1 P1.35 Meso-Scale Pressure Dips Accompanied by A
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Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR Sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ Updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET
Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET Summary Report Ongoing typhoon situation The storm had lost strength early Tuesday July 8, going from the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane to a Category 3 on the Saffir‐Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which means devastating damage is expected to occur, with major damage to well‐built framed homes, snapped or uprooted trees and power outages. It is approaching Okinawa, Japan, and is moving northwest towards South Korea and the Philippines, bringing strong winds, flooding rainfall and inundating storm surge. Typhoon Neoguri is a once‐in‐a‐decade storm and Japanese authorities have extended their highest storm alert to Okinawa's main island. The Global Assessment Report (GAR) 2013 ranked Japan as first among countries in the world for both annual and maximum potential losses due to cyclones. It is calculated that Japan loses on average up to $45.9 Billion due to cyclonic winds every year and that it can lose a probable maximum loss of $547 Billion.2 What are the most devastating cyclones to hit Okinawa in recent memory? There have been 12 damaging cyclones to hit Okinawa since 1945. Sustaining winds of 81.6 knots (151 kph), Typhoon “Winnie” caused damages of $5.8 million in August 1997. Typhoon "Bart", which hit Okinawa in October 1999 caused damages of $5.7 million. It sustained winds of 126 knots (233 kph). The most damaging cyclone to hit Japan was Super Typhoon Nida (reaching a peak intensity of 260 kph), which struck Japan in 2004 killing 287 affecting 329,556 people injuring 1,483, and causing damages amounting to $15 Billion. -
Ocean Currents and the Pacific Garbage Patch
ocean currents and the Pacific Garbage Patch photo: Scripps Institution of Oceanography The image above shows a net tow sample from the Pacific Garbage Patch. The sample contains small fish and many small pieces of plastic. The Garbage Patch is primarily composed of this small plastic “confetti” suspended throughout the surface water of the North Pacific Gyre, and is not a island of trash as suggested by some media outlets. The region where the trash converges in the center of the North Pacific Gyre, in a region where surface currents are weak and convergent, thus concentrating large amounts of trash in an area estimated to be close to the size of Texas. With this slide I often show a video clip about the Garbage Patch. Although the links may change, here is one from ABC that I’ve used several times: www.youtube.com/watch?v=OFMW8srq0Qk this video is a bit over the top but it gets the point across. There is additional information from Scripps Institution of Oceanography SEAPLEX experiment: http://sio.ucsd.edu/Expeditions/Seaplex/ and several videos on youtube.com by searching the phrase “SEAPLEX” Pacific garbage patch tiny plastic bits • the worlds largest dump? • filled with tiny plastic “confetti” large plastic debris from the garbage patch photo: Scripps Institution of Oceanography little jellyfish photo: Scripps Institution of Oceanography These are some of the things you find in the Garbage Patch. The large pieces of plastic, such as bottles, breakdown into tiny particles. Sometimes animals get caught in large pieces of floating trash: photo: NOAA photo: NOAA photo: Scripps Institution of Oceanography How do plants and animals interact with small small pieces of plastic? fish larvae growing on plastic Trash in the ocean can cause various problems for the organisms that live there. -
Atmospheric Sampling of Supertyphoon Mireille with NASA DC-8 Aircraft on September 27,1991, During PEM-West A
