Final Report of the Interagency Technical Working Group (ITWG)

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Final Report of the Interagency Technical Working Group (ITWG) Final Report of the Interagency Technical Working Group on Evaluating Alternative Measures of Poverty Final Report ITWG on Evaluating Alternative Measures of Poverty Table of Contents Executive Summary ................................................................................................................................ 1 Background ............................................................................................................................................ 3 Creation of the Technical Working Group ......................................................................................... 3 Goals and Elements of a Poverty Measure ........................................................................................ 4 Goals of a Poverty Measure ........................................................................................................... 4 Elements of a Poverty Measure ..................................................................................................... 5 The Official Poverty Measure ................................................................................................................ 6 History of the Official Poverty Measure ............................................................................................ 6 Uses of the Official Poverty Measure ................................................................................................ 7 Concerns with the Official Poverty Measure ..................................................................................... 8 Resource Measure Does Not Account For In-Kind Transfers And Taxes ....................................... 9 Income Misreporting ...................................................................................................................... 9 The Resource Sharing Unit May Not Capture Actual Sharing Arrangements .............................. 10 The CPI-U Used to Adjust the Official Poverty Thresholds May Not Measure Inflation Accurately ..................................................................................................................................... 10 Thresholds Do Not Account for Changes in Living Standards ...................................................... 11 Thresholds Do Not Account For Geographic Price Differences ................................................... 11 The Adjustment for Family Size and Composition ....................................................................... 11 Association with Other Measures of Material Well-Being .......................................................... 11 The Supplemental Poverty Measure ................................................................................................... 12 History of the Supplemental Poverty Measure as Implemented .................................................... 12 Current Uses of the Supplemental Poverty Measure ...................................................................... 13 Concerns with the Supplemental Poverty Measure ........................................................................ 13 Resources ..................................................................................................................................... 13 Association with Other Measures of Material Well-Being .......................................................... 14 Updating Mechanism for Thresholds ........................................................................................... 15 Alternative Measures of Poverty Recommended by the Working Group .......................................... 15 Considerations and Consensus Recommendations for Income- and Consumption-based Resource Measures .......................................................................................................................... 16 Income-based Resource Measures Using the CPS ASEC and ACS ............................................... 17 Consumption-based Resource Measures Using the CE Interview Survey ................................... 46 Advantages/Disadvantages of Income- and Consumption-based Resource Measures .............. 52 Considerations and Consensus Recommendations for Thresholds ................................................ 57 Setting Thresholds in a Baseline Year .......................................................................................... 58 Page | i Final Report ITWG on Evaluating Alternative Measures of Poverty Updating Thresholds Over Time .................................................................................................. 60 Sharing and Adjusting for Different Sharing Unit Sizes ............................................................... 62 Adjusting Poverty Thresholds Across Geographic Areas ............................................................. 65 Accounting for Units With Child Support Obligations and Work And Childcare Expenditures ... 68 Other Elements of a Poverty Measure ............................................................................................ 69 Consensus Recommendations Worthy of Further Research by the Federal Statistical System ......... 69 Additional Research on Income and Consumption Poverty ............................................................ 69 Other Measures of Well-being Beyond Income and Consumption................................................. 70 Material Hardship ........................................................................................................................ 70 Multidimensional Poverty ............................................................................................................ 71 Populations Included in Poverty Measures ..................................................................................... 72 Accounting for Other Types of Services ........................................................................................... 73 Identifying Poverty Status of Individuals within a Sharing Unit ...................................................... 74 Timeliness of Income, Consumption, Poverty, and Other Well-being Measures ........................... 74 Summary of and Responses to Public Comment ................................................................................. 76 Questions Posed in Federal Register Notice for Public Comment .................................................. 76 Definitions .................................................................................................................................... 