Chart of the Terra Nova Area 3-43 3.2-3 Location and Distribution - Temperature and Salinity Measurements 3-45 3.2-4 Distribution of Water Masses in the Area 3-46 3.2-5 Average Distribution of Temperature and Salinity 3-48 3.2-6 Contours of Temperature, Salinity and Dissolved Oxygen 3-49 3.2-7 Average Annual Temperature, Salinity and Sigma-T, Station 27 3-51 3.2-8 Temperature and Salinity Values for all Years, Central Grand Banks Region 3-52 3.2-9 Temperature Profiles Based on Monthly Means, Terra Nova Area 3-54 3.2-10 Time Series of Temperature and Salinity Anomalies, Station 27 3-55 3.2-11 Time Series of the Summer Cold Intermediate Layer Parameters 3-61 3.2-12 Location of Long-Term Current Meter Mooring Data 3-64 3.2-13 Tracks of 144 Drifting Buoys 3-65 3.2-14 Major Ocean Circulation Features 3-67 3.2-15 Computed Currents From Drifting Buoy Data 3-69 3.2-16 Comparison of Mean Velocity Vectors 3-71 3.2-17 Model-Derived Depth-Averaged Currents 3-72 3.2-18 Model-Derived Summer Currents 3-73 3.2-19 Composite Map of Mean Near-Surface Currents 3-74 3.2-20 Selected Drifting Buoy Tracks Showing Eddies and Meanders 3-76 3.2-21 Inertial Oscillations in Currents 3-78 3.2-22 Vertical Distribution of North-South Current Components 3-80 3.2-23 Cotidal Charts for Newfoundland Waters 3-82 3.2-24 Locations of Bottom-Pressure Moorings 3-83 3.2-25 Eastern and Western Boundaries of the Labrador Current 3-85

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3.2-26 Northern Boundary of the Gulf Stream 3-86 3.2-27 SAR Features Merged with Sea Surface Temperature and Wind Data 3-87 3.2-28 Distribution of WRIPS and WAVEC Buoy Data 3-90 3.2-29 Percent Exceedance of Significant Wave Height by Season 3-92 3.2-30 Distribution of Peak Periods by Season 3-93 3.2-31 Directional Wave Spectra 3-101 3.2-32 Sea Surface Elevations of the Wave Record, Largest Individual Wave 3-102 3.2-33 Seasonal Variability of Storms 3-106 3.2-34 Distribution of Storm Wave Heights 3-107 3.2-35 Interannual Variability of Storms 3-108 3.3-1 Average Composition and Total Concentration of Sea Ice 3-114 3.3-2 Median and Maximum Sea-Ice Limits, Week of January 15, 1959-1995 3-117 3.3-3 Median and Maximum Sea-Ice Limits, Week of February 12, 1959-1995 3-118 3.3-4 Median and Maximum Sea-Ice Limits, Week of March 19, 1959-1995 3-119 3.3-5 Median and Maximum Sea-Ice Limits, Week of April 16, 1959-1995 3-120 3.3-6 Median and Maximum Sea-Ice Limits, Week of May 14, 1959-1995 3-121 3.3-7 Median and Maximum Sea-Ice Limits, Week of June 4, 1959-1995 3-122 3.3-8 Spatial Extent of Sea Ice 3-123 3.3-9 Occurrence of Sea Ice 3-124 3.3-10 Percentage Distribution of All Ice 3-126 3.3-11 Mean Ice Velocity (Derivation Imagery) Satellite 3-127 3.3-12 Percent Exceedance of Mean Daily Drift Speed and Distribution of Draft Directionality 3-128 3.3-13 Average Ice Thickness in 1° Grid Centred on Terra Nova 3-131 3.3-14 Estimate of Average Occurrence Probabilities - Ice Thickness 3-132 3.3-15 Sea Ice Deformation Type 3-134 3.3-16 Iceberg Circulation 3-136 3.3-17 Annual Counts of Iceberg Crossings at 48°N 3-138 3.3-18 Annual Counts of Icebergs South of 48°N Versus South Labrador - Newfoundland Ice Extent 3-139 3.3-19 Iceberg Speed Exceedance and Velocity Direction Distributions 3-140 3.3-20 Observed and Modelled Hourly Iceberg Positions 3-141 3.3-21 Number of Icebergs Crossing 48°N by Month 3-143 3.3-22 Annual Number of Iceberg Sightings in the Terra Nova 1° Grid 3-145 3.3-23 Maximum and Mean Annual Numbers of Icebergs Observed 3-146 3.3-24 Exceedance for Waterline Lengths for On-Shelf and Off-Shelf Icebergs 3-148 3.3-25 Exceedance for Iceberg Draft On-Shelf and Off-Shelf Areas 3-149 3.3-26 Exceedance for Iceberg Sail Height 3-150 3.3-27 Exceedance for Iceberg Mass 3-151 3.3-28 Contours of Observed Scour Areal Densities 3-155 3.4-1 Sedimentary Basins Offshore Eastern Canada 3-158 3.4-2 Bedrock Geology Map 3-159 3.4-3 Time Stratigraphic Section of the Jeanne d'Arc Basin 3-162 3.4-4 Hydrocarbon Traps Recognized on the Grand Banks 3-167

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3.4-5 Fault Structures of the Jeanne d'Arc Basin 3-168 3.4-6 Seismotectonic Setting of the Grand Banks 3-169 3.4-7 Earthquake Epicenters and Magnitudes 3-171 3.5-1 Major Drainage Basins 3-174

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3. Physical Environmental Setting

This chapter of the Terra Nova Environmental Impact Statement describes the physical and chemical environment of the Grand Banks, with emphasis on the area for the Terra Nova Development.

The physical environment, particularly the atmospheric, oceanic, and ice regimes, is discussed in detail because of its importance to operational and environmental risk issues. In addition, the physical databases are most extensive.

The Hibernia Environmental Impact Statement (Mobil, 1985), which was based upon studies in the early 1980s and earlier, has provided the foundation information for this document. This information has been updated with all new information available. The study area in the following subsections is identical to that described in Mobil (1985). Figure 3-1 shows the study area.

3.1 Atmospheric Environment

3.1.1 Database

Routine recording of climatological data at Newfoundland land stations began over 120 years ago with the establishment of weather stations at St. John's and Bell Island. Several additional weather stations were established in the 1930s and 1940s because of the need for better meteorological data and forecasts to support aviation. Other stations were added from the 1950s to the early 1970s. In 1990, 41 weather stations were in operation in Newfoundland, from which at least 20 years of data were available. Ten of these weather stations were providing complete synoptic and hourly measurements of temperature, precipitation, sunshine, moisture and winds, and subsets of these measurements were being collected at the other stations.

Weather measurements from ships operating on the high seas have been collected for many decades. Ship-based measurements are subject to biases in that ships tend to avoid severe weather conditions, if possible, and follow established shipping routes. Nevertheless, the availability of direct measurements far offshore is invaluable for climatological descriptions and studies. Over the past 20 years, the national weather services of the U.S. and Canada have developed and implemented archival and display systems for ship-based observations.

An important addition to the climatological database for the Northeast Grand Banks are the synoptic marine weather observations collected at three-hour intervals from offshore drilling rigs. Compilations of these marine weather observations from the Hibernia region and adjoining areas were presented by Mobil (1985) for the period 1975 to 1983. From 1984 to 1991, marine weather observations were also collected at

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3-1

the Terra Nova and adjoining wellsite areas. These data have been incorporated into Petro-Canada's Terra Nova Environmental Database.

The major climatological databases used in this report are:

1. Archives of Canadian Climatological Data. Regional climatological data sets for Atlantic Canada are available from the Atmospheric Environment Service (AES) of Environment Canada, at AES, Atlantic Weather Centre, Bedford, Nova Scotia and at AES national headquarters in Downsview, Ontario. This database includes hourly weather, rainfall, temperature, sunshine solar radiation, soil temperature, pan evaporation, wind speed and direction. Data sets are available for land stations through to early 1995.

2. Marine Climatological Data - Hydrometeorology and Marine Division, Canadian Climate Centre, AES, Downsview, Ontario. The extent of climatological data from the Canadian Climate Centre depends on each individual data set; some start in the early 1800s. The data sets are updated approximately every five years; the most recent update includes data from the late 1980s. This database includes waves, winds, ice cover, air and water temperature, air pressure, storm tracks, and present weather codes. For data collected up to the mid-1980s, the marine climatological summaries were obtained through the MAST (Marine Statistics) system, which provided summaries of marine and coastal station meteorological reports.

3. Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set (COADS). The COADS database is archived at AES Downsview, Ontario (1957-1988) and at the U.S. Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (PMEL), Seattle, Washington. This is a worldwide database for marine climatic and oceanographic data and is up to date. Unfortunately, some Canadian marine observations have not been included in this database since late 1988. The range of output parameters readily accessible for data collected since the late 1980s (through PMEL) are limited to monthly means.

4. Petro-Canada's Terra Nova Environmental Database. Petro-Canada's Wellsite Environmental Database consists of data collected by the oil industry and government agencies operating in and passing through the Terra Nova region. It includes observations of air temperatures, wind speed, wind direction, atmospheric pressure and visibility. Historical observations dating back to 1868 from ships of opportunity have also been included.

Caution is necessary when comparing data from land, ship and well sites. While the ship-based data spans many years, the sampling effort varies considerably with the year,

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3-3 and the quality of data varies with the type of measuring instrument and the level of personnel training. By contrast, the sampling effort at land and rig stations is more uniform over time. Land station data sets typically span 30 years or more and rig station data sets span just over 10 years. Also, both the instrumentation and personnel training at land and rig stations are governed by standards set by AES.

As well, the standard measurement level varies with data type. At land stations, the measurements are obtained at the standard 10 m level. Ship- and rig-based measurements of winds are usually obtained at higher elevations, usually 20 and 80 m, respectively; they are then corrected to a height of 19.5 m above mean sea level using the marine boundary layer approach (Cardonne, 1978).

Figure 3.1-1 shows the areas encompassed by each of the climatological databases used in this document. The two coastal stations are St. John's, Newfoundland and Cartwright, Labrador, just north of the upper end of the map.

An important part of the information base on atmospheric sciences are the research programs conducted over the past decade on major East Coast storms. These programs include the:

- Canadian Atlantic Storms Program (CASP), Phase I in 1986 (Stewart, 1991)

- CASP, Phase II in 1992 (Smith et al., 1994; Hudak et al., 1995; Stewart et al., in press)

- Genesis of Atlantic Lows Experiment (GALE) in 1986 (Dirks et al., 1988)

- Experiment on Rapidly Intensifying Cyclones over the Atlantic (ERICA) in 1989 (Halock and Kreitzber, 1988)

In all these programs, extensive field experiments were conducted. Based on the analyses of the field data, combined with numerical modelling studies, descriptions of key attributes of East Coast storms (severe wind shear, precipitation types, and severe icing) have improved and the physical processes and controlling factors for the major storms are better understood. As understanding increases, operational forecasting is improved, including recent upgrades to the Canadian Meteorological Centres Regional Finite Element (RFE) operational weather prediction model (Mailhot et al., 1995).

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3-4

3.1.2 Air Masses and Circulation Patterns

Pressure and Circulation Patterns

The overall atmospheric circulation of the study region can be characterized by the large-scale seasonal distribution of sea-level pressure (Figure 3.1-2). In the fall and winter, low pressures occur in the northernmost portions of the North Atlantic (Icelandic Low) and high pressures occur over a broad region of the tropical portions of the North (the Azores High). The difference in winter sea-level air pressure between the Azores High and Icelandic Low, known as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) (Rogers, 1984), is a convenient index representing the strength of the winter circulation over the northern portion of the North Atlantic Ocean.

A strong mean airflow occurs from west to east across the North Atlantic Ocean at mid-latitudes, as indicated by a band of closely spaced pressure contours (isobars) extending from the Canadian East Coast to the United Kingdom. The Icelandic Low weakens in the spring, and by summer it no longer appears as a distinct feature in the mean surface pressure maps. This is a reflection of the less frequent and less intense storms occurring during spring and summer.

Over the past 25 years, the NAO index has exhibited strong positive anomalies in the early 1970s, mid-1980s and early 1990s. This indicates above normal occurrences of stronger than normal cyclonic weather disturbances over the Northwest Atlantic Ocean (Figure 3.1-3). The positive NAO anomalies coincide with more frequent northwesterly winds during the early 1970s and early 1990s, with a less pronounced increase in the mid-1980s (Colbourne et al., 1994). The more frequent northwesterly winds are associated with colder air and ocean temperatures, and more sea ice in the study area.

Air Masses and Fronts

The climate of the Terra Nova study area is very dynamic, being largely governed by the influence of the weather systems passing through the area. These weather systems are often intense, and include strong winds and a wide range of precipitation types, particularly in the fall and winter.

The passing storms, and other weather systems, can be characterized by the airmass type associated with the weather systems. Maritime air mass is present most of the time, occurring as generally cool and moist conditions. At times, arctic air (originating over the northern continental regions of North America, Greenland and the Arctic Ocean) will reach the study area in a modified form. This results in relatively cold and dry winters, and cool and moist summers. In winter, arctic air moving from the northwest is rapidly warmed by the relatively warm ocean temperatures, producing low temperatures, variable cloudiness and snow squalls in the study area. Tropical air

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3-6

masses, characterized by warm and humid conditions originating in the Gulf of Mexico and mid-Atlantic areas, also influence the study area, although they occur there only in a highly modified form. Surface conditions include low clouds, fog and drizzle, all of which reduce visibility.

Different air masses are often associated with moving weather systems. The air masses are separated by fronts, occurring as strong gradients in temperature, moisture and winds conditions. Fronts generally represent the most variable and intense weather elements of passing storms. In frontal areas, the weather systems are most rapidly modified and intensified.

Storms

Newfoundland and its adjoining waters have a well-deserved reputation as one of the stormiest parts of North America. Many of the storms that traverse North America from west to east at mid-latitudes pass near Newfoundland and the Terra Nova area as they move out into the North Atlantic. As shown in Figure 3.1-4, the area just to the south of Newfoundland is the most active area of cyclonic activity in North America and the adjoining oceans (Zishka and Smith, 1980). Another favoured track for storm movements is located just to north of Newfoundland, along the north shore of the St. Lawrence River extending through Southern Labrador. In summer (July), cyclonic activity is much decreased in the area south of Newfoundland, but is just as frequent in the southern Quebec and Labrador region (Piccolo and El-Sabh, 1993).

Winter cyclones are considerably more intense and frequent than those in the summer. The associated winds reach gale force several times in a typical year, and sometimes attain hurricane force. Winter storms generally produce snow, ice pellets or freezing precipitation, near or below a surface temperature of 0°C, although many also contain regions where rain reaches the surface. Winds, precipitation and superstructure icing are discussed in more detail below.

Formation of cyclones ("cyclogenesis") tends to be concentrated in fairly distinct areas (Figure 3.1-4), primarily the lee-side of major mountain ranges such as the Rocky and Appalachian ranges, and east coastal regions. On the East Coast, there are particularly high levels of activity off the northeastern coast of the United States.

The cyclonic activity in winter and spring is always caused by storms originating at comparable latitudes to those of the Terra Nova region. Such storms are known as "extra-tropical" cyclones. In late summer and fall, tropical storms, sometimes reaching hurricane status, that originate in equatorial regions and develop in the Caribbean, can bring windy, wet weather as they pass within 300 km of Newfoundland. Such storms usually greatly diminish in strength as they move far from the warm-water sources that provide their energy.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3-9

Over a period of 35 years, an average of one tropical storm per year has passed within 300 km of Newfoundland (Phillips, 1990). There are rare occurrences when violent tropical storms approach Newfoundland, such as in 1978 when Hurricane Ella passed south of Cape Race producing winds of more than 117 km/h in St. John's. More recently, on September 10 and 11, 1995, Hurricane Luis travelled northeastward directly over southeastern Newfoundland with wind speeds of 83 km/h (one-minute mean) gusting to 111 km/h (Bigio, 1995).

3.1.3 Climatic Controls and Variations

The most common Canadian East Coast winter storms, the extra-tropical cyclones, are complex systems characterized by cold and warm fronts that can exhibit a wide range of surface manifestations along with precipitation bands that vary considerably among the various storms. A typical East Coast storm (Figure 3.1-5) can be described as a split-frontal system with the upper cold front oriented parallel to but generally moving faster than the surface cold front (Stewart and MacPherson, 1989).

A great deal of effort has been directed at understanding the explosive deepening of extra-tropical cyclones through atmospheric research programs conducted within the past decade (CASP-I and II, GALE and ERICA). This most intense form of extra-tropical cyclones is a rapid (greater than 0.1 kPa/h) and sustained fall of the central pressure of a winter storm, which results in greatly intensified winds often with increased precipitation (Sanders and Gyakum, 1980; Kuo et al., 1991).

In the Atlantic Canada region, such storms occur about once per week (Stewart et al., 1995b). Recent research shows the cause of the rapid decrease in pressure as strong, large-scale, vertical gradients in the atmosphere ("baroclinic" conditions) associated with strong, upper-layer forcing or tropopause folding. Low-pressure centres located over a very warm ocean surface, such as the Gulf Stream, can induce very intense convection because of:

- The large surface moisture and heat fluxes from the ocean to the atmosphere

- Low-pressure centres over land, sea ice or cold water, where the forcing from above in the atmosphere is sufficient to rapidly deepen a storm

Over the past decade, much has been learned about the processes occurring within storms through the CASP-I and II, GALE and ERICA research programs. As well as leading to better understanding of the physical processes, these ongoing research programs are inducing improvements in observational and forecasting skills (Stewart, 1991).

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3-11

In particular, forecasting of intense winter storms arising from explosive deepening is being improved by the early identification of such storms from surface observations, remote sensing by satellite, and numerical weather models (Mailhot and Chouinard, 1989; Mailhot et al., 1995).

However, further improvements in the operational forecasting of severe weather are needed. For example, spatially detailed wind fields in severe storms are needed to better forecast extreme waves (Desjardins, 1995). Research and development activities addressing these requirements are underway at the RPN division of AES (Mailhot, 1995, pers. comm.) and further improvements, including higher resolution wind field forecasts, are anticipated soon.

3.1.4 Regional Climatology

Temperature

The annual mean daily temperatures in the Terra Nova area and at St. John's are 5.0°C and 4.7°C, respectively. February is the coldest month and August is the warmest month both onshore and offshore (Figure 3.1-6). Daily maxima are lower and minima are higher offshore (except from November to January) because of the greater influence of the ocean at the offshore location. In particular, the Terra Nova area is located nearer the warm waters of the Gulf Stream and further from the continental air masses, which are comparatively cold in winter and warm in summer. The lowest recorded temperature in the Terra Nova area is -17.3°C and the highest is 26.8°C. The comparable values for St. John's are -23.8°C and 31.5°C. The extreme values of air temperature in the Terra Nova area are derived from observations taken by passing ships since 1856; the accuracy of any individual measurement is difficult to assess.

Three cold periods have occurred over the past 25 years at coastal stations along the eastern Newfoundland and Labrador shelves (Figure 3.1-7). These periods were in the early 1970s, the mid-1980s and the early 1990s. The negative air temperature anomalies of the third event began in the late 1980s and have continued through 1994, making this period the longest cold period in the latter half of this century.

Precipitation

As part of its wet, mild climate, southeast Newfoundland receives annual precipitation of over 1000 mm. This makes this region the wettest area in Eastern Canada. Total precipitation in St. John's is 1482 mm per year on average, with 78 percent of this falling as rain and the remainder as snow. Rain occurs throughout the year (Figure 3.1- 8), and is reported an average of 161 days each year. Snowfall has been reported in St. John's in all months except July and August, but 95 percent of the total annual snowfall occurs from November to April. Throughout the year, snowfall is reported 87 days on

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3-13

average, with measurable snowfall occurring on about half of the days from December to March.

The monthly extremes for precipitation at St. John's are uniformly high throughout the year (Figure 3.1-9), with maximum daily rainfalls exceeding 50 mm having occurred in every month. The largest one-day rainfall of 121.2 mm occurred on October 4, 1942. Daily snowfalls of 25 cm or more have been reported for all months from November to May, with the maximum total snowfall in one day of 54.9 cm occurring on February 15, 1959.

Precipitation measurements available for the Terra Nova study area do not include volumetric data on precipitation. However, data on the occurrence of precipitation are available from ship reports collected since 1856, and from the offshore oil rigs operating in the area since 1972.

According to rig observations between 1972 and 1985 (Figure 3.1-10) the occurrence of precipitation in the Terra Nova study area is lowest in July (12 percent) and highest in January (42 percent). Rainfall is most likely in autumn, with moderate to heavy rainfall occurring most frequently from September to January, when average occurrence levels exceed 3.5 percent. Snowfall is seasonal, with the earliest important occurrences being observed in November and December. Snow is most likely to occur in January through March. Moderate to heavy snowfall is most likely to occur in January and February, with mean occurrences of 2.4 and 3.3 percent, respectively.

Wind

Wind is a very important attribute of the weather for planning and conducting offshore operations, primarily because it generates waves and currents. Wind data in the Terra Nova area has been collected from offshore drilling platforms since 1972, and from observations from passing ships dating back for over 100 years. A strong annual cycle is evident in both wind direction and speed. In winter, spring and fall, the dominant winds are from the westerly quadrant, while in summer the dominant wind direction is the southwesterly quadrant (Figure 3.1-11). Wind speeds are much lower in summer compared to winter. Winds of gale force or greater (greater than 61 km/h) are observed in 22 percent of the January observations, 11 percent of the October observations, 9 percent of the April observations and only 3 percent of the July observations.

The average monthly wind speeds in the Terra Nova area and at St. John's are greatest in the fall and winter and lowest in the summer (Figure 3.1-12). Terra Nova monthly mean wind speeds are higher than those measured at St. John's in all months. The overall annual mean wind speed in the Terra Nova area is 35 km/h as compared to 24 km/h at St. John's. The higher winds at Terra Nova arise, in part, because measurements are taken at higher levels above the surface (typically 80 m above sea

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3-17

level from drilling rigs and 20 m above sea level from passing ships as compared to the standard 10 m measurement height at the St. John's weather station). When allowances are made for comparing the onshore and offshore winds at a common measurement elevation, the winds at the offshore Terra Nova location are still larger than those onshore, although the difference is reduced.

Winds vary over distances that are small (a few to several kilometres) relative to the scale size of the passing storms generally associated with strong winds. This variability in the winds, called mesoscale variability, has been studied over the northern Grand Banks in the recent CASP II project (discussed in more general terms in Section 3.1.3). Strong lateral variations were observed in the wind fields over the ocean, and some of the wind gradients were associated with changes in surface conditions such as the presence of ice edges (Smith and MacPherson, 1996). Improved understanding of the mesoscale variability within the surface wind field, from CASP II and other studies, is leading to ongoing improvements in high spatial resolution of wind fields from operational weather forecasting services (Mailhot et al., 1995) These improvements are particularly important for forecasting of ocean waves generated by intense storm systems. Ocean wave models, as discussed in Section 3.2.8, require inputs adequate to resolve fronts and rapidly evolving jet streak features (Graber et al., 1995).

3.1.5 Severe Conditions

Winds

The maximum hourly wind speeds (as measured from a one-minute average at hourly intervals at 80 m elevation) are also higher at Terra Nova than at St. John's with the largest value at both locations being measured in February (145 km/h at Terra Nova- Hibernia and 140 km/h at St. John's) (Figure 3.1-13) . Even larger winds have been reported from ship observations dating back to 1856 in the Terra-Nova area, with the largest value of 175 km/h being reported in January. The ship-based observations, especially those from long ago, are less reliable.

The estimated extreme values of wind speed in the Terra Nova area for various recurrence intervals and at the 80 m level elevation are given in Table 3.1-1 (Seaconsult, 1988). The results for the 10-year and 25-year recurrence intervals for one-minute means agree reasonably well with the observed maximum winds in the Terra Nova/Hibernia area (maximum measured wind speed of 145 km/h over an 11- year period). Computation of the vertical wind profiles and wind gust values make use of the standard Det Norske Veritas (1977) tabulated values. The corresponding extremal value results for the standard 10 m level are (for various return periods): 91 km/h (1 year), 102 km/h (10 years), 106 km/h (25 years), 109 km/h (50 years) and 113 km/h (100 years) for the 1 hour mean measurement values. The expected 100-year return period values at the standard 10 m elevation for mean gusts (at various

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3-22

durations) are: 119 km/h (10 minute mean values), 133 km/h (1 minute means), 143 km/h (15 second means) and 150 km/h (3 second means). The Det Norske Veritas (1977) gust factors, as applied in the Seaconsult (1988) analyses reported here, appear to be generally consistent with more recent studies of over-water gust factors of Smith and Chandler (1987) derived from extended wind turbulence measurements collected off the coast of Nova Scotia. More recently, Brown and Swail (1991) have evaluated different models of gust factors using extensive over-water data sets collected at various locations, including those of Smith and Chandler (1987).

Table 3.1-1

Expected Extreme Wind Speeds at Terra Nova (km/h)

Recurrence Interval 1-Hour 10-Minute 1-Minute 15-Second 3-Second (a) Mean Mean Mean Gust Gust

1 124 126 135 143 148 10 139 141 152 159 167 25 144 146 157 167 172 50 148 150 161 170 178 100 154 156 168 176 183

Visibility

The waters off the Avalon Peninsula and the Grand Banks are noted for frequent fog. Fog develops when warm, humid air from the south contacts the cold, sometimes ice-infested waters influenced by the cold Labrador Current. Fog occurs in all seasons, but most frequently in spring and summer, when the air temperatures are warming after winter (typically 5 to 15°C, while the sea surface temperatures remain near 0°C). The fogs are often accompanied by moderate to strong winds. In other seasons and at other places, fog disperses under strong winds, but here the fog is sufficiently dense and widespread that winds have little clearing effect (Phillips, 1990). The mean number of days with fog at St. John's (Figure 3.1-14) are at a pronounced maximum from April to July.

The monthly frequencies of various visibilities are shown in Figures 3.1-15 and 3.1-16 for ship data and for drilling platform data, respectively. Ship data are taken in the lower 10 m of the atmosphere, while the drilling rig data are taken at 20 to 30 m elevation above the sea. Fog occurs frequently from May to July.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3-24

In July, the foggiest month, visibility is reduced to less than 1 km 52 percent of the time. By contrast, from September through March, visibility is reduced to less than 1 km 7 to 15 percent of the time. In the spring and summer fog is thick on the Grand Banks, and most fog severely restricts visibility (Seaconsult, 1988).

The persistence of low visibility events, derived from only the drilling-rig data from 1972 to 1985, also is seasonal. Severely restricted visibilities (< 0.9 km) lasted longer than 48 hours only 2.2 percent in January and 13.3 percent in July, the foggiest month. In July, 4.7 percent of the events exceeded 96 hours in duration.

Ceiling Height

Ceiling height, the height of the lowest cloud layer when cloud cover is more than one half of the sky, is also an important meteorological variable affecting aircraft movements to and from offshore drilling platforms. The seasonal pattern of low ceiling occurrence (Figure 3.1-17) is similar to that of restricted visibility.

The lowest ceiling class (0 to 49 m) occurs 53.1 percent in July (Tables 3.1-2 and 3.1- 3) based on rig data and 50.2 percent, based on ship data. In contrast, in winter (October to March) the lowest ceiling classes occur routinely less than 20 percent of the time in both rig and ship analyses. Duration or persistence statistics for ceiling are very similar to those of restricted visibility (Seaconsult, 1988).

"Flying weather" statistics can be derived from a combination of limited visibility and limited ceiling statistics. The mean monthly occurrences of the two categories "severe" and "restricted" flying weather are shown in Figure 3.1-18. The effect of the fog season on flight operations is clearly evident in the severe (i.e., most restrictive) category. In July, severe flying weather occurs more than 50 percent of the time while from September to January it occurs less that 17 percent of the time. In February to June and August, severe weather occurs at intermediate levels of 21 to 40 percent.

Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms develop under unstable atmospheric conditions, and are caused by heating of the air column by the underlying surface. Thunderstorms are not common, especially in fall, winter and spring because of the generally cool regional climate. On average, fewer than one thunderstorm per month occurs at St. John's, except for July and August, when one thunderstorm per month occurs (Environment Canada, 1993). The occurrence of thunderstorms over the Northeast Grand Banks is even lower (Mobil, 1985).

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Table 3.1-2

Occurrence of Restricted Ceiling Height Based on Rig Data

Ceiling Height (m) Month 0-49 50-99 100- 200- 300-599 600- 1000- 1500- 2000- >2500 Number of 199 299 999 1499 1999 2499 Observations January 14.7 0.4 4.4 7.5 35.4 13.9 0.6 1.5 2.5 19.1 4565 February 21.2 0.4 5.7 8.1 32.7 9.1 1.2 0.6 3.2 17.8 2486 March 19.1 0.4 4.8 7.9 24.3 12.3 1.5 1.1 3.5 25.2 2711 April 27.2 0.9 4.2 6.7 17.9 8.6 1.1 1.2 3.7 28.5 3259 May 31.4 1.8 7.4 7.6 14.2 5.8 0.9 1.1 4.1 25.7 4216 June 35.7 2.2 9.0 7.3 13.1 4.7 0.8 0.9 2.4 23.9 4205 July 50.2 1.5 6.0 4.0 9.2 3.3 0.9 0.8 2.4 21.8 4572 August 22.8 1.4 8.0 8.6 17.5 6.6 0.8 0.7 2.4 31.2 4714 September 12.9 1.7 8.2 7.5 17.9 7.5 1.0 0.9 3.5 38.9 4543 October 8.6 1.2 5.4 8.2 26.8 14.3 1.3 0.9 3.6 29.6 4538 November 13.6 0.9 4.7 7.4 32.5 12.3 0.6 0.8 1.6 25.6 5049 December 13.3 0.9 4.2 6.6 39.5 12.1 0.8 0.8 2.0 19.7 5441

Note: Data from 1972 to 1985.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3-31 Table 3.1-3

Occurrence of Restricted Ceiling Height Based on Ship Data

Ceiling Height (m) Month 0-49 50-99 100- 200- 300-599 600- 1000- 1500- 2000- >2500 Number of 199 299 999 1499 1999 2499 Observations January 10.7 0.9 4.9 15.9 27.0 10.9 3.7 1.5 0.9 24.6 1053 February 10.4 0.8 3.7 15.6 26.7 11.9 2.7 1.1 0.5 26.6 1045 March 14.0 0.7 4.9 10.3 21.8 12.4 3.8 1.1 0.4 30.7 1007 April 20.5 0.7 3.5 9.9 15.8 10.0 2.5 1.2 0.8 25.1 1215 May 30.6 1.0 4.2 9.6 12.9 8.5 2.8 1.3 1.1 28.1 1601 June 40.0 0.7 3.0 6.6 10.4 6.9 3.1 0.6 0.6 28.2 1066 July 53.1 1.5 2.4 5.2 9.4 5.9 0.9 0.3 0.4 20.9 1099 August 28.4 0.7 3.1 7.3 13.2 11.6 1.9 0.8 1.0 31.9 1177 September 16.1 0.8 4.0 9.3 13.7 11.6 2.0 0.4 0.8 41.2 1167 October 15.5 1.4 4.7 10.6 18.9 9.9 2.1 0.4 1.0 35.4 1103 November 13.8 0.8 5.0 12.4 21.7 11.8 2.7 0.8 1.0 29.9 1072 December 14.6 0.4 3.5 13.9 22.0 12.4 4.6 1.3 0.5 26.7 1216

Note: Data from 1886 to 1979. Even in July and August, the months in which thunderstorms are most likely to occur, only four were observed at Hibernia during July for the five-year period 1979 to 1983, and only two were observed during August.

Freezing Precipitation

Freezing precipitation occurs when rain or drizzle falls through a layer of cold air, causing it to freeze on impact with a surface. Freezing precipitation is common in winters in Newfoundland. At St. John's, freezing precipitation occurs most often in March, but is nearly as likely to occur from January to April (Table 3.1-4). In the Terra Nova-Hibernia region, freezing precipitation is also most likely to occur in the winter months, December to March. However, the historical data (1868 to 1981) derived from ship observations indicate the frequency of freezing precipitation is only 0.2 to 0.4 percent for December to March, considerably lower than the corresponding values for St. John's of 4 to 5 percent (Mobil, 1985).

Superstructure and Spray Icing

Offshore operations off Newfoundland can be disrupted by accumulations of ice on superstructures of vessels and production platforms. Such accumulations interfere with equipment functioning and pose safety hazards to personnel through potential falls and, in the case of extreme accumulations, by affecting vessel stability.

Offshore icing can occur in two ways. In the first, condensation freezes on the superstructures being cooled by cold air moving seaward over marine areas. Accumulations are strongly dependent on air temperature and wind speed, which control cooling rates, and on other factors such as the diameter of the cooled surfaces (Figure 3.1-19). The second way for offshore icing to occur is by instantaneous freezing of sea spray on superstructures. Such ice accumulations depend on sea state and height above mean sea level as well as wind speed and air temperature. Early documentation of icing characteristics in Canadian waters was provided by Brown and Agnew (1985) and Brown and Mitten (1988).

Quantitative estimates of extreme superstructure ice accumulations have been obtained (Seaconsult, 1988) using two different models (Lozowski et al., 1979 and Makkonen, 1984) in conjunction with a 30-year time series of meteorological data recorded at St. John's Torbay Airport. These models, which differ in their treatment of alternative glaze- and rime-ice deposition forms, produced significantly different estimates of accumulated thicknesses on a common 5 cm cylinder for standard return periods (Table 3.1-5).

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Table 3.1-4

Occurrence of Freezing Precipitation

Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

St. John's, Newfoundland

Days per month 7 7 9 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 with freezing precip.1 Percentage of 3.8 5.1 4.9 4.6 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 0.1 hourly obs. with freezing precipitation2

Terra Nova-Hibernia

No. of days with 5 22 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 freezing precip. observed3 Percentage of 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 synoptic obs. with freezing precipitation4

Sources: Climate Normals, 1961-1990 (Environment Canada, 1993). Transport Canada, 1953-1976 Hourly Data Summary (Mobil, 1985). Wellsite Data, 1979-1983 (Mobil, 1985). Environment Canada, 1868-1981 (Mobil, 1985).

Table 3.1-5

Computed Extreme Values for Superstructure Icing at Terra Nova

Glaze Ice Thickness Combined Glaze of Rime Ice Return Period TR (Lozowski's model) Thickness (Makkonen's model) (a) (mm) (mm) 10 56 72 25 72 113 50 84 141 100 95 169

Notes: 1. Values apply to a 5 cm diameter cylinder. 2. Ice thickness is interpreted as the maximum radial dimension accreted onto the cylinder. 3. Ice accretion is generally not symmetrical about the cylinder. This must be taken into account when loads are calculated.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 Unfortunately, neither of the models has been verified in any detail. Additional uncertainties were introduced by the use of terrestrial meteorological data to provide an adequate duration of data for meaningful estimates of return periods. Use of actual marine meteorological data would, largely because of the warmer air temperatures, produce lower accumulation estimates. Data are available (T. Yip, pers. comm.) which would allow extension of estimated accumulation rates to other curvatures and configurations.

Runs of an early spray ice model developed by Stallabrass (1979, 1980), using seven years of hydrometeorlogical data recorded on the Grand Banks estimated spray ice accumulations of 316 mm and 514 mm, respectively for 10- and 100-year return periods (Seaconsult, 1988). These estimates must be regarded as, at best, upper limits of corresponding extreme accumulation values, as the model tends to predict icing events that were not observed.

All available icing models have been evaluated (Brown and Horjen, 1989) for their ability to produce accumulation rates comparable to those observed (Brown and Roebber, 1985; Roebber and Mitten, 1987). Model refinements needed for reliable design load estimates were identified. Many of these refinements have been implemented in an enhanced version of the RIGICE superstructure icing model (Compusult, 1994), but its application to the offshore Newfoundland region is still required.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3.2 Oceanic Environment

3.2.1 Database

The oceanographic database for the study area consists of large quantities of ship-based measurements on water properties (temperature, salinity, dissolved oxygen and nutrients). The data collection started in the 19th century, with the first systematic oceanographic studies of the Grand Banks begun in 1913 by Matthews (1914). Coastal water level data extend back to the early part of this century. The databases on direct measurements of ocean currents, which are of key importance to the Terra Nova Development, are more limited in duration, as routine current meter and drifter trajectory data collection only became feasible in the early 1970s. Circulation estimates derived from water property data using the geostrophic method extend back to the 1920s (see Petrie and Anderson, 1983 for a review of the early ocean current data sets off the Newfoundland Shelf).

The key oceanographic databases are maintained by three Fisheries and Oceans agencies: Marine Environmental Data Services (MEDS) Branch in Ottawa, the Bedford Institute of Oceanography (BIO) in Dartmouth and the Northwest Atlantic Fisheries Centre (NAFC) in St. John's. Other important data sets are held by the Northwest Atlantic Fisheries Organization (NAFO) in Dartmouth and the departments of oceanography of both Dalhousie and Memorial universities.

Wave climate data are archived by MEDS. Scientific studies of wave climate are the responsibility of the AES of Environment Canada. As well, groups at BIO and the Canada Centre for Remote Sensing (CCRS), in collaboration with AES, are involved in scientific research on the development of improved wave monitoring and forecast systems.

Since the early 1980s, oceanographic research has focussed on new areas, including studies of the ice and ocean dynamics, and the use of numerical modelling for oceanographic research. Considerable funding has been provided by the Panel on Energy Research and Development (PERD) of the Government of Canada. Major programs supported, in part, by PERD funding include:

Labrador Ice Margin Experiment. The Labrador Ice Margin Experiment (LIMEX) was an ice and oceanographic study of the southern marginal ice zone of the Labrador pack ice at the time of its maximum advance in early spring (Tang and Manore, 1992). A pilot study was carried out in March 1987, followed by the main multi-disciplinary program conducted in March 1989. A followup study was conducted in March and April 1990.

Labrador Sea Extreme Waves Experiment. The Labrador Sea Extreme Waves Experiment (LEWEX) was an international effort to assess methods of measuring and modelling the directional properties of wind-generated ocean waves, especially their

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 evolution in the presence of rapidly changing wind directions (Beal, 1991). The main data-gathering period was in March 1987 off the northeast Newfoundland Shelf, northeast of the Grand Banks. Aircraft observations were carried out in conjunction with the LIMEX 1987 pilot study.

Grand Banks ERS-1 SAR Validation Experiment. The Grand Banks ERS-1 SAR Validation Experiment was an international research study to obtain a calibrated set of wave measurements in a high sea-state environment. This study:

- Assessed the accuracy of sensors aboard the European Space Agencies' ERS-1 satellite

- Investigated coupling of wind and wave fields (Dobson and Vachon, 1994)

An extensive array of satellite-, aircraft-, buoy- and ship-based data were collected in November 1991 on the Grand Banks.

Canadian Atlantic Storms Program II. The Canadian Atlantic Storms Program II (CASP) was an interdisciplinary Canadian project to study of the mature stages of explosive cyclogenesis in East Coast winter storms. Its purpose was to investigate the storms' influence on the circulation and sea-ice properties of the Newfoundland Continental Shelf and Grand Banks (Smith et al., 1994). Extensive meteorological, oceanographic and sea-ice data were collected from February to April 1992 over the northeastern Newfoundland shelf and northern and eastern portions of the Grand Banks. Results from the meteorological component of CASP II are given in Section 3.1.5.

More recently, oceanographic studies have been important components of major fisheries research studies of the troubled fisheries of the Canadian East Coast waters. The two major programs are:

Northern Cod Science Program. The Northern Cod Science Program (NCSP) was established in 1990 and operated from NAFC to:

- Improve understanding of cod ecosystem dynamics on the Labrador and Newfoundland shelves

- Identify environmental influences on fisheries

Major initiatives include data collection, modelling and analysis of historical data. The results of these oceanographic studies are now being published.

Ocean Production Enhancement Network. The Ocean Production Enhancement Network (OPEN) was funded under Canada's Networks of Centres of Excellence program. OPEN's mission was to investigate the processes controlling the survival,

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 growth, reproduction and distribution of fish and shellfish, specifically Atlantic Cod and sea scallops. A total of 38 projects, organized into nine modules, were funded under OPEN from 1990 to 1995 (Ocean Production Enhancement Network, 1995). The oceanographic projects of direct interest to this EIS include studies of:

- The circulation and density field on the Newfoundland-Labrador shelf and slope

- Particle trajectories and ocean diffusion

Advances in remote-sensing measurement have been incorporated into many of the major studies. Over the past ten years, remote-sensing techniques have become better at and increasingly available for measuring oceanographic, sea ice and meterological (wind) variables. Several remote-sensing platforms are currently operational, and others will be put into place in the near future, including systems operating in the visible, infra-red and microwave wavelengths. Measurements derived from these sensors are available in near real-time from:

- Public and private sector archives dating to the early 1970s in the case of the optical visible and infrared wavelengths

- Public and private sector archives dating to 1992 in the case of microwave systems

Optical systems repeat coverage of a given area at an interval of less than 24 hours, subject to atmospheric conditions, while the all-weather microwave systems repeat coverage at intervals in excess of one day, depending on the observation mode.

Remote-sensing data sets have made important contributions to knowledge of the oceanographic environment. These same remote-sensing techniques will be evaluated for application to the environmental monitoring and forecast systems for the Terra Nova Development. The all-weather microwave systems are particularly suited to weather and wave forecasting. They contribute to ice management through provision of near real-time data and in allowing updates of ice and wave climate from archival data. Table 3.2-1 shows a summary of the capabilities of the satellite-based remote sensors.

Also available are aerial sensors, including:

- Airborne spectrophotometers, capable of intertidal and nearshore habitat mapping

- Airborne ultraviolet and infrared sensors for use in tracking oil and chemical slicks

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 Table 3.2-1

Satellite-Based Remote Sensors

Date of First Data Relevant Oceanographic Sensor Availability Type Parameters Measured NOAA AVHRR 1974 Optical imager Sea surface temperature Sea ice Cloud cover Ocean current location

Sea WIFS operational 1996 Optical imager Ocean colour (productivity and turbidity) Sea ice Cloud cover

RadarSat SAR operational 1996 Microwave imager Sea ice Wave spectra Surface slicks

ERS-1 SAR 1992 Microwave imager Sea ice Wave spectra Slicks and fronts

ERS-1 1992 Microwave Wind speed and direction type Scatterometer

ERS-1 Alimeter 1992 Microwave Significant wave height Ocean currents Wind speed

Topex/Poseidon 1994 Microwave Significant wave height Altimeter Ocean currents Wind speed

Finally, remote-sensing advances have also been realized with acoustic instrumentation used within the ocean itself. Of particular significance is the Acoustic Doppler Current- Profiling (ADCP) technology, by which moving vessels can measure and record in real time ocean current profiles throughout the water column. ADCP technology can also be used in bottom-mounted units for continuously recording currents from near-bottom to near-surface levels for weeks and months. This provides the equivalent of an extensive chain of current meters.

3.2.2 Bathymetry

Main Bathymetric Features

The major bathymetric feature of the southern Newfoundland shelf is the Grand Banks (Figure 3.2-1). It consists of four banks (St. Pierre, Green, Whale and Central Grand)

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0

separated by three channels (Halibut, Haddock and Avalon). The Grand Banks extends almost 500 km offshore and covers an area of about 270 000 km2. Each of the banks is relatively flat with typical water depths of 100 m or less. Farther east, the Flemish Pass separates the Grand Banks from the Flemish Cap, another major bank-like feature with water depths as shallow as 140 m.

Terra Nova is located on the northeast sector of the Central Grand Bank in approximately 95 m water depth. The bottom relief in the area is relatively featureless (Figure 3.2-2), although steep slopes occur to the north and the east at the edge of the Central Grand Bank.

Effect of Bathymetry on Oceanographic Parameters

The Grand Banks-Flemish Cap bathymetric features exert a major influence on the regional oceanic circulation. A major characteristic of ocean currents along the eastern margin of North America is their tendency to follow local and regional underwater topographic features (Smith and Schwing, 1991).

The major circulation feature of the area, the offshore branch of the Labrador Current, is trapped over the Continental Slope at the edge of the banks (see Section 3.2.4 for more information on ocean circulation). In the Flemish Pass area, the slope divides into two parts, a southward component passing through the Flemish Pass and an eastward part rounding the Flemish Cap. The Labrador Current splits in a similar manner. The inner branch of the Labrador Current, found on the shoreward portion of the Continental Shelf, is also steered by local topographic features, and is concentrated by the bottom troughs which define the Avalon and Haddock channels. Over the comparatively flat and featureless banks, the ocean circulation is generally weak and variable.

3.2.3 Water Masses

Temperature and salinity are the most important physical properties of seawater, and together determine its density. The distribution of these properties is closely linked to:

- Ocean circulation and mixing - Sea-ice distributions - Air-sea interaction processes - Marine biological distributions

Database

Temperature and salinity data have been collected for many years in the study area, as far back as the early part of this century. Up until the late 1970s, temperature and salinity were measured in bottle samples collected at discrete depths through the water

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0

column. Thermometers mounted to the bottles provided the temperature data while ship- or land-based salinometers were used to measure salinity from the water samples collected in the bottles. Since the late 1970s, highly accurate, continuous measurement devices, known as conductivity-temperature-depth (CTD) profilers have become routinely used in oceanographic studies.

Using bottle data collected from 1910 to 1982 inclusive, Drinkwater and Trites (1986) analyzed temperature and salinity distributions in the Grand Banks area by discrete subregions. They used over 17 500 sets of profile data, each consisting on average of 11 depths per station. The key data sets used, locations of which are shown in Figure 3.2-3, were:

1. NAFO standard oceanographic lines off Bonavista and the Grand Banks (or the Flemish Cap), which have been occupied routinely since the early 1930s

2. Station 27, the first hydrographic monitoring station on the standard Grand Banks line (from St. John's to Flemish Cap), established in 1946. This station has been occupied regularly, two to four times each month, mainly by oceanographic and fisheries research vessels.

There are more data collected over a longer time span at this one station than anywhere else in the Grand Banks area (approximately 1360 profiles in total to 1993; Colbourne and Fitzpatrick, 1994).

3. The immediate vicinity of Terra Nova, where available temperature and salinity data sets were assembled using the national data archive (data from 1900 to 1987; MEDS, Ottawa) and the measurements made from drilling rigs 1983 to 1985 (Seaconsult, 1988)

Water Mass Types, Origin and Distribution

The water in the Grand Banks area is largely a mixture of:

- Cold, comparatively fresh water originating on the Continental Shelf off Labrador and further north, and carried into the area by the Labrador Current

- The Slope Water found immediately to the south and east of the Grand Banks area (Figure 3.2-4)

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0

The actual range of observed values in the study area reflects the mixture of these two water masses, as well as the effects of local exchanges of the ocean with the atmosphere and the formation and melt cycle of sea ice (Prinsenberg and Ingram, 1991).

Temperatures and salinities at the Terra Nova area are frequently influenced by Labrador Current water through lateral mixing with, and intrusions from the offshore branch of the Labrador Current. The Labrador Current is found over the inner portion of the Continental Slope located within 60 km of the Terra Nova site (Section 3.2.4). A dominant feature of the vertical temperature structure of the east coast of Newfoundland shelf is the cold intermediate layer (CIL) (Petrie et al., 1988). The layer is formed in winter through heat losses at the surface to the atmosphere, followed by rejection of salt through the formation of sea ice at the surface. In spring and summer, the upper layer becomes stratified because of warming and melt of the sea ice; this stratification reduces transfer of heat to the deeper waters. As a result, the CIL is present over the Continental Shelf through much of the summer with temperatures ranging from 0.0 to -1.8°C (the freezing point of seawater). The CIL is located between the warm upper layer and the warmer Slope Water near the bottom and at the shelf edge.

The regional distribution of water properties over the full study area is presented for early May and July from all available data sets (Figure 3.2-5 after Colbourne, 1994; Colbourne and Narayanan, 1994) to 1994 for the surface and at 75 m depth (near bottom on much of the Grand Banks). The warmer, high-salinity Slope Water can be seen to the south and east of the Grand Banks at both the surface and at 75 m depth. Large horizontal gradients mark the outer branch of the Labrador Current, which separates the Slope Water from the waters on the Banks and northeast Shelf, and which carries colder, less saline water from the north.

The large gradients, both horizontal and vertical, that occur at the eastern edge of the Grand Banks can be seen in a routine oceanographic transect of the Grand Banks (Flemish Cap) standard line of May 7 to 8, 1994 (Figure 3.2-6). Over the broad expanse of the Grand Banks, the water column is characterized by cold water (less than 0.5°C) with nearly vertically uniform salinity, and hence density. Over the steep, inner portion of the Continental Slope in water depths of 200 m or more, comparatively saline and warmer water of Slope Water influence is present at depth. This water also occurs much nearer the surface farther offshore as indicated by the steeply sloping contours of temperature and salinity. The strong gradients in temperature and salinity in waters deeper than 200 m mark the core of the offshore branch of the Labrador Current.

Even though warmer, more saline Slope Water is present within 150 km of the Terra Nova site, this water is confined to the Continental Slope areas by the strong offshore branch of the Labrador Current.

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The Slope Water only indirectly affects the Terra Nova site through mixing within the Labrador Current; it does not itself occur at the Terra Nova site.

Seasonal Variations

Seasonal variations of temperature, salinity and density (sigma-t) for the inner portion of the Newfoundland Shelf are well represented in monthly means computed from the extended data sets (1946 to 1993) collected at Station 27, located about 8 km east of St. John's. The largest seasonal cycles (Figure 3.2.7 from Colbourne and Fitzpatrick, 1994) occur at the surface, where maximum temperatures (greater than 12°C), and minimum salinities (31.1) and densities occur in late August. The annual minimum in temperature (less than -1°C), and maxima in salinity (32.3) and density occur in March.

At increasing depths, the amplitude of the annual cycle decreases. Also, the annual cycle in temperature lags behind that at the surface as depth increases. This variation of the annual temperature cycle with depth can be explained primarily as vertical mixing of heat input caused by accumulated heating at the surface during the spring and summer (Petrie et al., 1991). The annual cycle in salinity and density also lags behind that at surface with increasing depth, but Petrie et al. (1991) show this annual cycle cannot be explained by vertical mixing alone. This is because the amplitudes in the annual cycles are larger as one proceeds north and the annual minima occur increasingly early. For salinity and density, southward advection of fresh, low-salinity waters, originating as melting sea ice and river runoff, drive the annual cycle along with vertical mixing processes.

The development of a stratified water column in spring and summer is evident in the monthly temperature, salinity and density values at Station 27 (Figure 3.2-7). The upper portion of the water column is most stratified in August at the time of maximum temperatures, minimum salinities and minimum densities, with the thickness of the upper mixed layer typically limited to depths of 15 m or less. Below the upper layer, the CIL occupies most of the water column, as indicated by the subzero temperatures persisting at 50 and 75 m depths through the summer months. Vertical mixing in the fall results from increasing wind speeds that progressively deepen the upper mixed layer to about 50 m depth by December. Through the winter, stratification throughout the water column is low. This is because:

- Ice formation at upstream locations further mixes the water column through extrusion of dense salt brine into the ocean

- There is ongoing wind-induced mixing

The seasonal variability of the waters over the central portions of the Grand Banks (Figure 3.2-8 [for location see shaded zone in Figure 3.2-3]) reveal a similar pattern to

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that at Station 27. Like Station 27, the annual cycle is largest at the surface and decreases in amplitude with depth. However, the decrease in amplitude with depth is larger, and at 75 m depth there is no significant annual cycle in either temperature or salinity. Also, salinities are generally higher in the mid-Grand Banks region, as the direct influence of the Labrador Current is diminished because of the greater distance to either the inshore or offshore branches of the current.

For the Terra Nova area, the monthly mean temperatures and salinities at depths of 0 m, 20 m, 50 m and within 10 m of the bottom are shown in Tables 3.2-2 to 3.2-5. Figure 3.2-9 shows profile plots of temperature for February, May, July and November. Salinities are generally higher than those measured at Station 27, while the seasonal cycle in temperature is very similar to that of Station 27. The vertical profiles (Figure 3.2-9) show that the water column at Terra Nova is a two-layer system over most of the year, except in winter when the water column is uniformly cold. With the onset of spring, increased solar radiation heats the upper layer and the reduced winds are not capable of mixing the warmed water to the bottom.

By August and September, a warm surface layer is present and the surface temperatures are the warmest of the year. From October to December, the surface layer erodes because of decreased surface heating and the increased vertical mixing caused by the stronger winds.

Interannual Variability

The extended time series record (1946 to 1993) available at Station 27 can be analyzed for interannual variability of oceanographic conditions on the East Newfoundland Shelf. Keeley (1981) computed the temperature and salinity anomalies at this location for the period 1946 to 1977. Colbourne et al. (1994) examined the anomalies in the Station 27 data for the period 1970 to 1993 (Figure 3.2-10).

Interannual variations are evident throughout the full record over a wide range of time scales from one to several years, with considerable variability at periods of three to four years in the upper to mid-depth levels. The amplitude of interannual variations was approximately 1°C at the surface, increasing to 3°C in mid-water column, then decreasing to less than 1°C at depths of 100 m or more. The amplitude of interannual variability in salinity was approximately 1 to 1.5 psu from the surface to 50 m depth, then decreasing to levels of approximately 0.5 psu at 150 m depth.

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Table 3.2-2

Monthly Temperature and Salinity Statistics from Historical Bottle Data in the Terra Nova Area Surface, 1900-1987

Temperature (°C) Mon N1 Mean2 Min3 Max4 STD5 95% Limits6 Jan 28 0.68 -0.77 2.10 0.71 0.40 0.95 Feb 28 -0.36 -1.69 0.64 0.51 -0.56 -0.16 Mar 10 -0.08 -1.61 1.20 0.90 -0.72 0.57 Apr 88 0.53 -1.30 2.40 0.90 0.34 0.72 May 111 2.29 -0.39 6.80 1.65 1.98 2.60 Jun 72 5.03 2.10 13.41 2.05 4.56 5.50 Jul 73 10.84 5.60 13.80 1.66 10.46 11.23 Aug 18 12.52 10.30 14.60 1.49 11.78 13.26 Sep 14 11.68 7.80 15.40 2.17 10.43 12.94 Oct 70 6.90 4.10 11.30 1.15 6.62 7.17 Nov 35 6.28 2.62 8.95 1.59 5.75 6.80 Dec 4 2.43 0.02 4.82 2.05 -0.83 5.70 Salinity (ppt) Jan 14 32.76 32.37 33.09 0.22 32.63 32.88 Feb 5 32.83 32.36 33.16 0.29 32.46 33.20 Mar 6 32.97 32.83 33.24 0.20 32.76 33.18 Apr 72 32.87 32.36 33.30 0.21 32.82 32.92 May 50 32.75 32.24 33.87 0.30 32.67 32.83 Jun 50 32.74 32.17 33.30 0.24 32.67 32.80 Jul 44 32.36 31.70 32.77 0.30 32.27 32.45 Aug 10 32.25 31.55 32.74 0.45 31.93 32.57 Sep 3 32.02 31.78 32.18 0.21 31.49 32.54 Oct 55 32.01 31.87 32.50 0.09 31.99 32.04 Nov 5 32.03 31.85 32.19 0.13 31.87 32.18 Dec 1 32.23 - - - - -

Source: Seaconsult (1988). Notes: 1. N - number of observations. Each observation was assumed to be independent for calculating the 95% confidence limits of the population mean. 2. Mean - sample mean. 3. Min - minimum observed value. 4. Max - maximum observed value. 5. STD - sample standard deviation 6. 95% limits - the lower and upper limits of the 95% confidence limits of the population mean. There is a 2.5% chance the true monthly mean will lie below the smaller value and a 2.5% chance it will lie above the larger value.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 Table 3.2-3

Monthly Temperature and Salinity Statistics from Historical Bottle Data in the Terra Nova Area 20 m Depth, 1900-1987

Temperature ( °C) Mon N1 Mean2 Min3 Max4 STD5 95% Limits 6

Jan 20 0.53 -0.90 1.97 0.77 0.17 0.89 Feb 28 -0.46 -1.66 0.58 0.49 -0.65 -0.26 Mar 10 -0.16 -1.67 1.11 0.89 -0.80 0.48 Apr 88 0.37 -1.30 2.01 0.79 0.21 0.54 May 111 1.75 -0.53 4.87 1.35 1.50 2.00 Jun 68 3.84 1.11 7.49 1.51 3.49 4.20 Jul 73 7.99 2.98 11.99 2.08 7.51 8.46 Aug 18 10.02 5.74 13.64 1.92 9.07 10.98 Sep 10 10.37 6.54 14.30 2.41 8.65 12.10 Oct 70 6.76 3.50 11.85 1.17 6.48 7.03 Nov 35 5.97 2.61 8.70 1.45 5.49 6.45 Dec 4 2.54 0.02 4.85 2.07 -0.75 5.83 Salinity (ppt)

Jan 10 32.84 32.54 33.12 0.23 32.67 33.00 Feb 5 32.83 32.36 33.16 0.29 32.47 33.20 Mar 6 32.96 32.81 33.21 0.18 32.77 33.16 Apr 72 32.88 32.37 33.34 0.20 32.83 32.93 May 50 32.77 32.09 33.29 0.26 32.70 32.84 Jun 46 32.75 32.28 33.12 0.18 32.70 32.80 Jul 44 32.50 31.89 32.12 0.28 32.42 32.58 Aug 10 32.45 31.92 32.76 0.29 32.25 32.66 Sep 3 32.08 31.95 32.21 0.13 31.76 32.40 Oct 55 32.03 31.91 32.43 0.07 32.01 32.05 Nov 5 32.05 31.92 32.21 0.11 31.92 32.18 Dec 1 32.23 - - - - -

Source: Seaconsult (1988). Notes: 1. N - number of observations. Each observation was assumed to be independent for calculating the 95% confidence limits of the population mean. 2. Mean - sample mean. 3. Min - minimum observed value. 4. Max - maximum observed value. 5. STD - sample standard deviation. 6. 95% limits - the lower and upper limits of the 95% confidence limits of the population mean. There is a 2.5% chance the true monthly mean will lie below the smaller value and a 2.5% chance it will lie above the larger value.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 Table 3.2-4

Monthly Temperature and Salinity Statistics from Historical Bottle Data in the Terra Nova Area 50 m Depth, 1900-1987

Temperature ( °C) Mon N1 Mean2 Min3 Max4 STD5 95% Limits 6

Jan 20 0.35 -0.93 1.30 0.63 0.05 0.64 Feb 28 -0.50 -1.55 0.49 0.47 -0.68 -0.32 Mar 10 -0.22 -1.66 0.99 0.88 -0.85 0.42 Apr 88 -0.03 -1.40 1.50 0.71 -0.17 0.12 May 113 0.35 -1.29 2.70 0.93 0.18 0.52 Jun 69 0.86 -1.50 3.50 1.02 0.61 1.10 Jul 73 0.72 -1.40 3.90 1.15 0.46 0.99 Aug 18 0.65 -0.95 2.40 0.93 0.19 1.11 Sep 10 0.73 -0.70 3.46 1.21 -0.14 1.60 Oct 70 2.44 -1.07 5.58 1.58 2.07 2.81 Nov 35 1.87 -1.00 5.59 1.79 1.27 2.46 Dec 4 2.20 0.01 4.80 2.13 -1.19 5.59 Salinity (ppt)

Jan 10 32.88 32.58 33.14 .20 32.73 33.02 Feb 5 32.87 32.45 33.17 .27 32.54 33.20 Mar 6 32.97 32.82 33.22 .19 32.78 33.17 Apr 72 32.92 32.39 33.36 .20 32.88 32.97 May 51 32.88 32.36 33.35 .21 32.82 32.94 Jun 47 32.91 32.57 33.32 .20 32.85 32.96 Jul 44 32.91 32.56 33.49 .16 32.86 32.96 Aug 10 32.92 32.65 33.19 .19 32.78 33.05 Sep 3 32.98 32.79 33.15 .18 32.54 33.42 Oct 55 32.46 32.13 33.24 .22 32.40 32.52 Nov 5 32.75 32.34 33.10 .31 32.36 33.14 Dec 1 32.23 - - - - -

Source: Seaconsult (1988). Notes: 1. N - number of observations. Each observation was assumed to be independent for calculating the 95% confidence limits of the population mean. 2. Mean - sample mean. 3. Min - minimum observed value. 4. Max - maximum observed value. 5. STD - sample standard deviation. 6. 95% limits - the lower and upper limits of the 95% confidence limits of the population mean. There is a 2.5% chance the true monthly mean will lie below the smaller value and a 2.5% chance it will lie above the larger value.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 Table 3.2-5

Monthly Temperature and Salinity Statistics from Historical Bottle Data in the Terra Nova Area Within 10 m of Bottom, 1900-1987

Temperature ( °C) Mon N1 Mean2 Min3 Max4 STD5 95% Limits 6

Jan 18 0.04 -1.20 0.90 0.54 -0.23 0.30 Feb 27 -0.61 -1.56 0.34 0.35 -0.75 -0.47 Mar 7 -0.27 -1.68 0.60 0.78 -0.99 0.45 Apr 39 -0.44 -1.40 0.74 0.54 -0.61 -0.26 May 79 -0.54 -1.42 0.80 0.55 -0.66 -0.42 Jun 39 -0.23 -1.60 2.00 0.69 -0.44 -0.01 Jul 66 -0.30 -1.60 3.00 0.77 -0.48 -0.11 Aug 14 -0.49 -1.35 1.00 0.70 -0.89 -0.09 Sep 6 -0.25 -0.98 0.60 0.67 -0.95 0.46 Oct 20 -0.70 -1.30 1.10 0.64 -1.00 -0.40 Nov 26 -0.41 -1.19 0.60 0.51 -0.62 -0.21 Dec 2 -0.45 -1.00 0.10 0.78 -1.70 6.54 Salinity (ppt)

Jan 8 33.06 32.81 33.19 0.14 32.95 33.18 Feb 5 32.91 32.57 33.19 0.23 32.62 33.20 Mar 3 32.99 32.86 33.19 0.18 32.55 33.43 Apr 24 33.10 32.78 33.68 0.26 33.00 33.21 May 25 33.07 32.24 33.62 0.28 32.95 33.18 Jun 21 33.13 32.71 33.58 0.19 33.04 33.21 Jul 37 33.20 32.84 34.86 0.33 33.10 33.31 Aug 8 33.08 32.87 33.49 0.22 32.89 33.26 Sep ------Oct 6 33.02 32.95 33.14 0.09 32.92 33.11 Nov 3 33.16 33.08 33.30 0.12 32.85 33.46 Dec ------

Source: Seaconsult (1988). Notes: 1. N - number of observations. Each observation was assumed to be independent for calculating the 95% confidence limits of the population mean. 2. Mean - sample mean. 3. Min - minimum observed value. 4. Max - maximum observed value. 5. STD - sample standard deviation. 6. 95% limits - the lower and upper limits of the 95% confidence limits of the population mean. There is a 2.5% chance the true monthly mean will lie below the smaller value and a 2.5% chance it will lie above the larger value.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 From 1970 to 1993, there were three major cold periods at all standard depths: in the early 1970s, mid-1980s and early 1990s (Figure 3.2-10). These cold periods are all associated with severe meterological and sea-ice conditions on the Labrador and Newfoundland shelfs during these same periods. For all three periods, the cold anomalies at the bottom were established first and lasted the longest. The largest anomalies occurred in the upper 100 m in mid-1991, reaching peak values of -4.0°C. In the deeper waters, the early 1990s peak was less pronounced, but negative temperature anomalies persisted from 1983 to 1993 with only a few very minor positive anomalies interrupting nearly uniform negative values.

The anomalies in salinity follow a generally similar pattern with negative anomalies occurring in the cold periods mentioned above. However, the events appear to be of shorter duration and less consistent with depth. The cooling events experienced since the early 1970s are evident in the yearly time series of the CIL column, with subzero temperatures during summer (Figure 3.2-11).

The time series of the CIL cross-sectional areas and minimum temperatures for the Bonavista and Grand Banks (Flemish Cap) standard transects since 1950 reveal four major cold periods. The minimum temperatures and maximum areas occur in the early 1950s, early to mid-1970s, mid-1980s and early 1990s (Colbourne et al., 1994; Colbourne, 1995). The CIL parameters are consistent with a gradual warming trend starting in the early 1950s and attaining greatest warming in the mid-1960s. This period was followed by the cooler conditions caused by the three major cold periods (with peaks in 1972, 1984 and 1991). Overall, the northern Grand Banks area has experienced unusually low water temperatures during spring and summer from 1972 to 1974, and then another much longer period of low water temperatures from 1983 to 1994.

3.2.4 Ocean Currents

Ocean currents are inherently highly variable, making measurement difficult.

Ocean currents are of interest over two areas:

1. The portion of the northeast Grand Bank encompassing the Terra Nova and Hibernia oilfields

2. The much larger study area encompassing the entire eastern Newfoundland Shelf region, from the northern margins of the Grand Banks southward

Over the larger area of interest for this project, the quantity of direct observations of ocean currents remains limited, although major data-collection programs have been carried out over the past 15 years.

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Estimation of Ocean Currents from Density Profile Data

The earliest type of ocean current estimates were derived by indirect means, using the geostrophic method to derive the velocity field from the internal pressure and density distribution within the ocean (Smith, 1937; Petrie and Anderson, 1983). The internal pressure data were determined from vertical profiles of temperature and salinity, and hence density. This approach, which accounted for virtually all estimates of regional ocean circulation until the early 1970s, has significant limitations for the comparatively shallow shelf waters.

Moored Current Meter Data

With the advent of internally recording current meters in the late 1960s, followed by satellite-tracked drifting buoys in the late 1970s, oceanographers acquired the capability to obtain many data sets of direct ocean current observations spanning extended periods (greater than one month). The most recent technological advance, the bottom-mounted acoustic dopplier current profiler (ADCP) provides profiles of the ocean currents throughout nearly all the water column. Only a few such data sets, offering high vertical resolution, presently exist (Tang and Belliveau, 1994; DeTracey et al., 1995).

For the immediate area around Terra Nova, extensive sets of moored current meter data sets, each spanning several weeks of continuous data, have been collected, mostly in support of offshore drilling operations. These moored current meter data sets are summarized in Table 3.2-6.

Table 3.2-6

Summary of Moored Current Meter Data Sets Available for Terra Nova and the Immediate Vicinity

Near Surface Mid-Depth Near Bottom (approx. 20 m) (approx. 40-50 m) (> 60 m) Period No. No. No. No. No. No. Sites Data Sets Sites Data Sets Sites Data Sets

Jan. 1980 - Feb. 1986 11 16 18 28 8 11 (Seaconsult, 1988) Mar. 1986 - May 1992 a,b 12 14 12 15 12 14

a Data compilation provided by Gregory (1995). b Includes moored current meter data from the CASP II oceanographic program, December 1991 - May 1992 (Lively, 1994).

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 Within the larger study area, current meter measurements, obtained from 1980 to 1992, are available for extended durations (82 to 603 days) at 28 locations (Figure 3.2- 12) on the Continental Shelf and Slope areas east of Newfoundland (Narayanan et al., 1995). Other important current meter data sets, albeit of shorter duration, are also available for the study area. One example is current meter data collected at eight sites in 1986 and 1987 on the southeast shoal of the Grand Banks (Ross et al., 1988).

Drifting Buoy Measurements of Ocean Currents

Drifting buoy data have been collected for many years. In the 1960s and 1970s, drifter information was limited to tagged units (released and then returned by anyone recovering them) and ship-drift data. Beginning in the late 1970s, satellite-tracked drifters came into use, which reported positions several times each day. These drifter data sets are particularly useful for estimation of surface currents, since the drifting buoys operate in the surface layer. Major drifter studies in the eastern Newfoundland region include the following:

· BIO program of 1981 to 1985 (Petrie and Isenor, 1984; Petrie and Warnell, 1988)

· The ongoing drifting buoy program operated since 1976 by the International Ice Patrol of the U.S. Coast Guard during the spring iceberg season (Murphy et al., 1991)

· More recent NCSP drifter studies conducted in 1992 and 1994 (Pepin and Helbig, 1995; Helbig and Brett, 1995)

A composite of some 144 drifter tracks from these programs is shown in Figure 3.2-13 (Helbig and Brett, 1995).

Numerical Modelling of Ocean Circulation

Another increasingly useful source of ocean current information is available from numerical model studies. Recent modelling studies (Greenburg and Petrie, 1988; Hukuda et al., 1989; Tang and Yao, 1992; Ikeda, 1990; Tang and Gui, 1995; de Young, Lu and Greatbach, 1995) agree reasonably well with the major circulation features. Models offer the advantage of spatially gridded outputs and the potential for operating in near-real-time if suitable input fields (e.g., winds or sea levels) can be provided. However, more development is required to adequately model the subtidal variability of the ocean and to validate the model output against independent observations.

An updated approach to computing surface shelf circulation, using vertical density profiles combined with numerical modelling, has been developed by Sheng and

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Thompson (1995). In this approach, the currents initially computed from the vertical density profiles relative to fixed depth levels are compared with observations. From the comparisons, optimal inflow boundary conditions are estimated, which are then used to drive the northern boundary of a limited-area numerical model. The superposition of currents attributable to the local density field, combined with the currents caused by remote forcing, constitute the detailed ocean current field.

Major (Long-Term) Current Systems

The ocean circulation off Eastern Canada (Figure 3.2-14) is dominated by large-scale currents flowing over the continental margins of the northwest Atlantic Ocean. These Continental Shelf currents, specifically the West Greenland, Baffin, Labrador and Nova Scotia currents, have been identified by Chapman and Beardsley (1989) as individual features of an interconnected coastal current system that extends over 5000 km and represents the largest known coastal current system in the world. As well as these cold- water coastal currents, two major, deep-basin currents are present:

· The warm Gulf Stream

· The North Atlantic Current, which combines waters from the Gulf Stream and the Labrador Current

Within the extended study area, the Labrador Current consists of two major branches (Figure 3.2-12). The inner branch is located on the inner half of the shelf, and its core is steered by the local underwater topography. For example, this inner branch follows the trough feature separating the Avalon Peninsula coastline from the western edge of the Grand Bank. The stronger offshore branch of the Labrador Current flows primarily along the shelf break over the upper portion of the Continental Slope, at water depths of 300 to 1500 m. The flows in this outer branch are stronger than the inner branch. Mean near-surface speeds of the core of the outer branch are normally 25 to 40 cm/s; those of the inner branch are 10 to 20 cm/s (Fissel and Lemon, 1991).

In areas outside the direct influence of either branch of the Labrador Current, the flows are generally weaker, more variable, and tend to be aligned with the local bathymetry. Winds are the major driving force for ocean currents, but non-wind-driven flow variations at subtidal time scales are also evident.

The Labrador Current outer branch exhibits a distinct seasonal variation in flow speeds (Lazier and Wright, 1993; Narayanan et al., 1995), in which the mean flows from September to October are nearly twice as large as the mean flows in March and April. This annual cycle is the result of the large annual variation in the steric height (derived from the vertical integral of the internal density distribution) over the Continental Shelf in relation to the much less variable internal density characteristics of the adjoining deep

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waters. The large variation in density conditions on the shelf results from increased freshwater input (e.g., from melting ice upstream in the spring and summer) which is referred to as buoyancy flux. Wind stress provides the major driving force of currents on the Continental Shelf, with a distinct annual cycle (Section 3.1.4) of comparatively strong winds in winter, and weaker, more variable winds in summer. Extended current meter data records obtained on the Northeast Newfoundland shelf off White Bay (site 23 in Figure 3.2-12) indicate that the annual cycle of Labrador Current inner branch is wind driven, with the strongest flows occurring in late winter.

Surface Circulation

Near-surface circulation, as measured from drifting buoy data sets collected on the eastern Newfoundland Shelf to 1994 is presented as the mean and variability computed over 50 km squares (Figure 3.2-15; Helbig and Brett, 1995). The eastward flow along the northern flank of the Grand Banks transports water from the inner shelf out to the vicinity of the offshore branch. In this same area, the outer branch of the Labrador Current bifurcates into an eastward flow directed to the north of Flemish Cap and a southward flow passing in the deep-water trough (Flemish Pass) separating the Northeast Grand Banks from the Flemish Cap. The two branches of the Labrador Current are readily apparent in these drifter measurements; in these areas, the mean near-surface currents are relatively large, and tend to exceed the variability in the flows (after low-pass filtering to remove fluctuations with periods of less than 30 h, i.e., tidal currents and inertial oscillations). Elsewhere over the northeast Newfoundland Shelf, the mean currents are relatively weak (a few to 10 cm/s), and the fluctuations about the means have comparable values.

Over the comparatively shallow Grand Banks, the mean currents are very weak (a few centimetres per second or less) with a variability (5 to 15 cm/s) much larger than the mean values. The extensive array of current meter data on the northeast segment of the Grand Banks, extending outward from the Terra Nova region and collected from January to May 1992, shows that local winds drive the currents in the interior of the banks where Terra Nova is situated (DeTracy et al., 1995). However, direct wind-driven forcing is not dominant over the outer margin of the Grand Banks and into deeper water. At the shelf break, subtidal variability is greater because of a combination of:

- Meandering of the Labrador Current core - Eddy formation - Propagation of continental shelf waves generated far to the north in the Labrador Sea

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The average flow speeds measured from drifter tracks (with attached drogues spanning depths of 15 to 25 m) tend to be considerably larger than those measured from moored current meters (at 40 m depth). This difference is shown in a comparison of these two types of data on the northeast Newfoundland Shelf obtained from NCSP programs of 1990 to 1993 (Figure 3.2-16, from Colbourne et al., 1995). The magnitudes differ by a factor of about 1.7 (Narayanan et al., 1995).

The numerical modelling results of Greenburg and Petrie (1988) provide a detailed, high-resolution presentation of the circulation. This barotropic model (vertically uniform currents) is driven by a sea-level slope across the northern boundary (Hamilton Bank on the south-central portion of the Labrador Shelf), and appears to reasonably depict the main circulation features of the eastern Newfoundland shelf (Figure 3.2-17). The vertical uniformity used in the model results in the surface currents being consistently underestimated. Recent comparisons of the model results with extended current meter data sets obtained between 1980 and 1993 (Narayanan et al., 1995), show that the model predictions more or less agree with the observations. In particular, the cross-shelf flows on the northeast Newfoundland Shelf (e.g., north of Funk Island Bank) from the offshore to inshore branches of the Labrador Current are confirmed in the observations. The model, even after allowing for the uniformity through the water column, underestimates the actual magnitude of the offshore branch of the Labrador Current along the northeast Newfoundland Shelf. Similar underestimates are apparent in the magnitude of the flow in the inner branch of the Labrador Current from the mouth of Bonavista Bay to the coast off the Avalon Peninsula. The hybrid numerical modelling results of Sheng and Thompson (1995), which represent the summer surface circulation (Figure 3.2-18) in terms of the local internal density field and remote forcing at the upstream model boundary (off southern Labrador), also agree well with observations and the Greenburg and Petrie (1988) model results. These model results present a high-resolution representation of:

- Strong topographically influenced flows of the inner branch of the Labrador Current within the major embayments of the Avalon Peninsula

- The anticyclonic (clockwise) gyre centred on the crest of Flemish Cap

In the first case, the results agree qualitatively with the recent measurement program in Conception Bay (deYoung and Sanderson, 1995).

These recent observation and modelling results are generally consistent with the modified International Ice Patrol (IIP) gridded surface current field (Figure 3.2-19). This information was derived by Murphy et al. (1991), primarily from drifting buoy data of 1976 to 1989, and updated by Yao et al. (1992) using more recent current meter and drifter data obtained to 1991. However, further modifications to the IIP

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gridded surface current field appear to be warranted, based on comparisons with the extensive observational data sets collected in recent years, as well as numerical model studies.

The model modifications could include examination of the inshore branch of the northeast Newfoundland Shelf through to the inner side of the Grand Banks as this may be too broad. Also, the surface currents on the northeast Newfoundland Shelf appear to be too large, in general. The IIP currents on the eastern part of the Grand Bank (within the 200 m isobath) are similarly overestimated and are more spatially variable than observed. IIP has recently announced forthcoming revisions to their gridded surface current field (D.L. Murphy, IIP, pers. comm., 1995), which address these points.

Mesoscale Circulation Features

Mesoscale currents include eddies and meanders, which have typical time scales of 2 to 50 days and typical spatial scales of 10 to 100 km. Mesoscale eddies and meanders are evident in the drifter tracks (Figure 3.2-13), especially in the areas immediately adjacent to the offshore branch of the Labrador Current and on the northeast Newfoundland Shelf. Voorheis et al. (1973) have identified over 30 eddies on the central part of the Continental Slope along the eastern margin of the Grand Banks from an analysis of historical oceanographic data sets dating back to the 1920s. The eddies are mostly cyclonic (counterclockwise), have typical speeds of 25 to 30 cm/s and have an average size of 102 km in diameter. Meanders had typical lengths of 275 km in the along stream direction, and about half this in the cross-stream direction.

Meanders and eddies occur on the Grand Bank proper, as seen in selected drifter tracks (Figure 3.2-20) from 1980, 1984 and 1985. Eddies were observed in the tracks of drifters that were resident on the banks for an extended period of time (tracks A and G) and in the tracks of drifters following the offshore branch of the Labrador Current which "spins-off" over the bank itself (Figure 3.2-20b).

There are various underlying causes of the eddies and meanders. Over the shallow- water banks, they may be a consequence of mesoscale features in the wind-forcing field, which produce similar patterns in the surface drift. Mesoscale eddies can also be generated by depth-varying instabilities in the main core of the offshore branch of the Labrador Current. Using satellite imagery obtained off the Labrador Shelf, eddies and meanders in the offshore branch of the Labrador Current have been shown to have characteristic periods of four days and wavelengths of 75 km (LeBlond, 1982). Once formed, such features can be advected from the main core of the current into shallower or deeper waters.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0

Wind-Driven Currents

Wind blowing over the ocean surface produces two different types of responses in ocean currents. In one case, the upper layer of the ocean drifts with the wind, usually at about 3 percent of the wind speed and 20 to 45° to the right of the wind direction. This response occurs over synoptic periods of 2 to 10 days, comparable to the periods of the storm related (or synoptic scale) wind variations. In the other case, during passing storms, the ocean responds through strong inertial motions. Such motions, generally called inertial oscillations, occur in a fluid when it is suddenly disturbed, for example, when an intense wind front passes over the ocean surface. Because of the earth's rotation, the resulting water motion is circular clockwise in the northern hemisphere. The time to complete a full circle, called the inertial period, is 16.5 hours over the northern Grand Banks.

Over the Grand Banks, typical amplitudes of inertial oscillations range from 10 to 30 cm/s (de Young and Tang, 1990; Tang and Belliveau, 1994). In the interior of the Grand Banks away from strong large-scale currents, inertial oscillations can account for more of the total variance than either low-frequency, synoptic-scale variability or tidal currents. Inertial currents are characterized by large variations in amplitude with depth (Figure 3.2-21) which are related, in part, to the stratification of the water column. Under more stratified conditions prevalent in spring and summer (Section 3.2.3), more of the energy of the inertial oscillations can be confined to the upper layer of the water column. An example of two episodes at Terra Nova of strong inertial oscillations, when speeds exceeded 30 cm/s, are August 31, 1983 and Sept. 11, 1983 (Figure 3.3-21). Typically, inertial oscillations persist for two to six days following the triggering event.

Tidal Currents

Tidal flows are the movements within the water column associated with the regular predictable changes in sea level driven by the gravitational attraction of the moon and the sun. Tidal currents on the Grand Banks are dominantly semidiurnal (highs and lows twice daily). The largest tide, the lunar semidiurnal (M2), has amplitudes ranging from less than 1 to 9 cm/s (Petrie et al., 1987).

An analysis of six years of current meter records, collected from 1980 to 1986 in the vicinity of Terra Nova, shows that the mean amplitude of the diurnal tidal currents is 3 cm/s while that of semidiurnal tidal currents is 8 cm/s (Seaconsult, 1988). The analysis results were also used to predict tidal currents over a 20-year period, from which an extreme value for total tidal currents of 20 cm/s was computed.

Internal tides, in which the astronomical tidal flows interact with a stratified water column, can also result in significant flows at tidal periods in localized areas. The phenomenon is generally most important at the shelf edge where the tides can enhance

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0

vertical mixing of deep, nutrient-rich water found over the Continental Slope into shelf areas (Smith and Sandström, 1988).

Mean and Extreme Currents at Terra Nova

The major offshore branch of the Labrador Current is located 50 to 60 km to the east of the Terra Nova site, and is confined to areas where water depths exceed 200 m. Over the broad expanse of the relatively shallow (less than 100 m depth) and comparatively flat portions of the Grand Banks, currents are generally weak and variable (Figure 3.2-22).

As discussed above, the flows are dominated by wind forcing along with tidal currents. Intrusions of cold Labrador Current water onto the northeast Grand Banks have been observed (Kudlo et al., 1972). These intrusions are associated with generally low- amplitude flows of about 5 cm/s and last five to ten days. The weak speeds make it difficult to extract such events from residual current variations caused by wind forcing.

The extended moored-current-meter data sets available for Terra Nova (1980 to 1986, Table 3.2-3) show the mean flow speeds are low: 3.6 cm/s at the surface to the southwest, 1.8 cm/s at mid-depth to the northwest, and 0.3 cm/s near the bottom to the northwest (Seaconsult, 1988). Variations of the actual currents are much larger than the mean current values, by a factor of 5 or more.

The current meter data sets obtained in the Terra Nova area from 1980 to 1986 were analyzed using the Weibull function to determine expected extreme values (Seaconsult, 1988). Table 3.2-7 shows these extreme current values. Table 3.2-7

Extreme Currents at Terra Nova Computed for Various Return Periods

Depth Level Return Period (a) 1 10 100 Near-surface (20 m) Current speed (cm/s) 75 79 96 Direction W W W Mid-depth (45 m) Current speed (cm/s) 76 87 99 Direction SW SW SW Near-bottom (70 m) Current speed (cm/s) 61 74 87 Direction SE SE SE

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3.2.5 Tides and Other Short-Term Sea-Level Variations

Tides are highly predictable. From extended measurements at tide stations along the coast of Canada, and at a few selected offshore locations, the major astronomical constituents of tides can be determined and used to accurately predict tidal heights. Along the east coast of Newfoundland and over the Grand Banks, the largest tidal constituent is the lunar semidiurnal (M2) with an amplitude of approximately 40 cm. The three other major semidiurnal and diurnal constituents are lower in amplitude (10 to 15 cm; Figure 3.2-23).

The tides along the east coast of Newfoundland are mixed, mainly semidiurnal in nature, with two high tides and two low tides occurring each day. One of the sets of tides is higher (and lower) than the other daily set. A typical tidal range each day is 1 m.

To provide better data for tidal predictions for the region, a set of eight bottom- mounted gauges were installed and operated around the periphery of the Grand Banks (Figure 3.2-24) for a six-month period in 1983 and 1984 (Petrie et al., 1987). As well as conventional tidal or harmonic analyses, a numerical model of the Grand Banks was also developed (Petrie et al. 1987). Tides were analyzed for site 2, at Terra Nova and site 6, over the slope area at the edge of the Grand Bank (Seaconsult, 1988). The maximum tidal amplitude above mean water level, computed over a 20-year period, was 53 cm at site 2 and 37 cm at site 6. The minimums below mean water level were -51 cm and -34 cm, respectively.

Storm surges cause sea levels to rise as a result of the wind stress on the surface of the ocean (Murty et al., 1995). Murty and Greenburg (1987) described a storm surge that resulted from a storm passing through the Newfoundland area on January 10, 1982 and causing damage along the eastern part of the southern shore of Newfoundland. The high water level at Argentia was about 2 m, of which about 1.3 m was attributed to the storm surge (Murty and Greenburg, 1987). This water-level height at Argentia was exceeded only once in this century, by the November 1929 earthquake on the Grand Banks. Such large storm surges are rare, in terms of the requisite wind-stress forcing conditions. Moreover, they produce important effects only when the storm surge occurs during high tides. The amplitudes of storm surges are generally much smaller in deeper water away from the coastline.

Storm surges for the Terra Nova area were analyzed (Seaconsult, 1988) using the extended water-level data sets of 1983 to 1984 at sites 2, 3, 6 and 7 (Figure 3.2-24), after removing the tidal variations. The maximum computed displacement amplitude was 36 cm for site 2. Using a Weibull extreme value analysis on these data, extreme storm surge levels at Terra Nova have been estimated as amplitudes of 54 cm for a one-year return period, 66 cm for a 10-year return period and 79 cm for a 100-year return period. In the worst case of combined tide and storm surge, the expected

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100-year elevation would be approximately 1.26 m (Seaconsult, 1988).

3.2.6 Oceanic Fronts

Oceanic fronts are narrow boundary zones separating dissimilar water types. They are defined by large horizontal gradients in water properties, including temperature and salinity. Fronts often coincide with areas of strong current shears. Water is turbulently mixed in fronts, enhancing vertical exchanges of momentum, heat, salt and dissolved gases. Fronts are commonly associated with surface zones of enhanced biological productivity.

Fronts are widely observed within the larger study area, and have particularly prominent amplitudes and commonly occur at the shelf edge (Narayanan et al., 1991). Satellite imagery has been used extensively to monitor the variability in location of the offshore branch of the Labrador Current. This dominant regional circulation feature (Section 3.2.4) is associated with a large surface gradient in temperature and salinity. Using the visible band, the advanced very high resolution radiometer on the NOAA series of satellites has proven effective for these studies (Figure 3.2-25) (Isenor, 1988; Isenor et al., 1992).

An even longer record of the location of the northern boundary of the Gulf Steam in the waters south of the Grand Banks has been developed using satellite imagery (Figure 3.2-26; Drinkwater and Myers, 1993). The variability in the location of this major, large-scale front influences the ocean climate of the Continental Shelf through the Slope Water found to the south and east of the Grand Banks. The ability to routinely detect and monitor frontal features and eddies is being increasingly enhanced by new remote-sensing technologies, particularly synthetic aperture radar (SAR) sensors, which have all-weather sensing capabilities. Figure 3.2- 27 shows an example of such results obtained over the interior of the Grand Banks in November 1991.

3.2.7 Upwelling Areas

Upwelling is the process in which deeper ocean waters move upward and mix with surface waters. The upwelled waters usually have higher concentrations of nutrients, which may be depleted in the upper layers by phytoplankton uptake. As the biological food web is based on phytoplankton, areas where upwelling occurs are commonly biologically productive.

Classical wind-driven coastal upwelling occurs at coastlines or the outer limits of continental shelfs, where winds transport the surface layer offshore and these waters are replaced by water upwelled from below. For a shelf edge of uniform orientation and slope characteristics, wind-driven upwelling is determined by the strength of the wind forcing, the slope of the bottom at the shelf break, local friction and the degree of

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stratification in the water column (Smith and Sandström, 1988). Studies conducted at the edge of the Scotian Shelf (Petrie, 1983) show that while upwelling from depths of 400 m does occur at the shelf break, the upwelled waters appear to be confined within about 10 km of the slope. Moreover, the response to wind forcing is three dimensional in that upwelling is favoured in certain areas where the complex shelf edge topography is particularly amenable to the process, and less likely to occur at other locations with different topographic features. The Newfoundland Shelf, like the Scotian Shelf, has a very complex underwater topography at the shelf edge (Section 3.1.2), and upwelling may be a localized process in this area as well (Smith and Sandström, 1988).

Primary biological productivity is enhanced by a sequence of biophysical factors. Upwelling from below replenishes nutrients into the surface layer where these may have been depleted and limited primary production. Once the nutrient levels have been replenished, then stratification of the water column causes the phytoplankton to remain within the upper ocean where the energy from the sun promotes growth (Mann, 1991). Thus, episodic events of strong winds over stratified waters may be effective in causing bursts of plankton production. Such events may be important on the Grand Banks in spring and summer, when the stratified upper layer is underlain by the nutrient-rich CIL.

3.2.8 Wave Climate

A sound understanding of the mean and extreme wave climate at the Terra Nova site is required to support system design and operational planning. The main parameters for describing wave conditions are the significant and the maximum wave height. The significant wave height, Hs, is defined as the average of the highest one-third of the individual waves. It represents the height an experienced observer will visually estimate for a given seastate (Khandekhar and Swail, 1995). The maximum wave height, Hm, is the greatest vertical distance between a wave crest and adjacent trough. Other wave parameters of interest are:

Wave period. The peak spectral period, Tp, associated with the largest energy levels (or spectral densities) in a time series of continuous wave data (typically of 20 minutes duration).

Wave direction. The directional sector containing the waves of greatest energy.

Wave grouping. A tendency for large waves to travel together. There is ample evidence in wave data collected on the Grand Banks that groups of large waves do occur (Seaconsult, 1988).

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 Wave Data

Wave data can be collected visually from ships or by direct measurements using moored buoys. Visual estimates of wave heights from passing ships do not provide continuous data at a given site, and are prone to biases and errors that preclude use in statistical analyses of mean and extreme conditions. Nearly all direct measurements of waves on the Grand Banks have been made using waverider buoys. These instruments monitor sea-surface elevation using a vertical accelerometer sensor, which is integrated twice to determine vertical displacement measurements. These measurements are relayed by radio link to drilling rigs or other nearby platforms. The WAVEC buoy, a directional version of the waverider buoy, measures the components of the surface elevations needed for determining wave direction. This buoy has been used occasionally for wave monitoring, but it has contributed less than 10 percent of the direct measurement database.

Waverider data collection began on the Grand Banks in 1973, but the first data sets were generally of short duration and obtained at widely separated successive sites. The earliest data sets collected in conjunction with offshore drilling in the Hibernia and Terra Nova areas were obtained in June 1979. Subsequent monitoring provided nearly continuous direct measurements of waves at or near Terra Nova from 1980 to early 1986 followed by less frequent measurements from 1986 to 1990 (Figure 3.2-28).

Wave Models

Wave models, driven by surface winds, were first developed for operational wave predictions in the 1950s and have improved steadily over the past three decades. Second- and third-generation wave models rely on representations of wave processes in the frequency domain, using the spectral energy balance equation (Khandekhar and Swail, 1995). A state-of-the-art global operational model, WAM, developed by the Wave Modelling (WAM) group has recently been used by weather forecast centres in Europe and North America. Operational wave-modelling is being improved by research on the assimilation of near-real-time, remote-sensing data from all-weather, radar- satellite sensors. These sensors include:

- Scatterometers for wind measurements

- Radar altimeters for wave height estimation

- SAR for determining two-dimensional wave spectra for initializing wind and wave fields in the operational models (Khandekhar and Swail, 1995; Wilson et al., 1995)

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Gridded wind data sets are available at standard synoptic intervals from the mid-1950s to the present. This 40-year span of data is several times the duration of continuous, direct wave measurements available for any subregion of offshore waters on the Canadian East Coast. Consequently, wave hindcast models can be used to provide extended data sets for estimating the extremes of wave climate (Eid et al., 1991; Canadian Climate Centre, 1991).

Normal Conditions

Table 3.2-8 shows the annual distribution of measured significant wave heights and peak periods as determined from the 1980 to 1990 measurements at Terra Nova including the nearly continuous data spanning 1980 to 1986 (five years and 10 months of data). The maximum significant wave height, Hs, is between 11 and 12 m, as computed from 3-hourly average values. The associated peak period, Tp, ranges from 13 to 17 s. Roughly half the periods exceed 10 s and only 1 percent of the measured wave heights exceed 7 m.

The same extended data set can be used to derive the distribution of Hs by mean wind direction (Table 3.2-9) (measured wave directions were only rarely available). The largest waves are associated with winds blowing from the north and west; these are also the directions of the largest winds (Section 3.1.5).

The wave climate has a marked seasonal distribution, as seen in the distributions of observed significant wave heights and peak periods (Figures 3.2-29 and 3.2-30). The highest waves occur in December and February with an Hs of 11 to 12 m. The measured waves have a tendency to be steeper in February (i.e., shorter periods) than in December. Wave climate is much reduced in magnitude in May through August, with the lowest mean waves in August and May (maximum Hs less than 5 m). The most common peak period of waves in fall and winter is 10 to 11 s, as compared to 7 to 8 s in summer. Observed peak periods of up to 18 s occur in the fall and winter.

Tables 3.2-10 to 3.2-13 show persistences for various wave height categories for February, May, August and November. Wave height persistence has been computed from the six-year data set for individual months. The longest measured persistence of Hs greater than 5 m was 84 h in March.

In terms of maximum sea state, Hs greater than 11 m occurred once and lasted for 6 hours. However, the statistics for seas between 6 and 10 m indicate that sea states are generally more persistent in February than in any other month.

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Table 3.2-8

Significant Wave Height Versus Peak Period at Terra Nova, 1980 to 1988 and 1990 Observations

Significant Wave Height (m)

Peak Period 0 - 1 1 - 2 2 - 3 3 - 4 4 - 5 5 - 6 6 - 7 7 - 8 8 - 9 9 - 10 10 - 11 11 - 12 No. of % Cum. % % (s) Obs. Total Exceed.

