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The 2.6 Ghz Spectrum Band

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The 2.6 Ghz Spectrum Band The 2.6 GHz Spectrum Band Unique Opportunity to Realize Global Mobile Broadband Report Prepared for the GSM Association December 2009 Scott Fox – Chairman and CEO Martyn Roetter - Vice President – Research Jeffrey Walkenhorst - Vice President – Research Peter Rysavy – Vice President – Technology Research Mobile Broadband – 2.6 GHz Band December 2009 Acknowledgements The many people and companies that contributed to this report are too numerous to mention or highlight individually. However, we wish to specifically acknowledge the following companies and individuals for their significant contributions to this research and report: - Ericsson - Telenor - GSM Association - Ricardo Tavares – GSM Association - Qualcomm - Sandra Gilligan – GSM Association - TeliaSonera - Sebastian Cabello – GSM Association San Diego, CA U.S.A. www.GlobalViewPartners.com Notice The contents of this paper reflect the research, analysis and conclusions of Global View Partners, Inc and may not necessarily represent the opinions and view points of the GSM Association. Global View Partners provides this document and the information contained herein for informational purposes only. Although Global View Partners has exercised reasonable care in researching and providing this information, Global View Partners does not warrant this information to be error-free. Global View Partners disclaims and, in no event, shall be liable for any losses or damages of any kind, whether direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, or punitive arising out of or in any way related to the use of this information. Global View Partners, Inc. Copyright ©2009 All rights reserved. Page 2 of 60 Mobile Broadband – 2.6 GHz Band December 2009 Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ........................................................................................................... 5 INTRODUCTION: THE REGULATOR PERSPECTIVE AND RATIONAL OBJECTIVES FOR SPECTRUM POLICY ................................................................................................................. 7 2.6 GHZ BAND OVERVIEW AND POTENTIAL ROLES ........................................................... 9 History and Development ......................................................................................................................... 9 ITU Band Definition (2500-2690) and Options ....................................................................................... 10 Roles of the 2.6 GHz Band: Capacity Needs ......................................................................................... 12 Roles of the 2.6 GHz Band: Economic and Social Benefits ................................................................... 12 Roles of the 2.6 GHz Band: Building a Business Case .......................................................................... 14 GLOBAL 2.6 GHZ LICENSING EXPERIENCE TO-DATE ........................................................15 Auctions: Singapore, Norway, Sweden, Finland, Hong Kong ................................................................ 15 Singapore ................................................................................................................................................ 16 Norway .................................................................................................................................................... 16 Sweden ................................................................................................................................................... 17 Finland .................................................................................................................................................... 17 Hong Kong .............................................................................................................................................. 18 Implications of Recent 2.6 GHz Auctions ............................................................................................... 18 TECHNOLOGY CONSIDERATIONS: LTE, WIMAX, AND ITU OPTION 1 ...............................19 LTE Performance .................................................................................................................................... 20 Interference Considerations .................................................................................................................... 21 Technologies with Global Scale for Broadband Penetration .................................................................. 22 A Closer Look: ITU Option 1, Economies of Scale, and LTE versus WiMAX ........................................ 23 Conclusion: Technology Market Development Favors LTE ................................................................... 26 ASSESSING THE ITU BAND OPTIONS IN VIEW OF POLICY GOALS & TECHNOLOGY .....27 Working Backwards: Advantages and Disadvantages of ITU Option 3 ................................................. 27 ITU Option 1: Advantages and Disadvantages of a Harmonized Band ................................................. 28 ITU Option 1 versus Option 3 – Bringing it All Together ........................................................................ 30 Industry Commentary Supports 2.6 GHz Band Plan and Harmonization............................................... 32 CURRENT TRENDS IN 2.6 GHZ ALLOCATION - REGIONAL/COUNTRY EXAMPLES .........33 The 2.6 GHz Band in Europe – Momentum to Adopt ITU Option 1 ....................................................... 33 The 2.6 (2.5) GHz Band in the United States and Canada .................................................................... 35 The 2.6 GHz Band in Latin America – ITU Option 1 at Forefront ........................................................... 36 Brazil ....................................................................................................................................................... 37 Chile ........................................................................................................................................................ 39 Other Country Examples - South Africa ................................................................................................. 39 CONCLUSIONS .......................................................................................................................41 APPENDIX ...............................................................................................................................44 Global View Partners, Inc. Copyright ©2009 All rights reserved. Page 3 of 60 Mobile Broadband – 2.6 GHz Band December 2009 Appendix A: Outcomes of World Radiocommunication Conferences for the 2.6 GHz Band (“IMT Extension”) ................................................................................................................................................ 44 Future development of IMT-2000 systems and beyond ......................................................................... 44 RESOLUTION 228 (Rev. WRC-03) ........................................................................................................ 45 Appendix B: Technology Overview - for the 2.6 GHz Band .................................................................. 48 1G to 4G Migration ................................................................................................................................. 48 Source: Rysavy Research. ..................................................................................................................... 48 Source: Rysavy Research. ..................................................................................................................... 49 3GPP Evolution....................................................................................................................................... 49 HSPA Evolution ...................................................................................................................................... 50 Source: Rysavy Research. ..................................................................................................................... 51 LTE ......................................................................................................................................................... 51 WiMAX Evolution .................................................................................................................................... 52 Source: Rysavy Research. ..................................................................................................................... 52 APPENDIX C: Regional and Country Examples of the 2.6 GHz Band ................................................. 54 Country Auction Structures/Data ............................................................................................................ 54 Singapore ................................................................................................................................................ 54 Norway .................................................................................................................................................... 55 Finland .................................................................................................................................................... 56 Hong Kong .............................................................................................................................................. 57 Global LTE Launch Plans ......................................................................................................................
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