76 Resource measures ...................................................................................................................... 76 Thresholds .................................................................................................................................... 76 Summary of and Responses to Public Comments ........................................................................... 77 References ........................................................................................................................................... 87 Appendix A. Census Bureau Surveys ................................................................................................. 114 Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement (CPS ASEC) ....................... 114 American Community Survey (ACS) ............................................................................................... 114 Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP) ..................................................................... 114 Appendix B. Bureau of Labor Statistics Surveys ................................................................................ 116 Consumer Expenditure Survey (CE) ............................................................................................... 116 Appendix C. Choices for Geographic Cost Adjustments .................................................................... 117 Median Rent Index (MRI) ............................................................................................................... 119 Regional Price Parities (RPP) .......................................................................................................... 119 Regional Price Parities for Food, Apparel and Rent (RPP-FAR) ..................................................... 120 Comparable Wage Index (CWI) ...................................................................................................... 120 Appendix D. List of Working Group Recommendations .................................................................... 122 Page | ii Final Report ITWG on Evaluating Alternative Measures of Poverty Executive Summary Since the establishment of the U.S. official poverty measure (OPM) more than fifty years ago, there has been continuing research on poverty measurement. Alternative estimates of poverty have been published for more than three decades by the Census Bureau, and in 2011 the Census Bureau in cooperation with the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) began publishing the Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM). Existing and previous measures of poverty produced by the Federal government are income based and rely on surveys to capture the income data. Guidance issued by the Commission on Evidence-based Policymaking, National Academy of Sciences reports, and the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) has recommended combining administrative data with survey data to improve national statistics. In recent years, evidence has shown that there is survey
Recommended publications
  • Persistent Poverty Across Locations in the United States
    PERSISTENT AND TRANSITORY POVERTY ACROSS LOCATIONS IN THE UNITED STATES DISSERTATION Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy in the Graduate School of The Ohio State University By John M. Ulimwengu, MA **** The Ohio State University 2006 Dissertation committee: Approved by Professor David Kraybill Adviser Professor Tim Haab Graduate program in Agricultural, Environmental and Development Professor Elena Irwin Economics. ABSTRACT Poverty is often defined as lack of access to necessities such as food, shelter, and medical care. Adverse shocks such as income losses push households below the poverty line for a relatively brief period of time. Those who recover quickly without explicit external assistance are considered as transitorily poor. While households in transitory poverty are able to rebound relatively quickly from adverse shocks, those in persistent poverty remain poor for much more extended periods. Remedial policies for persistent poverty are different from those necessary to fight transitory poverty. Using a geocoded version of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 (NLSY79), my findings suggest that the persistently poor receive less than 65% of their total income as wages, accumulate fewer assets, and rely heavily on government social transfers. Although their incomes fall below the poverty line occasionally, the transitorily poor stay above the poverty line most of the time. I confirm the presence of poverty clusters as well as the presence of spatial interaction across locations. This calls for cooperation among counties or states in the fight against poverty. ii I use a generalized mixed linear model that incorporates both fixed and random effects while controlling for individual characteristics and spatial attributes.
    [Show full text]
  • Poverty and Food Security in La Crosse County, Wisconsin
    Poverty and Food Security in La Crosse County, Wisconsin Katherine J. Curtis, Judi Bartfeld, and Sarah Lessem Poverty in Wisconsin rose substantially in the 2000s and early 2010s. In 2012, 13.2% of the state’s population— roughly 737,356 people1—lived in poverty, as compared to 8.7% in 2000.2 Wisconsin residents are better off economically than the nation as a whole, which has a 15.9% poverty rate. Nonetheless, the official statewide poverty rate has remained well above 12% since 2009. Two recessions and persistently high unemployment have increased economic hardship in Wisconsin. As a result, a larger proportion of households in the state now live in poverty and struggle to secure adequate and nutritious food. What is poverty? ––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– The poverty threshold is intended to indicate the do not account for geographic differences in costs income people need for a minimally adequate of living, they are one way to compare economic standard of living. The threshold varies according hardship among groups, across locations, and over to the number of household members and their time. ages, and is adjusted each year to account for Most researchers and many policymakers agree inflation. that poverty lines underestimate the minimum In 2012, the poverty threshold was $23,050 for a resources necessary to meet basic needs. At the family of four and $11,170 for one person.3 same time, Wisconsin residents with incomes Households are considered poor if their pre-tax higher than the federal poverty line still qualify for income is below this amount. While poverty rates several state and federal needs-based programs.