2-3 1 1 0.0 0.0 100.0 3-4 12 11 23 0.1 0.1 99.9 4-5 11 122 7 140 0.8 0.9 99.1 5-6 39 322 80 3 484 2.7 3.6 96.4 6-7 100 724 365 47 6 1 1243 6.9 10.5 89.4 7-8 151 1125 575 177 32 2 1 1 2064 11.4 21.4 78.1 8-9 99 1448 792 445 151 17 4 - 1 2957 16.3 38.2 61.8 9-10 76 1030 1149 668 265 110 30 7 1 3336 18.4 56.7 43.3 10-11 35 591 1284 979 439 193 70 18 4 3613 20.0 76.6 23.4 11-12 9 222 574 620 314 156 92 24 11 1 2023 11.2 87.8 12.2 12-13 2 78 197 316 163 98 50 19 19 1 5 948 5.2 93.1 6.9 13-14 4 59 157 206 147 98 22 18 15 11 5 1 743 4.1 97.2 2.8 14-15 1 29 60 138 67 44 12 13 4 2 2 372 2.1 99.2 0.8 15-16 2 5 20 26 17 12 7 1 90 0.5 99.7 0.3 16-17 7 5 4 15 5 1 3 1 2 43 0.2 100.0 0.0 17-18 1 4 3 8 0.0 100.0 0.0 No. obs. 539 5811 5251 3623 1629 744 294 110 55 15 14 3 17062 % Total 3.0 32.1 29.0 20.0 9.0 4.1 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 Cum. % 3.0 35.1 64.135.9 84.2 93.2 97.3 98.9 99.5 99.8 99.9 100.0 100.0 % Exceed. 97.0 64.9 15.8 6.8 2.7 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0

Note: 1. Sampling interval - 3 hours.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3-94 Table 3.2-9

Joint Distribution of Wave Height and Wind Direction at Terra Nova, 1980 to 1986

Significant Wave Height (m) Wind No. of Obs. % Total Direction 0 - 1 1 - 2 2 - 3 3 - 4 4 - 5 5 - 6 6 - 7 7 - 8 8 - 9 9 - 10 10 -11 11 -12

N 30 415 464 343 120 73 24 18 7 1 1 2 1498 9.4 NE 24 271 237 133 54 44 3 766 4.8 E 25 439 438 180 53 22 1 1158 7.3 SE 56 497 434 223 59 11 3 1283 8.1 S 123 1170 798 439 158 50 13 2 1 1 1 2756 17.4 SW 114 1227 792 503 213 61 32 8 5 5 1 2961 18.6 W 99 860 901 796 408 167 75 32 21 5 3 3367 21.2 NW 24 319 598 599 293 156 74 19 8 3 1 2094 13.2 No. obs. 495 5198 4662 3216 1358 584 225 79 42 12 9 3 15883 % Total 3.1 32.7 29.4 20.2 8.6 3.7 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 Cum. % 3.1 35.8 65.2 85.4 94.0 97.7 99.1 99.6 99.8 99.9 100.0 100.0 % Exceed. 96.9 64.2 34.8 14.6 6.0 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0

Source: Seaconsult (1988) Note: 1. Sampling interval - 3 hours. Table 3.2-10

Wave Height Persistence for Terra Nova February, 1980 to 1986

Wave Height Threshold (m) Duration (h) 1234567891011Sum 0-6 4 23 17 11 6 2 3 1 2 170 6-12 2 10 9 5 6 2 1 1 36 12-48 16 10 6 1 1 1 35 24-48 5 15 10 5 2 2 1 40 48-96 5 8 2 15 96-168 1 3 4 168-360 4 4 360-744 1 1 2 744-1464 6 4 10 Sum 7 26 75 48 27 15 6 5 3 3 1 216 Min. duration 453 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Mean duration 1112 239 25 17 14 12 16 12 10 7 3 Max. duration 1140 1416 147 72 48 45 39 27 18 12 3 % Exceedence 100 92 46 21 10 4 2 1 1 1 0 of wave height

Notes: 1. Sample interval - 3 h.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 Table 3.2-11

Wave Height Persistence for Terra Nova May, 1980 to 1986

Wave Height Threshold (m)

Duration (h) 1234Sum

0-6 3 14 16 8 41 6-12 4 5 9 12-24 2 7 9 1 19 24-48 7 2 12 48-96 1 10 13 96-168 3 3 168-360 5 2 7 360-744 4 4 744-1464 3 3

Sum 18 47 37 9 111 Min. duration 3 3 3 3 Mean duration 340 44 15 4 Max. duration 1029 321 63 15 % Exceedence of wave height 96 47 13 1

Notes: 1. Sample interval - 3 h.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 Table 3.2-12

Wave Height Persistence for Terra Nova August, 1980 to 1986

Wave Height Threshold (m)

Duration (h) 1234Sum

0-6 8 15 7 8 38 6-12 2 6 3 2 13 12-24 2 10 7 1 20 24-48 4 10 2 16 48-96 3 6 1 10 96-168 5 1 6 168-360 3 1 4 360-744 3 3 744-1464 4 4

Sum 34 49 20 11 114 Min. duration 3 3 3 3 Mean duration 211 31 15 6 Max. duration 1143 321243 51 24 % Exceedence of wave height 89 32 7 2

Notes: 1. Sample interval- 3 h.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 Table 3.2-13

Wave Height Persistence for Terra Nova November, 1980 to 1986

Wave Height Threshold (m)

Duration (h) 12345678Sum

0-6 2 18 20 14 4 4 2 70 6-12 3 5 6 10 4 1 36 12-48 2 7 11 9 2 2 35 24-48 4 13 13 4 1 40 48-96 1 6 13 3 1 15 96-168 4 3 2 4 168-360 4 1 4 360-744 1 5 1 2 744-1464 6 10

Sum 8 30 61 55 38 11 6 3 212 Min. duration 75 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Mean duration 1095 166 43 22 12 12 8 5 Max. duration 1464 702 492 156 54 42 21 9 % Exceedence of wave height 100 89 57 26 11 3 1 0

Notes: 1. Sample interval- 3 h.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 Directional wave measurements are much less available than non-directional data for the Terra Nova area (Table 3.2-8). However, such data obtained in December 1985 are instructive in showing the presence of crossing seas. For example, on December 3, 1985 (Figure 3.2-31), in the aftermath of the storm of December 1 and 2 (Hs of 7.8 m), swell heights of 4 to 6 m were measured travelling to the southwest, following the storm. A growing sea was also evident propagating to the northeast, which resulted in a combined wave height of 5.8 m almost equally divided in energy between the two opposing wave trains.

Maximum Observed Waves

The largest recorded wave in the Terra Nova area over the 1980-1986 period of data collection was 24.8 m in crest-to-trough height (see Figure 3.2-32), measured on December 22, 1983. During this same storm, the largest Hs value of 13.8 m was measured, although not from the same 20 min measurement sample. The ratio of maximum wave height to significant wave height (Hm/Hs) is 1.8 for this particular storm.

Based on the measurements of the 23 most severe storms during the six-year period of measurements (Seaconsult, 1988), the average Hm/Hs ratio is 1.9 and ranges from 1.3 to 2.4. For peak storm conditions, where Hs is greater than 10 m, the ratio Hm/Hs is always less than or equal to 1.9.

Peak periods measured during the maximum wave heights, from the 23 Grand Banks storms of 1980 to 1986, range from 9.8 s (Hs = 4.6, Hm = 6.4 m) to 19.5 s (Hs = 13.5, Hm = 24.8 m).

Wave groupiness can also be characterized from the 1980-1986 Grand Banks storm data (Seaconsult, 1988). A value of 0.8 to 1.2 for the groupiness factor GF (Funke and Mansard, 1979) indicates several groups of large waves separated by a period of low-amplitude waves. GF values of 0.4 to 0.6, on the other hand, indicate small numbers of grouped waves. The GF parameter does not directly provide information on the maximum sea surface set-down, or the number of waves in particular groups. The bivariate distribution of GF versus Hs (Table 3.2-14) indicates GF ranges from 0.3 to 1.3 with a median value of 0.63. For the largest waves in which Hs is greater than 9 m, wave groupiness is somewhat higher with a median value of 0.7, ranging from 0.4 to 1.1. Overall, wave groupiness is important (GF greater than 0.8) in about 3 percent of the storm records, and in 13 percent of the larger data records where Hs is greater than 9 m.

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Table 3.2-14

Wave Groupiness Factor for Significant Wave Height Classes

Groupiness Factor Significant Wave Height

No. of % Cum. % 0.3-0.4 0.4-0.5 0.5-0.6 0.6-0.7 0.7-0.8 0.8-0.9 0.9-1.0 1.0-1.1 1.1-1.2 1.2-1.3 Obs. Total % Exceed.

1-2 3 9 5 4 21 0.3 0.3 99.7 2-3 3 9 38 69 45 6 4 174 2.9 3.2 96.8 3-4 17 96 178 112 31 5 1 1 441 7.3 10.5 89.5 4-5 35 286 604 340 70 17 4 1 1357 22.3 32.8 67.2 5-6 9 242 681 476 143 28 8 1 1 1589 26.1 58.9 41.1 6-7 5 83 573 416 133 24 5 1 1342 22.1 81.0 19.0 7-8 1 35 263 181 65 21 2 1 1 618 10.2 91.2 8.8 8-9 13 98 102 31 10 276 4.5 95.7 4.3 9-10 6 62 54 12 6 147 2.4 98.2 1.8 10-11 1 7 21 13 12 1 54 0.9 99.0 1.0 11-12 9 13 1 1 31 0.5 99.6 0.4 12-13 12 8 1 21 0.3 99.9 0.1 13-14 1 1 3 1 6 0.1 100.0 0.0 No. OBS. 3 81 1001 2578 1765 505 116 21 5 2 6077 % Total 0.0 1.3 16.5 42.4 29.0 8.3 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Cum. % 0.0 1.4 17.9 60.3 89.3 97.6 99.5 99.9 100.0 100.0 % Exceed. 100.0 98.6 82.1 39.7 10.7 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0

Source: Seaconsult (1988). Note: 1. Sample period - Storms 1 through 23.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3-103 Extreme Wave Values Computed from Observations

Extreme values for ocean waves have been computed (Seaconsult, 1988) using the continuously measured wave data set assembled for the Terra Nova area, spanning a period of nearly six years from 1980-1986. The continuous measurements were fitted to a three-parameter Weibull distribution, a computational technique that has compared well with extremal analysis of waves derived from hindcast studies for the N.E. Grand Banks region (Bolen et. al., 1989). The extreme wave value results (Table 3.2-15) indicate the expected extreme significant wave height (as a 3-hourly average value) is 15.0 m over a 100-year recurrence interval. Associated values for other wave parameters, including peak periods, largest individual wave height and its expected period, are also provided in Table 3.2-15. Considerable statistical uncertainties are inherent in extrapolating from a measurement period of six years to recurrence intervals of up to 100 years. Using the standard statistical methodology (Seaconsult, 1988), the upper prediction limits for the extreme wave heights are estimated. For the 100-year recurrence interval, the 50- percent level of the upper limit of significant wave height is computed as 15.4 m, while the corresponding value at the 90-percent level is 17.1 m.

Beyond the statistical uncertainties, other uncertainties arise from the possibility of omission of maximal storm events in the period considered, and the effects of significant levels of interannual variability. The likelihood of an omission of major storm events is very low, given that the general area around Terra Nova was closely monitored throughout the six-year period used in the analyses. The effects of interannual variability are more difficult to assess. Interannual variability is determined as the change in the distribution of maximum wave events over a long return period (e.g., 100 years) relative to a comparatively short period over which data were available. This source of uncertainty is discussed in more detail below.

Extreme Wave Values from Hindcast Studies

Because the return period of 100 years duration is much greater than the duration of continuously recorded wave data, wave hindcast modelling studies have been widely used to estimate the extreme wave conditions. An extreme storm-wave hindcasting study for the Hibernia area (Cardone et al., 1989) computed estimated extreme wave conditions from the wave hindcast results for 26 large wave-producing storms over the 34-year period, 1950 to 1984. The results for significant wave height are in good agreement with those computed from direct observations (Table 3.2-15). By fitting the hindcast results using the FT-1 (or Gumbel) distribution, the computed 100-year return period for H is 15.0 m, with a 90 percent upper confidence limit value of 17.1 m.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 Table 3.2-15

Extreme Significant Wave Height and Associated Periods for Terra Nova

Sign. Wave Height Hs (m) Expected Period Expected Return Upper Prediction Limit Peak Range Wave Individual Period

Period TR Confidence Level Period TP Ht. TP Wve Hm THm (a) (s) (s) (m) (s) Expected 50% 90% 1 10.5 10.9 12.7 14.1 12.1 - 17.4 20.7 12.5 10 12.8 13.2 14.9 15.5 13.3 - 19.1 25.1 13.5 25 13.7 14.1 15.8 16.0 13.8 - 19.8 26.8 14.5 50 14.3 14.7 16.4 16.3 14.1 - 20.2 27.9 14.6 100 15.0 15.4 17.1 16.7 14.4 - 20.7 29.3 14.7

Source: Seaconsult (1988). Sample Period: 26 storms from 1980-1986.

Extreme wave conditions have been analyzed on a regional basis for the East Coast of Canada (Canadian Climate Centre 1991). Wave hindcasting of 68 severe storms was carried out from 1957 to 1988. The selected storms all occurred in the fall and winter months (Figure 3.2-33) as would be expected given the very pronounced seasonal cycle in storm wave events in the North Atlantic Ocean. The wave hindcasts were derived with a spectral wave model adapted to the North Atlantic basin on a high- resolution nested grid, with a temporal resolution of 2 h and spatial resolution of about 85 km. The wave model output was validated for all 68 of the storms (Environment Canada, 1995). The distribution of storm wave heights by direction for the Terra Nova area (Figure 3.2-34) indicates that the primary direction of storm waves was from the southwest. Other large (Hs greater than 6 m) wave events were associated with arrivals from the northwest.

The Canadian Climate Centre (1991) study provides the foundation for a database and analysis system that can be used for updating estimated extreme wave values as the data record of major events expands with time. As shown in Figure 3.2-35, there is considerable interannual variability in the occurrence of storms on the Canadian East Coast.

Since the completion of the regional hindcasting of extreme waves (Canadian Climate Centre, 1991) using events up to 1988, three severe storms have occurred off the East Coast of Canada:

· October 31, 1991 (the "storm of the century") · March 15, 1993 (Cardone and Swail, 1995) · The Hurricane Luis storm of September 10 to 11, 1995 (Bigio, 1995)

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For each of these storms, very large significant wave heights, exceeding 15 m, were measured by instrumented buoy platforms located in deep water to the south of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland (no measurements were made during these events in the Terra Nova area). The very high waves were measured at deep-water buoys, installed in the mid- to late 1980s, in areas where few direct wave measurements had previously been collected.

In view of the large wave events recently measured off the East Coast, 12 large wave- producing storms during the 1988 to early 1995 period have been selected for additional wave hindcasting, using the third-generation wave model with shallow water capabilities. The results from the expanded wave hindcast data set, now comprising 80 storms in total, reveal little change in the estimated 100-year return period for Hs in the Terra Nova-Hibernia area (Oceanweather, 1996) from the earlier results to 1988 (Swail, 1995). For the model grid point near 46.9N, 48.9W, the expected 100-year return period for Hs, is 15.5 m (for the years 1957 to early 1995) as compared to 15.4 m (for the years 1957 to 1988). The corresponding Hs values for the grid points encompassing the Terra Nova field are 15.4 m and 16.0 m (Oceanweather, 1996). The very modest change in the estimated 100-year extreme values of Hs, with the 1988 - 1995 storms included, arises from the reductions in the wave fields reaching the N.E. Grand Banks by comparison to the larger waves present along the main storm tracks well south of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland (e.g., the largest hindcast waves from the Storm of the Century and the Halloween storms in the Terra Nova area were 6.7 m and 5.7 m, respectively). Only one of the recently added 12 storms, occurring on January 12, 1991 with peak Hs of 12.8 m, was among the 10 largest wave-producing storms for the Terra Nova area of the 80 events now in the wave hindcast database.

Recent studies of possible changes in wave climate in the North Atlantic Ocean provide empirical evidence that there has been a trend toward increased wave heights and storminess in the eastern North Atlantic Ocean (Bacon and Carter, 1991; Kushnir et al., 1995) since the early 1960s. However, there is no evidence for a similar trend for the western North Atlantic Ocean, including the northeast Grand Banks, over this same period (Kushnir et al., 1995).

The amplitude of the computed trend in increasing mean wave heights in the eastern North Atlantic is modest (about 0.3 m wave height per decade). This trend in mean wave heights does not mean that a similar trend will occur in extreme values, given the statistical difference between mean and extreme wave sample populations.

There is a hypothesis that wave climate trends reflect climate changes caused by the anthropogenic effects of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, but this is not supported by the preliminary scientific studies conducted to date. The most recent research indicates that atmospheric fields, specifically winds and sea-level pressure gradients,

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 which cause ocean waves, vary periodically over multi-decadal time scales (WASA Group, 1995; Kushnir et al., 1995) rather than as an upward trend of the type that may be expected for effects associated with greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. However, Resio et al (1995) carried out an analysis of the variability in the weather patterns in the North Atlantic Ocean, which generate the ocean waves, for an extended period spanning nearly 100 years. From the atmospheric pressure field analyses, a large degree of variability in extreme wave values can be expected at time scales of decades and longer, which supports the value of the ongoing updating of wave hindcast databases.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3.3 Sea Ice and Icebergs

Two different forms of floating ice, sea ice and icebergs, are present in the marine environment. Sea ice, produced by freezing of the ocean's surface layer, is usually loosely packed and pressure-free in the vicinity of the Terra Nova site. Small floe sizes and the prevalence of advanced stages of deterioration generally allow for easy navigation, albeit with reduced vessel speeds. The primary operational significance of sea ice lies in its tendency to suppress higher sea states and to interfere with iceberg detection and towing operations.

Icebergs are generated by fragmentation or “calving” of freshwater ice into the marine environment at the termini of glaciers. They are the primary focus of ice management efforts because of the hazards posed by their potential physical contact with all major components of offshore production facilities.

Although strong connections between icebergs and surrounding sea ice have long been recognized (Smith, 1931), only recently has it been convincingly shown that regional sea ice conditions largely determine iceberg severity off Newfoundland (Marko et al., 1994a). Consequently, description of the ice environment begins with a summary of the characteristics of the regional and local sea-ice cover before presentation of basic and critical information on icebergs. In all instances, extreme conditions are included as part of the spatial and temporal variability issues central to assessment of potential impacts on offshore development.

3.3.1 Database

The most abundant regional sea-ice data are available from approximately 40 years of ice observations carried out by Canadian and, to a lesser extent, by U.S. government agencies. Initially, such observations were almost exclusively obtained from airborne reconnaissance. Since the 1970s, however, images from polar-orbiting satellites have strongly augmented and, in some cases, replaced airborne observing as principal data sources for daily and (approximately) weekly composite-ice charts produced by the AES Ice Centre. These charts, directly or indirectly, through results from compilations of Sowden and Geddes (1980), Seaconsult (1988), and Cote (1989), underlie the description of sea ice in this EIS. Supplementary information on ice movements, thicknesses and floe sizes, and their linkages to environmental factors have been obtained from:

- Observations made by the offshore oil exploration industry in the 1970s and 1980s - PERD-supported DFO and AES research programs

Data on icebergs have been available for an even longer period, dating back to the second decade of this century. Consequent formation of the IIP led to the routine compilation of iceberg sighting data in areas south of Labrador initially using marine

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 vessel reports as basic data sources. Beginning in the 1950s, fixed-wing aircraft gradually assumed major responsibilities for iceberg surveillance, with important additional data being obtained since the 1970s from observations made during oil exploration activities.

Since its inception, the IIP has collated and cross-indexed sighting data from all sources to provide updated position mappings and estimates of numbers of icebergs crossing 48°N on annual and shorter time frames. Additional coverage beyond the 52°N limit of IIP interests, and in inshore areas, also has been available for more than two decades from the AES Ice Centre.

IIP data have been the basis of most efforts to quantify and understand iceberg behaviour off eastern North America. These data include daily charts of iceberg positions prepared from recent sightings and radar target positions. Iceberg positions and sizes are deduced using very simple and imprecise models of iceberg drift and deterioration. Unfortunately, the database is not internally consistent because of changes over time in production procedures and detection technologies, and large variations in levels of effort. This has constrained analyses of spatial and temporal trends, and characteristic variations.

Since 1989, iceberg data have also been available from almost daily regional aerial surveys of East Coast offshore areas between 45°N and 55°N by Provincial Airlines Ltd. (PAL). These surveys have obtained detailed data in inshore areas generally neglected in IIP efforts and are particularly notable in that they visually confirm the identity of icebergs after initial detection with imaging radar. The survey frequency, on average every five days, allows estimation of iceberg numbers in defined counting areas without the complex procedures used by IIP. Thus, icebergs passing through a given area, i.e., a 1° grid (1° latitude by 1° longitude), are estimated as simple sums of local counts obtained in all surveys during the time period of interest.

The accuracies of such estimates are sensitive to the extent to which drift and deterioration result in all traversing icebergs to be detected once and only once in the counting area. Average drift speeds of 20 km/d on the Grand Banks and 30 km/d just off the Grand Banks (Section 3.2.4) approximately satisfy the counting criterion for iceberg numbers in the 110 km x 75 km areas associated with 1° grids.

Comparisons of annual total numbers of icebergs south of 48°N indicate that IIP estimates are significantly larger than PAL iceberg counts in all but the first two years of the common 1989-1995 survey period. This difference is contrary to expectations, given the IIP's neglect of inshore icebergs routinely included in PAL surveys. This difference likely reflects a combination of the uncertainties associated with each survey and estimation procedures. For example, there is significant possibility of confusion between ships and icebergs in heavily SLAR-based IIP surveys. In this EIS, the

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 description of the regional iceberg environment is based on both the key long-duration IIP database and PAL data obtained for the years 1989 to 1995.

Other iceberg data, largely consisting of the results of measurements of physical dimensions and velocities, are available as a consequence of numerous monitoring and study programs carried out by the oil industry during exploration activities and in preparation for eventual offshore oil production. These data, together with results obtained from related PERD- and ESRF- supported research efforts, have contributed important elements of the existing iceberg knowledge base.

The sea-ice database is not as uncertain as the iceberg database just described. Instead, sea-ice data support relatively unambiguous and detailed cross-comparisons dating back to the late 1950s and even, with lesser precision, to the second decade of this century (Hill and Jones, 1990).

3.3.2 Sea Ice

Formation and Growth

Seawater cooled through atmospheric heat exchange increases in density, and sinks to a depth determined by the vertical, largely salinity-sensitive, vertical density profile of the upper ocean. In polar and subpolar regions, this process eventually produces a relatively well-defined surface layer of water at the freezing temperature. Further loss of heat to the atmosphere initiates ice growth in forms and at rates strongly dependent on air temperature, wind speed and sea state. Additional important factors in determining local ice thicknesses are:

- Levels of snow accumulation - Magnitudes of heat fluxes from deeper, warmer ocean layers - Ice deformation driven by winds and current, often acting within constraints imposed by nearby land masses

Major categories of sea-ice age and thickness are listed in Table 3.3-1. Almost all the ice near Terra Nova consists of young ice, thinner than 30 cm, or thicker first-year ice. Local ice thicknesses significantly greater than 1.0 m are, in most cases, associated with deformed first-year ice (see "Deformation" in this section). Old ice, with densities elevated by refreezing after survival of one or more spring and summer melt seasons, appears only very rarely in the region. Figure 3.3-1 shows a typical annual cycle of change in the composition and overall concentration of sea ice off Newfoundland.

The higher density, crushing strength and thickness of this ice make it an exceptional, if rare and highly localized, navigational obstacle. In practical terms, its primary operational significance is that it introduces hard-to-detect vessel collision hazards

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roughly equivalent to the growler- and bergy bit-sized iceberg fragments.

Table 3.3-1

Characterization of Sea Ice by Type, Thickness and Age

Description Thickness Age (cm) New ice 10 Earliest stage of development Grey ice 10-15 Early season first year Grey-white ice 15-30 Mid-season first year White ice 30-200 First year Old ice - Second and multi-year ice

Areal Distribution

The Terra Nova site lies close to the extreme southern limit of the regional pack ice. In this area warmer water temperatures dissipate the last remnants of ice that have drifted south from original ice growth areas in Baffin Bay, Davis Strait and the Labrador Sea. The annual regional ice cycle begins in September with the growth of new ice in Northwest Baffin Bay following the nearly complete clearance of ice from all areas between Canada and Greenland south of about 78°N. A combination of growth and predominantly southward drift, driven by the prevailing northerly winds and the strong, cold Baffin Current, advances the ice southward beginning in October. Coverage increases most rapidly in western areas off the North American continent. By December, on average, the leading edge of the advancing ice pack lies off Northern Labrador. Simple modelling estimates (Marko et al., 1994b) suggest that, in April, 60 to 80 percent of the ice off Labrador south of 55° has grown in areas north of 60°N. In typical years, the ice edge reaches the northern tip of Newfoundland in early January and the Grand Banks in mid-February (Navoc, 1986). The pack ice off Newfoundland generally reaches annual peak coverage in March but can remain at high levels through May and, occasionally, well into June. Figure 3.3-1 shows that thicker first year or white ice becomes the dominant ice form in areas off Newfoundland beginning in March just before water temperatures seasonally rise above the freezing level.

Subsequently the ice pack retreats rapidly northward with significant ice concentrations confined north of Labrador by the end of July, except in extremely severe ice seasons. Occasionally, first-year ice remnants remain at the end of the summer season off the east coast of Baffin Island near 70°N. These remnants, together with late discharges of first year and older ice from Lancaster, Jones and Smith sounds, are the source of the

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 thicker, fresher old ice which can appear off Labrador and, in smaller amounts, off Newfoundland (Markham, 1980).

Seasonal ice coverage in Newfoundland waters is shown by plots of extreme and median positions of the ice edge midway though each of the months January through June in Figures 3.3-2 to 3.3-7 . The minimum, or least-advanced, ice-edge positions are not shown because, in all months, the region was ice-free in at least one year of the study period. The maximum ice positions shown are composites of the most advanced ice-edge positions recorded in each compass direction over the period of record. The years associated with the constituent individual sections of these maximum ice edge boundaries are indicated.

Figures 3.3-2 to 3.3-7 show two different median ice-edge boundaries. One of these boundaries was derived by identifying the 0.5° latitude x 1° longitude grid cells where sea ice has a 50 percent probability of occurring, based on ice charts for the period 1963 to 1987 (Seaconsult, 1988). The second median ice edge was obtained with identical procedures applied to ice charts from 1988 to 1995. The 1988 to 1995 data were included to illustrate the possibility of very substantial changes in ice conditions generally attributed to decadal and even longer term regional climate variability. The substantially more southerly and easterly positions of the post-1987 median ice edges reflect the more extensive ice coverages that have been observed off Eastern Canada waters since 1983. These coverages, as well as those observed between roughly 1910 and 1930, are maximal for the present century (Miles, 1974; Hill and Jones, 1983; Marko et al., 1992).

Ice conditions in the preceding two decades are shown in Figure 3.3-8 by plots of annual mid-April ice extents, both for a sum of three latitude bands (45° to 47°N, 49° to 51°N and 53° to 55°N) and for 45° to 47°N alone as this includes the Terra Nova site. The ice extents for the three latitude bands are closely correlated with mid-winter upstream (Davis Strait) air temperatures and ice extents (Marko et al., 1994a) and with annual iceberg numbers south of 48°N. These data show that, on average, ice coverage has increased by 56 percent since 1983 relative to the earlier 1963 to 1982 period. Moreover, even the lowest post-1982 level of ice coverage, observed in 1988, was 30 percent larger than the 1963 - 1982 mean.

The ice data for latitudes 45°N to 47°N (Figure 3.3-8) show that ice is appearing more frequently at latitudes encompassing the Terra Nova site. Figure 3.3-9 shows directional quadrant displays of statistics on annual occurrences of sea ice over the period 1959 - 1995. Data are included for areas:

- Within 5 km of the Terra Nova site - Within 5 to 25 km of the Terra Nova site - Within 25 to 50 km of the Terra Nova site

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0

The first of each pair of numbers in the upper panel of Figure 3.3-9 denotes the fractional probability of ice appearances at some time within a given year. The second entry in each case denotes the corresponding average number of weeks associated with annual ice incursions.

Ice concentration data are summarized in the lower panel of the same figure, with the paired entries denoting the average values of total and first year ice concentrations, respectively, associated with ice incursions. Figure 3.3-10 shows the annual timings of all 1960-1995 ice incursions within 50 km of Terra Nova. These data show the onset in roughly 1983 of higher incursion probabilities together with the ice incursions centred broadly around mid-March. This is when ice coverage around Newfoundland usually peaks (see Figures 3.3-2 to 3.3-7).

Ice Movement

The position of Terra Nova in the vicinity of the extreme southern limit of the regional pack ice has limited collection of ice drift data to areas at least 50 km north of the proposed oil production site (Figure 3.3-11). Although the accuracies of the individual vectors in Figure 3.3-11 are lowest in the Grand Banks region, the fields of motion shown in Figure 3.3-11 are very similar to those of the regional surface currents (Section 3.2.9) because of the paucity of repeat observations of individual ice features. The principal circulation features are strong easterly and southerly movements associated with the outer branch of the Labrador Current regimes on the northern and eastern slopes, respectively, of the Grand Banks. A weaker, but still substantial, southerly drift, evident in the Avalon Channel, is associated with a continuation of the inner branch of the Labrador Current. Over the mass of the Grand Banks, the mean flow is weaker and less definitive in direction.

The velocities of ice and surface currents are extremely variable. Their standard deviations are comparable to or larger than their corresponding long-term temporal averages. This extreme variability greatly complicates ice movement prediction and contributes to large short- and long-term variabilities in areal ice distributions.

Drift speed and direction distribution are shown in Figure 3.3-12 as derived (Seaconsult, 1988) from satellite-tracked, ice-mounted, drift buoy data from 1984 to 1987. The original buoy deployments, (Fissel et al., 1985) on ice floes at approximately 49°N, just north of the northern edge of the Grand Banks, were more or less immediately swept up in the Labrador Current. They then followed trajectories overlying the strong currents that follow the slope regions at the edge of the Banks. As a consequence the indicated velocities are not representative of Terra Nova or adjacent bank areas but of the adjacent slope regions (Figure 3.3-11).

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While ice movements and surface currents on the Grand Banks are largely wind-driven (De Tracy et. al., 1995), models using wind field inputs have not yet been able to predict ice velocities with average errors significantly less than mean drift velocities. Models that derive surface currents from either long-term means or "coupled" ice-ocean models (Marko et al., 1994c) have produced similar results. Even simpler treatments based on empirical linear relationships between ice velocity and the contemporary local wind (Fissel and Tang, 1991) have produced uncertainties of a factor of two in ice-to-wind speed ratios and turning angles.

More recent hindcast analyses (Marko and Fissel, submitted) have explained close to 75 percent of the variance in observed daily ice velocities through use of bathymetrically specific, non-linear neural networks operating on inputs of contemporary local- and time-lagged, non-local winds. These results presumably reflect dependencies of local, bathymetrically controlled surface currents on temporal and spatial details of regional wind fields. This suggests that more sophisticated empirical methods could improve prediction of daily ice movements off Labrador and Newfoundland.

Floe Size

The horizontal dimensions of individual ice floes are complicated functions of ice history, concentration and thickness. As well, they are sensitive to water temperature, sea state and proximity to ice pack and land. In Newfoundland waters, distinctions are made between the size characteristics of floes located within roughly 100 km of the coastline and in areas north and south of the 49°N northern boundary of the Grand Banks. Physical confinement, colder air and water temperatures and the more effective damping of wave amplitudes by seaward ice generally restrict the largest floes at the inshore area. In the two offshore areas, floe sizes are smaller south of 49°N because of melting, and fracturing is enhanced by typically lower ice concentrations and higher water temperatures and sea states. In both offshore regimes, floe size decreased from west to east because of progressive decreases in wave amplitudes propagating into the pack ice from the open ocean.

Floes with diameters larger than 0.5 km are usually confined to the inshore regime and areas north of 49°N. SLAR data from 1978 to 1982 (Carrier, 1982) show that such floes can have diameters as large as 5 km and can comprise at least 2 percent of the pack ice in March and April. Unfortunately, because the ice edge did not move significantly south during the study period, these data contribute little to knowledge of floe characteristics near Terra Nova.

Nevertheless, AES composite ice chart data for 1964 to 1987 indicate that floes had diameters larger than 0.1 km in only 10 percent of reported occurrences of ice within

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 50 km of Terra Nova. Estimates made in several earlier studies (Blenkarn and Knapp, 1969; Nolte and Trethart, 1971; Convey, 1972; LeDrew and Culshaw, 1977; Dobrocky Seatech, 1985) indicate that mean floe diameters in offshore areas south of 49°N are less than 30 m. Few observations of floes with diameters larger than 60 m were reported. A northwest-to-southeast size gradient was also identified (Dobrocky Seatech, 1985), with mean and maximum floe diameters decreasing from 8 m and 37 m, respectively, at 49°N, 51°W to 1 m and 3 m in the vicinity of Terra Nova (Seaconsult, 1988). Mean and maximum diameters may exceed these values by an order of magnitude or more (Seaconsult, 1988) when ice extent is close to its seasonal maximum in years of exceptionally severe ice conditions. There is evidence that many of the larger floes recorded in the cited studies and commonly observed on coarse resolution (1 km) satellite images are conglomerates of smaller floes bound at their peripheries by newly-grown, thinner ice.

Thickness

Physical growth of sea ice on the Grand Banks is largely confined to new ice formation south of the main regional icepack during early winter outbreaks of cold air and, later in the winter, in leads and irregular patches of open water interior to the pack ice (Table 3.3-1). This new ice is usually short-lived as a distinct entity because of:

- Melting in later warmer periods and dispersal by wave action - Incorporation into adjacent floes and deformed ice structures

Most of the sea ice on the Grand Banks is initially formed in upstream areas and increases in thickness during subsequent southward drift (Figure 3.3-13) late in the ice season. Figure 3.3-9 shows that slightly less than half of the ice coverage within 50 km of Terra Nova is thicker than 30 cm. Figure 3.3-14 shows a more detailed thickness probabilities in undeformed sea ice within 5 km of Terra Nova. This data was derived subjectively (Seaconsult, 1988) from the 1959 to 1987 AES ice chart data used to construct Figure 3.3-9 and is probably least reliable at the upper extreme of the thickness range. The absence of ice significantly thicker than 1 m shown in Figure 3.3- 14 agrees with most field observations.

Exceptional reports of first-year floes with thicknesses of 2 m in an area several tens of kilometres northwest of Terra Nova (Dobrocky Seatech, 1985) have been attributed to high upstream growth rates in the presence of heavy seasonal snow accumulations. The occasional presence of even thicker, up to 6 m, multi-year ice is also possible; however, sightings of such ice are so unusual as to preclude meaningful frequency or concentration estimates.

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Deformation

The maximum thickness of undeformed sea ice is largely determined by the flow of heat from the ocean at the ice undersurface and the rate of heat loss at the ice surface. Ice is thicker than approximately 0.5 m on the northern Grand Banks because of ice from colder, more northern areas, as noted earlier, and ice deformation.

Sea ice deformation occurs in highly concentrated (approximately 10/10) pack ice typically near land or landfast ice, which mechanically restricts ice responses to currents and winds. Sea ice is deformed when it fails under the resulting compressive and, in some cases, shear stresses; this produces the rough surface topography associated with portions of the East Coast ice pack.

Deformations are generally classified as rafting, ridging or hummocking (Figure 3.3.15). Rafting occurs when one sheet of ice overrides an adjacent sheet. Ridging is associated with linear pileups and consolidation of ice blocks produced by repeated local failures at a common boundary between two sections of relatively undeformed ice. The third category, hummocking, refers to a much wider spatial distribution of randomly scattered broken and upturned ice blocks.

Quantitative data on deformed ice are usually confined to ridge-type deformations because of relatively easy characterization of frequency (number of ridges/km), length, width and maximum top-to-bottom thickness (sail height plus keel depth). Nevertheless, few quantitative data are available for the Grand Banks region, in part because linear ridge formations of the type commonly observed in Arctic areas are relatively rare. Instead, the deformed pack ice consists of fields of confused jumbles of uplifted and broken floes (Figure 3.3-15b). Observation indicates that maximum sail heights, corresponding to local peak heights in such fields, are approximately 2 m (Dobrocky Seatech, 1985). This estimate is reasonably consistent with airborne electromagnetic sensor measurements in Newfoundland areas farther inshore (Rossiter and Holliday, 1989).

Ridge thicknesses near Terra Nova also have been estimated from data gathered off southern Labrador during February and early March and extrapolated to the Grand Banks and Terra Nova region (Seaconsult, 1988). With this approach, which neglects the considerable meltdown and disintegration that accompanies additional drift, indications are that ridges or rubble fields with sails as large as 3.5 m could form on the Grand Banks (Bradford, 1972; Nordco, 1977; Nordco/C-CORE, 1978). Nolte and Trethart (1972) calculated average ridge heights of approximately 1 m. Assuming typical keel-to-sail ratios of 3:1 and allowing for meltdown during additional southward drift south, these results suggest that 3 m and 15 m would be appropriate estimates for the average and maximum thicknesses, respectively, of ridges in deformed ice approaching the Terra Nova site.

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It is important to note that, except in the case of early seasonal ice incursion (i.e., January or February) (Figure 3.3-10), when ice thicker than 30 cm is rare on the Grand Banks, the hazards of even maximally thick deformed ice are greatly reduced by melting of its constituent rafted and upturned floes and its interstitial, binding ice. These changes increase structural fragility and ice porosity, reducing the operational hazards of surviving ridge or rubble field fragments well below those associated with smaller pieces of denser old or glacial ice.

3.3.3 Icebergs

Origins and Controlling Factors

The icebergs that appear seasonally each year off Newfoundland are originally generated by marine glaciers located primarily (Feazel and Kollmeyer, 1972; Marko, in prep.) north of 68°N on the west coast of Greenland. Newly created icebergs move away from such source areas with the spring and summer clearance of sea ice and enter the basic regional circulation shown in Figure 3.3-16. The pattern of movement reflects both the predominant regional wind patterns and the strong cyclonic ocean currents centred on the continental slopes (Section 3.2.4).

Recent evidence (Marko, in prep.) suggests that most icebergs reaching Newfoundland initially move northward, taking a year or so to reach northwestern Baffin Bay. In the interim, the icebergs melt, fracture and subdivide, reducing their linear dimensions, on average, by a factor of about two. Many icebergs never reach northwestern Baffin Bay because of long-term or repeated groundings accompanied by in situ meltdown during the ice-free season in shallow West Greenland waters. Similar iceberg losses during subsequent ice-free segments of the circulation adjacent to Baffin Island and Labrador further reduce the number of drifting icebergs.

In fact, there is considerable evidence (Marko et al., 1994a; Marko, in prep.) that most icebergs reaching Newfoundland each spring and summer have drifted southward across 75°N from September to November of the previous year. This timing allows these icebergs to avoid significant depletion during subsequent winter drift past the Baffin Island and Labrador coastlines. Avoidance depends on the seasonal presence of impenetrable fast ice in adjacent shelf areas, as it prevents iceberg entry and grounding. Elimination of losses to groundings, together with the apparent absence of substantial deterioration during the southerly winter drift accounts for the essentially identical size distributions associated with iceberg populations observed in Northwest Baffin Bay each fall and off southern Labrador the following spring (Marko, in prep.).

Deterioration of icebergs during subsequent southward drift determines seasonal iceberg severities off Newfoundland. At most, only about 0.5 percent of the glacial ice calved into West Greenland waters each year (Reeh, 1985) reaches 48°N off

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Newfoundland in the form of icebergs. Actual annual numbers of icebergs appearing south of 48°N (Figure 3.3-17) (IIP and PAL data), have little correspondence with annual production rates in the West Greenland source area.

Instead these numbers are largely determined by sea ice conditions off and to the south of southern Labrador, which control mass losses to wave action and meltdown.

Figure 3.3-18 shows a roughly bilinear empirical relationship between annual iceberg numbers south of 48°N and mid-April spatial extents of sea ice off Labrador and Newfoundland. The breakdown of this relationship occurs roughly at ice extents at the 1000 m bathymetric contour. This contour is usually associated with the main axis of the outer branch of the Labrador Current and peak southward iceberg fluxes.

Additional sea ice in areas on and beyond the iceberg flow axis increase the probability for iceberg survival to 48°N. Additional offshore extensions of the pack ice shorten the length of subsequent drift through open, wave-exposed, warm water.

The horizontal movements of free-floating icebergs (i.e., ungrounded icebergs in open water or in low concentrations of sea ice) are largely determined by local winds and currents. When embedded in extensive fields of first year or older sea ice, iceberg movements follow those of the adjacent ice, except, perhaps, when such ice is in an advanced state of decay. In the vicinity of Terra Nova, generally characterized by low- to-moderate concentrations of relatively thin, structurally weak sea ice, icebergs tend to move independently of the sea ice, reflecting the influence of deeper currents. Nevertheless, iceberg speeds and drift directions on the Grand Banks (Figure 3.3-19) as measured over one- to three-hour time intervals in the years 1983 to 1985 (Seaconsult, 1988) are qualitatively similar to mean sea ice velocity fields (Figure 3.3- 11). About 65 percent of the measured speeds were less than 40 cm/s and 47 percent were directed toward the southwest.

Equivalent plots (Figure 3.3-19) of off-shelf drift data (Seaconsult, 1988) show the greater prevalence of higher speeds and easterly through southerly drift. This indicates the dominance of the strong Labrador Current on the northern and eastern slopes of the Grand Banks.

Several studies (Murphy and Anderson, 1985; Smith, 1993) show that, when reasonably accurate contemporary wind and current data are available, observed iceberg trajectories can readily be reproduced with simple physically based models of iceberg drift. Results (Figure 3.3-20) are relatively insensitive to model parameters such as air and water drag coefficients and, to some extent, to iceberg dimensions and shape (Smith, 1993).

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At present predictive model performances comparable to that indicated in Figure 3.3- 20 are attained (Marko et al., 1987) only with near-real-time wind and current data from locations within a few kilometres of the iceberg. Use of observed and forecast winds accuracies which are, at best, comparable to those for physically-based sea-ice drift models. Improvements in forecasts, which reduce average prediction errors to levels comparable to corresponding drift magnitudes over daily or shorter periods, have, thus far, only been obtained with mixed deterministic-statistical methodology (de Margerie et al., 1986). However, given the growing abundance of regional iceberg data, empirical approaches will enhance forecasting capabilities.

Variations in Local and Regional Iceberg Numbers

The numbers of icebergs crossing any given latitude off Eastern Canada vary considerably both annually (Figure 3.3-17) and monthly. At 48°N, on the approaches to the Terra Nova site, long-term averages of data compiled by the IIP over 1955 to 1985 (Figure 3.3-21) show that numbers of arriving icebergs peak in April but are at high levels from April to June. Nevertheless, maximum monthly iceberg arrivals for the year have been recorded in each of the months March through June and, in 1993, about 20 percent of the icebergs that year crossed 48°N in February.

Variations in the timing of iceberg influxes reflect annual differences in southward ice and iceberg drift rates, and the wind fields. Winds heavily influence drift rates, and the offshore position and extent of the ice pack.

The average number of icebergs crossing 48°N each month, over the full period of iceberg count records, would be expected to be higher than shown in Figure 3.3-21, given that iceberg totals (Figure 3.3-17) for most of 1955 to 1985 are lower than both earlier and, particularly, subsequent periods. Most of the higher iceberg numbers post-1982 have been suggested (Seaconsult, 1988) to be associated with the initiation of routine use of imaging radar in 1983. As noted previously, this technological advance allowed more efficient and, presumably, more complete survey capabilities. However, the annual counts obtained from PAL surveys, also plotted along with IIP data in Figure 3.3-17, show peaks of comparable magnitude to those pre-1983. Therefore difficulties in comparing different portions of the full annual iceberg count record may be primarily limited by remaining uncertainties in data extraction and evaluation procedures necessitated by current usage of radar technologies.

In any case, for 1989 to 1995, the close correspondences between reliable Labrador spring ice extent data (Figure 3.3-18) and the numbers of icebergs south of 48°N appear to be relatively independent of the use of alternative IIP and PAL data. These correspondences allow use of the time-series data of Figure 3.3-8 to confirm the exceptionally high numbers of icebergs off Newfoundland since 1983. The ice extent

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data indicate that 8 out of the 13 subsequent years show iceberg numbers in excess of 600, the threshold of the high seasonal iceberg severity category (Marko et al., 1987). The iceberg count data show the same results for 9 out of the 13 years. In terms of mean annual numbers of icebergs south of 48°N, the post-1982 numbers (701 with PAL data and 838 without) are approximately three times larger than the mean annual count (269) estimated for the previous 23 years.

The impact of such an increase in icebergs near the Terra Nova site is shown by plots of occurrence percentages for different ranges of iceberg numbers observed annually in the 1° grids containing the site (Figure 3.3-22). Comparisons of data from 1960 to 1982 (Figure 3.3-17) with the corresponding post-1982 results of Figure 3.3-17 (obtained using PAL data for the 1989-1995) period show a pronounced shift toward more iceberg per year iceberg numbers. The counts suggest that iceberg numbers larger than, alternatively, 50 and 100 icebergs were approximately twice as probable as in the earlier survey period. Iceberg-free conditions, corresponding to less than 10 icebergs per year were almost three times as rare, with an occurrence percentage declining from 56 percent to 23 percent.

A plot of annual iceberg numbers in other 1° grids between 45°N and 53°N (Figure 3.3-23) using 1989-1995 PAL data shows the regional iceberg distribution. The upper and lower numbers in each rectangle denote, respectively, sums of the maximum and mean numbers of icebergs observed each month of the year. The maximum numbers provide a worst-case representation of local annual iceberg severities as not all maximum monthly iceberg numbers actually were recorded in the same year.

These data show that icebergs are most frequent in the Avalon Channel adjacent to Newfoundland and over the northern and eastern slopes of the Grand Banks. These are regions associated with the strong flowing branches of the Labrador Current. The largest numbers of icebergs immediately adjacent to the Terra Nova 1° grid tend to appear in the 1° grid immediately to the north, northeast and east. These areas are traversed by the 200 m contour associated with the approximate inshore edge of the outer branch of the Labrador Current.

Iceberg Size Distributions

The accuracy of information on the physical dimensions of Grand Banks icebergs is limited by measurement uncertainties, varying selection criteria and often unspecified selection criteria. Recent work (Crocker, 1993; Crocker and Cammaert, 1994; Marko, in prep.) has distinguished between iceberg lengths greater and smaller than approximately 20 m.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0

The dimensions of the larger icebergs have been reasonably well described by lognormal or gamma distributions in upstream areas such as Labrador, Baffin Bay and, to a slightly lesser extent, off Newfoundland. Figure 3.3-24 shows representative distributions of exceedance percentages for the waterline lengths of icebergs in this category (Seaconsult, 1988). This information is based on data gathered from surface vessel surveys in Newfoundland waters south of 49°N and east of 51°W. The on- and off-shelf data, corresponding to local water depths less than and greater than 100 m, respectively show the effects of bathymetry on iceberg distribution. The restriction of draft in the shallower waters introduces similar limitations on other, draft-correlated dimensions.

Figure 3.3-24 shows:

- Negligible probability in on-shelf areas of icebergs longer than about 180 m - Mean onshelf iceberg lengths of 68.9 m - Mean iceberg lengths of 80.7 m

The 8 percent probability of on-shelf icebergs longer than 120 m is comparable to a 6 percent figure obtained from 1989-1995 PAL data (PAL, 1995) for the Terra Nova 1° grid. However, since two-thirds of the latter icebergs were observed in a single year, 1989, the considerable spatial and temporal averaging in the distributions of Figure 3.3- 24 should be recognized. There has been little systematic study of the spatial and temporal scales of variations in such distributions beyond basic distinctions between the on- and off-shelf regimes.

Figure 3.3-25 shows the draft restrictions of on-shelf and off-shelf areas as derived from side-scan sonar measurements on subsets of the icebergs represented in Figure 3.3-24. In off-shelf areas, icebergs have drafts larger than 150 m and in on-shelf areas, iceberg drafts are in the 20 m to 100 m range. Mean on-shelf and off-shelf drafts are 59.8 m and 68.5 m, respectively.

Fewer data are available on above-water iceberg heights and on the overall masses of Grand Banks icebergs. Measurements of 113 icebergs on the northern Grand Banks (Ice Engineering, 1981a; 1981b; 1982; 1983) (Figure 3.3-26) show median heights of about 20 m. Only about 4 percent of the icebergs have heights in each of the extreme categories (less than 10 m or greater than 50 m).

Figure 3.3-27 shows a representative mass distribution derived for on-shelf regions from the data of Figure 3.3-24 using an empirically established connection between the mass and 30 percent of the cube of the waterline length (G.B. Crocker, pers. comm.). This approach to estimating the distribution of iceberg mass avoids the statistical problems posed by the small sample sizes used in most previous estimates. It also reproduces observations that only a few percent of the on-shelf icebergs have masses in excess of 1 million tons (Seaconsult, 1988).

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Figure 3.3-27 shows that three-quarters of the icebergs appearing inside the 100 m contour on the Grand Banks have masses smaller than 250 000 tons.

Only in recent years has significant effort been given to systematic study of the bergy bits and growlers which comprise, respectively, most of the lower and upper ends of the smaller iceberg regime (lengths less than 20 m). Bergy bits and growlers must also be managed to ensure transport vessel and support vessel safety. Even though they are smaller than icebergs they are still of substantial size, and they are more difficult to detect, particularly in high seas. Consequently, high operational priority has been given (Croasdale and Associates, 1994) to the acquisition of detailed knowledge of these smaller members of the regional and local iceberg populations. Measurements on several recently disintegrated icebergs (Crocker, 1993) over a large, intensively surveyed area (Crocker and Cammaert, 1994) indicate (Marko, in prep.) that relative numbers of iceberg fragments are a function of length by a common negative exponential probability law. Additional data and study are required to assess the universality and the physical origins of the latter law as well as to establish the nature of its connections with adjacent distributions of larger icebergs.

Iceberg Deterioration

As discussed earlier, the iceberg conditions at Terra Nova and on the Grand Banks represent the net effects of advection and accumulated deterioration on icebergs calved at least two years previously, primarily in West Greenland waters. Iceberg mass is lost all along individual drift trajectories, particularly where waves are strong and water temperatures are above freezing. These conditions tend to occur in areas and at times when sea ice is not present.

At present, iceberg deterioration can be quantified only by estimation (Anderson, 1983) of drifting iceberg lifetimes using highly idealized mass dissipation algorithms (White et al., 1980). These algorithms are based on wave-driven erosion at iceberg waterlines, but are limited in accuracy by multiple, factor-of-two uncertainties in key energy transfer- and iceberg characterization-parameters. They are even less accurate when applied to realistically shaped icebergs containing naturally occurring and erosion-generated structural defects.

Algorithm simplification has included attempts to represent the complex process of iceberg fragmentation in terms of idealized failure in the overhanging ice ledges, which are generated by the waterline erosion process (White et al., 1980; Venkatesh et al., 1994). This approach has limitations (Marko and Fissel, 1994). Crude estimates of overall floating iceberg mass loss rates have been made in model studies (Marko et al., 1994a) by scaling-up the White et al. (1980) wave erosion algorithm to reproduce losses inferred from repeated estimates of individual iceberg dimensions (Robe et al., 1977; Venkatesh, 1986).

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 More recent work (Marko, in prep.) suggests that the observed, approximately lognormal character of size distributions in populations of larger icebergs all along the main iceberg trajectories (Figure 3.3-16) cannot be explained solely in terms of the mechanisms considered by White et al. (1980). Instead, the work suggests the observed size distributions indicate the presence of important modes of flexural failure driven by ocean waves. The proposed failure modes preferentially fracture icebergs into two or more comparably sized fragments at naturally occurring or erosion-induced structural defects. It was shown that this mechanism decreases in effectiveness when iceberg lengths become smaller than, roughly, one half of the prevailing ocean wavelength. This decreased effectiveness is consistent with the appearance of a different, negative exponential size distribution law in icebergs smaller than 20 m. Marko (in prep.) suggests the latter size distribution is most consistent with the predominance, in small icebergs, of fracture processes which occur with equal probability at randomly distributed structural defects.

Iceberg Scouring

Icebergs with drafts exceeding local water depths disturb the sea floor, resulting in continuous or interrupted linear gouges and pits. These are called iceberg scours. The dimensions and frequencies of scours can be used to assess probabilities for unwanted interactions between icebergs and oil production infrastructure on or below the sea floor.

Details of the scouring process are only incompletely known and undoubtedly depend on the following:

· Sea bottom slope and composition · Iceberg shape and stability · Strength and directionality of the current-, wind- and sea ice-forces acting on the iceberg

Evidence accumulated off Labrador suggests that long, continuous ice scours are most often generated by icebergs stabilized by adjacent dense sea ice (Geonautics Ltd., 1989). Such icebergs, particularly in the thicker ice found north of the Grand Banks, have limited rotation about both vertical and horizontal axes, which are important determinants of scour characteristics (Woodward-Lynas et al., 1985). These rotations, along with, presumably, fracture and breakage of bottom-embedded keels, eventually reorient icebergs into shallower draft configurations. In other circumstances, rotations about horizontal axes of free-floating icebergs increase iceberg draft and initiate scouring.

Scouring probabilities and depths have been assessed using a variety of techniques and various mixtures of data:

· Sedimentation rates

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 · Incident iceberg numbers, drafts, velocities, depths and areal densities · Ages of existing scours

Table 3.3-2 lists basic existing scour data characteristics, as determined from sidescan sonar surveys of the region between 46° to 47.5°N and 48.2° to 50W°. The observed scours began and ended in similar water depths and did not penetrate more than 1.5 m into the seafloor. Figure 3.3-28 shows the frequencies of scouring near Terra Nova relative to other Newfoundland offshore regions in the form of contours of scouring density.

Table 3.3-2

Descriptive Statistics for Iceberg Scour at Terra Nova

Coordinates for Northwest Corner Coordinates for Southeast Corner 47.457°N 49.988°W 46.01°N 48.203°W

Parameter Scour Length Scour Width Sour Depth Change in Water Depth m m m m

No. of records 62 53 53 - Maximum 3370 85 1.5 1.0 Minimum 60 7 0.0 0.0 Average 566.3 24.8 0.6 0.8 Std. Dev. 623.2 4.0 0.3 0.4

Note: These scour statistics are for water depths between 80 and 100 m.

Highest scouring densities tend to be concentrated, in spite of the deeper water, in strong current regimes associated with the Avalon Channel, the outer slopes of the Grand Banks and areas off southern Labrador.

Conversion of the approximately 100 scours/100 km2 density indicated for Terra Nova and surrounding Grand Banks regions into annual scouring probabilities require use of an estimated (Scott et al., 1984) age of 2500 years for the oldest scours in the vicinity. The simplest estimation procedures neglect the possibility that sedimentation has obliterated a substantial fraction of the scours. As a consequence, the resulting probability estimate of 0.04 scours/100 km2 per year (Lewis et al., 1987) represents a minimum value for the true local scouring probability. Initial attempts to refine this estimate by allowing for scour infilling by sediment transport yielded a probability of about 0.1 scours/100 km2 per year (Lewis et al., 1987). Still higher probability estimates of 0.35 scours/100 km2 per year were obtained by calculating scour frequencies from iceberg flux and draft statistics (d'Apollonia and Lewis, 1986). These calculations used iceberg fluxes derived from IIP data for the period 1960 to 1984 and draft statistics obtained from Labrador data. The IIP data should underestimate recent

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Grand Banks scouring probabilities because of the notably higher post-1984 regional iceberg fluxes; the Labrador data should produce the opposite effect because deterioration reduces iceberg draft during the additional drift from Labrador to the Grand Banks. Approximate cancellation of these opposing estimation tendencies is assumed, leaving the d'Appollonia and Lewis (1986) estimate as a tentative upper limit for local scouring probabilities.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3.4 Geology

Canada's eastern continental margin offers clues to understanding the geological setting of the Grand Banks and its hydrocarbon-rich zones. In broad terms, the geological history represented by the bedrock and overlying surface sediments of Newfoundland's Continental Shelf are the result of two long-term plate tectonic processes.

The first tectonic process took place during the Paleozoic era and involved the initial rifting of a primordial continental land mass. This was followed by the opening and closing of an old ocean (Iapetus Ocean) and ended with the collision of the continents on either side of the Iapetus to form a super-continent (Pangea). The colliding continents juxtaposed older Proterozoic crustal fragments and created the Paleozoic sequence of rocks which today are expressed topographically by the Appalachian Mountains.

The second tectonic process, which occurred during the Mesozoic and Cenozoic and which is of primary interest with respect to oil exploration and development, involved the birth and growth of the North Atlantic Ocean. This involved at least two periods of initial rifting that eventually separated the present-day land masses of North America, Greenland, Europe, and Western Africa. During these periods, thick sedimentary sequences were deposited along the western margin of the Atlantic in various sedimentary basins such as those shown in Figure 3.4-1.

The Jeanne D’Arc Basin has been the focus of oil exploration activity since 1964 and contains the Terra Nova and Hibernia fields. Sedimentological processes related primarily to ocean waves and currents, sea ice movement, global sea level changes, sediment slides and slumping, and glaciation during the Tertiary and Quaternary periods have resulted in the physiography of the seabed that exists today.

3.4.1 Bedrock Geology

The bedrock geology of the study area can be grouped into two principal complexes associated with the tectonic processes described above:

· A basement complex represented by pre-Mesozoic rocks · A thick, mainly sedimentary sequence of Mesozoic and Cenozoic age

Figure 3.4-2 shows the distribution of basement and sedimentary rocks in the study area. Table 3.4-1 is a geological time scale that defines the terminology used in describing the age of the various bedrock units.

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Pre-Mesozoic basement rocks (consisting of sedimentary, igneous, and metasedimentary rocks) have been encountered in shallow exploratory holes, and detected by geophysical methods, in various parts of the study area. They are exposed on the continental margin around Newfoundland as well as on the Flemish Cap, Eastern Shoals and Virgin Rocks. Elsewhere, erosional surfaces of the basement underlie the younger Mesozoic-Cenozoic sedimentary sequences. Table 3.4-2 shows the lithology of the exposed basement rocks and their location.

Mesozoic-Cenozoic Complex

The tectonic and stratigraphic framework in which the Mesozoic-Cenozoic rocks occur has been described by numerous authors (Grant and McAlpine, 1990; Tankard et al., 1989; Enachescu, 1987; and others). This complex of sedimentary and, to a lesser extent, igneous rocks represents the initial rifting and spreading of the continents to form the North Atlantic Ocean. Grant and McAlpine (1990) have grouped the various lithological units of the Grand Banks into six depositional sequences and have provided tectonic interpretations for each (Figure 3.4-3). These sequences are described below.

The lithologies forming Sequence 1 were deposited in the Late Triassic to Early Jurassic upon erosional basement surfaces. These rocks consist of red beds, evaporites, carbonates and volcanics. They represent arid continental depositional environments characterized by a succession of evaporite basins, coastal sabkhas, tidal flats, restricted lagoons and a neritic sea. These lithologies suggest an early continental rifting episode that failed.

Table 3.4-2

Lithology of Pre-Mesozoic Basement Rocks of the Study Area

Location Lithology Nearshore band paralleling the Tightly folded metasedimentary and Avalon Peninsula westward to metavolcanic rocks with a low grade of Fortune Bay metamorphism Virgin Rocks Diabase and a tillite with distinctive granitic inclusions Eastern Shoals Pink and white quartzites Flemish Cap Granodiorite intruding dacite and volcanogenic siltstone

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Sequence 2 lithologies were deposited during the Early to Late Jurassic within a shallow inland sea (or epeiric basin) that flooded the land. The lithologies characterizing this sequence consist mainly of shallow-marine shales and limestones, with siltstones and sandstones to a lesser extent. The Upper Jurassic Rankin Formation contains a 75 to 150 m thick, carbon-rich shale unit known as the Egret Member. This unit, which was laid down in a restricted, shallow, neritic sea and brackish lagoon environment, is the source rock from which oil in the Jeanne D’Arc Basin is derived.

From the Late Jurassic to Early , Sequence 3 lithologies resulting from continental uplift and rifting were deposited. These rocks, consisting of sandstones, siltstones and to a lesser extent, shales and limestones were deposited in fluvial fans, deltas, interdistributary bays, estuaries, tidal flats and shallow-marine environments. Oil-bearing reservoir rocks found in the Jeanne D’Arc Basin were deposited within this sequence.

Depositional Sequence 4 was created during the tectonic transition from continental rifting to oceanic spreading between the Grand Banks and Europe that spanned the Early to Late Cretaceous. This sequence is characterized by fine-grained estuarine sandstones, and lagoonal and tidal flat shales of the Avalon Formation, followed by sands of the Ben Nevis Formation deposited in shallow estuarine channels and tidal flats. Both formations are also recognized as oil- bearing reservoir rocks of the Jeanne D’Arc Basin.

Sequence 5 represents continental drifting between Labrador-Greenland and Greenland-Northern Europe from the Late Cretaceous to the Paleocene. Sedimentation was intermittent and produced deltaic deposits, chalky limestones, and transgressive marine shales with minor siltstones and sandstones deposited in a sub-littoral environment.

By the Eocene, sediment deposition over the Grand Banks had dwindled substantially. Subsidence and seaward tilting of the continental margin in the Tertiary resulted in the formation of semiconsolidated neritic sandstones, siltstones, and shales belonging to the Banquereau Formation (Sequence 6). A lowering of the sea level about 15 000 years ago exposed much of the Grand Banks, allowing subaerial and glacial erosion of the top of the Banquereau Formation.

3.4.2 Physiography and Surficial Sediments

The Continental Shelf of Newfoundland can be described in terms of three major physiographic zones (Fader and Miller, 1986; Fader and Piper, 1990):

1. An inner shelf of undulating relief underlain by Pre-Mesozoic basement with incised channels filled by glacial sediment

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 2. An inner-central zone of broad, longitudinal depressions (e.g., the Avalon Channel)

3. An outer shelf of large, shallow banks separated by transverse troughs (such as the Grand Banks)

Surficial sediments refer here to those sediments deposited during the Quaternary above erosional surfaces of the Tertiary Banquereau Formation. The main geological features that control the occurrence and distribution of surficial sediments on the continental shelf are as follows (Fader and Miller, 1986):

· The lithology and morphology of the bedrock

· The advance and recession of Pleistocene continental ice sheets that extended over the shelf

· A Late Pleistocene-Holocene low sea-level stand at about 100 m below today’s sea level

· An oceanic regime persisting since the Holocene that reworks the sediments

In general, the thickness of these sediments above the Tertiary semi-consolidated bedrock is believed to be between 10 and 18 m on the Grand Banks (Fader and Miller, 1986; Seaconsult, 1988). Table 3.4-3 describes the stratigraphy of the five main units. Of these, only the basal Grand Banks Drift and overlying Grand Banks Sand and Gravel occur in the Terra Nova development area (Seaconsult, 1988; Moran and Mosher, 1988).

The Grand Banks Drift is a formation of glacial till (or diamicton) that was deposited over Tertiary bedrock directly beneath the glacier. The Grand Banks Sand and Gravels are sediments consisting of lag gravels (including pebble-to-boulder sized fragments) and sands that represent most of the seafloor in the Terra Nova Development area.

The most common bedforms identified on the Grand Banks are sand ridges, sand ribbons, megaripples, and wave-formed ripples. Of these, the largest are the sand ripples which can be up to 15 m thick, 60 km long, and with a wavelength of 4 km (Seaconsult, 1988). Of interest are the numerous W-shaped bedforms up to 200 m in size that characterize the Terra Nova area. Their origin is unknown (G. Fader, Atlantic Geoscience Centre, pers. comm.).

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 Table 3.4-3

Stratigraphy of Surficial Sediments Overlying Tertiary Bedrock

Formation Lithology Thickness Remarks (m) Placentia Clay Strongly to weakly laminated, sandy to silty, 0 to 30 In part a time equivalent of Grand Banks Sand and Gravel; basinal marine clay deposits conformable with Downing Silt Grand Banks Sand and Rounded to subrounded lag gravels (pebble to 0 to 20 Basal transgressive deposits across bank areas (above 100 m water Gravel boulder range) overlain by clean, well-sorted, (generally a depth), formed during Late Wisconsinian-Holocene transgression. Much coarse to medium grained sand. Many clasts veneer) of the sand is presently undergoing reworking in various bedforms such have an Avalonian affinity. as sand ridges, sand ribbons, megaripples and wave-formed ripples. The thickest deposits are associated with sand ridges. Unconformable with Grand Banks Drift and Downing Silt. Adolphus Sand Fine-grained, clean to muddy sand with some 0 to 10 Sub-littoral deposits formed seaward of the Late Wisconsinan shoreline. gravel (generally a Occurs in water depths greater than 100 m. veneer) Downing Silt Rhythmically banded, silty clay of 0 to 10 Overlying and interbedded with normally consolidated Grand Banks glaciomarine origin. May contain dropstones. Drift. Most frequently occurs in basin areas, and probably deposited from sediment plumes and rainout from ice shelves. Grand Banks Drift Normal and overconsolidated, poorly-sorted, 0 to 60 Normal consolidated facies is restricted to basinal areas, underlying and gravelly and sandy muds. May contain shell interbedded with Downing Silt. Overconsolidated facies occurs over fragments. Coarse fraction often shows an large areas of Grand Bank and underlies the normal consolidated facies. Avalonian affinity. The two facies are thought to be separated by a glacial erosional surface (intraformational erosional surface). Much of the till is thought to have been deposited proximal to the buoyancy line of an ice sheet. Unconformable with underlying bedrock surface. Tertiary Siltstone, mudstone and sandstone Unconformity at surface probably formed by subaerial and glacial erosion 3.4.3 Hydrocarbon Occurrence and Production

During much of the Mesozoic-Cenozoic, an overall extensional tectonic regime combined with crustal subsidence, periods of rapid sediment loading, and development of salt structures resulted in the production of numerous faults (Enachescu, 1987; Tankard et al., 1989). These faults both define the margins of and dissect the sedimentary basins. To a large extent, they also have contributed to the migration and structural entrapment of hydrocarbons in the reservoir rocks. Figure 3.4-4 shows a variety of hydrocarbon traps that characterize the Jeanne D’Arc Basin, many of which are fault controlled. Figure 3.4-5 is a plan of the Jeanne D’Arc Basin showing the complex fault structure of the bedrock units.

Oil was first discovered in the Terra Nova Field in 1984 when Petro-Canada penetrated the Jurassic Jeanne D’Arc sandstone with its K-08 well. Following this success, eight additional wells were drilled to define and delineate the extent of oil reserves in the field. Terra Nova is the second-largest reservoir discovered in the Jeanne d'Arc Basin with recoverable oil reserves estimated at 48 x 106 m3 of light, sweet crude with API gravity of 32 to 34° (Petro-Canada, unpublished report).

The Terra Nova reservoir is subdivided into four major structural blocks: the West Flank, the Graben, the East Flank and the Far East. Drilling results have identified five major and two minor oil-bearing sands in The Graben and East Flank. Although the Far East block has not been tested by drilling, geophysical data suggest that it may contain up to 16 x 106m3 million barrels of recoverable oil. There are no plans to develop the West Flank at this time.

3.4.4 Seismicity

Nolan-Ertec (1989) has defined the Grand Banks seismotectonic province as a triangular area bounded by the Glooscap-Newfoundland Fracture Zone to the south; the Charlie Fracture Zone-Hermitage Flexure-Long Range Fault to the north and west; and the edge of the Continental Shelf to the east (Figure 3.4-6).

This area is one of relatively low seismic activity. Based on geological characteristics and information from historic events, earthquakes with magnitudes of less than M=5.5 are expected to occur in the Grand Banks province (Nolan-Ertec, 1989). However, past seismic events are not well documented for the offshore, particularly for earthquakes with magnitudes less than M=5 (Seaconsult, 1988).

The most seismically active portion of the Newfoundland Continental Shelf is the Laurentian Channel (along the Newfoundland Fracture Zone). Here an earthquake with a magnitude M=7.2 occurred in 1929, with aftershocks as high as M=6.

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Earthquakes with magnitudes of about M=6 occurred in the same area in 1951, 1954 and 1987. Figure 3.4-7 shows the epicentres and magnitudes of earthquakes recorded between 1929 and 1980.

In terms of relative seismicity, the Terra Nova site is comparable to the Hibernia development area (Seaconsult, 1988) and both are ranked as Zone 1 areas out of a range of 0 as the low to 5 as the high (Mobil, 1985). Zone 0 is well represented by the aseismic Gulf of Mexico, while Zone 5 represents areas of severe seismic risk such as in the Gulf of Alaska (Mobil, 1985).

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3.5 Shoreline Environment

3.5.1 Coastal Geomorphology

Shoreline sensitivity data have been collected by aerial video surveys in the early 1980s for southeastern Newfoundland by Mobil Oil. Northeastern Newfoundland shorelines from St. Anthony to Trinity Bay were surveyed by Petro-Canada.

The portion of the Newfoundland coastline described in this section extends from Cape St. Francis on the northeast tip of the Avalon Peninsula to Point Crewe at the tip of the Burin Peninsula. Based on the predicted movement of oil in the water, this is the shoreline area that could be impacted by a spill should one occur in the offshore development area (Mobil, 1985).

Newfoundland’s eastern coastline is generally characterized by rocky headlands and steep cliffs with few, discontinuous pocket beaches and baymouth bars, or barachoix. The shoreline varies from being deeply indented (the result of preferential erosion along unresistant faults, folds and erosive bedrock), to straight with few embayments (as along the Cape Shore of Placentia Bay where bedrock structure parallels the coast) (Catto, 1994).

To a large extent, the development of this coastline has been strongly influenced by the effects of the last glaciation. This influence is reflected by the predominantly pebble-gravel beaches that occupy 53 percent of the coastal backshore areas, and the rarity of sand-dominated beaches that occupy less than one percent of the shoreline (Forbes, 1984; Shaw and Forbes, 1987; Catto, 1994; Liverman et al., 1994; Mobil, 1985; Newfoundland Geological Survey Branch, unpublished data).

In an effort to characterize the beaches of Newfoundland’s eastern shoreline, Catto (1994) has grouped these areas into three categories:

1. Exposed systems 2. Low- to moderate-energy coves 3. High-energy coves

Exposed systems are those beaches that have developed along open coastlines where both shore-normal and shore-parallel (or longshore) currents govern sediment deposition and erosion. These beaches, typically found in Placentia Bay, derive their sediment from glacial till deposits located upcurrent.

Low-to-moderate and high-energy cove systems are well represented along the eastern coast of the Avalon (i.e., the “Southern Shore”). These beaches are typically characterized by dominantly shore-normal sediment transport and derive their sediment from nearby cliffs of bedrock or glacial till. This pattern of sediment transport implies

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 that sediment and contaminants, once introduced into a beach system, will remain within the cove for a considerable period and will be less likely to migrate laterally along the shoreline (Catto, 1994).

A number of studies have shown that sea level is progressively rising around the Avalon Peninsula at rates of up to 7 mm/a. This is manifested by coastal erosion rates approaching 1 m/a year at some beaches. To some degree, this erosion is the result of historic anthropogenic influences such as aggregate quarrying and construction near the shoreline; however, coastal areas relatively untouched by humans have also shown this pattern (Taylor et al., 1990; Catto, 1994; Liverman et al., 1994). A joint coastal monitoring program has recently been initiated by the Newfoundland Geological Survey Branch and the Geological Survey of Canada to measure the changing nature of this shoreline.

3.5.2 Hydrology, Oceanography and Ice

Rivers in the study area are typically small in total volume discharge, with a strong seasonal variation resulting from the annual cycle in precipitation. The most significant rivers (i.e., those rivers with drainage areas > 50 km2), and the water bodies into which they drain, are shown in Figure 3.5-1. Overall, the amount of freshwater input into shoreline waters is modest, given the comparatively low area of land drainage relative to the large lengths of shoreline around the Avalon and Burin peninsulas. Generally, local freshwater runoff is small in comparison to that arising from the melting of sea ice in spring in coastal areas, and on the northeast Newfoundland Shelf.

The tides experienced along the coastlines are moderate in size, with normal tidal heights of approximately 1 m (Section 3.2.5). Along the south coast, including Placentia Bay, the tide is predominant semidiurnal (two highs and two lows each day). Off the east coast of Newfoundland, the tide can be characterized as mixed, mainly semidiurnal (Godin, 1980).

Ocean currents in the exposed outer coastal areas are dominated by the southward flowing inner branch of the Labrador Current (Petrie and Anderson, 1983; Petrie, 1991; Narayanan et al., 1995). The inner branch of the Labrador Current has typical speeds of 20 cm/s, and is centred over the Avalon Channel, an underwater trough separating the coastline from the western side of the Grand Banks (see Section 3.2). Southward flows along the exposed portions of the shoreline, such as headlands, can be expected to be considerably larger than the mean flows at times. This results from the combination of the longshore drift, tidal currents and undertows induced by waves breaking along the coast. The Labrador Current turns westward after rounding Cape Race, and a branch of this current exhibits a cyclonic, re-entrant pattern in the mouth of Placentia Bay.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0

Within the major bays along the coastline, the local circulation can be markedly different than that on the outer coast. The circulation within Trinity Bay (Yao et al., 1988) and Conception Bay (deYoung et al., 1993; deYoung and Anderson, 1995) has recently been studied. Generally, the mean current speeds are lower (2 cm/s) in these two large bays than those along the outer coastlines. In most of the area, the flow speeds are controlled by the local underwater topography, with the basin shape playing a significant role in defining the characteristics of the flow field. Tidal flows in the bays are also weak, with typical speeds of a few centimetres per second or less for the dominant semidiurnal (M2) tidal constituent. Given the generally weak and variable circulation, the residence time for water, and any drifting matter including pollutants is much longer than for the offshore regions, DeYoung and Anderson (1995) estimate residence times in Conception Bay as about 40 days.

Exposure to ocean waves is a major determinant of shoreline characteristics as discussed above. The large ocean waves that occur in the offshore area (Section 3.2-8) have very high energy levels as they impinge on and break along the exposed outer shoreline. Again, within the larger embayments, and in areas sheltered by offshore islands, the exposure to ocean waves is much reduced, resulting in much different beach types in these areas.

Sea ice is also a seasonal factor in the shoreline environment. It can disturb the shoreline during break-up (through bottom scouring), or in more sheltered locations where it can be a landfast ice cover, it can protect the shoreline from waves and strong currents. Pack ice often covers the shoreline from mid-March to late April. In the major bays, the pack ice tends to remain in place for extended periods, while along the exposed offshore shorelines, it is moved quickly through the area by local winds and currents.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3.6 Chemical Environment

3.6.1 Water Quality

Trace Metals

Large concentrations of essential metals (e.g., Cu, Zn, Fe, V, Cr), and low concentrations of other non-essential metals (e.g., Hg, Cd, Pb) may be toxic to living organisms. Table 3.6-1 shows the results of two studies measuring the levels of trace metals in seawater from the Grand Banks and the Gulf of St. Lawrence. There are no data available since 1985 on trace metal levels in seawater from the Grand Banks. In general, metal concentrations in marine waters of the North Atlantic and in coastal areas do not vary widely except for some coastal regions with localized metal contamination (Eaton et al., 1986).

Table 3.6-1

Trace Metal Concentrations in Grand Banks and the Gulf of St. Lawrence Seawater

Grand Banks

Element Central Concentration Concentration Palegic NW St. Lawrence March November Atlantic Estuary (ug/kg) (ug/kg) (ug/kg) (ug/kg) Arsenic (As) 1.89 1.89 1.5 N/A Cadmium (Cd) 0.20 0.26 0.04 0.093 Chromium C) 0.31 0.37 0.23 N/A Copper (Cu) 1.85 1.97 0.11 0.84 Iron (Fe) 3.50 1.40 0.45 5.5 Lead (Pb) 0.39 0.41 0.003 N/A Mercury (Hg) 0.004 0.002 0.001 N/A Molybdenum (Md) 0.086 0.460 10.0 N/A Nickel (Ni) 1.36 0.91 0.23 0.52 Vanadium (Va) 0.16 0.13 N/A N/A Zinc (Zn) 3.79 2.01 0.35 2.11

Source: Data for Grand Banks is from MacKnight et al. (1981) in Mobil (1985).

Hydrocarbons

Detailed water quality studies of the Grand Banks by Levy (1983); and MacKnight et al. (1981) were presented in the Hibernia Development Project EIS (Mobil, 1985). There are no additional Grand Banks water quality data available since 1985.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 A study by Levy (1986) documented background water quality hydrocarbon values from the Labrador shelf area. Samples were collected from both the surface of the ocean (referred to as the surface microlayer in Levy, 1986) and at numerous depths (referred to collectively as water column samples). Floating particulate petroleum residues were also measured.

Background water quality data for the Hudson Strait-Labrador Shelf show:

- No appreciable amounts of particulate petroleum residues

- Extractable petroleum residues in the surface microlayer ranging from 4.5 to 20.9 ug/L (general background level of 8.13 ug/L)

- An overall background level in the water column of 0.51 ug/L

Levy (1986) also compared the results to hydrocarbon levels for the Grand Banks (Levy, 1983) since the Labrador Shelf is the source water of the Labrador Current which project south to the Grand Banks. The background level in the surface microlayer for the Labrador Shelf is substantially lower than that (28.9 ug/L) of the Grand Banks (Levy, 1983). Water column background levels are similar to reported values for the Grand Banks (0.17 ug/L; Levy, 1983); both are considerably lower than 1 ug/L. Levy (1986) noted that the background extractable petroleum residues in the water columns throughout the East Coast of Canada are well below the concentrations of petroleum-related substances known to have toxic or sublethal effects on marine life (Kiceniuk and Khan, 1983 in Levy, 1986). This study concluded that very low extractable hydrocarbon values are evident in the surface waters and throughout the water column. The primary source was suggested to be more likely from atmospheric fallout of aromatic compounds than from point-source emissions dispersed by oceanographic processes.

Dissolved Oxygen

There are two major sources of oxygen dissolved in ocean water:

· Photosynthesis by marine plants including phytoplankton · Gaseous exchange with the air environment

Oxygen is consumed in the marine environment during chemical oxidation of organic matter, called chemical oxygen demand, and plant and animal respiration, called biological oxygen demand. Dissolved oxygen (DO) is essential for natural water systems and its concentration is indicative of the ability of the aquatic system to sustain life.

DO concentrations often vary seasonally as a result of changes in water temperature, salinity and mixing. The DO concentrations in the Grand Banks water column have

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 been reported as uniform with mean surface values of 8 ml/L decreasing to 7 ml/L near the bottom substrate (Levy, 1983).

Recent oceanographic surveys report similar data. During a mid-spring 1993 survey of the Grand Banks, DO concentrations of 9.5 ml/L were recorded in the surface and 7.5 ml/L near the bottom (Colbourne, 1993). Oxygen saturations ranged from 100 percent at the surface to 90 m depth and to 90 percent in deeper water (Colbourne and Narasyanan, 1994). The high DO values were explained by the annual plankton bloom, which usually starts in late March - early April on the Grand Banks (Colbourne, 1993). Data collected during a July 1994 survey report very similar DO concentrations and saturation data as in 1993, with no evidence of oxygen depletion.

Suspended Particulate Matter

Microscopic biota, clay, silt, organic and inorganic nutrients that are held in suspension by currents and flow make up the suspended particulate matter and affect water clarity. Water clarity partly determines the amount of light scattering that occurs in an aquatic system and is an important factor of overall water quality.

Many of the suspended particulate components occur naturally and their concentrations will vary seasonally depending on mixing and primary productivity by phytoplankton. Anthropogenic sources of suspended solids (primarily silts, clays and nutrients via sewage) may increase the levels of suspended particulate matter to the point where primary productivity is adversely affected.

The level of suspended particulate matter for the Grand Banks region is in the range of 0.01 to 2.77 mL/L and is within normal ocean levels (MacKnight et al., 1981 in Mobil, 1985). There have been no recent data on suspended particulate matter levels in the water column.

Inorganic Nutrients

Inorganic nutrients such as silicates, nitrates and phosphates occur naturally in aquatic systems and are essential nutrients for phytoplankton. Nutrient concentrations in the water column vary seasonally and are affected by currents and phytoplankton concentration. In general, during phytoplankton blooms, such as in spring, nutrient concentrations decrease. During recent oceanographic surveys of the Grand Banks, inorganic nutrient concentrations were low in surface waters during summer (M.A. Paranjape and E. Colbourne, unpublished report, 1994). Concentrations increased in the fall because of mixing within the water column.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 3.6.2 Marine Sediment Chemistry

Trace elements, inorganic and organic compounds may occur in seafloor sediments as a result of various natural processes. In addition, sediments can be contaminated by these compounds by human activities such as fishing, shipping, oil exploration and atmospheric emissions. For example, the byproducts of petroleum combustion are known to be a major contributor of petroleum residues, heavy metals, and trace elements to the seafloor (Hellou et al., 1992). Contamination, both natural and anthropogenic, can result in a wide range of adverse affects on marine organisms (Macdonald et al., 1992).

Organics

Concentrations of hydrocarbons and petroleum residues have been measured in surficial bottom sediments taken from the Grand Banks (Levy, 1983; MDS, 1995). Table 3.6-2 shows the results of Levy's study in 1983 for the Hibernia EIS. A more recent study by MDS (1995) indicated no detectable levels of total petroleum hydrocarbons (TPHs) in any of 164 sediment samples recently taken from the Hibernia gravity base structure site (Table 3.6-2). This study also reported no detectable levels of polynuclear aromatic hydrocarbons in the samples.

Table 3.6-2

Concentrations of Organic Compound Residues in Marine Sediments

Location Petroleum Residue TPH PAHs (ppm) (ppm) (ppm) Proposed Hibernia gravity base N/A < 30.2a <0.1a structure site Grand Banks 0-4.7b - - Grand Banks 0-7.3b - - Scotian Shelf 0.01-2.3b - - Offshore N. Atlantic 1.0-5.9b - - North Sea 1.0-26.0b - - Coastal Nfld. 1.0-25.0b - Hudson Strait/Labrador Shelf 2.29 geometric mean c -

a MDS (1985). b Levy (1983) in Mobil (1985). c Levy (1986).

Petroleum residues in surficial bottom sediments farther north in the Hudson Strait and Labrador Shelf have been studied in detail and are known to be relatively low (2.29 µg/g) (Levy, 1986).

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 Trace Elements

The trace element content of Grand Bank surficial bottom sediments were studied in detail in the early 1980s for the Hibernia Development Project EIS as well as in 1995 (Table 3.6-3). The recent work, which was done by MDS Environmental Services Ltd. on 164 samples, focused on the proposed site for the Hibernia gravity base structure.

In Canada, there are no nationally accepted marine sediment quality guidelines. However, the criteria in the Ocean Dumping Guidelines can be used to define the nature of marine sediments to be disposed at an open-water site (JWE, 1995). In addition, measured concentrations from other marine areas in Eastern Canada can also be used for comparison (Table 3.6-3).

Trace element levels in Grand Banks sediments are generally either below the Ocean Dumping Guideline levels or within the range of values for other marine areas of Atlantic Canada. An exception exists for one MDS sediment sample which has 3000 ppm of barium and 212 ppm of lead. Mr. R. McCubbin with Hibernia Management Development Company indicates that these elevated values are likely localized and the result of past drilling activities located near the sampling station.

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 Table 3.6-3

Trace Metals in Marine Sediments in Eastern Canada

Grand Banks Weak Acid Ocean Leachable Total Gulf of St. Bay of Dumping Element Concentration Concentration Concentration Lawrence Fundy Guidelines (ppm) (ppm) (ppm) (ppm) (ppm) (ppm) Arsenic N/A N/A <1.0-2.7 - - - Barium 15-690 N/A 60-3000 - 310 -

Cadmium 0.02-0.43 <0.05-0.04 <0.05-0.35 0.04-.087 0.22 0.6

Chromium 1.48-39.00 <1.0 2.0-8.5 8-241 57 -

Cobalt 1.29-9.59 N/A N/A - - - Copper 3.0-25.6 <1.0 <1.0-8.8 3-76 15 45 Iron N/A N/A 800-11 000 - - Lead 0.7-15.3 <0.5-219 1.2-212 8-66 20 45 Lithium N/A N/A <2.0-3.9 - - - Mercury 0.01-0.02 N/A <0.01-0.03 0.1-12.3 0.03 0.75

Molybdenum 1.30-6.09 N/A N/A - - - Nickel 0.1-28.0 N/A N/A ------Vanadium 10.0-22.8 <1-39.5 N/A 8-215 51 165 Zinc 0.30-3.77 2.0-55

95032-0-EI-GM-00003.0, Rev.0 Chapter 4 Table of Contents

4. Biological Environmental Setting 4-1 4.1 Grand Banks Ecosystem 4-1 4.1.1 Plankton 4-4 4.1.2 Benthos 4-4 4.1.3 Fish 4-6 4.1.4 Marine-Related Birds and Mammals 4-6 4.2 Phytoplankton 4-9 4.3 Other Microbiota 4-14 4.4 Invertebrate Zooplankton 4-16 4.4.1 Species Composition 4-17 4.4.2 Geographic Distribution 4-18 4.4.3 Vertical Distribution 4-20 4.4.4 Seasonal and Annual Variability 4-21 4.4.5 Importance in Food Web 4-25 4.5 Ichthyoplankton 4-26 4.5.1 Geographic and Seasonal Distribution 4-27 4.5.2 Recent Ichthyoplankton Research 4-33 4.5.3 Geographic and Seasonal Distribution 4-33 4.5.4 Vertical Distribution 4-35 4.5.5 Interannual Variability 4-36 4.5.6 Flemish Cap 4-36 4.6 Benthos 4-38 4.6.1 Macrophytes and Associated Microscopic Algae 4-38 4.6.2 Benthic Fauna 4-39 4.7 Biofouling 4-45 4.8 Fish and Fisheries 4-48 4.8.1 Iceland Scallop 4-53 4.8.2 Snow Crab 4-55 4.8.3 Stimpson Surf Clam 4-55 4.8.4 Skates 4-57 4.8.5 Redfish 4-57 4.8.6 Capelin 4-59 4.8.7 Atlantic Herring 4-62 4.8.8 Atlantic Cod 4-65 4.8.9 Greenland Halibut 4-68 4.8.10 Witch Flounder 4-70 4.8.11 American Plaice 4-72 4.8.12 Pollock 4-76 4.8.13 Haddock 4-76

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4.8.14 Yellowtail Flounder 4-77 4.8.15 Northern Shrimp 4-78 4.8.16 Other Notable Species 4-78 4.9 Marine-Related Birds 4-85 4.9.1 Database 4-85 4.9.2 Breeding Biology and Nesting Populations 4-85 4.9.3 Foods and Feeding Habits 4-93 4.9.4 Geographic and Seasonal Distributions 4-93 4.9.5 Important Species and Areas 4-93 4.10 Marine Mammals 4-97 4.10.1 Database 4-97 4.10.2 Populations and Stocks 4-97 4.10.3 Food and Feeding Habits 4-100 4.10.4 Geographic and Seasonal Distributions 4-101 4.11 Predevelopment Pollutant Concentrations - Biota 4-103 4.11.1 Hydrocarbons 4-103 4.11.2 Trace Elements 4-107

Tables

4.1-1 Feeding Relationships of Commercially and Ecologically Important Finfish and Shellfish of the Study Area 4-7 4.1-2 Feeding Relationships of Important Marine-Related Birds and Marine Mammals of the Study Area 4-8 4.4-1 Zooplankton Biomass on the Grand Banks 4-22 4.4-2 Seasonal Peaks in Abundance of Major Zooplankton Species on the Grand Banks 4-23 4.5-1 Dominant Fish Larvae on the Grand Banks 4-27 4.6-1 Relationship of Standing Crop of Infaunal Animals to Depth 4-41 4.6-2 Stomach Contents of Common Fish Species as Percentage Volume 4-43 4.8-1 Species Caught Commercially in Grand Banks Study Area and Landed at Newfoundland Ports, 1992-94 4-51 4.8-2 Past and Recent Biomass Estimates in the Grand Banks Study Area 4-52 4.9-1 Marine Birds Recorded in the Study Area 4-87 4.9-2 Reproduction Parameters of Seabirds Nesting in the Study Area 4-89 4.9-3 Summary of Seabird Nesting, Hatching and Fledging in the Study Area 4-90 4.9-4 Estimates of the Numbers of Nesting Seabirds Within the Study Area and at Major Colonies in or Near the Study Area 4-92 4.9-5 Feeding Behaviour and Foods of Marine Birds in the Hibernia Study Are4 4-90 4.9-6 Summary of Bird Distributions in the Study Area 4-95 4.10-1 Marine Mammals Observed in the Study Area 4-98 4.10-2 Population Estimates of Marine Mammals in the Terra Nova Study Area 4-99 4.10-3 Food of Marine Mammals Occurring in the Study Area 4-101

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4.11-1 Concentrations of PAH in Muscle of Cod from Three Locations in the Newfoundland Offshore (ug/g. dry wt.) 4-104 4.11-2 Concentration of Aromatics in Muscle Tissue (ug/g. dry wt.) 4-105 4.11-3 Range of Concentrations of Trace Elements and Metals in Biota Sampled from the Hibernia Site 4-108

Figures

4-1 Environmental Study Area 4-2 4.1-1 The Ocean Ecosystem 4-3 4.1-2 Energy Flow Pathways in the Grand Banks - Flemish Cap Ecosystem 4-5 4.2-1 Mean 0 to 50 m Phytoplankton Chlorophyll Concentration and Primary Production Rate on the Grand Banks: 1980-81 4-10 4.2-2 Distribution of Chlorophyll-a and Nitrate-N in the Hibernia Area 4-12 4.4-1 Mean Zooplankton Displacement Volume in the Upper 70 m on the Grand Banks 4-24 4.5-1 Geographic Subareas of the Grand Banks Relevant to Ichthyoplankton 4-28 4.5-2 Seasonal Distribution of Dominant Ichthyoplankton Species on the Grand Banks: 1980-81 4-30 4.8-1 Major Offshore Plateaus on the Grand Banks 4-49 4.8-2 Distribution of Icelandic Scallops 4-54 4.8-3 General Distribution of Snow Crab Commercial Catches in 1994 4-56 4.8-4 Major Areas of Capelin Feeding on the Grand Banks, 1987-1990 4-60 4.8-5 Capelin Stocks and Spawning Migration Routes of Capelin 4-61 4.8-6 Capelin Catches Random Depth-Stratified Bottom-Trawl Surveys - Spring 1991 4-63 4.8-7 Capelin Catches Random Depth-Stratified Bottom-Trawl Surveys - Autumn 1993 4-64 4.8-8 Cod Catches From Fall Surveys 1990-1992 4-67 4.8-9 Inshore and Offshore Locations of Spawning Atlantic Cod 4-69 4.8-10 Distribution of Greenland Halibut Catches, Autumn Surveys, 1978-1992 4-71 4.8-11 Distribution of American Plaice Catches, 1992 Juvenile Flatfish Surveys 4-73 4.8-12 Distribution of American Plaice Catches 1990-1993 RV Surveys 4-75 4.8-13 Distribution of Yellowtail Flounder, Spring, 1978, 1990 and 1992 4-79 4.9-1 Seabird Colonies on the Southeast Coast of Newfoundland 4-86

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4. Biological Environmental Setting

This chapter describes the biological environment of the Grand Banks, with emphasis on the area for the Terra Nova Development.

The Hibernia Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) (Mobil, 1985), which was based on studies carried out in the early 1980s and earlier, provided the foundation for this document. The significant environmental changes since the publication of the Hibernia EIS, such as the decline in populations of many species of fish and the concomitant collapse of the East Coast fisheries, as well as the significant increases in knowledge of the Grand Banks environment, have been added and interpreted for the Terra Nova Development.

The study area for this assessment (Figure 4-1) is identical to that described in Mobil (1985). The extent to which certain topics are discussed in this section reflects the amount of literature published since 1985 and not their relative importance for the impact assessment that follows.

4.1 Grand Banks Ecosystem

Since the preparation of the Hibernia EIS (Mobil, 1985), a number of environmental and human-induced changes have occurred that are affecting the Grand Banks ecosystem. These changes include the collapse of many fish populations, primarily due to overfishing; water mass changes as evidenced by temperature and salinity characteristics over the last ten years; and the closing of most major ground fisheries. In addition there has been an increase in the harvests of other normally less-fished species such as crab, shrimp, scallops and clams. All these factors can potentially impact the Grand Banks at the ecosystem level and likely preclude the possibility of detecting any oil development-induced changes at the population level.

The Grand Banks ecosystem is a complex and dynamic system composed of and controlled by numerous physical, chemical, biological and human factors (Figure 4.1- 1). This ecosystem is not fully understood and it is not the intent of this document to investigate any of these factors in detail. The following description provides a general indication of some of the important relationships on the Grand Banks, and an idea of the impacts that may occur on those components of most significance (e.g., commercially important fish, seabirds).

The major components of the Grand Banks ecosystem and some of the key relationships are described briefly below and in more detail in Sections 4.2 to 4.10.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-1

4.1.1 Plankton

The term plankton is derived from the Greek for ‘floater’ and refers to those plant and animal organisms that drift more or less with water currents. Plankton includes microbes, algae, juvenile and adult invertebrates, and many species of fish eggs and larvae. Many plankters are capable of significant vertical movement within the water column in response to light and other environmental factors. Their distribution and abundance is determined by oceanographic conditions and season. In the North Atlantic, plankton abundance generally peaks in the spring and to a lesser extent in the fall. Plankton commonly occurs in aggregations caused by oceanographic conditions such as vertical or horizontal fronts (Sections 3.2.6 and 4.4.2) or behaviourial mechanisms that create "swarms." These aggregations are exploited by feeding sea birds, baleen whales and other predators.

In the Grand Banks ecosystem, primary production (the conversion of water and carbon dioxide into organic matter in the presence of sunlight) is accomplished primarily by phytoplankton in the upper 50 m or so of the water column. Important nutrients used by the phytoplankton during this process include various forms of nitrate, silicate and phosphate. Nutrients are recycled into the upper water column by upwelling, microbial activity and animal excretion. The resulting biomass forms the base of the food web that supports higher life forms. Important energy pathways on the Grand Banks are shown in Figure 4.1-2.

The phytoplankton biomass is used primarily by zooplankton grazers, which in turn are eaten by predators such as other species of zooplankton, fish, birds and marine mammals. It is likely that plankton populations have responded in some unknown and possibly unmeasurable manner to water mass changes over the last ten years. For a discussion of water masses, refer to Section 3.2.3.

4.1.2 Benthos

Benthos is another Greek term that refers to plants and animals that live in or on the sea bottom. The group is diverse in form and function and includes attached micro- and macro-algae, and invertebrates such as polychaete worms, molluscs and crustaceans. Commercially important members include lobster, scallop, shrimp and crab. Some species of fish spend most of their time on or near the sea floor and may use the substrate for cover, feeding and deposition of eggs. The composition of the benthic community is directly related to substrate type and water depth.

Benthic animals have a variety of feeding behaviours, including filtering, scraping, boring, scavenging, engulfing and seizing. They form an important food resource for many species of fish, including flatfish and cod.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-4

Changing conditions on the Grand Banks over the last ten years have probably affected the benthic community to some extent. Changing oceanographic conditions, if severe enough, can affect distributions. With the decrease in bottom trawler activity, mortality rates have decreased, but this may be offset by increased predation.

4.1.3 Fish

Fish species that occur in the Terra Nova area are not unique to the area and occur in many other parts of the banks. Both pelagic (e.g., capelin, mackerel, tuna) and demersal (skate, flatfish cod) are found. Table 4.1-1 lists commercially important species and their common food items. Fish are important not only as food for humans but also ecologically as predators and food for other species.

There appears to have been a recent shift in the species composition on the Grand Banks with a decrease in many species in addition to the much-publicized northern cod (Gomes, 1993).

