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WILE MOTORS WE HAVE 8 Hatchback Sport Coupe New Carpeting, Great $5,000 After a Judge Noted He Had Location, Wolking Dis New *8380"" Shown No Remorse
fr ?4 — MANCHESTER HERALD, Friday, Jan. 13. 1989 APARTMENTS Merchandise I MISCELLANEOUS CARS (FOR RENT FOR SALE FOR SALE EAST HARTFORD. EIGHT month old water- 1980 FORD. Fairmont. Clean, second floor, 5 1 Spcciolisj^j bed, $325. Courthouse Four cylinder, four rooms, 2 bedrooms. I FURNITURE One Gold membership, speed. Runs and looks J Stove and refrigerator. 12'/2 months left tor good. Asking $500. 649- Security required. $650 5434. PORTABLE twin bed. ■^BOOKKEEPING/ $450. Compared to rep- plus utilities. Coll 644- Like new. Includes ■^CARPENTRY/ ■^HEATING/ MISCELLANEOUS ulor price of $700 plus. 1984 MERCURY Marquis. 1712.________________ mattress. $75. 643-8208. E ^ income tax 1 2 ^ REMODELING IS H J PLUMBING SERVICES Eric 649-3426.D One owner. Excellent TWO bedroom with heat condition. 39,000 miles. A on first floor. $600 per I FUEL OIL/COAL/ Fully equipped. $5395. SA5 HOME GSL Building Mainte 633-2824. month. No pets. One Ifirew ooo 1 9 8 8 INCOME TAXES PJ’s Plumblna, Heating 8 nance Co. Commercl- Automotive months security. Coll IMPR0VEMENT5 1984 RENAULT Encore. Consultation / Preparation & REPAIRS Air Conditioning al/ResIdentlal building Don, 643-2226, leoye SEA SO N ED firewood for Boilers, pumps, hot water repairs and home Im Five door, five speed. message. After 7pm, Individuals / "No Job Too Small" tanks, new and air conditioning, body sale. Cut, split and Regleleted and FuSy Insured provements. Interior 646-9892.____________ delivered. $35 per laad. Sole Proprietors replacements, and exterior painting, excellent, new muffler, MANCHESTER. Two 742-1182. FREE ESTIMATES FREE ESTIMATES light carpentry. Com I0 F O R S A L E tires. -
Let's Make a Deal – the Monty Hall Problem
Simulation and Statistical Exploration of Data (Let’s Make a Deal – The Monty Hall Problem), using the new ClassPad300-technology Ludwig Paditz, University of Applied Sciences Dresden (FH), Germany Statement of the Problem The Monty Hall problem involves a classical game show situation and is named after Monty Hall*), the long-time host of the TV game show Let's Make a Deal. There are three doors labeled 1, 2, and 3. A car is behind one of the doors, while goats are behind the other two: The rules are as follows: 1. The player selects a door. 2. The host selects a different door and opens it. 3. The host gives the player the option of switching from the original choice to the remaining closed door. 4. The door finally selected by the player is opened and he either wins or loses. By the help of the ClassPad300 we will simulate N (say N=100) such game show situations to see, if the option of switching the door is a good or a bad option to improve the chance to win. The experiments help our students better to understand the randomness and the statistic methods of every day life. *) Monty Hall was born on August 25, 1924 in Canada. Hall attended the University of Manitoba, graduating in 1945, and served in the Canadian Army during World War II. He immigrated to the United States in 1955, and for the next few years worked in radio and television for the NBC and CBS networks. In 1963, Hall began as emcee for the game show Let's Make a Deal, the role that would make him famous. -
Puzzling Game of Life” Production Notes -Page 1
“The Puzzling Game of Life” Production Notes -Page 1 THE PUZZLING GAME OF LIFE Production Notes A four-act skit, using various game show formats to provide the setting for the main character to progress in her spiritual journey. SUMMARY: Suzy Christian finds herself on a journey in “The Game of Life.” Each game show that she participates in is another step in her spiritual journey, where she faces trials and temptations as well as growth and victory.. THEME: The retreat theme was “God Meant It For Good” and the theme verse was Romans 8:28. The visual theme was puzzle pieces, all fitting together. In this skit, we see puzzling things happening to Suzy Christian, and she doesn’t understand why she is experiencing trials. But the skit attempts to show how God is using even those difficult experiences in our life for our good and the good of others. THEME VERSE: “And we know that all things work together for good to those who love God, to those who are the called according to His purpose.” Romans 8:28 CHARACTERS: (Note: There are only a few main characters in this skit (marked with asterisk (*). All of the remaining characters are minor characters. One person could easily take the role of one of the minor characters in each act. But this is a great opportunity to assign small roles, appearing in only one act, to people and see how they handle being on stage.) *Rod Sterling Narrator *Guy Smiley - obnoxious game show host, who greatly exaggerates some of his lines (which are capitalized in the script) in a sarcastic manner *Suzy Christian - a woman, wife and mother who has recently become a Christian. -