UC Irvine UC Irvine Previously Published Works Title Atmospheric sampling of Supertyphoon Mireille with NASA DC-8 aircraft on September 27,1991, during PEM-West A Permalink https://escholarship.org/uc/item/3c03j813 Journal Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 101(D1) ISSN 2169-897X Authors Newell, RE Hu, W Wu, ZX et al. Publication Date 1996 DOI 10.1029/95JD01374 License https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ 4.0 Peer reviewed eScholarship.org Powered by the California Digital Library University of California JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 101,NO. D1, PAGES 1853-1871,JANUARY 20, 1996 Atmospheric sampling of SupertyphoonMireille with NASA DC-8 aircraft on September 27, 1991, during PEM-West A R. E. Newell,1 W. Hu,1 Z-X. Wu,1 Y. Zhu,1 H. Akimoto,2 B. E. Anderson,3 E. V. Browell,3 G. L. Gregory,3 G. W. Sachse,3 M. C. Shipham,3 A. S.Bachmeier, 4 A.R. Bandy, 5 D.C. Thornton,5 D. R. BlakefiF. S.Rowland, 6 J.D. Bradshaw,7 J. H. Crawford,7 D. D. Davis,7 S. T. Sandholm,7 W. Brockett,8 L. DeGreef,8 D. Lewis,8 D. McCormick,8 E. Monitz,8 J. E. CollinsJr., 9 B. G. Heikes,1ø J. T. Merrill,1ø K. K. Kelly,11 S.C. Liu,• 1 y. Kondo,12 M. Koike,12 C.-M. Liu, 13 F. Sakamaki,TM H. B. Singh,15 J. E. Dibb,16 and R. W. Talbot 16 Abstract. The DC-8 missionof September27, 1991,was designed to sampleair flowing intoTyphoon Mireille in theboundary layer, air in the uppertropospheric eye region, and air emergingfrom the typhoon and ahead of the system,also in the uppertroposphere. -
NWS Unified Surface Analysis Manual
Unified Surface Analysis Manual Weather Prediction Center Ocean Prediction Center National Hurricane Center Honolulu Forecast Office November 21, 2013 Table of Contents Chapter 1: Surface Analysis – Its History at the Analysis Centers…………….3 Chapter 2: Datasets available for creation of the Unified Analysis………...…..5 Chapter 3: The Unified Surface Analysis and related features.……….……….19 Chapter 4: Creation/Merging of the Unified Surface Analysis………….……..24 Chapter 5: Bibliography………………………………………………….…….30 Appendix A: Unified Graphics Legend showing Ocean Center symbols.….…33 2 Chapter 1: Surface Analysis – Its History at the Analysis Centers 1. INTRODUCTION Since 1942, surface analyses produced by several different offices within the U.S. Weather Bureau (USWB) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA’s) National Weather Service (NWS) were generally based on the Norwegian Cyclone Model (Bjerknes 1919) over land, and in recent decades, the Shapiro-Keyser Model over the mid-latitudes of the ocean. The graphic below shows a typical evolution according to both models of cyclone development. Conceptual models of cyclone evolution showing lower-tropospheric (e.g., 850-hPa) geopotential height and fronts (top), and lower-tropospheric potential temperature (bottom). (a) Norwegian cyclone model: (I) incipient frontal cyclone, (II) and (III) narrowing warm sector, (IV) occlusion; (b) Shapiro–Keyser cyclone model: (I) incipient frontal cyclone, (II) frontal fracture, (III) frontal T-bone and bent-back front, (IV) frontal T-bone and warm seclusion. Panel (b) is adapted from Shapiro and Keyser (1990) , their FIG. 10.27 ) to enhance the zonal elongation of the cyclone and fronts and to reflect the continued existence of the frontal T-bone in stage IV. -
Surface Circulation2016
OCN 201 Surface Circulation Excess heat in equatorial regions requires redistribution toward the poles 1 In the Northern hemisphere, Coriolis force deflects movement to the right In the Southern hemisphere, Coriolis force deflects movement to the left Combination of atmospheric cells and Coriolis force yield the wind belts Wind belts drive ocean circulation 2 Surface circulation is one of the main transporters of “excess” heat from the tropics to northern latitudes Gulf Stream http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NewImages/Images/gulf_stream_modis_lrg.gif 3 How fast ( in miles per hour) do you think western boundary currents like the Gulf Stream are? A 1 B 2 C 4 D 8 E More! 4 mph = C Path of ocean currents affects agriculture and habitability of regions ~62 ˚N Mean Jan Faeroe temp 40 ˚F Islands ~61˚N Mean Jan Anchorage temp 13˚F Alaska 4 Average surface water temperature (N hemisphere winter) Surface currents are driven by winds, not thermohaline processes 5 Surface currents are shallow, in the upper few hundred metres of the ocean Clockwise gyres in North Atlantic and North Pacific Anti-clockwise gyres in South Atlantic and South Pacific How long do you think it takes for a trip around the North Pacific gyre? A 6 months B 1 year C 10 years D 20 years E 50 years D= ~ 20 years 6 Maximum in surface water salinity shows the gyres excess evaporation over precipitation results in higher surface water salinity Gyres are underneath, and driven by, the bands of Trade Winds and Westerlies 7 Which wind belt is Hawaii in? A Westerlies B Trade -
