Plano Independent School District
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Plano Independent School District Quarterly Report 4Q20 DFW MSA Economic Update Unemployment Rate, Jan 2018 - Nov 2020 Unemployment Rate, Year Over Year 13.1 14.0 6.5 12.8 US 12.0 3.4 10.0 7.1 Texas 3.3 8.0 7.1 6.3 6.3 6.0 DFW 2.9 3.6 4.0 3.2 5.5 2.0 Collin Co. 2.8 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 Dec-20 Dec-19 DFW Texas 2 Local Economic Update- Dallas Amazon Warehouse • Announced new fulfillment center in Forney in August 2020; estimated to open in 2021 • Located at 1475 Akron Way; spans approx. 1.2 million sq. ft. and will bring in 500 new jobs • Forney home to new Amazon distribution center located at 1101 S Gateway Blvd; completed late 2020 • Spans 200,000 sq. ft., its expected to create 100 new jobs Walmart Fulfillment Center • Plans $800 million project spanning 1.9 million sq. ft. at southwest corner E Belt Line Rd & Sunrise Rd • Expected to create 1,300 jobs • Expected to bring in approx. $2.3 million in annual revenue to the city of Lancaster Uber HQ • Construction expected to be complete May 2022 • 2 year extension on economic incentives approved by Dallas City Council May 2020 due to pandemic impact • Hired approx. 200 employees pre-pandemic; targets restarting hiring process Fall 2021 • Plans to employ at least 2,500 workers by end of 2023 Source: Dallas Business Journal & Dallas Morning News 3 Plano ISD Housing Market Analysis Home Sales by Transaction Type, 2010 – 2020 7,000 37 6,000 317 34 32 69 246 208 152 44 60 91 351 275 210 170 120 5,000 454 573 507 510 4,000 515 488 5,293 5,243 5,574 3,000 5,256 5,178 5,184 5,178 5,354 4,135 2,000 3,670 3,411 1,000 382 385 458 459 421 611 622 478 0 199 201 249 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 New Home Sale Existing Home Sale REO Sale Foreclosure Sale • In 2020 there have been approx. 6,160 home sales in Plano ISD • Total foreclosures and REO sales throughout PISD have decreased by 90% since 2010 • Although down from 2019 totals, new home sales within PISD have increased by 140% since 2010 4 Sources: Metrostudy & Collin County Deed Transactions Plano ISD Housing Market Average New vs. Existing Home Sale Price, 2010 – 2020 $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 $300,000 $200,000 $100,000 $0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Avg New Home Avg Existing Home Avg New Home Avg Existing Home 2010 $306,458 $248,787 2011 $351,074 $256,546 • Since 2010, the average new home 2012 $347,429 $269,423 price in Plano ISD has increased by 2013 $376,029 $285,218 2014 $440,198 $298,974 nearly $149,780, or 48% 2015 $427,136 $322,946 • The average existing home price within 2016 $450,352 $343,572 2017 $441,107 $362,449 the district has increased by 51%, or 2018 $446,013 $380,204 roughly $127,600 since 2010 2019 $478,015 $385,185 5 2020 $456,235 $376,386 Plano ISD New Home Starts and Closings Annual New Home Starts and Closings 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Annual Starts Annual Closings Starts 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Closings 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 1Q 92 99 100 175 127 90 1Q 108 110 119 159 117 153 2Q 122 123 104 146 104 88 2Q 109 118 120 191 164 134 3Q 153 137 181 163 111 62 3Q 112 110 88 128 120 155 4Q 115 