Discrete Probability Distributions Random Variables
Discrete Probability Distributions Random Variables • A variable that associates a number with the outcome of a random experiment is called a random variable. • Notation: random variable is denoted by an uppercase letter, such as X. After the experiment is conducted, the measured value is denoted by a lowercase letter, such a x. Both X and x are shown in italics, e.g., P(X=x). Sec 2‐8 Random Variables 2 Continuous & Discrete Random Variables • A discrete random variable is usually integer number – N ‐ the number of p53 proteins in a cell – D ‐ the number of nucleotides different between two sequences • A continuous random variable is a real number – C=N/V – the concentration of p53 protein in a cell of volume V – Percentage (D/L)*100% of different nucleotides in protein sequences of different lengths L (depending on the set of L’s may be discrete but dense) Sec 2‐8 Random Variables 3 Probability Mass Function (PMF) • I want to compare all 4‐ mers in a pair of human genomes • X – random variable: the number of nucleotide Probability Mass Function for differences in a given 4‐ the # of mismatches in 4‐mers mer P(X =0) = 0.6561 • Probability Mass Function: P(X =1) = 0.2916 f(x) or P(X=x) –the P(X =2) = 0.0486 probability that the # of P(X =3) = 0.0036 P(X =4) = 0.0001 SNPs is exactly equal to x Σx P(X=x)= 1.0000 4 Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) P(X≤x) P(X>x) 0.6561 0.3439 0.9477 0.0523 0.9963 0.0037 0.9999 0.0001 1.0000 0.0000 CDF: P(X ≤ 3) = P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2) + P(X=3) = 0.9999 Complementary cumulative distribution function (tail distribution) CCDF: P(X >3) =1‐ P(X ≤ 3) =0.0001 5 Mean or Expected Value of X The mean or expected value of the discrete random variable X, denoted as or EX, is EX xPX x xf x xx • The mean = the weighted average of all possible values of X. -
The Monty Hall Problem
The Monty Hall Problem Richard D. Gill Mathematical Institute, University of Leiden, Netherlands http://www.math.leidenuniv.nl/∼gill 17 March, 2011 Abstract A range of solutions to the Monty Hall problem is developed, with the aim of connecting popular (informal) solutions and the formal mathematical solutions of in- troductory text-books. Under Riemann's slogan of replacing calculations with ideas, we discover bridges between popular solutions and rigorous (formal) mathematical solutions by using various combinations of symmetry, symmetrization, independence, and Bayes' rule, as well as insights from game theory. The result is a collection of intuitive and informal logical arguments which can be converted step by step into formal mathematics. The Monty Hall problem can be used simultaneously to develop probabilistic intuition and to give a deeper understanding of the paradox, not just to provide a routine exercise in computation of conditional probabilities. Simple insights from game theory can be used to prove probability inequalities. Acknowledgement: this text is the result of an evolution through texts written for three internet encyclopedias (wikipedia.org, citizendium.org, statprob.com) and each time has benefitted from the contributions of many other editors. I thank them all, for all the original ideas in this paper. That leaves only the mistakes, for which I bear responsibility. 1 Introduction Imagine you are a guest in a TV game show. The host, a certain Mr. Monty Hall, shows you three large doors and tells you that behind one of the doors there is a car while behind the other two there are goats. You want to win the car. -
Available Videos for TRADE (Nothing Is for Sale!!) 1
Available Videos For TRADE (nothing is for sale!!) 1/2022 MOSTLY GAME SHOWS AND SITCOMS - VHS or DVD - SEE MY “WANT LIST” AFTER MY “HAVE LIST.” W/ O/C means With Original Commercials NEW EMAIL ADDRESS – [email protected] For an autographed copy of my book above, order through me at [email protected]. 1966 CBS Fall Schedule Preview 1969 CBS and NBC Fall Schedule Preview 1997 CBS Fall Schedule Preview 1969 CBS Fall Schedule Preview (not for trade) Many 60's Show Promos, mostly ABC Also, lots of Rock n Roll movies-“ROCK ROCK ROCK,” “MR. ROCK AND ROLL,” “GO JOHNNY GO,” “LET’S ROCK,” “DON’T KNOCK THE TWIST,” and more. **I ALSO COLLECT OLD 45RPM RECORDS. GOT ANY FROM THE FIFTIES & SIXTIES?