Russian Gas Transit in Intense Competition and Market Liberalisation in Europe
Alexander Medvedev General Director of Gazexport
Brussels, October 19, 2004
1 Gazprom’sGazprom’s NaturalNatural GasGas ExportsExports byby CountryCountry inin 20032003 ((bcmbcm))
The Netherlands 2.3 Yugoslavia 1.9 Slovenia 0.7 Macedonia 0.1 Romania Austria France Slovakia 5.1 6.0 Czech Rep. 7.3 11.2 Croatia 0.6 7.4 Italy Poland 7.4 19.8 Bosnia 0.2 10.4 2.9 Hungary 12.9 29.6 Bulgaria 5.1 Greece 1.9 Germany Turkey Finland Switzerland 0.3
Total Exports - 133.0 bcm
2 Russia’sRussia’s GasGas ExportsExports toto WesternWestern EuropeEurope
Gazexport supplied: in 2002 – 87.8 bcm
bcm in 2003 – 94.4 bcm
40 35.0 32.2 2002 35 2003 30
25 19.3 19.7 20
15 12.9 11.4 11.8 11.2 10 6.0 5.2 4.6 5.1 5 1.4 2.3 1.6 1.9 a 0 e y c tri Greece y n s inland rlands u F e y tal ra A n I urke F a T
Germ The Neth
3 Russia’sRussia’s GasGas ExportsExports toto CentralCentral EuropeEurope
Gazexport supplied: in 2002 – 41.6 bcm in 2003 – 44.5 bcm
12 bcm
10.4 2002 10 9.1 2003
8 7.7 7.47.4 7.3 7.4 7.3
6 5.1
4 3.5 2.8 2.9
2 1.7 1.9 1.2 1.2
0 Hungary Czech Rep. Poland Slovakia Romania Bulgaria Yugoslavia Croatia
4 Gazprom’sGazprom’s NaturalNatural GasGas ExportsExports toto EuropeEurope
bcm
140.0 160 133.0 129.0 129.4 123.5 126.8 127.0 116.8 120.5 140 117.4 105.9 120
100
80
60
40
20
0 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 estimated 5 Gazprom’s Share in the European Gas Market
2.2.00 ttccmm
Helsinki 25%25%Oslo Stockholm GAZPROM purchased 28.4 tcm from Gazprom
London EUROPEBonn only 7.0% sold
Paris 2003 523 bcm Alma-Ata
Madrid >> $$ 220000 bbnn
6 Minimal Russian Natural Gas Export Obligations under Existing Contracts* bcm
180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 9 1 8 0 0 7 0 0 2 0 6 0 0 2 5 0 0 2 4 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 2 2
* Not taking into account the possible extension of contracts. 7 RussianRussian GasGas FlowsFlows
Russia
Belarus Netherlands Poland
Ukraine Germany Czech Republic Slovakia France Austria Switzerland Hungary Slovenia Romania Croatia Romania Italy Bosnia & Herzegovina Bulgaria Yugoslavia
Macedonia Turkey Greece
8 W H I T E S E A
я Major Gazprom’sи Export Gas Pipelines г е в р о F I N L A N D Н
N O R T H S E A I R E L A N D R u s s i a
/ Yamal - Europe
U K R С A I N E 80% of export gas is m
SEA OF AZOV a transported via Ukraine re St N ue
Bl C A S P B L A C K S E A S
A Z E R B A I J A N
G R E E C E 9 M
E Gas pipelines in Ukraine
P O L A N D B E L A R U S R U S S I A
L’vov Kiev Drozdovichi
Velke Kapushany S L O V A K I A U K R A I N E
Beregovo H U N G A R Y Medieshu Aurit
Оdesa R O M A N I A Азовское море
Isaccha
10 Gas Pipelines in Slovakia
11 Gas Pipelines in the Czech Republic
12 Tartu
Nørresundby
E
P N I
P Vastervik Älborg Staraya Rus O
R Va r be rg
U
E Slite Oskarshamn Pskov Ve n t s p il s Studstrup Halmstad DENMARK YamalYamal –– EuropeEurope GasGas PipelinePipelineInchukaln Izborsk Arhus Kærgård Kalmar Jurmala Fredericia Helsingborg RI GA Esbjerg Karlshamn PSKOV Kalundborg COPENH AGEN Ronneby Liepaja Karlskrona Odense Solvesborg LATVIA Rezekne RUSSIA Velikiye Luki Malmö Akmene Mazeikiai Trelleborg Klaipeda Daugavpils Panevezys Kiel Heide Dornum LITHUANIA Polotsk Rostock KALININGRAD Jonava Novopolotsk (Russian Fed.) Vitebs k Lübeck Kaunas en WilhelmshavenBremen Hamburg Kaliningrad Gdansk Gdynia RUSSIA Orsha Elblag Alitus Schwedt Szczecin VI LNIUS Olsztyn Hannover Mogilev
Grodno MINSK Magdeburg BERLI N Torun AL BELARUS ED Frankfurt/Oder Nesvizh W Osipovich Wloclawek E RMANY Poznan Plock Kondratki Zielona Solegorsk Gora W Leipzig ARSAW Erfurt Kobrin Ivacevichi Gom Odolanov ST Dresden Rechitsa urt/ EG Lodz Schlüchtern AL Brest Zwickau StrazkyLiberec Sayda Wroclaw Mozyr Litvinov Kralupy Würzburg PRAGUE L A Wal brzychGlinsk Mariampolski AG Lublin J Compressor stations Chern Pardubice Kielce Olishevka Wai dhaus Plzen Trzebinia Kostopol KIEV Nürnburg Korosten CZECH Lutsk Ostrava Katowice Krakow CompressorRovno stations gart REPUBLIC Czechowice Neustadt Olomouc Borisp Kamenny Brod Zhitomir Ingolstadt Brno underBrody construction Hermanowice Jaslo Lvov Zilina Nowy Sac z VI ENNA Przemys BRATISLAVA Lanzhot Ber ghausen SL OVAK Belaya Tserkov Munich Khmelnik REPUBLIC Ternopol Kosice Zvolen Vinnitsa Dolina Ivano-Frankovsk Salzburg Velke Nadvornaya UKRA Baumg arten Kapuzan y ludenz Levice Uzhgorod Kamenets-Podolskiy 13 Gas Pipelines in Romania
14 Gas Pipelines in Bulgaria
15 Blue Stream Gas Pipeline
16 я и ги е в р о Н F I N L A N D
я и Northern European Gasц PipelineФИНЛЯНДИЯ Northern European Gasе Pipeline в
Ш
Vyborg
a Estonia e S S c N O R T H S E A iic lltt a B Denmark R U S S I A Latvia
UK Lithuania Bacton Greifswald
NETHERLANDS
BELGIUM
G E R M A N Y P O L A N D Belarus MainMain characteristics characteristics of of Vyborg Vyborg - - Greifswald Greifswald section section LUX (one(one line): line):
Czechcapacitycapacity Republic - - 19.2 19.2 bcm/ bcm/ year year lengthlength - - 1189 1189 km km France diameterdiameter - - 42” 42” pressurepressureSlovak Republic - - 22 22 MPa MPa
Switzerland U K R A I N Austria
Венгрия М о 17 л д я и ц е в
Ш InterconnectorInterconnector
Эстония
е р о м е о к с й NORTH SEA и т л I R E L A N D а Б
Латвия
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
Bacton Литва
NETHERLANDS INTERCONNECTOR Zeebrugge
BELGIUM
GERMANY P O L A N D Б Е Л О Р
LUX FRANCE
ЧЕХИЯ 18