    [Show full text]
  • POOR MEASUREMENT: New Census Report on Measuring Poverty Raises Concerns by Jared Bernstein and Arloc Sherman
    820 First Street, NE, Suite 510 Washington, DC 20002 1333 H Street, NW, Suite 300, Washington, DC 20005 202-408-1080 www.cbpp.org 202-775-8810 www.epinet.org March 28, 2006 POOR MEASUREMENT: New Census Report on Measuring Poverty Raises Concerns By Jared Bernstein and Arloc Sherman On February 14, the Bureau of the KEY FINDINGS Census released its latest report on 1 alternative measures of poverty. • The Census Bureau recently unveiled new Among social scientists, there is alternative poverty measures “intended to provide considerable dissatisfaction with the a more complete measure of economic well- official approach to poverty being.” The new poverty measures, which measurement, and this document is produce poverty rates as much as one-third below part of a welcome research initiative the official poverty rate, contain some features by Census analysts to improve the that have been characterized by poverty experts way that poverty in America is and past Census reports as flawed or incomplete. measured and understood. The • Unlike past Census reports on alternative Census Bureau has consistently measures of poverty, this report does not include a produced important and insightful set of poverty measures that follow the work in this area, carrying on the recommendations of an expert panel of the mission set forth by a 1995 National National Academy of Sciences (NAS) and that are Academy of Sciences (NAS) report, more complete than either the official poverty rate Measuring Poverty: A New Approach. or the new measures. Poverty rates under the The NAS report has been widely NAS measures are generally higher than the viewed in the research community as official poverty rate.
    [Show full text]
  • Income and Poverty in the United States: 2018 Current Population Reports
    Income and Poverty in the United States: 2018 Current Population Reports By Jessica Semega, Melissa Kollar, John Creamer, and Abinash Mohanty Issued September 2019 Revised June 2020 P60-266(RV) Jessica Semega and Melissa Kollar prepared the income section of this report Acknowledgments under the direction of Jonathan L. Rothbaum, Chief of the Income Statistics Branch. John Creamer and Abinash Mohanty prepared the poverty section under the direction of Ashley N. Edwards, Chief of the Poverty Statistics Branch. Trudi J. Renwick, Assistant Division Chief for Economic Characteristics in the Social, Economic, and Housing Statistics Division, provided overall direction. Vonda Ashton, David Watt, Susan S. Gajewski, Mallory Bane, and Nancy Hunter, of the Demographic Surveys Division, and Lisa P. Cheok of the Associate Directorate for Demographic Programs, processed the Current Population Survey 2019 Annual Social and Economic Supplement file. Andy Chen, Kirk E. Davis, Raymond E. Dowdy, Lan N. Huynh, Chandararith R. Phe, and Adam W. Reilly programmed and produced the historical, detailed, and publication tables under the direction of Hung X. Pham, Chief of the Tabulation and Applications Branch, Demographic Surveys Division. Nghiep Huynh and Alfred G. Meier, under the supervision of KeTrena Phipps and David V. Hornick, all of the Demographic Statistical Methods Division, conducted statistical review. Lisa P. Cheok of the Associate Directorate for Demographic Programs, provided overall direction for the survey implementation. Roberto Cases and Aaron Cantu of the Associate Directorate for Demographic Programs, and Charlie Carter and Agatha Jung of the Information Technology Directorate prepared and pro- grammed the computer-assisted interviewing instrument used to conduct the Annual Social and Economic Supplement.