Waves in the Westerlies
Operational Weather Analysis … www.wxonline.info Chapter 9 Waves in the Westerlies Operational meteorologists track middle latitude disturbances in the middle to upper troposphere as part of their analysis of the atmosphere. This chapter describes these waves and highlights the importance of these waves to day-to-day weather changes at the Earth’s surface. The Westerlies Atmospheric flow above the Earth’s surface in the middle latitudes is primarily westerly. That is, the winds have a prevailing westerly component with numerous north and south meanders that impose wave-like undulations upon the basic west- to-east flow. This flow extends from the subtropical high pressure belt poleward to around 65 degrees latitude. A glance at any upper level chart from 700 mb upward to 200 mb shows that the westerlies dominate in the middle and upper troposphere. The term westerlies will refer to this layer unless otherwise specified. Upper Level Charts The westerlies are easily identified on charts of constant pressure in the middle to upper troposphere. That is, charts are prepared from upper level data at specified pressure levels (called standard levels). Traditionally, lines are drawn on these charts to represent the height of the pressure surface above mean sea level, temperature, and, on some charts, wind speed. With modern computer workstations, any observed or derived parameter may be drawn on an upper level chart. Standard levels include charts for 925, 850, 700, 500, 300, 250, 200, 150 and 100 mb. For our discussion of the westerlies, only levels from 700 mb upward to 200 mb will be considered. -
P4.6 Observations from the 13 April 2004 Wake Low Damaging Wind Event in South Florida
P4.6 OBSERVATIONS FROM THE 13 APRIL 2004 WAKE LOW DAMAGING WIND EVENT IN SOUTH FLORIDA Robert R. Handel and Pablo Santos NOAA/NWS, Miami, Florida 1. INTRODUCTION of April 12th persisted across the Florida Straits. This boundary exhibited pseudo-warm frontal characteristics, Damaging winds affected portions of South Florida and was lifting northward over South Florida (white during the early morning of April 13, 2004. These winds dashed line in Fig. 1). To the north of the boundary, a occurred behind a large area of stratiform precipitation cool and stable surface layer was present over land. associated with a mesoscale convective system (MCS) A high amplitude longwave mid/upper tropospheric that moved across the southeastern Gulf of Mexico trough was located over the eastern United States. The during the evening of April 12, 2004 (Fig. 1). Wind axis of this trough extended from the Great Lakes speeds sustained between 30 and 50 mph with gusts southward to the central Gulf of Mexico while South reaching 76 mph were recorded on Lake Okeechobee. Florida was upstream of the ridge axis located near These winds produced a seiche effect on Lake 65°W longitude. In addition, a 130-knot (67 m s-1) polar Okeechobee, resulting in a 5.5 ft maximum water level jet and 60-knot (31 m s-1) subtropical jet were splitting differential between the north and south sides of this over the Gulf of Mexico and South Florida producing shallow lake (Fig. 8). In addition, damage from the high significant upper level diffluence over South Florida. -
Sigma 1/2008
