Minifigs.Blog Monthly Report
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Monthly LEGO® Minifigure™ and Set prices report © 2020 Minifigs.blog Author: Minifigs.blog e-mail: [email protected] WWW: https://minifigs.blog LEGO®, the LEGO® logo, the brick and knob configurations, and the Minifigure ™ are trademarks of The LEGO Group of companies which does not sponsor, authorize, or endorse this book. The publisher is not sponsored or associated with The LEGO Group of companies. This book, photos and calculations are the result of the author's independent research. Poland, Kraków, 2020 Minifigs.blog: Monthly Report 2020-05-01 Table of Contents Table of Contents 2 About this report 3 General analysis 4 Prices history 4 Average sold prices history 4 Average offered prices history 4 Sold prices index history 5 Offered prices index history 5 Categories analysis 5 Minifigures™ 6 Sets 7 Interesting items - must buy soon 8 Must have Minifigures™ 8 Must have Sets 8 Must have Minifigures™ above $50.00 9 Must have Sets above $50.00 9 LEGO® Minifigures™ 10 Most expensive Minifigures™ 10 Top 5 most expensive sold Minifigures™ 10 Top 5 most expensive offered Minifigures™ 10 Best Sets for buying Minifigures™ 10 New Sets 10 Used Sets 11 Minifigures™ analytics in selected categories 11 Minifigures™ in Collectible Minifigures category 11 Minifigures™ in Town category 13 Minifigures™ in Western category 15 Minifigures™ in Train category 17 LEGO® Sets 21 Most expensive Sets 21 Top 5 most expensive sold Sets 21 Top 5 most expensive offered Sets 21 Sets analytics in selected categories 21 Set in Town category 21 Set in Western category 23 Set in Train category 24 General information 27 Page 3 of 27 Minifigs.blog: Monthly Report 2020-05-01 About this report This is monthly report from minifigs.blog. Minifigs.blog is World's largest LEGO® Minifigures™ collection online run by collector from Poland. Currently there is over 3500 unique LEGO® Minifigures™ in collection, but this number grows. We analyse Minifigure™ prices daily in order to prepare our monthly report. Idea for analytics presented in report came from author's own experience with collecting LEGO® Minifigures™. A lot of effort was put into make this as useful as possible, but if you feel something should be added or changed, please do not hesitate to contact me via e-mail: [email protected]. This report is based on my own research and analysis based on data publicly available on the Internet. Each section has some short introduction but below you can find some terms used across this report: average or median price - in this report most of prices (if not other stated) are calculated as weighted median. In statistics, a weighted median of a sample is the 50% weighted percentile. It was first proposed by F. Y. Edgeworth in 1888. Like the median, it is useful as an estimator of central tendency, robust against outliers. It allows for non-uniform statistical weights related to, e.g., varying precision measurements in the sample. In weighted median number of items sold/offered as given price is used as weight. prices index - this is an author's calculation mechanism, which is similar to stock indexes - taking into account value changes of all available Minifigures™ and Sets or Minifigures™ and Sets in given category. interesting items - must buy soon - items selected using author's calculation mechanism, which chooses items that were popular but availability is getting low. In our opinion, collectors should buy those items soon if considering them as addition to collection. sold price - price for which given item has been sold in the in last 6 months. offered price - price for which given item is currently offered. This is free version of our report. Please visit minifigs.blog website to purchase full version without limits. Below you will Minifigs.blog report for 2020-05-01. Page 4 of 27 Minifigs.blog: Monthly Report 2020-05-01 General analysis In this section you will find a general overview of the LEGO® Minifigures™ market. You can find average (weighted median) prices both - for sold and offered items. Below there is also unique, based on innovative author’s idea index of LEGO® Minifigures™ value. This index is similar to stock indices which can be found over the Internet. Its start value is 100, and it shows percentage changes of given bricks group value. Prices history New LEGO® items (Sets or Minifigures™) prices are set by LEGO®. You can read their explanation to pricing policy in this article. LEGO® secondary market prices change every day. Important thing is to understand that the price of a given LEGO® item does not determine its value. Value can only be estimated based on transactions which took place - so on sold items. Of course each item sold can be in a different state - new, in sealed box or in unopened polybag, it can be used and have usage signs. This affects price and makes it hard to estimate value. We are using a weighted median based on the number of items sold or offered to estimate value. This is the closest we can get to proper value in our opinion. Average sold prices history This section shows charts of average (weighted median) sold prices across the whole Minifigures™ and Sets market. Quotations are daily. Fig. 1 - Minifigures™ - average sold prices Fig. 2 - Sets - average sold prices Average offered prices history This section shows charts of average (weighted median) offered prices across the whole Minifigures™ and Sets market. Quotations are daily. Page 5 of 27 Minifigs.blog: Monthly Report 2020-05-01 Fig. 3 - Minifigures™ - average offered prices Fig. 4 - Sets - average offered prices Sold prices index history This section shows charts of sold prices index across the whole Minifigures™ and Sets market. Quotations are daily. Fig. 5 - Minifigures™ - sold prices index Fig. 6 - Sets - sold prices index Offered prices index history This section shows charts of offered prices index across the whole Minifigures™ and Sets market. Quotations are daily. Fig. 7 - Minifigures™ - offered prices index Fig. 8 - Sets - offered prices index Categories analysis In this section you will find detailed analytics for categories of LEGO® Minifigures™ and Sets. There are currently 102 Page 6 of 27 Minifigs.blog: Monthly Report 2020-05-01 categories of LEGO® Minifigures™ and 140categories of Sets. Minifigures™ There are 102 categories of Minifigures™. Largest are Town with 2691 items, Star Wars with 1156 items and Duplo with 849 items. Out of 2691 items in Town category 1710 were sold as new in last 6 months at least once, 2428 were sold as used and 2488 has at least one new item offered at the moment. 2567 has at least one offered as used. Out of 1156 items in Star Wars category 1148 were sold in last 6 months at least once, 1132 were sold as used and 1152 has at least one new item offered at the moment. 1136 has at least one offered as used. Out of 849 items in Duplo category 244 were sold in last 6 months at least once, 660 were sold as used and 378 has at least one new item offered at the moment. 746 has at least one offered as used. New Analytics for new items in categories: # Name Items Sold Offered Min val. Med. val. Avg. val. Max val. Total val. Total price 1 Town 2691 1710 2488 $0.18 $2.65 $2.52 $46.77 $4306.11 $12833.39 2 Star Wars 1156 1148 1152 $0.14 $11.07 $9.95 $912.34 $11419.61 $18057.18 3 Duplo 849 244 378 $0.19 $3.92 $3.78 $33.28 $923.16 $1702.06 4 Super Heroes 635 613 616 $0.02 $14.02 $13.21 $1450.00 $8095.87 $10933.56 5 Collectible Minifigures 630 603 616 $0.00 $5.50 $5.25 $58.84 $3163.69 $4468.22 6 Castle 551 408 458 $0.89 $6.99 $6.91 $49.74 $2818.90 $5217.69 7 Ninjago 506 502 503 $0.60 $5.26 $4.90 $59.99 $2460.17 $3320.23 8 Friends 365 353 361 $0.23 $2.46 $2.34 $14.02 $826.06 $1061.38 9 Sports 296 81 193 $0.17 $6.20 $6.13 $76.64 $496.18 $1742.10 10 Harry Potter 238 233 236 $0.01 $9.16 $8.73 $104.50 $2033.90 $2906.79 11 Belville 214 38 94 $0.50 $3.98 $3.93 $9.00 $149.22 $692.56 12 Holiday & Event 210 204 209 $0.01 $3.17 $2.94 $20.93 $599.92 $785.07 13 Space 207 141 180 $0.32 $6.24 $5.98 $44.24 $842.90 $1799.59 14 Pirates 188 155 182 $0.52 $5.58 $5.29 $41.75 $819.67 $1664.93 15 Legends of Chima 159 157 159 $0.10 $3.21 $2.79 $28.93 $437.91 $668.84 This is free version of our report. Please visit minifigs.blog website to purchase full version without limits. Used Analytics for used items in categories: # Name Items Sold Offered Min val. Med. val. Avg. val. Max val. Total val. Total price 1 Town 2691 2428 2567 $0.03 $1.90 $1.85 $119.99 $4494.88 $6334.79 2 Star Wars 1156 1132 1136 $0.01 $7.98 $7.82 $487.74 $8854.87 $12476.59 3 Duplo 849 660 746 $0.02 $2.19 $2.18 $23.31 $1436.65 $1821.35 4 Super Heroes 635 590 598 $0.25 $7.17 $7.12 $350.00 $4200.47 $6345.18 5 Collectible Minifigures 630 587 605 $0.03 $3.74 $3.67 $32.05 $2153.23 $2855.19 6 Castle 551 523 525 $0.11 $4.61 $4.53 $64.17 $2366.65 $2920.02 7 Ninjago 506 454 473 $0.04 $3.87 $3.84 $41.08 $1745.46 $2258.96 Page 7 of 27 Minifigs.blog: Monthly Report 2020-05-01 8 Friends 365 301 312 $0.18 $1.95 $1.93 $9.38 $579.66 $808.91 9 Sports 296 232 251 $0.01 $3.20 $3.09 $68.46 $716.79 $1055.59 10 Harry Potter 238 232 233 $0.28 $6.85 $6.79 $90.00 $1575.28 $1971.08 11 Belville 214 163 189 $0.43 $4.43 $4.39 $24.25 $715.96 $935.83 12 Holiday & Event 210 151 176 $0.24 $2.52 $2.49 $15.99 $375.93 $606.15 13 Space 207 192 201 $0.04 $3.83 $3.75 $32.43 $719.52 $961.53 14 Pirates 188 187 186 $0.33 $3.47 $3.37 $30.00 $630.31 $858.10 15 Legends of Chima 159 159 158 $0.25 $2.40 $2.36 $16.26 $375.77 $444.16 This is free version of our report.