    [Show full text]
  • NYC Opportunity 2018 Poverty Report
    The New York City Government Poverty Measure is released NYC Opportunity annually by the Mayor’s Office for Economic Opportunity. The measure is a more realistic metric than the official poverty measure released by the federal government and one that 2018 Poverty Report provides a detailed description of the nature of poverty in New York City. This year’s report contains data from 2005-2016, www1.nyc.gov/site/opportunity/poverty-in-nyc/poverty-measure.page the most recent data available. Highlights of our findings are shown below. What is the NYCgov NYCgov Poverty and Near Poverty Measure? Poverty Rates, 2014–2016 Measuring poverty involves setting a threshold (where is the poverty line?) and calculating income (how much of what?) The NYCgov poverty measure is a more realistic 45.1% NYCgov Near Poverty measure of poverty than the federal poverty measure. The NYCgov threshold is based on national spending on necessities: food, shelter, clothing and utilities and is adjusted for the higher cost of housing in New York City. The threshold varies by family size. 44.2% The NYCgov income measure includes multiple resources: after-tax earnings (including tax credits) and the value of cash and in-kind benefits (SNAP, housing vouchers, etc.). We subtract from this necessary expenses: medical spending plus commuting and 43.6% childcare for workers to derive total income. 20.6% NYCgov Poverty The poverty rate is the percent of the population whose NYCgov income is less than the NYCgov threshold. The near poverty rate shown here represents the percent 19.9% of the population with income up to 150 percent of their threshold.
    [Show full text]
  • Does Welfare Reduce Poverty?
    Research in Economics 70 (2016) 143–157 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Research in Economics journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/rie Does welfare reduce poverty? George J. Borjas a,b a Robert W. Scrivner Professor of Economics and Social Policy, Harvard Kennedy School, USA b National Bureau of Economic Research, USA article info abstract Article history: The Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act of 1996 made Received 6 October 2015 fundamental changes in the federal system of public assistance in the United States, and Accepted 6 November 2015 specifically limited the eligibility of immigrant households to receive many types of aid. Available online 22 November 2015 Many states chose to protect their immigrant populations from the presumed adverse Keywords: effects of welfare reform by offering state-funded assistance to these groups. I exploit Immigration these changes in eligibility rules to examine the link between welfare and poverty rates in Poverty the immigrant population. My empirical analysis documents that the welfare cutbacks did Welfare reform not increase poverty rates. The immigrant families most affected by welfare reform responded by substantially increasing their labor supply, thereby raising their family income and slightly lowering their poverty rate. In the targeted immigrant population, therefore, welfare does not reduce poverty; it may actually increase it. & 2015 University of Venice. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction The rapid growth of the welfare state spawned a large literature examining the factors that determine whether families participate in public assistance programs, and investigating the programs’ impact on various social and economic outcomes, such as labor supply, household income, and family structure.1 Remarkably, little attention has been paid to the impact of welfare programs on a summary measure of the family’s well being: the family’s poverty status.
    [Show full text]
  • Assets, Savings and Wealth, and Poverty: a Review of Evidence
    Assets, savings and wealth, and poverty: A review of evidence Final report to the Joseph Rowntree Foundation Beverley A Searle and Stephan Köppe July 2014 Related summary findings can be downloaded from the JRF website at http://www.jrf.org.uk/publications/reducing-poverty-in-the-uk-evidence-reviews suggested citation: Searle B A, Köppe S (2014) Assets, savings and wealth, and poverty: A review of evidence. Final report to the Joseph Rowntree Foundation. Bristol: Personal Finance Research Centre. Contents 1 Introduction 2 2 Methods 2 3 What do we mean by savings, assets, wealth, and poverty? 2 4 The assumed importance of assets 4 4.1 Limitations of asset accumulation theories for poverty alleviation 5 5 Savings, assets and wealth: A review of international evidence 6 5.1 Wealth distribution in Great Britain 6 5.2 Savings 10 5.2.1 International evidence 10 5.2.2 Individual savings schemes 11 5.2.3 Credit Unions: Linking savings accounts to loan repayments 15 5.2.4 Conclusion 16 5.3 Pensions 18 5.3.1 Pension scheme and aims 18 5.3.2 Simulating future pension income from private sources 19 5.3.3 Coverage and contribution rates 20 5.3.4 Retirement income 21 5.3.5 Conclusion 23 5.4 Housing wealth 24 5.4.1 Housing and social capital 24 5.4.2 The sale of social housing 25 5.4.3 Using housing wealth 27 5.4.4 Home ownership and poverty 28 5.4.5 Conclusion 28 5.5 Intergenerational transfers 30 6 Risks of savings, asset and wealth as an anti-poverty strategy 32 7 Conclusions 34 Endnotes 38 References 39 1 Introduction Research shows people who experience poverty often lack financial resources such as assets, savings and wealth.