4.1.4 Marine-Related Birds and Mammals

Marine-related birds and mammals are important predators of zooplankton, benthos and fish. They in turn serve as food for other species and recycle nutrients into the upper water column through excretion (Table 4.1-2).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-6 Table 4.1-1

Feeding Relationships of Commercially and Ecologically Important Fin Fish and Shellfish of the Study Area

Pelagic Demersal Shell Fish Larval Fish Larval Mackerel Herring Capelin Squid Atlantic Saury Lanternfish Swordfish Atlantic Salmon Tuna Bluefin Porbeagle Shark Dogfish Turbot Redfish Flounder Witch Pout Eel Pollock Flounder Yellowtail Winter Flounder American Plaico Red Hake Silver Hake White Hake Haddock Atlantic Cod Lumpfish Wolffish Thorney Skate Sand Lance Lobster Scall ops Shrimp Crabs Foraminifera, Protists X X X XXX Bryrozoans, Sponges, Tunicates X X X X X X X X Medusae, Ctenophores X X X X X X X X XXXXXX X Polychaetes, Nematodes XX X XX XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX X Gastropods X X X X XXXXXXXX XXX XX Bivalves X X XX XXXXXXXXXXX XX Cephalopods X X X XXXXX X XXXX X XX Brittlestars X XX XXXXXXXX XX X Sea Urchins X X XXXX XX XX Sand Dollars X XXXXXXX XX Sea Stars XXXXXXX XX Sea Cucumbers X X X X X X Copepods XXXXXXX XX X X X XX XX Mysids/Euphausiids XXXXXX XX XX XX XXXXXXX X Cumaceans X X X X X Hyperiids XXXXX X XX XXXX Amphipods, Isopods X X X X X XXXX X XXXXXXX Ostracods X XX Decapod Crustaceans X X X X X X X X X XXXXXX XX Pandalus XX XX XX XXXXX XX Pagurus XX X XXXX X Chionoecetes XXX Hyas XX X X Cancer X XXXX Homarus X Decapod Larvae X X X XX Chaetognaths X X X X Insects X XXXXX Misc. Small Invert. XXXX XX X X X X Invert. Eggs, Larvae X X X X Appendicularia X X Phytoplankton X XXXX Particulate Detritus XX Small Fish, Larvae XXXXX X X X XXXXXX Fish Eggs XXXX X X X X XX Redfish X XX X X XX X Cod X X XXXX X X XX Flounders X X X X X X X X X Hake X X XXX X XXX X XX Sand Lance X X X X X X X X X Pout X Wolffish XX Skate XXX Haddock XXX X X Capelin X X X X X X X X X Herring X XXXXX XXX X Mackerel X X X X X X X X X X Lanternfish X X X X X X X X X X X Misc. Fish X XX X XX XXX XXXXX

Source: Mobil (1985) Table 4.1-2

Feeding Relationships of Important Marine-Related Birds and Marine Mammals of the Study Area

Birds Mammals Pursuit Divers Plunging Surface Feeders Klepto-Parasites Birds Coastal Baleen Whales Toothed Whales Seals

Food Dovekies Murres Puffins Razorbills Black Guillemots Shearwaters Gannets Fulmars Storm-Petrels Phalaropes Gulls Kittiwakes Terns Jaegars, Skuas Waterfowl Grebes Loons, Cormorants, Humpback Minke Blue Sei Fin, Pilot Sperm Killer Northern Bottlenose Dolphins Porpoises, Seals Polychaetes, Nematodes X X X X Gastropods XX Bivalves XXX X Cephalopods XXXX XX X X XXXXXX Sea Urchines X Sand Dollars X Sea Stars XX Sea Cucumbers X Copepods X X X X X X X X Mysids/Euphausiids X X X X X X X XXXX XX Hyperiids X XX XX Amphipods, Isopods X X XXXX X Decapod, Crustaceans XXX X Pandalus X X Cancer X Insects XX Misc. Small Invertebrates X X Algae X Small Fish Larvae X X X X X X Fish Eggs X Redfish XX Cod X X X X XXX XX XXX Flounders XXX Hake XXX Sand Lance X XXX XX X X X XX Pout, Gunnels X X Tomcod X X Skate XX X Haddock Capelin XXXX X XX X XXX X X Herring X X X XXXX X XXX Mackerel X X X X Lanternfish X Misc. Fish X X X X X X X X X Offal X X X X X Vegetation, Seeds, Berries X Bird Eggs, Young X X X Seals, Birds X 4.2 Phytoplankton

In the marine ecosystem, primary production is mainly accomplished by two groups of plants:

· The phytoplanktonic organisms found floating in the water column · The macrophytic seaweeds and vascular plants

A third group, microscopic algae, which live on the surface of macrophytes and on bottom sediments, can be important primary producers as well, and often provide rich grazing areas for marine fauna in coastal areas. This section describes phytoplankton on the Grand Banks. Macrophytes and other attached algae are described in Section 4.6.

The following description of the phytoplankton of the study area is summarized from Mobil (1985) and the results of the Mobil-sponsored cruises of 1980 and 1981 described by Hollibaugh (1981) and Hollibaugh and Booth (1981).

The phytoplankton, composed of microscopic free-floating plants, are responsible for most of the primary production in the open ocean areas. In order to photosynthesize, these cells must remain in the upper lighted portion of the water column known as the euphotic zone. Phytoplankters cannot move themselves great distances; thus their distribution is heavily dependent on vertical and horizontal water movements (Section 3.2) and other physical processes. Their growth depends on the amount of sunlight (season) and the concentration of nutrients (e.g., nitrates, phosphates, silicates) in the water.

In response to the changing light regime and nutrient concentrations over the year, the phytoplankton community varies in abundance, growth rates and species composition in a relatively predictable pattern. In the northwestern Atlantic, the highest standing crops (as measured by chlorophyll a concentrations or cell counts) and growth rates (as measured by the amount of primary production) are usually found in the spring. This is known as the spring bloom, and is generally dominated by diatoms. After the spring bloom, the standing crop and growth rates drop back to near minimal levels, and then rise again to a second, generally smaller peak in late summer or early fall. This fall bloom is generally much smaller than the spring bloom and is dominated by dinoflagellates and other microflagellates. After the fall bloom, standing crop and production drop to a winter minimum.

The annual seasonal cycles of chlorophyll and primary production for the study area, averaged for all areas sampled in the Mobil-sponsored cruises in 1980 and 1981, are shown in Figure 4.2-1. In general, they follow the seasonal cycle described above. Before the spring bloom, production was limited by water column instability except at the frontal zone along the shelf break. At this time the phytoplankton crop was light-

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-9

but not nutrient-limited. In March, chlorophyll concentrations averaged 24 mg/m2 and primary production averaged 300 mg C per m2/d. As the season progressed, water column stratification and stabilization intensified and light levels increased. This was accompanied by a rapid increase in standing crop and production to a peak in May when typical spring bloom diatoms such as Chaetoceros and Thalassiosira dominated the phytoplankton. The peak average chlorophyll concentration was 130 mg/m2; at the same time production rates averaged 1710 mg C per m2/d. The spring bloom quickly dissipated and from July to September average chlorophyll concentrations varied between 11 and 18 mg/m2, while production rates varied between 238 and 299 mg C per m2/d. Chlorophyll concentrations were slightly higher in November (average of 31 mg/m2) but no samples were taken in October, and the full fall bloom may have been missed. The standing crop then dropped to its winter minimum in January (average chlorophyll concentration of 12 mg/m2 and production of 72 mg C per m2/d).

Data collected on the Mobil-sponsored cruises were used to plot the vertical distribution of chlorophyll and nitrate (the most limiting nutrient) on the northeast Grand Banks (Figure 4.2-2). In the winter months, the chlorophyll and nitrate concentrations are distributed fairly evenly throughout the water column. At the height of the spring bloom in May, chlorophyll levels are high in the surface waters, where nitrate has become depleted. During the summer, standing crop is again more evenly distributed throughout the water column and nitrate levels remain depleted in the surface waters. With the breakdown of stratification in the fall, nitrate levels are replenished in the surface waters while chlorophyll levels remain low.

The results of the Mobil-sponsored cruises clearly showed geographic variations in phytoplankton biomass and productivity. In particular, productivity appeared to be high in a frontal zone along the shelf break of the Grand Banks. It was also high in the Avalon Channel, in a patch south of the Avalon Peninsula, and to the west of St. Pierre Bank.

Since the Mobil-sponsored work in the early 1980s, no other comprehensive study of the phytoplankton has been conducted in the study area. Nevertheless, several smaller studies have provided some additional information. Anderson and Gardner (1986) confirmed that the shelf break was an upwelling area and an area of high productivity.

Pomeroy et al. (1991), in studies carried out in 1986, 1988 and 1990, showed that the duration and size of the spring bloom in Conception Bay and on the Grand Banks was characterized by considerable interannual variability that depended on weather conditions. It could be short-lived and intense or drawn out over a two or three month period between March and June.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-11

There is growing evidence that very small phytoplankton species, the "ultraplankton" play a much larger role in the spring bloom than was previously known (Murphy and Haugen, 1985; Li et al., 1993). Ultraplankton are cells smaller than 5 to 10 μm, and are composed of both prokaryotic chroococcoid cyanobacteria and a diverse assemblage of eucaryotic phototrophic species (e.g., prymnesiophytes, prasinophytes, chrysophytes, and cryptophytes). In more northerly waters, such as within the present study area, the cyanobacteria appear to be less important than in more southerly waters. Brown and Yoder (1993), using satellite imagery, observed large blooms of coccolithophorids (Prymnesiophyceae) over the Grand Banks, and speculated that these blooms seasonally impact the region's carbon and sulphur cycles. Prasad and Haedrich (1993), again using satellite imagery, demonstrated the spatial variability (i.e., patchiness) in chlorophyll concentrations over the Grand Banks. They found small patches of elevated chlorophyll concentrations in February off the Avalon Channel and in Bonavista and Trinity bays, and speculated that these may indicate production that sustains winter fisheries in these areas. Prasad and Hollibaugh (1992) and Prasad et al. (1992) used data from the Mobil-sponsored cruises to tune remote-sensing algorithms used to estimate primary production.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-13 4.3 Other Microbiota

In this EIS, microbiota are defined as the non-primary producing microscopic marine organisms, and include viruses, bacteria, yeasts and fungi. This description of the microbiota of the study area is summarized from Mobil (1985) and Bédard and Bunch (1983) who conducted microbiological investigations as part of the Mobil-sponsored oceanographic cruises of 1980 and 1981.

Relatively little is known about marine viruses, yeasts and fungi; this is particularly true in the northwestern Atlantic. Yeasts and fungi are generally more common in estuarine and coastal environments than in the high seas. They degrade organic matter, including petroleum hydrocarbons, but their role in the marine ecosystem may be relatively unimportant.

Much more work has been done on marine bacteria, and they probably play a more important role in the marine ecosystem. Most marine bacteria are heterotrophs, consuming organic substances for carbon and energy, and occur in both the water column and in benthic sediments. They play a vital role in converting dissolved organic carbon (DOC) exuded by phytoplankton into particulate bacterial biomass that is then available to other trophic levels. Estimates of the portion of primary production that passes through bacteria range from 10 to 50 percent. Some marine bacteria are able to degrade petroleum oil products; these are known as "oleoclasts". Oleoclastic bacteria are found as natural components of virtually all marine aquatic communities, although their activity may be low in pristine non-oil-polluted areas. This section describes the general bacterial community of the Grand Banks area, with some specific information on oleoclast activity.

Bédard and Bunch (1983) found that the activity of heterotrophic bacteria correlated directly with the biomass and activity of phytoplankton, although other factors modified the relationship. Microheterotrophs were responsible for maintaining DOC levels at fairly constant levels, and their activity increased when DOC input presumably increased during the spring phytoplankton bloom. Bacterial abundance did not vary much over time, however, this may be as a result of heavier grazing by nanoflagellates during bloom periods. The abundance and activity of microheterotrophs in the water column on the Grand Banks were comparable to those of other marine areas of similar trophic status.

Far more bacterial activity was taking place on the bottom sediments than in the water column. As much as half the bacterial mineralization on the Grand Banks may take place on the bottom. Again, bacterial activity in the sediments appears to exhibit little variation over time, apparently unaffected by the supply of organic matter from the water column. Activity and abundance was related to the organic carbon content of the sediments.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-14 The potential activity and abundance of oleoclasts in both the water column and the sediments were judged to be low. This was particularly true in July. Other evidence suggests that the natural populations of oleoclasts in the water column of the Grand Banks is an order of magnitude lower than most other uncontaminated marine environments (Mobil, 1985). Bédard and Bunch (1983) speculated that interactions between temperature, nutrients and naturally occurring cycles of oleoclastic populations will determine the rate of biodegradation of any petroleum released on the Grand Bank. Lee and Levy (1989) noted that microbes in the sea are able to increase and decrease their activity over a wider range than any other group of organisms, and that they remain dormant until conditions become favourable.

Since 1985, considerable work on the role of bacteria in the spring bloom of North Atlantic waters has been conducted as part of the Cold Ocean Productivity Experiment (e.g., Pomeroy and Deibel, 1986; Pomeroy et al., 1991) and the North Atlantic Bloom Experiment (e.g., Li et al., 1993). While the role of bacteria and the controlling mechanisms of bacterial production are not yet fully understood, their role in the bloom can be significant, depending on environmental conditions.

Pomeroy et al. (1991) found that the numbers of free-living heterotrophic bacteria in Conception Bay and Newfoundland coastal waters during the spring phytoplankton bloom were at the low end of the range reported in the ocean. Growth rates varied considerably with depth, suggesting layers of normal microbial activity in an otherwise microbially sluggish system. Bacterial numbers are normally high in eutrophic systems, but this was not the case for Conception Bay in April and May where both chlorophyll and photosynthetic rates were high. Pomeroy et al. (1991) concluded that microbial metabolism and production in cold waters are limited by both the ability of bacteria to transport and assimilate substrates at the low temperatures, and low concentrations of substrate normally present.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-15 4.4 Invertebrate Zooplankton

The term zooplankton refers to those weak-swimming or floating animals that more or less drift with the ocean currents (although some species are capable of extensive vertical migrations in the water column). The group is composed of a wide variety of organisms (from protozoans to vertebrates) with sizes ranging from tiny microbes to jellyfish with tentacles 10s of metres long. Many bottom-dwelling invertebrates (e.g., crabs) and fish have planktonic eggs or larvae. Zooplankters have diverse feeding modes that may involve the absorption of nutrients from DOC, the filtering of relatively vast quantities of water, the use of large mucus nets or stinging apparatus to trap prey, or various types of devices to seize prey. They play an important role in nutrient recycling and in the transfer of energy from the lower trophic levels (e.g., phytoplankton) to the important higher trophic levels of commercial fish, seabirds and marine mammals.

In predicting the impacts of chemical or petroleum hydrocarbon spills on marine zooplankton, information on the following is needed:

· Species composition, particularly dominant species · Abundance and biomass · Distribution in time, geographic space and water column · Position and importance in the food web · Variability on all of the above

The following sections briefly describe what is known about the invertebrate zooplankton on the Grand Banks in terms of the above topics up to and including the Hibernia EIS (Mobil, 1985). The background study by Strong (1981) was the major source of relevant information up to that point. Since the preparation of the Hibernia EIS in 1983 and 1984, there have been several studies relevant to invertebrate zooplankton populations on the Grand Banks. These works include the studies of communities and water masses (Anderson and Gardner (1986)), seasonal development (Anderson (1990)), microzooplankton herbivory (Paranjape (1990)), capelin feeding (Gerasimova (1994)), and distribution and abundance (Myers et al. (1994)). Relevant information from these later studies is highlighted where appropriate. Constraints on these recent data sources in terms of applicability to Terra Nova are discussed briefly below.

The results of Anderson and Gardner (1986) and Paranjape (1990) are based on work conducted on the Southeast Shoal. Information from this part of the Banks may not be directly applicable to the Terra Nova area because the Southeast Shoal is physically unique. An anti-cyclonic gyre centred over the shoal (see Section 3.2 for a complete description of the physical oceanography of the area) probably has important influence on the plankton community. The study of Anderson (1990) provides valuable information on the seasonal development of zooplankton, but it is limited to the Flemish Cap, another area unique in terms of physical oceanography. The approach of

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-16 Gerasimova (1994) and Myers et al. (1994) is broad scale and thus of some general applicability to Terra Nova. The continuous plankton recording (CPR) data contained in Myers et al. (1994) is of particular interest because it is derived from a large number of samples (17 000) over a long period of time (1959-1992). However, it suffers from somewhat sporadic coverage, particularly in the Terra Nova region of the Grand Banks, presumably because Terra Nova is somewhat off the normal shipping routes.

4.4.1 Species Composition

During the Mobil-sponsored oceanographic field program from March 1980 to February 1981, at least 86 species of invertebrate zooplankton from 11 phyla were collected on the Grand Banks (Strong, 1981). The dominant species varied according to collection method as well as location and time of sampling. In the 333 µm mesh bongo samplers, calanoid copepods predominated; the Atlantic cold water species, Calanus finmarchicus, was dominant in terms of overall abundance (1 to 1000/m3). C. finmarchicus is known to be the dominant calanoid in the Northwest Atlantic, including the Flemish Cap (Akenhead, 1980). Other abundant species included the copepods Calanus glacialis and Calanus hyperboreus (two arctic species that were particularly evident beyond the 200-m isobath and during May and June), Temora longicornis, Pseudocalanus minutus and Centropages harmatus. Barnacle larvae were abundant at certain stations and times.

In the smaller mesh (80 µm) ring nets, the samples were dominated numerically by the small cyclopoid copepod Oithona similis in concentrations commonly higher than 100 000/m3. Other numerous small-sized species included the cyclopoid Oncaea minuta and the hapacticoid copepod Microsetella norvegica.

The neuston net (333 µm mesh) sampled only surface waters (approximately the upper 10 cm). In these collections, the copepods C. finmarchicus, C. glacialis, P. minutus, T. longicornis, the amphipod Parathemisto gaudichaudi, the larvacean Frittilaria borealis, barnacle nauplii and crab zoea dominated at various times and locations.

Since 1985, analysis of the continuous plankton recorder data has confirmed what many other authors have concluded: namely that zooplankton in North Atlantic surface waters are dominated by calanoid copepods (Myers et al., 1994).

Several recent plankton studies have been conducted on the Southeast Shoal of the Grand Banks, but it is not entirely clear if species composition on the Southeast Shoal is directly comparable to the Terra Nova area. It likely is to some extent because some of the same water masses occur in both areas. Anderson and Gardner (1986) found a total of 56 taxa in samples collected in mid-May on the eastern boundary of the Southeast Shoal. Thirty-five of these were identified to species level. Thirteen shallow- water stations were dominated by the ctenephore Pleurobrachia pileus. Shelf-break

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-17 and deepwater stations were dominated by copepods, primarily 5th and 6th copepodite stages of C. finmarchicus and Pseudocalanus spp. Paranjape (1990) found the micro- zooplankton to be dominated by the oligotrichs of the genera Lohmanniella and Strombidium during three seasons based upon April, July and October sampling.

There have been a few new reports on abundance and biomass of some of the major species occurring in the area. Anderson and Gardner (1986) reported densities in the Southeast Shoal area for the most common species P. pileus, C. finmarchicus and Pseudocalanus spp. In the same area, these authors found the highest calanoid copepod biomass to be associated with Labrador Current water at the shelf break.

Anderson (1990) reported total invertebrate plankton volume (an indicator of biomass) seasonally for the Flemish Cap from 1978 to 1983. In addition, that publication contains density data for C. finmarchicus by copepodite stage and by depth (≤200 m; 201-400; ≤400; >400).

The most extensive data on abundance are contained in Myers et al. (1994). Monthly counts for the 10 m sampling depth are presented for about 50 taxa, including about 25 invertebrate taxa. In North Atlantic Fisheries Organization (NAFO) Division 3L, which contains Terra Nova, the highest counts are usually due to copepods, particularly C. finmarchicus, Pseudocalanus spp., T. longicornis, Acartia spp., O. similis, and a few others. While other groups such as hyperiid amphipods, euphausiids, and chaetognaths may not be as abundant as copepods, they may be extremely important in terms of biomass, at least at certain times and locations.

4.4.2 Geographic Distribution

Some of the major factors influencing the temporal and spatial distribution of zooplankton in the North Atlantic (Colebrook, 1982) are:

- The locations of main overwintering stocks - Water currents - Temperature

In general, water circulation in the Grand Banks and Flemish Cap areas is dominated by the cold, southward-flowing Labrador Current. The Labrador Current branches near the northern part of the banks into relatively strong inshore (Avalon Channel) and offshore components. Currents over the banks, other than wind- driven surface currents, tend to be weak and variable with a possible anticyclonic gyre on the southeastern area of the banks (Petrie and Anderson, 1983). South of the Grand Banks, the southward flow is bounded and turned eastward by the warm water of the North Atlantic Drift.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-18 Oceanographic fronts, boundary zones between adjacent water masses of dissimilar characteristics, may also affect the distribution of zooplankton by concentrating the free-drifting plankton. Of the six main types of fronts defined in a review by Bowman (1978), the ones most likely to be important in the Grand Banks region are:

- Fronts at the edges of western boundary currents - Shelf break fronts - Shallow-sea fronts formed around banks and shoals

If a gyre exists on the Southeast Shoal, it also may concentrate plankton. Although a number of fronts probably exist in the Grand Banks area and at least several expected ones (i.e., shelf-break front and a front south of the Grand Banks between the Labrador Current water and the North Atlantic Drift) may be relatively extensive and semi- permanent, no one has clearly demonstrated a "concentrating effect" on zooplankton populations in this area. This is probably due to the sampling locations being too far apart rather than a real lack of effect. Most large-scale studies in the western North Atlantic (IGY and CPR programs) have shown that total plankton (or at least the dominant species C. finmarchicus), as measured by total numbers or biomass, is higher on the Grand Banks than in the oceanic water farther offshore (Kusmorskaya, 1959; Robinson et al., 1975).

Most plankton researchers attempt to relate particular species or groups of species to specific water masses. This approach is often more useful than simply describing species composition relative to fixed geographic points, since the planktonic environment is extremely dynamic, particularly on the Grand Banks. Species that appear particularly useful as indicators of water types in the area of interest include C. glacialis (water of arctic origin), C. finmarchicus (mixed arctic and Atlantic water) and C. helgolandicus (subtropical Atlantic water (Matthews, 1969; Jaschnov, 1970). Other species and groups have also been used as indicators at various times (e.g., large number of ctenophores for cold Labrador Current water (Pinhey, 1926); seven species of euphausiids for various water types and geographical areas near the Grand Banks and Flemish Cap (Drobysheva, 1964).

In general, the zooplankton of the Flemish Cap and the Grand Banks is dominated by cold-water (i.e., arctic or boreal) species (Pavshtiks et al., 1962; Semenova, 1963; Strong, 1981; and others). However, warm-water species may occur as "strays". Bainbridge (1961) and Pavshtiks et al. (1962) have reported patches of warm-water species in late winter just northeast of the Grand Banks; these species may enter the area in eddies or counter currents from the North Atlantic Drift.

During the Mobil oceanographic program (1980-1981), none of the regions (five representative subareas) examined demonstrated significant differences in zooplankton biomass, although during the spring the biomass at a few stations appeared to be consistently high. These high biomass areas included the northern shelf break, the

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-19 central part of the southeast bank, and nearshore stations near the Avalon Peninsula (Strong, 1981). No species, or groups of species, are reported by Strong (1981) to be more common or unique to specific geographic areas. There was, however, considerable variation between stations, caused primarily by the patchy nature of zooplankton distributions.

Zooplankton may be highly aggregated, by 100 to more than 1000 times the average density of the population as estimated by net sampling. This may be a result of the swarming behaviour of such animals as mysids and euphausiids and others (Omori and Hamner, 1982; Sameoto, 1983) or physical concentrating mechanisms such as eddies and fronts (Longhurst, 1980, 1981; Owen, 1981)). All of these concentrating mechanisms are known to occur in the Grand Banks and Flemish Cap area; however, their effects on the distribution and abundance of Grand Banks zooplankton populations has yet to be discovered.

The spatial and temporal scale of the sampling design utilized by Strong (1981) was too large to adequately demonstrate any concentrating effects. Farther south, Herman et al. (1981), used continuous sampling equipment, show a much higher estimated plankton production and copepod abundance at the shelf-break front off Nova Scotia than in the shelf and slope waters. There is likely also some shelf-break effect at the edges of the Grand Banks; Longhurst (1980) shows the approximate expected position of a semipermanent front (as composed from several satellite infrared images) and its presence was suggested in the data collected during the Mobil Grand Banks study.

There have been no broad-scale plankton surveys since the Mobil studies were completed. Anderson (1990) reports maximum calanoid copepod spawning, as evidenced by egg and nauplii densities, occurred in the shallow water over the Flemish Cap. However, this author also found evidence of spawning in deep water off the cap.

4.4.3 Vertical Distribution

Little information is available concerning the vertical distribution of invertebrate zooplankton in the Grand Banks area. The dominant species, C. finmarchicus, although found over the banks during winter, may overwinter in deep water off the banks. Semenova (1963), sampling during early spring, found much higher numbers (36 to 220/m3) in deep water off the banks and off Flemish Cap as opposed to 0-16/m3 in the shallow waters on the banks. Kusmorskaya (1959) sampled during early spring and late fall with closing nets and found that C. finmarchicus was distributed from surface to bottom over the banks but was more or less restricted to deep water (200 to 500 m) farther east. Kusmorskaya (1959) also found that total plankton was greatest in the upper 200 m near the banks and that during spring spawning the highest numbers of C. finmarchicus occurred in the upper 50 m.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-20 In general, the highest numbers of zooplankters are likely found in the upper 50 m of the water column, particularly during the spring bloom. This is true for eastern Canadian arctic waters (Buchanan and Sekerak, 1982) and Labrador waters (Buchanan and Browne, 1981), and is likely for the Grand Banks, which is heavily influenced by the Labrador Current.

Strong's (1981) study was not designed to collect vertical distribution information. However, the data based on surface (neuston) net collections suggest that four species of important copepods (including C. finmarchicus and P. minutus) were much more (by a factor of six) numerous at the surface at night than they were during the day. In addition, the surface-dwelling copepod Anomalocera patersoni and the amphipods Parathemisto spp. appeared to be much more numerous at the surface (i.e., upper 10 cm). This vertical migratory behaviour by some species (both invertebrates and fish) has been observed for many years. Invertebrate vertical migration generally involves four phases, mostly in response to light conditions (LaRow, 1976):

1. Ascent from day depth 2. Midnight sinking 3. Dawn rise 4. Descent to day depth

There have been no recent studies specifically addressing vertical distribution of invertebrate zooplankton on the Grand Banks. The CPR data are constrained by sampling horizontally at one depth (nominally 10 m but actually 6.7 ± 1.7 m; Myers et al., 1994).

Anderson (1990) provided valuable data on the vertical distribution of copepod eggs and nauplii, C. finmarchicus, and other copepods on the Flemish Cap. However, these data are constrained by the relatively coarse sampling strata used (≤200 m; 201-400; ≤400; >400 m) and by the fact that Flemish Cap is a unique area.

4.4.4 Seasonal and Annual Variability

The dominant seasonal feature of zooplankton populations in the North Atlantic is the massive development of herbivorous species (e.g., some copepods, including C. finmarchicus) either during the spring phytoplankton bloom or shortly after. Carnivorous species such as medusae, some amphipods and chaetognaths also develop rapidly at this time of abundant food. A lesser fall bloom may occur in some areas under certain conditions.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-21 Colebrook (1982) examined CPR data from the North Sea and North Atlantic since 1948 for four phytoplankton and five zooplankton taxa. He concluded that seasonal variations appear to be controlled by the distribution of main overwintering stocks, currents, and in some instances, temperature control of the rate of population increase.

C. finmarchicus undergoes massive spawning on the Grand Banks during the spring (Kusmorskaya, 1959; Pavshtiks et al., 1962). Vladimirskaya (1967), analyzed 810 samples collected from 194 oceanographic stations in the northwest Atlantic between 1958 and 1961 and found the greatest spring abundance of C. finmarchicus (3.5-7.5 x 105/m2) occurred in those areas most influenced by the Labrador Current (i.e., northern and northeastern Grand Banks). Mass development seemed to proceed earliest in the warmer water of the southern and eastern Grand Banks. Matthews (1969) also observed this from CPR data. Vladimirskaya found that during the summer C. finmarchicus was most abundant on the northeastern Grand Bank (5.0-7.0 x 105/m2) and the northeastern Flemish Cap (4.5 x 105/m2). During early autumn, the greatest abundance was on the eastern (3.2 x 105/m2) and southwestern (1.1 x 105/m2) slopes of the Grand Banks; in late autumn the greatest abundance was on the northern slope. Most C. finmarchicus were at overwintering depths (greater than 100 m or below 200 to 500 m where possible) by early October (Vladimirskaya, 1967). However, there may be a lack of discrimination between the possible species of Calanus (i.e., C. finmarchicus vs. C. glacialis) in Vladimirskaya's data, so the results must be used carefully. Vladimirskaya's (1965) data on total zooplankton biomass are probably of more use in impact prediction than the number of C. finmarchicus (Table 4.4-1).

Table 4.4-1

Zooplankton Biomass on the Grand Banks

Mean Biomass Season Depth (mg/m3) Spring 0-100 m 130-350 0-200 m ≤ 900 Summer 0-100 m ≥ 1000 Autumn 0-100 m 100-300

Source: Vladimirskaya (1965).

Mean total zooplankton biomass (as measured by displacement volumes) on the Grand Banks as determined by Strong (1981) appears to follow the classical pattern of great increases in the spring in conjunction with the spring phytoplankton bloom, a decrease in the summer, probably caused by predation and overgrazing of phytoplankton, and a

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-22 slight increase in the fall, possibly as a response to a fall phytoplankton bloom (Figure 4.4-1).

In contrast, Kendaris (1980), in an inshore study conducted from April to September, found that although copepod larval stages were at their greatest abundance in May, total zooplankton abundance was low until August, when it increased by a factor of five. Overall, the copepods P. minutus and Oithona nana dominated the zooplankton, with the copepod T. longicornis replacing O. nana in September.

C. finmarchicus dominates the zooplankton community of the Flemish Cap in terms of both abundance and biomass. Times of maximum spawning appear to be controlled by water temperature and occur in mid-April. They may be a month earlier on the shelf to the west and south of the Cap (the Terra Nova area) (Anderson, 1990). Spawning times of C. finmarchicus are known to be closely linked to the spring phytoplankton bloom. Maximum numbers of C. finmarchicus at the 10 m depth occur in August in NAFO Division 3L, which encompasses the Terra Nova area (Myers et al., 1994).

Peaks in abundance of some other major species at the 10 m depth are shown in Table 4.4-2.

Table 4.4-2

Seasonal Peaks in Abundance of Major Zooplankton Species on the Grand Banks

Timing Species January Pleuromanna robusta, Pleuromamma borealis, Pleuromamma gracilis January-February Metridia lucens March Clione limacina July Eucheata norvegica August C. finmarchicus, T. longicornis, Acartia spp., Podon, spp., Evadne spp., euphausiids November Oithona spp., chaetognaths

Sources: Myers et al., (1994). CPR data.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-23

One of the characteristics of plankton communities is their variability in time and space. While plankton are more or less ubiquitous, patchiness in community structure, abundance and biomass may vary on scales from several metres to many kilometres. There also may be considerable interannual variability, something recognized by recent researchers. For example, Myers et al. (1994), using the 1959-1992 CPR data, found a decline over the long term in both diatom and copepod abundances. Anderson (1990) found significant yearly differences in the development rates and abundance of C. finmarchicus. Anderson and Gardner (1986) noted the interannual variability in abundance of the predatory combjelly P. pileus, a potentially important determinant of larval fish abundance. Gerasimova (1994) remarked on the interannual variability in the location of capelin feeding areas on the Grand Banks and a shift from euphausiids to larval fish prey when euphausiids were scarce.

4.4.5 Importance in Food Web

Zooplankton play key roles in the world’s oceans. Herbivorous species such as copepods feed on phytoplankton and in turn are fed upon by predaceous invertebrates, fish, birds and marine mammals. Their grazing on phytoplankton is great enough to provide a significant pathway for nutrient regeneration as well as to influence phytoplankton species composition and biomass. Farther up the food chain, invertebrate zooplankton such as young copepods can influence fish abundance, because copepods are an important food source for young fish.

Conversely, predaceous zooplankton species such as jellyfish can influence the abundance of fish by predation upon fish eggs and larvae.

Recent research on the Grand Banks and Flemish Cap have provided further evidence of the importance of invertebrate zooplankton to the ecosystem. Plankton-grazing experiments on the Southeast Shoal have demonstrated the importance of micro- zooplankton in limiting phytoplankton and bacterial populations (Paranjape, 1990).

Anderson's (1990) Flemish Cap work supports the hypothesis of Runge (1988) that copepods act as a direct link between phytoplankton and fisheries variability in temperate marine ecosystems dominated by larger copepods. On the other hand, Myers et al. (1994) suggest there is no obvious evidence of this in the CPR data.

Copepods (mainly C. finmarchicus, C. hyperboreus, Metridia longa) euphausiids (mostly Thysanoessa raschii but also some Meganyctiphanes norvegica) and juvenile sandeels and capelin form the bulk of the capelin’s diet on the Grand Banks (Gerasimova, 1994). The slopes to the north and northeast of Terra Nova have been reported to be important feeding areas for immature capelin in spring (Campbell and Winters, 1973; Jangaard, 1974). Copepods are the most important food item for capelin in NAFO Division 3L (Gerasimova, 1994).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-25 4.5 Ichthyoplankton

The Hibernia EIS provides information on the Flemish Cap as well as the Grand Banks. Given the strong southerly flow of the eastern branch of the Labrador Current along the shelf break between the Grand Banks and the Flemish Cap, it is only in very unusual circumstances that the activities at the Terra Nova site could affect the Flemish Cap. At the same time the ecosystem of the Flemish Cap is unique (Anderson, 1984), and is not likely representative of the processes that occur on the Grand Bank. For these reasons, discussion of the Flemish Cap ecosystem is de-emphasized in this document.

At least 45 species of fish have been identified as early life stages (i.e., eggs, larvae or pelagic juveniles) in the ichthyoplankton of the Grand Banks and inshore waters of Newfoundland. The most frequently reported of these have been:

- Atlantic herring (Clupea harengus harengus) - Capelin (Mallotus villosus) - Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) - Sand lance (Ammodytes sp.) -Redfish (Sebastes sp.) - Seasnail (Liparis atlanticus) - Witch flounder (Glyptocephalus cynoglossus) - American plaice (Hippoglossoides platessoides) - Yellowtail flounder (Pleuronectes ferruginea)

With the exception of the sand lance and seasnail, these are all, or have been in the past, commercially important species in the fishery on the Grand Banks or inshore Newfoundland. On the Flemish Cap a number of additional species have been found, but usually in low numbers. Here redfish (probably Sebastes mentella and Sebastes fasciatus) completely dominate the ichthyoplankton.

Bonnyman (1981) found that seven of the nine species listed for the Grand Banks above comprised 87 percent of the total number of fish larvae taken throughout the Mobil-sponsored oceanographic cruises in 1980 and 1981 (Table 4.5-1).

The most striking feature of the ichthyoplankton on the Grand Banks is the complete dominance of the sand lance. Its average abundance was 188 fish/1000 m3, or nine times the abundance of capelin, the next most abundant species (Mobil, 1985). The sand lance is a small, slender fish generally considered to be pelagic but which is often found buried in bottom sands and which has benthic attached eggs. Commercially, the sand lance is not an important species, but other commercially important fish feed on them extensively, and in coastal regions they are an important food item for seabirds.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-26 Table 4.5-1

Dominant Fish Larvae on the Grand Banks

Species Mean No./1000 m3 Percent of Total Sand lance 188 65 Capelin 21 9 Redfish 12 6 Witch flounder 8 3 Yellowtail flounder 6 2 American plaice 4 1 Atlantic cod 2 1

The other six species are all commercially important. All but capelin are considered to be demersal (groundfish), although redfish may rise from the bottom, particularly at night. Capelin are pelagic and, aside from their commercial importance, are a key item in the food web, being a principal food item of whales, seals, seabirds and other fish. Capelin spawn inshore on gravel beaches where the adhesive eggs take about two weeks (depending on temperature) to hatch. In addition to these inshore spawners, an offshore spawning population is located on the Southeast Shoal area.

Redfish eggs are retained within the body of the female and the young are "extruded" when fully developed. The remaining species cod, witch flounder, yellowtail flounder and American plaice have pelagic eggs that float near the surface during incubation. Consequently, their distribution is affected by ocean currents.

4.5.1 Geographic and Seasonal Distribution

The following description of the geographic and seasonal distribution of ichthyoplankton in the continental shelf area off the east coast of Newfoundland is based largely on the Mobil-sponsored oceanographic cruises of 1980 and 1981. A description such as this, based on one year's work, cannot address variations in the ichthyoplankton that occur from year to year (see Section 3.1.3). The description is based on seven geographic subdivisions of the Grand Banks (Figure 4.5-1):

1. The Inshore area 2. The Avalon Channel-St. Pierre Bank area 3. Central Grand Bank 4. North and East slopes 5. The Southeast Shoal and Tail of the Bank

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-27

6. The Southwest Slope 7. The deep water off the banks

The seasonal distribution of the dominant ichthyoplankton species within these subareas for the years 1980 to 1981 is shown in Figure 4.5-2. "Mean numbers" in the following descriptions refer to the average for a number of samples collected in a particular subarea (Figure 4.5-1) or over a specific time period. Maximal mean numbers refer to a specific subarea or time where average densities were highest.

January

In January, the ichthyoplankton community was sparse. However, newly hatched sand lance larvae (6-10 mm in length) could be found on the Southeast Shoal, as well as a few scattered juvenile capelin (hatched the previous year).

March

In March, sand lance larvae increased in number and were more widely distributed across the Banks. American plaice and cod-type eggs (cod, haddock or witch flounder (CHW) eggs) were present on the Banks and on the slopes in low numbers.

April

In April, sand lance larvae were widely distributed on the Banks and appeared to be at their maximum concentration in some areas; the mean concentration of sand lance in the Southeast Shoal-Tail area was 7801 fish/1000 m3. In the deep waters off the slopes and along the slopes (but not on the banks), redfish larvae appeared in the ichthyoplankton. Plaice eggs were the dominant egg component of the ichthyoplankton in April, and were fairly widespread in inshore areas and on the Banks. CHW eggs were found in small numbers in all areas.

May

In May, sand lance larvae were still widely distributed, and cod and plaice larvae appeared in small numbers on the Central Grand Bank and the Northeast Slope. Redfish were found in close to maximal mean numbers and were still largely confined to the shelf slope and deep waters off the shelf. Maximum mean numbers of both plaice (464/1000 m3) and CHW (121/1000 m3) eggs were found in May in the Inshore region. While plaice eggs were found over most of the shelf, CHW eggs were largely confined to the north half of the Grand Banks. Yellowtail eggs were present in small numbers in all areas but the deep water off the shelf.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-29

June

In June, yellowtail eggs reached a maximal mean of 170/1000 m3 on the Southeast Shoal-Tail area of the Banks, and were abundant on the Central Grand Bank. CHW eggs were still relatively abundant, particularly in the Avalon Channel-St. Pierre Bank, the Central Grand Bank and the Southeast Shoal-Tail areas. The number of plaice eggs had declined, but moderate numbers were still found on the Central Grand Bank and the Southeast Shoal-Tail areas. In most areas, the number of sand lance larvae was declining in June; however, the mean number of sand lance larvae was high in the Inshore region (1717/1000 m3), primarily because of high numbers in the mouths of Placentia and St. Mary's bays. These larvae averaged 25 to 31 mm in length, and so had not been newly hatched. Redfish larvae were still found along the shelf break and in deep water, while relatively small numbers of plaice were found everywhere but the deep water off the Banks. Cod larvae were confined to the Central Grand Bank and the Northeast Slope areas. Witch flounder larvae made their first appearance of the year in June in the Avalon Channel-St. Pierre Bank, Southeast Shoal and Tail, and Northeast Slope areas.

July

In July, there was an increased dominance of flatfish eggs and larvae, and a decrease in other species, particularly sand lance. The number of plaice eggs continued to decline, while CHW eggs maintained relatively high concentrations, particularly in the Inshore, Avalon Channel-St Pierre Bank, Central Grand Bank and Southeast Shoal-Tail areas. In most areas, numbers of redfish larvae continued to decline; however, high numbers of newly extruded larvae were found at two stations close to the shelf break in the Southeast Shoal-Tail area. This resulted in the highest mean concentration of redfish for this area (126/1000 m3). It appears that a second spawning of redfish occurs on the slope of the Banks, as is thought to occur on the Flemish Cap.

Cod larvae were found in small numbers in all areas except the deep water off the shelf and the Southwest Slope; American plaice larvae were similarly widely distributed. Yellowtail larvae were relatively abundant in the Inshore region, on the Central Grand Bank and in the Southeast Shoal-Tail region. Witch flounder were found in most areas (except for the deep water off the shelf), but were most abundant in the Inshore and Avalon Channel-St. Pierre Bank regions. Capelin larvae made an appearance for the first time of the year in the Inshore and Avalon Channel-St. Pierre regions.

August

In August, the Inshore region appeared to be important for ichthyoplankton. Capelin larvae in maximal numbers dominated the plankton in this region (1731/1000 m3), but

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-31 American plaice (44/1000 m3), cod (30/1000 m3), and witch flounder (225/1000 m3) all exhibited their maximal mean numbers at this location and time. Yellowtail larvae were also abundant in the Inshore region, and reached maximal mean numbers of 82/1000 m3 on the Central Grand Bank in August. Capelin, American plaice, cod and witch flounder were abundant on the Central Grand Bank as well. Sand lance and redfish larvae had declined in importance as components of the ichthyoplankton in August, as had plaice, CHW and yellowtail eggs.

September

In September, capelin, cod, witch flounder, plaice and yellowtail larvae were still important components of the ichthyoplankton in the Avalon Channel-St. Pierre Bank and Central Grand Bank areas. They were likely important in the Inshore region as well, but no sampling was done in this area in September. CHW and yellowtail eggs were still found in small numbers on the Continental Shelf but not in the slope areas or off the shelf. Redfish and sand lance had almost completely disappeared from the plankton by this time.

November

In November, the ichthyoplankton were severely impoverished; only low numbers of capelin and occasional specimens of sand lance and plaice were found.

Summary

The ichthyoplankton of the Grand Banks can be described as having two peaks. The first occurs in April and May, and is dominated by sand lance on the Continental Shelf, and redfish on the slopes and in the deep water off the slope. The second, which takes place in August primarily in waters close to shore (and in the Central Grand Bank and Southeast Shoal areas for yellowtail) is characterized by the emergence of capelin larvae associated with peak numbers of cod and flatfish larvae.

Vertical Distribution

Of obvious importance in examining the potential impacts of a pollutant such as oil, which is concentrated on or near the sea surface, is the vertical distribution of fish eggs and larvae in the plankton. Data from the Mobil-sponsored cruises in 1980 and 1981 indicate that the overall concentration of fish eggs in the surface waters (as determined from Neuston surface samplers) was approximately 100 times greater than an average concentration through the water column to 70 m (as determined from oblique BONGO tows). The concentrations of CHW, American plaice, and yellowtail flounder eggs all were significantly higher in the surface samples than in the depth-integrated samples. The depth distribution of larvae was less distinct. While plaice, cod, redfish and witch

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-32 flounder larvae were all in lower concentrations in the surface samples than in the depth-integrated samples, the concentrations of capelin and sand lance larvae in surface and depth-integrated samples were not significantly different. Vertical distribution is discussed further in Section 4.5.4.

4.5.2 Recent Ichthyoplankton Research

Helbig et al. (1992), in an investigation of the environmental influences on the recruitment of Newfoundland/Labrador cod, state that very little information is available on the temporal and spatial distribution of cod eggs, larvae, and juveniles on the Newfoundland and Labrador shelves.

Given the economic importance of the northern cod stock in the past, and the resources expended on research related to this stock in recent years (Northern Cod Science Program), it is not surprising that even less is known about the early life stages of other fish species (with the possible exceptions of capelin and yellowtail flounder) on the Grand Banks, and in other Newfoundland and Labrador waters.

The Mobil Oil Canada Ltd. work of 1980 and 1981 remains the single most comprehensive plankton survey carried out on the Grand Banks. The work published since 1984 has mostly been done by researchers of Fisheries and Oceans Canada or Memorial University. This information tends to focus on particular species or on particular subareas of the Grand Banks. Virtually nothing more has been reported on the ichthyoplankton of the Northeast Grand Bank, in the vicinity of the Hibernia and Terra Nova oil fields.

Much of the recent work has focussed on testing two hypotheses related to the importance of egg and larval survival success (deYoung and Davidson, 1994):

1. The match-mismatch hypothesis that larval survival is dependent on the timing of larval emergence in relation to the timing of peak numbers of zooplankton food items

2. Larval survival depends on the larvae remaining in zones favourable for their development

4.5.3 Geographic and Seasonal Distribution

There is growing evidence in support of Bonnyman's (1981) observation that the drift of eggs and larvae onto the Grand Banks from the northeast Newfoundland shelf did not contribute greatly to the development of the ichthyoplankton community on the Grand Banks in 1980 and 1981. Recent evidence suggests that the retention of eggs and larvae in the general area where they are spawned is an important determinant of year-class strength (deYoung and Davidson, 1994; Davidson and deYoung, 1995), and

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-33 that cod, at least, spawn in areas where their eggs and larvae are likely to be retained (Hutchings et al., 1993). Helbig et al. (1992), using particle drift simulation modelling, conclude that Labrador Shelf cod eggs and larvae are segregated from Grand Banks eggs and larvae. They also found that drift rates over the Grand Banks appeared to be slow enough to ensure that eggs and larvae are retained, and that special retention mechanisms, such as are thought to occur on the Southeast Shoal, are not necessary. Drift of eggs and larvae off the Grand Banks into water of unfavourable rearing conditions is not thought to be a significant problem (Myers and Drinkwater, 1988).

In modelling simulations of cod egg and larval drift, deYoung and Davidson (1994) and Davidson and deYoung (1995) found that the northern Grand Banks was the most favourable spawning location from a "retention on the Grand Banks" perspective. This is consistent with the conclusion of Hutchings et al. (1993) who found that cod spawned all over the Grand Banks, but particularly on the northern half, and not exclusively on the shelf slopes as had previously been thought. It is also consistent with the findings of Bonnyman (1981) reported above, that cod eggs and larvae were often found in greatest concentrations on the northern half of the Grand Banks.

It has been hypothesized that the bays of northeast Newfoundland are important juvenile nursery areas for the northern cod stock, after eggs and larvae drift into the bays northeast from the shelf. However, Helbig et al. (1992), using particle drift simulation modelling, concluded that storm tracks had to be extremely favourable to cause drift into these bays, and that the Newfoundland northeast shelf was a far more likely juvenile-rearing area. This conclusion was supported by the work of Anderson et al. (1995), who found that cod eggs spawned offshore remained offshore, and that pelagic juveniles found in the inshore bays had probably been spawned inshore. These conclusions support those of Hutchings et al. (1993) who, in a review of information on cod-spawning locations, concluded that local, inshore populations of cod may make a larger contribution to recruitment than was previously thought.

Frank et al. (1992) infer spawning locations for three flatfish species from larval and juvenile distribution on the southern Grand Banks in 1986, 1987 and 1988, assuming passive advection in conjunction with measured currents in the area. The Southeast Shoal is inferred as a spawning location for yellowtail in two of the three years. For plaice, a spawning location along the northern or northeastern Grand Banks with southward drift in the Labrador current is inferred. There was little evidence that witch flounder had been spawned on the slopes of the Grand Banks, as had been assumed in the past.

Capelin larvae, on the other hand, are rapidly dispersed to the Grand Banks after hatching on beaches in Newfoundland bays. Using an advection-diffusion model, deYoung et al. (1994) conclude that the residence time for capelin larvae hatched at the

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-34 head of Conception Bay was approximately 20 to 40 days. Larvae that were hatched on beaches closer to the mouth of the bay had a residency time as short as a few days.

Other recent studies have examined the timing of the onset of larval feeding in relation to the timing of the zooplankton bloom (the match-mismatch hypothesis). Anderson and Gardner (1986), in an examination of the biological oceanography of the Southeast Shoal and shelf-break area that confirmed the higher productivity along the shelf found by Hollibaugh and Booth (1981), found high densities of sand lance and snail fish over the shallow area of the Southeast Shoal at a time when prey items (i.e., early stages of copepods) were in low supply and ctenophore predators were abundant. This was a somewhat paradoxical finding, inconsistent with the match-mismatch hypothesis.

In a study of the spatial distribution of capelin larvae on the Southeast Shoal, Frank et al. (1993) conclude that behavioural responses in older larvae enabled them to remain within patches of zooplankton prey, and that the importance of the match-mismatch hypothesis as a regulator of larval survival and recruitment may be less universal than previously hypothesized. On the other hand, Myers et al. (1993) note that cod spawning in all areas always occurs before the peak of the main zooplankter food item for cod larvae. They conclude, in support of the match hypothesis, that the timing of cod spawning is coupled to the timing of plankton production, but only in a general way; recruitment will not be strongly influenced by changes in the timing of the plankton peak, contrary to the assertions of the full match-mismatch hypothesis.

4.5.4 Vertical Distribution

Several recent studies have provided information on the vertical distribution of fish eggs and larvae. Frank et al. (1992) examined larval flatfish distribution on the southern Grand Banks based on ichthyoplankton surveys in 1986, 1987 and 1988. Yellowtail larvae and juveniles reach peak concentrations between 18 and 28 m, at or near the thermocline, with only small numbers being found at the surface. Plaice larvae appear to be predominantly subthermocline, and none were found in the surface 5 m. Witch flounder larvae were also centred around the thermocline (around 23 m) with only small numbers in the surface 5 m. All three flatfish species exhibit some daily vertical migration. However, the vertical range of diel migration in yellowtail is small, as it is for plaice and witch, providing little support for the theory of retention via daily vertical migrations.

DeYoung et al. (1994) found peak densities of capelin larvae within the top 40 m in Conception Bay, with smaller larvae at shallower depths than larger larvae. Frank et al. (1993) examined larval capelin on the Southeast Shoal and found that all size classes exhibited diel vertical migration. The vertical range increased with larval size; for yolk-

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-35 sac larvae, the range was about 15 m, whereas for large post yolk-sac larvae, the range was greater than 40 m.

Anderson and deYoung (1994) found that the density of healthy cod eggs decreased with age and development, ensuring a positive buoyancy and that hatching would take place in conditions favourable for larval feeding and growth. Dead eggs sank rapidly and were lost to the bottom, and eggs increased in density when exposed to unfavourable water conditions (e.g., low oxygen levels).

4.5.5 Interannual Variability

The concentration of fish eggs and larvae in the water column is subject to considerable interannual variability, by orders of magnitude in various fish species (Frank et al., 1992; Anderson, 1994). Myers and Cadigan (1993a,b) conclude that variability in relative year-class strength of groundfish is usually determined at the larval stage, but that this can change as a result of juvenile mortality. A variety of factors probably contribute to the interannual variability in egg and larval populations, including:

- Parent stock size in some instances (northern cod stock in recent years)

- The timing of spawning in relation to environmental factors (capelin and onshore wind frequency; Leggett et al., 1984)

- Strength and direction of currents (flatfish on Southeast Shoal; Walsh, 1992)

- Freezing in cold, low-salinity water (2J3KL cod; Myers et al., 1993)

- Spawning at the "right site" in relation to water temperature, spawning location and resulting retention time (cod; deYoung and Rose, 1993)

- Storm conditions and related degree of offshelf transport (Myers and Drinkwater, 1988)

- Abundance of prey and predators, water temperature and salinity

4.5.6 Flemish Cap

In an examination of the early life history of redfish on the Flemish Cap, Anderson (1984) determined that redfish constituted at least 90 percent of all fish larvae. Samples were taken in 12 surveys from 1978 to 1982, all conducted between March and August. Anderson confirmed that two species-specific peaks in larval extrusion occurred, one in early April, and a second, smaller peak in mid June (the early peak was Sebastes mentella and the later peak S. fasciatus). In the early extrusion, larval

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-36 abundances reached as high as 733 larvae/m2. Anderson also noted that interannual variability could be high, and that larvae greater than 13 mm were an order of magnitude more abundant in 1982 than in 1981. Anderson (1984) stated that the bimodal pattern of larval extrusion was unique to redfish populations in North America and the Mobil data indicate a similar pattern on the Southeast Slope (Section 3.12.1), with two periods of peak extrusion, May and July. Finally, Anderson (1990) examined the timing of the peak in copepod spawning in relation to the peak redfish extrusion period. He hypothesized that while the time of spring calanoid spawning did not vary much (mid- to late April), the interannual variations in the rate of copepod development would have significant effects on larval fish feeding, growth and survival.

Myers et al. (1993) report that cod spawn about two months earlier on the Flemish Cap than on the Grand Banks at similar latitudes, adding support to observations that the Flemish Cap ecosystem is distinct from that of the Grand Bank.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-37 4.6 Benthos

4.6.1 Macrophytes and Associated Microscopic Algae

The term "macrophytes" encompasses both large algal species such as kelps, and large vascular plants such as eelgrass. A flora of microscopic algae, often benthic diatoms, is usually found growing on these macrophytic plants and on bottom substrates where light conditions are suitable.

Mobil (1985) summarizes information on the macrophytes of the study area. About 300 species of macrophytic algae occur in coastal areas. Their spatial distribution is controlled by substrate type (macrophytic algae require solid, stable surfaces for attachment), exposure, light penetration, ice scour, and water temperature. The macrophyte zone is highly productive in Atlantic Canada, and provides important habitat for many fish species. Four distinct communities can be identified on the basis of location:

1. The community growing in shallow waters and intertidal areas of coastal Newfoundland

2. The community growing in the shallow waters of the Virgin Rocks-Eastern Shoals region

3. Coralline algal communities growing in deeper waters to depths of 50 m

4. Communities that have developed as part of the biofouling community on drilling rigs

Communities can be defined based on species composition as well. Generally speaking, two such seaweed algal communities are found in the study area:

1. An open Atlantic association of the north and east coasts that occurs in deeper cold water, mainly below 25 m

2. A community associated with the more protected waters of the south and west coasts that includes species at the northern or southern limits of their ranges

Within these two communities are species that exhibit winter-spring growth, and those that exhibit summer-autumn growth. Three reproductive periods have been identified: winter (December-April), spring (March-July), and summer-autumn (June-November). The reproductive gametes are planktonic, allowing ready dispersal to other suitable areas. Thus, drilling rigs that provide hard substrates at optimum depths and light conditions are readily colonized. Macrophytic algal communities exhibit zonation patterns with different species growing at different depths or at different elevations of

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-38 the intertidal zone. This zonation is evident on the artificial substrates of the drilling rigs as well.

Marine vascular plants, primarily eelgrass and cord grass of salt marshes are found only on fine-grained, soft bottoms in shallow, protected embayments.

Microalgae and coraline algae are important components of the benthos in water depths shallower than 30 to 50 m. Macrophytes (seaweed) are important at water depths shallower than 30 m.

It is unlikely that extensive macrophyte beds are located in the Terra Nova area where the depth is too great to allow development of macrophytic algal species. However, macrophytic communities will undoubtedly develop on drilling or production structures located in this area.

Since the summary of information on macrophytes provided by Mobil (1985), there has been little work of any significant relevance to the environmental implications of drilling for oil at Terra Nova (R. Hooper, Memorial University, pers. comm.).

4.6.2 Benthic Fauna

Benthic animals live in, on, or attached to the sea bottom. Infaunal animals live within the sediment and can include bivalves (clams), polychaete worms, some crustaceans such as amphipods and cumaceans, and other kinds of animals. Filter feeding infaunal animals feed directly on plankton, while detritovores feed on the bacteria associated with detritus. Detritovores may feed on the sediment surface or ingest sediment and extract whatever nutritive value it contains. In offshore waters, the source of this detritus is phytoplankton that sinks to the bottom, zooplankton faecal pellets and other organic matter of pelagic origin. In nearshore waters, marine algae and detritus in terrestrial runoff can also contribute to the detritus pool. Some benthic animals are carnivores and feed on other benthic animals. Hyperbenthic animals live in or on the substrate but are also active swimmers in the layer above the bottom. Epibenthic animals live attached to hard substrates.

Benthic community structure, animal and plant distributions and the standing crop of benthic animals are related to:

- Temperature - Water depth - Food supply - Predation within the benthos by fish and other pelagic predators - Disturbance - The passage of time

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-39 Benthic communities are not static. A community that has sustained heavy predation or disturbance from fishing gear may be very different from the pre-disturbed community and the communities that represent stages in succession from the disturbed state to a climax state. Because of predation, disturbance, differences in microhabitat over short distances and the dynamics of benthic communities, abundances of benthic animals are highly variable even within small areas (Vezina, 1988; Downing, 1989; Schneider and Haedrich, 1991; Schneider et al., 1987). Because of the high variance, differences among locations or over time can be demonstrated only if there are large differences in animal abundances, species composition, or both.

Historically, benthic studies have included the following:

· Taxonomic descriptions of the animals present

· Descriptions of the communities present

· Investigations of the relationships between animals and communities and the physical attributes of their environment

· Reproductive studies that include long-term population dynamics

· Investigations of the relationships between standing crop, community structure and food supply

· Trophic dynamic studies of the relationships between and among benthic animals, including studies of the effects of predation and disturbance

Over the years, predation by fish and disruption by fishing gear has been intense on the Grand Banks benthos. Studies of benthic communities or even individual species on the Grand Banks have not been conducted beyond the third level described above. Thus, there are insufficient data to explain the observed distribution of animals and to relate apparently different communities to the stages of succession within communities. Grand Bank benthic communities that have been classified as different may represent different stages of succession of the same community and there may be fewer basic community types than described by Nesis (1965) and Hutcheson et al. (1981).

Because of the decline in fish stocks and concomitant decline in fishing intensity, one would expect that some major changes in benthic community structure could have occurred since the last comprehensive study, conducted in 1980. The causes of the decline in fish stocks may have also caused changes in benthic community structure apart from changes related to predation and disturbance from fishing gear. Long-term cycles in benthos and plankton related to cyclical changes in hydrography have been

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-40 noted in other parts of the North Atlantic (Gray and Christie, 1983).

Species Composition

At least 370 species of polychaete, echinoderm, crustacean and mollusc occur on the Grand Banks. Numerically, polychaetes are the most abundant infaunal taxa, and echinoderms and bivalves are dominant in terms of biomass (Hutcheson et al., 1981). Crustaceans are the dominant hyperbenthic animal. Deep water and northern areas of the banks contain arctic/sub-arctic assemblages. Temperate species are characteristic of shallow water and southerly portions of the banks.

Standing Crop and Productivity

Infaunal benthos appears to decrease with increasing depth (Table 4.6-1). Hutcheson et al. (1981) estimated the average standing crop of infaunal benthic animals on the Grand Banks at depths between 51 and 421 m to be at 481 g/m2 wet weight. The highest standing crops are found in areas dominated by the bivalve Mesodema. Nesis (1965) recorded a biomass of 4.6 kg/m2 (wet weight) in one of these areas. At one of Hutcheson's stations dominated by this bivalve, standing crop averaged 7.3 kg/m2 wet weight (17 replicates over 5 sampling periods).

Hutcheson et al. (1981) estimated average annual infaunal productivity on the Grand Banks to be about 368 g/m2 wet weight (536 J/m2). The overall production- to- biomass ratio was 0.9 on a wet weight basis. These high standing crop and productivity estimates reflect the high primary production on the Grand Banks. Table 4.6-1

Relationship of Standing Crop of Infaunal Animals to Depth

Depth Standing Crop (m) (g/m2) 0-50 1573 50-100 449 100-200 168 200-300 47 300-500 47 500-1000 64 1000-1500 32

Source: Nesis, (1965).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-41 Filter feeding and surface deposit feeding are the most common modes of feeding (Hutcheson et al., 1981). Hutcheson et al. (1981) suggest that this reflects a direct link between plankton production and benthic communities.

Based on the combined work of Nesis (1965) and Hutcheson et al. (1981), the Hibernia EIS identified 12 benthic communities on the Grand Banks. Each community was associated with specific substrate, depth, geographic location and water mass characteristics.

Hutcheson et al. (1981) found no evidence of major seasonal changes in the structure of benthic communities during a period of less than one year; however, they did find seasonal changes in the abundance of some individual species.

Interactions with Fish

The feeding habits (as indicated by their stomach contents) of 14 of the most common fish species on the Grand Banks are shown in Table 4.6-2. Infaunal and hyperbenthic animals make up a significant proportion of the diets of these common fish species, and decapods and echinoderms are especially important. Polychaetes and crustaceans are important food items for young cod (Paz et al., 1993).

Interactions with Fishing

In 1985, approximately 236 100 hours were spent trawling on and near the Grand Banks (Messieh et al., 1991). This represents about 1 300 000 km of trawling effort. The total area swept by bottom fishing gear could be as much 9 000 km2 (estimated from data in Messieh et al., 1991). The effects on the benthos can include direct mortality of individuals, indirect mortality through exposure of animals to increased predation by fish attracted to the area, and long-term changes in benthic community structure (Messieh et al., 1991).

An ongoing (1990-97) collaborative research project on the impacts of trawling on the Grand Banks is being conducted by the Bedford Institute of Oceanography (BIO) and Fisheries and Oceans Canada (St. John's). The research is being conducted in an area about 60 km northeast of Hibernia that has been closed to trawling since 1987 (centre position at 47°10_ N, 48°17_ W) (D. Gordon, BIO, pers. comm.). The project involves assessing the impacts of one type of bottom trawl on a relatively homogeneous, sandy environment. Extensive, video-guided sampling of the sediment, and the infaunal and epibenthic communities has been conducted. There is preliminary evidence of impacts on sediments and some epibenthic species such as crab (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-42 Table 4.6-2

Stomach Contents of Common Fish Species as Percentage Volume

Atlantic Spotted Atlantic Longfin Common Roughhead Witch American Greenland Arctic Thorny Acadian Golden Deepwater Wolffish Wolffish Cod Hake Grenadier Grenadier Flounder Plaice Halibut Eelpout Skate Redfish Redfish Redfish Gammarid Amphipods 0.1 3.5 0.2 6.7 0.0 1.2 Cumacea 0.2 0.5 Decapods 3.7 28.6 9.1 53.7 24.5 29.6 1.2 13.2 33.4 35.7 11.0 3.7 35.4 Isopods 0.1 0.0 Echinoderms 28.8 30.3 1.3 1.0 5.4 5.7 86.3 0.2 52.8 0.1 Molluscs 2.2 0.3 1.7 1.9 4.6 0.4 1.7 0.8 4.2 4.1 Anthozoa 1.0 0.2 0.3 Polychaetes 0.5 0.3 0.4 22.3 4.8 80.1 0.8 0.1 3.4 2.2 0.2 Sponges 2.0 Tunicates 0.1 Sipunculids 1.8 0.2 Total fish and pelagic 63.8 38.3 89.1 46.3 46.8 57.7 0.5 11.3 84.8 9.4 56.6 89.0 96.3 60.3 Total benthic animals 36.2 61.7 10.9 53.7 53.2 42.3 99.5 88.7 15.2 90.6 43.4 11.0 3.7 39.7 Intertidal and Nearshore Benthic Communities

Coastlines adjacent to the Grand Banks consist of rocky cliffs, with fjord-like inlets and pebble-cobble beaches. Some sand beaches and salt marshes are also present. Substrate, wave exposure and ice conditions are important determinants of the abundance and distribution of intertidal animals (Steele, 1983).

The intertidal biota of Newfoundland is typical of that of the northwestern Atlantic. Barnacles, limpets, mussels, amphipods, and the predatory gastropod Thais are commonly encountered in the intertidal zone. Most intertidal and subtidal animals feed directly on plant material thorough grazing or suspension feeding. Gastropods, limpets and chitons are the dominant grazers in the intertidal zone. The sea urchin is probably the dominant grazer in rocky sublittoral environments. At depths below that occupied by the urchins, chitons are the dominant grazer.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4.7 Biofouling

Fouling of offshore structures by marine plants and animals can affect the safe operation of those structures (Hardy, 1981). Fouling organisms increase friction between the structure's surface and the water and affect maneuvreability, wave loading, and weight (Evans, 1981; Hardy, 1981). Fouling organisms, by their presence or through release of chemicals, can cause or increase corrosion. A dense cover of fouling organisms can also interfere with inspections. In situ cleaning of structures can be both dangerous and expensive.

The fouling potential of the Hibernia site has been assessed by Welaptega (1993). This report was limited by the lack of site-specific information but made the following points that are also relevant to Terra Nova:

· Microfouling, by bacteria, diatoms, protocoans, etc., if not properly controlled, can create operational problems such as blockage, dangerous H2S production, and corrosion of steel structures. In addition, microfouling prepares the surface for macrofouling.

· Macrofouling can cause operational problems such as blockage and excessive loadings.

Welaptega (1993) also modelled the amount of potential buildup based upon information from other areas. The riser, the floating platform and other subsea structures will likely be subject to colonization by fouling organisms. Offshore structures act as artificial reefs and are colonized by a wide variety of plants and animals (Forteath et al., 1982). Colonizing organisms can include attached forms such as seaweeds, hydroids, byozoans, barnacles, sea anemones, sea cucumbers, tunicates, tube-dwelling polychaetes and mussels (Forteath et al., 1982). Mobile grazers and predators such as starfish, urchins, limpets, gastropods, amphipods and chitons can also colonize structures (Forteath et al., 1982).

Availability of spat, competition for space and illumination are the dominant factors shaping the species composition of a fouling community on the Grand Banks.

Sessile animals produce pelagic larvae with a fixed life span. If the larvae do not find suitable substrate within a fixed time period, they die. Current patterns are an important determinant of the kinds of animals found on offshore structures. If currents carry live spat from breeding coastal populations to offshore structures, then intertidal biota will have an opportunity to colonize. The source for intertidal animal larvae that could settle on structures at the Terra Nova site could only be the north shore of Newfoundland. The inshore branch of the Labrador Current passes along the north shore of Newfoundland then divides southward and eastward. The eastward-flowing branch flows along the northern Grand Banks to its northeast corner where it joins the

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 southward-flowing, offshore branch of the Labrador current. The core of this southward-flowing current passes within 40 to 50 km of the Terra Nova site (Section 3.2.4). Eddies or wind could bring larvae onto the Terra Nova site.

Because of ice scour, attached intertidal life is sparse along exposed areas on the north coast of Newfoundland (South, 1983). In sheltered areas, intertidal life is comparable to that found in other parts of the island. Barnacles, mussels, Chondrus, and the rockweed Fucus, are common (South, 1983; Steele, 1983). The pattern of zonation in the subtidal zone is determined by grazing of the sea urchin Strongylocentrotus droebachiensis (Steele, 1983). In the absence of grazing, competition for space would determine zonation on production facilities. The kelps, Laminaria, Agarum and Alaria, the red algae, Ptilota, encrusting red coraline algae and Desmarestia are common subtidal plants (Steele, 1983). These could all be considered potential fouling organisms.

Desmarestia is a particularly noxious fouling plant because, when damaged (by, for example, wave action) it releases free sulphuric acid, which can accelerate corrosion (Hardy, 1981). The filamentous algae, Enteromorpha, can withstand wide fluctuations in environmental conditions and so is considered a cosmopolitan fouling plant (Evans, 1981). Enteromorpha is found on the north shore of Newfoundland (South, 1983).

In the North Sea, kelps have colonized platforms a hundred or more miles from shore (Moss et al., 1981). Zoospores can live for up to 80 days; millions are released by each plant. Young plants can be free floating and then attach themselves to solid structures.

Viable fertile barnacles, mussels, kelp and filamentous algae on supply boats and oil- transfer ships could also be a source of fouling organisms.

Starfish are not usually able to reach shallow regions of platforms that are anchored to the bottom (Forteath et al., 1983). Starfish and other predators and urchins may be unable to reach a floating production platform or the top parts of the riser pipe and so predation may be minimal. A lack of grazing by urchins could allow extensive fouling by large macrophytes.

In time, a clear pattern of zonation related to water depth and illumination would be evident on offshore structures. There would also be changes in species composition over time. Early colonizers might not be able to compete for space with other animals and would subsequently diminish in importance or be excluded altogether.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Growth of fouling organisms may be quite rapid. Animals that normally inhabit the intertidal zone are always immersed in water when attached to offshore structures and so can feed continuously (Forteath et al., 1983).

Animals that normally live in the intertidal zone may not have restricted depth distribution in offshore waters. In the north sea, the barnacle Balanus crenatus can be found between mean low water and 60 m depth, and the mussel Mytilus edulis can dominate the fouling community on oil and gas platforms from mean low water to depths of 30 m (Forteath et al., 1983).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4.8 Fish and Fisheries

This section is based on published literature (primary publications and government publications) and unpublished data provided by Fisheries and Oceans Canada. Data regarding commercial fisheries statistics came primarily from Fisheries and Oceans Canada and NAFO sources as compiled by Canning & Pitt Associates, Inc. Figure 4.8- 1 shows the NAFO divisions offshore Newfoundland, and the major offshore plateaus of the Grand Banks. The Terra Nova site is located in Division 3L.

Major finfish and invertebrate stocks have changed drastically in the past eleven years. Cod have traditionally dominated catches in Newfoundland waters but in recent years, cod stocks have declined drastically, and other species have become more commercially important. Almost without exception, the traditional groundfish resources in the waters around Newfoundland are presently at or very near historical low levels. For Canadian-managed stocks with total allowable catches still in place, information suggests that they may still be in decline. For the NAFO-managed resources, excluding those of the Flemish Cap, directed fisheries remain open only for Greenland halibut and 3LN redfish.

Based on Canadian and foreign catch size (Mobil, 1985), the five most important species on the Grand Banks in 1982 (the base year described in the Hibernia EIS) were Atlantic cod, redfish, American plaice, capelin and yellowtail flounder. Approximate total landings of each species in the study area in 1982 (NAFO, 1995) were as follows:

· Atlantic cod (3LMNO) - 137 000 t · Redfish (3LMN) - 36 000 t · American plaice (3LMNO) - 51 000 t · Capelin (3NO) - 0 t · Yellowtail flounder (3LNO) - 12 000 t

By 1994, NAFO catch statistics pertaining to these species in the same Divisions had changed appreciably:

· Atlantic cod - 40 000 t · Redfish - 18 000 t · American plaice - 8100 t · Capelin - 0 t · Yellowtail flounder - 2000 t

There was no offshore capelin fishery in either 1982 or 1994. However, capelin was an important inshore commercial species in 1982.

The five most important species in the study area in 1994 (excluding 3M), based on total landings at Newfoundland ports (Canning & Pitt, 1995), were Stimpson surf clam

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0

(11 092 t), snow crab (4742 t), Iceland scallops (4033 t), skate (mainly thorny skate) (1940 t), and redfish (1495 t). Catches of all other species were less than 1100 t. Table 4.8-1 lists commercial species landed at Newfoundland ports from 1992 to 1994 and indicates in which NAFO Divisions catches were made (data did not include Division 3M). These rankings provide some indication of present relative importance of each species to Newfoundland.

Trawlable biomass is an estimate of biomass derived from research vessel surveys. It does not represent the total stock biomass but instead is some proportion of this acknowledging that the catchability of the research trawl is not 100 percent. By the 1990s, the trawlable biomass estimates of various species had declined precipitously compared to those of the mid-1980s (Table 4.8-2). The biomass estimates of Atlantic cod and American plaice dropped most dramatically.

The principal commercial pelagic species in the study area in the early 1980s were capelin, squid, herring and mackerel, which, on the list of the 15 most heavily caught species on the Grand Banks, ranked fourth, seventh, ninth and tenth, respectively. In 1994, the total Newfoundland port landings of these species from the study area were as follows (Canning & Pitt, 1995):

· Capelin - 1037 t · Squid - 95 t · Herring - 973 t · Mackerel - 5 t

Groundfish stocks present within the Terra Nova study area include the following:

· Cod (2J3KL, 3M, 3NO, 3Ps) · Redfish (3LN, 3M, 3O) · American plaice (3LNO, 3M, 3Ps) · Witch flounder (2J3KL, 3NO, 3Ps) · Greenland halibut (management areas SA2 + 3KLMN) · Haddock (3LNO, 3Ps) · Yellowtail flounder (3LNO) · Pollock stock (3Ps)

In addition, there are fisheries for lumpfish and skate (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995).

Pelagic stocks present in the area include capelin (part of 3L, 3NO) and herring. Important invertebrates include northern shrimp, snow crab and Iceland scallops (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Table 4.8-1

Species Caught Commercially in Grand Banks Study Area and Landed at Newfoundland Ports, 1992-94

NAFO Divisions of Catch

Common Name Scientific Name 1994 1993 1992

Stimpson surf clam Mactromeris polynyma 3N 3N, 3O 3N Snow crab Chionecetes opilio 3L, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps Scallops Chlamys islandica (predom.) 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3Ps Skate Raja radiata (predom.) 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps Redfish Sebastes spp. 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps Capelin Mallotus villosus 3L, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps Herring Clupea harengus 3L, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps Winter flounder Pleuronectes americanus 3L, 3N, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps Atlantic cod Gadus morhua 3L 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps Quahogs Mercenaria mercenaria 3N 3N 3N Monkfish Lophius americanus 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps Turbot (Greenland halibut) Rheinhardtius hippoglossoides 3L, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps Lobster Homarus americanus 3L, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps Swordfish Xiphias gladius 3N, 3O 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3N, 3O Witch flounder Glytocephalus cynoglossus 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 30, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3L, 3Ps American plaice Hippoglossoides platessoides 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3L, 3Ps Squid Illex illecebrosus 3L, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps White hake Urophycis tenuis 3O, 3Ps 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps Halibut Hippoglossus hippoglossus 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps Pollock Pollachius virens 3O, 3Ps 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps Haddock Melanogrammus aeglefinus 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps Wolffish Anarchichas lupus (predom.) 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps Eels Anguilla rostrata 3L, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps Mackerel Scomber scombrus 3L, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps Bluefin tuna Thunnus thynnus 3L, 3N, 3O 3L,3N, 3O 3L, 3N, 3O Roundnose grenadier Coryphaenoides rupestris 3O, 3Ps 3LM 3N, 3O, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O Mussels Mytilus edulis 3L, 3Ps 3Ps 3Ps Rock cod Gadus ogac 3L, 3Ps 3Ps 3Ps Yellowtail flounder Limanda ferruginea 3L, 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3OM 3Ps 3L, 3N, 3O, 3Ps Silver hake Merluccius bilinearis 3Ps -- -- Lumpfish Cyclopterus lumpus 3Ps 3O, 3Ps -- Dogfishes Squalus acanthias 3Ps 3O 3Ps Trout Salmo trutta, Salvelinus fontinalis 3L, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps 3L, 3Ps Bar clams Various 3Ps 3Ps --

Source: Canning and Pitt (1995). Notes: 1. Flemish Cap in 3 M is not included. 2. Indicated divisions refer to both directed and incidental catches. 3. Species are listed in descending order according to catch weight in 1994. Table 4.8-2

Past and Recent Biomass Estimates in the Grand Banks Study Area

Exploitable Biomass Trawlable Biomass in In Early 1980sa Early 1990sb NAFO (t) Species Division Biomass (t) Year

Atlantic cod 2J3KL 100 000 - 150 000 < 5000 1994 3NO 130 000 - 220 000 10 000 1994

American plaice 3LNO 350 000 - 400 000 25 000 - 50 000 1994

Yellowtail flounder 3NO 80 000 - 90 000 35 000 - 70 000 1994

Redfish 3LN 190 000 21 000 (average) 1992-94 3O 150 000 30 000 - 75 000 1994 3M 150 000 126 000 1994

Greenland halibut 23KL 10 000 - 12 000 35 000 1994

Witch flounder 2J3KL 7000 2000 1994

a Mobil (1985). b Fisheries and Oceans Canada (1995) and NAFO (1995).

The proposed Terra Nova development area is located in the fisheries statistical unit area or subdivision 3Lt. Adjacent subdivisions include 3Lh, 3Li, 3Ma, 3Mc, 3Nb, 3Na 3Lr (Figure 4.8-1). Landings at Newfoundland ports (Canning & Pitt, 1995) from 1992 to 1994 of catches from these unit areas (excluding the 3M areas), give some indication of particular species that deserve attention. Within 3Lt, Iceland scallops (4.9 to 23.1 t, 1993-94), American plaice (143.4 t, 1992), Atlantic cod (25.4 t, 1992), and Greenland halibut (3.1 t, 1992) have been taken at levels worth considering. Examination of catches in 3Lt and all adjacent areas between 1992 and 1994 reveals the importance of other species in addition to these four. Based on 1994 landings, the most heavily exploited species in these seven areas were Iceland scallops (2350 t), snow crab (441 t), Stimpson surf clam (16 t) and bluefin tuna (4 t). All four of these species accounted for relatively substantial catches in all three years. Other species caught in 3Lt and adjacent areas at some time between 1992 to 1994 include American plaice, Atlantic cod, yellowtail flounder, redfish, haddock, witch flounder, wolffish and roundnose grenadier.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Most past research has been done on the species that have been commercially important for many years (i.e., certain groundfish). As a result, less information is available on population dynamics and biology of some of the species which have just recently become commercially important (i.e., Stimpson surf clam, snow crab, Iceland scallop, shrimp and thorny skate).

The following sections discuss those species presently important in 3Lt and adjacent units.

4.8.1 Iceland Scallop

The Iceland scallop, a suspension feeder, filters water immediately above the sediment surface. Scallops are preyed upon by Atlantic cod, American plaice, yellowtail flounder and wolffish (Gilkinson and Gagnon, 1991).

Spawning intensity is greatest in the fall after which the fertilized eggs float at or near the water’s surface. Hatching occurs at the upper water column and the larvae remain planktonic for approximately two months before settling to the bottom where remaining development takes place.

On the northeastern Grand Banks, there is a definite association between Iceland scallops and gravelly, cobbly substrata (Gilkinson and Gagnon, 1991). This is probably a result of the scallop's need to attach itself to a stable substratum. A strong attachment keeps the animal from being swept away by the strong currents. In July and August, 1982, a survey was conducted to investigate the distribution of the Iceland scallop in Divisions 3L, 3N, and 3O (Naidu and Cahill, 1989). The majority of the fishing stations used in the survey were located on the central and western Banks (Figure 4.8-2). While they were commonly found throughout the Grand Banks in depths ranging from 49 m in 3N to 220 m in 3L, their abundance was extremely variable. Of the three broad areas, 3N yielded the best catches, followed by 3L and 3O.

In 1989, another exploratory survey was made in Division 3N (Naidu and Cahill, 1990). Scallops were most abundant in two restricted areas: one just southwest of Carson Canyon between 57 and 91 m, and the other in the slope area straddling the 57- 91 m and 92-183 m isobaths off the Lilly Canyon (Figure 4.8-2). Generally, Iceland scallops were found unevenly distributed over Division 3N although abundance was higher north of 44° 30'. Despite the occurrence of these aggregations, average densities within the aggregations were low (0.33 to 2.0 scallops/m2).

In spring 1991, a research survey was conducted on Green Bank in Division 3Ps but no extensive beds of Iceland scallops were found. Prospect for commercialization of the Green Bank scallops was deemed minimal (Naidu and Cahill, 1992).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0

As of 1995, there are only a few locations on the Grand Banks where Iceland scallops are found in commercial quantities. Research data indicate that the scallop beds in Division 3N are possibly being depleted (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995).

4.8.2 Snow Crab

Snow crabs are commonly found in association with mud or sand-mud bottoms at temperatures ranging from 0 to 4.5°C. Young crabs are often found in shallower areas where the substrate is more gravelly. No seasonal changes in distribution occur as this species is essentially non-migratory. Hatching takes place in the summer and the larvae spend about three months swimming freely at or near the surface. Toward the end of the third larval stage, snow crab descend to the bottom where they remain (Marine Research Associates Ltd., 1980).

This omnivorous shellfish commonly eats bivalves, worms, small crustaceans and brittle stars (Marine Research Associates Ltd., 1980).

Landings data from 1994 (Canning & Pitt, 1995) suggest a wide distribution of snow crab. However, surveys covering part of the total area indicate a declining trend in the catches of pre-recruits, which could translate to a widespread biomass reduction (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995) (Figure 4.8-3).

Taylor and O'Keefe (1994) reported that snow crab landings in 3L between the mid- 1980s (~ 3000 t) and 1994 (~12 000 t) have steadily increased while those in 3Ps have remained relatively constant (< 2000 t). The majority of the landings within the study area have occurred within 150 to 200 km of the Newfoundland coast from Cape St. Francis to the tip of the Burin Peninsula.

4.8.3 Stimpson Surf Clam

Remarkably, this species accounted for the highest landings at Newfoundland ports from study-area regions fished in 1994 (Canning & Pitt, 1995). Aside from some data regarding its distribution and abundance on the Grand Banks, essentially no information is available on the Stimpson surf clam, especially its general biology and ecology. Based on data for catches landed at Newfoundland ports (Canning & Pitt, 1995), concentrations of this shallow-burrowing species (within 15 cm of substrate surface) appear to occur in the south-central and southeastern portions of the Grand Banks, on both the plateau and slope regions, somewhat south of the Terra Nova area.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0

4.8.4 Skates

Of the eight to 10 species of skate in waters around Newfoundland, the thorny skate (Raja radiata) is by far the most common, making up about 90 percent of all caught during research surveys.

Thorny skate are widely distributed throughout the Grand Banks (3LNOPs). They have been found in depths ranging from 18 to over 1000 m and in temperatures ranging from -1.4 to 14°C. This sedentary species has been caught on both hard and soft substrates (McEachran and Musick, 1975).

Limited information indicates that thorny skate reproduction occurs year round on the Grand Banks (Templeman, 1982a). The species is essentially non-migratory and spawning occurs throughout the general area of distribution. They deposit egg cases (6 to 40 per year) each containing a single embryo.

Thorny skates feed on a variety of items including polychaetes, amphipods, decapods and fish, proportions of each being dependent on the size of the skate (Scott and Scott, 1988). Redfish, sand lance and small haddock appear to be important fish prey. Templeman (1982b) found that crabs were the most important food item to thorny skate found between 17 and 200 m, and fish dominated at greater depths.

Canadian test fisheries for this species were initiated in 1994. According to data collected in research surveys between 1986 and 1994 in Divisions 3LNOPs, the biomass of thorny skate in 3O and 3Ps remained relatively stable until the early 1990s when declines were observed. In Divisions 3L and 3N, the estimated biomass of this species has declined steadily since 1986. Divisional estimates of biomass in 1994 ranged from under 5000 to just over 10 000 t, the highest occurring in 3O (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995).

4.8.5 Redfish

Three species of redfish occur in the area, roughly segregated by depth. Acadian redfish (Sebastes fasiatus) is a shallow-water (~0-600 m) species compared to the other two. Golden redfish (S. marinus) is found at intermediate depths (< 300-750 m) and beaked redfish (S. mentella) is a deep-water (350-1100 m) species.

Redfish are ovoviviparous (i.e., give birth to living young) and generally spawn in the March to July period. An estimated 15 000 to 20 000 larvae are released by female redfish. Spawning on the Flemish Cap apparently commences in early spring (deeper water). Similar activity on the northeastern, eastern, and southeastern slopes of the Grand Bank occurs at different times in later spring and early summer, depending on the water depth and temperature.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Redfish feed on a variety of small invertebrates and small fish. Between 1981 and 1988, beaked redfish on the Flemish Cap (3M) intensified their feeding during the summer, coinciding with the increase in zooplankton biomass (Albikovskaya and Gerasimova, 1993). Their primary prey was the copepod, Calanus finmarchicus; other food items included hyperiids, euphausiids and shrimp. Rodriguez-Marin et al. (1994) also investigated the feeding habits of redfish on the Flemish Cap. Redfish collected by them during the summer of 1993 were divided by species. The beaked redfish had a wider prey spectrum than either the golden or American redfish. Crustaceans made up 64 percent of its diet by volume; fish essentially accounted for the remainder. The other two redfish species fed predominantly on crustaceans such as copepods, hyperiids, shrimp, mysids and euphausiids. Atlantic halibut, Atlantic cod and swordfish are active redfish predators.

Based on data collected from 1990 to 1993, redfish were most concentrated along the slope of the _Nose of the Bank_ (Flemish Pass) (3L) and along the eastern slope of the _Tail of the Bank_ (3N) (Power, 1994). Results of bottom trawl surveys have demonstrated considerable variability between consecutive seasons and years. Despite this, the data from Canadian surveys in 3L suggest that the mean estimated trawlable biomass since 1992 (5000 t) is the lowest it has ever been. Spring and autumn surveys conducted in 3N from 1991 to 1994 indicated a mean estimated trawlable biomass of 16 000 t. However, variability between tows was much greater in 3N than in 3L, perhaps a function of seasonal changes in distribution or catchability (NAFO, 1995).

Prognosis of the resource in 3NL is not positive. The resource in 3L appears to be very low with no good sign of recruitment and, while the 3N resource presently contains a recruiting component of unknown abundance, there are no signs from the surveys to indicate good year classes to follow (NAFO, 1995).

Results of European Union (EU) trawl surveys between 1988 and 1993 have shown gradual declines in the stock. The 1993 estimated biomass of beaked redfish, which account for the greatest proportion of redfish catch in this area, was one-third of that in 1992 (Gorchinsky and Power, 1994). Vazquez (1995) reports the main concentrations of redfish on the northern, western and southern slopes of the Flemish Cap.

Surveys for redfish in Division 3O have been conducted in the spring and fall since 1991. Biomass estimates from the spring surveys show an increasing trend between 1991 (~ 10 000 t) and 1995 (84 000 t). It is still unclear as to whether redfish of 3O are resident or migrants from another area. A low proportion of fish collected during these surveys exceeded 30 cm length but significant amounts of larger fish have been found in the past in the deeper, hard-to-fish regions (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4.8.6 Capelin

Capelin play a significant role as food for other fishes, marine birds and marine mammals. Their chief predator in the past has been the Atlantic cod, and seasonal migrations of these two species have been closely associated. Other fish predators of adult capelin include haddock and Atlantic salmon. Larval and juvenile capelin are important to the diets of Atlantic herring, flounders, dogfish, sculpins and eelpout. Bailey et al. (1977) identifies five species of marine mammals and nine marine bird species known to forage extensively on capelin.

Capelin eat planktonic organisms such as euphausiids, copepods and amphipods. Feeding is seasonal (Figure 4.8-4) and intensifies in late winter and early spring in the prespawning period. Feeding intensity declines as spawning season approaches and virtually ceases during spawning. Several weeks after spawning, the surviving fish start feeding again and continue to do so until early winter (Scott and Scott, 1988).

Capelin are demersal spawners and their eggs adhere to the spawning substrate. Two physical factors, water temperature and gravel size, have been identified as important factors for capelin spawning. Interestingly, there is a co-occurrence of beach- and offshore bottom-spawning populations of capelin in the study area (Figure 4.8-5) (Carscadden et al., 1989). With the exception of the Southeast Shoal stock, the stocks within the study area are beach spawners. Mature capelin undertake extensive migrations during the spring from the offshore banks to the inshore spawning beaches. The distribution and movements of capelin have been linked to upwelling along the east coast of Newfoundland (Schneider, 1994). The favourable temperature range reported for intensive beach spawning on the east and south coasts of Newfoundland is 5.5 to 8.5°C (Templeman, 1948). Templeman also reported that the best spawning beaches had gravel of 2 - 15 mm diameter. Once spawning and hatching have occurred, the larvae are advected from embayments into the open bays in as little as 6 to 8 h. Within a few weeks, they have been displaced by the current from the nearshore waters onto the Grand Banks where the maturation process continues. Initially, the dispersal of capelin larvae is passive but it is later moderated by vertical migrations which bring the larvae in contact with different current regimes.

As mentioned, the Southeast Shoal capelin are not beach spawners. Carscadden (1978) found that the bottom temperature at the Shoal during spawning ranged from 0.1 to 6.3°C. Sand grains from the Southeast Shoal range from 0.5 to 2.2 mm in diameter. Carscadden et al. (1989) suggested that spawning on the Southeast Shoal is controlled by suitable substrate and that bottom temperature determines the final spawning location.

In the Northwest Atlantic, five stocks of capelin have been identified on the basis of spawning times, patterns of fishery, and their biological traits. The three that fall within

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the boundaries of the study area include those Northern Grand Bank and Avalon in 3L; those of the South Grand Bank and Southeast Shoal in 3NO; and those of the St. Pierre Bank in 3Ps.

In 1987, capelin were readily caught in eastern, northern and western 3L, northwestern 3O and toward the shelf break in both 3O and 3N. Only rarely were large catches taken on the plateau of the Grand Banks in 3O, 3N and southern 3L. In 1991, capelin were caught at numerous stations in eastern and northern 3L and at numerous stations near the shelf break in southern 3NO (Figure 4.8-6). The most notable difference from 1987 was the absence of large capelin catches in southwestern 3L (Lilly, 1992).

Fall surveys from 1980 to 1989 showed moderate to good catches on the northern and northeastern slopes of the Grand Banks (3L) (Lilly and Davis, 1993) as well as in the northwestern 2J3K, with a break in the distribution occurring between these two areas. By 1992, this break had disappeared resulting in a continuous capelin distribution from south-central 3K to northern 3L. Some suggest that this southward migration of the Northern Grand Bank and Avalon stock may be associated with cold water temperature although other years with similar cold- water trends were not characterized by a shift in capelin distribution.

Surveys in the fall of 1993 showed the highest concentrations at the north and northeastern slopes of the Grand Banks (3L) with far smaller catches on the western Whale Bank and in north-central 3O (Figure 4.8-7) (Lilly, 1994).

In 1993, by-catches of capelin were reported from a new shrimp fishery that had developed on the Flemish Cap (3M), an area in which capelin were reported to be rare (Carscadden, 1994). There is speculation that the sudden presence of capelin at the Cap might be due to an eastward shift in the distribution of capelin in Division 3K.

4.8.7 Atlantic Herring

Atlantic herring is a pelagic species occurring both in shallow inshore waters and offshore waters. In offshore waters, they can be found at depths ranging from surface to 200 m (Scott and Scott, 1988). As of 1995, herring stocks off the east coast of Newfoundland are estimated to be low with biomasses of only about 10 percent of observed maxima. Low temperatures are thought to be having negative effects. Stocks off the Southeast coast are also at low levels but appear to be less depressed than those off the east coast (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995).

Generally, spring spawning takes place in inshore shallows while summer and fall spawning occurs in deeper, offshore areas. Eggs remain on the bottom until hatching when the larvae move into the water column.

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Herring larvae are light sensitive and therefore commonly migrate vertically depending on the ambient light levels (Scott and Scott, 1988).

Atlantic herring are daytime visual feeders and use their long, well-developed gill rakers to filter out plankton (Blaxter, 1966). Young herring feed primarily on phytoplankton and then switch to zooplankton and ichthyoplankton as they grow. Copepods, euphausiids, pteropods, mollusc larvae, fish eggs and larvae of sand lance, capelin and herring are identified prey of adult herring. This species serves as an important prey item for many fishes (e.g., skates, salmon, cod, hake), marine birds and marine mammals.

4.8.8 Atlantic Cod

Atlantic cod inhabit cool-temperate to subarctic waters from inshore regions to the edge of the Continental Shelf. Although adapted to bottom feeding, they may also spend much time off bottom and be found from the surface to depths of greater than 400 m. (Scott and Scott, 1988). Numerous separate stocks of this species exist throughout the Canadian Atlantic region, four of which occur in the study area.

As fry, cod feed on copepods, amphipods, barnacle larvae and other small crustaceans. Juvenile and young adult cod continue to feed on crustaceans such as euphausiids, mysids, shrimp, small lobsters and crabs. Once cod reach a length of approximately 50 cm, their diet switches almost entirely to fish. Depending on feeding locality and prey availability, capelin, sand lance, redfish and herring can be very important food species. Cod, being voracious eaters, may significantly influence the population sizes of these species. Other fish species that are taken by Atlantic cod include alewives, Atlantic and Arctic cod, cunner, flounders, haddock, hake, mackerel, shannies, snakeblenny, sculpins and silversides (Scott and Scott, 1988).

Casas and Paz (1994) described the food and feeding of Flemish Cap cod during summers between 1988 and 1993. Feeding intensity was high and the prey spectrum was narrow in all years, with hyperiids and small redfish appearing to be the most important prey.

Total reported commercial landings by all Canadian and Newfoundland fleets and gear in the Newfoundland region (NAFO Divisions 2GHJ, 3KLMNO and 3Ps) increased from less than 2 x 105 t in 1978 to approximately 3.5 x 105 t in 1988, paralleling the introduction and increased exploitation by the Canadian offshore trawler fleet. After 1988, landings dropped sharply to less than 1 x 105 t in 1992 (Taggart et al., 1994).

Estimates of spawners in the Newfoundland region follow a temporal pattern similar to that seen in the total landings. Between 1987 and 1993, population estimates of

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 spawners in 2J + 3KL have declined from greater than 3 x 108 to less than 1 x 108. This pattern is also apparent in the 3NO and 3Ps estimates (Taggart et al., 1994).

Abundance distributions of adult cod in the study area, derived from annual research surveys in the early 1980s, show frequent, widespread catches of age 5+ cod (Bishop et al., 1993). During the late 1980s and early 1990s, high catches of age 5+ cod were more common farther south and were closer to the offshore shelf break. By 1992, the survey catch rates were severely reduced in the majority of sets throughout the region, except for one large aggregation along the shelf break at the border between 3K and 3L and two smaller aggregations near the shelf break in 3Ps (Figure 4.8-8).

Anderson (1993), through investigations of the distributions of demersal juvenile cod between 1981 and 1992, showed that age 1+ juveniles are concentrated primarily along the coastal regions of northern Newfoundland and Labrador and farther offshore on the Grand Banks. During the study period, juveniles of increasing age were found progressively farther offshore on the shelf, a pattern similar to that seen for older age groups during the 1980s.

The 2J + 3KL cod stock has displayed an apparent southerly shift in distribution since 1989 (deYoung and Rose, 1993; Rose et al., 1994). Reasons for this apparent shift might include the following (NAFO, 1995):

· Colder ocean conditions · Southerly shift in capelin distribution · Combination of fishing mortality and ocean climate factors · High fishing mortality in the northern areas (changing pattern not actually a "shift")

As of 1995, the stock remains at a very low level, probably in the order of 1 percent of that in the early 1980s. It consists of mainly young fish.

The 3M cod stock on the Flemish Cap is considered to be a discrete population. Results of a bottom trawl survey in this area by the Spanish in July 1994 indicated highest concentrations in the central to northwestern region of the Cap (Vazquez, 1995). Total biomass estimates from research vessel surveys have been low compared to levels in the mid-1980s (except for 1989 when an increase in biomass was produced by the relatively abundant 1985 and 1986 year classes).

The 3NO cod stock occupies the southern part of the Grand Banks. Cod are found over the shallower parts in the summer, particularly in the Southeast Shoal area (3N) and on the slopes of the Bank in winter as water temperatures drop. This stock was at an all time low in 1994 and was represented mainly by 2 year classes, 1989 and 1990.