sigma No 1/2008 Natural catastrophes and man-made disasters in 2007: high losses in Europe 3 Summary 5 Overview of catastrophes in 2007 9 Increasing flood losses 16 Indices for the transfer of insurance risks 20 Tables for reporting year 2007 40 Tables on the major losses 1970–2007 42 Terms and selection criteria Published by: Swiss Reinsurance Company Economic Research & Consulting P.O. Box 8022 Zurich Switzerland Telephone +41 43 285 2551 Fax +41 43 285 4749 E-mail: [email protected] New York Office: 55 East 52nd Street 40th Floor New York, NY 10055 Telephone +1 212 317 5135 Fax +1 212 317 5455 The editorial deadline for this study was 22 January 2008. Hong Kong Office: 18 Harbour Road, Wanchai sigma is available in German (original lan- Central Plaza, 61st Floor guage), English, French, Italian, Spanish, Hong Kong, SAR Chinese and Japanese. Telephone +852 2582 5691 sigma is available on Swiss Re’s website: Fax +852 2511 6603 www.swissre.com/sigma Authors: The internet version may contain slightly Rudolf Enz updated information. Telephone +41 43 285 2239 Translations: Kurt Karl (Chapter on indices) CLS Communication Telephone +41 212 317 5564 Graphic design and production: Jens Mehlhorn (Chapter on floods) Swiss Re Logistics/Media Production Telephone +41 43 285 4304 © 2008 Susanna Schwarz Swiss Reinsurance Company Telephone +41 43 285 5406 All rights reserved. sigma co-editor: The entire content of this sigma edition is Brian Rogers subject to copyright with all rights reserved. Telephone +41 43 285 2733 The information may be used for private or internal purposes, provided that any Managing editor: copyright or other proprietary notices are Thomas Hess, Head of Economic Research not removed. -
Contrasting Recent Trends in Southern Hemisphere Westerlies Across
RESEARCH LETTER Contrasting Recent Trends in Southern Hemisphere 10.1029/2020GL088890 Westerlies Across Different Ocean Basins Key Points: Darryn W. Waugh1,2 , Antara Banerjee3,4, John C. Fyfe5, and Lorenzo M. Polvani6 • There are substantial zonal variations in past trends in the 1Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA, 2School of Mathematics magnitude and latitude of the peak 3 Southern Hemisphere zonal winds and Statistics, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Cooperative Institute for Research in • Only over the Atlantic and Indian Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA, 4Chemical Sciences Laboratory, National Oceans have peak winds shifted Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Boulder, CO, USA, 5Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, poleward, with an equatorward (yet Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada, 6Department of Applied Physics and insignificant) shift over the Pacific • Climate model simulations indicate Applied Mathematics, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA that the differential movement of the westerlies is due to internal atmospheric variability Abstract Many studies have documented the trends in the latitudinal position and strength of the midlatitude westerlies in the Southern Hemisphere. However, very little attention has been paid to the Supporting Information: longitudinal variations of these trends. Here, we specifically focus on the zonal asymmetries in the southern • Supporting Information S1 hemisphere wind trends between 1980 and 2018. Meteorological reanalyses show a large strengthening and a statistically insignificant equatorward shift of peak near‐surface winds over the Pacific, in contrast to a fi Correspondence to: weaker strengthening and signi cant poleward shift over the Atlantic and Indian Ocean sectors. -
Buchholz of Liability
Armed robbery at Lower Base DOLi clears O'Roarty, By Zaldy Dandan Variety News Staff TWO MEN sleeping in a car parked at the Lower Base beach side area were robbed and as Buchholz of liability saulted early Sunday moming by four uniden.tified baseball bat wielding men, according to De By Ferdie de la Torre Zachares said investigation 0 'Roarty on several occasions partment of Public Safety spokes Variety News Staff showed that the housemaid did without an approved contract from person Rose T. Ada. THE DEPARTMENT of Labor have the authority to seek an em DOLL Ada said the victims Nelson P. and Immigration has cleared gov ployer. "It's a relatively minor viola Javier, 43, and Rolando D. ernment lawyers Ross Buchholz However, Zachares explained, tion with a fine (at a maximum of Pestano, 33, lost $200 in cash, a andWilliamO'Roartyfromcrimi it