** TV GUIDES & TV SITCOM COMIC BOOKS. SEE LIST OF SITCOM/TV COMIC BOOKS AT END AFTER WANT LIST. Always seeking “Dick Van Dyke Show” comic books and 1950s TV Guides. Many more. “A” ABBOTT & COSTELLO SHOW (several) (Cartoons, too) ABOUT FACES (w/o/c, Tom Kennedy, no close - that’s the SHOW with no close - Tom Kennedy, thankfully has clothes. Also 1 w/ Ben Alexander w/o/c.) ACADEMY AWARDS 1974 (***not for trade***) ACCIDENTAL FAMILY (“Making of A Vegetarian” & “Halloween’s On Us”) ACE CRAWFORD PRIVATE EYE (2 eps) ACTION FAMILY (pilot) ADAM’S RIB (2 eps - short-lived Blythe Danner/Ken Howard sitcom pilot – “Illegal Aid” and rare 4th episode “Separate Vacations” – for want list items only***) ADAM-12 (Pilot) ADDAMS FAMILY (1ST Episode, others, 2 w/o/c, DVD box set) ADVENTURE ISLAND (Aussie kid’s show) ADVENTURER ADVENTURES IN PARADISE (“Castaways”) ADVENTURES OF DANNY DEE (Kid’s Show, 30 minutes) ADVENTURES OF HIRAM HOLLIDAY (8 Episodes, 4 w/o/c “Lapidary Wheel” “Gibraltar Toad,”“ Morocco,” “Homing Pigeon,” Others without commercials - “Sea Cucumber,” “Hawaiian Hamza,” “Dancing Mouse,” & “Wrong Rembrandt”) ADVENTURES OF LUCKY PUP 1950(rare kid’s show-puppets, 15 mins) ADVENTURES OF A MODEL (Joanne Dru 1956 Desilu pilot. -
PARAMOUNT Theatre
ATOS Jan/Feb 49-1 F 12/5/06 8:29 PM Page 1 JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN THEATRE ORGAN SOCIETY JANUARY | FEBRUARY 2007 ORGAN in the New PARAMOUNT Theatre Remarkably significant! The owners of the world's greatest cinema palace, the new Paramount Theatre, New York, regard the Wurlitzer Organ as one of their main feat ures. The Wurlitzer Organ can be individu ally accommodated to large and small thea tres, th e use of which is today considered one of the attributes of superior theatre management. Write today for catalog. Exccuti1 1e Offices: Cin cinnat i, Ohio fa Clorics: Nor th Ton awanda , N. Y. New York C incinnati Chicn1,:o Cleveland Pittsbur gh Detroit Philadelphia Buffalo Sa n Francisco Los Amtele!I St. Lo ui<1 K:msas Citv ATOS Jan/Feb 49-1 F 12/5/06 8:29 PM Page 2 S USAN C OLE K EYBOARD P RODUCTIONS Jeff P RESENTSTHE 9 TH A NNUAL V ILLAGES “Pop” Organ A Complete Line Weiler of Theatre and Concert Series Church Organ —Rob Richards & Ralph Wolf— Parts Organist, Friday, January 19 For information, use our website: Composer & —Choy Lozada— arndtorgansupply.com Silent Film Saturday, February 3 —Paul Roberts— Or send for our CD-ROM catalog Accompanist Friday, March 30 Arndt Organ Supply Co. —Jelani Eddington— 1018 SE Lorenz Dr. Friday, April 20 Artra Artists Management, Inc. Ankeny, IA 50021 555 West Madison St., Suite 2110 Church on the Square, The Villages, FL Phone (515) 964-1274 Chicago, Illinois 60601 (1.5 hours north of Orlando) Fax (515) 963-1215 800-354-1645 For more information contact Susan Cole. -
Television Programs
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Responses to Modified Monty Hall Dilemmas in Capuchin Monkeys, Rhesus Macaques, and Humans
2018, 31 David Washburn Special Issue Editor** Peer-reviewed Responses to Modified Monty Hall Dilemmas in Capuchin Monkeys, Rhesus Macaques, and Humans Julia Watzek*1, Will Whitham1, David A. Washburn1-2, and Sarah F. Brosnan1-3 1Department of Psychology, Language Research Center, Georgia State University 2Neuroscience Institute, Georgia State University 3Department of Philosophy, Center for Behavioral Neuroscience, Georgia State University The Monty Hall Dilemma (MHD) is a simple probability puzzle famous for its counterintuitive solution. Participants initially choose among three doors, one of which conceals a prize. A different door is opened and shown not to contain the prize. Participants are then asked whether they would like to stay with their original choice or switch to the other remaining door. Although switching doubles the chances of winning, people overwhelmingly choose to stay with their original choice. To assess how experience and the chance of winning affect decisions in the MHD, we used a comparative approach to test 264 college students, 24 capuchin monkeys, and 7 rhesus macaques on a nonverbal, computerized version of the game. Participants repeatedly experienced the outcome of their choices and we varied the chance of winning by changing the number of doors (3 or 8). All species quickly and consistently switched doors, especially in the eight-door condition. After the computer task, we presented humans with the classic text version of the MHD to test whether they would generalize the successful switch strategy from the computer task. Instead, participants showed their characteristic tendency to stick with their pick, regardless of the number of doors. This disconnect between strategies in the classic version and a repeated nonverbal task with the same underlying probabilities may arise because they evoke different decision-making processes, such as explicit reasoning versus implicit learning. -