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The 3Ps cod stock abundance and biomass decreased between 1989 and 1994. Biomass and abundance from the 1995 survey were substantially higher than those of recent years but this was a result of one large cod catch in a small part of the entire survey area. Therefore, the 1995 estimates must be treated with caution (Canning & Pitt, 1995).

Myers et al. (1993) conclude that cod spawning throughout Divisions 3KL lasts three to four months; generally beginning and ending earlier in the north (January to June) and later in the south (February to September). Spawning in the more southerly Divisions 3NO and 3Ps peaks in April and May with no significant latitudinal trend in the average spawning time. Historically, cod eggs and early- stage larvae in the offshore have been concentrated on and along the shelf break of the Grand Banks, particularly in the more northern regions (Taggart et al., 1994). Fitzpatrick and Miller (1979) indicated that spawning was concentrated along the southern shelf break of the Flemish Cap (3M), the southwest and SE shelf break of the Grand Banks (3NO), and the shelf break of the St. Pierre Bank in Division 3Ps. More recent analysis (Hutchings et al., 1993) of cod maturity data collected from 1946 to 1992 suggests that spawning may be more prevalent in inshore regions, along western (landward) edges of offshore banks, as well as the interior of the Grand Banks (Figure 4.8-9). Spawning on the shelf in Division 3L was documented in 1991 and 1992 (Rose, 1993).

4.8.9 Greenland Halibut

Spawning of this species is thought to occur primarily in Davis Strait in winter and early spring at depths of 650 to 1000 m. There is now some evidence that Greenland halibut also spawn in the Flemish Cap region. Junquera and Zamarro (1994) report that between May 1990 and December 1991, spawning in the Flemish Pass area (3LM) peaked in the summer months with a secondary peak occurring in December. Spawning activity was observed throughout the year but at much lower levels. All observed spawning occurred at depths in the 800 to 1700 m range.

Soon after hatching, the larvae rise to about 30 m from the surface where they remain until they are approximately 70 mm long. They then descend to greater depth as they grow. They do not become as closely associated with bottom living as other flatfish (Scott and Scott, 1988).

Greenland halibut are bathypelagic predators with a wide prey spectrum. Peak feeding appears to occur in summer and fall when the major species eaten include capelin, Atlantic cod, polar cod, roundnose grenadier, redfishes, sand lance, crustaceans (especially Pandalus borealis) and cephalopods. Small amounts of benthic invertebrates are also consumed (Scott and Scott, 1988).

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No research survey covers the entire geographical range of the Greenland halibut stock; therefore the abundance and biomass of the total stock remains underestimated (NAFO, 1995).

Winter deepwater surveys of Divisions 3LMN in 1994 and 1995 resulted in extremely variable biomass estimates. Despite the lack of data, it is believed the stock has declined significantly in recent years (Bowering et al., 1994).

Canadian fall surveys from 1978 to 1992 had no large catches in Division 3L (Figure 4.8-10). Most catches in this division occurred on the ‘Nose of the Bank’ in an area known as the Sackville Spur. The highest catches of Greenland halibut in 3L were made during the earlier surveys when coverage was only to 366 m. Coverage in 1991 and 1992 was to over 700 m and catches were negligible (Bowering and Power, 1993).

4.8.10 Witch Flounder

Witch flounder spawn in 3L from March to July, with the highest intensity from March to May. Spawning in 3Ps occurs at highest intensity between January and March. During the winter and spring months, witch flounder can be found in spawning concentrations along the continental slope of St. Pierre Bank. Spawning in 3NO occurs principally in July and August. All spawning generally occurs along the continental slopes and deepwater channels at depths exceeding 500 m where water temperatures are likely to be most appropriate (Scott and Scott, 1988). This species is considered non-migratory.

The principal diet of the witch flounder includes polychaetes, amphipods, small fish and molluscs such as small bivalves and snails.

Gorchinsky et al. (1995) report that the estimated biomass of witch flounder in Division 3L has been at a low level since the mid-1980s. Since then, estimates have been within the 1000 to 2000 t range, very similar to the biomass estimates in Division 3N.

Trawlable biomass in Division 3N has been at very low levels throughout 1971 to 1993, usually at less than 1000 t. In 3O during the same period, biomass estimates have shown considerable annual fluctuations (between 6000 and 12 000 t). The preliminary estimate for 1993 was near the lowest ever observed, despite the fact that areal coverage during the surveys was highest between 1991 and 1993 (Bowering et al., 1993). Witch flounder are most concentrated on the southwest edge of the Grand Banks in Division 3O.

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Relatively complete surveys have been conducted in winter on St. Pierre Bank (3Ps) since 1976. Since 1980, the biomass estimates have ranged between 2000 to 6000 t. Survey data do not indicate any increases in recruitment in recent years (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995).

4.8.11 American Plaice

Using juvenile flatfish surveys carried out in the summer and fall between 1985 and 1989 on the Grand Banks, Divisions 3LNO, Walsh (1991) showed that the distribution of juveniles and adults overlaps extensively. Walsh identified three oceanic nursery areas on the Grand Banks:

· The northern slope of the Banks (3L) · The southern end of the Banks (3NO) · Whale Deep area of Division 3O

Since then, survey coverage has been extended into deep water along the edge of the Banks and has revealed new information with respect to nursery areas. In addition to the areas identified from the 1985-1989 surveys, concentrations of juvenile American plaice were found on the northeastern and southwestern slopes of the Grand Banks and east of Whale Deep (Figure 4.8-11). These juveniles appeared to show fidelity to their nursery areas (Walsh, 1994).

The discontinuity in the distributions of juvenile and adult American plaice may suggest that for the northern Grand Banks and the ‘Tail of the Bank’, there are two distinct stocks that recruit from separate nursery areas. More synchrony in year-class strength was found between 3O and 3L but not 3N, which may indicate the effect of different oceanographic regimes in these areas (Walsh, 1994). Spawning occurs in spring, a little earlier on the Flemish Cap than on the Grand Banks. Females 40 to 70 cm in length may produce 250 000 to 1.5 million eggs. The eggs float near the surface and usually hatch within 11 to 14 days when water temperature is approximately 5°C (Scott and Scott, 1988).

The most frequent prey of American plaice reported on the southern Grand Bank are fish and benthic invertebrates. Zamarro (1992) found that the diet of 40 to 55 cm long American plaice collected in this region throughout all seasons (1987-1989) consists mainly of sand lance and brittlestars, and some capelin. Pitt (1973) reports that on the Grand Banks, fish (capelin, sand lance and mailed sculpin) accounted for 85 percent of the total weight of plaice stomach contents. Invertebrates accounted for the remainder. Analysis of plaice stomachs collected in the summer of 1993 on the Flemish Cap indicated benthic prey such as brittlestars, polychaetes, bivalve molluscs, and small pelagic crustaceans such as hyperiids (Rodriguez-Marin et al., 1994). This species appears to feed most intensely during late spring and summer, after which feeding drops to almost nil in January. Zamarro (1992) concluded that the American plaice is a

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species with a capacity to feed on a wide variety of prey and the flexibility to feed when prey is more accessible.

Between 1989 and 1993, late summer and fall surveys for flatfish covered the Grand Banks out to a maximum of 274 m depth. The surveys during this period represent the most extensive overall coverage of the population on the Grand Banks (Figure 4.8-12). The northern population (3L) of American plaice was concentrated in colder and deeper waters than the southeastern (3N) and southwestern (3O) populations, which were concentrated in shallower and slightly warmer waters (greater than 0°C) (Walsh, 1994).

In Division 3L American plaice were distributed across the Banks in a depth range of 62 to 250 m and a temperature range of -1.6 to 1.7°C, but the population was concentrated in the north and northeast in a mean depth range of 115 to 135 m and a mean temperature range of -1.1 to 0.6°C (Walsh, 1994). Although the estimated abundance of American plaice was fairly stable between 1989 and 1993 (2013 x 106 to 2413 x 106), the estimated biomass in 1993 (160 000 t) was down from the 1989 estimated biomass of 254 000 t.

Surveys in Division 3L in 1985 indicated seasonal variation in the distribution of American plaice (Morgan and Brodie, 1991). In spring, plaice were more abundant in depths of less than 100 m than in other seasons, but during the winter, plaice were under-represented in depths of less than 150 m.

In Division 3N, the population was distributed in a depth range of 42 to 223 m and a temperature range of -1.6 to 7.5°C. The main concentrations were found on the _Tail of the Bank_ in a mean depth range of 64 to 71 m and a mean temperature range of 0.1 to 1.7°C (Walsh, 1994). The estimated abundance from the 1993 survey (760 x 106) was substantially lower than that for 1989 (1205 x 106) but estimated biomass was higher in 1993 (119 000 t) than it was in 1989 (100 000 t).

In Division 3O, the population was distributed over the bank in a depth range of 63 to 218 m and a temperature range of -1.5 to 8.0°C. Plaice were concentrated in the Whale Deep area, a deepwater basin on the western side, along the southwest slope near the _Tail._ These concentrations were found in a mean depth and temperature range of 84 to 94 m and 0.6 to 1.3°C (Walsh, 1994). The estimated abundance from the 1993 survey (1113 x 106) was higher than that for 1989 (855 x 106). The estimated biomass was lower in 1993 (124 000 t) than in 1989 (147 000 t).

Fall surveys conducted in 3LNO between 1990 to 1994 show a severe decline in abundance and biomass of older (7+) American plaice. With respect to juvenile fish, the 1988 and 1989 year-classes show some promise but there have been no large year- classes since. Variability in abundance and biomass of American plaice during the

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period between 1989 and 1993 was higher in Division 3L than in Divisions 3N and 3O.

Although the stock in 3M appears to be stable at a low level, the abundance estimate is only about 40 percent of that of 1988. According to EEC surveys, the estimated biomass of 3M plaice has decreased from the 1988 level of 8500 t to 3600 t in 1992 (Godinho and de Cardenas, 1993). American plaice on the Flemish Cap between 1978 and 1985 were distributed mainly in the shallower central, southern and southwestern areas (Bowering and Brodie, 1994).

According to research vessel survey information up to 1995, the American plaice stock in Division 3Ps is at a very low level. The biomass index has declined to 10 percent of its mid-1980s level.

4.8.12 Pollock

Pollock in waters of the south coast of Newfoundland are thought to be at the northern limit of their Northwest Atlantic range. Cold waters throughout the region in recent years have probably been restricted their distribution and behaviour (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995).

Research has shown that mature pollock occur along the slopes of St. Pierre Bank and the southern Grand Banks (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995). In summer months, schools of young fish are occasionally found in harbours along Newfoundland's south coast, but this species generally does not occur in Newfoundland waters in sufficient numbers to support a commercial fishery. Research surveys have indicated a decline in the 3Ps pollock since 1987 to an estimated level under 1000 t.

4.8.13 Haddock

There is speculation that cold waters throughout the area in recent years have probably restricted haddock distribution and behaviour. Deep waters to the south and low bottom temperatures to the north restrict young haddock development to the slopes of St. Pierre Bank and the southern part of the Grand Banks. In some years, bank waters remain on the bank, resulting in haddock larvae settling in suitable conditions, However, in other years, the bank water is caught up in eddies of the Gulf Stream and the pelagic larvae settle in waters too deep for survival. Temperatures on St. Pierre Bank have also been below normal for a number of years (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995).

Haddock are primarily bottom feeders and their food varies with their size. Those under 50 cm length prefer crustaceans such as amphipods, pandalid shrimp and hermit crabs. Other prey include echinoderms, molluscs and annelid worms. The diets of haddock greater than 50 cm include more small fish (approximately 30 percent). These

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 include sand lance, capelin, silver hake, herring and argentines. Herring and capelin eggs are also eaten when available (Scott and Scott, 1988).

Research surveys in Divisions 3LNO have been conducted since the early 1970s, with more extensive coverage in recent years. Abundance and biomass indices from the spring surveys were low through to the early 1980s from which time they gradually increased until 1988 (1984 estimates were the highest of the period between 1982 and 1988). The indices have been low since 1988. Spring surveys in Division 3L have never found many haddock (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995).

Surveys in 3Ps since 1972 have shown low abundance and biomass indices up to 1982 but both peaked in 1985. However, since 1985, both indices have declined to very low levels (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995).

Haddock in 3LNO and 3Ps show considerable variation in recruitment but the mechanisms are poorly understood. There have been no signs of improved recruitment in recent years, indicating poor prospects for stock improvement in the near future (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995).

4.8.14 Yellowtail Flounder

Yellowtail flounder commonly prefer sandy bottoms and feed upon surficial and interstitial benthic macrofauna such as amphipods and polychaetes, but they also eat smaller quantities of other crustaceans such as shrimp, cumaceans and isopods, as well as occasional sand lance and capelin (Scott and Scott, 1988).

Spawning takes place on the Grand Banks from May to September, peaking in mid to late June in areas adjacent to the Labrador Current in depths of less than 100 m and bottom temperatures exceeding 2°C (Walsh, 1992). No documented spawning migration or spawning concentrations have been reported for this sedentary species. Yellowtail are serial-batch bottom spawners. Egg hatching times vary with temperature (4 to 15 days). The pelagic larvae, which appear to have a short residence time in the water layers, have been caught in Grand Banks surveys from June to September. Juveniles (ages 1 to 4) concentrate on the Southeast Shoal and adjacent areas, which are thought to be oceanic nursery sites for yellowtail flounder (Walsh, 1992).

Three series of Canadian research vessel surveys on the Grand Banks have been examined to determine any changes in the distribution of yellowtail flounder during the late 1980s and early 1990s (Brodie and Walsh, 1994). Abundance estimates declined sharply in the mid to late 1980s from over 300 x 106 to under 150 x 106 in 1993. Plots of spring survey data between 1978 and 1992 clearly show the contraction of a fairly

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 wide distribution over the southern and central Grand Banks to one concentrated around the western side of the Southeast Shoal in Division 3N (Figure 4.8-13). Yellowtail have virtually disappeared from Division 3L where they were once relatively abundant. Data also indicate a southern shift in the northern limit of this species. In 1992 and 1993, the apparent northern limits were about 93 km to the south of the 1971-1991 mean value and almost 185 km south of the maximum in 1978. Morozova (1993) concluded that temperature was not a factor contributing to the change in distribution but that stock abundance was. Contraction of distribution may simply reflect movement of parts of the population from marginal habitats to areas with more suitable substrate and associated benthic food items.

Estimated biomass of yellowtail in 3LNO dropped substantially between 1984 (135 000 t) and 1993 (60 000 t). The most severe biomass declines have been seen in Divisions 3L and 3N. There has been relative stability in 3O (Brodie et al., 1993).

4.8.15 Northern Shrimp

Northern shrimp at the Flemish Cap and _Nose of the Bank_ spawn in August and females are thought to migrate to shallower areas to release the larvae (Nicolajsen, 1994). The circulation on the Cap is characterized by an anticyclonic gyre, which likely contributes to shrimp larvae retention in the area.

Northern shrimp appear to be concentrated in the western, northern and northeastern areas of the Flemish Cap (Parsons, 1994). The biomass of this species on the Cap has declined continuously since 1992 (Sainza, 1994). The Canadian fishery in this region only began in 1993 and it appears the high exploitation in that year had strong effects on the population. Lower catch rates coupled with changes in fishing patterns were evident in 1994 (Parsons and Veitch, 1994), resulting in a less than optimistic outlook for the population in 1995.

High commercial catch rates and high estimated spawning biomass indicate shrimp stocks off the east coast of Newfoundland within the 200-mile limit appear to remain very healthy.

4.8.16 Other Notable Species

Short-Finned Squid

The short-finned squid (Illex illecebrosus) is a pelagic cephalopod with a lifespan of only 1 to 1.5 years. Its inshore migration to and over the Continental Shelf appears to be linked to food availability. Crustaceans are the dominant component in the diet of smaller juvenile squid while fish (e.g., cod, capelin, herring, redfish and squid) are more important to the larger adults. Squid predators include pilot whales, cod, haddock, pollock, red hake and silver hake (Black et al., 1987).

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Short-finned squid are believed to spawn only once before death, in the area of Blake Plateau south of Cape Hatteras in late autumn and early winter. Egg masses, and eventually larvae and juveniles, passively drift northward in the Gulf Stream, sometimes reaching the Grand Banks by late spring or early summer (Black et al., 1987). By summer, the juvenile squid start to move inshore into shallow waters off Newfoundland. The inshore migration routes are commonly over the southwest slope of the Grand Banks. The number of individuals and the timing of inshore migration is most possibly a function of local water temperature and stock size (Mobil, 1985). By November, the squid leave the inshore waters and move south to spawn.

Black et al. (1987) present squid distribution maps based on research surveys. Between 1978 and 1982, the highest concentrations of squid were found on the southwest slope of the Grand Bank. In 1979, they were also numerous on the northeast slope and central Grand Bank.

Generally, short-finned squid abundance off Newfoundland has remained low from 1983 to 1993 (Beck et al., 1994).

Atlantic Salmon

Sea movements of the anadromous Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) are not well understood although the main function of sea migration is known to be feeding. Small Atlantic salmon eat mainly euphausiids, amphipods and decapods while larger salmon feed on herring, alewives, smelt, capelin, small mackerel, sand lance and small cod. While salmon are at sea their predators include seals, sharks, pollock, tuna and various birds (e.g., gulls, cormorants, bald eagles, and ospreys) (Scott and Scott, 1988).

Salmon may move in three ways (Mobil, 1985):

1. Migration to study-area rivers 2. Migration through coastal areas to rivers in other parts of eastern Canada 3. Feeding, overwintering and migration in offshore areas

Salmon migration in offshore areas is generally a clockwise coastal migration over the northeast Newfoundland shelf and southern Grand Banks. Research suggests an extensive spring migration in surface waters along the slope regions (approximately 180 m). Some scientists believe large numbers of salmon may overwinter in deep water east of the Grand Banks (Mobil, 1985).

Thirty-three scheduled salmon rivers empty into the coastal waters of the study area. Between 1986 and 1991, only four of them averaged total catches that exceeded 200 fish per year (Buchanan et al., 1994).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Atlantic Mackerel

Atlantic mackerel (Scomber scombrus) are pelagic inhabitants of temperate waters of the open sea and are regarded as some of the most active and migratory fishes (Scott and Scott, 1988).

This species feeds by both filter feeding and individual selection of organisms. In Newfoundland waters, the mackerel’s most probable method of feeding involves pursuit and capture. Prey of Atlantic mackerel include amphipods, euphausiids, shrimps, crab larvae, small squid, fish eggs, and young fish such as capelin and herring. Feeding is most intense during springtime. Predators of mackerel include Atlantic cod, dogfish, bluefin tuna, swordfish, porpoises and seals (Scott and Scott, 1988).

Mackerel are present in Canadian coastal waters during the summer and fall. During the winter they are usually found in moderately deep water along the Continental Shelf south of Sable Island where water temperatures exceed 7°C. In spring, there is a general inshore and northeast migration resulting, in some of the fish spawning in areas of the Gulf of St. Lawrence. After spawning, some adult mackerel continue a clockwise migration through the Strait of Belle Isle to waters off eastern Newfoundland. There seems to also be a minor migration to south and eastern Newfoundland waters in late spring rather than migration to the Gulf of St. Lawrence (Mobil, 1985).

Grégoire (1993) reported commercial catches between 1983 to 1991 in NAFO Divisions 3K, 3L, and 3Ps, mostly in inshore areas. Scott and Scott (1988) reported mackerel distribution extending to the eastern slope of the Grand Banks and as far south as the Southeast Shoal region.

Lumpfish

Lumpfish are primarily bottom dwelling but have been reported to be semipelagic during early life. Off Newfoundland, adult fish have been caught by commercial trawlers in winter in depths of 180 to 330 m. Spawning takes place during the spring and early summer in Newfoundland waters. Preferred spawning sites are shallow rocky shore areas with abundant seaweed growth. The eggs remain attached to the substrate until they hatch in late summer. The adults return to deeper water in late summer to early fall. Young lumpfish remain in the upper 1 m of the water column for the first year of life and then migrate to the bottom (Scott and Scott, 1988).

Lumpfish diet consists of a variety of invertebrates (euphausiids, pelagic amphipods, copepods, combjellies) as well as small fishes such as herring and sand lance. Feeding intensity of adult lumpfish is highest during the winter (Scott and Scott, 1988).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 There is little knowledge about lumpfish stock. Survey biomass estimates have been made for Division 3L between 1981 and 1994 and Division 3Ps between 1981 and 1995 (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995). Fall survey estimates for 3L have generally been less than 2000 t. In 3Ps, surveys conducted between January and June showed an order of magnitude decline in biomass estimate from 1985 to 1995. The proportion of female fish in the survey catches also declined steadily from the mid-1980s to 1995.

Between 1984 and 1987, landings of lumpfish in Divisions 3KLP increased from 500 to 3000 t. Landings averaged 2000 t until 1993. The fishery was predominantly in Division 3K in the late 1980s (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995).

Sand Lance

Sand lance are small, semipelagic fishes of the genus Ammodytes. Two species have been reported in the northwest Atlantic, A. americanus and A. dubius, the latter being more common the outer Grand Banks. Certain fish species, including Atlantic cod, American plaice and thorny skate, depend on sand lance during certain times of the year as an important food resource. The sand lance therefore plays an important role in linking planktonic production to some fish in higher trophic levels. Despite its important ecological role, its behaviour, distribution and feeding habits on the Grand Banks remain poorly understood (Gomes, 1993).

Sand lance have been reported in close association with sandy bottom areas. They are most abundant on the eastern Grand Banks at depths shallower than 100 m in temperatures ranging from -1.0 to 2.0°C (Winters, 1983). They appear to be important in the food chain of the southern part of the Banks (3N), where they made up the bulk of American plaice diet; to the east of the Virgin Rocks, where they are prey for cod; and on the _Nose of the Bank,_ where once again they constitute a substantial part of cod diet.

Sand lance on the Grand Banks are thought to eat copepods, Calanus finmarchicus, and euphausiids.

Bluefin Tuna

Bluefin tuna may be present in Canadian waters from early summer to early fall, feeding at depths of 25 to 180 m. During this time, they are eating primarily pelagic species such as herring, capelin, mackerel and squid. Other prey include saury, lanternfishes and hake (Scott and Scott, 1988). Because of their size, bluefin tuna predators are few, but include certain whales, sharks and man.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Wolffish

The wolffish (predominantly Atlantic wolffish) is commonly found in deeper water along slope areas. In the Newfoundland region, it tends to occur over hard clay bottom in a depth range of 100 to 350 m. Keats et al. (1985) reported an inshore movement of Atlantic wolffish during the spring, presumably in preparation for August spawning, which generally occurs at depths of 5 to 15 m. Hatching occurs in the fall and the larvae remain on or near the bottom close to the hatching area. Larvae seldom swim to the surface waters.

This wolffish feeds primarily on a variety of bottom invertebrates, including echinoderms, molluscs and crustaceans. Redfish has been a prey item in certain areas. Feeding activity is reduced at spawning time and remains at a low level until hatching. Juvenile wolffish have been found in cod stomachs (Scott and Scott, 1988).

Roundnose Grenadier

The roundnose grenadier generally inhabits the deep waters of the North Atlantic Continental Slopes and Shelf. In the northwest Atlantic, it is commonly found in 400 to 1000 m of water. It is thought that this species spawns near Iceland and the eggs and larvae are carried to the Grand Banks by water currents (Scott and Scott, 1988).

The roundnose grenadier undertakes diurnal vertical feeding migrations, as is evidenced by the pelagic food organisms found in their stomachs. Prey of this species varies widely. On the northeastern slope of the Grand Banks, myctophids (lanternfish) are the main component of the diet while in other areas, amphipods and mysids are the primary prey. Feeding is seasonal and the peak intensity occurs in fall and winter. Roundnose grenadier are prey to Greenland halibut and redfish (Scott and Scott, 1988).

Roughhead Grenadier

The roughhead grenadier is an important bycatch in the Spanish Greenland halibut fishery on the Flemish Cap (Casas, 1994). The greatest catches taken during research surveys in the eastern Grand Banks were in waters at 2.0 to 3.5°C at depths of 180 to 500 m. Spawning of the eastern Grand Bank population is thought to occur on the southern and southeastern slopes of the Banks (Scott and Scott, 1988).

Roughhead grenadier eat a variety of benthic invertebrates including bivalve molluscs, shrimp and starfishes. Longline catches on the Grand Banks showed that larger grenadier prefer bivalves, shrimp and fishes while smaller ones eat mainly bivalves, starfish, shrimp and polychaetes. This species is no doubt prey for larger fish inhabiting

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 the same areas. Grenadier have been found in Atlantic cod taken from the Grand Banks (Scott and Scott, 1988).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4.9 Marine-Related Birds

Marine-related birds and mammals are important predators of zooplankton, benthos and fish. Major feeding relationships are shown in Table 4.1-2. Birds and mammals, in turn, serve as food for other species and recycle nutrients into the upper water column through excretion.

Over 60 species of birds have been recorded in the study area (Table 4.9-1) and millions of individual birds use the area annually. Of the 60 species, approximately 18 are pelagic, 9 of which nest in the study area. A wide variety of waterbirds use the coastal and shore zones as well, including gulls, terns, cormorants, waterfowl and shorebirds.

4.9.1 Database

In the ten-year period since the publication of the Hibernia EIS, the results of some additional pertinent studies have become available. These include updates on the size and species composition of seabird nesting colonies in southeastern Newfoundland, additional data on coastal and offshore distribution, and several investigations into the response of seabird populations to the significant changes that have occurred in fish stocks and other prey species. The specific sources are described in the following sections.

Other recent studies on seabirds of the area cover chronic low-level oil pollution and its effects on seabirds, particularly in Placentia Bay (Chardine and Pelly, 1994); and the energetics of seabirds and their role in the marine ecosystems of eastern Canada (Diamond et al., 1993).

4.9.2 Breeding Biology and Nesting Populations

Most seabirds nesting in eastern Canada have low fecundity, deferred maturity, and high survival rates. Many species lay only one egg per year and do not begin to breed until several years old. They are long-lived, however, and continue to nest each year for many years. Data on various aspects of the reproductive biology of the species nesting in the study area are presented in Tables 4.9-2 and 4.9-3.

Since the publication of the Hibernia EIS, Cairns et al. (1989) summarized the available census data for seabird colonies around Newfoundland. Census data for the study area, and for major colonies in or near the study area, are presented in Table 4.9-4. The major seabird colonies are mapped in Figure 4.9-1. Over ten million seabirds nest in or near the study area, along the southeast coast of Newfoundland.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0

Table 4.9-1

Marine Birds Recorded in the Study Area

Common Name Scientific Name Distribution in Study Area

Red-throated loon Gavia stellata coastal Common loon Gavia immer coastal Pied-billed grebe Podilymbus podiceps coastal Red-necked grebe Podiceps grisegena coastal Northern fulmar 1 Fulmarus glacialis offshore, coastal Cory's shearwater Colonectris diomedea offshore Greater shearwater Puffinus gravis offshore, nearshore Sooty shearwater Puffinus griseus offshore, nearshore Manx shearwater 1 Puffinus puffinus offshore, nearshore Little shearwater Puffinus assimilis offshore Wilson's storm-petrel Oceanites oceanicus offshore Leach's storm-petrel 1 Oceanodroma leucorhoa offshore Northern gannet 1 Sula bassanus offshore, coastal Great cormorant Phalacrocorax carbo coastal Double-crested cormorant 1 Phalacrocorax auritus coastal Canada goose Branta canadensis coastal American black duck Anas rubripes coastal Ring-necked duck Aythya collaris coastal Greater scaup Aythya marila coastal Common eider Somateria mollissima coastal King eider Somateria spectabilis coastal Harlequin duck Histrionicus histrionicus coastal Oldsquaw Clangula hyemalis coastal Black scoter Melanitta nigra coastal Surf scoter Melanitta perspicillata coastal White-winged scoter Melanitta fusca coastal Common goldeneye Bucephala clangula coastal Bufflehead Bucephala albeola coastal Common merganser Mergus merganser coastal Red-breasted merganser Mergus serrator coastal

Black-bellied plover Pluvialis squatarola littoral Semipalmated plover Charadrius semipalmatus littoral Greater yellowlegs Tringa melanoleuca littoral Spotted sandpiper 1 Actitis macularia littoral Semipalmated sandpiper Calidris pusilla littoral White-rumped sandpiper Calidris fuscicollis littoral Purple sandpiper Calidris maritima littoral Red-necked phalarope Phalaropus lobatus offshore Red phalarope Phalaropus fulicaria offshore Pomarine jaeger Stercorarius pomarinus offshore Parasitic jaeger Stercorarius parasiticus offshore Long-tailed jaeger Stercorarius longicaudus offshore Great skua Catharacta skua offshore Common black-headed gull Larus ridibundus coastal Ring-billed gull Larus delawarensis coastal Herring gull 1 Larus argentatus coastal, offshore Iceland gull Larus glaucoides coastal, offshore Lesser black-backed gull Larus fuscus coastal, offshore Glaucous gull Larus hyperboreus coastal, offshore Great black-backed gull 1 Larus marinus coastal, offshore Black-legged kittiwake 1 Rissa tridactyla coastal, offshore

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Table 4.9-1

Marine Birds Recorded in the Study Area

Common Name Scientific Name Distribution in Study Area Sabine's gull Xema sabini offshore Ivory gull Pagophila eburnea offshore Common tern 1 Sterna hirundo coastal, offshore Arctic tern 1 Sterna paradisaea coastal, offshore Dovekie Alle alle offshore, coastal Common murre 1 Uria aalge coastal, offshore Thick-billed murre 1 Uria lomvia coastal, offshore Razorbill 1 Alca torda coastal, offshore Black guillemot 1 Cepphus grylle coastal Atlantic puffin 1 Fratercula arctica coastal, offshore

Source: Mobil (1985). 1 Indicates species that nest along coast in study area.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Table 4.9-2

Reproduction Parameters of Seabirds Nesting in the Study Area

Mean Adult Age of First Clutch Breeding Species Survival Rate Breeding Size Success1 Sources (years)

Northern fulmar 0.97 6-12 1 0.55 Dunnet et al. (1963); Dunnet and Ollason (1978)

Leach's storm-petrel >0.70 3-5 1 0.79-0.94 Huntington (1963); Wilbur (1969); Morse and Buchheister (1977)

Manx shearwater 0.90 5-6 1 0.69 Perrins et al. (1973)

Northern gannet 0.95 4-7 1 0.81 Nelson (1966); Montevecchi and Porter (1980)

Herring gull 0.80-0.85 3-7 2-3 1.03-1.58 Haycock and Threlfall (1975); Kadlec (1976); Pierotti (1982)

Great black-backed gull - 4-5 3 0.50-2.11 Butler and Trivelpiece (1981)

Black-legged kittiwake 0.81-0.86 3-7 2 0.54-0.58 Maunder and Threlfall (1972); Wooler and Coulson (1977)

Common and arctic terns 0.86 2-4 1-3 0.59-0.77 Cullen (1956); Kirkham (1984)

Common murre 0.92 4-5 1 0.72 Birkhead and Hudson (1977)

Thick-billed murre 0.91 3-5 1 0.68 Birkhead and Hudson (1977); 0.76 Gaston and Nettleship (1981)

Razorbill 0.89-0.92 4-6 1 0.55-0.71 Bedard (1969); Lloyd and Perrins (1977); Hudson (1982)

Black guillemot 0.77-0.89 2 1-2 0.12-0.78 Asbirk (1979); Cairns (1981)

Atlantic puffin 0.95 4-6 1 0.60-0.66 Ashcroft (1979); Harris (1983)

Source: Mobil (1985) Notes: 1 Numbers of chicks fledged per breeding pair of adults.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Table 4.9-3

Summary of Seabird Nesting, Hatching and Fledging in the Study Area

Species Egg Laying Incubation Hatching Nesting Fledging Comments

Northern 2nd half May(1) 47-51 days(2) observed 47-51 days(2) late Aug-early Canadian breeding fulmar July 10(1) Sept(2) population is 360 000 pairs(3); Nfld. colony may represent new colonization(2).

Manx -----Information on shearwater breeding activity in coastal Nfld. is lacking. One colony has been identified on Middle Lawn Island(4).

Leach's mid May to mid 41-42 peak: last half 63-70 until mid Nov. Baccalieu colony is storm-petrel August (5,6,7) peak: days (5,6,7) of July(5,6,7) peak: late Sept. probably largest in the world.(8,9) first half of June

Northern mid to late 42 days (10,11) late June to 91 days(10,11) late Sept. to Nfld. breeding gannet May(10,11) early July early Oct.(9,10) population represents 17% of the eastern Canadian population. Nfld.'s population is stable and increasing(12)

Herring gulls; mid to late 26-29 days mid-late June 45 days(13) late July - early Nest singly or in Great black- May(13,14,15) (13,14,15) 50-55 days (13,15) August colonies at many locations along Nfld. backed gulls East Coast(16). Study area breeding population is only a small proportion of total Canadian(3).

Black- legged late May-early 27 days(18) late June(18) 42 days(18) early Aug.(18) Three major colonies kittiwake June(18) along Avalon Peninsula(17). Nfld. group represents approx. 33% total Canadian breeding population.

Common first half June(19,20) 22 days (19,20) mid July 21-26 days(19,20) late July-early Occur singly or in terns; Aug.(19,20) small colonies along the Avalon Arctic terns Peninsula(17)

Common mid May(21,22) 32 days(21,22) 23 days(21,22) mid-late July(20) Breeding population murres in study areas represents 17% total Canadian breeding population(3).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Table 4.9-3

Summary of Seabird Nesting, Hatching and Fledging in the Study Area

Species Egg Laying Incubation Hatching Nesting Fledging Comments

Thick- early June(21,22) late July-early Nesting population billed August(20) in study area represents <1% of murres Canadian breeding population(23)

Razorbill early June 34-39 days early-mid July 24 days late July - early Nesting population August in study area represents 3% of the North American population(3). Information extrapolated from data for Labrador (22).

Atlantic mid-late May(24) 42 days(24) early July(24) 40-45 days(24) mid to late Most abundant puffins August(24) alcids in study area(3). Includes approx. 72% of the N. American population(3).

Black mid May - early 28-33 mid June - mid 34-39 days(24) early - late No estimate of the guillemots June(24) days(24) July(24) August(24) number of breeding birds in the study area but considered to be low(3,26).

Source: Mobil (1985)

(1) Montevecchi et al. (1978) (10) Kirkham (1980) (19) Hawksley (1950) (2) Cramp and Simmons (1977) (11) Montevecchi and Porter (1980) (20) Kirkham (1984) (3) Nettleship (1980) (12) Montevecchi (pers. comm.) (21) Tuck (1961) (4) Lien and Grimmer (1978) (13) Haycock and Threlfall (1975) (22) Birkhead and Nettleship (1982) (5) Grimmer (1980) (14) Pierotti (1982) (23) Gaston (1980) (6) Huntingdon (1963) (15) Butler and Trivelpiece (1981) (24) Cairns (1981) (7) Wilbur (1969) (16) Erwin (1971) (25) Renaud and Bradsteet (1980). (8) Maccarone and Montevecchi (1981) (17) Brown et al. (1975) (26) Nettleship (1972) (9) Pitocchelli et al. (1981) (18) Maunder and Threlfall (1972)

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Table 4.9-4

Estimates of the Numbers of Nesting Seabirds Within the Study Area and at Major Colonies in or Near the Study Area

Study Area Major Colonies

Species Nesting Population In the Study Area Near the Study Area No. No. Nesting Nesting WBI CSM IRON CORBIN MLI BI GREEN GC Sites Pairs

Leach's storm-petrel 8 916 682 780 020 10 000 100 000 26 313 3 336 000 72 000 100 000 Atlantic puffin 6 92 775 92 600 30 000 400 Common murre 7 87 544 77 487 10 000 4 000 Black-legged kittiwake 25 59 705 + 43 369 10 000 50 12 975 200 Herring gull 77 30 175 + 6 995 x 600 5 000 20 x 1 113 Northern gannet 1 5 485 5 485 677 Ring-billed gull 6 1 839 Great black-backed gull 51 1 735 + 246 x 50 25 6 x 5 Thick-billed murre 2 1 600 600 1 000 181 Razorbill 7 592 330 100 100 ? Black guillemot 22 467 + 20 + x x 8 100 ? Manx shearwater 1 100 ? 100 Double-crested cormorant 3 40 Great cormorant 2 20 Northern Fulmar 1 17 17 Common and Arctic tern 51 2 812 +

Total # sites 149 Total # nesting pairs >1 001 684 >26 585 >10 650 >105 075 26 447 >3 384 033 72 001 100 718

Source: Cairns et al. (1989). Notes: 1. Major colony names are: WBI = Witless Bay Islands BI = Baccalieu Island CSM = Cape St.Mary's GREEN = Green Island IRON = Iron Island GC = St. Pierre Grand Columbier MLI = Middle Lawn Island CORBIN = Corbin Island 2. Symbols are: x = present but number nesting unknown ? = possibly nesting

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4-93 4.9.3 Foods and Feeding Habits

Fish, crustaceans, and cephalopods are the major categories of prey eaten by seabirds in the study area. In particular, capelin, copepods, amphipods, and short-finned squid are eaten by many species. Offal from fishing vessels is used as a food source by several species as well. Prey are obtained by a variety of feeding methods. Different species specialize in foraging at the surface, at shallow depths, and by diving deep underwater. Food and feeding habits are summarized in Table 4.9-5.

The dramatic changes that have occurred in the fish stocks of the Grand Banks undoubtedly have had significant consequences on the numbers, distribution, breeding success and feeding habits of seabirds in the area. A number of recent studies have investigated this. Nettleship (1991) found that the productivity of Atlantic puffins was lower when capelin were scarce and the puffins switched to other prey. Montevecchi et al. (1987) found a significant association between failures of the human and avian fisheries for squid and mackerel.

4.9.4 Geographic and Seasonal Distributions

The basic distributional data presented in the Hibernia EIS (and summarized in Table 4.9-6) remain true, although seasonal and annual variations are poorly known. There are also few data regarding the effects of the fisheries collapse on the distribution of birds in the study area. Additional data on the offshore distribution of seabirds are available in Brown (1986).

4.9.5 Important Species and Areas

The southeastern coast of Newfoundland and the Grand Banks are very important areas for many species of marine-related birds. There are several million nesting birds, and millions more annual visitors from areas as disparate as the Canadian and European arctics, and the south Atlantic Ocean. Following is a list of some of the significant features of this area, summarized principally from Lock et al. (1994):

· The northern gannet nests at only six sites in North America; two of those sites are in or near the study area.

· Almost 3.5 million pairs of Leach's storm-petrels nest on Baccalieu Island, near the study area. This is the majority of the entire Atlantic Ocean population of this species.

· Some of the largest seabird nesting colonies in eastern North America south of Hudson Strait are located on the Avalon Peninsula.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Table 4.9-5

Feeding Behaviour and Foods of Marine Birds in the Hibernia Study Area

Species (Species-group) Feeding Behaviour Food Taken Source

Seabirds

Northern fulmar Surface feeding Fish, cephalopods, crustaceans, offal Brown (1970) Greater shearwater Pursuit plunging Capelin, squid, crustaceans, offal Brown et al. (1981) Sooty shearwater Pursuit plunging Capelin, squid, crustaceans, offal Brown et al. (1981) Storm-petrels Surface feeding Myctophid fish, amphipods Linton (1978) Northern gannet Deep plunging Mackerel, capelin, squid Kirkham (1980) Phalaropes Surface feeding Copepods Brown (1980) Jaegers and skuas Kleptoparasitism Fish Hoffman et al. (1981) Herring gull Surface feeding Fish, crustaceans, cephalopods, offal Threlfall (1968) Iceland gull Surface feeding Fish, crustaceans, cephalopods, offal Cramp and Simmons (1977) Glaucous gull Surface feeding Fish, crustaceans, cephalopods, offal Cramp and Simmons (1977) Great black-backed gull Surface feeding Fish, crustaceans, cephalopods, offal Threlfall (1968) Black-legged kittiwake Surface feeding Fish, crustaceans, cephalopods, offal Threlfall (1968) Terns Surface and pursuit Fish, crustaceans Braune and Gaskin (1982) plunging

Alcids

Dovekie Pursuit diving Amphipods, copepods Bradstreet (1982) Common murre Pursuit diving Fish, invertebrates Bradstreet (1983) Thick-billed murre Pursuit diving Fish, invertebrates Tuck (1961) Black guillemot Pursuit diving Fish, invertebrates Cairns (1981) Razorbill Pursuit diving Fish, invertebrates Bradstreet (1983) Atlantic puffin Pursuit diving Fish, invertebrates Bradstreet (1983)

Waterfowl (eiders) Bottom feeding Molluscs, crustaceans Cantin et al. (1974)

Loons Surface diving Fish, molluscs, crustaceans Cramp and Simmons (1977)

Cormorants Surface diving Fish Palmer (1962)

Shorebirds Intertidal probing Invertebrates Palmer (1967)

Source: Mobil (1985).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Table 4.9-6

Summary of Bird Distributions in the Study Area

Area Subarea Birds Commonly Observed Flemish Cap Northern fulmar, shearwaters, black-legged kittiwake, storm-petrels, and dovekie

Coastal waters of Summer: Large numbers of northern gannet, herring gull, black-legged Newfoundland kittiwake, common murre, and Atlantic puffin. Small numbers of northern fulmar, great black-backed gull, terns, thick-billed murre, razorbill, and black guillemot. Large numbers of Leach's storm-petrels are present but rarely observed.

Winter: Large numbers of ducks (primarily common eiders), shorebirds, gulls, murres and dovekie

Grand Banks Southeast Shoal Summer: Northern fulmar, greater shearwater, sooty shearwater, storm petrels, jaegers and skuas

Winter: Northern fulmar and black-legged kittiwake

"Tail of the Spring and Summer: Northern fulmar and shearwaters common; storm- Bank" petrels, jaegers, black-legged kittiwake and murres also present

Winter: Large numbers of black-legged kittiwake, murres and dovekie

Shelf Edge Spring and Summer: Northern fulmar, shearwaters, storm-petrels, jaegers and black-legged kittiwake common; phalaropes also present

Winter: Large numbers of northern fulmar, black-legged kittiwake, glaucous gull, Iceland gull, skuas and dovekie

Source: Mobil (1985)

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 · Almost four million thick-billed murres winter on the Grand Banks over half of the 5 to 6 million that breed in western Greenland and the eastern Canadian arctic.

· Most of the world population of greater shearwaters, estimated at 5 million birds, spends the summer on the Grand Banks, wintering from their nesting grounds in the south Atlantic Ocean.

· The Grand Banks are the chief wintering area for the approximately 14 million dovekies that nest along northwest Greenland.

Aside from the overall importance of the Grand Banks to seabird populations, certain key sites are of particular note. These are the large seabird colonies at Baccalieu Island to the north of the study area and, within the study area, the Witless Bay Islands and Cape St. Mary's (see Table 4.9-4 and Figure 4.9-1).

Several endangered or threatened bird species occur in the inshore area. The most important of these are the harlequin duck, a small coastal species, and the piping plover, which nests locally on Miquelon and at Big Barasway on the south coast of Newfoundland. These species are listed by the Committee on the Status of Endangered Wildlife in Canada as endangered. Manx shearwaters and common black-headed gulls have small nesting populations in southern and eastern Newfoundland but are primarily European species.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4.10 Marine Mammals

The 18 species of marine mammals listed in the Hibernia EIS still make up the marine mammal community in the study area. The Hibernia EIS list, with updated species names, is reproduced here as Table 4.10-1. A few additional species may occur, but because of their rarity are not considered important components of the ecosystem. The 18 species include baleen whales, toothed whales, and seals. Most marine mammals that occur in the waters of the Grand Banks and the southeast coast of Newfoundland are transients, occurring typically in spring and summer. Nevertheless, despite only seasonal occurrence, the study area is an important feeding area for these species.

4.10.1 Database

The 1980 to 1981 marine mammal surveys conducted for the Hibernia EIS (Parsons and Brownlie, 1981) resulted in what is still the single most comprehensive data set on the occurrence of marine mammals in the study area. Some additional studies have been published since the Hibernia EIS, but these have focussed on particular locations within the study area or elsewhere around the northwest Atlantic rather than on the study area as a whole. These new studies provide additional data on distribution, numbers and feeding, and are discussed in the following subsections.

4.10.2 Populations and Stocks

Reliable population estimates for most of the marine mammals in the study area are not available. The summary table from the Hibernia EIS, reproduced here, with a few additional sources, as Table 4.10-2, is still the best source of information. Some additional information is available on the local numbers and relative abundance of several species.

Whitehead and Glass (1985) estimated that 900 humpback whales used the Southeast Shoal of the Grand Bank in June and July of 1982 and 1983. This was estimated to be about 15 to 30 percent of the northwest Atlantic population.

Piatt et al. (1989), concluded that about 50 to 100 different humpbacks passed through the Witless Bay area during their northward feeding migration each year of their study (May to August, 1982 to 1985). Minke and fin whales also occurred in Witless Bay, in the ratio of 10 humpback: 1 fin: 3.5 minke.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Table 4.10-1

Marine Mammals Observed in the Study Area (Updated from Mobil 1985)

Species Status in Study Area

Baleen Whales Minke whale (Balaenoptera acutorostrata) transient and summer resident Fin whale (B. physalus) transient and summer resident Blue whale (B. musculus) late winter, spring and summer visitor Sei whale (B. borealis) late summer visitor Humpback whale (Megaptera novaeangliae) transient and summer resident Right whale (Eubalaena glacialis) unknown Toothed Whales Sperm whale (Physeter macrocephalus) transient and summer resident Atlantic pilot whale (Globicephala melaena) permanent resident Killer whale (Orcinus orca) transient and summer resident Northern bottlenose whale (Hyperoodon ampullatus) transient and summer resident Harbour porpoise (Phocoena phocoena) summer resident Atlantic white-sided dolphin (Lagenorhynchus acutus) summer resident White-beaked dolphin (L. albirostris) transient and summer resident Common dolphin (Delphinus delphis) summer resident

Seals Grey seal (Halichoerus grypus) summer resident Harbour seal (Phoca vitulina) permanent resident Harp seal (Phoca groenlandica) rare visitor Hooded seal (Cystophora cristata) rare visitor

Sources: Sergeant (1966); Leatherwood et al. (1976); Mansfield (1967); Mansfield and Beck (1977); Boulva and McLaren (1979). Mobil (1985).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Table 4.10-2

Population Estimates of Marine Mammals in the Terra Nova Study Area

Population Occurring in the Study Area NW Atlantic Pop. Estimated Species Size Stock Number Sources Baleen Whales Minke whale ? Cdn. east coast ? Fin whale 8000-13 000 Nfld. - N.S. 6250 - 11600 Sergeant (1977) Blue whale low hundreds ? ? Mitchell (1974) (1) Labrador Sea 965 Mitchell & Sei whale 2078 Chapman (1977) (2) Nova Scotia 870 Mitchell & Chapman (1977) Humpback whale 2300-4100 Nfld.-Labrador 1700 - 3200 Whitehead (1982) Right whale ? ? ? Toothed Whales Sperm whale 22 000? ? ? Mitchell (1973a) Atlantic pilot whale ? ? abundant Mercer (1975) Killer whale ? ? Mitchell (1974) Northern bottlenose whale ? ? Harbour porpoise > 4000 ? Gaskin (1977) Atlantic white-sided dolphin ? ? ? White-beaked dolphin ? ? ? Common dolphin ? ? ? Seals Grey seal 30 000 ? Bonner (1981) Harbour seal 40 000 - 100 000 930 Boulva and McLaren (1979); Bigg (1981) Harp seal 1.7 - 4.3 million Roff and Bowen (1983); Stenson (1993) Hooded seal 400 000 - 450 000 Stenson (1993)

Source: Mobil (1985) with updates

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 In general, it seems likely that populations of the large baleen whales, especially humpbacks, have increased since the end of commercial whaling in the northwest Atlantic over 20 years ago. Humpback whales are certainly the most common large whale in the waters around Newfoundland during the summer (Lynch and Whitehead, 1984). Data collected by Lynch and Whitehead (1984) and Whitehead and Carscadden (1985), however, suggest that numbers of fin whales in the area may be declining. Minke whale populations appear to be stable in Newfoundland (Whitehead and Carscadden, 1985).

The population of harp seals in the northwest Atlantic has increased since the late 1970s coincident with the large reduction in the commercial harvest of this species (Roff and Bowen, 1986; Stenson, 1993). Pup production is estimated to be increasing as well (Stenson et al., 1995). Similarly, the population and pup production of hooded seals may be increasing (Stenson et al., 1994). It is not known whether the growing populations of these two seals have expanded their ranges south into the study area to any ecologically meaningful extent. Historically, harp and hooded seals have been uncommon to rare winter and spring visitors to the study area; they have occurred primarily north of the Grand Banks. They are species of concern presently, however, because of questions of the role of seals in the decline of fish stocks in Newfoundland waters. There are numerous anecdotal accounts of harp seals becoming more numerous in Newfoundland waters, and fishers commonly believe that seals have contributed to declines in cod populations.

4.10.3 Food and Feeding Habits

Fish provide food for baleen whales (small fish), toothed whales (larger fish), and seals. Baleen whales also consume vast quantities of zooplankton, while toothed whales feed also on squid. Seals and other whales are included in the diet of killer whales as well. Diet data are summarized for each species in Table 4.10-3, reproduced from the Hibernia EIS.

Data available since 1985 have not shown large-scale shifts in the diets of the marine mammals in the study area. Recent studies have, in general, confirmed the earlier findings and provided more specific information and indications of variability. Capelin remain the key prey for humpback, fin and minke whales in the study area, and short- finned squid are the primary prey of Atlantic pilot whales. The large-scale incursion of humpback whales inshore along the northeast coast of Newfoundland in the summers from 1977 to 1980 has not occurred on the same scale since. Whitehead and Carscadden (1985) suggested that the large-scale inshore incursion was related to the low abundance of immature capelin offshore in those years.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Table 4.10-3

Food of Marine Mammals Occurring in the Study Area

Species Foods Taken Source

Baleen Whales

Minke whale Fish (mainly capelin), squid, euphausiids Sergeant (1963) Fin whale Fish (capelin, herring), euphausiids Sergeant (1977) Blue whale Euphausiids Gaskin (1982) Sei whale Copepods, euphausiids, some fish Gaskin (1982) Humpback whale Capelin, euphausiids Mitchell (1973b), Gaskin (1982)

Toothed Whales

Sperm whale Squid, fish Sergeant (1966), Roe (1969) Atlantic pilot whale Primarily short-finned squid, also cod Sergeant (1962), Mercer (1975) Killer whale Fish, squid, seals, dolphins, other whales Gaskin (1982), Leatherwood et al. (1976) Northern bottlenose whale Primarily squid, also fish Mitchell (1975b) Harbour porpoise Schooling fish, (capelin, cod, herring, mackerel) Smith and Gaskin (1974) Atlantic white-sided dolphin Short-finned squid, herring, small pelagic fish Sergeant et al. (1980) White-beaked dolphin Fish (cod, capelin, herring), squid Leatherwood et al. (1976), Gaskin (1982) Common dolphin Squid, fish Leatherwood et al. (1976)

Seals

Grey seal Fish (primarily herring, cod) squid, shrimp Mansfield and Beck (1977) Harbour seal Fish (primarily herring, flounder), squid, shrimp Boulva and McLaren (1979) Hooded seal Fish, squid, shrimp, molluscs Reeves and Ling (1981) Harp seal Fish, crustaceans Foy et al. (1981), Ronald and Healey (1981)

Source: Mobil (1985).

Other recent studies Whitehead and Glass (1985) on the Southeast Shoal of the Grand Bank, and Piatt et al. (1989) in Witless Bay on the Avalon Peninsula also show the importance of capelin as food for humpbacks and other cetaceans.

4.10.4 Geographic and Seasonal Distributions

The report by Parsons and Brownlie (1981) remains the most comprehensive data set on the spatial and temporal occurrence of marine mammals in the study area. However, the degree of annual variability in the occurrence of marine mammals in the study area is still poorly known. Also, few data are available concerning the offshore occurrence of marine mammals in winter. There may be small numbers of the large whales in the study area during this season.

Ice conditions, water temperatures, and prey distribution vary annually and the occurrence and distribution of seals and whales vary accordingly. Weekly and even

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 daily distributions of baleen whales, particularly humpback, fin and minke whales are strongly correlated with changing capelin abundance (Whitehead et al., 1980; Piatt et al., 1989).

The Atlantic pilot whale and the harbour seal are the only marine mammals known to be resident year-round in the study area. The 16 other species of marine mammals recorded in the study area occur seasonally, primarily spring through autumn.

Although harp and hooded seals are rare in the study area, occurring in greatest numbers to the north of the Grand Banks, they occur in at least the northern portions of the Grand Banks in winter (February) and spring (April) (Stenson and Kavanagh, 1993).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 4.11 Predevelopment Pollutant Concentrations - Biota

The Terra Nova Field is near the outer edge of the Continental Shelf, an area which, although not pristine, presumably receives less pollutants from anthropogenic sources than inshore coastal regions. This offshore area has been used by fishing vessels as part of trans-Atlantic shipping lanes and receives currents from the Gulf of St. Lawrence. All of these are potential sources of pollutants.

Numerous substances may reduce the health or value of a biological community or species. The two most important groups in terms of Terra Nova development, hydrocarbons and trace elements, are discussed below.

4.11.1 Hydrocarbons

Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH) are ubiquitous in the marine environment and, although they can be produced biologically, originate primarily from anthropogenic sources (Hellou et al., 1994c). PAH may enter the environment directly from a release of crude oil and petroleum products during exploration, production and transport, and indirectly from atmospheric deposition following the incomplete combustion of organic material (Canadian Council of Resource and Environment Ministries, 1985; Hellou et al., 1994c).

PAH belong to a group of chemical compounds containing two or more fused aromatic ring structures. These chemicals are unsaturated and are composed of carbon and hydrogen atoms. Many of these compounds are potential carcinogens and mutagens, 16 individual PAHs have been recognized as priority pollutants by The World Health Organization, the European Economic Community, and the US Environmental Protection Agency.

The scientific literature reviewed on hydrocarbon concentrations in marine biota discusses both PAH and the broader group of chemicals, polycyclic aromatic compounds (PAC). PAC include PAH, heterocyclic aromatic compounds and organochlorines. While PAH concentrations are primarily associated with only petroleum products and releases, PAC concentrations reflect petroleum and other types of contamination (PCBs, many pesticides, surfactants).

Mobil (1985) reported that no data or research were available for petroleum hydrocarbon pollutants in organisms on the Grand Banks. Since 1985, considerable research has been completed and there are several detailed studies on hydrocarbon concentrations in marine vertebrate and invertebrate populations in the study area.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Finfish

Two detailed studies of hydrocarbons in Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) (Hellou et al., 1994a,b) have indicated that low, but detectable, concentrations of PAH were found in cod muscle samples collected from the Grand Banks. Hellou et al. (1994b) compared PAH concentrations in cod sampled from sites in the Gulf of St. Lawrence (a more coastal marine area) to cod collected from offshore Newfoundland. Although overall concentrations were low, NAFO Division 3K showed the highest levels of PAH (Table 4.11-1).

In another research study of hydrocarbon concentrations in cod from the Grand Banks, only acenophthene (18 ng/g, dry weight), fluorene (28 ng/g) and chrysene (22 ng/g) were detected, once each in two liver samples. Fluorene (72 ng/g) was detected in an ovary sample (Hellou et al., 1994a).

Primary data are available for PAH levels in three other species of finfish: American plaice (Hippoglossoides platessoides), Greenland halibut or turbot (Reinhardtius hippoglossoides), and yellowtail flounder (Pleuronectes ferruginea).

Table 4.11-1

Concentrations of PAH in Muscle of Cod from Three Locations in the Newfoundland Offshore (ug/g. dry wt.)

Sample Number 2J 3K 3Ps CH CH CH 1 ND 0.58 ND 2 0.01 0.19 0.05 3 ND 0.11 ND 4 0.01 0.05 0.01 5 0.01 0.21 ND 6 ND 0.09 ND 7 ND 0.07 ND 8 ND 0.55 ND 9 0.04 0.05 ND 10 ND 0.12 0.04 Mean 0.01 0.20 0.01 S.D. 0.01 0.20 0.02

Source: Hellou et al. (1994b). Note: 1. Chrysene was used as a standard 2. ND - non detectable

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Hellou et al. (1995) measured aromatic hydrocarbon levels in muscle of plaice and halibut from the St. Lawrence Estuary and the Northwest Atlantic (NAFO Divisions 2J and 3K). Using a chrysene standard, PAH contaminants were detected in both areas, although samples from the offshore Northwest Atlantic were the lowest (Table 4.11-2).

In 1995, MDS Environmental Services Limited, under contract from the Hibernia Management and Development Company Limited, completed an analytical study of trace metals, mercury, total petroleum hydrocarbons and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon content in scallops and American plaice collected from the proposed Hibernia gravity base structure site. Both liver and dorsal fillets of American plaice were collected and analyzed for numerous PAH including the 16 recommended priority pollutants. No PAH levels were measured above the detection limit (0.05 mg/kg or ppm) for any of the liver or muscle samples (samples were measured using both dry and wet weight basis).

Table 4.11-2

Concentration of Aromatics in Muscle Tissue (ug/g dry wt.)

No. of Chrysene units Species Site Samples mean Plaice Northwest Atlantic 13 ND (ND - 0.06) Site 1 - St. Lawrence open coast 5 0.02 (ND - 0.06) Site 2 - St. Lawrence Estuary 4 0.04 (ND - 0.14) Site 6 - Saguenay River 7 0.13 (ND - 0.39) Halibut Northwest Atlantic 10 0.08 (ND - 0.27) Site 2 - St. Lawrence Estuary 4 0.76 (0.48 - 1.1) Site 4 - Saguenay Fiord in the 4 0.93 (0.19 - 1.5) vicinity of an aluminum smelter Halibut Site 6 - Saguenay River 7 2.9 (0.77 - 5.3)

Source: Hellou et al. (1995). Note: ND - non detectable.

In a study to determine baseline levels of hydrocarbons in offshore flatfish, Hellou and Warren (1995a), using detection limits between 0.01 and 0.09 ng/g (ppb) wet weight, detected PAH levels indicating petroleum hydrocarbons in flatfish from the Grand Banks. Out of the three NAFO divisions sampled (3L, 3Ps, 3O), the highest levels of

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 specific PAH (primarily naphthalene) were detected in samples from 3L.

PAC concentrations in liver probably represent short-term exposure, while concentrations in muscle may represent long-term bioaccumulation. The results for yellowtail flounder are similar to those for cod with low, but detectable concentrations of PAH priority pollutants. Underwater seeps of crude oil were proposed as a possible source of hydrocarbons, although there was no variation in concentration with location. Sampling was not conducted in NAFO Division 3Lt, the division that includes the Terra Nova Field.

Marine Mammals

There are few studies on hydrocarbon (PAH) concentrations in marine mammals. Hellou et al. (1990) measured PAH concentrations in four species of seal and six species of whale from waters around Newfoundland and Labrador, including two samples from northeast Newfoundland. Low, but detectable concentrations of PAH (0.02-0.45 ug/g chrysene equivalent) were measured in all ten species and relatively high values were recorded for the two samples (white sided dolphin; and harbour porpoise) collected off the northeast coast. The PAH source was not explained beyond the theory that higher hydrocarbon levels might occur in areas of fishing activity.

Invertebrates

One study of hydrocarbons in two crab species (Chionoecetes opilio and Hyas coartatus) identified PAH contaminants and biologically derived hydrocarbons in both species (Hellou et al. 1994c). The 16 recommended PAH priority pollutants were measured and some of them were identified (concentrations in the range of 30 to 560 ng/g dry wt. of prominent PAH) in both species of crab. Sample locations for the study included both inshore (i.e., Conception Bay) and offshore sites (i.e., western edge of Grand Banks in the Avalon Channel).

A study of hydrocarbons in several species of molluscs collected primarily from inshore waters of Newfoundland with one offshore sampling station on the St. Pierre Bank (NAFO 3Ps), detected some recommended PAH priority pollutants (Hellou et al., 1993). Mollusc species studies included:

- Scallops (Placopecten magellanicus) - Mussels (Mytilus edulis) - Periwinkles (Nucella lapillus) -Clams (Mya arenaria) -Whelks (Buccinum undatum) - Propeller clams (Crytoderia siliqua)

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 The results showed low hydrocarbon levels (e.g., the range for hydrocarbon concentrations in mussels was 0.21 to 1.80 ug/g chrysene).

MDS Environmental Services Limited (1985) reported no TPH or PAH levels above the detection limit of 0.05 mg/kg for any of the viscera or muscle samples (both dry and wet weight basis) collected from Icelandic scallops.

4.11.2 Trace Elements

Finfish

Data on concentrations of trace elements in Atlantic cod in NAFO Divisions 2J and 3Ps were reported for the first time by Hellou et al. (1992). The trace elements measured included the priority heavy metals mercury, cadmium and lead. Concentrations of these heavy metals were comparable to levels reported in cod from the Northeast Atlantic, the North Sea and the Baltic Sea. Of all the elements measured, mercury was elevated in muscle, silver in liver, and zinc and selenium in ovaries. Concentrations of the priority heavy metal pollutants were all well below the levels permissible in food.

Hellou et al. (1995b) measured certain heavy metal and trace element content in muscle, liver and gonad of yellowtail flounder collected from NAFO divisions 3Ps, 3N and 3O. In general, arsenic, boron, cadmium, iron, lead, selenium, silica and zinc were detected in all tissues at concentrations above 1 ug/g. The concentration of Pb was below 0.3 ug/g in all tissues. The study concludes the detected values were low and represent pristine conditions.

MDS Environmental Services Limited (1995) measured 10 trace elements and heavy metals in American plaice muscle and liver samples from the Hibernia site (Table 4.11- 3). The measured levels were considered low. Mercury levels in dorsal fillets ranged from 0.19 - 0.32 ug/g, well below the guidelines for chemical contaminants in fish and fish products.

Invertebrates

MDS Environmental Services Limited (1995) measured 10 trace elements and heavy metals in Icelandic scallop muscle and viscera samples (Table 4.11-3). The Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences measured levels were considered low except for cadmium and copper values in several of the samples.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Table 4.11-3

Range of Concentrations of Trace Elements and Metals in Biota Sampled from the Hibernia Site

American Plaice Icelandic Scallop (mg/kg) dry wt. (mg/kg) dry wt. Elements Liver Fillet Viscera Muscle Arsenic (As) 4.2 - 9.8 9.1 - 1.7 2.6 - 5.8 2.2 - 2.5 Chromium (Cr) < 5 < 5 5.5 - 7.6 < 5 Barium (Ba) 1.1 - 1.9 < 0.05 - 0.79 22 - 59 2-4.8 Cadmium (Cd) < 1 < 1 - 3.4 9.3 - 7/2 < 1 -2.3 Copper (Cu) 6.2 - 1.3 2.3 - 100 10 - 25 2.2 - 15 Iron (Fe) 77 - 180 < 10 - 26 440 - 650 14 - 52 Lead (Pb) < 0.5 - 0.7 < 0.5 -12 0.8 - 2.1 < 0.5 Zinc (Zn) 53 - 80 19 - 170 58 - 180 52 - 61 Lithium (Li) < 2 < 2 < 2 < 2 Mercury (Hg) 0.05 - 0.1 0.19 - 0.32 < 10 < 10

Source: MDS Environmental Services Limited (1995).

Marine Mammals

Certain organochlorine chemical and heavy metal contaminants were measured in white-beaked dolphins (Lagenorhynchus albirostris) and pilot whales (Globicephala melaena) that were either stranded or became trapped in inshore coastal waters of Newfoundland (Muir et al., 1988). Both species are migratory and frequent the inshore and offshore waters of Newfoundland, including portions of the Grand Banks. The results of this study indicate that cadmium levels in both species were much higher than reported for other cetaceans from East Coast Canadian waters. Relatively high levels of lead and PCBs were reported in dolphins. The Gulf of St. Lawrence was proposed as a possible source of contaminants.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00004.0, Rev.0 Chapter 5 Table of Contents

5. Impact Assessment 5-1 5.1 Impact Assessment Methodology 5-3 5.1.1 Types of Impacts 5-3 5.1.2 Impact Analysis Methods 5-3 5.2 Evaluation of Alternatives 5-10 5.3 Normal Operations During Drilling and Construction 5-11 5.3.1 Description of Physical Facilities and Activities 5-11 5.3.2 Presence of Structures 5-13 5.3.3 Lights and Beacons 5-16 5.3.4 Installation of Seabed Components and Underwater Construction 5-16 5.3.5 Discharge of Drilling Muds and Cuttings 5-16 5.3.6 Discharge of Other Fluids and Solids 5-28 5.3.7 Atmospheric Emissions 5-33 5.3.8 Effects of Ships and Boats 5-33 5.3.9 Effects of Helicopters 5-34 5.3.10 Effects of Noise 5-34 5.3.11 Shore-Based Facilities 5-42 5.4 Normal Production and Maintenance Operations 5-46 5.4.1 Presence of Structures 5-46 5.4.2 Lights and Beacons 5-48 5.4.3 Maintenance of Subsea Structures 5-48 5.4.4 Injection Water 5-49 5.4.5 Produced Water 5-49 5.4.6 Other Operational Discharges 5-55 5.4.7 Atmospheric Emissions 5-58 5.4.8 Effects of Ships and Boats 5-59 5.4.9 Effects of Helicopters 5-59 5.4.10 Effects of Noise 5-60 5.4.11 Shore-Based Facilities 5-61 5.5 Transportation 5-62 5.6 Decommissioning 5-64 5.6.1 Terra Nova Development Area 5-64 5.6.2 Shore-Based Facilities 5-66 5.7 Oil Spills 5-67 5.7.1 Oil Spill Probability Analysis 5-68 5.7.2 Selection of Oil Spill Scenarios 5-85 5.7.3 Terra Nova Oil Properties and General Spill Behaviour 5-90

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5.7.4 Modelling and Description of Selected Oil Spill Scenarios 5-100 5.7.5 Terra Nova Spill Trajectories 5-108 5.7.6 Environmental Impact Assessment 5-114 5.7.7 Assessment of Oil-Spill Countermeasures 5-121 5.7.8 Residual Impacts 5-125 5.8 Cumulative Impacts 5-127 5.8.1 Impact Summary 5-127 5.8.2 Cumulative Development Impacts 5-134 5.8.3 Cumulative Impacts of the Development and Other Activities on the Grand Banks 5-135 5.8.4 Cumulative Impacts and Climatic Change 5-136

Tables

5.3-1 Level I Matrix: Interactions Between Development Activities and Ecosystem Elements 5-12 5.3-2 Volume of Cuttings and Mud Discharged from One Well 5-17 5.3-3 Toxicity of Drilling Muds 5-18 5.3-4 Concentration and Toxicity of Components in Gel and Water- Based Drilling Muds 5-21 5.3-5 Typical Concentration of Components in PHPA Polymer and Water- Based Muds 5-22 5.3-6 Natural and Development-Related Underwater Noise Levels 5-35 5.4-1 Level I Matrix: Interactions Between Operational Activities and Ecosystem Elements 5-47 5.4-2 Injection Water Additives 5-50 5.4-3 Production and Injection Forecast Waterflood in the Graben and East Flank 5-51 5.4-4 Flowline Dimensions and Hydrocarbon Inventories 5-57 5.6-1 Level I Matrix: Interactions Between Abandonment Activities and Ecosystem Elements 5-65 5.7-1 Input of Petroleum Hydrocarbons into the Marine Environment 5-70 5.7-2 Terra Nova Development Statistics of Importance to Study 5-73 5.7-3 Offshore Petroleum Industry Statistics 5-74 5.7-4 Spill Classification Categories 5-75 5.7-5 Historical Large Oil Spills from Offshore Oil-Well Blowouts 5-75 5.7-6 Blowouts and Spillage from U.S. Federal Offshore Wells Compared to Crude Oil and Condensate Production on Federal OCS Leases, 1971 to 1993 5-78 5.7-7 Oil Spills of 1000 Barrels or More from Platforms on the U.S. OCS, 1964 to 1993 5-81 5.7-8 Spill Frequency from Platforms for Spills in the Size Ranges of 1-50 Barrels and > 50 Barrels (U.S. OCS 1970 - 1993) 5-81

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5.7-9 Spills Larger than 240 Barrels that Occurred at SBM Facilities, 1982 to 1985 5-83 5.7-10 Predicted Number of Blowouts and Spills for the Terra Nova Development over its 20-Year Lifetime 5-86 5.7-11 Summary of Hibernia Spill Scenarios 5-87 5.7-12 Summary of Terra Nova Spill Scenarios 5-88 5.7-13 Terra Nova Spill Scenario Environmental Data 5-90 5.7-14 Properties of Terra Nova Crude and Hibernia Crude 5-92 5.7-15 Evaporation of Conventional Crude Oil Slicks as a Function of Sea State (%) 5-94 5.7-16 7150 m3/d Platform Blowout Scenario Summary 5-101 5.7-17 7150 m3/d Subsea Blowout Scenario Summary 5-104 5.7-18 4800 m3/d Subsea Blowout Scenario Summary 5-105 5.7-19 800 m3/d Batch Spill Scenario Summary 5-107 5.7-20 Impact and Closest Point of Approach of Hibernia Oil Slicks to Shoreline 5-109 5.7-21 Trajectories Reaching Land 5-111 5.7-22 Summary of Worst-Case Potential Impacts of Accidental Spills at Hibernia 5-115 5.7-23 Summary of Worst-Case Potential Impacts of Accidental Spills at Terra Nova 5-117 5.7-24 Spill Scenario Environmental Data 5-126 5.8-1 Level II Matrix for Development Drilling 5-128 5.8-2 Level II Matrix for Production 5-131 5.8-3 Matrix for Worst-Case Accidental Oil Spills 5-133

Figures

5.3-1 Aliphatic Hydrocarbons in Beatrice Oil Field Sediments 5-24 5.5-1 Transportation Routes Relevant to Terra Nova 5-63 5.7-1 Terra Nova Trajectories (February 1st: 1946 to 1989) 5-112 5.7-2 Terra Nova Trajectories (August 1st: 1946 to 1989) 5-113

Appendices

5.A Historical Statistics on Blowouts 5.B Using the Most Appropriate Exposure When Comparing the Terra Nova Development and Operations in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico 5.C Statistics on Blowout-Related Oil Spills and Canadian Experiences 5.D Offshore Production and Transportation Activities: Important Accidental Events 5.E Brief Description of S.L. Ross Oil Spill Model

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5. Impact Assessment

This section assesses the impacts on the Grand Banks environment of the development, operation and eventual abandonment of the Terra Nova Field. The estimated life of the field is 15 to 18 years.

Most impacts of normal drilling and production operations are rated as not significant. This would not have been the case 30 years ago. Today, the project design and operational procedures routinely include mitigation measures such as the following:

· Low-toxicity drilling muds have replaced toxic diesel-based muds.

· Oil-water separators are used to treat discharges.

· More stringent regulations respecting the quality of discharges have been put in place.

· Sophisticated blowout preventers and subsea safety valves are standard equipment in wells.

· Tankers are built with double-sided hulls, double-bottomed, ice-strengthened at the waterline with dual propulsion and segregated and ballast.

The Terra Nova Development, for the most part, will use existing technology. Floating production systems have been successfully used in both the North Sea and the Gulf of Mexico. Petro-Canada is highly experienced with operations on the Grand Banks, including ice management.

In this assessment, additional mitigation measures to further reduce impacts are recommended. The Terra Nova Development will involve the participation of numerous contractors who will provide goods and services throughout the life of the development. The process associated with contractor selection will include evaluation of loss management practices and compliance records.

In assessing the potential impacts of the Terra Nova Development, extensive use was made of the Hibernia EIS biophysical and impact assessment documents. The Hibernia EIS presented the pertinent regional biophysical information and oil and gas impact assessment literature available to 1985. Details of the Hibernia related studies are not repeated. Rather this EIS:

- Summarizes the results and conclusions found in the Hibernia-related reports and the Hibernia EIS

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-1 - Revises recent literature on the environmental impacts associated with offshore oil and gas development and regional biophysics

- Updates databases and compares the more recent information with that of 1985

There are some notable differences between Hibernia and Terra Nova that may influence the impact assessment:

· Terra Nova is roughly one-half the size of Hibernia in terms of reserves and numbers of wells.

· The Terra Nova floating production facility (FPF) can be moved to avoid collisions whereas Hibernia is fixed and built to withstand ice and other potential threats.

· Terra Nova wells will be drilled from a number of locations around the field whereas Hibernia will drill from one central location.

· The water depth at Terra Nova is about 15 m deeper than at Hibernia.

· Terra Nova is using an alliance contractor approach for design engineering.

This section presents the impacts for drilling and field development, normal production operations, transportation of oil from Terra Nova and decommissioning at project end. The impacts of large accidental spills are considered separately, as are cumulative impacts of the development along with the other activities in the area.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-2 5.1 Impact Assessment Methodology

5.1.1 Types of Impacts

Two general types of impacts are considered in this document:

1. Impacts of the project on the environment, particularly the biological environment

2. Impacts of the environment, particularly the physical environment, on the project, discussed in more detail in Chapter 3 and Section 5.7 of this document, and chapters 5 and 8 of the Development Plan.

The biological environment is emphasized because the fish, marine mammals and birds of the Grand Banks area are of great interest and value to society. These vertebrates are also good indicators of the health of the marine system upon which they depend.

Social impacts, including those on the commercial fisheries, are considered in a separate report, the Socio-Economic Impact Statement (SEIS). Social and economic benefits of the development are also contained in the SEIS.

5.1.2 Impact Analysis Methods

Methods of impact assessment are described in the Hibernia EIS, the C-NOPB guidelines (1988), and the Canadian Environmental Assessment Act (CEAA) and its associated Responsible Authorities Guide (1994). Detailed methods are described in the following subsections. The specifications and spirit of these documents have been followed in preparation of this EIS.

Scoping

Scoping for the EIS was based on the documents referenced in the previous section, discussions with consultants, government and industry, and by public consultations, including key informant workshops.

The public and key informant consultations focussed on the four study areas. In the case of the Marystown, Isthmus of Avalon and Argentia areas, comments and impacts were solicited through:

- A six-hour public open house - A key informant workshop with local citizens knowledgeable about socio- economic and environmental issues in the area

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-3 Given its larger population base, three open houses were held in St. John's. Furthermore, the St. John's area workshop was supplemented by three others dealing with province-wide issues related to fisheries, the environment and socio-economic effects.

Province-wide public consultations involved the holding of additional open houses in Carbonear, Gander, Grand Falls, Corner Brook, Stephenville and Port aux Basques; a telephone survey; and a general solicitation of input through the use of advertisements and a 1-800 number.

For further details of the public consultation process, see the SEIS.

The following issues were raised during the public consultations:

· The project's environmental impacts - Environmental protection and safety - Environmental monitoring programs - Iceberg management - Potential impacts of pollution

·The fishery - Fish taint testing - Migratory fish stocks in the vicinity of the Terra Nova Field - Sediment impacts on spawning and breeding grounds

· Oil spills - Prevention, management and cleanup - Fishery compensation - The impacts on St. Mary's bird sanctuary - Effects on the coastline

· Waste disposal management and treatment - Management and monitoring - the regulatory body responsible? - Discharge at the facility - A treatment facility in the province? - Drilling muds - use and handling

· Impacts of the physical environment - Climate trends - impacts on design criteria for production facility - Impacts of storms and seas seem to have been overlooked - The issue of earthquakes offshore

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-4 Valued Ecosystem Components

It is not possible to address the potential interactions between every project activity and every component of the natural and human environment. Thus, the EIS focusses on important valued ecosystem components (VECs). However, impacts are assessed on other elements of the ecosystem such as water quality, plankton and benthos, where relevant. VECs are discussed extensively in Beanlands and Duinker (1983).

VECs include the following groups:

· Rare or threatened species or habitats

· Species or habitats that are unique to an area, or are valued for their aesthetic properties

· Species that are harvested by people

VECs were identified in the Hibernia EIS (Mobil 1985) and through research by the Terra Nova environmental assessment team. The VECs considered in this EIS include:

· Commercial fish species ·The fishery · Seabirds · Marine mammals

Several subsections also discuss effects on benthic animals. Benthic animals are not VECs. However, as they are not mobile, they can be more readily assessed than the mobile VECs listed above. Benthic animals are good indicators of possible development effects at, in or on the seabed, and also can indicate the likelihood of effects on VECs. The commercial aspects of the fishery are detailed in Chapter 9 of the Socio-Economic Impact Statement.

Boundaries

Impacts are assessed for the 15 to 18 year lifespan of the Project and Operations phases of the Terra Nova Development. Effects that could continue after decommissioning are also considered. The spatial boundaries of the assessment include the Grand Banks and nearshore areas being considered for onshore facilities. For accidental oil spills, the impacts were assessed for all areas that could be affected by a spill or loss of well control at Terra Nova, as determined through oil spill modelling.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-5 Impact Assessment Procedures

Procedures were according to the Canadian Environmental Assessment Agency (CEAA, 1994), Duffy (1986) and the Federal Environmental Assessment and Review Office (FEARO) (1976, 1978). Assessment of the potential impacts of each project phase involved five steps:

1. Preparation of interaction matrices (Level I) 2. Identification and evaluation of potential impacts 3. Description of mitigation measures and residual impacts 4. Preparation of impact summary tables (Level II matrices) 5. Evaluation of cumulative impacts

Preparation of Interaction Matrices

Interaction matrices (Level I) were prepared for the development, production and decommissioning components of the project, as well as for transport of crude oil and onshore facilities. A Level I interaction matrix identifies all possible project activities that could interact with any of the VECs. The matrices include times and places where interactions could occur. Level I matrices are used only to identify potential interactions; they make no assumptions about the potential impacts of the interactions.

Identification and Evaluation of Impacts

Interactions identified in the Level I matrices were then evaluated for their potential to cause impacts. The potential for impact of many interactions was deemed impossible or extremely remote; thus these interactions were not considered further. In this way, the assessment could focus on key issues and the more significant environmental effects specified in C-NOPB guidelines (1988).

An interaction was considered to be a potential impact if it could change the abundance or distribution of VECs, change the prey species or habitats used by VECs, or affect fishing activities. The potential for impact was assessed by a discipline expert who considered:

- The location and timing of the interaction - The literature on similar interactions and associated impacts - The Hibernia EIS - When necessary, consultation with other experts - Results of similar impact assessments and especially monitoring studies done in other areas

When data were insufficient to allow certain or precise impact evaluations, tentative predictions were made based on professional judgement. In such cases, the uncertainty

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-6 is documented in the EIS. For the most part, the potential effects of offshore oil developments are reasonably well known.

The impacts are presented as predictions based on the literature. In some cases, the predictions will be tested by modelling. Information on monitoring programs are presented in Chapters 7 and 8 of this document.

Impacts were evaluated for the proposed development design, which includes many mitigation measures that are mandatory or have become standard operating procedure in the industry. However, the impacts were evaluated before implementation of development-specific mitigation measures.

Description of Mitigation Measures and Residual Impacts

Most significant impacts can be mitigated by additions to or changes in equipment, operational procedures, timing of activities, or other measures. Mitigation measures appropriate for each impact predicted in the matrix were identified and the impacts of various project activities were then evaluated assuming that appropriate mitigation measures are applied. Any impacts remaining after the implementation of mitigation measures, termed residual impacts, were then identified.

In this EIS, mitigation measures were identified in a generic way. Details necessary for the implementation of mitigation measures will be contained in the EPP.

Preparation of Impact Summary Tables

Impact tables (Level II matrices) were prepared summarizing the predicted impacts before and after mitigation measures. Each interaction identified in the Level I interaction matrix is addressed in the impact summary tables (Level II matrices).

The following information is included for each interaction:

· The project activity · Important ecosystem components · The potential interaction (e.g., noise disturbance) · Ranking of the magnitude of the potential impact before mitigation · Direction (positive or negative), scale and duration of impact · Likelihood of occurrence · A brief description of the mitigation measures (e.g., scheduling, use of equipment) · Ranking of the predicted residual impacts after mitigation

Impacts unlikely to occur are also listed.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-7 Evaluation of Cumulative Impacts

The final step was determining the cumulative effects of the development. Cumulative effects are the combined effects of all phases of the development plus the effects of other projects existing or planned for the area. Cumulative effects may be additive or synergistic.

Levels of Potential Impacts

The terminology used to describe potential impacts must be clear, objective and easily understood. Precise definitions for the ranking of potential impacts are used in this EIS, as follows:

Major Impact. An impact resulting in a 10 percent, or greater, change in the carrying capacity of the environment, size of an animal population, size of a resource harvest or a commercial fishery, or attribute of another VEC.

Moderate Impact. An impact resulting in a 1 to 10 percent change in the carrying capacity of the environment, size of an animal population, size of a resource harvest or commercial fishery, or attribute of another VEC.

Minor Impact. An impact resulting in a less than 1 percent change in the carrying capacity of the environment, animal population size, resource harvest or commercial fishery, or attribute of another VEC.

Negligible Impact. Impacts with essentially no effects.

Regional Impact. An impact that affects the region, defined for this EIS as the Grand Banks and the entire nearshore area adjacent to the Grand Banks and the onshore facilities.

Local Impact. An impact at the local level, defined here as the areas within 1 to 10 km from development activities.

Sublocal Impact. An impact on the biophysical environment within 1 km of development activities.

Long-Term Impact. An impact that lasts for more than five years.

Medium-Term Impact. An impact that lasts for one to five years.

Short-Term Impact. An impact that lasts for less than one year.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-8 Significance of Potential Impacts

The terms defined above can be combined, as appropriate, to define the level of potential impact. For example, a potential impact can be rated positive, long term and regional. The most serious impact (positive or negative) in this rating system is major, regional and long term; the least serious is negligible. However, it is also necessary to define what level of impact constitutes a significant impact. Impact significance is defined as follows:

Not Significant Impact. Means that an impact is negligible or is minor, short term, and local or sublocal in nature.

Significant Impact. Means that the impact rating is major or moderate or that it is minor with a medium- or long-term and a regional impact.

The above definitions are based on Duffy (1978), Canadian Environmental Assessment Guidelines and FEARO Guidelines, and have been used in numerous EISs since 1985.

It is recognized there is an apparent "geographic gap" between a regional impact and a local impact. However, it was felt that inventing new impact categories would render the assessment incomparable with other recent EISs. For this EIS, the gap is not an issue for routine operations because all of the impacts were ultimately considered to be sublocal or local. It may be an issue for large oil spills but the assessment of these events was handled somewhat differently (see Section 5.7).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-9 5.2 Evaluation of Alternatives

The FPF for the Terra Nova Development will be a new or converted monohull or semisubmersible vessel supporting a topsides deck. The hull of the vessel can be built of steel or reinforced, prestressed and post-tensioned concrete.

For more information on the alternatives considered, refer to Chapter 6 of the Development Plan.

The potential impacts on the offshore environment of a monohull or a semisubmersible are virtually the same. The development and decommissioning scenarios are the same, as are the anticipated emissions and discharges. The discussion of potential impacts in the following sections is based upon a generic floating production system.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-10 5.3 Normal Operations During Drilling and Construction

Potential interactions between development activities and ecosystem elements are shown in Table 5.3-1. These interactions are discussed in the following subsections.

5.3.1 Description of Physical Facilities and Activities

Chapter 1 of the EIS provides an overview of the Terra Nova Development. This subsection provides the details on the drilling and construction components of the development necessary to the assessment of environmental impacts.

In order to meet the 2001 schedule for First Oil, drilling will begin in 1999 and may continue throughout the development's life. The Terra Nova Field, including the Far East block, will involve drilling up to 39 new wells.

Current plans call for re-entering five of the nine exploratory wells that have already been drilled. The remaining 39 production and injection wells will be drilled sequentially. Wells will be drilled in clusters of up to six. The subsea structures will be installed once a year for the first two or three years, and about every second year thereafter.

Flowlines lying on the substrate will connect the well clusters to up to eight field manifolds. Oil production, water injection and gas injection flowlines will connect these field manifolds to a subsea riser-base manifold. Flexible risers will carry oil from the riser-base manifold up to the FPF, and water and gas from the FPF down to the riser- base manifold for distribution to the field manifolds and the injection wells (see Figure 1.1-7).

Wells will be drilled by one, and sometimes two semisubmersible drilling rigs at a rate of two to six wells per year. Each drilling rig will be supported by a number of supply vessels. One of these vessels will be on standby while the others will carry material from the supply base to the drilling rig. On average, there will be about two round trips per week between the supply base and drilling rig. When two drilling rigs are operating, four to six supply vessels may be used. Helicopters will make an average of one round trip per day to each drilling rig.

The FPF will be brought to the field and will begin to operate two years after the start of drilling; thus production and drilling will occur simultaneously for at least nine years. Production facilities are described in Section 5.4.

There will be an onshore supply base in the vicinity of St. John's. Drilling pipe, subsea pipe, manifolds, cement, drilling muds, chemicals and all the other materials required for drilling and FPF operation will be stored at the site. Coordination of some operations with the Hibernia shore base is possible, and will be investigated. Personnel

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-11 Table 5.3-1 Level I Matrix: Interactions Between Development Activities and Ecosystem Elements Ecosystem Components

Project Component Air Water Fish Fouling Pelagic Terrestrial Quality Quality Plankton Larvae Infauna Organisms Fish Groundfish Fishery Seabirds Birds Whales Seals Presence of structures Safety zone x x x Artificial reef effect x x x Subsea structures x x Surface structures xxxx Lights and beacons xxx Underwater construction x x x Drilling mud Oil-based mud x x x x x x x x x x x Water-based mud x x x x x x x x x x x Glycol-based mud x x x x x x x x x x x Other fluids and solids Completion, packer and workover x x x x x x x x x Cement BOP fluid x x x x x x x x x x Hydrostatic testing fluid x x x x x x x x x x Cooling water x x x Deck drainage x x x x x x x x x x Bilge water x x x x x x x x x x Sanitary and domestic waste x x Garbage Other waste x x xx x x x x x x x Atmospheric emissions x Ships and boats xxxxx Helicopters xxx Noise Drillings rigs x x x x x Support Vessels x x x x x x Helicopters x x x x x x Shore facilities Atmospheric emissions x Liquid and solid releases x x x x x x x x Garbage and waste x x x x x x x x Noise Lights and beacons x Vessel traffic Accidents x x x x x x x x will travel to and from the offshore site by helicopter via St. John's Airport.

5.3.2 Presence of Structures

The environmental effects of the presence of the drilling rigs and subsea structures at the Terra Nova site are assessed below.

Effects on Fish

The subsea structures and associated safety zone have the potential to alter the local abundance and distribution of fish.

Generally, anything that adds to the relief or structural diversity of soft-bottom marine habitats will attract fish (Polovina, 1991). Production structures, pipes, mounds of cement and debris will create artificial reefs that will be colonized by epifaunal animals and will attract fish (Stanley and Wilson 1990; Dustan et al., 1991; Black et al., 1994). Pelagic fish are also attracted to the structures but are generally found around and near structures, not within them (Gallaway et al., 1981). The fish community found within, very near and around offshore oil and gas structures, to some extent, depends on the nature of the structure (Stanley and Wilson, 1991). Holes in the bottom, such as glory holes, would also be inhabited by fish (Dustan et al., 1991). Studies conducted in the North Sea show that cod, haddock and other commercially important species are attracted to and concentrate around production facilities (Picken and McIntyre, 1989).

The Newfoundland Offshore Area Petroleum Production and Conservation Regulations define a safety zone as the zone at and under sea level that covers the greater of the area comprised within 500 m of a production installation, and the area comprised within 50 m of the anchor pattern of a production installation. A production installation is a facility and an associated platform, artificial island, subsea production system, offshore loading system, drilling equipment, facilities related to marine activities and dependent diving systems. The subsea system comprises equipment and structures that are located on or below, or buried in, the seafloor for the production of petroleum from, or for the injection of fluids into, a field under an offshore production site, and includes production riser, flowlines and associated production control systems. Flowlines are pipelines used to transport fluids from a well to a production facility or vice versa, and include intrafield export and all gathering lines.

As wells are completed, and subsea pipe and manifolds are laid, the size of the safety zone will be increased as required. The total area closed to fishing could be about 10 km2 in 2001 increasing to 56 km2 (assuming 12 wells in the Far East) by years 2006 to 2009.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-12 Even with the resumption of a groundfish fishery, the negative impacts of the safety zone on fisheries would be minor, local and long term. On the other hand, the 56-km2 closed area could create a refuge, where fish, including commercially important species, could be attracted to the subsea structures and become concentrated. Therefore, on fish populations, the reef effect and the safety zone together could have a positive, long-term, minor-to-moderate, local, significant impact. This refuge and enhancement of local populations, which could move outside the development area, may offset the negative impact of the safety zone on fisheries.

Biofouling

The subsea structures will create habitat for biofouling organisms. In the North Sea, most of the fouling biomass in the upper 50 m is composed of seaweeds, hydroids, mussels, soft corals and anemones. Below that depth, hydroids, soft corals, anemones and tubeworms are the most common animals (Welaptega, 1993).

Colonization of subsea structures by fouling epifaunal animals and plants is considered a nuisance and eventually a hazard. Epifaunal animals make visual inspections more difficult, increase hydrodynamic loading, contribute to fatigue and corrosion, and may interfere with corrosion protection systems (Edyvean et al., 1985). Biofouling could cause minor-to-moderate, sublocal and long-term negative impacts on subsea structures.

Fouling organisms will be periodically removed as necessary using diver- or ROV-deployed brushes or high-pressure water jets (Welaptega, 1993). Removal of fouling organisms will reduce impacts to negligible. The accumulation of removed fouling organisms on the bottom may attract invertebrate and fish predators (Dicks, 1982).

Effects on Benthic Animals

The presence of structures can modify the substrate characteristics of the adjacent seabed and infaunal community (Davis et al., 1982). Changes in benthic communities are also related to increased predation by fish, such as cod, which are attracted to environment around the structures (see "Effects on Fish" above), and by invertebrate predators, such as starfish, which are attracted to the area by the presence of fouling organisms (Davis et al., 1982). Scavengers are attracted to the area by the presence of removed fouling organisms on the bottom (Dicks, 1982).

There has been much concern over the long-term effects of trawling on the benthos. Some studies have shown effects and some have not (see review by Messieh et al., 1991). Some authors have concluded that extensive trawling can produce long-term changes in sediment characteristics and the structure of the benthic community

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-13 (deGroot, 1984 and references cited therein). At present, the Bedford Institute of Oceanography (BIO) and the Northwest Atlantic Fisheries Centre, St. John's are conducting a collaborative research project on the impacts of trawling on the Grand Banks. The research is being conducted in an area about 75 km northeast of Hibernia that has been closed to trawling since 1987 (the centre position is 47°10_N, 48°17_W) (D. Gordon, BIO, pers. comm.). The project involves assessing the impacts of one type of bottom trawl on a relatively homogeneous, sandy environment through extensive, video-guided, sediment, infaunal and epibenthic sampling. Samples and data are still being analyzed, but there is preliminary evidence of negative impacts of trawling on sediments and some epibenthic species, such as crab (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, 1995).

A safety zone will allow recovery of the benthos in the zone, and will also provide an indirect benefit in that another test area where comparative data for trawl effects studies could be available.

Impacts of the presence of structures on benthos would depend on the state of the fisheries. If the fishery does not recover, and present low levels of fishing are maintained, then the relative impacts of a fishery closure on the benthos are likely to be negligible. On the other hand, if the fishery recovers, then the relative effects of a safety zone on the benthos are quite likely to be positive, minor, long term and local.

Effects on Birds and Marine Mammals

Migrating birds nearing the end of their migration could be attracted to the drilling platforms and supply boats. In the past, some concern has been expressed that birds nearing the end of their migration could land on structures and die of exhaustion and lack of food and water, and that if the structures had not been present, the birds would have made a landfall.

The Buccaneer oil and gas field is 45 km offshore of the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and within a major migration corridor used by birds migrating across the Gulf of Mexico. Northbound birds that had died of exhaustion were found on the platforms during spring migration (Aumann 1980). If the structures had not been present, the birds might have made it to land in one hour, but could have died on arrival or before reaching land. Fall migrants were not found on the Buccaneer platforms, which were near the start of the autumn trans-Gulf flights. The Terra Nova Development area is not within a major migration corridor for passerine birds (songbirds and perching birds). Any passerines in the area would be very much off course.

Gulls and terns are known to make extensive use of offshore structures for resting and feeding (Aumann, 1980). However, many ships can be found on the Grand Banks, and many of these are more attractive than offshore structures to seabirds because they

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-14 provide potential food in the form of fish refuse. The passive use of Terra Nova vessels by resting gulls and terns would have negligible effects on the birds.

Overall, impacts on marine and terrestrial birds caused by the presence of structures would be negligible. Potential effects on marine mammals are mainly related to the effects of noise produced by the facilities. (Section 5.3.10).

5.3.3 Lights and Beacons

The drilling rigs and supply and standby ships will carry navigation lights and warning lights. Working areas will be illuminated with floodlights. The helideck on the drilling units and the FPF will be floodlit and have omnidirectional guidance lights.

Fish and squid may be attracted to illuminated surface waters near the vessels (Hurley, 1980); however, the impacts on fish and squid would be negligible.

Night-migrating birds are attracted to light sources during foggy or overcast conditions, and may collide with structures (Avery et al., 1978) or be incinerated by the flare (Bourne, 1979; Sage, 1979). There are no quantitative data describing the frequency of collisions, but anecdotal information suggests they are rare. The small numbers of birds involved and infrequent periods of flaring would result in these collisions having a negligible impact on bird populations.

5.3.4 Installation of Seabed Components and Underwater Construction

Completion of wells, and installation of manifolds and pipe may require excavation and some other form of bottom preparation. No underwater blasting is anticipated. During any one year, disturbance will occur over relatively small areas. Recolonization by opportunistic species can be quite rapid, even in cold water (e.g., Thomson and Martin, 1984); therefore, impacts on the benthos are likely to be negligible.

The underwater construction may displace fish by approximately 100 m but these impacts would be negligible.

Marine mammals and fish could potentially be affected by the associated noise (see Section 5.3.10).

5.3.5 Discharge of Drilling Muds and Cuttings

The design of the development requires directional drilling of the wells from cluster locations. This will significantly minimize the number and length of subsea flowlines and associated risks. On directional wells, the shales will be exposed for longer periods

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-15 of time and hole stability is of greater concern than with vertical wells. The shale intervals are longer and subject to greater risk of hole collapse because of wellbore inclination. Oil-based muds are the most reliable method of managing hole stability, lubricity, and lower drill string hole torque and drag.

Drilling cuttings will be discharged over a wide area within the 56 km2 development area, and not at one central site in the field as is the case at Hibernia. Wells will be drilled in clusters, each cluster consisting of up to six wells. Wells within clusters will be drilled about 25 m apart along the circumference of a circle.

The current plans are to drill the upper 1500 m of each well using water-based drilling muds. Use of low-toxicity, oil- or inhibited water-based muds is planned for depths of 1500 m, measured depth, to total depth.