    [Show full text]
  • Adults and Children in Poverty
    Socioeconomic Factors ‐ 1 MICHIGAN 2011 CRITICAL Adults and Children in Poverty HEALTH INDICATORS Indicator Definition: Percentage of individuals living below the United States Census Bureau income thresholds for poverty status. For 2010, the poverty threshold for a single individual was an income of $11,139 and for a family of four the threshold was $22,314. Indicator Overview: . Poverty rates are established with the ten‐year census, and percentages are then estimated annually based on the American Community Survey and/or the Annual Social and Economic Supplement to the Current Population Survey. Beginning with the late 1950s, the poverty rate for all Americans fell from 22.4 percent. These numbers declined steadily, dropping as low as 11.1% in 1973. The poverty rate began to cycle up to as high as 15.2 percent in 1983. The national poverty rate has remained between 11 and 15 percent since 1973. Poverty rates can vary greatly across subpopulations. ← Trends: Prior to 2000, the poverty level in Michigan was consistently lower than the national average, reaching a low for the past decade of 10.2 percent. Since 2000, the poverty level in Michigan has remained more consistent with the national percentage, and is slightly higher than the national percentage for 2008‐2010 at 15.4 percent. According to the National Center for Children in Poverty, in 2009, 44 percent (1,012,918) of children lived in low‐income families (below 200% of the federal poverty level) in Michigan, compared to the national rate of 42 percent. Children living below the federal poverty threshold in 2008 was 22 percent compared to the national rate of 21 percent.
    [Show full text]
  • Creating Asset-Building Opportunities for TANF Participants
    Creating Asset-Building Opportunities for TANF Participants Sierra Solomon Region IX Consultant Asset Initiative ASSET Building • Idea came from Michael Sherraden: Assets and the Poor: A New American Welfare Policy in 1991 • Welfare reform was in national spotlight • Private foundations provided funds to test idea • Assets for Independent Act passed in 1998 with broad bipartisan support • Sherraden argued that welfare policy failed to recognize a tenet of middle class life by focusing only on income. 2 Shift focus from income to asset ownership • Income (TANF, SSI, SSDI) an important part of safety net, but asset ownership increases economic stability and provides hope for the future. • People with assets have more options in life and can pass on status and opportunities for future generations. • Income helps families get by. Assets help families get ahead. 3 What are Assets? • Savings (3-6 month nest egg) to protect against loss of income/emergencies • Matched Savings (Individual Development Accounts) – First home – Higher education and training – Develop or expand small business • Good credit report and score, access to credit • Human capital • Property, equipment, land 4 Financial Assets Matter • Move past paycheck to paycheck – Toward long-term financial stability • Stronger, Healthier Families • Enhanced Self-Esteem • Long-term Thinking and Planning • More Community Involvement • Hope for the Future 5 Asset Distribution & Trends: Asset Poverty • Asset Poverty: Having insufficient financial resources to subsist at the poverty line
    [Show full text]
  • ASSETS MATTER to POOR PEOPLE but What Do We Know About Financing Assets?