appears that the housemaid was $500) involved. I am happy that diver's watch and a gold wedding nal liability in connection with working for Buchholz and Continued on page 23 ring to the robbers. DOLI's investigation of them for "They were sleeping in the car illegally hiring an alien worker waiting fortheirfriends, who were for domestic helper. PSS to impose hiring freeze fishing, when four men came to DOU Secretary Mark D. By Louie C. Alonso their car and woke them up," Ada Zachares yesterday said that based Variety News Staff said, citing the victims' account. on the department's findings there DUE TO· the limited budget it received for fiscal year 1999, the Public School System has now implemented a freeze-hiring policy in The men asked Javier and will beno criminal case to be filed Pestano for cigarettes and money, against Buchholz and O'Roarty. -
Chapter 3 Mesoscale Processes and Severe Convective Weather
CHAPTER 3 JOHNSON AND MAPES Chapter 3 Mesoscale Processes and Severe Convective Weather RICHARD H. JOHNSON Department of Atmospheric Science. Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado BRIAN E. MAPES CIRESICDC, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado REVIEW PANEL: David B. Parsons (Chair), K. Emanuel, J. M. Fritsch, M. Weisman, D.-L. Zhang 3.1. Introduction tion, mesoscale phenomena occur on horizontal scales between ten and several hundred kilometers. This Severe convective weather events-tornadoes, hail range generally encompasses motions for which both storms, high winds, flash floods-are inherently mesoscale ageostrophic advections and Coriolis effects are im phenomena. While the large-scale flow establishes envi portant (Emanuel 1986). In general, we apply such a ronmental conditions favorable for severe weather, pro definition here; however, strict application is difficult cesses on the mesoscale initiate such storms, affect their since so many mesoscale phenomena are "multiscale." evolution, and influence their environment. A rich variety For example, a -100-km-Iong gust front can be less of mesocale processes are involved in severe weather, than -1 km across. The triggering of a storm by the ranging from environmental preconditioning to storm initi collision of gust fronts can actually occur on a ation to feedback of convection on the environment. In the -lOO-m scale (the microscale). Nevertheless, we will space available, it is not possible to treat all of these treat this overall process (and others similar to it) as processes in detail. Rather, we will introduce s~veral mesoscale since gust fronts are generally regarded as general classifications of mesoscale processes relatmg to mesoscale phenomena. -
1 Jp2.2 a Case Study of a Wake Low in Northern Illinois And
JP2.2 A CASE STUDY OF A WAKE LOW IN NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND THE WRF PREDICTION OF THE WAKE LOW William Wilson * National Weather Service, Chicago, Illinois Erik Janzon Northern Illinois University We ran four test runs. At 06 UTC A wake low occurred in northern Illinois initialization time one run was using an and southern Wisconsin, during the 11.7 km grid spacing and the other run morning of May 30, 2008. The surface using a 3.4 km grid spacing. At 12 UTC wind was 45 to 55 mph (22 to 28 m/s) initialization, one run was using a 11.7 with gusts to 65 mph (33 m/s). The wind km grid spacing and the other run was was not forecasted or expected. using a 3.4 km grid spacing. The time Forecasters had to quickly issue wind period of the WRF model runs were a 15 warnings as the strong wind was hour run with initialization at 06 UTC occurring. We hope to find ways to and a 12 hour model run with predict wake lows of this strength so to initialization at 12 UTC. We wanted to give forecasters some lead time or investigate the initialization effects on anticipation of wake low development. the wake low production, and the effect The Weather Research and Forecasting of grid spacing. The 3.4 km grid spacing (WRF), Advanced Research WRF model run was without the Kain and (ARW) model is used as a local Fritch convective scheme (Kain and operational model at the National Fritsch, 1990).