The effects of discharged cuttings depend on the type of drilling mud used. Table 5.3-2 shows estimates of the volumes of mud and cuttings that could be discharged from an average well drilled directionally to a depth of 4440 m with a horizontal reach of 2000 m from the vertical.

Table 5.3-2

Volume of Cuttings and Mud Discharged From One Well

Depth Volume of Subsea Dry Rock Mud Type Discharge (m) (m3) 0-176 110 Gel and 175 m3 to seafloor seawater

176-500 160 Gel and 450 m3 to seafloor seawater

500-1500 170 PHPA polymer 450 m3 return to rig for discharge from solids and seawater control and 450 m 3 to seafloor

1500-3940 220 Oil or glycol Recycle - max. oil content of 15 g/100 g dry cuttings

3940-4440 18.3 Oil or glycol Recycle - max. oil content of 15 g/100 g dry cuttings

Note: Volumes are for a 4440 m ss well with a horizontal reach of 2000 m from the vertical.

The inhibited water-based fluid muds (glycol, PHPA and KCl polymer) and low- toxicity, oil-based drilling muds to be used for the Terra Nova Development are of

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-16 relatively low toxicity (Addy et al., 1984; GESAMP, 1993; Hinwood et al., 1994). The 96-h LC50 (concentration of a compound that kills 50 percent of the organisms after 96 hours exposure) for a variety of fish and invertebrates is in the 2000 to 100 000+ ppm range as shown in Table 5.3-3.

Table 5.3-3

Toxicity of Drilling Muds

Mud Type 96-h LC50 Reference Low-toxicity oil 2000 - > 90 000 GESAMP, 1993 Glycol 6300 - 9500 ANCO Product Sheet Gel and seawater ~100 000 Thomas et al., 1984 PHPA polymer and seawater 10 000 - 100 000+ Thomas et al., 1984 Diesel oil1 < 100 ppm GESAMP, 1993

1 Not to be used at Terra Nova; included for comparative purposes only.

The characteristics and potential effects of the three mud types are discussed below.

Oil-Based Muds

Oil-based muds may be used when drilling at substrate depths greater than 1500 m. The oil-based mud will be recovered, recycled or transferred to shore in a manner approved by the Chief Conservation Officer, and disposed in a manner approved by local authorities. The EPP will provide details on mud handling, storage and disposal.

The aromatic content of the base oil will be as specified in the National Energy Board, Canada-Newfoundland Offshore Petroleum Board and Canada-Nova Scotia Offshore Petroleum Board's Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines, which currently call for a maximum aromatic content of 5 percent. Cuttings also will be treated to meet the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines in effect at the time of drilling; these guidelines currently specify:

- A maximum of oil content 15 g/100 g dry cuttings averaged over a 48-hour period

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-17 - Measurement of oil concentrations in solids every 12 hours using specified methods

- Calculation of a rolling 48-hour average concentration

- Reporting of oil concentrations 30 g/100 g or greater within 24 hours to the Chief Conservation Officer

After treatment to reduce oil content, the cuttings will then be discharged from the drilling rig at a depth of at least 10 m below the surface. Most cuttings will rapidly fall to the bottom because cuttings mixed with oil adhere to each other, inhibiting dispersion. As the drilling rig will be positioned over each well, cuttings will be discharged at the various well locations within the development area.

Oil content of the cuttings discharged from C-09 and E-79 exploratory wells was about 12 to 18 percent on a dry weight basis. Drilling at E-79 at substrate depths greater than 1200 m generated about 127 to 191 m3 of cuttings per well (wet volume; about 114 to 172 m3 dry volume). Thus, about 21 m3 of oil were released with the cuttings. Production wells, which will be partly drilled with oil-based muds, could release on average about 238 m3 of cuttings, containing a maximum of 36 m3 of low-toxicity oil. Cuttings discharged from the drilling of all 27 new wells in the Graben and East Flank will contain about 972 m3 of oil, which will be released over an approximate 11-year drilling period. The Far East may discharge another 432 m3 if 12 wells are developed there.

Much of the information on effects of oil-based muds and cuttings available at the time of the Hibernia EIS (Mobil 1985) was collected in the North Sea, where many wells were drilled from single stationary platforms and the relatively more toxic diesel-based muds were used. In the North Sea, cuttings from the drilling of multiple wells with low-toxicity oil-based muds formed a plume of debris on the bottom with concentrations of oil highest within 250 m of the platform (Addy et al., 1984). Concentrations of oil up to 13 times background levels could be detected at distances of up to 750 m downstream of the platform and at shorter distances in other directions (Addy et al., 1984). Biological effects on the benthos were evident near a platform, minimal but present at 250 to 500 m from a platform, and undetectable at 800 to 4000 m from a platform (Addy et al., 1984).

Direct smothering of the benthos was the main effect observed near drilling platforms (Davies et al., 1984). Beyond this area, the effects were consistent with those expected from organic enrichment of the sediment or toxicity; the two effects could not be distinguished (Addy et al., 1984; Davies et al., 1984). The major localized effects on the benthos were a reduction in species diversity, and elevated numbers and biomass close to the platform (Kingston, 1992). The elevated biomass and numbers indicate a high level of biological activity and degradation of the oil (Kingston, 1992). On

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-18 average, biological effects were noted at concentrations of 60 ppm oil in sediment with effects on sensitive species noted at 25 ppm (GESAMP, 1993). Some benthic animals, including those found on the Grand Banks, are sensitive to organic enrichment or effects of oil.

Generally, organic enrichment or oil pollution eliminates or reduces the number of sensitive species and increases the numbers of tolerant species. Elevated hydrocarbon concentrations were detected beyond the area of biological effects (Davies et al., 1984).

Low-toxicity oil-based drilling muds to be used at the Terra Nova Development will have a lower percentage of aromatic compounds than the diesel-based drilling muds commonly used before 1985 (Addy et al., 1984). Low-toxicity oil-based muds are similar in toxicity to water-based muds (GESAMP, 1993). Low-toxicity oil-based muds have a 96-h LC50 for most fish at concentrations of about 20 000 to greater than 90 000 ppm (GESAMP, 1993). For the most sensitive species low-toxicity oil-based muds are toxic at 2000 to 3000 ppm. By comparison, the most sensitive species have an LC50 of < 100 ppm for diesel-based, drilling mud (GESAMP, 1993).

Glycol Water-Based Muds

Glycol water-based muds are considered an alternative for drilling the deeper portions of the production wells. Glycols, in general, are less toxic than oil (Hinwood et al., 1994). The threshold for harmful effects of oil are concentrations of less than 1000 ppm (Davies et al., 1984), whereas 96-h LC50s for glycols are in the 20 000 to 100 000 ppm range (Environment Canada, 1994). EC50s for ANCO 4000 glycol-based formulated drilling fluid is 9487 ppm for a benthic animal (Abra alba) and 6303 ppm for a marine algae (ANCO product sheet).

Glycols are not volatile and do not evaporate from surface waters. Photo-oxidation is a minor fate of glycols in water. Di-ethylene glycol hydrolyzes and has a half-life of less than 25 days in water. In fresh water, aerobic biodegradation by bacteria is the most important fate process for glycols. The half-life for glycols in fresh water is between 2 and 20 days. However, in fresh water, the process is temperature-dependent, and little biodegradation occurs at temperatures of 8°C or less. Hydrocarbons are biodegradable in cold temperate marine waters (Minas and Gunkel, 1995); a slow biodegradation of glycols could occur.

Glycols, unlike oil, readily dissolve in water. Most of the glycol associated with cuttings would dissolve while settling through the water column or soon after settling on the bottom. As the other components of glycol-based mud are similar to those of water-based mud, the impacts of glycol-based mud and cuttings would be essentially the same as those of water-based muds.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-19 Inhibited Water-Based Muds

The upper 1500 m of each well will be drilled using gel and water and PHPA polymer and seawater-based muds. The spent mud will be discharged at a depth below 10 m. A well drilled at an angle with a reach of 2000 m from the vertical will release about 625 m3 of the gel and seawater and 900 m3 of the PHPA polymer and seawater muds to the seabed (Table 5.3-2).

Gel and water-based muds are relatively nontoxic (Table 5.3-4). The mud components are mixed with water before use, resulting in concentrations of approximately the 96-h LC50 values for rainbow trout. This type of water-based mud has 96-h LC50s for fish and invertebrates that are in the 100 000 ppm (10 percent) range (Thomas et al., 1984).

Table 5.3.4

Concentration and Toxicity of Components in Gel and Water-Based Drilling Muds

Concentration Amount per Well Toxicity1 Mud Component g/L (x 103 t) (g/L) Bentonite 57-114 36-71 50 Caustic soda 0.7-1.4 0.4-0.9 0.1 Soda ash 0.7-1.4 0.4-0.9 -- Barite 228-342 143-214 100

1 96 h LC50 for rainbow trout (from Mobil, 1985).

Components of PHPA polymer and water-based muds are shown in Table 5.3-5. Typical 96 h LC50 values for fish and invertebrates exposed to polymer-based muds range from 10 000 ppm to hundreds of thousands ppm (Thomas et al., 1984). They are slightly more toxic than the gel and seawater-based muds. The PHPA polymer and water-based muds will be diluted to nontoxic levels close to the discharge point.

Heavy Metal Contamination

Both the drilling muds and the cuttings can contain heavy metals. The kinds and quantities of metals can be quite variable and depend on the composition of the mud and the cuttings. In the Gulf of Mexico, contamination by heavy metals was

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-20 Table 5.3-5

Typical Concentration of Components in PHPA Polymer and Water-Based Muds

Total Amount Trade Function Chemical Concentration Per Well Name (g/L) (x 10-3t) Barite Increase hard Barium sulphate As required As required density Various Primary Organic 2.9 2.6 viscosities viscosifier Caustic soda pH control NaOH 4.3 3.9 Soda ash Treatout Ca ion Sodium 0.7 0.6 contamination carbonate Sodium Treatout cement Sodium As required As required bicarbonate contamination bicarbonate Various Primary fluid loss Sodium 5.7 5.1 reducer polyacrylate Various Secondary fluid Polyanionic 5.7 5.1 loss reducer cellulose (nonviscosifying) Sodium Biocide Sodium sulphite 0.7 0.6 sulphite PHPA Shale incapsulator Partially 11.4 10.3 hydrolized Poly acrylamide

limited to an area within 100 m of the production platforms; however, some of the trace elements were believed to have been deposited by produced water rather than by cuttings (Wheeler, et al. 1980). The field had been in operation for 20 years at the time of sampling.

High concentrations of heavy metals are toxic, bioaccumulate, can pass through the food chain, and harm marine biota (Forstner and Wittmann, 1983). The uptake of metals by marine animals depends on the bioavailability of the metals; therefore, total concentrations do not always reflect the availability of metals to animals (Forstner and Wittmann, 1983). Metals bioavailability is generally low when the metals are absorbed onto particles or complexed with organic molecules (Forstner and Wittmann, 1983; Leland and Kuwabara, 1985; Hinwood et al., 1994), as generally happens in natural waters. Drilling activities are unlikely to produce concentrations of heavy metals that

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-21 are harmful to marine animals (Neff et al., 1980 in Hinwood et al., 1994).

Zone of Influence

The zone of influence can be defined by chemical or biological "markers", or both. The boundary of the zone is defined by the points at which the measured variables reach background levels. Chemical markers can include metal or hydrocarbon concentrations in sediments. The measurement of contaminants in sediments is difficult and results can vary widely depending upon the sampling and analysis techniques used and other factors. Many authors refer to the chemically-defined zone of influence as the "contaminated area". The term contaminated in the present context means simply that measured values are above some previously determined background level. The chemical contamination (i.e. elevated levels) may not have any biological significance unless the contaminants are bioavailable and at high enough levels to impact natural processes.

A zone of influence as determined by biological markers is normally smaller than one determined by chemical ones. Biological markers can include changes in species composition, biomass, contaminant body burdens, histology, genetics and enzyme induction. A zone of influence determined by biological effects monitoring is the one that is most relevant in determining environmental impact.

In the North Sea, cuttings contaminated with low-toxicity oil-based muds from five wells were discharged at one location and affected benthos only to a limited extent. Biological effects were noted only in the immediate vicinity of the platform and were comparatively weak at 250 m and undetectable 750 m from the platform. Aliphatic hydrocarbon distributions for one well and five wells together are shown in Figure 5.3- 1 (Addy et al., 1984).

At the Venture Field off Sable Island, concentrations of low-toxicity oil in sediments were three to four orders of magnitude higher than background levels within 200 m of the drilling site, and dropped to 10 times background levels within 200 to 1500 m of the drilling site (Yunker and Drinnan, 1987). Note that this area is shallow, sandy, and the sediments are very mobile. As such, these observations may not be relevant to Terra Nova.

Data from approximately 380 single wells sites in the North Sea show that sediments are contaminated along the axis of the prevailing current, but to distances about 25 percent or less of those at multi-well sites (GESAMP, 1993). The zone of biological effects would be about 250 to 500 m from a single drilling site (GESAMP, 1993). Within this zone, benthic animals were affected only in the immediate vicinity of the platform and minimally affected at 250 m. Effects were undetectable at 750 m from the platform (Addy et al., 1984). It is possible that minor biological effects from single wells could be noted up to 1 km from a single well and oil could be present at distances

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-22 N

900

800

700

600

500 3000 400 1500 750 250 300 50 5Wells 200 1Well Distance (m) 50 100 250 750 0 Platform 1500 3000

Distance (m) of 1 to 8 km from the well, depending on prevailing currents (GESAMP, 1993). However, as discussed below, in practice, effects may be undetectable.

Recent investigations in the Norwegian sector of the North Sea show the zone of effects could be much larger than those described above. Olsgard and Gray (1995) have shown that the zone of influence increases with time and that after 6 to 9 years effects were noted up to 6 km away from the platform. The expansion of affected areas continued after cessation of discharge of cuttings contaminated with oil-based muds. The area of effects was only slightly smaller than the contaminated area. An analysis of benthos at 10 platforms showed that the zone of effects was not directly related to the amount of oil discharged with cuttings. For 10 platforms, the zone of effects ranged from < 1 to 6 km. The quantities of oil discharged at seven of the 10 platforms were 5 to 20 times that which will be discharged from the Terra Nova field. Unfortunately, Olsgard and Gray (1995) do not identify the type of oil-based mud used nor do they identify the kinds of hydrocarbons found in the sediments. Relatively large volumes of diesel-based mud have been used in the North Sea. The high toxicity of diesel and low biodegradability of oil below the surface could explain the large and expanding zones of influence around the platforms. However, because the type of oil used was nowhere identified in the study, its applicability to Terra Nova is questionable.

Duration of Effects and Recovery of the Benthos

In areas of the North Sea, benthos on sediments initially contaminated with up to 4300 ppm of diesel-based mud from multiple wells, partially recovered one to two years after drilling (Mair et al., 1987; GESAMP, 1993). Opportunistic species colonized the substrates within a few months (Kingston, 1992). North Sea data indicate biological effects and contamination from single wells may not last beyond one season of winter storms (GESAMP, 1993).

Low-toxicity oil-based muds are biodegradable under aerobic conditions, but not under anaerobic conditions (Steber et al., 1995). In the upper centimetre of sediment, oil will biodegrade in approximately 150 days (Petersen et al., 1991), but oil within a pile of cuttings or at depths greater than 1 cm remains unchanged for long periods of time (Yunker and Drinnan 1987; Petersen et al., 1991; Steber et al., 1995). At the Terra Nova site, two or three wells may be drilled within a cluster in any one year, and would be close enough for their cuttings piles to overlap. For one well the cuttings pile could be a up to 10 cm thick, decreasing to 5 cm within 30 m, and 1 cm within 50 to 100 m of the release site, if Scotian Shelf observations can be applied to Terra Nova (Yunker and Drinnan, 1987). For two or three wells drilled close to each other, the pile could be deeper; however, outside the immediate vicinity of the drill site, the cuttings would be exposed to aerobic conditions that facilitate oil biodegradation.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-24 Yunker and Drinnan (1987) found decreasing concentrations of low-toxicity oil with increasing core depth, suggesting that at least part of the oil floated to the top of the cuttings pile. They found little or no oil biodegradation below the sediment surface. Wave action and weathering significantly reduced hydrocarbon content in the sediments near the drill site within three months.

Dustan et al. (1991) examined seven individual exploratory drill sites off the Florida Keys. They found no cuttings piles near two exploration wells drilled 30 years previously to over 2000 m in 20 m of water; however, there were pieces of cuttings in the sediments. Coverage by living organisms of the bottom and an abandoned pipe, the only visible sign of drilling activity, was the same and biological communities appeared typical. At another site, where a well had been drilled seven years previously to 3464 m in 53 m of water, signs of drilling activity were limited to an area less than 50 m in diameter. In this area, the biological community appeared unaffected and cuttings and mud were not visible. At an exploration well drilled two years previously in 70 m of water to 3200 m, Dustan et al. (1991) found a mound 10 to 15 m in diameter and 2 m high that consisted mainly of casing cement with some cuttings. The expected cuttings pile could not be found. Benthic communities were disturbed within a radius of 25 m around the mound. All the debris created artificial reefs, which attracted fish and provided substrate for epifaunal animals. Similarly, examination of three exploratory well sites drilled with water-based muds in the Hibernia field revealed only slight accumulations of drilling materials (NORDCO, 1983). Dustan et al. (1991) conclude that with modern technology and anti-dumping regulations, exploratory wells could probably be drilled without leaving a trace. They caution that these results cannot be extrapolated to the effects of production well groups.

At Terra Nova, a maximum of six closely spaced wells will be drilled over two or more years at each of the manifolds. This is not similar to production drilling at Hibernia or the North Sea, where many wells are drilled from a single platform and all cuttings are discharged in the same place. At each of the manifolds, the zone of influence and effects of drilling will be smaller than that around fixed production platforms and slightly larger than at single well sites.

Effects on Fish

Because only two or three wells will be drilled per site in any one year, low-toxicity oil-based drilling mud will be used, and discharges will be strictly controlled, concentrations of any oil released from cuttings are unlikely to be high enough to cause fish mortality. Bioaccumulation of oil in tissue and subsequent tainting of fish flesh has been identified as a potential problem associated with the use of oil-based muds (GESAMP, 1993). Tainting imparts an oily taste to fish, rendering them unpalatable and unmarketable. Tainting is usually associated with lipid-soluble hydrocarbons in the C22-C30 range, with a maximum at C26 (Tidmarsh et al., 1985). Phenols, dibenzothiophenes, naphalenic acids, mercaptans, tetradecanes and methylated

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-25 naphalenes may be the principal components causing tainting. As low-toxicity drilling muds contain highly refined paraffinic and naphthenic oils, there is a small potential for tainting by these components.

Flatfish near offshore platforms may become tainted if hydrocarbon concentrations in sediments exceed 200 ppm dry weight (S.L. Ross and LFA, 1993). Although flatfish can bioaccumulate hydrocarbons from drill cuttings in their livers, it is unclear whether they would accumulate enough hydrocarbons in muscle tissue to cause tainting (S.L. Ross and LFA, 1993). The authors speculate that cuttings discharged from platforms in deep water would lose the lighter fractions of oil, known to cause tainting, while falling through the water column.

Impacts

Much of the literature on the impacts of drilling muds may not be directly applicable to Terra Nova because low-toxicity muds will be used and because the discharges are subject to more stringent regulation than in the past.

In the Terra Nova Development, low-toxicity, oil-based drilling muds will be used, recovered and recycled. The 48-hour average concentration of oil in released cuttings will be 15 g/100 g dry cuttings. This amount is likely considerably lower than that released by the fields discussed in previous sections. Some of the oil on discharged cuttings will dissolve while the cuttings pass though the water column. Oil that remains adhered to cuttings will probably aerobically degrade. Because only small numbers of wells will be drilled per year in the development area, the concentration of oil in sediments will remain low and will affect benthos in only a very limited area. Glycol-based muds will also be recovered and recycled but spent mud will be released at the site. The glycol that adheres to cuttings will quickly disperse. The components of water-based muds are relatively nontoxic. The effects of the discharge of muds and cuttings are unlikely to persist beyond one storm season.

Impacts on benthic animals could be minor to major and medium-term within a few hundred metres of the drilling sites and minor and short-term within the development area. Overall, impacts on the benthos in the development area are likely to be minor and short-term with small areas experiencing minor to major impacts on benthic animals. A monitoring program will be implemented to determine the extent and duration of contamination of the sediments and the extent and duration of effects on benthic animals.

Only a few wells will be drilled each year. Drilling will likely only take place for part of the year. Impacts on fish and the fishery would be negligible. Fish that may become tainted are likely to be those that are attracted to the subsea structures and reside in the safety zone. Highly mobile fish are unlikely to remain near oiled cuttings long enough to become tainted. The Environmental Effects Monitoring Program (EEM) will track

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-26 fish tainting by all sources of hydrocarbons, including oil-based drilling muds that could be released during development and production. If tainted fish are found, the source of tainting will be investigated and further mitigation measures implemented.

Cuttings, and the oil or glycol discharged with them will have negligible impacts on birds or marine mammals. Cuttings fall to the seafloor; therefore, there is little chance of interaction. Effects on plankton are likely to be transitory and sublethal in only a small area; therefore, impacts will be negligible. Small amounts of oil could enter the water and turbidity will increase in the immediate vicinity of the discharge site. Impacts on water quality will be minor, sublocal and short-term.

Mitigation measures for the Terra Nova Development include the use of low-toxicity, oil-based drilling muds, inhibited water-based muds (glycol), recovery and recycling of oil, and treating oil-contaminated cuttings to meet the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines.

5.3.6 Discharge of Other Fluids and Solids

In addition to drilling muds and cuttings, many other materials and liquids will be used on the Terra Nova Development, some of which will be released into the environment.

Other Fluids Associated With Drilling

Other fluids associated with the drilling and completion of wells include completion, packer and workover fluids; cement slurry; and blowout preventer (BOP) fluid.

Completion and workover fluids are pumped into wells after drilling to prepare them for production, and are similar in composition. About 200 m3 of fluids containing corrosion inhibitors, biocide and about 0.7 tons of calcium chloride are used per well. After completion and workover operations, wells are cleaned and the fluids are pumped into a tank. If the used fluids are highly acidic, the acid is neutralized before discharge. The fluids are also processed in an oil-water separator to reduce the level of hydrocarbons to below the guideline level of 40 mg/L specified by the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines.

Effluents are usually diluted 1000-fold within 50 m of the discharge point (Sommerville et al., 1987). Sommerville et al. (1987) estimated dispersion based on numerical modelling and laboratory experiments using a 1:120 scale model to simulate flume dispersion and verified results with actual field measurements of the dispersion of rhodamine B. Concentration of discharged fluid in seawater beyond this distance will be 0.1 percent, the concentration of oil in water less than 40 μg/L and concentrations of aromatic hydrocarbons about 7 to 13 μg/L. The small amounts of these completion,

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-27 packer and workover fluids would result in negligible impacts on marine biota.

Based on experience with the exploratory wells, about 33 t (26.4 m3) of excess cement will be released to the seabed per well, and will kill some benthos locally. If the cement remains in a pile, it will act as an artificial reef, be colonized by epifaunal animals and attract fish. The impacts (either negative or positive) of the cement would be negligible.

Blowout preventer fluid is used in the blowout preventer stacks during drilling. The fluids are usually glycol-water mixes, but oil can also be used. Glycol-water mixes will be used at Terra Nova and will have a low toxicity. Periodic testing of the blowout preventer is required by regulations. The approximate 1 m3 of the fluid released per test will be quickly dispersed. Periodic releases of this small amount of glycol will have negligible impact on marine biota.

Well treatment fluids recovered from operations will be treated to reduce oil concentrations to levels specified by the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines (maximum of 40 mg/L). Time series of raw and averaged data from analysis of treated and discharged fluids will be submitted to the Chief Conservation Officer on an approved schedule.

Well treatment fluids containing diesel oil or oil with a high aromatic content will not be used unless recovered and recycled, or transferred to shore. Strongly acidic fluids will be neutralized before discharge. A chemical management plan will be developed with the chemical suppliers and submitted to the C-NOPB as part of the EPP.

Small volumes of treated effluent will affect water quality in the immediate vicinity of the discharge; these impacts will be minor, sublocal and short-term. Any major impact on plankton is of concern because it forms the base of food chains leading to the VECs. Effects on plankton of the release of other drilling fluids will likely be transitory and sublethal because small volumes will be released and toxicity levels will be low. This will result in negligible impacts.

Direct impacts on fish from the release of other drilling fluids are unlikely. A major concern related to the release of oily water is the potential to taint fish. As described earlier, fish tainting will be monitored and all sources of hydrocarbons that could be released during field development and production will be considered. If tainted fish are found, the source(s) will be investigated and further mitigation measures will be implemented.

Treated oily-water discharge from other drilling fluids could affect seabirds and marine mammals. Small amounts of oil (a few millilitres) on the plumage of a seabird can kill it within a few days (Peakall et al., 1987). Seabirds may survive external oiling with 0.1

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-28 ml of oil, but have less reproductive success (Butler et al., 1988). In the Terra Nova Development, oily water will be treated before discharge to reduce oil concentrations in the discharge to no more than 40 mg/L. These discharges would be diluted 1000- fold within 50 m downstream of the discharge (Sommerville et al., 1987). In addition, the oily water will be discharged below the surface. Thus, it is very unlikely that birds will be impacted.

The marine mammals of the Newfoundland region rely on blubber rather than fur for insulation. They can withstand some degree of external oiling with no serious damage (see Englehardt, 1985; Richardson et al., 1989; and Geraci and St. Aubin, 1990 for reviews). Eye irritation from surface oil may be the only surface effect of exposure to small concentrations of oil (Geraci and Smith, 1976). However, a marine mammal would have to be in the immediate vicinity of the discharge for some period to experience this type of effect. Eye irritation is transitory and disappears after animals move to clean water.

Releases of treated oily water are likely to have negligible impacts on birds and marine mammals.

Deck Drainage

Deck drainage, other than that of the supply boats will be isolated from the main sources of oily waste. For example, the deck drainage system will not collect discharges from drip pans under machinery. Wastes and fluids from drip pans will be recovered and recycled, or transferred to shore for disposal in an approved manner.

A closed drain system will collect leakage and drainage of hydrocarbons from mud- handling operations. An open water drain will collect drainage from machinery spaces and working areas. Liquids will pass through an oily-water separator and the oily effluent from the separator will be collected for disposal. The clear water will be discharged over the side. Deck drainage will be processed to meet the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines, which currently call for no more oil than 15 mg /L of discharged water. Concentrations greater than this are considered to exceed normal operating practice and must be reported within 24 hours to the Chief Conservation Officer.

Impacts on water quality from treated deck drainage will be minor, sublocal and short term.

Deck drainage is unlikely to have any direct effects on fish. As discussed earlier, fish tainting will be monitored.

Releases of treated oily water are likely to have negligible impacts on birds and marine mammals.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-29 Hydrostatic Testing Fluids

Subsea flowlines will be hydrostatically tested to ensure their integrity. Normally, this is only done once. The test fluid will be seawater with additives to prevent corrosion and microbial growth in the lines. Hydrostatic testing fluids typically include:

- Oxygen scavenger (sodium or ammonium bisulphite at 50 to 100 mg/L) -Biocide - Corrosion inhibitor (amines or imidazolines at 100 to 500 mg/L) -Glycol -Dye

After testing, the test fluid in the flowlines will be discharged to the sea and any unused fluid will be shipped to shore for disposal. The volume discharge will equal the volume of the flowlines.

Using the current subsea layout (see Figure 1.1-7), the volume of fluids would be 3 approximately 4000 m . Ammonium bisulphite has a 96-h LC50 for mysids of 750 000 ppm; the biocides that control bacterial and fungal growth have an LC50 of 450 000 ppm; and amine oil has an LC50 of 780 000 (Hinwood et al., 1994). Clorination is another possible biocide. New biocides, corrosion inhibitors and oxygen scavengers with reportedly low toxicities will be investigated. The toxicity of the testing fluid will depend on the kinds and quantities of chemicals used in its formulation. In addition, when released, the test fluids are immediately diluted; if this occurs rapidly, none of its component chemicals are hazardous to marine life (Black et al. 1994). Impacts on marine biota would be negligible. Impacts on water quality will be negligible to minor, sublocal and short term.

Cooling Water

Development drilling will require about 10 000 m3/d of seawater, most of which will be used as cooling water (estimate in Mobil, 1985). Cooling water will be chlorinated to a level of 1 or 2 mg chlorine. This water will be discharged at temperatures of about 30°C above ambient. Small numbers of zooplankton and fish larvae would be entrained in the intakes and some would be killed by the heated effluent. Impacts will be negligible because the volume of entrainment will be low and the area of thermal effects will be small.

As specified in the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines, any intent to use biocides other than chlorine will be submitted to the Chief Conservation Officer for approval before use.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-30 Sanitary and Domestic Waste

Grey water from showers, sinks and washers will be discharged without treatment. Sewage and other domestic effluents from the drill rigs will be treated to meet the

EPS (1990) and the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines for operations in offshore deep waters. Domestic wastes will be macerated to a particle size of 6 mm or smaller before discharge. Sanitary wastes will be treated before disposal. Mobil (1985) estimated 11 m3/d of sewage and 21 m3/d domestic waste per rig.

Organic matter will be quickly dispersed and degraded by bacteria. The impacts on receiving waters of this small amount of organic matter and nutrients will be negligible.

Garbage and Other Waste

Sludges from oil-water separators, spent lubricants, all plastic material, glass and metal wastes will be transferred to shore for appropriate handling, including reuse and recycling where possible. Garbage and other wastes will not come into contact with marine biota.

Small Spills

Fuel, drilling muds and other chemicals will be transported by supply vessel from the onshore facilities to the drilling rig. Small amounts of these materials could be spilled during transit, during transfer to the drilling rig or while in storage on the drilling rigs. Spillage of concentrated chemicals or drilling muds would cause a greater impact than spillage of diluted chemicals.

All fuel, chemicals and wastes will be handled in a manner that minimizes or eliminates routine spillage and accidents. The EPP will provide details of safe fuel, chemical, waste handling and storage procedures. Workers will be trained in these procedures.

The EPP will also contain detailed measures for preparing for and responding to spills, including the use of cleanup equipment, training of personnel and identification of personnel to direct cleanup efforts, lines of communications and organizations that could assist cleanup operations. All cleanup measures and procedures will be specified in the EPP. More detailed information on spills is included in Section 5.7.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-31 5.3.7 Atmospheric Emissions

During development drilling, there will be four sources of atmospheric emissions:

1. Burning of well fluids during production tests (burner boom emissions)

2. Engine, generator and heating exhausts from the drill rigs, supply vessels and multipurpose vessels

3. Mud, degassing and other mudroom exhausts

4. Fugitive emissions

Production testing of the wells is critical to the determination of the initial reservoir conditions. On average, two individual reservoir units will be tested per well. Each test will produce less than 1000 m3 of mixed hydrocarbon liquids per unit (J. Katay, Petro-Canada, pers. comm.). The hydrocarbons produced by the tests and some mud will be burned with burner booms. The fires from these booms will emit relatively large amounts of carbonaceous particles, and a visible fire and smoke plume. In addition to the smoke and particulate matter, emissions will also contain unburned hydrocarbons, and traces of nitrous oxides, carbon monoxide and sulphur dioxide.

Exhaust gases will also be emitted from generators, engines and heaters on board the drill rigs and the support vessels. Exhaust gases will contain traces of nitrous oxides, carbon monoxide and sulphur dioxide and burned hydrocarbons. Fuel (normally diesel) and equipment will be carefully selected and maintained to optimize combustion efficiency. It is estimated that engine exhausts from drilling and workover will be about 5 x 106 m3/d per rig (Mobil, 1985).

Small amounts of gas will also be vented through flame arresters on storage tanks on the drill rig. In addition, there will be some small and unquantifiable amounts of fugitive emissions such as hydrocarbon losses at valves and seals, and particulate matter from cement and chemical powders.

In general, the impacts of atmospheric emissions will be negligible because small amounts will be released and they will rapidly disperse to undetectable levels.

Emissions are discussed in more detail in Section 5.4.

5.3.8 Effects of Ships and Boats

Each drilling rig will be supported by several vessels of up to 12 000 HP. These will be supply vessels commonly used to support offshore oil field development. They will transport pipe, liners, casing cement, drilling muds, chemicals, fresh water, food and all

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-32 the other material necessary for drilling. One vessel will remain near each rig on standby. This type of vessel will be used to redirect icebergs that pose a threat to the drilling rig(s).

Discharges from the vessels are discussed in Section 5.3.6. All discharges from vessels, including sanitary and domestic waste and bilge water, will be treated as described above. Overall, impacts of vessel discharges would be negligible. Potential impacts related to noise are discussed in Section 5.3.10.

5.3.9 Effects of Helicopters

Helicopters will be used to transport personnel and materials to and from the work site. The helicopters will make an average of one trip per day to each drilling rig.

Potential impacts of helicopters on the marine environment are mainly related to noise, which is discussed in the following subsection.

5.3.10 Effects of Noise

Marine animals, particularly mammals, depend on the underwater acoustic environment. Thus, potential negative effects caused by human-made noise within the marine environment is a concern. The reactions of marine animals to underwater noise can be variable, depending on the characteristics of the noise source, the species involved and the behaviour of the animal at the time of disturbance. Because underwater noise propagates for long distances, the potential zone of influence around a particular vessel can be many tens of kilometres in radius. The zone of influence of underwater noise at Terra Nova includes zones around the development area, shipping routes between the supply base and the drilling rig or FPF, and the helicopter flight routes between St. John's Airport and the Terra Nova Field.

This subsection presents information on the reactions of marine animals to noises of the kind associated with the Terra Nova Development. The subject matter is complicated and reactions of marine animals to underwater noise are extremely variable. Thus, much background material must be evaluated and presented to justify impact predictions.

The sea is a naturally noisy environment. Natural ambient noise is often related to sea state. Ambient noise tends to increase with increasing wind speed and wave height (Table 5.3-6). In many areas, shipping is a major contributor to ambient noise.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-33 Table 5.3-6

Natural and Development-Related Underwater Noise Levels

Broadband Source Levels at Dominant Source Noise Level Frequencies (dB rel 1μPa1) Hz Noise Level dB rel 1μPa1

Ambient Noise Wind < 1.8 km/h - 100 60 Wind 20.4 to 29.7 km/h - 100 97 Wind 40.8 to 50.0 km/h - 100 102 Heavy shipping - 50 105 Light shipping - 50 86 Remote shipping - 50 81

TNT explosion 0.5 kg at 60 m 267 21 -

Seismic airguns 216-259 50-100 -

Depth sounder 180+ 12,000+ -

Semisubmersible drilling rig (working) 154 7-14, 29, 70 -

Drillship (working in 20 m water depth) 174-185 to 600 -

Supply boats with propeller nozzles -10 - - with bow thrusters operating +11 - -

Large Tanker 186 100+, 125 177

Supertanker 190->205 70 175

Super Puma Helicopter at 300 m above sea level Received level at sea surface - 20, 50 105-110 Received level at 3 to 18 m depth - - 65-70

Source: Richardson et al. (1995)

1 3rd octave band level

Drilling Rigs

Generally, semisubmersible drill rigs produce less noise than do drillships (Richardson et al., 1995; Table 5.3-6). Noise from a semisubmersible drilling rig working in 114 m water depth in the Bering Sea did not exceed ambient noise levels beyond a range of 1 km (Greene 1986). Support boats were also present at the time these measurements were taken. In contrast, noise produced by working drillships declined to ambient

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-34 levels only at distances beyond 10 km from the source (Richardson et al., 1995).

Marine Mammals

Development activities may produce intermittent low-frequency sounds. Specific information about the reactions of some baleen whales to low-frequency noise pulses has been obtained by observing their responses to pulses from airguns and other non-explosive methods of marine seismic exploration. Humpback, gray and bowhead whales all seem quite tolerant of noise pulses from marine seismic exploration (Malme et al., 1984, 1985, 1988; Richardson et al., 1986; Ljungblad et al., 1988; Richardson and Malme, 1993). The same may be true of fin and blue whales (Ljungblad et al., 1982; McDonald et al., 1993). These species usually continue their normal activities when exposed to pulses with peak received pressures as high as 150 to 160 dB (relative to 1 μPa), and sometimes even higher. Such levels are 50 to 60 dB or more above typical 1/3-octave ambient noise levels. However, subtle behavioral effects are suspected at least some of the time at lower received levels, at least in bowheads and possibly gray whales.

When exposed to sounds from a drillship, some beluga whales altered course to swim around the source, increased swimming speed, or reversed direction of travel (Stewart et al., 1982). Reactions to semisubmersible drillship noise were less severe than were reactions to motorboats with outboards. Dolphins and other toothed whales show considerable tolerance of drill rigs and their support vessels.

Bowhead whales did react to drillship noises within 4 to 8 km of a drillship when the received levels were 20 dB above ambient or about 118 dB (relative to 1μPa) (Greene 1985, 1987a; Richardson et al., 1985a,c, 1990). Reaction was greater at the onset of the sound (Richardson et al., 1995). Thus, bowhead whales migrating in the Beaufort Sea avoided an area with a radius of 10 km around a drillship where received noise levels were 115 dB (relative to 1μPa) (Richardson et al., 1990). Some individual whales are less responsive and may become habituated sufficiently to be seen within 4 to 8 km of a drillship (Richardson et al., 1985a,c, 1990).

Sound attenuates less rapidly in the shallow Beaufort Sea where these experiments were conducted than in temperate waters of greater depth. Off California, the reaction zone (120 dB (relative to 1μPa)) around a semisubmersible drill rig was much less than 1 km for grey whales (Malme et al., 1983, 1984). Humpback whales showed no clear avoidance response to received drillship broadband noises of 116 dB (relative to 1μPa) (Malme et al., 1985). Baleen whales may show behavioral changes to received broadband drillship noises of 120 dB (relative to 1μPa) or greater. Broadband source levels produced by a working semisubmersible drilling rig may be about 154 dB (relative to 1μPa) at 1 m (Table 5.3-4). Assuming spherical spreading, received levels at 100 m distance would be about 114 dB (relative to 1μPa). Thus, behavioral

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-35 reactions could be limited to a very small area around the drilling rig.

Impacts of drilling operations on whales may be negligible to minor, sublocal, and short term. Although the effects of each well location would be short term, the effects of all drilling is considered long term since drilling in the fairly restricted field area will continue for 11 years or more. However, because the drilling activities will continue for several years, habituation may occur, thereby reducing impacts to negligible. Semisubmersible drilling rigs are quieter than drillships, and this type of MODU will likely be used in the Terra Nova Field. Mitigation is not warranted because predicted impacts are small.

Fish

Seismic exploration with airguns can reduce the catch per unit effort in some fisheries and the abundance or availability of fish (Dalen and Raknes, 1985; Dalen and Knutsen, 1986; Skalski et al., 1992; Engas et al., 1993). Fish are not necessarily driven from the area by a loud sound, but they may sometimes change their behaviour and activity patterns.

Chapman and Hawkins (1969) and Pearson et al. (1992) conducted experiments to determine the effects of strong noise pulses on fish. They used airguns with source levels of 220 to 223 dB (relative to 1μPa). They noted startle responses at received levels of 200 to 205 dB (relative to 1μPa), alarm responses at 177 to 199 dB, an overall threshold for the above behavioral response at about 180 dB, and an extrapolated threshold of about 161 dB for subtle changes in the behaviour. In both tests, fish returned to pre-exposure behaviours within 20 to 60 minutes after exposure. However, habituation lasts only as long as a continuous disturbance, and resumption of the disturbing activity after a quiet period may again elicit disturbance responses from the same fish.

Noises emitted by a semisubmersible drilling rig are much lower in magnitude, but more continuous, than those discussed above. The fact that fish are well-known to be attracted to offshore drilling and production platforms (see Section 5.3.2) indicates that fish adapt well to noises associated with offshore development activities. Impacts on fish of noise from the Terra Nova Development would probably be negligible.

Support and Supply Vessels

Broadband source levels (at 1 m) for most small ships are in the 170 to 180 dB (relative to 1μPa) range (Richardson et al., 1995). Broadband underwater sounds from the supply ship Robert Lemeur were 130 dB (relative to 1μPa) at a distance of 0.56 km (Greene, 1987a). Some ships use bow thrusters to aid in manoeuvering. Broadband underwater sounds from the Robert Lemeur were 11 dB higher when bow thrusters were operating than when they were not (Greene 1985, 1987a). The Robert Lemeur

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-36 has nozzles around the propellers. Broadband noise levels from ships lacking nozzles or cowlings around the propellers can be about 10 dB higher than those from ships with the nozzles (Greene, 1987a).

Marine Mammals

Reactions of baleen whales to boat and other noises include changes in swimming direction and speed, blow rate, and the frequency and kinds of vocalizations (Richardson et al., 1995). Baleen whales may approach or avoid boats (Watkins, 1986). Avoidance was strongest when boats approached directly or vessel noise changed abruptly (Watkins, 1986; Beach and Weinrich, 1989). Humpback whales responded to boats at distances of at least 0.5 to 1 km, and avoidance and other reactions have been noted in several areas at distances of several kilometres (Jurasz and Jurasz, 1979; Bauer, 1986; Dean et al., 1985; Bauer and Herman, 1986). During some activities and at some locations, humpbacks exhibit little or no reaction to boats (Watkins, 1986).

Right whales also respond variably to boats. There may be an initial orientation away from a boat, followed by a lack of observable reaction (Atkins and Swartz, 1989). A slowly moving boat can approach a right whale, but an abrupt change in course or engine speed will elicit a reaction (Goodyear, 1989; Mayo and Marx, 1989; Gaskin, 1991). When approached by a boat, right whale mothers will interpose themselves between the vessel and calf, and will maintain a low profile (Richardson et al., 1995). The closely related bowhead whale will begin avoiding diesel-powered boats at distances of 4 km. They first attempt to flee and then swim perpendicular to the boat (Richardson et al., 1985b,c; Koski and Johnson, 1987). They may be displaced by a few kilometres when fleeing, although some bowheads may return to the area within a day. Effects are transitory.

In summary, whales may show little reaction or gradually move away from boats travelling slowly on a steady course. If the vessel changes course or speed, whales likely will swim rapidly away. Avoidance is strongest when the boat travels directly towards the whale.

Dolphins may tolerate and often approach boats of all sizes, and ride the bow and stern waves (Shane et al., 1986). At other times, dolphin species known to be attracted to boats will avoid them, often because of previous boat-based harassment (Richardson et al., 1995). Other species avoid boats. Generally, small cetaceans avoid boats when they are approached within 0.5 km to 1.5 km, with some species showing avoidance at distances of 12 km (Richardson et al., 1995).

The potential impacts on baleen whales of individual passages by supply vessels during field development are likely to be minor, short term, and sublocal. However, as there will be repeated passages, the impacts from supply vessels are likely to be minor, long

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-37 term and sublocal to local. Impacts on toothed whales may be similar; that is, minor, long term and sublocal to local. Impacts on mammals can be reduced if the boats maintain a steady course and speed, whenever possible.

Birds

The normal offshore activities of ships are likely to have inconsequential effects on sea-associated birds. Some species will be attracted to drill rigs and boats. Direct effects on other species are unlikely because seabirds are highly mobile and can easily avoid ships by flying or diving. Energy expended in these infrequent evasive movements would be trivial and would have no effect on an individual bird's daily energy budget.

Noise and disturbance from ships are unlikely to affect birds in the area. Birds have adapted to ship traffic throughout the world. Some species, such as northern fulmar and gulls, are attracted to ships and often follow them for extended periods (Wahl and Heinemann, 1979; Brown, 1986). Thus, noise and disturbance from normal offshore ship operations will not affect sea-associated birds in offshore waters. Impacts would be negligible.

There is a concern that passing ships could disturb seabird colonies. Cliff-nesting species are susceptible to panic caused by human activities. Temporary abandonment of colonies by adult birds can increase predation by gulls and ravens of unguarded eggs and young. Helicopter traffic is the main concern, but the ships themselves could cause minor to moderate, local, medium-term impacts when the colonies are occupied. The EPP will identify colonies and the timing of their use by birds. Avoidance of colonies will lead to negligible impacts.

Fish

The noise made by fishing boats can scare some target fish. Sudden changes in noise level can cause fish to dive or change direction. The time of year, whether the fish have eaten recently, and the nature of the sound all determine whether the fish will react to noise. Short, sharp sounds can startle herring. In one study, the fish changed direction and moved away from the source, but schooling behaviour was not affected (Blaxter et al., 1981). Schwarz and Greer (1984) studied the responses of herring within a 3.3-m square pen to vessel sounds. The following kinds of responses were noted:

· Avoidance - the fish moving slowly away from the sound source

· Startle - fish flexing their bodies powerfully and then swimming at high speed without changing direction, or shuddering with each blast (the last noted by Pearson et al., 1992)

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-38 · Alarm - the school packing, fleeing at high speed, diving repeatedly, and quickly changing directions

The sounds of large vessels or accelerating small vessels mainly caused avoidance responses among the herring. The startle response was occasionally observed. Avoidance ended within 10 seconds of the departure of the vessel. Twenty-five percent of the fish groups habituated to the sound of the large vessel and 75 percent of the responsive fish groups habituated to the sound of the small boat. Chapman and Hawkins (1969) also note that fish adjust rapidly to high sound levels.

Underwater noise from supply vessels may cause minor, short-term and sublocal impacts on fish behaviour. These behavioural changes are expected to have negligible impacts on fish populations and fisheries.

Helicopters and Fixed-wing Aircraft

Helicopters will be used to ferry personnel to and from the development area. Fixed-winged aircraft will be used for ice reconnaissance.

Helicopters are quite noisy compared to fixed-wing aircraft. Source levels in air for helicopters can be about 150 dB (relative to 1 μPa) (Richardson et al., 1995).

Sound does not transfer well between air and water. In the upper water column (3 to 18 m water depth), received noise levels depend on the altitude of the aircraft above the water (Richardson et al., 1995), as follows:

Aircraft Altitude Received Noise Levels in Upper Water Column (m) (dB (relative 1 μPa)) 152 109 305 107 610 101

At angles greater than 13° from the vertical, most sound is reflected from the sea surface. Thus, noise from aircraft is audible mainly within a 13o cone under the aircraft. The area of potential audibility increases with increasing depth, but the sound also attenuates with increasing water depth. Thus, a Bell 214ST was audible to a hydrophone at 3-m depth for 38 seconds, but only for 11 seconds at 8-m depth (Richardson et al., 1995). Some airborne sounds will enter the water column at angles greater than 13° from the vertical when seas are rough.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-39 Marine Mammals

Pinnipeds hauled out for pupping or moulting are very sensitive to aircraft disturbance (Richardson et al., 1995). Fixed-wing aircraft flying at low altitudes below 60 to 120 m and helicopters flying below 305 m, may cause panic among adult harbour seals and mortality of young at haul-out beaches (Johnson, 1977; Bowles and Stewart, 1980; Osborn, 1985). Not all harbour seals react in this way. Seals that have become habituated to aircraft may show little or no reaction (M. Bigg in Johnson et al., 1989). There are few observations of the reactions of seals in the water to aircraft. Overflights at low altitudes may cause some animals to dive (Richardson et al., 1995).

Toothed whales show variable reactions to aircraft. Some beluga whales ignored aircraft flying at 500 m altitude but dove for longer periods and some times swam away when aircraft was at 150 to 200 m (Bel'kovich, 1960; Kleinenberg et al., 1964). Lone animals sometimes dove in response to flights at 500 m. Off Alaska, some belugas showed no reaction to airplanes or helicopters at 100 to 200 m altitude, while others dove abruptly or swam away in response to overflights at altitudes up to 460 m (Richardson et al., 1991). Narwhals dove in response to helicopters flying at altitudes below 244 m and, to a lesser degree, at 305 m (Kingsley et al., 1994). Some sperm whales showed no reaction to helicopters and airplanes flying over at altitudes of 150 m, but some dove immediately (Clarke 1956; Mullin et al., 1991). Dall's porpoise and spinner dolphins reacted abruptly to overflights at 215 to 300 m (Withrow et al., 1985; B. Wursig in Richardson et al., 1995).

Minke, bowhead and right whales reacted to aircraft overflights at altitudes of 150 to 300 m by diving, changing dive patterns or leaving the area (Leatherwood et al., 1982; Watkins and Moore, 1983; Payne et al., 1983; Richardson et al., 1985b,c). Helicopter disturbance to humpbacks is a concern off Hawaii and helicopters are prohibited from approaching humpbacks within a slant range of 305 m (Tinney, 1988; Atkins and Swartz, 1989; NMFS, 1987).

Low-flying helicopters and fixed-wing aircraft could cause minor, short-term, and sublocal impacts on marine mammals in the water and minor, long-term, local impacts on seals at terrestrial haul-out sites. Helicopters will fly at a minimum altitude of 600 m whenever possible. Haul-out beaches used by harbour seals will be identified in the EPP and avoided by overflying project aircraft. Aircraft will be prohibited from flying low over wildlife for viewing by passengers. These measures will reduce impacts on marine mammals, including hauled-out seals, to negligible.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-40 Birds

Most sea-associated birds flush or dive in response to low-flying aircraft (e.g., Polar Gas Project, 1977; LGL Ltd., unpubl. data). The significance of these disturbances is probably low, if the flights are infrequent. In one of the few systematic studies of aircraft disturbance, Ward and Sharp (1974) found that moulting sea ducks in the Beaufort Sea showed no detectable reactions to helicopter overflights at 300 m above sea level. Overflights at 100 m had no apparent influence on overall feeding activity or population size, although the ducks did show short-term avoidance reactions.

Studies of other species in other situations have shown a variety of responses to overflying aircraft (Davis and Wisely 1974; Gollop et al., 1974a,b; Schweinsburg, 1974; Koski, 1975, 1977; Barry and Spencer, 1976; Fyfe and Oldenorff, 1976; Platt and Tull, 1977; Fletcher and Busnel, 1978; Webb, 1980). In general, these studies support the contention that birds respond most to low-level flights and the effects of these responses are generally transitory. Nonetheless, project helicopters will be flown at minimum altitudes and will have routing restrictions to minimize these responses.

Of most concern are the large colonies of nesting seabirds. An aircraft flying near a seabird colony is capable of causing a panic response by the birds, which can result in eggs and flightless young being accidentally pushed off cliff ledges when the adults suddenly flush, or being unguarded and thus exposed to harsh weather and predators. Impacts would be moderate to major, local and long term.

There are no colonies on the direct flight path between St. John's and the Terra Nova development area. Helicopters and aircraft will fly at altitudes no lower than 600 m whenever possible and pilots will be instructed to avoid repeated overflights of concentrations of birds and important bird habitats. Impacts on birds in open water would be negligible. Guidelines for avoiding major seabird colonies will be based on Nettleship (1980). These Canadian Wildlife Service guidelines recommend that aircraft not approach closer than 8 km seaward and 3 km landward of a seabird colony from April 1 to November 1. The EPP will document the locations of seabird colonies and other areas where sea-associated birds congregate. Use of these mitigation measures will ensure potential impacts on birds will be negligible.

5.3.11 Shore-Based Facilities

A site in or around St. John's will likely serve as the onshore support base for the Terra Nova Development. The support base will comprise a marine base, warehousing and lay-down yards. The location of the support base will be particularly dependent on the available infrastructure, including multi-modal transport and other operational and economic realities. While all viable options will be considered, coordination with other

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-41 offshore operators such as Hibernia Management Development Company will be considered. The final site will have the necessary space and facilities to service and supply offshore facilities. The site will likely be operated by an independent contractor.

The onshore support base will have to include the following:

· Heliport · Wharves suitable for berthing, loading and unloading all project vessels · Laydown areas for material and equipment handling · Office facilities · Potable water and drill water source · Road access · Storage tanks for diesel fuel, drilling mud, cement and other fluids required for field development

The Terra Nova Development could require the following facilities for construction activities during the Project Phase:

· A site for the fabrication or conversion of the FPF and topsides · A facility for the construction and some pre-assembly of subsea facilities · A heliport · A supply and service base with access for supply vessels, barges and other construction equipment

These facilities will be operated by independent contractors who will be responsible for meeting environmental regulations. Petro-Canada will strive to ensure, through contracting procedures, that the contractor will have all of the required environmental approvals and capabilities. The performance of these contractors will be verified through inspection and audit (Chapter 2, Table 2.2-1)

Atmospheric Emissions

Exhausts from helicopter turbines, marine diesel engines, and generators on board the supply boats and other service vehicles will be emitted to the atmosphere.

The base will be located at an existing marine service centre. Impacts of emissions from this relatively small number of vessel and aircraft movements at the base will be negligible.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-42 Routine Liquid and Solid Releases

The Operator will work with the contractors to ensure that no liquids or solids will be released directly from the shore base. Sanitary sewage will enter the existing sewage system of the selected operations centre. Depending on the site-specific drainage facilities, storm and apron runoff may enter the local storm sewers or the harbour directly. Drainage may contain small amounts of fuels, hydraulic fluids, drilling mud and other chemicals from small spills.

Garbage and Wastes

Garbage will be transferred from the rigs to the supply boats and subsequently offloaded at the shore base in secured containers. Nontoxic waste will be trucked to an approved landfill by a licensed operator. Both landfill and transportation company will operate under their own environmental permits. Their performance will also be subject to inspection and audit. The overall impact of the additional garbage from the oil field is likely to be negligible.

Oily wastes and hazardous wastes will be brought ashore by the supply boats and handled in a safe manner as specified in the EPP and legislation and guidelines governing the handling of the specific materials. They will be transferred to a licensed operator for disposal at an approved facility.

Noise, Lights, Beacons and Human Presence

Noise, lights, beacons and human presence will be typical of those associated with an existing harbour. Impacts will be negligible.

Aircraft Traffic

Aircraft traffic associated with the project will include scheduled flights into St. John's for personnel and equipment, seasonal ice reconnaissance flights by a fixed-wing aircraft, and helicopter transportation from St. John's Airport to the development area. The rotary-wing flights will be conducted by two Super Puma (or equivalent) helicopters, and will average about one per day.

The ice reconnaissance and helicopter flights will have negligible impacts on the existing airport area.

Vessel Traffic

When two drilling rigs are operating, there could be up to four supply-boat round trips per week. Noise impacts on marine mammals and fish from engine and propeller noise within the harbour will be within the normal realm of shipping activity in the area; thus, impacts will be negligible.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-43 Small Spills

There is some potential for accidental releases of chemicals, drilling muds and diesel fuel during the loading, unloading and storage of materials. Accidental releases would likely be relatively small. The most likely spills would result from losing a sling load during loading or unloading or fuel loss during a line rupture or faulty connection. Because such spills would be at dockside, detection, response and containment of the spills would be rapid. The EPP will contain safe-handling procedures for minimizing the risk of spills and detailed response measures for dealing with them.

Potential impacts of these small spills on phytoplankton and zooplankton would be minor, short term, and sublocal. In the absence of spill countermeasures, the potential impacts on benthos, fish, birds and possibly, seals could be minor, short term to medium term, and sublocal. Emergency response measures would reduce impacts to negligible or minor, short term and sublocal.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-44 5.4 Normal Production and Maintenance Operations

Potential interactions between production and maintenance activities and ecosystem elements are shown in Table 5.4-1 and discussed in the following subsections.

Production and maintenance activities will be continuous throughout the 15 to 18 year lifespan of the development. This section deals with impacts of normal production operations and maintenance, including loading of crude oil onto tankers. Transportation of crude oil is discussed briefly in the following section.

The FPF will be either a monohull, ice-strengthened, ship-shaped vessel with a double- sided hull and integral crude oil storage or a semisubmersible vessel with separate field storage tankers. The FPF will contain equipment for:

- Receiving and processing crude oil - Injecting water - Treating produced water - Compressing gas for injection - Power generation - Safety and control systems - Communications - Accommodation - Laboratory - Workshops - Laydown facility - Fuel storage - Helideck

One or more double-sided-hulled, ice-reinforced shuttle tankers up to 120 000 t deadweight will be used to transport the crude oil from the FPF to a transshipment facility or direct to market. The type of crude oil transfer system to be used will depend on the type of FPF selected. If a monohull FPF is used, the offloading hose will run directly from the FPF to the shuttle tanker. If a semisubmersible FPF is used, then crude oil will be transferred via subsea flowline to storage or export facilities.

The FPF will be supported by two or more supply and standby vessels. On average, there will be one helicopter round trip to the FPF per day.

5.4.1 Presence of Structures

The FPF and supply vessels will be on site during the 15 to 18 year life of the development. There will be a drill rig in the vicinity. During this time, subsea structures will also be present on the sea bottom.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-45 Table 5.4-1

Level I Matrix: Interactions Between Operational Activities and Ecosystem Elements

Ecosystem Elements

Development Component Air Water Fish Fouling Pelagic Terrestrial Quality Quality Plankton Larvae Infauna Organisms Fish Groundfish Fishery Seabirds Birds Whales Seals Presence of structures Safety zone x x x x Artificial reef effect x x x Subsea structures x x Surface structures x x xx x xx Lights and beacons xx Underwater maintenance x x x x x x Injection water x x Produced water x xx x x xx xx Storage displacement water Cooling water x x x Deck drainage x x x x x x x x x Sanitary and domestic waste x x Garbage Other waste x x x x x x x x x x x Atmospheric emissions x Ships and boats xx xx xx Helicopters xxx Noise FPF x x x x x Support vessels x x x x x x Helicopters x x x x x x Shore facilities Atmospheric emissions x Liquid and solid releases x x x x x x x x Garbage and waste x x x x x x x x Noise Lights and beacons x x Vessel traffic Accidents x x x x x x x x Effects on Fish

Effects of subsea structures and the artificial reef effect have already been discussed in Section 5.3-2.

Effects of the safety zone are also discussed in Section 5.3-2.

Biofouling

Biofouling has been previously discussed in Section 5.3-2.

Effects on Benthic Animals

The effects of trawling on the benthos were discussed in Section 5.3.2. It was concluded that trawling may have negative effects on sediments and some species such as crabs. Thus, the presence of a safety zone around the Terra Nova Development could have positive effects by allowing recovery of the benthos in the zone.

The impacts of structures on benthos will depend on the state of the fisheries over the development period. If the present low levels of fishing are maintained, then the safety zone would produce negligible impacts on benthos. On the other hand, if the fisheries recover, then the relative effects of the safety zone on the benthos are likely to be positive, minor, long term and local.

Effects on Birds and Marine Mammals

Overall, impacts on marine and terrestrial birds caused by the presence of structures will be negligible, as discussed in Section 5.3-2. Potential effects on marine mammals are mainly related to the effects of noise produced by the facilities. These are discussed in Section 5.4.10.

5.4.2 Lights and Beacons

The FPF, supply and standby ships, and tankers will carry navigation and warning lights. Working areas will be illuminated with floodlights. The helideck on the FPF will be floodlit and have omnidirectional guidance lights. Impacts would be negligible, as discussed in Section 5.3.2.

5.4.3 Maintenance of Subsea Structures

Subsea structures will require periodic inspection, cleaning to remove fouling organisms, repairs, and maintenance of corrosion-protection devices and coatings. Impacts of removal of fouling organisms have been discussed in Section 5.3-2. Maintenance activities will disturb a small area of the bottom and cause negligible

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-47 impacts on benthic communities. Some resident fish may be disturbed, but impacts will be negligible. There will be no interaction with pelagic fish or marine mammals.

Potential effects on marine mammals and fish could be caused by the associated noise. Effects of underwater noise are discussed in Section 5.4.10.

5.4.4 Injection Water

Water will be injected into the reservoir to enhance oil recovery by maintaining reservoir pressure. Water will be processed and pressurized for injection on the FPF. The FPF will be designed to inject up to 38 x 103 m3 of water into the reservoir or 6.4 x 103 m3/d per well. Water will be injected at a pressure of 20.7 MPa.

The injection water will be filtered, chlorinated, and treated with oxygen scavengers and corrosion inhibitors, as shown in Table 5.4-2. Additives used in the treatment of the injection water will be used in minimum amounts by utilizing sophisticated metering equipment.

Removing this amount of seawater will have a negligible impact. Some zooplankters and fish larvae will be entrained, but impacts on populations from entrainment will be negligible.

Injected water will eventually be discharged as produced water.

5.4.5 Produced Water

There is little water in the producing formations at Terra Nova. Therefore, most of the produced water will be water injected to enhance recovery. Estimates of the amounts of produced water are based on full-field waterflood. Table 5.4-3 gives the maximum estimates of produced water during the life of the field. Volumes, in the Graben and East Flank, will be somewhat lower if other enhanced recovery methods are used in conjunction with waterflood.

Composition of Produced Water

The produced oil will contain water. This water will be separated from the crude oil during the production process. The produced water will be passed through a produced- water treatment system to reduce its oil content to meet the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines before it is discharged into the sea (currently these guidelines call for 30-day average concentrations of 40 mg/L or less). Over the life of the field, about 46.5 x 106 m3 of produced water, containing a total maximum of 1863 m3 of oil, will be discharged. Another 832 m3 might be contributed by the Far East for a total of about 2695 m3.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-48 Table 5.4-2

Injection Water Additives

Purpose Additive Concentration (ppm) Biocide Chlorine 1-2 Oxygen scavenger Sodium or ammonium bisulphite 5-10 Scale inhibitor Surfactants 5-50 Inhibitor: organophosphate phosphino 5-20 polyacrylate; polyacrylate organic phosphate esters 10-20 Corrosion inhibitors Amines and imidazolines; aliphatic 5-25 diamines; quaternary nitrogen compounds; poly-oxyalkylated amines; nitrogen heterocyclics (alkylated polymerized pyridine)

Zone of Influence

Because there will be little or no formation water in the produced water, its salinity will be that of the injected water and the same as that of the receiving water. The reservoir temperature is 96°C. The produced water will be warmer and less dense than the receiving seawater and, if discharged at the surface, would form a plume. To enhance dispersion of the produced water, it will be discharged 10 m or more below the sea surface. When discharged at these depths, the water will tend to rise, but in so doing, it will be mixed with the receiving water so that the temperature approaches that of the receiving water within a few tens of metres of the discharge (Black et al., 1994). The depth of discharge will be adjusted to ensure the plume does not reach the surface.

Modelling done for Hibernia for discharge above the thermocline, predicted dilution by a factor of 170 near the discharge, a factor of 1000 at a distance of 500 m and a factor of 1 x 104 five km downstream (Mobil, 1985). However, it must be noted that the produced water from Hibernia will be compositionally different from that at Terra Nova.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5-49 Table 5.4-3

Production and Injection Forecast Waterflood in the Graben and East Flank

Year Production Injection Cumulated Total Gas Oil Recovery Gas Fuel Gas Water Water Liquid Water Reinjection Gas Total Gas Oil Rate Production Factor Rate Used Content Rate Rate Rate Rate Lift Compression (103m3/d) (106m3) (%) (103m3/d) (103m3/d) (fraction) (103m3/d) (103m3/d) (103m3/d) (103 m3/d) (103m3/d) (103m3/d) 2001 15.9 1.5 1.0 2114 283 0.00 0.0 16 21 1831 0 2114 2002 15.9 7.3 5.1 2114 283 0.00 0.0 16 21 1831 0 2114 2003 15.9 13.1 9.2 2114 283 0.02 0.3 16 21 1831 81 2196 2004 15.9 18.9 13.3 2114 283 0.05 0.8 17 22 1831 209 2324 2005 15.9 24.7 17.4 2114 283 0.15 2.8 19 24 1831 701 2816 2006 13.6 29.6 20.9 1814 283 0.23 4.1 18 22 1531 1019 2833 2007 11.0 33.7 23.7 1461 283 0.34 5.5 17 20 1178 1384 2845 2008 8.9 36.9 26.0 1184 283 0.43 6.6 15 18 901 1645 2829 2009 7.2 39.5 27.8 956 283 0.51 7.5 15 17 673 1870 2826 2010 5.8 41.6 29.3 774 283 0.59 8.3 14 16 491 2076 2850 2011 4.7 43.4 30.5 624 283 0.66 8.9 14 15 341 2226 2850 2012 3.8 44.7 31.5 505 283 0.71 9.3 13 14 222 2326 2831 2013 3.1 45.9 32.3 408 283 0.76 9.7 13 14 125 2429 2837 2014 2.5 46.8 32.9 330 283 0.80 10.1 13 13 47 2519 2849 2015 2.0 47.5 33.5 266 283 0.84 10.3 12 13 -17 2572 2838 2016 1.6 48.1 33.9 216 283 0.87 10.5 12 13 -67 2620 2836 2017 1.3 48.6 34.2 173 283 0.89 10.7 12 12 -110 2664 2838 2018 1.1 49.0 34.5 142 283 0.91 10.8 12 12 -141 2693 2834 2019 0.9 49.3 34.7 114 283 0.93 10.9 12 12 -169 2725 2840 2020 0.7 49.5 34.9 93 283 0.94 11.0 12 12 -190 2740 2833 Total 6587 2066 50.4 100 116

Notes: 1. The estimated development life is at year 2014. 2. Reservoir pressure is assumed to be maintained at 30 MPa throughout the development life. Produced-water plume dispersion models designed for the North Sea were verified with scale modelling and field tests (Sommerville et al., 1987). Assuming a discharge of 1 x 104 m3 of produced water, which is slightly less dense than seawater (similar to the Terra Nova situation), dilution by a factor of 1000 was predicted within 50 m downstream of the discharge and by a factor of 3000 within 250 m. Given this rate of dilution, the concentration of produced water in seawater would be less than 0.1 percent at distances greater than 50 m downstream of the discharge. Assuming that the discharge is treated to current Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines, which call for concentrations of oil in discharge to be less than 40 mg/L (30-day average), concentration of oil in water would be less than 40 μg/L (40 mg/L diluted by a factor of 1000), and concentrations of aromatic hydrocarbons would be less than 13 μg/L at distances of 50 m from the source. This dilution factor assumes the produced water will be less dense than seawater and not neutrally buoyant.

In the North Sea, mussel monitoring studies showed that mussels on the platforms had hydrocarbon concentrations 60 to 100 times that of controls (Sommerville et al., 1987). At a site 6 km from the source, hydrocarbon levels in mussels were 6 to 10 times that of controls and at distances of 10 km, levels were close to those of unexposed mussels. The maximum zone of influence may have been 6 to 10 km downstream of the source. However, some of the oil accumulated in mussels may have originated from diesel oil-based drilling muds (Sommerville et al., 1987).

Effects of Produced Water

The most toxic components of the produced water are the volatile hydrocarbon aromatics: benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, xylene and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs). All but the PAHs, evaporate quickly and pose only a very localized threat to marine organisms (Black et al., 1994). The PAHs are more persistent and are probably responsible for biological effects near produced water outfalls (Black et al., 1994).

The LC50 levels for the injection water additives have been presented previously in Section 5.3.6, Hydrostatic Testing Fluids. Produced water is generally considered to be nonhazardous with 96-h LC50 values of 1000 to greater than 10 000 ppm (GESAMP, 1993). Acute toxicity is unlikely at dilutions of 100-fold (Sommerville et al., 1987), which will occur near the discharge point.

As previously stated, injection water additive use will be minimized, therefore, it is expected that any additives used will be neutralized while in the wells and formation. Injection water could be contaminated by chemicals while in the formation. The concentrations of these chemicals in most produced waters are less than the 96-h LC50 levels for most species and are not of ecotoxicological concern (Sommerville et al. 1987; GESAMP 1993).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Water Quality

Produced water could affect water quality slightly downstream of the release point. Impacts would be minor, sublocal and long term.

Plankton

The threshold level above which toxic effects on water-column organisms could be expected may be about 10 μg/L of aromatic hydrocarbons (Black et al., 1994). Assuming that aromatic hydrocarbons comprise 33 percent of the oil in produced water, concentrations of 10 μg/L of aromatic hydrocarbons could be expected within 50 to 500 m of the discharge point. Cod and herring larvae and phytoplankton appear to be unaffected by produced water (Sommerville et al., 1987). Copepods and larvae of benthic animals may be sensitive to concentrations of aromatic hydrocarbons on the order of 5 to 15 μg/L (Davies et al., 1981). Plankton in the plume of produced water would be exposed to oil concentrations of 5 μg/L for a very short period of time because dilution would occur rapidly. After treatment, impacts of produced water on the plankton would be minor, short term and sublocal to local.

Benthos

Fouling organisms on structures within 10 to 20 m of the outfall will likely accumulate oil and sustain some reduction in biomass and productivity (Gallaway et al., 1981; Sommerville et al., 1987).

Because the plume will rise, it will not interact with benthos; therefore, impacts on the benthos will be negligible.

Fish

Produced water diluted by a factor of 100 (> 60 μg/L) will induce the aryl hydrocarbon hydroxylase (AHH) enzyme system in fish (Davies et al., 1981). Little or no AHH activity was noted in fish exposed to produced water diluted by a factor of 500. Fish exposed to various dilutions of produced water for 20 days showed little or no histological damage while those exposed for 30 days did (Davies et al., 1981). Sublethal effects on fish could be expected in the immediate vicinity of the platform and would mainly affect resident fish.

Produced water can contain benzene, toluene, and zylene (Sommerville et al., 1987) that could cause tainting in fish. However, the rapid dilution of produced water would reduce the risk of tainting in fish to an insignificant level (GESAMP, 1993). Resident fish attracted to the area by the reef effect would be most at risk from tainting; however, because of the safety zone these fish would not be harvested. In general, most of the compounds in produced water are of low acute toxicity and dispersion and

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 degradation should limit effects to the immediate vicinity of the discharge (Sommerville et al., 1987). Sommerville et al., (1987) do caution that site-specific aspects must be considered and the GESAMP (1993) study points out that few studies have been conducted on sublethal or chronic effects on marine organisms.

Direct impacts on fish and impacts on the fishery are predicted to be negligible which will be verified by a monitoring program for taint.

Birds and Marine Mammals

As discussed in Section 5.3.6, treated oily water is likely to have negligible impacts on birds and marine mammals.

Mitigation and Monitoring

The FPF will be designed to treat 18.3 x 103 m3/d of produced water. The water treatment system will reduce oil content of discharged produced water to levels specified in the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines, which currently specify:

- A 30-day average concentration of 40 mg/L or less

- That oil concentrations greater than 80 mg/L during any 48-hour period of production are considered to be in exceedance of normal operating practice and are to be reported to the Chief Conservation Officer within 48 hours

- That measurement of oil concentrations be taken every 12 hours

- A daily calculation of a rolling 30-day average

- The measurement methods to be used

Most of the oily water discharge will be produced water. A monitoring program will determine oil concentrations at various distances from the discharge and will look at pre-injection and produced water compositions. The extensive literature base on models coupled with the final field layout will be used to design the monitoring program.

A program to monitor potential tainting in fish has been described in Section 5.3.5.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5.4.6 Other Operational Discharges

In addition to produced water, there will be many other materials and liquids associated with the Terra Nova Development. Some of these will be released into the environment. They are discussed in the following sections.

Storage Displacement Water

A semisubmersible FPF will not have internal storage for oil. The oil may be pumped to a storage unit, (or direct to shuttle tankers). All these vessels will have segregated ballast tanks, so there will be no possibility of oil-contaminated ballast water being discharged over the side.

A monohull FPF vessel will have crude storage capacity on board. It will also have separate ballast tanks to prevent contamination of ballast water with oil, so again there will be no possibility of oil-contaminated ballast water being discharged over the side.

Ballast water from tankers could contain larvae of epifaunal animals, which would colonize the structures. However, fouling will occur without this additional source of larvae.

The potential impacts of discharge of storage displacement water will be negligible.

Cooling Water

The cooling water system will be designed to be as closed as possible. It is possible some of the water could be injected. The design has not yet been finalized.

Cooling water will be chlorinated to a level of 1 or 2 mg/L of chlorine. This water may be discharged at temperatures of about 30°C above ambient. Some zooplankton and fish entrained in the intakes would be killed by the heated effluent. Potential impacts will be negligible because the volume of entrained water and the area of thermal effects will both be small (Mobil, 1985)

Deck Drainage

Drainage from the decks of drill rigs and the FPF will be isolated from the main sources of oily waste, and on the FPF, the water will be passed through an oil-water separator. The oily effluent from the separator will be collected for disposal, and the clear water discharged over the side. Deck drainage will be processed to meet the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines of 15 mg/L. Oil concentrations of greater than 15 mg/L are considered to have exceeded normal operating practice and are to be reported within

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 24 hours to the Chief Conservation Officer.

Small volumes of treated deck drainage containing small amounts of oil will cause minor, sublocal and short-term impacts on water quality. The potential effects of deck drainage on plankton are likely to be transitory and sublethal and will affect only a small volume of water; impacts will be negligible. As shown in Section 5.4.5, the chronic subsurface releases of treated oily water are likely to have negligible impacts on birds and marine mammals. Fish tainting will be monitored.

Sanitary and Domestic Waste

The topside facility on the FPF will accommodate about 100 people. In addition, there will be personnel crewing the drill rig(s), supply and standby boats.

Grey water from showers, sinks and washers will be discharged without treatment into the sea. Sewage and other domestic effluents will be treated to meet the EPS (1990) and the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines. Treatment will be as required for operations in offshore deep waters. Domestic wastes will be macerated to a particle size of 6 mm or smaller before discharge. Sanitary wastes will be treated and the effluent discharged overboard. For an FPF, Mobil (1985) estimated 19 m3/d of sewage and 34 m3/d of domestic waste.

Organic matter will be quickly dispersed and degraded by bacteria. Impacts of this small amount of organic matter and nutrients to receiving waters will be negligible.

Garbage and Other Waste

Solid nonhazardous waste will be compacted and transferred to shore. Sludges from oil-water separation units or other process vessels, spent lubricants, all plastic material, glass and metal wastes will be transferred to shore for appropriate handling. Toxic or hazardous waste will be transported to shore for appropriate disposal. There will be no interaction between garbage and marine biota.

Small Spills

Fuel and other chemicals will be transported to the FPF and drill rig(s) by supply boat from onshore facilities. There could be routine spillage or small spills of these materials while they are in transit, during transfer to the FPF, or while they are stored on the FPF.

Table 5.4-4 provides information on the number of flowlines and oil volumes associated with the layout in Figure 1.1-7. Spills from these lines are possible and

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Table 5.4-4

Flowline Dimensions and Hydrocarbon Inventories

Flowline Number of Pipe Hydrocarbon Location Reference Length Lines Diameter Inventory (m) (mm) (m3)

Graben P-R 200 2 risers 250 10 R-G1 4440 2 250 436 G1-G2 2060 2 200 129 G2-G3 2060 2 200 129 G1-H99 1840 1 150 33 G2-C09 1450 1 150 26 G3-K07 1260 1 150 22 Cluster Wells 28 1 per well 150 0.5

East Flank P-R 200 2 risers 250 10 R-E1 2750 2 250 270 E1-E2 2060 2 200 129 E2-E3 2190 2 200 138 E2-E79 1450 1 200 46 E3-I97 1400 1 150 25 Cluster Wells 28 1 per well 150 0.5

Far East P-R 200 2 risers 250 10 R-F1 5630 2 250 553 F1-F2 2190 2 200 138 Cluster Wells 28 1 per well 150 0.5

Water injection R-W1 7200 2 200 0

Transfer (semi- P-CP1 2000 1 600 565 submersible FPF P-CP2 2000 1 600 565 only)

could arise from corrosion, dropped objects, slipped anchors, damage from towed fishing gear or scouring icebergs.

Crude oil will be transferred from the FPF to storage or to shuttle tankers. If a monohull FPF is used, a tandem offloading system will be provided. Crude oil would be pumped from the stern of the FPF to the shuttle tanker. If a semisubmersible FPF is used, crude oil will flow though export pipelines to two subsea offloading systems located approximately 2.5 km from the FPF. There is a potential for routine spillage and small accidents during crude oil transfer operations.

Impacts of these spills are discussed in Section 5.7.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Mitigation

All crude oil transfers and fuel, chemical and waste-handling activities will be carried out in a manner designed to minimize or eliminate chronic inputs and accidents. Details about these activities will be provided in the EPP and operations manuals.

All subsea equipment will be routinely visually monitored by divers or ROV. Procedures will be developed for simultaneous drilling and production operations that will address anchoring and dropped objects protection. The safety zone will be enforced by the standby vessel.

If a controlled disconnect is required because of storm conditions or as a result of a perceived unavoidable collision (iceberg, other vessel), all subsea facilities, including export lines, will be flushed and the oil circulated to the FPF, all systems will be shut down and valves will be closed. Little, if any, crude oil would be released during a controlled disconnect. However, if an emergency disconnect were required, there would be an emergency shutdown and a loss of crude oil from the riser. The volume contained in the riser would be about 64 barrels of oil.

The FPF will contain secondary containment systems and sumps designed to contain spills. Shutdown systems and routines will minimize environmental effects from accidental damage to the FPF by isolating systems and equipment. Shutdown routines will be developed in the detailed design phase.

The EPP will contain detailed response measures for dealing with spills.

5.4.7 Atmospheric Emissions

During production operations, there will be three sources of atmospheric emissions:

1. Infrequent flaring of well fluids and gas (flare stack)

2. Engine, generator, and heating exhausts from the FPF, supply and multipurpose vessels

3. Fugitive emissions

Occasionally, some crude oil and gas components may be burned with burner booms that will emit relatively large amounts of carbonaceous particles and a visible fire and smoke plume. In addition to the smoke and particulate matter, emissions will also contain unburned hydrocarbons, and traces of nitrous oxides, carbon monoxide and sulphur dioxide.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Exhaust gases will also be emitted from generators, engines, and heaters onboard the FPF and the support vessels. Exhaust gases will contain traces of nitrous oxides, carbon monoxide and sulphur dioxide and unburned hydrocarbons. Fuel and equipment will be carefully selected and maintained to minimize the amount of noxious gases in emissions.

Small amounts of gas will also be vented through flame arrestors on storage tanks on the FPF. In addition, some small and unquantifiable amounts of fugitive emissions will also occur. Examples are hydrocarbon losses at valves and seals, stripping gas, vented vapours from storage tanks, and release gas from turbine start systems (Christensen, 1994).

It is anticipated that the volume of emission discharges from the FPF will be on the order of 2.7 x 106 m3/d for flaring, 9 x 106 m3/d for engine exhausts, 8 x 103 m3/d from venting during tanker loading (intermittent), and about 1 x 103 m3/d from fugitive emissions (Petro-Canada and Mobil 1985 estimates).

Some information on emissions from burning crude are contained in Fingas et al. (1994).

The impacts of atmospheric emissions are anticipated to be negligible because small amounts will be released and they will rapidly disperse to undetectable levels.

5.4.8 Effects of Ships and Boats

The FPF will be supported by two or three vessels of up to 12 000 HP. These will be standard supply vessels in common use for offshore support work. There will be about two transits per week to the FPF. The supply vessels will transport fuel, chemicals, fresh water, food and all the other material necessary for operation and maintenance of the FPF. One vessel will remain near the FPF on standby. As well, there will be a drill rig or two and attendant supply vessels on site.

Potential impacts of the presence of vessels are discussed in Section 5.4.1. Discharges from the vessels are discussed in Section 5.4.6. All discharges from vessels, including sanitary and domestic waste will be treated as described above. Overall, impacts of vessel discharges would be negligible. Potential impacts related to underwater noise are discussed in Sections 5.3.10 and 5.4.10.

5.4.9 Effects of Helicopters

Helicopters will be used to transport personnel and materials to and from the FPF and the drill rig(s). There will be approximately one round-trip per day to the FPF. Impacts of helicopters on the marine environment are mainly related to noise, discussed in the following section.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5.4.10 Effects of Noise

Marine animals, particularly mammals, are dependent upon the underwater acoustic environment. There is concern about potential negative effects caused by the introduction of man-made noise into the marine environment. The potential effects of underwater noise on marine mammals and fish were discussed in detail in Section 5.3.10. In that section, noise effects from stationary drilling rigs, from supply vessels, and from aircraft were considered. The principal underwater noise sources during production will be the same as those during project development. Thus, the reader should read Section 5.3.10 in conjunction with the present section.

Floating Production Facility

Present development plans for Terra Nova call for a FPF. Most of the production machinery will be above the waterline, but propulsion engines and some other machinery will be below. Machinery will include diesel generators, thrusters for propulsion, pumps, compressors, a crude oil separation and processing system, and life-support systems.

Most studies on the effects of noise associated with production activities have been done using sounds emitted by bottom-founded production platforms or artificial islands. Production platforms supported by metal legs have all of the machinery above the waterline and transmit very little sound to the water. Production platforms and artificial islands are relatively quiet. Noise levels and characteristics of a semisubmersible FPF or a ship-shaped monohull FPF may be similar to those emitted by a semisubmersible drilling rig or a large drillship.

Marine Mammals

The potential effects of semisubmersible and ship-shaped drilling platforms were discussed in Section 5.3.10. At Terra Nova, the FPF will be in the same position for 15 to 20 years. Hence, the effects on marine mammals are predicted to be very localized. Habituation is likely, if the mammals find food in the vicinity. Overall, the effects of the stationary FPF are likely to be negligible to minor, long-term and sub-local.

Fish

Fish in the immediate vicinity of the FPF may hear the sound, but, the well-known attraction of fish to offshore production facilities (see 5.3.2) indicates that they do not react strongly, if at all, to noises associated with offshore production activities. Impacts of noise on fish would be negligible.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Supply and Standby Vessels

The supply and standby vessels will likely be the loudest sources of underwater noise associated with the development. It has been well-established that mobile noise sources have greater effects on marine mammals than do stationary sources. Also, the potential effects of the supply vessels cover a much larger area because of their mobility. The effects of underwater noise from the supply vessels are likely to be of more concern than from the FPF or tankers.

The potential effects on marine mammals, birds and fish of underwater noise from supply vessels were reviewed in Section 5.3.10.

Helicopters and Fixed-Wing Aircraft

Helicopters will be used to ferry personnel to and from the FPF and the drill rig(s). Fixed-winged aircraft will be used for ice reconnaissance. These activities are the same as those that occur during development drilling. The potential impacts of helicopter and fixed-wing aircraft were fully discussed in Section 5.3.10.

5.4.11 Shore-Based Facilities

Shore-based facilities similar to those required for development drilling activities will be needed to support production at the Terra Nova Development.

Potential impacts of a shore-based facility from atmospheric emissions, routine liquid and solid releases, garbage, wastes, noise, lights, beacons, human presence, vessel and aircraft traffic are discussed in Section 5.3-11.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5.5 Transportation

Oil will be offloaded from the production facility to tankers for shipment. Up to three Canadian flagged and crewed shuttle tankers of 80 000 to 120 000 t dead- weight will be required. The number and size will depend on a number of factors, including the final design decision for the production facility and the location of markets for Terra Nova crude. Other factors notwithstanding, these tankers will be ice-strengthened and have double bottoms, double-sided hulls, dual propulsion and advanced navigation and communication equipment. Each tanker will have a crew of 20 to 25.

The oil could be shipped directly to market or transshipped through an onshore storage and loading terminal. Final decisions on these transportation options will be made on the basis of a market analysis and consideration of other factors. General transportation routes are shown in Figure 5.5-1.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0

5.6 Decommissioning

When the Terra Nova Field has been depleted to a level where further production is uneconomic, the site will be abandoned and restored to minimize residual impact on the environment. Approvals to abandon components of the Terra Nova Development will be obtained in accordance with the Newfoundland Offshore Area Petroleum Production and Conservation Regulations. The technology associated with abandonment and removal procedures is expected to change over the next 15 to 18 years, resulting in refined and new techniques.

5.6.1 Terra Nova Development Area

Individual wells will be abandoned as they become unproductive or, in the case of injection wells, when reservoir injection is no longer required. In general, well abandonment will consist of the following procedures:

· Cement plugs and mechanical bridge plugs will be installed in the wells to seal the formation.

· The caisson master valve assembly, upper tree structure, guide base, and flowline support structure will be removed.

· Production wells will be purged of hydrocarbons and abandoned in place.

Abandonment procedures will be prepared for the straightforward task of removing the FPF and possibly a storage tanker. All hazardous topsides equipment will be decommissioned offshore prior to towing inshore. All anchors, anchor lines, and anchor chains will be retrieved.

Subsea facilities include the production manifolds, riser base manifolds, loading riser manifold, flowlines and export lines. Any subsea facilities installed above the seafloor will be purged of hydrocarbons and decommissioned in accordance with regulations in place at the time. All umbilicals will be decommissioned, made safe, and then retrieved. Any subsea facilities installed sub-seafloor will be purged of hydrocarbons and left in place.

Effects on Benthos

There will be some disturbance to infaunal communities during abandonment and decommissioning (see Table 5.6-1). Disturbance will be minor, short term and sublocal.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Table 5.6-1

Level I Matrix: Interactions Between Abandonment Activities and Ecosystem Elements

Ecosystem Elements

Development Component Air Water Fish Fouling Pelagic Ground Terrestrial Quality Quality Plankton Larvae Infauna Organisms Epibenthos Fish -fish Fishery Seabirds Birds Whales Seals Offshore Decommissioning xxxx x xxxx xx Abandonment Onshore Effects on Biofouling Community

Effects on the biofouling community will vary depending upon the options available at the time of decommissioning. Where structures are removed the communities will be lost. The benthic community will return to predevelopment conditions. There is no associated impact. Where structures are not removed, biofouling communities will be maintained on these hard substrates as long as the structures are intact. While this impact will be long term, it will be minor at most.

Effects on Birds and Marine Mammals

Increased vessel activity during periods when facilities are being removed may cause some disturbance to marine mammals over and above that associated with routine production activities. However, this disturbance will occur within relatively short periods of time. Impacts will be minor, short term and sublocal. After abandonment, the Terra Nova site will have no effect on birds and marine mammals.

Effects on Fish

The most important effect on fish will be the termination of the safety zone if in fact it constituted a refuge. Assuming a diverse commercial fishery operates in the area, conditions should revert to those before development. Overall there would be no impact.

If some structures remain projecting above the seabed, there will be a positive, minor (at most), sublocal, long-term impact on fish populations due to the reef effect. Fish will be slightly protected from predation by bottom trawlers. On the other hand, there may be a negative impact (sublocal, negligible to minor but long term) on the groundfish fish hery, if it resumes in the area.

5.6.2 Shore-Based Facilities

The shore-based facilities will be located in an existing port. As a result, cessation of Terra Nova activities is expected to have negligible impacts on the environment.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 5.7 Oil Spills

In this part of the EIS, the environmental impacts of oil spills that might occur with the Terra Nova Development are assessed and the countermeasures that might mitigate these impacts evaluated. The goals are to:

- Assess the probability of different types of marine spills from Terra Nova Development operations

- Predict their probable behaviour, movement and possible landing points on shore

- Assess their potential effects on the environment

- Evaluate countermeasures available to mitigate the effects of such spills

The focus is on large oil spills because these are the primary environmental concern. This section starts with an identification of potential spill sources and follows with a quantitative assessment of the probabilities of large spills happening. This is followed by a detailed analysis of the specific characteristics of hypothetical Terra Nova spills in terms of their behaviour and fate. These spill scenarios, involving various spill types and sizes, serve subsequently as the basis for the impact assessment and the countermeasures analysis.

Terra Nova crude oils, like those at Hibernia, are waxy oils that behave in an unusual manner when spilled in cold waters. Because of this unique behaviour and its influence on both spill impact and cleanup potential, a description is given of laboratory analysis of the oil and the implications for spill impact and persistence. This is followed by a discussion of the results of computer modelling to estimate the behaviour and fate of the selected hypothetical spills, both at source and away from source. Because Terra Nova spills are likely to be highly persistent, lasting weeks and perhaps even months on the water surface, an assessment is made of the chances of any spilled oil from Terra Nova reaching shore.

In the hypothetical spill scenarios, succinct and definitive descriptions of Terra Nova spill behaviour are made. It is emphasized that, although these descriptions are based on many years of study of historical oil spills, they are also based on only limited data on Terra Nova oils themselves and their spill behaviour. Some spill-related laboratory testing of Terra Nova oils was done in 1985 (S.L. Ross, 1985) and more extensive work was performed with similar Hibernia oils in 1988 (S.L. Ross, and D. Mackay 1988). These studies provide reasonable data for predicting the near-source behaviour of Terra Nova spills, but not their behaviour far from source, after many weeks of environmental exposure. The long-term spill descriptions in this analysis are therefore based largely on professional judgements based on many years of experience in the oil spill research business.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 From an oil-spill perspective, the Terra Nova Development is similar to the Hibernia project. Both oils are waxy, the locations are close to each other and subject to similar climatic conditions, and the types and sizes of spills from each project can be expected to be similar. Much of the research and analysis that went into the EIS for Hibernia 10 years ago is applicable to this study. There are two small differences in the oil-spill situation today, mostly a result of new knowledge of offshore currents in the area (affecting spill trajectory somewhat) and better oil-spill fate-and-behaviour models that take into consideration the special waxy nature of Grand Banks crude oils (meaning that spills will persist longer than was predicted 10 years ago). Everything else is essentially the same.

In terms of spill cleanup, techniques and equipment for dealing with oil spills at the Terra Nova site are ineffective most of the time because of the high sea states in the area. On the other hand, the chances of oil coming ashore and causing serious damage are negligible, as was the case in the Hibernia assessment. The only serious environmental threat seems to be impacts on birds at sea from very large spills, and this is balanced against the very low probability that such spills will ever happen over the expected 15 to 18 year life of the project.

What was done 10 years ago regarding Hibernia oil spills is essentially valid today for Terra Nova oil spills; therefore, the details of Hibernia-related studies need not be repeated. Rather, for each oil spill subject discussed in the following sections, the approach will be to:

- Summarize the results and conclusions found in the relevant Hibernia-related reports and the Hibernia EIS

- Discuss the similarities and differences between the Terra Nova Development spill situation and that of the previously analyzed Hibernia project

- Describe any different situations in as much detail as is necessary for assessment

- Summarize the results and compare them with the results found in 1985 for Hibernia

5.7.1 Oil Spill Probability Analysis

This section of the EIS assesses the probability of occurrence of the various kinds of oil spills that could happen during the Terra Nova Development. The activities that can lead to blowouts or spills are as follows:

· Development drilling · Completion of wells drilled

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 · Various production activities, including wirelining, coiled tubing and snubbing operations · Workovers · Iceberg scours

Batch spills or instantaneous spills can occur from accidents on the FPF where oil is stored or handled, or accidents during storage tanker or shuttle tanker loading or flowline rupture.

The Hibernia EIS

The oil-spill probability discussion in the Hibernia EIS (Vol. IIIb, p. 69) and the 1984 S.L. Ross report to Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. Hibernia Oil Spills and their Control (p. 43-84) is based mostly on a voluminous study by Gulf Research and Development Company in 1981 that covers offshore oil activity from 1955 to 1980. In neither the Hibernia EIS nor the S.L. Ross study was any attempt made to predict the frequency of large spills from Hibernia operations, although statistics from offshore operations in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico and the North Sea were used to suggest that spill frequencies were likely to be low. Subsequently, a number of new statistical reports on spills from offshore oil activities have been prepared, some analyzing operations to 1994. Simple approaches have been developed by the United States Minerals Management Service and others for predicting the occurrence of large spills from both offshore oil activities and tanker accidents.

Oil Pollution Record of the Offshore Oil and Gas Industry

Compared with other industries with the potential for discharging petroleum oil into the marine environment, the industry of exploring, developing and producing offshore oil and gas is relatively clean. As noted in a study on oil pollution by the United States National Academy of Sciences (1985) and as summarized in Table 5.7-1, the offshore exploration and production industry contributes only 1.5 percent of the total petroleum input to the world's oceans. The oil-spill prevention mechanisms built into offshore activities are obviously effective. For example, on the U.S. Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) where, from 1971 to 1993, more than 22 000 wells were drilled and eight billion barrels1 of oil and condensate were produced, only five blowouts occurred that involved any discharge of oil. The total oil discharged in these five events was only about 1000 barrels.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Table 5.7-1

Input of Petroleum Hydrocarbons into the Marine Environment

Oil Contribution to Source of Contribution Quality Total Input (106 t/a) (%) Natural sources Marine seeps 0.2 6.2 Sediment erosion 0.05 1.5 Total natural sources 0.25 7.7 Offshore oil and gas production 0.05 1.5 Tanker operations 0.7 21.5 Dry docking 0.03 0.9 Marine terminals 0.02 0.6 Bilge and fuel oils 0.3 9.2 Tanker accidents 0.4 12.3 Nontanker accidents 0.02 0.6 Total 1.47 45.2 Atmosphere 0.3 9.2 Municipal and industrial wastes and runoff Municipal wastes 0.7 21.5 Refineries 0.1 3.1 Nonrefining Industrial wastes 0.2 6.2 Urban runoff 0.12 3.7 River runoff 0.04 1.2 Ocean dumping 0.02 0.6 Total wastes and runoff 1.18 36.3 Total 3.25 100.0

Source: NAS (1985).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Similarly, at Terra Nova, the chance of having large spills from offshore oil and gas operations is low. This statement is based on the assumption that the practices and technologies used for the Terra Nova Development will be at least as safe as those used in other offshore oil and gas operations around the world and in accordance with the accepted practices of the international petroleum industry. Because statistics on U.S. offshore oil and gas operations are the best available and are used extensively in this analysis, it is specifically assumed that Terra Nova Development operations are comparable to operations in U.S. waters (U.S. statistics include operations in Alaska, where ice is a factor).

Sources of Information

Statisticians of the U.S. Minerals Management Service (MMS) have produced a vast body of literature on marine oil-spill probability in the Gulf of Mexico. These oil spill statistics have been extensively peer-reviewed and are updated regularly, and will be used as a primary source of information for this EIS.

In addition to MMS reports, four other key sources of information are referenced, all focussing on blowouts and spills from offshore oil and gas activities. The first is the study for Dome Petroleum Limited by Gulf (1981) entitled Analysis of Accidents in Offshore Operations where Hydrocarbons were Lost. This study analyzes the causes of accidents and spills particularly well.

The next two studies focus on blowouts. One study, conducted in 1985 by Manadrill Drilling Management Inc., concentrates on the issue of relief- well drilling capability on land in Canada, but also provides a good summary of previous studies on offshore blowout probability. The other study was prepared by Adams Pearson Associates Inc. (1991) for the former Canadian Petroleum Association (now the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers) on the subject of "worst case" blowouts, mostly in reference to operations in the Canadian Beaufort Sea. This study explains in relatively simple terms how blowouts happen and how they tend to stop naturally.