102 178 135 149 82 4Q 116 114 118 125 167 89 Total 482 461 563 619 491 322 Total 445 452 445 603 568 531 6 Top 10 Subdivisions - 4Q20 (Ranked by Annual Closings) Annual Quarter Rank Subdivision Elementary Zone Closings Closings VDL Future Annual Closing Distribution 1 UNIVERSITY PLACE (PISD) ALDRIDGE 76 7 8 27 2 HERITAGE CREEKSIDE SIGLER 59 16 55 0 3 PECAN MEADOW BEVERLY 59 12 36 0 4 UNIVERSITY PLACE ADDITION TH ALDRIDGE 48 0 0 0 5 WHITESTONE ESTATES HICKEY 32 8 29 167 6 HARVARD VILLAS GULLEDGE 27 8 0 0 7 HERITAGE RIDGE ESTATES DOOLEY 21 5 65 0 8 WELLS PARK GULLEDGE 21 5 3 0 9 INGRAM TERRACE SCHELL 18 2 0 0 10 CREEKSIDE ESTATES (PISD) HUNT 17 1 9 0 TOTALS 378 64 205 194 7 Top 10 Subdivisions - 4Q20 (Ranked by remaining VDL) Annual Quarter VDL Distribution Rank Subdivision Elementary Zone Closings Closings VDL Future 1 HERITAGE RIDGE ESTATES DOOLEY 21 5 65 0 2 HERITAGE CREEKSIDE SIGLER 59 16 55 0 3 KINGSBRIDGE HUNT 7 2 51 0 4 PECAN MEADOW BEVERLY 59 12 36 0 5 VILLAS AT LEGACY WEST (PISD) BARKSDALE 11 4 33 0 6 OASIS SPRINGS MANORS HUNT 0 0 31 8 7 RESERVE AT SOUTHRIDGE HUNT 0 0 31 0 8 WHITESTONE ESTATES HICKEY 32 8 29 167 9 CRYSTAL CREEK STINSON 2 1 26 0 10 CYPRUS VILLAS DAFFRON 8 2 25 0 TOTALS 199 50 382 175 8 Top 10 Subdivisions - 4Q20 (Ranked by Future Inventory) Annual Quarter Futures Distribution Rank Subdivision Elementary Zone Closings Closings VDL Future 1 ENVISION OAK POINT (MCCALL ELEM) MCCALL 0 0 0 778 2 ENVISION OAK POINT (HICKEY ELEM) HICKEY 0 0 0 622 3 COLLIN CREEK MALL SF SIGLER 0 0 0 462 4 MAPLESHADE VILLAGE JACKSON 0 0 0 243 5 WHITESTONE ESTATES HICKEY 32 8 29 167 6 ENVISION OAK POINT (BARRON ELEM) BARRON 0 0 0 123 7 MIDDLETON VILLAS JACKSON 10 3 0 108 8 ENCHANTED CREEK (PISD) HUNT 8 0 2 65 9 WYNWOOD VILLAS FORMAN 0 0 0 61 10 15TH STREET TOWNHOMES MENDENHALL 0 0 0 49 TOTALS 50 11 31 2,678 9 New Housing Activity by Elementary Zone Annual Quarter Annual Quarter Under Vacant Elementary Inventory Future Starts Starts Closings Closings Construction Dev. Lots ALDRIDGE 44 4 140 7 10 15 10 27 BARKSDALE 10 6 16 5 7 13 45 0 BARRON 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 123 BEVERLY 58 12 59 12 13 22 36 0 DAFFRON 20 9 8 2 13 20 45 0 DOOLEY 31 10 23 5 16 22 101 0 FORMAN 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 61 GULLEDGE 12 3 48 13 3 10 3 0 HAGGAR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 HICKEY 29 14 32 8 14 19 36 789 HIGHTOWER 2 0 10 3 0 7 12 0 HUNT 34 10 56 7 24 25 175 144 JACKSON 0 0 10 3 0 2 0 351 MCCALL 6 1 4 0 4 5 0 801 MENDENHALL 8 2 16 5 6 8 19 74 MILLER 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 35 SCHELL 6 0 28 2 0 0 1 0 SIGLER 63 11 64 16 24 30 55 462 STINSON 1 0 2 1 1 1 26 12 WEATHERFORD 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 Only Elementary Zones Grand Totals 324 82 524 89 135 199 574 2,883 with activity are shown Highest activity in the category Second highest activity in the category 10 Third highest activity in the category District Housing Overview • PISD has 29 actively building subdivisions • There are 12 future subdivisions in the planning stages • Groundwork is underway on over 250 lots in 5 subdivisions • There are over 2,400 multi-family units under construction, and over 1,450 future units in the planning stages 11 District Yields Single Family Yield Multi-Family Yield 0.415 0.222 PISD