Radio TV Mirror
RAJDIO-TV MIRROR line N. Y. radio, TV listings 1 Jan Miner The girl in Hilltop House Brighter Day A startling love triangle Marie Wilson's story Rogers' family plan • Dennis James won her heart Angel Over My Shoulder an Martin and Jerry Lewis • Big Sister • Jack Carson 25* Like magic ! Camay takes your skin » "out of the shadows and brings to light exciting New Loveliness ! This lovely bride, MRS. JOHN-MICHAEL KING, says: "A change to regular care and Camay makes a world of difference. My complexion Like this lovely Camay bride, you'll rejoice at the clearer, grew fresher and clearer so quickly I thought I was dreaming." ~-fa brighter complexion your First Cake of Camay brings! OW CAN A girl be attractive and For complexion or bath, there's no H admired — how can she hope to finer beauty soap than Camay. Camay be wooed and wed—when her skin has is praised for its gentleness—prized for a dull and overcast look about it? its rich, luxurious, creamy lather. Take your skin "out of the shadows" and Never permit your beauty to be into the light of new loveliness with veiled in shadows! With Camay, The Camay, The Soap of Beautiful Women. Soap of Beautiful Women, you can take your skin "out of the shadows" and into the light of new loveliness. New beauty begins— Change to regular care — use Camay head to toe! and Camay alone and your mirror — The daily Camay Beauty Bath will show you a fresher, clearer com- gives you that "beautifully plexion—with your very first cake off cared-for" look all-over. -
1970-2020 TOPIC INDEX for the College Mathematics Journal (Including the Two Year College Mathematics Journal)
1970-2020 TOPIC INDEX for The College Mathematics Journal (including the Two Year College Mathematics Journal) prepared by Donald E. Hooley Emeriti Professor of Mathematics Bluffton University, Bluffton, Ohio Each item in this index is listed under the topics for which it might be used in the classroom or for enrichment after the topic has been presented. Within each topic entries are listed in chronological order of publication. Each entry is given in the form: Title, author, volume:issue, year, page range, [C or F], [other topic cross-listings] where C indicates a classroom capsule or short note and F indicates a Fallacies, Flaws and Flimflam note. If there is nothing in this position the entry refers to an article unless it is a book review. The topic headings in this index are numbered and grouped as follows: 0 Precalculus Mathematics (also see 9) 0.1 Arithmetic (also see 9.3) 0.2 Algebra 0.3 Synthetic geometry 0.4 Analytic geometry 0.5 Conic sections 0.6 Trigonometry (also see 5.3) 0.7 Elementary theory of equations 0.8 Business mathematics 0.9 Techniques of proof (including mathematical induction 0.10 Software for precalculus mathematics 1 Mathematics Education 1.1 Teaching techniques and research reports 1.2 Courses and programs 2 History of Mathematics 2.1 History of mathematics before 1400 2.2 History of mathematics after 1400 2.3 Interviews 3 Discrete Mathematics 3.1 Graph theory 3.2 Combinatorics 3.3 Other topics in discrete mathematics (also see 6.3) 3.4 Software for discrete mathematics 4 Linear Algebra 4.1 Matrices, systems -
Monty Hall Problem Wikipedia Monty Hall Problem from Wikipedia, the Free Encyclopedia
3/30/2017 Monty Hall problem Wikipedia Monty Hall problem From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia The Monty Hall problem is a brain teaser, in the form of a probability puzzle (Gruber, Krauss and others), loosely based on the American television game show Let's Make a Deal and named after its original host, Monty Hall. The problem was originally posed (and solved) in a letter by Steve Selvin to the American Statistician in 1975 (Selvin 1975a), (Selvin 1975b). It became famous as a question from a reader's letter quoted in Marilyn vos Savant's "Ask Marilyn" column in Parade magazine in 1990 (vos Savant 1990a): In search of a new car, the player picks a door, say 1. The Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say game host then opens one of No. 1, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another the other doors, say 3, to door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says to you, "Do you want to reveal a goat and offers to let pick door No. 2?" Is it to your advantage to switch your choice? the player pick door 2 instead of door 1. Vos Savant's response was that the contestant should switch to the other door (vos Savant 2 1990a). Under the standard assumptions, contestants who switch have a 3 chance of winning the car, while contestants who 1 stick to their initial choice have only a 3 chance.