A recent reference source is a comprehensive report prepared in Europe by Technica a.s. entitled Hydrocarbon Leak and Ignition Data Base (E&P Forum, 1992). This study is based on oil company reports of spills and blowouts that have occurred during offshore exploration and production activities from 1970 to 1981. Most (85 to 90 percent) of the blowout and spill statistics are derived from activities in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico Outer Continental Shelf (USGOM-OCS), but data from the North Sea are also included. This study is useful because blowout and spill statistics are neatly separated into those involving gas-producing wells and those involving oil-producing wells. The major problem with the Technica study is that its blowout frequencies seem to be lower than those reported in recent government publications. For example, in MMS (1994) 25 blowouts during workovers are reported to have happened in USGOM-OCS from 1970 to 1989, but in the Technica study only 16 blowouts are reported for both the

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 USGOM-OCS and the North Sea. The difference is perhaps because Technica has likely excluded blowouts that did not discharge hydrocarbons into the environment, that were caused by disasters like acts of war or hurricanes, or that were "unfairly" reported one way or the other. To be conservative, this assessment uses the higher numbers from MMS in calculating blowout frequencies. This same "worst-case" approach is used whenever different numbers are reported in the literature.

There is also a SINTEF database. However, 95 percent of the data are from operations in the USOCS. This EIS covers USOCS activities for the period 1970 to 1993 using the MMS (1994) report.

The Terra Nova Development and Worldwide Statistics

As this EIS refers to many statistics, it is convenient to summarize data related to the development itself and data related to drilling, production and spills from similar developments in other parts of the world. The statistics relevant to Terra Nova Development are summarized in Table 5.7-2. Table 5.7-3 provides statistics from other offshore oil and gas producing areas of the world that will be used throughout the report.

Categories of Spill Size

For this EIS, four spill-size classifications are used. One is an "extremely large" spill involving the loss of more than 150 000 of barrels of oil. Such disasters can cause damage, especially when they occur close to land. They are also important because whenever and wherever they occur they receive international media coverage and influence the public's view of oil spills in general. The next two size ranges are for "very large" spills, that is, spills larger than 10 000 barrels (sizes that MMS tracks) and "large" spills, that is, spills larger than 1000 barrels. "Large" spills are reasonably well documented, have the potential for serious local damage if washed ashore, and occur with sufficient regularity to cause concern. The next classification is "small" spills involving loss of fewer than 50 barrels, which may not cause severe damage but nonetheless occur frequently and are regular reminders of the threat of much larger and more damaging spills. Spill sizes are summarized in Table 5.7-4.

Blowouts

In the oil and gas industry, a distinction is made between two stages of petroleum field drilling: exploration drilling (including delineation drilling), where knowledge of the geological and depositional environment is speculative or limited; and development drilling, where the structure is better defined and drilling better controlled. Exploration drilling in the Terra Nova Development has been

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Table 5.7.2

Terra Nova Development Statistics of Importance to Study

Parameter Value Number of development wells to be drilled in total, including 39 18 gas or water injection wells Production wells (21 yet to be drilled plus 5 to be developed 26 from previously drilled delineation wells) Production lifetime 15 to 20 a Total crude oil produced during lifetime 47 to 64 x 106m3 Oil-producing well-years 312

completed, but 39 development wells have yet to be drilled. Blowouts, which are generally defined as uncontrolled flows of well fluids (water, gas, oil and gas liquids) from a wellhead or well-bore can happen during drilling operations, but also can occur during production, workovers and well completion activities. The frequency of blowouts involving releases of oil to the environment is very small when compared with the frequency of all blowouts. Significant Oil Spills from Blowouts

Historical Statistics. The main environmental concern with the Terra Nova Development is the possibility of a well blowout discharging tens or even hundreds of thousands of barrels of crude oil into the marine environment. An offshore well blowout involving a discharge of crude oil has never been experienced in Canada2. In U.S. waters, only four very large spills from oil-well blowouts have occurred since offshore drilling began in the mid-fifties. To show the data worldwide, Table 5.7-5 lists all blowouts involving spills of more than 10,000 barrels each. Five extremely large spills (150,000 barrels or more) have occurred in the history of offshore exploration and production, two of these during development drilling.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Table 5.7-3

Offshore Petroleum Industry Statistics

Statistic Value Data Source Worldwide Offshore Exploratory wells drilled, 1955-1980 11 737 Gulf, 1981 Development wells drilled, 1955-1980 24 896 Gulf, 1981 Total wells drilled, 1955-1980 36 633 Gulf, 1981 Approximate number exploration wells drilled to 1988 20 000 Sharples et al., 1989 Approximate number develop and production wells drilled to 1988 51 000 Sharples et al., 1989 Approximate cumulative offshore oil produced to January 1980 (excluding Lake Maricaibo) 5.6 x 109 m3 Gulf, 1981 Total blowouts of all kinds, 1955-1980 214 Gulf, 1981 Blowouts during exploration drilling (incl. shallow gas), 1955-1980 96 Gulf, 1981 Blowouts during development drilling (incl. shallow gas), 1955-1980 66 Gulf, 1981 Blowouts during production and workovers 52 Gulf, 1981 Total shallow-gas blowouts 54 Gulf, 1981 United States, Gulf of Mexico (USGOM) and Outer Continental Shelf (USOCS) Exploratory wells drilled in USGOM, 1955-1980 4 794 Gulf, 1981 Development wells drilled in USGOM, 1955-1980 12 390 Gulf, 1981 Total wells drilled in USGOM, 1955-1980 17 184 Gulf, 1981 Total wells drilled in USOCS (96% in GOM), 1971-1993 22 594 MMS, 1994 Total wells drilled in USOCS, 1955-1993 31 645 MMS, 1994 Approximate cumulative total oil produced in OCS to January 1980 1.4 x 109 m3 Gulf, 1980 Cumulative total oil produced in OCS, 1971 to end 1993 1.2 x 109 m3 MMS, 1994 Total blowouts of all kinds, 1955-1980 98 Gulf, 1980 Blowouts during exploration drill (incl. shallow gas), GOM, 1955-80 30 Gulf, 1981 Blowouts during development drill (incl. shallow gas), GOM, 1955-80 36 Gulf, 1981 Production and workover blowouts, GOM, 1955-1980 32 Gulf, 1980 Total shallow-gas blowouts, USGOM, 1955-1980 29 Gulf, 1981 Exploratory drilling blowouts, USOCS, 1971-1993 49 MMS, 1994 Development drilling blowouts, USOCS, 1971-1993 44 MMS, 1994 Production, workover and completion blowouts, OCS, 1971-1993 56 MMS, 1994 Norwegian Offshore Exploration wells drilled, 1976-1980 4 175 Manadrill, 1985 Development wells drilled, 1976-1980 6 941 Manadrill, 1985 Exploration drilling blowouts, 1976-1980 32 Manadrill, 1985 Development drilling blowouts, 1976-1980 14 Manadrill, 1985 UK North Sea Exploration wells drilled, 1964-1980 838 Gulf, 1981 Development wells drilled, 1964-1980 721 Gulf, 1981 Blowouts during all stages, 1964-1980 6 Gulf, 1981

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Table 5.7-4

Spill Classification Categories

Size Category (bbl) Extremely large spill > 150,000 Very large spill > 10,000 Large spill > 1000 Small spill < 50

Table 5.7-5

Historical Large Oil Spills from Offshore Oil-Well Blowouts

Area Reported Spill Size Date Operation Underway (bbl) Mexico (Ixtoc 1) 3,000,000 1979 Exploratory drilling Dubai 2,000,000 1973 Development drilling Mexico 247,000 1986 Workover Nigeria 200,000 1980 Development drilling North Sea and Norway 158,000 1977 Workover Iran 100,000 1980 Development drilling U.S., Santa Barbara 77,000 1969 Production Saudi Arabia 60,000 1980 Exploratory drilling Mexico 56,000 1987 Exploratory drilling U.S., S. Timbalier 26 53,000 1970 ? U.S., Main Pass 41 30,000 1970 Production U.S., Timbalier Bay and Greenhill 11,500 1992 Production Trinidad 10,000 1973 Development drilling

Source: Gulf (1981), updated by reference to the Oil Spill Intelligence Report.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Blowouts During Drilling. Spill frequencies are best expressed in terms of a risk factor such as the number of wells drilled. On a worldwide basis, approximately 51 000 offshore development wells were drilled from 1955 to 1988 (Table 5.7-3; Sharples et al., 1989). Thus the frequency of extremely large spills from oil-well blowouts during development drilling becomes 3.9 x 10-5 spills per well drilled or one such spill for every 26 000 wells drilled. Similarly, up to 1988, four development drilling blowouts have produced "very large" spills (Table 5.7-5), so the spill frequency for these is 7.8 x 10-5 spills per well drilled or one such spill for every 13 000 wells drilled.

There are two historical spills that can be considered to be "exceptionally large spills" (greater than 1,000,000 bbl):

· The Ixtoc-1 blowout in the Bay of Campeche, Mexico, which occurred in 1979 during exploratory drilling

· A blowout in Dubai that occurred in 1973 during development drilling

Both were caused by drilling procedures not practised in Canadian waters and that are totally contrary to Canadian regulations and accepted international oil and gas industry practices. The probability of having this size of spill at Terra Nova because of a development drilling accident is exceptionally low, much less than the worldwide frequency of one development drilling blowout (Dubai) for every 51 000 development wells drilled or 2.0 x 10-5 spills (greater than 1,000,000 bbl) per well drilled.

The number of wells drilled worldwide since 1988 is not readily available, but it is known that only one oil-well blowout larger than 10,000 barrels has occurred since that time, and it did not occur during drilling. (This was the Timbalier Bay production-well blowout that occurred in state waters in the USGOM in September 1992.) This means that estimates based on current statistics would be even lower than those noted above because no drilling-related blowouts have occurred since 1988.

Blowouts During Production and Workovers. Table 5.7-5 shows the occurrence of two extremely large (greater than 150,000 bbl) and five very large (greater than 10,000 bbl) oil spills from blowouts during production and workovers. Developing an exact risk exposure for these events is not easy because of lack of data, but it is estimated that the total oil produced offshore on a worldwide basis to the end of 1993 is about 100 billion barrels, and the total producing oil well-years is 200 000 (based on information in Gulf, 1981; NAS, 1985; E&P Forum, 1992; and MMS, 1994) (see Appendix 5.B).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Well-years was chosen as the more reasonable exposure parameter. The worldwide frequency of extremely large oil spills (greater than 150,000 bbl) from oil-well blowouts that occurred during production or workovers is 2/200 000 or 1.0 x 10-5 blowouts per well-year. For very large spills (greater than 10,000 bbl) the number is 2.5 x 10-5 blowouts per well-year.

Prediction for the Terra Nova Development. Thirty-nine wells will be drilled in the Terra Nova Development, and the exposure for the project will be 312 well-years. Using the above worldwide spill frequency statistics as a basis for prediction, the estimated spill frequencies are:

· Extremely large oil spills (greater than 150,000 bbl) from blowouts during a drilling operation, based on an exposure of wells drilled: 39 x 3.9 x 10-5 = 1.5 x 10-3 or a 0.15 percent chance over the entire drilling period

· Very large oil spills (greater than 10,000 bbl) from drilling blowouts based on an exposure of wells drilled: 39 x 7.8 x 10-5 = 3.0 x 10-3 or a 0.30 percent chance over the drilling period

· Extremely large oil spills (greater than 150,000 bbl) from production and workover blowouts, based on an exposure of well-years: 312 x 1.0 x 10-5 = 3.1 x 10-3 or a 0.31 percent chance over the project's lifetime (20 years)

· Very large oil spills (greater than 10,000 bbl) from production and workover blowouts, based on an exposure of well-years: 312 x 2.5 x 10-5 = 7.8 x 10-3 or a 0.78 percent chance over the project's lifetime (20 years)

Oil Well Blowouts Involving Any Discharge of Oil (Greater Than 1 bbl)

Historical Statistics. Historical statistics are used to estimate the chances of any blowout occurring during Terra Nova Development operations, either during development drilling, production operations, workovers or completions. Historical statistics for blowouts involving small oil discharges are derived from American sources because the MMS keeps track of spills down to one barrel in size.

The MMS statistics over the 23 year period from 1971 to 1993 provide the basis for calculating probabilities and are found in Table 5.7-6. Note that there are no large spills (greater than 1000 bbl) listed in the table.

Development Drilling and Well Completions. The total number of development wells drilled in the U.S. Federal OCS is not shown in Table 5.7-6, but is approximately 16 000 (MMS, 1994; E&P Forum, 1992).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Table 5.7-6

Blowouts and Spillage from U.S. Federal Offshore Wells Compared to Crude Oil and Condensate Production on Federal OCS Leases 1971 to 1993

Drilling Blowouts Nondrilling Blowouts OCS Total Prod- Well Blowouts uction Year Starts Exploration Development Production Workover Completion

No. bbl No. bbl No. bbl No. bbl No. bbl No. bbl MMbbl

1971 851 1 0 1 0 2 450 10005450407

1972 845 2 0 2 01000005 0 396

1973 820 2 0 1 00000003 0 385

1974 802 1 0 1 0 4 275 00006275355

1975 842 4 0 1 00010107 0 325

1976 1 078 1 0 4 01000006 0 315

1977 1 240 3 0 1 01030109 0 296

1978 1 164 3 0 4 0003010110 288

1979 1 140 4 0 1 00000005 0 274

1980 1 158 3 0 1 02110108 1 275

1981 1 208 1 0 2 010364301064283

1982 1 255 1 0 4 00040009 0 315

1983 1 180 5 0 5 0002000120 351

1984 1 352 3 0 1 00010005 0 385

1985 1 169 3 0 1 00024000640380

1986 694 0 0 1 00010002 0 384

1987 845 2 0 0 03010260860359

1988 950 1 0 1 00010003 0 333

1989 947 2 0 51 032 01000110 314

1990 1 018 1 0 1 00039106 9 305

1991 726 3 0 33 00000006 0 326

1992 431 3 100 0 00000003100338

1993 879 0 0 3 00000004604 353

Total 22 594 49 100 44 0 18 726 28 113 10 60 150 1059 7740

Source: MMS (1994). Note: Only crude oil and condensate blowout spillage is given here for the 150 blowouts that occurred during the past 22 years. 1 Two of the drilling blowouts occurred during drilling for sulphur. 2 One blowout occurred during abandonment operations. 3 Two of the drilling blowouts occurred during drilling for sulphur. 4 The original reference (MMS, 1994) has a typographical error in this row, inasmuch as there is no source for this 60 barrel spill. The number of blowouts from development drilling is shown as 42 (the two blowouts from sulphur drilling are removed); therefore, the blowout frequency is 42/16 000 or 2.6 x 10-3 blowouts per well drilled. No oil was spilled in any of these blowouts. This suggests that all the blowouts occurred in gas prone fields, and would further suggest that blowouts from development drilling in oil-prone fields are extremely improbable. As a worst-case, however, it will be assumed that the above blowout frequency applies to Terra Nova Development.

For blowouts during completions the equivalent statistic is 10/14 000 or 0.71 x 10-3 blowouts per well. Note again that none of the blowouts during development drilling discharged any oil, and only one during completion work involved an oil discharge (60 bbl). Combining both frequencies, the frequency for blowouts that occur during development drilling and completion operations becomes (2.6 + 0.71) x 10-3 or 3.3 x 10-3 blowouts per well.

Blowouts During Production and Workovers. As discussed earlier, the best accident exposure to use for the continuous operation of production is well-years, i.e., the product of the number of oil production wells in operation and the number of years of operation. The number of oil well-years for the population in Table 5.7-6 from 1971 through 1993 can be calculated from another table in MMS (1994) (page 40); the number is 97 921 producing oil well-years. This exposure is also convenient to use for workovers inasmuch as these maintenance activities, although not continuous, usually occur with regularity, approximately every seven years or so during the lifetime of a well.

For all the gas-producing and oil-producing areas of the U.S. Federal OCS, 46 blowouts occurred during production and workovers (Table 5.7-6). Forty-two involved gas only and four involved oil. It was assumed the 42 gas blowouts occurred in association with gas-producing wells and the remaining four occurred from oil-producing wells.

The frequency of blowouts that produced a spill from oil-producing wells during a production operation or workover was calculated to be 4/97 921 or 4.1 x 10-5 blowouts per well-year. The four spills had an average size of only 200 barrels.

Predictions for Terra Nova Development. There will be about 39 development wells drilled during the Terra Nova Development, resulting in a calculated oil-well blowout frequency of 39 x 3.3 x 10-3 or 0.13, or a 13 percent chance of a blowout. According to the statistics in Table 5.7-6, however, the chances of having an oil discharge associated with the blowout is extremely low (actually zero according to the table). It is known that large and even extremely large spills have occurred during development drilling (Table 5.7-5), but the frequency of these has been very low.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 For blowouts during production and workovers, the Terra Nova Development statistics are 312 well-years x 4.1 x 10-5 blowouts per well-year or 1.3 x 10-2 blowouts over the course of the entire development, equalling about a 1.3 percent chance.

Large Oil Spills (Greater Than 1000 bbl) From Platforms

Historical Record. There have been very few large spills from platforms operating in U.S. OCS waters. In addition to the four from blowouts noted in Table 5.7-5, there have been only six others (Table 5.7-7) to the end of 1994. These all occurred before 1980. MMS statisticians responsible for analyzing and predicting oil spill frequencies associated with offshore oil and gas activities in the OCS have decreased the estimate gradually over the past decade in recognition of a statistical trend towards lower spill frequency. The latest estimate developed by Anderson and LaBelle (1994) is 0.45 spills per billion barrels for spills equal or greater than 1000 barrels and 0.16 spills per billion barrels for spills equal or greater than 10,000 barrels.

This is equivalent to 3.6 x 10-5 spills per well-year for spills greater than 1000 bbl and 1.3 x 10-5 spills per well-year for spills greater than 10,000 bbl3. The above statistic for spills greater than 10,000 bbl is smaller than the statistic derived earlier for blowouts greater than 10,000 bbl (i.e., 2.5 x 10-5). This is inconsistent because the first category includes blowout spills. The reason for the anomaly is that the U.S. record was used for the former and the worldwide record was used for the latter. The results mean that spills occur less frequently in U.S. waters than they do world-wide.

Predictions for the Terra Nova Development. The total well-years for Terra Nova Development is estimated to be 312. The estimated frequency of any spills larger than 1000 bbl and 10 000 bbl, respectively, is 312 x 3.6 x 10-5 = 1.1 x 10-2 (1.1 percent chance) and 312 x 1.3 x 10-5 = 4.1 x 10-3 (0.41 percent chance).

Platform Spills Involving Small Discharges

Historical Record. Small spills occur regularly at offshore platforms. Table 5.7-8 summarizes frequency of spills larger than one barrel of all pollutants from facilities and operations on Federal OCS leases from the period 1970 to 1993 (MMS, 1994). This period involved the production of 8.0 billion barrels of oil and condensate and 103 486 well-years of production activity.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Table 5.7-7

Oil Spills of 1000 Barrels or More from Platforms on the U.S. OCS 1964 to 1993

Date Location Size Cause of Spill (yy-mm-dd) (bbl) 64-04-08 Eugene Island Block 208 2,559 Collision 64-10-03 Eugene Island Ship Shoal 11,869 Hurricane (7 platforms) 65-07-19 Ship Shoal Block 29 1,688 Blowout (condensate) 69-01-28 Santa Barbara Channel 77,000a Blowout 69-03-16 Ship Shoal Block 72 2,500 Collision, weather 70-02-10 Main Pass Block 41 30,000 Blowout 70-12-01 South Timbalier Block 29 53,000 Blowout 73-01-09 West Delta Block 79 9,935 Storage tank rupture 79-11-23 Main Pass Block 151 1,500b Collision, weather, tank spill 80-11-13 High Island Block 206 1,456 Pump failure, hurricane, tank spill 92-09-29 Timbalier Bay and Greenhill 11,500c Production well blowout

Sources: Anderson and LaBelle (1994). a Estimates vary between 10 000 to 77 000 bbl. b Refined product. c This spill was in Louisiana State waters and not OCS waters, but is included in table for interest .

Table 5.7-8

Spill Frequency from Platforms for Spills in the Size Ranges of 1-50 Barrels and > 50 Barrels (U.S. OCS 1970 - 1993)

Spill Size Range Number of Probability of Occurrence Spills (spills/well-year)

1 - 50 bbl 1806 1.7 x 10-2

> 50 bbl 81 7.8 x 10-4

Source: MMS (1994) Note: Total volume of 1806 + 81 spills = 116 136 barrels.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Predictions for Terra Nova Development. For the Terra Nova Development the predictions are 312 x 1.7 x 10-2 = 5.3 spills less than fifty barrels over the course of the development; and 312 x 7.8 x 10-4 = 0.24 spills greater than 50 barrels, or a 24 percent chance of having one such spill over the course of the project.

Spills During Tanker Loading

Spills are possible when Terra Nova crude oil is transferred from the FPF to shuttle tankers. Developing predictions of frequencies for these spills is difficult at this time because the design of the loading system has not been finalized. As well, the technologies involved in loading offshore tankers have changed significantly in the last few years, making the use of historical spill statistics for predicting future spill frequencies questionable. The literature seems to indicate a dramatic drop in spill frequencies over the last few years as better technologies were adopted.

Experience in United Kingdom Sector of the North Sea, 1976-1979. Tankers have been used in the U.K. sector of the North Sea since 1976 to transport oil from the offshore production facilities to shore. Both single buoy mooring (SBM) and single- point mooring (SPM) systems are used. The breakdown of statistics from 1976 (when production began) to 1979 is available in Gulf (1981). Of all spills during oil industry exploration and production activities in the U.K. sector of the North Sea, 23 percent (34 spills) involved offloading accidents and accounted for 73 percent of the total oil spilled. Ninety-four percent of these 34 spills were less than 100 barrels each. Spill size averaged 18 barrels.

There were two large spills (greater than 1000 barrels), each having a volume of 4000 barrels. The volume of oil produced during 1976 to 1979 inclusive was 870 million barrels for the entire U.K. offshore; therefore, the frequency of large spills was 2/0.87 or 2.3 spills per billion barrels produced.

Shell Oil Experience, 1982 to 1985. Table 5.7-9 lists spills at various worldwide SBM facilities. These were taken from summaries documented by the Oil Spill Intelligence Report (June 24, 1983; October 5, 1984; and November 21, 1986) for the period from 1982 to 1985 inclusive. Only spills larger than 238 barrels are included. A statistical analysis of these spills is not justified because the listing is likely not complete (only Shell Oil facilities are included) and because oil production statistics at these facilities are not readily available. Table 5.7-9 does show, however, that large spills from hose ruptures can and do occur during offloading operations offshore. The average size of the spills larger than 1000 barrels is 4700 barrels, which is similar to the two U.K. North Sea SBM spills that occurred between 1976 and 1979 (4000 barrels each).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Table 5.7-9

Spills Larger Than 240 Barrels that Occurred at SBM Facilities 1982 to 1985

Date Location Quantity Spilled Cause (yy-mm-dd) (bbl)

83-01-10 53°25_N, 04°20_W 1 070 Hose failure Amlwch, Wales, UK

83-02-10 53°25_N, 04°20_W 430 Floating hose failure Amlwch, Wales, UK

3-08-20 05°22_N, 06°45_E 8 290 Hose rupture Forcados, Nigeria

83-10-12 05°22_N, 06°45_E 4 690 Hose failure during Forcados, Nigeria loading

83-11-11 04°30_N, 07°15_E 480 Hose failure during near Bonny, Nigeria pressure testing

Source: Oil Spill Intelligence Report SBM, Shell.

Statoil Experience in the North Sea, 1979 to 1995. Statoil, the national oil company of Norway, has more than 15 years of experience with offshore loading in the North Sea, starting with the Statfjord A platform in 1979. Initially, the operation was based on an articulated loading platform and modified conventional tankers, but has evolved into today's submerged turret loading system and a large fleet of specialized vessels. A Statoil paper on the subject (Breivik, 1995) indicates that 5000 cargoes of crude oil, involving about 4 billion barrels, have been lifted by Statoil-operated tankers up to May 1994. In that time only two large spills have occurred: a 4000-barrel spill in 1980 and a 5800-barrel spill in 19924. This gives a spill frequency of 2/4 x 109 or 0.5 large spills per billion barrels transported.

Breivik (1995) indicates that only two smaller spills have occurred, each less than 150 barrels.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Predictions for Terra Nova Development. The existing data suggest that in the earlier days of offloading, the frequency of large spills was relatively high (2.3 spills per billion barrels produced) and very high for smaller spills, but has been reduced lately to 0.5 large spills per billion barrels produced as a result of better technologies. If Terra Nova Development uses these latest technologies and systems, and operates them as well as Statoil, then a predicted large-spill frequency of 0.5 spills per 109 bbl produced might be reasonable. If not, the higher number of 2.3 spills per 109 bbl should be used. For want of further information, an arithmetic average of the numbers will be used here; specifically, 1.4 large spills (greater than 1000 bbl) for every billion barrels produced.

For a production of 400 million barrels produced, the spill frequency prediction for the Terra Nova Development becomes 1.4 x 0.400 = 0.56 large spills over the course of the 15 to 18 year development, or about a 50:50 chance of occurrence. As discussed above, the size of an offloading spill is likely to be in the 4000-barrel range, which is relatively small compared to other types of potential large spills.

Summary of Blowout and Spill Frequencies

Over the 15 to 18 year development period the chances of an extremely large (greater than 150,000 bbl) and very large (greater than 10 000 bbl) oil-well blowout from development drilling are about 0.15 and 0.30 percent, respectively. If four wells are drilled per year for about 10 years (for a total of 39 wells), the spill frequencies become 1.6 x 10-4 extremely large spills (greater than 150 000 bbl) per year and 3.1 x 10-4 very large spills (greater than 10 000 bbl) per year. This means that one extremely large spill might occur every 6300 years of drilling at this rate and one very large spill every 3200 years. For similar blowouts from production activities and workovers the equivalent numbers are one extremely large oil well blowout (greater than 150,000 bbl) for every 6400 years of production and one very large oil well blowout (greater than 10,000 bbl) for every 2600 years of production. These predictions are based on worldwide blowout data and are strongly influenced by blowouts that have occurred in Mexico, Africa and the Middle East. Even lower frequencies could result for Terra Nova Development in view of the fact that no development drilling blowout spills larger than 10,000 barrels have occurred anywhere since 1980, suggesting significant improvement in technology and practices over the past 15 years.

The chances of having a blowout of any kind are relatively high, perhaps as high as 11 percent, but historical data suggest a 95 percent chance that the blowout will discharge no oil at all.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 The probability of a scouring iceberg has not been addressed in this document. There will be sufficient notification of such an event for all lines to be flushed with sea water.

Calculated oil-spill frequencies are summarized in Table 5.7-10. The highest frequencies are for small spills. Spills of less than 50 barrels are predicted to occur about once every five years. The chances of having a platform-based spill larger than 50 barrels over the life of the development are less than 25 percent.

Large platform-based spills (greater than 1000 bbl) have about a 1 percent chance of occurring over the course of the development, and very large platform spills (greater than 10,000 bbl) have a 0.4 percent chance. Tanker-loading spills of greater than 1000 barrels have a 50:50 chance of occurring over the project period, although the spill size would likely be moderate, perhaps in the 5000-barrel range. This frequency could be reduced if state-of-the-art offloading technologies are utilized in the project.

5.7.2 Selection of Oil Spill Scenarios

Hypothetical, large oil spills from oil-well blowouts and tanker-loading accidents are used as a basis for describing the fate, behaviour, impact and control of Terra Nova spills in the following subsections.

Recognizing that no two spills are alike, detailed spill-specific scenarios are used to assess impacts and cleanup capability. These precisely defined oil-spill situations are used as a benchmark in the evaluation process. The objective is to develop a manageable number of detailed large-spill scenarios that illustrate what could be expected if a major spill occurred during the Terra Nova Development. Scenarios are selected to cover the range of spill types and sizes. The selection covered the two main possibilities for large spills:

· A continuous spill from an oil-well blowout involving a large discharge over a relatively long period of time · A batch spill from a ruptured container or loading hose leading to a large discharge of oil over a short period of time. This scenario also simulates a similar-sized spill from the subsea system

Spills from tanker accidents are not considered.

The Hibernia EIS

Table 5.7-11 summarizes of the oil spill scenarios used in the Hibernia EIS.

The 4800 m3/d oil blowouts were calculated by Mobil Oil to be the highest flow possible from the most prolific well discharging with no restriction, that is, with

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Table 5.7-10

Predicted Number of Blowouts and Spills for the Terra Nova Development over its 20-Year Lifetime

Historical Terra Nova Probability Event Frequency Development ExposureNo. of Events (%)

BLOWOUTS

Blowout during development drilling and completions 3.3 x 10-3/wells drilled 39 wells drilled 1.3 x 10-1 13

Blowout during production and workovers involving some 4.1 x 10-5/well-years 312 well-years 1.3 x 10-2 1.3 oil discharge > 1 bbl

Development drilling blowout with oil spill > 10,000 bbl 7.8 x 10-5/wells drilled 39 wells drilled 3.0 x 10-3 0.30

Development drilling blowout with oil spill > 150,000 bbl 3.9 x 10-5/wells drilled 39 wells drilled 1.5 x 10-3 0.15

Production/workover blowout with oil spill > 10,000 bbl 2.5 x 10-5/well-year 312 well-years 7.8 x 10-3 0.78

Production/workover blowout with oil spill > 150,000 bbl 1.0 x 10-5/well-year 312 well-years 3.1 x 10-3 0.31

PLATFORM SPILLS (including blowouts)

Oil spill > 10,000 bbl 1 1.3 x 10-5/well-year 312 well-years 4.1 x 10-3 0.41

Oil spill > 1000 bbl1 3.6 x 10-5/well-year 312 well-years 1.1 x 10-3 1.1

Oil spill > 50 bbl 7.8 x 10-4/well-year 312 well-years 0.24 24

Oil Spill < 50 bbl 1.7 x 10-2/well-year 312 well-years 5.3 100

TANKER LOADING SPILLS

Oil spill > 1000 bbl 1.4/109 bbl produced 0.40 x 109 bbl produced 0.56 56

1 U.S. data only absolute open flow. As a worst case it was further assumed that this flow rate would continue until a relief well were drilled that would stop the flow in 90 days. The average size and duration of the smaller blowouts were simply calculated on the basis of worldwide statistics of blowouts where some oil (greater than 2000 bbl) was discharged (S.L. Ross 1984). The tanker spills were selected on similar grounds. Finally, the volumes for the transfer and intrafield pipeline spills were calculated based on flow rates and potential duration, the latter limited by the use of automatic shut-off valves.

Table 5.7-11

Summary of Hibernia Spill Scenarios

Spill Type Source Flow Duration Blowout Subsea 4800 m3/d 90 d 320 m3/d 5 d Platform 4800 m3/d 90 d 320 m3/d 5 d Batch Tanker 30 000 m3 1 h 9000 m3 24 h Transfer 800 m3 instantly Pipeline 300 m3 1 h

Selection of Terra Nova Scenarios

Spill Type, Size and Duration

Table 5.7-12 shows the five scenarios selected for Terra Nova Development. The concept of an average-size blowout based on historical data has been rejected, because it has little instructional value. The transfer spill of 800 m3 is identical to that chosen for Hibernia. Tanker spills are not considered at this time. The worst-case blowout scenarios selected for Terra Nova are similar to those selected for Hibernia, but some are more extreme. The reason is not that Terra Nova spills are expected to be larger than those from the Hibernia project, but rather that the situation is analyzed differently, as explained below.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Table 5.7-12

Summary of Terra Nova Spill Scenarios

Spill Type Source Flow Duration Blowout Subsea 4800 m3/d 90 d 4800 m3/d 45 d 7150 m3/d 7 d Surface 7150 m3/d 7 d Batch Transfer 800 m3 instantly

Blowouts. The method used to select and size the various Terra Nova blowout scenarios was originally developed for use in the Beaufort Sea in the late 1980s and early 1990s (Adams and Pearson Associates Inc., 1991). The specific techniques used to calculate fluid escape paths, flow rates and incident durations are beyond the scope of this EIS. Detailed engineering calculations using specific Terra Nova drilling and production characteristics were used to determine the flow scenarios.

The blowout scenario occurs with no drill pipe in the hole and casing set down to near the producing formation. Oil and gas flow into the hole and up the casing at rates of 9500 m3/d of oil with a gas-oil ratio of 134 m3/m3. The GOR is corrected to atmospheric conditions. The flow rate of the blowout declines after one week to 4800 m3/d and finally reaches a steady-state value of about 3200 m3/d. The volumes used for this scenario would make this hypothetical event the largest spill in history. The flow rate declines because of the depletion of the reservoir pressure and choking of the flow by debris breaking off the walls of the uncased section and falling into the bottom of the hole.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 It is quite likely, given the physical characteristics of the producing formations, and the extremely high flow rates, that the uncased well bore would collapse in less than a day after the blowout occurred, shutting off the flow. This is believed to be the case for a blowout in the Beaufort Sea, an area with similar reservoir rock characteristics (Adams and Pearson Associates Inc., 1991). Two short-duration flow rate scenarios have been chosen that reflect seven days of high flow from the well. One is a subsea blowout emanating from the blowout preventer on the seafloor; the other is a surface blowout, where the oil sprays out of the riser at the drill floor. The oil production rate for these scenarios was chosen as the average over the first week, or 7200 m3/d. Two longer term blowout scenarios were also developed. These involve oil flow rates of 4800 m3/d (representing a long-term average flow) lasting for 45 or 90 days. The shorter duration represents the time estimated to drill a relief well using the rig involved in the blowout; the longer duration is the estimated time to complete a relief well with a rig brought in from elsewhere.

Both long-term blowouts are subsea release scenarios. To develop a realistic scenario that lasts for a long duration and requires a relief well, it is necessary to envision a blowout that escapes to the sea floor outside the casing. In this hypothetical situation, the casing shoe (the cement annulus between the bottom portion of the casing and the drilled rock hole) fails and allows reservoir fluids to escape to the surface via a fracture in the rock. No well-control operations would kill this type of blowout; a relief well would be required. The flow rates of oil and gas through such a leak are impossible to estimate, but could be much less than the flow achievable through casing. For the sake of this assessment it is assumed that the flow is 4800 m3/d.

No long-term surface blowout is included in the scenarios. If a platform blowout were to occur it would likely be controlled quickly or kill itself because of reservoir rock collapse in a short time (81 percent of all blowouts are controlled or die naturally in 7 days (Adams and Pearson Associates Inc., 1991); if the blowout were not controllable from the surface, the rig would be pulled off the blowout well (converting the platform blowout to a subsea blowout) and used to drill the relief well.

Batch Spills. The batch spill size was selected from the average, large batch spill size determined in the previous section. The spill duration is assumed to be instantaneous (or nearly so) since the cause of such spills historically has been a hose rupture or a storage tank failure, both of which result in high oil release rates that rapidly drain the affected system. The volumes associated with this scenario fit well with the volumes of oil in flowlines as set out in Table 5.4-4.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Environmental Conditions Assumed for Scenarios

For each scenario, calculations of oil-slick behaviour and fate were made for two sets of seasonal environmental conditions. The average temperatures and winds for the Terra Nova site in December, January, February, June, July and August are reproduced (from Chapter 3 of this EIS) in Table 5.7-13. For scenario purposes, a winter spill was defined as occurring with air and water temperatures of 2°C and winds of 12 m/s; a summer spill occurred with air and water temperatures of 11°C and winds of 9 m/s.

Table 5.7-13

Terra Nova Spill Scenario Environmental Data

Winter Summer

Parameter December January February June July August

Average air 20-171113 temperature (°C)

Average water 2 1 0 5 11 12 temperature (°C)

Average wind speed 12 12 12 9 9 8 (m/s)

5.7.3 Terra Nova Oil Properties and General Spill Behaviour

There are many publications that describe the conventional behaviour of marine oil spills, including the main processes of spreading, evaporation, water-in-oil emulsification, and dispersion. However, Grand Banks crude oils, including those of Hibernia and Terra Nova, do not behave like conventional oil because of their waxy nature. In studies for the Hibernia EIS (S.L. Ross, 1984) and for early studies of Terra Nova crudes (S.L. Ross, 1985) it was understood that these crude oils would behave in an unusual manner and attempts were made to predict such behaviour, but it was not until a comprehensive study was completed on the subject several years later (S.L. Ross and D. Mackay Environmental Research Limited, 1988) that this peculiar spill behaviour could be better appreciated and estimated mathematically. If the Hibernia EIS were redone today with current knowledge and models, it would show spills persisting on the water surface for a much longer time.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 The main purpose of this subsection is to describe the spill-related properties of Terra Nova crude oil and how it is likely to behave if spilled in the Grand Banks marine environment. This discussion is set against a brief discussion of the behaviour of "conventional" crude oil spills.

Spill-Related Properties of Terra Nova Crude Oils

Table 5.7-14 lists the important spill-related physical properties of the Terra Nova crude used for spill scenario prediction in this EIS. The particular crude used is Terra Nova K-08 DST. No. 4 (S.L. Ross, 1985). The oil properties of this crude oil are considered representative although it is recognized that:

- The Terra Nova area will produce oils with a range of properties - These oils will be blended as part of the production process - The oils produced by the individual wells will change over time

The key difference between Hibernia and Terra Nova crude is that the pour point of the Terra Nova crude is higher, equalling the average summer water temperature. This has significant implications, discussed in the next section, for the behaviour of Terra Nova crude spills.

Another key spill-related property of Terra Nova crude is the fact that it will form very stable water-in-oil emulsions when spilled, even when the oil is fresh. The Hibernia crude is similar in this regard. The formation of stable emulsions also has implications for spill behaviour, particularly survival time.

The remainder of the spill-related physical properties of the Terra Nova crude are typical of a medium-gravity crude oil.

Comparison of Terra Nova Spill Behaviour to Conventional Oil Spill Behaviour

When oil is spilled at sea it is subject to several weathering processes. The major weathering processes are:

- Drifting (advection) - Spreading - Evaporation - Natural dispersion of oil in water - Water-in-oil emulsification

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Table 5.7-14

Properties of Terra Nova Crude and Hibernia Crude

Parameter Terra Nova Crudea Hibernia Crudeb API gravity 32.5° 30.4° Density at 15°C 862.1 kg/m3 874 kg/m3 Viscosity at 25°C 18.2 mm2/s 25 mm2/s at 50°C 5.9 mm2/s - Interfacial tensions at 20°C air to oil 29.0 mN/m 27.2 mN/m oil to seawater 29.6 mN/m 21.0 mN/m Pour point 12°C9°C Flash point 21°C14°C Emulsion formation tendency Forms very stable emulsion Forms very stable emulsion and stability at 1°C and 15°C even when fresh even when fresh Aqueous solubility in salt water 18.78 g/m3 17 g/m3 at 22°C Weathering (see Stiver and Equation 1c Equation 2d Mackay, 1983) a K08 well DST No. 4; S.L. Ross (1985). b B-27 well, S.L. Ross and DMER (1988), and S.L. Ross (1984). The properties of Hibernia crude given in Table 4.7-2 on page 70 of the Hibernia EIS are actually those of fresh Avalon crude. c FV = 1n(1 + 6404 Θ exp (6.3 - 4253/TK)/TK) (TK/6404) d FV = 1n(1 + 5974 Θ exp (6.3 - 4141/TK)/TK) (TK/5974) where: FV = fraction of oil weathered by volume 1n = natural logarithm Θ = evaporative exposure exp = exponential base e TK = environmental temperature ( °Kelvin = 273 + °C)

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Drifting

Drifting or advection occurs when surface slicks are moved away from the spill site by water currents. These currents usually combine residual current movement and wind-induced surface movements. In nearshore marine waters, the movement of oil slicks is also affected by tidal currents, river outflows and longshore currents.

The properties of the spilled oil do not greatly affect the drifting process; hence spills of Terra Nova oil will move as any spilled oil would. The subject of oil spill drifting is covered in more detail in a subsequent section on Terra Nova spill trajectories.

Oil Spreading

Numerous models of oil spreading behaviour and its dependence on oil properties and environmental conditions have been developed over the last three decades. Recent models relate the properties of the oil (density, viscosity and interfacial tension) to its spreading on calm water. Most good models include an oceanic diffusion term to describe spreading behaviour in more realistic sea conditions.

Conventional oils that flow easily on water (specifically, low pour point, low viscosity) usually spread quickly. For example, a spill of 1000 m3 can result in a total slick area of about 10 km2 in one or two days. This is equivalent to an average slick thickness of 0.1 mm. The surface oil is usually not a uniform, thin sheet of oil, but rather is composed of thick patches (usually thicker than 1 mm) that contain most of the spill volume surrounded by sheens (about 1 to 10 µm or 0.001 to 0.01 mm). The rule-of-thumb is that 90 percent of an oil spill's volume is contained in 10 percent its area.

Terra Nova crude will not spread like a conventional oil for two reasons. First, the pour point of the crude is equal to or above the average water temperature year-round. This means that when Terra Nova crude is spilled it will gel. This will likely result in blowouts generating streams of small gelled droplets of oil (S.L. Ross and DMER 1988) that do not coalesce to form a slick (as was the case at the IXTOC-1 subsea blowout and the Uniacke platform blowout). These individual droplets may, however, agglomerate to form larger particles. Batch spills of Terra Nova crude will likely form into thick (1 or more cm) layers of gelled oil "fractured" into metre-sized mats of oil by wave action (S.L. Ross and D. Mackay Environmental Research Limited, 1988; S.L. Ross, 1986).

The second property of Terra Nova crude that will affect its spreading behaviour is its interfacial tension with air and seawater. Oil will not generate a sheen on water if the sum of its oil-to-air and oil-to-water interfacial tensions exceeds the interfacial tension between the air and the water (about 70 mN/m). As can be seen from Table 5.7-14, the

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 sum of these interfacial tensions for fresh Terra Nova crude is nearly 60 mN/m. Further, as Terra Nova oil evaporates both its air-to-oil and oil-to-water interfacial tensions increase. After the oil has lost about 29 percent of its volume to evaporation the sum of the interfacial tensions exceed 70 mN/m and the oil will stop generating a sheen.

Evaporation

Evaporation is one of the most intensively studied and predictable processes. The evaporation rate of an oil slick is controlled or affected by:

- Temperature - The surface area of the oil in contact with air - The thickness of the oil - Wind speed - The concentration and vapour pressure of the individual components of the oil

Most good oil evaporation rates models follow an approach developed by Professor D. Mackay at the University of Toronto (Stiver and Mackay, 1983) where an overall "mass transfer coefficient" for evaporation is first determined experimentally. The volume or mass fraction of oil evaporated is related to an exposure coefficient (combining time, oil volume and area, and the mass transfer coefficient to the atmosphere) and to the vapour pressure-concentration behaviour of the oil. The unique aspect of this approach is that it permits the results from a variety of laboratory evaporation experiments to be extrapolated to actual environmental conditions with a relatively high degree of confidence. Table 5.7-15 illustrates the results of this approach in predicting the evaporative loss from a 1 mm slick of crude oil (density = 0.84 g/cm3) as a function of sea state.

Table 5.7-15

Evaporation of Conventional Crude Oil Slicks as a Function of Sea State (%)

Exposure = 6 hrs Exposure = 24 hrs Sea State 5°C15°C5°C15°C Medium (2-3) 23 32 28 37 High (4-6) 26 35 29 38

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 For the Terra Nova oil, and all waxy, viscous oils, there are additional resistances to mass transfer that curtail evaporation. These relate primarily to the development of internal resistances to the movement of molecules to the surface of the slick and their escape from the surface of the slick into the air. When a waxy oil evaporates and loses volatiles, the wax molecules begin to precipitate from solution and the oil begins to gel; once a certain resistance to flow is created by the precipitated waxes the oil reaches its pour point. In other words evaporation raises the pour point of an oil until it equals, then exceeds ambient temperature. At this point, it becomes more difficult for molecules to migrate from the inside of the slick to the surface, and the surface and near-surface of the slick begin to lose volatiles at a rate faster than the interior. This eventually results in a "skin" of waxy-like material forming on the surface of slicks. This "skin" further restricts the movement of molecules from the interior of the oil to the atmosphere.

Experiments have indicated that when the pour point exceeds ambient temperature by about 15°C, these resistances to evaporation become significant (S.L. Ross and D. Mackay Environmental Research Limited, 1988).

Another significant feature of Terra Nova spills that relates to evaporation is the formation of non-spreading droplets by blowouts. The surface-area-to-volume relationship is different for a sphere than for a flat plate (specifically, a slick). For an infinite flat plate the ratio of area to volume is the inverse of the thickness (as used in Stiver and Mackay (1983) to develop evaporation rate of a slick); for a sphere (or droplet) the ratio of area to volume is 6 divided by the diameter. Although the droplet is floating in water and not suspended in air and thus its full surface area is not exposed to air, the use of 6 divided by diameter adequately fits evaporation data from droplets on water (S.L. Ross and D. Mackay Environmental Research Limited, 1988). This may be because the volatiles can migrate from the droplet into water and from there into the air nearly as fast as they can migrate directly into the air.

In summary, waxy oils evaporate more slowly than conventional oils and can form waxy skins that virtually encapsulate fresher oil within.

Emulsification

When most crude oils are spilled at sea, they tend to form water-in-oil emulsions. Emulsification occurs in the presence of mixing energy such as that provided by wave action. During emulsification, seawater is incorporated into the oil in the form of microscopic droplets. This water intake results in a significant increase in the bulk volume of the oil (usually up to a four- or five-fold increase) and a marked increase in fluid viscosity. Conventional crude oils will start to emulsify within a few minutes of being spilled, and will form a highly viscous and stable emulsion within hours. Most refined petroleum products do not emulsify. Many crude oils do not begin to emulsify immediately; however, once some of their light ends have evaporated and their

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 asphaltenes and waxes concentrated to a certain degree, they will begin to emulsify.

Terra Nova crude will emulsify readily at ambient temperatures when it is fresh (Table 5.7-14). This is not true for gelled oil droplets generated by a blowout; these droplets are too small to be penetrated by the mixing action of waves and do not readily coalesce to form a slick. This coalescence process is one possible explanation for the near-source emulsification observed at the IXTOC-1 blowout (Ross et al., 1979).

Natural Dispersion and Dissolution

The dispersion and dissolution of oil into the water column by natural forces is an important process controlling the long-term fate of oil slicks at sea. In conjunction with evaporation, this process reduces the volume of oil on the water surface, thereby influencing the potential extent of surface and shoreline contamination. It is discussed in more detail here than the other processes because of concern that the dispersion of a Terra Nova spill might affect fish on the Grand Banks.

Dispersion and dissolution are physical processes by which oil and the more soluble lower-molecular-weight hydrocarbons move from the slick into the water column. Conventional crude oil droplets are dispersed relatively easily from the slick into the water column by waves. The larger of these droplets, which are buoyant, resurface quickly and rejoin the slick. The smaller droplets remain in suspension in the water column. The lighter, more water-soluble hydrocarbons partition from these droplets into the water phase. Clouds of the entrained dissolved and particulate oil then spread horizontally and vertically by diffusion and other long-range transport processes. The oil concentrations in the water column under the slick are the result of the competing processes of entrainment of oil into the water column, which increases the concentration, and horizontal and vertical diffusion and transport of hydrocarbons, which decreases the oil concentration in the water column.

Although natural dispersion is a poorly understood process, it is known that oil to water interfacial tension, oil viscosity, oil buoyancy and slick thickness each inversely affect the ability of a particular oil to disperse naturally. Sea state is also an important factor. Even light, non-viscous oils do not rapidly disperse under calm conditions. On the other hand, over a period of time, even emulsified oils can disperse in heavy seas with frequent breaking waves.

The net flux rate of oil from a slick (small particles and dissolved hydrocarbons) into the water column will vary greatly depending on the properties of the spilled oil and mixing energy (Delvigne, 1985, 1987; Mackay et al., 1980), but simulations (done with the oil spill model discussed later in this report) suggest that the net entrainment rate of oil from a thick slick of Arabian medium crude oil into the water column at average

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 wind speeds (20 km/h) would be on the order of 1 to 2 mg/cm2 per hour. In experimental spills, oil concentrations measured in the water beneath the slicks have ranged from several hundred parts per billion to as much as several parts per million (McAuliffe et al., 1981; Lichtenthaler and Daling, 1985; Lunel and Lewis, 1993).

Thick slicks of Terra Nova crude will be particularly resistant to natural dispersion. This is primarily because of the gelled nature of the crude at ambient temperatures (particularly droplets from blowouts) and the strong tendency of mats of the oil to emulsify. Modelling suggests that the only significant source of dispersed oil for Terra Nova spills will be from the sheens generated by thicker slicks or droplets. Once the oil reaches a level of evaporation that stops sheen formation, it will survive on the sea surface for a very long time.

Sedimentation

Some of the oil that becomes entrained into the water column may become associated with suspended particulate matter and may ultimately settle to the seabed. The amount and concentrations of hydrocarbons that reach the seabed near a spill site appear to be a function of:

- The amount of oil entrained into the water column - The amount and nature of particulate matter suspended in the water column - Water depth - The speed of subsurface water movements

Historically, seabed contamination has been observed in spills in shallow nearshore environments where suspended sediments loads are relatively high. In several historical nearshore spills, levels of seabed contamination have been as great as several hundreds of parts per million (S.L. Ross 1993). In deeper offshore waters it is unlikely that significant levels of oil contamination would develop in seabed sediments near a spill site because of the low suspended sediment load and the long settling times.

Once seabed sediments have become contaminated with spilled oil, decontamination appears to require from several weeks to several years. The smaller lighter hydrocarbons degrade more quickly than higher molecular weight molecules (S.L. Ross 1993).

Considering the low rate of natural dispersion expected for spills of Terra Nova crude, sedimentation is unlikely to occur to a measurable degree.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Near-Source Behaviour of Oil Well Blowouts

Marine oil spills resulting from offshore oil well blowouts behave very differently from instantaneous batch spills. Spills from blowouts and batch spills are not produced in the same way and their initial layouts and properties are subsequently different. Because the selected hypothetical spills in this analysis are mostly blowout-related, it is useful to explain this briefly with particular reference to the Terra Nova situation. For a more detailed treatment of the subject see S.L. Ross (1984).

There are two basic kinds of offshore oil-well blowouts. The first is a subsea blowout, in which the drilling platform moves off site or is destroyed during the blowout. In this case the discharging oil emanates from a point on the sea bed and rises through the water column to the water surface. The 1979 Ixtoc-1 blowout in the Bay of Campeche, Mexico (Ross et al. 1979) is an example of this kind of oil-well blowout. The second type of blowout occurs above-surface, the platform maintains its position during the accident (because it is undamaged or bottom-founded) and the oil discharges into the atmosphere from some point on the platform above the water surface, and subsequently falls on the water surface some distance downwind. The 1977 Ekofisk blowout in the North Sea (Audunson, 1980) and the Uniacke blowout off Nova Scotia (Gill et al., 1985) are examples of this type.

Subsea Blowouts

Oil-well blowouts, both subsea and platform, generally involve crude oil and natural gas. The volume ratios of these two fluids are a function of the characteristics of the reservoir. The natural gas, being a compressible fluid under pressure at reservoir conditions, provides the driving force for an uncontrolled blowout. As the well products flow upward, the gas expands, finally exiting the well-head at extremely high velocities. At this point the oil makes up only a small fraction of the total volumetric flow.

The high velocity at the wellhead generates a highly turbulent zone that fragments of the oil into droplets ranging from 0.5 to 2.0 mm in diameter (Dickins and Buist, 1981). Because water is also entrained in this zone, a rapid loss of momentum occurs a few metres from the discharge location. At this point buoyancy becomes the driving force for the remainder of the plume. In this region the gas continues to expand because of reduced hydrostatic pressures. As the gas rises, oil and water in its vicinity are entrained in the flow and carried to the surface.

Although the terminal velocity of a gas bubble in stationary water is only about 0.3 m/s, velocities in the centre of blowout plumes can reach 5 to 10 m /s as a result of the pumping effect of the rising gas in the bulk liquid. That is, the water surrounding the

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 upward-moving gas is entrained and given an upward velocity, which is then increased as more gas moves through at a relative velocity of 0.3 m/s. When the plume becomes fully developed, a considerable quantity of water containing oil droplets is pumped to the surface.

In the surface zone, the rising water and oil flow away from the centre of the plume in a radial layer. At the surface the oil coalesces in this outward flow of water and spreads at a rate much faster than ordinary spill spreading rates. The resulting slick takes on a hyperbolic shape when subjected to a natural water current, with its apex pointed up-current. The dimensions of the slick can be estimated using mathematical models, briefly described in the next section.

The situation would be slightly different for a subsea blowout involving the Terra Nova oil. In this case, the oil droplets would not recoalesce to form a slick, but remain a discrete droplets because the pour point of the crude exceeds ambient water temperatures. These fresh oil droplets would generate a sheen on the surface.

Above-Surface Blowouts

Oil released during a blowout from an offshore platform above the water's surface will behave differently than that from a subsurface discharge. The gas and oil will exit at a high velocity and will be fragmented into a jet of fine droplets. The height that this jet rises above the release point will vary depending on the reservoir pressure, gas velocity, oil particle size distribution, and the prevailing wind velocity. The fate of the oil and gas at this point is determined by atmospheric dispersion and the settling velocity of the oil particles. The oil will "rain" down, with the larger droplets falling closer to the release point. If the gas is blowing through the derrick or some other obstruction, oil droplets will agglomerate on the obstruction(s) and increase in diameter. During their time in the air the droplets evaporate, generally quite quickly because of their high surface-area-to- volume ratio and the fact that the oil is warm.

For conventional oils a slick will form on the water surface. Slick dimensions can be estimated with the use of a mathematical atmospheric deposition model. Generally, slicks resulting from a platform or surface blowout are much thicker and narrower than slicks from subsea blowouts (and thus are easier to control and recover using conventional spill cleanup equipment).

In the case of a surface blowout at the Terra Nova Field, it has been assumed that the oil spray hits the derrick and other structural steel on the rig and the fine oil mist agglomerates to form 1 mm diameter droplets. These droplets rain down onto the water surface and form a slick (the flow rate of the well and atmospheric deposition calculations indicate that the droplets would fall on top of each other, as opposed to discrete droplets as is the case for a subsea blowout). The degree of evaporation experienced by the droplets during their time in the air is such that the oil slick will not

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 generate any sheen and is extremely viscous with a pour point well above ambient temperatures.

5.7.4 Modelling and Description of Selected Oil Spill Scenarios

When referring to the fate and behaviour of marine oil spills, "fate" usually means the movement of the spill as it is driven by winds and currents, and "behaviour" means the processes that the spill is undergoing (spreading, evaporation, dispersion) that change its properties (e.g., viscosity, density) and change its distribution in the environment (air, water surface and water column). This section focusses on the behaviour of the selected hypothetical spills. The following section concentrates on the fate or trajectory of the spilled oil.

Of particular interest in this EIS is the behaviour of large blowout spills at and near the platform, because it is here where spill control measures can be most effective. Also important are the distribution and "stickiness" of the oil particles on the surface as a function of time because these properties will influence estimates of impact on birds that use the surface waters in the area.

The predictions used in this section were generated using a state-of-the-art spill behaviour and fate model (S.L. Ross Model, Appendix 5.E). For the scenario descriptions, average seasonal temperatures and winds were used; for the trajectory analysis in the following section time-varying winds were used. The model used the properties of Terra Nova crude (as listed in Table 5.7-14 and S.L. Ross, 1985) as inputs. Five scenarios were developed (Table 5.7-12) and spill behaviour predictions made for each in both summer and winter conditions. The model was configured to plot trajectories for 30 days or until the remaining oil moved beyond the boundary of the study area used for modelling (40° to 50°W, 42° 45_ to 51° 30_ N). The decision to terminate at the study boundaries was based on the wide distribution of droplets and the results of the S.L. Ross data report on adhesion characteristics of spilled Terra Nova oil (S.L. Ross, 1996).

Blowout Scenarios

The near-source behaviour of the hypothetical surface blowout is described first, followed by the descriptions for the various subsea blowouts.

Scenario 1a: 7150 m3/d Surface Blowout Lasting Seven Days in Summer

A blowout occurs on the MODU resulting in a discharge of 7150 m3/d of Terra Nova crude with a gas-oil ratio of 134 m3/m3. The MODU is not damaged and remains in position throughout the seven-day blowout period. The gas exits at the drill floor (25 m above the water surface) at a velocity of about 500 m/s, shattering the oil into 0.09 mm diameter droplets, on average. These droplets are projected 26 m upward by the jet of gas, impact on the derrick and agglomerate to a size of about 1 mm. These larger

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 droplets rain down on the water, beside the rig. Most of the droplets falls onto the water surface within 355 m of the rig. Throughout the seven days required to kill the well, the air and water temperatures average 11°C. The combined surface current is 0.29 m/s.

Table 5.7-16 shows the trends in spill behaviour in the early stages of this and the following scenario. The slick at source is 75 m wide and 2.6 mm thick. The oil making up the slick has lost 36 percent of its volume as a result of evaporation while the droplets were in the air. As a result, it does not generate a sheen. The resulting oil has a viscosity of 3300 mPas and a pour point of 34°C. Within the first hour of exposure to the environment, the oil has formed an emulsion containing 40 percent water. The water content increases to 74 percent after 6 hours and 75 percent in 24 hours. The viscosity of the emulsion increases to 138 000 mPas in 24 hours.

As the slick drifts from the site, wave action breaks it into viscous mats of oil that move away from each other under the influence of oceanic turbulence. Because the oil is thick and viscous and does not generate a sheen, it survives for a very long time at sea. After 24 days (the time it takes for the slick to reach the boundary of the study area) 58 percent of the oil discharged is still on the surface.

Scenario 1b: 7150 m3/d Surface Blowout Lasting Seven Days in Winter

This accident is identical to that of the first scenario except that it occurs in winter (higher winds and colder temperatures). The higher winds result in a longer hang time for the droplets (they fall out within 420 m of the rig) and thus, a slightly wider slick (82 m). The colder temperatures result in slightly less initial evaporation (32 percent by volume) but a higher initial viscosity (3400 mPas.). As with the summer scenario, the oil will not generate a sheen and emulsifies rapidly (65 percent water in one hour) to form extremely persistent mats. Even in the higher winter seas, 61 percent of the oil discharged remains on the sea surface after 19 days.

Scenario 2a: 7150 m3/d Subsea Blowout Lasting Seven Days in Summer

In this scenario, the blowout occurs through the casing shoe and the oil and gas flow to the seabed through a fracture in the rock. The oil flow rate is 7150 m3/d and the gas-oil ratio is 134 m3/m3. The fluids erupt from the seabed and the gas breaks the oil into 0.8 mm diameter droplets that are carried to the surface in the water being drawn up by the gas. Throughout the seven days before the well-bore collapses, sealing off the flow, the temperatures are 11°C and the wind speed is 9 m/s.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Table 5.7-16

7150-m3/d Platform Blowout Scenario Summary

Slicklet1 Width Emulsion Mat Thickness Viscosity Water Content of Season (m) (mm) (mPas) Emulsion (% vol) Slicklet Dissipation At source 6 h 24 h At source 6 h 24 h At source 6 h 24 h 1 h 6 h 24 h

Summer 75 180 925 2.6 10.4 10.4 3300 121 000 138 000 40 74 75 42% gone in 24 days

Winter 82 180 925 1.9 7.4 7.3 3400 132 000 157 000 58 75 75 39% gone in 19 days

1 At source this is the width of the oil slick; farther downdrift, it is the diameter of the circle in which the separate oil mats may be found. At the surface the oil drops themselves do not spread but, because the oil is fresh they do generate a thin sheen. The entrained water flow creates a hyperbolic-shaped slick that extends 230 m up-current of the gas boil zone (located at the focus of the hyperbole) and is 1460 m wide downstream. The oil droplets are widely scattered in this zone. By the time the slick has spread to 1460 m the oil droplets have lost 13 percent of their volume to evaporation; this increases to 20 percent after six hours and 27 percent after 24 hours.

Table 5.7-17 illustrates the spill behaviour in the early stages of this and the next scenario. The slick spreads slowly from its initial width, and reaches 1640 m after six hours. By this time the droplets have evaporated to a point that they stop generating sheen and oil spreading stops. After about 36 hours, oceanic turbulence begins to spread the droplets out.

Evaporation raises the viscosity of the droplets, which do not emulsify, to 1900 mPas. after six hours and 6900 mPas. after 24 hours. Evaporation also slightly reduces the diameter of the droplets, from 0.83 mm initially to 0.77 mm after six hours and 0.75 mm after 24 hours. The droplets are very persistent, losing only 38 percent of their volume after 24 days.

Scenario 2b: 7150 m3/d Subsea Blowout Lasting Seven Days in Winter

This scenario is identical to the previous one, except that it occurs in winter, with higher wind speed (12 m/s) and colder temperatures (2°C). The upstream extent of the slick from the gas boil is slightly less than in summer (180 m) and its downstream width is also less (1120 m). This is caused by the higher wind-driven current. The colder temperatures slow the evaporation rate of the droplets, even in higher winds, because the pour point of the oil exceeds 2°C by a margin of 15° sooner. This means that internal resistances to evaporation slow evaporation sooner than in summer. In the winter spill, the oil droplets lose diameter slightly more slowly for the first day than in summer and their viscosity increases more slowly. As with the summer spill the oil is very persistent, with only 39 percent lost in 19 days at sea.

Scenario 3a: 4800 m3/d Subsea Blowout Lasting 45 Days in Summer

This scenario is almost the same as Scenario 2, except that the oil and gas flow rates are lower. As a result, slightly larger oil droplets are generated at the seabed (1.25 mm) and the upstream extent (200 m) and downstream width (1280 m) are less than for the 7150 m3/d situation.

The oil droplets lose 14 percent of their volume to evaporation in the first hour, 20.2 percent by six hours and 27.3 percent after 24 hours. The scenario results are summarized in Table 5.7-18. The volume losses to evaporation from the droplets Table 5.7-17

7150-m3/d Subsea Blowout Scenario Summary

Slicklet Width Oil Droplet Diameter Viscosity Water Content of Season (m) (mm) (mPas) Emulsion (% vol) Slicklet Dissipation At source 6 h 24 h At source 6 h 24 h At source 6 h 24 h 1 h 6 h 24 h

Summer 146 1640 1640 0.83 0.77 0.75 20 1900 6900 0 0 0 38% gone in 24 days

Winter 1120 1585 1860 0.83 0.80 0.75 30 750 6900 0 0 0 39% gone in 19 days Table 5.7-18

4800-m3/d Subsea Blowout Scenario Summary

Slicklet Width Oil Droplet Diameter Viscosity Water Content of Season (m) (mm) (mPas) Emulsion (% vol) Slicklet Dissipation At source 6 h 24 h At source 6 h 24 h At source 6 h 24 h 1 h 6 h 24 h

Summer 1280 1480 1480 1.25 1.16 1.12 20 1700 5700 0 0 0 38% gone in 24 days

Winter 980 1430 1650 1.25 1.19 1.13 30 1000 6000 0 0 0 38% gone in 19 days decreases their diameter to 1.19 m after 6 hours and 1.13 m after one day. The droplets do not emulsify, but the evaporative loss increases their viscosity to 1700 mPas in 6 hours and 5700 mPas in 24 hours. The droplets are very persistent. Only 38 percent of their volume is lost over 24 days.

Scenario 3b: 4800 m3/d Subsea Blowout Lasting 45 Days in Winter

The only difference between this scenario and the previous one (Table 5.7-18) is higher winds (12 m/s) and lower temperatures (2°C). The higher winds generate faster surface currents, which make for a narrower slick (980 m) with a smaller upstream extent (155 m). Because the winter spill evaporates more slowly as a result of the earlier onset of internal resistances to evaporation, it generates a sheen for a longer period than in summer, resulting in faster spreading. The reduced evaporation also results in a slower decrease in oil droplet diameter and a lower oil viscosity after six hours. The colder temperatures mean that after 24 hours at sea the oil is more viscous (6000 mPas) than in summer. The oil droplets are very persistent. They lose only 38 percent of their volume in 19 days.

Scenario 4a: 800 m3 Batch Spill in Summer

As a result of an transfer accident, 800 m3 of Terra Nova crude are spilled instantaneously onto 11°C water in 9 m/s winds. The oil gels shortly after it enters the water and begins to break up into mats but, because it is fresh, the mats generate a sheen. The oil also begins to emulsify, reaching 32 percent water content in one hour. At this point its viscosity is 1200 mPas and the mats are 32 mm thick. Evaporation, mostly from the thick slick, proceeds to a 15 percent volume loss after six hours and 20 percent loss after 24 hours. Natural dispersion (entirely from the sheen) removes 0.3 percent of the oil in the first six hours and 0.7 percent in the first day. Dissipation of 95 percent of the surface slick takes 19 days.

Table 5.7-19 summarizes the early behaviour and characteristics of the slick.

Scenario 4b: 800 m3 Batch Spill in Winter

The main difference between this scenario and the previous one is the accelerated natural dispersion rate of the sheen in the higher winter winds and the slower evaporation, attributable to the onset of internal resistances in the colder temperatures (Table 5.7-19). The slick is predicted to survive for 11 days. Table 5.7-19

800 m3 Batch Spill Scenario Summary

Slick Diameter Emulsion Mat Thickness Viscosity Water Content of Season (m) (mm) (mPas) Emulsion (% vol) Slick Dissipation

1 h 6 h 24 h 1 h 6 h 24 h 1 h 6 h 24 h 1 h 6 h 24 h

Summer 760 1070 1760 35 67 63 1200 10 100 22 600 32 75 75 95% gone in 19 days

Winter 780 1100 2000 53 61 68 2540 7 200 11 700 65 75 75 95% gone in 11 days 5.7.5 Terra Nova Spill Trajectories

Once the spilled oil escapes the Terra Nova site it will be swept by currents and wind until it gradually disperses in the water, diffuses on the surface to low concentration, or contacts land. As noted in the previous subsections, Terra Nova oil spills will be highly persistent, and survival times of weeks and even months are conceivable. The possibility of Terra Nova oil spills contacting and damaging Newfoundland shorelines will be addressed in this section as will the effects Terra Nova will have on fishing activities. Because Terra Nova spills are very resistant to dispersion, the impact on fish will likely be low, as discussed in the next section, but oil on the surface might affect the fishery.

The Hibernia EIS

For the Hibernia EIS, Seaconsult (1984) modelled potential slick movement at the Hibernia site using 30 years (1945 to 1975) of meteorological and oceanographic data. Results showed that a slick from a large surface blowout would move over substantial portions of the Grand Banks during its calculated survival time. Trajectories generally demonstrated that under the prevailing winds and currents, slicks would tend to move offshore, to the east and northeast. Only during the winter (November, December, January and March), would there be there any chance of shoreline contact (Table 5.7- 20). Of the 11 000 trajectories run, only 12 involved some oil reaching land. The volume of oil remaining on the sea surface at the time of landfall was not calculated for trajectories in this study (Seaconsult, 1984), but can be approximated from results of other modelling reported in the EIS (see Figure 4.7-5 in Hibernia EIS Volume IIIb). In all scenarios the amount of oil reaching the shoreline from spills at the Hibernia site is far less than the amount spilled because spills took a minimum of 9.8 days and an average of 21.9 days to reach shore and by that time the oil was heavily weathered.

In most scenarios only negligible amounts of oil remained on the sea surface after 9.8 days at sea, except in the worst-case surface blowouts. In the worst-case surface blowout in winter, approximately 25 percent of the 4800 m3/d discharged daily persisted after 9.8 days and 10 percent after 21.9 days.

The following assumptions and methods were used by Seaconsult. Atmospheric Environment Service (AES) geostrophic data were used for the years between 1946 and 1975. These data were adjusted to represent surface winds more accurately by multiplying the wind speed by 0.88 and rotating the direction by 20° anticlockwise. The water currents used were the International Ice Patrol (IIP) data set of 1979. Slick trajectories were estimated by the vector addition of the IIP water currents and 3.5 percent of the adjusted AES wind speed rotated 10° to the right for coriolis effect. Scenarios were run for a maximum of 180 days or until the slick left the study area or hit land. Table 5.7-20

Impact and Closest Point of Approach of Hibernia Oil Slicks to Shoreline

Closest Impact Approach

Month Number of Percent of Earliest Time from Distance Trajectories Trajectories Time to Shoreline Start From On shore On shore Shore Location of Spill Shore (d) (d) (km) January 4 0.43 9.8 Southeast -- Avalon February 0 - - - 8.5 51 March 2 0.22 29 Southwest -- Burin April 0 - - - 29 76 May 0 - - - 10.7 150 June 0 - - - 19 150 July 0 - - - 16 144 August 0 - - - 10.2 194 September 0 - - - 74 103 October 0 - - - 13.2 134 November 5 0.56 17.2 Southeast -- Avalon December 1 0.11 27.2 Southeast -- Avalon Data Set and Initial Conditions

Since the Hibernia work, an updated IIP water current grid and additional AES wind data have become available. The 1995 IIP water current data and AES's 1946 to 1989 wind data have been used for the trajectory analysis reported here. The AES wind data have been adjusted as outlined above and combined with the water currents as described for the previous Hibernia modelling.

The main difference between the 1995 IIP mapping and the old data set is the presence of a weak current that moves towards southern Newfoundland from about 50°W 44°N. This is discussed in detail in Chapter 3. The large wind data set provides a more representative historical wind sample. The trajectory modelling for this study is intended to identify whether this new information alters the prediction reached in the previous study that there is minimal risk of shoreline impact from potential spills in the Terra Nova-Hibernia vicinity.

The majority of the trajectories generated in this study originate at a point half way between the Hibernia and Terra Nova fields. This site was selected to allow the new analysis to be relevant to both production areas. Test scenarios were run to check the sensitivity of the spill location to its ultimate path and end point. In areas of low currents the trajectories were found to follow similar parallel paths because the winds at these close sites are similar. If the spills enter a region of strong currents, their paths could start to deviate.

The conditions that cause oil to approach Newfoundland must necessarily involve persistent winds from the East. Oil moving to land is not generally influenced by strong currents and as a result trajectories from the three sites that move toward land generally follow parallel paths. Thus trajectories starting at the mid-point location can reasonably be used to represent spills from both Terra Nova and Hibernia, for the present impact assessment requirements and given the coarseness of the biological database and the uncertainties present in the wind and water current data.

Trajectory Analysis Results

The primary objective of trajectory modelling is to identify the possible movement and distribution of oil from representative spills. As in the Hibernia work, slick movements have been modelled using historical wind data and the best available water current data. Slicks released on every day for which appropriate wind data are available between 1946 and 1989 were tracked. The trajectories were run for 30 days, or until the slicks hit land or moved out of the study area. The number of slicks predicted to hit land from this modelling is presented in Table 5.7-21. In general, trajectories are in the offshore direction, to the east. Only a very few trajectories, all occurring during winter months, reach land. These results are very similar to those found in the previous work completed for the Hibernia development. The percentage of the spills hitting land in this assessment is about 0.15 percent; the Hibernia study indicated that 0.1 percent would hit land. Some examples of trajectories are shown in Figures 5.7-1 and 5.7-2. These figures each show the trajectories of 44 spills. The area covered by these figures is somewhat larger than the "study area" referred to earlier.

Table 5.7-21

Trajectories Reaching Land

Month/Year Time to Shore (Days Slicks Released) (h) March 1951 25, 26, 27 342 to 474 January 1979 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24 432 to 552 March 1987 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 20, 21, 22, 23 492 to 702

Notes: 1. Total slicks hitting land = 24 2. Total scenarios run = 15 900

For each trajectory in the model, the spill is discharged on the first day (and then on each successive day) of the month in question, February or August, each year from 1946 to 1989. Each spill is then moved by the historical winds and currents in that month and year.

The potential for shoreline contamination arising from these hypothetical spills depends not only on the fact that the predicted trajectory hits land, but also on the volume of oil spilled initially and the weathering and spreading undergone by the oil while at sea. The trajectory analyses summarized in Table 5.7-21 suggest that oil spilled at the Terra Nova site would spend from 342 hours (14 days) to 702 hours (29 days) at sea before contacting the Newfoundland shore. Despite the persistence of Terra Nova oil spills, after this many days at sea the spilled oil would have spread to very low surface oil concentrations, and would result in similarly low levels of shoreline contamination. Study Area Study Area 5.7.6 Environmental Impact Assessment

Potential impacts from accidental spill scenarios at the nearby Hibernia site were assessed in the Hibernia EIS (Mobil 1985). These impact estimates were based on an exhaustive assessment process using the best available knowledge of spills in 1985, and of sensitivity and vulnerability of biological resources. Rather than repeating this analysis for Terra Nova the earlier analyses were re-examined to determine the degree to which they are applicable to the spill scenarios being considered at Terra Nova. The analysis is divided into two parts: potential offshore biological impacts and shoreline impacts.

Note that the impact definitions are not as precise as those used in the previous sections for drilling and production activities. Accidental spills are treated in this manner to allow direct comparison with the Hibernia EIS. Also, there is considerable uncertainty as to the level of impacts that might be caused by the waxy Terra Nova crude, particularly in regard to seabirds.

Potential Offshore Biological Impacts

Table 5.7-22, taken from the Hibernia EIS, summarizes the worst-case potential impacts from possible spill scenarios associated with the project. The assessment concluded that for most target groups, potential impact in all spill scenarios was either no impact or negligible impact. Minor impacts were expected on microbiota and the biofouling community. Fish and shellfish stocks were assessed to be at no risk or negligible risk from spills. A minor impact rating was assigned for pelagic fish to acknowledge that certain spill trajectories contacted an offshore feeding ground for important salmon stocks in a deepwater area to the southeast of Hibernia. Only offshore marine birds target group were assigned a major impact rating for large blowout spills.

The purpose of this assessment is to re-evaluate the conclusions arrived at in the Hibernia EIS and to determine their applicability to Terra Nova. In particular, four potential situations have been considered that might invalidate the conclusions made in the Hibernia EIS. These are:

- Differences arising from the different location of the spill (spill site)

- New knowledge developed since 1985 concerning the fate of spilled oil or sensitivity of resources to spills

- Changes in the abundance and spatial distribution of oil-sensitive resources as a result of long-term changes on the Grand Banks

- New knowledge concerning the abundance or distribution of oil-sensitive resources or the movement of spilled oil Table 5.7-22

Summary of Worst-Case Potential Impacts of Accidental Spills at Hibernia

Crude Oil Environmental Components Transfer Spill1 Subsea Blowout2 Surface Blowout2

Marine plants Phytoplankton 0a 0 0 Macrophytes - - -

Microbiota Water column 1 1 1 Sediments 1 1 1

Zooplankton 0 0 0

Ichthyoplankton 0 0 0

Macrobenthos Hyperbenthos 0 0 0 Epibenthos, infauna - 0 0

Biofouling community 1 1 1

Fish and commercial shellfish Pelagic fish 0 1 1 Groundfish - 0 - Shellfish - 0 -

Marine-related birds Seabirds 1 1-3 1-3 Waterfowl - - - Other marine-related species - - -

Marine mammals Whales 0 0 0 Seals - - -

Ecosystem - - -

Notes:

1 800 m3 2 4800 m3/d for 90 days a Impacts Rating: - = No impact; 0 = Negligible; 1 = Minor; 2 = Moderate; 3 = Major The results of detailed re-examinations of scenarios are summarized in Appendix 5.D, Table 5.D1, and are further summarized in Table 5.7-23.

Benthos

If the benthos were affected by Terra Nova spills, it would be damaged indirectly through oil contamination of the seabed. Sediments could become contaminated either through direct contact between the spilled oil and sediments in a subsea blowout or through sedimentation of hydrocarbons from the sea surface to the seabed following a surface spill. The Hibernia EIS discounted the potential for impact of surface spills on benthos regardless of the size of the spill and assessed the potential as no or negligible impact. This reflects the generally accepted notion that the potential for sediment contamination is low for spills in deeper, offshore waters. This is because of a combination of very slow settling rates for oil-contaminated particles and comparatively rapid rates of horizontal transport of these particles away from the spill site. Some of the spilled oil will ultimately settle to the seabed, but only after the surface oil has become widely dispersed over a large area. The spill-related research published since 1985 agrees with these conclusions.

In a blowout on the seabed, sediments near the discharge site might become contaminated with fresh oil. The Hibernia EIS recognizes this possibility and the associated potential for adverse effects on benthic biota in the immediate vicinity of the discharge. The EIS also recognizes that effects would be restricted to the immediate vicinity of the blowout and as such the overall impact on the benthic community of the Grand Banks would be negligible. There has been no new information concerning effects of seabed blowouts published since 1985 that would indicate that the scale of impact of a seabed blowout would be greater than indicated in the Hibernia EIS.

Spills at the Terra Nova site threaten the same benthic communities as do those at the Hibernia site. All aspects of the fate and trajectories of Terra Nova spills are similar to Hibernia spills. As well, the better knowledge of waxy crude oils that we have today suggests that spills of either Hibernia or Terra Nova crude oil will persist on the water surface for longer periods than suggested in the Hibernia EIS. This greater resistance to dispersion leads to further reassurance that spills at Terra Nova would not contaminate the seabed more heavily nor have greater impact on the benthic community than the Hibernia EIS indicates.

Plankton

This subsection addresses risks to both plankton and juvenile fishes. The Hibernia EIS concluded that for surface spills hydrocarbon contamination of the upper water column would not be sufficient to cause lethal or sublethal effects to water column dwellers. The potential impact on plankton would be negligible. It was Table 5.7-23

Summary of Worst-Case Potential Impacts of Accidental Spills at Terra Nova

Crude Oil Transfer Subsea Subsea Subsea Surface Environmental Components Spill1 Blowout2 Blowout3 Blowout4 Blowout2 Marine Plants Phytoplankton 0a 0 0 0 0 Macrophytes - - - - -

Microbiota Water Column 1 1 1 1 1 Sediments 1 1 1 1 1

Zooplankton 0 0 0 0 0

Ichthyoplankton 0 0 0 0 0

Macrobenthos Hyperbenthos 0 0 0 0 0 Epibenthos, Infauna - 0 0 0 0

Biofouling Community 1 1 1 1 1

Fish and Commercial Shellfish Pelagic Fish 0 1 1 1 1 Groundfish - 0 0 0 - Shellfish - 0 0 0 -

Marine-Related Birds Seabirds 1 1-3 1-3 1-3 1-3 Waterfowl - - - - - Other Marine-Related Species - - - - -

Marine Mammals Whales 0 0 0 0 0 Seals - - - - -

Ecosystem - - - - -

Notes:

1 800 m3 2 7150 m3/d for 7 days 3 4800 m3/d for 45 days 4 4800 m3/d for 90 days Impacts Rating: - = No impact; 0 = Negligible; 1 = Minor; 2 = Moderate; 3 = Major recognized that during a subsea blowout plankton, ichthyoplankton and juvenile fishes might be entrained into the blowout plume and be killed. In the latter case it was concluded that while the effects of the blowout, even a major one, might be significant locally, the overall impact on Grand Banks populations would be negligible. The assessment was that the overall impact of spills on plankton and juvenile fishes would be negligible.

The concentrations of spill-generated hydrocarbons in the water-column upon which the above assessments were made were probably low considering the two spill studies on which they were based. In one case, water-column measurements were taken many kilometres from the site of a blowout (the Ekofisk platform blowout in 1977) two days after the blowout was stopped; in the other case involving a major tanker spill (the Amoco Cadiz in 1978) measurements were taken as long as three weeks after the spill happened. Neither case reflects exposure conditions under a fresh oil slick. The Hibernia EIS does reasonably represent the potential exposure conditions in the upper water column under slicks from Terra Nova spills because the Terra Nova oil is waxy like the Hibernia oil. Because Terra Nova oil will likely form encrusted semi-solid mats or fine droplets when spilled, the toxic fraction of the crude will probably be rendered less available to plankton animals or juveniles, thus protecting them from effects.

The impact of the spills described in the Hibernia EIS apply equally well to corresponding spills at Terra Nova (but for different reasons), indicating that environmental risks to plankton and juveniles in the Terra Nova spill scenarios would be negligible.

Fish

The Hibernia EIS concludes that neither surface spills nor subsea blowouts posed significant risks to either pelagic or demersal fish stocks. Accounts of spill effects published in recent years do not contradict this conclusion. However, a minor risk rating was assigned to pelagic fishes in order to draw attention to the fact that some calculated spill trajectories from hypothetical large spills entered the offshore feeding areas of important salmon stocks in an area southeast of the production site. Although no specific effects of this contact could be identified, this potential interaction should be noted.

There is little information in the recent oil-spill literature to suggest that effects of spills on fish in offshore areas might be greater than indicated in the Hibernia EIS. Neither is there any information on the distributions of Grand Banks fish stocks to indicate that the stocks might be more vulnerable to spill effects than indicated in the earlier analysis. Overall there is nothing to indicate that risks from the hypothetical Terra Nova spill scenarios would be greater than was indicated for corresponding scenarios at Hibernia. As is implied in the Hibernia EIS, the risk to offshore salmon from Hibernia spills is probably negligible and hence the risk to salmon from Terra Nova spills is similarly negligible.

Seabirds

Seabirds are present in large numbers on the Grand Banks throughout the year, although individual species are abundant only in certain seasons. The Hibernia EIS stated that the impact of spills on bird populations in all seasons ranged from minor to major, depending on the size of the spill. The predicted high level of impact was based on several factors including:

- Large spill volume and long persistence of the spilled oil - Movement of the oil slicks over considerable distances - High sensitivity of seabirds to oil slicks - Large proportions of the Atlantic stocks of certain species aggregating on the Grand Banks at certain times of each year - Birds concentrating somewhat in certain areas around the Grand Banks

New information available since 1985 has confirmed the sensitivity and vulnerability of seabirds to marine oil spills (Burger, 1993; Eppley et al., 1992; Patten, 1993; Piatt et al, 1990; Williams et al., 1995; and Heubeck, in press). The information on Grand Banks bird populations contained in this report confirms the vulnerability of those populations to both Hibernia spills and Terra Nova spills.

It is important to recognize the waxiness of the Terra Nova oil and the possible implications for impact on birds. One opinion is that Terra Nova oil spills will form waxy particles rather than fluid slicks. These oil particles may not wet birds' feathers in the same way as conventional, non-waxy oils. Major changes in the oil's spreading behaviour and its ability to wet birds' feathers will certainly reduce the potential impact of spills on birds. However, until the properties of Terra Nova oil spills are better understood, especially the potential of the oil to lose its "stickiness" over time, it is conservative to assume that the risks to birds from Terra Nova oil are similar to those from a conventional oil; therefore the risks assessed for Hibernia spills would apply equally to the corresponding spills at Terra Nova.

Marine Mammals

Whales, seals, dolphins and porpoises are the only marine mammals at risk from spills at the Terra Nova site. Whales are present on the offshore portions of the Grand Banks in low numbers at certain times of the year. The Hibernia EIS stated that potential impacts even from major spills on whale populations would be negligible. This was based on the following: · When present on the offshore portions of the Grand Banks, whales occur in low numbers so that only small proportions of populations of are at risk at any time.

· Whales are relatively insensitive to oil slicks so that even when they are in contact with oil they are not affected by it.

· No new information concerning the sensitivity or vulnerability of whales has become available within the past decade to change this assessment.

Seals are present on or near the Grand Banks for at least part of the year. The majority of those present are associated with the edge of the pack ice. In average years, the ice edge extends no nearer than several hundred kilometres to the north of the Hibernia- Terra Nova area and then only for several months of the year. In the years of heaviest ice, the pack ice extends southward as far as the Hibernia-Terra Nova area, but for only a few weeks of the year. Some oil from a large Terra Nova spill might reach the ice edge at least during a few weeks during years of average-to-heavy ice conditions.

The Hibernia EIS concluded that the risks to seal populations from oiling the southernmost edge of the pack ice were limited because seals are less common on the deteriorating southern extremities of the ice edge than they are farther north. There is no new information concerning the distribution of seals that would alter this assessment. Also, there is nothing in recently published oil-spill literature to indicate that seals are more vulnerable or sensitive to spills than what was believed in 1985. In short, there is no information available to refute the 1985 assessment that the risk to seals from oil production activities at the Hibernia area would be negligible. Since the information presented here indicates that the fates and movements of Terra Nova and Hibernia oil spills would be similar, it is clear that the risks to regional seal stocks from spills at the Terra Nova site are negligible.

Shorelines

The character of the Newfoundland shorelines that lie within the study area is described in the Hibernia EIS, and the statements regarding the qualitative fate of stranded oil from Hibernia spills apply equally well to Terra Nova spills. This information is summarized as follows:

· Much of the shoreline consists of steep, rocky shores exposed to high- energy wave action. Oil stranded on these shores would be quickly dispersed by waves.

· A smaller proportion of the shoreline is made up of pocket cobble beaches. Stranded oil would penetrate readily into this type of shore, and once it had penetrated, weathering and dispersion rates would be low. · Sheltered sand beaches, salt marshes and lagoons make up a small fraction of the shorelines in the study area. Oil stranded in these protected or low-energy environments might weather, but would persist for a long time.

The probability of oil from a spill at Terra Nova reaching the coastal zone of Newfoundland is very low, but it is important to consider the potential effects. The degree of impact will depend on the amount of oil reaching the shoreline, the state of weathering of the oil, the character of the shore, and the types of living natural resources that inhabit the contaminated area. The Hibernia EIS suggested that coastal zone impact from a spill at the Hibernia site could range from negligible to major, depending on the conditions. It now appears this assessment was pessimistic. The potential risks of shoreline impact for spills from either the Terra Nova or Hibernia sites are more probably in the range of negligible to minor.

During most of the year, the probability of oil contacting any shoreline is very small. Only under winter conditions might oil contact the shoreline and even then the probability is very small. According to the results of the trajectory analysis in this EIS, oil spilled at either the Hibernia site or Terra Nova site would require from 14 to 29 days to travel from the sites to the shoreline. As a result, any oil reaching the shoreline would be heavily weathered, probably in the form of non-sticky tar balls. Most importantly, however, the oil would be very widely dispersed so that the average amount of oil stranding on any stretch of beach would be very small.

Because any given area would be contaminated with only small amounts of oil in the form of small weathered fragments, the risks to the intertidal and subtidal benthic communities would be negligible, as would the immediate effects on widely distributed shoreline species of birds. Contrary to the Hibernia EIS the indirect risk from stranded oil to birds that breed later in the year are probably minor at worst, as the small amounts of oil that strand initially would be resuspended and further dispersed by winter waves and storms before the birds arrived at their nesting sites in the spring. The potential impact on marine mammals in coastal environments can also be expected to be negligible, as indicated in the Hibernia EIS.

5.7.7 Assessment of Oil-Spill Countermeasures

In the report on Hibernia (S.L. Ross, 1984), oil-spill countermeasures were assessed for various spill possibilities. The focus of the assessment was a quantitative evaluation of the potential effectiveness of the containment and recovery, in-situ burning, and dispersant-use. The assessment also included a discussion of the most applicable specific equipment choices considering the properties of the Hibernia oil and the climatic conditions offshore Newfoundland. This section summarizes the findings of this earlier work, discusses the significance of any differences between Hibernia and Terra Nova, and summarizes the countermeasures implications for Terra Nova. The focus is on the countermeasures for blowout spills, which represent the bulk of the scenarios considered.

Summary of Hibernia Findings

In the Hibernia study the purpose of the countermeasures analysis was to evaluate the potential effectiveness of spill countermeasures against a range of hypothetical spill scenarios (Table 5.7-11). This was done in a quantitative manner by calculating the maximum likely fraction of oil removed from the environment using state-of-the-art response techniques. By using spill scenarios, the evaluation process was able to include realistic expectations of equipment performance with regard to expected oil- slick properties and dimensions and typical environmental conditions.

Physical Recovery

Focussing on physical recovery techniques first, the premise was to use one or more containment and recovery modules capable of concentrating and recovering oil at sea on a steady, manageable basis. Each module included a given length of boom, one large skimmer that would sit within the boom, and three ocean-going vessels, two being required to handle the boom and one to act as a storage unit to receive collected oil from the skimmer. In addition, two high-rate pumps were required for transfer purposes. Added to the equipment requirements were personnel to staff the vessels, tend booms, operate skimmers and transfer pumps, and manage the operation.

For each of the blowout spill scenarios, the total fraction of oil removed by physical recovery was estimated by:

FR = FRT x FTRP x FSI x FSE where FR = overall fraction of oil spill removed FRT = response time factor, which considers delays in the start of at-source operations FTRP = fraction of time that recovery is possible considering the environmental factors of daylight, visibility (fog) and sea state FSI = fraction of slick width intercepted by booms FSE = skimmer efficiency factor

These are determined as follows: FRT: Response Time Factor. The response time factor depends on the distance between the spill site and the location(s) of the response system, and equipment mobilization and transit times. For the scenarios analyzed in the Hibernia report it was assumed that two days would be required by a shore-based organization for response and set-up at the spill site. Thus for a 90-day blowout: FRT = 88/90 = 0.98.

FTRP: Fraction of Time Recovery is Possible. Containment and recovery operations are possible when there is daylight, visibility greater than 1000 m, and when waves are less than 1 m high for all wave periods or when waves are between 1 and 2 m high but have periods of greater than 6 s. There is some seasonal variation for three parameters of interest; the FTRP values used in the analysis range from 0.03 in winter to 0.20 in summer.

FSI: Fraction of Slick Intercepted by Booms. Assuming a boom-length to boom- swath-width ratio of 3:1, the maximum swath width is, for each of the response modules, 250 m. FSI is simply the applicable boom swath width divided by the slick width close to the blowout source. For situations in which the slick width is less than the swath width, the fraction is 1.0; that is, the best practicable booming arrangement can intercept all oil flowing from the blowout.

FSE: Skimmer Efficiency Factor. This includes all factors associated with limitations of the system such as actual pumping rates, and losses and downtime caused by equipment breakdown and lack of temporary storage capacity. Recovery rates were specified for three different skimming systems. In each case the rates were assumed to decline with increasing viscosity. The rates ranged from 2400 m3/d per skimmer with oil with viscosity less than 500 cp, to about 1000 m3/d per skimmer at 2000 cp, to negligible amounts when the oil viscosity exceeded 10 000 cp. (Note that the specified recovery rates are for total fluid; for emulsions the oil recovery rate was reduced according to the estimated oil content.)

Chemical Dispersion

The approach for evaluating the potential effectiveness of chemical dispersion was similar to that used for physical recovery, with consideration given to response time, application efficiency, fraction of time that operations would be possible, and dispersant effectiveness. Dispersant effectiveness was assumed to be a function of oil viscosity, specifically, 60 percent effective for oils less than 2000 cp, and ineffective for viscosities greater than this value.

In Situ Burning

For in situ burning it was assumed that similar constraints would apply with respect to response time, fraction of slick intercepted by booms, and fraction of time that response would be possible. The only difference was the assumption that if the oil could be contained it could be burned with virtually 100 percent efficiency; thus the total fraction of oil removed by burning was estimated using the same formula as for recovery, with the "skimmer efficiency" (FSE) equal to 100 percent.

Mobile Recovery

For "instantaneous" or "batch-type" spills (i.e., those from tankers, pipelines, or transfer operations), the evaluation scheme was modified somewhat to include mobile sweeping operations with the containment and recovery equipment. Similar to the response to blowout spills was the assumption that recovery operations would only be possible for a fraction of the time according to climatic conditions (see FTRP above).

Evaluation Results

Countermeasures effectiveness was found to depend primarily on three factors:

· Climatic conditions (FTRP) · Oil properties · Blowout slick widths

Climatic Conditions. Climatic conditions were found to be an overriding factor in countermeasures effectiveness. The rough sea conditions offshore Newfoundland would severely limit containment and recovery, or in-situ burning countermeasures to an average of 20 percent of the time in summer months and 3 percent of the time in winter. For the remaining 80 to 97 percent of the time, containment would be impossible and oil would leave the vicinity of the spill source and be unavailable for effective recovery or burning.

Oil Properties. The second key limitation was the effect of oil viscosity on both skimmer performance and dispersant effectiveness. As noted previously, skimmer performance was assumed to decline dramatically with increasing oil viscosity, meaning that even when sea conditions allowed containment and recovery operations, skimmers would be working at less than maximum effectiveness. For dispersant-use, the high viscosity of the oil means that dispersants would likely be ineffective in all scenarios except perhaps for those that occurred during the summer when warmer water temperatures would lower oil viscosities. It should be noted that even for the summer spill scenarios, viscosities low enough to allow dispersant-use occurred only for a short period of time after the spill event, and only for one of the two oils originally considered in the Hibernia EIS.

Blowout Slick Widths. The third key limitation for containment and recovery effectiveness was the slick width for the large blowout spill scenarios. In these scenarios the slick width was estimated to be 1500 m, or twice the maximum swath width of a three-module containment and recovery operation, resulting in a slick interception factor (FSI) of 50 percent.

Comparison of Terra Nova and Hibernia

In terms of oil spill countermeasures, there are no significant differences between Hibernia and the Terra Nova. The potential effectiveness of response measures for spills is extremely limited, because of a number of factors.

There have been no significant advances in response technology since 1984 that would overcome the key limitations of containment in rough seas and recovery of viscous, waxy oils. Large ship-based skimming systems have been improved since 1984, but they still rely on the traditional technique of using a floating boom to contain and concentrate the oil, a technique that is ineffective in high seas. Similarly, the ability to recover and process viscous oils has been improved in the past decade, but still remains limited for use in the offshore environment.

Similarly, there have been no major advances in dispersants for viscous waxy oils, and given the properties of Terra Nova oil, dispersant-use can be ruled out as a potential countermeasure.

There has been considerable research on in-situ burning over the last ten years, and it continues to show promise as a technique for dealing with large oil spills. However, for Terra Nova spills, the success of in-situ burning will continue to be limited by the need to first contain the oil, which will itself be severely limited by the rough sea conditions.

Given their close proximity, the Terra Nova and Hibernia sites should experience similar climatic conditions. Data were re-examined for Terra Nova to calculate a value for FTRP, the fraction of time response would be possible. As summarized in Table 5.7- 24, the only minor difference in FTRP is due to the use of updated wave data for this study.

The response strategies and equipment, the oil properties, and the climatic conditions are essentially the same for Terra Nova as they were in the 1984 evaluation of countermeasures for Hibernia spills. The conclusion, as it was for Hibernia, is that the response effectiveness will be 20 percent or less in summer months and 3 percent or less in winter.

5.7.8 Residual Impacts

Residual impacts from spills are those that would result even after all possible mitigation efforts have been made. As far as spills are concerned, mitigation efforts fall into two categories: Table 5.7-24

Spill Scenario Environmental Data

Winter Summer

Parameter Dec Jan Feb Jun Jul Aug

Visibility < 1 km (%) 10 10 14 35 50 22

Daylight (h) 8 9 10 16 15 14

Waves < 1 m (%) 0 0 0.3 5.5 10.3 11.6

Waves 1 to 2 m and period > 6 s (%) 3.4 6.1 8.5 52.3 46.4 42.4

Calculated FTRP 1.0 2.1 3.2 25.0 17.7 24.6

Average FTRP - 2.1 - - 22.2 -

FTRP used in Mobil (1984) - 3 - - 20 -

1. Those devoted to preventing spills 2. Those intended to minimize environmental damage once a spill has taken place

The assessment for the Hibernia situation in 1985 applies equally well to Terra Nova. The Operator will prepare for spills, focussing on safe operations because in most instances no mitigation may be possible once oil is spilled. This lack of capability is simply because no equipment or techniques exist to recover spills of waxy crude oil in very rough marine environments such as the Grand Banks.