    ASSETS MATTER TO POOR PEOPLE But What Do We Know about Financing Assets? February 2020 Sai Krishna Kumaraswamy, Max Mattern, and Emilio Hernandez Consultative Group to Assist the Poor 1818 H Street, NW, MSN F3K-306 Washington, DC 20433 USA Internet: www.cgap.org Email: [email protected] Telephone: +1 202 473 9594 Cover photo by Mohamed Elshokhepy, 2018 CGAP Photo Contest. © CGAP/World Bank, 2020. RIGHTS AND PERMISSIONS This work is available under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Under the Creative Commons Attribution license, you are free to copy, distribute, transmit, and adapt this work, including for commercial purposes, under the terms of this license. Attribution—Cite the work as follows: Kumaraswamy, Sai Krishna, Max Mattern, and Emilio Hernandez. 2020. “Assets Matter to Poor People: But What Do We Know about Financing Assets?” Working Paper. Washington, D.C.: CGAP. All queries on rights and licenses should be addressed to CGAP Publications, 1818 H Street, NW, MSN F3K-306, Washington, DC 20433 USA; e-mail: [email protected]. CONTENTS Executive Summary 1 Section 1: Introduction 3 Section 2: A Theory of Change for Asset Ownership 6 Section 3: Access vs. Ownership 10 Section 4: Mapping the Impact Evidence for Asset Ownership onto the Theory of Change 11 Section 5: Evidence Gaps and Direction for Future Research 23 References 27 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY N THE WAKE OF ADVANCES IN TECHNOLOGY AND BUSINESS MODELS, an increasing number of poor households are gaining access to financing for physical I assets ranging from smartphones to solar panels.
    [Show full text]
  • Measuring Poverty Laura Wheaton and Jamyang Tashi
    Measuring Poverty Laura Wheaton and Jamyang Tashi Many agree that the official measure of poverty in the United States is flawed. The official measure is based on cash income, and the thresholds for measuring poverty are based on outdated data. Experts have recommended an alternative measure of poverty that includes all family resources net of taxes and nondiscretionary expenses and updates the thresholds to reflect current spending patterns (Citro and Michael 1995; Iceland 2005). Representative Jim McDermott (D-WA) and Senator Chris Dodd (D-CT) have co- sponsored the Measuring American Poverty (MAP) Act, which recommends a modern poverty measure based on this alternative. • The official measure of poverty includes pretax cash income sources in its definition, and it uses a threshold based on a subsistence food budget times three. The measure was developed in 1963 and is based on spending patterns observed in a 1955 consumption survey. The thresholds represent nationwide spending averages, adjusted for inflation. The thresholds vary by family size, number of children, and whether the family is headed by an older adult. The official measure assumes that adults age 65 and older need less money to support their basic needs than younger adults. - In 2006, a family consisting of one adult and one child was considered poor if its cash income fell below $13,896, and a family of two adults and two children was considered poor if its income fell below $20,444.1 - In 2006, a family consisting of two elderly adults was considered poor if its cash income fell below $12,186. • The alternative measure of poverty developed by the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) in 1995 uses a definition that includes both cash and in-kind income and subtracts taxes and nondiscretionary work-related and out-of- pocket health expenses.
    [Show full text]
  • Chapter II: Poverty: the Official Numbers
    13 Chapter II Poverty: the official numbers Monitoring and reporting on the levels, patterns and trends of poverty have become a standard part of anti-poverty programme design and assessment. With the steady internationalization of the poverty agenda, development or- ganizations, both multilateral and bilateral, have demanded a template for regular reporting, and new concepts, definitions, data sets and instruments have been generated to meet this demand. Every major development organiza- tion produces its own report card, often ranking countries in terms of their performance. Special interest usually attaches to the annual Human Develop- ment Reports of the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and, of late, the Millennium Development Goals progress reports; however, it is perhaps the reports of the World Bank on the incidence of poverty based on the dollar-a-day criterion that generate the greatest interest and commentary in the development community. Statistics have an awesome power, and these global accounting exercises present statistical data to journalists, researchers, practitioners and activists as irrefutable facts. What, then, are those ostensible facts? The present chapter provides a summary of the currently most influ- ential versions, largely associated with the World Bank’s dollar-a-day poverty estimates. Global poverty trends: 1981-20051 Poverty is most often measured in monetary terms, captured by levels of in- come or consumption per capita or per household. The commitment made in the Millennium Development Goals to eradicate absolute poverty by halving the number of people living on less than US$ 1.25 dollar a day represents the most publicized example of an income-focused approach to poverty.
    [Show full text]