Student Yields by Housing Type 0.6 0.482 0.5 0.472 0.464 0.452 0.441 0.414 0.415 0.4 0.3 0.248 0.247 0.253 0.243 0.233 0.234 0.222 0.2 0.1 0 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 SF Yield MF Yield 12 District Multi-Family Yield • Within PISD there are nearly 13,690 students residing in 61,488 multi-family units • The district average multi-family yield is 0.222 13 Note: Multi-family yields include apartments, townhomes, condos and manufactured home communities Newcomer and Leaver Analysis Newcomers and Leavers 7,000 -245 -474 -125 -1,639 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 6,166 5,792 5,795 5,652 5,547 5,321 5,527 4,527 2,000 1,000 0 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 Newcomers Leavers 14 Ten Year Forecast by Grade Level % Year (Oct.) EE PK K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th Total Growth Growth 2016/17 510 1,063 3,533 3,730 3,891 4,132 4,090 3,970 4,075 4,199 4,154 4,280 4,190 4,219 4,136 54,172 2017/18 542 1,236 3,548 3,642 3,797 3,949 4,151 4,109 3,977 4,106 4,262 4,261 4,062 4,159 4,227 54,028 -144 -0.3% 2018/19 580 1,212 3,473 3,642 3,607 3,822 3,914 4,126 4,048 3,955 4,138 4,351 4,012 4,075 4,195 53,150 -878 -1.6% 2019/20 581 1,295 3,412 3,595 3,686 3,693 3,821 3,898 4,079 4,123 3,976 4,278 4,034 4,102 4,073 52,646 -504 -0.9% 2020/21 419 1,028 3,091 3,300 3,495 3,541 3,575 3,743 3,809 4,006 4,048 3,920 4,026 4,053 4,131 50,185 -2,461 -4.7% Jan-2021 499 1,035 3,148 3,298 3,511 3,552 3,568 3,738 3,809 3,998 4,027 3,872 4,024 4,010 4,084 50,176 -2,470 -4.7% 2021/22 589 1,316 3,365 3,507 3,479 3,644 3,601 3,626 3,749 3,835 4,045 4,180 3,696 4,097 4,068 50,797 612 1.2% 2022/23 589 1,333 3,330 3,475 3,534 3,550 3,683 3,605 3,590 3,800 3,872 4,159 3,914 3,762 4,106 50,302 -495 -1.0% 2023/24 589 1,339 3,383 3,444 3,523 3,588 3,586 3,689 3,561 3,626 3,841 4,009 3,915 3,993 3,775 49,861 -441 -0.9% 2024/25 589 1,335 3,399 3,499 3,473 3,576 3,602 3,600 3,652 3,596 3,658 3,964 3,761 3,985 4,006 49,695 -166 -0.3% 2025/26 589 1,345 3,423 3,521 3,540 3,534 3,614 3,617 3,560 3,694 3,629 3,791 3,724 3,836 3,996 49,413 -282 -0.6% 2026/27 589 1,337 3,440 3,556 3,563 3,601 3,571 3,625 3,567 3,595 3,729 3,758 3,564 3,789 3,847 49,131 -282 -0.6% 2027/28 589 1,335 3,428 3,549 3,582 3,620 3,622 3,574 3,578 3,599 3,630 3,858 3,531 3,628 3,798 48,921 -210 -0.4% 2028/29 589 1,341 3,447 3,531 3,580 3,640 3,650 3,628 3,531 3,613 3,634 3,761 3,619 3,603 3,638 48,805 -116 -0.2% 2029/30 589 1,344 3,473 3,560 3,564 3,638 3,669 3,651 3,586 3,567 3,647 3,761 3,534 3,685 3,612 48,880 75 0.2% 2030/31 589 1,345 3,499 3,585 3,593 3,621 3,672 3,672 3,607 3,621 3,602 3,773 3,530 3,602 3,694 49,005 125 0.3% Yellow box = largest grade per year Green box = second largest grade per year 15 Ten Year Forecast by Elementary Campus Fall ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS Program Functional Campus 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 Capacity Capacity Head Start 146 135 146 146 146 146 146 146 146 146 146 146 Aldridge Elementary School 577 545 591 604 593 602 590 590 578 573 572 569 724 615 Andrews Elementary School 538 505 458 462 438 434 430 436 441 443 444 448 746 634 Barksdale Elementary School 644 599 634 616 615 620 633 651 647 655 656 651 790 678 Barron Elementary School 314 306 326 314 312 313 316 319 324 331