Since little mitigation will be possible once oil is spilled, the "residual spill effects" are equal to the unmitigated effects described earlier. It must be remembered, however, that the scenarios are based on several worst-case assumptions, including a blowout scenario that would result in the worst oil spill in history.

The potential impact of spills on many resource groups is negligible. Nevertheless, the minor risk assessed for salmon stocks, microbial and biofouling communities, as well as the minor-to-major risks to bird populations will persist regardless of the best of planning and mitigation efforts. 5.8 Cumulative Impacts

Cumulative environmental effects are defined by the Canadian Environmental Assessment Agency (CEAA, 1995) as:

The effect on the environment which results from effects of a project when combined with those of other past, existing and imminent projects and activities. These may occur over a certain period of time and distance.

The intent of cumulative effect assessment is to describe those impacts of various projects or activities that may be more than simply the sum of the individual parts. Cumulative impacts and energy projects (mostly onshore) have been reviewed in Hegmann and Yarranton (1995).

The concept of cumulative impact is difficult to address in the context of offshore oil development. Unless the boundaries of individual project impacts overlap, cumulative impacts are additive sums of the affected areas. The following discussion is general; it focusses on the overall impacts of activities that will be occurring during the life of the Terra Nova Development.

The discussion begins with a summary of impacts for the development, operation and abandonment of the Terra Nova Field. This is followed by a cumulative assessment of all project activities. An assessment of the overall impacts of Terra Nova development and other projects planned for the Grand Banks area follows. The final subsection deals with the effect of possible climatic changes on the assessment of impacts and cumulative impacts.

5.8.1 Impact Summary

All possible interactions between the development and VECs were identified in the Level I matrices (Tables 5.3-1, 5.4-1 and 5.6-1). The potential interactions were described, evaluated and rated. Potential impacts, mitigation measures and residual impacts of Terra Nova activities are summarized in the Level II matrices (Tables 5.8-1 and 5.8-2).

Routine Operations

Impacts were evaluated after consideration of mitigation measures that were designed into the development and its operational procedures. Most development impacts were rated as negligible. The few impacts rated as moderate or major involved potential helicopter disturbance to seabird colonies. Development-specific mitigation measures will reduce these impacts to negligible. There was some uncertainty about impact predictions in the following instances:

· The zone of influence of cuttings drilled with low-toxicity oil-based muds Table 5.8-1

Level II Matrix for Development Drilling and Construction

Potential Development Activity/VEC Impact Magnitude +/- Scale Duration Mitigation Magnitude +/- Scale Duration

Field development - offshore

Presence of structures

Safety zone and fishery moratorium lifted Benthos Protection Minor + Local Long-term None Fish (reef effect) Refuge Min.-Mod + Local Long-term None Fishery Access Minor - Local Long-term None Safety zone and fishery moratorium not lifted Benthos Protection Negligible Fish (reef effect) Refuge Negligible Fishery Access Negligible Fouling organisms Structural integrity Min.-Mod - Sublocal Long-term Removal Negligible Terrestrial birds Migration Negligible Seabirds Disturbance Negligible Marine mammals Disturbance Negligible

Lights and beacons Fish Attraction Negligible Seabirds Attraction and mortality Negligible

Underwater construction Benthos Disturbance Negligible Fish Disturbance Negligible Marine mammals Disturbance Negligible

Discharge of drilling muds and cuttings Water quality Plankton Deterioration Minor - Sublocal Short-term Treatment or discharge at depth Benthos Mortality Negligible Low-toxicity mud or treatment Fish Mortality Minor - Sublocal Short-term Low-toxicity mud or treatment Fishery Mortality Negligible Low-toxicity mud or treatment Seabirds Tainting Negligible Low-toxicity mud or treatment Marine mammals No interaction No interaction

Other drilling fluids Water quality Deterioration Minor - Sublocal Short-term Effluent treatment Plankton Mortality Negligible Effluent treatment Fish Tainting Negligible Effluent treatment Seabirds Mortality Negligible Effluent treatment Seabirds Reproduction Negligible Effluent treatment Table 5.8-1

Level II Matrix for Development Drilling and Construction

Potential Development Activity/VEC Impact Magnitude +/- Scale Duration Mitigation Magnitude +/- Scale Duration Marine mammals Sub-Lethal effects Negligible Effluent treatment

Deck drainage Water quality Deterioration Minor - Sublocal Short-term Effluent treatment Plankton Mortality Negligible Effluent treatment Fish Tainting Negligible Effluent treatment Seabirds Mortality Negligible Effluent treatment Seabirds Reproduction Negligible Effluent treatment Marine mammals Sub-Lethal effects Negligible Effluent treatment

Hydrostatic testing fluids Water quality Deterioration Neg.-Minor - Sublocal Short-term None Plankton All effects Benthos All effects Fish All effects Seabirds All effects Marine mammals All effects

Cooling water Zooplankton Mortality Negligible Fish larvae Mortality Negligible

Sanitary and domestic water Water quality Deterioration Negligible

Garbage and other waste Waste brought ashore Marine environment No Interaction

Small spills Spill response - EPP Marine environment and biota See Accidents

Atmospheric emissions Air quality Deterioration Negligible

Noise - drilling rigs Marine mammals Disturbance Neg.-minor - Sublocal Long-term Negligible Fish Disturbance Negligible (If habituation)

Noise - supply vessels Marine Mammals Disturbance Minor - Sub to local Long-term Steady course and speed Seabirds Disturbance Negligible Seabird colonies Disturbance Min.-Mod. - Local Med.-term Avoidance - EPP Negligible Fish and fisheries Disturbance Negligible Table 5.8-1

Level II Matrix for Development Drilling and Construction

Potential Development Activity/VEC Impact Magnitude +/- Scale Duration Mitigation Magnitude +/- Scale Duration

Noise aircraft Marine mammals Disturbance Minor - Sublocal Short-term Seal haul-outs Disturbance Minor - Local Long-term Avoidance - EPP Negligible Seabirds - open water Disturbance Negligible Seabirds - colonies Disturbance Mod.-Major - Local Long-term Avoidance - EPP Negligible

Field development - shore facilities

Atmospheric emissions Air quality Deterioration Negligible

Liquid and solid releases Water quality Deterioration Negligible Materials handling - EPP Marine biota Mortality Negligible Handling - EPP

Garbage and waste Water quality Deterioration Negligible Handling - EPP Marine biota Mortality Negligible Handling - EPP

Noise, lights, beacons Disturbance Negligible

Human presence Wildlife Disturbance Negligible

Aircraft traffic People, wildlife Disturbance Negligible

Vessel traffic Wildlife Disturbance Negligible

Small spills Marine biota Mortality Minor - Sublocal Short-med. Response - EPP Neg.-Min. - Short- Short-term term

Note: EPP means Environmental Protection Plan. Table 5.8-2

Level II Matrix for Production

Development Activity/ Environmental Potential Component Impact Magnitude +/- Scale Duration Mitigation Magnitude +/- Scale Duration

Operations and maintenance

Presence of structures

Safety zone and fishery moratorium lifted Benthos Protection Minor + Local Long-term None Fish (reef effect) Refuge Min.-Mod + Local Long-term None Fishery Access Minor - Local Long-term None Safety zone and fishery moratorium not lifted Benthos Protection Negligible Fish (reef effect) Refuge Negligible Fishery Access Negligible Fouling organisms Structural integrity Min.-Mod - Sublocal Long-term Removal Negligible Terrestrial birds Migration Negligible Seabirds Disturbance Negligible Marine mammals Disturbance Negligible

Lights and beacons Fish Attraction Negligible Seabirds Attraction or mortality Negligible

Maintenance of sub-facilities Benthos Disturbance Negligible Fish Disturbance Negligible Marine mammals Disturbance Negligible

Injection water Zooplankton Entrainment Negligible

Produced water Water quality Deterioration Minor - Sublocal Long-term Effluent treatment Plankton Mortality Minor - Sublocal Short-term Effluent treatment Benthos No interaction Fish Mortality Negligible Fishery Tainting Negligible Seabirds Mortality Negligible Marine mammals Sub-lethal effects Negligible

Storage displacement water Separate ballast tanks Marine biota No Interaction Table 5.8-2

Level II Matrix for Production

Development Activity/ Environmental Potential Component Impact Magnitude +/- Scale Duration Mitigation Magnitude +/- Scale Duration

Cooling water Zooplankton Mortality Negligible Fish larvae Mortality Negligible

Deck drainage Water quality Deterioration Minor - Sublocal Short-term Effluent treatment Plankton Mortality Negligible Effluent treatment Fish Tainting Negligible Effluent treatment Seabirds Mortality Negligible Effluent treatment Seabirds Reproduction Negligible Effluent treatment Marine mammals Sub-lethal effects Negligible Effluent treatment

Sanitary and domestic waste Water quality Deterioration Negligible

Garbage and other waste Marine environment No Interaction Waste brought ashore

Small spills of crude oil Marine environment and biota See Accidents Des. gr. Spill response - EPP

Atmospheric emissions Air quality Deterioration Negligible

Noise - FP Marine mammals Disturbance Neg.-minor - Sublocal Long-term If habituation Negligible

Note: EPP means Environmental Protection Plan. · The zone of influence and impacts of produced water

Monitoring programs will be developed, and are discussed further in Chapter 7.

Oil Spills

The probability of oil spills involving more than a few barrels of oil is very low. A potential impact summary for five worst-case scenarios is contained in Table 5.8-3. It is based upon the S.L. Ross Model and the Hibernia EIS (Mobil 1985). The waxy nature of the crude means it is relatively persistent in the modelling scenarios. On the other hand, the anticipated behaviour of the oil from a blowout that results in small dispersed droplets, coupled with its waxy nature, may result in lesser biological effects than those found or predicted elsewhere.

Table 5.8-3

Matrix for Worst-Case Accidental Oil Spills

Crude Oil Transfer Subsea Subsea Subsea Surface Environmental Components Spill1 Blowout2 Blowout3 Blowout4 Blowout2

Phytoplankton Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible

Microbiota Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor

Zooplankton Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible

Ichthyoplankton Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible

Benthos Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible

Biofouling community Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor

Fish and commercial shellfish Pelagic fish Negligible Minor Minor Minor Minor Groundfish Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Shellfish Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible

Marine-related birds Seabirds Minor Minor-Major Minor-Major Minor-Major Minor-Major Waterfowl Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Other Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible marine- related species

Marine mammals Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible Negligible

Notes:

1 800 m3 2 7150 m3/d for 7 days 3 4800 m3/d for 45 days 4 4800 m3/d for 90 days

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.B3 5-130 In any event, oil spills and their potential impacts on the environment, particularly on seabirds, are of concern. Great emphasis will be on prevention. Mitigations will include spill cleanup and use of controlled burning if approved and feasible.

Decommissioning and Abandonment

The technology associated with abandonment and removal procedures is expected to change over the next 15 to 18 years, resulting in refined and new techniques. All subsea facilities will be purged of oil and decommissioned in accordance with regulations in place at that time. Whichever procedures are used, it is anticipated that the site will return to predevelopment conditions; therefore, impacts are expected to be negligible.

5.8.2 Cumulative Development Impacts

As shown above, after mitigation, most residual impacts are negligible. There are a few minor, short-term, sublocal impacts. A few impacts are of greater magnitude. These are minor in magnitude but are long term. They are:

- Impacts of oily water discharges on water quality: negative, minor, sublocal and long term

- Impacts of oily cuttings on benthos: negative, minor, sublocal and long term

- Effects of noise from vessels on marine mammals: negative, minor, local and long term

- Effects of the fish refuge on fish populations: positive, minor to moderate, local and long term

- Effects of the fishery closure on fishing: negative, minor, local and long term

The first two impacts on the above list do not affect VECs. The negative impacts of a safety zone and the positive impacts of the fishery refuge are both relatively small scale (see Chapter 9 of the SEIS).

The long-term impacts of vessel noise on the behaviour of marine mammals would probably have a negligible impact on population levels.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.B3 5-131 Approximately 1404 m3 of oil will be discharged with cuttings, and approximately 2695 m3 of oil will be discharged with the produced water. These estimates are based on the assumptions that 36 m3 of oil will be discharged with the cuttings from each well and that produced water contains 40 mg/L of oil. Low levels of hydrocarbons will also be discharged with processed deck drainage and other fluids used in drilling and completion, as well as with atmospheric emissions.

In the North Sea, 7 percent of all hydrocarbon inputs were caused by flaring and small accidental spills (Nihoul and Ducrotoy, 1994). Applying this percentage to Terra Nova yields an estimated input of 308 m3 via accidents and flaring. Oil input could be about 0.6 m3/a for the FPF and perhaps half of that for the drilling rigs. Total input via deck drainage, processed to contain no more than 15 mg/L of oil, could be 18 m3. Inputs from other drilling fluids and other sources would be minor in comparison. Total regulated oil inputs over the lifespan of the development could be about 4425 m3.

Produced water and other oily water inputs will affect the pelagic ecosystem, while oil discharged with cuttings will affect the benthic ecosystem. Thus, impacts of the two types of oily discharges are not cumulative. Impacts of oily water discharges on VECs are rated as negligible.

Impacts of routine operations as summarized in Tables 5.8-1 and 5.8-2 are not cumulative or additive. The magnitude of the predicted impacts does not increase when all development activities are considered simultaneously.

The probability of large accidental oil spills is very low. The probability of small spills such as loading spills is somewhat higher. Loading spills will occur at the surface and oil from a blowout will be quickly driven to the surface. Because of the waxy, buoyant nature of the crude, it will not become mixed with produced water or cuttings that are discharged subsurface. As a result, it is not anticipated that impacts from a spill will be cumulative.

5.8.3 Cumulative Impacts of the Development and Other Activities on the Grand Banks

Other human activities that will be occurring on the Grand Banks when the Terra Nova Development begins, include the Hibernia project, the commercial fishery, and commercial shipping. This document does not consider the cumulative impacts of most other potential development activities because there is inadequate information on their likelihood, timing and scale. Potential activities that could occur during the life of the project include seismic exploration and exploratory drilling (e.g., Amoco) or development of other oil fields such as Whiterose and Ben Nevis to the northeast of Terra Nova. Seabed mining is a possibility but is unlikely.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.B3 5-132 For the most part, cumulative impacts of the Terra Nova and Hibernia developments involve an addition of the zones of influence of produced water, discharged oily cuttings, transportation routes, the area affected by sound around the development, and the safety zone. Present information suggests that the two projects are far enough apart to avoid overlap. The proposed environmental monitoring program for the Hibernia project considers a distance of 16 km adequate for a control sampling station. This distance is less than halfway between the two fields. The safety zones for Hibernia and Terra Nova will be about 0.01 and 0.2 percent, respectively, of NAFO 3Lt. The two developments will cover approximately 0.04 percent of the total Grand Banks area. After decommissioning and abandonment, depending upon the regulations in place at the time, there still may be some equipment left on the seabed. The extent of the affected area is expected to be somewhat smaller than the combined areas of the safety zones.

The Terra Nova Development will investigate synergies with Hibernia. This may allow some shared logistics that may minimize the numbers of aircraft and vessel trips and reduce the area needed for a shore base. In addition, the potential for sharing resources during an emergency situation will greatly improve response times.

To date, the greatest human impacts on the Grand Banks have been caused by overfishing. The impacts have been so large that the fishery is much reduced and its future is uncertain. While there is some potential for tainting small numbers of resident fish, the net impact of the Terra Nova and Hibernia developments on the recovery of fish stocks may be beneficial if the safety zones are large enough to provide a refuge. If the fishery again approaches historical levels, fishing activity will create significant impacts on the ecosystem, regardless of presence of the Terra Nova and Hibernia developments.

Impacts of shipping associated with Terra Nova are insignificant when compared with those associated with commercial shipping activity and transits by fishing boats. Thus, the cumulative impacts associated with shipping will increase by a negligible amount.

5.8.4 Cumulative Impacts and Climatic Change

Atmospheric climatic change, whether of natural or anthropogenic causes, leads to changes in the marine climate. Changes in marine climate could affect the nature of the predicted impacts of the environment on the Terra Nova Development. Changes in ice, wave or meteorological regime could necessitate changes in operational procedures. These have been discussed in this document and appropriate monitoring programs are proposed in Chapter 8.

Changes in the marine climate can affect species composition and abundance of marine biota. For example, subarctic waters are especially susceptible to marine

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.B3 5-133 climatic change when the relative influence of temperate and arctic waters changes over periods ranging from a few years to millennia. The fish and marine mammals of West Greenland have been particularly sensitive to these types of climatic change. During some periods, the fauna of the West Greenland coast is typically arctic in nature and during others it is more temperate (Dunbar and Thomson, 1979). Changes in the species composition of the plankton and timing of the spring bloom caused by climatic change have been documented in the North Sea (Bernal, 1991).

Long-time series of oceanographic and biological data collected in a standardized fashion are necessary to document climate-induced changes (Southward, 1995). These kinds of data are not available for the Grand Banks, in spite of the centuries-old commercial fishery there. Conover et al. (1995) speculate that natural or anthropogenic global warming has caused increased melting of glaciers and arctic ice which have caused a lowering of temperature and salinity of the surface waters of the Grand Banks. Through effects on plankton, changes in the physical regime may have had negative effects on survival of cod larvae (Conover et al., 1995). The cod stocks of the Grand Banks have survived numerous climatic cycles, but none during which fishing pressure has been as intensive as in recent times. These types of climatic change can be predicted (Conover et al., 1995) and explained, especially if long-time series of data are available (Southward, 1995).

Changes in marine climate leading to ameliorating or deteriorating conditions for the Grand Banks fisheries will not change the impact predictions made in this EIS. They are independent. Changes in the physical or biological oceanographic regime of the Grand Banks will not affect the zone of influence or effects of the discharge of drilling muds and cuttings, produced water or other oily discharges, or the zone of noise effects. The effects of presence of structures will depend on the future state of the fisheries and this has been considered in our evaluation. With one exception, cumulative impacts will also not change; a change in the cod stock will affect vessel traffic on the Grand Banks.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.B3 5-134 Appendix 5.A

Historical Statistics on Blowouts 5.A Historical Statistics on Blowouts

5.A.1 Introduction

The following analysis on blowouts of all kinds (gas only, gas and oil, and oil only) was done for a first draft of this study. It was later rejected because the data did not make a distinction between blowouts from oil-producing fields versus those from gas- producing fields, as is now done in the main text. Nevertheless, the analysis is still of some interest, because it shows that blowout frequency is somewhat consistent around the world (thus justifying the use of U.S. Gulf of Mexico data for this study) and that development drilling is far less risky than exploration drilling, a phase that is now finished at Terra Nova. Not shown in this analysis, however, is the fact that blowouts in oil-producing fields are about three times less frequent than those in gas-producing fields (E&P Forum, 1992). This fact is now reflected in the main text.

5.A.2 Historical Statistics on Blowouts of All Kinds

Several comprehensive studies have been made on offshore blowouts, as mentioned earlier. The ones that were done for Canadian clients include Gulf (1981), Manadrill (1985), and Adams Pearson (1991). The statistics in terms of exploration and production in the U.S. Outer Continental Shelf (OCS), especially in the Gulf of Mexico; in the U.K. and Norwegian sectors of the North Sea; and worldwide are summarized in Table 5.A-1. Most data are taken from Table 5.7-3 in the main text.

Table 5.A-1 shows that blowout frequencies seem to be relatively consistent from area to area. In terms of blowouts of any kind versus number of wells drilled, the chances are on the order of one in 170. This includes not only blowouts during exploration and development drilling, but also blowouts from production, workovers and completion activities. Also included are so-called "shallow-gas" blowouts, which do not involve oil. If these shallow-gas blowouts are removed from the equation, the blowout frequency becomes about one in 240.

The frequency for the Canadian offshore (one in 96) seems to be twice as high as the rest of the world, but, as explained in Adams Pearson Associates Inc. (1991), two of the four blowouts (which occurred in the Beaufort Sea) were so-called "water" blowouts that produced no gas or oil. The stringent classification standard in Canada set by the federal regulators is the likely reason for the poorer statistic.

The next thing to notice is that development drilling is about two to three times as safe as exploration drilling. The U.S. Gulf of Mexico record, which is considered the most reliable, shows that exploration drilling blowouts (including shallow-gas blowouts) have occurred at a frequency of one in 160, and development drilling blowouts have occurred at a frequency of one in 344 (including shallow-gas

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Table 5.A-1

Frequency of Historical Offshore Blowouts

Worldwide US GOM US OCS Norwegian Offshore UK North Sea Offshore Canada 1955-19801 1955-19801 1971-19932 1976-19803 1955-19801 1966-19884 Wells drilled 36 633 17 184 22 594 11 116 1 559 385

Exploration wells 11 737 4 794 ? 4 175 838 380

Development wells 24,896 12,390 ? 6 941 721 5

Exploration well blowouts incl. 96 30 49 32 ? 4 shallow-gas blowouts

Development well blowouts 66 36 44 14 ? 0 incl. shallow-gas blowouts

Production/workover blowouts 52 32 56 ? ? 0

Total blowouts incl. shallow- 214 98 149 46 6 4 gas and production

Shallow-gas blowouts 54 29 ? ? 0 1

Blow incidence: one in 171 one in 175 one in 152 ? one in 260 one in 96 total blowouts/total drilled

Blowout incidence: one in 226 one in 260 one in 243 one in 242 one in 96 exp. and dev. drilling only

Blowout incidence: one in 122 one in 160 - one in 130 - one in 95 exploration drilling only

Blowout incidence: one in 377 one in 344 - one in 496 - zero development drilling only

1. Gulf (1981) 2. MMS (1994) 3. Dahl et al (1983) as reported in Manadrill (1985) 4. CPA (1989) blowouts). For predicting a gas-blowout-frequency for the Terra Nova Development, it would be fair to eliminate the risk of blowouts from exploration drilling, this phase now being essentially over; from the U.S. GOM record this would provide a blowout frequency number of one blowout for every 344 development wells drilled, or 2.9 x 10-3 blowouts per well drilled.

A key environmental question about the blowouts listed in Table 5.A-1 is whether they involved the discharge of oil. The historical database suggests there is a 95 percent probability or greater that future blowouts will not contain oil in significant quantities. This statistic is based on the record in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico (OCS), where from 1955 to 1980, 98 blowouts occurred but only five discharged oil in quantities greater than 1000 barrels. The more recent record is similar. As shown in Table 5.7-6 (main text), in the entire U.S. OCS from 1971 to 1993, although 150 blowouts in total occurred, only eight involved oil in any amount. The total amount for all eight was only about 1000 barrels.

One of the main reasons that oil spills from historical blowouts have been relatively small is that most have been brought under control quickly, either through mechanical procedures or because of the tendency of a blowing well to "self-bridge" and stop naturally. This has been discussed in detail in Adams Pearson Associates Inc. (1991), Manadrill (1985) and Gulf (1981). In the 145 blowouts in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico from 1956 to 1986, 60 percent were controlled in less than one day, 81 percent were controlled in less than a week, and 91 percent within one month (Adams Pearson Associates Inc., 1991).

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Appendix 5.B

Using the Most Appropriate Exposure when Comparing the Terra Nova Development and Operations in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico 5.B Using the Most Appropriate Exposure when Comparing the Terra Nova Development and Operations in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico

In presenting and predicting spill frequencies for tanker operations in the U.S. and exploration and production operations in Federal OCS water, the U.S. Mineral Management Service (MMS) uses an exposure of "billion of barrels of crude oil" produced or transported (Anderson and LaBelle 1994). For tanker spills, the MMS-derived spill frequencies (e.g., 1.2 spills [>1000 bbl] for every billion barrels of oil transported) are useful and appropriate for predicting tanker spill frequencies in other parts of the world because tankers moving in U.S. waters are similar in size to those moving elsewhere. One key advantage to MMS of using this kind of exposure for both tanker operations and offshore exploration and production operations is that spill frequencies associated with these two kinds of operations can be directly compared.

The problem is the use of the MMS exploration and production spill frequencies for other areas that do not produce similar amounts of oil per producing well. For example, in the U.S. OCS, between the 1971 and 1993, 7.74 billion barrels were produced in 97 921 well-years (MMS, 1994). This means that each oil-producing well on average produced 79 000 barrels per year or (7.74 x 109/9.79 x 104). This is only about 200 BOPD. However, for Terra Nova the equivalent number is over 20 (1.7 million barrels per year [400 x 106/240]).

It is seen that the more realistic risk exposure for comparing the Terra Nova operations to those in the U.S. OCS is well-years and not billions of barrels of oil produced. To convert the MMS spill frequency of spill per billion barrels of oil produced to spills per well-years, the number should be multiplied by 7.9 x 10-5.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Appendix 5.C

Statistics on Blowout-Related Oil Spills and Canadian Experiences 5.C Statistics on Blowout-Related Oil Spills and Canadian Experiences

Up to the end of 1989, about 400 offshore wells were drilled in Canada and, although there was no blowout involving a large oil discharge, the Uniacke G-72 gas blowout that happened off Sable Island in 1984 discharged about 1500 barrels of condensate (Gill et al., 1985). This means that the frequency of blowouts in Canada where oil was discharged has been one in 400 or so. This is a poor frequency compared to the recorded U.S. OCS experience. Of the total 31 645 wells drilled in U.S. OCS waters from 1955 to 1993, only two blowouts involved condensate discharges5. This represents a frequency of one in 16 000, which is 40 times less than the Canadian-equivalent statistic. It is possible that drilling in Canadian offshore waters is far less safe than in U.S. waters as suggested by the above numbers, but this seems unlikely because the companies that have been and are involved are international organizations that use the same technologies and skills in their various ventures around the world, and Canadian regulations are believed to be as tough as those that exist in the U.S. and other countries. Three explanations for the anomaly are possible:

1. Condensate spills from gas blowouts may be under-reported around the world because they are highly volatile and only last as slicks for very short periods, in the order of minutes.

2. The probability of condensate spills from blowouts in Canada may be lower than that suggested because the database for prediction is inadequate (only one such event and only 400 wells compared to the 32 000 in the U.S.).

3. Gas fields off Nova Scotia may be much more condensate-prone than the fields in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Appendix 5.D

Offshore Production and Transportation Activities: Important Accidental Events 5.D Offshore Production and Transportation Activities: Important Accidental Events

This appendix summarizes the qualitative effects of important accidental events on physical, chemical and biological environments.

The Hibernia EIS contained a table summarizing physical and chemical effects on a scenario-by-scenario basis. The corresponding tables for Terra Nova would have been very similar to Hibernia EIS Table H-2 Nos. 1, 7 and 9 with the following exception. In both subsea and above sea discharges, spill behaviour would be influenced by the combination of the waxiness of the oil and low temperatures of the seawater. In surface spills, instead of the oil forming fluid slicks, the oil would form semi-solid mats that would spread more slowly than slicks, and might simply break apart into smaller and smaller mats. In the case of subsea blowouts, the oil rising in the blowout plume would arrive at the sea surface in the form of semi-solid droplets, 1 to 3 mm in diameter, that would not recoalesce into a thin slick.

The impacts of the transfer spill, subsea blowout and above-sea blowout are summarized in Table 5.D-1.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00005.0, Rev.0 Table 5.D-1

Potential Impacts to the Biological Environment during Offshore Production and Transportation Activities: Accidental Events

Residual Impact Mitigating Impact Project Component Group Affected Season Nature of Impact Key Impact Attributes Rating Measures Rating 1. Transfer Spill

Batch Spill, 800 m 3, instantaneous

Liquid and Solid Releases

Some water-soluble Phytoplankton All Sublethal and Location on or floating 0 Operational safety 0 hydrocarbons dissolved Wat-Col. Microbiota All possibly lethal past the platform at time 0 and accident 0 Oleclasts All effects; enhancement of spill within slick 1 prevention; oil spill 1 Zooplankton All of oleclasts dispersion zone; 0 response plan 0 Ichthyoplankton All sensitivity to toxic 0 0 Biolfouling Comm. All components 1 1 Hyperbenthos All 0 0 Benthos All 0 0 Pelagic Fish All 0 0 Capelin All 0 0 Salmon All 0 0 Demersal Fishes All 0 0 Seabirds All 0 0 Whales All 0 0

Floating mats of semi- Phytoplankton All Lethal and sublethal Location on or floating 0 Operational safety 0 solid oil, breaking up Wat-Col. Microbiota All effects; enhancement past the platform at time 0 and accident 0 into smaller mats and Oleclasts All of oleclasts of spill within slick 1 prevention; oil spill 1 fragments; ultimately Zooplankton All dispersion zone; 0 response plan 0 sedimented or tar balls Ichthyoplankton All sensitivity to toxic 0 0 Biolfouling Comm. All components 1 1 Hyperbenthos All 0 0 Benthos All 0 0 Pelagic Fish All 0 0 Capelin All 0 0 Table 5.D-1

Potential Impacts to the Biological Environment during Offshore Production and Transportation Activities: Accidental Events

Residual Impact Mitigating Impact Project Component Group Affected Season Nature of Impact Key Impact Attributes Rating Measures Rating Salmon All 0 0 Demersal Fishes All 0 0 Seabirds All 1 1 Whales All 0 0 2. Subsea Oil and Gas Blowout without Fire

Turbulent plume of crude oil and gas rising from blowout point on or in seabed through the water-column to boil on sea surface; gas into the atmosphere; remainder spreads as cloud of semi-solid oil droplets, 1 to 3 mm in diameter

Liquid and Solid Releases

Crude oil and gas Wat-Col. Microbiota All Lethal and sublethal Location relative to 0 Operational safety 0 release, percolating up Oleclasts All effects; contaminated sediments 1 and accident 1 through sediments; Benthic Infauna All contamination; 0 prevention; 0 generates rising plume Benthic Epifauna All enhancement of 0 contingency plan 0 at seabed surface; oil- Shellfish All oleclasts 0 0 contaminated settle to Hyperbenthos All 0 0 seabed beyond range of influence of plume

Some water-soluble Phytoplankton All Lethal and sublethal Location relative to 0 Operational safety 0 hydrocarbons dissolved Wat-Col. Microbiota All effects; enhancement release and plume; 0 and accident 0 in upper water-column Oleclasts All of oleclasts sensitivity to toxic 1 prevention; 1 Zooplankton All components 0 contingency plan 0 Ichthyoplankton All 0 0 Biolfouling Comm. All 0 0 Hyperbenthos All 0 0 Benthos All 0 0 Pelagic Fish All 0 0 Capelin All 0 0 Salmon All 0 0 Demersal Fishes All 0 0 Seabirds All 0 0 Whales All 0 0 Whales All 0 0

Fluid oil arrives at the Wat-Col. Microbiota All Lethal and sublethal Location relative to 0 Operational safety 0 sea surface in the form Oleclasts All effects; enhancement release and plume; 1 and accident 1 of small droplets, 1 to 3 Zooplankton All of oleclasts sensitivity to toxic 0 prevention; oil spill 0 mm in diameter, which Ichthyoplankton All components 0 contingency plan 0 weather to tar balls Hyperbenthos All 0 0 Benthos All 0 0 Pelagic Fish All 0 0 Capelin All 0 0 Salmon All 0 0 Demersal Fishes All 0 0 Seabirds All 3 3 Whales All 0 0

3. Surface Oil and Gas Blowout without Fire at the Production Facility

Plume of oil and gas shooting into the atmosphere from point of discharge falling back on the sea surface and on deck in the form of droplets; on decks, washing system washes oil through drainage into the sea; airborne oil arrives at the sea surface in the form of droplets; runoff from; fluid runoff from rig forms mats of semi- solid oil on sea surface

Atmospheric Emissions

Gas, oil aerosols, oil Birds All Lethal and sublethal Location relative to 0 Operational safety 0 droplets, volatile Mammals effects airborne plume of gas or and accident hydrocarbons droplets prevention; contingency plan Liquid and Solid Releases

Some water-soluble Phytoplankton All Lethal and sublethal Location relative to 0 Operational safety 0 hydrocarbons dissolved Wat-Col. Microbiota All effects; enhancement release and plume; 0 and accident 0 in upper water-column Oleclasts All of oleoclasts sensitivity to toxic 1 prevention; 1 Zooplankton All components 0 contingency plan 0 Ichthyoplankton All 0 0 Biolfouling Comm. All 0 0 Hyperbenthos All 0 0 Benthos All 0 0 Pelagic Fish All 0 0 Capelin All 0 0 Salmon All 0 0 Demersal Fishes All 0 0 Seabirds All 0 0 Whales All 0 0

Floating mats of semi- Wat-Col. Microbiota All Lethal and sublethal Location relative to 0 Operational safety 0 solid oil fragment to tar Oleclasts All effects; enhancement release and plume; 1 and accident 1 balls; droplets remain Zooplankton All of oleoclasts sensitivity to toxic 0 prevention; oil spill 0 separate Ichthyoplankton All components 0 contingency plan 0 Hyperbenthos All 0 0 Benthos All 0 0 Pelagic Fish All 0 0 Capelin All 0 0 Salmon All 0 0 Demersal Fishes All 0 0 Seabirds All 3 3 Whales All 0 0 Appendix 5.E

Brief Description of S.L. Ross Oil Spill Model

Chapter 6 Table of Contents

6. Mitigation Measures and Contingency Planning 6-1 6.1 Drilling Mud 6-1 6.2 Well Treatment Fluids 6-2 6.3 Produced Water 6-2 6.4 Storage Displacement Water 6-2 6.5 Deck Drainage 6-2 6.6 Garbage and Sewage 6-3 6.7 Ship and Boat Noise 6-3 6.8 Helicopters 6-3 6.9 Shore-Based Facilities 6-4 6.10 Chronic and Accidental Spills 6-4 6.11 Oil-Spill Mitigation and Contingency Planning 6-5 6.11.1 Spill Prevention 6-6 6.11.2 Countermeasure Techniques 6-6 6.11.3 Contingency Planning 6-16 6.11.4 External Response Capability 6-18 6.11.5 Future Research and Development 6-21

Tables

6.11.1 Major Boom and Skimmer Manufacturers and Their Canadian Representatives 6-22

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6. Mitigation Measures and Contingency Planning

All Terra Nova Development activities will be conducted in an environmentally safe and responsible manner. Two approaches will be used to reduce impacts:

1. Compliance with current industry standards, government legislation, regulations and guidelines

2. Site-specific measures, designed into all stages of the development, including drilling, construction, installation, production, and abandonment and decommissioning

The first approach, compliance, is best addressed at the design stage. Pertinent standards, regulations and guidelines will be provided to the alliance contractors. The second approach will be accomplished in the context of the Total Loss Management framework (Chapter 2, Table 2.2-1).

The following sections briefly describe some of the important development mitigation measures and the approach to contingency planning. The actual mitigation measures will be described in more detail in the contingency plan and the environmental protection plan (EPP).

6.1 Drilling Mud

Low-toxicity water-based muds will be used where practicable. In other cases, low-toxicity oil-based muds or low-toxicity, inhibited water-based muds (glycol) will be used.

Oil-based muds will be used according to the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines:

· The aromatics content of the base oil used in formulation of oil-based drilling mud will be less than 5 percent.

· Oil-based muds will be recovered and recycled or transported to shore for disposal.

· Cuttings will be treated so that there is a maximum of 15 g oil/100 g dry solids, averaged over a 48-hour period.

· After treatment, cuttings will be discharged from the drilling rig at the lowest level possible.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-1 The use of oil-based muds will be addressed in the respective drilling program approvals (DPA).

6.2 Well Treatment Fluids

Well treatment fluids recovered from operations will be processed to reduce oil concentration to 40 mg/L or less, as required by the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines. Well treatment fluids with a high aromatic content will not be used unless recovered and recycled or transferred to shore. Strongly acidic fluids will be neutralized before discharge.

6.3 Produced Water

Produced water will be treated to reduce oil content before discharge into the sea. The treatment will reduce the oil content of discharged produced water to 30-day average concentrations of 40 mg/L or less, as specified in the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines.

6.4 Storage Displacement Water

If a semisubmersible floating production facility (FPF) is selected, crude oil will be pumped to a storage tanker or directly to shuttle tankers. All tankers will have independent ballast tanks, so that there will be no possibility of the oil contaminating the ballast water discharged over the side.

Alternatively, if a monohull FPF vessel is selected, it will have crude oil storage capacity on board. The monohull would also have separate ballast tanks to prevent contamination of ballast water with oil; thus, there will be no possibility of oil-contaminated ballast water being discharged over the side.

6.5 Deck Drainage

Drainage from the decks of various project vessels will be isolated from the main sources of oily waste. For example, the deck drainage system will not collect discharges from drip pans under machinery. Wastes and fluids from drip pans will be recovered and recycled, or transferred to shore for disposal in an approved manner.

A closed drain system will collect leakage and drainage of hydrocarbons from mud- handling operations. An open water drain will collect drainage from machinery spaces and working areas (but not drip pans) and liquids will be passed through an oil-water separator. The oily effluent from the separator will be collected for disposal. Deck drainage will be processed to meet the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines of 15 mg oil/L.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-2 6.6 Garbage and Sewage

Grey water from showers, sinks and washers will be discharged without treatment. Sewage and other domestic effluents from the FPF and drill rigs will be treated to meet the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines. Domestic wastes will be macerated to a particle size of 6 mm or smaller before discharge.

Sludges from oil-water separation units, spent lubricants, all plastic material, glass and metal wastes will be transferred to shore for appropriate handling.

Garbage will be transferred in secured containers from the rigs to the supply boats and offloaded at the shore base.

Oily and other hazardous wastes will be brought ashore in secured containers by the supply boats. The containers will be liquid-tight to prevent spillage during transit and transfer from the development area to the final disposal area.

6.7 Ship and Boat Noise

Impacts of ship and boat noise on marine mammals and fish can be reduced if the boats maintain a steady course and speed, whenever possible.

Ships can disturb seabirds while passing near seabird colonies. The Environmental Protection Plan (EPP) will identify bird colonies and their timing of use. Passage close to colonies will be avoided.

6.8 Helicopters

Helicopters will fly at a minimum altitude of 600 m, unless safety concerns dictate otherwise.

Helicopters can disturb harbour seals at haul-out sites. Haul-out beaches used by harbour seals will be identified in the EPP and avoided.

Aircraft pilots will be instructed not to fly low over wildlife and to avoid repeated overflights of concentrations of birds or important bird habitats.

Guidelines for avoiding major seabird colonies will be based on Nettleship (1980). These Canadian Wildlife Service guidelines recommend that aircraft not approach closer than 8 km seaward and 3 km landward of a seabird colony from 1 April to 1 November. The EPP will document the locations of seabird colonies and other areas where sea-associated birds congregate.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-3 6.9 Shore-Based Facilities

All fuel, chemical and waste-handling activities will be carried out in a manner designed to minimize or eliminate spillage and accidents. Workers at the facilities will be trained in the proper procedures for handling these products and responding to spills. Independent suppliers will handle fuel, chemicals and waste according to all applicable regulations. Audits and inspections will be conducted at these facilities.

Drilling mud and cement will be stored at dockside in bulk tanks. Diesel fuel will be supplied by an approved commercial supplier either via tanker truck or through dockside fuelling facilities. Water will be obtained from a government-approved drinking water source.

Garbage from the drilling rig and supply boats will be brought ashore and trucked to an approved landfill. Waste oil and other waste fluids transported to shore by supply boats will be transferred to an approved waste handler. Non-toxic waste will be trucked to an approved landfill by a licensed operator.

Oily and other toxic wastes will be brought ashore by the supply boats in secured, liquid-tight containers and transferred to a final disposal area. They will be transferred to an operator licensed to process and dispose of these materials in an approved manner.

Sanitary sewage will enter the existing sewage system of the selected centre. Depending on the site-specific drainage facilities, storm and apron runoff may enter the harbour directly, or via local storm sewers.

6.10 Small Spills

The EPP will provide details of safe fuel-, chemical-, and waste-handling and storage procedures that are designed to minimize or eliminate spills and accidents.

The FPF will contain secondary containment systems and sumps designed to contain spills. Shutdown systems and routines will minimize environmental effects by isolating systems and equipment during upsets or incidents on the FPF. Shutdown routines will be developed in the detailed design phase.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-4 6.11 Oil-Spill Mitigation and Contingency Planning

Chapter 5, Section 5.7, presents an evaluation of the effectiveness of various countermeasures that would be useful in the event of an oil spill related to the Terra Nova Development. In this section, an outline of the Terra Nova Development's anticipated spill-response capability will be described. Mitigation will be discussed in terms of spill prevention, contingency planning, and oil-spill countermeasures.

Petro-Canada's position with respect to emergency preparedness, including contingency planning and spill response, is stated in the company's TLM framework. In particular, the Environmental Protection Policy and the Occupational Health and Safety Policy set out the company's commitments to protect the environment and the well being of its employees and others proximate to company's operations. In accordance with these directives, Petro-Canada intends, to the greatest extent possible, to prevent all spills from occurring.

Although prevention of oil spills will be a primary focus, Petro-Canada will undertake all the necessary planning, training, and exercising to ensure that the appropriate spill- response capability is in place for all phases of the Terra Nova Development. The capability will meet all regulatory standards applicable at the time offshore activities begin.

In 1985, Mobil tabled the Hibernia Environmental Impact Statement (Mobil, 1985) in which a review of appropriate offshore countermeasures of the time were described. Petro-Canada considers the Hibernia EIS to be a good basis for planning for oil-spill countermeasures at Terra Nova. In this chapter additional technologies, developed since the Hibernia EIS, will be reviewed.

In November, 1989, the Canadian Petroleum Association (now the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers) and the Independent Petroleum Association of Canada jointly published the report of the Task Force on Oil Spill Preparedness (TFOSP) in the upstream petroleum industry. The report assessed the Canadian upstream industry's (offshore and onshore) current state of preparedness for dealing with oil spills resulting from exploration and production activities. Petro-Canada participated in the development of the TFOSP report and endorsed the observations, conclusions, and recommendations presented. These findings will be incorporated into the development of contingency plans and response capability for the Terra Nova Development.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-5 6.11.1 Spill Prevention

Spill prevention will be addressed as a matter of policy and practice within the Terra Nova Development. All offshore systems and structures, procedures, and programs will be designed with due regard for the prevention of loss of any hydrocarbons.

Standard operating procedures that reduce or eliminate the chance of a spill, even in the case of equipment failure, will be instituted for all oil-handling components. Routine maintenance and testing schedules will be determined for all aspects of the production program, with particular attention paid to well control, product storage and handling, and fuel transfer systems. Guidelines for operating in poor weather, high sea state, or sea ice or iceberg conditions will be established. Good communications and sound marine practices for all vessels will also improve the ability to prevent spills.

Proper environmental operating practices will be assured through regular inspections and audits of the offshore facilities. All spills, whether contained or not, will be reported and investigated so that deficiencies in design or procedures can be identified and corrected.

The general awareness of offshore workers will be increased through training, seminars, and safety meetings. Personnel will be encouraged to report potential problems and "near hit" incidents in an attempt to avoid a re-occurrence that could result in a loss of containment or other release of oil.

6.11.2 Countermeasure Techniques

The Hibernia and Terra Nova production locations will be close to each other and will experience the same difficult operating conditions. Furthermore, it is expected that the oil produced at each will be generally a waxy crude oil that becomes quite viscous after weathering and emulsification. Because of the difference in production systems, there will be differences in spills caused by loss of well control at each site. There will be similarities in other areas so that batch spills and the nature of the oil itself on water will be similar.

In reviewing the proposed Hibernia countermeasures and technologies that may be applicable to oil spills at Terra Nova, one must consider how poor weather will limit the effectiveness of any technique, the safety of response personnel and how weathering and emulsification will affect the use of skimmers and dispersants.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-6 Contemporary countermeasure technologies were reviewed in 1984 by Hibernia (Ross, 1984) and in 1989 by the Canadian Petroleum Association (TFOSP, 1989). Since 1989, a number of individual techniques and equipment types have also been reviewed. In this chapter, countermeasures technologies available in 1995 will be reviewed using information presented in these reports where applicable.

Oil-Spill Surveillance

An offshore spill is likely to spread quickly and break up in rough weather conditions. Countermeasure operations away from the spill source will be successful only if accurate and up-to-date information on the oil's properties and behaviour, slick sizes, and projected movement are known. Updated slick information for a Terra Nova oil spill will be obtained through continuing surveillance activities.

In the 1984 Hibernia review (Ross, 1984), a section is dedicated to surveillance techniques. Included in this review are:

- A statement on the use of aircraft, including suggestions for developing search patterns

- Comments on visual observations of offshore oil slicks

- A review of remote sensing techniques including Side Looking Airborne Radar (SLAR), aerial photography, UV and infra-red spectral scanners, and satellite applications

- A description of spill-tracking drifting beacons

As a basis for airborne surveillance, all of the information presented in this report is useful. New developments are described below.

RADARSAT, a satellite-borne Canadian synthetic aperture radar (SAR) system will be operational in early 1996. This system has the potential of being a valuable surveillance tool in the tracking of major spills, however the four day coverage cycle limits its use as a real-time tool. The Proponents are currently investigating the potential of groundwave radar as a slick-monitoring tool.

Environment Canada Emergency Science Branch continues in the development of an airborne SLAR system that will be suitable for oil spill detection. In Newfoundland, the Titan radar enhancement system provides digitization and signal processing compatible with most marine or airborne scanning radars. This system should be capable of identifying even small slicks by detecting the damping effects of oil on the sea surface.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-7 A professional offshore surveillance capability is now resident in Newfoundland. Provincial Airlines provides routine fisheries and ice surveillance to government and industry and can provide the platforms, sensors, and trained personnel for any airborne surveillance program.

On-Water Oil Collection and Recovery

On-water oil collection and recovery has evolved since the preparation of the Hibernia EIS. The principle changes have been in the development of more seaworthy inflatable offshore boom systems. Some skimming systems have been improved to work in higher sea states and are capable of handling higher viscosity oil. Even with improvements, this equipment is still limited by sea state and visibility. It would be suitable for use in Grand Banks conditions for only a small part of the year. TFOSP estimated the proportion of time that countermeasures can be attempted on the Grand Banks to be about 5 percent in winter and 25 percent in summer (TFOSP, 1989). Based on recent work (see Chapter 5), these estimates have been revised slightly to 3 percent in winter and 20 percent in summer.

Following is a review of selected equipment that may be considered for use at Terra Nova. Criteria for inclusion here are the usefulness of the equipment in Grand Banks conditions and the familiarity of the Canadian oil-spill-response community with the gear. Other equipment can be found in industry spill-response catalogues such as the International Oil Spill Control Directory (Oil Spill Intelligence Report, 1993) and the World Catalogue of Oil Spill Response Products (Shulze, 1993).

Ro-Boom

The Roulands Ro-Boom is a popular and rugged offshore boom built in a variety of sizes (freeboard 0.3 - 1.3 m). The boom is constructed of flexible inflatable chambers with a chain ballast tension line at the base of the skirt. The deflated boom is stored on a hydraulic reel and inflated in sections during deployment. The boom is typically used in a two-vessel towed configuration.

Norwegian Boom Systems

Amongst the widely-used recent-generation offshore boom systems is the NOFI series manufactured by All Maratim. The North Sea Operators Clean Seas Association (NOFO), tests this boom annually in offshore conditions during the Norwegian oil-on-water exercise.

In September, 1995, Petro-Canada participated in an operational exercise in British Columbia in which a NOFI system was deployed.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-8 The NOFI boom is inflatable and stored and recovered on a dedicated hydraulic reel. It is used in mobile collection systems and is rated for significant wave heights of 2 to 3 m. The boom is constructed of flexible inflatable chambers with a chain ballast that together provide good heave stiffness. This boom is available in different sizes (freeboard 0.6 to 1.0 m). Available options include a guiding boom and the Oil Trawl, a V-shaped collection pocket with netting underneath to prevent oil from going under the boom. The Fully Integrated Oil Containment System (FIOCS) consists of the guiding boom, Oil Trawl, adjustable cross bridle mechanism, and ISO shipping containers. The NOFI V-Sweep is a smaller, single-vessel side sweep variation of the FIOCS.

Vikoma Booms

The Vikoma Ocean Pack is the boom that has been used by both industry and government since the early 1980s for Grand Banks spill response. It is an older-generation offshore boom that consists of a single-chamber inflatable tube and self-filling water ballast chamber. The boom has good sea-keeping qualities and is quickly deployed but easily damaged.

The more recent Vikoma Hi Sprint offshore boom is similar to the Ro-Boom in construction, having sequential inflation chambers and a chain ballast member.

Oil Stop Booms

The Oil Stop offshore boom is another inflatable boom suitable for offshore applications. It is similar to the NOFI and Ro-Boom systems in that it can be stored on a dedicated reel for ease of storage and recovery but uses a single-point inflation technology and an integrated-chamber structure that allows for efficient uninterrupted deployment with the security of modular construction.

Conventional Weir Skimmers

Floating weir skimmers are commonly used for recovery of oil on water. They are quite efficient if the spilled oil has been thickened in a collection boom but are less so as viscosity or sea state increases.

The Walosep W-2 weir skimmer was evaluated in the 1989 waxy and viscous oils skimmer tests (S.L. Ross, 1989) and was found to be quite effective in the recovery of weathered Terra Nova crude. Rated capacity for the W-2 is 45 m3/h. Measured recovery rates for oil of viscosities up to 100 000 cSt were consistently in the order of 10 to 20 m3/h (S.L. Ross, 1989).

The GT-185 Skimmer was also evaluated in the 1989 CPA skimmer tests (S.L. Ross, 1989). This skimmer employs a self-adjusting weir and archimedes screw-type pump, and is commonly used in Canada. Several units are owned by the Canadian Coast

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-9 Guard (CCG) and Eastern Canada Response Corporation (ECRC). The GT-260, a larger, more robust model, is also used by these organizations and is considered more suitable for offshore use because of its increased sea-keeping and pumping capacities. Rated capacities for the GT-185 and GT-260 are 45 and 100 m3/h, respectively. Measured GT-185 recovery rates for oil of viscosities up to 10 000 cSt were consistently in the order of 25 to 30 m3/h but decreased to about 10 m3/h with viscosities over 100 000 cSt (S.L. Ross, 1989).

The Desmi 250 and Desmi Ocean Skimmers are offshore weir skimmers that were proven to be useful in the recovery of heavy emulsified oil during the Aragon spill. The level of the weir in each of these two skimmers is hydraulically controlled, which allows the operator to adjust the skimmer's efficiency. Rated capacities for the Desmi 250 and Desmi Ocean skimmers are 80 and 100 m3/h, respectively.

Transrec Skimmer

Frank Mohn (Framo) has developed several skimmers for offshore use. The Framo ACW-400 disc skimmer was formerly the standard for Grand Banks countermeasures (industry and Canadian Coast Guard) and was evaluated in the 1989 waxy and viscous oils skimmer tests (S.L. Ross, 1989). The performance of this skimmer is greatly affected by wave action and increasing viscosity and is, therefore, not recommended for use at Terra Nova. The more recent Framo Transrec skimmers are reviewed here as candidates for offshore operations.

These skimmers were developed in cooperation with NOFO, and come in three models: the 350, 250, and 200 (indicating rated capability in m3/h). The Transrec 250 and 350 skimmers are standard equipment on all Norwegian offshore spill- response vessels. The CCG in St. John's has a Transrec 200. The basic Transrec skimmer design consists of a conventional floating weir with centrifugal transfer pump. The complete system includes an integrated reel and hose assembly. The Transrec can be modified to include an emulsion-breaking attachment and a belt-skimmer cassette that fits into the top of the weir. Both of these additions greatly improve the skimmer's capability in high-viscosity oil conditions. In NOFO offshore tests, the skimmers were able to maintain rated capacity in 2.5 m seas (oil type unknown) and reach a recovery efficiency of 98 percent with the belt skimmer attachment (Shulze, 1993).

Sea Devil-Sea Wolf Skimmers

The Vikoma Sea Devil and Sea Wolf are toothed disc skimmers designed for use with high-viscosity oils and floating debris. The discs are oleophilic and star-shaped to claw heavy oil into a central hopper. Recovered oil is then transferred by a vertical Archimedes screw pump. Transfer of recovered oil is enhanced by a film of lubricating

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-10 water introduced to the transfer hose via an annular ring injection system. Rated capacity for the Sea Devil is 100 m3/h.

Rope Skimmers

There are several rope skimmers available, all of which employ one or more continuous oleophilic bands that pass through floating oil and then are squeezed through a series of rollers. Recognized models for offshore use are the Nor-Marine Foxtail and the Oil Mop Mk IV-160DP. The ropes are easy to deploy and are less affected by sea state than other skimmer types. These skimmers are best suited to very localized concentrations of mid-viscosity oil. Rated capacities for the Foxtail and Oil Mop skimmers are 100 and 32 m3/h, respectively. High water content can be expected with these skimmers.

As part of the TFOSP program, the Foxtail was evaluated for collection of oil in ice (Counterspil Research Inc., 1992). In cold water tests using weathered crude, measured recovery rates were about 7 m3/h with about 59 percent efficiency. Recovery rates for the same oil in ice were similar but with much higher water content.

Belt and Perforated-Drum Skimmers

Belt and drum skimmers are particularly useful in the recovery of heavy oils. Unfortunately, vessel-mounted belt skimmers are affected by the action of sea state on the deployment platform. Independent belt skimming devices, such as the optional device available for the Framo Transrec skimmers, are expected to be much more efficient.

The rough surface of a perforated drum skimmer acts like a belt skimmer in that it can pull a viscous oil off the water and deposit it in a hopper for transfer. The Oil Recovery Sweden WP-1-30 perforated drum skimmer, with a rated capacity of 70 m3/h, may be quite useful for weathered Terra Nova crude.

Transfer Pumps

Once recovered from the sea surface, heavy oil must be transferred to temporary storage at sea. High-viscosity pumps that have proven capability can be obtained from Framo, Desmi, and Pharos.

In Situ Burning

Combustion of oil on the sea surface was identified in the 1984 Hibernia review as a possible countermeasure technique for use on the Grand Banks. In situ burning of floating oil on the ocean has been proven effective in the Newfoundland Offshore Burn Experiment (NOBE) undertaken by Environment Canada and the CCG during August

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-11 1993. Burning of emulsified oil after treatment with an emulsion-breaking chemical was also proved possible in tests conducted by Alaska Clean Seas in September, 1994.

Since the Hibernia EIS, the helitorch, a safe and reliable helicopter oil slick igniter, has been developed. This device has been tested in NOBE, arctic spill experiments, and in routine forest fire back-burning operations. Helitorches are readily available from CCG in St. John's, from the Newfoundland Department of Forestry, and from Oil Spill Response Ltd. (OSRL). Experienced pilots flying for CCG and forestry contractors are also easily found in Newfoundland.

Due to the observed failure of fire-boom in the 1993 NOBE, it is clear that the use of in situ burning will be limited unless methods of burning without a fire-boom can be developed. Taking advantage of thickened, weathered oil in naturally-formed windrows is one possible method that may have a potential future application.

Dispersion

Dispersion is a natural process in any oil spill. Eventually, oil on water will be broken into small droplets through physical action and become available to bacteria for biological breakdown. Intentional dispersion of oil can be a quick disposal option for offshore spills. This is usually accomplished through the application of chemicals using aircraft or vessel-based spray equipment. Chemical dispersion may present a potential hazard to fisheries and the subsurface ecosystem but the dispersion of oil removes a very real threat to seabirds on the surface.

Chapter 5 of this report concludes that dispersants will only be effective while the viscosity of the spilled Terra Nova oil is low, shortly after release and before weathering or emulsification.

In Canada, the use of dispersants on a marine oil spill is strictly controlled by Environment Canada. In developing an oil spill contingency plan, Petro-Canada will discuss the implications of using chemical dispersants with regulatory agencies.

In the contingency plan the decision-making process for the use of chemical dispersants will include operational and environmental considerations. The application of chemicals will be considered only if the probability of successful dispersion is high, if the benefits of removing oil from the sea surface are clear, and if the possible impact to the subsurface marine environment is acceptable.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-12 Emulsion Breaking

Terra Nova crude is difficult to handle when emulsified as it becomes very viscous and persistent. Emulsified oil has a very high water content making transfer and storage inefficient. Finally, emulsified oil is resistant to in situ burning and both natural and chemically induced dispersion. A possible solution to these problems is the application of emulsion-breaking chemicals.

The Canadian Petroleum Association commissioned a review of emulsion-breaking chemicals (Ross et al., 1992). One of the conclusions was that three off-the-shelf products were found to be effective in de-emulsifying Grand Banks crude in laboratory conditions. The use of emulsion-breaking chemicals, especially before on-water recovery, or dispersion, or burning, will be considered by Petro-Canada in the development of a countermeasures capability for Terra Nova.

Considerations in the decision to include emulsion-breaking chemicals in the Terra Nova response strategy will include the high cost of maintaining an inventory and application techniques. Given the anticipated high persistence of emulsified Terra Nova crude, emulsion-breaking technology is a possible area for future research and development.

Disposal

The progress of any oil-spill clean-up is ultimately limited by the ability to store and dispose of the collected oil. In the field, temporary storage of oil, oily water, and emulsified oil is an important issue. Storage on the collection platform, either in portable deck tanks or permanent built-in tanks is an easy, temporary measure. As the volume of collected oil increases with time, barges or tankers will be required to hold the oil. An important study that will be used as a reference in sourcing tankage will be Tanker Selection for Open Ocean Oil Spill Response Operations off the East Coast of Canada commissioned by ESRI in 1990 (Coughlan, 1990).

Ultimately, the oil may be disposed of in a number of ways: through re-introduction to the production stream on the platform, as fuel in the boilers of one the three Newfoundland pulp mills, in the kiln at the North Star Cement plant in Corner Brook, or through a refining or recycling process.

Physical Environmental Monitoring

The environmental data required to run an oil-spill trajectory model will be provided by the Terra Nova physical environment monitoring program. Synoptic current, weather, and wave data will be collected routinely as part of this program and will be available at any time to trajectory modellers.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-13 Biological Environmental Monitoring

Biological and chemical sampling required during a spill will be addressed as part of the Terra Nova EPP and will be undertaken as part of the Terra Nova environmental effects monitoring (EEM) program. The protocols for sampling will be established during the development of the EEM program. In preparing these protocols, Petro-Canada will review the generic offshore scientific response plan developed with Environment Studies Revolving Fund (ESRF) and Petroleum and Energy Research and Development (PERD) funding.

With clear objectives and protocols in place for spill-related environmental monitoring, a contractor will be able to mobilize quickly for field sampling in a spill event.

Terra Nova Spill-Response Capability

Consistent with past Petro-Canada commitments, the Terra Nova Development will be supported by a dedicated spill-response capability. Trained personnel and response equipment will be designated and positioned for quick mobilization in the event of a spill. A clear and concise contingency plan will be developed to direct response operations. Before beginning offshore operations, Petro-Canada will ensure that any financial instruments required by governments to fund spill response, and legitimate compensation for damage caused by a spill, are negotiated and in place.

Past Experience

Petro-Canada has been involved in east coast offshore exploration since the 1970s having drilled on the Grand Banks, the Labrador Shelf, and the Scotian Shelf. Petro-Canada was responsible for ensuring that an oil spill response capability was available for all these programs. The company was a founding member of the Oil Spill Service Centre cooperative, now OSRL in Southampton, England, an international spill-response service provider. Petro-Canada was also a founding member of the East Coast Spill Response Association (ESRA) in St. John's (later East Coast Spill Response Inc. - ESRI), a cooperative formed to provide east coast Canadian operators with an offshore spill-response capability. When ESRI was disbanded in 1993, the assets were sold to a response organization which has now become the Eastern Canada Response Corporation (ECRC).

Relief Well

In the event of an oil spill due to loss of well control, it may be necessary for a relief well to be drilled. Relief wells will be discussed in the Drilling Program Approvals.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-14 Response Personnel and Oil Spill Response Eq uipment

A spill-response technical service provider will be retained to support the Terra Nova Development so that ongoing drilling and production operations will be generally unaffected by a spill response effort. This provider will either be an existing commercial oil- spill-response organization or a dedicated organization formed in the future to support offshore activities.

The team that will manage the response will be identified in the oil-spill contingency plan. Petro-Canada will consider the use of a dedicated team of Petro-Canada personnel, a contracted team of recognized experts, or some combination thereof.

The dedicated oil-spill-response equipment and trained personnel assembled to support the Terra Nova Development will be adequate for a timely response to small spills or as a first response capability in a larger spill incident. Should additional equipment be required to cope with a larger spill, Petro-Canada will draw on the resources of outside organizations. Examples of some of the oil-spill-response organizations that may provide additional equipment are given in Chapter 5.

Regardless of the technology employed, it is anticipated that equipment will be used in discreet modules or systems. For instance, a mobile collection and recovery system would include an offshore boom system, a skimmer, temporary tankage, transfer pumps and auxiliary hoses, hydraulic power packs, tools, and rigging. Each system will require a dedicated operating crew and one or more suitable vessels to tow equipment, act as a platform for oil collection, or transport waste oil. As an offshore spill increases, additional equipment will be mobilized on a system-by-system basis. In this way, the spill management team will be able to delegate tasks to established, self-contained working groups and assign the logistics resources efficiently.

Training

Petro-Canada presently has several employees who have received training in marine oil-spill-response countermeasures from OSRL. Some of these individuals have also received training from other institutions.

Petro-Canada is committed to ensuring that all Terra Nova oil-spill-response personnel are properly trained and to enhancing this training through regular operational exercises. Designated company personnel will continue to receive formal training and be involved in regular exercises as required. Contractors' personnel will be screened for past formal training and practical experience and will be required to describe what efforts will be made for future training.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-15 Trajectory Modelling

Petro-Canada will have an oil-spill dispersion-modelling capability that can be used at the time of a spill to predict the trajectory of spilled oil offshore. In each past Grand Banks drilling program, Petro-Canada has modelled the fate of oil spilled at the wellsite using the best software and data available at the time. Since that time, trajectory modelling capability has improved and more weather and current data for the Terra Nova area are available. For the purposes of planning and for input to the Terra Nova EIS (Chapter 5), Petro-Canada and the Hibernia Management and Development Company (HMDC) have recently run an improved spill model that uses as inputs a central release point, equidistant from the Terra Nova and Hibernia production locations, a generic oil type (with worst-case weathering and persistence characteristics), and updated historical seasonal weather and oceanographic conditions to determine spill trajectories in representative scenarios.

Logistics

A logistics infrastructure will be employed to obtain materiel specified by response managers and transport operations personnel to get equipment to and from the spill site, and source additional operational platforms required.

One of the primary difficulties in mounting a large-scale offshore spill response operation will be sourcing the vessels needed in the deployment of on-water equipment. The type of vessel most suitable for this application is the standard offshore supply vessel that will be used to support the Terra Nova Development offshore. At the present time, there are no supply vessels available in Newfoundland and only a few available in Atlantic Canada. In some cases, an offshore trawler could be used to fill support roles. Some trawlers are presently available in Newfoundland. As offshore drilling and production activity increases, some supply vessels will be stationed locally and may be available for spill response. In a large-scale spill response, the number of local vessels available may be insufficient and outside vessels may be needed. In anticipation of this situation, Petro-Canada will maintain a list of available vessels that may be useful for spill operations.

6.11.3 Contingency Planning

The key to the successful control of most oil spills is an efficient reaction, which includes reporting, assessment, communication, and mobilization of response resources. A Terra Nova oil-spill-response contingency plan will be developed to direct personnel through a successful response operation. This plan will also be used in formal response exercises to train personnel and to test the effectiveness of the spill response system.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-16 The oil-spill contingency plan will be a primary response document but will be one of several emergency response plans developed for the Terra Nova Development. Company operations manuals, policy directives, and guidelines will be used in the development of the plan. In order to avoid duplication, other documents relating to emergency oil spills will be cross-referenced. In its complete form, the oil spill contingency plan will be a comprehensive manual and reference document that includes detailed procedures and a considerable amount of background data. As in past drilling programs, Petro-Canada will also produce concise and focussed tools such as wall charts or wallet cards, which will serve as quick references for operations personnel in the event of an oil-spill emergency.

Distribution

The contingency plan will be produced in limited numbers and distributed only to those who will have a role to play in a response operation. The plan will be available on each offshore facility, helicopter, flight-following service and in the shore-based offices of the company and major contractors. Copies will also be distributed to federal and provincial government regulatory agencies as required. Each page of the plan will be dated and will be identified by a section and page reference. The plan will be kept current through the issue of updates to registered plan holders. It will be the responsibility of plan holders to ensure their copy of the plan is accurate and current.

Format

The format of the plan will be one that most clearly communicates the actions required of all parties in a spill event. Past Petro-Canada plans have been based on the manual prepared by the Canadian East Coast Offshore Safety Committee (CEOSC). Regardless of the format chosen, the contingency plan will be organized for ease in communicating situation details with other east coast operators and appropriate government agencies.

Content

The contingency plan will consist of four basic sections:

· Introduction · Response procedures · Contact information · Supporting data

The introduction will present the purpose of the plan and Petro-Canada's commitment to the protection of human health and life, the environment, and corporate and contractor property. The company's TLM framework specifically identifies contingency planning within the contexts of Leadership (policy), Organization (training), and

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-17 Operating Practice (emergency preparedness) as an important part of loss management.

The response procedures section will describe the chain of command and key personnel responsibilities within the Terra Nova organization. Notification and documentation procedures and the prescribed interactions between development personnel, government, and other operators will be specified. References will be made to appropriate response strategies that detailed in the supporting data section of the plan. Designated personnel and proper procedures for dealing with the public and the media will be identified.

The plan will include contact lists for relevant company, government, and contractor personnel. This section will include a listing of the Terra Nova oil-spill- response team and will include contact information and relevant experience of each individual named to the team.

The supporting data section will include an assessment of Terra Nova's response capability and the expected effectiveness of countermeasure options, specific response strategies for most likely scenarios, listings and sources of oil-spill countermeasures equipment, descriptions of the predicted movement and fate of spilled oil in most likely spill scenarios, environmental resource protection priorities and resource sensitivities to be considered.

6.11.4 External Response Capability

Petro-Canada recognizes that, in the event of a larger spill, resources (equipment and operators) additional to those dedicated by Petro-Canada to oil-spill response will be required.

Eastern Canada Response Corporation

ECRC is a private-sector organization certified by the CCG under the regulations resulting from recent amendments to the Canada Shipping Act. ECRC was formed by a group of shareholder oil companies, including Petro-Canada, to provide a strong private-sector response capability for a broad client base conducting marine operations in eastern Canada.

ECRC is one of three such response organizations in Canada managed by the CMRMC. Through a network of strategically positioned ECRC-owned equipment, a core of permanent professional CMRMC response-management personnel, and a large pool of standby, trained response technicians, CMRMC-ECRC has the capability of responding to both nearshore and offshore spills throughout Canada. CMRMC-ECRC is currently providing a dedicated oil-spill-response service to designated oil-handling facilities and vessels throughout eastern Canada. At this time, Petro-Canada has had preliminary discussions with ECRC concerning the provision of offshore oil-spill- response services in support of the Terra Nova Development.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-18 ECRC operates a series of facilities linked through common management in Newfoundland (St. John's), Nova Scotia (Dartmouth), and Quebec (Sept Isles, Levis, and Montreal). Each facility has experienced management with trained technical personnel and at least enough equipment to respond to a 2500 t spill. ECRC also has mutual aid arrangements with other response companies in Point Tupper, Nova Scotia, and Saint John, New Brunswick. ECRC's Newfoundland Response Centre in St. John's is strategically located close to both St. John's Harbour and Torbay Airport for quick response to an offshore incident.

ECRC has over 2800 m of offshore boom configured for two-vessel sweep applications. This inventory includes NOFI 1000 and 600 V-Sweep systems, Vikoma Oceanpack and High Sprint systems, Roulands Ro-Boom, and a FIOCS V-Sweep. ECRC also has Pharos Marine GT-185 and GT-260 weir skimmers with positive displacement pumps for recovery of high-viscosity weathered crude in an offshore environment.

Hibernia

HMDC will begin offshore activities in the summer of 1997, leading to production in early 1998. It is Petro-Canada's understanding that HMDC intends to equip its two purpose-built multi-use offshore supply vessels with NOFI sidesweep systems, onboard skimming capability, and 700 t waste oil storage capacity. HMDC vessels will also be equipped with fire monitors, which should be suitable for herding of oil on the surface, mechanical dispersion of oil and breaking leads in pack ice in which spilled oil might collect.

Petro-Canada is participating in ongoing discussions with HMDC concerning oil- spill- response mutual aid.

Canadian Coast Guard

CCG operates a large oil-spill-response depot in St. John's, including five complete offshore mobile collection and recovery systems. CCG also operates a fleet of vessels from St. John's suitable for offshore spill response. The CCG offshore-response capability is integrated so that each system is designated for use on a particular vessel or vessels. Each of these five systems includes an offshore sidesweep boom system (Vikoma Oceanpack, Norwegian Oil Trawl, Ro-Boom, or NOFI V-Sweep) and a large heavy oil skimmer (Transrec 200, ACW 400, or GT-260). CCG also has vessel-mounted dispersant application equipment and a helicopter-deployed helitorch system in its Newfoundland inventory.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-19 CCG offshore-response capability is being enhanced by the installation of permanent onboard tankage for storage of waste oil on each of the vessels designated for offshore spill-response duties.

Oil Spill Response Ltd.

OSRL is an international response organization based in Southampton, England. OSRL operates the Oil Spill Service Centre in Southampton on behalf of a consortium of major oil companies requiring a marine oil-spill-response capability. Petro-Canada was a founding member of OSRL. OSRL has the capability to respond simultaneously to two 30 000 t spills. Twenty-five percent of OSRL's equipment inventory is appropriate for offshore applications. OSRL has its own dedicated Hercules and Ilyushin transport aircraft and would be able to move equipment to St. John's for a Grand Banks response operation in less than 24 hours.

Offshore boom systems include four 500 m Vikoma Ocean Boom and four 200 m Roulands Hi-Seas Ro-Boom systems. Each of these systems are typically used in two-vessel advancing-boom collection systems. Equipment appropriate for recovery of a weathered Terra Nova crude include six Desmi 250 weir skimmers, two Vikoma Sea Devil toothed disc skimmers, two WP 1-30 drum separator skimmers, and a variety of rope mop skimmers. OSRL also has a helitorch system and a 20 m3 Aerial Dispersant Delivery System (ADDS) for use with a Hercules aircraft.

International Response Organizations

International response organizations recognized as having an offshore response capability that might be employed in a major spill at Terra Nova include NOFO, the Norwegian North Sea Operators Clean Seas Association; Marine Spill Response Corporation (MSRC), a nation-wide oil spill cooperative in the USA; and National Response Corporation (NRC), an American commercial spill services provider. NOFO and MSRC both have trained personnel and dedicated or designated offshore vessel and equipment systems that would fit easily into the modular approach designated for escalation of the countermeasures effort proposed for Terra Nova. Petro-Canada recognizes that both of these organizations have strict national mandates and may only be able to release limited resources to Terra Nova. NRC is less encumbered and may be a more convenient source of equipment.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-20 Equipment Suppliers

If additional equipment is required and is not available through established response organizations, or if replacement parts are needed for equipment that has been mobilized, Petro-Canada may have to deal directly with major equipment suppliers. While most offshore spill response equipment is manufactured outside Canada, there are reliable Canadian distributors for the equipment likely to be most useful to the Terra Nova Development. Table 6.11-1 lists major boom and skimmer manufacturers and their Canadian representatives.

6.11.5 Future Research and Development

Petro-Canada has supported offshore spill response research and development through contributions to ESRF, PERD, and industry-sponsored task forces such as Canadian Offshore Operators Spill Response Association (COOSRA). Meaningful research in this area is usually very expensive and is best funded by a consortium of sponsors. Petro-Canada will monitor ongoing research in areas directly applicable to the Terra Nova Development. Of particular interest will be work relating to the handling of waxy crude oil and in developments in emulsion-breaking technology.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-21 Table 6.11-1

Major Boom and Skimmer Manufacturers and Their Canadian Representatives

Manufacturer Canadian Representative Offshore Boom All Maratim (NOFI boom) Associated Marine Systems Bergen Norway Dartmouth, NS Ro-Clean International Navenco Marine Odense, Denmark Chateauguay, PQ Vikoma International Can Ross Isle of Wight, UK Oakville, ON Oil-Stop PolE-Mar Los Angeles, CA Ottawa, ON Skimmers Frank Mohn PolE-Mar Bergen, Norway Ottawa, ON Desmi Associated Marine Norresundby, Denmark Dartmouth, NS Pharos Marine Pol-E-Mar Gothenburg, Sweden Ottawa, ON H.Henriksen (Foxtail) Tonsberg, Norway Vikoma International Can Ross Isle of Wight, UK Oakville, ON

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00006.0, Rev.0 6-22 Chapter 7 Table of Contents

7. Environmental Protection Plan 7-1

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00007.0, Rev.0 7. Environmental Protection Plan

Environmental protection is a fundamental part of Petro-Canada's and the Proponents' corporate policies. Petro-Canada's environmental protection policy contains the following principles:

· Compliance with applicable legislation and industry standards · Assessment and mitigation of impacts of all Project phases · Programs for management of waste and emissions · Prompt and effective response to emergencies · Awareness training for all employees · Use of all resources efficiently · Support of research on environmental effects · Open and fair dealings with the public regarding company activities

Petro-Canada and the Proponents will prepare an environmental protection plan (EPP) for all phases of the Terra Nova Development. The plan will provide detailed guidance to personnel on procedures for eliminating or minimizing adverse environmental impacts. The EPP will be reviewed annually and updated as needed.

The EPP will contain the following components:

· Corporate environmental policy · Standards and codes of practice · Mitigation procedures for development, production, decommissioning and abandonment · Chain of command for environmental decision-making · Environmental education, training and orientation procedures · Environmental effects monitoring (EEM) procedures and reporting · Environmental compliance-monitoring (ECM) practices and reporting · Copies of applicable legislation, regulations, guidelines, licences, permits and approvals · Management plans for waste, atmospheric emissions and effluent releases · Contingency plan for accidental discharges (see Chapter 6 for more details) · Environmental clauses for contractors · Environmental inspection and audit procedures · Fishing industry agreements and compensation procedures · Performance review practices

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00007.0, Rev.0 7-1 The core of the EPP will be the mitigation procedures, tailored for each stage of the Terra Nova Development (development, production, decommissioning and abandonment). An overview of some of these mitigation measures is found in Table 2.2-1. Industry standards and government legislation and guidelines in effect at the time of the respective activities will be used. Some example components and activities included or considered for mitigation will be:

· Drilling muds · Well-treatment fluids · Produced water · Storage displacement waters · Deck drainage · Solid and sanitary wastes · Ship and boat noise · Routing of ships to minimize disturbance to wildlife · Routing, and minimum altitudes, for helicopters to minimize disturbance to wildlife · An anti-harassment policy for wildlife · Onshore facilities · Regulated inputs of crude oil · Spills and response · Atmospheric emissions · Fuel and chemical handling

Compliance- and effects-monitoring programs will be integral parts of the EPP. Compliance monitoring will be based on the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines. Environmental effects monitoring may measure the effects and zone of influence of drilling muds and cuttings, and produced water.

The sections of the EPP pertaining to each phase of the development will be submitted to the Canada-Newfoundland Offshore Petroleum Board (C-NOPB) for approval at least six months before beginning field development, production, or decommissioning and abandonment.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00007.0, Rev.0 7-2 Chapter 8 Table of Contents

8. Monitoring and Reporting 8-1 8.1 Physical Environmental Monitoring 8-1 8.2 Compliance Monitoring 8-2 8.2.1 Drilling Muds and Cuttings 8-2 8.2.2 Well Treatment Fluids 8-3 8.2.3 Produced Water 8-3 8.2.4 Cooling Water 8-3 8.2.5 Deck Drainage 8-3 8.2.6 Air Emissions 8-3 8.3 Environmental Effects Monitoring 8-4 8.3.1 Effects and Zone of Influence of Drilling Muds and Cuttings 8-4 8.3.2 Zone of Influence of Produced Water 8-4 8.3.3 Effects of Oily Water on Fish 8-4

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00008.0, Rev.0 8. Monitoring and Reporting

Environmental monitoring will be included in the Terra Nova Development's operations plan. Both the impact of the environment on the development and the impact of the development on the environment will be monitored. There will be three types of environmental monitoring:

1. Physical environmental monitoring (weather, waves, ice) to help minimize risk to facilities and personnel

2. Compliance monitoring to ensure contaminant levels in regulated discharges meet requirements

3. Environmental effects monitoring to verify impact predictions

Monitoring programs will be evaluated for effectiveness on a regular basis. Reporting procedures and a feedback loop will give early warning of environmental change or the need to modify mitigation measures or the EPP.

The design for environmental effects monitoring at Terra Nova will differ somewhat from that proposed for the Hibernia area. At the Hibernia site, discharges will emanate from and activities will be centred at one place, whereas at Terra Nova, fluids will be discharged and activities will occur over a larger area.

Environmental monitoring program designs have not been finalized. They will be developed in concert with government agencies and submitted to the C-NOPB for approval. In general, monitoring program strategy and design will be guided by the Environmental Studies Research Funds (ESRF) East Coast and the Beaufort Sea monitoring strategy studies (Thomas et al., 1984; Thomas, 1992) and consultations with government. The monitoring study design will also consider the five years of experience gained during the design and implementation of the EEM program for the Hibernia project (e.g., Buchanan et al., 1990; Christian et al., in prep).

Some potential monitoring programs are discussed briefly in the following sections.

8.1 Physical Environmental Monitoring

The physical environment monitoring program will help minimize the risk to personnel and facilities. This program will support operational requirements, including:

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00008.0, Rev.0 8-1 - Ensuring safe operations on site and in the movement of personnel and equipment

- Preventing damage to the environment

- Optimizing production

The program will provide accurate and reliable real-time measurements to support operational decisions on drilling, construction and production activities, and movements of aircraft and vessels. The measurements are essential to the meteorological forecasting program and are important to wave forecasting, the ice management program and to real-time oil-spill trajectory modelling (if and when required). Measurements made at Terra Nova will also contribute to the climatological database available for future scientific and operational studies on local, regional and global scales.

The proposed program will be discussed with the appropriate regulatory agencies prior to submission to the C-NOPB for approval.

8.2 Compliance Monitoring

Compliance monitoring will be based on the final Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines. Effluent limits and monitoring regulations used in this EIS were based on the draft guidelines. A compliance monitoring program will be submitted to the C- NOPB for approval.

It should be noted that in addition to filing reports with the Chief Conservation Officer respecting conditions that are considered to have exceeded normal operating practice, Petro-Canada will investigate these exceedances for cause and corrective action.

8.2.1 Drilling Muds and Cuttings

Cuttings will be treated to meet Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines, which currently call for:

- A maximum of 15 g oil/100 g dry cuttings averaged over a 48-hour period

- Measurement of concentrations of oil in solids to be measured every 12 hours using the specified methods

- Calculation of a rolling 48-hour average concentration

- Reporting of oil concentrations of 30 g/100 g or greater to the Chief Conservation Officer within 24 hours

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00008.0, Rev.0 8-2 8.2.2 Well Treatment Fluids

Well treatment fluids recovered from operations will be processed to an oil concentration of 40 mg/L or less as required by the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines. Time series of raw and averaged data from analysis of treated and discharged fluids will be submitted to the Chief Conservation Officer on an approved schedule.

A chemical management plan will be developed with the chemical suppliers and submitted to the C-NOPB as part of the EPP.

8.2.3 Produced Water

Produced water will be treated to meet Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines which call for:

- Treatment to reduce oil content of discharged produced water to 30-day average concentrations of 40 mg/L or less

- Reporting of oil concentrations of more than 80 mg/L during any 48-hour period of production to the Chief Conservation Officer within 48 hours

- Measurement of oil concentrations every 48 hours, and daily calculation of a rolling 30-day average

- Use of the specified test methods

8.2.4 Cooling Water

Any requirement to use biocides, other than chlorine, in cooling water will be submitted to the Chief Conservation Officer for approval before use.

8.2.5 Deck Drainage

Deck drainage will be processed to meet the Offshore Waste Treatment Guidelines of 15 mg oil/L. Oil concentrations of greater than 15 mg/L in the discharge will be considered to have exceeded normal operating practice and be reported within 24 hours to the Chief Conservation Officer.

8.2.6 Air Emissions

All emissions produced as a result of flaring or boom burning will meet any government regulations in place at the time.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00008.0, Rev.0 8-3 8.3 Environmental Effects Monitoring

An environmental effects monitoring program (EEM), including collection of baseline data, will be developed in conjunction with C-NOPB and other relevant government agencies. The EEM program will be submitted to the C-NOPB for approval.

8.3.1 Effects and Zone of Influence of Drilling Muds and Cuttings

The EEM will monitor oil concentrations in sediments and effects on benthic animals.

8.3.2 Zone of Influence of Produced Water

Most of the oily water discharge will be produced water. The EEM will determine oil concentrations at various distances from the discharge.

8.3.3 Effects of Oily Water on Fish

A program to monitor tainting in fish will be implemented. This monitoring program will consider all sources of hydrocarbons that could be released during development and production. If tainted fish are found, the source will be determined and further mitigation measures will be implemented.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00008.0, Rev.0 8-4 Glossary abandonment. The decommissioning of facilities and removal of offshore structures following exhaustion of reserves. abiotic. Nonbiological; a process not mediated or resulting from the activity of organisms. Ocean currents and weather are examples ofabiotic processes. accretion. Growth by organic enlargement; growing of separate things into one.

ADCP. Acoustic Doppler-Current Profiling.

ADDS. Aerial Dispersant Delivery System. advection. The process of, or referring to the transport of one fluid mass (air, water) by the movement of another. aerobic. A process requiring the presence of air or oxygen.

AES. Atmospheric Environment Service.

AHH. (Enzyme) Aryl hydrocarbonhydroxylase. alcids. A group of shorebirds, predominantly of northern coasts, including auks, puffins,murres and guillemots. anadromous. Used to describe fish that spawn in fresh water after spending most of their life in the sea. anaerobic. Not requiring the presence of oxygen. anemones. Solitary or colonial jelly-like sessile animals with tentacles; taxonomically closely related to stony corals. annulus. The space between drill pipe and bore wall, pipe and casing, or concentric strings of casing. anomaly. A geological feature, especially in the subsurface, distinguished by geological, geophysical orgeochemical means, which is different from the general surroundings and is often of potential economic value, e.g., a magnetic anomaly. anthropogenic. Derived or resulting from human activity.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-1 anticline. A fold, generally convex upward, whose core contains thestratigraphically oldest rocks. anticyclone. An atmospheric pressure distribution in which there is a high central pressure related to the surroundings. Resulting weather is usually quiet and settled.

API. American Petroleum Institute. articulated loading platform (ALP). A column attached by means of an articulated joint to a permanent base on the ocean floor. The column supports a loading head. Crude oil is transferred by export lines to the base of the ALP, up through the column, and through the loading head to shuttle tankers. artificial reef. An underwater artificial structure that provides habitat similar to that provided by a natural reef. artificial reef effect. The effect generated by the placement of an undersea structure in an area where previously there were no similar habitats.Benthic organisms colonize the structure, and subsequently fish and other organisms are attracted to it in search of food. astronomical tides. The alternate rise and fall of the surface of oceans, seas, and the bays, rivers, etc., connected with them, caused by the gravitational attraction of the sun and moon. baleen. Comb-like semi-rigid plates with frayed edges that hang from the roof of a baleen whale's mouth; used when feeding to filter prey from the water. ballast water. Water carried in tanks on a vessel (e.g., tanker) to maintain sea-going stability. barite. A common mineral (bariumsulphate) associated with lead ores; used as a weighting material for drilling because of its high specific gravity. basement. A series of igneous and metamorphic rocks, generally with complex structure, beneath dominantly sedimentary rocks. bathymetry. The measurement of depths of water in oceans, seas and lakes; also the information derived from such measurements. bbl. The abbreviation for barrel. bedrock. A general term for the rock, usually solid, that underlies soil or other unconsolidated, superficial material.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-2 benthos. Organisms living on, in, or attached to the sea bottom; includes both animals and plants. bentonite. A clay material used to impart viscosity in drilling fluids; also referred to as gel. bergy bit. A piece of floating glacier having a sail greater than 1.5 m but less than 5 m and a water plane area greater than 20 m2 but less than 300 m2. Size approximates that of a small house and mass is between 120 and 5400 t. bilge. The nearly horizontal part of a ship's bottom.

BIO. Bedford Institute of Oceanography. biocide. A chemical agent that destroys bacteria. biodegradable. Refers to a substance that can be broken down by micro-organisms. biodegradation. The biological conversion of organic material to inorganic nutrients. biofouling. The encrustation of submerged structures by barnacles and mollusks,seaweeds and other marine life; also known as marine fouling. biological oxygen demand. The amount of dissolved oxygen required to meet the metabolic needs of anaerobic micro-organisms in water rich in organic matter such as sewage. biomass. The amount of living matter of a specified type given as a concentration per unit area or volume. biota. The flora and fauna of a region. bloom. Rapid growth of a population ofplanktonic organisms. blowout. A change in the gas or oil pressure of the well, which cannot be handled by the well's control system, resulting in uncontrolled flow. blowout preventer (BOP). A stack or an assembly of heavy duty valves attached to the top of the casing to control well pressure.

BOP. blowout preventer. boreal. Northern. boulder. A rounded rock fragment greater than 256 mm in diameter.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-3 burner boom. A structure that supports necessary piping and apparatus for burning drilling mud, produced oil, gas and other fluids; used to burn recovered fluids during well testing operations on a drilling rig. Usually such burners are fueled by diesel.

C-NOPB. Canada-Newfoundland Offshore Petroleum Board. caisson. A large-diameter pipe that houses asubmudlinewellhead. calved. Icebergs broken off from a glacier that reaches the sea. casing. Steel pipe used in oil and gas wells to seal off fluids from theborehole and to prevent the walls of the hole from sloughing or caving. There may be several strings of casing in a well, one inside the other.

CASP. Canadian Atlantic Storms Program.

CCG. Canadian Coast Guard.

CCRS. Canada Centre for Remote Sensing.

CEAA. Canadian Environmental Assessment Agency.

Cenozoic. An era of geological time, from the beginning of the Tertiary period to the present. (Some authors do not include the Quaternary, considering it a separate era.) It is characterizedpaleontologically by the evolution and abundance of mammals, advanced mollusks and birds. The Cenozoic is considered to have begun about 65 million years ago.

CEOSC. Canadian East Coast Offshore Safety Committee. chemical oxygen demand (COD). The amount of dissolved oxygen required to allow theabiotic oxidation of chemical compounds. chlorophyll. A green pigment found in all algae and higher plants. Responsible for light capture in photosynthesis.

CHW. Cod, haddock and witch flounder eggs.

CIL. Cold intermediate layer. clast. An individualdetrital constituent of a sediment.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-4 clay. A mineral fragment ordetrital particle of any composition (often a crystalline fragment of a clay mineral), smaller than a very fine silt grain, having a diameter less thanμm. 4 climax. A community that has reached a steady-state under a particular set of environmental conditions.

CMRMC. Canadian Marine Response Management Corporation.

COADS. Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set. cobble. A rounded rock fragment between 64 and 256 mm in diameter. completion. The activities necessary to prepare a well for the production of oil and gas. condensate. Liquid hydrocarbons that are produced with natural gas and that separate from the gas as a result of decreases in temperature and pressure; API gravity generally is 50 to 120° and colour varies from water white to straw blush.

Continental Shelf. Gently sloping, shallowly submerged marginal zone of the continents extending from the shore to an abrupt increase in bottom inclination; greatest average depth less than 183 m, slope generally less than 1 to 1000, local relief less than 18.3 m, width ranging from very narrow to more than 320 km.

Continental Slope. Continuously sloping portion of the continental margin with gradient of more than 1 to 40, beginning at the outer edge of the Continental Shelf and bounded on the outside by a rather abrupt decrease in slope where the continental rise begins at depths ranging from about 1400 to 3000 m.

COOSRA. Canadian Offshore Operators Spill Response Association. core. A cylindrical boring of rock from which composition and stratification may be determined.

CPA. Closest point of approach.

CPR. Continuous plankton recording. crude oil. Unrefined petroleum. crustaceans. Invertebrate animals, such as lobster, shrimps, crabs, copepods andamphipods, with at least five pairs of jointed legs.

CTD. Conductivity-temperature-depth.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-5 current shear. A tangent or plane of contact where two opposing currents collide and are subsequently driven away from each other. cuttings. Chips and small fragments of rock that are brought to the surface by the drilling mud as it circulates. cyclogenesis. The initiation ofcyclonic circulation, or strengthening around an existing depression or cyclone. cyclone. A circular or nearly circular area of low atmospheric pressure around which the winds blow counterclockwise in the northern hemisphere and clockwise in the south. It may cause precipitation and cloudiness over many thousands of square miles. dB. Decibel. deadweight. The maximum design weight of cargo, crew and effects for a ship (the "payload"). delineation well. See appraisal well. deltaic. Pertaining to, or like a delta. demersal. Referring to animals, usually fish, associated with, but not living on, the sea bottom. detritus. Dead or decaying organic matter, and associated microorganisms that are responsible for its decomposition.

Development (Terra Nova Development). "Development" refers to all phases of the project, from the decision to go ahead with construction through to abandonment of the field.

Development Application. The official title of the documentation submitted in support of Terra Nova Development. The Development Application includes: Development Plan, Parts 1 and 2; Canada-Newfoundland Benefits Plan; Development Application Summary; Environmental Impact Statement;Socio-Economic Impact Statement. development drilling. Drilling and bringing into production additional wells on a lease following the drilling of the discovery and appraisal wells. development well. A well drilled in an area already proved to be productive.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-6 dewpoint (water). The temperature at which watervapour condenses out of a gas at a specified pressure.

DFO. Fisheries and Oceans. diatoms. Microscopic algae characterized by "pill-box like" cell walls containing silica. diel. Daily. dinoflagellate. A chiefly marine one-celled organism withresemblances to both plants and animals. Hard parts preserved asmicrofossils are important for dating and correlating Mesozoic and Cenozoic deposits. discovery well. An exploratory well that encounters a new and previously untapped petroleum deposit; a successful wildcat well.

DO. Dissolved oxygen.

DOC. Dissolved organic carbon. drill water. Water used as the liquid phase in water-based mud; usually denoting non-saline water. drilling mud. A special mixture of clay, water and chemical additives pumped down the wellbore through the drill pipe and drill bit to cool the rapidly rotating bit, lubricate the drill pipe as it turns in the wellbore, and carry rock cuttings to the surface; may have a water base or oil base. drilling platform. An offshore structure from which a number of wells are drilled. The legs of the platform are anchored to the seabed and the platform is built on a large-diameter pipe frame. drilling rig. A ship-shaped or semisubmersible vessel, or a jackup platform, with equipment suitable for offshore drilling. drillstem test (DST). A short-term test of the productive capacity of a well through drillpipe. dry dock. A dock that can be kept dry for use during the construction or repair of ships.

DST. Drillstem test. echinoderms. Invertebrate animals with radial symmetry and high carbonate content; includes starfish, brittlestars, sea urchins, sand dollars and sea cucumbers.

ECM. Environmental compliance monitoring.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-7 ecosystem. The complex of a community and its environment functioning as an ecological unit in nature.

ECRC. Eastern Canada Response Corporation.

EEM. Environmental effects monitoring. effluents. The liquid waste discharges of sewage and industrial processing.

EIS. Environmental Impact Statement. emergency shutdown (ESD) system. A system that, when activated, shuts in producing wells and isolates or depressures associated equipment. endangered. Descriptive of a species that is in danger of extinction within all or part of its range (the region to which it is native).

Environmental Impact Statement (EIS). A document that attempts to predict the effects a major development might have on the human and natural environments of a given geographic area. An EIS is prepared to enable industry, government and the public to consider the environmental and socio-economic costs and benefits of a development project. Based on the information contained in the EIS, decisions can be made on whether to proceed with the development project. epibenthos. Plants or animals that live on the sea bottom. Some of the animals are not attached, but crawl about. epifauna. Benthic animals living attached to or crawling over the bottom.

EPP. Environmental Protection Plan.

EPS. Environmental Protection Service.

ERICA. Experiment on Rapidly Intensifying Cyclones over the Atlantic.

ERS-1. European remote sensing satellite.

ESRA. East Coast Spill Response Association.

ESRF. Environmental Studies Research Fund.

ESRI. East Coast Spill Response Inc. estuary. That area of a coastal embayment that is under the influence of both fresh water and sea water.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-8 EU. European Union. euphausiid. Small shrimp-like zooplankton commonly known as krill. euphotic zone. The upper layers of the water column down to the limits of effective light penetration for photosynthesis. exploration well. A well drilled to find an oil- or gas-bearing formation. facies (sedimentary). The appearance and characteristics of a rock unit reflecting the depositional environment of its origin, as distingushed from adjacent units of different origin.

FAO. (a) Financial Assistance Officer. (b) Food and Agriculture Organization. fast ice. Ice attached to land or a permanent ice shelf excluding grounded ice or ice of land origin. fault. A fracture or fracture zone along which there has been displacement of the sides relative to each other parallel to the fracture. The displacement may be a few millimetres or many kilometres.

FEARO. Federal Environmental Assessment and Review Office. fecundity. Fertility. filter feeder. Animals that strain suspended food particles from the surrounding water.

FIOCS. Fully Integrated Oil Containment System.

First Oil. Milestone achieved when the first shuttle tanker has been filled with oil from the Terra Nova production system and the shuttle tanker disconnects from the offloading system. The entire production system is handed over to operations personnel at this point. This is the first quantity of oil to be delivered from the reservoir through the complete production and offloading system, including fiscal metering. flare. An arrangement of piping and burners used to dispose of surplus combustible vapours (by burning). flaring. Disposal of surplus combustible vapours by burning at the discharge of the flare tower. flatfish. Fish with a flattened body and both eyes on one side of the head. Includes plaice, flounder and halibut.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-9 fledge. To raise a young bird until it is able to fly. floating production system. A monohull or semisubmersible vessel with equipment suitable for producing hydrocarbons. flowline. (a) A pipeline that takes fluids from a single well or a series of wells to a gathering centre. (b) Seabed piping that connects field components such as wells, manifolds and riser bases. fluvial. Of or pertaining to a river. formation water. See produced water.

FPF. Floating production facility. freeboard. The height between normal water level and the deck of a vessel or structure in the water. front. A sloping transition zone between two water or air masses of different density and temperature. frontal zone. The three-dimensional zone or layer of large horizontal density gradient, bounded by frontal surfaces and surface front.

GALE. Genesis of Atlantic Lows Experiment.

GBS. Gravity-base structure. gel. A substance used in drilling that is in a liquid state when flowing and a semisolid gelled state at rest. This allows the drill cuttings to stay in suspension when circulation has stopped. See bentonite. geology. The study of the structure, origin, history and development of the earth. geostrophic. Pertaining to deflecting force resulting from the earth's rotation.

GESAMP. Joint Group of Experts on the Scientific Aspects of Marine Pollution.

GF. Groupiness factor. glaciomarine. Marine sediments that contain glacial material.

GOR. Gas-oil ratio.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-10 graben. A fault-bounded elongate crustal block that is down-dropped relative to adjacent crustal blocks, usually resulting in a topographic low. grain. A general term for sedimentary particles of all sizes (from clay to boulders), as used in the expressions "grain size," "fine-grained" and "coarse-grained." gravity base structure (GBS). The base of an offshore drilling and production platform, usually made of concrete, and of such tremendous weight that it is held securely on the ocean bottom without the need for piling or anchors. grey water. Water that has been used for washing, showers, laundry, or in the galley and contains no hydrocarbons or high concentrations of chemicals. groundfish. Species of fish that are collected by bottom gear (trawls); e.g., cod, haddock and flounder. gyre. Circular movement of water masses. h. The abbreviation for hour. habitat. The place where an animal or plant lives, often characterized by some physical condition (e.g., stream habitat). heterotrophs. Organisms that receive nourishment by ingesting and breaking down organic matter from the surrounding water.

HF. High frequency radio.

HMDC. Hibernia Management and Development Company.

Holocene. An epoch of the Quaternary period extending from the end of the Pleistocene, approximately eight thousand years ago, to the present time; also, the corresponding series of rocks and deposits. When the Quaternary is designated as an era, the Holocene is considered to be a period.

Hs The abbreviation for significant wave height. hurricane. A tropical cyclone with wind speeds over 118 km/h, usually accompanied by rain, thunder and lightning. hydrography. The science of the waters of the earth's surface, particularly with reference to their physical features, position, volume, etc., and the preparation of charts of seas, lakes, rivers, contours of the seabed, shallows, deeps, currents, etc.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-11 hydroids. Typical colonial polyps with variously branched bushy or feathery growths. Each polyp has a crown of tentacles around the mouth. hyperbenthic. Benthic or bottom organisms that spend part of their time in the water column for feeding or reproduction.

Hz. Hertz; unit of sound frequency equal to one cycle per second. iceberg scour. Seafloor trench caused by the ploughing motion of an iceberg grounding on the ocean floor. ichthyoplankton. Collective term for fish eggs and larvae when planktonic.

IGY. International geophysical year.

IIP. International Ice Patrol. impact. An observable and measurable response of a population, individual or abiotic factor to an external source of disturbance.

IMT. Integrated Management Team. inertial currents. Wind-driven currents that oscillate in horizontal circular paths. inertial period. The amount of time required for an inertial current to complete a full circle. infilling. A process of deposition by which sediment falls or is washed into depressions, cracks or holes, as the filling in of crevasses upon the melting of glacier ice. inhibitor. A substance that is capable of stopping or retarding a chemical reaction. injection water. Water pumped into the formation to maintain reservoir pressure (secondary recovery technique); offshore, injection water is filtered seawater treated with biocides, oxygen scavenger and scale inhibitor. inshore fishery. Refers to fishing using vessels 35 feet and under in length. interannual. Year-to-year. isobath. A line on a map or chart connecting points of equal water depth. isopods. A group of crustaceans including wood lice and sow bugs.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-12 jackup drilling unit. An offshore drilling structure with tubular or derrick legs supporting the deck and hull. A jackup rig is towed or propelled to a location with its legs up. Once the legs are firmly positioned on the seafloor, the deck and hull heights are adjusted and levelled. juvenile. Fish past the larval stage of development, but not yet large enough to be caught in the commercial fishery, e.g., cod remain juveniles for about four years.

JWE. Jacques, Whitford Environment. keel. A steel beam or timber, or a series of steel beans and plates or timbers joined together, extending along the centre of the bottom of a ship from stem to stern and often projecting below the bottom, to which the frames and hull plating are attached. kleptoparasite. A bird that steals food from other birds to feed its young; includes jaegars and skuas. km. The abbreviation for kilometre.

L. The abbreviation for litre. larva. The first immature phases of many animals after hatching of eggs and before assuming the adult form and habit.

LC50. The concentration of a toxicant necessary to kill 50 percent of the test organisms in a standard time period.

LEWEX. Labrador Sea Extreme Waves Experiment.

LFA. LeDrew, Fudge and Associates.

LIMEX. Labrador Ice Margin Experiment. liner. A length of casing used downhole to shut off a water or gas formation or prevent the loss of drilling fluids in a porous formation. lithology. The physical character of a rock. m. (a) The abbreviation for metre. (b) The abbreviation for earthquake magnitude.

M2. Lunar semidiurnal component. m3. The abbreviation for cubic metre. macrophytes. Macroscopic attached aquatic plants.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-13 manifold. A multiple piping arrangement containing the valving to divide a flow into several parts, combine several flows into one, or reroute a flow to one of several possible destinations.

MANMAR. Manual of Marine Weather Observing. marine riser. In an offshore drilling facility, a system of piping extending from the hole and terminating at the rig.

MAST. Marine Statistics.

Md. Measured depth; the distance measured along the well-bore from the drill floor in a deviated well.

MEDS. Canadian Marine Environment Data Service. megaripple. A large, gentle, ripple-like feature composed of sand in subaqueous environments having a wavelength grreater than 1 m or a ripple height greater than 10cm. Wavelengths reach 100 m and amplitude about 0.5 m; may be formed by tidal currents.

Mesozoic. An era of geologic time, from the end of the Paleozoic to the beginning of the Cenozoic, or from about 225 to 65 million years ago. mg. The abbreviation for milligram. microbiota, micro-organisms. Microscopic organisms, including animals, plants, bacteria, yeasts, fungi, etc., which are primarily single-celled, although some colonial forms and multi-celled organisms are included. Individuals range in size from about 0.0001 to 0.5 mm in diameter. migration. In seismic processing, plotting of dipping reflections in their true spatial positions. mitigating (mitigative) measure. A procedure designed to reduce or negate the possible harmful effects of a substance or process on a species, habitat or environment. mm. The abbreviation for millimetre.

MMS. Minerals Management Service (U.S.).

MODU. Mobile offshore drilling unit. mollusc. An animal possessing an external or vestigial calcium carbonate shell; including clams, snails and squid.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-14 monohull.A ship-shaped vessel.

MSRC. Marine Spill Response Corporation (U.S.).

NAFC. Northwest Atlantic Fisheries Centre.

NAFO. Northwest Atlantic Fisheries Organization.

NAO. North Atlantic Oscillation.

NCSP. Northern Cod Science Program.

NEB. National Energy Board. neritic. The zone of the ocean inshore from the edge of the Continental Shelf, including coastal bays and inlets and the Continental Shelf. neuston. Planktonic organisms living in or near the surface film at the surface of the sea.

NMC. National Meteorological Center (U.S.).

NOAA. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

NOBE. Newfoundland Offshore Burn Experiment.

NOFO. North Sea Operators Clean Seas Association.

NRC. National Response Corporation (U.S.). nursery area. An area that supports fish during their first year of life.

NWP. Numerical weather prediction. offal. Refuse, garbage. oleoclasts. Bacteria that have the ability to degrade hydrocarbons.

OPEN. Ocean Production Enhancement Network.

Operations Phase. The period following First Oil until cessation of all oil production from the Terra Nova Field. Includes post First Oil development drilling, offshore installation activities, production, operations, maintenance, well abandonment, decommissioning and removal from the Terra Nova Field of all facilities, equipment and vessels used in the production system.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-15 Operator. When capitalized in this document, refers to Petro-Canada.

OSRL. Oil Spill Response Ltd. overconsolidation. Consolidation (of sedimentary material) that is greater than normal for the existing overburden, e.g., consolidation resulting from desiccation or from pressure of overburden that has since been removed by erosion. ovoviviparous. Producing eggs that are hatched within the body, so that the young are born alive but without placental attachment; as certain reptiles and fishes, etc.

PAC. Polycyclic aromatic compounds. pack ice. Any area of sea ice, except fast ice, composed of a heterogeneous mixture of ice of varying ages and sizes, and formed by the packing together of pieces of floating ice. packer. An expanding plug used near the bottom of a well to isolate the tubing-casing annulus.

PAH. Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons.

PAL. Provincial Airlines Ltd. paleo. Ancient, old.

PCB. Polychlorinated biphenyls. pebbles. Smooth rounded stones ranging in diameter from 2 to 64 mm. pelagic. Living or feeding in the water column.

PERD. Panel on Energy Research and Development. petroleum. Oil and natural gas. photosynthesis. The utilization of the sun by plants to combine water and carbon dioxide into simple sugars.

PHPA. An inhibited water-based drilling fluid. physiography. The description and origin of landforms.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-16 phytoplankton. Planktonic (i.e., floating or swimming) photosynthesizing organisms that are mostly single-celled, although some are colonial; some are capable of swimming, while others are incapable of independent motion. pile. A long, heavy wooden, steel or reinforced concrete post driven, jacked, jetted or drilled into the ground to support a load. plankton. Organisms living in water that are not capable of swimming vigorously enough to move independently of water movements. platform. A large structure used during the development and production phases to support such facilities as the drilling rigs, living quarters, production equipment and helipads.

Pleistocene. An epoch of the Quaternary period, after the Pliocene of the Tertiary and before the Holocene; also, the corresponding worldwide series of rocks. It began two to three million years ago and lasted until the start of the Holocene some eight thousand years ago. Where the Quaternary is designated as an era, the Pleistocene is considered to be a period. plume. A trail of oil.

PMEL. U.S. Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory. polychaete. A marine worm with true body segments and hard spines. polymer mud. A drilling mud to which has been added a polymer (a chemical that consists of large molecules that were formed from small molecules in repeating structural units) to increase the viscosity of the mud. porosity. The volume of the pore space expressed as a percentage of the total volume of the rock mass. ppb. Parts per billion. ppm. Parts per million.

Pre-Engineering. All of the engineering work undertaken before the Project Phase to determine the preferred floating production system for Terra Nova. Begins with the invitation to submit Alliance qualification proposals through selection of the three Alliance groups, through selection of the preferred production system and Alliance. Includes further definition engineering work with the preferred Alliance up to the commencement of the Project Phase.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-17 Precambrian Era. A division of geological time including time older than about 600 x6 10 years ago. pressure gradient. The rate of pressure increase with depth. primary production. Carbon fixation during photosynthesis; includesphytoplankton. produced sand. Sand produced with oil and gas. production manifold. A steel structure containing piping and valves located on the seabed, remote from the surface producing facility. Flow from producing wells is combined at the production manifold before moving to the riser base and then the surface producing facility. production platform. An offshore structure equipped to receive oil or gas from offshore wells where primary processing, compression and pumping are carried out before transportation of the oil or gas to shore. productionwellhead. The terminal point of a producing well, consisting of casing head, tubing head, tubing string connection, and the complex known as the Christmas tree. productivity. The rate of production of newbiomass by populations of organisms.

Project Phase. The period beginning with regulatory approval of the Development Application and the proponents' authorization to execute Terra Nova Development, up to the production and offloading of First Oil. Includes detail engineering, procurement, construction, commissioning, installation and development drilling up to First Oil. Does not include development drilling after First Oil.

Proponents. Those Terra Nova asset owners who are sharing in the predevelopment costs and who have authorizedPetro-Canada to prepare a Development Application in its capacity as Operator. protozoa. A group of single-celled animals. psu. The abbreviation for practical salinity unit.

Quaternary. The second period of the Cenozoic era, following the Tertiary; also, the corresponding system of rocks. It began two to three million years ago and extends to the present. It consists of two grossly unequal epochs: the Pleistocene, up to about eight thousand years ago, and the Holocene since that time.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-18 recruitment. The addition of individuals to a population through reproduction and immigration. reflection. The return of a wave or energy incident upon a surface to its original medium. Also, in seismic prospecting, the indication on a record of such reflected energy.

Regulatory Phase. The period and activities associated with the regulatory review of the Development Application. Commences with the filing of the Development Application and ends upon receipt of approval. reserves. That part of an identified resource from which a usable mineral or energy commodity can be economically and legally extracted at the time of determination. reservoir. A subsurface, porous, permeable rock body in which oil or gas has accumulated; most reservoir rocks are limestones, dolomites,sandstones, or a combination of these. residual impacts. Those impacts remaining after enhancement andmitigative measures have been applied.

RFE. Regional finite element. rift. An elongate structural trough bounded by normal faults formed duringcrustal extension. rig. Refers to the combination of equipment used to drill wells. riser. A flowline carrying oil or gas from the seabed to the deck of a production platform or a tanker loading platform. riser base manifold. A simple structure located on theseafloor to act as a termination point for the production riser, satellite wells and transfer lines.

ROV. Remotely operated vehicle. s. The abbreviation for second. sand. A detrital particle smaller than a granule and larger than a coarse silt grain, having a diameter in the range of 0.625 mm to 2 mm. sandstone. Consolidated sediment composed primarily of sand-sized grains.

SAR. (a) Search and rescue. (b) Synthetic aperture radar.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-19 SAWRS. Supplementary aviation weather reporting service.

SBM. Single buoy mooring. scour. (a) Seafloor trench caused by theploughing motion of an iceberg grounding on the ocean floor. (b) Seafloor erosion caused by strong currents, resulting in theredeployment of bottom sediments and formation of holes and channels.

SDA. Significant Discovery Area.

SDL. Significant DiscoveryLicence. sea ice. Any ice floating in the sea. sediment. Solid material, both mineral and organic, that is being or has been transported from its site of origin by air, water or ice, and has come to rest on the earth's surface either above or below sea level. sedimentary rock. Rocks formed by the accumulation of sediment in water or from air. The sediment may consist of rock fragments or particles, the remains of animals or plants, the product of chemical action or evaporation, or of mixtures of these materials.

SEIS. Socio-Economic Impact Statement. seismic. Pertaining to, characteristic of or produced by earthquakes or earth vibration. seismicity. The phenomenon of earth movements; seismic activity. seismotectonic. Pertaining to deformation of earth's crust from shocks not due to volcanic action. semidiurnal tide. A tide having two high waters and two low waters during a tidal day. semisubmersible. A drilling or production vessel that has the main buoyancy chambers (pontoons) below the active wave zone to provide enhanced vessel stability. separator. A cylindrical or spherical vessel used to separate the components in mixed streams of fluids. sequence. A succession of geological events, processes or rocks, arranged in chronological order to show their relative position and age with respect to the geological history as a whole. sessile. Organisms that are fixed to substrate.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-20 shale. Sedimentary rock consisting dominantly of clay-sized particles, an appreciable amount of which are clay minerals. shear. A stress causing or tending to cause two adjacent parts of a solid to slide past one another parallel to the plane of contact. shelf break. An abrupt change in slope, marking the boundary between the Continental Shelf and the Continental Slope. shuttle tanker. A ship with large tanks in the hull for carrying oil or water back and forth over a short route. sidescan sonar. A sonar device used in seismic surveys to scan the seabed from the side of the survey ship. silt. A detrital particle smaller than a very fine sand grain and larger than coarse clay, having a diameter in the range of 0.004 mm to 0.625 mm. siltstone. Consolidated sediment consisting dominantly of silt-sized grains.

SLAR. Side-looking airborne radar. snubbing. A procedure for servicing wells that are under pressure. Pipe anddownhole tools are withdrawn from or lowered into the well through a stack of rams (valve-like devices that close around pipe or tubing being withdrawn or lowered and seal off the well pressure). sorting. The degree of similarity in grain size of sedimentary particles in a sediment; a measure of the spread or range of the particle-size distribution on either side of an average. source rock. Sedimentary rock in which organic material under pressure, heat and time was transformed into liquid or gaseous hydrocarbons (usually shale or limestone).

SPM. Single-point mooring. ss. The abbreviation forsubsea. stock. A species, group or population that maintains and sustains itself over time in a definable area. A stock is characterized by constancy of the genetic information in the gene pool, and constancy of expression of particular characters controlled either genetically or environmentally. Examples include maintenancecolour of variations or particular growth rates.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-21 storm surge. A rise above normal water level due to the action of wind on the water surface and the rise in level because of atmospheric pressure reduction. stratification. Division of the water column into layers, or strata, because of differences in density, structure or temperature. stratigraphy. A branch of geology concerned with the form, arrangement, geographic distribution, chronological succession, composition, correlation and mutual relationships of rock strata, especially sedimentary. stratum. A tabular or sheet-like body or layer of sedimentary rock, visually separable from other layers above and below; a bed. It has been defined asstratigraphic a unit that may be composed of a number of beds, as a layer greater than 1 cm in thickness and constituting a part of a bed, and as a general term that includes both "bed" and "lamination." The term is more frequently used in its plural form, strata. subaerial. Formed, existing or taking place on the land surface. sublittoral. The area of the seafloor below the level of extreme low spring water. submarine canyon. Steep valley-like submarine depression crossing the continental-margin region. Common on the Continental Slope and Shelf, but some continue across the Continental Rise. submudline. Preparing a well for the production of oil and gas with the completionwellhead components installed below the sea floor. surficial. Characteristic of, pertaining to, formed on, situated at, or occurring on the earth's surface; especially, consisting of unconsolidated residual, alluvial or glacial deposits lying on the bedrock. synoptic. Atmospheric conditions existing at a given time over an extended region; e.g., a synoptic weather map, which is drawn from observations taken simultaneously at a network of stations over a large area, thus giving a general view of weather conditions. t. The abbreviation fortonne (a metric ton). tectonic. Of, pertaining to, or designating the rock structure and external forms resulting from the deformation of the earth's crust. As applied to earthquakes, it describes shocks not due to volcanic action, collapse of caverns, or landslides.

Terra Nova Development. "Development" refers to all phases of the project, from the decision to go ahead with construction through to abandonment of the field.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-22 Tertiary. The first period of the Cenozoic era (after the Cretaceous of the Mesozoic era and before the Quaternary), thought to have covered the span of time between 65 and 1.5 to 2.5 million years ago. It is divided into five epochs: the Paleocene, Eocene, Oligocene, Miocene and Pliocene.

TFOSP. Task Force on Oil Spill Preparedness. thermocline. A temperature gradient as in a layer of sea water, in which the temperature decrease with depth is greater than that of the overlying and underlying water. threatened species. In Canada, an indigenous species that is likely to become endangered if the factors affecting its vulnerability are not reversed. till. Nonsorted, nonstratified material (containing particles ranging in size from clay particles to boulders) that has been carried or deposited by a glacier.

TLM. Total Loss Management.Petro-Canada's loss management framework. topside (or topsides) facilities. The oil- and gas-producing and support equipment located on the top of an offshore structure.

TPH. Total petroleum hydrocarbons. transgressive (or transgression). Refers to the encroachment of the sea upon the land. transport (or transportation). A phase of sedimentation that includes the movement by natural agents (such as flowing water, ice, wind or gravity) of sediment or of any loose material, either as solid particles or in solution, from one place to another on or near the earth's surface, e.g., the drifting of sand along a seashore under the influence of currents, the creeping movement of rocks on a glacier or the conveyance of silt, clay and dissolved salts by a stream. tree. (a) An arrangement of valves placed on top of a well to control flow from the well. (b)An arrangement of valves and fittings attached to the tubing head to control flow and provide access to the tubing string. trophic level. The position an organism occupies in the food web, determined by the number of energy transfer steps needed to get to that point. tropical storm. A tropical cyclone with wind speeds from 61 to 118 km/h. tunicates. Globular or elongatedsaclike filter-feeding animals attached to the substrate at one end, and with two openings,incurrent and excurrent, at the free end.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-23 turbidity. The state or condition of having the transparency or translucency of water disturbed, as when sediment in water is stirred up. turret. A low, tower-like structure capable of revolving horizontally within the hull of a ship and connected to a number of mooring lines and risers. It allows the ship to rotate with the weather while maintaining a fixed mooring system. umbilical. A conduit or group of conduits providing communications for the purposes of power and control from a floating production facility to a facility located on theseafloor. unconformity. The structural relationship between rock strata in contact, characterized by a lack of continuity in deposition and corresponding to a period ofnondeposition, weathering or especially erosion (eithersubaerial or subaqueous) before the deposition of the younger beds. upwelling. Light surface water transported away from a coast (by action of winds parallel to it) and replaced near the coast by heavier subsurface water.

USGOM. U.S. Gulf of Mexico.

USGOM-OCS. U.S. Gulf of Mexico Outer Continental Shelf.

USOCS. U.S. Outer Continental Shelf.

VEC. Valued ecosystem component.

VHF. Very high frequency. viscosity. The measure of the resistance of a fluid to flow; the lower the viscosity number, the more readily the fluid will flow.

WAM. Wave Modelling Group. water column. The vertical dimension of a body of water, i.e., the water between a reference point or area on the surface and one located directly below it on the bottom. water-based mud. A drilling mud in which the continuous phase is water. Seedrilling mud. wave hindcasting. Prediction of waves based on past meteorological conditions. wave rider buoys. An instrumented buoy moored in a specific marine location; used to collect oceanographic data. well casing. See casing.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00011.0, Rev.0 Glossary-24 well completion. The final sealing-off of a drilled well from theborehole with valving, safety and flow-control devices, following final cementing and perforation of the casing at the producing zone and removal of the drilling apparatus from theborehole. well workover. A program of work performed on an existing well; may involve re-evaluating the production formation, clearing sand from producing zones, jet lifting, replacing downhole equipment, deepening the well,acidizing or fracturing, or improving the drive mechanism. wireline. A rope composed of steel wires twisted into strands that are in turn twisted around a central core of hemp or otherfibre to create a rope of great strength and flexibility; used to lower and raise logging instruments and bottom line-pressure gauges.

Wisconsinan. Pertaining to the classical fourth glacial stage (and the last definitely ascertained, although there appear to be others) of the Pleistocene Epoch in North America, following theSagamonian interglacial stage and preceding the Holocene.

WMO. World Meteorological Organization. zooplankton. The animal component of those organisms drifting or weakly swimming in the ocean largely at the mercy of prevailing currents.

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Petrie, B. and D. Warnell. Oceanographic and meteorological observations from the Hibernia region of the Newfoundland Grand Banks. Canadian Data Report of Hydrography and Ocean Science, No. 69, 270 p. 1988.

Petrie, B., S. Akenhead, J. Lazier, and J. Loder. The cold intermediate layer on the Labrador and Northeast Newfoundland shelves. 1978-86. NAFO Science Council Studies, No. 12, p. 57-69. 1988.

Petrie, B., J.W. Loder, S.A. Akenhead, and J. Lazier. Temperature and salinity variability on the Eastern Newfoundland Shelf: the annual harmonic. Atmosphere-Ocean, v. 29, p. 14-36. 1990.

Petrie, B., J.W. Loder, S.A. Akenhead, and J. Lazier. Temperature and salinity variability on the Eastern Newfoundland Shelf: the residual field. Atmosphere-Ocean, v. 30, p. 120-139. 1992.

Prinsenberg, S.J. and R.G. Ingram. Under-ice physical oceanographic processes. Journal of Marine Systems, v. 2, p. 143-152. 1991.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-9 Ross, C.K., J.W. Loder, and M.J. Graca. Moored current and hydrographic measurements on the southeast shoal of the Grand Bank, 1986 and 1987. Canadian Data Report on Hydrography and Ocean Sciences, No. 71: 132 p. 1988.

Scientific American. Oceanography. W.H. Freeman & Company, San Francisco. 417 p. 1972.

Seaconsult. Physical environmental data for production systems at Terra Nova. Prepared for Petro-Canada by Seaconsult Limited, St. John's, NF. 1988.

Smith, P.C. and H. Sandström. Physical processes at the Shelf Edge in the Northwest Atlantic. Journal of Northwest Atlantic Fishery Science, v. 8, p. 5-13. 1988.

Smith, P.C. and F.B. Schwing. Mean circulation and variability on the continental shelves of Eastern Canada. Continental Shelf Research, v. 11, p. 977-1012. 1991.

Smith, P.C., C.L. Tang, J.I. MacPherson, and R.F. McKenna. Investigating the marginal ice zone on the Newfoundland shelf. EOS, p. 57-62. 1994.

Swail, V.R., V.J. Cardone and B. Eid. An extremes wind and wave hindcast off the East Coast of Canada. 2nd International Workshop on Wave Hindcasting and Forecasting. April 25-28, Vancouver, BC. p. 151-160. 1989.

Swail, V.R., M. Parsons, B.T. Callahan, and V.J. Cardone. A revised extreme wave climatology for the Canadian east coast incorporating shallow water effects. Fourth International Workshop on Wave Hindcasting and Forecasting, Banff, AB, Oct. 16-20, 1995. Environment Canada, Downsview, ON. p. 81-92. 1995.

Tang, C.L. and T. Yao. Atmosphere-Ocean, LIMEX '89 issue. 1992.

Tang, C.L. and M. Manore. Atmosphere-Ocean, Preface to LIMEX '89 Issue, v. 30, p. 147-148. 1992.

Tang, C.L. and D. Belliveau. Vertical structure of current on the Northern Grand Bank - a view from a bottom mounted Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler. Continental Shelf Research, v. 14, p. 1331-1347. 1994.

Tang, C.L and Q. Gui. A 3-D diagnostic model of the Labrador and Newfoundland shelves. Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society Congress, Kelowna, BC. (abstract only). 105 p. 1995.

Vachon, P.W., G.A. Borstad, and R.E. Thomson. Airborne observations of mesoscale ocean features. Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing, v. 18, p. 152-166. 1992.

Voorheis, G.M., K. Aagaard, and L.K. Coachman. Circulation patterns near the tail of the Grand Banks. Journal of Physical Oceanography, v. 3, p. 397-405. 1973.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-10 WASA Group. Changing storm and wave climate in the Northeast Atlantic and adjacent seas? Proceedings of the Fourth International Workshop on Wave Hindcasting and Forecasting, Banff, AB, Oct. 16-20, 1995. Environment Canada, Downsview, ON. p. 31-44. 1995.

Wilson, L.J., E. Dunlap, R.B. Olsen, and S. de Margerie. Assimilation of SAR wave data into an operational spectral wave model. Proceedings of the Fourth International Workshop on Wave Hindcasting and Forecasting, Banff, AB, Oct. 16-20, 1995. Environment Canada, Downsview, ON. p. 301-312. 1995.

Wright, D.G., J.R.N. Lazier, and W. Armstrong. Moored current meter and pressure data from the Labrador/Newfoundland shelf, June 1985-July 1987. Canadian Data Report of Hydrography and Ocean Science, No. 62, 258 p. 1988.

Yao, T., T. Brown, and D. Fissel. Verification study of regional sea ice models. Report by Arctic Sciences Ltd. to Ice Centre, Environment Canada. 286 p. 1992.

Sea Ice and Icebergs

Anderson, I. Iceberg deterioration model. Report of the International Ice Patrol in the North Atlantic Ocean, Season of 1983. U.S. Coast Guard Report CG-188-38. p. 67-73. 1983.

Blenkarn, K.A. and A.E. Knapp. Ice conditions on the Grand Banks. Canadian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, Special Volume 10, Ice Seminar, Calgary. 1969.

Bradford, J.D. A preliminary report of the observation of sea ice pressure and its effects on merchant vessels under icebreaker escort. Ice Seminar, Reykjavik. 1972.

Carrier, Y. Une etude de la distribution et de la taille des floes de glace dans les eaux de Terra Nova. Incomplete draft manuscript prepared for Canada Oil and Gas Lands Administration, Ottawa. 1982.

Convey, A.D. 1972 Grand Banks Aerial Reconnaissance Engineering Memorandum. AMOCO Canada Petroleum Co., Ltd., Calgary. 1972.

Cote, P.W. Ice limits eastern Canadian seaboard. Atmospheric Environment Services, Ottawa. 39 p. 1989.

Croasdale, K.R. and Associates. Environmental research planning study for PERD Task 6. Contract report prepared for the Federal Panel on Energy Research and Development. Calgary, Alberta, 142 p. 1994.

Crocker, G.B. Size distributions of bergy bits and growlers calved from deteriorating icebergs. Cold Regions Science and Technology, v. 22, p. 113-119. 1993.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-11 Crocker, G.B. and A.B. Cammaert. Measurements of bergy bit and growler populations off Canada's East Coast. IAHR Ice Symposium, Trondheim, Norway, v. 1, p. 167-176. 1994. d'Apollonia, S.J. and C.F.M. Lewis. Numerical model for calculating longer-term spatial distribution and mean frequency of iceberg-grounding events. In: Ice Scour and Seabed Engineering, Canada Environmental Research Funds Report No. 049. p. 221-232. 1986.

De Margerie, S., J. Middleton, C. Garret, S. Marquis, F. Majaess, and K. Lauk. An operational iceberg trajectory forecasting model for the Grand Banks of Newfoundland. Canada Environmental Sciences Research Funds Report No. 52. 86 p. 1986.

Dobrocky Seatech. Field Data Report. Sea ice documentation in the vicinity of the Hibernia drilling area, February 14-22, 1985. Report prepared for Mobil Oil Canada Ltd., Calgary. 1985.

Feazel, C.T. and R.C. Kollmeyer. Major iceberg-producing glaciers of West Greenland. In: Sea Ice, Proceedings of an International Conference, Reykjavik, Iceland. National Research Council. p. 140-145. 1972.

Fissel, D.B., G.R. Wilton and J.R. Marko. Study of Grand Banks ice pack dynamics, 1985. ASL report for Petro-Canada Resources Inc., Calgary. 1985.

Fissel, D.B. and C.L. Tang. Response of sea ice to wind forcing on the Northeastern Newfoundland Shelf. Journal of Geophysical Research, v. 96, p. 18 397-18 409. 1991.

Geonautics Ltd. Regional ice scour database update studies. Environmental Studies Research Funds Report No. 105. 177 p. + App. 1989.

Hill, B.T. and S.J. Jones. The Newfoundland ice extent and the solar cycle from 1860 to 1988. Journal of Geophysical Research, v. 95, p. 5385-5394. 1990.

Ice Engineering Ltd. Iceberg field survey, Volume A. Prepared for Mobil Oil Canada Ltd. 1981a.

Ice Engineering Ltd. Iceberg field survey, Volume B. Prepared for Mobil Oil Canada Ltd. 1981b.

Ice Engineering Ltd. Iceberg field survey. Prepared for Mobil Oil Canada Ltd. 1982.

Ice Engineering Ltd. A survey of icebergs off the Newfoundland coast. Prepared for Mobil Oil Canada Ltd. 1983.

Ledrew, B.R. and S.T. Culshaw. Ship in the ice data report. C-CORE Publ. No. 77.28. St. John's, NF. 1977.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-12 Lewis, C.F.M., D.R. Parrot, S.J. d'Apollonia, H.S. Gaskill, and J.V. Barrie. Methods of estimating iceberg scouring rates on the Grand Banks of Newfoundland. Proceedings of the Ninth International Conference on Port and Ocean Engineering under Arctic Conditions. p. 229-254. 1987.

Markham, W.E. Ice Atlas, Eastern Canadian Seaboard. Atmospheric Environment Service, Downsview, ON. 1980.

Marko, J.R. Small Icebergs and Iceberg Fragments off Newfoundland: Relationships to Deterioration Mechanisms and the Regional Iceberg Population. To be published by Atmosphere-Ocean. 1996.

Marko, J. R., D.B. Fissel, and J.D. Miller. Iceberg movement and prediction off the Canadian East Coast. In: Natural and Man-Made Hazards. M.J. El-Sabh and T.S. Murty (ed.). D. Reidel Publishing. 1987.

Marko, J.R., D.B. Fissel, P. Wadhams, P.M. Kelly, and R.D. Brown. Iceberg severity off Eastern North America: its relationship to sea ice variability and climate change. Journal of Climate, v. 7, p. 1335-1351. 1994a.

Marko, J.R., D.B. Fissel, and D.R. Haller. Study of interannual variability of sea ice off the Canadian East Coast. Report prepared for Environment Canada, Canadian Climate Centre, Downsview, ON. by ASL Environmental Sciences Inc., Sidney, BC. 80 p. 1994b.

Marko, J.R., D.B. Fissel and T. Yao. Further investigation of empirical and physical approaches to improving regional ice forecasting. Report prepared for Environment Canada by ASL Environmental Sciences Inc., Sidney, BC. 70 p. + App. 1994c.

Miles, M. K. An index of pack ice severity off Newfoundland and its secular variation. The Meteorological Magazine, v. 103, p. 121-125. 1974.

Murphy, D. L. and I. Anderson. An evaluation of the International Ice Patrol drift model. Report of the International Ice Patrol in the North Atlantic Ocean, Season of 1985. U.S. Coast Guard Report GG-188-40. p. 68-77. 1985.

Nolte, K.G. and M.E. Trethart. North Atlantic Sea Ice Survey. Report prepared by AMOCO Canada Petroleum Co. Ltd., Calgary. 1971.

Navoc (Naval Ocean Command). Sea Ice Climate Atlas, Vol II, Arctic East. Document NAVAIR 50-1c-541. 147 p. 1986.

NORDCO Ltd. Analysis of laser profilometry of sea ice. 1977.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-13 PAL. Historical iceberg sightings 1989-1995 for the Terra Nova Project. Report prepared for Petro-Canada By Provincial Airlines Ltd., St. John's, NF. 16 p.+ App. Petro-Canada internal report 95-017. 1995.

Peterson, I.K. Sea ice velocity fields off Labrador and Eastern Newfoundland derived from satellite imagery: 1984-1987. Canadian Technical Report of Hydrography and Ocean Sciences, No. 129. 85 p. 1990.

Prinsenberg, S.J., J.S. Holladay, and L.A. Lalumiere. Electromagnetic/radar ice and snow sounding project over the Newfoundland Shelf in 1992. Canadian Technical Report of Hydrography and Ocean Sciences, No. 144. 59 p. 1993.

Reeh, N. Greenland ice sheet mass balance and sea level. In: Glaciers, Ice Sheets and Sea Levels: Effects of a CO2-Induced Climatic Change. U.S. Department of Energy Report DOE/ER/60235-1. p. 155-171. 1985.

Robe, R.Q., D.C. Maier, and R.C. Kollmeyer. Iceberg deterioration. Nature, v. 267, p. 505-506. 1977.

Robe, R.Q. Iceberg drift and deterioration. Dynamics of Snow and Ice Masses, S.C. Colbeck (ed.). Academic Press, New York. 1980.

Scott, D.B., P.J. Mudie, G. Vilks, and D.C. Younger. Latest Pleisticene-Holocene paleoceanographic trends on the continental margin of eastern Canada: forminaferal, dinoflagellate and pollen evidence. Marine Micropaleontology, v. 9, p. 181-218. 1984.

Seaconsult. Physical environmental data for production systems at Terra Nova. Report prepared for Petro-Canada Inc., Calgary. 1988.

Smith, E.H. The Marion Expedition to Davis Strait and Baffin Bay; Part II, physical oceanography. U.S. Coast Guard Bulletin 19. 1931.

Smith, S.D. Hindcasting iceberg drift using current profiles and winds. Cold Regions Science and Technology, v. 22, p. 33-45. 1993.

Sowden, W.J. and F.E. Geddes. Weekly median and extreme ice edges for Eastern Canadian Seaboard. Atmospheric Environment Service, Downsview, ON. 1980.

Venkatesh, S. On the deterioration of a grounded iceberg. Journal of Glaciology, v. 32, p. 161-167. 1986.

White, F.M., M.L. Spaulding, and L. Gominho. Theoretical estimates of the various mechanisms involved in iceberg deterioration in the open ocean environment. Report CG-D-62-80 Coast Guard Research and Development Center. 126 p. 1980.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-14 Woodward-Lynas, C.M.T., A. Simms, and C.M. Rendell. Iceberg grounding and scouring on the Labrador continental shelf. Cold Regions Science and Technology, v. 10, p. 163-186. 1985.

Geology

Bell, J.S. and G.R. Campbell. Petroleum resources, Chapter 12. In: Geology of the Continental Margin of Eastern Canada. M.J. Keen and G.L. Williams (ed.) Geological Survey of Canada. Geology of Canada. No. 2, p. 677-720. 1990.

Enachescu, M.E. Tectonic and structural framework of the Northeast Newfoundland continental margin. In: Sedimentary Basins and Basin-Forming Mechanisms. C. Beaumont and A.J. Tankard (ed.). Canadian Society of Petroleum Geologists, Memoir 12, p. 117-146. 1987.

Fader, G.B.J. and R.O. Miller. Regional geological constraints to resource development - Grand Banks of Newfoundland. In: 3rd Canadian Conference on Marine Geotechnical Engineering, v. 1. St. John's, Newfoundland. 1986.

Fader, G.B. and D.J.W. Piper. Grand Banks of Newfoundland, Quaternary geology, Chapter 10. In: Geology of the Continental Margin of Eastern Canada. M.J. Keen and G.L. Williams (ed.). Geological Survey of Canada. Geology of Canada. No. 2, p. 475-607. 1990.

Grant, A.C. and K.D. McAlpine. The continental margin around Newfoundland, Chapter 6. In: Geology of the Continental Margin of Eastern Canada. M.J. Keen and G.L. Williams (ed.). Geological Survey of Canada. Geology of Canada. No. 2, p. 239-292. 1990.

Keen, M.J. and D.J.W. Piper. Geological and historical perspective, Chapter 1. In: Geology of the Continental Margin of Eastern Canada. M.J. Keen and G.L. Williams (ed.). Geological Survey of Canada. Geology of Canada. No. 2, p. 5-30. 1990.

Moran, K. and D.C. Mosher. M/V Balder Challenger Atlantic Geoscience Centre. Unpublished Cruise Report No. 88400. Atlantic Geoscience Centre. Geological Survey of Canada. Bedford Institute of Oceanography. 1988.

Nolan-Ertec. Hibernia gravity-base structure preliminary foundation evaluation. Prepared for Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. 1989.

Petro-Canada. Terra Nova reserves report (Based on 3-D Seismic). Unpublished Report No. 85036. 1986.

Seaconsult Limited. Physical Environmental Data for Production Systems at Terra Nova. Report to Petro-Canada Inc., Calgary, Alberta. 1988.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-15 Tankard, A.J., H.J. Welsink, and W.A.M. Jenkins. Structural styles and stratigraphy of the Jeanne d’Arc Basin, Grand Banks of Newfoundland, Chapter 17. In: Extensional Tectonics and Stratigraphy of the North Atlantic Margins. A.J. Tankard and H.R. Balkwill (ed.). American Association of Petroleum Geologists, Memoir 46, p. 265-282. 1989.

Shoreline Environment

Catto, N.R. Coastal evolution and sea level variation, Avalon Peninsula, Newfoundland: geomorphic, climatic, and anthropogenic variation. In: Coastal Zone Canada Halifax Conference. P.G. Walls and P. Ricketts (ed.). Bedford Institute of Oceanography. v. 4, p. 1788-1803. 1994. deYoung, B., T. Otterson and R.J. Greatbach. The local and non-local response of Conception Bay to wind forcing. Journal of Physical Oceanography, v. 23, p. 2636-2649. 1993. deYoung, B. and B. Sanderson. The Circulation and hydrography of Conception Bay, Newfoundland. Atmosphere-Ocean, v. 33, p. 135-162. 1995.

Forbes, D.L. Coastal geomorphology and sediments of Newfoundland. In: Geological Survey of Canada. Current Research, Part B. Paper 84-1B, p. 11-24. 1984.

Godin, G. Cotidal charts for Canada. Marine Science Information Directorate Man. Rep. Series No. 55, Fisheries and Oceans Canada. 93 p. 1980.

Liverman, D.G.E., D.L. Forbes, and R.A. Boger. Coastal monitoring on the Avalon Peninsula. In: Current Research, Newfoundland Department of Mines and Energy Geological Survey Branch, Report 94-1. p. 17-27. 1994.

Narayanan, S., S. Prinsenberg, and P.C. Smith. Current meter observations from the Labrador and Newfoundland shelves and comparisons with barotropic model predictions and IIP surface currents. Atmosphere-Ocean (CASP II issue, submitted). 1995.

Petrie, B. and Anderson. Circulation on the Newfoundland continental shelf. Atmosphere-Ocean, v. 21, p. 206-207. 1983.

Petrie, B.D. Current meter and tide gauge observations from Avalon Channel, 1980-1981. Canadian Data Report of Hydrography and Ocean Sciences, v. 102, p. 99. 1991.

Shaw, J. and D.L. Forbes. Coastal barrier and beach-ridge sedimentation in Newfoundland. In: Geological Survey of Canada, Proceedings of the Canadian Coastal Conference, 1987. Atlantic Geoscience Centre. Bedford Institute of Oceanography, p. 437-454. 1987.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-16 Taylor, R.B., J.R. Harper, and R. Gillie. Modern sedimentary processes, Chapter 11. In: Geology of the Continental Margin of Eastern Canada. M.J. Keen and G.L. Williams (ed.). Geological Survey of Canada. Geology of Canada. No. 2, p. 609-673. 1990.

Yao, T. The response of currents in Trinity Bay. Newfoundland to local wind forcing Atmosphere- Ocean. v. 24, p. 235-252. 1986.

Water Resources. Water Resources Atlas of Newfoundland. Water Resources Division. Government of Newfoundland and Labrador, 79 p. 1992.

Chemical Environment

Colbourne, E.B. State-of-the-ocean, Grand Banks Area (3L), mid-spring 1993, with a comparison to the mean. NAFO SCR Doc. 93/87. 14 p. 1993.

Colbourne, E. and S. Narayanan. Environmental conditions in Atlantic Canada, summer 1994 with comparisons to the long-term average. NAFO SCR Doc. 94/65. 20 p. 1994.

Eaton, P.B., L.P. Hildebrand, and A.A. d'Entremont. Environmental quality in the atlantic region 1985. Environment Canada, Environmental Protection Service, Atlantic Region, Dartmouth. 1986.

Hellou, J., W.G. Warren, J.F. Payne, S. Belkhode, and P. Lobel. Heavy metals and other elements in three tissues of cod, Gadus Morhua from the Northwest Atlantic. Marine Pollution Bulletin, v. 24, p. 452-458. 1992.

Jacques Whitford Environment. Hibernia baseline environmental effects monitoring data report; unpublished report (JWE Project No. 803), October 16, 1995.

Levy, E.M. Baseline levels of volatile hydrocarbons and petroleum residues in the waters and sediments of the Grand Banks. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 40 (Suppl. 2), p. 23-33. 1983.

Levy, E.M. Background levels of petroleum residues in the waters and surficial bottom sediments of the Labrador shelf and Hudson Strait/Foxe Basin regions. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 43, p. 536-547. 1986.

MacDonald, D.D., S.L. Smith, M.P. Wong, and P. Mudroch. The development of Canadian marine environmental quality guidelines. Ecosystem Sciences and Evaluation Directorate, Eco-Health Branch, Ottawa, Ontario, 120 p. 1992.

MDS Environmental Services Limited. Chemical/physical analyses of sediment and biota samples offshore. Baseline Environmental Effects Monitoring Study. Hibernia Development Project. 1995.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-17 Ray, S. and J.M. Bewers. Distribution and bioavailability of heavy metals in the marine environment. In: Health of the Northwest Atlantic. R.C.H. Wilson and R.F. Addison (ed.). Environment Canada/Fisheries and Oceans Canada/Department of Energy, Mines and Resources, Dartmouth. p. 121-137. 1984.

Biological Environmental Setting

Grand Banks Ecosystem

Gomes, M. Prediction under uncertainty: fish assemblages and food webs on the Grand Banks of Newfoundland. Social and Economic Studies No. 51. Institute of Social and Economic Research, Memorial University of Newfoundland. 205 p. 1993.

Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. Hibernia Development Project, Environmental Impact Statement. Volume IIIa: Biophysical Assessment. Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. (Operator), Gulf Canada Resources Inc., Petro-Canada Inc., Chevron Canada Resources Ltd., and Columbia Gas Development of Canada Ltd. 258 p. 1985.

Phytoplankton

Anderson, J.T. and G.A. Gardner. Plankton communities and physical oceanography observed on the Southeast Shoal region, Grand Bank of Newfoundland. Journal of Plankton Research, v. 8, p. 1111-1135. 1986.

Brown, C.W. and J.A. Yoder. The distribution pattern of coccolithophorid blooms in the western North Atlantic. Continental Shelf Research. 1993.

Brown, C.W. and J.A. Yoder. Blooms of Emiliania huxleyi (Prymnesiophyceae) in surface waters of the Nova Scotian Shelf and the Grand Bank. Journal of Plankton Research, v. 15, p. 1429- 1438. 1993.

Hollibaugh, J.T. Overview of the biological oceanography of the Grand Banks. In: Grand Banks Oceanographic Studies, v. 4. Prepared for Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. by MacLaren Plansearch. 1981.

Hollibaugh, J.T. and J.A. Booth. Observations on the dynamics and distribution of phytoplankton and primary production on the Grand Banks in the 1980 season. In: Grand Banks Oceanographic Studies, v. 1. Prepared for Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. by MacLaren Plansearch. 1981.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-18 Li, W.K.W., P.M. Dickie, W.G. Harrison, and B.D. Irwin. Biomass and production of bacteria and phytoplankton during the spring bloom in the western North Atlantic Ocean. Deep-Sea Research II, v. 40, p. 307-327. 1993.

Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. Hibernia Development Project, Environmental Impact Statement. Volume IIIa: Biophysical Assessment. Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. (Operator), Gulf Canada Resources Inc., Petro-Canada Inc., Chevron Canada Resources Ltd., and Columbia Gas Development of Canada Ltd. 258 p. 1985.

Murphy, L.S. and E.M. Haugen. The distribution and abundance of phototrophic ultraplankton in the North Atlantic. Limnology and Oceanographies, v. 30, p. 47-58. 1985.

Pomeroy, L.R., W.J. Wiebe, D. Deibel, R.J. Thompson, G.T. Rowe, and J. D. Pakulski. Bacterial responses to temperature and substrate concentration during the Newfoundland spring bloom. Marine Ecology Progress Series, v. 75, p. 143-159. 1991.

Prasad, K.S., J.T. Hollibaugh, D.C. Schneider, and R.L. Haedrich. A model for determining primary production on the Grand Banks. Continental Shelf Research, v. 12, p. 563-575. 1992.

Prasad, K.S. and J.T. Hollibaugh. Quantum yield estimates of phytoplankton on the Grand Banks for use in production models. Limnology and Oceanography, v. 37, p. 1271-1279. 1992.

Prasad, K.S. and R.L. Haedrich. Satellite observations of phytoplankton variability on the Grand Banks of Newfoundland during a spring bloom. International Journal of Remote Sensing, v. 14, p. 241-252. 1993.

Microbiota

Bédard, C. and J.N. Bunch. Microbiological observations on the Grand Banks of Newfoundland. Report for Mobil Oil Canada Limited by the Arctic Biological Station, Department of Fisheries and Oceans, Ste-Anne-de-Bellevue, Québec. 77 p. 1983.

Lee, K. and E.M. Levy. Enhancement of the natural biodegradation of condensate and crude oil on beaches of Atlantic Canada. Proceedings of the 1989 Oil Spill Conference (Prevention, Behavior, Control, Cleanup), Feb. 13-16, San Antonio, Texas. p. 479-486. 1989.

Li, W.K.W., P.M. Dickie, W.G. Harrison, and B.D. Irwin. Biomass and production of bacteria and phytoplankton during the spring bloom in the western North Atlantic Ocean. Deep-Sea Research II, v. 40, p. 307-327. 1993.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-19 Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. Hibernia Development Project, Environmental Impact Statement. Volume IIIa: Biophysical Assessment. Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. (Operator), Gulf Canada Resources Inc., Petro-Canada Inc., Chevron Canada Resources Ltd., and Columbia Gas Development of Canada Ltd. 258 p. 1985.

Pomeroy, L.R. and D. Deibel. Temperature regulation of bacterial activity during the spring bloom in Newfoundland coastal waters. Science, v. 233, p. 359-361. 1986.

Pomeroy, L.R., W.J. Wiebe, D. Deibel, R.J. Thompson, G.T. Rowe, and J. D. Pakulski. Bacterial responses to temperature and substrate concentration during the Newfoundland spring bloom. Marine Ecology Program Series, v. 75, p. 143-159. 1991.

Invertebrate Zooplankton

Akenhead, S.A. The development and distribution of Calanus finmarchicus on Flemish Cap in the spring of 1979. NAFO SCR Doc. 80/XI/151, Serial No. N228. 17 p. 1980.

Anderson, J. T. Seasonal development of invertebrate zooplankton on Flemish Cap. Marine Ecology Progress Series, v. 67, p. 127-140. 1990.

Anderson, J. T. and G. A. Gardner. Plankton communities and physical oceanography observed on the Southeast Shoal region, Grand Bank of Newfoundland. Journal of Plankton Research, v. 8, p. 1111-1135. 1986.

Bainbridge, V. Warm water species in the plankton off Newfoundland during winter months. Nature, v. 191, p. 1216-1217. 1961.

Bowman, J. Introduction and proceedings. In: Oceanic fronts in coastal processes. M.J. Bowman and W.E. Esaias (ed.), Proceedings of the Workshop of the Marine Science Research Centre, May 25-27, 1977, Springer-Verlag, New York. 1978.

Buchanan, R.A. and S.M. Browne. Zooplankton of the Labrador coast and shelf during summer 1979. Unpublished Report by LGL Limited to Petro-Canada Explorations Inc. 78 p. 1981.

Buchanan, R.A. and M.G. Foy. Offshore Labrador biological studies. Nutrients, chlorophyll, phytoplankton and ichthyoplankton. Unpublished Report by Atlantic Biological Services Ltd. for Total Eastcan Explorations Ltd. 293 p. 1980.

Buchanan, R.A. and A.D. Sekerak. Vertical distribution of zooplankton in eastern Lancaster Sound and western Baffin Bay. Arctic, v. 35, p. 41-55. 1982.

Campbell, J. S. and G. H. Winters. Some biological characteristics of capelin, Mallotus villosus, in the Newfoundland area. ICNAF Redbook, 1973 (III), p. 137-144. 1973.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-20 Colebrook, J.M. Continuous plankton records: seasonal variations in the distribution and abundance of plankton in the North Atlantic Ocean and the North Sea. Journal of Plankton Research, v. 4, p. 435-462. 1982.

Drobysheva, S.S. Distribution of euphausiids in the Grand Banks area off Newfoundland in connection with the dynamics of water masses. Fisheries Research Board of Canada Translation Serial Number 1308. 19 p. 1964.

Gerasimova, O. V. Peculiarities of spring feeding by capelin (Mallotus villosus) on the Grand Bank in 1987-90. Journal of Northwest Atlantic Fishery Science, v. 17, p. 59-67. 1994.

Herman, A.W., D.D. Sameoto and A.R. Longhurst. Vertical and horizontal distribution patterns of copepods near the shelf break south of Nova Scotia. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 38, p. 1065-1076. 1981.

Hjort, J. Introduction to the Canadian Fisheries Expedition 1914-15. In: Canadian Fisheries Expedition, 1914-15. Investigations in the Gulf of St. Lawrence and Atlantic Waters of Canada. J. Hjort (ed.). Department of Naval Service, King's Printer, Ottawa. p. xi-xxviii. 1919.

Jaschnov, W.A. Distribution of Calanus species in the seas of the Northern Hemisphere. International Review of Hydrobiology, v. 55, p. 197-212. 1970.

Jangaard, P. M. The capelin (Mallotus villosus): biology, distribution, exploitation, utilization and composition. Bulletin of the Fisheries Research Board of Canada, v. 186, 70 p. 1974.

Kendaris, T.A. Physical and biological oceanographic observations in Logy Bay, Newfoundland: April - September 1979. Canadian Manuscript Reports Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences No. 1569. 60 p. 1980.

Kusmorskaya, A.P. Distribution of plankton in the North Atlantic in spring and autumn 1958. Conservation Permanente Internationale et Exploration de la Mer, Rapport des procès-verbaux de la réunion, v. 147, p. 183-188. 1959.

LaRow, E.J. Biorhythms and the vertical migration of limnoplankton. In: Biological Rhythms in the Marine Environment. P.J. DeCoursey (ed.). The Belle W. Barnch Library. Marine Science No. 4. p. 225-238. 1976.

Longhurst, A.R. Biological oceanography. In: Proceedings of Offshore Environment in the 80’s, St. John’s, Newfoundland, December 2-4. 1980.

Longhurst, A.R. Significance of spatial variability. In: Analysis of Marine Ecosystems. A.R. Longhurst (ed.). Academic press, London. p. 415-441. 1981.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-21 Matthews, J.B.L. Continuous plankton records: the geographical and seasonal distribution of Calanus finmarchicus s.l. in the North Atlantic. Bulletin of Marine Ecology, v. 6, p. 251-273. 1969.

Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. Hibernia Development Project, Environmental Impact Statement. Volume IIIa: Biophysical Assessment. Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. (Operator), Gulf Canada Resources Inc., Petro-Canada Inc., Chevron Canada Resources Ltd., and Columbia Gas Development of Canada Ltd. 258 p. 1985.

Myers, R.A., N.J. Barrowman, G. Mertz, J. Gamble, and H.G. Hunt. Analysis of continuous plankton recorder data in the Northwest Atlantic 1959-92. Canadian Technical Reports Fisheries and Aquatic Science 1966. 16 p. + App. 1994.

Omori, M. and W.M. Hamner. Patchy distribution of zooplankton: behavior, population assessment and sampling problems. Marine Biology, v. 72, p. 193-200. 1982.

Owen, R.W. Fronts and eddies in the sea: mechanisms, interactions and biological effects. In: Analysis of marine ecosystems. A.R. Longhurst (ed.). Academic Press, Toronto. p. 197-233. 1981.

Paranjape, M. A. Microzooplankton herbivory on the Grand Bank (Newfoundland, Canada): a seasonal study. Marine Biology, v. 107, p. 321-328. 1990.

Pavshtiks, E.A., T.N. Semenova, and S.S. Drobysheva. Plankton investigations carried out by the PINRO in the ICNAF area during 1960 and 1961. ICNAF Redbook Part III. p. 56-61. 1962.

Petrie, B. and C. Anderson. Circulation on the Newfoundland Continental Shelf. Atmosphere-Ocean, v. 21, p. 207-226. 1983.

Pinhey, K.F. Entomostraca of the Belle Isle Strait Expedition, 1923, with notes on other planktonic species. Part I. In: Contributions to Canadian Biology of Fish, v. 3, p. 179-234. 1926.

Robinson, G.A., J.M. Colebrook, and G.A. Cooper. The continuous plankton recorder survey: plankton in the ICNAF area, 1961-71, with special reference to 1971. ICNAF Research Bulletin, v. 11, p. 61-71. 1975.

Runge, J. A. Should we expect a relationship between primary production and fisheries? The role of copepod dynamics as a filter of trophic variability. Hydrobiology, v. 167/168, p. 61-71. 1988.

Sameoto, D.D. Euphausiid distribution in acoustic scattering layers and its significance to surface swarms. Journal of Plankton Research, v. 5, p. 129-143. 1983.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-22 Semenova, T.N. Zooplankton in the area of the Newfoundland Banks in Spring 1960. In: Soviet Fisheries Investigations in the Northwest Atlantic. Y.Y. Marti (ed.). Israel Program for Scientific Translations, Jerusalem. p. 196-204. 1963.

Strong, K.W. Seasonal occurrence and distribution of zooplankton in waters over the Grand Banks of Newfoundland. Unpublished Report by MacLaren Plansearch for Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. 32 p. + appendices. 1981.

Vladimirskaya, Y.V. Quantitative distribution and seasonal dynamics of zooplankton in the Newfoundland area. Okeanologicheskiye Issledovaniya (Oceanological Research), v. 13, p. 137-142. (DRB Transl. No. T452R. 1966. 8 p.). 1965.

Vladimirskaya, E.V. Seasonal population dynamics of Calanus finmarchicus (Gunner) in the northwestern Atlantic, 1958-61. ICNAF Research Bulletin, v. 4, p. 41-52. 1967.

Ichthyoplankton

Anderson, J.T. Larval fish surveys on Flemish Cap, 1980. NAFO SCR Doc. 80/XI/151, Serial No. N228. 17 p. 1981.

Anderson, J.T. Distribution, abundance and growth of cod (Gadus morhua) and redfish (Sebastes spp.) larvae on Flemish Cap, 1981. NAFO SCR Doc. 82/VI/37, Serial No. N526. 11 p. 1982.

Anderson, J.T. Early life history of redfish (Sebastes sp.) on Flemish Cap. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 41, p. 1106-1116. 1984.

Anderson, J.T. Seasonal development of invertebrate zooplankton on Flemish Cap. Marine Ecology Progress Series, v. 67, p. 127-140. 1990.

Anderson, J. and B. deYoung. Stage-dependent density of cod eggs and larvae (Gadus morhua L.) in Newfoundland waters. ICES Marine Science Symposium, v. 198, p. 654-665. 1994.

Anderson, J.T., E.L. Dalley, and J.E. Carscadden. Abundance and distribution of pelagic 0-group cod (Gadus morhua) in Newfoundland waters: inshore versus offshore. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 52, p. 115-125. 1995.

Anderson, J.T. and G.A. Gardner. Plankton communities and physical oceanography observed on the Southeast Shoal region, Grand Bank of Newfoundland. Journal of Plankton Research, v. 8, p. 1111-1135. 1986.

Anderson, J.T. and S.A. Akenhead. Distribution and abundance of larval cod and redfish on Flemish Cap in 1978 and 1979. NAFO SCR Doc. 80/IX/150, Serial No. N226. 18 p. 1980.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-23 Bonnyman, S. Ichthyoplankton of the Grand Banks of Newfoundland. Section VI. In: MacLaren Plansearch and Lavalin. Grand Banks Oceanographic Studies, Vol. 2. Final Report for Mobil Oil Canada Limited. 1981.

Davidson, F.J.M. and B. deYoung. Modelling advection of cod eggs and larvae on the Newfoundland shelf. Fisheries Oceanography, v. 4, p. 33-51. 1995. deYoung, B. and F. Davidson. Modelling retention of cod eggs and larvae (Gadus morhua L.) on the Newfoundland Shelf. ICES marine Science Symposium, v. 198, p. 346-355. 1994. deYoung, B. and G. Rose. On recruitment and distribution of Newfoundland cod (Gadus morhua). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 50, p. 2729-2741. 1993. deYoung, B., J. Anderson, R.J. Greatbatch, and P. Fardy. Advection-diffusion modelling of larval capelin (Mallotus villosus) dispersion in Conception Bay, Newfoundland. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 51, p. 1297-1307. 1994.

Frank, K.T., J.E. Carscadden, and W.C. Leggett. Causes of spatio-temporal variation in the patchiness of larval fish distributions: differential mortality or behaviour? Fisheries Oceanography, v. 2, p. 114-123. 1993.

Frank, K.T., J.W. Loder, J.E. Carscadden, W.C. Leggett, and C.T. Taggart. Larval flatfish distributions and drift on the southern Grand Bank. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 49, p. 467-483. 1992.

Grimm, S., A. Furtak, J. Wysocki, and M. Baranowski. Distribution and abundance of redfish larvae against thermal conditions on Flemish Cap in April 1978. NAFO Res. Doc. 80/VI/62, Serial No. N101. 10 p. 1980.

Helbig, J.H., G. Mertz, and P. Pepin. Environmental influences on the recruitment of Newfoundland/Labrador cod. Fisheries Oceanography, v. 1, p. 39-56. 1992.

Hollibaugh, J.T. and J.A. Booth. Observations on the dynamics and distribution of phytoplankton and primary production on the Grand Banks in the 1980 season. In: Grand Banks Oceanographic Studies, Vol. 1. Prepared for Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. by MacLaren Plansearch. 1981.

Hutchings, J.A. and R.A. Myers. Timing of cod reproduction: interannual variability and the influence of temperature. Marine Ecology Progress Series, v. 108, p. 21-31. 1994.

Hutchings, J.A., R.A. Myers, and G. Lilly. Geographic variation in the spawning of Atlantic cod, Gadus morhua, in the Northwest Atlantic. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 50, p. 2457-2467. 1993.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-24 Leggett, W.C., K.T. Frank, and J.E. Carscadden. Meterological and hydrographic regulation of year- class strength in capelin (Mallotus villosus). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 41, p. 1193-1201. 1984.

Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. Hibernia Development Project, Environmental Impact Statement. Volume IIIa: Biophysical Assessment. Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. (Operator), Gulf Canada Resources Inc., Petro-Canada Inc., Chevron Canada Resources Ltd., and Columbia Gas Development of Canada Ltd. 258 p. 1985.

Myers, R.A., G. Mertz, and C.A. Bishop. Cod spawning in relation to physical and biological cycles of the northern Northwest Atlantic. Fisheries Oceanography, v. 2, p. 154-165. 1993.

Myers, R.A., J. Bridson, and N.J. Barrowman. Summary of worldwide spawner and recruitment data. Canadian Technical Reports, Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, No. 2024. 1995.

Myers, R.A. and K.F. Drinkwater. Offshelf Ekman transport and larval fish survival in the Northwest Atlantic. Biology and Oceanography. v. 6, p. 45-64. 1988.

Myers, R.A., K.F. Drinkwater, N.J. Barrowman, and J.W. Baird. Salinity and recruitment of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) in the Newfoundland region. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 50, p. 1599-1609. 1993.

Myers, R.A. and N.G. Cadigan. Density-dependent juvenile mortality in marine demersal fish. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 50, p. 1576-1590. 1993.

Myers, R.A. and N.G. Cadigan. Is juvenile natural mortality in marine demersal fish variable? Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 50, p. 1591-1598. 1993.

Serebryakov, V.P. Ichthyoplankton from the Flemish Cap Bank. ICNAF Research Document 78/VI/18, Serial No. 5172. 9 p. 1978.

Walsh, S.J. Factors influencing distribution of juvenile yellowtail flounder (Limanda ferruginea) on the Grand Bank of Newfoundland. Netherlands Journal of Sea Research, v. 29, p. 193-203. 1992.

Benthos

Fisheries and Oceans Canada. A summary prepared by the Habitat Issues Working Group for the 1995 spring meeting of the Scotia-Fundy Regional Advisory Process. Unpublished Report. 10 p. 1995.

Downing, J.A. Precision of the mean and the design of benthos sampling programs: caution revised. Marine Biology, v. 103, p. 231-234. 1989.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-25 Gray, J.S. and H. Christie. Predicting long-term changes in marine benthic communities. Marine Ecology Progress Series, v. 13, p. 87-94. 1983.

Hutcheson, M.S., P.L. Stewart, and J.D. Spry. The biology and benthic community of the Grand Banks of Newfoundland (including the Hibernia area). Grand Banks Oceanographic Studies, v. 3. Prepared for Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. by McLaren Plansearch. 1981.

Messieh, S.N. , T.W. Rowell, D.L. Peer, and P.J. Cranford. The effects of trawling, dredging and ocean dumping on the eastern Canadian continental shelf seabed. Continental Shelf Research, v. 11, p. 1237-1263. 1991.

Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. Hibernia Development Project, Environmental Impact Statement. Volume IIIa: Biophysical Assessment. Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. (Operator), Gulf Canada Resources Inc., Petro-Canada Inc., Chevron Canada Resources Ltd., and Columbia Gas Development of Canada Ltd. 258 p. 1985.

Naidu, K.S. and F.M. Cahill. The quest for Iceland scallops, Chlamys islandica (O.F. Muller) on the Grand Bank, NAFO Division 3LNO. CAFSAC Research Document 89/12. 31 p. 1989.

Naidu, K.S. and F.M. Cahill. Exploratory survey for the Iceland scallop, Chlamys islandica (O.F. Muller) on the eastern Grand Banks of Newfoundland, NAFO Div. 3N. CAFSAC Research Document 90/13. 23 p. 1990.

Nesis, K.I. Biocoenesis and biomass of benthos of the Newfoundland Labrador region. Trudy Vsesoyuznogo Nauchno-Issledovatel'skogo Instituta Morskogo Rybnogo Khozyaistva i Okeanografii (VNIRO) v. 57, p. 453-489. Fisheries Research Board of Canada Translation, Series No. 1375. 1965.

Paz, J., J.M. Casas and G. Perez-Gandaras. The feeding of cod (Gadus morhua) on Flemish Cap, 1989-90. NAFO Science Council Studies, v. 19, p. 41-50. 1993.

Petro-Canada. Background Data on the Grand Banks Commercial Fishery. Petro-Canada internal report 96-008. 1996.

Rodriguez-Marin, A. Punzon, J. Paz, and P. Olason. Feeding of most abundant fish species in Flemish Cap in summer 1993. NAFO SCR Doc. 94/35. 1994.

Schneider, D.C. and R.L. Haedrich. Post-mortem erosion of fine-scale spatial structure of epibenthic megafauna on the outer Grand Bank of Newfoundland. Continental Shelf Research, v. 11, p. 8-10. 1991.

Schneider, D.C., J.-M. Gagnon, and K.D. Gilkerson. Patchiness of epibenthic megafauna on the outer Grand Banks of Newfoundland. Marine Ecology Progress Series, v. 39, p. 1-13. 1987.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-26 Vezina, A.F. Sampling variance and the design of quantitative surveys of the marine benthos. Marine Biology, v. 97, p. 151-155. 1988.

Steele, D.H. Marine ecology and zoogeography. In: Biogeography and Ecology of the Island of Newfoundland. G.R South (ed.). Dr. W. Junk Publishers, The Hague. 1983.

Biofouling

Evans, L.V. Marine algae and fouling: a review, with particular reference to ship-fouling. Botanica Marina, v. 24, p. 167-171. 1981.

Forteath, G.N.R., G.B. Picken, R. Ralph, and J. Williams. Marine growth on the North Sea Montrose Alpha. Marine Ecology Progress Series, v. 8, p. 61-68. 1982.

Forteath, G.N.R., G.B. Picken, and R. Ralph. Interaction and competition for space between fouling organisms on the Beatrice oil platforms in the Moray Firth, North Sea. International Biodeterioration Bulletin, v. 19, p. 45-52. 1983.

Hardy, F.G. Fouling on North Sea platforms. Botanica Marina, v. 24, p. 173-176. 1981.

Moss, B.L., D. Tovey, and P. Court. Kelps as fouling organisms on North Sea platforms. Botanica Marina, v. 24, p. 207-209. 1981.

South, G.R. Benthic marine algae. In: Biogeography and Ecology of the Island of Newfoundland. G.R. South (ed.). Dr. W. Junk Publishers, The Hague. 1983.

Steele, D.H. Marine ecology and zoogeography. In: Biogeography and Ecology of the Island of Newfoundland. G.R. South (ed.). Dr. W. Junk Publishers, The Hague. 1983.

Welaptega Consulting. Biofouling management considerations for the Hibernia development. Final Report for Hibernia Management and Development Company. 141 p + App. 1993.

Fish and Fisheries

Albikovskaya, L.K. and O.V. Gerasimova. Food and feeding patterns of cod (Gadus morhua) and beaked redfish (Sebastes mentella) on Flemish Cap. NAFO Science Council Studies, v. 19, p. 31-39. 1993.

Anderson, J.T. Distribution of juvenile cod in NAFO Divisions 2J3KL during fall, 1981 - 92, in relation to bathymetry and bottom temperatures. NAFO SCR Doc. 93/68. 18 p. 1993.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-27 Bailey, R.F.J., K.W. Able, and W.C. Leggett. Seasonal and vertical distribution and growth of juvenile and adult capelin (Mallotus villosus) in the St. Lawrence estuary and western Gulf of St. Lawrence. Journal of Fisheries Research Board of Canada, v. 34, p. 2030-2040. 1977.

Beck, P.C., E.G. Dawe, and J. Drew. An update of the fishery for short-finned squid (Illex illecebrosus) in the Newfoundland area during 1989-93 with descriptions of some biological characteristics of temperature trends. NAFO SCR Doc. 94/37. 1994.

Bishop, C.A., E.F. Murphy, M.B. Davis, J.W. Baird, and G.A. Rose. An assessment of the cod stock in NAFO Divisions 2J + 3KL. NAFO SCR Doc. 93/86. 51 p. 1993.

Black, G.A.P., T.W. Rowell, and E.G. Dawe. Atlas of the biology and distribution of the squids Illex and illecebrosus and Loligo pealei in the Northwest Atlantic. Canadian Special Publication, Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 100. 2 p. 1987.

Blaxter, J.H.S. The effect of light intensity on the feeding ecology of herring. In: Light as an Ecological Factor. R. Bainbridge, G.C. Evans, and O. Rackham (ed.). Symposium of the British Ecological Society, 30 March - 1 April 1965, Cambridge. Wiley, New York. 1966.

Bowering, W.R., W.B. Brodie, D. Power, and M.J. Morgan. Greenland halibut in NAFO Subarea 2 and Divisions 3KLM: A rapidly declining resource with a rapidly increasing fishery. NAFO SCR Doc. 94/57. 25 p. 1994.

Bowering, W.R. and W.B. Brodie. Distribution, age and growth, and sexual maturity of American plaice (Hippoglossoides platessoides) on Flemish Cap (NAFO Division 3M). Journal of the Northwest Atlantic Fishery Science, v. 16, p. 49-61. 1994.

Bowering, W.R., D.B. Atkinson, D. Power, and W.B. Brodie. An evaluation of stock status of witch flounder in NAFO Divisions 3NO. NAFO SCR Doc. 93.83. 21 p. 1993.

Bowering, W.R. and D. Power. An examination of spatial distribution of Greenland halibut in the Labrador - Eastern Newfoundland area of the Canadian Northwest Atlantic based on research surveys. NAFO SCR Doc. 93/62. 11 p. 1993.

Brodie, W.B. and S.J. Walsh. Changes in distribution of Yellowtail flounder on the Grand Bank during the late-1980s and early 1990s. NAFO SCR Doc. 94/46. 16 p. 1994.

Brodie, W.B., S.J. Walsh, D. Power, and W.R. Bowering. An assessment of the yellowtail flounder stock in Divisions 3LNO. NAFO SCR Doc. 93/76. 43 p. 1993.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-28 Buchanan, R.A., T.A. Pinfold, L.S. Carter, J. Baird, and J. Christian. Strategy for the development of recreational fisheries in Newfoundland and Labrador. Report by LGL Limited, Gardner- Pinfold Consulting Economists Ltd., The Venture Group, and Baird Planning Associates for The Canada-Newfoundland Cooperation Agreement for Salmonid Enhancement/Conservation. 162 p + App. 1994.

Canning & Pitt Associates, Inc. Baseline data for landings of commercial marine species at Newfoundland locations. 1995.

Carscadden, J. Capelin on Flemish Cap (Div. 3M). In: Capelin in SA2 + Div. 3KL, Fisheries and Oceans Canada. Atlantic Fisheries Research Document 94/18. p. 127-145. 1994.

Carscadden, J.E. The capelin, Mallotus villosus, population spawning on the SE Shoal of the Grand Bank, 1976. ICNAF Sel. Pap. 3: 61-71. 1978.

Carscadden, J., B. Nakashima, and D.S. Miller. An evaluation of trends in abundance of capelin (Mallotus villosus) from acoustics, aerial surveys and catch rates in NAFO Division 3L, 1982- 89. Journal of the Northwest Atlantic Fishery Science, v. 17, p. 45-57. 1994.

Carscadden, J.E., K.T. Frank, and D.S. Miller. Capelin (Mallotus villosus) spawning on the SE Shoal: Influence of physical factors past and present. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 46, p. 1743-1754. 1989.

Casas, J.M. Age structure of Roughhead grenadier (Macrourus berglax) on Flemish Cap, 1994. NAFO SCR Doc. 94/80. 5 p. 1994.

Casas, J.M. and J. Paz. Diet of Flemish Cap cod with particular reference to predation on redfish: 1988 - 93. NAFO SCR Doc. 94/24. 21 p. 1994. deYoung, B. and G.A. Rose. On recruitment and distribution of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) off Newfoundland. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 50, p. 2729-2741. 1993.

Fisheries and Oceans Canada. Report on the Status of Canadian Managed Groundfish Stocks of the Newfoundland Region. Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Science Branch, Northwest Atlantic Fisheries Center, St. John's, Newfoundland. 1995.

Fitzpatrick, C. and R.J. Miller. Review of spawning times and locations for some commercial finfish on the Newfoundland and Labrador coasts. Fisheries and Marine Services Technical Report, v. 905, 14 p. 1979.

Frank, K.T. and J.E. Carscadden. Factors affecting recruitment variability of capelin (Mallotus villosus) in the Northwest Atlantic. Journal du Conservation Internationale et Exploration de Mer. 45: 146-164. 1989.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-29 Gerasimova, O.V. Peculiarities of spring feeding by capelin (Mallotus villosus) on the Grand Bank in 1987-90. Journal of the Northwest Atlantic Fishery Science, v. 17, p. 59-67. 1994.

Gilkinson, K.D. and J.M. Gagnon. Substratum associations of natural populations of Iceland scallops, Chlamys islandica, on the northeastern Grand Bank of Newfoundland. American Malocological Bulletin, v. 9, p. 59-67. 1991.

Godinho, M.L. and E. de Cardenas. An assessment of the American plaice stock in Division 3M. NAFO SCR Doc. 93/82. 10 p. 1993.

Gomes, M. Predictions Under Uncertainty: Fish Assemblages and Food Webs on the Grand Banks of Newfoundland. Social and Economic Studies No. 51, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John’s, Newfoundland. 205 p. 1993.

Gorchinsky, K.V., P.I. Savvatimsky, and V.A. Borovkov. Witch flounder biomass estimates in Divisions 3LNO and their possible relation to water temperature from Russian 1980 -1994 research surveys. NAFO SCR Doc. 95/11. 13 p. 1995.

Gorchinsky, K. and D. Power. An assessment of Division 3M redfish. NAFO SCR Doc. 93/77. 10 p. 1993.

Gosner, K.L. A Field Guide to the Atlantic Seashore. Houghton Mifflin Company, Boston, Ma. 329 p. 1979.

Grégoire, F. Biological characteristics of Atlantic mackerel (Scomber scombrus L.) sampled along the Canadian coast between 1983 and 1991. Canadian Technical Reports, Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 1907. 137 p. 1993.

Hutchings, J.A., R.A. Myers, and G.R. Lilly. Geographic variation in the spawning of Atlantic cod, Gadus morhua, in the Northwest Atlantic. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 50, p. 2457-2467. 1993.

Junquera, S. and J. Zamarro. Sexual maturity and spawning of Greenland halibut (Reinhardtius hippoglossoides) from Flemish Pass area. NAFO Science Council Studies, v. 20, p. 47-52. 1994.

Keats, D.W., G.R. South, and D.H. Steele. Reproduction and egg guarding by Atlantic wolffish (Anarhichas lupus) and ocean pout (Macrozoarces americanus) in Newfoundland waters. Canadian Journal of Zoology, v. 63, p. 2565-2568. 1985.

Lilly, G.R. By-catches of capelin in bottom trawl surveys. In: Capelin in SA2 + Div. 3KL, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Research Document 94/18. p. 99-107. 1994.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-30 Lilly, G.R. The food of cod in Divisions 2J, 3K and 3L during the autumns of 1978 - 1992. NAFO SCR Doc. 93/55. 14 p. 1993.

Lilly, G.R. Distribution of capelin on Grand Bank (Div. 3LNO) in the springs of 1987 and 1991, as inferred from bottom-trawl by-catches and cod stomach examinations. NAFO SCR Doc. 92/7. 9 p. 1992.

Lilly, G.R. and D.J. Davis. Changes in the distribution of capelin in Divisions 2J, 3K and 3L in the autumns of recent years, as inferred from bottom-trawl by-catches and cod stomach examinations. NAFO SCR Doc. 93/54. 14 p. 1993.

Marine Research Associates (MRA) Ltd. Canadian Atlantic Offshore Fishery Atlas. Canadian Special Publication of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, No. 47. 89 p. 1980.

McEachran, J.D. and J.A. Musick. Distribution and relative abundance of skates (Piscea: Rajidae) which occur between Nova Scotia and Cape Hatteras. Fisheries Bulletin, v. 73, p. 110-136. 1975.

Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. Hibernia Development Project, Environmental Impact Statement. Volume IIIa: Biophysical Assessment. Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. (Operator), Gulf Canada Resources Inc., Petro-Canada Inc., Chevron Canada Resources Ltd., and Columbia Gas Development of Canada Ltd. 258 p. 1985.

Morgan, M.J. and W.B. Brodie. Seasonal distribution of American plaice on the northern Grand Banks. Marine Ecology Progress Series, v. 75, p. 101-107. 1991.

Morozova, G.N. Distribution of yellowtail flounder (Limanda ferruginea) on the Grand Bank of Newfoundland by data from Russian surveys 1971 - 91. NAFO SCR Doc. 93/10. 8 p. 1993.

Myers, R.A., K.F. Drinkwater, N.J. Barrowman, and J.W. Baird. Salinity and recruitment of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) in the Newfoundland region. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 50, p. 1599-1609. 1993.

Naidu, K.S. and F.M. Cahill. An assessment of the abundance of the Iceland scallop, Chlamys islandica, on Green Bank (NAFO Div. 3Ps). CAFSAC Res. Doc. 92/27. 10 p. 1992.

Naidu, K.S. and F.M. Cahill. Exploratory survey for the Iceland scallop, Chlamys islandica, on the Eastern Grand Banks of Newfoundland, NAFO Div. 3N. CAFSAC Res. Doc. 90/13. 23 p. 1990.

Naidu, K.S. and F.M. Cahill. The quest for Iceland scallops, Chlamys islandica, on the Grand Bank, NAFO Division 3LNO. CAFSAC Res. Doc. 89/12. 31 p. 1989.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-31 Nakashima, B.S. Patterns in coastal migration and stock structure of capelin (Mallotus villosus). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 49, p. 2423-2429. 1992.

Nicolajsen, A. Growth and reproduction in Northern shrimp on Flemish Cap (Division 3M) and the Nose of the Bank (Division 3L) in September 1993 - May 1994. NAFO SCR Doc. 94/77. 15 p. 1994.

Northwest Atlantic Fisheries Organization. Scientific Council Meeting - June 1995. NAFO SCS Doc. 95/19. 177 p. 1995.

Parsons, D.G. Preliminary assessment of shrimp (Pandalus borealis) in Division 3M (Flemish Cap). NAFO SCR Doc. 94/82. 10 p. 1994.

Parsons, D.G. and P.J. Veitch. The Canadian fishery for Northern shrimp (Pandalus borealis) on Flemish Cap (NAFO Division 3M) in 1993 and 1994. NAFO SCR Doc. 94/83. 9 p. 1994.

Pitt, T.K. Food of American plaice (Hippoglossoides platessoides) from the Grand Bank, Newfoundland. Journal of the Fisheries Research Board of Canada, v. 30, p. 1261-1273. 1973.

Power, D. The status of the Division 3LN redfish resource. NAFO SCR Doc. 94/54. 36 p. 1994.

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Sage, B. Flare up over North Sea birds. New Scientist, v. 81, p. 464-466. 1979.

Schwarz, A.L. and G.L. Greer. Responses of Pacific herring, Clupea harengus pallasi to some underwater sounds. Canadian Jounal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 41, p. 1183-1192. 1984.

Schweinsburg, R.E. Snow geese disturbance by aircraft on the North Slope, September 1972. Chapter 7 In: Disturbance to birds by gas compressor noise simulators, aircraft and human activity in the Mackenzie Valley and the North Slope, 1972, W.W.H. Gunn and J.A. Livingston (ed.). Arctic Gas Biology Reprint Series, v. 14. 21 p. 1974.

Shane, S.H., R.S. Wells, and B. Würsig. Ecology, behaviour and social organization of the bottlenose dolphin: A review. Mar. Mamm. Sci., v. 2(1), p. 34-63. 1986.

Skalski, J.R., W.H. Pearson, and C.I. Malme. Effects of sounds from a geophysical survey device on catch-per-unit-effort in a hook-and-line fishery for rockfish (Sebastes spp). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, v. 49, p. 1357-1365. 1992.

S.L. Ross and LFA Ltd. The risk of tainting in flatfish stocks during offshore oil spills. Environmental Studies Research Funds Report No. 121. 48 p. 1992.

Sommerville, H.J., D. Bennett, J.N. Davenport, M.S. Holt, A. Lynes, A. Mahieu, B. McCourt, J.G. Parker, R.R. Stephenson, R.J. Watkinson, and T.G. Wilkinson. Environmental effects of produced water from north sea oil operations. Marine Pollution Bulletin, v. 18, p. 549-558. 1987.

Southward, A.J. The importance of long time-series in understanding the variability of natural systems. Helgolander Meeresunters, v. 49, p. 329-333. 1995.

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Stanley, D.R. and C.A. Wilson. Factors affecting the abundance of selected fishes near oil and gas platforms in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Fisheries Bulletin (U.S.), v. 89, p. 149-159. 1991.

Steber, J., C.P. Herold, and J.M. Limia. Comparative evaluation of anaerobic biodegradability of hydrocarbons and fatty derivatives currently used as drilling fluids. Chemosphere, v. 31, p. 3105-3118. 1995.

Stewart, B.S., W.E. Evans, and F.T. Awbrey. Effects of man-made water-borne noise on behaviour of bleukha whales (Delphinapterus leucas) in Bristol Bay, Alaska. HSWRI Tech. Rep. 82-145. Report from Hubbs Sea World Res. Inst. San Diego, CA for U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Juneau, AK. 29 p. 1982.

Thomas, D.J., G.D. Greene, W.S. Duval, K.C. Milne, and M.S. Hutcheson. Offshore oil and gas production waste characteristics, treatment methods, biological effects and their application to Canadian regions. Final Report (IP-4). Water Pollution Control Directorate, Environmental Protection Service, Environment Canada, Ottawa. 1984.

Thomson, D.H. and L.R. Martin. Feeding ecology of grey whales in the Chirikof Basin. In: Feeding ecology of grey whales in the Chirikof Basin, summer 1982, D.H. Thomson (ed.). NOAA, OCSEAP Final Report. 43. U.S. Dep. Commer., Anchorage. p. 209-460. 1984.

Tidmarsh, W.G., R. Ernst, R. Ackman, and T. Farquharson. Tainting of fishery resources. Environmental Studies Revolving Funds., Ottawa. Report No. 21. 174 p. 1986.

Tinney, R.T., Jr. Review of information bearing upon the conservation and protection of humpback whales in Hawaii. Report for U.S. Mar. Mamm. Comm., Washington, DC. NTIS PB88-195359. 56 p. 1988.

Wahl, T.R. and D. Heinemann. Seabirds and fishing vessels: co-occurrence and attraction. Condor, v. 81, p. 390-396. 1979.

Ward, J.G. and P.L. Sharp. Effects of aircraft disturbance on moulting sea ducks at Herschel Island, Yukon Territory, August 1973. Arctic Gas Biology Reprint Series, v. 14(2), p. 1-54. 1974.

Watkins, W.A. Whale reactions to human activities in Cape Cod waters. Mar. Mamm. Sci., v. 2(4), p. 251-262. 1986.

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Welaptega. Biofouling management considerations for the Hibernia Development final report. Welaptega Consulting Report to HMDC. 135 p. + App. 1993.

Wheeler, R.B., J.B. Anderson, R.R. Schwarzer, and C.L. Hokanson. Sedimentary processes and trace metal contaminants in the Buccaneer oil/gas field, northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental Geology, v. 3, p. 163-175. 1980.

Withrow, D.E., G.C. Bouchet, and L.L. Jones. Response of Dall's porpoise (Phocoenoides dalli) to survey vessels in both offshore and nearshore waters: Results of 1984 research. Int. N. Pacific Fish. Comm. Doc. U.S. Natl. Mar. Mamm. Lab., Seattle, WA. 16 p. 1985.

Yunker, M. B. and R. W. Drinnan. Dispersion and fate of oil from oil-based drilling muds at West Venture C-62 and South Des Barres 0-76, Sable Island, Nova Scotia. Environmental Studies Research Funds Report No. 60. 169 p. 1987.

Oil Spills

Adams Pearson Associates Inc. Recommended Philosophy for Development of a Worst Case Blowout Scenario for Wells Drilled in the Beaufort Sea. Report prepared for the Canadian Petroleum Association, Task Group #1, Beaufort Sea Steering Committee, Calgary, Alberta. March 1991.

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Audunson, T. The fate and weathering of surface oil from the Bravo blowout. Marine Environmental Research, No. 3, p. 35-61. 1980.

Breivik, K.G. Experience with Offloading in the North Sea: Development of New Cost Efficient Technology for Marine Storage and Production. 1995 Offshore Technology Conference, Paper No. OTC 7723. 1995.

Burger, A.E. Estimating the mortality of seabirds following oil spills: effects of spill volume. Marine Pollution Bulletin, v. 26, p. 140-143. 1993.

CPA (Canadian Petroleum Association). Oil Spill Preparedness in the Upstream Petroleum Industry. Calgary, Alberta. 116 p. 1989.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-48 Dahl, E., T.I. Bern, M. Galen, G. Engen. Risk of Oil and Gas Blowouts on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. Ship Research Institute of Norway, Offshore Testing and Research Group, Trondheim, Norway. 1983.

Dickins, D.F. and I.A. Buist. Oil and gas under sea ice study. Report to the Canadian Offshore Oil Spill Research Association, Calgary. 1981.

Delvigne, G.A.L. Experiments on natural and chemical dispersion of oil in laboratory and field circumstances. Proceedings of the 1985 Oil Spill Conference, February 25-28, Los Angeles, California. American Petroleum Institute, Washington, D.C. 1985.

Delvigne, G.A.L. Droplet size distribution of naturally dispersed oil. In: Fate and Effects of Oil in Marine Ecosystems, J. Kuiper and W.J. Van den Brink (ed). Martinus Nighoff Publ., Dordrecht, Netherlands, p. 29-40. 1987.

E&P Forum. Hydrocarbon Leak and Ignition Database. Report by Technica a.s. for E&P Forum. (The Oil Industry International Exploration and Production Forum), 25-28 Old Burlington Street, London W1X 1LB. 1992.

Eppley, Z.A., M.C. Kennicutt, and M.A. Champ. Assessing indirect effects of oil in the presence of natural variation: the problem of reproductive failure in south polar skuas during the Bahia Paraiso oil spill. Mar. Pollut. Bull., v. 25, p. 307-312. 1992.

Fingas, M.F., F. Ackerman, K. Li, P. Lambert, Z. Wang, M.C. Bissonnette, P.R. Campagna, P. Boileau, N. Laroche, P. Jokuty, R. Nelson, R.D. Turpin, M.J. Trespalacios, G. Halley, J. Bélanger, J.R.J. Paré, N. Vanderkooy, E.J. Tennyson, D. Aurand, and R. Hiltabrand. The Newfoundland Offshore Burn Experiment - NOBE, Preliminary Results of Emissions Measurement. In: Proceedings of the Seventeenth Arctic and Marine Oilspill Program Technical Seminar, Environment Canada, Ottawa, Ontario. p. 1099-1164. 1994.

Gill, S.P., C.A. Bonke, and J. Canter. Management of the Uniake G-72 Incident. Proceedings of the 1985 Oil Spill Conference, February 25-28, 1985, Los Angeles, CA. p. 311-313. 1985.

Gulf Canada. Analysis of accidents in offshore operations where hydrocarbons were lost. A report by the Houston Technical Services Center of Gulf Research and Development Company for Gulf Canada Resources, Inc., Calgary, Alberta. 1981.

Heubeck, M. (In Press). The direct effect of the Braer oil on seabird populations and an assessment of the role of the Wildlife Response Centre. Abstract only. In: The impact of an oil spill in turbulent waters: the Braer. Proceedings of Conference September 7 and 8, 1995. Royal Society of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland. 1995.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-49 Lichtenthaler, R.G. and P.S. Daling. Aerial application of dispersants - comparison of slick behavior of chemically treated vs non-treated slicks. Proceedings of the 1985 Oil Spill Conference, February 25-28, Los Angeles, California. American Petroleum Institute, Washington, D.C. p. 471-478. 1985.

Lunel, T. and A. Lewis. Oil concentrations below a demulsifier treated slick. Proceedings of the Sixteenth Arctic and Marine Oilspill Program Technical Seminar, June 7-9, Calgary, Alberta. Environment Canada, Ottawa, Ontario. p. 955-972. 1993.

MMS (Minerals Management Service). Federal Offshore Statistics: 1993. Leasing, Exploration, Production and Revenues of December 31, 1993. U.S. Department of the Interior, Minerals Management Service, Operations and Safety Management, OCS Report MMS 94-0060. 1994.

Mackay, D., I.A. Buist, R. Mascarenhas, and S. Paterson. Oil spill processes and models. Department of Chemical Engineering, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Environmental Protection Service Publication No. EE-8. 1980.

Manadrill Drilling Management Inc. Relief well drilling capability on Canada Lands. Report No. 4, Report to Canada Oil and Gas Lands Administration, Ottawa. 1985.

McAuliffe, C.D., D.E. Fitzgerald, B.L. Steelman, J.P. Ray, W.R. Leek, and C.D. Barker. The 1979 southern California dispersant treated research oil spills. Proceedings of the 1981 Oil Spill Conference, March 2-5, Atlanta, Georgia. American Petroleum Institute, Washington, D.C. p. 269-282. 1981.

National Academy of Sciences. Oil in the sea: impacts, fates and effects. National Academy Press, Washington, D.C. 1985.

Oil Spill Intelligence Report. A weekly newsletter published by Cutter Information Corp., 37 Broadway, Suite 1, Arlington, MA 02174-5552.

Patten, S.M. Acute and sublethal effects of the Exxon Valdez oil spill on Harlequins and other seaducks. Abstract only, Proceedings of the Exxon Oil Spill Symposium,. Feb 2 to 5, 1993, Trustee Council, Anchorage, Alaska. 1993.

Piatt, J.F., C.J. Lensink, W. Butler, and M. Kendziorek. Immediate impact of the Exxon Valdez oil spill on marine birds. Auk, v. 107, p. 387-397. 1990.

Ross, S.L. C.W. Ross, F. Lepine, and K.E. Langtry. Ixtoc I oil blowout. Spill Technology Newsletter. Environmental Protection Service, Environment Canada, Ottawa. July-August 1979.

Seaconsult Ltd. Simulations of oil spill trajectory motion for Hibernia P-15 site. Prepared for Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd. 1984.

S.L. Ross Environmental Research Ltd. Hibernia Oil Spills and their Control. Report to Mobil Oil Canada Ltd. 1984.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-50 S.L. Ross Environmental Research Ltd. Spill-related properties of Terra Nova crude oils. Report to Petro-Canada Inc. July 1985.

S.L. Ross Environmental Research Ltd. Countermeasures for dealing with spills of viscons, waxy crude oil. Environmental Studies Revolving Funds Report No. 058. October, 1986.

S.L. Ross Environmental Research Ltd. and D. Mackay Environmental Research Limited. Laboratory studies of the behaviour and fate of waxy crude oil spills. Environmental Studies Research Funds, Report 084, Ottawa. 1988.

S.L. Ross Environmental Research Ltd. The risk of tainting in flatfish stocks during offshore oil spills. Environment Studies Research Funds, Report No. 121. Calgary, 48 p. 1993.

S.L. Ross Environmental Research Ltd. Data report on adhesion characteristics of spilled Terra Nova oil. Petro-Canada internal report 96-002. 1996.

Sharples, B.P.M., J.J. Stiff, D.W. Kalinowski, and W.G. Tidmarsh. Statistical risk methodology: Application for pollution risks from Canadian Georges Bank drilling program. Paper presented at the 21st annual Offshore Technology Conference, Houston, Texas, May 1-4, 1989.

Stiver, W. and D. Mackay. Evaporation rate of spills of hydrocarbons and petroleum mixtures. Environmental Protection Service, Environment Canada, EE-8. 1983.

Williams, J.M., M.L. Tasker, I.C. Carter, and A. Webb. A method for assessing seabird vulnerability to surface pollutants. Ibis 137(Suppl. 1):S147-S152. 1995.

Mitigation Measures and Impact Assessment

The Task Force on Oil Spill Preparedness for the Canadian Petroleum Association and the Independent Petroleum Association of Canada.Oil Spill Preparedness in the Upstream Oil Industry. November, 1989.

S.L. Ross Environmental Research Ltd., G.P. Canevari Associates, and Consultchem for the Frontier Oil Spill committee of the Canadian Petroleum Association.State-Of-The-Art Review: Emulsion Breaking Chemicals. April, 1992.

S.L. Ross Environmental Research Ltd. for Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd.Hibernia Oil Spills and Their Control. July, 1984.

Document #95032-0-EI-GM-00009.0, Rev.0 Bibliography-51 Oil Spill Intelligence Report. The International Oil Spill Control Directory. Published by Cutter Information Corp. 1993.

Shulze, R. World Catalog of Oil Spill Response Products. Port City Press. 1993. Counterspil Research Inc. for the Canadian Petroleum Association as part of TFOSP.Evaluation of the Foxtail Skimmer in Broken Ice.

S.L. Ross Environmental Research Ltd. for the Canadian Petroleum Association.Tank Testing of Skimmers With Waxy and Viscous Oils. October, 1989.

Mobil Oil Canada, Ltd.Hibernia Development Project - Environmental Impact Statement. May, 1985.

Monitoring and Reporting

Buchanan, R. A., W. Cross, D. Thomson, and T. Northcott. Environmental Effects Monitoring Programs for the Bull Arm GBS Construction Site, Trinity Bay, Newfoundland. Report by LGL Limited and Northland Associates Ltd. To Mobil Canada Properties, 1990.

Christian, J. R., R. A. Buchanan, and E. M. Lee. The Hibernia GBS Platform Construction Site Marine Environmental Effects Monitoring Program, Year Four, July 1994-July 1995. Rep. by LGL Limited, St. John's, for Hibernia Management and Development Company Limited. (In prep.).

Marko, J.R. Small Icebergs and Iceberg Fragments off Newfoundland: relationships to deterioration mechanisms and the regional population. To be published in Atmosphere-Ocean. 1996.

NEB, C-NOPB and C-NSOPB (National Energy Board, Canada-Newfoundland Offshore Petroleum Board and Canada-Nova Scotia Offshore Petroleum Board) Guidelines Respecting Physical Environmental Programs During Petroleum Drilling and Production Activities on Frontier Lands. Available from the National Energy Board, Calgary AB, 33p. + Appendix 40 p., 1994.

Thomas, D. J., W. S. Duval, G. S. Lewbel, A. Birdsall, M. S. Hutcheson, G. D. Greene, R. A. Buchanan and J. W. McDonald. Effects Monitoring Strategies and Programs for Canada's East Coast. Rep. by LGL Limited, ESL Environmental Sciences Limited, Arctic Laboratories Limited, and Atlantic Oceanics Company Limited for the Environmental Studies Revolving Fund (ESRF) Study No. 005, Canada Oil and Gas Lands Administration, Ottawa. 102 p., 1984.

Thomas, D. J. Considerations in the Design of Effects Monitoring Strategies: Beaufort Sea Case Study. Environmental Studies Revolving Fund (ESRF) Study No. 118. 54 p., 1992.

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